FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups

Friday 1 May 2026
Data: Close 30 April | UKX: 10,374.48 (+1.58%) | Futures: data unavailable — open neutral



MARKET OVERVIEW

UKX closed Thursday at 10,374.48, up 161.37 pts (+1.58%) on a clean trend day. Range 10,205.15 - 10,387.55, broad participation.

Drivers: STAN record Q1 profit, LLOY Q1 EPS +33%, miners firm on China data, oil bid on Iran-related supply disruption supporting energy heavyweights.

Macro today: US Non-Farm Payrolls 13:30 BST is the binary risk into the close (March print +178k vs +60k expected). Mon 4 May is UK Bank Holiday - LSE closed - so today is the last full European session before a long weekend. Expect early afternoon position-squaring after NFP.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)

The most actionable moves since Wednesday's close:

RR. - RSI surged +8.7 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA200, +6.4%. Major momentum reset.
STAN - +4.1%, 4-day up streak, week +6.75%, RSI +12 over the week. Cleanest trender.
CPG - Crossed BELOW EMA50, 4-day down streak, week -5.77%, weekly RSI -14.6. Fresh breakdown.
SSE - Crossed ABOVE EMA20 + EMA50, +3.5%, reclaimed POC. Triple confluence.
LSEG - MACD bearish cross, 4-day down streak, weekly RSI -18.8 pts. Largest weekly RSI loss in universe.
LLOY - Crossed ABOVE EMA20 + EMA50. Major bank trend repair.
VOD - RSI surged +8.3 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA20.
NG - Crossed ABOVE EMA20 + EMA50. Confirms utilities rotation alongside SSE.



SECTOR HEATMAP

BANKS (LLOY/BARC/STAN/NWG/HSBA) - leadership. STAN RSI 66.1 in confirmed bull, LLOY/NWG repaired EMA structure, HSBA RSI 60.7. BARC the laggard.

INSURERS (PRU/LGEN/AV/ADM) - WEAK. All below 20/50 EMAs. PRU 4-day down streak, ADM MACD bearish cross. Sector to avoid for longs.

MINERS MIXED-IMPROVING (AAL/ANTO/RIO/GLEN) - AAL above all EMAs, RIO crossed above EMA20 today, GLEN RSI 61.6. ANTO is the laggard (below 20/50).

ENERGY (BP/SHEL) - BP 5-day up streak (RSI 57.1), SHEL stabilising. Iran geopolitical bid is the wildcard.

HEALTHCARE (AZN/GSK/HLN/RKT) - WEAK. HLN RSI 33, RKT RSI 31.9, GSK RSI 33.1. All below EMA structure.

CONSUMER STAPLES MIXED (TSCO/ULVR/IMB/BATS/ABF/DGE) - BATS crossed above EMA20, IMB and ABF and ULVR all weak. Splits within sector.

SOFTWARE/DATA (LSEG/REL/SGE/EXPN/INF) - DETERIORATING. Two MACD bearish crosses in one day (LSEG, SGE). REL the only firm name.

INDUSTRIALS/DEFENCE (BAE/RR./RTO/BNZL) - MIXED. RR. surged today, RTO and BNZL above all EMAs. BAE the laggard (RSI 38.5).

UTILITIES (SSE/NG) - TURNING. Both crossed back above EMA20 + EMA50 the same day. Fresh sector rotation.

TELECOMS (VOD) - STRONG. RSI 58.5 surge, above all EMAs.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS (20 stocks)

BULL (above all EMAs): LLOY 99.44p RSI 51.2 dRSI +5.7 ; BARC 430.25 RSI 52.5 ; STAN 1862.10 RSI 66.1 dRSI +7.0 MACD bull ; AAL 3578.00 RSI 54.5 dRSI +3.1 ; SSE 2649.00 RSI 52.0 dRSI +7.7 ; VOD 117.10 RSI 58.5 dRSI +8.3 ; BNZL 2432.00 RSI 64.8 MACD bull ; RTO 493.00 RSI 54.0 dRSI +4.5

BULL (above 20/50, below 200): SGE 880.00 RSI 51.6 ; WPP 268.45 RSI 60.1 MACD bull

MIXED: TSCO 482.40 RSI 50.6 (below EMA20, above 50/200)

BEAR (below 20/50, above 200): NWG 582.80 RSI 48.0 dRSI +5.6 ; PRU 1091.00 RSI 44.3 ; ANTO 3542.50 RSI 46.3

BEAR (below all EMAs): HLN 340.25 RSI 33.0 ; LGEN 251.06 RSI 44.0 ; AV 621.82 RSI 45.0 ; IMB 2804.00 RSI 37.7 ; ABF 1834.50 RSI 44.9 ; INF 795.80 RSI 49.6

Verification: programmatic re-check of EMA classifications PASSED - no errors.



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS

1. STAN - Continuation Long (NEW signal)
Cleanest setup in universe. RSI 66.1 (room left), MACD bull alive, +4.1% today, +6.75% on the week, 4-day up streak. POC 1674.34 well below - no overhead supply.
Entry: 1845-1860 (pullback to EMA9 1787) or buy strength >1880 · Stop: 1810 · T1: 1905 (cam_r4) · T2: 1924 (52w high) · R:R: 1.5:1
Risk: post-earnings gap can mean-revert. Trim half at T1.

2. SSE - Trend Reclaim Long (NEW signal triggered today)
Crossed back above EMA20 + EMA50 + POC on +3.48% session. MACD curling up but not yet crossed. RSI 52 - neutral, room to run. Sector confirmation from NG.
Entry: 2625-2640 (pullback to EMA20 / cam_s3) · Stop: 2592 · T1: 2696 (cam_r4) · T2: 2780 · R:R: 1.7:1
POC 2608.75 below price = strong support shelf with EMA50.

3. BNZL - Established Trend Continuation
Confirmed bull, MACD bullish (m>s, both positive), RSI 64.8 (approaching but not OB). Caveat: rv 0.18 = light volume.
Entry: 2400-2410 (pullback to EMA20 2361) · Stop: 2350 · T1: 2480 · T2: 2609 (52w high) · R:R: 2.5:1 to T2

4. VOD - Telecom Breakout Continuation (NEW)
RSI surged +8.3 pts, crossed above EMA20, +2.49%, sitting 3.2% off 52w high. Tight ATR 2.48 = clean R:R.
Entry: 116.5 retest of cam_s3 (116.26) or buy strength >118 · Stop: 114.5 · T1: 119 · T2: 120.95 (52w high) · R:R: 1.3:1

5. CPG - Breakdown Short (NEW signal)
Just crossed below EMA50, 4-day down streak, weekly -5.77%, RSI -14.6 weekly. Clearest distribution.
Entry: rally to broken EMA50 (~2860-2880) · Stop: above 2920 · T1: 2750 · T2: 2680
Note: pivot levels not in today's snapshot - use weekly range to size.



INTRADAY SETUPS (using 30 Apr pivots/Camarilla)

1. STAN - Camarilla R3/R4 Breakout (long)
Closed 1862.10, just below cam_r3 1883.55. Trend day above pivot 1844.97.
Long break: above 1885 with vol confirm · Stop: 1875 · Target: cam_r4 1905 · R:R: 2:1

2. SSE - Pivot Bounce (long)
Pivot 2622.17 = confluence with EMA20 2625.94 and POC 2608.75. Triple support.
Long bounce: 2625-2630 · Stop: 2592 (below S1) · T1: R1 2677.83 · T2: cam_r4 2695.48

3. AAL - Pivot Bounce (long)
Pivot 3546.50 = current price. Above all EMAs, RSI 54.5, POC 3349 well below.
Long bounce: 3530-3550 · Stop: 3478 · T1: R1 3644.5 · T2: cam_r4 3668.48

4. ANTO - Camarilla R3 Fade (short)
Bear below 20/50, MACD bearish, RSI 46.3. Cam_r3 3591.18 fade level for counter-trend pop.
Short fade: 3590-3610 · Stop: 3640 (above cam_r4 3639.85) · T1: pivot 3506.83 · T2: S1 3436.17
ATR 192.97 = size small.

5. HLN - Pivot Retest Short
Bear below all, RSI 33, MACD deeply negative. Pivot 340.62 = current; rally to cam_r3 341.46 is the trigger.
Short fade: 341.50-342.50 · Stop: 342.80 (above cam_r4 342.67) · T1: S1 338.23 · T2: ~336



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD - TOP 5

STAN - 1862.10
Cam: S4 1819.20 · S3 1840.65 · S1 1854.92 || R1 1873.20 · R3 1883.55 · R4 1905.00
Classic: S2 ~1808 · S1 1814.53 · Pivot 1844.97 || R1 1892.53 · R2 ~1956
EMAs: 9=1787.52 · 20=1749.09 · 50=1719.88 · 200=1588.02
POC 1674.34 · Prev H/L 1875.40 / 1797.40 · 52w H/L 1924.00 / 1038.50

SSE - 2649.00
Cam: S4 2602.53 · S3 2625.76 · S1 2640.32 || R1 2657.68 · R3 2672.24 · R4 2695.48
Classic: S2 ~2570 · S1 2593.33 · Pivot 2622.17 || R1 2677.83 · R2 ~2730
EMAs: 9=2619.09 · 20=2625.94 · 50=2594.37 · 200=2268.55
POC 2608.75 · ATR 74.62 · 52w H/L 2859.89 / 1597.00

AAL - 3578.00
Cam: S4 3487.53 · S3 3532.76 · S1 3560.81 || R1 3596.20 · R3 3623.24 · R4 3668.48
Classic: S2 ~3415 · S1 3480.00 · Pivot 3546.50 || R1 3644.50 · R2 ~3715
EMAs: 9=3587.28 · 20=3526.89 · 50=3424.23 · 200=3069.39
POC 3349.52 · ATR 141.78 · 52w H/L 3877.00 / 1987.20

BNZL - 2432.00
Cam: S4 2405.05 · S3 2418.53 · S1 2426.69 || R1 2436.97 · R3 2445.48 · R4 2458.95
Classic: S2 ~2382 · S1 2402.33 · Pivot 2421.67 || R1 2451.33 · R2 ~2470
EMAs: 9=2405.96 · 20=2361.32 · 50=2284.22 · 200=2318.71
POC 2230.11 · 52w H/L 2609.42 / 1981.00

VOD - 117.10
Cam: S4 115.42 · S3 116.26 · S1 116.76 || R1 117.43 · R3 117.94 · R4 118.78
Classic: S2 ~114.4 · S1 115.12 · Pivot 116.18 || R1 118.17 · R2 ~119.2
EMAs: 9=115.42 · 20=114.86 · 50=112.56 · 200=99.71
POC 112.64 · 52w H/L 120.95 / 67.80



BEARISH WARNINGS

Stocks under active pressure. Avoid longs, use rallies for shorts/exits:

CPG - Just broke EMA50 today, 4-day down streak, week -5.77%, weekly RSI -14.6. Highest-conviction breakdown.
LSEG - MACD bearish crossover, 4-day down streak, weekly RSI -18.8 (largest in universe). Distribution.
HLN - Bear below all, RSI 33, MACD deeply bearish. No bounces holding.
RKT - RSI 31.9 (oversold but no reversal signal).
IMB - RSI 37.7, bear below all, MACD -89.31. Sustained downtrend.
ABF - RSI 44.9, bear below all EMAs.
LGEN - Bear below all (close 251.06 vs EMA200 252.35). Just lost the 200.
ANTO - Bear below 20/50, MACD freshly bearish. Not participating in miners' lift.
PRU - 4-day down streak, weekly RSI -13.5 pts.
ADM - Just printed MACD bearish crossover today.
GSK - RSI 33.1, weekly -4.82%, healthcare laggard.



EVENTS CALENDAR (Week of 1 May)

Fri 1 May (today): US Non-Farm Payrolls 13:30 BST (April data; March +178k vs +60k expected). Last full European session before long weekend.
Mon 4 May: UK Early May Bank Holiday - LSE closed. US markets open.
Tue 5 May: S&P Global UK Services PMI / Composite PMI (April final). US ISM Services.
Wed 6 May: US ADP employment.
Thu 7 May: EU retail sales. BoE policy decision date later in May TBC.
Fri 8 May: UK GDP monthly estimate possible window.

Earnings already through this week: STAN (record Q1 profit), LLOY (Q1 EPS +33%). NWG / HSBA in the days ahead - confirm via your broker calendar.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk. All levels derived from 30 April 2026 close. Verification pass on EMA classifications: PASS.

Thursday 30 April 2026 — FTSE 100 Daily Setup
Data: Close 29 April · UKX: ~10,261 (Apr 29 close, -0.7%) · Futures: ~10,642 (intraday Apr 30, IG) · BoE Day: Rate decision today (Bank Rate held at 3.75% expected)



MARKET OVERVIEW

UK heading into BoE day under pressure. The cash market closed near 10,261 on Tuesday after the seventh decline in eight sessions, dragged by pharma earnings disappointment (GSK -6.5% despite beat, AZN dragging) and a broad-based de-risking ahead of the rate decision. Futures indicate a flat-to-firmer open. Reuters poll has all 62 economists expecting BoE to hold at 3.75% today; market will trade the tone of the minutes and Bailey press conference rather than the headline.

The internal picture in our 40-stock scanner is weak: only 3 names closed up more than +0.5% (WPP, BARC, GLEN, BP), against 10+ down more than -1%. Breadth is poor, RSIs rolling over across pharma, insurance and miners. BP's 4-day up streak is the only clean momentum thread on the long side.



NOTABLE CHANGES — WHAT MOVED YESTERDAY

These are the stocks that demand attention today.

GSK — RSI dropped 12.6pts to 29.2 (oversold), -6.5% on rv=1.6, week -8.69%, RSI week -18pts. Capitulation flush post Q1 results despite EPS beat (46.5p vs 43.3p est) — guidance unchanged disappointed.

AAL — Crossed BELOW EMA20, MACD bearish crossover, 4-day down streak, week -7.34%. Iron ore complex breaking trend.

AV — Triple break: BELOW EMA20, BELOW EMA200, BELOW POC. MACD bearish cross. RSI -8.1pts. Insurance complex weak.

PRU — Crossed BELOW EMA20 AND EMA50 same day, MACD bearish, BELOW POC. Sustained breakdown.

NG — Crossed BELOW EMA20 AND EMA50 on heavy volume (rv=2.5). Highest conviction sell signal in scanner — utilities under heavy distribution.

WPP — RSI surged +8.1pts, crossed ABOVE EMA50, +4.2% (only meaningful gainer). Fresh long candidate.

BARC — Crossed ABOVE EMA20 AND EMA50 same day. Banks complex rotating up.

NWG / RR. / LGEN — All crossed BELOW EMA200. Major trend break for these three.



SECTOR HEATMAP

WEAK — Pharma: GSK -6.49% (RSI 29 OS), HLN -3.16% (RSI 33), AZN -1.77% (RSI 32). Whole sector flushed on earnings reactions.

WEAK — Insurance: AV -2.26%, LGEN -1.78%, PRU -1.39%. Three names crossed below EMA200/POC same day. Sector-wide rotation out.

WEAK — Utilities: SSE -2.33% (4-day down streak), NG -0.99% (heavy volume break). Defensive bid not showing up.

WEAK — Industrials: RR. -2.74% (broke EMA200), BAE -1.81%, BNZL -1.40%, RTO -0.62%. Defence stocks unwinding.

MIXED — Mining: GLEN +0.63% (only winner, broke ABOVE EMA20), but AAL/RIO/ANTO all in down streaks. Bifurcated.

MIXED — Banks: BARC +0.78%, STAN +0.49%, HSBA -0.09%, but LLOY -1.24%, NWG -1.69% (broke EMA200). UK domestics weaker than internationals.

RELATIVELY STRONG — Energy: BP +0.51% (4-day up streak, BULL all EMAs), SHEL -0.43%. Cleanest long sector.

MIXED — Media/Info: WPP +4.17% breakout, LSEG -1.54% (still BULL all), REL -0.81%, INF -0.95%.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS — ALL 40 STOCKS

Format: TKR · Trend · RSI(zone) · MACD · %52H · Day% · POC

BULL ALL EMAs (close above EMA20, EMA50, EMA200)
ADM · 69.1 (Strong) · Bull cross · -7.0% · +0.31% · >POC
LSEG · 63.6 (Strong) · Bull cross · -18.1% · -1.54% · >POC
BNZL · 60.8 (Strong) · Bull cross · -8.1% · -1.40% · >POC
STAN · 59.1 (Neut) · Bull cross · -7.0% · +0.49% · >POC
HSBA · 56.6 (Neut) · Bear cross · -5.7% · -0.09% · >POC
BP · 54.9 (Neut) · Bear cross · -5.5% · +0.51% · >POC
GLEN · 54.4 (Neut) · Bear cross · -3.9% · +0.63% · >POC
BARC · 52.1 (Neut) · Bear cross · -15.2% · +0.78% · >POC

BULL > 20/50 (below EMA200)
WPP · 60.1 (Strong) · Bull cross · -56.4% · +4.17% · >POC (still well below EMA200)
REL · 54.1 (Neut) · Bull cross · -36.6% · -0.81% · >POC
SGE · 53.1 (Neut) · Bull cross · -33.6% · -0.78% · >POC

BEAR ALL EMAs
EXPN · 45.9 (Neut) · Bear cross · -35.0% · -0.37% · >POC (mixed signal)
INF · 48.5 (Neut) · Bear cross · -20.7% · -0.95% · <POC
ABF · 46.1 (Neut) · Bear cross · -22.0% · +0.07% · <POC
IMB · 34.6 (Weak) · Bear cross · -16.7% · +0.44% · <POC
ULVR · 36.7 (Weak) · Bull cross · -23.6% · -0.89% · <POC
DGE · 44.1 (Neut) · Bull cross · -34.6% · -1.13% · <POC
NWG · 42.4 (Neut) · Bear cross · -19.2% · -1.69% · <POC (broke EMA200)
LGEN · 40.0 (Weak) · Bear cross · -11.3% · -1.78% · <POC (broke EMA200)
III · 37.4 (Weak) · Bear cross · -43.7% · -2.20% · <POC
RKT · 29.6 (Oversold) · Bear cross · -28.6% · -2.23% · <POC
AV · 43.2 (Neut) · Bear cross · -11.6% · -2.26% · <POC (broke EMA20+200)
RR. · 38.5 (Weak) · Bear cross · -22.4% · -2.74% · <POC (broke EMA200)
HLN · 33.0 (Weak) · Bear cross · -18.9% · -3.16% · <POC

BEAR < 20/50 (above EMA200)
VOD · 50.2 · Bear cross · -5.5% · -0.13% · >POC
BATS · 48.5 · Bull cross · -11.2% · -0.95% · <POC
NG · 47.1 · Bull cross · -10.1% · -0.99% · <POC (BIG SELL signal)
LLOY · 45.5 · Bear cross · -15.1% · -1.24% · <POC
SSE · 44.3 · Bear cross · -10.5% · -2.33% · <POC
ANTO · 42.2 · Bear cross · -23.2% · <POC
PRU · 47.2 · Bear cross · -11.1% · -1.39% · <POC
BAE · 34.6 (Weak) · Bear cross · -15.1% · -1.81% · <POC
AZN · 32.5 (Weak) · Bear cross · -13.4% · -1.77% · <POC
GSK · 29.2 (OS) · Bear cross · -16.7% · -6.49% · <POC

MIXED
VOD/SHEL/RTO/AAL/RIO/TSCO/CPG — close < EMA20 but > EMA50/200. Watch list, no clean trend.



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS

1. WPP — Fresh Bullish Reversal (NEW today)
RSI surge of +8.1 to 60.1, crossed ABOVE EMA50, +4.2% close on improving structure. POC at 256.04 just below price provides volume support. Still well below EMA200 (341.55) so this is bottom-fishing not trend-following — risk-defined.
Entry: 264-266 (pivot 264.92 / Cam S3 264.80) · Stop: 256 (below POC and ATR) · T1: 273 (R1) · T2: 278 (R2) · R:R: 1:1.4

2. BP — Continuation Long (NEW signal: 4-day up streak)
Only stock in scanner with a 4-day up streak. BULL all EMAs, RSI 54.9 with room, POC 527 well below — clean uptrend. Energy sector relative strength backed by recent oil tailwind.
Entry: 572-574 (Cam S3 573.76 / Cam S4 571.61 zone) · Stop: 565 (below ATR-based stop) · T1: 580 (Cam R3) · T2: 591 (next swing) · R:R: 1:1.5

3. ADM — Continuation, RSI Strong (CONTINUING setup)
RSI 69.1 just below OB, but ADX 31.8 confirms trend strength. BULL all EMAs with POC 3076 well below. Pulls back into Cam S3 are buys.
Entry: 3404-3416 (Cam S4-S3 zone) · Stop: 3370 (below S2) · T1: 3454 (Cam R4) · T2: 3500 · R:R: 1:1.4

4. BARC — Fresh Bullish Pivot (NEW)
Crossed ABOVE EMA20 AND EMA50 same day. Now BULL all. Banks rotating up. RSI 52.1 has plenty of room.
Entry: 427-428 (pivot/Cam S3 zone) · Stop: 420 (below ATR low) · T1: 433 (R1) · T2: 442 (next swing) · R:R: 1:1.5

5. STAN — Trend Continuation
BULL all EMAs, RSI 59.1 Bull MACD cross, POC 1674 well below. International bank exposure — less BoE-sensitive than Lloyds/NWG.
Entry: 1772-1780 (Cam S4-S3 zone) · Stop: 1755 (below S2) · T1: 1804 (R1) · T2: 1820 (R2) · R:R: 1:1.7



INTRADAY SETUPS — BoE DAY ACTION

BoE decision at 12:00 BST will spike volatility. Expect tight ranges pre-announcement, expansion after. Camarilla S3/R3 fades work pre-decision; S4/R4 breakouts work post-decision in trending names.

A. WPP — Cam S3 Bounce Long
Entry: 264.80 (Cam S3) · Stop: 261.10 (Cam S4) · Target: 272.20 (Cam R3) · Direction: LONG · Why: Fresh bullish breakout, RSI surge, momentum. Pullback to S3 with rising structure is a buyable test.

B. NG — Cam R3 Fade Short (HIGH CONVICTION)
Entry: 1292 (Cam R3) · Stop: 1300.25 (Cam R4) · Target: 1276 (Cam S3) · Direction: SHORT · Why: Heavy volume break (rv=2.5) below EMA20+50. Any rally to Cam R3 should fade. Distribution is loud.

C. AV — Cam R3 Fade Short
Entry: 623.36 (Cam R3) · Stop: 627.55 (Cam R4) · Target: 614.98 (Cam S3) · Direction: SHORT · Why: Triple break below EMA20/200/POC + bearish MACD cross. Insurance sector weak. Bounces should fail.

D. BP — Cam S3 Pivot Long
Entry: 573.76 (Cam S3) · Stop: 571.61 (Cam S4) · Target: 578.05 (Cam R3) · Direction: LONG · Why: 4-day up streak, energy strength. Tight range pre-BoE; S3 is structural buy.

E. GSK — Oversold Bounce Speculation
Entry: 1845 (Cam S3 / round number) · Stop: 1790 (Cam S4) · Target: 1956 (Cam R3) · Direction: LONG (counter-trend) · Why: RSI 29 OS after 6.5% capitulation flush. EPS beat. Dead-cat bounce trade only — not a sustained long.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD — TOP 5 TRADEABLE

WPP (close 268.5 · ATR 11.0)
Cam: S4 261.10 · S3 264.80 · S1 261.10 || R1 273.43 · R3 272.20 · R4 275.90
Pivots: S2 251.47 · S1 259.98 · Pivot 264.92 · R1 273.43 · R2 278.37
EMAs: E9 262.09 · E20 257.74 · E50 260.35 · E200 341.55 || POC 256.04
Prev day: H 269.85 · L 256.40 || 52w: H 615 area · L 213 area

BP (close 575.9 · ATR 18.4)
Cam: S4 571.61 · S3 573.76 || R3 578.05 · R4 580.19
Pivots: S2 569.17 · S1 572.53 · Pivot 576.97 · R1 580.33 · R2 584.77
EMAs: E9 571.18 · E20 567.76 · E50 542.90 · E200 475.83 || POC 527.33
Prev day: H 581.4 · L 573.6

ADM (close 3429 · ATR 56.9)
Cam: S4 3403.15 · S3 3416.08 || R3 3441.93 · R4 3454.85
Pivots: S2 3380.33 · S1 3404.67 · Pivot 3427.33 · R1 3451.67 · R2 3474.33
EMAs: E9 3395.47 · E20 3333.70 · E50 3210.73 · E200 3134.24 || POC 3076.87
Prev day: H 3450 · L 3403

NG (SHORT) (close 1284.3 · ATR 25.5)
Cam: S4 1268.35 · S3 1276.33 || R3 1292.28 · R4 1300.25
Pivots: S2 1255.17 · S1 1269.73 · Pivot 1284.17 · R1 1298.73 · R2 1313.17
EMAs: E9 1288.95 · E20 1292.69 · E50 1291.00 · E200 1196.31 || POC 1309.24
Prev day: H 1298.6 · L 1269.6

GSK (BOUNCE SPEC) (close 1901 · ATR 55.2)
Cam: S4 1790.73 · S3 1845.86 || R3 1956.14 · R4 2011.28
Pivots: S2 1733.67 · S1 1817.33 · Pivot 1934.17 · R1 2017.83 · R2 2134.67
EMAs: E9 2033.58 · E20 2065.86 · E50 2058.68 · E200 1849.14 || POC 2108.46
Prev day: H 2051 · L 1850.5



BEARISH WARNINGS — STOCKS THAT JUST BROKE DOWN

NG — Crossed below EMA20+50 on rv=2.5 (heavy distribution). Highest conviction sell setup.
NWG — Crossed BELOW EMA200 yesterday. Bank sell signal of the week.
LGEN — Crossed BELOW EMA200. Insurance complex collapsing.
RR. — Crossed BELOW EMA200. Trend break for the highest-flying defence name.
AV — Triple-break: EMA20, EMA200, POC, MACD bear cross — all same day.
PRU — Crossed below EMA20 AND EMA50, MACD bearish, below POC.
GSK — Capitulation -6.5% on rv=1.6, RSI 29 oversold. Don't catch the falling knife — wait for higher low.
AAL — Below EMA20, MACD bearish cross, 4-day streak. Iron ore / mining roll.
ANTO — Week -10.5%, 4-day down streak, below EMA20/50.
III — 5-day down streak, week -5.93%, RSI 37, BEAR all EMAs, -43.7% from 52w high.



EVENTS CALENDAR — REST OF WEEK

Today (Thu 30 Apr): BoE Bank Rate decision + minutes (12:00 BST), Bailey press conference (12:30). STAN earnings, Shell results week. US Q1 GDP advance, ECB minutes.
Friday 1 May: May Day — many EU markets closed, UK open. BP, AAL trading updates possible.
Mon 4 May: May bank holiday — UK markets closed.
Tue 5 May: UK Services PMI, BP confirmed earnings.
Wed 6 May: FOMC decision (after UK close).



TRADE PRIORITY FOR TODAY

1. NG short (Cam R3 fade) — highest conviction setup; clear distribution signal.
2. BP long (Cam S3 pullback) — only clean uptrend with 4-day streak.
3. WPP long (S3 retest) — fresh momentum reversal.
4. AV/PRU short (rallies into Cam R3) — sector-wide breakdown.
5. GSK — wait. Don't long until higher low forms above 1845; don't short until rejection of 1956.

Risk note: BoE day = position size 50% normal; widen stops by 1.2x ATR; avoid new entries 30 mins before/after 12:00 BST.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk. Data: ChartsView.co.uk scanner close 29 April 2026.

Wednesday 29 April 2026
Data: Close 28 April · UKX: 10,332.79 (+0.11%) · Brent: $111.16 (+2.71%) · Futures: mixed (sources diverge — flat-to-slightly-positive read)



MARKET OVERVIEW

UKX ended a six-day losing streak with a marginal gain. Energy dominates the macro tape — Brent above $111, Strait of Hormuz remains effectively halted, US-Iran impasse in its 9th week. UK CPI at 3.30% (March), growth forecast c.0.7-0.8% for 2026.

Pre-market futures: IG quotes the front-month around 10,640 while ICE Z1! shows roughly 10,573 (-0.08% over 24h). Both contracts include basis premium versus cash. No reliable directional pre-market call could be confirmed; wait for the cash open.

405 UK earnings releases scheduled today — heavy single-stock event risk across the broader market.



NOTABLE CHANGES

ANTO — Big move -4.05%, RSI -4.6 pts, week -7.94%. Copper miner under sustained pressure, below EMA20/50.

AV — Triple bullish trigger: crossed ABOVE EMA20, EMA200 AND POC in one session. RSI +4.2. Cleanest fresh long-side reversal.

LGEN — Crossed ABOVE EMA200 for the first time after a brutal week (-6.32%, weekly RSI -18.9). Recovery taking shape.

BARC — Crossed BELOW EMA20 despite £500m buyback announcement. Structure weakening into -3.1% week.

TSCO — Mixed: crossed ABOVE EMA20 BUT printed MACD bearish crossover. Avoid until one signal resolves.

VOD · RTO — Both lost EMA20 yesterday.

WPP — Lost EMA50, structure deteriorating into long-term downtrend.



SECTOR HEATMAP

Banks — Mixed-to-weak. LLOY/BARC/NWG bear <20/50; only STAN bull above all.
Insurance — Recovering. PRU bull all, AV triple-bullish, LGEN reclaimed EMA200.
Mining — Weak. AAL bull but -2.43%, ANTO -4.05% leading sector lower.
Consumer — Bear-leaning. IMB/ABF bear all; TSCO bull above all but MACD turned bearish.
Distribution — STRONGEST. BNZL bull all, RSI 67.7, MACD bull.
Utilities · Telecoms · Software — Neutral / cooling.
Business Services · Media — RTO lost EMA20, WPP lost EMA50.

Insurance is the cleanest long rotation. Distribution leads on momentum. Mining and media are obvious shorts.



DAILY SIGNALS TABLE

Bull (above all EMAs): STAN (RSI 58.1, MACD bull), PRU (52.8, MACD bull), AAL (52.8, MACD bull), TSCO (51.7, MACD bear*), BNZL (67.7, MACD bull)
Bull (>20/50, <200): SGE (55.0, MACD bull)
Bear (below 20/50): LLOY (48.4), BARC (50.3), NWG (45.9), ANTO (43.5), LGEN (44.2)
Bear (below all): HLN (40.0), IMB (32.8 oversold), ABF (45.
Mixed: SSE, VOD, AV*, RTO, WPP, INF

* Asterisks denote signals that printed yesterday: TSCO MACD just turned bearish; LGEN reclaimed EMA200; AV reclaimed EMA20+EMA200+POC.

Note: compare endpoint flags "Week +9699%" on LLOY — corrupted scale-change artefact, disregard.



Setup 1 — BNZL Continuation Long (CONTINUING)

Strongest stock in the universe. Bull above all, RSI 67.7, MACD bull, above POC.

Entry: 2425-2435 · Stop: 2370 · T1: 2480 · T2: 2540 · R:R: 1:1.6 to T2

Cleanest daily uptrend, no broken structure, all signals aligned. Long-side benchmark.



Setup 2 — AV Triple-Reclaim Long (NEW)

Crossed above EMA20, EMA200 and POC in one session. RSI +4.2.

Entry: 632-635 · Stop: 615 · T1: 650 · T2: 668 · R:R: 1:1.0 to 1:1.9

Three simultaneous bullish reclaims is rare. POC 631.55 now support — clean line in the sand.



Setup 3 — STAN Trend-Pull Long (CONTINUING)

Only bank with fully aligned bull stack. EMA20 1731 over EMA50 1711 over EMA200 1583.

Entry: 1755-1770 · Stop: 1715 · T1: 1810 · T2: 1860 · R:R: 1:0.8 to 1:1.6



Setup 4 — LGEN Recovery Long (NEW)

Just reclaimed EMA200 after -6.32% week. Early-stage recovery.

Entry: 251-253 · Stop: 244 · T1: 258 · T2: 263 · R:R: 1:0.8 to 1:1.4

EMA200 reclaims after extended sell-offs are statistically high-probability mean-reversion plays.



INTRADAY SETUPS

STAN — Pivot Bounce Long
Entry: 1770-1772 (pivot 1770.40) · Stop: 1758 · Target: 1791 (R1) → 1798 (cam_r4) · R:R: 1:1.6

AV — Cam S3 Reclaim Long
Entry: 631.50-633.00 · Stop: 627 · Target: 635.32 → 637.13 · R:R: 1:1.0 (tight, size accordingly)

ANTO — Bear Flag Short / Cam R3 Fade
Entry: 3517-3530 (pivot) · Stop: 3592 · Target: 3430 → 3404 → 3377 · R:R: 1:1.9 to T2

Below all EMAs except 200, momentum fading, copper macro weak. Short rallies into pivot.

BNZL — Trend-Day Breakout Long
Entry: 2440 break of cam_r3 · Stop: 2415 · Target: 2447 → 2480 · R:R: 1:1.9

Use volume on entry to confirm.

IMB — Oversold Pivot Bounce (counter-trend, reduced size)
Entry: 2756-2761 · Stop: 2742 · Target: 2784 → 2790 · R:R: 1:1.5

RSI 32.8 oversold; defined-risk only.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD — TOP 5

STAN (1780.20)
Cam: S4 1762 · S3 1771 · S1 1782 || R1 1789 · R3 1789 · R4 1798
EMAs: 9 1762 · 20 1732 · 50 1711 · 200 1583 · POC 1675 · 52w 1924/1038

AV (633.50)
Cam: S4 629.87 · S3 631.69 · S1 633.50 || R1 635.32 · R3 635.32 · R4 637.13
EMAs: 20 631.76 · 50 634.28 · 200 633.30 · POC 631.55 (confluence cluster)

BNZL (2431.00)
Cam: S4 2415 · S3 2423 · S1 2431 || R1 2439 · R3 2439 · R4 2447
EMAs: 20 2349 · 50 2273 · 200 2317 · POC 2224

ANTO (3483.50)
Cam: S4 3377 · S3 3430 · S1 3484 || R1 3537 · R3 3537 · R4 3590
EMAs: 20 3676 · 50 3640 · 200 3098 · POC 3705

AAL (3539.50)
Cam: S4 3435 · S3 3487 · S1 3540 || R1 3592 · R3 3592 · R4 3644
EMAs: 20 3522 · 50 3414 · 200 3060 · POC 3352



BEARISH WARNINGS

Just broke down yesterday (highest priority):
- BARC — lost EMA20 (failure to lift on £500m buyback news = bearish tell). Watch 414 (S1).
- VOD — lost EMA20. Next support EMA50 at 112.30.
- RTO — lost EMA20. ATR tight (10.20).
- WPP — lost EMA50. Long-term downtrend re-asserting.

Confirmed weakness — sell rallies:
- ANTO 3483 — bear <20/50, big -4% drop, watch 3098 (EMA200).
- HLN 351 — bear below all, RSI 40, slow grind lower.
- IMB 2770 — bear below all, RSI 32.8 deep oversold (no new shorts here).
- ABF 1839 — bear below all, -22% from 52w.



EVENTS THIS WEEK

- Wed 29 Apr: 405 UK earnings releases scheduled.
- Brent / Hormuz: Daily geopolitical headlines = top risk driver.
- STAN: Final $0.49/sh dividend, payment 14 May (no near-term price effect).
- LLOY: Recently raised 2026 guidance + buyback (supports recovery thesis if price stabilises).
- ANTO: Lower April production already absorbed into yesterday's drop.



Not financial advice. All setups assume position sizing to 1x ATR risk max. Always confirm with intraday price action before entering. Capital at risk.

Tuesday 28 April 2026
Data: Close 27 April · UKX: 10,330 (-0.47%) · Futures: seen "a touch higher" (CNBC/IG)



MARKET OVERVIEW

UKX closed Monday at 10,330, off 49 points (-0.47%), led lower by Entain, M&S and Sainsbury. Tape is consolidating after weeks of fresh highs. European futures point modestly higher Tuesday with FTSE seen "a touch higher" per CNBC/IG, while traders await a US response to Iranian peace proposals on the Strait of Hormuz. Brent Crude remains supported above $100/bbl on shipping disruption.

Earnings today are heavyweight: BP (Q1) and Barclays (Q1) lead the UK calendar, with Novartis and Airbus reporting in Europe.

BoE bank rate held at 3.75% (March MPC). No major UK macro release scheduled today.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Today vs Friday 24 Apr)

CPG — Crossed BELOW EMA200, RSI dropped 6.4 pts to 57.6, daily -2.19%. Major support break: 2942 vs EMA200 2997.
LGEN — Crossed BELOW EMA200, 4-day down streak, week -7.59%, RSI week -23.9 pts. Heavy structural break.
ANTO — Crossed BELOW EMA50, MACD bearish crossover, daily -1.88%.
SHEL — Crossed BELOW EMA50, RSI -4.4 pts to 44.0, daily -1.78%. Now Bear (below 20/50).
GLEN — Crossed BELOW EMA20, RSI -5.3 pts, daily -1.33%. EMA9 now above price.
TSCO — Crossed BELOW EMA20, RSI -4.3 pts, daily -1.71%.
BATS — Crossed BELOW EMA20, RSI -4.7 pts (mixed: MACD did bullish crossover).
BARC — Crossed ABOVE EMA20 and ABOVE POC, RSI zone Bear -> Bull, daily +0.67%. (Note: MACD bearish crossover is a caveat.)

Theme: Six stocks broke key EMAs DOWN today, only one broke UP. Several multi-day down streaks (LGEN 4d, III 5d, NWG 5d, LLOY 5d, AV 4d, DGE 4d). Tape is rolling under in a slow-motion way — not a panic, but breadth is deteriorating.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG — Banks (HSBA Bull all, BARC reclaimed EMA20, STAN +0.77%), Miners (RIO Bull all RSI 58.5, but ANTO breaking down — divergent), Insurance/AssetMgmt (ADM Bull all RSI 66.7), Exchanges (LSEG RSI 75 OB), Utilities (NG Bull all but only just).

WEAK — Pharma (AZN, GSK, RKT all Bear; ULVR Bear all), Defence (BAE -5.4% week, Bear), Aero/Engines (RR. -4.9% week, Bear), Consumer Staples (DGE Bear, ULVR Bear, IMB RSI 28 oversold), Media (WPP, INF flat-weak), PE/AltAssets (III -8% week, 5-day down streak).

NEUTRAL/MIXED — Energy (BP Bull all but SHEL just rolled below EMA50 — split), Foodservice (CPG just lost EMA200 — was Bull, now mixed), Building Materials (CPG -2.2%), Retail (TSCO lost EMA20).

Net read: Risk-on pockets (banks, large miners, exchanges) holding up while defensives, defence and small-caps are bleeding. Classic late-stage rotation — money concentrating into mega-cap leaders while breadth narrows.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS — 20 STOCKS

Format: Ticker · Close · Day% · Trend · RSI (zone, Δd-o-d) · MACD · % off 52w high · POC

AZN · 14010 · +0.39% · BEAR below 20/50 · 37.8 (Neutral, +1.3) · BEAR · -10.93% · below POC
HSBA · 1322.4 · +0.11% · BULL above all · 55.0 (Neutral) · Bear-falling · -6.24% · above POC
SHEL · 3248.5 · -1.78% · BEAR below 20/50 · 44.0 (Neutral, -4.4) · BEAR · -9.55% · above POC
ULVR · 4232.5 · -1.12% · BEAR below all · 36.5 (Neutral) · Bull-rising · -23.40% · below POC
RR. · 1134.2 · +0.43% · BEAR below 20/50 · 41.4 (Neutral) · BEAR · -20.13% · below POC
BP · 572.4 · +0.10% · BULL above all · 53.8 (Neutral) · Bear-falling · -6.07% · above POC
RIO · 7361 · -0.27% · BULL above all · 58.5 (Neutral) · BULL · -2.83% · above POC
BATS · 4240 · -1.44% · BEAR below 20/50 · 46.7 (Neutral, -4.7) · Bull-rising · -11.75% · below POC
BAE · 2029 · +0.42% · BEAR below 20/50 · 35.7 (Neutral) · BEAR · -14.03% · below POC
GSK · 2013 · -0.35% · BEAR below 20/50 · 38.1 (Neutral) · BEAR · -11.79% · below POC
REL · 2719 · +0.85% · BULL above 20/50 · 61.9 (Neutral) · BULL · -35.00% · above POC
LSEG · 9940 · -0.52% · BULL above all · 75.2 (OB) · BULL · -15.83% · above POC
CPG · 2942 · -2.19% · BULL above 20/50 · 57.6 (Neutral, -6.4) · BULL · -16.37% · above POC (just lost EMA200)
ADM · 3401 · +0.35% · BULL above all · 66.7 (Neutral) · BULL · -7.73% · above POC
III · 2600.5 · -1.03% · BEAR below all · 40.7 (Neutral) · Bull-rising · -42.17% · below POC
DGE · 1463 · -0.41% · BEAR below all · 47.0 (Neutral) · Bull-rising · -33.95% · below POC
GLEN · 550.1 · -1.33% · MIXED (<EMA20, >50/200) · 51.3 (Neutral, -5.3) · Bear-falling · -4.76% · above POC
NG · 1293.6 · -0.11% · BULL above all · 49.5 (Neutral) · BEAR · -9.44% · below POC (hair-trigger over EMA20)
RKT · 4743 · -0.63% · BEAR below all · 31.9 (Neutral) · BEAR · -27.19% · below POC
EXPN · 2761 · +0.69% · BULL above 20/50 · 53.0 (Neutral) · BULL · -32.67% · above POC



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS


LSEG — Trend Continuation (LONG bias, but RSI overbought, wait pullback)

Strongest momentum stock in the index. RSI 75.2 (overbought), MACD bull, ADX 36.8 (strong trend), stochastic RSI 84.6 (also overbought), close above all EMAs and well above POC at 8471. This is a confirmed uptrend, but stretched short-term. Volume thin (rv 0.45) — wait for pullback rather than chase.

Bias: LONG · Setup: CONTINUING · Entry: 9550-9650 (pullback to EMA9/EMA20 confluence) · Stop: 9320 (below EMA20) · T1: 10,030 (yesterday R1) · T2: 10,500 · R:R ~1:2.5

Why: Bull trend intact, all EMAs stacked, MACD positive divergence above signal, POC well below price = supportive structure. Avoid long entry above 10,000 today; let it cool.



ADM — Bull Continuation (LONG)

Bull above all, RSI 66.7 (room before OB), MACD bull strong, ADX 31.3 (trending), stoch RSI mid (51.9 — fresh fuel). POC at 3054 vs price 3401 = strong above-POC support. Above EMA9 at 3379.

Bias: LONG · Setup: CONTINUING · Entry: 3380-3395 (pullback to EMA9/Cam S1) · Stop: 3315 (below EMA20) · T1: 3439 (R2 / yesterday) · T2: 3560 (52w high test) · R:R ~1:2

Why: Cleanest bull structure outside LSEG. Sector (insurance/asset-mgmt) holding up while peers (LGEN, AV) break down — relative-strength leader.



RIO — Bull Continuation (LONG, 52w high test)

Bull above all, RSI 58.5, MACD positive crossover holding, only -2.8% from 52w high. Just below classic Pivot 7372 — close above is bull. Volume thin (rv 0.25) — needs catalyst (China data, copper).

Bias: LONG · Setup: CONTINUING · Entry: 7370-7400 (above pivot) · Stop: 7220 (below EMA20) · T1: 7480 (Cam R3) · T2: 7575 (52w high) · R:R ~1:1.5

Why: Mining sector divergence — RIO holding up while ANTO and AAL break down. Copper supply-tight thesis intact (UBS constructive). Watch open: above pivot 7372 = long, below = stand aside.



CPG — Breakdown (SHORT, NEW today)

Just lost EMA200 (2997) on a -2.19% bar. RSI dropped 6.4 pts to 57.6 — momentum rolling. EMA20/50 still below price (2858/2842) — first downside target. POC at 2788. Volume rv 0.28 (light) so wait for confirmation.

Bias: SHORT (counter-trend) · Setup: NEW today · Entry: 2940-2960 (rejection of EMA200 from below) · Stop: 3010 (above EMA200) · T1: 2880 (Classic S2) · T2: 2823 (Classic S3) · R:R ~1:1.7

Why: First close below EMA200 after months above is a structural break. Failed retest is the textbook short. Caveat — if price reclaims 3000 quickly, abandon.



LGEN — Breakdown Continuation (SHORT)

Comparison flag: Crossed BELOW EMA200, 4-day down streak, week -7.59%, RSI week -23.9 pts. This is a high-conviction trend-down setup.

Bias: SHORT · Setup: CONTINUING · Entry: 252-254 (rallies to broken EMA200) · Stop: 257 (above EMA200) · T1: 245 · T2: 235 (full ATR extension) · R:R ~1:2

Why: Multiple confluence — EMA200 break, RSI collapse, multi-day streak. Fade rallies until structure repairs.



INTRADAY SETUPS (Pivot/Camarilla)


LSEG — Camarilla Range Fade (SHORT into R3/R4 9985-10,031)

Cam R3 9985.65 / R4 10031.30 — yesterday tagged 10,050 high then closed 9940. RSI 75 OB suggests intraday rejection.

Direction: SHORT (intraday only) · Entry: 9985-10,030 · Stop: 10,055 (above prev day high) · T1: 9924 (Cam S1) · T2: 9870 (Cam S3) · Confluence: OB RSI + cam R-zone + previous day high.



RIO — Pivot Bounce (LONG)

Classic Pivot 7372 sits between Cam R1 7371 / Cam S1 7351. Trend bull, MACD bull. Open near pivot = high-probability long.

Direction: LONG · Entry: 7345-7370 (Cam S1 / pivot) · Stop: 7300 (Cam S4) · T1: 7421 (Cam R4 / Classic R1) · T2: 7480 (Classic R2) · Confluence: Bull EMA stack + above POC + pivot reclaim.



CPG — Cam Range / Failed Retest (SHORT)

Cam R1 2950 / R2 2958 sits right below EMA200 2997 — strong overhead supply. Daily Pivot 2968.

Direction: SHORT · Entry: 2950-2968 · Stop: 3002 (above EMA200) · T1: 2925 (Cam S2) · T2: 2893 (Cam S4) · Confluence: EMA200 reject + cam-zone + day prior -2.19%.



III — Continuation Short (SHORT into Cam R3/R4)

Bear below all EMAs, 5-day down streak, week -8%. EMA9 2709 just below pivot 2608 — clean rejection zone.

Direction: SHORT · Entry: 2613-2625 (Cam R3/R4) · Stop: 2660 (above EMA9 reject zone) · T1: 2588 (Cam S3 / yesterday low) · T2: 2563 (Classic S2) · Confluence: Multi-day streak + bear EMA stack + RSI weak.



ADM — Pivot Long

Classic Pivot 3395.67 / Cam S1 3396.97 — almost identical = magnet. Bull stack.

Direction: LONG · Entry: 3393-3400 (pivot/Cam S1) · Stop: 3375 (below Cam S4) · T1: 3420 (Classic R1) · T2: 3439 (Classic R2) · Confluence: Bull all + RSI 67 (room) + above POC.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD — TOP 5


LSEG (9940)
Cam: S4 9849 · S3 9894 · S1 9925 || R1 9955 · R3 9986 · R4 10,031
Classic: S3 9700 · S2 9792 · S1 9866 || Pivot 9958 || R1 10,032 · R2 10,124 · R3 10,198
EMA: 9 9656 · 20 9328 · 50 8918 · 200 9075 || POC 8471
Prev H/L: 10,050 / 9884 || 52w H/L: 11,810 / 6684


ADM (3401)
Cam: S4 3377 · S3 3389 · S1 3397 || R1 3405 · R3 3413 · R4 3425
Classic: S3 3332 · S2 3352 · S1 3376 || Pivot 3396 || R1 3420 · R2 3440 · R3 3464
EMA: 9 3379 · 20 3314 · 50 3193 · 200 3128 || POC 3055
Prev H/L: 3415 / 3371 || 52w H/L: 3686 / 2624


RIO (7361)
Cam: S4 7301 · S3 7331 · S1 7351 || R1 7371 · R3 7391 · R4 7421
Classic: S3 7203 · S2 7263 · S1 7312 || Pivot 7372 || R1 7421 · R2 7481 · R3 7530
EMA: 9 7354 · 20 7227 · 50 6994 · 200 6068 || POC 6926
Prev H/L: 7432 / 7323 || 52w H/L: 7575 / 4110


CPG (2942)
Cam: S4 2894 · S3 2918 · S1 2934 || R1 2950 · R3 2966 · R4 2990
Classic: S3 2823 · S2 2880 · S1 2911 || Pivot 2968 || R1 2999 · R2 3056 · R3 3087
EMA: 9 2908 · 20 2858 · 50 2842 · 200 2997 (just lost) || POC 2788
Prev H/L: 3025 / 2937 || 52w H/L: 3518 / 2320


III (2600.5)
Cam: S4 2576 · S3 2588 · S1 2596 || R1 2605 · R3 2613 · R4 2625
Classic: S3 2537 · S2 2563 · S1 2582 || Pivot 2608 || R1 2627 · R2 2653 · R3 2672
EMA: 9 2709 · 20 2732 · 50 2868 · 200 3345 || POC 2890
Prev H/L: 2634 / 2589 || 52w H/L: 4497 / 2255



BEARISH WARNINGS

Just broke EMAs DOWN (today's print):
- CPG — lost EMA200 first time. Watch for failed retest 2997-3000.
- LGEN — lost EMA200, 4-day streak. High-conviction trend down.
- ANTO — lost EMA50 + MACD bear cross. Mining sector laggard.
- SHEL — lost EMA50, RSI -4.4. Energy sector splitting from BP (Bull all).
- GLEN — lost EMA20. Mining mixed-bag.
- TSCO — lost EMA20. Retail wobble.
- BATS — lost EMA20 (mixed: MACD did bull cross — choppy).

Multi-day down streaks:
- LLOY (5d), III (5d, week -8%), NWG (5d), LGEN (4d), AV (4d), DGE (4d).

Bear (below all EMAs): ULVR · III · DGE · RKT — structural bear regime.

Near 52w lows / oversold pressure: IMB (RSI 28.3 — most oversold in pack), III (-42% off high), DGE (-34%), REL (-35%), EXPN (-33%).



EVENTS CALENDAR — THIS WEEK

Tue 28 Apr: BP Q1, Barclays Q1, Novartis (CH), Airbus (FR). US: Trump/Iran developments — Strait of Hormuz remains the key oil/risk catalyst.

Macro to watch (weekly): No UK MPC this week (next 8 May). EU CPI flash later in week. US PCE due. NFP next Fri.

BoE rate: 3.75% (held 19 March 2026).



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Monday 27 April 2026
Data: Close 24 April 2026 | UKX: 10,425.07 (-0.31% Fri) | Futures: ~10,642 (Investing.com snapshot — Iran ceasefire hopes, oil firmer)



MARKET OVERVIEW

UKX closed Friday at 10,425.07 (-0.31%), capping a heavy week dominated by defensive-name rotation and a late-week pharma + defence purge. AZN -3.8%, BAE -3.5%, ANTO -3.7% on Friday alone. Banks took a quiet bleed (LLOY 5-day down streak, BARC crossed below EMA20). Strength was concentrated in LSEG, BNZL, CPG, ADM and the iron-ore complex (RIO/AAL).

Investing.com snapshot has FTSE 100 futures around 10,642 this morning (open 10,638, range 10,634–10,650) — a notable gap-up vs Friday's cash close on Iran ceasefire-hope headlines and oil firmness. Treat the gap with caution: gaps that wide tend to either fade in the first 90 minutes or pull the index into trend-day mode. Watch how LLOY/BARC/HSBA open — if banks confirm strength, the gap holds; if they fade through Friday's lows, the open is a bull-trap.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Friday vs Thursday)

AZN — RSI -8.7 pts, big -3.8% bar, 5-day down streak, week -6.94%, RSI -18.4 pts on the week. Pharma flush.

AV — Quadruple breakdown: crossed BELOW EMA20, EMA50, EMA200 AND below POC in one session. Cleanest fresh short signal on the board.

LLOY — Crossed BELOW EMA50, MACD bearish crossover, 5-day down streak. (Ignore the +9405% weekly figure — pence/pounds scale glitch in the comparison file.)

BAE — Big -3.5% move, 5-day down streak, week -9.71%, RSI -17.5 pts. Defence sell-off ties to ceasefire headlines.

ANTO — Crossed BELOW EMA20, -3.7% move, crossed BELOW POC. Cracking the only thing holding it together.

GSK — Crossed BELOW EMA50, week -5.69%, RSI -17.4 pts. Pharma breadth deteriorating with AZN.

LGEN — MACD bearish crossover, week -6.35%, RSI -21 pts. Insurer weakness.

CPG — Crossed ABOVE EMA200, 4-day up streak, week +6.13%. Genuine reclaim.

NG — Crossed ABOVE EMA20 AND EMA50 same session. Defensive bid returning.

INF — Crossed ABOVE EMA20 and POC. Quiet basing breakout.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG Mining (RIO, AAL, GLEN — RSI 56–62, BULL all EMAs); Financial Exchange (LSEG RSI 77.7, BNZL RSI 71.2 — both extended); Travel/Hospitality (CPG fresh EMA200 reclaim); Specialty Insurance (ADM RSI 69, BULL all).

MIXED Banks (HSBA + STAN BULL; LLOY/BARC/NWG bleeding below EMA20/50). Tobacco (BATS rebound +2.31% but IMB RSI 29.8 oversold). Software (SGE +2.08%, BULL 20/50 below 200).

WEAK Pharma (AZN, GSK both BEAR 20/50 — flush continues; HLN BEAR all). Defence (BAE -9.71% week, BEAR 20/50; RR. BEAR 20/50). Consumer Staples (ULVR, RKT, ABF, IMB all BEAR all). Long-duration "quality" (III BEAR all, -41% from 52w high).

Sector breadth on Friday: 5 of 6 pharma/defence stocks down >2.5%, 4 of 5 banks negative — clear de-risking signature, not a broad sell-off. Heaviest cluster move: defence + pharma (AZN, GSK, BAE same direction, RSI all dropping >7 pts together).



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE

[code]
TICKER CLOSE TREND RSI MACD %52wHi Chg% POC
AZN 13961 BEAR(20/50) 36.5 BEAR -11.2% -3.76% below
HSBA 1323.8 BULL(all) 55.3 BULL -6.1% -1.16% above
SHEL 3316 MIXED -20/+50/+200 48.4 BEAR -7.7% +0.47% above
ULVR 4279.5 BEAR(all) 39.3 BULL -22.5% +0.98% below
RR. 1146.8 BEAR(20/50) 42.2 BEAR -19.2% -0.93% below
BP 572 BULL(all) 53.6 BEAR -6.1% +0.35% above
RIO 7378 BULL(all) 59.3 BULL -2.6% -0.54% above
BATS 4316.5 MIXED +20/-50/+200 51.4 BEAR -10.2% +2.31% below
BAE 2017 BEAR(20/50) 34.4 BEAR -14.5% -3.45% below
GSK 2022 BEAR(20/50) 39.4 BEAR -11.4% -2.88% below
REL 2701 BULL(20/50,<200) 60.4 BULL -35.4% +0.78% above
LSEG 10000 BULL(all) 77.7 BULL -15.3% +1.52% above
CPG 3013 BULL(all) 64.0 BULL -14.4% +0.69% above
ADM 3409 BULL(all) 69.0 BULL -7.5% -0.38% above
III 2643.5 BEAR(all) 42.6 BULL -41.2% -1.78% below
DGE 1470.6 BEAR(all) 48.4 BULL -33.6% -0.46% below
GLEN 557.9 BULL(all) 56.6 BEAR -3.4% -1.01% above
NG 1293 BULL(all) 49.4 BEAR -9.5% +0.56% below
RKT 4796.9 BEAR(all) 34.1 BEAR -26.4% +0.65% below
EXPN 2760 BULL(20/50,<200) 53.0 BULL -32.7% -0.54% above
LLOY 9787 BEAR(20/50) 46.7 BEAR -14.6% -1.27% below
BARC 424.55 BEAR(20/50) 49.4 BULL -16.2% -0.88% below
STAN 1744.4 BULL(all) 54.1 BULL -9.3% -1.00% above
NWG 579 BEAR(20/50) 45.2 BEAR -17.9% -1.09% below
PRU 1129 BULL(all) 57.8 BULL -8.8% +0.27% above
HLN 354.24 BEAR(all) 41.4 BEAR -15.6% +1.01% below
AAL 3708.5 BULL(all) 61.8 BULL -4.3% -2.21% above
ANTO 3700 MIXED -20/+50/+200 50.4 BULL -17.3% -3.71% below
TSCO 490.35 BULL(all) 54.7 BULL -3.5% +1.70% above
SSE 2620 MIXED -20/+50/+200 49.4 BEAR -8.4% -1.80% above
VOD 116.15 BULL(all) 56.8 BEAR -4.0% +0.39% above
LGEN 252.62 BEAR(20/50) 43.7 BEAR -9.6% -0.50% below
AV 628.8 BEAR(all) 48.2 BULL -10.3% -1.35% below
SGE 903.6 BULL(20/50,<200) 58.2 BULL -32.3% +2.08% above
IMB 2760 BEAR(all) 29.8 BEAR -17.4% -0.54% below
ABF 1847.5 BEAR(all) 46.8 BEAR -21.7% +0.60% below
BNZL 2447 BULL(all) 71.2 BULL -6.2% +1.16% above
RTO 498.6 BULL(all) 58.6 BEAR -1.7% +0.54% above
WPP 260.6 BULL(20/50,<200) 54.7 BULL -57.7% -0.33% above
INF 799.6 MIXED +20/-50/-200 50.8 BULL -20.0% +0.43% above
[/code]

Headline RSI moves on the week (>5 pt drop): LGEN -21, AZN -18.4, BAE -17.5, GSK -17.4. All four are now sitting in or near 30s territory — close to oversold but not yet confirmed bottoms.



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS

1. RIO — Trend continuation, near 52w high
BULL all EMAs (close 7378 vs EMA200 6055), RSI 59.3, MACD bullish, only -2.6% from 52w high. Iron-ore + ceasefire premium = clean continuation candidate. Not over-extended (RSI sub-60).
Entry: 7378–7400 on dip / breakout above 7429 · Stop: 7180 (~1 ATR below EMA20) · T1: 7480 (R2) · T2: 7575 (52w high) · R:R: 1:2 · Status: CONTINUING
POC at 6920 supports thesis (price extended above POC, no resistance overhead inside 60-day vol profile).

2. CPG — Fresh EMA200 reclaim breakout
NEW SIGNAL today's edition. Closed above EMA200 (3013 vs 2998) — first reclaim in months. Week +6.13%, RSI 64, MACD bullish (m=0.41 > s=0.12, very fresh cross), 4-day up streak. POC 2785 well below — clear runway.
Entry: 3010–3020 / hold above 3000 · Stop: 2960 (below EMA20 + EMA50 cluster + Cam S4) · T1: 3095 (R2) · T2: 3141 (R3) · R:R: 1:2.4 · Status: NEW

3. AAL — Mining momentum
BULL all (close 3708 vs EMA200 3049, +21.6% above), RSI 61.8, MACD bullish (115.66 > 84.15 — wide spread = strong momentum). -4.3% from 52w high. Friday's -2.21% pullback offers entry into trend.
Entry: 3680–3710 · Stop: 3560 (below EMA20 - 1 ATR) · T1: 3819 (R3) · T2: 3877 (52w high) · R:R: 1:1.4 · Status: CONTINUING
POC 3355 — price 10% above POC, no overhead supply.

4. ADM — Quiet outperformer
BULL all, RSI 69 (hot but not extreme), MACD bullish 82.99 > 75.59. -7.5% from 52w high. Only 0.16 RV (thin) — the lower volume is a caveat: stops slightly wider.
Entry: 3400 retest · Stop: 3340 (below EMA20) · T1: 3438 (R2) · T2: 3500 · R:R: 1:1.5 · Status: CONTINUING

5. BAE — Bearish continuation short
BEAR (20/50), RSI 34.4 (approaching oversold but momentum entrenched), week -9.71%, 5-day down streak, MACD bearish. The 2017 close is well below EMA20 (2180) — rallies into 2050–2080 are fadable.
Entry: Short 2050–2080 retest of broken support · Stop: 2120 (above EMA9 + Cam R4) · T1: 1972 (S2) · T2: 1933 (S3) · R:R: 1:1.5 · Status: CONTINUING
Caveat: ceasefire-hope headlines could squeeze defence names into Monday open — wait for the rejection, don't pre-empt.



INTRADAY SETUPS (Pivot / Camarilla — based on Friday's range)

1. RIO — Cam Breakout long (trend day)
Setup: Break above Cam R4 (7441. → trend day toward classic R3 (7545)
Entry: 7445 stop-buy · Stop: 7388 (Cam R1) · Target: 7545 · Direction: LONG
Why: BULL all EMAs + RSI 59 + miners catching ceasefire bid. Cam R4 break = trend signature.

2. AAL — Pivot bounce long
Setup: Bounce off classic Pivot (3713) or Cam S3 (3688.56) with EMA20 confluence at 3511 (deep stop)
Entry: 3695–3715 reaction · Stop: 3660 (below S1 + Cam S4) · Target: 3747 (R1) → 3785 (R2) · Direction: LONG
Why: Trend up, MACD spread +31, no overhead until 52w high. Friday's -2.21% reset RSI to 61.8 — room to run.

3. CPG — Pivot acceptance long
Setup: Hold above pivot 3008 / Cam S1 3005 = acceptance above EMA200 reclaim
Entry: 3010–3020 · Stop: 2989 (Cam S3 — loss of acceptance) · Target: 3054 (R1) → 3095 (R2) · Direction: LONG
Why: Fresh EMA200 reclaim + 4-day up streak. The Cam S1/pivot zone IS the new floor.

4. AZN — Cam range fade short
Setup: Fade rallies into Cam R3 (14060) or pivot (14073) while below EMA20 (14675)
Entry: Short 14060–14080 · Stop: 14160 (above Cam R4) · Target: 13861 (Cam S3) → 13836 (S1) · Direction: SHORT
Why: BEAR (20/50), RSI 36.5, 5-day down streak, weekly RSI -18.4 pts. Until reclaim of EMA20, every rally is sellable. Note: 0.71 RV = decent participation, not a thin tape.

5. BAE — Cam S3 break short (trend day continuation)
Setup: Break below Cam S3 (2000) → trend day toward S2 (1972)
Entry: 1998 sell-stop · Stop: 2022 (above Cam R1 + EMA9) · Target: 1972 (S2) → 1933 (S3) · Direction: SHORT
Why: -3.45% Friday + 5-day down streak + RSI 34. Fresh break below 2000 round number = momentum trigger.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD (Top 5 tradeable)

RIO (close 7378)
Cam: S4 7314 · S3 7346 · S1 7367 || R1 7389 · R3 7410 · R4 7442
Classic: S3 7197 · S2 7248 · S1 7313 · Pivot 7364 · R1 7429 · R2 7480 · R3 7545
EMA: 9 7350 · 20 7212 · 50 6979 · 200 6055 || POC 6921 || 52w 7575 / 4110

AAL (close 3708.5)
Cam: S4 3669 · S3 3689 · S1 3702 || R1 3715 · R3 3728 · R4 3748
Classic: S3 3602 · S2 3640 · S1 3674 · Pivot 3713 · R1 3747 · R2 3785 · R3 3819
EMA: 9 3631 · 20 3512 · 50 3401 · 200 3049 || POC 3355 || 52w 3877 / 1987

CPG (close 3013)
Cam: S4 2965 · S3 2989 · S1 3005 || R1 3021 · R3 3037 · R4 3061
Classic: S3 2880 · S2 2921 · S1 2967 · Pivot 3008 · R1 3054 · R2 3095 · R3 3141
EMA: 9 2903 · 20 2851 · 50 2838 · 200 2998 || POC 2785 || 52w 3518 / 2320

AZN (close 13961)
Cam: S4 13762 · S3 13861 · S1 13928 || R1 13994 · R3 14061 · R4 14160
Classic: S3 13474 · S2 13711 · S1 13836 · Pivot 14073 · R1 14198 · R2 14435 · R3 14560
EMA: 9 14588 · 20 14675 · 50 14574 · 200 13436 || POC 14692 || 52w 15730 / 9651

BAE (close 2017)
Cam: S4 1983 · S3 2000 · S1 2011 || R1 2023 · R3 2034 · R4 2051
Classic: S3 1933 · S2 1972 · S1 1994 · Pivot 2033 · R1 2056 · R2 2095 · R3 2117
EMA: 9 2145 · 20 2181 · 50 2154 · 200 1949 || POC 2160 || 52w 2360 / 1588



BEARISH WARNINGS

AV — JUST broke below EMA20, EMA50, EMA200 AND POC in one session. Fresh, full breakdown. RSI 48.2 — plenty of room to run lower. No immediate support until 600.

IMB — RSI 29.8 (oversold), BEAR all EMAs, MACD deeply negative (-101 vs -80). 1.21 RV says capitulation volume. Bounce candidate but trend remains down — wait for reclaim of 2914 (EMA20) before any long.

RKT — RSI 34.1, BEAR all, MACD spread widening (-175 vs -165). -26.4% from 52w high. No reversal signal yet — keep avoiding.

III — BEAR all, -41.2% from 52w high. 5-day down streak, week -7.33%. Knife-catch territory; wait for daily reversal candle.

ULVR — BEAR all, EMA stack stacked bear (E20 4338 < E50 4581 < E200 4901). -22.5% from high. MACD trying to turn (m -126 > s -153) but price not yet confirming.

LLOY/BARC/NWG — All three banks BEAR (20/50). NWG just got MACD bearish crossover. Watch as a bloc — if banks gap up Monday on ceasefire, fade is the trade unless EMA20 reclaims confirm.

BAE — Worst week (-9.71%), RSI -17.5 pts. Not oversold yet (34.4) — more downside available. Ceasefire headlines remain catalyst.



EVENTS CALENDAR — Week of 27 April 2026

Mon 27 Apr — 59 earnings reports globally (light UK schedule). Macro: focus on Iran ceasefire developments + oil reaction.
Tue 28 Apr — Heavier UK earnings expected; watch banks calendar (HSBA + STAN typically late-Apr/early-May).
Wed 29 Apr — FOMC meeting decision (US) — typically pulls FTSE direction overnight.
Thu 30 Apr — Eurozone GDP flash. Several FTSE 100 earnings/trading updates concentrated mid-week.
Fri 1 May — UK markets OPEN (Early May Bank Holiday is Monday 4 May). US NFP — high-impact for risk assets including FTSE.

Cross-check earnings dates on individual tickers before trading any of the swing setups above. AZN, GSK, BAE, HSBA, BARC, LLOY, STAN are all in their earnings windows over the next 2 weeks — a key reason for the de-risking flush we just saw.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Monday 27 April 2026 - DELAYED CATCH-UP POST


Data: Close 24 Apr | UKX: ~10,379-10,425 (sources vary) | Futures (Jun, Investing.com): ~10,642 | Brent: $107.92 (+2.4%)

== 1. Market Overview ==

FTSE 100 closed Friday on a 5-session down streak, with sources reporting between 10,379.08 (Sharecast) and 10,425.07 (BBC/Yahoo) - the discrepancy reflects intraday vs settlement prints. Today's actual open ~10,457 = small gap-up vs the lower print. Jun futures trading ~10,642 (premium of ~217 pts is normal contango).

The weekend saw US-Iran peace talks unravel - Trump suspended negotiations, IRGC reportedly boarded two cargo ships near the Strait of Hormuz. Brent jumped 2.4% to $107.92, with the IEA flagging the largest energy supply shock on record. The conflict is now in its 9th week.

Macro this week: Bank of England rate decision Thursday 30 Apr - all 62 economists polled expect a hold at 3.75%. Monetary Policy Report due same day with first full update of forecasts since the war began. UK CPI was 3.3% YoY in March (up from 3.0%), keeping the Bank cautious. Markets pricing rate hikes later in 2026.

== 2. Notable Changes (24 Apr vs 23 Apr) ==

Bearish breaks:
AZN -3.8% Fri, week -6.94%, RSI -8.7 pts day / -18.4 pts week, 5-day down streak.
BAE -3.5% Fri, week -9.71%, RSI -17.5 pts week. 5-day down streak.
LGEN MACD bearish crossover. Week -6.35%, RSI -21 pts week (worst in pack).
AV crossed BELOW EMA20, EMA50, EMA200 and POC simultaneously. Full breakdown.
LLOY crossed BELOW EMA50. MACD bearish crossover. 5-day down streak.
ANTO -3.71% Fri. Crossed below EMA20 and POC.
BARC crossed BELOW EMA20 and POC.
NWG MACD bearish crossover. 5-day down streak.
GSK crossed BELOW EMA50. Week -5.69%, RSI -17.4 pts week.
III 5-day down streak. Week -7.33%.
RR. week -9.97% (defence reset).
DGE crossed BELOW EMA20. SSE crossed BELOW EMA20. RKT week -5.93%.

Bullish flips / strength:
CPG crossed ABOVE EMA200. 4-day up streak. Week +6.13%.
LSEG 4-day up streak. Week +6.34%, RSI +10.1 pts.
INF crossed ABOVE EMA20 and POC (reversal candidate).
NG crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50 (defensive bid).
BATS crossed ABOVE EMA20. SHEL 5-day up streak (oil tailwind).

Note: LLOY weekly figure +9405% is a known data anomaly (corp-action / scale glitch) - ignore.

== 3. Sector Heatmap ==

LEADING: Energy (SHEL up streak, oil tailwind from Hormuz). Mining ex-precious (AAL Bull RSI 61.. Defensives bidding (NG above 20/50, BATS above 20, BNZL Bull RSI 71.2). Asian-exposed financials (STAN Bull RSI 54.1, PRU Bull RSI 57.. Hospitality / services (CPG +6.13% week, RTO Bull RSI 58.6). Financial infrastructure (LSEG +6.34% week). Software (SGE Bull above 20/50 RSI 58.2).

LAGGING: UK domestic banks (LLOY, BARC, NWG all Bear20/50). Insurers (LGEN Bear20/50, AV full Bear). Tobacco (IMB RSI 29.8 oversold capitulation watch). Pharma (AZN -6.94% week, GSK below EMA50, RKT -5.93%). Defence (BAE -9.71%, RR. -9.97%). Consumer staples (ABF Bear, RV 1.21 = high volume sell). Healthcare consumer (HLN Bear RSI 41.4).

== 4. Signals Table (sample 20 stocks) ==


[code]TICKER CLOSE Ch% RSI TREND MACD ADX POCdev RV
LLOY 9787 -1.27 46.7 Bear20/50 Bear x 17.2 -2.21% 0.52
BARC 424.55 -0.88 49.4 Bear20/50 Bull 19.2 -0.29% 0.30
STAN 1744.40 -1.00 54.1 Bull Bull 21.8 +4.08% 0.22
NWG 579 -1.09 45.2 Bear20/50 Bear x 20.8 -1.47% 0.32
PRU 1129 +0.27 57.8 Bull Bull 11.8 +2.25% 0.23
HLN 354.24 +1.01 41.4 Bear Bear 29.3 -6.71% 0.63
AAL 3708.5 -2.21 61.8 Bull Bull 21.4 +10.53% 0.27
ANTO 3700 -3.71 50.4 Mixed Bull 18.4 -0.24% 0.18
TSCO 490.35 +1.70 54.7 Bull Bull 13.8 +3.43% 0.28
SSE 2620 -1.80 49.4 Mixed Bear 18.8 +0.77% 0.54
VOD 116.15 +0.39 56.8 Bull Bear 13.8 +3.45% 0.23
LGEN 252.62 -0.50 43.7 Bear20/50 Bear x 23.5 -1.65% 0.60
AV 628.80 -1.35 48.2 Bear Bull 11.0 -0.45% 0.21
SGE 903.60 +2.08 58.2 Bull20/50 Bull 20.6 +6.50% 0.25
IMB 2760 -0.54 29.8 Bear Bear 30.1 -11.02% 0.83
ABF 1847.5 +0.60 46.8 Bear Bear 29.5 -1.79% 1.21
BNZL 2447 +1.16 71.2 Bull Bull 30.6 +10.45% 0.48
RTO 498.60 +0.54 58.6 Bull Bear 15.0 +6.71% 0.60
WPP 260.60 -0.33 54.7 Bull20/50 Bull 18.3 +1.31% 0.17
INF 799.60 +0.43 50.8 Mixed Bull 19.7 +0.55% 0.13[/code]

Bear x = MACD bearish cross Friday. POCdev = % vs 60d VWAP. RV greater than 1.0 = high relative volume.

== 5. Swing Setups (multi-day) ==

LONG: BNZL - Bull stack, RSI 71.2, ADX 30.6 (strong trend), 10.5% above POC. Aggressive entry on pullback to EMA9 (2380); patient entry to EMA20 (2330). Stop below EMA50 (2260). Target weekly highs 2500/2609.

LONG: STAN - Bull stack, ADX 21.8, MACD 36.32/28.25 still rising. POC at 1675 acts as support. Entry on dip to 1720-1725 (EMA20). Stop 1690 (below EMA50). Target 1800/1850.

LONG: AAL - Bull stack, RSI 61.8, ADX 21.4. 10.5% above POC = extended; wait for retracement to 3500-3550 (EMA20 area) or 3400 (EMA50). Stop below 3300. Target re-test 3877 52w high. Reduces risk of chasing.

LONG: RTO - Bull stack, RSI 58.6, weekly bid. Entry on dip to 488-490 (S1/EMA20). Stop 475 (EMA50). Target 507 (52w high) and beyond.

SHORT: IMB - Full Bear, RSI 29.8 (oversold but ADX 30.1 = strong downtrend, oversold can stay oversold). 11% below POC = severe distribution. Aggressive shorts wait for bounce to EMA20 (2914) for re-entry. Stop above EMA50 (3030). Target 52w low 2648.

SHORT: AV - Just lost EMA20/50/200/POC simultaneously. RSI 48.2 has room to fall. Entry on small bounce to 632-635 (failed EMA20). Stop above 640. Target 615 and 600.

SHORT: LGEN - MACD bearish cross, RSI -21 pts in a week, just below EMA200 (252.44). Entry under 252; stop 257; target 245/240.

== 6. Intraday Setups (today) ==

TSCO - Friday +1.70%, RSI 54.7, Bull stack, ADX 13.8. Pivot 490.30. Long above pivot targeting R1 495.90 / R2 501.45. Stop S1 484.75. Camarilla R3 493.42 = first hurdle.

VOD - Bull stack, RSI 56.8, BBW 7.17 (compressed - breakout candidate). Pivot 116.37. Long break above 116.98 (R1) targeting 117.82 (R2). Stop 115.50.

SGE - Friday +2.08%, RSI 58.2, MACD strong. Pivot 898. Above pivot, target R1 909.20 / R2 914.80. Stop below 892. Camarilla R3 908.22 = profit zone.

ANTO - Just lost EMA20 and POC. ADX 18.4. Pivot 3714.60. Below pivot, target S1 3659.20 / S2 3618.40. Stop 3755 (R1). Camarilla S3 3673.55 first take-profit.

ABF - Bear stack, RV 1.21 (capitulation volume), ADX 29.5. Pivot 1848.83. Below pivot, target S1 1830.67 / S2 1813.83. Stop 1865.67. Watch for exhaustion bounce off S2.

BARC - Bear20/50 after EMA20/POC break Friday. Pivot 424. Below 424 target S1 420 / S2 415.45. Stop 428.55. RSI 49.4 has slack to fall.

NEUTRAL/RANGE: HLN, INF, SSE, NWG - sit out unless setups confirm.

== 7. Key Levels Dashboard ==


[code]TICKER PIVOT S1 R1 S2 R2 Cam-S3 Cam-R3
LLOY 9783 9700 9870 9613 9953 9740.25 9833.75
BARC 424.00 420.00 428.55 415.45 432.55 422.20 426.90
STAN 1744.77 1719.23 1769.93 1694.07 1795.47 1730.46 1758.34
NWG 579.80 574.60 584.20 570.20 589.40 576.36 581.64
PRU 1124.83 1115.17 1138.67 1101.33 1148.33 1122.54 1135.46
HLN 353.71 350.93 357.03 347.61 359.81 352.56 355.92
AAL 3713.00 3674.50 3747.00 3640.50 3785.50 3688.56 3728.44
ANTO 3714.60 3659.20 3755.40 3618.40 3810.80 3673.55 3726.46
TSCO 490.30 484.75 495.90 479.15 501.45 487.28 493.42
SSE 2634.33 2604.17 2650.17 2588.33 2680.33 2607.35 2632.65
VOD 116.37 115.53 116.98 114.92 117.82 115.75 116.55
LGEN 252.33 250.70 254.24 248.79 255.87 251.65 253.59
AV 630.93 626.07 633.67 623.33 638.53 626.71 630.89
SGE 898.00 892.40 909.20 881.20 914.80 898.98 908.22
IMB 2768.33 2742.67 2785.67 2725.33 2811.33 2748.18 2771.83
ABF 1848.83 1830.67 1865.67 1813.83 1883.83 1837.88 1857.13
BNZL 2440.08 2420.92 2466.17 2394.83 2485.33 2434.56 2459.44
RTO 497.00 493.40 502.20 488.20 505.80 496.18 501.02
WPP 259.97 255.53 265.03 250.47 269.47 257.99 263.21
INF 797.20 792.00 804.80 784.40 810.00 796.08 803.12[/code]


== 8. Bearish Warnings ==

Friday's tape was a cluster of breakdowns that raises systemic concern:

Insurers in trouble: AV full breakdown (lost all EMAs + POC), LGEN MACD bearish + week RSI -21 pts. Sector pressure likely continues.
UK banks weak: LLOY/BARC/NWG all Bear20/50 with bearish MACD or POC breaks. Watch for rate-sensitive concerns ahead of BoE Thursday.
Pharma underperforming: AZN, GSK, RKT all hit. Consumer-defensive bid is rotating into utilities (NG) and tobacco (BATS) instead.
Defence cracking: BAE -9.71% week, RR. -9.97% week. Prior leadership reset - possible profit-taking on Iran de-escalation hopes.
IMB capitulation watch: RSI 29.8 + ADX 30.1 (oversold + strong downtrend). 11% below POC. Watch for bounce attempts but no buy signal until close above EMA9 (2818).
ABF high volume sell: RV 1.21 with Bear stack and bearish MACD. Distribution active.
Iran/oil overhang: Brent $107.92 helping energy but pressuring industrials/transport. Hormuz disruption is genuine event-risk into the week.

== 9. Events Calendar (week of 27 Apr) ==

Tuesday 28 Apr: HSBC Q1 earnings (pre-market). UK CBI Distributive Trades.
Wednesday 29 Apr: Lloyds Q1 earnings. NatWest Q1 earnings. UK Mortgage approvals.
Thursday 30 Apr: Bank of England rate decision (12:00 BST) - consensus hold at 3.75%. Monetary Policy Report. Eurozone CPI flash. BP Q1 results.
Friday 1 May: May Day (some EU markets closed; LSE open). Eurozone Manufacturing PMI. US NFP later in the week.

Stock-specific catalysts to watch:
Banks (LLOY, BARC, STAN, NWG, HSBA) all reporting this week - sector reaction critical given Bear20/50 setups. BP results Thursday - oil tape supportive but watch for production guidance. Continued Iran/Hormuz developments - oil + defence drivers.

End of report. This was a delayed Monday catch-up (~3 hours late). Normal pre-market timing resumes Tuesday. Trade your own plan, manage risk.