FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups

Friday 17 July 2026
Data: close Thu 16 Jul (latest scanner snapshot, 40 FTSE names) · UKX cash close 10,572.24 (+0.5%) · FTSE futures (Sep-26 contract) ~10,482 - Investing.com


MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 closed Thursday at 10,572.24, up 56.32 (+0.5%), recovering from an early -0.4% dip. Engineers led after ABB's GBP 4.1bn / 506p cash bid for Rotork (73% premium). UK May GDP rose +0.1% m/m with 3-month growth at +0.7%, the fastest in 13 months, but gilts and the pound stayed nervous around the new Chancellor's appointment. Middle East tension (US-Iran, Hormuz) keeps oil bid - a tailwind for SHEL and BP - while soft China GDP hit miners hard: ANTO -4.1%, AAL -1.7%, RIO -1.9%.
Futures check: the front future (Sep-26, post-June roll) trades ~10,482 vs cash 10,572. Most of that ~90pt discount is the September contract's dividend discount, NOT a directional gap - read the open as broadly flat-to-cautious. Swing factors this morning: UK June retail sales and flash PMIs (UK/EZ/US) released today.


NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day, from compare feed)
ANTO - MACD bearish crossover (NEW), big move -4.1%, week -5.2%. China GDP driven.
WPP - +4.0% on rv 1.23 (best volume in the book), week +6.4%. Recovery gathering pace.
VOD - +3.4%, week +5.3%, bull above all EMAs. Momentum leader.
BP - crossed ABOVE EMA50 (NEW), week +6.1% on the oil bid.
BATS - RSI surged +8.9 pts and crossed ABOVE POC (NEW). Tobacco bid returning; IMB also reclaimed EMA20 + POC (RSI +7.0).
RTO - crossed ABOVE EMA20 AND EMA200 in one session (NEW). Watch follow-through vs EMA50 449.9.
BNZL - MACD bullish crossover on a 5-day up streak, closed AT its 52w high 2,780.
NG - MACD bearish crossover (NEW), below EMA20/50 and POC. CPG also broke BELOW POC (NEW).
Also: DGE MACD bullish crossover; GSK, SHEL and REL all reclaimed POC; ULVR RSI +5.1; RR. on a 5-day down streak.


SECTOR HEATMAP
BANKS - strongest cluster: LLOY, BARC, HSBA, STAN, NWG all bull above all EMAs, BARC/STAN within 2% of 52w highs.
ENERGY - SHEL bull above all + POC reclaim, BP back above EMA50; Hormuz risk premium supportive.
CONSUMER STAPLES / TOBACCO - broad rotation: BATS, IMB, DGE, ULVR, TSCO, ABF all improved together - the week's clearest group move.
FINANCIALS/INSURERS - PRU, AV, LGEN, ADM, III all constructive; LGEN RSI 68.5.
MEDIA/COMMS - WPP and VOD leading the week (+6.4% / +5.3%); REL, INF steady bulls.
MINERS - weakest cluster: AAL, ANTO, GLEN, RIO all below EMA20/50 and below POC on soft China data.
PHARMA - split: AZN bear below all EMAs (RSI 36.9) while GSK recovers above POC and HLN is bull above all.
DEFENCE/UTILITIES - BAE bear below all (-22.5% vs 52wH); NG fresh MACD bear cross; SSE the exception (bull, rv 1.08).


DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS (close 16 Jul)
MACD key: Bull/Bear = vs signal line, +/- = above/below zero. rv = relative volume (>1.5 heavy, <0.5 thin).

AAL 3,486.0 (-1.7%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 40.7 · MACD Bear- · -17.8% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.37
ABF 2,006.0 (+2.0%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 59.6 · MACD Bull+ · -15.0% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.27
ADM 3,580.0 (-0.4%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 55.8 · MACD Bear+ · -4.0% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.18
ANTO 3,589.0 (-4.1%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 41.2 · MACD Bear- · -19.8% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.46
AV 657.6 (+0.1%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 56.1 · MACD Bear+ · -6.2% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.43
AZN 12,630.0 (+0.5%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 36.9 · MACD Bear- · -19.7% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.34
BAE 1,829.5 (+0.9%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 42.8 · MACD Bear- · -22.5% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.30
BARC 522.4 (-0.4%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.5 · MACD Bear+ · -1.7% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.37
BATS 4,520.0 (+3.0%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 49.0 · MACD Bear- · -15.1% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.44
BNZL 2,778.8 (+2.2%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 73.4 · MACD Bull+ · -0.0% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.20
BP 510.5 (+0.6%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 55.4 · MACD Bull- · -16.2% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.34
CPG 3,115.0 (-1.2%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 42.4 · MACD Bear- · -16.9% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.38
DGE 1,572.5 (+2.7%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 56.6 · MACD Bull+ · -26.6% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.56
EXPN 2,694.0 (-0.6%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 58.7 · MACD Bull+ · -34.3% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 1.15
GLEN 516.8 (-0.1%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 43.5 · MACD Bull- · -23.9% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.35
GSK 1,954.0 (+2.0%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 50.0 · MACD Bear+ · -14.4% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.33
HLN 369.1 (+2.8%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 65.9 · MACD Bull+ · -11.3% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.47
HSBA 1,485.4 (+0.4%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 61.7 · MACD Bull+ · -10.2% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.42
III 2,663.0 (+0.2%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 65.1 · MACD Bull+ · -40.8% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.41
IMB 2,785.0 (+1.7%) · Mixed (>20, <50/200) · RSI 53.6 · MACD Bear- · -16.6% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.27
INF 898.4 (+0.2%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.3 · MACD Bear+ · -10.2% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.18
LGEN 296.3 (+0.4%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 68.5 · MACD Bear+ · -4.4% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.44
LLOY 112.3 (-0.2%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 59.8 · MACD Bear+ · -3.2% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.83
LSEG 9,096.0 (+0.2%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 58.8 · MACD Bull+ · -16.7% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.23
NG 1,216.5 (-1.5%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 45.0 · MACD Bear+ · -14.8% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.32
NWG 659.6 (-0.6%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 54.9 · MACD Bear+ · -6.5% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.91
PRU 1,061.0 (-1.0%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 57.4 · MACD Bull+ · -14.3% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.28
REL 2,500.0 (-0.0%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 57.4 · MACD Bull+ · -37.7% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.41
RIO 6,738.0 (-1.9%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 37.7 · MACD Bear- · -26.1% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.42
RKT 5,090.0 (+1.8%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 62.1 · MACD Bear+ · -21.9% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.49
RR. 1,374.6 (-1.2%) · Mixed (>50/200, <20) · RSI 46.6 · MACD Bear+ · -9.0% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.32
RTO 447.9 (+1.7%) · Mixed (>20/200, <50) · RSI 53.3 · MACD Bull- · -11.7% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.22
SGE 852.6 (-0.0%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 54.6 · MACD Bull+ · -36.1% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.35
SHEL 3,159.5 (+1.0%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.3 · MACD Bull+ · -12.0% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.59
SSE 2,439.0 (-1.2%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 51.4 · MACD Bull+ · -14.7% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 1.08
STAN 2,124.0 (-0.5%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 58.4 · MACD Bear+ · -1.7% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.29
TSCO 477.0 (+1.1%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 58.3 · MACD Bull+ · -8.4% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.15
ULVR 4,615.5 (+1.2%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 58.4 · MACD Bear+ · -16.5% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.37
VOD 116.0 (+3.4%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 63.5 · MACD Bull+ · -11.5% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.58
WPP 289.0 (+4.0%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 62.3 · MACD Bull+ · -34.8% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 1.23

EMA verification: all 40 classifications re-checked programmatically vs EMA20/50/200 - 0 mismatches.


TOP SWING SETUPS
1. SHEL - LONG · POC reclaim + oil tailwind (NEW)
Entry: 3,150 · Stop: 3,085 · T1: 3,239 (R3) · T2: 3,320 · R:R: 1.4 / 2.6
Bull above all EMAs, MACD Bull+, RSI 60.3. Crossed above POC 3,129.5 yesterday (NEW signal); stop sits under EMA50 3,093.4 and yesterday's 3,110 low. Confluence: POC + Cam S4 3,127.9 + classic S1 3,123.8 stack as support. rv 0.59 - moderate; oil headlines the driver.

2. VOD - LONG · momentum pullback (CONTINUING)
Entry: 114.5 (pullback) · Stop: 111.3 · T1: 118.0 (R1) · T2: 121.0 · R:R: 1.1 / 2.0
+3.4% yesterday, +5.3% on the week, bull above all EMAs, MACD Bull+, RSI 63.5 with room. Stop under POC 111.4 and yesterday's 110.0 low. Chasing at 116 is poor location - wait for the classic pivot 114.0 zone.

3. WPP - LONG · volume-backed recovery (NEW)
Entry: 286.0 (retest) · Stop: 273.0 · T1: 303.5 (R3) · T2: 310.9 (EMA200) · R:R: 1.3 / 1.9
+4.0% on rv 1.23 - the only name in the book with above-average volume conviction. Above EMA20/50, still 34.8% below its 52w high, so this is a recovery trade into the EMA200 310.9 magnet. Entry at Cam S3 / classic pivot 286 retest; stop under S2 275.9.

4. DGE - LONG · fresh MACD bull cross from a deep base (NEW)
Entry: 1,560 · Stop: 1,508 · T1: 1,614 (R2) · T2: 1,656 (R3) · R:R: 1.0 / 1.8
MACD bullish crossover yesterday, +2.7%, RSI 56.6 rising, above EMA20/50 with POC 1,525.3 directly behind entry as support. Still -26.6% from the 52w high - early-stage turn, scale T1 then run.

5. BNZL - LONG · 52w-high breakout (CONTINUING - manage the OB RSI)
Entry: 2,790 (break of 2,780) · Stop: 2,734 · T1: 2,834 (R2) · T2: 2,889 (R3) · R:R: 0.8 / 1.8
Closed AT its 52w high on a fresh MACD bull cross and 5-day streak. RSI 73.4 is overbought and rv 0.20 is thin - half size, stop at Cam S4 2,733.7, trail rather than target-and-hope.


INTRADAY SETUPS (today, 17 Jul)
LLOY - pivot bounce LONG
Entry: 112.20 hold · Stop: 111.00 · T1: 113.3 (R1) · T2: 114.4 (R2) · R:R: 0.9 / 1.8
Price sits on the classic pivot 112.2; Cam S4 111.1 + yesterday's low 111.05 back the stop. rv 0.83 - best liquidity read in the banks.

BARC - Camarilla range LONG
Entry: 519.5 (Cam S3) · Stop: 516.4 · T1: 523.4 (Cam R1) · T2: 525.3 (Cam R3) · R:R: 1.3 / 1.9
Bull above all, 1.7% from its 52w high 531.3. Buy the S3 dip while 516.5 (Cam S4) holds; above 528.3 (Cam R4) it becomes a breakout to 533.4 (classic R2).

SHEL - Camarilla breakout LONG
Entry: 3,192 (above Cam R4 3,191.1) · Stop: 3,169 · T1: 3,239 (classic R3) · R:R: 2.0
Only on an oil-headline push; stop back inside Cam R2 3,170. Complements the swing entry below the market.

HSBA - pivot bounce LONG
Entry: 1,482 · Stop: 1,470 · T1: 1,492 (R1) · T2: 1,499 (R2) · R:R: 0.8 / 1.4
Pivot 1,481.9 with yesterday's low 1,471.6 behind the stop. Bull above all EMAs, RSI 61.7.

AZN - Camarilla breakdown SHORT
Entry: 12,480 (below Cam S4 12,484. · Stop: 12,560 · T1: 12,291 (S2) · T2: 12,197 (S3) · R:R: 2.4 / 3.5
Weakest large cap on the tape: bear below all EMAs, RSI 36.9, below POC. rv 0.34 is thin - size down and only take it on a weak tape (retail sales miss).


KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
LLOY (112.3)
Cam: S4 111.1 · S3 111.7 · S1 112.1 || R1 112.5 · R3 112.9 · R4 113.5
Classic: S3 109.0 · S2 110.0 · S1 111.2 · P 112.2 · R1 113.3 · R2 114.4 · R3 115.5
EMA20 110.4 · EMA50 106.2 · EMA200 97.2 · POC 102.1
Prev H/L: 113.2 / 111.0 · 52w H/L: 116.0 / 74.4

BARC (522.4)
Cam: S4 516.5 · S3 519.5 · S1 521.4 || R1 523.4 · R3 525.3 · R4 528.3
Classic: S3 506.6 · S2 512.0 · S1 517.2 · P 522.7 · R1 527.9 · R2 533.4 · R3 538.5
EMA20 508.5 · EMA50 485.1 · EMA200 437.6 · POC 463.6
Prev H/L: 528.2 / 517.5 · 52w H/L: 531.3 / 343.9

SHEL (3,159.5)
Cam: S4 3,127.9 · S3 3,143.7 · S1 3,154.2 || R1 3,164.8 · R3 3,175.3 · R4 3,191.1
Classic: S3 3,066.3 · S2 3,088.2 · S1 3,123.8 · P 3,145.7 · R1 3,181.3 · R2 3,203.2 · R3 3,238.8
EMA20 3,051.6 · EMA50 3,093.4 · EMA200 3,007.9 · POC 3,129.5
Prev H/L: 3,167.5 / 3,110.0 · 52w H/L: 3,591.5 / 2,553.8

VOD (116.0)
Cam: S4 112.7 · S3 114.3 · S1 115.5 || R1 116.5 · R3 117.7 · R4 119.3
Classic: S3 105.9 · S2 108.0 · S1 112.0 · P 114.0 · R1 118.0 · R2 120.1 · R3 124.1
EMA20 107.5 · EMA50 108.7 · EMA200 103.7 · POC 111.4
Prev H/L: 116.0 / 110.0 · 52w H/L: 131.1 / 80.7

AZN (12,630.0)
Cam: S4 12,484.8 · S3 12,557.4 · S1 12,605.8 || R1 12,654.2 · R3 12,702.6 · R4 12,775.2
Classic: S3 12,196.7 · S2 12,291.3 · S1 12,460.7 · P 12,555.3 · R1 12,724.7 · R2 12,819.3 · R3 12,988.7
EMA20 13,400.4 · EMA50 13,663.1 · EMA200 13,514.2 · POC 13,575.3
Prev H/L: 12,650.0 / 12,386.0 · 52w H/L: 15,730.0 / 10,178.0


BEARISH WARNINGS
ANTO - FRESH MACD bearish crossover, -4.1% day, -5.2% week, below EMA20/50 and POC 3,918.8. Next support classic S1 3,519 then S2 3,449.
NG - FRESH MACD bearish crossover, below EMA20/50 and POC 1,242.6; EMA200 1,213.2 is the line - a close below opens 1,193 (S2).
CPG - FRESH break BELOW POC 3,156, below EMA20/50, -3.2% on the week. 3,078 (EMA200) is the must-hold.
RR. - 5-day down streak, below EMA20 1,407.1. Holding EMA50 1,351.8 / classic S1 1,352.3 - a break targets 1,330 (S2).
AZN - bear below all EMAs, RSI 36.9, -19.7% vs 52wH. No bottoming signal yet; see short setup above.
RIO - RSI 37.7, below EMA20/50 and 10.3% below POC; EMA200 6,654.1 test underway - miners stay sold while China data disappoints.


EVENTS CALENDAR
Today (Fri 17 Jul): UK June retail sales + flash PMIs for UK, Eurozone and US - the day's main tape risk (Investing.com / Trading Economics calendars).
Ex-dividend: the week's ex-div day passed Thursday 16 Jul (Next, Games Workshop, JD Sports, F&C IT - none in our tracked 40; ~6.5% of index weight marked ex per interactive investor).
Earnings: no confirmed prints from the tracked 40 today; US Q2 earnings season is in full swing and sets the risk tone. Late-July UK big-cap reporting season (banks, energy) starts next week - check RNS before positioning.
Macro next week (20-26 Jul): rate decisions and flash-data follow-through per the weekly calendars - full preview in Monday's report.


Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Thursday 16 July 2026
Data: close 15 Jul (latest scanner snapshot) · UKX ~10,480 cash · FTSE future ~10,425 (Investing.com, front contract)



MARKET OVERVIEW
Levels below are the 15 July close — the freshest scanner snapshot on the feed (no 16 Jul data posted yet). FTSE future was quoted around 10,425 (Investing.com) versus a cash close near 10,480 on the 15th; the small gap is broadly the dividend/contract-roll discount rather than a hard directional signal, so treat the open as roughly FLAT to slightly soft. The 15th saw miners drag the index while banks held firm. Macro backdrop: BoE Bank Rate 3.75%, UK CPI 2.8% (May), with forecasters eyeing ~3.5% into Q4 on the energy cap. US-Iran / Strait of Hormuz tension keeps a bid under crude. Not financial advice.



NOTABLE CHANGES (day over day)
DGE · RECOVERING — crossed ABOVE EMA20, EMA50 and POC in one session (+1.8%)
NG · BEARISH — crossed BELOW EMA20, EMA50 and POC
ANTO · BEARISH — crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50, -3.2% on the day
LSEG · BULLISH — crossed ABOVE EMA200 and POC (fresh reclaim)
REL · BULLISH — crossed ABOVE EMA50, +2.2%
VOD · BEARISH — RSI dropped 9.2 pts, -3.6% after a +15% week
IMB · RSI surged 10.3 pts on a +2.3% day, but still below all EMAs
BP · crossed BELOW EMA50 despite a firm oil tape



SECTOR HEATMAP
Media/Data · +1.61%
Banks · +0.51%
Consumer/Staples · +0.47%
Insurance/Fin · +0.34%
Pharma/Health · +0.35%
Defence/Ind · -0.46%
Utilities · -0.45%
Oil · -0.49%
Miners · -2.48%
Telecom · -3.64%
Leaders: Media/Data, Banks, Staples. Laggards: Telecom (VOD), Miners.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS
IMB BEARISH (<all) · RSI 47(neutral) · MACD bear · -18% from 52wH · +2.32% · below POC RSIΔ+10.3
REL BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 57(neutral) · MACD bull · -38% from 52wH · +2.21% · below POC
DGE BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 51(neutral) · MACD bear · -28% from 52wH · +1.79% · above POC
EXPN BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 61(neutral) · MACD bull · -34% from 52wH · +1.59% · above POC
INF BULLISH (>all) · RSI 58(neutral) · MACD bear · -11% from 52wH · +1.50% · above POC RSIΔ+5.4
NWG BULLISH (>all) · RSI 56(neutral) · MACD bear · -6% from 52wH · +1.35% · above POC
WPP BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 58(neutral) · MACD bull · -37% from 52wH · +1.13% · above POC
AZN BEARISH (<all) · RSI 35(neutral) · MACD bear · -20% from 52wH · +1.02% · below POC
LSEG BULLISH (>all) · RSI 58(neutral) · MACD bull · -17% from 52wH · +1.00% · above POC
BARC BULLISH (>all) · RSI 61(neutral) · MACD bear · -2% from 52wH · +0.83% · above POC
RKT BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 57(neutral) · MACD bear · -23% from 52wH · +0.79% · above POC
SGE BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 56(neutral) · MACD bull · -36% from 52wH · +0.64% · below POC
PRU BULLISH (>all) · RSI 61(neutral) · MACD bull · -13% from 52wH · +0.49% · above POC
LLOY BULLISH (>all) · RSI 60(neutral) · MACD bear · -3% from 52wH · +0.49% · above POC
LGEN BULLISH (>all) · RSI 66(neutral) · MACD bear · -5% from 52wH · +0.44% · above POC
III BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 66(neutral) · MACD bull · -41% from 52wH · +0.38% · above POC
RTO BEARISH (<all) · RSI 46(neutral) · MACD bull · -13% from 52wH · +0.37% · below POC
BATS BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 40(neutral) · MACD bear · -18% from 52wH · +0.34% · below POC
STAN BULLISH (>all) · RSI 60(neutral) · MACD bear · -1% from 52wH · +0.33% · above POC
BNZL BULLISH (>all) · RSI 69(neutral) · MACD bear · -0% from 52wH · +0.29% · above POC
ADM BULLISH (>all) · RSI 56(neutral) · MACD bear · -4% from 52wH · +0.22% · above POC
HLN BULLISH (>all) · RSI 60(neutral) · MACD bull · -13% from 52wH · +0.11% · above POC
SSE BULLISH (>all) · RSI 56(neutral) · MACD bull · -14% from 52wH · +0.08% · above POC
CPG BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 46(neutral) · MACD bear · -15% from 52wH · +0.00% · above POC
GSK BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 43(neutral) · MACD bear · -16% from 52wH · -0.08% · below POC
SHEL BULLISH (>all) · RSI 58(neutral) · MACD bull · -13% from 52wH · -0.13% · below POC
ULVR BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 53(neutral) · MACD bear · -18% from 52wH · -0.29% · above POC
HSBA BULLISH (>all) · RSI 61(neutral) · MACD bull · -11% from 52wH · -0.43% · above POC
AV BULLISH (>all) · RSI 56(neutral) · MACD bear · -6% from 52wH · -0.52% · above POC
TSCO BULLISH (>all) · RSI 56(neutral) · MACD bull · -9% from 52wH · -0.74% · above POC
ABF BULLISH (>all) · RSI 55(neutral) · MACD bull · -16% from 52wH · -0.75% · above POC
BP MIXED >20 <50 >200 · RSI 55(neutral) · MACD bull · -17% from 52wH · -0.86% · below POC
NG BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 50(neutral) · MACD bull · -14% from 52wH · -0.98% · below POC
RR. MIXED <20 >50 >200 · RSI 49(neutral) · MACD bear · -9% from 52wH · -1.02% · above POC
RIO BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 40(neutral) · MACD bear · -25% from 52wH · -1.25% · below POC
BAE BEARISH (<all) · RSI 41(neutral) · MACD bear · -23% from 52wH · -1.84% · below POC
GLEN BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 45(neutral) · MACD bull · -23% from 52wH · -2.11% · below POC
ANTO BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 46(neutral) · MACD bull · -16% from 52wH · -3.18% · below POC
AAL BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 43(neutral) · MACD bear · -16% from 52wH · -3.37% · below POC
VOD BULLISH (>all) · RSI 60(neutral) · MACD bull · -14% from 52wH · -3.64% · above POC RSIΔ-9.2



TOP SWING SETUPS
LSEG — LONG (NEW)
BULLISH — reclaimed EMA200 (9013) and POC today. Trigger on hold above 9013.
Entry: 9050 · Stop: 8820 · T1: 9330 · T2: 9615 · R:R: 1.2

REL — LONG (NEW)
BULLISH — crossed above EMA50 (2453), above POC 2493. Momentum turn.
Entry: 2495 · Stop: 2418 · T1: 2556 · T2: 2620 · R:R: 0.8

DGE — LONG (NEW)
RECOVERING — triple reclaim (EMA20/50 + POC) in one session. Base breakout.
Entry: 1536 · Stop: 1500 · T1: 1575 · T2: 1610 · R:R: 1.1

BNZL — LONG (CONTINUING)
BULLISH — at 52w high 2726, RSI 68.6, miles above POC. Note thin volume (rv 0.17) — size down.
Entry: 2727 · Stop: 2672 · T1: 2790 · T2: 2850 · R:R: 1.1

ANTO — SHORT (NEW)
BEARISH — lost EMA20/50 today, below POC 3921. Miner weakness.
Entry: 3730 · Stop: 3810 · T1: 3640 · T2: 3560 · R:R: 1.1



INTRADAY SETUPS
BNZL — Camarilla breakout LONG
Above R1 2727.5 targets R3 2734 then R4 2745. Fresh 52w-high momentum; abandon below pivot 2713.

LSEG — Camarilla range LONG
Bounce off S1 8953 toward pivot 8747... use R1 9143 as target; stop below S3 8764.

ANTO — Camarilla breakdown SHORT
Below S1 3726 targets S3 3687; invalidate back above pivot 3749. Aligns with daily EMA loss.

BP — Pivot short
Below pivot 511.8 and EMA50 509.2, target Cam S3 505.7 / classic S1 505; stop 514.

VOD — Pivot reversion SHORT
Failed at pivot 113.4 after -3.6% day; below 112.3 targets S1 111.5 / POC 111.2. Watch POC as support.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
BNZL (close 2724)
Cam: S4 2703.1 · S3 2713.55 · S1 2720.52 || R1 2727.48 · R3 2734.45 · R4 2744.9
Classic: S3 2661.33 · S1 2699.33 · Pivot 2712.67 · R1 2737.33 · R3 2775.33
EMA20 2638.87 · EMA50 2536.51 · EMA200 2401.23 · POC 2491.21 · 52wH 2726 · 52wL 1981

LSEG (close 9048)
Cam: S4 8479.3 · S3 8763.65 · S1 8953.22 || R1 9142.78 · R3 9332.35 · R4 9616.7
Classic: S3 7346.67 · S1 8380.67 · Pivot 8747.33 · R1 9414.67 · R3 10448.7
EMA20 8770.44 · EMA50 8834.48 · EMA200 9013.06 · POC 8992 · 52wH 10925 · 52wL 6684

REL (close 2493)
Cam: S4 2430.3 · S3 2461.65 · S1 2482.55 || R1 2503.45 · R3 2524.35 · R4 2555.7
Classic: S3 2310 · S1 2424 · Pivot 2469 · R1 2538 · R3 2652
EMA20 2419.91 · EMA50 2452.86 · EMA200 2758.83 · POC 2493.06 · 52wH 4011 · 52wL 1991

DGE (close 1534.5)
Cam: S4 1515.25 · S3 1524.88 · S1 1531.29 || R1 1537.71 · R3 1544.13 · R4 1553.75
Classic: S3 1477.83 · S1 1512.83 · Pivot 1526.17 · R1 1547.83 · R3 1582.83
EMA20 1528.1 · EMA50 1525.96 · EMA200 1639.22 · POC 1525.35 · 52wH 2142 · 52wL 1295.5

ANTO (close 3746)
Cam: S4 3627.2 · S3 3686.6 · S1 3726.2 || R1 3765.8 · R3 3805.4 · R4 3864.8
Classic: S3 3423.33 · S1 3639.33 · Pivot 3748.67 · R1 3855.33 · R3 4071.33
EMA20 3821.59 · EMA50 3853.03 · EMA200 3434.75 · POC 3920.78 · 52wH 4475 · 52wL 1811



BEARISH WARNINGS
ANTO · fresh loss of EMA20 and EMA50 today; below POC 3921 — leading the miner slide.
NG · crossed below EMA20/50 and POC in one session — utility weakness.
GLEN · crossed below EMA20; miner sector heavy (-2.5% avg).
AZN · BEARISH below all EMAs, RSI 34.6, -5.4% on the week — no bottom signal yet.
BP · lost EMA50 despite firm crude — watch 505 support.
IMB · up 2.3% but still below all EMAs (RSI 46.6) — relief bounce, not a trend change.
VOD · sharp -3.6% reversal, RSI -9.2 pts after an overbought week.



EVENTS CALENDAR (this week)
UK CPI (Jun) print and labour data in focus; BoE Bank Rate held at 3.75%. US bank earnings run continues and sets the tone for UK financials. Oil headline risk around US-Iran / Strait of Hormuz. Confirm individual ex-dividend and RNS dates on your broker before trading.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Wednesday 15 July 2026
Data: close 14 Jul (latest scanner snapshot) - UKX: 10,529.39 (+0.30%) - Futures: ~10,425 (Investing.com, 07:00; Sep contract trades below cash on dividend discount - NOT a directional gap; futures firmed from a 10,393 open, pointing to a flat-to-slightly-firmer start)



MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 closed Tuesday at 10,529.39, up 0.30% and the best of the major European bourses, rallying from an early low of 10,422.98 to a 10,552.56 session high. Two forces drove the reversal: softer-than-expected US inflation lifted rate-cut bets, and strong US bank earnings pulled UK lenders higher - HSBA and BARC +1.9%, LLOY +1%. Miners rallied on firm industrial metals (RIO +3.3%, GLEN +3%, AAL +2.4%) and BP added 2.2% after guiding to a stronger Q2 on oil trading and refining margins. The offset is geopolitics: Iran has announced closure of the Strait of Hormuz after renewed missile exchanges with the US, driving Brent up ~4% toward $80. Shell also flagged Qatari production disruption. This morning's futures read is flat-to-slightly-firmer but the tone is cautious - energy and defensives supported, oil-price inflation risk hanging over rate-sensitive names.



NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day)
ANTO - Crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50, MACD bullish crossover, +3.0% on the day, +9.7% on the week. The standout fresh bullish signal.
AZN - 5-day losing streak, -12.7% on the week, weekly RSI delta -22 pts. Wainua Phase III failure (9 Jul) plus an HSBC downgrade to Hold.
DGE - Crossed BELOW EMA20, EMA50 and POC in one session. Triple breakdown, now below all EMAs.
GLEN - Crossed ABOVE EMA20, +8.1% week, weekly RSI +22 pts. Recovering.
VOD - +19.4% on the week, weekly RSI +42 pts. Strongest weekly mover, now RSI 68.7 - stretched.
HSBA - MACD bullish crossover today, above all EMAs and POC.
BP - Crossed ABOVE EMA50 today with positive Q2 guidance behind it. SHEL crossed above its POC.
BAE / ADM / RKT - MACD bearish crossovers today. REL and CPG crossed below EMA50; INF below EMA20; GSK below POC.



SECTOR HEATMAP
BANKS - STRONG: BARC +1.97, HSBA +1.85, STAN +1.48, LLOY +1.18 all moved together on US earnings read-across. NWG the laggard at -0.24.
MINERS - STRONG: ANTO +3.01, GLEN +2.97, RIO +2.89, AAL +2.42 - a coordinated metals bid, though ANTO/GLEN/RIO all remain below POC (rallies into overhead supply).
ENERGY - FIRM: BP +2.03 (Q2 guide), SHEL +0.89. Hormuz closure keeps a bid under crude.
PHARMA - WEAK: AZN -2.18, GSK -2.04 falling together; AZN trial fallout is bleeding into the sector.
STAPLES/BEVERAGES - WEAK: DGE -2.58, RKT -1.24, ABF -1.17, IMB -0.60, ULVR -0.45, BATS -0.39. Broad defensive-consumer selling; TSCO +1.02 the exception.
NEUTRAL: Insurers mixed (LGEN +1.57, PRU +1.33 vs III -1.60, ADM -1.05); utilities steady (SSE +1.06, NG +0.44); media soft (WPP -2.58, REL -1.49, INF -1.39).



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS
Verified: every EMA classification below re-checked programmatically vs close - zero mismatches.
BULLISH above all EMAs: ABF (RSI 57.6), ANTO (50.7, below POC), AV (58.5), BARC (59.4), BNZL (67.8, 0.1% off 52w high), BP (57.3, below POC), HLN (60.0), HSBA (62.6), LGEN (65.0), LLOY (58.9), NG (53.4), PRU (59.7), SHEL (58.9), SSE (55.9), STAN (59.5, 1.4% off 52w high), TSCO (58.3), VOD (68.7 - near overbought), ADM (55.7, MACD bear).
BULLISH above 20/50, below 200: EXPN (56., III (64., LSEG (55.5), RKT (54.5, MACD just went bear), SGE (54.2), ULVR (54.4), WPP (56.5).
MIXED: GLEN (above 20/200, below 50 - RSI 49.1), INF (below 20, above 50/200), NWG (below 20, above 50/200), RR. (below 20, above 50/200), REL (above 20, below 50/200).
BEARISH below 20/50, above 200: AAL (47.8, wk +8.3 recovering), BATS (38.9, 5-day down), CPG (46.2), GSK (43.0, below POC).
BEARISH below all EMAs: AZN (32.3, wk RSI -22), BAE (44.4, MACD fresh bear), DGE (47.0, fresh triple breakdown), IMB (36.3, 5-day down), RIO (42.6, wk +6.9 recovering), RTO (44.6).
Volume caveat: relative volume is thin across the board (most names rv 0.2-0.7, nothing above 1.5) - conviction is low on all signals, so widen stops and size down.



TOP SWING SETUPS

1. ANTO - LONG pullback (NEW - triggered today)
Fresh cross above EMA20 (3829.6) and EMA50 (3857.4) with a MACD bullish crossover and sector tailwind. Below POC 3920.8, so first target is that supply. rv 0.31 - thin, be patient on entry.
Entry: 3830 (EMA20 retest) - Stop: 3740 (below prev low 3757) - T1: 3920 (POC) - T2: 4077 (R3) - R:R: 1.0 / 2.7

2. BP - LONG pullback (NEW - crossed above EMA50 today)
Above all EMAs (20: 491.5, 50: 509.3, 200: 492.3), MACD bullish, positive Q2 pre-announcement, Brent ~$80. POC 527.0 overhead is the magnet. rv 0.74, the best volume of the bullish names.
Entry: 510 (EMA50 / Cam S3 confluence) - Stop: 494 (below S3 496.4) - T1: 527 (POC) - T2: 548 - R:R: 1.1 / 2.4

3. HSBA - LONG breakout (NEW - MACD bullish crossover today)
Above all EMAs and well above POC 1383.3. US bank earnings tailwind. Wants the round 1500 / Cam R3 1499.7 level.
Entry: 1500 (break of Cam R3) - Stop: 1455 (below Cam S4 1458.6, ~1.3 ATR) - T1: 1557 (R3) - T2: 1620 - R:R: 1.3 / 2.7

4. STAN - LONG 52-week-high breakout (CONTINUING)
1.4% off its 52w high (2160), above all EMAs, far above POC 1948.9. Classic momentum continuation - only take it on the actual break.
Entry: 2165 (above 52w high) - Stop: 2110 (~1 ATR) - T1: 2227 (R3) - T2: 2300 - R:R: 1.1 / 2.5

5. AZN - SHORT continuation (CONTINUING - 5th down day)
Below all EMAs and POC after the Wainua trial failure and HSBC downgrade. RSI 32.3 - late in the move, so only on breakdown, small size, quick target.
Entry: 12240 (below Cam S4 12241.9) - Stop: 12545 (above R1) - T1: 12017 (S3) - T2: 11700 - R:R: 0.7 / 1.8



INTRADAY SETUPS

LLOY - Pivot bounce LONG
Closed 111.85 above pivot 111.15; Cam S4 109.98 sits just under S1 109.8 - tight, defined risk. Why: bank-sector momentum, rv 0.72.
Entry: 111.20 on hold above pivot - Stop: 109.70 - T1: 113.20 (R1) - R:R: 1.3

GLEN - Camarilla range LONG
Recovering (fresh EMA20 reclaim), buy the S3 dip. Why: metals bid, weekly RSI +22.
Entry: 526.00 (Cam S3) - Stop: 520.50 (below Cam S4 520.9) - T1: 536.00 (Cam R3) - R:R: 1.8

BARC - Camarilla breakout LONG
Cam R4 531.2 sits exactly at the 52w high 531.3 - double-trigger breakout level. Why: strongest UK bank on the day, +1.97%.
Entry: 531.60 (above Cam R4 / 52w high) - Stop: 524.90 (Cam R3) - T1: 544.00 (~1 ATR ext) - R:R: 1.9

AZN - Camarilla breakdown SHORT
Momentum is one-way; sell strength-failure at the S4 break. Why: 5-day streak, sector contagion into GSK.
Entry: 12240 (below Cam S4) - Stop: 12315 (Cam S3) - T1: 12017 (S3) - R:R: 3.0

SHEL - Pivot/POC confluence LONG
Close 3134.5 sits on POC 3132.7 with pivot 3138.1 just above - a decision level with Hormuz-driven crude support. Why: fresh POC reclaim today.
Entry: 3141 (hold above Cam R1 3140.6) - Stop: 3116 (Cam S3) - T1: 3170 (Cam R4 / R1) - R:R: 1.2



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

ANTO (3869): Cam: S4 3788 - S3 3829 - S1 3856 || R1 3882 - R3 3909 - R4 3950. Classic: S3 3636 - S1 3783 - P 3843 - R1 3930 - R3 4077. EMA 20/50/200: 3830 / 3857 / 3432. POC 3921. Prev H/L 3904/3757. 52w 4475/1811.

BP (512.9): Cam: S4 506.5 - S3 509.7 - S1 511.8 || R1 514.0 - R3 516.1 - R4 519.3. Classic: S3 496.4 - S1 508.0 - P 514.8 - R1 519.6 - R3 531.2. EMA 20/50/200: 491.5 / 509.3 / 492.3. POC 527.0. Prev H/L 521.5/509.9. 52w 609.4/393.3.

HSBA (1486): Cam: S4 1459 - S3 1472 - S1 1481 || R1 1491 - R3 1500 - R4 1513. Classic: S3 1407 - S1 1457 - P 1478 - R1 1507 - R3 1557. EMA 20/50/200: 1439 / 1398 / 1245. POC 1383. Prev H/L 1499/1449. 52w 1653/909.

STAN (2130): Cam: S4 2092 - S3 2111 - S1 2124 || R1 2136 - R3 2149 - R4 2169. Classic: S3 2017 - S1 2087 - P 2113 - R1 2157 - R3 2227. EMA 20/50/200: 2069 / 1986 / 1750. POC 1949. Prev H/L 2140/2070. 52w 2160/1285.

AZN (12386): Cam: S4 12242 - S3 12314 - S1 12362 || R1 12410 - R3 12458 - R4 12530. Classic: S3 12017 - S1 12279 - P 12435 - R1 12541 - R3 12803. EMA 20/50/200: 13584 / 13755 / 13533. POC 13661. Prev H/L 12590/12328. 52w 15730/10178.



BEARISH WARNINGS
DGE - FRESH: crossed below EMA20, EMA50 AND POC today in one session. Below all EMAs, -29.6% from 52w high. The cleanest new breakdown on the board.
REL - FRESH: crossed below EMA50 today; already below EMA200. Only EMA20 left underneath.
CPG - FRESH: crossed below EMA50 today (units-corrected pricing, 3170 GBX).
INF - FRESH: crossed below EMA20 today.
GSK - FRESH: crossed below POC today; below EMA20/50, RSI 43 and falling with sector.
BAE / ADM / RKT - FRESH MACD bearish crossovers today; BAE below all EMAs.
AZN - CONTINUING: 5-day streak, -21.3% from 52w high. Watch 12,242 (Cam S4).
BATS / IMB - CONTINUING: both on 5-day losing streaks, RSI 38.9 / 36.3, below POC.



EVENTS CALENDAR
Wed 22 Jul, 07:00 - UK June CPI (ONS). May print was 2.8%; services 3.7%. The key domestic event, note it is NEXT week.
This week - Q2 earnings season builds: US banks already beating; UK updates due from Frasers, Burberry, Ocado and the major housebuilders.
Ongoing - US-Iran conflict / Strait of Hormuz closure: Brent near $80, +4% Monday. Primary tape risk for oil, defence and rate-sensitive names.
Early Aug - BP Q2 results (positive pre-announcement 14 Jul); Shell has flagged stronger gas trading but Qatar output disruption.
US - Rate-cut bets building after the soft June CPI print; watch Fed speakers this week.

Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Tuesday 14 July 2026
Data: close 13 Jul (latest scanner snapshot, 40 names) · UKX cash close: 10,498.29 (+0.01%) · Futures: front contract ranged 10,353-10,437.5 overnight (Barchart) - Sep contract trades below cash partly on dividend discount; news tone points to a modestly softer open




MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 closed Monday virtually flat at 10,498.29 after a volatile session - an early spike to 10,532 faded to 10,465 before recovering into the close. The dominant driver remains the US-Iran escalation and conflicting claims over shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, which pushed Brent crude toward $80 and lifted the energy majors while the wider tape churned.
Futures note: the front FTSE future (Sep) printed 10,353-10,437.5 overnight per Barchart - below the cash close, but a chunk of that gap is the quarterly contract dividend discount, NOT a directional signal. Pre-open press (Sunday Guardian) expects a modestly lower start on Middle East risk.
Big macro today: US CPI (June) lands this afternoon UK time - headline expected around -0.1% m/m on the oil unwind, core +0.2%. Fed Chair Warsh testifies to the House today and the Senate tomorrow. Expect the London afternoon to take its cue from the CPI print.
Under the surface Monday was a clear rotation day: oil (BP +4.2%, SHEL +2.3%), telecoms (VOD +5.2%) and beaten-down media/software (WPP +3.0%, SGE +2.8%, REL +2.4%, EXPN +2.3%) led, while banks (LLOY -1.4%, NWG -1.3%, STAN -1.2%), tobacco (BATS -1.6%) and AZN (-1.3%) lagged.




NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day)
BP - RSI surged +10.3 pts to 53.4, crossed ABOVE EMA20 AND EMA200 on a +4.2% day. Week +5.9%. The standout fresh breakout.
VOD - +5.2% and crossed ABOVE POC. Week +17.5%, weekly RSI +39.8 pts - strongest momentum in the universe.
PRU - crossed ABOVE EMA50, EMA200 AND POC in one session - triple reclaim.
SHEL - crossed ABOVE EMA50, RSI +5.9 pts to 56.8. Oil tailwind.
DGE - crossed ABOVE EMA20, EMA50 AND POC - early-stage recovery attempt off the lows.
SGE / REL - both crossed ABOVE EMA50 with RSI +5.7 / +6.1 pts - rotation into oversold quality.
NWG - crossed BELOW EMA20 - first crack in a long uptrend.
RR. - crossed BELOW EMA20, -2.0% on the day.
AZN - 4-day down streak, week -11.85%, weekly RSI -23.2 pts. Still no base.




SECTOR HEATMAP
STRONG: Energy (BP +4.2, SHEL +2.3 - Hormuz/Brent bid) · Telecoms (VOD +5.2) · Media/Software (WPP +3.0, SGE +2.8, REL +2.4, EXPN +2.3 - multiple names crossed EMAs together, genuine rotation)
NEUTRAL: Utilities (NG +1.1, SSE +0.7 both reclaimed EMAs) · Staples mixed (DGE +1.5, ABF +1.2 vs ULVR -0.5, TSCO -0.4) · Insurance mixed (PRU +0.9 vs AV -0.9, LGEN -0.6)
WEAK: Banks - all five red (LLOY -1.4, NWG -1.3, STAN -1.2, HSBA -0.8, BARC -0., profit-taking in the strongest sector of the year · Tobacco (BATS -1.6, IMB -1.0, both on 4-day down streaks) · Pharma (AZN -1.3) · Defence (RR. -2.0, BAE -0.2)




DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS
VOD +5.22% · Bull above all · RSI 67.7 (RSI +7.3) · MACD+ · -11.6% off 52wH · above POC
BP +4.15% · Mixed: above EMA20/EMA200, below EMA50 (509.1) · RSI 53.4 (RSI +10.3) · MACD+ · -17.5% off 52wH · below POC
WPP +2.95% · Bull above 20/50 · RSI 61.1 · MACD+ · -36.2% off 52wH · above POC
SGE +2.83% · Bull above 20/50 · RSI 55.0 (RSI +5.7) · MACD+ · -36.1% off 52wH · below POC
REL +2.44% · Bull above 20/50 · RSI 56.0 (RSI +6.1) · MACD+ · -38.5% off 52wH · below POC
EXPN +2.27% · Bull above 20/50 · RSI 58.2 (RSI +5.4) · MACD+ · -34.7% off 52wH · above POC
SHEL +2.25% · Bull above all · RSI 56.8 (RSI +5.9) · MACD+ · -13.5% off 52wH · below POC
DGE +1.54% · Bull above 20/50 · RSI 53.2 · MACD- · -27.8% off 52wH · above POC
NG +1.14% · Mixed: above EMA20/EMA200, below EMA50 (1240.6) · RSI 51.9 · MACD+ · -13.2% off 52wH · below POC
PRU +0.86% · Bull above all · RSI 56.6 · MACD+ · -15.0% off 52wH · above POC
HLN +0.94% · Bull above all · RSI 65.9 · MACD+ · -12.2% off 52wH · above POC
III -0.33% · Bull above 20/50 · RSI 70.2 overbought · MACD+ · -40.1% off 52wH · above POC
BNZL +0.22% · Bull above all · RSI 65.6 · MACD- · -0.7% off 52wH · above POC
STAN -1.22% · Bull above all · RSI 56.6 · MACD- · -2.8% off 52wH · above POC
LLOY -1.43% · Bull above all · RSI 56.0 · MACD- · -4.7% off 52wH · above POC
BARC -0.76% · Bull above all · RSI 55.5 · MACD- · -4.3% off 52wH · above POC
HSBA -0.82% · Bull above all · RSI 58.0 · MACD- · -11.8% off 52wH · above POC
NWG -1.33% · Mixed: below EMA20 (654.0), above EMA50/EMA200 · RSI 53.1 · MACD- · -7.3% off 52wH · above POC
RR. -2.00% · Mixed: below EMA20 (1413.0), above EMA50/EMA200 · RSI 52.5 · MACD- · -8.0% off 52wH · above POC
AZN -1.34% · Bear below all · RSI 34.8 · MACD- · -19.5% off 52wH · below POC
RIO -0.15% · Bear below 20/50 · RSI 34.7 · MACD- · -26.0% off 52wH · below POC
GLEN +1.02% · Bear below 20/50 · RSI 41.6 · MACD+ fresh cross · -24.0% off 52wH · below POC
BATS -1.59% · Bear below 20/50 · RSI 39.7 · MACD- · -17.6% off 52wH · below POC
IMB -1.03% · Bear below all · RSI 38.0 · MACD- · -19.6% off 52wH · below POC
BAE -0.22% · Bear below all · RSI 43.8 · MACD+ · -21.7% off 52wH · below POC
RTO +0.11% · Bear below all · RSI 46.5 · MACD+ · -13.1% off 52wH · below POC
AAL -0.80% · Bear below 20/50 · RSI 43.8 · MACD- · -15.3% off 52wH · below POC
ANTO -0.58% · Bear below 20/50 · RSI 46.5 · MACD- · -16.1% off 52wH · below POC
All 40 EMA classifications verified programmatically: close vs EMA20/50/200, zero mismatches. Volume caveat: relative volume was thin across the board Monday (most names rv 0.2-0.7) - conviction is moderate, widen stops slightly.




TOP SWING SETUPS
1. BP - LONG (NEW - triggered Monday)
The cleanest fresh signal: +4.2% with RSI +10.3 pts, reclaimed EMA20 (489.2) AND EMA200 (492.1) in one bar. Only EMA50 (509.1) overhead, which caps it as Mixed for now - a close above 509 completes the reclaim. Brent tailwind. rv 0.63.
Entry: 504-506 (above Cam R2 504.88) · Stop: 489 (below EMA200/EMA20, ~1 ATR) · T1: 527.9 (POC) · T2: 540 · R:R: 1.5 / 2.3
Confluence: EMA200 reclaim + classic R1 507 near EMA50 509 - once through 509, little until POC.
2. SHEL - LONG (NEW - EMA50 cross Monday)
Bull above all EMAs after crossing EMA50 (3086.7), RSI 56.8 (+5.9). POC 3135.6 just overhead is first target. rv 0.58.
Entry: 3090-3095 pullback (pivot 3092.6 = Cam S3 3092.4 confluence) · Stop: 3038 (below classic S2 3039.3, ~1 ATR) · T1: 3179.7 (R3) · T2: 3260 · R:R: 1.6 / 3.1
3. PRU - LONG (NEW - triple reclaim Monday)
Crossed above EMA50 (1043.2), EMA200 (1051.0) AND POC (1046.5) in one session - now Bull above all. RSI 56.6 with room. rv 0.49.
Entry: 1053-1056 (above Cam R1, EMA200 confirmed as support) · Stop: 1034 (below classic S2 1034. · T1: 1073.9 (R3) · T2: 1100 · R:R: 1.1 / 2.4
Half size until it holds 1051 on a closing basis.
4. VOD - LONG pullback only (CONTINUING)
Week +17.5%, weekly RSI +39.8 pts, crossed above POC (111.2). RSI 67.7 - do NOT chase; buy the dip if offered. rv 0.71, best volume in the book.
Entry: 112.1-112.7 (classic S1 112.13 / Cam S4 112.66 zone) · Stop: 108.3 (below S2 108.42, ~1 ATR) · T1: 117.9 (R1) · T2: 120.0 (R2) · R:R: 1.4 / 1.9
5. DGE - LONG speculative recovery (NEW)
Crossed above EMA20 (1529.5), EMA50 (1526.3) AND POC (1524. Monday - first constructive structure in months. Still 27.8% off the 52w high, EMA200 miles away at 1641.6. rv only 0.36 - thin, so half size.
Entry: 1548-1555 (holding above the 1525-1530 EMA/POC cluster) · Stop: 1492 (below Cam S2 1495.5) · T1: 1625.5 (Cam R3) · T2: 1652.5 (classic R1) · R:R: 1.3 / 1.7




INTRADAY SETUPS
1. BP - Camarilla breakout LONG
Entry: break and hold above Cam R4 509.25 (also clears EMA50 509.1 - double trigger) · Stop: 505.5 (below Cam R3 505.97) · T1: 518.9 (classic R3) · R:R: ~2.6. Why: R4 break + EMA50 reclaim in a trending oil tape is the highest-energy combo on the board.
2. SHEL - pivot bounce LONG
Entry: 3092-3095 (classic pivot 3092.6 stacked on Cam S3 3092.4) · Stop: 3071 (below classic S1 3073.2) · T1: 3126.4 (R1) · T2: 3136 (POC/Cam R4) · R:R: 1.6 / 2.0. Why: rare exact pivot/Camarilla confluence; oil bid supportive.
3. VOD - Camarilla S3 bounce LONG
Entry: 114.2-114.3 (Cam S3 114.26 = classic pivot 114.22 confluence) · Stop: 111.9 (below classic S1 112.13) · T1: 116.91 (Cam R2) · T2: 117.93 (classic R1) · R:R: 1.1 / 1.6. Why: strongest momentum name; buy dips to confluence, never fade it.
4. AZN - breakdown SHORT
Entry: break below Cam S4 12517 (classic S1 12535.7 just above = failed support) · Stop: 12675 (back above pivot 12672. · T1: 12408.8 (classic S2) · T2: 12271.7 (S3) · R:R: 0.7 / 1.5. Why: 4-day down streak, Bear below all EMAs, no bid. T2 is the trade; skip if CPI squeezes the open.
5. NWG - breakdown SHORT
Entry: break below Cam S4 646.0 (classic S1 648 gone) · Stop: 654.5 (back above Cam S1/EMA20 654.0) · T1: 642.4 (classic S2) · T2: 634.2 (S3) · R:R: 0.5 / 1.4. Why: fresh EMA20 loss after a huge run; banks sector-wide red. T2 or nothing - small size.




KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
BP (502.7)
Cam: S4 496.16 · S3 499.43 · S1 501.61 || R1 503.79 · R3 505.97 · R4 509.25
Classic: S3 483.23 · S2 487.57 · S1 495.13 · Piv 499.47 · R1 507.03 · R2 511.37 · R3 518.93
EMA20 489.2 · EMA50 509.1 · EMA200 492.1 · POC 527.86 · Prev H/L 503.8/491.9 · 52w 609.4/393.3
SHEL (3107)
Cam: S4 3077.71 · S3 3092.36 · S1 3102.12 || R1 3111.88 · R3 3121.64 · R4 3136.29
Classic: S3 3019.92 · S2 3039.33 · S1 3073.17 · Piv 3092.58 · R1 3126.42 · R2 3145.83 · R3 3179.67
EMA20 3018.4 · EMA50 3086.7 · EMA200 3003.7 · POC 3135.64 · Prev H/L 3112/3058.75 · 52w 3591.5/2553.77
VOD (115.85)
Cam: S4 112.66 · S3 114.26 · S1 115.32 || R1 116.38 · R3 117.45 · R4 119.04
Classic: S3 106.33 · S2 108.42 · S1 112.13 · Piv 114.22 · R1 117.93 · R2 120.02 · R3 123.73
EMA20 104.9 · EMA50 107.9 · EMA200 103.4 · POC 111.23 · Prev H/L 116.3/110.5 · 52w 131.1/80.68
PRU (1052)
Cam: S4 1043.62 · S3 1047.81 · S1 1050.60 || R1 1053.40 · R3 1056.19 · R4 1060.38
Classic: S3 1028.18 · S2 1034.84 · S1 1043.42 · Piv 1050.08 · R1 1058.66 · R2 1065.32 · R3 1073.90
EMA20 1025.2 · EMA50 1043.2 · EMA200 1051.0 · POC 1046.47 · Prev H/L 1056.74/1041.5 · 52w 1238/910.2
AZN (12662.5)
Cam: S4 12517.3 · S3 12589.9 · S1 12638.3 || R1 12686.7 · R3 12735.1 · R4 12807.7
Classic: S3 12271.67 · S2 12408.83 · S1 12535.67 · Piv 12672.83 · R1 12799.67 · R2 12936.83 · R3 13063.67
EMA20 13710.6 · EMA50 13810.4 · EMA200 13545.0 · POC 13708.63 · Prev H/L 12810/12546 · 52w 15730/10178




BEARISH WARNINGS
NWG - FRESH: crossed below EMA20 (654.0) Monday. First warning shot in the best-performing bank. Below 642 (S2) the pullback deepens toward EMA50 629.
RR. - FRESH: crossed below EMA20 (1413.0), -2.0%. rv just 0.18 so far, but a second close below 1413 targets the EMA50 zone 1347.
AZN - Bear below all EMAs, 4-day down streak, week -11.85%, weekly RSI -23.2 pts. RSI 34.8 is low but there is no reversal signal yet - do not knife-catch above 12,272 (S3).
RIO - RSI 34.7, below EMA20/50, rv 0.71 (heaviest in the miners) - distribution, not apathy. EMA200 6648.1 is the line; a close below opens 6,400s.
BATS / IMB - both on 4-day down streaks, below POC, tobacco bid gone (BATS RSI 39.7, IMB 38.0).
AV - MACD bearish crossover, weekly RSI -19.5 pts - the insurance laggard vs PRU strength.




EVENTS CALENDAR
Tue 14 Jul: US CPI June (exp ~-0.1% m/m headline on the oil unwind, core +0.2% - the day's main event) · Fed Chair Warsh testimony, House Financial Services · UK: Ashmore, Hunting, Robert Walters, Watches of Switzerland trading statements (none in tracked set)
Wed 15 Jul: ANTO trading statement (tracked - copper volumes key; ANTO is Bear below 20/50, a strong print could squeeze) · Barratt Redrow + Ferrexpo statements · Warsh testimony, Senate Banking
Thu 16 Jul: US initial claims (cons ~220k)
Fri 17 Jul: EU CPI June (exp 2.8% y/y from 3.2%)
Ongoing: US-Iran / Strait of Hormuz headlines remain the dominant tape risk for oil, BP, SHEL and the wider index.




Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Monday 13 July 2026
Data: close Friday 10 July - latest FTSE scanner snapshot (no new scan posted for today yet) · UKX: 10,497.29 (+24.84, +0.24%) · Futures: 10,425.1



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 closed Friday at 10,497.29, up 24.84 points (+0.24%), having ranged 10,462.75 - 10,513.90. Despite Friday's gain the index finished the week down 1.7%; the FTSE 250 lost 0.7% and AIM All-Share 1.7%.

Futures are quoted at 10,425.1 (session range 10,353.0 - 10,437.5, source: Investing.com UK 100 futures). That sits roughly 72 points BELOW Friday's cash close. Contract-roll note: a discount of this size is consistent with the dividend discount on the forward contract through a heavy July-September dividend window, and is NOT by itself a directional signal. Read alongside a constructive Friday news tone, the honest read is NEUTRAL to marginally softer - not a gap-down.

Drivers into today: Friday's tape was M&A-led. Vodafone closed +12.5% after Vega agreed to buy e&'s entire 16.2% stake for GBP 4.4bn, making Xavier Niel the largest shareholder subject to regulatory approval. easyJet jumped on an agreement in principle over a GBP 5.7bn Apollo proposal. Offsetting that, AstraZeneca is the week's index drag, and Middle East risk remains a live overhang.

Breadth (40-stock scanner universe, strict EMA test):
BULLISH (above all three EMAs): 15
BULLISH above 20/50, below 200: 6
MIXED: 6
BEARISH below 20/50, above 200: 7
BEARISH (below all three EMAs): 6

21 of 40 names hold both the 20 and 50 EMA. Leadership is banks and financials; the drag is miners, oil and defence. All 40 EMA classifications were re-checked programmatically against close vs each EMA: zero mismatches.



NOTABLE CHANGES (day over day)

VOD +12.54% - the standout. RSI surged 33.8 points to 60.4, crossed ABOVE EMA20, EMA50 AND EMA200 in a single session, MACD bullish crossover, heavy volume (rv 1.96 - the only genuine-volume name in the whole universe). Week +12.21%. Event-driven, not technical.

WPP +4.54% - crossed ABOVE EMA50 and ABOVE POC (268.47). RSI +6.6 to 56.1. Week +5.8%. Still below EMA200 (312.11), so this is a counter-trend recovery, not a trend change.

RTO -0.94% - the freshest breakdown in the book. Crossed BELOW EMA20 AND BELOW EMA200 on the same day, and is now BEARISH below all three EMAs.

AZN -2.34% - third consecutive down day. Week -8.1%, RSI week -15.9 points to 37.3. Below all three EMAs and 17.9% below its 52-week high.

BAE +0.16% but week -8.3% - RSI down 21.2 points on the week; below all three EMAs. NOTE: Friday's low field for BAE prints at 1564 (exactly its 52-week low), which looks like a bad tick - treat BAE pivot and Camarilla levels as UNRELIABLE today.

GSK MACD bearish crossover, below EMA20/EMA50. · ULVR MACD bearish crossover (still above 20/50). · BATS crossed BELOW POC. · LSEG crossed ABOVE EMA50. · REL and SGE crossed ABOVE EMA20.

Volume health warning: outside VOD (rv 1.96), relative volume across the universe is thin - the median sits near 0.35 and several names print below 0.25 (BNZL 0.16, SGE 0.13, TSCO 0.15, ADM 0.21, ANTO 0.19). Widen stops and reduce conviction on any breakout that fires on this kind of participation.



SECTOR HEATMAP

BANKS AND FINANCIALS - LEADING. HSBA (+1.07%, above all EMAs, ADX 32., STAN (+0.71%, above all EMAs, 1.8% off 52w high), BARC (+0.92%), LLOY (+0.09%, ADX 37.7), NWG (-0.03%), LGEN (+0.28%), AV (+0.70%), ADM (-1.20%), III (+1.43%, RSI 71.0). Nine of eleven financials sit above all three EMAs. This is where the index strength lives.

TELECOM AND MEDIA - RECOVERING. VOD (+12.54%), WPP (+4.54%), REL (+1.64%), INF (+0.79%). A genuine group move, though VOD and WPP are event/valuation-driven rather than trend-driven.

MINING - WEAK. RIO (+1.20% but RSI 34.5, MACD -246., AAL (+0.84%), ANTO (+1.88%), GLEN (-0.49%). Every miner bounced on Friday, yet ALL FOUR remain below both the EMA20 and EMA50 and all four sit below their POC. This is a bounce inside a downtrend, not a base.

ENERGY - WEAK. BP (-0.16%, below all three EMAs), SHEL (-0.03%, above EMA20 and EMA200 but below EMA50, week +4.38%). SHEL is the better of the two.

DEFENCE AND SUPPORT SERVICES - DETERIORATING. BAE (week -8.3%), RR. (week -5.01%, RSI -18 on the week, but still above all three EMAs), RTO (fresh breakdown below all three). BNZL is the exception: +1.51%, RSI 65.3, 0.9% off its 52-week high.

PHARMA AND STAPLES - MIXED. AZN bearish, GSK below 20/50, IMB below all three, BATS below 20/50 and now below POC, DGE below all three - against HLN, TSCO, ABF and ULVR holding above their 20/50. The defensives are splitting rather than moving together.

UTILITIES - FLAT. NG (+0.10%, below 20/50) and SSE (+0.12%, above EMA20 and EMA200, below EMA50). No signal.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS

Format: Ticker - Close - Trend (strict EMA) - RSI - MACD - % from 52w high - day change - vs POC

VOD - 110.15 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 60.4 (+33. - MACD bull cross - 16.0% off high - +12.54% - BELOW POC 111.35
III - 2697 - BULLISH above 20/50, below 200 - RSI 71.0 OVERBOUGHT - MACD 92.7 above signal 65.1 - 40.0% off high - +1.43% - ABOVE POC
BNZL - 2690 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 65.3 - MACD 56.2 below signal 58.1 - 0.9% off high - +1.51% - ABOVE POC
HLN - 362.4 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 64.1 - MACD 6.8 above signal 5.1 - 12.9% off high - +0.49% - ABOVE POC
LGEN - 291.2 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 63.4 - MACD 4.87 below signal 5.33 - 2.9% off high - +0.28% - ABOVE POC
ADM - 3636 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 62.6 (-5.4) - MACD 79.3 above signal 68.0 - 2.5% off high - -1.20% - ABOVE POC
HSBA - 1471.6 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 61.2 - MACD 21.14 below signal 21.31 - 11.0% off high - +1.07% - ABOVE POC
LLOY - 112.15 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 60.9 - MACD 3.02 below signal 3.15 - 3.3% off high - +0.09% - ABOVE POC
INF - 895.6 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 60.6 - MACD 18.8 below signal 21.7 - 10.4% off high - +0.79% - ABOVE POC
RKT - 5036 - BULLISH above 20/50, below 200 - RSI 60.2 - MACD 112.5 above signal 95.4 - 22.7% off high - +0.52% - ABOVE POC
STAN - 2121 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 59.6 - MACD 43.6 below signal 44.0 - 1.8% off high - +0.71% - ABOVE POC
ABF - 1987 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 58.9 - MACD 22.26 below signal 22.31 - 15.8% off high - +1.40% - ABOVE POC
NWG - 664.0 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 57.9 (week -15.1) - MACD 16.5 below signal 18.9 - 5.9% off high - -0.03% - ABOVE POC
ULVR - 4593.5 - BULLISH above 20/50, below 200 - RSI 57.7 - MACD BEARISH CROSS - 16.9% off high - +0.59% - ABOVE POC
BARC - 512.6 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 57.5 - MACD 12.6 below signal 15.3 - 3.5% off high - +0.92% - ABOVE POC
TSCO - 472.4 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 57.2 - MACD 3.50 above signal 1.81 - 9.3% off high - +0.75% - ABOVE POC
WPP - 271.7 - BULLISH above 20/50, below 200 - RSI 56.1 (+6.6) - MACD -2.50 above signal -4.28 - 38.7% off high - +4.54% - ABOVE POC (fresh cross)
RR. - 1430.4 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 56.0 (week -18) - MACD 39.5 below signal 46.8 - 6.7% off high - -0.56% - ABOVE POC
LSEG - 8892 - BULLISH above 20/50, below 200 - RSI 54.4 - MACD -25.3 above signal -113.9 - 19.1% off high - +1.48% - below POC
AV - 661.4 - BULLISH above all EMAs - RSI 60.4 (week -15.1) - MACD 10.3 above signal 9.7 - 5.6% off high - +0.70% - ABOVE POC
EXPN - 2620.8 - BULLISH above 20/50, below 200 - RSI 52.8 - MACD 15.1 above signal 2.8 - 36.1% off high - -0.39% - ABOVE POC
PRU - 1042.2 - MIXED above EMA20, below EMA50 and EMA200 - RSI 54.4 (+3.9) - MACD -1.9 above signal -8.0 - 15.8% off high - +1.53% - below POC
SHEL - 3040 - MIXED above EMA20 and EMA200, below EMA50 - RSI 50.9 - MACD -35.9 above signal -58.6 - 15.4% off high - -0.03% - below POC
SSE - 2428 - MIXED above EMA20 and EMA200, below EMA50 - RSI 51.1 - MACD 13.8 above signal 8.3 - 15.1% off high - +0.12% - below POC
REL - 2413 - MIXED above EMA20, below EMA50 and EMA200 - RSI 49.9 (+4.4) - MACD -20.3 above signal -29.6 - 40.1% off high - +1.64% - below POC
SGE - 831.2 - MIXED above EMA20, below EMA50 and EMA200 - RSI 49.3 - MACD -4.3 above signal -7.2 - 37.7% off high - +0.53% - below POC
CPG - 3217 - MIXED below EMA20, above EMA50 and EMA200 - RSI 49.7 - MACD flat - 14.2% off high - +1.32% - ABOVE POC
NG - 1229.5 - BEARISH below 20/50, above 200 - RSI 48.8 - MACD 1.2 above signal 0.1 - 13.9% off high - +0.10% - below POC
ANTO - 3786 - BEARISH below 20/50, above 200 - RSI 47.5 - MACD -64.1 below signal -49.8 - 15.4% off high - +1.88% - below POC
RTO - 441.8 - BEARISH below all EMAs - RSI 47.4 (-3.4) - MACD -1.75 above signal -4.02 - 12.9% off high - -0.94% - below POC - FRESH BREAKDOWN
AAL - 3603 - BEARISH below 20/50, above 200 - RSI 44.1 - MACD -77.0 below signal -53.0 - 15.0% off high - +0.84% - below POC
BAE - 1851 - BEARISH below all EMAs - RSI 43.9 (week -21.2) - MACD -3.9 above signal -9.6 - 21.6% off high - +0.16% - below POC
BATS - 4470.5 - BEARISH below 20/50, above 200 - RSI 43.5 - MACD -0.5 below signal 14.0 - 16.1% off high - -0.79% - below POC (fresh cross)
BP - 480.9 - BEARISH below all EMAs - RSI 43.1 - MACD -13.6 above signal -16.4 - 21.1% off high - -0.16% - below POC
IMB - 2717 - BEARISH below all EMAs - RSI 41.7 (-4.6) - MACD -7.9 below signal -4.5 - 18.7% off high - -1.27% - below POC
GLEN - 508.9 - BEARISH below 20/50, above 200 - RSI 38.3 - MACD -17.4 below signal -16.3 - 25.0% off high - -0.49% - below POC
AZN - 12912 - BEARISH below all EMAs - RSI 37.3 (-3.3) - MACD -1.4 below signal 85.0 - 17.9% off high - -2.34% - below POC
RIO - 6740 - BEARISH below 20/50, above 200 - RSI 34.5 - MACD -246.8 below signal -193.8 - 26.1% off high - +1.20% - below POC
GSK - 1959.5 - BEARISH below 20/50, above 200 - RSI 49.9 - MACD BEARISH CROSS - 14.1% off high - +0.08% - ABOVE POC
DGE - 1520.2 - BEARISH below all EMAs - RSI 49.0 - MACD -0.4 below signal 2.9 - 29.0% off high - +1.01% - below POC



TOP SWING SETUPS

1. STAN LONG - CONTINUING - highest quality
Above all three EMAs (2058.11 / 1975.49 / 1742.78), RSI 59.6, MACD 43.57 vs signal 43.97, ADX 21.8, POC 1941.88 sits 8.4% below price. Only 1.8% below its 52-week high of 2160. Do NOT chase Friday's close - wait for the pullback.
Entry: 2085 pullback (between close and EMA20) · Stop: 2040 (below EMA20 2058, 0.87 ATR) · T1: 2160 (52w high) · T2: 2225 · R:R: 1.7:1 to T1, 3.1:1 to T2
Confluence: EMA20 support, POC far below, sector leadership. ATR 51.8. Volume caveat: rv 0.64 - acceptable but not heavy.

2. HSBA LONG - CONTINUING
Above all three EMAs (1431.94 / 1392.24 / 1240.57), RSI 61.2, ADX 32.8 - the strongest trend reading among the large financials. POC 1380.30 is 6.2% below price.
Entry: 1465 (or on a break above Friday's 1475.8 high) · Stop: 1425 (below EMA20, 1.2 ATR) · T1: 1540 · T2: 1600 · R:R: 1.5:1 to T1, 2.8:1 to T2
Confluence: EMA20 1431.94 and rising, strong ADX, 11.0% below 52w high 1653.4 leaves room. ATR 35.1.

3. WPP LONG - NEW (triggered Friday) - counter-trend, size down
Crossed ABOVE EMA50 (263.66) and ABOVE POC (268.47) on +4.54%. RSI 56.1 (+6.6). Week +5.8%. This is a bounce in a broken chart - price remains far below EMA200 (312.11) and 38.7% below its 52-week high.
Entry: 270 · Stop: 254 (below Friday's 254.7 low, 1.25 ATR) · T1: 296.87 (classic R3) · T2: 312 (EMA200) · R:R: 1.7:1 to T1, 2.6:1 to T2
Confluence: POC reclaim plus EMA50 cross on the same bar. Risk: rv only 0.52 - the move lacks volume confirmation. Half size.

4. VOD LONG - NEW - event-driven, do NOT chase
Crossed above all three EMAs in one session on the Vega / e& stake news, RSI 60.4 (+33., rv 1.96 (genuinely heavy). But price closed at 110.15, still BELOW its POC at 111.35 - the volume shelf is directly overhead as resistance, and a 12.5% one-day gap on corporate news is exactly the kind of bar that gets partially retraced.
Entry: 107.80 on a retest (Friday low 107.45 / EMA50 107.57) · Stop: 103.00 (below EMA200 103.28, 1.35 ATR) · T1: 113.28 (classic R2) · T2: 118.00 · R:R: 1.1:1 to T1, 2.1:1 to T2
Only take this on the retest. Chasing at 110+ puts you long into the POC with a 12.5% gap under your feet. If the deal narrative sours, the whole bar fills.

5. RIO SHORT - CONTINUING - wait for the EMA200 break
RSI 34.5 (weakest in the universe), MACD -246.83 well below signal -193.75, ADX 36.8 confirming a strong downtrend, below EMA20 (7113.35) and EMA50 (7315.47), POC 7545.80 is 12% overhead, week -4.15%. The catch: price at 6740 is sitting just 1.4% above its EMA200 at 6646.92, and RSI 34.5 is close to oversold. This is a trigger-on-break trade, not an entry here.
Entry: 6690 on a confirmed break below EMA200 6646.92 · Stop: 6960 (0.99 ATR) · T1: 6400 · T2: 6150 · R:R: 1.1:1 to T1, 2.0:1 to T2
If EMA200 holds and RIO reclaims 6900, this thesis is void - stand aside. ATR 273.7.



INTRADAY SETUPS

1. HSBA - Camarilla range LONG (with trend)
Close 1471.6 sits inside the S3-R3 Camarilla band, and the daily trend is bullish above all EMAs - buy the low end.
Entry: 1466.27 (cam S3) · Stop: 1460.00 (below cam S4 1460.93) · T1: 1473.38 (cam R1) · T2: 1476.94 (cam R3) · R:R: 1.7:1
Why: strongest ADX in the financials (32., price above all three EMAs, POC far below. Fade weakness, do not fade strength.

2. STAN - Camarilla range LONG (with trend)
Close 2121 inside the S3-R3 band, trend bullish above all EMAs, 1.8% from a 52-week high.
Entry: 2111.51 (cam S3) · Stop: 2100.00 (below cam S4 2102.03) · T1: 2124.16 (cam R1) · T2: 2130.49 (cam R3) · R:R: 1.6:1
If STAN instead breaks cam R4 (2139.98) on the open, that is a momentum long toward the 2160 52-week high - a clean breakout trigger.

3. AZN - Camarilla range SHORT (with trend)
Below all three EMAs, RSI 37.3, three straight down days, POC 13751 far overhead. Sell strength into resistance.
Entry: 13084.70 (cam R3) - or scale in at cam R1 12969.57 · Stop: 13270 (above cam R4 13257.4) · T1: 12854.43 (cam S1) · T2: 12739.30 (cam S3) · R:R: 1.9:1 from cam R3
Note the huge ATR (560.2) - size the position off the ATR, not off the tight Camarilla spacing.

4. RIO - Camarilla range SHORT (with trend)
Friday's range was unusually tight (6719-6794) so the Camarilla band is compressed - expect expansion.
Entry: 6760.63 (cam R3) · Stop: 6790 (above cam R4 6781.25) · T1: 6733.13 (cam S1) · T2: 6698.75 (cam S4) · R:R: 2.1:1 to T2
Why: strongest downtrend in the book (ADX 36., MACD deeply negative, POC 12% overhead. Invalidated on a reclaim of 6900.

5. VOD - Camarilla breakout LONG (POC reclaim)
The clean trigger is a reclaim of the POC at 111.35, which also clears cam R3 (111.17).
Entry: 111.50 on a POC reclaim · Stop: 108.10 (below cam S4 108.12, 0.95 ATR) · T1: 113.28 (classic R2) · T2: 115.42 (classic R3) · R:R: 1.15:1 to T2
If VOD fails at the POC and loses cam S4 (108.12), the gap-fill trade back toward 105 opens up instead. Watch the level, do not assume the direction.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

VOD - 110.15
Cam: S4 108.12 · S3 109.13 · S1 109.81 || R1 110.49 · R3 111.17 · R4 112.19
Classic: S3 104.32 · S2 105.88 · S1 108.02 · Pivot 109.58 · R1 111.72 · R2 113.28 · R3 115.42
EMAs: 20 = 103.74 · 50 = 107.57 · 200 = 103.28 · POC 111.35 (price BELOW) · ATR 3.56
Prev day: H 111.15 · L 107.45 · 52w: H 131.10 · L 80.20

STAN - 2121
Cam: S4 2102.03 · S3 2111.51 · S1 2117.84 || R1 2124.16 · R3 2130.49 · R4 2139.98
Classic: S3 2067 · S2 2082 · S1 2101.5 · Pivot 2116.5 · R1 2136 · R2 2151 · R3 2170.5
EMAs: 20 = 2058.11 · 50 = 1975.49 · 200 = 1742.78 · POC 1941.88 (price ABOVE) · ATR 51.80
Prev day: H 2131.50 · L 2097 · 52w: H 2160 · L 1285

HSBA - 1471.6
Cam: S4 1460.93 · S3 1466.27 · S1 1469.82 || R1 1473.38 · R3 1476.94 · R4 1482.27
Classic: S3 1440.67 · S2 1448.53 · S1 1460.07 · Pivot 1467.93 · R1 1479.47 · R2 1487.33 · R3 1498.87
EMAs: 20 = 1431.94 · 50 = 1392.24 · 200 = 1240.57 · POC 1380.30 (price ABOVE) · ATR 35.08
Prev day: H 1475.80 · L 1456.40 · 52w: H 1653.40 · L 905.30

AZN - 12912
Cam: S4 12566.60 · S3 12739.30 · S1 12854.43 || R1 12969.57 · R3 13084.70 · R4 13257.40
Classic: S3 12032 · S2 12408 · S1 12660 · Pivot 13036 · R1 13288 · R2 13664 · R3 13916
EMAs: 20 = 13817.03 · 50 = 13855.36 · 200 = 13553.30 · POC 13751.12 (price BELOW) · ATR 560.16
Prev day: H 13412 · L 12784 · 52w: H 15730 · L 10178

RIO - 6740
Cam: S4 6698.75 · S3 6719.38 · S1 6733.13 || R1 6746.88 · R3 6760.63 · R4 6781.25
Classic: S3 6633 · S2 6676 · S1 6708 · Pivot 6751 · R1 6783 · R2 6826 · R3 6858
EMAs: 20 = 7113.35 · 50 = 7315.47 · 200 = 6646.92 · POC 7545.80 (price BELOW) · ATR 273.71
Prev day: H 6794 · L 6719 · 52w: H 9117 · L 4332.45



BEARISH WARNINGS

RTO - FRESHEST BREAKDOWN. Crossed BELOW EMA20 (443.09) and BELOW EMA200 (443.45) on the same session and is now bearish below all three EMAs at 441.80. POC 459.34 is now overhead resistance. RSI 47.4 and falling (-3.4). The two EMAs sit within 0.4 points of each other at 443 - that cluster is now the line in the sand. Below it, the path to the classic S3 at 427.83 is open.

AZN - THE INDEX DRAG. Three consecutive down days, week -8.1%, RSI 37.3 (week -15.9), below all three EMAs, MACD -1.38 versus a signal line still up at 85.01 - that spread is the sign of a fast, recent breakdown that has not yet stabilised. 17.9% below its 52-week high. Rallies into 12969 / 13084 are for selling until it reclaims the EMA200 at 13553.

BAE - MOMENTUM COLLAPSE. Week -8.3%, RSI down 21.2 points on the week to 43.9, below all three EMAs (1897.22 / 1935.36 / 1937.40), POC 1956.13 far above. The EMA50 and EMA200 are converging at ~1936 - that is heavy overhead supply. DATA CAVEAT: Friday's low field prints 1564, exactly the 52-week low, which is almost certainly a bad tick, so BAE's pivots and Camarilla levels are unusable today. Trade the EMA and POC levels only.

MINING COMPLEX. RIO (RSI 34.5), GLEN (RSI 38.3), AAL (RSI 44.1), ANTO (RSI 47.5) all bounced Friday and every one of them is still below its EMA20, its EMA50 and its POC. MACD is below signal on AAL, ANTO and GLEN. Friday's green candles were noise inside a downtrend. ANTO reports Q2 production on Wednesday - that is the event that decides whether this bounce has legs.

BP. Below all three EMAs, RSI 43.1, POC 529.05 is 10% overhead, 21.1% below its 52-week high. The weakest of the two oil majors by a distance - SHEL at least holds its EMA20 and EMA200.

TOBACCO AND STAPLES ROLLOVER. IMB below all three EMAs with RSI 41.7 (-4.6). BATS just crossed BELOW its POC (4495.22) and sits below EMA20/EMA50. GSK printed a MACD bearish crossover and is below EMA20/EMA50. DGE is below all three EMAs and 29.0% off its high. ULVR printed a MACD bearish crossover even while still holding above its EMA20 and EMA50 - that is the early warning, not yet the breakdown.



EVENTS CALENDAR

Monday 13 July - Trading statements: Grafton Group, Oxford Nanopore, PageGroup. No major macro release scheduled.
Tuesday 14 July - US CPI (14:30 UK) - the week's biggest macro print for risk appetite. UK trading statements: Ashmore, Hunting, Robert Walters, Watches of Switzerland, IntegraFin. Full-year results: BRCK Group, Sosandar.
Wednesday 15 July - ANTOFAGASTA (ANTO) Q2 production report - the only name in our 40-stock universe reporting this week, and the key read-across for the entire weak mining complex. Also: Barratt Redrow FY results (consensus ~17,200-17,800 completions, ~GBP 541m underlying PBT, +11% yoy), Cohort, Ferrexpo, Galliford Try.
Friday 17 July - EU CPI (June, consensus 3.2% to 2.8% yoy).
UK macro: the ONS release schedule for UK CPI and labour-market data this week could not be confirmed from a reliable source at the time of writing - check the ONS release calendar directly before positioning around it. I would rather flag the gap than guess a date.

Ex-dividend dates for the tracked universe were not verifiable from a reliable source this morning and are therefore omitted rather than guessed.



WHAT I AM ACTUALLY WATCHING

The single cleanest structural read: financials lead, resources lag, and that split has been consistent enough to trade with rather than against. STAN and HSBA are the highest-quality longs on the board, and both want a pullback rather than a chase. VOD is the loudest chart in the universe and also the one most likely to punish a late entry - the POC at 111.35 is the level that settles it. On the short side, RTO is the freshest technical break and RIO the strongest trend, but RIO needs the EMA200 at 6646.92 to give way before it is worth committing.

Biggest caveat: outside VOD, participation is thin. Breakouts on rv below 0.35 fail more often than they run. Trade smaller than the setups suggest until volume returns.


Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Friday 10 July 2026
Data: close 09 Jul 2026 (latest scanner snapshot) | UKX cash 10,472.45 (-0.16%) | Futures ~10,425 (opened 10,393, soft open)



MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 closed Thursday 09 Jul at 10,472.45, down 16.59 points (-0.16%) - a laggard versus a firmer Europe. The whole story was AstraZeneca, which slumped ~9% (our feed close -7.2% to 13,222) after the CARDIO-TTRansform Phase III trial of its gene-silencer with Ionis failed its primary cardiovascular endpoint, wiping roughly GBP19bn of value. Miners did the offsetting work: Anglo American, Antofagasta, Glencore and Rio all rallied hard.

Futures point to a soft open: the UK-100 future is trading around 10,425 (opened 10,393, session range 10,353-10,437), a shade below Thursday's cash close - no fresh catalyst, just Astra's weight still on the tape. Source: Investing.com UK-100 future, BBN Times / Sunday Guardian close reports. NOTE: levels below are the 09 Jul close snapshot, not live intraday.



NOTABLE CHANGES (day over day)
AZN - the big one: RSI -14.1pts, crossed BELOW EMA20, EMA50 and EMA200 in one session, MACD bearish crossover, dropped below POC, heavy volume (rv=2.0). Week -8.64%.
BAE - crossed BELOW EMA20, -4.0%, now below all EMAs. Third down day, week -6.67%.
BATS - crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50, MACD bearish (note: ex-dividend 09 Jul, 61.26p - part of the drop is mechanical).
GSK - crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50.
NG - crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50.
RIO - crossed ABOVE EMA200, +2.6%, RSI 31 (deeply oversold bounce).
STAN - crossed ABOVE EMA20, +3.4%, sits 2.5% off its 52-week high.
AAL - RSI surged +9.3pts, +5.7%. GLEN - RSI +12pts, +4.2%. RR. - crossed back ABOVE EMA20.



SECTOR HEATMAP
Miners BULLISH (day): AAL +5.7%, ANTO +5.4%, GLEN +4.2%, RIO +2.6% - a coordinated bounce, though all four remain below their EMA20/50 (still repairing).
Banks BULLISH: STAN +3.4%, HSBA +2.4%, NWG +2.0%, BARC +2.2%, LLOY +1.4% - the strongest structural sector, all above every EMA.
Pharma BEARISH: AZN -7.2%, GSK -1.1% (fresh EMA breaks), REL and DGE weak.
Energy soft: BP -2.0% (below all EMAs), SHEL -1.3% (mixed, below EMA50).
Defence: BAE -4.0% - broke down, now below all EMAs.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS
BULLISH (above all EMAs): STAN, HSBA, NWG, BARC, LLOY, RR., ABF, ADM, AV, BNZL, HLN, INF, LGEN, TSCO.
Above 20/50 but below EMA200 (recovering): III, RKT, ULVR, EXPN.
MIXED: SHEL (>20 <50 >200), SSE (>20 <50 >200), RTO (>20 <50 >200), CPG (<20 >50 >200), PRU (>20 <50 <200), LSEG (>20 <50 <200), WPP (>20 <50 <200).
Below 20/50, above EMA200: AAL, ANTO, GLEN, RIO, GSK, NG, BATS.
BEARISH (below all EMAs): AZN, BAE, BP, DGE, IMB, REL, SGE, VOD.
Momentum extremes: VOD RSI 26.6 and RIO RSI 31.1 deeply oversold; ADM 68 and III 69 stretched to the upside.



TOP SWING SETUPS

STAN - continuation long (NEW)
BULLISH, above all EMAs, above POC (1938), just crossed above EMA20, 2.5% off the 52-week high (2160). RSI 58 with room.
Entry: 2106 | Stop: 2051 (below EMA20, ~1 ATR) | T1: 2160 | T2: 2200 | R:R: ~1.7 to T2

HSBA - continuation long (CONTINUING)
BULLISH, above all EMAs, above POC (1379), +2.4% on the day, RSI 58.
Entry: 1456 | Stop: 1428 (EMA20) | T1: 1478 (R2) | T2: 1520 | R:R: ~2.3 to T2

RR. - momentum long (CONTINUING)
BULLISH, reclaimed EMA20 today, well above POC (1272), RSI 57, only 6% off 52-week high.
Entry: 1438 | Stop: 1411 (EMA20) | T1: 1490 | T2: 1532 (52wH) | R:R: ~3.5 to T2

RIO - tactical oversold bounce only (NEW, counter-trend)
RSI 31, reclaimed EMA200 today, but still below EMA20/50 and far below POC (7552). Bounce trade, not a trend trade - keep it tight.
Entry: 6660 | Stop: 6560 (below prev low / EMA200) | T1: 6752 (R2) | T2: 6900 | R:R: ~2.4 to T2

AZN - avoid longs / momentum lower
Fresh break of all three EMAs on 2x volume, MACD bearish, below POC. Crash bar risks a dead-cat bounce, but structure is now BEARISH. No long until it reclaims 13,560 (EMA200).



INTRADAY SETUPS

STAN - Camarilla breakout (long): over R1 2110 aim R3 2118 then R4 2131; stop back under pivot 2095.

HSBA - pivot/range long: hold above pivot 1451 and Cam R1 1458 for a push to R2 1478; fail below 1440 (Cam S4) voids it.

AZN - Camarilla breakdown (short): under Cam S3 13,067 target S4 12,913; a reclaim of 13,170 (Cam S1) is the stop - watch for a violent bounce given the -7% bar.

RIO - Cam range bounce (long, tactical): off Cam S1 6649 / S3 6628 toward pivot 6634 then R1 6671; below 6596 (S4) stand aside.

BAE - trend continuation (short): below prev low 1845 target 1817 (classic S1) then 1786 (S2); stop back above 1876 (pivot).



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

AZN (13,222) Cam: S4 12,913 | S3 13,067 | S1 13,170 || R1 13,274 | R3 13,377 | R4 13,531 - Classic S3 12,311 / R3 13,997 - EMA20 13,912 | EMA50 13,894 | EMA200 13,560 | POC 13,782 - prev H/L 13,300 / 12,738 - 52w 15,730 / 10,178

RIO (6,660) Cam: S4 6,596 | S3 6,628 | S1 6,649 || R1 6,671 | R3 6,692 | R4 6,724 - Classic S3 6,472 / R3 6,823 - EMA20 7,153 | EMA50 7,339 | EMA200 6,646 | POC 7,552 - prev H/L 6,680 / 6,563 - 52w 9,117 / 4,332

STAN (2,106) Cam: S4 2,081 | S3 2,094 | S1 2,102 || R1 2,110 | R3 2,118 | R4 2,131 - Classic S3 2,033 / R3 2,168 - EMA20 2,051 | EMA50 1,970 | EMA200 1,739 | POC 1,938 - prev H/L 2,112 / 2,067 - 52w 2,160 / 1,266

HSBA (1,456) Cam: S4 1,441 | S3 1,449 | S1 1,454 || R1 1,458 | R3 1,463 | R4 1,471 - Classic S1 1,440 / R2 1,478 - EMA20 1,428 | EMA50 1,389 | EMA200 1,238 | POC 1,379 - 52wH 1,653

BAE (1,848) Cam: S4 1,798 | S3 1,823 | S1 1,840 || R1 1,856 | R3 1,873 | R4 1,898 - Classic S3 1,727 / R3 1,998 - EMA20 1,902 | EMA50 1,939 | EMA200 1,938 | POC 1,960 - prev H/L 1,936 / 1,846 - 52w 2,360 / 1,581



BEARISH WARNINGS
AZN - fresh triple-EMA breakdown on heavy volume; trend now down, do not catch it until 13,560 reclaimed.
BAE - just lost EMA20 and now sits below all EMAs; 3-day losing streak, momentum lower.
GSK - lost EMA20 and EMA50 today; pharma weakness spreading beyond Astra.
NG - lost EMA20 and EMA50; utilities softening.
VOD - RSI 26.6, below all EMAs and 12% below POC - oversold but a falling knife, no long signal yet.
BP - below all EMAs, RSI 43, ~21% off the 52-week high.



EVENTS CALENDAR
Ex-dividend: BATS went ex-div 09 Jul (61.26p, pay 14 Aug) - explains part of yesterday's drop. SSE ex-div 23 Jul.
Watch the UK macro calendar this week for GDP and industrial/manufacturing production prints (ONS) - check Investing.com / ONS release calendar for exact timing.
Corporate: US Q2 bank earnings kick off mid-July and set the tone for STAN, HSBA, BARC, LLOY, NWG.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.