FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups

Tuesday 14 July 2026
Data: close 13 Jul (latest scanner snapshot, 40 names) · UKX cash close: 10,498.29 (+0.01%) · Futures: front contract ranged 10,353-10,437.5 overnight (Barchart) - Sep contract trades below cash partly on dividend discount; news tone points to a modestly softer open




MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 closed Monday virtually flat at 10,498.29 after a volatile session - an early spike to 10,532 faded to 10,465 before recovering into the close. The dominant driver remains the US-Iran escalation and conflicting claims over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, which pushed Brent crude toward $80 and lifted the energy majors while the wider tape churned.
Futures note: the front FTSE future (Sep) printed 10,353-10,437.5 overnight per Barchart - below the cash close, but a chunk of that gap is the quarterly contract dividend discount, NOT a directional signal. Pre-open press (Sunday Guardian) expects a modestly lower start on Middle East risk.
Big macro today: US CPI (June) lands this afternoon UK time - headline expected around -0.1% m/m on the oil unwind, core +0.2%. Fed Chair Warsh testifies to the House today and the Senate tomorrow. Expect the London afternoon to take its cue from the CPI print.
Under the surface Monday was a clear rotation day: oil (BP +4.2%, SHEL +2.3%), telecoms (VOD +5.2%) and beaten-down media/software (WPP +3.0%, SGE +2.8%, REL +2.4%, EXPN +2.3%) led, while banks (LLOY -1.4%, NWG -1.3%, STAN -1.2%), tobacco (BATS -1.6%) and AZN (-1.3%) lagged.




NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day)
BP - RSI surged +10.3 pts to 53.4, crossed ABOVE EMA20 AND EMA200 on a +4.2% day. Week +5.9%. The standout fresh breakout.
VOD - +5.2% and crossed ABOVE POC. Week +17.5%, weekly RSI +39.8 pts - strongest momentum in the universe.
PRU - crossed ABOVE EMA50, EMA200 AND POC in one session - triple reclaim.
SHEL - crossed ABOVE EMA50, RSI +5.9 pts to 56.8. Oil tailwind.
DGE - crossed ABOVE EMA20, EMA50 AND POC - early-stage recovery attempt off the lows.
SGE / REL - both crossed ABOVE EMA50 with RSI +5.7 / +6.1 pts - rotation into oversold quality.
NWG - crossed BELOW EMA20 - first crack in a long uptrend.
RR. - crossed BELOW EMA20, -2.0% on the day.
AZN - 4-day down streak, week -11.85%, weekly RSI -23.2 pts. Still no base.




SECTOR HEATMAP
STRONG: Energy (BP +4.2, SHEL +2.3 - Hormuz/Brent bid) · Telecoms (VOD +5.2) · Media/Software (WPP +3.0, SGE +2.8, REL +2.4, EXPN +2.3 - multiple names crossed EMAs together, genuine rotation)
NEUTRAL: Utilities (NG +1.1, SSE +0.7 both reclaimed EMAs) · Staples mixed (DGE +1.5, ABF +1.2 vs ULVR -0.5, TSCO -0.4) · Insurance mixed (PRU +0.9 vs AV -0.9, LGEN -0.6)
WEAK: Banks - all five red (LLOY -1.4, NWG -1.3, STAN -1.2, HSBA -0.8, BARC -0., profit-taking in the strongest sector of the year · Tobacco (BATS -1.6, IMB -1.0, both on 4-day down streaks) · Pharma (AZN -1.3) · Defence (RR. -2.0, BAE -0.2)




DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS
VOD +5.22% · Bull above all · RSI 67.7 (RSI +7.3) · MACD+ · -11.6% off 52wH · above POC
BP +4.15% · Mixed: above EMA20/EMA200, below EMA50 (509.1) · RSI 53.4 (RSI +10.3) · MACD+ · -17.5% off 52wH · below POC
WPP +2.95% · Bull above 20/50 · RSI 61.1 · MACD+ · -36.2% off 52wH · above POC
SGE +2.83% · Bull above 20/50 · RSI 55.0 (RSI +5.7) · MACD+ · -36.1% off 52wH · below POC
REL +2.44% · Bull above 20/50 · RSI 56.0 (RSI +6.1) · MACD+ · -38.5% off 52wH · below POC
EXPN +2.27% · Bull above 20/50 · RSI 58.2 (RSI +5.4) · MACD+ · -34.7% off 52wH · above POC
SHEL +2.25% · Bull above all · RSI 56.8 (RSI +5.9) · MACD+ · -13.5% off 52wH · below POC
DGE +1.54% · Bull above 20/50 · RSI 53.2 · MACD- · -27.8% off 52wH · above POC
NG +1.14% · Mixed: above EMA20/EMA200, below EMA50 (1240.6) · RSI 51.9 · MACD+ · -13.2% off 52wH · below POC
PRU +0.86% · Bull above all · RSI 56.6 · MACD+ · -15.0% off 52wH · above POC
HLN +0.94% · Bull above all · RSI 65.9 · MACD+ · -12.2% off 52wH · above POC
III -0.33% · Bull above 20/50 · RSI 70.2 overbought · MACD+ · -40.1% off 52wH · above POC
BNZL +0.22% · Bull above all · RSI 65.6 · MACD- · -0.7% off 52wH · above POC
STAN -1.22% · Bull above all · RSI 56.6 · MACD- · -2.8% off 52wH · above POC
LLOY -1.43% · Bull above all · RSI 56.0 · MACD- · -4.7% off 52wH · above POC
BARC -0.76% · Bull above all · RSI 55.5 · MACD- · -4.3% off 52wH · above POC
HSBA -0.82% · Bull above all · RSI 58.0 · MACD- · -11.8% off 52wH · above POC
NWG -1.33% · Mixed: below EMA20 (654.0), above EMA50/EMA200 · RSI 53.1 · MACD- · -7.3% off 52wH · above POC
RR. -2.00% · Mixed: below EMA20 (1413.0), above EMA50/EMA200 · RSI 52.5 · MACD- · -8.0% off 52wH · above POC
AZN -1.34% · Bear below all · RSI 34.8 · MACD- · -19.5% off 52wH · below POC
RIO -0.15% · Bear below 20/50 · RSI 34.7 · MACD- · -26.0% off 52wH · below POC
GLEN +1.02% · Bear below 20/50 · RSI 41.6 · MACD+ fresh cross · -24.0% off 52wH · below POC
BATS -1.59% · Bear below 20/50 · RSI 39.7 · MACD- · -17.6% off 52wH · below POC
IMB -1.03% · Bear below all · RSI 38.0 · MACD- · -19.6% off 52wH · below POC
BAE -0.22% · Bear below all · RSI 43.8 · MACD+ · -21.7% off 52wH · below POC
RTO +0.11% · Bear below all · RSI 46.5 · MACD+ · -13.1% off 52wH · below POC
AAL -0.80% · Bear below 20/50 · RSI 43.8 · MACD- · -15.3% off 52wH · below POC
ANTO -0.58% · Bear below 20/50 · RSI 46.5 · MACD- · -16.1% off 52wH · below POC
All 40 EMA classifications verified programmatically: close vs EMA20/50/200, zero mismatches. Volume caveat: relative volume was thin across the board Monday (most names rv 0.2-0.7) - conviction is moderate, widen stops slightly.




TOP SWING SETUPS
1. BP - LONG (NEW - triggered Monday)
The cleanest fresh signal: +4.2% with RSI +10.3 pts, reclaimed EMA20 (489.2) AND EMA200 (492.1) in one bar. Only EMA50 (509.1) overhead, which caps it as Mixed for now - a close above 509 completes the reclaim. Brent tailwind. rv 0.63.
Entry: 504-506 (above Cam R2 504.88) · Stop: 489 (below EMA200/EMA20, ~1 ATR) · T1: 527.9 (POC) · T2: 540 · R:R: 1.5 / 2.3
Confluence: EMA200 reclaim + classic R1 507 near EMA50 509 - once through 509, little until POC.
2. SHEL - LONG (NEW - EMA50 cross Monday)
Bull above all EMAs after crossing EMA50 (3086.7), RSI 56.8 (+5.9). POC 3135.6 just overhead is first target. rv 0.58.
Entry: 3090-3095 pullback (pivot 3092.6 = Cam S3 3092.4 confluence) · Stop: 3038 (below classic S2 3039.3, ~1 ATR) · T1: 3179.7 (R3) · T2: 3260 · R:R: 1.6 / 3.1
3. PRU - LONG (NEW - triple reclaim Monday)
Crossed above EMA50 (1043.2), EMA200 (1051.0) AND POC (1046.5) in one session - now Bull above all. RSI 56.6 with room. rv 0.49.
Entry: 1053-1056 (above Cam R1, EMA200 confirmed as support) · Stop: 1034 (below classic S2 1034. · T1: 1073.9 (R3) · T2: 1100 · R:R: 1.1 / 2.4
Half size until it holds 1051 on a closing basis.
4. VOD - LONG pullback only (CONTINUING)
Week +17.5%, weekly RSI +39.8 pts, crossed above POC (111.2). RSI 67.7 - do NOT chase; buy the dip if offered. rv 0.71, best volume in the book.
Entry: 112.1-112.7 (classic S1 112.13 / Cam S4 112.66 zone) · Stop: 108.3 (below S2 108.42, ~1 ATR) · T1: 117.9 (R1) · T2: 120.0 (R2) · R:R: 1.4 / 1.9
5. DGE - LONG speculative recovery (NEW)
Crossed above EMA20 (1529.5), EMA50 (1526.3) AND POC (1524. Monday - first constructive structure in months. Still 27.8% off the 52w high, EMA200 miles away at 1641.6. rv only 0.36 - thin, so half size.
Entry: 1548-1555 (holding above the 1525-1530 EMA/POC cluster) · Stop: 1492 (below Cam S2 1495.5) · T1: 1625.5 (Cam R3) · T2: 1652.5 (classic R1) · R:R: 1.3 / 1.7




INTRADAY SETUPS
1. BP - Camarilla breakout LONG
Entry: break and hold above Cam R4 509.25 (also clears EMA50 509.1 - double trigger) · Stop: 505.5 (below Cam R3 505.97) · T1: 518.9 (classic R3) · R:R: ~2.6. Why: R4 break + EMA50 reclaim in a trending oil tape is the highest-energy combo on the board.
2. SHEL - pivot bounce LONG
Entry: 3092-3095 (classic pivot 3092.6 stacked on Cam S3 3092.4) · Stop: 3071 (below classic S1 3073.2) · T1: 3126.4 (R1) · T2: 3136 (POC/Cam R4) · R:R: 1.6 / 2.0. Why: rare exact pivot/Camarilla confluence; oil bid supportive.
3. VOD - Camarilla S3 bounce LONG
Entry: 114.2-114.3 (Cam S3 114.26 = classic pivot 114.22 confluence) · Stop: 111.9 (below classic S1 112.13) · T1: 116.91 (Cam R2) · T2: 117.93 (classic R1) · R:R: 1.1 / 1.6. Why: strongest momentum name; buy dips to confluence, never fade it.
4. AZN - breakdown SHORT
Entry: break below Cam S4 12517 (classic S1 12535.7 just above = failed support) · Stop: 12675 (back above pivot 12672. · T1: 12408.8 (classic S2) · T2: 12271.7 (S3) · R:R: 0.7 / 1.5. Why: 4-day down streak, Bear below all EMAs, no bid. T2 is the trade; skip if CPI squeezes the open.
5. NWG - breakdown SHORT
Entry: break below Cam S4 646.0 (classic S1 648 gone) · Stop: 654.5 (back above Cam S1/EMA20 654.0) · T1: 642.4 (classic S2) · T2: 634.2 (S3) · R:R: 0.5 / 1.4. Why: fresh EMA20 loss after a huge run; banks sector-wide red. T2 or nothing - small size.




KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
BP (502.7)
Cam: S4 496.16 · S3 499.43 · S1 501.61 || R1 503.79 · R3 505.97 · R4 509.25
Classic: S3 483.23 · S2 487.57 · S1 495.13 · Piv 499.47 · R1 507.03 · R2 511.37 · R3 518.93
EMA20 489.2 · EMA50 509.1 · EMA200 492.1 · POC 527.86 · Prev H/L 503.8/491.9 · 52w 609.4/393.3
SHEL (3107)
Cam: S4 3077.71 · S3 3092.36 · S1 3102.12 || R1 3111.88 · R3 3121.64 · R4 3136.29
Classic: S3 3019.92 · S2 3039.33 · S1 3073.17 · Piv 3092.58 · R1 3126.42 · R2 3145.83 · R3 3179.67
EMA20 3018.4 · EMA50 3086.7 · EMA200 3003.7 · POC 3135.64 · Prev H/L 3112/3058.75 · 52w 3591.5/2553.77
VOD (115.85)
Cam: S4 112.66 · S3 114.26 · S1 115.32 || R1 116.38 · R3 117.45 · R4 119.04
Classic: S3 106.33 · S2 108.42 · S1 112.13 · Piv 114.22 · R1 117.93 · R2 120.02 · R3 123.73
EMA20 104.9 · EMA50 107.9 · EMA200 103.4 · POC 111.23 · Prev H/L 116.3/110.5 · 52w 131.1/80.68
PRU (1052)
Cam: S4 1043.62 · S3 1047.81 · S1 1050.60 || R1 1053.40 · R3 1056.19 · R4 1060.38
Classic: S3 1028.18 · S2 1034.84 · S1 1043.42 · Piv 1050.08 · R1 1058.66 · R2 1065.32 · R3 1073.90
EMA20 1025.2 · EMA50 1043.2 · EMA200 1051.0 · POC 1046.47 · Prev H/L 1056.74/1041.5 · 52w 1238/910.2
AZN (12662.5)
Cam: S4 12517.3 · S3 12589.9 · S1 12638.3 || R1 12686.7 · R3 12735.1 · R4 12807.7
Classic: S3 12271.67 · S2 12408.83 · S1 12535.67 · Piv 12672.83 · R1 12799.67 · R2 12936.83 · R3 13063.67
EMA20 13710.6 · EMA50 13810.4 · EMA200 13545.0 · POC 13708.63 · Prev H/L 12810/12546 · 52w 15730/10178




BEARISH WARNINGS
NWG - FRESH: crossed below EMA20 (654.0) Monday. First warning shot in the best-performing bank. Below 642 (S2) the pullback deepens toward EMA50 629.
RR. - FRESH: crossed below EMA20 (1413.0), -2.0%. rv just 0.18 so far, but a second close below 1413 targets the EMA50 zone 1347.
AZN - Bear below all EMAs, 4-day down streak, week -11.85%, weekly RSI -23.2 pts. RSI 34.8 is low but there is no reversal signal yet - do not knife-catch above 12,272 (S3).
RIO - RSI 34.7, below EMA20/50, rv 0.71 (heaviest in the miners) - distribution, not apathy. EMA200 6648.1 is the line; a close below opens 6,400s.
BATS / IMB - both on 4-day down streaks, below POC, tobacco bid gone (BATS RSI 39.7, IMB 38.0).
AV - MACD bearish crossover, weekly RSI -19.5 pts - the insurance laggard vs PRU strength.




EVENTS CALENDAR
Tue 14 Jul: US CPI June (exp ~-0.1% m/m headline on the oil unwind, core +0.2% - the day's main event) · Fed Chair Warsh testimony, House Financial Services · UK: Ashmore, Hunting, Robert Walters, Watches of Switzerland trading statements (none in tracked set)
Wed 15 Jul: ANTO trading statement (tracked - copper volumes key; ANTO is Bear below 20/50, a strong print could squeeze) · Barratt Redrow + Ferrexpo statements · Warsh testimony, Senate Banking
Thu 16 Jul: US initial claims (cons ~220k)
Fri 17 Jul: EU CPI June (exp 2.8% y/y from 3.2%)
Ongoing: US-Iran / Strait of Hormuz headlines remain the dominant tape risk for oil, BP, SHEL and the wider index.




Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Monday 13 July 2026
Data: close Friday 10 July - latest FTSE scanner snapshot (no new scan posted for today yet) · UKX: 10,497.29 (+24.84, +0.24%) · Futures: 10,425.1



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 closed Friday at 10,497.29, up 24.84 points (+0.24%), having ranged 10,462.75 - 10,513.90. Despite Friday's gain the index finished the week down 1.7%; the FTSE 250 lost 0.7% and AIM All-Share 1.7%.

Futures are quoted at 10,425.1 (session range 10,353.0 - 10,437.5, source: Investing.com UK 100 futures). That sits roughly 72 points BELOW Friday's cash close. Contract-roll note: a discount of this size is consistent with the dividend discount on the forward contract through a heavy July-September dividend window, and is NOT by itself a directional signal. Read alongside a constructive Friday news tone, the honest read is NEUTRAL to marginally softer - not a gap-down.

Drivers into today: Friday's tape was M&A-led. Vodafone closed +12.5% after Vega agreed to buy e&'s entire 16.2% stake for GBP 4.4bn, making Xavier Niel the largest shareholder subject to regulatory approval. easyJet jumped on an agreement in principle over a GBP 5.7bn Apollo proposal. Offsetting that, AstraZeneca is the week's index drag, and Middle East risk remains a live overhang.

Breadth (40-stock scanner universe, strict EMA test):
BULLISH (above all three EMAs): 15
BULLISH above 20/50, below 200: 6
MIXED: 6
BEARISH below 20/50, above 200: 7
BEARISH (below all three EMAs): 6

21 of 40 names hold both the 20 and 50 EMA. Leadership is banks and financials; the drag is miners, oil and defence. All 40 EMA classifications were re-checked programmatically against close vs each EMA: zero mismatches.



NOTABLE CHANGES (day over day)

VOD +12.54% - the standout. RSI surged 33.8 points to 60.4, crossed ABOVE EMA20, EMA50 AND EMA200 in a single session, MACD bullish crossover, heavy volume (rv 1.96 - the only genuine-volume name in the whole universe). Week +12.21%. Event-driven, not technical.

WPP +4.54% - crossed ABOVE EMA50 and ABOVE POC (268.47). RSI +6.6 to 56.1. Week +5.8%. Still below EMA200 (312.11), so this is a counter-trend recovery, not a trend change.

RTO -0.94% - the freshest breakdown in the book. Crossed BELOW EMA20 AND BELOW EMA200 on the same day, and is now BEARISH below all three EMAs.

AZN -2.34% - third consecutive down day. Week -8.1%, RSI week -15.9 points to 37.3. Below all three EMAs and 17.9% below its 52-week high.

BAE +0.16% but week -8.3% - RSI down 21.2 points on the week; below all three EMAs. NOTE: Friday's low field for BAE prints at 1564 (exactly its 52-week low), which looks like a bad tick - treat BAE pivot and Camarilla levels as UNRELIABLE today.

GSK MACD bearish crossover, below EMA20/EMA50. · ULVR MACD bearish crossover (still above 20/50). · BATS crossed BELOW POC. · LSEG crossed ABOVE EMA50. · REL and SGE crossed ABOVE EMA20.

Volume health warning: outside VOD (rv 1.96), relative volume across the universe is thin - the median sits near 0.35 and several names print below 0.25 (BNZL 0.16, SGE 0.13, TSCO 0.15, ADM 0.21, ANTO 0.19). Widen stops and reduce conviction on any breakout that fires on this kind of participation.



SECTOR HEATMAP

BANKS AND FINANCIALS - LEADING. HSBA (+1.07%, above all EMAs, ADX 32., STAN (+0.71%, above all EMAs, 1.8% off 52w high), BARC (+0.92%), LLOY (+0.09%, ADX 37.7), NWG (-0.03%), LGEN (+0.28%), AV (+0.70%), ADM (-1.20%), III (+1.43%, RSI 71.0). Nine of eleven financials sit above all three EMAs. This is where the index strength lives.

TELECOM AND MEDIA - RECOVERING. VOD (+12.54%), WPP (+4.54%), REL (+1.64%), INF (+0.79%). A genuine group move, though VOD and WPP are event/valuation-driven rather than trend-driven.

MINING - WEAK. RIO (+1.20% but RSI 34.5, MACD -246., AAL (+0.84%), ANTO (+1.88%), GLEN (-0.49%). Every miner bounced on Friday, yet ALL FOUR remain below both the EMA20 and EMA50 and all four sit below their POC. This is a bounce inside a downtrend, not a base.

ENERGY - WEAK. BP (-0.16%, below all three EMAs), SHEL (-0.03%, above EMA20 and EMA200 but below EMA50, week +4.38%). SHEL is the better of the two.

DEFENCE AND SUPPORT SERVICES - DETERIORATING. BAE (week -8.3%), RR. (week -5.01%, RSI -18 on the week, but still above all three EMAs), RTO (fresh breakdown below all three). BNZL is the exception: +1.51%, RSI 65.3, 0.9% off its 52-week high.

PHARMA AND STAPLES - MIXED. AZN bearish, GSK below 20/50, IMB below all three, BATS below 20/50 and now below POC, DGE below all three - against HLN, TSCO, ABF and ULVR holding above their 20/50. The defensives are splitting rather than moving together.

UTILITIES - FLAT. NG (+0.10%, below 20/50) and SSE (+0.12%, above EMA20 and EMA200, below EMA50). No signal.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS

Format: Ticker - Close - Trend (strict EMA) - RSI - MACD - % from 52w high - day change - vs POC

VOD - 110.15 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 60.4 (+33. - MACD bull cross - 16.0% off high - +12.54% - BELOW POC 111.35
III - 2697 - BULLISH above 20/50, below 200 - RSI 71.0 OVERBOUGHT - MACD 92.7 above signal 65.1 - 40.0% off high - +1.43% - ABOVE POC
BNZL - 2690 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 65.3 - MACD 56.2 below signal 58.1 - 0.9% off high - +1.51% - ABOVE POC
HLN - 362.4 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 64.1 - MACD 6.8 above signal 5.1 - 12.9% off high - +0.49% - ABOVE POC
LGEN - 291.2 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 63.4 - MACD 4.87 below signal 5.33 - 2.9% off high - +0.28% - ABOVE POC
ADM - 3636 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 62.6 (-5.4) - MACD 79.3 above signal 68.0 - 2.5% off high - -1.20% - ABOVE POC
HSBA - 1471.6 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 61.2 - MACD 21.14 below signal 21.31 - 11.0% off high - +1.07% - ABOVE POC
LLOY - 112.15 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 60.9 - MACD 3.02 below signal 3.15 - 3.3% off high - +0.09% - ABOVE POC
INF - 895.6 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 60.6 - MACD 18.8 below signal 21.7 - 10.4% off high - +0.79% - ABOVE POC
RKT - 5036 - BULLISH above 20/50, below 200 - RSI 60.2 - MACD 112.5 above signal 95.4 - 22.7% off high - +0.52% - ABOVE POC
STAN - 2121 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 59.6 - MACD 43.6 below signal 44.0 - 1.8% off high - +0.71% - ABOVE POC
ABF - 1987 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 58.9 - MACD 22.26 below signal 22.31 - 15.8% off high - +1.40% - ABOVE POC
NWG - 664.0 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 57.9 (week -15.1) - MACD 16.5 below signal 18.9 - 5.9% off high - -0.03% - ABOVE POC
ULVR - 4593.5 - BULLISH above 20/50, below 200 - RSI 57.7 - MACD BEARISH CROSS - 16.9% off high - +0.59% - ABOVE POC
BARC - 512.6 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 57.5 - MACD 12.6 below signal 15.3 - 3.5% off high - +0.92% - ABOVE POC
TSCO - 472.4 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 57.2 - MACD 3.50 above signal 1.81 - 9.3% off high - +0.75% - ABOVE POC
WPP - 271.7 - BULLISH above 20/50, below 200 - RSI 56.1 (+6.6) - MACD -2.50 above signal -4.28 - 38.7% off high - +4.54% - ABOVE POC (fresh cross)
RR. - 1430.4 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 56.0 (week -18) - MACD 39.5 below signal 46.8 - 6.7% off high - -0.56% - ABOVE POC
LSEG - 8892 - BULLISH above 20/50, below 200 - RSI 54.4 - MACD -25.3 above signal -113.9 - 19.1% off high - +1.48% - below POC
AV - 661.4 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 60.4 (week -15.1) - MACD 10.3 above signal 9.7 - 5.6% off high - +0.70% - ABOVE POC
EXPN - 2620.8 - BULLISH above 20/50, below 200 - RSI 52.8 - MACD 15.1 above signal 2.8 - 36.1% off high - -0.39% - ABOVE POC
PRU - 1042.2 - MIXED above EMA20, below EMA50 and EMA200 - RSI 54.4 (+3.9) - MACD -1.9 above signal -8.0 - 15.8% off high - +1.53% - below POC
SHEL - 3040 - MIXED above EMA20 and EMA200, below EMA50 - RSI 50.9 - MACD -35.9 above signal -58.6 - 15.4% off high - -0.03% - below POC
SSE - 2428 - MIXED above EMA20 and EMA200, below EMA50 - RSI 51.1 - MACD 13.8 above signal 8.3 - 15.1% off high - +0.12% - below POC
REL - 2413 - MIXED above EMA20, below EMA50 and EMA200 - RSI 49.9 (+4.4) - MACD -20.3 above signal -29.6 - 40.1% off high - +1.64% - below POC
SGE - 831.2 - MIXED above EMA20, below EMA50 and EMA200 - RSI 49.3 - MACD -4.3 above signal -7.2 - 37.7% off high - +0.53% - below POC
CPG - 3217 - MIXED below EMA20, above EMA50 and EMA200 - RSI 49.7 - MACD flat - 14.2% off high - +1.32% - ABOVE POC
NG - 1229.5 - BEARISH below 20/50, above 200 - RSI 48.8 - MACD 1.2 above signal 0.1 - 13.9% off high - +0.10% - below POC
ANTO - 3786 - BEARISH below 20/50, above 200 - RSI 47.5 - MACD -64.1 below signal -49.8 - 15.4% off high - +1.88% - below POC
RTO - 441.8 - BEARISH below all EMAs - RSI 47.4 (-3.4) - MACD -1.75 above signal -4.02 - 12.9% off high - -0.94% - below POC - FRESH BREAKDOWN
AAL - 3603 - BEARISH below 20/50, above 200 - RSI 44.1 - MACD -77.0 below signal -53.0 - 15.0% off high - +0.84% - below POC
BAE - 1851 - BEARISH below all EMAs - RSI 43.9 (week -21.2) - MACD -3.9 above signal -9.6 - 21.6% off high - +0.16% - below POC
BATS - 4470.5 - BEARISH below 20/50, above 200 - RSI 43.5 - MACD -0.5 below signal 14.0 - 16.1% off high - -0.79% - below POC (fresh cross)
BP - 480.9 - BEARISH below all EMAs - RSI 43.1 - MACD -13.6 above signal -16.4 - 21.1% off high - -0.16% - below POC
IMB - 2717 - BEARISH below all EMAs - RSI 41.7 (-4.6) - MACD -7.9 below signal -4.5 - 18.7% off high - -1.27% - below POC
GLEN - 508.9 - BEARISH below 20/50, above 200 - RSI 38.3 - MACD -17.4 below signal -16.3 - 25.0% off high - -0.49% - below POC
AZN - 12912 - BEARISH below all EMAs - RSI 37.3 (-3.3) - MACD -1.4 below signal 85.0 - 17.9% off high - -2.34% - below POC
RIO - 6740 - BEARISH below 20/50, above 200 - RSI 34.5 - MACD -246.8 below signal -193.8 - 26.1% off high - +1.20% - below POC
GSK - 1959.5 - BEARISH below 20/50, above 200 - RSI 49.9 - MACD BEARISH CROSS - 14.1% off high - +0.08% - ABOVE POC
DGE - 1520.2 - BEARISH below all EMAs - RSI 49.0 - MACD -0.4 below signal 2.9 - 29.0% off high - +1.01% - below POC



TOP SWING SETUPS

1. STAN LONG - CONTINUING - highest quality
Above all three EMAs (2058.11 / 1975.49 / 1742.78), RSI 59.6, MACD 43.57 vs signal 43.97, ADX 21.8, POC 1941.88 sits 8.4% below price. Only 1.8% below its 52-week high of 2160. Do NOT chase Friday's close - wait for the pullback.
Entry: 2085 pullback (between close and EMA20) · Stop: 2040 (below EMA20 2058, 0.87 ATR) · T1: 2160 (52w high) · T2: 2225 · R:R: 1.7:1 to T1, 3.1:1 to T2
Confluence: EMA20 support, POC far below, sector leadership. ATR 51.8. Volume caveat: rv 0.64 - acceptable but not heavy.

2. HSBA LONG - CONTINUING
Above all three EMAs (1431.94 / 1392.24 / 1240.57), RSI 61.2, ADX 32.8 - the strongest trend reading among the large financials. POC 1380.30 is 6.2% below price.
Entry: 1465 (or on a break above Friday's 1475.8 high) · Stop: 1425 (below EMA20, 1.2 ATR) · T1: 1540 · T2: 1600 · R:R: 1.5:1 to T1, 2.8:1 to T2
Confluence: EMA20 1431.94 and rising, strong ADX, 11.0% below 52w high 1653.4 leaves room. ATR 35.1.

3. WPP LONG - NEW (triggered Friday) - counter-trend, size down
Crossed ABOVE EMA50 (263.66) and ABOVE POC (268.47) on +4.54%. RSI 56.1 (+6.6). Week +5.8%. This is a bounce in a broken chart - price remains far below EMA200 (312.11) and 38.7% below its 52-week high.
Entry: 270 · Stop: 254 (below Friday's 254.7 low, 1.25 ATR) · T1: 296.87 (classic R3) · T2: 312 (EMA200) · R:R: 1.7:1 to T1, 2.6:1 to T2
Confluence: POC reclaim plus EMA50 cross on the same bar. Risk: rv only 0.52 - the move lacks volume confirmation. Half size.

4. VOD LONG - NEW - event-driven, do NOT chase
Crossed above all three EMAs in one session on the Vega / e& stake news, RSI 60.4 (+33., rv 1.96 (genuinely heavy). But price closed at 110.15, still BELOW its POC at 111.35 - the volume shelf is directly overhead as resistance, and a 12.5% one-day gap on corporate news is exactly the kind of bar that gets partially retraced.
Entry: 107.80 on a retest (Friday low 107.45 / EMA50 107.57) · Stop: 103.00 (below EMA200 103.28, 1.35 ATR) · T1: 113.28 (classic R2) · T2: 118.00 · R:R: 1.1:1 to T1, 2.1:1 to T2
Only take this on the retest. Chasing at 110+ puts you long into the POC with a 12.5% gap under your feet. If the deal narrative sours, the whole bar fills.

5. RIO SHORT - CONTINUING - wait for the EMA200 break
RSI 34.5 (weakest in the universe), MACD -246.83 well below signal -193.75, ADX 36.8 confirming a strong downtrend, below EMA20 (7113.35) and EMA50 (7315.47), POC 7545.80 is 12% overhead, week -4.15%. The catch: price at 6740 is sitting just 1.4% above its EMA200 at 6646.92, and RSI 34.5 is close to oversold. This is a trigger-on-break trade, not an entry here.
Entry: 6690 on a confirmed break below EMA200 6646.92 · Stop: 6960 (0.99 ATR) · T1: 6400 · T2: 6150 · R:R: 1.1:1 to T1, 2.0:1 to T2
If EMA200 holds and RIO reclaims 6900, this thesis is void - stand aside. ATR 273.7.



INTRADAY SETUPS

1. HSBA - Camarilla range LONG (with trend)
Close 1471.6 sits inside the S3-R3 Camarilla band, and the daily trend is bullish above all EMAs - buy the low end.
Entry: 1466.27 (cam S3) · Stop: 1460.00 (below cam S4 1460.93) · T1: 1473.38 (cam R1) · T2: 1476.94 (cam R3) · R:R: 1.7:1
Why: strongest ADX in the financials (32., price above all three EMAs, POC far below. Fade weakness, do not fade strength.

2. STAN - Camarilla range LONG (with trend)
Close 2121 inside the S3-R3 band, trend bullish above all EMAs, 1.8% from a 52-week high.
Entry: 2111.51 (cam S3) · Stop: 2100.00 (below cam S4 2102.03) · T1: 2124.16 (cam R1) · T2: 2130.49 (cam R3) · R:R: 1.6:1
If STAN instead breaks cam R4 (2139.98) on the open, that is a momentum long toward the 2160 52-week high - a clean breakout trigger.

3. AZN - Camarilla range SHORT (with trend)
Below all three EMAs, RSI 37.3, three straight down days, POC 13751 far overhead. Sell strength into resistance.
Entry: 13084.70 (cam R3) - or scale in at cam R1 12969.57 · Stop: 13270 (above cam R4 13257.4) · T1: 12854.43 (cam S1) · T2: 12739.30 (cam S3) · R:R: 1.9:1 from cam R3
Note the huge ATR (560.2) - size the position off the ATR, not off the tight Camarilla spacing.

4. RIO - Camarilla range SHORT (with trend)
Friday's range was unusually tight (6719-6794) so the Camarilla band is compressed - expect expansion.
Entry: 6760.63 (cam R3) · Stop: 6790 (above cam R4 6781.25) · T1: 6733.13 (cam S1) · T2: 6698.75 (cam S4) · R:R: 2.1:1 to T2
Why: strongest downtrend in the book (ADX 36., MACD deeply negative, POC 12% overhead. Invalidated on a reclaim of 6900.

5. VOD - Camarilla breakout LONG (POC reclaim)
The clean trigger is a reclaim of the POC at 111.35, which also clears cam R3 (111.17).
Entry: 111.50 on a POC reclaim · Stop: 108.10 (below cam S4 108.12, 0.95 ATR) · T1: 113.28 (classic R2) · T2: 115.42 (classic R3) · R:R: 1.15:1 to T2
If VOD fails at the POC and loses cam S4 (108.12), the gap-fill trade back toward 105 opens up instead. Watch the level, do not assume the direction.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

VOD - 110.15
Cam: S4 108.12 · S3 109.13 · S1 109.81 || R1 110.49 · R3 111.17 · R4 112.19
Classic: S3 104.32 · S2 105.88 · S1 108.02 · Pivot 109.58 · R1 111.72 · R2 113.28 · R3 115.42
EMAs: 20 = 103.74 · 50 = 107.57 · 200 = 103.28 · POC 111.35 (price BELOW) · ATR 3.56
Prev day: H 111.15 · L 107.45 · 52w: H 131.10 · L 80.20

STAN - 2121
Cam: S4 2102.03 · S3 2111.51 · S1 2117.84 || R1 2124.16 · R3 2130.49 · R4 2139.98
Classic: S3 2067 · S2 2082 · S1 2101.5 · Pivot 2116.5 · R1 2136 · R2 2151 · R3 2170.5
EMAs: 20 = 2058.11 · 50 = 1975.49 · 200 = 1742.78 · POC 1941.88 (price ABOVE) · ATR 51.80
Prev day: H 2131.50 · L 2097 · 52w: H 2160 · L 1285

HSBA - 1471.6
Cam: S4 1460.93 · S3 1466.27 · S1 1469.82 || R1 1473.38 · R3 1476.94 · R4 1482.27
Classic: S3 1440.67 · S2 1448.53 · S1 1460.07 · Pivot 1467.93 · R1 1479.47 · R2 1487.33 · R3 1498.87
EMAs: 20 = 1431.94 · 50 = 1392.24 · 200 = 1240.57 · POC 1380.30 (price ABOVE) · ATR 35.08
Prev day: H 1475.80 · L 1456.40 · 52w: H 1653.40 · L 905.30

AZN - 12912
Cam: S4 12566.60 · S3 12739.30 · S1 12854.43 || R1 12969.57 · R3 13084.70 · R4 13257.40
Classic: S3 12032 · S2 12408 · S1 12660 · Pivot 13036 · R1 13288 · R2 13664 · R3 13916
EMAs: 20 = 13817.03 · 50 = 13855.36 · 200 = 13553.30 · POC 13751.12 (price BELOW) · ATR 560.16
Prev day: H 13412 · L 12784 · 52w: H 15730 · L 10178

RIO - 6740
Cam: S4 6698.75 · S3 6719.38 · S1 6733.13 || R1 6746.88 · R3 6760.63 · R4 6781.25
Classic: S3 6633 · S2 6676 · S1 6708 · Pivot 6751 · R1 6783 · R2 6826 · R3 6858
EMAs: 20 = 7113.35 · 50 = 7315.47 · 200 = 6646.92 · POC 7545.80 (price BELOW) · ATR 273.71
Prev day: H 6794 · L 6719 · 52w: H 9117 · L 4332.45



BEARISH WARNINGS

RTO - FRESHEST BREAKDOWN. Crossed BELOW EMA20 (443.09) and BELOW EMA200 (443.45) on the same session and is now bearish below all three EMAs at 441.80. POC 459.34 is now overhead resistance. RSI 47.4 and falling (-3.4). The two EMAs sit within 0.4 points of each other at 443 - that cluster is now the line in the sand. Below it, the path to the classic S3 at 427.83 is open.

AZN - THE INDEX DRAG. Three consecutive down days, week -8.1%, RSI 37.3 (week -15.9), below all three EMAs, MACD -1.38 versus a signal line still up at 85.01 - that spread is the sign of a fast, recent breakdown that has not yet stabilised. 17.9% below its 52-week high. Rallies into 12969 / 13084 are for selling until it reclaims the EMA200 at 13553.

BAE - MOMENTUM COLLAPSE. Week -8.3%, RSI down 21.2 points on the week to 43.9, below all three EMAs (1897.22 / 1935.36 / 1937.40), POC 1956.13 far above. The EMA50 and EMA200 are converging at ~1936 - that is heavy overhead supply. DATA CAVEAT: Friday's low field prints 1564, exactly the 52-week low, which is almost certainly a bad tick, so BAE's pivots and Camarilla levels are unusable today. Trade the EMA and POC levels only.

MINING COMPLEX. RIO (RSI 34.5), GLEN (RSI 38.3), AAL (RSI 44.1), ANTO (RSI 47.5) all bounced Friday and every one of them is still below its EMA20, its EMA50 and its POC. MACD is below signal on AAL, ANTO and GLEN. Friday's green candles were noise inside a downtrend. ANTO reports Q2 production on Wednesday - that is the event that decides whether this bounce has legs.

BP. Below all three EMAs, RSI 43.1, POC 529.05 is 10% overhead, 21.1% below its 52-week high. The weakest of the two oil majors by a distance - SHEL at least holds its EMA20 and EMA200.

TOBACCO AND STAPLES ROLLOVER. IMB below all three EMAs with RSI 41.7 (-4.6). BATS just crossed BELOW its POC (4495.22) and sits below EMA20/EMA50. GSK printed a MACD bearish crossover and is below EMA20/EMA50. DGE is below all three EMAs and 29.0% off its high. ULVR printed a MACD bearish crossover even while still holding above its EMA20 and EMA50 - that is the early warning, not yet the breakdown.



EVENTS CALENDAR

Monday 13 July - Trading statements: Grafton Group, Oxford Nanopore, PageGroup. No major macro release scheduled.
Tuesday 14 July - US CPI (14:30 UK) - the week's biggest macro print for risk appetite. UK trading statements: Ashmore, Hunting, Robert Walters, Watches of Switzerland, IntegraFin. Full-year results: BRCK Group, Sosandar.
Wednesday 15 July - ANTOFAGASTA (ANTO) Q2 production report - the only name in our 40-stock universe reporting this week, and the key read-across for the entire weak mining complex. Also: Barratt Redrow FY results (consensus ~17,200-17,800 completions, ~GBP 541m underlying PBT, +11% yoy), Cohort, Ferrexpo, Galliford Try.
Friday 17 July - EU CPI (June, consensus 3.2% to 2.8% yoy).
UK macro: the ONS release schedule for UK CPI and labour-market data this week could not be confirmed from a reliable source at the time of writing - check the ONS release calendar directly before positioning around it. I would rather flag the gap than guess a date.

Ex-dividend dates for the tracked universe were not verifiable from a reliable source this morning and are therefore omitted rather than guessed.



WHAT I AM ACTUALLY WATCHING

The single cleanest structural read: financials lead, resources lag, and that split has been consistent enough to trade with rather than against. STAN and HSBA are the highest-quality longs on the board, and both want a pullback rather than a chase. VOD is the loudest chart in the universe and also the one most likely to punish a late entry - the POC at 111.35 is the level that settles it. On the short side, RTO is the freshest technical break and RIO the strongest trend, but RIO needs the EMA200 at 6646.92 to give way before it is worth committing.

Biggest caveat: outside VOD, participation is thin. Breakouts on rv below 0.35 fail more often than they run. Trade smaller than the setups suggest until volume returns.


Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Friday 10 July 2026
Data: close 09 Jul 2026 (latest scanner snapshot) | UKX cash 10,472.45 (-0.16%) | Futures ~10,425 (opened 10,393, soft open)



MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 closed Thursday 09 Jul at 10,472.45, down 16.59 points (-0.16%) - a laggard versus a firmer Europe. The whole story was AstraZeneca, which slumped ~9% (our feed close -7.2% to 13,222) after the CARDIO-TTRansform Phase III trial of its gene-silencer with Ionis failed its primary cardiovascular endpoint, wiping roughly GBP19bn of value. Miners did the offsetting work: Anglo American, Antofagasta, Glencore and Rio all rallied hard.

Futures point to a soft open: the UK-100 future is trading around 10,425 (opened 10,393, session range 10,353-10,437), a shade below Thursday's cash close - no fresh catalyst, just Astra's weight still on the tape. Source: Investing.com UK-100 future, BBN Times / Sunday Guardian close reports. NOTE: levels below are the 09 Jul close snapshot, not live intraday.



NOTABLE CHANGES (day over day)
AZN - the big one: RSI -14.1pts, crossed BELOW EMA20, EMA50 and EMA200 in one session, MACD bearish crossover, dropped below POC, heavy volume (rv=2.0). Week -8.64%.
BAE - crossed BELOW EMA20, -4.0%, now below all EMAs. Third down day, week -6.67%.
BATS - crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50, MACD bearish (note: ex-dividend 09 Jul, 61.26p - part of the drop is mechanical).
GSK - crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50.
NG - crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50.
RIO - crossed ABOVE EMA200, +2.6%, RSI 31 (deeply oversold bounce).
STAN - crossed ABOVE EMA20, +3.4%, sits 2.5% off its 52-week high.
AAL - RSI surged +9.3pts, +5.7%. GLEN - RSI +12pts, +4.2%. RR. - crossed back ABOVE EMA20.



SECTOR HEATMAP
Miners BULLISH (day): AAL +5.7%, ANTO +5.4%, GLEN +4.2%, RIO +2.6% - a coordinated bounce, though all four remain below their EMA20/50 (still repairing).
Banks BULLISH: STAN +3.4%, HSBA +2.4%, NWG +2.0%, BARC +2.2%, LLOY +1.4% - the strongest structural sector, all above every EMA.
Pharma BEARISH: AZN -7.2%, GSK -1.1% (fresh EMA breaks), REL and DGE weak.
Energy soft: BP -2.0% (below all EMAs), SHEL -1.3% (mixed, below EMA50).
Defence: BAE -4.0% - broke down, now below all EMAs.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS
BULLISH (above all EMAs): STAN, HSBA, NWG, BARC, LLOY, RR., ABF, ADM, AV, BNZL, HLN, INF, LGEN, TSCO.
Above 20/50 but below EMA200 (recovering): III, RKT, ULVR, EXPN.
MIXED: SHEL (>20 <50 >200), SSE (>20 <50 >200), RTO (>20 <50 >200), CPG (<20 >50 >200), PRU (>20 <50 <200), LSEG (>20 <50 <200), WPP (>20 <50 <200).
Below 20/50, above EMA200: AAL, ANTO, GLEN, RIO, GSK, NG, BATS.
BEARISH (below all EMAs): AZN, BAE, BP, DGE, IMB, REL, SGE, VOD.
Momentum extremes: VOD RSI 26.6 and RIO RSI 31.1 deeply oversold; ADM 68 and III 69 stretched to the upside.



TOP SWING SETUPS

STAN - continuation long (NEW)
BULLISH, above all EMAs, above POC (1938), just crossed above EMA20, 2.5% off the 52-week high (2160). RSI 58 with room.
Entry: 2106 | Stop: 2051 (below EMA20, ~1 ATR) | T1: 2160 | T2: 2200 | R:R: ~1.7 to T2

HSBA - continuation long (CONTINUING)
BULLISH, above all EMAs, above POC (1379), +2.4% on the day, RSI 58.
Entry: 1456 | Stop: 1428 (EMA20) | T1: 1478 (R2) | T2: 1520 | R:R: ~2.3 to T2

RR. - momentum long (CONTINUING)
BULLISH, reclaimed EMA20 today, well above POC (1272), RSI 57, only 6% off 52-week high.
Entry: 1438 | Stop: 1411 (EMA20) | T1: 1490 | T2: 1532 (52wH) | R:R: ~3.5 to T2

RIO - tactical oversold bounce only (NEW, counter-trend)
RSI 31, reclaimed EMA200 today, but still below EMA20/50 and far below POC (7552). Bounce trade, not a trend trade - keep it tight.
Entry: 6660 | Stop: 6560 (below prev low / EMA200) | T1: 6752 (R2) | T2: 6900 | R:R: ~2.4 to T2

AZN - avoid longs / momentum lower
Fresh break of all three EMAs on 2x volume, MACD bearish, below POC. Crash bar risks a dead-cat bounce, but structure is now BEARISH. No long until it reclaims 13,560 (EMA200).



INTRADAY SETUPS

STAN - Camarilla breakout (long): over R1 2110 aim R3 2118 then R4 2131; stop back under pivot 2095.

HSBA - pivot/range long: hold above pivot 1451 and Cam R1 1458 for a push to R2 1478; fail below 1440 (Cam S4) voids it.

AZN - Camarilla breakdown (short): under Cam S3 13,067 target S4 12,913; a reclaim of 13,170 (Cam S1) is the stop - watch for a violent bounce given the -7% bar.

RIO - Cam range bounce (long, tactical): off Cam S1 6649 / S3 6628 toward pivot 6634 then R1 6671; below 6596 (S4) stand aside.

BAE - trend continuation (short): below prev low 1845 target 1817 (classic S1) then 1786 (S2); stop back above 1876 (pivot).



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

AZN (13,222) Cam: S4 12,913 | S3 13,067 | S1 13,170 || R1 13,274 | R3 13,377 | R4 13,531 - Classic S3 12,311 / R3 13,997 - EMA20 13,912 | EMA50 13,894 | EMA200 13,560 | POC 13,782 - prev H/L 13,300 / 12,738 - 52w 15,730 / 10,178

RIO (6,660) Cam: S4 6,596 | S3 6,628 | S1 6,649 || R1 6,671 | R3 6,692 | R4 6,724 - Classic S3 6,472 / R3 6,823 - EMA20 7,153 | EMA50 7,339 | EMA200 6,646 | POC 7,552 - prev H/L 6,680 / 6,563 - 52w 9,117 / 4,332

STAN (2,106) Cam: S4 2,081 | S3 2,094 | S1 2,102 || R1 2,110 | R3 2,118 | R4 2,131 - Classic S3 2,033 / R3 2,168 - EMA20 2,051 | EMA50 1,970 | EMA200 1,739 | POC 1,938 - prev H/L 2,112 / 2,067 - 52w 2,160 / 1,266

HSBA (1,456) Cam: S4 1,441 | S3 1,449 | S1 1,454 || R1 1,458 | R3 1,463 | R4 1,471 - Classic S1 1,440 / R2 1,478 - EMA20 1,428 | EMA50 1,389 | EMA200 1,238 | POC 1,379 - 52wH 1,653

BAE (1,848) Cam: S4 1,798 | S3 1,823 | S1 1,840 || R1 1,856 | R3 1,873 | R4 1,898 - Classic S3 1,727 / R3 1,998 - EMA20 1,902 | EMA50 1,939 | EMA200 1,938 | POC 1,960 - prev H/L 1,936 / 1,846 - 52w 2,360 / 1,581



BEARISH WARNINGS
AZN - fresh triple-EMA breakdown on heavy volume; trend now down, do not catch it until 13,560 reclaimed.
BAE - just lost EMA20 and now sits below all EMAs; 3-day losing streak, momentum lower.
GSK - lost EMA20 and EMA50 today; pharma weakness spreading beyond Astra.
NG - lost EMA20 and EMA50; utilities softening.
VOD - RSI 26.6, below all EMAs and 12% below POC - oversold but a falling knife, no long signal yet.
BP - below all EMAs, RSI 43, ~21% off the 52-week high.



EVENTS CALENDAR
Ex-dividend: BATS went ex-div 09 Jul (61.26p, pay 14 Aug) - explains part of yesterday's drop. SSE ex-div 23 Jul.
Watch the UK macro calendar this week for GDP and industrial/manufacturing production prints (ONS) - check Investing.com / ONS release calendar for exact timing.
Corporate: US Q2 bank earnings kick off mid-July and set the tone for STAN, HSBA, BARC, LLOY, NWG.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Thursday 09 July 2026
Data: close 08 Jul 2026 (latest scanner snapshot, 40 FTSE names) · UKX cash: ~10,680s · Futures: ~10,425 (IG/Investing, front contract — see roll note)



MARKET OVERVIEW
Working off the close of 08 July scanner (today's feed not yet posted at run time). The constituent tape was firmly RISK-OFF: banks and miners sold hard while oil majors bucked the move. Miners led the fall — RIO -4.9%, AAL -5.9%, ANTO -6.4%, GLEN -3.4% — as the dollar firmed. Banks all red: STAN -4.1%, NWG -3.7%, BARC -3.6%, LLOY -2.8%, HSBA -2.3%. The offsetting bid was in energy: BP +3.0% and SHEL +2.2%, both on a firmer crude backdrop.

Futures note: the front FTSE future (~10,425) screens well below the cash index (~10,680) — this is largely the quarterly contract dividend discount / roll, NOT a 250-point directional gap. Treat direction as broadly cautious given the negative breadth, not crashing. Published aggregate index summaries for the day conflicted with the constituent tape, so lean on the scanner breadth (clearly negative) rather than a single index print.



NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day)
RIO — Crossed BELOW EMA200, -4.9%, week -8.1%. Trend break.
BAE — Crossed BELOW EMA50 AND EMA200 AND POC. Triple breakdown.
INF — RSI -15.2 pts, below EMA20, MACD bearish cross, 4-day down streak.
LGEN — RSI -16.9 pts, MACD bearish cross.
AV — RSI -17.2 pts (sharpest RSI drop on the board).
WPP — -5.8%, below EMA20 AND EMA50. Fresh sector-leader breakdown.
BP — RSI +8.1 pts, reclaimed EMA20, MACD BULLISH cross, +3%, 5-day up streak.
SHEL — Week +5.8%, RSI week +19.1 pts. Standout relative strength.



SECTOR HEATMAP
Miners — WEAK: RIO, AAL, ANTO, GLEN all down 3-6% together; RIO lost EMA200.
Banks — WEAK: STAN, NWG, BARC, LLOY, HSBA all red 2-4%, several MACD bearish crosses.
Insurers — SOFTENING: LGEN, AV, PRU all with sharp RSI drops.
Media — WEAK: WPP, INF, REL all breaking below EMAs.
Energy — STRONG: BP and SHEL the only clear green, both reclaiming key MAs.
Defensives — MIXED: ULVR, ADM, BNZL, RKT holding above near-term EMAs; DGE broke down.



DAILY SIGNALS (selected)
ADM 3648 · BULLISH (above all) · RSI 66 · MACD+ · -1.7% from 52w high
ULVR 4623 · BULLISH (above 20/50) · RSI 61 · MACD+ rising
SHEL 3078 · MIXED (>20, <50, >200) · RSI 55 (+6) · reclaiming
BP 489 · MIXED (>20, <50, <200) · RSI 46 (+ · MACD bull cross
RKT 5031 · BULLISH (above 20/50) · RSI 61 · MACD+ strong
HSBA 1420 · MIXED (<20, >50, >200) · RSI 51 (-9) · below EMA20 today
RIO 6491 · BEARISH (below all) · RSI 23 oversold · MACD-- · lost EMA200
VOD 9780 · BEARISH (below all) · RSI 27 oversold · MACD-
WPP 252 · BEARISH (below all) · RSI 45 · fresh below EMA20/50
REL 2392 · BEARISH (below all) · RSI 47 · below EMA20/50 today
GLEN 491 · BEARISH (below 20/50) · RSI 27 oversold
AAL 3398 · BEARISH (below 20/50) · RSI 33 · -19.8% from 52w high



TOP SWING SETUPS

BP — LONG (NEW)
Fresh EMA20 reclaim, MACD bullish cross, +3%, 5-day up streak, oil bid. Trigger is a close back above EMA200 (492).
Entry: 490-492 · Stop: 481 (below Cam S4 / prev low) · T1: 502 (classic R2) · T2: 511 (EMA50) · R:R: ~1.3 to T1, ~2.3 to T2
Confluence: EMA200 490 + Cam R1 490 cluster. POC well above at 531 = medium-term target if it runs.

ADM — LONG (CONTINUING)
Only name BULLISH above ALL EMAs with RSI 66 and rising MACD, coiling 1.7% under its 52w high. Breakout play.
Entry: 3712 (break of 52w high 3710) · Stop: 3616 (Cam S3) · T1: 3814 (classic R3) · T2: 3900 · R:R: ~1.1 to T1, ~2.0 to T2
Above POC 3370 with room. Clean structure — one of the few genuine strength setups on the board.

SHEL — LONG (CONTINUING)
Best relative strength on the index (week +5.8%). Above EMA20 and EMA200; needs to reclaim EMA50 (3090) to open air above.
Entry: 3090 (break of EMA50) · Stop: 3025 (prev low) · T1: 3157 (classic R3) · T2: 3220 · R:R: ~1.0 to T1, ~2.0 to T2
Confluence: EMA50 3090 sits right at Cam R3 zone — a clean reclaim is the signal.

ULVR — LONG (CONTINUING)
Above EMA20/50, RSI 61, strong MACD. EMA200 (4686) is the ceiling to clear.
Entry: 4630 hold, add over 4686 · Stop: 4558 (classic S2) · T1: 4686 (EMA200) · T2: 4740 (classic R3) · R:R: ~0.8 to T1, ~1.6 to T2
Well above POC 4298 — trend intact while above EMA20.

RIO — SHORT / AVOID LONGS (NEW breakdown)
Crossed BELOW EMA200 today, -4.9%, week -8.1%. BUT RSI 23 is deeply oversold — chase shorts with caution; better as rally-sell.
Entry: sell rallies into 6585 (pivot) · Stop: 6660 (above EMA200 reclaim) · T1: 6390 (Cam S1 / prev low) · T2: 6095 (classic S3) · R:R: ~2.6 to T1
rv 1.23 = genuine selling. Oversold bounce risk is real — do not short into the hole.



INTRADAY SETUPS

BP — Camarilla breakout LONG
Above Cam R1 490 and EMA200 492 opens Cam R3/R4.
Entry: 492.2 · Stop: 487.7 (Cam S1) · T1: 494.9 (prev high) · T2: 496.5 (Cam R4)

ADM — Camarilla breakout LONG
Momentum through Cam R4 3712 (aligns with 52w high).
Entry: 3712 · Stop: 3637 (Cam S1) · T1: 3760 · T2: 3814

RIO — oversold Camarilla bounce LONG (counter-trend)
RSI 23, sat on Cam S1. Bounce play only, tight risk.
Entry: 6465 · Stop: 6329 (Cam S4) · T1: 6520 (Cam R1) · T2: 6585 (pivot)

WPP — Camarilla breakdown SHORT
Below Cam S3 248 with fresh EMA20/50 loss.
Entry: 247.9 · Stop: 253.8 (Cam R1) · T1: 243.5 (Cam S4) · T2: 241.5 (classic S2)

VOD — oversold bounce LONG (counter-trend)
RSI 27, at Cam S1. Scalp only.
Entry: 9767 · Stop: 9702 (Cam S4) · T1: 9819 (Cam R3) · T2: 9860 (prev high)



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

BP 489 — Cam: S4 481.6 · S3 485.3 · S1 487.8 || R1 490.2 · R3 492.7 · R4 496.5 — Classic: S3 468 · S1 482 · R1 495 · R3 509 — EMA20 489 · EMA50 512 · EMA200 492 · POC 531 — prevH/L 495/481

SHEL 3078 — Cam: S4 3046 · S3 3062 · S1 3073 || R1 3083 · R3 3094 · R4 3110 — Classic: S3 2983 · S1 3041 · R1 3099 · R3 3157 — EMA20 3002 · EMA50 3090 · EMA200 3002 · POC 3153 — prevH/L 3083/3025

ADM 3648 — Cam: S4 3584 · S3 3616 · S1 3637 || R1 3659 · R3 3680 · R4 3712 — Classic: S3 3466 · S1 3582 · R1 3698 · R3 3814 — EMA20 3514 · EMA50 3410 · EMA200 3237 · POC 3370 — prevH/L 3682/3566 · 52wH 3710

RIO 6491 — Cam: S4 6329 · S3 6410 · S1 6464 || R1 6518 · R3 6572 · R4 6653 — Classic: S3 6095 · S1 6390 · R1 6685 · R3 6980 — EMA20 7205 · EMA50 7367 · EMA200 6646 · POC 7566 — prevH/L 6779/6484

ULVR 4623 — Cam: S4 4583 · S3 4603 · S1 4617 || R1 4630 · R3 4644 · R4 4664 — Classic: S3 4516 · S1 4591 · R1 4665 · R3 4740 — EMA20 4510 · EMA50 4439 · EMA200 4686 · POC 4298 — prevH/L 4674/4600



BEARISH WARNINGS (fresh breakdowns)
RIO — lost EMA200 today (watch for oversold bounce first).
BAE — lost EMA50, EMA200 AND POC in one session.
WPP — lost EMA20 and EMA50; -5.8%.
REL — lost EMA20 and EMA50; already below EMA200.
DGE — lost EMA20, EMA50 and POC.
HSBA / STAN — below EMA20 with MACD bearish crossovers.
SGE — lost EMA20, -4%, deep below all MAs (-39% from 52w high).



EVENTS CALENDAR
UK monthly GDP (May) is due mid-July (~11th) — the week's key domestic macro. US CPI and Fed commentary remain the dominant external driver for miners/financials. Check the dividend calendar for any FTSE ex-div dates landing this week before sizing income names. No major tracked-stock earnings flagged in the snapshot.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Wednesday 08 July 2026
Data: close Tue 7 Jul (latest scanner snapshot, 40 FTSE names) · UKX: ~10,663 (+0.13%, near a 4-month high) · Futures: UK 100 future 10,425 (Investing.com) - trades well below cash, consistent with a quarterly contract-roll / dividend discount, NOT a directional gap. Morning tone: modestly positive (banks and defensives expected firm).



MARKET OVERVIEW
UKX closed Tuesday around 10,663, up 0.13%, holding near four-month highs. Energy led: Shell +2-3% after guiding Q2 gas trading profits significantly higher, BP +1.4%, helped by crude spiking on fresh attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Miners were the drag: Anglo American, Antofagasta, Rio Tinto and Fresnillo all fell 2-5%. Domestically the Lloyds (Halifax) house price index rose +0.2% in June, the first gain in four months on easing mortgage rates. Key event risk today: FOMC minutes at 19:00 UK.



NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day)
SHEL - RSI surged +11.5 to 48.5, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA200, MACD BULLISH cross, +3.4%. Energy reversal on the Q2 trading update. NEW.
WPP - +4.4%, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50, MACD BULLISH cross. Week +9.3%, RSI +17.9 pts on the week.
DGE - +3.5%, RSI +9.3 to 55.8, crossed ABOVE EMA20/EMA50 and ABOVE POC.
ABF - +3.8%, RSI +9.9 to 57.7, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA200.
LSEG - crossed ABOVE EMA200, 5-day up streak, week +7.7%.
AAL - -4.6%, crossed BELOW EMA50. ANTO - -3.5%, crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50. Miners breaking down together.
RR. - -3.7%, RSI dropped 13.3 pts to 60.7 (still BULLISH trend, sharp pullback).
BARC - RSI dropped 9 pts to 61.2, MACD BEARISH crossover within an uptrend.



SECTOR HEATMAP
Energy - RECOVERING: SHEL fresh EMA20/200 reclaim on rv 1.1, BP +1.4% but still below all EMAs (rv 1.23). Oil supply risk is the catalyst.
Miners - BEARISH: AAL, ANTO, RIO (RSI 29.3), GLEN (RSI 32.0) all below EMA20/50 and below POC. The whole complex moved down together - clearest weak sector.
Banks - BULLISH but cooling: LLOY, BARC, STAN, NWG, HSBA all above all EMAs, but every one closed red Tue and RSIs fell 5-9 pts. Digestion, not breakdown.
Insurers - BULLISH, extended: AV RSI 75.4, LGEN 72.3, both on 5-day up streaks. Chase risk is high.
Defensives/Staples - RECOVERING: DGE, ABF, ULVR (crossed above EMA200), TSCO, CPG all rallied together - rotation into laggards.
Pharma - BULLISH: AZN +1.9%, GSK +1.0%, HLN crossed above EMA200.
Defence - MIXED: BAE -2.7% and RR. -3.7% pullbacks after strong weeks; both still above all EMAs.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS
Above all EMAs (BULLISH):
LLOY 113.85 RSI 68.6 (-6.9 d/d) · MACD bull · -1.9% off 52wH · above POC
BARC 516.1 RSI 61.2 (-9.0 d/d) · MACD bear cross · -2.9% off 52wH
STAN 2126 RSI 64.1 · MACD bull · -1.6% off 52wH
NWG 677.8 RSI 67.3 (-5.7 d/d) · MACD bull · -3.9% off 52wH
HSBA 1453.4 RSI 60.1 · MACD bull · -12.1% off 52wH
AV 676 RSI 75.4 · MACD bull · -3.5% off 52wH · overbought
LGEN 293.1 RSI 72.3 · MACD bull · -2.3% off 52wH · overbought
ADM 3614 RSI 63.8 · MACD bull · -2.6% off 52wH
AZN 14364 RSI 58.0 · MACD bull · -8.7% off 52wH
GSK 2003 RSI 57.1 · MACD bull · -12.2% off 52wH
HLN 365.4 RSI 68.9 (+6.0 d/d) · MACD bull · fresh EMA200 reclaim
BAE 1971 RSI 57.5 (-7.6 d/d) · MACD bull · pullback day
RR. 1447.8 RSI 60.7 (-13.3 d/d) · MACD bull · -5.5% off 52wH · sharp pullback
BATS 4636 RSI 52.9 · MACD bull · fresh EMA20 reclaim
BNZL 2668 RSI 64.3 · MACD bull · -1.7% off 52wH
INF 906.4 RSI 69.7 · MACD bull · thin volume rv 0.36
SSE 2477 RSI 57.2 · MACD bull · rv 0.98
NG 1247.5 RSI 53.9 (+5.5 d/d) · MACD bull · fresh EMA20/50 + POC reclaim
TSCO 470 RSI 56.4 · MACD bull · above POC
ULVR 4689 RSI 66.5 (+6.5 d/d) · MACD bull · fresh EMA200 reclaim
ABF 1970 RSI 57.7 (+9.9 d/d) · MACD still bear · fresh EMA20/200 reclaim · rv 1.16
LSEG 9034 RSI 58.6 · MACD bull · fresh EMA200 reclaim · below POC 9049
CPG 3250 RSI 51.7 (+5.8 d/d) · MACD still bear · fresh EMA20 reclaim
Above 20/50, below EMA200 (recovering):
WPP 267.8 RSI 54.6 · MACD bull cross · -42.5% off 52wH · at POC 267.85
DGE 1564.5 RSI 55.8 · MACD still bear · above POC · EMA200 1646 overhead
EXPN 2701 RSI 63.0 · MACD bull · 5-day streak
III 2624 RSI 68.2 · MACD bull
REL 2461 RSI 55.0 (+9.6 d/d) · MACD bull · fresh EMA20/50 reclaim · below POC
RKT 5194 RSI 73.6 · MACD bull · EMA200 5249 just overhead · overbought
Mixed:
SHEL 3011 above EMA20 (2994) and EMA200 (3001), below EMA50 (3090) · RSI 48.5 (+11.5 d/d) · MACD bull · rv 1.1
RTO 452 above EMA20/200, below EMA50 · RSI 55.8 (+5.5 d/d) · rv 1.44 heaviest volume in the book
PRU 1030 above EMA20, below EMA50/200 · RSI 51.3
SGE 845 above EMA20, below EMA50/200 · RSI 52.9
Below 20/50 (BEARISH):
AAL 3610 RSI 40.6 (-7.6 d/d) · fresh EMA50 break · below POC
ANTO 3768 RSI 44.7 · fresh EMA20+50 break · below POC
RIO 6825 RSI 29.3 · oversold · below POC 7584
GLEN 508.5 RSI 32.0 · below POC · thin rv 0.51
Below all EMAs (BEARISH):
BP 474.55 RSI 38.2 · but +1.4% Tue on rv 1.23 · watch for follow-through
VOD 98.64 RSI 27.9 · deeply oversold · below POC 111.93
IMB 2775 RSI 49.5 · MACD bull · very thin rv 0.35
EMA classifications re-verified programmatically vs close: 0 mismatches.



TOP SWING SETUPS
1. SHEL - Long, energy reversal (NEW)
Fresh reclaim of EMA20 and EMA200 with an +11.5 pt RSI surge, MACD bullish cross and rv 1.1, backed by the Q2 gas-trading guidance and Hormuz oil-supply risk. EMA20 (2994) / EMA200 (3001) now support confluence.
Entry: 3011-3020 · Stop: 2950 (1x ATR 59.75, below the EMA cluster) · T1: 3090 (EMA50) · T2: 3159 (POC) · R:R: 1.3 / 2.4
2. DGE - Long, base breakout (NEW)
Crossed above EMA20, EMA50 and POC (1521) in one session, RSI 55.8 and rising, week +5.3%. Room to the 200-day at 1646.
Entry: 1565 · Stop: 1520 (below POC/EMA20, ~1x ATR 44.87) · T1: 1622 (R2) · T2: 1646-1654 (EMA200/R3) · R:R: 1.3 / 2.0
3. ABF - Long, EMA200 reclaim (NEW)
+3.8% on rv 1.16 with a fresh EMA20 + EMA200 reclaim, RSI +9.9 to 57.7. MACD still bearish - the laggard confirmation, so keep the stop honest.
Entry: 1970 · Stop: 1919 (1x ATR 50.68, below Cam S4 1925) · T1: 2035 (R2) · T2: 2084 (R3) · R:R: 1.3 / 2.2
4. LSEG - Long, trend resumption (CONTINUING)
5-day up streak, +7.7% on the week, fresh close above EMA200 (9018). POC 9049 sits right overhead - a close above it clears the last confluence lid.
Entry: 9050 (above POC) · Stop: 8890 (below Tue low 8900 / Cam S4 8923) · T1: 9326 (R3) · T2: 9500 · R:R: 1.7 / 2.8
5. AAL - Short, miner breakdown (NEW)
-4.6% with a fresh EMA50 break, below POC 3789, RSI 40.6 and falling; whole mining complex confirmed lower. Sell strength into the pivot.
Entry: 3640-3650 (pivot 3645 retest) · Stop: 3745 (~1x ATR 132.76 above entry) · T1: 3502 (S2) · T2: 3412 (S3) · R:R: 1.5 / 2.4



INTRADAY SETUPS
1. LLOY - Pivot/S1 bounce long
Closed on the day low 113.85 within a strong uptrend (above all EMAs). Buy the dip into S1.
Entry: 113.20-113.85 · Stop: 112.75 (below Cam S4 112.81) · T1: 114.48 (pivot) · T2: 115.12 (R1) · Direction: long
2. SHEL - Camarilla breakout long
Momentum continuation: a push through Cam R4 confirms the reversal day.
Entry: 3061 (above Cam R4 3060.78) · Stop: 3035 (below Cam R3) · T1: 3078 (R2) · T2: 3135 (R3) · Direction: long
3. BARC - Pivot rejection short
MACD bearish cross and a 9-pt RSI drop; fade a weak bounce into the pivot.
Entry: 520-521 (pivot 521.17 rejection) · Stop: 524.60 (above Cam R4 524.46) · T1: 514.71 (Cam S1) · T2: 511.03 (S1) · Direction: short
4. RIO - Camarilla range fade long (counter-trend)
RSI 29.3 oversold; range play only, small size - the daily trend is down.
Entry: 6782 (Cam S3) · Stop: 6735 (below Cam S4 6739) · T1: 6839 (Cam R1) · T2: 6868 (Cam R3) · Direction: long
5. ANTO - Breakdown continuation short
Fresh EMA20+50 break; sell a failed bounce.
Entry: 3810-3830 (Cam R3 3817 zone rejection) · Stop: 3870 (above Cam R4 3862) · T1: 3730 (S1 area) · T2: 3680 · Direction: short



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
LLOY 113.85 · Cam: S4 112.81 · S3 113.33 · S1 113.68 || R1 114.02 · R3 114.37 · R4 114.90 · Classic: S3 111.32 / R3 117.02 · EMA20 108.93 · EMA50 104.41 · EMA200 96.18 · POC 101.42 · PrevH/L 115.75/113.85 · 52w 116/74.4
SHEL 3011 · Cam: S4 2961 · S3 2986 · S1 3003 || R1 3019 · R3 3036 · R4 3061 · Classic: S3 2864 / R3 3135 · EMA20 2994 · EMA50 3090 · EMA200 3001 · POC 3159 · PrevH/L 3021.5/2931 · 52w 3591.5/2553.8
RR. 1447.8 · Cam: S4 1417 · S3 1433 · S1 1443 || R1 1453 · R3 1463 · R4 1478 · Classic: S3 1371 / R3 1537 · EMA20 1409 · EMA50 1334 · EMA200 1199 · POC 1270.7 · PrevH/L 1493.8/1438.4 · 52w 1532.6/968.2
AZN 14364 · Cam: S4 14162 · S3 14263 · S1 14330 || R1 14398 · R3 14465 · R4 14566 · Classic: S3 13789 / R3 14893 · EMA20 13958 · EMA50 13908 · EMA200 13556 · POC 13835 · PrevH/L 14478/14110 · 52w 15730/10178
BARC 516.1 · Cam: S4 507.74 · S3 511.92 · S1 514.71 || R1 517.49 · R3 520.28 · R4 524.46 · Classic: S3 495.83 / R3 541.43 · EMA20 501.94 · EMA50 475.74 · EMA200 432.06 · POC 457.5 · PrevH/L 531.3/516.1 · 52w 531.3/336.05



BEARISH WARNINGS
ANTO - FRESH break below EMA20 and EMA50 yesterday, -3.5%, below POC. Highest-priority breakdown.
AAL - FRESH break below EMA50, -4.6%, below POC 3789. Sector-wide confirmation.
BARC - FRESH MACD bearish crossover with RSI -9 pts; trend intact but momentum cracked - tighten stops on longs.
RR. - RSI collapsed 13.3 pts on a -3.7% day. Uptrend intact above EMA20 1409, but the air is thin near 52w highs.
RIO / GLEN - RSI 29.3 / 32.0, both below EMA20/50 and POC. Oversold bounces are for fading until EMAs are reclaimed.
VOD - Below all EMAs, RSI 27.9, 24.8% off the 52w high. No edge long yet.
BP - Still below all EMAs despite the oil pop; needs EMA20 488.76 back before the SHEL trade reads across.



EVENTS CALENDAR
Wed 8 Jul - FOMC minutes 19:00 UK (main macro risk today).
Shell Q2 trading statement is already out (Tue) - full Q2 results due later in July.
Busy UK reporting tail this week: ~12 companies Wed, ~30 Thu, ~43 Fri on the LSE calendar - check individual names before holding through prints.
Watch: UK monthly GDP and US CPI both land mid-July; oil headlines from the Strait of Hormuz remain a live driver for SHEL/BP.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Tuesday 7 July 2026 — Pre-Market
Data: close Mon 6 Jul 2026 (latest scanner snapshot, pre-open) || UKX cash ~10,700 || Front future 10,425 (dividend-discount roll, not directional)


MARKET OVERVIEW
FTSE 100 sits just below record territory — cash closed near 10,673-10,729 on Mon 6 Jul (+0.19% to +0.47%), up ~3.6% on the month. Banking, mining and energy led the early-July grind higher.

Futures note: the front future prints ~10,425, about 270 pts BELOW cash. That is the dividend-discount on a far-dated/rolled quarterly contract, NOT a gap down. Bias into the open is NEUTRAL-to-FIRM. Holiday-thinned liquidity means intraday whip.

Scanner universe (40 names): 23 BULLISH (above all EMAs), 10 BEARISH (below all), 7 MIXED. Leadership in banks and defence; weakness in energy and fresh staples breakdowns.


NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day)
LSEG — crossed ABOVE EMA50, 5-day up streak, week +7.75%, RSI +17 pts. Reversal building.
BAE — week +10.07%, RSI +23 pts, MACD crossing up. Fresh momentum.
ABF — RSI -9.5, crossed BELOW EMA20, week -5.41% (trading update).
HLN — crossed BELOW EMA200, RSI -8.9. Trend broken.
IMB — crossed BELOW EMA20 and POC. Fresh breakdown.
NG — crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50. Fresh breakdown.
DGE — crossed BELOW EMA50 and POC. CPG — below EMA20, RSI -8.5.
ANTO — crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50 (miner turning up).


SECTOR HEATMAP
Banks — BULLISH: LLOY, BARC, STAN, NWG, HSBA all above all EMAs; 5-day streaks; STAN/LLOY at 52w highs.
Defence/Aero — BULLISH: BAE +10% wk, RR. RSI 74 near 52H.
Insurers — FIRM: LGEN, AV, ADM strong; PRU mixed.
Pharma — FIRM: AZN, GSK bullish; HLN just lost EMA200.
Miners — MIXED: ANTO turning up; AAL mixed; RIO & GLEN bearish.
Energy — BEARISH: SHEL RSI 37, BP RSI 34, both below all EMAs.
Consumer staples — MIXED: ULVR, BNZL, TSCO firm; DGE, IMB, ABF breaking down.
Media/Info — MIXED: INF, EXPN, III, LSEG firm; REL & WPP bearish.


TOP SWING SETUPS
1. LSEG — NEW long (reversal) — BULLISH
Entry: 8810 or pullback EMA20 8586 · Stop: 8500 · T1: 9018 (EMA200) · T2: 9049 (POC) · R:R: ~1.5-2.0
Crossed above EMA50; EMA200/POC cluster overhead is the target zone. MACD still negative — needs follow-through.

2. BAE — NEW long (momentum) — BULLISH
Entry: 2018-2025 (break prev high 2037) · Stop: 1940 · T1: 2093 · T2: 2140 · R:R: ~1.5
+10% on the week, MACD crossing up. EMA50/200 (1942/1939) stacked as support; POC 1972 = pullback buy.

3. STAN — CONTINUING long (52w-high breakout) — BULLISH
Entry: above 2148 · Stop: 2099 · T1: 2193 · T2: 2220 · R:R: ~1.3
Close equals 52w high with bank-sector tailwind. RSI 68 extended — take the clean breakout, do not chase.

4. RR. — CONTINUING long — BULLISH
Entry: pullback 1480 or break above 1510 · Stop: 1457 · T1: 1532 (52H) · T2: 1547 · R:R: ~1.2
RSI 74, only ~1.7% below all-time high. Tight risk required.

5. ADM — CONTINUING long — BULLISH
Entry: 3616 or pullback POC 3360 · Stop: 3470 · T1: 3710 (52H) · T2: 3789 · R:R: ~1.3


INTRADAY SETUPS
STAN — Camarilla breakout (LONG)
Entry: above R1 2150.59 · Stop: 2138 · T1: 2156.82 · T2: 2166.17 · Trend-aligned breakout above 52w high.

RR. — Camarilla breakout (LONG)
Entry: above R1 1508.51 · Stop: 1497 · T1: 1513.94 · T2: 1522.08 · Momentum continuation toward 52H.

SHEL — Camarilla breakdown (SHORT)
Entry: below S3 2903.56 · Stop: 2915 · T1: 2894.63 · T2: 2882 · BEARISH, RSI 37, below POC.

BP — oversold Cam bounce (LONG scalp)
Entry: 465-466 (Cam S1/S3) · Stop: 462 · T1: 466.72 · T2: 468.04 · RSI 33.6 oversold; counter-trend, keep tight.

LSEG — Camarilla range (LONG off support)
Entry: 8730 (S1) or 8586 (EMA20) · Stop: 8500 · T1: 8890 · T2: 9050 · Buy dips within the reversal.


KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
LSEG close 8810
Cam: S4 8329.3 · S3 8569.6 · S1 8729.9 || R1 8890.1 · R3 9050.4 · R4 9290.7
Classic: S3 7593 · Piv 8999 · R3 10215 EMA20 8586 · EMA50 8798 · EMA200 9018 POC 9049
Prev H/L 9530/8656 · 52w H/L 10990/6684

BAE close 2018.5
Cam: S4 1990.2 · S3 2004.3 · S1 2013.8 || R1 2023.2 · R3 2032.7 · R4 2046.8
Classic: S3 1939 · Piv 2014 · R3 2093 EMA20 1898 · EMA50 1942 · EMA200 1939 POC 1972
Prev H/L 2037/1985.5 · 52w H/L 2360/1581

STAN close 2147.47
Cam: S4 2128.8 · S3 2138.1 · S1 2144.3 || R1 2150.6 · R3 2156.8 · R4 2166.2
Classic: S3 2091 · Piv 2136 · R3 2193 EMA20 2038 · EMA50 1954 · EMA200 1728 POC 1925
Prev H/L 2148/2114 · 52w H/L 2148/1225

RR. close 1505.8
Cam: S4 1489.5 · S3 1497.7 · S1 1503.1 || R1 1508.5 · R3 1513.9 · R4 1522.1
Classic: S3 1458 · Piv 1499 · R3 1547 EMA20 1405 · EMA50 1329 · EMA200 1197 POC 1268
Prev H/L 1510/1480.4 · 52w H/L 1532.6/959.4

SHEL close 2912.5
Cam: S4 2894.6 · S3 2903.6 · S1 2909.5 || R1 2915.5 · R3 2921.4 · R4 2930.4
Classic: S3 2859 · Piv 2903 · R3 2956 EMA20 2992 · EMA50 3093 · EMA200 3001 POC 3170
Prev H/L 2914.5/2882 · 52w H/L 3591.5/2550.5


BEARISH WARNINGS (fresh breakdowns first)
ABF — lost EMA20 today. Update: Primark Q3 LFL -2.2%, Sugar now guided to a 25-60m operating loss on higher gas costs, Citi on negative-catalyst watch. Below EMA20 (1922) and EMA200 (1954). Rallies into 1922 are sells unless reclaimed.
IMB — fresh break below EMA20 and POC. Watch 2777 as resistance.
NG — fresh loss of EMA20 and EMA50; POC 1248 gone too.
HLN — just lost EMA200; trend integrity broken.
DGE — lost EMA50 and POC; -29.6% from 52H, persistent staples weakness.
SHEL / BP / RIO / GLEN / VOD — all bearish, RSI 25-37. VOD (25.6) and BP (33.6) deeply oversold — prone to sharp bounces, but no reversal yet.


EVENTS THIS WEEK
ABF Q3 trading update already digested (-3%); watch broker follow-through. Quiet UK macro start — BoE speakers and ONS releases via the diary. Routine FTSE ex-dividends land Thursday (can distort apparent gaps). Energy soft on Brent; miners oversold watching China; banks in a clear uptrend.


Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.