FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups

Monday 23 March 2026
Data: Close 20 March | UKX: 9,918 | Futures: 9,785 (-1.3%)



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 closed Friday at 9,918.33, down 145 points (-1.44%) in a bruising session that saw broad-based selling across every sector. The index has now fallen 9% from its 52-week highs. Monday futures are trading around 9,785 (source: Barchart/Investing.com), pointing to a further -1.3% gap lower at the open. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are escalating, oil prices are rising, and expectations of BoE rate hikes are weighing heavily on risk appetite. This week brings key UK data: Flash PMIs (Tuesday) and February CPI (Wednesday) -- both potential volatility catalysts.

Verdict: BEARISH. Futures confirm continuation of Friday's sell-off. Expect defensive positioning with potential for further downside.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)

These are the most significant moves from Thursday to Friday -- the stocks that demand attention today:

BP -- RSI dropped 11.6 pts, big move: -3.6%, heavy volume (rv=1.6). Despite being above all EMAs, this is a sharp reversal from near 52-week highs.

SSE -- RSI dropped 8.6 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20, big move: -3%, heavy volume (rv=3.3), week: -5.3%. Utility giant breaking down after strong run.

NG (National Grid) -- Big move: -3.1%, heavy volume (rv=3., week: -9.1%, RSI week: -24.6 pts. Massive weekly decline -- utilities under siege from rate hike fears.

AAL (Anglo American) -- Crossed BELOW EMA200, big move: -3%, heavy volume (rv=1., week: -8%. A bearish structural breakdown.

IMB (Imperial Brands) -- Crossed BELOW EMA200, heavy volume (rv=2), 4-day down streak, week: -6%. Another EMA200 breakdown -- this is a significant change in character.

ANTO (Antofagasta) -- Big move: -4%, heavy volume (rv=1., week: -10.7%. Miners crushed.

III (3i Group) -- Heavy volume (rv=3.7), week: -8%, RSI 30.5 approaching oversold. Closed at 52-week low.

GSK -- Heavy volume (rv=1.7), 5-day down streak. Relentless selling in pharma.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG
- Energy (Oil): SHEL and BP remain above all EMAs. SHEL overbought (RSI 77. near 52-week highs. BP pulled back -3.6% but structure still bullish. Rising oil prices are a tailwind but the sharp BP drop warrants caution.

MIXED
- Defence/Aerospace: BAE above all EMAs but MACD just crossed bearish, down -2.5%. Trend intact but momentum fading.
- Mining: GLEN above all EMAs (RSI 53.6), but RIO below 20/50 (RSI 32.. Sector split -- copper names holding better than iron ore.
- Financials: LSEG above 20/50 (bull, RSI 56.2). HSBA below 20/50 (RSI 33.9). Banks diverging.

WEAK
- Consumer Staples: ULVR (OS, RSI 26.1), DGE (OS, RSI 29.6), BATS (RSI 42.7, 4-day down streak), RKT (OS, RSI 22.2). All below all EMAs except BATS (above EMA200). Consumer facing a wall of selling.
- Pharma/Healthcare: AZN (RSI 34., GSK (RSI 31.9, 5-day down streak). Both below 20/50 EMAs.
- Tech/Data: REL (below all, RSI 46.4, MACD bearish crossover), EXPN (below all, RSI 42.8, MACD bearish crossover). III at 52-week lows.
- Utilities: NG (RSI 31.3, -9% week), SSE crossed below EMA20. Rate hike fears punishing the sector.
- Consumer Goods: CPG (below all, RSI 37.2, -7.9% week). Defensive names not defending.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS

Ticker | Trend | RSI | MACD | Chg% | %52wH | POC | RV

SHEL | Bull (above all) | 77.8 OB | Bull | -0.78 | -1.6% | Above | 2.43
BP | Bull (above all) | 69.5 (RSI -11.6) | Bull | -3.58 | -3.6% | Above | 1.63
BAE | Bull (above all) | 56.5 | Bull Fading | -2.51 | -4.7% | Above | 1.49
ADM | Bull (above all) | 62.7 | Bull | -1.53 | -13.0% | Above | 5.37
GLEN | Bull (above all) | 53.6 | Bull Fading | +0.37 | -4.8% | Above | 3.58
LSEG | Bull (above 20/50) | 56.2 | Bull | +0.51 | -27.2% | Above | 1.18
AZN | Bear (below 20/50) | 34.8 | Bear | -1.53 | -11.7% | Below | 1.28
HSBA | Bear (below 20/50) | 33.9 | Bear | -2.34 | -18.9% | Below | 2.13
RR. | Bear (below 20/50) | 37.0 | Bear | -2.44 | -18.2% | Below | 1.25
RIO | Bear (below 20/50) | 32.8 | Bear | -1.45 | -17.3% | Below | 2.01
BATS | Bear (below 20/50) | 42.7 | Bear | -1.01 | -7.7% | Below | 1.56
GSK | Bear (below 20/50) | 31.9 | Bear | -0.28 | -14.5% | Below | 1.69
NG | Bear (below 20/50) | 31.3 | Bear | -3.07 | -13.7% | Below | 3.78
ULVR | Bear (below all) | 26.1 OS | Bear | +0.47 | -16.8% | Below | 1.95
REL | Bear (below all) | 46.4 | Bull Fading | -0.72 | -40.4% | Below | 0.87
CPG | Bear (below all) | 37.2 | Bear | +0.38 | -23.2% | Below | 1.02
III | Bear (below all) | 30.5 | Bear | -2.28 | -39.9% | Below | 3.66
DGE | Bear (below all) | 29.6 OS | Bear | -0.14 | -36.8% | Below | 2.25
RKT | Bear (below all) | 22.2 OS | Bear | -0.82 | -21.8% | Below | 1.45
EXPN | Bear (below all) | 42.8 | Bear | -0.75 | -35.5% | Below | 1.08



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS


1. ADM (Admiral Group) -- Bullish Breakout Continuation

ADM is above all three EMAs with strong bullish MACD, RSI at 62.7 (healthy momentum). Massive volume (rv=5.37) confirms institutional interest. Price pulled back to close at 3,208 after hitting 3,286 high. The pullback toward EMA20 (3,116) is a buy-the-dip opportunity within a confirmed uptrend.

Entry: 3,180-3,210 (EMA20 zone) Stop: 3,095 (below EMA200 at 3,089) T1: 3,286 (Friday high) T2: 3,340 R:R: 1:1.6
Status: CONTINUING -- ADM has been above all EMAs for multiple sessions. The heavy volume confirms conviction.


2. LSEG -- Bull Above 20/50 with Pivot Support

LSEG closed at 8,662, above EMA20 (8,515) and EMA50 (8,426) but below EMA200 (9,063). MACD is bullish, RSI at 56.2 with room to run. POC at 8,325 provides a strong floor. The setup is a continuation long above the 20/50 cluster with a target toward the psychological 9,000 level.

Entry: 8,550-8,600 (retest of EMA20) Stop: 8,400 (below EMA50) T1: 8,838 (Classic R2) T2: 9,063 (EMA200) R:R: 1:1.8
Status: CONTINUING -- has held above the 20/50 zone for several sessions.


3. RKT (Reckitt) -- Oversold Mean Reversion

RSI at 22.2 is deeply oversold. Below all EMAs and in a confirmed downtrend, but the rubber band is extremely stretched -- price is 9.4% below EMA20. A 4-day down streak on declining relative volume (rv=1.45 vs 3.7 for III) suggests selling pressure is waning. Classic S1 at 5,056 provides a potential floor. Half size only -- this is counter-trend.

Entry: 5,050-5,096 (at Classic S1) Stop: 4,930 (below Classic S3) T1: 5,364 (EMA9) T2: 5,637 (EMA20) R:R: 1:2.1
Status: NEW -- RSI just hit extreme oversold this session. Half position size.


4. ULVR (Unilever) -- Oversold Bounce Watch

RSI at 26.1 is deeply oversold, below all EMAs, but the Friday candle closed green (+0.47%) after hitting a low of 4,588. This tiny green candle after extended selling could be the first sign of exhaustion. POC at 5,017 is far above -- this would be a mean reversion scalp only toward EMA9 (4,779). Volume heavy (rv=1.95) on a green day is encouraging.

Entry: 4,575-4,596 (at Cam S3/current level) Stop: 4,494 (below Classic S3) T1: 4,779 (EMA9) T2: 4,932 (EMA20) R:R: 1:1.9
Status: NEW -- just reached extreme oversold. Counter-trend, half size.



INTRADAY SETUPS


1. GLEN -- Camarilla Range Fade Long

GLEN is above all EMAs (bull trend) and closed right at 520.10, above EMA20 (517.54). The Camarilla S3-R3 range is tight (514.57 to 525.63), ideal for a range-fade setup. Direction: LONG from Cam S3.

Entry: 514.6 (Cam S3) Stop: 509.0 (below Cam S4) T1: 520 (mid-range/pivot) T2: 525.6 (Cam R3) R:R: 1:2.0
Why: Daily trend bullish (above all EMAs), POC at 493 well below (price in value acceptance zone above). Heavy volume (rv=3.58) confirms the recent advance.


2. ADM -- Pivot Bounce Long

ADM closed at 3,208, just below the Classic Pivot at 3,234. If price dips toward Classic S1 (3,182) at the open (futures pointing lower), a bounce long from S1 with the daily bull trend is high-probability.

Entry: 3,182-3,186 (Classic S1/Cam S3) Stop: 3,156 (Classic S2) T1: 3,234 (Pivot) T2: 3,260 (Classic R1) R:R: 1:2.2
Why: Bull above all EMAs, strong MACD, massive volume day (rv=5.37 -- institutional). Buying the dip with trend.


3. III -- Camarilla S4 Breakdown Short

III closed at 2,701 -- its 52-week low. Below all EMAs with RSI at 30.5. Cam S4 sits at 2,627.58. If Monday opens with further selling (futures -1.3%), a break below Cam S4 signals a trend day to the downside.

Entry: 2,625 (break of Cam S4) Stop: 2,665 (above Cam S3) T1: 2,570 T2: 2,523 (Classic S3) R:R: 1:1.6
Why: Bear trend on all timeframes, heavy volume (rv=3.66), 52-week low close. Momentum is firmly with the sellers.


4. NG -- Pivot Rejection Short

NG closed at 1,233 after a -3.1% drop on massive volume (rv=3.78). The Classic Pivot sits at 1,247. If price bounces to the pivot and gets rejected, it's a short back toward 1,208 (Classic S1).

Entry: 1,245-1,248 (Classic Pivot rejection) Stop: 1,272 (above Classic R1) T1: 1,208 (Classic S1) T2: 1,184 (Classic S2) R:R: 1:2.0
Why: Bearish daily trend (below 20/50), RSI 31.3 and falling, heavy volume on the selloff. Utilities are being sold aggressively on rate hike fears.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

ADM (3,208)
Cam: S4 3165 - S3 3187 - S1 3201 || R1 3215 - R3 3229 - R4 3251
Classic: S3 3104 - S2 3156 - S1 3182 | Pivot 3234 | R1 3260 - R2 3312 - R3 3338
EMAs: 9: 3214 - 20: 3116 - 50: 3031 - 200: 3090
POC: 2963 | Prev H/L: 3286/3208 | 52w H/L: 3686/2624

GLEN (520.1)
Cam: S4 509 - S3 514.6 - S1 518.3 || R1 521.9 - R3 525.6 - R4 531.2
Classic: S3 489 - S2 498.2 - S1 509.1 | Pivot 518.3 | R1 529.2 - R2 538.4 - R3 549.3
EMAs: 9: 520.8 - 20: 517.5 - 50: 494.7 - 200: 409.0
POC: 493.0 | Prev H/L: 527.4/507.3 | 52w H/L: 546.5/205.0

III (2,701)
Cam: S4 2628 - S3 2664 - S1 2689 || R1 2713 - R3 2738 - R4 2774
Classic: S3 2523 - S2 2612 - S1 2657 | Pivot 2746 | R1 2790 - R2 2879 - R3 2924
EMAs: 9: 2888 - 20: 3010 - 50: 3163 - 200: 3524
POC: 3182 | Prev H/L: 2835/2701 | 52w H/L: 4497/2701

NG (1,233)
Cam: S4 1198 - S3 1216 - S1 1227 || R1 1239 - R3 1250 - R4 1268
Classic: S3 1146 - S2 1184 - S1 1209 | Pivot 1247 | R1 1272 - R2 1310 - R3 1335
EMAs: 9: 1314 - 20: 1329 - 50: 1296 - 200: 1169
POC: 1285 | Prev H/L: 1286/1223 | 52w H/L: 1429/950

RKT (5,096)
Cam: S4 5030 - S3 5063 - S1 5085 || R1 5107 - R3 5129 - R4 5162
Classic: S3 4936 - S2 5016 - S1 5056 | Pivot 5136 | R1 5176 - R2 5256 - R3 5296
EMAs: 9: 5365 - 20: 5637 - 50: 5890 - 200: 5736
POC: 6068 | Prev H/L: 5216/5096 | 52w H/L: 6514/4579



BEARISH WARNINGS

III (3i Group) -- 52-Week Low, Institutional Selling
Closed at 2,701 -- its 52-week low. Below all EMAs, RSI 30.5, MACD deeply bearish, and massive volume (rv=3.66) confirming distribution. No support until psychological 2,500. Avoid longs.

DGE (Diageo) -- Death Spiral Continues
RSI 29.6 (oversold), below all EMAs, down -36.8% from 52-week high. MACD bearish with no sign of crossover. Week: -0.14% but this is not stabilisation -- heavy volume (rv=2.25) on tiny moves shows grinding distribution.

RKT (Reckitt) -- Most Oversold in the Scanner
RSI 22.2 is extreme. Below all EMAs, 4-day down streak, -21.8% from 52-week high. While a bounce is possible (see mean reversion setup), the trend is unambiguously down. Do not try to catch this falling knife with full size.

AAL (Anglo American) -- JUST Broke Below EMA200
Crossed below EMA200 on Friday on heavy volume (rv=1. with a -3% move. This is a structural breakdown that changes the long-term outlook from bullish to bearish. Week: -8%. Miners under pressure from global growth fears.

IMB (Imperial Brands) -- EMA200 Breakdown
Also crossed below EMA200 on heavy volume (rv=2), 4-day down streak, week: -6%. Similar structural breakdown to AAL. The consumer staples safety trade is not working in this rate-hike environment.

REL (RELX) -- MACD Bearish Crossover, Below All EMAs
Fresh MACD bearish crossover. Below all EMAs including EMA200 (3,090 vs close 2,494 -- a 19% gap). Down -40.4% from 52-week high. No bottom formation visible.



EVENTS CALENDAR

- Tuesday 24 March: UK Flash PMIs (Manufacturing & Services) for March -- key for gauging economic momentum
- Wednesday 25 March: UK CPI (February) -- consensus watching for signs inflation is re-accelerating
- Thursday 26 March: Heavy earnings day globally (165 reports). Check for FTSE 100 constituents reporting
- Friday 27 March: FTSE quarterly review effective date (index rebalancing)

Key theme this week: If UK CPI comes in hot on Wednesday, it will reinforce rate hike expectations and likely extend the sell-off, particularly in rate-sensitive sectors (utilities, consumer staples, REITs). A cooler CPI could trigger a relief rally in oversold names.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Friday 20 March 2026
Data: Close 19 March | UKX: ~10,063 | Futures: ~10,425 (+3.6%)



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 closed at approximately 10,063 on Wednesday 19 March, down 241 points (2.3%) in a brutal session driven by Iran's attacks on energy infrastructure in Qatar and Kuwait. Brent crude spiked to $118 intraday before settling around $114-116. European gas prices surged 24%. The Bank of England held rates at 3.75% unanimously but turned hawkish, warning inflation could reach 3.5% in Q3 due to energy costs.

Futures are indicating a strong bounce this morning at ~10,425 (+3.6%), suggesting dip-buyers are stepping in after two consecutive down days totalling over 370 points. However, geopolitical risk remains elevated with the Strait of Hormuz situation unresolved.

Key macro drivers today: BoE rate hold digestion, oil price volatility (Brent ~$114-116), Iran-Gulf conflict developments, Spring Forecast downgraded UK growth outlook.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)

These are the stocks that changed most significantly from 18 March to 19 March and demand attention today:

NWG (NatWest) -- RSI dropped 11.6 pts, crossed BELOW EMA200, -8.0% daily move, heavy volume (rv=1., week -6.94%. Severe breakdown on massive volume.

STAN (Standard Chartered) -- RSI dropped 8.6 pts, crossed BELOW EMA200, -6.9% daily move. Banking sector under heavy pressure from geopolitical risk.

AV (Aviva) -- RSI dropped 10.4 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20, EMA50 AND EMA200, MACD bearish crossover, -4.4%, heavy volume (rv=1.7). Total technical collapse in a single session.

BNZL (Bunzl) -- RSI dropped 14.3 pts (largest RSI drop in the scanner), crossed BELOW EMA20, MACD bearish crossover, -4.1%. Sharp momentum reversal.

ANTO (Antofagasta) -- -5.7% daily, week -7.04%. Mining sector crushed by risk-off sentiment despite commodity prices.

NG (National Grid) -- RSI dropped 9.4 pts, crossed BELOW EMA50 and POC, -3.7%, week -6.19%, RSI week -19.2 pts. Defensive utility not defending.

BP -- The lone bright spot: +4.9% daily, 4-day up streak, week +7.94%. Oil producers are the only sector benefiting from the energy crisis. (Not in current scanner but flagged in comparison data.)

ABF (Associated British Foods) -- RSI dropped 8.3 pts, -3.1%, heavy volume (rv=1.6). Hit fresh 52-week low at 1802.5.



SECTOR HEATMAP

BANKING -- WEAK
NWG -8.0%, STAN -6.9%, BARC -4.4%, LLOY -3.9%. Entire sector collapsed together on geopolitical risk and BoE hawkishness. All below EMA20 and EMA50. NWG and STAN both broke below EMA200 on this move.

MINING -- WEAK
ANTO -5.7%, AAL -4.6%, RIO flagged -4.9% in comparison. Risk-off selling despite commodity prices being supported. All below EMA20/50.

INSURANCE/FINANCIALS -- WEAK
AV -4.4%, LGEN -3.3%, PRU -0.2%. AV collapsed through all three EMAs. LGEN below all. PRU below 20/50 but holding above 200.

CONSUMER -- WEAK
ABF -3.1% (52-week low), TSCO -2.2%, IMB -1.2%. ABF in structural decline below all EMAs. TSCO just slipped below EMA20.

TELECOMS/MEDIA -- MIXED
VOD -1.4%, WPP -0.8%, SGE +0.3%. WPP at 52-week low territory. SGE showing relative strength with MACD bear recovering.

UTILITIES/ENERGY -- MIXED
SSE -1.2% but still above all EMAs (the best-positioned stock in the scanner). NG -3.7% breaking down. Oil producers (BP not in scanner) are surging.

DEFENCE/INDUSTRIALS -- RELATIVELY STRONG
RTO -3.1% but still above all EMAs. Defence names likely to bounce with geopolitical tension.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS

BULLISH (Above all EMAs)
SSE -- 2653 | RSI 53.3 Neutral | MACD Bull fading | -7.2% from 52wH | Above POC | -1.2%
RTO -- 468.2 | RSI 51.4 Neutral | MACD Bullish | -5.2% from 52wH | Above POC | -3.1%

BEARISH (Below 20/50, above 200)
LLOY -- 92.78 | RSI 36.2 Weak | MACD Bearish | -19.0% from 52wH | Below POC | -3.9%
PRU -- 1068 | RSI 41.4 Weak | MACD Bearish | -13.7% from 52wH | Below POC | -0.2%
HLN -- 379.2 | RSI 45.9 Weak | MACD Bearish | -9.6% from 52wH | Below POC | -1.8%
AAL -- 2957 | RSI 32.6 Weak | MACD Bearish | -23.7% from 52wH | Below POC | -4.6%
ANTO -- 3273 | RSI 35.9 Weak | MACD Bearish | -26.9% from 52wH | Below POC | -5.7%
VOD -- 107.65 | RSI 42.5 Weak | MACD Bearish | -11.0% from 52wH | Below POC | -1.4%
IMB -- 3090 | RSI 41.8 Weak | MACD Bearish | -7.5% from 52wH | Below POC | -1.2%

BEARISH (Below ALL EMAs)
BARC -- 381.6 | RSI 32.9 Weak | MACD Bearish | -24.6% from 52wH | Below POC | -4.4%
STAN -- 1517.5 | RSI 33.7 Weak | MACD Bearish | -21.1% from 52wH | Below POC | -6.9%
NWG -- 533.6 | RSI 31.0 Weak | MACD Bearish | -24.4% from 52wH | Below POC | -8.0%
LGEN -- 241.3 | RSI 36.7 Weak | MACD Bearish | -13.7% from 52wH | Below POC | -3.3%
AV -- 619.6 | RSI 41.5 Weak | MACD Bearish | -11.6% from 52wH | Below POC | -4.4%
SGE -- 839.6 | RSI 46.4 Weak | MACD Bear recovering | -37.1% from 52wH | Below POC | +0.3%
ABF -- 1802.5 | RSI 32.5 Weak | MACD Bearish | -23.6% from 52wH | Below POC | -3.1%
WPP -- 225.5 | RSI 32.8 Weak | MACD Bearish | -64.4% from 52wH | Below POC | -0.8%
INF -- 742 | RSI 29.7 OS | MACD Bearish | -25.8% from 52wH | Below POC | -2.8%

MIXED
TSCO -- 475.8 (below 20, above 50/200) | RSI 50.4 Neutral | MACD Bull fading | -6.3% from 52wH | Above POC | -2.2%
BNZL -- 2200 (below 20, above 50, below 200) | RSI 49.5 Weak | MACD Bull fading | -28.9% from 52wH | Above POC | -4.1%



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS

1. SSE -- Bullish Dip-Buy at EMA20 Support

The strongest stock in the scanner. SSE remains above all three EMAs despite the broader sell-off. Price pulled back to test EMA20 (2651) and held. RSI at 53.3 is neutral with room to run. MACD is above zero but fading -- needs a bounce here to reset.

Setup: NEW -- price just touched EMA20 support today
Entry: 2650-2660 (at EMA20) . Stop: 2575 (below EMA50 2532) . T1: 2730 . T2: 2860 (52wH) . R:R: 1:1.9
Why: Above all EMAs, above POC (2505), defensive utility with energy exposure, relative strength in a weak market.


2. RTO (Rentokil) -- Bullish Continuation Above All EMAs

RTO still above all three EMAs (barely -- EMA20 at 467.32, close at 468.2). RSI 51.4 neutral, MACD bullish above zero. The -3.1% drop today was broad market-driven, not stock-specific. Close is above POC (461.1).

Setup: CONTINUING -- was bullish, testing EMA20
Entry: 467-470 (at EMA20) . Stop: 455 (below EMA50 458.58) . T1: 485 . T2: 494 (near 52wH) . R:R: 1:1.5
Why: Only stock with MACD bullish and above all EMAs. Tight risk with EMA support cluster.


3. NWG (NatWest) -- Mean Reversion Bounce (Counter-Trend, Half Size)

NWG dropped 8% in a single session on heavy volume (rv=1., the largest daily drop in the scanner. RSI at 31.0 is approaching oversold. Price smashed through EMA200 (570.58) to close at 533.6. This is a potential capitulation candle. Futures pointing +3.6% suggests a bounce attempt.

Setup: NEW -- capitulation move today, mean reversion candidate
Entry: 535-540 (on opening bounce confirmation) . Stop: 520 (below yesterday's low 527.2) . T1: 570 (EMA200) . T2: 587 (EMA20) . R:R: 1:2.3
Why: Extreme RSI reading, heavy volume capitulation, mean reversion to EMA200. HALF SIZE -- counter-trend.


4. AV (Aviva) -- Mean Reversion After Triple-EMA Breakdown (Counter-Trend, Half Size)

AV crossed below all three EMAs in a single session, which is rare. RSI dropped 10.4 points to 41.5 with MACD bearish crossover. Heavy volume (rv=1.7) confirms institutional selling. However, the EMA200 is at 635.75 and price closed at 619.6 -- a potential bounce zone given the extreme nature of the move.

Setup: NEW -- triple-EMA breakdown, wait for stabilisation
Entry: 620-625 (only on green candle confirmation) . Stop: 605 (below yesterday's low 614.94) . T1: 636 (EMA200) . T2: 640 (EMA20) . R:R: 1:1.5
Why: Massive single-day move through all EMAs is often overextended. HALF SIZE -- counter-trend.



INTRADAY SETUPS

With futures pointing +3.6%, expect a gap-up open. Focus on stocks that were most oversold yesterday for the strongest bounces, but be cautious of gap-and-fade patterns.

1. LLOY -- Pivot Bounce Long

Direction: LONG
Entry: 93.27 (classic pivot) . Stop: 91.13 (S1) . Target: 94.91 (R1) . R:R: 1:0.8
Cam: S4 90.70 . S3 91.74 . S1 92.43 || R1 93.13 . R3 93.82 . R4 94.86
Why: If LLOY opens near yesterday's close (92.78), it sits just below pivot. A reclaim of 93.27 targets R1. RSI 36.2 has room to bounce. Tight Cam range (91.74-93.82) suggests range-fade day.


2. NWG -- Camarilla S3 Bounce (Mean Reversion)

Direction: LONG
Entry: 527-527.06 (Cam S3 / yesterday's low) . Stop: 520.51 (Cam S4) . Target: 537.27 (pivot) . R:R: 1:1.6
Cam: S4 520.51 . S3 527.06 . S1 531.42 || R1 535.78 . R3 540.15 . R4 546.69
Why: Price closed near Cam S3. Heavy volume selloff (rv=1. with RSI 31.0 near oversold. A bounce from S3 towards pivot is the classic Camarilla range-fade trade. If it breaks S4, bail -- it is a trend day down.


3. STAN -- Camarilla Breakdown Watch

Direction: SHORT (if Cam S4 breaks) / LONG (if S3 holds)
Breakout Entry: Below 1480.65 (Cam S4) . Stop: 1499 (above Cam S3) . Target: 1422 (Classic S3) . R:R: 1:3.2
Fade Entry: 1499.08 (Cam S3) . Stop: 1480.65 (Cam S4) . Target: 1527 (pivot) . R:R: 1:1.5
Cam: S4 1480.65 . S3 1499.08 . S1 1511.36 || R1 1523.64 . R3 1535.93 . R4 1554.35
Why: STAN dropped 6.9% and broke below EMA200. If it gaps up with futures and reclaims S3, fade towards pivot. If it continues selling through S4, it is a trend-day short.


4. BARC -- Classic S1 Bounce

Direction: LONG
Entry: 373.77 (Classic S1) . Stop: 365.93 (S2) . Target: 383.18 (pivot) . R:R: 1:1.2
Cam: S4 372.11 . S3 376.86 . S1 380.02 || R1 383.18 . R3 386.34 . R4 391.09
Why: BARC at 381.6 is near pivot (383.18). If it pulls back to S1 on any early weakness, the bounce towards pivot and R1 is the play. RSI 32.9 is stretched.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

NWG (NatWest) -- 533.6
Cam: S4 520.51 . S3 527.06 . S1 531.42 || R1 535.78 . R3 540.15 . R4 546.69
Classic: S3 499.73 . S2 513.47 . S1 523.53 || Pivot 537.27 || R1 547.33 . R2 561.07 . R3 571.13
EMAs: 9-day 571.54 . 20-day 586.65 . 50-day 606.07 . 200-day 570.58
POC: 619.37 | Prev Low: 527.20 | Prev High: 551.00 | 52wH: 705.40 | 52wL: 380.60

STAN (Standard Chartered) -- 1517.5
Cam: S4 1480.65 . S3 1499.08 . S1 1511.36 || R1 1523.64 . R3 1535.93 . R4 1554.35
Classic: S3 1421.67 . S2 1459.83 . S1 1488.67 || Pivot 1526.83 || R1 1555.67 . R2 1593.83 . R3 1622.67
EMAs: 9-day 1603.55 . 20-day 1662.30 . 50-day 1718.56 . 200-day 1552.18
POC: 1748.41 | Prev Low: 1498.00 | Prev High: 1565.00 | 52wH: 1924.00 | 52wL: 872.80

SSE -- 2653
Cam: S4 2624.95 . S3 2638.98 . S1 2648.33 || R1 2657.68 . R3 2667.03 . R4 2681.05
Classic: S3 2577.33 . S2 2603.67 . S1 2628.33 || Pivot 2654.67 || R1 2679.33 . R2 2705.67 . R3 2730.33
EMAs: 9-day 2681.61 . 20-day 2651.42 . 50-day 2532.64 . 200-day 2154.44
POC: 2505.59 | Prev Low: 2630.00 | Prev High: 2681.00 | 52wH: 2859.89 | 52wL: 1468.00

LLOY (Lloyds) -- 92.78
Cam: S4 90.70 . S3 91.74 . S1 92.43 || R1 93.13 . R3 93.82 . R4 94.86
Classic: S3 87.35 . S2 89.49 . S1 91.13 || Pivot 93.27 || R1 94.91 . R2 97.05 . R3 98.69
EMAs: 9-day 95.83 . 20-day 97.87 . 50-day 99.32 . 200-day 90.08
POC: 101.68 | Prev Low: 91.62 | Prev High: 95.40 | 52wH: 114.60 | 52wL: 60.78

RTO (Rentokil) -- 468.2
Cam: S4 461.60 . S3 464.90 . S1 467.10 || R1 469.30 . R3 471.50 . R4 474.80
Classic: S3 452.20 . S2 460.20 . S1 464.20 || Pivot 472.20 || R1 476.20 . R2 484.20 . R3 488.20
EMAs: 9-day 474.11 . 20-day 467.32 . 50-day 458.58 . 200-day 422.50
POC: 461.10 | Prev Low: 468.20 | Prev High: 480.20 | 52wH: 493.90 | 52wL: 306.00



BEARISH WARNINGS

INF (Informa) -- RSI 29.7 OVERSOLD
Below all three EMAs. RSI is the lowest in the scanner at 29.7 (oversold). MACD deeply bearish. -25.8% from 52-week high. Price at 742 vs EMA200 at 860 -- structurally broken. Avoid longs.

WPP -- RSI 32.8, -64.4% from 52wH
Below all EMAs with the widest gap to 52-week high in the scanner. WPP at 225.5 vs 52wH of 632.8 is a stock in structural decline. Fresh 52-week low at 222. Do not try to catch this knife.

ABF -- Fresh 52-Week Low at 1802.5
Close = Day's low = 52-week low. RSI 32.5, below all EMAs, heavy volume (rv=1.6). No support visible until well below current levels. Avoid.

AV (Aviva) -- Triple EMA Breakdown
Crossed below EMA20, EMA50 AND EMA200 in a single session. MACD bearish crossover on heavy volume. This was institutional distribution. Any bounce is likely to be sold into at the EMA200 (635.75).

NWG and STAN -- EMA200 Breakdowns on Heavy Volume
Both banks broke below their 200-day EMAs on big moves. NWG closed at 533.6 vs EMA200 570.58 (-6.5% below). STAN at 1517.5 vs EMA200 1552.18 (-2.2% below). These are significant technical events that typically take weeks to recover from.



EVENTS CALENDAR

- 19 March: Bank of England held at 3.75% -- hawkish tone, inflation warning to 3.5%
- Ongoing: Iran-Gulf conflict -- Strait of Hormuz disruption, Qatar LNG capacity hit 17%
- This week: UK Spring Forecast -- growth downgraded for 2026, unemployment to peak this year
- Watch: Brent crude trajectory -- trading $114-118. If Hormuz stays closed, further energy price spikes expected
- Watch: Market pricing BoE rate HIKE by September on surging energy costs



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Thursday 19 March 2026
Data: Close 18 March | UKX: ~10,304 | Futures: ~10,425 (+0.2%)



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 closed at approximately 10,304 on Wednesday 18 March, down 0.96% on the session. The index is recovering from the selloff linked to the US-Israel conflict in Iran, posting its third consecutive session of gains into Thursday morning. Futures indicate a modestly higher open around 10,425 (+0.2%), with the index clawing back losses.

Key macro backdrop: The UK Spring Forecast has downgraded 2026 GDP growth, with inflation now expected to hit 3% by year-end due to energy price pressures from the Iran situation. Oil remains elevated but pulled back slightly, weighing on Shell and BP. Sterling dropped against both the euro and dollar after weak economic data. Bank of England rate decisions remain data-dependent -- markets are watching closely.

Source: IG / Investing.com futures data; LiveCharts.co.uk macro context.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)

These are the stocks that CHANGED most since yesterday -- the most actionable signals:

CPG -- RSI dropped 12.9 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50, MACD bearish crossover, -4.5% on the day. Week: -5.54%, RSI down 16.8 pts on the week. Major breakdown.

BATS -- RSI dropped 9.3 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50, MACD bearish crossover, -3.6%. Consumer staples getting hammered.

III -- Big move: -4.8% on HEAVY volume (rv=1.6). This is institutional selling, not noise. Near 52-week lows.

WPP -- Big move: -4.1%. Hit a fresh 52-week low at 224.3. Advertising sector in freefall.

ULVR -- Big move: -3.4%. Now oversold at RSI 28.7. Below all EMAs.

NG -- RSI dropped 11 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20. Utilities weakness despite defensive reputation.

AV -- Crossed ABOVE EMA50, MACD bullish crossover. The only bullish standout in today's comparison data.

IMB -- Crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50. Consumer staples sector-wide weakness.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG
- Energy (Oil): SHEL +0.36% pullback but still Bull above all EMAs, RSI 82.3 OB. BP +0.71%, Bull above all, RSI 76.3 OB. Both at/near 52-week highs. Iran conflict driving energy prices. GLEN +0.32%, Bull above all.
- Defence: BAE -0.04% flat but Bull above all EMAs, RSI 67.8, near 52-week highs. Geopolitical tailwind.
- Business Services: ADM -0.18% but Bull above all, RSI 73.9 OB. RTO -0.23%, Bull above all. BNZL -0.43%, Bull above 20/50.

NEUTRAL/MIXED
- Financials: Mixed picture. LSEG Bull above 20/50. LLOY, BARC, NWG, STAN all Bear below 20/50 -- banking sector lagging. PRU -2.24% on heavy volume (rv=2.39), Bear below 20/50.
- Telecoms: VOD -1.75%, crossed below EMA20. Mixed trend.
- Insurance: AV crossed above EMA50 (bullish crossover), but HLN -2.23%.

WEAK
- Consumer Staples: ULVR -3.43% (Bear below all, OS), BATS -3.57% (crossed below 20/50), IMB -2.74% (crossed below 20/50), DGE -1.65% (Bear below all). Sector-wide capitulation.
- Consumer Packaged: CPG -4.54% (Bear below all), RKT -1.88% (Bear below all, OS). Devastating sector weakness.
- Mining: RIO -1.39% (crossed below EMA50), AAL -1.18% (Bear below 20/50), ANTO -2.61% (Bear below 20/50). Commodity weakness despite oil strength.
- Media/Tech: WPP -4.09% fresh 52-week low (Bear below all), SGE -2.61% (crossed below EMA20), REL -2.47% (crossed below EMA50), III -4.8% (Bear below all, heavy volume).



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE

Bull (above all EMAs):
SHEL: RSI 82.3 OB - MACD Bullish - -0.7% from 52wH - ch -0.36% - Above POC
BP: RSI 76.3 OB - MACD Bullish - -0.7% from 52wH - ch +0.71% - Above POC
BAE: RSI 67.8 - MACD Bullish - -1.3% from 52wH - ch -0.04% - Above POC
ADM: RSI 73.9 OB - MACD Bullish - -10.6% from 52wH - ch -0.18% - Above POC
GLEN: RSI 56.9 - MACD Bull fading - -3.8% from 52wH - ch +0.32% - Above POC
TSCO: RSI 59.2 - MACD Bull fading - -4.3% from 52wH - ch -0.98% - Above POC
SSE: RSI 57.3 (down 8.5 from yest) - MACD Bull fading - -6.1% from 52wH - ch -2.11% - Above POC
HLN: RSI 49.8 - MACD Bearish - -7.9% from 52wH - ch -2.23% - Above POC
AV: RSI 51.9 - MACD Bear recovering (BULLISH crossover today) - -7.5% from 52wH - ch +0.12% - Below POC
RTO: RSI 58.6 - MACD Bullish - -2.1% from 52wH - ch -0.23% - Above POC

Bull (above 20/50, below 200):
LSEG: RSI 55.9 - MACD Bullish - -27.3% from 52wH - ch -2.26% - Above POC
BNZL: RSI 63.8 - MACD Bullish - -25.9% from 52wH - ch -0.43% - Above POC

Bear (below 20/50, above 200):
AZN: RSI 41.7 - MACD Bearish - -9.2% from 52wH - ch -0.87% - Below POC - rv 0.43 thin
HSBA: RSI 41.7 - MACD Bearish - -14.3% from 52wH - ch +0.17% - Below POC
RR.: RSI 47.2 - MACD Bearish - -11.6% from 52wH - ch +0.68% - Below POC
RIO: RSI 42.5 (crossed below EMA50 today) - MACD Bearish - -11.8% from 52wH - ch -1.39% - Below POC
BATS: RSI 46.2 (down 9.3 from yest) - MACD Bull fading - -6.2% from 52wH - ch -3.57% - Below POC
GSK: RSI 34.2 - MACD Bearish - -13.6% from 52wH - ch -2.01% - Below POC
LLOY: RSI 43.2 - MACD Bearish - -15.8% from 52wH - ch +0.35% - Below POC
STAN: RSI 42.3 (week +5.19%) - MACD Bearish - -15.3% from 52wH - ch +1.68% - Below POC
NWG: RSI 42.6 - MACD Bearish - -17.8% from 52wH - ch -0.28% - Below POC
PRU: RSI 41.8 (heavy vol rv=2.39) - MACD Bear recovering - -13.5% from 52wH - ch -2.24% - Below POC
AAL: RSI 37.2 - MACD Bearish - -20.1% from 52wH - ch -1.18% - Below POC
ANTO: RSI 40.4 - MACD Bearish - -22.5% from 52wH - ch -2.61% - Below POC
IMB: RSI 44.4 (crossed below 20/50 today) - MACD Bearish - -6.4% from 52wH - ch -2.74% - Below POC
NG: RSI 46.1 (down 11 from yest) - Mixed below EMA20, above 50/200 - MACD Bull fading - -7.5% from 52wH - ch -2.94% - Above POC

Bear (below all EMAs):
ULVR: RSI 28.7 OS - MACD Bearish - -14.7% from 52wH - ch -3.43% - Below POC
CPG: RSI 41.4 (down 12.9 from yest) - MACD Bull fading - -21.3% from 52wH - ch -4.54% - Below POC
III: RSI 36.7 - MACD Bearish - -36.1% from 52wH - ch -4.80% - Below POC - rv 1.61 heavy
DGE: RSI 31.5 - MACD Bearish - -35.6% from 52wH - ch -1.65% - Below POC
RKT: RSI 26.9 OS - MACD Bearish - -18.2% from 52wH - ch -1.88% - Below POC
BARC: RSI 37.6 - MACD Bearish - -21.2% from 52wH - ch +1.35% - Below POC
LGEN: RSI 42.5 - MACD Bearish - -10.7% from 52wH - ch -0.60% - Below POC
SGE: RSI 45.6 (crossed below EMA20 today) - MACD Bear recovering - -37.3% from 52wH - ch -2.61% - Below POC
ABF: RSI 40.8 - MACD Bearish - -21.2% from 52wH - ch -1.06% - Below POC
WPP: RSI 33.4 - MACD Bearish - -64.1% from 52wH - ch -4.09% - Below POC - FRESH 52wk LOW

Mixed:
REL: RSI 52.4 (above EMA20, below 50/200, crossed below EMA50 today) - MACD Bullish - -38.6% from 52wH - ch -2.47%
EXPN: RSI 49.7 (above EMA20, below 50/200) - MACD Bullish - -33.4% from 52wH - ch -1.48%
VOD: RSI 46.7 (below EMA20, above 50/200, crossed below EMA20 today) - MACD Bearish - -9.7% from 52wH - ch -1.75%
INF: RSI 34.5 - Bear below all - MACD Bearish - -23.7% from 52wH - ch +0.50%



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS


1. BP -- Bullish Continuation (CONTINUING)

Trend: Bull above all EMAs. RSI 76.3 overbought but in a strong uptrend -- OB can persist. MACD bullish above zero. Price at 555.8, just off 52-week high (559.. Iran conflict driving oil prices higher. Above POC (471.71) by a wide margin -- strong institutional accumulation.

Entry: 548-550 on pullback to classic S1 - Stop: 534 (below S2, ~1x ATR) - T1: 560 (52wH retest) - T2: 575 (R3) - R:R: 1:1.6
Confluence: 5/5 -- Trend, structure, momentum, volume, fundamental catalyst (oil/Iran)
Risk: OB RSI means a pullback is possible. Any Iran ceasefire would hit oil stocks hard.


2. ADM (Admiral) -- Bullish Continuation (CONTINUING)

Trend: Bull above all EMAs. RSI 73.9 OB. MACD strongly bullish. Price 3296, above POC (2930.63). Insurance sector benefiting from hard market.

Entry: 3276-3284 on pullback to S1/Cam S3 - Stop: 3250 (below S2) - T1: 3330 (R2) - T2: 3368 (R3) - R:R: 1:1.7
Confluence: 4/5 -- Trend, structure, momentum, POC support. Volume thin (rv 0.76).
Risk: OB condition. Low volume could mean a gap-down on any negative news.


3. AV (Aviva) -- Fresh Bullish Crossover (NEW TODAY)

Trend: Bull above all EMAs (just crossed above EMA50 today). MACD bullish crossover today. RSI 51.9 -- plenty of room to run. Price 648.4, essentially at POC (648.54) -- pivotal level.

Entry: 645-648 (current/near POC) - Stop: 632 (below EMA200 at 635.92) - T1: 660 (R2) - T2: 700 (near 52wH) - R:R: 1:3.2
Confluence: 4/5 -- Fresh EMA50 crossover, MACD bullish crossover, trend turning, at POC.
Risk: Low volume (rv 0.81). Need follow-through confirmation tomorrow.


4. ULVR (Unilever) -- Mean Reversion Long (NEW TODAY)

Trend: Bear below all EMAs. BUT RSI 28.7 = oversold. SRSI at 0. Price has dropped from 4881 to 4712 in 2 days (-3.4% today). This is stretched -- 2x ATR below EMA20. Approaching potential exhaustion.

Entry: 4695-4712 (at Cam S1 support) - Stop: 4660 (below Cam S3) - T1: 4830 (R1) - T2: 4950 (near R2/EMA area) - R:R: 1:2.3
Confluence: 3/5 -- Extreme oversold, mean reversion candidate, volume normalising (rv 1.04).
Risk: COUNTER-TREND -- half size. Bear trend could continue. Need exhaustion candle confirmation.


5. RKT (Reckitt) -- Mean Reversion Long (CONTINUING)

Trend: Bear below all EMAs. RSI 26.9 = deeply oversold. SRSI 15.4. MACD deeply bearish. Price at 5328, well below POC (6105). This is a falling knife -- but 18.2% below 52-week high with RSI this low often triggers a bounce.

Entry: 5270-5300 (S1 area) - Stop: 5200 (below S2) - T1: 5415 (R1) - T2: 5500 (R2) - R:R: 1:1.5
Confluence: 2/5 -- Only oversold RSI and structural support. COUNTER-TREND, half size.
Risk: Very weak momentum. Need a bullish candle pattern before entry. Do not front-run.



INTRADAY SETUPS


1. BAE -- Pivot Bounce Long

Bull above all EMAs. Strong daily trend. If price pulls back to classic pivot 2335 or S1 2311, look for a bounce.
Entry: 2311-2335 (S1/pivot) - Stop: 2292 (below S2) - Target: 2355-2379 (R1/R2) - Direction: LONG
Why: Trend, momentum, near 52-week highs. Defence sector geopolitical tailwind.
Cam: S4 2306 - S3 2318 - S1 2326 || R1 2334 - R3 2342 - R4 2354


2. BP -- Camarilla Range Long

Cam S3-R3 range is 552-560 -- tight relative to ATR (14.59). Favour long at Cam S3.
Entry: 552 (Cam S3) - Stop: 548 (below Cam S4) - Target: 557-560 (Cam R1/R3) - Direction: LONG
Why: Bull trend, OB RSI, tight Cam range = high probability range trade. Oil backdrop supportive.
Cam: S4 548 - S3 552 - S1 555 || R1 557 - R3 560 - R4 563


3. CPG -- Camarilla Breakdown Short

CPG broke down hard yesterday (-4.5%). If price breaks below Cam S4 (2113), this is a trend day short.
Entry: 2112-2115 (below Cam S4) - Stop: 2140 (above Cam S3) - Target: 2075-2040 (S2/S3 classic) - Direction: SHORT
Why: Bearish momentum, RSI collapsed 12.9 pts, crossed below both EMA20 and EMA50 in one session. Heavy selling pressure.
Cam: S4 2113 - S3 2138 - S1 2155 || R1 2173 - R3 2190 - R4 2215


4. III (3i Group) -- Camarilla Breakdown Short

III dropped 4.8% on heavy volume (rv=1.6). If it breaks Cam S4 (2776), that confirms trend day.
Entry: 2775-2776 (below Cam S4) - Stop: 2826 (above Cam S3) - Target: 2734-2625 (classic S2/S3) - Direction: SHORT
Why: Institutional selling (heavy volume), Bear below all EMAs, near 52-week lows (2844). Momentum is firmly down.
Cam: S4 2776 - S3 2826 - S1 2859 || R1 2892 - R3 2925 - R4 2974


5. TSCO -- Pivot Bounce Long

Bull above all EMAs. Mild pullback (-0.98%). Classic pivot at 488, S1 at 483. A bounce from S1 is high probability.
Entry: 483-485 (S1) - Stop: 479 (below S2/Cam S4) - Target: 491-496 (R1/R2) - Direction: LONG
Why: Daily trend bullish, above all EMAs and POC. Low volume (rv 0.65) means widen stops slightly.
Cam: S4 482 - S3 484 - S1 486 || R1 487 - R3 489 - R4 491



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

BP (555.
Cam: S4 548.32 - S3 552.06 - S1 554.55 || R1 557.05 - R3 559.54 - R4 563.28
Classic: S3 534 - S2 540 - S1 548 || Pivot 554 - R1 562 - R2 568 - R3 575
EMA: 9=529 - 20=508 - 50=481 - 200=444
POC: 471.71 | Prev H/L: 559.8 / 546.2 | 52w: 559.8 / 329.2

BAE (2330)
Cam: S4 2306 - S3 2318 - S1 2326 || R1 2334 - R3 2342 - R4 2354
Classic: S3 2267 - S2 2291 - S1 2311 || Pivot 2335 - R1 2355 - R2 2379 - R3 2399
EMA: 9=2284 - 20=2216 - 50=2092 - 200=1880
POC: 2066.32 | Prev H/L: 2360 / 2316 | 52w: 2360 / 1394

AV (648.4)
Cam: S4 642.68 - S3 645.54 - S1 647.45 || R1 649.35 - R3 651.26 - R4 654.12
Classic: S3 634 - S2 640 - S1 644 || Pivot 650 - R1 654 - R2 661 - R3 665
EMA: 9=641 - 20=643 - 50=648 - 200=636
POC: 648.54 | Prev H/L: 656.2 / 645.8 | 52w: 700.8 / 485.89

CPG (2164)
Cam: S4 2113 - S3 2138 - S1 2155 || R1 2173 - R3 2190 - R4 2215
Classic: S3 2040 - S2 2102 - S1 2133 || Pivot 2195 - R1 2226 - R2 2288 - R3 2319
EMA: 9=2247 - 20=2237 - 50=2246 - 200=2386
POC: 2234.60 | Prev H/L: 2257 / 2164 | 52w: 2748 / 2000

SHEL (3461.5)
Cam: S4 3437 - S3 3449 - S1 3457 || R1 3466 - R3 3474 - R4 3486
Classic: S3 3393 - S2 3413 - S1 3437 || Pivot 3457 - R1 3481 - R2 3501 - R3 3525
EMA: 9=3331 - 20=3192 - 50=3008 - 200=2793
POC: 2924.20 | Prev H/L: 3477 / 3433 | 52w: 3486 / 2269.92



BEARISH WARNINGS

WPP -- FRESH 52-WEEK LOW
Hit 224.3 -- a new 52-week low. Bear below all EMAs. RSI 33.4. MACD bearish. Down 64% from 52-week high. This is a structural decline, not a dip. Avoid.

CPG -- BREAKDOWN IN PROGRESS (NEW TODAY)
Crossed below BOTH EMA20 and EMA50 in a single session. RSI collapsed 12.9 pts. MACD bearish crossover. -4.5% on the day, -5.5% on the week. Now Bear below all EMAs with no nearby support until 2000 (52-week low).

BATS -- DOUBLE EMA BREAK (NEW TODAY)
Crossed below both EMA20 and EMA50 in one session. RSI dropped 9.3 pts. MACD bearish crossover. -3.6%. Was bullish just 2 days ago -- a sharp reversal.

III -- INSTITUTIONAL SELLING
-4.8% on heavy volume (rv=1.6). Bear below all EMAs. Near 52-week low (2844, closed 2875). When heavy volume meets new lows, that's distribution.

RKT -- DEEPLY OVERSOLD BUT NO FLOOR YET
RSI 26.9, MACD deeply negative. Bear below all EMAs. 18% below 52-week high. Could bounce but no technical floor until prior support around 5000-5100.

DGE -- NEAR 52-WEEK LOW
1427, just 7p from 52-week low (1420). Bear below all EMAs. RSI 31.5. Spirits sector remains under pressure. No sign of a bottom.

IMB -- FRESH BREAKDOWN (NEW TODAY)
Crossed below both EMA20 and EMA50 today. -2.74%. Consumer staples sector capitulating.



EVENTS CALENDAR

- Thursday 19 March: Bank of England interest rate decision (consensus: hold). US initial jobless claims. Heavy earnings calendar.
- Friday 20 March: UK retail sales data. Triple witching (options/futures expiry) -- expect elevated volatility.
- Ongoing: US-Israel conflict in Iran continues to drive oil prices and risk sentiment. Any escalation/de-escalation headlines will move markets.



SUMMARY

The market is split. Energy and defence names (SHEL, BP, BAE) remain in strong uptrends, buoyed by geopolitical risk. But consumer staples (ULVR, BATS, CPG, IMB, DGE) and consumer-facing sectors are in capitulation mode, with multiple stocks breaking below key EMAs on heavy volume. Banks are weak but holding above EMA200 for now. The best setups today are: BP and BAE for continuation longs, AV for a fresh bullish crossover, and CPG/III for short setups if they break Camarilla S4 levels. Mean reversion longs in ULVR and RKT are available for aggressive traders only -- half size, counter-trend.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Wednesday 18 March 2026
Data: Close 17 March | UKX: 10,403.60 | Futures: ~10,425 (+0.2%) | Range: 10,200-10,367



MARKET OVERVIEW

FTSE 100 closed at 10,403.60 on Tuesday, +85.9 pts (+0.8%), settling above 10,400 for the first time in a week. Futures called up ~13 pts this morning. Session has seen a wide range (10,200-10,367), futures now ~10,425.

Drivers:
- Oil softening from $100/bbl -- easing broader pressure, helping airlines & consumer stocks
- Miners & airlines rebounding -- classic relief rally from oversold conditions
- FOMC tonight + BoE tomorrow -- cautiously optimistic neither sounds excessively hawkish
- Iraq-Turkey pipeline deal easing some energy supply fears

Bias: Cautiously bullish -- support 10,200, resistance 10,400. FOMC tonight is the swing factor. Expect positioning to tighten into the afternoon.



SECTOR HEATMAP

WEAK
Banking (LLOY, BARC, NWG, STAN) -- all below EMA20/50. RSI 35-43. MACD bearish across the board.
Mining (AAL, ANTO) -- well below EMA20/50 despite above EMA200. MACD deeply bearish.
Insurance (PRU, LGEN) -- below key EMAs. PRU MACD just turned bullish (early recovery signal).

STRONG
Utilities (SSE) -- above all EMAs, RSI 65.8 -- clear sector leader.
Consumer Staples (TSCO, HLN) -- both above all EMAs with bullish RSI.
Business Services (RTO) -- above all EMAs, RSI 59.2, MACD bullish -- near 52w high.

MIXED
IMB above all EMAs but pulling back (-1.2%). VOD neutral above all EMAs. BNZL strong momentum (RSI 65.7, MACD bull) but still below EMA200 -- recovery not yet confirmed. WPP, INF deeply weak.



DAILY SIGNALS -- 20 STOCKS
Verified programmatically: every classification below confirmed by strict close vs EMA comparison.

BULL (above all EMAs)
RTO 484.50 (+0.96%) -- RSI 59.2, MACD Bull, only 1.9% from 52w high -- STRONGEST CHART
SSE 2743 (+0.96%) -- RSI 65.8, MACD flat (55.31 vs 56.05), 4.1% from 52w high
TSCO 491.20 (+0.12%) -- RSI 63.9, MACD slight bear (5.77 vs 5.99), 3.3% from 52w high
HLN 395.00 (+2.41%) -- RSI 55.4, MACD bear (-2.9 vs -2.32), closed on the highs
VOD 111.15 (+1.41%) -- RSI 52.9, MACD flat (-0.32 vs 0.19)
IMB 3215 (-1.20%) -- RSI 51.3, MACD bear cross (-2.52 vs 2.15). Pullback within uptrend -- closed on its low.

BULL (above 20/50, below 200)
BNZL 2304 (+1.50%) -- RSI 65.7, MACD Bull (43.14 vs 35.25). Strong short-term momentum BUT 2304 < EMA200 (2321.32). Recovery not confirmed until 2321 clears. Mean reversion flag: RSI 65.7 with price far above EMA20 -- stretched.

MIXED
AV 647.60 (+1.09%) -- Above EMA20 (642.08), below EMA50 (647.95), above EMA200 (635.69). RSI 51.6 neutral. Stuck between EMAs.
SGE 859.60 (+1.61%) -- Above EMA20 (842.79), below EMA50 (895.34) and EMA200 (1042.73). RSI 52.3. MACD recovering (-10.97 vs -20.52, M > S). Still structurally broken but momentum improving.

BEAR (below 20/50, above 200)
PRU 1095 (+0.46%) -- RSI 46.7. MACD just crossed bullish (-15.69 > -16.64). Earliest recovery signal in the banking/insurance group.
STAN 1603.50 (+3.45%) -- RSI 38.8. MACD bear (-59.35 vs -44.83). Biggest daily gainer but still in downtrend.
NWG 581.60 (+1.43%) -- RSI 43.1. MACD bear (-14.37 vs -13.64).
LLOY 96.20 (+1.37%) -- RSI 42.3. MACD bear (-2.04 vs -1.64).
AAL 3135 (+0.61%) -- RSI 38.5. MACD deeply bearish (-92.35 vs -41.69). Not responding to commodity prices -- red flag.
ANTO 3562 (+1.16%) -- RSI 42.8. MACD bear (-49.88 vs 22). Huge MACD divergence from signal.

BEAR (below ALL EMAs)
BARC 393.75 (+1.44%) -- RSI 35.0. 393.75 < EMA200 (405.47). Death cross confirmed. -22.2% from high.
LGEN 251.10 (+1.29%) -- RSI 43.7. 251.10 < EMA200 (251.75) by just 0.65p. Below all three.
ABF 1880 (+0.37%) -- RSI 44.4. Below all. -20.3% from high.
WPP 237.10 (+0.51%) -- RSI 36.8. -62.6% from 52w high (634). EMA200 at 372.62 -- would need +57%. Broken chart.
INF 759.20 (-0.21%) -- RSI 32.7 (lowest in scanner). Below all. -24.1% from high.



SWING TRADE SETUPS

RTO (Rentokil) -- Bullish Continuation [4/5 confluence]

The standout long. 1.9% from 52w high (493.90). Bullish EMA stack (20 > 50 > 200). RSI 59.2 -- strong momentum without overbought risk. MACD bullish with expanding histogram (6.83 vs 2.88).

Entry: 485-486 (pullback to yesterday's close)
Stop: 464 (below EMA20 at 465.53 -- 1.4x ATR)
T1: 494 (52w high test) · T2: 510 (round number breakout)
R:R: 1:1.1 on T2 · Position: Full size (1% risk = stop ~21p)
Kill: Close below EMA20 (465.53)

SSE -- Buy the Dip [4/5 confluence]

Powerful uptrend. Price 95p above EMA20, 222p above EMA50. RSI 65.8. MACD slightly below signal (55.31 vs 56.05) -- consolidation, not reversal. Only 4.1% from 52w high (2859.89).

Entry: 2720-2730 (dip toward S1 / Cam S3)
Stop: 2640 (below EMA20 at 2647.71 -- 1.1x ATR)
T1: 2786 (classic R2) · T2: 2860 (52w high retest)
R:R: 1:1.5 on T2 · Position: Full size
Kill: Close below 2648

STAN -- Mean Reversion Bounce [3/5 confluence]

+3.45% yesterday = demand exists. RSI 38.8 (near oversold). Price above EMA200 (1550.55) providing structural floor. Gap to EMA20 (1682.50) = 79p -- rubber band stretched at 1.3x ATR. Classic mean reversion candidate.

Exhaustion signals present: Big daily gain shows buying pressure returning. EMA200 holding as support. RSI approaching 30s.
Entry: 1590-1605 (at pivot)
Stop: 1548 (below EMA200 -- hard floor)
T1: 1645 (classic R2) · T2: 1682 (EMA20 = the mean)
R:R: 1:1.6 on T2 · Position: HALF SIZE (counter-trend)
Kill: Close below EMA200 (1550)

INF -- Oversold Reversal Watch [3/5 confluence]

Lowest RSI in scanner (32.7). Wide range yesterday (755.80-792.40) closed near lows -- selling exhaustion pattern. Price 36p below EMA20 (795.44) = 1.4x ATR stretched.

Exhaustion signals: Wide range close near low, RSI sub-33, approaching classic S1 support.
Entry: 755-760 (retest of yesterday's low / S1 area)
Stop: 730 (below classic S2 -- 1x ATR)
T1: 795 (EMA20) · T2: 832 (EMA50)
R:R: 1:2.6 on T2 · Position: HALF SIZE (counter-trend)
Kill: Close below 730



INTRADAY SETUPS

STAN -- Pivot Bounce Long R:R 1:2.4
Session type: Pivot retest. Yesterday's +3.45% suggests buyers present.
Entry 1569 (classic S1) on bullish 5m/15m candle · Stop 1555 (below EMA200)
Target 1603 (pivot/close) then 1625 (R1)

TSCO -- Camarilla Range Fade R:R 1:1.6
Session type: Range day. Tightest Cam range in scanner (S3 489.17 to R3 493.24 = 4.07p = 0.8% of price -- ideal for fading).
Long 489.20 (Cam S3) · Stop 487.10 (Cam S4) · Target 493.24 (Cam R3)
Bullish daily trend strongly favours the long side. Only short R3 if RSI > 70 on 15m.

ANTO -- Camarilla Breakout Short R:R 1:3.3
Session type: Potential trend day. Wide Cam range (S4 3486 to R4 3638 = 151p). Bearish daily trend + MACD deeply negative. Break below Cam S4 = sellers in control.
Entry 3485 (confirmed 15m close below Cam S4) · Stop 3525 (above Cam S3)
T1 3422 (classic S2) · T2 3354 (classic S3)

HLN -- Pivot Bounce Long R:R 1:1.9
Session type: Pivot bounce. Closed on its daily high (395 = high) -- strong demand. Consumer staple = defensive in risk-off.
Entry 392.30 (classic pivot) · Stop 389.50 (S1) · Target 397.70 (R1) then 400.50 (R2)



KEY LEVELS -- TOP 5

RTO (Bullish -- near 52w high breakout)
Cam: S4 478.67 · S3 481.59 · S1 483.53 || R1 485.47 · R3 487.42 · R4 490.33
Classic: S2 470.50 · S1 477.50 · Pivot 481.10 · R1 488.10 · R2 491.70
EMAs: 20=465.53 · 50=457.15 · 200=421.32 | 52w High: 493.90

SSE (Bullish trend leader)
Cam: S4 2718.25 · S3 2730.63 · S1 2738.88 || R1 2747.13 · R3 2755.38 · R4 2767.75
Classic: S2 2696.33 · S1 2719.67 · Pivot 2741.33 · R1 2764.67 · R2 2786.33
EMAs: 20=2647.71 · 50=2521.31 · 200=2144.05 | 52w High: 2859.89

STAN (Mean reversion bounce)
Cam: S4 1572.98 · S3 1588.24 · S1 1598.41 || R1 1608.59 · R3 1618.76 · R4 1634.03
Classic: S2 1534.83 · S1 1569.17 · Pivot 1590.33 · R1 1624.67 · R2 1645.83
EMAs: 20=1682.50 · 50=1730.60 · 200=1550.55 | 52w High: 1924

TSCO (Camarilla range trade)
Cam: S4 487.13 · S3 489.17 · S1 490.52 || R1 491.88 · R3 493.24 · R4 495.27
Classic: S2 484.87 · S1 488.03 · Pivot 492.27 · R1 495.43 · R2 499.67
EMAs: 20=477.53 · 50=465.43 · 200=435.35 | 52w High: 508

ANTO (Bearish breakout watch)
Cam: S4 3486.38 · S3 3524.19 · S1 3549.40 || R1 3574.60 · R3 3599.81 · R4 3637.63
Classic: S2 3421.33 · S1 3491.67 · Pivot 3558.83 · R1 3629.17 · R2 3696.33
EMAs: 20=3790.18 · 50=3684.24 · 200=2941.53 | 52w High: 4475



BEARISH WARNINGS

BARC -- RSI 35.0 · Below EMA200 (405.47) · Death cross · -22.2% from high · No reversal signals. Avoid longs.
WPP -- RSI 36.8 · -62.6% from high · EMA200 at 372 -- would need +57% to reach it. Broken chart. No setup.
AAL -- RSI 38.5 · MACD -92.35 (deepest in scanner) · Not responding to rising commodity prices. Company-specific headwinds.
ABF -- RSI 44.4 · Below all EMAs · Primark consumer weakness + rising input costs from oil surge.
INF -- RSI 32.7 (lowest) · Closed near lows on wide range (755-792) · Distribution pattern. Potential oversold bounce (see swing setup) but trend is firmly down.



EVENTS

Wed 18: UK CPI data (07:00 GMT) · US FOMC rate decision + dot plot (18:00 GMT) -- MAJOR EVENT
Thu 19: Bank of England rate decision (12:00 GMT) · UK retail sales
Ongoing: Middle East / Strait of Hormuz -- any escalation/de-escalation moves oil and the whole FTSE

Key risk: FOMC + BoE double-header on Wed/Thu = high-vol week. Consider reducing position sizes to 0.5% risk and tightening stops around these events.



Report: 18 March 2026 07:00 GMT · Data: TradingView scanner (close 17 March)
All EMA classifications verified programmatically against raw data.
Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.