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FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
2 days 23 hours ago #18569
by remo
Friday 22 May 2026
Data: Close 21 May | UKX: ~10,440 (consolidating, range 10,150-10,470 since mid-May) | Futures: no reliable real-time print confirmed - see note
1. MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 closed Thursday 21 May around the 10,440 area, holding near the top of a tight 10,150-10,470 range that has held since mid-May. Index has been consolidating just below all-time-high territory rather than trending.
Macro backdrop (verified):
- UK CPI fell to 2.8% in April (below the 3.0% forecast, lowest since March 2025) - supportive for rate-cut expectations and a tailwind for the index.
- Brent crude rose to ~$104.5 (+1.9%), elevated on Middle East / Iran tension - a tailwind for energy weight.
- Copper firm near $6.25/lb (+2% the prior session) on improved risk appetite - supportive for the miners.
- Gold elevated near $4,500 on safe-haven demand.
- GfK consumer confidence weak at -25 (April) - the soft spot in an otherwise constructive backdrop.
Futures note: Per our own rule, we do not fabricate futures levels. A reliable, internally-consistent real-time FTSE futures print for the 22 May session could not be confirmed (the only futures-tagged figure found conflicted with cash by ~3% and was clearly stale). Trade the cash levels below; treat direction as range-bound until 10,470 breaks or 10,150 gives way.
2. NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day / week)
BULLISH BAE - Crossed ABOVE EMA200, MACD bullish crossover, 4-day up streak, week +5.87%, RSI +15.3pts on the week. The cleanest fresh momentum signal in the list.
BULLISH NG - Crossed ABOVE EMA20, 4-day up streak, week +7.0% (top weekly mover), RSI +19.6pts (biggest weekly RSI gain).
BULLISH ADM - 4-day up streak, week +6.78%, RSI +16.3pts; sits above all EMAs.
BULLISH BARC - MACD bullish crossover, 4-day up streak, week +4.73%.
STRONG GLEN / TSCO / RKT / HLN - all reclaimed EMA20 today.
BEARISH VOD - Crossed BELOW EMA50 and BELOW POC, -2.10% on the day, RSI rolling to 44.5. Weakest name on the board.
WEAK BNZL - RSI dropped 5.5pts, -1.23%, momentum rolling over despite still being above EMAs.
WEAK LSEG / SHEL crossed BELOW EMA20; NWG crossed BELOW EMA50.
3. SECTOR HEATMAP
STRONG - Mining: RIO +1.83, ANTO +2.33, GLEN +1.64, AAL +0.93 - all green, all above POC, copper bid. Best-aligned sector today.
STRONG - Utilities: SSE +2.14, NG +1.67 - both in clear recovery, leading weekly RSI gains.
FIRM - Banks: HSBA, LLOY, BARC, STAN all Bull (above all EMAs); STAN within 0.5% of its 52w high. Watch NWG - it just lost EMA50.
MIXED - Insurance: ADM strong (above all EMAs, RSI 66); LGEN/PRU/AV firm but flatter.
MIXED - Energy: BP +0.43 (above all EMAs) vs SHEL -0.37 (lost EMA20) - a divergence despite higher oil.
WEAK - Media/Data: REL, EXPN, INF, WPP, LSEG - persistent downtrends, INF -1.22, all deep below 52w highs.
WEAK - Telecoms: VOD -2.10, breaking down through EMA50/POC.
4. DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS (selected)
Bull (above all EMAs): STAN (RSI 62.7), ADM (66.3), RIO (56.3), GLEN (55.7), AAL (54.1), ANTO (53.3), HSBA (57.4), LLOY (53.0), BARC (56.5), BP (53.6), LGEN (62.4), PRU (54.5), BATS (69.1 - near OB), CPG (59.
, BNZL (54.7), RR. (52.4)
Recovery (reclaiming EMAs): BAE (back above EMA200), NG (above 20/200, below 50), AZN (above 20/200, below 50), TSCO, DGE, SGE, WPP, INF (above 20/50, below 200)
Bear (below all EMAs): III (RSI 38.3), REL (44.6), EXPN (48.7), ULVR (47.7)
Bear (below 20/50): VOD (44.5), RTO (37.2), BAE-by-50, GSK (45.1), SSE (40.9 - but turning up)
Overbought watch: BATS 69.1, ADM 66.3, DGE 63.8, STAN 62.7, LGEN 62.4
5. TOP SWING SETUPS
STAN - 52-week-high breakout (CONTINUING)
Bull above all EMAs, RSI 62.7, closed 1944 just 0.5% under the 52w high 1954.5. POC 1703 far below - no overhead supply.
Entry: break >1955 · Stop: 1900 · T1: 2009 · T2: 2060 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:1.9
BAE - EMA200 reclaim (NEW today)
Crossed back above EMA200, MACD bullish crossover, ADX 31 (strong trend building), 4-day streak. Still below EMA20/50 so this is an early recovery entry.
Entry: 1956 (hold >EMA200 1952) · Stop: 1900 · T1: 2054 (EMA50) · T2: 2120 · R:R: 1:1.8 / 1:2.9
NG - EMA20 reclaim, top weekly mover (NEW)
Crossed above EMA20, week +7%, biggest weekly RSI gain (+19.6). Above EMA20 and EMA200, eyeing EMA50 at 1281.
Entry: 1276 (or pullback to 1271) · Stop: 1244 · T1: 1304 · T2: 1326 · R:R: 1:0.9 / 1:1.6
RIO - miners trend continuation (CONTINUING)
Bull above all EMAs, +1.83%, above POC 7078, copper supportive. RSI 56 leaves room.
Entry: 7780 (hold >EMA9 7742) · Stop: 7620 · T1: 7936 · T2: 8069 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:1.8
ADM - momentum continuation, buy the dip (CONTINUING)
Above all EMAs, 4-day streak, week +6.78%, above POC 3210. RSI 66 is hot - prefer a pullback rather than chasing.
Entry: 3450-3500 pullback · Stop: 3320 · T1: 3592 · T2: 3686 (52w high) · R:R: ~1:0.9 / 1:1.6
6. INTRADAY SETUPS (pivots / Camarilla)
STAN - Camarilla breakout long
Long on a break of Cam R4 1969.7 (also clears 52w high) = trend-day signal. Confluence: bull trend, RSI 62.
Entry: >1969.7 · Stop: 1956 · Target: classic R2 1982 then R3 2009
RIO - pivot-bounce long
Classic pivot 7725.7 sits right on Cam S3 7722 - strong confluence support with the uptrend.
Entry: 7722-7726 bounce · Stop: 7664 (Cam S4) · Target: Cam R3 7838 then R4 7896
VOD - fade the rally short
EMA9 113.7, EMA20 114.5, EMA50 113.6 and POC 113.2 all cluster at 113-114.5 = heavy resistance, price just broke below. Note: VOD classic pivots are distorted by a bad prior-high data point - use Camarilla only.
Entry: 113.5-114.5 (into the EMA/POC wall) · Stop: 116.0 · Target: Cam S1 109.8 then S3 106.2 · R:R: up to 1:3
ADM - pivot-bounce long with trend
Cam S3 3478.8 sits beside classic pivot 3476 - buy the dip into that confluence.
Entry: 3476-3479 · Stop: 3459 (Cam S4) · Target: Cam R3 3517 then R4 3536
III - dead-cat fade short
Bear below all EMAs (RSI 38) but bounced +2.71% today. EMA9 2274 caps the bounce. Counter-trend, keep it tight.
Entry: 2258-2275 (Cam R3 / EMA9) · Stop: 2280 (Cam R4) · Target: pivot 2224 then Cam S3 2217
7. KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
STAN (1944.1)
Cam: S4 1918.5 · S3 1931.3 · S1 1939.8 || R1 1948.4 · R3 1956.9 · R4 1969.7
Classic: S2 1889 · S1 1916.6 · Pivot 1935.5 · R1 1963.1 · R2 1982
EMA: 9 1901 · 20 1860.6 · 50 1793.8 · 200 1627.5 · POC 1702.7
PDH/PDL 1954.5 / 1908 · 52H/52L 1954.5 / 1113
ADM (3498)
Cam: S4 3459.5 · S3 3478.8 · S1 3491.6 || R1 3504.4 · R3 3517.2 · R4 3536.5
Classic: S2 3406 · S1 3452 · Pivot 3476 · R1 3522 · R2 3546
EMA: 9 3365 · 20 3331 · 50 3259 · 200 3159 · POC 3209.8
PDH/PDL 3500 / 3430 · 52H/52L 3686 / 2624
RIO (7780)
Cam: S4 7663.9 · S3 7722.0 · S1 7760.7 || R1 7799.3 · R3 7838.0 · R4 7896.1
Classic: S2 7514.7 · S1 7647.3 · Pivot 7725.7 · R1 7858.3 · R2 7936.7
EMA: 9 7742 · 20 7640 · 50 7344 · 200 6321 · POC 7078.1
PDH/PDL 7804 / 7593 · 52H/52L 8275 / 4110
NG (1276)
Cam: S4 1256.2 · S3 1266.1 · S1 1272.7 || R1 1279.3 · R3 1285.9 · R4 1295.8
Classic: S2 1232 · S1 1254 · Pivot 1268 · R1 1290 · R2 1304
EMA: 9 1260 · 20 1271 · 50 1281 · 200 1207 · POC 1291.3
PDH/PDL 1282 / 1246 · 52H/52L 1428.5 / 1000
VOD (111.61)
Cam: S4 100.8 · S3 106.2 · S1 109.8 || R1 113.4 · R3 117.0 · R4 122.4
EMA: 9 113.7 · 20 114.5 · 50 113.6 · 200 101.7 · POC 113.2
52H/52L 131.1 / 71.9 (classic pivots distorted by bad prior-high - ignore)
8. BEARISH WARNINGS
VOD - Just broke below EMA50 and POC today, -2.1%, RSI 44.5 and falling. Below EMA9/20/50, only EMA200 (101.7) below as support. Primary short.
III - Bear below all EMAs, deep multi-month downtrend, RSI 38. Today's +2.71% is a bounce into resistance, not a reversal.
RTO - Below EMA20/50, RSI 37.2 and dropping (-2.5), -0.83% on the day. Weak support services name.
REL / EXPN / INF / WPP / LSEG - The whole Media/Data complex remains heavy; LSEG just lost EMA20. Avoid longs here until trends turn.
BNZL - Momentum rolling over fast (RSI -5.5, -1.23%) even though price is still above EMAs - early warning.
Overbought: BATS RSI 69.1 and DGE 63.8 - extended, watch for mean reversion.
9. EVENTS CALENDAR
Mon 25 May: UK Spring Bank Holiday - LSE CLOSED. Next session is Tue 26 May.
This week's ex-dividends (May): BP, Unilever, GSK already ex-div (14 May); RELX, Glencore, Tesco among others marked ex-div across the month - factor into open prints.
Earnings: Week of 25 May is light for FTSE 100 - the bulk of May results are already out. No major tracked-name reports scheduled into the holiday-shortened week.
Macro to watch: follow-through on UK CPI (2.8%) feeding rate-cut odds; oil/Brent and the Iran headlines driving energy and the safe-haven bid.
Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Replied by remo on topic FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
Friday 22 May 2026
Data: Close 21 May | UKX: ~10,440 (consolidating, range 10,150-10,470 since mid-May) | Futures: no reliable real-time print confirmed - see note
1. MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 closed Thursday 21 May around the 10,440 area, holding near the top of a tight 10,150-10,470 range that has held since mid-May. Index has been consolidating just below all-time-high territory rather than trending.
Macro backdrop (verified):
- UK CPI fell to 2.8% in April (below the 3.0% forecast, lowest since March 2025) - supportive for rate-cut expectations and a tailwind for the index.
- Brent crude rose to ~$104.5 (+1.9%), elevated on Middle East / Iran tension - a tailwind for energy weight.
- Copper firm near $6.25/lb (+2% the prior session) on improved risk appetite - supportive for the miners.
- Gold elevated near $4,500 on safe-haven demand.
- GfK consumer confidence weak at -25 (April) - the soft spot in an otherwise constructive backdrop.
Futures note: Per our own rule, we do not fabricate futures levels. A reliable, internally-consistent real-time FTSE futures print for the 22 May session could not be confirmed (the only futures-tagged figure found conflicted with cash by ~3% and was clearly stale). Trade the cash levels below; treat direction as range-bound until 10,470 breaks or 10,150 gives way.
2. NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day / week)
BULLISH BAE - Crossed ABOVE EMA200, MACD bullish crossover, 4-day up streak, week +5.87%, RSI +15.3pts on the week. The cleanest fresh momentum signal in the list.
BULLISH NG - Crossed ABOVE EMA20, 4-day up streak, week +7.0% (top weekly mover), RSI +19.6pts (biggest weekly RSI gain).
BULLISH ADM - 4-day up streak, week +6.78%, RSI +16.3pts; sits above all EMAs.
BULLISH BARC - MACD bullish crossover, 4-day up streak, week +4.73%.
STRONG GLEN / TSCO / RKT / HLN - all reclaimed EMA20 today.
BEARISH VOD - Crossed BELOW EMA50 and BELOW POC, -2.10% on the day, RSI rolling to 44.5. Weakest name on the board.
WEAK BNZL - RSI dropped 5.5pts, -1.23%, momentum rolling over despite still being above EMAs.
WEAK LSEG / SHEL crossed BELOW EMA20; NWG crossed BELOW EMA50.
3. SECTOR HEATMAP
STRONG - Mining: RIO +1.83, ANTO +2.33, GLEN +1.64, AAL +0.93 - all green, all above POC, copper bid. Best-aligned sector today.
STRONG - Utilities: SSE +2.14, NG +1.67 - both in clear recovery, leading weekly RSI gains.
FIRM - Banks: HSBA, LLOY, BARC, STAN all Bull (above all EMAs); STAN within 0.5% of its 52w high. Watch NWG - it just lost EMA50.
MIXED - Insurance: ADM strong (above all EMAs, RSI 66); LGEN/PRU/AV firm but flatter.
MIXED - Energy: BP +0.43 (above all EMAs) vs SHEL -0.37 (lost EMA20) - a divergence despite higher oil.
WEAK - Media/Data: REL, EXPN, INF, WPP, LSEG - persistent downtrends, INF -1.22, all deep below 52w highs.
WEAK - Telecoms: VOD -2.10, breaking down through EMA50/POC.
4. DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS (selected)
Bull (above all EMAs): STAN (RSI 62.7), ADM (66.3), RIO (56.3), GLEN (55.7), AAL (54.1), ANTO (53.3), HSBA (57.4), LLOY (53.0), BARC (56.5), BP (53.6), LGEN (62.4), PRU (54.5), BATS (69.1 - near OB), CPG (59.
Recovery (reclaiming EMAs): BAE (back above EMA200), NG (above 20/200, below 50), AZN (above 20/200, below 50), TSCO, DGE, SGE, WPP, INF (above 20/50, below 200)
Bear (below all EMAs): III (RSI 38.3), REL (44.6), EXPN (48.7), ULVR (47.7)
Bear (below 20/50): VOD (44.5), RTO (37.2), BAE-by-50, GSK (45.1), SSE (40.9 - but turning up)
Overbought watch: BATS 69.1, ADM 66.3, DGE 63.8, STAN 62.7, LGEN 62.4
5. TOP SWING SETUPS
STAN - 52-week-high breakout (CONTINUING)
Bull above all EMAs, RSI 62.7, closed 1944 just 0.5% under the 52w high 1954.5. POC 1703 far below - no overhead supply.
Entry: break >1955 · Stop: 1900 · T1: 2009 · T2: 2060 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:1.9
BAE - EMA200 reclaim (NEW today)
Crossed back above EMA200, MACD bullish crossover, ADX 31 (strong trend building), 4-day streak. Still below EMA20/50 so this is an early recovery entry.
Entry: 1956 (hold >EMA200 1952) · Stop: 1900 · T1: 2054 (EMA50) · T2: 2120 · R:R: 1:1.8 / 1:2.9
NG - EMA20 reclaim, top weekly mover (NEW)
Crossed above EMA20, week +7%, biggest weekly RSI gain (+19.6). Above EMA20 and EMA200, eyeing EMA50 at 1281.
Entry: 1276 (or pullback to 1271) · Stop: 1244 · T1: 1304 · T2: 1326 · R:R: 1:0.9 / 1:1.6
RIO - miners trend continuation (CONTINUING)
Bull above all EMAs, +1.83%, above POC 7078, copper supportive. RSI 56 leaves room.
Entry: 7780 (hold >EMA9 7742) · Stop: 7620 · T1: 7936 · T2: 8069 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:1.8
ADM - momentum continuation, buy the dip (CONTINUING)
Above all EMAs, 4-day streak, week +6.78%, above POC 3210. RSI 66 is hot - prefer a pullback rather than chasing.
Entry: 3450-3500 pullback · Stop: 3320 · T1: 3592 · T2: 3686 (52w high) · R:R: ~1:0.9 / 1:1.6
6. INTRADAY SETUPS (pivots / Camarilla)
STAN - Camarilla breakout long
Long on a break of Cam R4 1969.7 (also clears 52w high) = trend-day signal. Confluence: bull trend, RSI 62.
Entry: >1969.7 · Stop: 1956 · Target: classic R2 1982 then R3 2009
RIO - pivot-bounce long
Classic pivot 7725.7 sits right on Cam S3 7722 - strong confluence support with the uptrend.
Entry: 7722-7726 bounce · Stop: 7664 (Cam S4) · Target: Cam R3 7838 then R4 7896
VOD - fade the rally short
EMA9 113.7, EMA20 114.5, EMA50 113.6 and POC 113.2 all cluster at 113-114.5 = heavy resistance, price just broke below. Note: VOD classic pivots are distorted by a bad prior-high data point - use Camarilla only.
Entry: 113.5-114.5 (into the EMA/POC wall) · Stop: 116.0 · Target: Cam S1 109.8 then S3 106.2 · R:R: up to 1:3
ADM - pivot-bounce long with trend
Cam S3 3478.8 sits beside classic pivot 3476 - buy the dip into that confluence.
Entry: 3476-3479 · Stop: 3459 (Cam S4) · Target: Cam R3 3517 then R4 3536
III - dead-cat fade short
Bear below all EMAs (RSI 38) but bounced +2.71% today. EMA9 2274 caps the bounce. Counter-trend, keep it tight.
Entry: 2258-2275 (Cam R3 / EMA9) · Stop: 2280 (Cam R4) · Target: pivot 2224 then Cam S3 2217
7. KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
STAN (1944.1)
Cam: S4 1918.5 · S3 1931.3 · S1 1939.8 || R1 1948.4 · R3 1956.9 · R4 1969.7
Classic: S2 1889 · S1 1916.6 · Pivot 1935.5 · R1 1963.1 · R2 1982
EMA: 9 1901 · 20 1860.6 · 50 1793.8 · 200 1627.5 · POC 1702.7
PDH/PDL 1954.5 / 1908 · 52H/52L 1954.5 / 1113
ADM (3498)
Cam: S4 3459.5 · S3 3478.8 · S1 3491.6 || R1 3504.4 · R3 3517.2 · R4 3536.5
Classic: S2 3406 · S1 3452 · Pivot 3476 · R1 3522 · R2 3546
EMA: 9 3365 · 20 3331 · 50 3259 · 200 3159 · POC 3209.8
PDH/PDL 3500 / 3430 · 52H/52L 3686 / 2624
RIO (7780)
Cam: S4 7663.9 · S3 7722.0 · S1 7760.7 || R1 7799.3 · R3 7838.0 · R4 7896.1
Classic: S2 7514.7 · S1 7647.3 · Pivot 7725.7 · R1 7858.3 · R2 7936.7
EMA: 9 7742 · 20 7640 · 50 7344 · 200 6321 · POC 7078.1
PDH/PDL 7804 / 7593 · 52H/52L 8275 / 4110
NG (1276)
Cam: S4 1256.2 · S3 1266.1 · S1 1272.7 || R1 1279.3 · R3 1285.9 · R4 1295.8
Classic: S2 1232 · S1 1254 · Pivot 1268 · R1 1290 · R2 1304
EMA: 9 1260 · 20 1271 · 50 1281 · 200 1207 · POC 1291.3
PDH/PDL 1282 / 1246 · 52H/52L 1428.5 / 1000
VOD (111.61)
Cam: S4 100.8 · S3 106.2 · S1 109.8 || R1 113.4 · R3 117.0 · R4 122.4
EMA: 9 113.7 · 20 114.5 · 50 113.6 · 200 101.7 · POC 113.2
52H/52L 131.1 / 71.9 (classic pivots distorted by bad prior-high - ignore)
8. BEARISH WARNINGS
VOD - Just broke below EMA50 and POC today, -2.1%, RSI 44.5 and falling. Below EMA9/20/50, only EMA200 (101.7) below as support. Primary short.
III - Bear below all EMAs, deep multi-month downtrend, RSI 38. Today's +2.71% is a bounce into resistance, not a reversal.
RTO - Below EMA20/50, RSI 37.2 and dropping (-2.5), -0.83% on the day. Weak support services name.
REL / EXPN / INF / WPP / LSEG - The whole Media/Data complex remains heavy; LSEG just lost EMA20. Avoid longs here until trends turn.
BNZL - Momentum rolling over fast (RSI -5.5, -1.23%) even though price is still above EMAs - early warning.
Overbought: BATS RSI 69.1 and DGE 63.8 - extended, watch for mean reversion.
9. EVENTS CALENDAR
Mon 25 May: UK Spring Bank Holiday - LSE CLOSED. Next session is Tue 26 May.
This week's ex-dividends (May): BP, Unilever, GSK already ex-div (14 May); RELX, Glencore, Tesco among others marked ex-div across the month - factor into open prints.
Earnings: Week of 25 May is light for FTSE 100 - the bulk of May results are already out. No major tracked-name reports scheduled into the holiday-shortened week.
Macro to watch: follow-through on UK CPI (2.8%) feeding rate-cut odds; oil/Brent and the Iran headlines driving energy and the safe-haven bid.
Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
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3 days 23 hours ago #18566
by remo
Thursday 21 May 2026
Data: Close 20 May | UKX: ~10,300 (-0.3%) | Futures: ~flat open | WTI: $98.26 (-5%)
MARKET OVERVIEW
FTSE 100 closed Wednesday around 10,300, slipping ~0.3%. Futures point to a broadly flat open Thursday as investors digest a sharp drop in oil - WTI crude fell more than 5% to $98.26, back below $100, after President Trump flagged progress on Iran negotiations. Lower energy is risk-supportive but a headwind for oil majors.
Macro backdrop is constructive for domestic names: UK CPI cooled to 2.8% in April (from 3.3%), below the 3.0% expected and the softest in over a year. The Bank of England held Bank Rate at 3.75% on 30 April. Disinflation plus a stable rate path is exactly the mix that lifted UK banks on Wednesday.
Note: the scanner's "LLOY" row printed an anomalous price (9998) inconsistent with Lloyds' actual share price - treated as a feed error and excluded from setups below.
NOTABLE CHANGES (vs 19 May)
The most actionable day-over-day moves from the comparison engine:
BULLISH
- NWG - crossed ABOVE EMA20, EMA50 AND EMA200, MACD bullish crossover, crossed above POC. RSI +6.3 to 52.8. Full structural reclaim - the cleanest new breakout on the board.
- ANTO - crossed above EMA20 and EMA50, +4.7%, crossed above POC. Sharp reversal, but week still -9.24%.
- BARC - crossed above EMA20 and EMA50, +3.8%, RSI +6.7 to 56.2.
- AAL - crossed above EMA20, +3.2% bounce (week -7.19%, RSI week -15.7).
- AV - crossed above EMA20, MACD bullish crossover.
- VOD - crossed above EMA50 and POC. STAN / INF - MACD bullish crossovers.
BEARISH
- HLN - crossed BELOW EMA20 (now below all three EMAs).
- SGE - worst large-cap day at -2.16%, RSI -5.5.
- TSCO - heavy volume (rv 2.2) on a down day - distribution.
- Broader board: RR. +5.1% (reclaimed EMA20/50, MACD cross), EXPN broke below EMA20/50 and POC (-3.4%).
SECTOR HEATMAP
BANKS - STRONGEST
BARC +3.8%, NWG +3.0%, STAN +2.5%. All three above every EMA; NWG reclaimed its 200-EMA and POC on the day. Disinflation + rate stability = the day's leadership group.
MINERS - SHARP BOUNCE
ANTO +4.7%, AAL +3.2%. Both reclaimed shorter EMAs after a heavy week (ANTO week -9.2%, AAL -7.2%). Recovery, not yet trend - watch follow-through.
LIFE / INSURANCE - FIRM
LGEN +1.6% (RSI 62.6, above all EMAs), PRU +1.9% (above all EMAs), AV +1.7% (reclaimed EMA20, MACD cross).
MEDIA / BUSINESS SVCS - MIXED
BNZL +1.5% (above all EMAs, RSI 60), INF +0.9% (MACD cross). WPP -0.5% and RTO -0.4% lagging.
STAPLES / UTILITIES / HEALTHCARE - WEAK
SGE -2.2%, TSCO -0.1% (heavy vol), HLN -0.5% (below all EMAs), SSE flat but RSI 36.4 and below EMA20/50. The clear laggards.
TOP SWING SETUPS
NWG - Full EMA reclaim, NEW today
Reclaimed EMA20/50/200 and POC in one session with a MACD bullish crossover. Cleanest structural setup on the board.
Entry: 575-584 (favour pullback to EMA20 574 / POC 571) · Stop: 562 · T1: 593 · T2: 602 · R:R: up to 1:2.1
BARC - Continuation above EMAs
Reclaimed EMA20/50, +3.8%, RSI 56 rising, trading well above POC 416. Room toward 52w high 506.
Entry: 435-441 (pivot 435 dip preferred) · Stop: 426 · T1: 450 · T2: 459 · R:R: up to 1:2.5
STAN - 52-week-high breakout
RSI 61, MACD bullish crossover, just 0.6% off the 52w high (1938). A clean break above 1938 opens a measured move higher.
Entry: break >1940 (or anticipate 1928) · Stop: 1880 · T1: 1977 · T2: 2019 · R:R: ~1:1.9
LGEN - Steady trend, strongest momentum
Above all EMAs, RSI 62.6, MACD bull cross, well above POC 254. Lower-volatility grind toward 52w high 283.
Entry: 268-269 · Stop: 259 · T1: 274 · T2: 278 · R:R: ~1:1
ANTO - Reversal (higher risk)
+4.7% bounce reclaimed EMA20/50 and POC, but the weekly trend is still down and ATR is large (205). Size small.
Entry: 3820 · Stop: 3680 · T1: 3941 · T2: 4039 · R:R: ~1:1.6
INTRADAY SETUPS (pivots / Camarilla)
NWG - Camarilla breakout long
Hold above Cam R1 586 targets R3 591 then R4 598; above pivot 576 keeps bias up.
Entry: >586 · Stop: 578 · Target: 591 / 598
BARC - Pivot bounce long
Dip into pivot 434.7 with trend support; lose it and stand aside.
Entry: 435 · Stop: 428 · Target: R1 449.8
STAN - Camarilla trend-day long
A break of Cam R4 1963.6 signals a breakout day toward classic R2.
Entry: >1964 · Stop: 1932 · Target: 1977
TSCO - Camarilla range short
Below EMA20/50 with rv 2.2 (real selling). Fade strength at Cam R3 464 / EMA20 467.
Entry: 464-467 · Stop: 472 · Target: pivot 454 / S1 447
SSE - Pivot rejection short
Weakest RSI (36.4), below EMA20/50 and POC 2575. Sell rejection near Cam R3 2353.
Entry: 2350-2353 · Stop: 2363 · Target: pivot 2338 / S2 2302
KEY LEVELS - TOP 5
NWG (583.
Cam: S3 576.7 · S1 581.4 || R1 586.2 · R3 590.9 · R4 598.0
Classic: S1 567.1 · P 576.3 · R1 592.9 · R2 602.1
EMA20 574.5 · EMA50 582.5 · EMA200 572.6 · POC 570.8 · PDH 585.4 · PDL 559.6
BARC (441.1)
Cam: S3 434.6 · S1 438.9 || R1 443.3 · R3 447.6 · R4 454.2
Classic: S1 426.0 · P 434.7 · R1 449.8 · R2 458.5
EMA20 428.9 · EMA50 428.9 · EMA200 411.2 · POC 416.2 · PDH 443.5 · PDL 419.7
STAN (1926.5)
Cam: S3 1907.9 · S1 1920.3 || R1 1932.7 · R3 1945.1 · R4 1963.6
Classic: S1 1884.5 · P 1910 · R1 1952 · R2 1977.5
EMA20 1851.7 · EMA50 1787.6 · EMA200 1624.3 · POC 1700.1 · 52H 1938.2
AAL (3775)
Cam: S3 3744 · S1 3765 || R1 3785 · R3 3806 · R4 3837
Classic: S1 3705 · P 3748 · R1 3817 · R2 3860
EMA20 3750 · EMA50 3589 · EMA200 3162 · POC 3395 · PDH 3790 · PDL 3678
TSCO (459.2)
Cam: S4 448.6 · S3 453.9 · S1 457.4 || R1 461.0 · R3 464.5 · R4 469.8
Classic: S1 447.2 · P 454.4 · R1 466.4 · R2 473.6
EMA20 467.1 · EMA50 470.6 · EMA200 448.7 · POC 474.7 · PDH 461.6 · PDL 442.4
BEARISH WARNINGS
- SSE - below EMA20/50, RSI 36.4 (board's weakest), MACD deeply negative, -18% from 52w high, elevated volume (rv 1.3) = genuine selling. Below POC 2575.
- TSCO - below EMA20/50, RSI 43 and falling, heavy volume (rv 2.2) on a down day, below POC 475. Distribution signature.
- HLN - fresh breakdown: crossed below EMA20 today, now below ALL EMAs, -19% from 52w high, below POC.
- RTO - below EMA20/50, RSI 40, sitting on POC 473.9 with EMA200 (443) the next support.
- Structural weakness: WPP (-54% from 52w high, below EMA200 despite the bounce), SGE (-34% from 52w high, below EMA200, worst daily move), ABF and IMB both below EMA200.
EVENTS
- UK CPI (April): 2.8% y/y, below 3.0% expected - softest in over a year.
- BoE: held Bank Rate at 3.75% on 30 April; next MPC decision in June.
- Live macro driver: US-Iran negotiation headlines pushing oil below $100 - watch energy and risk sentiment.
- Ex-dividend: the major May wave (incl. Tesco, BP, Unilever, GSK, Glencore, RELX, Admiral) went ex on 14 May; check the calendar for any names trading ex this week before sizing.
Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Replied by remo on topic FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
Thursday 21 May 2026
Data: Close 20 May | UKX: ~10,300 (-0.3%) | Futures: ~flat open | WTI: $98.26 (-5%)
MARKET OVERVIEW
FTSE 100 closed Wednesday around 10,300, slipping ~0.3%. Futures point to a broadly flat open Thursday as investors digest a sharp drop in oil - WTI crude fell more than 5% to $98.26, back below $100, after President Trump flagged progress on Iran negotiations. Lower energy is risk-supportive but a headwind for oil majors.
Macro backdrop is constructive for domestic names: UK CPI cooled to 2.8% in April (from 3.3%), below the 3.0% expected and the softest in over a year. The Bank of England held Bank Rate at 3.75% on 30 April. Disinflation plus a stable rate path is exactly the mix that lifted UK banks on Wednesday.
Note: the scanner's "LLOY" row printed an anomalous price (9998) inconsistent with Lloyds' actual share price - treated as a feed error and excluded from setups below.
NOTABLE CHANGES (vs 19 May)
The most actionable day-over-day moves from the comparison engine:
BULLISH
- NWG - crossed ABOVE EMA20, EMA50 AND EMA200, MACD bullish crossover, crossed above POC. RSI +6.3 to 52.8. Full structural reclaim - the cleanest new breakout on the board.
- ANTO - crossed above EMA20 and EMA50, +4.7%, crossed above POC. Sharp reversal, but week still -9.24%.
- BARC - crossed above EMA20 and EMA50, +3.8%, RSI +6.7 to 56.2.
- AAL - crossed above EMA20, +3.2% bounce (week -7.19%, RSI week -15.7).
- AV - crossed above EMA20, MACD bullish crossover.
- VOD - crossed above EMA50 and POC. STAN / INF - MACD bullish crossovers.
BEARISH
- HLN - crossed BELOW EMA20 (now below all three EMAs).
- SGE - worst large-cap day at -2.16%, RSI -5.5.
- TSCO - heavy volume (rv 2.2) on a down day - distribution.
- Broader board: RR. +5.1% (reclaimed EMA20/50, MACD cross), EXPN broke below EMA20/50 and POC (-3.4%).
SECTOR HEATMAP
BANKS - STRONGEST
BARC +3.8%, NWG +3.0%, STAN +2.5%. All three above every EMA; NWG reclaimed its 200-EMA and POC on the day. Disinflation + rate stability = the day's leadership group.
MINERS - SHARP BOUNCE
ANTO +4.7%, AAL +3.2%. Both reclaimed shorter EMAs after a heavy week (ANTO week -9.2%, AAL -7.2%). Recovery, not yet trend - watch follow-through.
LIFE / INSURANCE - FIRM
LGEN +1.6% (RSI 62.6, above all EMAs), PRU +1.9% (above all EMAs), AV +1.7% (reclaimed EMA20, MACD cross).
MEDIA / BUSINESS SVCS - MIXED
BNZL +1.5% (above all EMAs, RSI 60), INF +0.9% (MACD cross). WPP -0.5% and RTO -0.4% lagging.
STAPLES / UTILITIES / HEALTHCARE - WEAK
SGE -2.2%, TSCO -0.1% (heavy vol), HLN -0.5% (below all EMAs), SSE flat but RSI 36.4 and below EMA20/50. The clear laggards.
TOP SWING SETUPS
NWG - Full EMA reclaim, NEW today
Reclaimed EMA20/50/200 and POC in one session with a MACD bullish crossover. Cleanest structural setup on the board.
Entry: 575-584 (favour pullback to EMA20 574 / POC 571) · Stop: 562 · T1: 593 · T2: 602 · R:R: up to 1:2.1
BARC - Continuation above EMAs
Reclaimed EMA20/50, +3.8%, RSI 56 rising, trading well above POC 416. Room toward 52w high 506.
Entry: 435-441 (pivot 435 dip preferred) · Stop: 426 · T1: 450 · T2: 459 · R:R: up to 1:2.5
STAN - 52-week-high breakout
RSI 61, MACD bullish crossover, just 0.6% off the 52w high (1938). A clean break above 1938 opens a measured move higher.
Entry: break >1940 (or anticipate 1928) · Stop: 1880 · T1: 1977 · T2: 2019 · R:R: ~1:1.9
LGEN - Steady trend, strongest momentum
Above all EMAs, RSI 62.6, MACD bull cross, well above POC 254. Lower-volatility grind toward 52w high 283.
Entry: 268-269 · Stop: 259 · T1: 274 · T2: 278 · R:R: ~1:1
ANTO - Reversal (higher risk)
+4.7% bounce reclaimed EMA20/50 and POC, but the weekly trend is still down and ATR is large (205). Size small.
Entry: 3820 · Stop: 3680 · T1: 3941 · T2: 4039 · R:R: ~1:1.6
INTRADAY SETUPS (pivots / Camarilla)
NWG - Camarilla breakout long
Hold above Cam R1 586 targets R3 591 then R4 598; above pivot 576 keeps bias up.
Entry: >586 · Stop: 578 · Target: 591 / 598
BARC - Pivot bounce long
Dip into pivot 434.7 with trend support; lose it and stand aside.
Entry: 435 · Stop: 428 · Target: R1 449.8
STAN - Camarilla trend-day long
A break of Cam R4 1963.6 signals a breakout day toward classic R2.
Entry: >1964 · Stop: 1932 · Target: 1977
TSCO - Camarilla range short
Below EMA20/50 with rv 2.2 (real selling). Fade strength at Cam R3 464 / EMA20 467.
Entry: 464-467 · Stop: 472 · Target: pivot 454 / S1 447
SSE - Pivot rejection short
Weakest RSI (36.4), below EMA20/50 and POC 2575. Sell rejection near Cam R3 2353.
Entry: 2350-2353 · Stop: 2363 · Target: pivot 2338 / S2 2302
KEY LEVELS - TOP 5
NWG (583.
Cam: S3 576.7 · S1 581.4 || R1 586.2 · R3 590.9 · R4 598.0
Classic: S1 567.1 · P 576.3 · R1 592.9 · R2 602.1
EMA20 574.5 · EMA50 582.5 · EMA200 572.6 · POC 570.8 · PDH 585.4 · PDL 559.6
BARC (441.1)
Cam: S3 434.6 · S1 438.9 || R1 443.3 · R3 447.6 · R4 454.2
Classic: S1 426.0 · P 434.7 · R1 449.8 · R2 458.5
EMA20 428.9 · EMA50 428.9 · EMA200 411.2 · POC 416.2 · PDH 443.5 · PDL 419.7
STAN (1926.5)
Cam: S3 1907.9 · S1 1920.3 || R1 1932.7 · R3 1945.1 · R4 1963.6
Classic: S1 1884.5 · P 1910 · R1 1952 · R2 1977.5
EMA20 1851.7 · EMA50 1787.6 · EMA200 1624.3 · POC 1700.1 · 52H 1938.2
AAL (3775)
Cam: S3 3744 · S1 3765 || R1 3785 · R3 3806 · R4 3837
Classic: S1 3705 · P 3748 · R1 3817 · R2 3860
EMA20 3750 · EMA50 3589 · EMA200 3162 · POC 3395 · PDH 3790 · PDL 3678
TSCO (459.2)
Cam: S4 448.6 · S3 453.9 · S1 457.4 || R1 461.0 · R3 464.5 · R4 469.8
Classic: S1 447.2 · P 454.4 · R1 466.4 · R2 473.6
EMA20 467.1 · EMA50 470.6 · EMA200 448.7 · POC 474.7 · PDH 461.6 · PDL 442.4
BEARISH WARNINGS
- SSE - below EMA20/50, RSI 36.4 (board's weakest), MACD deeply negative, -18% from 52w high, elevated volume (rv 1.3) = genuine selling. Below POC 2575.
- TSCO - below EMA20/50, RSI 43 and falling, heavy volume (rv 2.2) on a down day, below POC 475. Distribution signature.
- HLN - fresh breakdown: crossed below EMA20 today, now below ALL EMAs, -19% from 52w high, below POC.
- RTO - below EMA20/50, RSI 40, sitting on POC 473.9 with EMA200 (443) the next support.
- Structural weakness: WPP (-54% from 52w high, below EMA200 despite the bounce), SGE (-34% from 52w high, below EMA200, worst daily move), ABF and IMB both below EMA200.
EVENTS
- UK CPI (April): 2.8% y/y, below 3.0% expected - softest in over a year.
- BoE: held Bank Rate at 3.75% on 30 April; next MPC decision in June.
- Live macro driver: US-Iran negotiation headlines pushing oil below $100 - watch energy and risk sentiment.
- Ex-dividend: the major May wave (incl. Tesco, BP, Unilever, GSK, Glencore, RELX, Admiral) went ex on 14 May; check the calendar for any names trading ex this week before sizing.
Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
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4 days 20 hours ago #18562
by remo
Wednesday 20 May 2026
Data: Close 19 May · UKX: ~10,341 (+0.17%) · Futures: data unavailable (no confirmed pre-market number) · Stocks scanned: 40
MARKET OVERVIEW
UKX closed Tuesday 19 May at ~10,341, just under recent highs, with a quiet +0.17% session. The headline macro driver this morning is UK CPI for April printing 2.8% YoY versus 3.0% expected and 3.3% prior — a clear downside surprise driven mostly by the new Ofgem energy price cap (housing/services inflation collapsed from 5.3% to 1.4%). The pound dipped on the print as markets pulled BoE cut bets forward. For equities, the combination is supportive for rate-sensitive sectors (housebuilders, utilities, REITs proxies) and large-cap exporters benefit from a softer sterling.
No confirmed FTSE 100 cash futures price was returned by the searches available this morning — flag the futures gap rather than guess. The underlying tone overnight is constructive: disinflation surprise + softer sterling is usually a bid for the index. Watch the open for confirmation around the 10,330–10,360 zone.
Beneath the index, the tape is two-speed. Miners (AAL, ANTO, RIO, GLEN) are mid-way through a 4-day down-streak and broke key EMAs this week. Defensives and select large caps (BATS, BP, SHEL, LSEG, STAN, ADM, LGEN) are working. Recovery rotation continues into beaten-down quality (WPP, REL, EXPN, SGE, RKT).
NOTABLE CHANGES — yesterday vs Friday
BEARISH FLIPS
ANTO — Crossed BELOW EMA50, MACD bearish cross, crossed BELOW POC, 4-day down streak, week -14.93%, RSI week -21.8 pts. Clean breakdown.
AAL — Crossed BELOW EMA20, MACD bearish cross, 4-day down streak, week -10.28%, RSI week -21 pts.
RIO — Crossed BELOW EMA20, MACD bearish cross, 4-day down streak, week -9.1%, RSI week -28.7 pts. Sharpest RSI bleed in the universe.
AV — Crossed BELOW EMA20, EMA50 AND POC in one day. MACD bearish cross. From bull-all to bear-all in a week.
GLEN — Crossed BELOW EMA20, MACD bearish cross, week -5.24%.
CPG — RSI dropped 8.3 pts, big move -3.5%. Still above all EMAs but cracking.
HSBA — Crossed BELOW EMA20.
PRU — Crossed BELOW EMA20.
STAN — MACD BEARISH crossover (sharpest warning in the bull-all leaders).
BULLISH FLIPS
EXPN — Crossed ABOVE EMA50, ABOVE POC, 4-day up streak, week +7.6%, RSI week +18 pts. Best continuation setup on the board.
REL — Crossed ABOVE EMA20, 4-day up streak, week +8.4%, RSI week +20.6 pts.
RKT — Crossed ABOVE EMA20, 4-day up streak, week +5.09%.
WPP — MACD bullish crossover, week +9.65%, RSI week +17.8 pts.
ABF — MACD bullish crossover, RSI week +17 pts.
INF — Crossed ABOVE EMA20 AND EMA50 together.
SHEL — MACD bullish crossover, crossed ABOVE POC.
BP — MACD bullish crossover. Both UK oil majors flipping bullish together is meaningful.
GSK — MACD bullish crossover.
AZN — Crossed ABOVE EMA20.
LSEG — Crossed ABOVE EMA20.
HLN, ULVR — Crossed ABOVE EMA20.
SECTOR HEATMAP
WEAK — Miners
AAL -3.31% · ANTO -3.41% · GLEN -2.20% · RIO -2.69%. Synchronised 4-day down streaks, multiple EMA breaks, RSI bleed across the group. Sector under heavy distribution. Avoid longs; only fade rallies.
STRONG — Oil & Gas
BP +0.37% · SHEL -0.14%. Both bull-all, both flipped MACD bullish, SHEL crossed above POC. Mirror moves point to a sector bid.
STRONG — Tobacco / Defensive Consumer
BATS -0.69% (cooling but RSI 68 in firm uptrend) · IMB flat. BATS the standout — bull-all, MACD widening, ADX 37.
MIXED — Banks
LLOY +1.05% · BARC +0.05% · NWG +0.21% · HSBA -0.99% · STAN -2.11%. STAN was the leader (bull-all, 3% from 52-week high) but turned MACD bearish; others stuck under EMAs. HSBA crossed below EMA20 yesterday.
MIXED — Insurance / Asset Mgmt
ADM +0.48% (bull-all, leading) · LGEN -0.11% (bull-all, week +6.24%) · PRU -1.06% (crossed below EMA20) · AV -2.30% (broke down hard).
RECOVERING — Tech, Media & Info Services
LSEG +2.10% · EXPN +2.30% · REL +1.00% · SGE +2.90% · WPP +1.31% · INF +0.65%. Rotation back into beaten-down quality. EXPN, REL, WPP all in 4-day up streaks.
WEAK — Utilities
SSE -0.13% RSI 35.4 · NG +1.18% but still bear-trend. Disinflation print might bring rate-cut buying — watch for bottoming attempt.
MIXED — Pharma
AZN +1.25% (crossed above EMA20) · GSK +1.36% (MACD bullish cross) · HLN +1.19% (crossed above EMA20) · RKT +1.11% (continuation). Group flipping constructive.
WEAK — Defence
BAE +1.75% but still bear-all and 19% off 52-week highs. Bounce inside downtrend.
MIXED — Retail / Consumer
TSCO -0.22% bearish · ABF -0.08% bearish but MACD flipped bullish · DGE +1.26% bull 20/50 · ULVR +0.88% recovering.
DAILY SIGNALS TABLE
BULL ALL EMAs
ADM · close 3378 · +0.48% · RSI 58.4 (N) · MACD bull · above POC · -8.4% from 52H
BATS · close 4892 · -0.69% · RSI 68.4 (N, near OB) · MACD bull (widening, +71 pts) · above POC · -8.1% from 52H · ADX 37 (strong trend)
BNZL · close 2402 · +0.08% · RSI 56.1 · MACD signal>line · above POC · -7.9% from 52H
BP · close 569.2 · +0.37% · RSI 55.1 · MACD just flipped BULL · above POC · -6.6% from 52H
CPG · close 3158 · -3.51% · RSI 58.7 (down 8.3 pts) · MACD bull but narrowing · above POC · -10.2% from 52H · warning candle
LGEN · close 264.00 · -0.11% · RSI 58.6 · MACD bull cross · above POC · -6.7% from 52H · week +6.24%
LSEG · close 9471 · +2.10% · RSI 55.6 · MACD signal>line (about to converge) · above POC · -19.8% from 52H
SHEL · close 3285 · -0.14% · RSI 53.1 · MACD bull cross · above POC (3266) · -8.5% from 52H · StochRSI 98 (extended ST)
STAN · close 1881 · -2.11% · RSI 57.0 · MACD turned BEAR · above POC · -3.0% from 52H · StochRSI 9 (oversold)
BEAR ALL EMAs
AV · close 616.52 · -2.30% · RSI 45.5 (down 6.9) · MACD bear · below POC · -12.0% from 52H · fresh breakdown
BAE · close 1913.5 · +1.75% · RSI 37.4 · MACD bear · below POC · -18.9% from 52H · ADX 28 (strong downtrend)
III · close 2210 · +6.15% · RSI 35.9 (up 7.6 — bounce) · MACD deeply bear · below POC · -50.9% from 52H · counter-rally
NWG · close 567.2 · +0.21% · RSI 46.5 · MACD bear · below POC · -19.6% from 52H
BEAR (below EMA20 AND EMA50, above EMA200)
ANTO · 3657 · -3.41% · RSI 46.0 · MACD just flipped BEAR · below POC · -18.3% from 52H
BARC · 426.5 · +0.05% · RSI 49.5 · MACD bear · above POC · -15.8% from 52H
GSK · 1902 · +1.36% · RSI 41.7 (up 5.9) · MACD bull cross (new) · below POC · -16.7% from 52H
LLOY · 9624 · +1.05% · RSI 47.4 · MACD bear · below POC · -16.0% from 52H
NG · 1246 · +1.18% · RSI 43.9 · MACD bear · below POC · -12.8% from 52H
RR. · 1163.4 · +0.50% · RSI 45.6 · MACD bear · below POC · -18.1% from 52H
RTO · 470.8 · -1.11% · RSI 39.7 · MACD bear · below POC (just crossed) · -7.1% from 52H
SSE · 2342 · -0.13% · RSI 35.4 · MACD bear · below POC · -18.1% from 52H
TSCO · 460.5 · -0.22% · RSI 44.0 · MACD bear · below POC · -9.4% from 52H
VOD · 112.9 · +0.62% · RSI 46.5 · MACD bear · below POC · -7.5% from 52H
BULL (above EMA20 AND EMA50, below EMA200) — recovery candidates
DGE · 1572 · +1.26% · RSI 62.1 · MACD bull (widening) · above POC · -26.6% from 52H
EXPN · 2718 · +2.30% · RSI 53.9 · MACD bear (line below signal) · above POC · -33.7% from 52H · StochRSI 100
INF · 810 · +0.65% · RSI 53.5 · MACD bear · above POC · -19.0% from 52H · crossed above both EMAs yesterday
SGE · 907.8 · +2.90% · RSI 58.3 (up 6.1) · MACD bear (narrowing) · above POC · -32.0% from 52H · StochRSI 98 (extended)
WPP · 278.4 · +1.31% · RSI 60.9 · MACD bull cross · above POC · -54.0% from 52H
MIXED — case-by-case
AAL · 3656 · -3.31% · RSI 48.2 · close below EMA20 (3747) but above EMA50 and EMA200 · MACD bear cross · above POC · ATR 152
ABF · 1838.5 · -0.08% · RSI 51.8 · above EMA20 (1823) but below EMA50 (1852) and EMA200 (1975) · MACD bull cross · below POC
AZN · 13882 · +1.25% · RSI 47.9 (up 5.5) · above EMA20 (13869) AND EMA200 (13469) but below EMA50 (14141) · MACD bull cross · below POC
GLEN · 561.1 · -2.20% · RSI 48.7 · below EMA20 (567.45) but above EMA50 (549) and EMA200 (458) · MACD bear cross · above POC
HLN · 341.1 · +1.19% · RSI 46.9 · above EMA20 (340.6) but below EMA50 (354) and EMA200 (366) · MACD bull cross · below POC
HSBA · 1324.4 · -0.99% · RSI 50.6 · below EMA20 (1326.6) but above EMA50 (1303) and EMA200 (1166) · MACD bear · above POC
IMB · 2886 · -0.10% · RSI 52.8 · above EMA20 (2834) but below EMA50 (2924) and EMA200 (3004) · MACD bull (narrowing) · below POC
PRU · 1122.5 · -1.06% · RSI 49.1 · below EMA20 (1130) but above EMA50 (1119) and EMA200 (1063) · MACD bear · above POC
REL · 2529 · +1.00% · RSI 49.2 · above EMA20 (2526.6, by 2.4 pts) below EMA50 (2560) and EMA200 (2916) · MACD bear · below POC
RIO · 7519 · -2.69% · RSI 49.4 (down 5.
· below EMA20 (7625) above EMA50 (7313) and EMA200 (6293) · MACD bear cross · above POC
RKT · 4748 · +1.11% · RSI 47.2 · above EMA20 (4725) below EMA50 (5032) and EMA200 (5457) · MACD bull (narrowing) · below POC
ULVR · 4292.5 · +0.88% · RSI 48.9 · above EMA20 (4278) below EMA50 (4432) and EMA200 (4807) · MACD bull · below POC
TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
1. BATS — Trend continuation in the strongest stock on the board (CONTINUING)
Bull-all, ADX 37 (strongest reading in the universe), MACD widening by 71 pts, well above POC. RSI 68 is hot but not extreme, and the 4892 close is -8% from the 52-week high (5326) so room remains. StochRSI 76 — high but not pinned. ATR 155.
Entry: 4860-4880 pullback (Cam S2 4809 to Cam S1 4850) · Stop: 4720 (below EMA9 4725, just over 1 ATR) · T1: 4970 (Cam R2) · T2: 5140 (Cam R4) · R:R: 1:1.5
Why: Sole BULL+ADX>30 stock with widening MACD. Multi-week leader.
2. EXPN — Bullish continuation, just crossed above EMA50 and POC (NEW)
Crossed above EMA50 and POC yesterday, 4-day up streak, week +7.6%, RSI +18 over the week. Above EMA20 and EMA50 (recovery posture). StochRSI is pinned at 100 — short-term hot — so any pullback into Cam S1-S2 is the cleaner entry.
Entry: 2705-2715 (Cam S1 2712 / pivot 2710) · Stop: 2640 (below EMA9 2648 and pre-cross level) · T1: 2776 (Classic R2) · T2: 2812 (Classic R3) and reach toward 3069 EMA200 over multi-day · R:R: 1:1.7
Why: Best new bullish trigger overnight + price/POC alignment.
3. WPP — Deep value recovery accelerating (CONTINUING)
Above all near-term EMAs (e2 265.7, e5 263.7) but still -54% from 52H (605.4) — a long way to run. MACD bullish cross, RSI 60.9, week +9.65%, ADX 20 building. POC at 255 is solid support.
Entry: 275-277 pullback (Cam S1 277 / EMA9 268.8 below) · Stop: 263 (below EMA50) · T1: 285.5 (Classic R1 / Cam R4) · T2: 298 (Classic R3) · R:R: 1:1.7
Why: Reversal candidate with the most room to mean-revert.
4. SHEL — Oil-major rotation joins BP (NEW MACD cross)
MACD bullish cross overnight, crossed above POC (3266), bull-all, ADX 28. Sister stock BP also flipped MACD bullish — sector confluence. StochRSI 97.7 means buy a dip rather than chase.
Entry: 3265-3275 (POC + Cam S2) · Stop: 3230 (below EMA20/50 cluster) · T1: 3305 (Classic R1) · T2: 3342 (Classic R3) · R:R: 1:1.3
5. LSEG — Bull-all, fresh EMA20 reclaim, growth name (NEW)
Crossed above EMA20 yesterday. +2.10% on the day, RSI 55.6, ADX 23 building, POC well below at 8884. Still 20% off 52H so plenty of room.
Entry: 9430-9470 (Cam S1 9450 / pivot 9417) · Stop: 9290 (below EMA9/EMA20 cluster) · T1: 9594 (Cam R4) · T2: 9780 (Classic R3) · R:R: 1:1.6
INTRADAY SETUPS
PIVOT BOUNCE — BP long
Close 569.20 sits right on classic pivot 569.07. Bull-all, MACD just flipped bullish. ATR is small (15.55) but Cam R3 only 2.30 above pivot — favours a clean Cam scalp.
Direction: LONG · Entry: 568-569 (pivot) · Stop: 565 (below S1 564.93) · Target: 573 (R1) then 577 (R2) · Trail above Cam R1 569.97 if hit.
CAM RANGE FADE — STAN range (S3/R3 range trade)
Cam S3 1867.66 to Cam R3 1894.34 forms a 26.7-point range. Stock is bull-all and 3% from 52H but turned MACD bearish — clean range conditions with short-term oversold StochRSI 9.
Direction: LONG at S3 / SHORT at R3 · Cam S3 1867.66 with stop 1854 (below S4) target 1885 (R1) · Cam R3 1894.34 with stop 1908 target 1881.
Why: StochRSI extreme oversold supports a S3 bounce first; daily MACD bear cross caps upside near R3.
CAM BREAKDOWN — AAL short below Cam S3
Yesterday closed at 3656 between Cam S2 3631 and Cam S1 3643 — already broken. Watch Cam S3 3619; loss of this opens the trend-day short.
Direction: SHORT · Entry: 3618 on break · Stop: 3670 (above Cam S1 1.05x ATR) · Target: 3582 (Cam S4) then 3555 (Classic S2) · R:R: 1:1.4
Why: Crossed below EMA20 yesterday, MACD bear cross, 4-day down streak.
PIVOT BOUNCE — REL long off pivot
Close 2529 right at Cam S1 2524.88 / pivot 2534. Crossed above EMA20 yesterday for the first time. 4-day up streak.
Direction: LONG · Entry: 2525-2534 · Stop: 2510 (below Classic S1 2509 and EMA20 2526.6) · Target: 2554 (R1) then 2579 (R2) · R:R: 1:1.7
CAM BREAKOUT — LSEG long above Cam R1
Close 9471 sits just above Cam S1 9450; the 9492 Cam R1 is the trigger.
Direction: LONG · Entry: 9495 on break · Stop: 9417 (below pivot) · Target: 9512 (R2) then 9594 (R4) · R:R: 1:1.5
KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD — Top 5 Tradeable
BATS — close 4892, ATR 155, RV 0.24
EMA: e9 4725 · e20 4552 · e50 4434 · e200 4172
POC: 4414 (well below) · 52H 5326 · 52L 3265
Cam: S4 4644 · S3 4768 · S1 4851 || R1 4933 · R3 5016 · R4 5140
Classic: S3 4285 · S2 4580 · S1 4736 | Pivot 5031 | R1 5187 · R2 5482 · R3 5638
LSEG — close 9471, ATR 250, RV 0.74
EMA: e9 9296 · e20 9311 · e50 9105 · e200 9114
POC: 8884 · 52H 11810 · 52L 6684
Cam: S4 9348 · S3 9409 · S1 9450 || R1 9492 · R3 9533 · R4 9594
Classic: S3 9108 · S2 9193 · S1 9332 | Pivot 9417 | R1 9556 · R2 9641 · R3 9780
BP — close 569.20, ATR 15.55, RV 0.84
EMA: e9 556.18 · e20 557.93 · e50 547.64 · e200 485.48
POC: 543.36 · 52H 609.4 · 52L 351.2
Cam: S4 564.58 · S3 566.89 · S1 568.43 || R1 569.97 · R3 571.51 · R4 573.82
Classic: S3 556.53 · S2 560.67 · S1 564.93 | Pivot 569.07 | R1 573.33 · R2 577.47 · R3 581.73
SHEL — close 3285, ATR 70.84, RV 0.39
EMA: e9 3219 · e20 3240 · e50 3234 · e200 2972
POC: 3266 (just below close — pivotal) · 52H 3591.5 · 52L 2403.5
Cam: S4 3265 · S3 3275 · S1 3281.65 || R1 3288.35 · R3 3295 · R4 3305
Classic: S3 3232 · S2 3253 · S1 3269 | Pivot 3289 | R1 3305 · R2 3326 · R3 3342
STAN — close 1881, ATR 52.84, RV 0.83
EMA: e9 1881.75 · e20 1844 · e50 1782 · e200 1621
POC: 1690.71 · 52H 1938.2 · 52L 1113
Cam: S4 1854 · S3 1867.66 · S1 1876.55 || R1 1885.45 · R3 1894.34 · R4 1907.68
Classic: S3 1813.67 · S2 1843.33 · S1 1862.17 | Pivot 1891.83 | R1 1910.67 · R2 1940.33 · R3 1959.17
BEARISH WARNINGS
JUST BROKE DOWN
AAL — Crossed below EMA20 (3747.30) yesterday. MACD bear cross. Loss of Cam S3 3619 opens the trend-day short to Cam S4 3583. Targets back to Classic S2 3555 / S3 3473.
ANTO — Crossed below EMA50 (3726.91), below POC (3715.78), MACD bear cross, 4-day down streak. -14.93% in a week. RSI 46 still falling. Next supports: Cam S3 3614 then Cam S4 3571 then Classic S2 3522.
RIO — Crossed below EMA20 (7625.12). RSI bled 28.7 points in a week (sharpest in universe). MACD bear cross. Watch 7407 (Cam S4) / 7339 (Classic S2). Volume RV 0.77 — selling has been measured, not panic — risk: capitulation candle still ahead.
GLEN — Crossed below EMA20 (567.45), MACD bear cross, week -5.24%. StochRSI 0 (max oversold). Next support is EMA50 549 / POC 543 — bounce-worthy area.
AV — From bull-all to bear-all in five sessions. Crossed below EMA20 AND EMA50 AND POC together. MACD bear. RSI 45.5 still has room down. Avoid bottom-fishing until daily prints a base.
WATCH FOR FOLLOW-THROUGH
CPG — Still bull-all but -3.5% with RSI down 8.3 pts. ADX is only 10.5 — uptrend not strong. A close below EMA20 3044 confirms a regime change.
HSBA — Crossed below EMA20 (1326.63). Still above EMA50/200 but momentum lost.
PRU — Crossed below EMA20 (1130). Mixed posture; not a confirmed breakdown yet.
STAN — Bull-all leader but MACD just turned bear. StochRSI 9 says bounce-likely first; failure of pivot 1891.83 would confirm topping behaviour 3% off the 52H.
BEAR-ALL, NO BOTTOM YET
BAE — RSI 37.4, ADX 28, all EMAs above. Bounce yesterday +1.75% inside a downtrend. Resistance EMA20 1994.79 (4% above).
III — +6.15% one-day bounce in a -50.9% from 52H downtrend. EMA200 still at 3215. ADX 26.2. Counter-rally only.
NWG — RSI 46.5, bear-all. Mining-style profile but in financials.
SSE / NG — Utilities still in downtrend; disinflation print might support, but not confirmed.
EVENTS CALENDAR
Today (Wed 20 May): UK CPI April released this morning at 2.8% YoY (below 3.0% est.). Reaction: pound weaker, gilts bid, equities supported in rate-sensitives.
This week: Watch UK Retail Sales Friday. BoE speakers throughout the week — every dovish lean now amplified after the CPI miss.
Earnings: No major FTSE 100 names among the 40-stock universe report this week (LSEG next prints 30 July 2026 per filings). Monitor RNS for AGM updates.
US: FOMC minutes on Wednesday evening — historically a UK overnight tail risk into Thursday open.
Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Replied by remo on topic FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
Wednesday 20 May 2026
Data: Close 19 May · UKX: ~10,341 (+0.17%) · Futures: data unavailable (no confirmed pre-market number) · Stocks scanned: 40
MARKET OVERVIEW
UKX closed Tuesday 19 May at ~10,341, just under recent highs, with a quiet +0.17% session. The headline macro driver this morning is UK CPI for April printing 2.8% YoY versus 3.0% expected and 3.3% prior — a clear downside surprise driven mostly by the new Ofgem energy price cap (housing/services inflation collapsed from 5.3% to 1.4%). The pound dipped on the print as markets pulled BoE cut bets forward. For equities, the combination is supportive for rate-sensitive sectors (housebuilders, utilities, REITs proxies) and large-cap exporters benefit from a softer sterling.
No confirmed FTSE 100 cash futures price was returned by the searches available this morning — flag the futures gap rather than guess. The underlying tone overnight is constructive: disinflation surprise + softer sterling is usually a bid for the index. Watch the open for confirmation around the 10,330–10,360 zone.
Beneath the index, the tape is two-speed. Miners (AAL, ANTO, RIO, GLEN) are mid-way through a 4-day down-streak and broke key EMAs this week. Defensives and select large caps (BATS, BP, SHEL, LSEG, STAN, ADM, LGEN) are working. Recovery rotation continues into beaten-down quality (WPP, REL, EXPN, SGE, RKT).
NOTABLE CHANGES — yesterday vs Friday
BEARISH FLIPS
ANTO — Crossed BELOW EMA50, MACD bearish cross, crossed BELOW POC, 4-day down streak, week -14.93%, RSI week -21.8 pts. Clean breakdown.
AAL — Crossed BELOW EMA20, MACD bearish cross, 4-day down streak, week -10.28%, RSI week -21 pts.
RIO — Crossed BELOW EMA20, MACD bearish cross, 4-day down streak, week -9.1%, RSI week -28.7 pts. Sharpest RSI bleed in the universe.
AV — Crossed BELOW EMA20, EMA50 AND POC in one day. MACD bearish cross. From bull-all to bear-all in a week.
GLEN — Crossed BELOW EMA20, MACD bearish cross, week -5.24%.
CPG — RSI dropped 8.3 pts, big move -3.5%. Still above all EMAs but cracking.
HSBA — Crossed BELOW EMA20.
PRU — Crossed BELOW EMA20.
STAN — MACD BEARISH crossover (sharpest warning in the bull-all leaders).
BULLISH FLIPS
EXPN — Crossed ABOVE EMA50, ABOVE POC, 4-day up streak, week +7.6%, RSI week +18 pts. Best continuation setup on the board.
REL — Crossed ABOVE EMA20, 4-day up streak, week +8.4%, RSI week +20.6 pts.
RKT — Crossed ABOVE EMA20, 4-day up streak, week +5.09%.
WPP — MACD bullish crossover, week +9.65%, RSI week +17.8 pts.
ABF — MACD bullish crossover, RSI week +17 pts.
INF — Crossed ABOVE EMA20 AND EMA50 together.
SHEL — MACD bullish crossover, crossed ABOVE POC.
BP — MACD bullish crossover. Both UK oil majors flipping bullish together is meaningful.
GSK — MACD bullish crossover.
AZN — Crossed ABOVE EMA20.
LSEG — Crossed ABOVE EMA20.
HLN, ULVR — Crossed ABOVE EMA20.
SECTOR HEATMAP
WEAK — Miners
AAL -3.31% · ANTO -3.41% · GLEN -2.20% · RIO -2.69%. Synchronised 4-day down streaks, multiple EMA breaks, RSI bleed across the group. Sector under heavy distribution. Avoid longs; only fade rallies.
STRONG — Oil & Gas
BP +0.37% · SHEL -0.14%. Both bull-all, both flipped MACD bullish, SHEL crossed above POC. Mirror moves point to a sector bid.
STRONG — Tobacco / Defensive Consumer
BATS -0.69% (cooling but RSI 68 in firm uptrend) · IMB flat. BATS the standout — bull-all, MACD widening, ADX 37.
MIXED — Banks
LLOY +1.05% · BARC +0.05% · NWG +0.21% · HSBA -0.99% · STAN -2.11%. STAN was the leader (bull-all, 3% from 52-week high) but turned MACD bearish; others stuck under EMAs. HSBA crossed below EMA20 yesterday.
MIXED — Insurance / Asset Mgmt
ADM +0.48% (bull-all, leading) · LGEN -0.11% (bull-all, week +6.24%) · PRU -1.06% (crossed below EMA20) · AV -2.30% (broke down hard).
RECOVERING — Tech, Media & Info Services
LSEG +2.10% · EXPN +2.30% · REL +1.00% · SGE +2.90% · WPP +1.31% · INF +0.65%. Rotation back into beaten-down quality. EXPN, REL, WPP all in 4-day up streaks.
WEAK — Utilities
SSE -0.13% RSI 35.4 · NG +1.18% but still bear-trend. Disinflation print might bring rate-cut buying — watch for bottoming attempt.
MIXED — Pharma
AZN +1.25% (crossed above EMA20) · GSK +1.36% (MACD bullish cross) · HLN +1.19% (crossed above EMA20) · RKT +1.11% (continuation). Group flipping constructive.
WEAK — Defence
BAE +1.75% but still bear-all and 19% off 52-week highs. Bounce inside downtrend.
MIXED — Retail / Consumer
TSCO -0.22% bearish · ABF -0.08% bearish but MACD flipped bullish · DGE +1.26% bull 20/50 · ULVR +0.88% recovering.
DAILY SIGNALS TABLE
BULL ALL EMAs
ADM · close 3378 · +0.48% · RSI 58.4 (N) · MACD bull · above POC · -8.4% from 52H
BATS · close 4892 · -0.69% · RSI 68.4 (N, near OB) · MACD bull (widening, +71 pts) · above POC · -8.1% from 52H · ADX 37 (strong trend)
BNZL · close 2402 · +0.08% · RSI 56.1 · MACD signal>line · above POC · -7.9% from 52H
BP · close 569.2 · +0.37% · RSI 55.1 · MACD just flipped BULL · above POC · -6.6% from 52H
CPG · close 3158 · -3.51% · RSI 58.7 (down 8.3 pts) · MACD bull but narrowing · above POC · -10.2% from 52H · warning candle
LGEN · close 264.00 · -0.11% · RSI 58.6 · MACD bull cross · above POC · -6.7% from 52H · week +6.24%
LSEG · close 9471 · +2.10% · RSI 55.6 · MACD signal>line (about to converge) · above POC · -19.8% from 52H
SHEL · close 3285 · -0.14% · RSI 53.1 · MACD bull cross · above POC (3266) · -8.5% from 52H · StochRSI 98 (extended ST)
STAN · close 1881 · -2.11% · RSI 57.0 · MACD turned BEAR · above POC · -3.0% from 52H · StochRSI 9 (oversold)
BEAR ALL EMAs
AV · close 616.52 · -2.30% · RSI 45.5 (down 6.9) · MACD bear · below POC · -12.0% from 52H · fresh breakdown
BAE · close 1913.5 · +1.75% · RSI 37.4 · MACD bear · below POC · -18.9% from 52H · ADX 28 (strong downtrend)
III · close 2210 · +6.15% · RSI 35.9 (up 7.6 — bounce) · MACD deeply bear · below POC · -50.9% from 52H · counter-rally
NWG · close 567.2 · +0.21% · RSI 46.5 · MACD bear · below POC · -19.6% from 52H
BEAR (below EMA20 AND EMA50, above EMA200)
ANTO · 3657 · -3.41% · RSI 46.0 · MACD just flipped BEAR · below POC · -18.3% from 52H
BARC · 426.5 · +0.05% · RSI 49.5 · MACD bear · above POC · -15.8% from 52H
GSK · 1902 · +1.36% · RSI 41.7 (up 5.9) · MACD bull cross (new) · below POC · -16.7% from 52H
LLOY · 9624 · +1.05% · RSI 47.4 · MACD bear · below POC · -16.0% from 52H
NG · 1246 · +1.18% · RSI 43.9 · MACD bear · below POC · -12.8% from 52H
RR. · 1163.4 · +0.50% · RSI 45.6 · MACD bear · below POC · -18.1% from 52H
RTO · 470.8 · -1.11% · RSI 39.7 · MACD bear · below POC (just crossed) · -7.1% from 52H
SSE · 2342 · -0.13% · RSI 35.4 · MACD bear · below POC · -18.1% from 52H
TSCO · 460.5 · -0.22% · RSI 44.0 · MACD bear · below POC · -9.4% from 52H
VOD · 112.9 · +0.62% · RSI 46.5 · MACD bear · below POC · -7.5% from 52H
BULL (above EMA20 AND EMA50, below EMA200) — recovery candidates
DGE · 1572 · +1.26% · RSI 62.1 · MACD bull (widening) · above POC · -26.6% from 52H
EXPN · 2718 · +2.30% · RSI 53.9 · MACD bear (line below signal) · above POC · -33.7% from 52H · StochRSI 100
INF · 810 · +0.65% · RSI 53.5 · MACD bear · above POC · -19.0% from 52H · crossed above both EMAs yesterday
SGE · 907.8 · +2.90% · RSI 58.3 (up 6.1) · MACD bear (narrowing) · above POC · -32.0% from 52H · StochRSI 98 (extended)
WPP · 278.4 · +1.31% · RSI 60.9 · MACD bull cross · above POC · -54.0% from 52H
MIXED — case-by-case
AAL · 3656 · -3.31% · RSI 48.2 · close below EMA20 (3747) but above EMA50 and EMA200 · MACD bear cross · above POC · ATR 152
ABF · 1838.5 · -0.08% · RSI 51.8 · above EMA20 (1823) but below EMA50 (1852) and EMA200 (1975) · MACD bull cross · below POC
AZN · 13882 · +1.25% · RSI 47.9 (up 5.5) · above EMA20 (13869) AND EMA200 (13469) but below EMA50 (14141) · MACD bull cross · below POC
GLEN · 561.1 · -2.20% · RSI 48.7 · below EMA20 (567.45) but above EMA50 (549) and EMA200 (458) · MACD bear cross · above POC
HLN · 341.1 · +1.19% · RSI 46.9 · above EMA20 (340.6) but below EMA50 (354) and EMA200 (366) · MACD bull cross · below POC
HSBA · 1324.4 · -0.99% · RSI 50.6 · below EMA20 (1326.6) but above EMA50 (1303) and EMA200 (1166) · MACD bear · above POC
IMB · 2886 · -0.10% · RSI 52.8 · above EMA20 (2834) but below EMA50 (2924) and EMA200 (3004) · MACD bull (narrowing) · below POC
PRU · 1122.5 · -1.06% · RSI 49.1 · below EMA20 (1130) but above EMA50 (1119) and EMA200 (1063) · MACD bear · above POC
REL · 2529 · +1.00% · RSI 49.2 · above EMA20 (2526.6, by 2.4 pts) below EMA50 (2560) and EMA200 (2916) · MACD bear · below POC
RIO · 7519 · -2.69% · RSI 49.4 (down 5.
RKT · 4748 · +1.11% · RSI 47.2 · above EMA20 (4725) below EMA50 (5032) and EMA200 (5457) · MACD bull (narrowing) · below POC
ULVR · 4292.5 · +0.88% · RSI 48.9 · above EMA20 (4278) below EMA50 (4432) and EMA200 (4807) · MACD bull · below POC
TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
1. BATS — Trend continuation in the strongest stock on the board (CONTINUING)
Bull-all, ADX 37 (strongest reading in the universe), MACD widening by 71 pts, well above POC. RSI 68 is hot but not extreme, and the 4892 close is -8% from the 52-week high (5326) so room remains. StochRSI 76 — high but not pinned. ATR 155.
Entry: 4860-4880 pullback (Cam S2 4809 to Cam S1 4850) · Stop: 4720 (below EMA9 4725, just over 1 ATR) · T1: 4970 (Cam R2) · T2: 5140 (Cam R4) · R:R: 1:1.5
Why: Sole BULL+ADX>30 stock with widening MACD. Multi-week leader.
2. EXPN — Bullish continuation, just crossed above EMA50 and POC (NEW)
Crossed above EMA50 and POC yesterday, 4-day up streak, week +7.6%, RSI +18 over the week. Above EMA20 and EMA50 (recovery posture). StochRSI is pinned at 100 — short-term hot — so any pullback into Cam S1-S2 is the cleaner entry.
Entry: 2705-2715 (Cam S1 2712 / pivot 2710) · Stop: 2640 (below EMA9 2648 and pre-cross level) · T1: 2776 (Classic R2) · T2: 2812 (Classic R3) and reach toward 3069 EMA200 over multi-day · R:R: 1:1.7
Why: Best new bullish trigger overnight + price/POC alignment.
3. WPP — Deep value recovery accelerating (CONTINUING)
Above all near-term EMAs (e2 265.7, e5 263.7) but still -54% from 52H (605.4) — a long way to run. MACD bullish cross, RSI 60.9, week +9.65%, ADX 20 building. POC at 255 is solid support.
Entry: 275-277 pullback (Cam S1 277 / EMA9 268.8 below) · Stop: 263 (below EMA50) · T1: 285.5 (Classic R1 / Cam R4) · T2: 298 (Classic R3) · R:R: 1:1.7
Why: Reversal candidate with the most room to mean-revert.
4. SHEL — Oil-major rotation joins BP (NEW MACD cross)
MACD bullish cross overnight, crossed above POC (3266), bull-all, ADX 28. Sister stock BP also flipped MACD bullish — sector confluence. StochRSI 97.7 means buy a dip rather than chase.
Entry: 3265-3275 (POC + Cam S2) · Stop: 3230 (below EMA20/50 cluster) · T1: 3305 (Classic R1) · T2: 3342 (Classic R3) · R:R: 1:1.3
5. LSEG — Bull-all, fresh EMA20 reclaim, growth name (NEW)
Crossed above EMA20 yesterday. +2.10% on the day, RSI 55.6, ADX 23 building, POC well below at 8884. Still 20% off 52H so plenty of room.
Entry: 9430-9470 (Cam S1 9450 / pivot 9417) · Stop: 9290 (below EMA9/EMA20 cluster) · T1: 9594 (Cam R4) · T2: 9780 (Classic R3) · R:R: 1:1.6
INTRADAY SETUPS
PIVOT BOUNCE — BP long
Close 569.20 sits right on classic pivot 569.07. Bull-all, MACD just flipped bullish. ATR is small (15.55) but Cam R3 only 2.30 above pivot — favours a clean Cam scalp.
Direction: LONG · Entry: 568-569 (pivot) · Stop: 565 (below S1 564.93) · Target: 573 (R1) then 577 (R2) · Trail above Cam R1 569.97 if hit.
CAM RANGE FADE — STAN range (S3/R3 range trade)
Cam S3 1867.66 to Cam R3 1894.34 forms a 26.7-point range. Stock is bull-all and 3% from 52H but turned MACD bearish — clean range conditions with short-term oversold StochRSI 9.
Direction: LONG at S3 / SHORT at R3 · Cam S3 1867.66 with stop 1854 (below S4) target 1885 (R1) · Cam R3 1894.34 with stop 1908 target 1881.
Why: StochRSI extreme oversold supports a S3 bounce first; daily MACD bear cross caps upside near R3.
CAM BREAKDOWN — AAL short below Cam S3
Yesterday closed at 3656 between Cam S2 3631 and Cam S1 3643 — already broken. Watch Cam S3 3619; loss of this opens the trend-day short.
Direction: SHORT · Entry: 3618 on break · Stop: 3670 (above Cam S1 1.05x ATR) · Target: 3582 (Cam S4) then 3555 (Classic S2) · R:R: 1:1.4
Why: Crossed below EMA20 yesterday, MACD bear cross, 4-day down streak.
PIVOT BOUNCE — REL long off pivot
Close 2529 right at Cam S1 2524.88 / pivot 2534. Crossed above EMA20 yesterday for the first time. 4-day up streak.
Direction: LONG · Entry: 2525-2534 · Stop: 2510 (below Classic S1 2509 and EMA20 2526.6) · Target: 2554 (R1) then 2579 (R2) · R:R: 1:1.7
CAM BREAKOUT — LSEG long above Cam R1
Close 9471 sits just above Cam S1 9450; the 9492 Cam R1 is the trigger.
Direction: LONG · Entry: 9495 on break · Stop: 9417 (below pivot) · Target: 9512 (R2) then 9594 (R4) · R:R: 1:1.5
KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD — Top 5 Tradeable
BATS — close 4892, ATR 155, RV 0.24
EMA: e9 4725 · e20 4552 · e50 4434 · e200 4172
POC: 4414 (well below) · 52H 5326 · 52L 3265
Cam: S4 4644 · S3 4768 · S1 4851 || R1 4933 · R3 5016 · R4 5140
Classic: S3 4285 · S2 4580 · S1 4736 | Pivot 5031 | R1 5187 · R2 5482 · R3 5638
LSEG — close 9471, ATR 250, RV 0.74
EMA: e9 9296 · e20 9311 · e50 9105 · e200 9114
POC: 8884 · 52H 11810 · 52L 6684
Cam: S4 9348 · S3 9409 · S1 9450 || R1 9492 · R3 9533 · R4 9594
Classic: S3 9108 · S2 9193 · S1 9332 | Pivot 9417 | R1 9556 · R2 9641 · R3 9780
BP — close 569.20, ATR 15.55, RV 0.84
EMA: e9 556.18 · e20 557.93 · e50 547.64 · e200 485.48
POC: 543.36 · 52H 609.4 · 52L 351.2
Cam: S4 564.58 · S3 566.89 · S1 568.43 || R1 569.97 · R3 571.51 · R4 573.82
Classic: S3 556.53 · S2 560.67 · S1 564.93 | Pivot 569.07 | R1 573.33 · R2 577.47 · R3 581.73
SHEL — close 3285, ATR 70.84, RV 0.39
EMA: e9 3219 · e20 3240 · e50 3234 · e200 2972
POC: 3266 (just below close — pivotal) · 52H 3591.5 · 52L 2403.5
Cam: S4 3265 · S3 3275 · S1 3281.65 || R1 3288.35 · R3 3295 · R4 3305
Classic: S3 3232 · S2 3253 · S1 3269 | Pivot 3289 | R1 3305 · R2 3326 · R3 3342
STAN — close 1881, ATR 52.84, RV 0.83
EMA: e9 1881.75 · e20 1844 · e50 1782 · e200 1621
POC: 1690.71 · 52H 1938.2 · 52L 1113
Cam: S4 1854 · S3 1867.66 · S1 1876.55 || R1 1885.45 · R3 1894.34 · R4 1907.68
Classic: S3 1813.67 · S2 1843.33 · S1 1862.17 | Pivot 1891.83 | R1 1910.67 · R2 1940.33 · R3 1959.17
BEARISH WARNINGS
JUST BROKE DOWN
AAL — Crossed below EMA20 (3747.30) yesterday. MACD bear cross. Loss of Cam S3 3619 opens the trend-day short to Cam S4 3583. Targets back to Classic S2 3555 / S3 3473.
ANTO — Crossed below EMA50 (3726.91), below POC (3715.78), MACD bear cross, 4-day down streak. -14.93% in a week. RSI 46 still falling. Next supports: Cam S3 3614 then Cam S4 3571 then Classic S2 3522.
RIO — Crossed below EMA20 (7625.12). RSI bled 28.7 points in a week (sharpest in universe). MACD bear cross. Watch 7407 (Cam S4) / 7339 (Classic S2). Volume RV 0.77 — selling has been measured, not panic — risk: capitulation candle still ahead.
GLEN — Crossed below EMA20 (567.45), MACD bear cross, week -5.24%. StochRSI 0 (max oversold). Next support is EMA50 549 / POC 543 — bounce-worthy area.
AV — From bull-all to bear-all in five sessions. Crossed below EMA20 AND EMA50 AND POC together. MACD bear. RSI 45.5 still has room down. Avoid bottom-fishing until daily prints a base.
WATCH FOR FOLLOW-THROUGH
CPG — Still bull-all but -3.5% with RSI down 8.3 pts. ADX is only 10.5 — uptrend not strong. A close below EMA20 3044 confirms a regime change.
HSBA — Crossed below EMA20 (1326.63). Still above EMA50/200 but momentum lost.
PRU — Crossed below EMA20 (1130). Mixed posture; not a confirmed breakdown yet.
STAN — Bull-all leader but MACD just turned bear. StochRSI 9 says bounce-likely first; failure of pivot 1891.83 would confirm topping behaviour 3% off the 52H.
BEAR-ALL, NO BOTTOM YET
BAE — RSI 37.4, ADX 28, all EMAs above. Bounce yesterday +1.75% inside a downtrend. Resistance EMA20 1994.79 (4% above).
III — +6.15% one-day bounce in a -50.9% from 52H downtrend. EMA200 still at 3215. ADX 26.2. Counter-rally only.
NWG — RSI 46.5, bear-all. Mining-style profile but in financials.
SSE / NG — Utilities still in downtrend; disinflation print might support, but not confirmed.
EVENTS CALENDAR
Today (Wed 20 May): UK CPI April released this morning at 2.8% YoY (below 3.0% est.). Reaction: pound weaker, gilts bid, equities supported in rate-sensitives.
This week: Watch UK Retail Sales Friday. BoE speakers throughout the week — every dovish lean now amplified after the CPI miss.
Earnings: No major FTSE 100 names among the 40-stock universe report this week (LSEG next prints 30 July 2026 per filings). Monitor RNS for AGM updates.
US: FOMC minutes on Wednesday evening — historically a UK overnight tail risk into Thursday open.
Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
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1 week 2 days ago #18557
by remo
Friday 15 May 2026
Data: Close 14 May 2026 | UKX: ~10,350 | Futures: 10,642.6 (+2.8% implied vs Thu close)
1. MARKET OVERVIEW
UKX Level: ~10,350 (Thursday 14 May close estimate based on intraday reports)
Futures (15 May pre-market): 10,642.6 (Source: Investing.com - FTSE 100 Futures)
Implied Direction: STRONGLY HIGHER - a significant overnight gap is signalled by futures. This may reflect the US-UK trade deal optimism and positive macro backdrop.
Macro Drivers (Thursday 14 May):
- UK Q1 2026 GDP growth confirmed stronger than expected (+0.5%), beating forecasts and lifting market sentiment
- Banking sector broadly higher - Barclays +2.77%, Standard Chartered +1.30%, Lloyds +1.09%, NatWest +0.92%
- Mining stocks benefited from copper's eight-session winning streak; Anglo American near 52w high, Antofagasta +8.31% week
- Legal & General surged +6.40% in heavy volume - crossed ALL three EMAs in one session; full technical reset
- BAT (BATS) surged +15.98% over the week in a powerful tobacco sector rotation - not in 20-stock scanner but dominant in comparison data
- 3i Group (III) CRASHED -13.5% (week: -19.16%) after Action posted disappointing like-for-like sales in France and Germany despite strong NAV growth and a GBP 750m share buyback announcement
Key risk for Friday: With futures implying a large gap open, early price action is critical. Gap fills are common after large implied moves. Watch banking and mining for continuation vs fade.
2. NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)
Top 8 most significant moves from Thursday vs Wednesday:
LGEN - RSI surged 14.9 pts (44.3 to 59.2), Crossed ABOVE EMA20 + EMA50 + EMA200, MACD BULLISH crossover, Big move: +6.4%, Crossed ABOVE POC (254.07), Heavy volume (rv=2.1). Week: +5.17%. This is a full technical reset in one session - the single biggest signal of the week.
III (3i Group) - RSI dropped 10.9 pts (35.0 to 24.1) entering oversold territory, Big move: -13.5%, Heavy volume (rv=3.4). Week: -19.16%, RSI week: -18.9 pts. Action LFL sales disappointed; France/Germany underperformed. Now trading at deep oversold levels.
IMB - RSI surged 10.7 pts (40.7 to 51.4), Crossed ABOVE EMA20, Big move: +4.1%. Week RSI: +16.3 pts. Recovering from extended downtrend; now above EMA20 for first time in weeks.
WPP - Crossed ABOVE EMA50 (first time this recovery), Big move: +3.5%, Crossed ABOVE POC (255.40). RSI moved from Bear to Bull zone (43.1 to 50.6). A meaningful technical recovery for a stock -57% from its 52-week high.
BATS - 4-day up streak, Week: +15.98%, RSI week: +26.7 pts. Powerful tobacco sector rotation. RSI moved from 47.9 to 74.6 over the week - now in overbought territory.
ADM (Admiral) - RSI surged 11.2 pts (39.1 to 50.3), Crossed ABOVE EMA50, Big move: +3.3%. Insurance recovery alongside LGEN.
ABF - RSI surged 10.1 pts (34.8 to 44.9), Big move: +2.53%. Bounce from near-OS levels though still below all EMAs.
BARC - Crossed ABOVE EMA20 AND EMA50 (from below both). RSI zone changed from Bear to Bull. A meaningful breakout above the key short-term moving averages.
3. SECTOR HEATMAP
BANKING - RECOVERING / MIXED
- BARC +2.77% - BULLISH (crossed above EMA20/50, Bull above all EMAs)
- STAN +1.30% - STRONG (Bull above all EMAs, near 52w high)
- LLOY +1.09% - RECOVERING (Bear below 20/50, above 200)
- NWG +0.92% - BEARISH (Bear below ALL EMAs including 200)
- Day-over-day: BARC crossed above EMA20 and EMA50 - the strongest banking signal of the session
INSURANCE - STRONG
- LGEN +6.40% - VERY STRONG (Bull above all EMAs, heavy volume, MACD bull cross)
- PRU +1.13% - BULLISH (Bull above all EMAs)
- AV +1.46% - RECOVERING (above EMA20 only, below EMA50/200)
- ADM +3.30% - BULLISH (crossed above EMA50 per comparison data)
- Sector showing broad strength; LGEN in particular triggered a multi-EMA breakout
MINING - BULLISH (week-on-week leaders)
- AAL -0.19% (day) but +5.68% week - BULLISH (Bull above all EMAs, near 52w high)
- ANTO -2.09% (day) but +8.31% week - BULLISH (Bull above all EMAs)
- RIO -1.41% (day) but +5.87% week - BULLISH (from comparison data)
- GLEN +0.47% day, +5.35% week - BULLISH (from comparison data)
- Pullback day on Thursday after big week gains; trend remains firmly up
TOBACCO - STRONG
- BATS +2.97% (day), +15.98% WEEK - VERY STRONG, RSI 74.6 (overbought)
- IMB +4.07% (day), +4.46% week - RECOVERING (above EMA20 only)
- Note: BATS is now overbought at RSI 74.6; IMB still has room to recover
CONSUMER / RETAIL - MIXED TO WEAK
- ABF +2.53% (day bounce) - RECOVERING but still Bear below all EMAs
- TSCO -2.13% - BEARISH (Bear below 20/50, week -3.29%)
- CPG +2.16% day, +12.17% week - VERY STRONG (from comparison data; 5-day up streak)
UTILITIES - WEAK
- SSE -0.04% but 4-day DOWN streak, MACD deepening bearish - BEARISH
- NG +0.92% (from comparison) - NEUTRAL
HEALTHCARE / PHARMA - WEAK
- HLN -0.08%, Bear below all EMAs, RSI 34.3 (near OS), ADX 42 (strong downtrend)
- AZN -0.29% (day) but MACD bullish crossover; week +2.79% - RECOVERING
- GSK -0.58% (day), Bear below all EMAs, RSI 34.9 - BEARISH
- BAE -0.47%, RSI 33, Bear trend continues
TECHNOLOGY / SOFTWARE - WEAK
- SGE +0.80% but Bear below ALL EMAs, -36% from 52w high, RSI 44.1 - BEARISH
MEDIA - RECOVERING
- WPP +3.53%, crossed above EMA50 and POC - notable recovery signal though still -57% from 52w high
PRIVATE EQUITY - CRASHED
- III (3i Group) -13.47% day, -19.16% week - Heavy volume (rv=3.4), RSI 24.1 - severe breakdown
4. DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE
All values are from close 14 May 2026. EMA classifications strictly numerical - no rounding tolerance.
LLOY 96.10p | Trend: Bear (below EMA20/50, above 200) | RSI: 46.0 - Neutral | MACD: Bear (line below signal) | POC: 98.19p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -16.1% | Day: +1.09% | rv: 0.33 (thin)
BARC 434.05p | Trend: Bull (above all) | RSI: 53.1 - Neutral | MACD: Bear (line below signal) | POC: 418.55p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -14.3% | Day: +2.77% | rv: 0.41 (thin)
STAN 1910p | Trend: Bull (above all) | RSI: 62.9 - Neutral | MACD: Bull (line above signal) | POC: 1684.8p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -1.5% | Day: +1.30% | rv: 0.36 (thin)
NWG 569.2p | Trend: Bear (below all) | RSI: 46.6 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 574.35p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -19.3% | Day: +0.92% | rv: 0.32 (thin)
PRU 1166.5p | Trend: Bull (above all) | RSI: 60.0 - Neutral | MACD: Bull | POC: 1096.14p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -5.8% | Day: +1.13% | rv: 0.24 (thin)
HLN 329.55p | Trend: Bear (below all) | RSI: 34.3 - Neutral (near OS) | MACD: Bear | POC: 367.64p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -21.4% | Day: -0.08% | rv: 0.22 (thin)
AAL 4067.29p | Trend: Bull (above all) | RSI: 68.7 - Neutral (near OB) | MACD: Bull | POC: 3386.48p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -1.2% | Day: -0.19% | Week: +5.68% | rv: 0.31 (thin)
ANTO 4209p | Trend: Bull (above all) | RSI: 64.0 - Neutral | MACD: Bull | POC: 3710.26p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -5.9% | Day: -2.09% | Week: +8.31% | rv: 0.17 (thin)
TSCO 452.35p | Trend: Bear (below EMA20/50, above 200) | RSI: 37.1 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 478.22p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -11.0% | Day: -2.13% | rv: 0.38 (thin)
SSE 2449p | Trend: Bear (below EMA20/50, above 200) | RSI: 37.7 - Neutral | MACD: Bear (deepening) | POC: 2602.95p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -14.4% | Day: -0.04% | rv: 0.47 (thin)
VOD 115.93p | Trend: Bull (above all) | RSI: 50.8 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 113.41p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -5.0% | Day: +0.89% | rv: 0.31 (thin)
LGEN 264.4p | Trend: Bull (above all) | RSI: 59.2 - Neutral | MACD: BULL CROSSOVER | POC: 254.07p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -5.4% | Day: +6.40% | RSI delta: +14.9 pts | rv: 2.07 HEAVY VOLUME
AV 626.2p | Trend: Mixed (above EMA20 only, below EMA50/200) | RSI: 50.0 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 629.58p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -10.6% | Day: +1.46% | rv: 0.97
SGE 854.4p | Trend: Bear (below all) | RSI: 44.1 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 850.60p (close ABOVE - minor) | From 52w H: -36.0% | Day: +0.80% | rv: 1.02
IMB 2868.05p | Trend: Mixed (above EMA20 only, below EMA50/200) | RSI: 51.4 - Neutral | MACD: Bull (line > signal, recovering) | POC: 3019.2p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -14.2% | Day: +4.07% | RSI delta: +10.7 pts | rv: 0.31 (thin)
ABF 1803.5p | Trend: Bear (below all) | RSI: 44.9 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 1859.41p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -23.5% | Day: +2.53% | RSI delta: +10.1 pts | rv: 0.28 (thin)
BNZL 2352p | Trend: Mixed (below EMA20, above EMA50 and 200) | RSI: 48.2 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 2268.38p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -9.9% | Day: -0.17% | rv: 0.31 (thin)
RTO 474.8p | Trend: Bear (below EMA20/50, above 200) | RSI: 41.0 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 473.07p (close ABOVE - minor) | From 52w H: -6.4% | Day: +0.17% | rv: 1.93 ELEVATED VOLUME
WPP 262.86p | Trend: Mixed (below EMA20/200, above EMA50 only - new cross) | RSI: 50.6 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 255.40p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -57.0% | Day: +3.53% | rv: 0.36 (thin)
INF 800.2p | Trend: Bear (below all) | RSI: 49.9 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 787.84p (close ABOVE - marginal) | From 52w H: -19.9% | Day: +1.19% | rv: 0.20 (very thin)
Note: Volume is thin across most names (rv < 0.5). LGEN is the standout with rv=2.07 and RTO showing elevated rv=1.93. Thin volume moves should be viewed with caution; wide stops may be warranted.
5. TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
Setup 1: LGEN -- Full Technical Reset / Continuation
The most powerful setup generated this week. LGEN crossed above ALL THREE EMAs in a single session with heavy volume (rv=2.07) and a MACD bullish crossover. RSI surged 14.9 points. This is a NEW signal - it triggered on Thursday and has NOT been in play previously. The stock closed above its Point of Control (254.07p), confirming buyer conviction.
Context: Institutional buying into Legal & General likely driven by insurance sector rotation and possibly index-driven flows. The +6.4% move on 2x average volume is genuine.
EMA support: EMA200 = 252.30p, EMA50 = 255.09p, EMA20 = 253.81p - all clustered tightly, forming a strong support zone at 252-256p.
Entry: 262-265 (open range, or pullback to Cam S3 261.84) Stop: 254.00 (below all EMAs and POC, 1.25x ATR) T1: 271.50 (Classic R2) T2: 277.00 (Classic R3 / approaching 52w high zone) R:R: 1:1.4 (to T2)
POC support: 254.07p - if price pulls back to POC it becomes a high-conviction re-entry.
Setup 2: STAN -- Near 52-Week High / Bull Continuation
Standard Chartered is the strongest sustained bull trend in the banking sector. Price is only 1.5% from its 52-week high of 1938.2p. Bull above ALL EMAs with a wide stack (EMA200 = 1612.83p), MACD bull (line > signal), RSI 62.9. This is a CONTINUING setup - STAN has been in a sustained uptrend.
POC: 1684.8p - price is 13.3% above POC, confirming sustained accumulation by buyers.
Entry: 1895-1910 (current range, or pullback to Classic S1 1885.98) Stop: 1849 (Classic S3 / below all near-term support) T1: 1938 (52w high / psychological resistance) T2: 1960 (Classic R3 / new 52w high territory) R:R: 1:1.2 (to T1), 1:2.0 (to T2)
Note: Volume has been thin (rv=0.36) - a higher-volume breakout above 1938.2 would be a very strong signal.
Setup 3: AAL -- Mining Bull Near All-Time Highs
Anglo American is only 1.2% from its 52-week high of 4118.5p, Bull above all EMAs, MACD bull, RSI 68.7 (approaching overbought). Week +5.68% as copper prices continue their record-breaking run. This is a CONTINUING setup supported by the broader commodity supercycle narrative.
POC: 3386.48p - price is 20% above POC, showing sustained institutional accumulation.
Entry: 4013-4067 (pullback to Cam S4/current close) Stop: 3914 (Classic S3) T1: 4119 (52w high) T2: 4200+ (new high territory) R:R: 1:1.0 tight (to T1), better on breakouts
Caution: RSI 68.7 approaching overbought. Day was slightly negative (-0.19%) on thin volume (rv=0.31). Wait for either a dip to Cam S3 (4040) or a breakout above 4100 with volume.
Setup 4: IMB -- Tobacco Recovery from Oversold
Imperial Brands has just crossed above EMA20 (2823.45p) with RSI surging 10.7 pts. Week RSI: +16.3 pts total recovery from the oversold 35 zone. This is a NEW breakout signal. Still below EMA50 (2931p) and EMA200 (3008p) so this is a recovery trade, not a full bull.
Key resistance to watch: EMA50 at 2931p is the next test. POC at 3019p is strong resistance.
Entry: 2840-2870 (current range or Cam S3 2840) Stop: 2790 (below Cam S4, below EMA20) T1: 2931 (EMA50 resistance) T2: 3019 (POC) R:R: 1:1.6 (to T2)
Note: Volume thin (rv=0.31). Monitor for confirmation on Friday. Tobacco sector broadly rotating.
Setup 5: WPP -- Deep Value Technical Recovery
WPP crossed above EMA50 (262.69p) for the first time in this recovery, crossed above POC (255.40p) and RSI moved from Bear to Bull zone. Close at 262.86p is marginally above EMA50 (262.69p) - only 17p of clearance. This is a NEW signal. However the stock is -57% from its 52-week high, indicating deep structural issues. This is a speculative recovery trade only.
Entry: 260-263 (pullback to EMA50 support zone) Stop: 254 (below POC and EMA50) T1: 270 (Classic R1 area) R:R: 1:1.0 (marginal)
Note: Not a high-conviction bull - more of a tactical bounce play. WPP is still -57% from 52w high at 611.8p and far below EMA200 at 334.53p. Position size accordingly.
6. INTRADAY SETUPS (Using Pivot and Camarilla Levels)
Intraday 1: STAN -- Cam R4 Breakout (Trend Day Long)
Direction: LONG
- Context: Bull trend, RSI 62.9, MACD bull, only 1.5% from 52w high. If futures gap holds, STAN could see a trend day.
- Entry: Break and hold above Cam R4 = 1930.10p
- Stop: 1906.65 (Cam S1)
- Target: 1938.2 (52w high) then 1959 (Classic R3)
- Why: Cam R4 breakout = trend day signal. Strong bull trend. Futures implying large gap up.
Intraday 2: BARC -- Pivot Bounce / Continuation
Direction: LONG
- Context: Just crossed above EMA20 and EMA50 (new signal). Closed at 434.05p above pivot (433.62p). RSI 53.1 in bull zone.
- Entry: Hold above Classic Pivot 433.62p on open or pullback to Cam S2 (432.46p)
- Stop: 429.27 (Cam S4, below EMA20)
- Target 1: 438.18 (Classic R1) Target 2: 442.32 (Classic R2)
- Why: EMA crossover + RSI reset + pivot bounce. Clean structure.
Entry: 433.62-434.05 Stop: 429.27 T1: 438.18 T2: 442.32 R:R: 1:1.3
Intraday 3: LGEN -- Camarilla Range Fade / Continuation
Direction: LONG on dips within Cam range
- Context: Big +6.4% day Thursday. Heavy volume. New bull. RSI 59.2.
- After a gap-up open, watch for a pullback into Cam S3 (261.84p) zone to add longs.
- Entry: 261.84-263.55 (Cam S3 to S1 zone)
- Stop: 259.29 (below Cam S4 and below all EMAs)
- Target: 267.97 (Classic R1) then 271.53 (Classic R2)
- Why: After a big-volume day, pullbacks to S3/Cam zone are high-probability long entries in bull moves.
Entry: 261-264 Stop: 259 T1: 268 T2: 272 R:R: 1:1.6
Intraday 4: TSCO -- Pivot Resistance Short
Direction: SHORT
- Context: Bear below EMA20 (471.95p) and EMA50 (472.93p), closed below POC (478.22p). RSI 37.1 and falling. Week -3.29%. 4th consecutive day with downward pressure.
- Note: Futures gap up may push TSCO to retest pivot (454.42p) or Cam R3 (454.19p) on open.
- Entry: Short rejection at Classic Pivot 454.42p or Cam R3 454.19p
- Stop: 458.80 (previous day high)
- Target 1: 450.03 (Classic S1) Target 2: 447.72 (Classic S2)
- Why: Bear trend continuation. Rejection at pivot/Cam R3 is classic bear structure.
Entry: 454-455 Stop: 459 T1: 450 T2: 448 R:R: 1:1.3
Intraday 5: SSE -- Camarilla S4 Breakdown Short
Direction: SHORT
- Context: 4-day down streak. Bear below EMA20 (2548.77p) and EMA50 (2566.48p). MACD deepening (signal diverging). RSI 37.7 and falling weekly. Week -2.2%.
- Entry: Break and hold below Cam S4 = 2433.60p
- Stop: 2451.57 (Cam R1 / near close)
- Target: 2429 (Classic S2) then 2411 (Classic S3)
- Why: Cam S4 breakdown = trend day short signal. 4-day down streak provides directional conviction.
Entry: 2433 Stop: 2452 T1: 2429 T2: 2411 R:R: 1:1.3
7. KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
TOP 5 MOST TRADEABLE STOCKS - ALL LEVELS
--- STAN (Standard Chartered) 1910p ---
Cam: S4 1889.9 · S3 1899.95 · S2 1903.3 · S1 1906.65 || R1 1913.35 · R2 1916.7 · R3 1920.05 · R4 1930.1
Classic: S3 1849.43 · S2 1861.97 · S1 1885.98 || Pivot 1898.52 || R1 1922.53 · R2 1935.07 · R3 1959.08
EMA: 9=1867.54 · 20=1825.40 · 50=1767.30 · 200=1612.83
POC: 1684.8p
Prev Day: H=1911.05 · L=1874.5
52w: H=1938.2 · L=1113
--- LGEN (Legal & General) 264.4p ---
Cam: S4 259.29 · S3 261.84 · S2 262.70 · S1 263.55 || R1 265.25 · R2 266.11 · R3 266.96 · R4 269.52
Classic: S3 249.37 · S2 252.93 · S1 258.67 || Pivot 262.23 || R1 267.97 · R2 271.53 · R3 277.27
EMA: 9=253.03 · 20=253.81 · 50=255.09 · 200=252.30
POC: 254.07p
Prev Day: H=265.80 · L=256.50
52w: H=279.5 · L=229.1
--- AAL (Anglo American) 4067p ---
Cam: S4 4013.39 · S3 4040.34 · S2 4049.32 · S1 4058.31 || R1 4076.27 · R2 4085.26 · R3 4094.24 · R4 4121.19
Classic: S3 3914.86 · S2 3958.43 · S1 4012.86 || Pivot 4056.43 || R1 4110.86 · R2 4154.43 · R3 4208.86
EMA: 9=3892.99 · 20=3746.51 · 50=3559.83 · 200=3137.46
POC: 3386.48p
Prev Day: H=4100 · L=4002
52w: H=4118.5 · L=1987.2
--- BARC (Barclays) 434.05p ---
Cam: S4 429.27 · S3 431.66 · S2 432.46 · S1 433.25 || R1 434.85 · R2 435.65 · R3 436.44 · R4 438.84
Classic: S3 420.78 · S2 424.92 · S1 429.48 || Pivot 433.62 || R1 438.18 · R2 442.32 · R3 446.88
EMA: 9=428.77 · 20=428.50 · 50=428.77 · 200=410.45
POC: 418.55p
Prev Day: H=437.75 · L=429.05
52w: H=506.4 · L=312.07
--- TSCO (Tesco) 452.35p ---
Cam: S4 448.67 · S3 450.51 · S2 451.12 · S1 451.74 || R1 452.96 · R2 453.58 · R3 454.19 · R4 456.04
Classic: S3 443.33 · S2 447.72 · S1 450.03 || Pivot 454.42 || R1 456.73 · R2 461.12 · R3 463.43
EMA: 9=465.27 · 20=471.95 · 50=472.93 · 200=448.33
POC: 478.22p
Prev Day: H=458.80 · L=452.10
52w: H=508 · L=362.9
8. BEARISH WARNINGS
III (3i Group) -- MAJOR CRASH -- OVERSOLD / DANGEROUS
Close: 2095p | -13.5% Thursday | -19.16% WEEK | RSI: 24.1 (OVERSOLD) | Volume: rv=3.4 (VERY HEAVY)
3i's Action division posted disappointing LFL sales growth, particularly in France and Germany. Despite strong NAV growth (+19%) and a GBP 750m buyback, the market sold heavily. RSI at 24.1 is deep oversold. Three consecutive losing days before the crash week (-1.03%, -2.33%, -5.02%). POC at 2711p is now very distant overhead resistance. This is not a buy-the-dip candidate until there is evidence of stabilisation. Potential bounce candidate only on RSI divergence after further base-building.
HLN (Haleon) -- SUSTAINED DOWNTREND, ADX RISING
Close: 329.55p | Bear below ALL EMAs | RSI: 34.3 | ADX: 42.0 (strong trend) | POC: 367.64p (18p overhead)
ADX at 42 confirms the downtrend is strong and gathering strength. Price is at a 52-week low zone (52w low: 325p). The stock is -21.4% from its 52w high. Near-term risk is a break of 325p support which would trigger new 52-week lows. MACD in bear territory. Close is just 4.55p above the 52-week low.
SGE (Sage Group) -- DEEP STRUCTURAL BEAR, -36% FROM 52W HIGH
Close: 854.4p | Bear below ALL EMAs | RSI: 44.1 | EMA200: 985.46p | POC: 850.60p
The worst EMA picture in the tracked universe. -36% from its 52-week high of 1335p. EMA200 sits at 985p, 131p overhead. The stock is trapped below all major moving averages and the POC marginally (close at 854.4 vs POC 850.6). An EMA200 recapture would require a 15% rally from here.
GSK (GSK plc) -- BELOW ALL EMAs, BEARISH MACD DEEPENING
Close: 1875p | Bear below ALL EMAs | RSI: 34.9 | MACD: -58.6 (signal: -51.17) | POC: 2063.62p (way overhead)
-10% from 52w high. RSI recovering slightly week-on-week (27.0 to 34.9) but MACD is still deeply bearish and diverging. POC at 2063p represents significant overhead supply from institutional selling. Not a buy until above EMA200.
BAE Systems -- BEARISH MACD DEEP, RSI 33, -12% FROM 52W HIGH
Close: 1919.5p | RSI: 33.0 (near OS) | MACD: -67.2 (signal: -53.99) | POC: 2163.92p
Defence sector underperforming despite geopolitical tailwinds. RSI holding above oversold but MACD is diverging bearish. POC at 2163p is 12.7% overhead. Three negative days in the past five sessions.
ABF (Associated British Foods) -- BEAR BELOW ALL EMAs DESPITE BOUNCE
Close: 1803.5p | Bear below ALL EMAs | RSI: 44.9 | POC: 1859.41p | From 52w H: -23.5%
Thursday's +2.53% bounce is encouraging but does not change the structure. Still below EMA20 (1822p), EMA50 (1855p), EMA200 (1979p) and POC (1859p). RSI recovery from 34.8 to 44.9 is a positive sign but needs follow-through.
SSE -- 4-DAY DOWN STREAK, MACD DEEPENING
Close: 2449p | Bear below EMA20/50 | RSI: 37.7 | Week: -2.20% | 4-day down streak
MACD at -43.02 vs signal -27.43, gap widening = accelerating momentum to the downside. Cam S4 at 2433.6p is the next breakdown level. Break below 2429 (Classic S2) opens a run to 2411 (Classic S3). Thin volume (rv=0.47) on these moves.
9. EVENTS CALENDAR
This Week (w/e 15 May 2026):
- 3i Group (III) - Full year results announced Thu 14 May (completed, stock -13.5%)
- UK Q1 GDP - Released Thu 14 May, beat expectations at +0.5% QoQ
- FTSE 100 earnings season continuing across banking, insurance, and consumer sectors
Next Week (w/c 18 May 2026):
- UK economic data releases expected (CPI, employment data likely in this period)
- Further FTSE 100 H1 results expected
- Watch for further Action sales data / 3i Group management commentary after crash
- BATS overbought (RSI 74.6) - watch for potential pullback or consolidation
- CPG at RSI 74.2 after 5-day up streak - elevated risk of near-term reversal
- LGEN: Watch for follow-through on the big breakout session
Ongoing themes:
- US-UK trade deal progress - positive catalyst for indices
- Copper supercycle: Anglo American and Antofagasta remain key beneficiaries
- Tobacco rotation: BATS/IMB recovery continuing - watch for sustainability
- Insurance: LGEN/PRU/AV all recovering; sector rotation into defensives
Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Replied by remo on topic FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
Friday 15 May 2026
Data: Close 14 May 2026 | UKX: ~10,350 | Futures: 10,642.6 (+2.8% implied vs Thu close)
1. MARKET OVERVIEW
UKX Level: ~10,350 (Thursday 14 May close estimate based on intraday reports)
Futures (15 May pre-market): 10,642.6 (Source: Investing.com - FTSE 100 Futures)
Implied Direction: STRONGLY HIGHER - a significant overnight gap is signalled by futures. This may reflect the US-UK trade deal optimism and positive macro backdrop.
Macro Drivers (Thursday 14 May):
- UK Q1 2026 GDP growth confirmed stronger than expected (+0.5%), beating forecasts and lifting market sentiment
- Banking sector broadly higher - Barclays +2.77%, Standard Chartered +1.30%, Lloyds +1.09%, NatWest +0.92%
- Mining stocks benefited from copper's eight-session winning streak; Anglo American near 52w high, Antofagasta +8.31% week
- Legal & General surged +6.40% in heavy volume - crossed ALL three EMAs in one session; full technical reset
- BAT (BATS) surged +15.98% over the week in a powerful tobacco sector rotation - not in 20-stock scanner but dominant in comparison data
- 3i Group (III) CRASHED -13.5% (week: -19.16%) after Action posted disappointing like-for-like sales in France and Germany despite strong NAV growth and a GBP 750m share buyback announcement
Key risk for Friday: With futures implying a large gap open, early price action is critical. Gap fills are common after large implied moves. Watch banking and mining for continuation vs fade.
2. NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)
Top 8 most significant moves from Thursday vs Wednesday:
LGEN - RSI surged 14.9 pts (44.3 to 59.2), Crossed ABOVE EMA20 + EMA50 + EMA200, MACD BULLISH crossover, Big move: +6.4%, Crossed ABOVE POC (254.07), Heavy volume (rv=2.1). Week: +5.17%. This is a full technical reset in one session - the single biggest signal of the week.
III (3i Group) - RSI dropped 10.9 pts (35.0 to 24.1) entering oversold territory, Big move: -13.5%, Heavy volume (rv=3.4). Week: -19.16%, RSI week: -18.9 pts. Action LFL sales disappointed; France/Germany underperformed. Now trading at deep oversold levels.
IMB - RSI surged 10.7 pts (40.7 to 51.4), Crossed ABOVE EMA20, Big move: +4.1%. Week RSI: +16.3 pts. Recovering from extended downtrend; now above EMA20 for first time in weeks.
WPP - Crossed ABOVE EMA50 (first time this recovery), Big move: +3.5%, Crossed ABOVE POC (255.40). RSI moved from Bear to Bull zone (43.1 to 50.6). A meaningful technical recovery for a stock -57% from its 52-week high.
BATS - 4-day up streak, Week: +15.98%, RSI week: +26.7 pts. Powerful tobacco sector rotation. RSI moved from 47.9 to 74.6 over the week - now in overbought territory.
ADM (Admiral) - RSI surged 11.2 pts (39.1 to 50.3), Crossed ABOVE EMA50, Big move: +3.3%. Insurance recovery alongside LGEN.
ABF - RSI surged 10.1 pts (34.8 to 44.9), Big move: +2.53%. Bounce from near-OS levels though still below all EMAs.
BARC - Crossed ABOVE EMA20 AND EMA50 (from below both). RSI zone changed from Bear to Bull. A meaningful breakout above the key short-term moving averages.
3. SECTOR HEATMAP
BANKING - RECOVERING / MIXED
- BARC +2.77% - BULLISH (crossed above EMA20/50, Bull above all EMAs)
- STAN +1.30% - STRONG (Bull above all EMAs, near 52w high)
- LLOY +1.09% - RECOVERING (Bear below 20/50, above 200)
- NWG +0.92% - BEARISH (Bear below ALL EMAs including 200)
- Day-over-day: BARC crossed above EMA20 and EMA50 - the strongest banking signal of the session
INSURANCE - STRONG
- LGEN +6.40% - VERY STRONG (Bull above all EMAs, heavy volume, MACD bull cross)
- PRU +1.13% - BULLISH (Bull above all EMAs)
- AV +1.46% - RECOVERING (above EMA20 only, below EMA50/200)
- ADM +3.30% - BULLISH (crossed above EMA50 per comparison data)
- Sector showing broad strength; LGEN in particular triggered a multi-EMA breakout
MINING - BULLISH (week-on-week leaders)
- AAL -0.19% (day) but +5.68% week - BULLISH (Bull above all EMAs, near 52w high)
- ANTO -2.09% (day) but +8.31% week - BULLISH (Bull above all EMAs)
- RIO -1.41% (day) but +5.87% week - BULLISH (from comparison data)
- GLEN +0.47% day, +5.35% week - BULLISH (from comparison data)
- Pullback day on Thursday after big week gains; trend remains firmly up
TOBACCO - STRONG
- BATS +2.97% (day), +15.98% WEEK - VERY STRONG, RSI 74.6 (overbought)
- IMB +4.07% (day), +4.46% week - RECOVERING (above EMA20 only)
- Note: BATS is now overbought at RSI 74.6; IMB still has room to recover
CONSUMER / RETAIL - MIXED TO WEAK
- ABF +2.53% (day bounce) - RECOVERING but still Bear below all EMAs
- TSCO -2.13% - BEARISH (Bear below 20/50, week -3.29%)
- CPG +2.16% day, +12.17% week - VERY STRONG (from comparison data; 5-day up streak)
UTILITIES - WEAK
- SSE -0.04% but 4-day DOWN streak, MACD deepening bearish - BEARISH
- NG +0.92% (from comparison) - NEUTRAL
HEALTHCARE / PHARMA - WEAK
- HLN -0.08%, Bear below all EMAs, RSI 34.3 (near OS), ADX 42 (strong downtrend)
- AZN -0.29% (day) but MACD bullish crossover; week +2.79% - RECOVERING
- GSK -0.58% (day), Bear below all EMAs, RSI 34.9 - BEARISH
- BAE -0.47%, RSI 33, Bear trend continues
TECHNOLOGY / SOFTWARE - WEAK
- SGE +0.80% but Bear below ALL EMAs, -36% from 52w high, RSI 44.1 - BEARISH
MEDIA - RECOVERING
- WPP +3.53%, crossed above EMA50 and POC - notable recovery signal though still -57% from 52w high
PRIVATE EQUITY - CRASHED
- III (3i Group) -13.47% day, -19.16% week - Heavy volume (rv=3.4), RSI 24.1 - severe breakdown
4. DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE
All values are from close 14 May 2026. EMA classifications strictly numerical - no rounding tolerance.
LLOY 96.10p | Trend: Bear (below EMA20/50, above 200) | RSI: 46.0 - Neutral | MACD: Bear (line below signal) | POC: 98.19p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -16.1% | Day: +1.09% | rv: 0.33 (thin)
BARC 434.05p | Trend: Bull (above all) | RSI: 53.1 - Neutral | MACD: Bear (line below signal) | POC: 418.55p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -14.3% | Day: +2.77% | rv: 0.41 (thin)
STAN 1910p | Trend: Bull (above all) | RSI: 62.9 - Neutral | MACD: Bull (line above signal) | POC: 1684.8p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -1.5% | Day: +1.30% | rv: 0.36 (thin)
NWG 569.2p | Trend: Bear (below all) | RSI: 46.6 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 574.35p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -19.3% | Day: +0.92% | rv: 0.32 (thin)
PRU 1166.5p | Trend: Bull (above all) | RSI: 60.0 - Neutral | MACD: Bull | POC: 1096.14p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -5.8% | Day: +1.13% | rv: 0.24 (thin)
HLN 329.55p | Trend: Bear (below all) | RSI: 34.3 - Neutral (near OS) | MACD: Bear | POC: 367.64p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -21.4% | Day: -0.08% | rv: 0.22 (thin)
AAL 4067.29p | Trend: Bull (above all) | RSI: 68.7 - Neutral (near OB) | MACD: Bull | POC: 3386.48p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -1.2% | Day: -0.19% | Week: +5.68% | rv: 0.31 (thin)
ANTO 4209p | Trend: Bull (above all) | RSI: 64.0 - Neutral | MACD: Bull | POC: 3710.26p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -5.9% | Day: -2.09% | Week: +8.31% | rv: 0.17 (thin)
TSCO 452.35p | Trend: Bear (below EMA20/50, above 200) | RSI: 37.1 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 478.22p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -11.0% | Day: -2.13% | rv: 0.38 (thin)
SSE 2449p | Trend: Bear (below EMA20/50, above 200) | RSI: 37.7 - Neutral | MACD: Bear (deepening) | POC: 2602.95p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -14.4% | Day: -0.04% | rv: 0.47 (thin)
VOD 115.93p | Trend: Bull (above all) | RSI: 50.8 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 113.41p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -5.0% | Day: +0.89% | rv: 0.31 (thin)
LGEN 264.4p | Trend: Bull (above all) | RSI: 59.2 - Neutral | MACD: BULL CROSSOVER | POC: 254.07p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -5.4% | Day: +6.40% | RSI delta: +14.9 pts | rv: 2.07 HEAVY VOLUME
AV 626.2p | Trend: Mixed (above EMA20 only, below EMA50/200) | RSI: 50.0 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 629.58p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -10.6% | Day: +1.46% | rv: 0.97
SGE 854.4p | Trend: Bear (below all) | RSI: 44.1 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 850.60p (close ABOVE - minor) | From 52w H: -36.0% | Day: +0.80% | rv: 1.02
IMB 2868.05p | Trend: Mixed (above EMA20 only, below EMA50/200) | RSI: 51.4 - Neutral | MACD: Bull (line > signal, recovering) | POC: 3019.2p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -14.2% | Day: +4.07% | RSI delta: +10.7 pts | rv: 0.31 (thin)
ABF 1803.5p | Trend: Bear (below all) | RSI: 44.9 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 1859.41p (close BELOW) | From 52w H: -23.5% | Day: +2.53% | RSI delta: +10.1 pts | rv: 0.28 (thin)
BNZL 2352p | Trend: Mixed (below EMA20, above EMA50 and 200) | RSI: 48.2 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 2268.38p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -9.9% | Day: -0.17% | rv: 0.31 (thin)
RTO 474.8p | Trend: Bear (below EMA20/50, above 200) | RSI: 41.0 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 473.07p (close ABOVE - minor) | From 52w H: -6.4% | Day: +0.17% | rv: 1.93 ELEVATED VOLUME
WPP 262.86p | Trend: Mixed (below EMA20/200, above EMA50 only - new cross) | RSI: 50.6 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 255.40p (close ABOVE) | From 52w H: -57.0% | Day: +3.53% | rv: 0.36 (thin)
INF 800.2p | Trend: Bear (below all) | RSI: 49.9 - Neutral | MACD: Bear | POC: 787.84p (close ABOVE - marginal) | From 52w H: -19.9% | Day: +1.19% | rv: 0.20 (very thin)
Note: Volume is thin across most names (rv < 0.5). LGEN is the standout with rv=2.07 and RTO showing elevated rv=1.93. Thin volume moves should be viewed with caution; wide stops may be warranted.
5. TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
Setup 1: LGEN -- Full Technical Reset / Continuation
The most powerful setup generated this week. LGEN crossed above ALL THREE EMAs in a single session with heavy volume (rv=2.07) and a MACD bullish crossover. RSI surged 14.9 points. This is a NEW signal - it triggered on Thursday and has NOT been in play previously. The stock closed above its Point of Control (254.07p), confirming buyer conviction.
Context: Institutional buying into Legal & General likely driven by insurance sector rotation and possibly index-driven flows. The +6.4% move on 2x average volume is genuine.
EMA support: EMA200 = 252.30p, EMA50 = 255.09p, EMA20 = 253.81p - all clustered tightly, forming a strong support zone at 252-256p.
Entry: 262-265 (open range, or pullback to Cam S3 261.84) Stop: 254.00 (below all EMAs and POC, 1.25x ATR) T1: 271.50 (Classic R2) T2: 277.00 (Classic R3 / approaching 52w high zone) R:R: 1:1.4 (to T2)
POC support: 254.07p - if price pulls back to POC it becomes a high-conviction re-entry.
Setup 2: STAN -- Near 52-Week High / Bull Continuation
Standard Chartered is the strongest sustained bull trend in the banking sector. Price is only 1.5% from its 52-week high of 1938.2p. Bull above ALL EMAs with a wide stack (EMA200 = 1612.83p), MACD bull (line > signal), RSI 62.9. This is a CONTINUING setup - STAN has been in a sustained uptrend.
POC: 1684.8p - price is 13.3% above POC, confirming sustained accumulation by buyers.
Entry: 1895-1910 (current range, or pullback to Classic S1 1885.98) Stop: 1849 (Classic S3 / below all near-term support) T1: 1938 (52w high / psychological resistance) T2: 1960 (Classic R3 / new 52w high territory) R:R: 1:1.2 (to T1), 1:2.0 (to T2)
Note: Volume has been thin (rv=0.36) - a higher-volume breakout above 1938.2 would be a very strong signal.
Setup 3: AAL -- Mining Bull Near All-Time Highs
Anglo American is only 1.2% from its 52-week high of 4118.5p, Bull above all EMAs, MACD bull, RSI 68.7 (approaching overbought). Week +5.68% as copper prices continue their record-breaking run. This is a CONTINUING setup supported by the broader commodity supercycle narrative.
POC: 3386.48p - price is 20% above POC, showing sustained institutional accumulation.
Entry: 4013-4067 (pullback to Cam S4/current close) Stop: 3914 (Classic S3) T1: 4119 (52w high) T2: 4200+ (new high territory) R:R: 1:1.0 tight (to T1), better on breakouts
Caution: RSI 68.7 approaching overbought. Day was slightly negative (-0.19%) on thin volume (rv=0.31). Wait for either a dip to Cam S3 (4040) or a breakout above 4100 with volume.
Setup 4: IMB -- Tobacco Recovery from Oversold
Imperial Brands has just crossed above EMA20 (2823.45p) with RSI surging 10.7 pts. Week RSI: +16.3 pts total recovery from the oversold 35 zone. This is a NEW breakout signal. Still below EMA50 (2931p) and EMA200 (3008p) so this is a recovery trade, not a full bull.
Key resistance to watch: EMA50 at 2931p is the next test. POC at 3019p is strong resistance.
Entry: 2840-2870 (current range or Cam S3 2840) Stop: 2790 (below Cam S4, below EMA20) T1: 2931 (EMA50 resistance) T2: 3019 (POC) R:R: 1:1.6 (to T2)
Note: Volume thin (rv=0.31). Monitor for confirmation on Friday. Tobacco sector broadly rotating.
Setup 5: WPP -- Deep Value Technical Recovery
WPP crossed above EMA50 (262.69p) for the first time in this recovery, crossed above POC (255.40p) and RSI moved from Bear to Bull zone. Close at 262.86p is marginally above EMA50 (262.69p) - only 17p of clearance. This is a NEW signal. However the stock is -57% from its 52-week high, indicating deep structural issues. This is a speculative recovery trade only.
Entry: 260-263 (pullback to EMA50 support zone) Stop: 254 (below POC and EMA50) T1: 270 (Classic R1 area) R:R: 1:1.0 (marginal)
Note: Not a high-conviction bull - more of a tactical bounce play. WPP is still -57% from 52w high at 611.8p and far below EMA200 at 334.53p. Position size accordingly.
6. INTRADAY SETUPS (Using Pivot and Camarilla Levels)
Intraday 1: STAN -- Cam R4 Breakout (Trend Day Long)
Direction: LONG
- Context: Bull trend, RSI 62.9, MACD bull, only 1.5% from 52w high. If futures gap holds, STAN could see a trend day.
- Entry: Break and hold above Cam R4 = 1930.10p
- Stop: 1906.65 (Cam S1)
- Target: 1938.2 (52w high) then 1959 (Classic R3)
- Why: Cam R4 breakout = trend day signal. Strong bull trend. Futures implying large gap up.
Intraday 2: BARC -- Pivot Bounce / Continuation
Direction: LONG
- Context: Just crossed above EMA20 and EMA50 (new signal). Closed at 434.05p above pivot (433.62p). RSI 53.1 in bull zone.
- Entry: Hold above Classic Pivot 433.62p on open or pullback to Cam S2 (432.46p)
- Stop: 429.27 (Cam S4, below EMA20)
- Target 1: 438.18 (Classic R1) Target 2: 442.32 (Classic R2)
- Why: EMA crossover + RSI reset + pivot bounce. Clean structure.
Entry: 433.62-434.05 Stop: 429.27 T1: 438.18 T2: 442.32 R:R: 1:1.3
Intraday 3: LGEN -- Camarilla Range Fade / Continuation
Direction: LONG on dips within Cam range
- Context: Big +6.4% day Thursday. Heavy volume. New bull. RSI 59.2.
- After a gap-up open, watch for a pullback into Cam S3 (261.84p) zone to add longs.
- Entry: 261.84-263.55 (Cam S3 to S1 zone)
- Stop: 259.29 (below Cam S4 and below all EMAs)
- Target: 267.97 (Classic R1) then 271.53 (Classic R2)
- Why: After a big-volume day, pullbacks to S3/Cam zone are high-probability long entries in bull moves.
Entry: 261-264 Stop: 259 T1: 268 T2: 272 R:R: 1:1.6
Intraday 4: TSCO -- Pivot Resistance Short
Direction: SHORT
- Context: Bear below EMA20 (471.95p) and EMA50 (472.93p), closed below POC (478.22p). RSI 37.1 and falling. Week -3.29%. 4th consecutive day with downward pressure.
- Note: Futures gap up may push TSCO to retest pivot (454.42p) or Cam R3 (454.19p) on open.
- Entry: Short rejection at Classic Pivot 454.42p or Cam R3 454.19p
- Stop: 458.80 (previous day high)
- Target 1: 450.03 (Classic S1) Target 2: 447.72 (Classic S2)
- Why: Bear trend continuation. Rejection at pivot/Cam R3 is classic bear structure.
Entry: 454-455 Stop: 459 T1: 450 T2: 448 R:R: 1:1.3
Intraday 5: SSE -- Camarilla S4 Breakdown Short
Direction: SHORT
- Context: 4-day down streak. Bear below EMA20 (2548.77p) and EMA50 (2566.48p). MACD deepening (signal diverging). RSI 37.7 and falling weekly. Week -2.2%.
- Entry: Break and hold below Cam S4 = 2433.60p
- Stop: 2451.57 (Cam R1 / near close)
- Target: 2429 (Classic S2) then 2411 (Classic S3)
- Why: Cam S4 breakdown = trend day short signal. 4-day down streak provides directional conviction.
Entry: 2433 Stop: 2452 T1: 2429 T2: 2411 R:R: 1:1.3
7. KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
TOP 5 MOST TRADEABLE STOCKS - ALL LEVELS
--- STAN (Standard Chartered) 1910p ---
Cam: S4 1889.9 · S3 1899.95 · S2 1903.3 · S1 1906.65 || R1 1913.35 · R2 1916.7 · R3 1920.05 · R4 1930.1
Classic: S3 1849.43 · S2 1861.97 · S1 1885.98 || Pivot 1898.52 || R1 1922.53 · R2 1935.07 · R3 1959.08
EMA: 9=1867.54 · 20=1825.40 · 50=1767.30 · 200=1612.83
POC: 1684.8p
Prev Day: H=1911.05 · L=1874.5
52w: H=1938.2 · L=1113
--- LGEN (Legal & General) 264.4p ---
Cam: S4 259.29 · S3 261.84 · S2 262.70 · S1 263.55 || R1 265.25 · R2 266.11 · R3 266.96 · R4 269.52
Classic: S3 249.37 · S2 252.93 · S1 258.67 || Pivot 262.23 || R1 267.97 · R2 271.53 · R3 277.27
EMA: 9=253.03 · 20=253.81 · 50=255.09 · 200=252.30
POC: 254.07p
Prev Day: H=265.80 · L=256.50
52w: H=279.5 · L=229.1
--- AAL (Anglo American) 4067p ---
Cam: S4 4013.39 · S3 4040.34 · S2 4049.32 · S1 4058.31 || R1 4076.27 · R2 4085.26 · R3 4094.24 · R4 4121.19
Classic: S3 3914.86 · S2 3958.43 · S1 4012.86 || Pivot 4056.43 || R1 4110.86 · R2 4154.43 · R3 4208.86
EMA: 9=3892.99 · 20=3746.51 · 50=3559.83 · 200=3137.46
POC: 3386.48p
Prev Day: H=4100 · L=4002
52w: H=4118.5 · L=1987.2
--- BARC (Barclays) 434.05p ---
Cam: S4 429.27 · S3 431.66 · S2 432.46 · S1 433.25 || R1 434.85 · R2 435.65 · R3 436.44 · R4 438.84
Classic: S3 420.78 · S2 424.92 · S1 429.48 || Pivot 433.62 || R1 438.18 · R2 442.32 · R3 446.88
EMA: 9=428.77 · 20=428.50 · 50=428.77 · 200=410.45
POC: 418.55p
Prev Day: H=437.75 · L=429.05
52w: H=506.4 · L=312.07
--- TSCO (Tesco) 452.35p ---
Cam: S4 448.67 · S3 450.51 · S2 451.12 · S1 451.74 || R1 452.96 · R2 453.58 · R3 454.19 · R4 456.04
Classic: S3 443.33 · S2 447.72 · S1 450.03 || Pivot 454.42 || R1 456.73 · R2 461.12 · R3 463.43
EMA: 9=465.27 · 20=471.95 · 50=472.93 · 200=448.33
POC: 478.22p
Prev Day: H=458.80 · L=452.10
52w: H=508 · L=362.9
8. BEARISH WARNINGS
III (3i Group) -- MAJOR CRASH -- OVERSOLD / DANGEROUS
Close: 2095p | -13.5% Thursday | -19.16% WEEK | RSI: 24.1 (OVERSOLD) | Volume: rv=3.4 (VERY HEAVY)
3i's Action division posted disappointing LFL sales growth, particularly in France and Germany. Despite strong NAV growth (+19%) and a GBP 750m buyback, the market sold heavily. RSI at 24.1 is deep oversold. Three consecutive losing days before the crash week (-1.03%, -2.33%, -5.02%). POC at 2711p is now very distant overhead resistance. This is not a buy-the-dip candidate until there is evidence of stabilisation. Potential bounce candidate only on RSI divergence after further base-building.
HLN (Haleon) -- SUSTAINED DOWNTREND, ADX RISING
Close: 329.55p | Bear below ALL EMAs | RSI: 34.3 | ADX: 42.0 (strong trend) | POC: 367.64p (18p overhead)
ADX at 42 confirms the downtrend is strong and gathering strength. Price is at a 52-week low zone (52w low: 325p). The stock is -21.4% from its 52w high. Near-term risk is a break of 325p support which would trigger new 52-week lows. MACD in bear territory. Close is just 4.55p above the 52-week low.
SGE (Sage Group) -- DEEP STRUCTURAL BEAR, -36% FROM 52W HIGH
Close: 854.4p | Bear below ALL EMAs | RSI: 44.1 | EMA200: 985.46p | POC: 850.60p
The worst EMA picture in the tracked universe. -36% from its 52-week high of 1335p. EMA200 sits at 985p, 131p overhead. The stock is trapped below all major moving averages and the POC marginally (close at 854.4 vs POC 850.6). An EMA200 recapture would require a 15% rally from here.
GSK (GSK plc) -- BELOW ALL EMAs, BEARISH MACD DEEPENING
Close: 1875p | Bear below ALL EMAs | RSI: 34.9 | MACD: -58.6 (signal: -51.17) | POC: 2063.62p (way overhead)
-10% from 52w high. RSI recovering slightly week-on-week (27.0 to 34.9) but MACD is still deeply bearish and diverging. POC at 2063p represents significant overhead supply from institutional selling. Not a buy until above EMA200.
BAE Systems -- BEARISH MACD DEEP, RSI 33, -12% FROM 52W HIGH
Close: 1919.5p | RSI: 33.0 (near OS) | MACD: -67.2 (signal: -53.99) | POC: 2163.92p
Defence sector underperforming despite geopolitical tailwinds. RSI holding above oversold but MACD is diverging bearish. POC at 2163p is 12.7% overhead. Three negative days in the past five sessions.
ABF (Associated British Foods) -- BEAR BELOW ALL EMAs DESPITE BOUNCE
Close: 1803.5p | Bear below ALL EMAs | RSI: 44.9 | POC: 1859.41p | From 52w H: -23.5%
Thursday's +2.53% bounce is encouraging but does not change the structure. Still below EMA20 (1822p), EMA50 (1855p), EMA200 (1979p) and POC (1859p). RSI recovery from 34.8 to 44.9 is a positive sign but needs follow-through.
SSE -- 4-DAY DOWN STREAK, MACD DEEPENING
Close: 2449p | Bear below EMA20/50 | RSI: 37.7 | Week: -2.20% | 4-day down streak
MACD at -43.02 vs signal -27.43, gap widening = accelerating momentum to the downside. Cam S4 at 2433.6p is the next breakdown level. Break below 2429 (Classic S2) opens a run to 2411 (Classic S3). Thin volume (rv=0.47) on these moves.
9. EVENTS CALENDAR
This Week (w/e 15 May 2026):
- 3i Group (III) - Full year results announced Thu 14 May (completed, stock -13.5%)
- UK Q1 GDP - Released Thu 14 May, beat expectations at +0.5% QoQ
- FTSE 100 earnings season continuing across banking, insurance, and consumer sectors
Next Week (w/c 18 May 2026):
- UK economic data releases expected (CPI, employment data likely in this period)
- Further FTSE 100 H1 results expected
- Watch for further Action sales data / 3i Group management commentary after crash
- BATS overbought (RSI 74.6) - watch for potential pullback or consolidation
- CPG at RSI 74.2 after 5-day up streak - elevated risk of near-term reversal
- LGEN: Watch for follow-through on the big breakout session
Ongoing themes:
- US-UK trade deal progress - positive catalyst for indices
- Copper supercycle: Anglo American and Antofagasta remain key beneficiaries
- Tobacco rotation: BATS/IMB recovery continuing - watch for sustainability
- Insurance: LGEN/PRU/AV all recovering; sector rotation into defensives
Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
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1 week 3 days ago #18554
by remo
Thursday 14 May 2026
Data: Close 13 May | UKX: ~10,297 | Futures: Flat (see note below)
1. MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 closed at approximately 10,297 on Wednesday 13 May, up 32 points (+0.3%). On Thursday morning (14 May), the index opened essentially flat after a stronger-than-expected UK GDP print, partially offset by ongoing Iran conflict uncertainty and a sharp fall in 3i Group.
Key macro drivers:
- UK GDP Q1 2026: +0.6% QoQ (prior +0.2%). March alone +0.3% vs -0.1% forecast. Services sector driven.
- Brent crude ~$106/bbl. US-Iran peace talks stalled, keeping energy prices elevated.
- PM Keir Starmer political uncertainty -- leadership questions circulating.
- Mining sector surging: Antofagasta +8.7%, Anglo American +4.5%, RIO at 52-week high.
- 3i Group (III) under heavy institutional selling (rv=2.56 -- see Notable Changes).
- BATS and CPG breaking out to multi-month highs on strong results/guidance.
Note on futures data: Investing.com quoted FTSE 100 Futures at 10,642.6 -- this is inconsistent with the cash UKX at ~10,267-10,323 and likely reflects a different quarterly expiry contract or stale data. Multiple news sources confirm today's cash open around 10,267-10,323. Treat 10,297 (13 May close) as the reference level.
Overall market character: Rotating, not trending. Commodities and banks catching a bid on global trade optimism (Trump-Xi). Media, data and consumer staples under sustained pressure.
2. NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day Highlights)
Most significant movements from the compare.php analysis -- the stocks that changed today vs yesterday and demand immediate attention:
BULLISH SURGES:
- BATS -- +3.7% day / +11.89% week. RSI surged +21.5pts to 71.2 (OB). MACD strong bull crossover. At 52-week high. Strongest weekly performer in the universe.
- ANTO (Anglo American, not in main 20) -- +8.7% day / +9.72% week. RSI surged +8.4pts to 67.8. FTSE's biggest single-day mover.
- RIO -- +4.4% day / +7.46% week. Heavy volume (rv=1.5). Hit 52-week high (8275). Mining surge.
- CPG (Compass Group) -- +1.47% day / +10.35% week. 4-day up streak. RSI 71.7 OB. Bull above all EMAs.
- GLEN -- +3.3% day. RSI surged +9.2pts to 69. Near 52-week high. Bull above all EMAs.
- HSBA -- Crossed ABOVE EMA20 (new bullish signal). Above POC. Bull all EMAs.
- VOD (not in main 20) -- Crossed ABOVE EMA50 and ABOVE POC in single session.
BEARISH COLLAPSES:
- WPP (not in main 20) -- 4-day down streak, -8.72% WTD, RSI crashed -23.4pts to 43.1. Crossed below POC. Worst weekly performer by momentum deterioration.
- REL (RELX) -- -5% day / -5.24% week. RSI dropped -8pts to 28.6. Entered OS territory. Bear below all 3 EMAs.
- EXPN (Experian) -- -4.6% day / -5.64% week. RSI dropped -10.3pts to 35.9. Bear below all EMAs. Earnings miss.
- III (3i Group) -- Heavy volume distribution (rv=2.56). -7.56% WTD. Bear below all EMAs.
- BP -- Crossed BELOW EMA50 today (new bearish signal). Below EMA20 too.
- DGE (Diageo) -- Crossed BELOW EMA20 today (new bearish signal). Now bear below all EMAs.
- SGE (Sage Group, not in main 20) -- -3.6% day. Crossed below POC.
3. SECTOR HEATMAP
STRONG:
- Mining/Metals: RIO (+4.4%, Bull all EMAs, OB), GLEN (+3.3%, Bull all EMAs, near 52wk hi). China trade optimism and Trump-Xi meeting driving the sector. ANTO +8.7% also tracked.
- Tobacco: BATS (+3.7%, Bull all EMAs, OB, at 52wk high). Defensive income stocks rotating in.
- Food Services: CPG (+1.47%, Bull all EMAs, OB, 4-day streak). Compass Group breakout on strong guidance.
- Banks: HSBA (+1.55%, Bull all EMAs, crossed above EMA20). BARC and STAN also positive from compare data.
NEUTRAL/RECOVERING:
- Utilities: NG (-0.08%, flat). Bear below EMA20/50 but above 200.
- Industrials: RR. (+1.18%). Marginally below EMA20 (1205 vs 1206.62 -- 1.62p gap). MACD recovering.
- Financial Services: LSEG (-2.37%, Mixed: above EMA50/200 but below EMA20). Watching for EMA20 test.
WEAK:
- Energy: SHEL (-0.38%, Bear below 20/50), BP (-0.46%, just crossed below EMA50). Oil elevated but both unable to benefit.
- Consumer Staples: ULVR (-0.95%, Bear all), RKT (-1.25%, Bear all, at 52wk low).
- Media/Data: REL (-4.97%, Bear all, OS), EXPN (-4.64%, Bear all), LSEG declining.
- Healthcare: AZN (+0.13%, Bear 20/50), GSK (-0.29%, Bear 20/50). Both well below their EMAs.
- Private Equity: III (+0.88% bounce but still Bear all, heavy distribution continuing).
- Consumer: DGE (just crossed below EMA20, now Bear all), ADM (Bear 20/50).
- Defense: BAE (+0.13%, Bear all). Tiny bounce in downtrend. No setup.
Sector theme: Classic risk-on rotation -- commodities and financials bid, defensives and growth names sold. GDP beat adding confidence but Iran risk keeps the picture uncertain.
4. DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE
EMA classifications verified programmatically. STRICT rules applied (no rounding).
--- BULLISH ---
HSBA 1339 | Bull (above all) | RSI 54.4 [Bull] | MACD: m<s Slight bear lag | -5.0% from 52wH | +1.55% | Above POC | CROSSED EMA20 TODAY
RIO 8272 | Bull (above all) | RSI 78.1 [OB] | MACD: Bullish | -0.0% 52wH | +4.44% | Above POC | AT 52WK HIGH, rv=1.5
BATS 4807 | Bull (above all) | RSI 71.2 [OB] | MACD: Bullish | -0.1% 52wH | +3.73% | Above POC | AT 52WK HIGH
CPG 3240 | Bull (above all) | RSI 71.7 [OB] | MACD: Bullish | -7.9% 52wH | +1.47% | Above POC | 4-day streak
GLEN 592 | Bull (above all) | RSI 69.0 [Bull] | MACD: Bullish | -0.7% 52wH | +3.26% | Above POC | Near 52wk high
--- RECOVERING/MIXED ---
RR. 1205 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 49.6 [Neutral] | MACD: Recovering | -15.1% | +1.18% | Below POC | Note: only 1.62p below EMA20
DGE 1486 | Bear (below all) | RSI 49.2 [Neutral] | MACD: Bullish (m>s) | -32.9% | -1.23% | Below POC | CROSSED BELOW EMA20 TODAY
LSEG 9126 | Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) | RSI 46.0 [Neutral] | MACD: Bearish | -22.7% | -2.37% | Above POC
--- BEARISH ---
AZN 13766 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 44.2 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -12.5% | +0.13% | Below POC
SHEL 3145 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 40.2 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -12.4% | -0.38% | Below POC
ULVR 4235 | Bear (below all) | RSI 44.2 [Bear] | MACD: Recovering (m>s) | -23.3% | -0.95% | Below POC
BP 544 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 44.4 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -10.7% | -0.46% | Above POC | CROSSED BELOW EMA50 TODAY
BAE 1928 | Bear (below all) | RSI 33.6 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -18.3% | +0.13% | Below POC
GSK 1886 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 36.1 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -17.4% | -0.29% | Below POC
REL 2333 | Bear (below all) | RSI 28.6 [OS] | MACD: Bearish | -44.2% | -4.97% | Below POC | RSI -8pts TODAY, ENTERED OS
ADM 3172 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 39.1 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -13.9% | -0.88% | AT POC (3172 vs 3172!)
III 2421 | Bear (below all) | RSI 35.0 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -46.2% | +0.88% | Below POC | rv=2.56 DISTRIBUTION
NG 1276 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 45.2 [Neutral] | MACD: Bearish | -10.7% | -0.08% | Below POC
RKT 4518 | Bear (below all) | RSI 32.0 [Bear] | MACD: Recovering | -30.6% | -1.25% | Below POC | AT 52WK LOW
EXPN 2526 | Bear (below all) | RSI 35.9 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -38.4% | -4.64% | Below POC | RSI -10.3pts TODAY
Summary: 5 Bull | 3 Mixed/Recovering | 12 Bear
Market is broadly bearish with selective commodity/tobacco/food breakouts.
5. TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
Setup 1 -- GLEN (Glencore) | BULL MOMENTUM CONTINUATION
GLEN is in a clean bull trend (above all 3 EMAs: 563.75 / 544.39 / 453.00), RSI 69.0 surging (+9.2pts yesterday), MACD bullish, well above POC (592.1 vs 539.35), within 0.7% of 52-week high (596.14). Mining sector momentum is the standout theme. ATR(14) = 14.26p.
Entry: 580-587 · Stop: 566 (below EMA20, 1.5x ATR) · T1: 600 (Cam R1 / round number) · T2: 610 (Cam R3 extended) · R:R: 1:1.9 to T1
Confluence: 5/5 -- trend, structure, momentum, volume, above POC
Note: NEW 52wk high territory. RSI approaching OB -- enter on a dip to Cam S3 (586.64) rather than chasing the open. POC at 539.35 provides deep structural support.
Setup 2 -- HSBA (HSBC) | EMA20 CROSSOVER RECOVERY
HSBA crossed above EMA20 yesterday (1339 vs EMA20 1323.38) -- a fresh bullish signal. Bull above all 3 EMAs, RSI 54.4 in the healthy bull zone, well above POC (1339 vs 1271.67). MACD slightly below signal line but improving -- the EMA cross is the trigger here. ATR = 33.45p.
Entry: 1320-1330 (EMA20 retest / Cam S1 zone) · Stop: 1292 (below Cam S4 / Classic S2) · T1: 1348 (Classic R1) · T2: 1358 (Classic R2) · R:R: 1:1.5 to T1
Confluence: 4/5 -- trend, structure, momentum, above POC (MACD slight lag)
Note: NEW signal today. Volume thin (rv=0.65) -- watch for volume expansion on the move. Entry on dip to EMA20 is lower risk than chasing yesterday's close.
Setup 3 -- BATS (BAT) | 52WK HIGH BREAKOUT MOMENTUM
BATS is at its 52-week high (4813), Bull above all 3 EMAs (4375/4351/4141), RSI 71.2 (OB but momentum OB), MACD expanded bullishly with MACD well above signal, above POC by 10% (4807 vs 4388). +11.89% this week. This is a "let it breathe" continuation play only. ATR = 129.96p.
Entry: 4720-4765 (pullback to Cam S3 / Cam S2) · Stop: 4650 (below Cam S4 4722.85) · T1: 4860 (Classic R1) · T2: 4913 (Classic R2) · R:R: 1:1.3 to T1 from Cam S3
Confluence: 4/5 -- trend, momentum, above POC, weekly streak (OB = risk)
Note: CONTINUING -- 3rd consecutive up day. Do NOT chase at open. Only enter on a clear intraday dip. Extended RSI means any correction could be sharp.
Setup 4 -- CPG (Compass Group) | OB BREAKOUT CONTINUATION
CPG is Bull above all 3 EMAs (2951/2888/2994), RSI 71.7 OB, MACD bullish, 4-day up streak, +10.35% WTD, above POC by 15% (3240 vs 2824). Strong guidance drove this breakout. ATR = 127p.
Entry: 3180-3212 (Cam S3 area / Classic S1) · Stop: 3082 (below Cam S4 3182.80) · T1: 3291 (Classic R1) · T2: 3395 (Classic R3) · R:R: 1:1.3 to T1
Confluence: 4/5 -- trend, momentum, above POC, strong weekly streak (OB = risk)
Note: CONTINUING -- 4th up day. Only enter on a pullback dip. If opens above 3291, step aside and wait for next support retest.
6. INTRADAY SETUPS (Pivot/Camarilla)
Intraday 1 -- GLEN LONG | Camarilla S3 Bounce
Daily trend: Bull above all EMAs. RSI 69, MACD bullish. Favour longs.
Entry: 586.64 (Cam S3) · Stop: 581.19 (Cam S4) · Target: 593.92 (Cam R1) then 597.56 (Cam R3) · Direction: LONG · R:R: 1:1.3 to R1 / 1:2.0 to R3
Why: Bull trend, RSI surge, MACD bullish, above POC. Any intraday dip to Cam S3 is a premium entry with the daily trend behind you. POC at 539.35 is deep structural support.
Intraday 2 -- HSBA LONG | Pivot Zone Retest
HSBA just crossed EMA20. Classic pivot (1329.73) aligns with EMA20 (1323.38) creating a tight confluence zone.
Entry: 1323-1330 (Pivot / EMA20 zone) · Stop: 1308 (below Cam S4 1323.71) · Target: 1341.55 (Cam R1) then 1348.27 (Classic R1) · Direction: LONG · R:R: 1:1.3 to Cam R1
Why: Fresh EMA20 cross, bull above all EMAs, above POC, pivot confluence. High-probability dip entry if it pulls back to the level.
Intraday 3 -- ADM RANGE DAY | POC/Pivot Fade Both Ways
ADM closed at exactly the POC (3172 vs POC 3171.77). Classic pivot is 3179.33. The stock is at absolute fair value -- a range day is the most likely outcome.
Long entry: 3160-3162 (Cam S3) · Stop: 3148.90 (Cam S4) · Target: 3179 (Pivot) then 3196 (Classic R1) · R:R: 1:2.1 to R1
Short entry: 3196-3204 (Classic R1 / Cam R3) · Stop: 3238 (Classic R3) · Target: 3179 (Pivot) then 3154 (Cam S3) · R:R: 1:1.3
Note: MACD bearish (m<s), daily trend bearish -- slight short bias for today's range if market opens weak.
Intraday 4 -- RIO CONTINUATION | Buy First Dip to Pivot
RIO hit its 52-week high on heavy volume (rv=1.5). Momentum continuation -- buy the first meaningful dip.
Entry: 8226 (Classic Pivot) or 8232 (Cam S3) · Stop: 8192 (Cam S4) · Target: 8285 (Cam R1) then 8321 (Classic R1) · Direction: LONG · R:R: 1:1.7 to Cam R1
Caution: RSI 78.1 is deeply OB. If price breaks below Cam S4 (8192) with volume, stand aside -- a sharp reversal from OB 52wk high is possible.
Intraday 5 -- EXPN SHORT | Fade Any Relief Bounce
EXPN is in a clear bear trend (below all EMAs), RSI 35.9 dropping fast, MACD bearish, -4.6% yesterday.
Entry: 2552-2565 (Cam R2-R3 zone) · Stop: 2604 (Cam R4) · Target: 2513 (Cam S1) then 2487 (Cam S3) · Direction: SHORT · R:R: 1:1.5 to Cam S1
Why: Bear trend, bearish MACD, RSI dropping, below POC (2681). Any bounce to Cam R2/R3 is a sell into overhead resistance. RSI dropped 10.3pts yesterday -- momentum is decidedly down.
7. KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
GLEN (592.1p)
Cam: S4 581.19 · S3 586.64 · S2 588.46 · S1 590.28 || R1 593.92 · R2 595.74 · R3 597.56 · R4 603.01
Classic: S3 560.38 · S2 568.34 · S1 580.22 · Pivot 588.18 · R1 600.06 · R2 608.02 · R3 619.90
EMAs: 9=571.51 · 20=563.75 · 50=544.39 · 200=453.00 | POC: 539.35
Prev Day: Lo 576.30 · Hi 596.14 | 52wk: Lo 261.70 · Hi 596.14
HSBA (1339p)
Cam: S4 1323.71 · S3 1331.36 · S2 1333.90 · S1 1336.45 || R1 1341.55 · R2 1344.10 · R3 1346.65 · R4 1354.29
Classic: S3 1292.67 · S2 1301.93 · S1 1320.47 · Pivot 1329.73 · R1 1348.27 · R2 1357.53 · R3 1376.07
EMAs: 9=1328.64 · 20=1323.38 · 50=1297.24 · 200=1158.72 | POC: 1271.67
Prev Day: Lo 1311.20 · Hi 1339.00 | 52wk: Lo 847.00 · Hi 1410.42
RIO (8272p)
Cam: S4 8192.80 · S3 8232.40 · S2 8245.60 · S1 8258.80 || R1 8285.20 · R2 8298.40 · R3 8311.60 · R4 8351.20
Classic: S3 8033 · S2 8082 · S1 8177 · Pivot 8226 · R1 8321 · R2 8370 · R3 8465
EMAs: 9=7786.21 · 20=7555.04 · 50=7232.03 · 200=6231.47 | POC: 7028.97
Prev Day: Lo 8131 · Hi 8275 (= 52wk high) | 52wk: Lo 4110 · Hi 8275
BATS (4807p)
Cam: S4 4722.85 · S3 4764.93 · S2 4778.95 · S1 4792.98 || R1 4821.03 · R2 4835.05 · R3 4849.08 · R4 4891.15
Classic: S3 4554 · S2 4607 · S1 4707 · Pivot 4760 · R1 4860 · R2 4913 · R3 5013
EMAs: 9=4461.47 · 20=4375.87 · 50=4351.48 · 200=4141.63 | POC: 4387.72
Prev Day: Lo 4660 · Hi 4813 (= 52wk high) | 52wk: Lo 3026 · Hi 4813
CPG (3240p)
Cam: S4 3182.80 · S3 3211.40 · S2 3220.93 · S1 3230.47 || R1 3249.53 · R2 3259.07 · R3 3268.60 · R4 3297.20
Classic: S3 3083.67 · S2 3135.33 · S1 3187.67 · Pivot 3239.33 · R1 3291.67 · R2 3343.33 · R3 3395.67
EMAs: 9=3034 · 20=2951 · 50=2888 · 200=2994 | POC: 2824
Prev Day: Lo 3187 · Hi 3291 | 52wk: Lo 2320 · Hi 3518
8. BEARISH WARNINGS
Stocks to avoid / watch for shorts:
- REL (RELX) 2333p -- Bear below ALL 3 EMAs. RSI 28.6 (OS), MACD strongly bearish. -5% yesterday. Dropped into oversold. Relief bounce possible -- do NOT buy. Classic S3 = 2141 is the next downside target if 2300 fails. Short any rally to 2400-2450 (EMA20 area).
- EXPN (Experian) 2526p -- Bear below ALL 3 EMAs. RSI 35.9 falling (-10.3pts), MACD bearish, below POC (2681). -4.6% yesterday, -5.64% WTD. Earnings miss confirmed. Cam S4 = 2447.90 is the next downside target. Fade any bounce to Cam R2/R3 (2552-2565).
- III (3i Group) 2421p -- Bear below ALL 3 EMAs (2601/2752/3259). RSI 35, MACD deeply bearish. Institutional distribution: rv=2.56 (highest in entire scanner). -7.56% WTD. POC at 2755 is now heavy overhead resistance. Any rally to 2500-2555 is a short opportunity. Do not buy.
- RKT (Reckitt) 4518p -- Bear below ALL 3 EMAs. RSI 32. AT 52-WEEK LOW (lo52 = 4518 = yesterday's close). MACD has a marginal recovering cross but insufficient to call a bottom. A close below Cam S4 (4489) opens the door to further declines. No long setups until there is a confirmed weekly base.
- DGE (Diageo) 1486p -- Just crossed BELOW EMA20 yesterday (new bearish signal). Now Bear below all 3 EMAs (1491/1509/1699). EMA20 at 1491.96 becomes resistance. RSI heading lower from 49.2. -32.9% from 52wk high. Avoid.
- BP 544p -- Just crossed BELOW EMA50 yesterday (new bearish signal). Below EMA20 and EMA50. MACD bearish. Oil elevated but BP failing to follow the commodity higher -- this is a relative weakness warning. Classic S2 = 536.1 is the next key level. Cam S4 = 538.60 is today's breakdown watch level.
- BAE Systems 1928p -- Bear below all 3 EMAs (2045/2093/1955). RSI 33.6, MACD bearish. -18.3% from 52wk high. Defence stocks under pressure globally despite geopolitical tensions. No setup here.
9. EVENTS CALENDAR
Thursday 14 May (TODAY):
- UK Q1 GDP final print: +0.6% -- RELEASED. Already digested by market. Positive macro backdrop.
- US PPI data (14:30 UK) -- could impact energy stocks and broader sentiment late session.
- Premier Foods results: beat, dividend raised (UK mid-cap positive read-through).
- Aviva (AV) results: sent rivals higher. Insurance sector supportive.
Friday 15 May:
- US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (15:00 UK).
- US Retail Sales (13:30 UK).
Key ongoing risks to watch:
- Iran ceasefire talks: Any breakthrough = sharp oil sell-off. SHEL and BP would initially drop then recover. Broader market risk-on rally likely. Monitor closely.
- UK political risk: Starmer leadership questions circulating. GBP sensitive. FTSE 100 has low direct UK political exposure (80% of revenues foreign) but watch domestics.
- BoE rate decision: Next MPC in June. Cut expectations growing after GDP beat -- positive for rate-sensitive sectors (property, utilities, REITs).
Earnings upcoming for tracked stocks:
- No imminent earnings known for the main 20 scanner stocks in the next 5 trading days.
Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Replied by remo on topic FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
Thursday 14 May 2026
Data: Close 13 May | UKX: ~10,297 | Futures: Flat (see note below)
1. MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 closed at approximately 10,297 on Wednesday 13 May, up 32 points (+0.3%). On Thursday morning (14 May), the index opened essentially flat after a stronger-than-expected UK GDP print, partially offset by ongoing Iran conflict uncertainty and a sharp fall in 3i Group.
Key macro drivers:
- UK GDP Q1 2026: +0.6% QoQ (prior +0.2%). March alone +0.3% vs -0.1% forecast. Services sector driven.
- Brent crude ~$106/bbl. US-Iran peace talks stalled, keeping energy prices elevated.
- PM Keir Starmer political uncertainty -- leadership questions circulating.
- Mining sector surging: Antofagasta +8.7%, Anglo American +4.5%, RIO at 52-week high.
- 3i Group (III) under heavy institutional selling (rv=2.56 -- see Notable Changes).
- BATS and CPG breaking out to multi-month highs on strong results/guidance.
Note on futures data: Investing.com quoted FTSE 100 Futures at 10,642.6 -- this is inconsistent with the cash UKX at ~10,267-10,323 and likely reflects a different quarterly expiry contract or stale data. Multiple news sources confirm today's cash open around 10,267-10,323. Treat 10,297 (13 May close) as the reference level.
Overall market character: Rotating, not trending. Commodities and banks catching a bid on global trade optimism (Trump-Xi). Media, data and consumer staples under sustained pressure.
2. NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day Highlights)
Most significant movements from the compare.php analysis -- the stocks that changed today vs yesterday and demand immediate attention:
BULLISH SURGES:
- BATS -- +3.7% day / +11.89% week. RSI surged +21.5pts to 71.2 (OB). MACD strong bull crossover. At 52-week high. Strongest weekly performer in the universe.
- ANTO (Anglo American, not in main 20) -- +8.7% day / +9.72% week. RSI surged +8.4pts to 67.8. FTSE's biggest single-day mover.
- RIO -- +4.4% day / +7.46% week. Heavy volume (rv=1.5). Hit 52-week high (8275). Mining surge.
- CPG (Compass Group) -- +1.47% day / +10.35% week. 4-day up streak. RSI 71.7 OB. Bull above all EMAs.
- GLEN -- +3.3% day. RSI surged +9.2pts to 69. Near 52-week high. Bull above all EMAs.
- HSBA -- Crossed ABOVE EMA20 (new bullish signal). Above POC. Bull all EMAs.
- VOD (not in main 20) -- Crossed ABOVE EMA50 and ABOVE POC in single session.
BEARISH COLLAPSES:
- WPP (not in main 20) -- 4-day down streak, -8.72% WTD, RSI crashed -23.4pts to 43.1. Crossed below POC. Worst weekly performer by momentum deterioration.
- REL (RELX) -- -5% day / -5.24% week. RSI dropped -8pts to 28.6. Entered OS territory. Bear below all 3 EMAs.
- EXPN (Experian) -- -4.6% day / -5.64% week. RSI dropped -10.3pts to 35.9. Bear below all EMAs. Earnings miss.
- III (3i Group) -- Heavy volume distribution (rv=2.56). -7.56% WTD. Bear below all EMAs.
- BP -- Crossed BELOW EMA50 today (new bearish signal). Below EMA20 too.
- DGE (Diageo) -- Crossed BELOW EMA20 today (new bearish signal). Now bear below all EMAs.
- SGE (Sage Group, not in main 20) -- -3.6% day. Crossed below POC.
3. SECTOR HEATMAP
STRONG:
- Mining/Metals: RIO (+4.4%, Bull all EMAs, OB), GLEN (+3.3%, Bull all EMAs, near 52wk hi). China trade optimism and Trump-Xi meeting driving the sector. ANTO +8.7% also tracked.
- Tobacco: BATS (+3.7%, Bull all EMAs, OB, at 52wk high). Defensive income stocks rotating in.
- Food Services: CPG (+1.47%, Bull all EMAs, OB, 4-day streak). Compass Group breakout on strong guidance.
- Banks: HSBA (+1.55%, Bull all EMAs, crossed above EMA20). BARC and STAN also positive from compare data.
NEUTRAL/RECOVERING:
- Utilities: NG (-0.08%, flat). Bear below EMA20/50 but above 200.
- Industrials: RR. (+1.18%). Marginally below EMA20 (1205 vs 1206.62 -- 1.62p gap). MACD recovering.
- Financial Services: LSEG (-2.37%, Mixed: above EMA50/200 but below EMA20). Watching for EMA20 test.
WEAK:
- Energy: SHEL (-0.38%, Bear below 20/50), BP (-0.46%, just crossed below EMA50). Oil elevated but both unable to benefit.
- Consumer Staples: ULVR (-0.95%, Bear all), RKT (-1.25%, Bear all, at 52wk low).
- Media/Data: REL (-4.97%, Bear all, OS), EXPN (-4.64%, Bear all), LSEG declining.
- Healthcare: AZN (+0.13%, Bear 20/50), GSK (-0.29%, Bear 20/50). Both well below their EMAs.
- Private Equity: III (+0.88% bounce but still Bear all, heavy distribution continuing).
- Consumer: DGE (just crossed below EMA20, now Bear all), ADM (Bear 20/50).
- Defense: BAE (+0.13%, Bear all). Tiny bounce in downtrend. No setup.
Sector theme: Classic risk-on rotation -- commodities and financials bid, defensives and growth names sold. GDP beat adding confidence but Iran risk keeps the picture uncertain.
4. DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE
EMA classifications verified programmatically. STRICT rules applied (no rounding).
--- BULLISH ---
HSBA 1339 | Bull (above all) | RSI 54.4 [Bull] | MACD: m<s Slight bear lag | -5.0% from 52wH | +1.55% | Above POC | CROSSED EMA20 TODAY
RIO 8272 | Bull (above all) | RSI 78.1 [OB] | MACD: Bullish | -0.0% 52wH | +4.44% | Above POC | AT 52WK HIGH, rv=1.5
BATS 4807 | Bull (above all) | RSI 71.2 [OB] | MACD: Bullish | -0.1% 52wH | +3.73% | Above POC | AT 52WK HIGH
CPG 3240 | Bull (above all) | RSI 71.7 [OB] | MACD: Bullish | -7.9% 52wH | +1.47% | Above POC | 4-day streak
GLEN 592 | Bull (above all) | RSI 69.0 [Bull] | MACD: Bullish | -0.7% 52wH | +3.26% | Above POC | Near 52wk high
--- RECOVERING/MIXED ---
RR. 1205 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 49.6 [Neutral] | MACD: Recovering | -15.1% | +1.18% | Below POC | Note: only 1.62p below EMA20
DGE 1486 | Bear (below all) | RSI 49.2 [Neutral] | MACD: Bullish (m>s) | -32.9% | -1.23% | Below POC | CROSSED BELOW EMA20 TODAY
LSEG 9126 | Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) | RSI 46.0 [Neutral] | MACD: Bearish | -22.7% | -2.37% | Above POC
--- BEARISH ---
AZN 13766 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 44.2 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -12.5% | +0.13% | Below POC
SHEL 3145 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 40.2 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -12.4% | -0.38% | Below POC
ULVR 4235 | Bear (below all) | RSI 44.2 [Bear] | MACD: Recovering (m>s) | -23.3% | -0.95% | Below POC
BP 544 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 44.4 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -10.7% | -0.46% | Above POC | CROSSED BELOW EMA50 TODAY
BAE 1928 | Bear (below all) | RSI 33.6 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -18.3% | +0.13% | Below POC
GSK 1886 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 36.1 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -17.4% | -0.29% | Below POC
REL 2333 | Bear (below all) | RSI 28.6 [OS] | MACD: Bearish | -44.2% | -4.97% | Below POC | RSI -8pts TODAY, ENTERED OS
ADM 3172 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 39.1 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -13.9% | -0.88% | AT POC (3172 vs 3172!)
III 2421 | Bear (below all) | RSI 35.0 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -46.2% | +0.88% | Below POC | rv=2.56 DISTRIBUTION
NG 1276 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 45.2 [Neutral] | MACD: Bearish | -10.7% | -0.08% | Below POC
RKT 4518 | Bear (below all) | RSI 32.0 [Bear] | MACD: Recovering | -30.6% | -1.25% | Below POC | AT 52WK LOW
EXPN 2526 | Bear (below all) | RSI 35.9 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -38.4% | -4.64% | Below POC | RSI -10.3pts TODAY
Summary: 5 Bull | 3 Mixed/Recovering | 12 Bear
Market is broadly bearish with selective commodity/tobacco/food breakouts.
5. TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
Setup 1 -- GLEN (Glencore) | BULL MOMENTUM CONTINUATION
GLEN is in a clean bull trend (above all 3 EMAs: 563.75 / 544.39 / 453.00), RSI 69.0 surging (+9.2pts yesterday), MACD bullish, well above POC (592.1 vs 539.35), within 0.7% of 52-week high (596.14). Mining sector momentum is the standout theme. ATR(14) = 14.26p.
Entry: 580-587 · Stop: 566 (below EMA20, 1.5x ATR) · T1: 600 (Cam R1 / round number) · T2: 610 (Cam R3 extended) · R:R: 1:1.9 to T1
Confluence: 5/5 -- trend, structure, momentum, volume, above POC
Note: NEW 52wk high territory. RSI approaching OB -- enter on a dip to Cam S3 (586.64) rather than chasing the open. POC at 539.35 provides deep structural support.
Setup 2 -- HSBA (HSBC) | EMA20 CROSSOVER RECOVERY
HSBA crossed above EMA20 yesterday (1339 vs EMA20 1323.38) -- a fresh bullish signal. Bull above all 3 EMAs, RSI 54.4 in the healthy bull zone, well above POC (1339 vs 1271.67). MACD slightly below signal line but improving -- the EMA cross is the trigger here. ATR = 33.45p.
Entry: 1320-1330 (EMA20 retest / Cam S1 zone) · Stop: 1292 (below Cam S4 / Classic S2) · T1: 1348 (Classic R1) · T2: 1358 (Classic R2) · R:R: 1:1.5 to T1
Confluence: 4/5 -- trend, structure, momentum, above POC (MACD slight lag)
Note: NEW signal today. Volume thin (rv=0.65) -- watch for volume expansion on the move. Entry on dip to EMA20 is lower risk than chasing yesterday's close.
Setup 3 -- BATS (BAT) | 52WK HIGH BREAKOUT MOMENTUM
BATS is at its 52-week high (4813), Bull above all 3 EMAs (4375/4351/4141), RSI 71.2 (OB but momentum OB), MACD expanded bullishly with MACD well above signal, above POC by 10% (4807 vs 4388). +11.89% this week. This is a "let it breathe" continuation play only. ATR = 129.96p.
Entry: 4720-4765 (pullback to Cam S3 / Cam S2) · Stop: 4650 (below Cam S4 4722.85) · T1: 4860 (Classic R1) · T2: 4913 (Classic R2) · R:R: 1:1.3 to T1 from Cam S3
Confluence: 4/5 -- trend, momentum, above POC, weekly streak (OB = risk)
Note: CONTINUING -- 3rd consecutive up day. Do NOT chase at open. Only enter on a clear intraday dip. Extended RSI means any correction could be sharp.
Setup 4 -- CPG (Compass Group) | OB BREAKOUT CONTINUATION
CPG is Bull above all 3 EMAs (2951/2888/2994), RSI 71.7 OB, MACD bullish, 4-day up streak, +10.35% WTD, above POC by 15% (3240 vs 2824). Strong guidance drove this breakout. ATR = 127p.
Entry: 3180-3212 (Cam S3 area / Classic S1) · Stop: 3082 (below Cam S4 3182.80) · T1: 3291 (Classic R1) · T2: 3395 (Classic R3) · R:R: 1:1.3 to T1
Confluence: 4/5 -- trend, momentum, above POC, strong weekly streak (OB = risk)
Note: CONTINUING -- 4th up day. Only enter on a pullback dip. If opens above 3291, step aside and wait for next support retest.
6. INTRADAY SETUPS (Pivot/Camarilla)
Intraday 1 -- GLEN LONG | Camarilla S3 Bounce
Daily trend: Bull above all EMAs. RSI 69, MACD bullish. Favour longs.
Entry: 586.64 (Cam S3) · Stop: 581.19 (Cam S4) · Target: 593.92 (Cam R1) then 597.56 (Cam R3) · Direction: LONG · R:R: 1:1.3 to R1 / 1:2.0 to R3
Why: Bull trend, RSI surge, MACD bullish, above POC. Any intraday dip to Cam S3 is a premium entry with the daily trend behind you. POC at 539.35 is deep structural support.
Intraday 2 -- HSBA LONG | Pivot Zone Retest
HSBA just crossed EMA20. Classic pivot (1329.73) aligns with EMA20 (1323.38) creating a tight confluence zone.
Entry: 1323-1330 (Pivot / EMA20 zone) · Stop: 1308 (below Cam S4 1323.71) · Target: 1341.55 (Cam R1) then 1348.27 (Classic R1) · Direction: LONG · R:R: 1:1.3 to Cam R1
Why: Fresh EMA20 cross, bull above all EMAs, above POC, pivot confluence. High-probability dip entry if it pulls back to the level.
Intraday 3 -- ADM RANGE DAY | POC/Pivot Fade Both Ways
ADM closed at exactly the POC (3172 vs POC 3171.77). Classic pivot is 3179.33. The stock is at absolute fair value -- a range day is the most likely outcome.
Long entry: 3160-3162 (Cam S3) · Stop: 3148.90 (Cam S4) · Target: 3179 (Pivot) then 3196 (Classic R1) · R:R: 1:2.1 to R1
Short entry: 3196-3204 (Classic R1 / Cam R3) · Stop: 3238 (Classic R3) · Target: 3179 (Pivot) then 3154 (Cam S3) · R:R: 1:1.3
Note: MACD bearish (m<s), daily trend bearish -- slight short bias for today's range if market opens weak.
Intraday 4 -- RIO CONTINUATION | Buy First Dip to Pivot
RIO hit its 52-week high on heavy volume (rv=1.5). Momentum continuation -- buy the first meaningful dip.
Entry: 8226 (Classic Pivot) or 8232 (Cam S3) · Stop: 8192 (Cam S4) · Target: 8285 (Cam R1) then 8321 (Classic R1) · Direction: LONG · R:R: 1:1.7 to Cam R1
Caution: RSI 78.1 is deeply OB. If price breaks below Cam S4 (8192) with volume, stand aside -- a sharp reversal from OB 52wk high is possible.
Intraday 5 -- EXPN SHORT | Fade Any Relief Bounce
EXPN is in a clear bear trend (below all EMAs), RSI 35.9 dropping fast, MACD bearish, -4.6% yesterday.
Entry: 2552-2565 (Cam R2-R3 zone) · Stop: 2604 (Cam R4) · Target: 2513 (Cam S1) then 2487 (Cam S3) · Direction: SHORT · R:R: 1:1.5 to Cam S1
Why: Bear trend, bearish MACD, RSI dropping, below POC (2681). Any bounce to Cam R2/R3 is a sell into overhead resistance. RSI dropped 10.3pts yesterday -- momentum is decidedly down.
7. KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
GLEN (592.1p)
Cam: S4 581.19 · S3 586.64 · S2 588.46 · S1 590.28 || R1 593.92 · R2 595.74 · R3 597.56 · R4 603.01
Classic: S3 560.38 · S2 568.34 · S1 580.22 · Pivot 588.18 · R1 600.06 · R2 608.02 · R3 619.90
EMAs: 9=571.51 · 20=563.75 · 50=544.39 · 200=453.00 | POC: 539.35
Prev Day: Lo 576.30 · Hi 596.14 | 52wk: Lo 261.70 · Hi 596.14
HSBA (1339p)
Cam: S4 1323.71 · S3 1331.36 · S2 1333.90 · S1 1336.45 || R1 1341.55 · R2 1344.10 · R3 1346.65 · R4 1354.29
Classic: S3 1292.67 · S2 1301.93 · S1 1320.47 · Pivot 1329.73 · R1 1348.27 · R2 1357.53 · R3 1376.07
EMAs: 9=1328.64 · 20=1323.38 · 50=1297.24 · 200=1158.72 | POC: 1271.67
Prev Day: Lo 1311.20 · Hi 1339.00 | 52wk: Lo 847.00 · Hi 1410.42
RIO (8272p)
Cam: S4 8192.80 · S3 8232.40 · S2 8245.60 · S1 8258.80 || R1 8285.20 · R2 8298.40 · R3 8311.60 · R4 8351.20
Classic: S3 8033 · S2 8082 · S1 8177 · Pivot 8226 · R1 8321 · R2 8370 · R3 8465
EMAs: 9=7786.21 · 20=7555.04 · 50=7232.03 · 200=6231.47 | POC: 7028.97
Prev Day: Lo 8131 · Hi 8275 (= 52wk high) | 52wk: Lo 4110 · Hi 8275
BATS (4807p)
Cam: S4 4722.85 · S3 4764.93 · S2 4778.95 · S1 4792.98 || R1 4821.03 · R2 4835.05 · R3 4849.08 · R4 4891.15
Classic: S3 4554 · S2 4607 · S1 4707 · Pivot 4760 · R1 4860 · R2 4913 · R3 5013
EMAs: 9=4461.47 · 20=4375.87 · 50=4351.48 · 200=4141.63 | POC: 4387.72
Prev Day: Lo 4660 · Hi 4813 (= 52wk high) | 52wk: Lo 3026 · Hi 4813
CPG (3240p)
Cam: S4 3182.80 · S3 3211.40 · S2 3220.93 · S1 3230.47 || R1 3249.53 · R2 3259.07 · R3 3268.60 · R4 3297.20
Classic: S3 3083.67 · S2 3135.33 · S1 3187.67 · Pivot 3239.33 · R1 3291.67 · R2 3343.33 · R3 3395.67
EMAs: 9=3034 · 20=2951 · 50=2888 · 200=2994 | POC: 2824
Prev Day: Lo 3187 · Hi 3291 | 52wk: Lo 2320 · Hi 3518
8. BEARISH WARNINGS
Stocks to avoid / watch for shorts:
- REL (RELX) 2333p -- Bear below ALL 3 EMAs. RSI 28.6 (OS), MACD strongly bearish. -5% yesterday. Dropped into oversold. Relief bounce possible -- do NOT buy. Classic S3 = 2141 is the next downside target if 2300 fails. Short any rally to 2400-2450 (EMA20 area).
- EXPN (Experian) 2526p -- Bear below ALL 3 EMAs. RSI 35.9 falling (-10.3pts), MACD bearish, below POC (2681). -4.6% yesterday, -5.64% WTD. Earnings miss confirmed. Cam S4 = 2447.90 is the next downside target. Fade any bounce to Cam R2/R3 (2552-2565).
- III (3i Group) 2421p -- Bear below ALL 3 EMAs (2601/2752/3259). RSI 35, MACD deeply bearish. Institutional distribution: rv=2.56 (highest in entire scanner). -7.56% WTD. POC at 2755 is now heavy overhead resistance. Any rally to 2500-2555 is a short opportunity. Do not buy.
- RKT (Reckitt) 4518p -- Bear below ALL 3 EMAs. RSI 32. AT 52-WEEK LOW (lo52 = 4518 = yesterday's close). MACD has a marginal recovering cross but insufficient to call a bottom. A close below Cam S4 (4489) opens the door to further declines. No long setups until there is a confirmed weekly base.
- DGE (Diageo) 1486p -- Just crossed BELOW EMA20 yesterday (new bearish signal). Now Bear below all 3 EMAs (1491/1509/1699). EMA20 at 1491.96 becomes resistance. RSI heading lower from 49.2. -32.9% from 52wk high. Avoid.
- BP 544p -- Just crossed BELOW EMA50 yesterday (new bearish signal). Below EMA20 and EMA50. MACD bearish. Oil elevated but BP failing to follow the commodity higher -- this is a relative weakness warning. Classic S2 = 536.1 is the next key level. Cam S4 = 538.60 is today's breakdown watch level.
- BAE Systems 1928p -- Bear below all 3 EMAs (2045/2093/1955). RSI 33.6, MACD bearish. -18.3% from 52wk high. Defence stocks under pressure globally despite geopolitical tensions. No setup here.
9. EVENTS CALENDAR
Thursday 14 May (TODAY):
- UK Q1 GDP final print: +0.6% -- RELEASED. Already digested by market. Positive macro backdrop.
- US PPI data (14:30 UK) -- could impact energy stocks and broader sentiment late session.
- Premier Foods results: beat, dividend raised (UK mid-cap positive read-through).
- Aviva (AV) results: sent rivals higher. Insurance sector supportive.
Friday 15 May:
- US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (15:00 UK).
- US Retail Sales (13:30 UK).
Key ongoing risks to watch:
- Iran ceasefire talks: Any breakthrough = sharp oil sell-off. SHEL and BP would initially drop then recover. Broader market risk-on rally likely. Monitor closely.
- UK political risk: Starmer leadership questions circulating. GBP sensitive. FTSE 100 has low direct UK political exposure (80% of revenues foreign) but watch domestics.
- BoE rate decision: Next MPC in June. Cut expectations growing after GDP beat -- positive for rate-sensitive sectors (property, utilities, REITs).
Earnings upcoming for tracked stocks:
- No imminent earnings known for the main 20 scanner stocks in the next 5 trading days.
Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
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1 week 4 days ago #18551
by remo
Wednesday 13 May 2026
Data: Close 12 May | UKX: 10,247 | Open today: ~10,233 (slight gap down) | Prev close: 10,269 | Day: -22 pts (-0.22%)
1. MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 slipped 22 points on Tuesday 12 May to close at 10,247, pulled lower by a broad-based banking sell-off and two high-profile earnings casualties -- Vodafone and WPP. The index had been in positive territory intraday before late afternoon selling dragged it into the red.
Today (13 May) pre-market: The index opened around 10,233, a modest gap down of approximately 14 points. Futures data shows limited movement suggesting consolidation is the base case.
Key macro drivers this week:
- Bank of England held rates at 3.75% on 30 April, but flagged possible further hikes if inflation stays elevated
- UK political uncertainty persists -- PM Starmer facing pressure from within Labour following poor local election results
- Oil prices supported by Middle East tensions (US-Iran talks uncertainty)
- Banking stocks under pressure: HSBC, Lloyds, Barclays, NatWest all fell 1-4% on Tuesday
- Rio Tinto and Glencore both touched NEW 52-WEEK HIGHS on Tuesday -- copper demand outlook driving mining strength
- VOD and WPP results were significant negative catalysts (see Notable Changes below)
2. NOTABLE CHANGES -- TOP MOVERS SINCE YESTERDAY
These are the stocks that changed most significantly from Monday 11 May to Tuesday 12 May. These demand the most attention today.
VOD -- RSI dropped 20.3 pts | Crossed BELOW EMA20 | Crossed BELOW EMA50 | MACD BEARISH crossover | Big move: -8.1% | Crossed BELOW POC | Heavy volume (rv=1.7) | Week: -6% | RSI week: -16.7 pts
Vodafone FY2026 results: revenue beat but German market shed 103,000 mobile clients in the year and 90,000 broadband customers last quarter. The stock collapsed on the day despite being up 17% YTD. Highest conviction bearish name in the dataset.
WPP -- RSI dropped 11.4 pts | Crossed BELOW EMA20 | Crossed BELOW EMA50 | MACD BEARISH crossover | Big move: -4.6% | Week: -5.78% | RSI week: -17.5 pts
WPP guidance is dire -- mid-to-high single digit revenue decline in H1 2026, full year EPS consensus now shows a LOSS of UK£0.23 vs prior £0.395 profit expectation. Both EMAs broken cleanly.
RR. -- Crossed BELOW EMA20 | Crossed BELOW EMA50 | 4-day down streak | Week: -8.09%
Rolls-Royce broke below both EMA20 (1208) and EMA50 (1216) for the first time in weeks. Down 8.09% on the week with no obvious catalyst -- looks like profit-taking after the strong prior run. RSI at 47.7 -- has room to fall further.
III -- Big move: -5.02% | 4-day down streak | Week: -10.27% | RSI week: -15.4 pts
3i Group continues its severe correction -- down 46.5% from its 52-week high of 4497p. Now at 2404p. Bear(all) EMAs with RSI at 33.3. The 4-day streak shows no sign of exhaustion.
BARC -- Big move: -3.5% | Crossed BELOW POC | 4-day down streak | Week: -6.08%
Barclays (not in scanner but flagged by compare data) is in a 4-day losing streak and broke below its volume-weighted POC on Tuesday. Banking weakness spreading.
BATS -- RSI surged 11.3 pts | Big move: +5.94% | Week: +5.69%
British American Tobacco had a strong session -- Bull(all) EMAs now confirmed, RSI 66.2. Above POC. The week-long strength suggests institutional accumulation.
CPG -- RSI surged 8.3 pts | Big move: +5.78% | Week: +7.3%
Compass Group surging -- Bull(all) EMAs, RSI 70.3 (touching overbought). 7.3% on the week. Earnings-related or sector rotation into defensives/catering? A strong setup.
LSEG -- RSI surged 10.8 pts | Crossed ABOVE EMA50 | Crossed ABOVE EMA200 | Big move: +3.83%
London Stock Exchange Group broke above both EMA50 (9070) and EMA200 (9106) on Tuesday. Close at 9324, just 14 points below EMA20 (9338). A break of EMA20 today would confirm full bull trend.
3. SECTOR HEATMAP
MINING -- STRONG
RIO (-0.26%) and GLEN (-0.80%) both printed new 52-week highs intraday on Tuesday. RIO hit 8005.8p (= 52wH) before closing at 7909. GLEN hit 578.9p (= 52wH) before closing at 571.57 -- with heavy volume rv=2.12 (more than double average). Both are Bull(all) EMAs. The failed Rio-Glencore merger (cooling-off period through August 2026) and the copper supply deficit story are driving long-term accumulation. RIO RSI at 71 (overbought) so a pullback entry is preferred.
CONSUMER STAPLES -- STRONG
BATS (+5.94%), CPG (+5.78%), ULVR (+2.05%) all up strongly. A classic defensive rotation day when banking and tech dragged. BATS and CPG both Bull(all). ULVR still Bear(all) but showing recovery.
ENERGY -- RECOVERING
SHEL (+1.04%), BP (+1.13%) both positive. BP "Crossed ABOVE EMA50" (per compare data) -- first bullish EMA signal in weeks. Both still below EMA20 but building momentum. Middle East tensions keeping a floor under oil.
PHARMA -- WEAK BUT BOUNCING
AZN (+1.38%), GSK (+2.25%) both up on the day but both far below their 52wH (AZN -12.9%, GSK -17.3%) and below key EMAs. GSK crossed above EMA200 (per compare data) -- a tentative positive signal after a long decline.
BANKING/FINANCIALS -- DIVERGING
HSBA (-1.37%) crossed BELOW EMA20 (new signal). LSEG (+3.83%) bucking the trend, crossing ABOVE EMA50 and EMA200. Clear divergence within the sector.
DEFENSE/INDUSTRIALS -- WEAK
RR. (-2.81%) broke below EMA20/50 (4-day streak, -8.09% on week). BAE (+0.29%) minor green but stuck in Bear(all) EMAs, down 18.8% from 52wH.
TECH/DATA -- MOSTLY WEAK
REL (+0.12%), EXPN (+0.53%) both in Bear(all). Down 41.2% and 35.1% from 52wH respectively. LSEG is the sole bright spot.
4. DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE
All 20 stocks -- EMA trend (strict numerical comparison), RSI zone, MACD signal, % from 52wH, day change. POC position and significant day-over-day RSI delta noted.
AZN | Close 13702 | +1.38% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 13942, c<EMA50 14227, c>EMA200 13454] | RSI 42.8 Neutral | MACD Bear | -12.9% from 52wH | Below POC 14657 | rv=0.52
HSBA | Close 1314.6 | -1.37% | Mixed [c<EMA20 1321, c>EMA50 1295, c>EMA200 1156] | RSI 49.9 Neutral | MACD Bear | -6.8% from 52wH | Above POC 1270 | rv=0.41 | Crossed BELOW EMA20 today
SHEL | Close 3157.5 | +1.04% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 3252, c<EMA50 3238, c>EMA200 2959] | RSI 40.9 Neutral | MACD Bear | -12.1% from 52wH | Below POC 3234 | rv=0.48
ULVR | Close 4262.5 | +2.05% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 4295, c<EMA50 4472, c<EMA200 4835] | RSI 45.7 Neutral | MACD Bull | -22.9% from 52wH | Below POC 4581 | rv=0.29
RR. | Close 1190.4 | -2.81% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 1208, c<EMA50 1216, c>EMA200 1134] | RSI 47.7 Neutral | MACD Bull | -16.2% from 52wH | Below POC 1240 | rv=0.29 | Crossed BELOW EMA20+50 today. 4-day streak.
BP | Close 547.3 | +1.13% | Mixed [c<EMA20 559, c>EMA50 546, c>EMA200 481] | RSI 45.5 Neutral | MACD Bear | -10.2% from 52wH | Above POC 538 | rv=0.56 | Crossed ABOVE EMA50 today
RIO | Close 7909 | -0.26% | Bull(all) [c>EMA20 7478, c>EMA50 7189, c>EMA200 6210] | RSI 71.0 OB | MACD Bull | -1.2% from 52wH (hit 52wH 8005 intraday) | Above POC 6982 | rv=0.55
BATS | Close 4640 | +5.94% | Bull(all) [c>EMA20 4331, c>EMA50 4333, c>EMA200 4135] | RSI 66.2 Neutral | MACD Bull | -3.4% from 52wH | Above POC 4379 | rv=0.62 | RSI surged 11.3 pts today
BAE | Close 1916 | +0.29% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 2055, c<EMA50 2099, c<EMA200 1955] | RSI 32.9 Neutral (near OS) | MACD Bear | -18.8% from 52wH | Below POC 2168 | rv=0.59 | Week: -8.38%
GSK | Close 1888 | +2.25% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 1959, c<EMA50 2008, c>EMA200 1851] | RSI 36.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -17.3% from 52wH | Below POC 2075 | rv=0.93 | Crossed ABOVE EMA200 today (+8.2 RSI pts)
REL | Close 2459 | +0.12% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 2582, c<EMA50 2588, c<EMA200 2941] | RSI 36.6 Neutral | MACD Bear | -41.2% from 52wH | Below POC 2499 | rv=0.44
LSEG | Close 9324 | +3.83% | Mixed [c<EMA20 9338, c>EMA50 9070, c>EMA200 9106] | RSI 51.3 Neutral | MACD Bear | -21.0% from 52wH | Above POC 8776 | rv=0.66 | Crossed ABOVE EMA50+200 today (+10.8 RSI pts)
CPG | Close 3203 | +5.78% | Bull(all) [c>EMA20 2922, c>EMA50 2875, c>EMA200 2991] | RSI 70.3 OB | MACD Bull | -9.0% from 52wH | Above POC 2810 | rv=0.83 | RSI surged 8.3 pts today
ADM | Close 3198 | +0.41% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 3292, c<EMA50 3227, c>EMA200 3145] | RSI 41.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -13.2% from 52wH | Above POC 3164 | rv=0.39
III | Close 2404 | -5.02% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 2622, c<EMA50 2767, c<EMA200 3267] | RSI 33.3 Neutral | MACD Bear | -46.5% from 52wH | Below POC 2785 | rv=0.99 | 4-day streak, week -10.27%
DGE | Close 1502 | -0.07% | Mixed [c>EMA20 1492, c<EMA50 1509, c<EMA200 1701] | RSI 52.1 Neutral | MACD Bull | -32.2% from 52wH | Below POC 1514 | rv=0.40
GLEN | Close 571.57 | -0.80% | Bull(all) [c>EMA20 560, c>EMA50 542, c>EMA200 451] | RSI 59.8 Neutral | MACD Bull | -1.3% from 52wH (hit 52wH 578.9 intraday) | Above POC 535 | rv=2.12 HEAVY
NG | Close 1275.5 | -0.12% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 1289, c<EMA50 1290, c>EMA200 1203] | RSI 45.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -10.7% from 52wH | Below POC 1308 | rv=0.72
RKT | Close 4579 | +0.39% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 4788, c<EMA50 5123, c<EMA200 5500] | RSI 33.2 Neutral | MACD Bull | -29.7% from 52wH | Below POC 5414 | rv=0.55
EXPN | Close 2660 | +0.53% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 2694, c<EMA50 2720, c<EMA200 3092] | RSI 46.2 Neutral | MACD Bear | -35.1% from 52wH | Below POC 2676 | rv=0.61
5. TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
Setup 1: GLEN -- 52-Week High Breakout with Heavy Volume (Long) -- NEW
Glencore hit a new 52-week high of 578.9p on Tuesday with volume running at 2.12x the 20-day average. This is the highest RV in the entire dataset. Bull(all) EMAs with price above EMA9 (566), EMA20 (560), EMA50 (542) and EMA200 (451). Above POC (535). The failed Rio-Glencore merger means Glencore is pursuing copper growth independently into a structural deficit market. A break and hold above 578.9 would be a clean 52wH breakout.
Entry: Break above 578.9 (52wH/Cam R4 578.61) Alt entry: Pullback to Cam R1 (572.74) / EMA9 (566.25) Stop: Below EMA9 (566) / Classic S1 (565.48) T1: 590 T2: 600-610 ATR: 13.6 R:R: ~1.8:1 from breakout, ~2.5:1 from pullback entry
POC at 535.84 is well below -- no overhead supply concern.
Setup 2: BATS -- Post-Breakout Pullback to Pivot (Long) -- NEW
British American Tobacco surged 5.94% to 4640p, Bull(all) EMAs confirmed, RSI surged 11.3 pts to 66.2 (room to OB), MACD Bull. Above POC (4379). The classic pivot for tomorrow sits at 4548. The ideal setup is a pullback to the pivot / Cam S4 zone and resumption toward the 52-week high at 4804.
Entry: 4540-4550 (classic pivot area) Stop: Below Cam S4 (4487) T1: 4733 (Classic R1) T2: 4804 (52wH) ATR: 126 R:R: ~4:1 to T2
This was a new signal today -- RSI and EMA alignment only confirmed on Tuesday's close.
Setup 3: LSEG -- EMA20 Reclaim Breakout (Long) -- NEW
LSEG crossed above both EMA50 (9070) and EMA200 (9106) on Tuesday -- a significant structural shift. Close 9324 is just 14 points below EMA20 (9338). A break and hold above EMA20 would complete the full bull EMA alignment. RSI surged 10.8 pts. Above POC (8776).
Entry: Break above EMA20 (9340) Alt entry: Pullback to EMA200 (9106) / Cam S4 (9096) Stop: Below EMA200 (9106) on breakout entry; below 9000 on pullback entry T1: Cam R4 (9551) T2: 9800 ATR: 254 R:R: 1.8:1 from breakout; 4:1+ from pullback
Setup 4: CPG -- Momentum Continuation on Pullback (Long) -- NEW
Compass Group +5.78%, Bull(all) EMAs, RSI 70.3 (at OB threshold). Momentum is real but RSI is extended. Best approach is to wait for a pullback to classic pivot (3074) or Cam S1 area (3164) for a lower-risk entry.
Entry: 3060-3080 (classic pivot zone) Stop: Below EMA20 (2922) / Cam S4 (2971) T1: Classic R1 (3349) T2: 52wH (3518) ATR: 128 R:R: ~2.5:1 to T1 from pivot entry
POC at 2810 provides strong support well below.
Setup 5: RIO -- Fade at 52-Week High / Camarilla R4 (Short-term Short)
RIO hit its 52wH intraday at 8005.8, which aligns almost perfectly with Cam R4 (7996.89). RSI reached 71 (OB). Classic resistance confluence. The stock faded from 8005 to close at 7909 -- a 96-point rejection. For a short-term fade:
Entry: Short at 7994-8005 (Cam R4 / 52wH resistance) Stop: Above 8025 T1: Cam S3 (7865) T2: Classic pivot (7920) ATR: 191 R:R: ~5:1 to T1
NOTE: This is a counter-trend fade -- Bull(all) EMA structure means the primary trend is UP. Use tight stop and treat as an intraday/short-term trade only.
6. INTRADAY SETUPS
Intraday 1: GLEN -- 52wH Breakout Trade (Long)
Yesterday's high (578.9) = 52wH = Cam R4 (578.61). If price gaps up above 579 today and holds, this is a trend day breakout.
Entry: Open/early hold above 578.9 Stop: Close below 575 (Cam R3) Target: 590 then 600 Direction: Long
Alternatively: Pullback to Cam R1 (572.74) as intraday support, long to Cam R3 (575) then R4 (578.61).
Intraday 2: BP -- Pivot Support Long
BP closed at 547.3, almost exactly on the classic pivot of 547.67. It crossed above EMA50 (546) yesterday. BP is above POC (538.88). A hold above pivot today = long to Cam R3 (550.3) / Cam R4 (553.3).
Entry: 547.5-548.0 (hold above pivot) Stop: Below Cam S3 (544.3) Target: Cam R3 (550.3) then R4 (553.3) Direction: Long R:R: ~1.4:1 (scalp)
Classic pivot support + EMA50 just reclaimed = confluence.
Intraday 3: LSEG -- EMA20 Break Intraday Long
LSEG close 9324 sits just 14 points below EMA20 (9338). If it opens above 9340 today, this is a strong intraday long toward Cam R3 (9437) and Cam R4 (9551).
Entry: Break and hold above EMA20 (9338) Stop: Below Cam S1 (9286) Target: Cam R3 (9437) then Cam R4 (9551) Direction: Long R:R: ~1.8:1 to R3
If it fails EMA20 on open, watch for a fall back to Cam S4 (9096) / EMA200 (9106).
Intraday 4: RIO -- Camarilla R4 Rejection Short
Yesterday RIO touched Cam R4 (7996.89) / 52wH (8005.
and faded hard. If price rallies to 7994-8005 again in today's session, this is a high-probability fade.
Entry: Short at 7994-8005 (Cam R4 zone) Stop: Above 8025 Target: Cam S3 (7865) then pivot (7920) Direction: Short R:R: ~5:1 to T1
Intraday 5: RR. -- Camarilla S4 Breakdown Watch (Short)
Rolls-Royce is on a 4-day losing streak, broke below EMA20 and EMA50 yesterday. Cam S4 sits at 1176.98. A break below 1177 would signal a trend-day down.
Entry: Break below Cam S4 (1176.98) Stop: Above Cam R3 (1197.11) Target: Classic S2 (1169.73) then S3 (1155.67) Direction: Short R:R: ~0.9:1 to S2, ~1.5:1 to S3
Only valid as a breakdown trade -- if RR. gaps down and Cam S4 breaks with conviction.
7. KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD -- TOP 5 STOCKS
GLEN (Close 571.57 | ATR 13.6 | RV 2.12)
Cam: S4 564.53 · S3 568.05 · S2 569.22 · S1 570.40 | Pivot 572.19 | R1 572.74 · R2 573.92 · R3 575.09 · R4 578.61
Classic: S3 552.68 · S2 559.39 · S1 565.48 | Pivot 572.19 | R1 578.28 · R2 584.99 · R3 591.08
EMA9 566.25 · EMA20 560.74 · EMA50 542.44 · EMA200 451.60 | POC 535.84
52wH 578.90 · 52wL 261.70 | Prev Day H 578.90 · L 566.10
RIO (Close 7909 | ATR 191 | RV 0.55)
Cam: S4 7821 · S3 7865 · S2 7879 · S1 7894 | Pivot 7920 | R1 7923 · R2 7938 · R3 7952 · R4 7996
Classic: S3 7674 · S2 7760 · S1 7834 | Pivot 7920 | R1 7994 · R2 8080 · R3 8154
EMA9 7662 · EMA20 7478 · EMA50 7189 · EMA200 6210 | POC 6982
52wH 8005 · 52wL 4110 | Prev Day H 8005 · L 7846
BATS (Close 4640 | ATR 126 | RV 0.62)
Cam: S4 4487 · S3 4563 · S2 4589 · S1 4614 | Pivot 4548 | R1 4665 · R2 4691 · R3 4716 · R4 4793
Classic: S3 4177 · S2 4270 · S1 4455 | Pivot 4548 | R1 4733 · R2 4826 · R3 5011
EMA9 4376 · EMA20 4331 · EMA50 4333 · EMA200 4135 | POC 4379
52wH 4804 · 52wL 3019 | Prev Day H 4641 · L 4363
LSEG (Close 9324 | ATR 254 | RV 0.66)
Cam: S4 9096 · S3 9210 · S2 9248 · S1 9286 | Pivot 9198 | R1 9361 · R2 9399 · R3 9437 · R4 9551
Classic: S3 8640 · S2 8784 · S1 9054 | Pivot 9198 | R1 9468 · R2 9612 · R3 9882
EMA9 9320 · EMA20 9338 · EMA50 9070 · EMA200 9106 | POC 8776
52wH 11810 · 52wL 6684 | Prev Day H 9342 · L 8928
SHEL (Close 3157 | ATR 80 | RV 0.48)
Cam: S4 3136 · S3 3147 · S2 3150 · S1 3154 | Pivot 3162 | R1 3160 · R2 3164 · R3 3167 · R4 3178
Classic: S3 3103 · S2 3124 · S1 3141 | Pivot 3162 | R1 3179 · R2 3200 · R3 3217
EMA9 3194 · EMA20 3252 · EMA50 3238 · EMA200 2959 | POC 3234
52wH 3591 · 52wL 2403 | Prev Day H 3184 · L 3146
8. BEARISH WARNINGS
VOD -- Highest priority short watch
Not in the 20-stock scanner but flagged in compare data. Vodafone fell 8.1% on Tuesday earnings, crossed below EMA20, EMA50, MACD bearish crossover, heavy volume (rv=1.7). RSI dropped 20.3 points in ONE DAY. Now at its weekly lows with RSI week down 16.7 points. The German client loss is structural, not cyclical.
III -- Severe structural breakdown
3i Group at 2404p, down 46.5% from 52wH. Bear(all) EMAs. 4-day down streak. RSI 33.3 falling. POC at 2785 is massive overhead resistance -- every rally will be sold. The weekly RSI is down 15.4 points. Near-term support: 2370 (Classic S1), 2336 (Classic S2). No floor is visible yet.
RR. -- Just broke EMAs (NEW today)
Rolls-Royce crossed below both EMA20 and EMA50 yesterday for the first time in weeks. 4-day losing streak, week -8.09%. If EMA200 (1134) comes into play, the longer-term bull thesis is in question. Watch Cam S4 (1176) as next breakdown trigger.
BAE -- Bear(all) despite defence backdrop
BAE Systems is below ALL EMAs including the 200 (1955). RSI 32.9. Week -8.38%. 18.8% off its 52wH. This is particularly striking given the active geopolitical environment -- if defence names can't hold up, broader risk-off is signalling.
REL, EXPN, RKT -- Tech/Data sector breakdown
Relx (-41.2% from 52wH), Experian (-35.1% from 52wH), Reckitt (-29.7% from 52wH) -- all Bear(all) EMAs, all well below POC. RSI 33-46 range. No recovery catalysts visible. Dead-weight on the index.
NWG -- Crossed BELOW EMA200 (from compare data)
NatWest crossed below its 200-day EMA yesterday AND below POC. This is a major bearish signal for UK banking. Combined with HSBA crossing below EMA20 and BARC in a 4-day losing streak, the banking sector looks increasingly fragile.
WPP -- Structural deterioration
Crossed below EMA20 and EMA50 on Tuesday with MACD bearish crossover. EPS now expected to be a loss in FY2026. Week -5.78%, RSI week -17.5 pts. No visible support until long-term lows.
9. EVENTS CALENDAR
This week (w/c 11 May 2026):
- VOD: FY2026 full year results published Tuesday 12 May -- results already digested (bearish reaction)
- WPP: Results/guidance update already reflected in -4.6% drop on Tuesday
- Admiral Group (ADM): Ex-dividend date recently passed (early May 2026 -- 90p total dividend including special dividend, payable 5 June)
- UK CPI data: Watch for inflation release later this week -- BoE flagged possible further hikes
- BoE speakers: Multiple MPC members scheduled for public remarks this week
- US-Iran peace talks: Ongoing developments could impact energy sector (SHEL, BP)
Upcoming:
- GSK, AZN, SHEL typically have results in May/June -- check individual company calendars
- Rio Tinto-Glencore cooling-off period runs through August 2026 under UK takeover rules
Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Replied by remo on topic FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
Wednesday 13 May 2026
Data: Close 12 May | UKX: 10,247 | Open today: ~10,233 (slight gap down) | Prev close: 10,269 | Day: -22 pts (-0.22%)
1. MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 slipped 22 points on Tuesday 12 May to close at 10,247, pulled lower by a broad-based banking sell-off and two high-profile earnings casualties -- Vodafone and WPP. The index had been in positive territory intraday before late afternoon selling dragged it into the red.
Today (13 May) pre-market: The index opened around 10,233, a modest gap down of approximately 14 points. Futures data shows limited movement suggesting consolidation is the base case.
Key macro drivers this week:
- Bank of England held rates at 3.75% on 30 April, but flagged possible further hikes if inflation stays elevated
- UK political uncertainty persists -- PM Starmer facing pressure from within Labour following poor local election results
- Oil prices supported by Middle East tensions (US-Iran talks uncertainty)
- Banking stocks under pressure: HSBC, Lloyds, Barclays, NatWest all fell 1-4% on Tuesday
- Rio Tinto and Glencore both touched NEW 52-WEEK HIGHS on Tuesday -- copper demand outlook driving mining strength
- VOD and WPP results were significant negative catalysts (see Notable Changes below)
2. NOTABLE CHANGES -- TOP MOVERS SINCE YESTERDAY
These are the stocks that changed most significantly from Monday 11 May to Tuesday 12 May. These demand the most attention today.
VOD -- RSI dropped 20.3 pts | Crossed BELOW EMA20 | Crossed BELOW EMA50 | MACD BEARISH crossover | Big move: -8.1% | Crossed BELOW POC | Heavy volume (rv=1.7) | Week: -6% | RSI week: -16.7 pts
Vodafone FY2026 results: revenue beat but German market shed 103,000 mobile clients in the year and 90,000 broadband customers last quarter. The stock collapsed on the day despite being up 17% YTD. Highest conviction bearish name in the dataset.
WPP -- RSI dropped 11.4 pts | Crossed BELOW EMA20 | Crossed BELOW EMA50 | MACD BEARISH crossover | Big move: -4.6% | Week: -5.78% | RSI week: -17.5 pts
WPP guidance is dire -- mid-to-high single digit revenue decline in H1 2026, full year EPS consensus now shows a LOSS of UK£0.23 vs prior £0.395 profit expectation. Both EMAs broken cleanly.
RR. -- Crossed BELOW EMA20 | Crossed BELOW EMA50 | 4-day down streak | Week: -8.09%
Rolls-Royce broke below both EMA20 (1208) and EMA50 (1216) for the first time in weeks. Down 8.09% on the week with no obvious catalyst -- looks like profit-taking after the strong prior run. RSI at 47.7 -- has room to fall further.
III -- Big move: -5.02% | 4-day down streak | Week: -10.27% | RSI week: -15.4 pts
3i Group continues its severe correction -- down 46.5% from its 52-week high of 4497p. Now at 2404p. Bear(all) EMAs with RSI at 33.3. The 4-day streak shows no sign of exhaustion.
BARC -- Big move: -3.5% | Crossed BELOW POC | 4-day down streak | Week: -6.08%
Barclays (not in scanner but flagged by compare data) is in a 4-day losing streak and broke below its volume-weighted POC on Tuesday. Banking weakness spreading.
BATS -- RSI surged 11.3 pts | Big move: +5.94% | Week: +5.69%
British American Tobacco had a strong session -- Bull(all) EMAs now confirmed, RSI 66.2. Above POC. The week-long strength suggests institutional accumulation.
CPG -- RSI surged 8.3 pts | Big move: +5.78% | Week: +7.3%
Compass Group surging -- Bull(all) EMAs, RSI 70.3 (touching overbought). 7.3% on the week. Earnings-related or sector rotation into defensives/catering? A strong setup.
LSEG -- RSI surged 10.8 pts | Crossed ABOVE EMA50 | Crossed ABOVE EMA200 | Big move: +3.83%
London Stock Exchange Group broke above both EMA50 (9070) and EMA200 (9106) on Tuesday. Close at 9324, just 14 points below EMA20 (9338). A break of EMA20 today would confirm full bull trend.
3. SECTOR HEATMAP
MINING -- STRONG
RIO (-0.26%) and GLEN (-0.80%) both printed new 52-week highs intraday on Tuesday. RIO hit 8005.8p (= 52wH) before closing at 7909. GLEN hit 578.9p (= 52wH) before closing at 571.57 -- with heavy volume rv=2.12 (more than double average). Both are Bull(all) EMAs. The failed Rio-Glencore merger (cooling-off period through August 2026) and the copper supply deficit story are driving long-term accumulation. RIO RSI at 71 (overbought) so a pullback entry is preferred.
CONSUMER STAPLES -- STRONG
BATS (+5.94%), CPG (+5.78%), ULVR (+2.05%) all up strongly. A classic defensive rotation day when banking and tech dragged. BATS and CPG both Bull(all). ULVR still Bear(all) but showing recovery.
ENERGY -- RECOVERING
SHEL (+1.04%), BP (+1.13%) both positive. BP "Crossed ABOVE EMA50" (per compare data) -- first bullish EMA signal in weeks. Both still below EMA20 but building momentum. Middle East tensions keeping a floor under oil.
PHARMA -- WEAK BUT BOUNCING
AZN (+1.38%), GSK (+2.25%) both up on the day but both far below their 52wH (AZN -12.9%, GSK -17.3%) and below key EMAs. GSK crossed above EMA200 (per compare data) -- a tentative positive signal after a long decline.
BANKING/FINANCIALS -- DIVERGING
HSBA (-1.37%) crossed BELOW EMA20 (new signal). LSEG (+3.83%) bucking the trend, crossing ABOVE EMA50 and EMA200. Clear divergence within the sector.
DEFENSE/INDUSTRIALS -- WEAK
RR. (-2.81%) broke below EMA20/50 (4-day streak, -8.09% on week). BAE (+0.29%) minor green but stuck in Bear(all) EMAs, down 18.8% from 52wH.
TECH/DATA -- MOSTLY WEAK
REL (+0.12%), EXPN (+0.53%) both in Bear(all). Down 41.2% and 35.1% from 52wH respectively. LSEG is the sole bright spot.
4. DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE
All 20 stocks -- EMA trend (strict numerical comparison), RSI zone, MACD signal, % from 52wH, day change. POC position and significant day-over-day RSI delta noted.
AZN | Close 13702 | +1.38% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 13942, c<EMA50 14227, c>EMA200 13454] | RSI 42.8 Neutral | MACD Bear | -12.9% from 52wH | Below POC 14657 | rv=0.52
HSBA | Close 1314.6 | -1.37% | Mixed [c<EMA20 1321, c>EMA50 1295, c>EMA200 1156] | RSI 49.9 Neutral | MACD Bear | -6.8% from 52wH | Above POC 1270 | rv=0.41 | Crossed BELOW EMA20 today
SHEL | Close 3157.5 | +1.04% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 3252, c<EMA50 3238, c>EMA200 2959] | RSI 40.9 Neutral | MACD Bear | -12.1% from 52wH | Below POC 3234 | rv=0.48
ULVR | Close 4262.5 | +2.05% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 4295, c<EMA50 4472, c<EMA200 4835] | RSI 45.7 Neutral | MACD Bull | -22.9% from 52wH | Below POC 4581 | rv=0.29
RR. | Close 1190.4 | -2.81% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 1208, c<EMA50 1216, c>EMA200 1134] | RSI 47.7 Neutral | MACD Bull | -16.2% from 52wH | Below POC 1240 | rv=0.29 | Crossed BELOW EMA20+50 today. 4-day streak.
BP | Close 547.3 | +1.13% | Mixed [c<EMA20 559, c>EMA50 546, c>EMA200 481] | RSI 45.5 Neutral | MACD Bear | -10.2% from 52wH | Above POC 538 | rv=0.56 | Crossed ABOVE EMA50 today
RIO | Close 7909 | -0.26% | Bull(all) [c>EMA20 7478, c>EMA50 7189, c>EMA200 6210] | RSI 71.0 OB | MACD Bull | -1.2% from 52wH (hit 52wH 8005 intraday) | Above POC 6982 | rv=0.55
BATS | Close 4640 | +5.94% | Bull(all) [c>EMA20 4331, c>EMA50 4333, c>EMA200 4135] | RSI 66.2 Neutral | MACD Bull | -3.4% from 52wH | Above POC 4379 | rv=0.62 | RSI surged 11.3 pts today
BAE | Close 1916 | +0.29% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 2055, c<EMA50 2099, c<EMA200 1955] | RSI 32.9 Neutral (near OS) | MACD Bear | -18.8% from 52wH | Below POC 2168 | rv=0.59 | Week: -8.38%
GSK | Close 1888 | +2.25% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 1959, c<EMA50 2008, c>EMA200 1851] | RSI 36.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -17.3% from 52wH | Below POC 2075 | rv=0.93 | Crossed ABOVE EMA200 today (+8.2 RSI pts)
REL | Close 2459 | +0.12% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 2582, c<EMA50 2588, c<EMA200 2941] | RSI 36.6 Neutral | MACD Bear | -41.2% from 52wH | Below POC 2499 | rv=0.44
LSEG | Close 9324 | +3.83% | Mixed [c<EMA20 9338, c>EMA50 9070, c>EMA200 9106] | RSI 51.3 Neutral | MACD Bear | -21.0% from 52wH | Above POC 8776 | rv=0.66 | Crossed ABOVE EMA50+200 today (+10.8 RSI pts)
CPG | Close 3203 | +5.78% | Bull(all) [c>EMA20 2922, c>EMA50 2875, c>EMA200 2991] | RSI 70.3 OB | MACD Bull | -9.0% from 52wH | Above POC 2810 | rv=0.83 | RSI surged 8.3 pts today
ADM | Close 3198 | +0.41% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 3292, c<EMA50 3227, c>EMA200 3145] | RSI 41.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -13.2% from 52wH | Above POC 3164 | rv=0.39
III | Close 2404 | -5.02% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 2622, c<EMA50 2767, c<EMA200 3267] | RSI 33.3 Neutral | MACD Bear | -46.5% from 52wH | Below POC 2785 | rv=0.99 | 4-day streak, week -10.27%
DGE | Close 1502 | -0.07% | Mixed [c>EMA20 1492, c<EMA50 1509, c<EMA200 1701] | RSI 52.1 Neutral | MACD Bull | -32.2% from 52wH | Below POC 1514 | rv=0.40
GLEN | Close 571.57 | -0.80% | Bull(all) [c>EMA20 560, c>EMA50 542, c>EMA200 451] | RSI 59.8 Neutral | MACD Bull | -1.3% from 52wH (hit 52wH 578.9 intraday) | Above POC 535 | rv=2.12 HEAVY
NG | Close 1275.5 | -0.12% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 1289, c<EMA50 1290, c>EMA200 1203] | RSI 45.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -10.7% from 52wH | Below POC 1308 | rv=0.72
RKT | Close 4579 | +0.39% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 4788, c<EMA50 5123, c<EMA200 5500] | RSI 33.2 Neutral | MACD Bull | -29.7% from 52wH | Below POC 5414 | rv=0.55
EXPN | Close 2660 | +0.53% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 2694, c<EMA50 2720, c<EMA200 3092] | RSI 46.2 Neutral | MACD Bear | -35.1% from 52wH | Below POC 2676 | rv=0.61
5. TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
Setup 1: GLEN -- 52-Week High Breakout with Heavy Volume (Long) -- NEW
Glencore hit a new 52-week high of 578.9p on Tuesday with volume running at 2.12x the 20-day average. This is the highest RV in the entire dataset. Bull(all) EMAs with price above EMA9 (566), EMA20 (560), EMA50 (542) and EMA200 (451). Above POC (535). The failed Rio-Glencore merger means Glencore is pursuing copper growth independently into a structural deficit market. A break and hold above 578.9 would be a clean 52wH breakout.
Entry: Break above 578.9 (52wH/Cam R4 578.61) Alt entry: Pullback to Cam R1 (572.74) / EMA9 (566.25) Stop: Below EMA9 (566) / Classic S1 (565.48) T1: 590 T2: 600-610 ATR: 13.6 R:R: ~1.8:1 from breakout, ~2.5:1 from pullback entry
POC at 535.84 is well below -- no overhead supply concern.
Setup 2: BATS -- Post-Breakout Pullback to Pivot (Long) -- NEW
British American Tobacco surged 5.94% to 4640p, Bull(all) EMAs confirmed, RSI surged 11.3 pts to 66.2 (room to OB), MACD Bull. Above POC (4379). The classic pivot for tomorrow sits at 4548. The ideal setup is a pullback to the pivot / Cam S4 zone and resumption toward the 52-week high at 4804.
Entry: 4540-4550 (classic pivot area) Stop: Below Cam S4 (4487) T1: 4733 (Classic R1) T2: 4804 (52wH) ATR: 126 R:R: ~4:1 to T2
This was a new signal today -- RSI and EMA alignment only confirmed on Tuesday's close.
Setup 3: LSEG -- EMA20 Reclaim Breakout (Long) -- NEW
LSEG crossed above both EMA50 (9070) and EMA200 (9106) on Tuesday -- a significant structural shift. Close 9324 is just 14 points below EMA20 (9338). A break and hold above EMA20 would complete the full bull EMA alignment. RSI surged 10.8 pts. Above POC (8776).
Entry: Break above EMA20 (9340) Alt entry: Pullback to EMA200 (9106) / Cam S4 (9096) Stop: Below EMA200 (9106) on breakout entry; below 9000 on pullback entry T1: Cam R4 (9551) T2: 9800 ATR: 254 R:R: 1.8:1 from breakout; 4:1+ from pullback
Setup 4: CPG -- Momentum Continuation on Pullback (Long) -- NEW
Compass Group +5.78%, Bull(all) EMAs, RSI 70.3 (at OB threshold). Momentum is real but RSI is extended. Best approach is to wait for a pullback to classic pivot (3074) or Cam S1 area (3164) for a lower-risk entry.
Entry: 3060-3080 (classic pivot zone) Stop: Below EMA20 (2922) / Cam S4 (2971) T1: Classic R1 (3349) T2: 52wH (3518) ATR: 128 R:R: ~2.5:1 to T1 from pivot entry
POC at 2810 provides strong support well below.
Setup 5: RIO -- Fade at 52-Week High / Camarilla R4 (Short-term Short)
RIO hit its 52wH intraday at 8005.8, which aligns almost perfectly with Cam R4 (7996.89). RSI reached 71 (OB). Classic resistance confluence. The stock faded from 8005 to close at 7909 -- a 96-point rejection. For a short-term fade:
Entry: Short at 7994-8005 (Cam R4 / 52wH resistance) Stop: Above 8025 T1: Cam S3 (7865) T2: Classic pivot (7920) ATR: 191 R:R: ~5:1 to T1
NOTE: This is a counter-trend fade -- Bull(all) EMA structure means the primary trend is UP. Use tight stop and treat as an intraday/short-term trade only.
6. INTRADAY SETUPS
Intraday 1: GLEN -- 52wH Breakout Trade (Long)
Yesterday's high (578.9) = 52wH = Cam R4 (578.61). If price gaps up above 579 today and holds, this is a trend day breakout.
Entry: Open/early hold above 578.9 Stop: Close below 575 (Cam R3) Target: 590 then 600 Direction: Long
Alternatively: Pullback to Cam R1 (572.74) as intraday support, long to Cam R3 (575) then R4 (578.61).
Intraday 2: BP -- Pivot Support Long
BP closed at 547.3, almost exactly on the classic pivot of 547.67. It crossed above EMA50 (546) yesterday. BP is above POC (538.88). A hold above pivot today = long to Cam R3 (550.3) / Cam R4 (553.3).
Entry: 547.5-548.0 (hold above pivot) Stop: Below Cam S3 (544.3) Target: Cam R3 (550.3) then R4 (553.3) Direction: Long R:R: ~1.4:1 (scalp)
Classic pivot support + EMA50 just reclaimed = confluence.
Intraday 3: LSEG -- EMA20 Break Intraday Long
LSEG close 9324 sits just 14 points below EMA20 (9338). If it opens above 9340 today, this is a strong intraday long toward Cam R3 (9437) and Cam R4 (9551).
Entry: Break and hold above EMA20 (9338) Stop: Below Cam S1 (9286) Target: Cam R3 (9437) then Cam R4 (9551) Direction: Long R:R: ~1.8:1 to R3
If it fails EMA20 on open, watch for a fall back to Cam S4 (9096) / EMA200 (9106).
Intraday 4: RIO -- Camarilla R4 Rejection Short
Yesterday RIO touched Cam R4 (7996.89) / 52wH (8005.
Entry: Short at 7994-8005 (Cam R4 zone) Stop: Above 8025 Target: Cam S3 (7865) then pivot (7920) Direction: Short R:R: ~5:1 to T1
Intraday 5: RR. -- Camarilla S4 Breakdown Watch (Short)
Rolls-Royce is on a 4-day losing streak, broke below EMA20 and EMA50 yesterday. Cam S4 sits at 1176.98. A break below 1177 would signal a trend-day down.
Entry: Break below Cam S4 (1176.98) Stop: Above Cam R3 (1197.11) Target: Classic S2 (1169.73) then S3 (1155.67) Direction: Short R:R: ~0.9:1 to S2, ~1.5:1 to S3
Only valid as a breakdown trade -- if RR. gaps down and Cam S4 breaks with conviction.
7. KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD -- TOP 5 STOCKS
GLEN (Close 571.57 | ATR 13.6 | RV 2.12)
Cam: S4 564.53 · S3 568.05 · S2 569.22 · S1 570.40 | Pivot 572.19 | R1 572.74 · R2 573.92 · R3 575.09 · R4 578.61
Classic: S3 552.68 · S2 559.39 · S1 565.48 | Pivot 572.19 | R1 578.28 · R2 584.99 · R3 591.08
EMA9 566.25 · EMA20 560.74 · EMA50 542.44 · EMA200 451.60 | POC 535.84
52wH 578.90 · 52wL 261.70 | Prev Day H 578.90 · L 566.10
RIO (Close 7909 | ATR 191 | RV 0.55)
Cam: S4 7821 · S3 7865 · S2 7879 · S1 7894 | Pivot 7920 | R1 7923 · R2 7938 · R3 7952 · R4 7996
Classic: S3 7674 · S2 7760 · S1 7834 | Pivot 7920 | R1 7994 · R2 8080 · R3 8154
EMA9 7662 · EMA20 7478 · EMA50 7189 · EMA200 6210 | POC 6982
52wH 8005 · 52wL 4110 | Prev Day H 8005 · L 7846
BATS (Close 4640 | ATR 126 | RV 0.62)
Cam: S4 4487 · S3 4563 · S2 4589 · S1 4614 | Pivot 4548 | R1 4665 · R2 4691 · R3 4716 · R4 4793
Classic: S3 4177 · S2 4270 · S1 4455 | Pivot 4548 | R1 4733 · R2 4826 · R3 5011
EMA9 4376 · EMA20 4331 · EMA50 4333 · EMA200 4135 | POC 4379
52wH 4804 · 52wL 3019 | Prev Day H 4641 · L 4363
LSEG (Close 9324 | ATR 254 | RV 0.66)
Cam: S4 9096 · S3 9210 · S2 9248 · S1 9286 | Pivot 9198 | R1 9361 · R2 9399 · R3 9437 · R4 9551
Classic: S3 8640 · S2 8784 · S1 9054 | Pivot 9198 | R1 9468 · R2 9612 · R3 9882
EMA9 9320 · EMA20 9338 · EMA50 9070 · EMA200 9106 | POC 8776
52wH 11810 · 52wL 6684 | Prev Day H 9342 · L 8928
SHEL (Close 3157 | ATR 80 | RV 0.48)
Cam: S4 3136 · S3 3147 · S2 3150 · S1 3154 | Pivot 3162 | R1 3160 · R2 3164 · R3 3167 · R4 3178
Classic: S3 3103 · S2 3124 · S1 3141 | Pivot 3162 | R1 3179 · R2 3200 · R3 3217
EMA9 3194 · EMA20 3252 · EMA50 3238 · EMA200 2959 | POC 3234
52wH 3591 · 52wL 2403 | Prev Day H 3184 · L 3146
8. BEARISH WARNINGS
VOD -- Highest priority short watch
Not in the 20-stock scanner but flagged in compare data. Vodafone fell 8.1% on Tuesday earnings, crossed below EMA20, EMA50, MACD bearish crossover, heavy volume (rv=1.7). RSI dropped 20.3 points in ONE DAY. Now at its weekly lows with RSI week down 16.7 points. The German client loss is structural, not cyclical.
III -- Severe structural breakdown
3i Group at 2404p, down 46.5% from 52wH. Bear(all) EMAs. 4-day down streak. RSI 33.3 falling. POC at 2785 is massive overhead resistance -- every rally will be sold. The weekly RSI is down 15.4 points. Near-term support: 2370 (Classic S1), 2336 (Classic S2). No floor is visible yet.
RR. -- Just broke EMAs (NEW today)
Rolls-Royce crossed below both EMA20 and EMA50 yesterday for the first time in weeks. 4-day losing streak, week -8.09%. If EMA200 (1134) comes into play, the longer-term bull thesis is in question. Watch Cam S4 (1176) as next breakdown trigger.
BAE -- Bear(all) despite defence backdrop
BAE Systems is below ALL EMAs including the 200 (1955). RSI 32.9. Week -8.38%. 18.8% off its 52wH. This is particularly striking given the active geopolitical environment -- if defence names can't hold up, broader risk-off is signalling.
REL, EXPN, RKT -- Tech/Data sector breakdown
Relx (-41.2% from 52wH), Experian (-35.1% from 52wH), Reckitt (-29.7% from 52wH) -- all Bear(all) EMAs, all well below POC. RSI 33-46 range. No recovery catalysts visible. Dead-weight on the index.
NWG -- Crossed BELOW EMA200 (from compare data)
NatWest crossed below its 200-day EMA yesterday AND below POC. This is a major bearish signal for UK banking. Combined with HSBA crossing below EMA20 and BARC in a 4-day losing streak, the banking sector looks increasingly fragile.
WPP -- Structural deterioration
Crossed below EMA20 and EMA50 on Tuesday with MACD bearish crossover. EPS now expected to be a loss in FY2026. Week -5.78%, RSI week -17.5 pts. No visible support until long-term lows.
9. EVENTS CALENDAR
This week (w/c 11 May 2026):
- VOD: FY2026 full year results published Tuesday 12 May -- results already digested (bearish reaction)
- WPP: Results/guidance update already reflected in -4.6% drop on Tuesday
- Admiral Group (ADM): Ex-dividend date recently passed (early May 2026 -- 90p total dividend including special dividend, payable 5 June)
- UK CPI data: Watch for inflation release later this week -- BoE flagged possible further hikes
- BoE speakers: Multiple MPC members scheduled for public remarks this week
- US-Iran peace talks: Ongoing developments could impact energy sector (SHEL, BP)
Upcoming:
- GSK, AZN, SHEL typically have results in May/June -- check individual company calendars
- Rio Tinto-Glencore cooling-off period runs through August 2026 under UK takeover rules
Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
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