FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups

Friday 3 April 2026 (Good Friday -- Market Closed)
Data: Close 1 April | UKX: ~10,436 (Thu 2 Apr close) | Futures: Market closed -- no live futures (Good Friday)
Scanner: 40 stocks | Oil: Brent ~$111/bbl (Strait of Hormuz blockade)

NOTE: UK markets are closed today for Good Friday and Monday for Easter. Scanner data is from the 1 April close. The FTSE 100 closed at ~10,436 on Thursday 2 April (up 0.6%) before the long weekend. Next trading day is Tuesday 7 April.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day: 1 Apr vs 31 Mar)

These are the biggest movers that demand attention heading into next week:

RR. +6.6% -- RSI surged 10.5 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA20. Defence sector breakout continues.
III +6.0% -- Heavy volume (rv=1.7), 4-day up streak. Week: +12.4%. Still below all EMAs but bouncing hard off lows.
LLOY +5.8% -- RSI surged 11.9 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50, MACD BULLISH crossover. Major bank breakout.
NWG +5.4% -- RSI surged 10.4 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA200. 4-day up streak, week: +9.0%.
HSBA +5.3% -- RSI surged 10.2 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA50 and POC. 4-day up streak, week: +7.4%.
BARC +5.1% -- RSI surged 9.3 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA200. Week: +6.1%.
AAL +5.2% -- Crossed ABOVE EMA50 and POC. 4-day up streak, week: +9.6%.
BP -5.0% -- RSI dropped 12.6 pts despite oil at $110+. Profit-taking after extended rally.
SHEL -3.9% -- RSI dropped 15.8 pts, MACD bearish crossover. Selling into strength as oil spikes.
CPG -98.6% -- NOT A CRASH. Compass switched trading currency from GBP to USD on 1 April. Data distorted -- exclude from analysis.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG -- Banks: Massive coordinated rally across the entire sector. LLOY (+5.8%), NWG (+5.4%), HSBA (+5.3%), BARC (+5.1%), STAN (+3.7%), PRU (+4.4%). All crossed above key EMAs on the same day. This is sector-wide institutional buying.

STRONG -- Mining: RIO (+2.5%), AAL (+5.2%), ANTO (+4.7%), GLEN (-0.5%). Three of four mining names up strongly. RIO on a 4-day streak, week +10.7%. AAL crossed above EMA50.

STRONG -- Defence: BAE (+4.3%), RR. (+6.6%). Both surging as geopolitical tensions escalate. BAE week +9.7%, RR. crossed above EMA20.

STRONG -- Pharma: AZN (+2.3%), GSK (+2.1%). Both above all EMAs. AZN week +8.6%. Defensive rotation into healthcare.

MIXED -- Oil & Gas: Paradoxical weakness despite Brent at $110+. SHEL (-3.9%) and BP (-5.0%) both sold off -- classic "sell the news" after extended oil rally. Still above all EMAs on the daily.

WEAK -- Consumer Staples: ULVR (-0.3%, RSI 18.2 -- extreme oversold), DGE (-0.1%, RSI 35), RKT (+1.9% but RSI 34.7), BATS (-1.3%), IMB (-0.5%). Entire sector under pressure.

WEAK -- Tech/Data: EXPN (+1.6% but below all EMAs), REL (+0.7% below EMA50/200). Sector still in downtrend.

NEUTRAL -- Utilities: NG (+2.0%), SSE (+3.1%). Both above all EMAs. Steady defensive names.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS -- ALL 40 STOCKS

Legend: Trend = strict EMA classification | RSI zone | MACD signal | Daily change | % from 52w high | POC position | Relative volume

--- BULLISH (Above All EMAs) ---

AZN -- Bull (above all) | RSI 61.2 (week +23.5 pts) | MACD Bull Cross | +2.3% | -4.5% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.73
BAE -- Bull (above all) | RSI 59.9 (week +18.3 pts) | MACD Bear Cross (above 0) | +4.3% | -2.8% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 1.13
BP -- Bull (above all) | RSI 60.8 (down 12.6 yesterday) | MACD Bullish | -5.0% | -5.5% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 1.13
GLEN -- Bull (above all) | RSI 67.1 (approaching OB) | MACD Bullish | -0.5% | -2.6% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.74
GSK -- Bull (above all) | RSI 59.8 | MACD Bull Cross | +2.1% | -7.7% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.58
HSBA -- Bull (above all) | RSI 59.1 (up 10.2 yesterday) | MACD Bull Cross | +5.3% | -8.8% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.90
LGEN -- Bull (above all) | RSI 54.8 (up 8.5 yesterday) | MACD Bull Cross | +3.5% | -8.8% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 0.69
LLOY -- Bull (above all) | RSI 53.6 (up 11.9 yesterday) | MACD Bull Cross | +5.8% | -14.7% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 1.27
NG -- Bull (above all) | RSI 50.2 | MACD Bearish | +2.0% | -9.4% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.82
RIO -- Bull (above all) | RSI 60.5 (week +19.5 pts) | MACD Bull Cross | +2.5% | -5.8% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.84
RTO -- Bull (above all) | RSI 55.9 | MACD Bear Cross (above 0) | +1.8% | -3.7% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.47
SHEL -- Bull (above all) | RSI 60.5 (down 15.8 yesterday) | MACD Bear Cross (above 0) | -3.9% | -4.1% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 1.01
SSE -- Bull (above all) | RSI 56.9 (week +15.5 pts) | MACD Bearish | +3.1% | -6.4% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.76
TSCO -- Bull (above all) | RSI 52.5 | MACD Bearish | +0.1% | -6.8% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.75
VOD -- Bull (above all) | RSI 60.9 | MACD Bullish | +0.3% | -6.0% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.70
ADM -- Bull (above all) | RSI 55.6 | MACD Bear Cross (above 0) | +0.2% | -14.3% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.49
AAL -- Bull (above all) | RSI 55.3 (week +9.6%) | MACD Bull Cross | +5.2% | -13.7% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.52

--- BULL (Above 20/50, Below 200) ---

BNZL -- Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 58.3 | MACD Bear Cross (above 0) | +0.1% | -27.1% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.47
LSEG -- Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 59.0 | MACD Bullish | -0.5% | -25.8% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.60

--- MIXED ---

ABF -- Mixed (above EMA20, below EMA50/200) | RSI 54.5 | MACD Bull Cross | +0.7% | -19.9% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.68
ANTO -- Mixed (above EMA20, below EMA50, above EMA200) | RSI 48.5 | MACD Bearish | +4.7% | -22.2% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 0.89
BARC -- Mixed (above EMA20, below EMA50, above EMA200) | RSI 50.6 (up 9.3 yesterday) | MACD Bull Cross | +5.0% | -19.2% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 0.83
INF -- Mixed (above EMA20, below EMA50/200) | RSI 48.3 (up 11.8 yesterday) | MACD Bull Cross | +3.5% | -22.7% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 0.97
NWG -- Mixed (above EMA20, below EMA50, above EMA200) | RSI 54.3 (up 10.4 yesterday) | MACD Bull Cross | +5.4% | -17.3% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 1.31
PRU -- Mixed (above EMA20, below EMA50, above EMA200) | RSI 50.5 (up 11.7 yesterday) | MACD Bull Cross | +4.4% | -12.5% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 0.85
REL -- Mixed (above EMA20, below EMA50/200) | RSI 49.9 | MACD Bearish | +0.7% | -40.4% from 52w hi | Above POC | rv 0.58
RR. -- Mixed (above EMA20, below EMA50, above EMA200) | RSI 49.2 (up 10.5 yesterday) | MACD Bearish | +6.6% | -15.0% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 1.09
SGE -- Mixed (above EMA20, below EMA50/200) | RSI 55.0 | MACD Bull Cross | +1.9% | -36.1% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 1.07
STAN -- Mixed (above EMA20, below EMA50, above EMA200) | RSI 48.3 | MACD Bull Cross | +3.7% | -16.2% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 0.55
WPP -- Mixed (above EMA20, below EMA50/200) | RSI 46.4 | MACD Bull Cross | +3.1% | -60.9% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 0.85

--- BEAR (Below 20/50, Above 200) ---

BATS -- Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 44.3 | MACD Bearish | -1.3% | -7.7% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 1.18

--- BEARISH (Below All EMAs) ---

AV -- Bear (below all) | RSI 47.7 (up 8.0 yesterday) | MACD Bearish | +3.1% | -11.7% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 0.91
CPG -- DATA DISTORTED | Currency switch GBP to USD on 1 Apr. Exclude from analysis.
DGE -- Bear (below all) | RSI 35.0 (approaching OS) | MACD Bull Cross (below 0) | -0.1% | -37.0% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 0.71
EXPN -- Bear (below all) | RSI 48.1 | MACD Bearish | +1.6% | -35.6% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 0.45
HLN -- Bear (below all) | RSI 45.6 | MACD Bull Cross (below 0) | -0.6% | -11.4% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 0.98
III -- Bear (below all) | RSI 40.1 (week +16.4 pts) | MACD Bearish | +6.0% | -42.5% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 1.72
IMB -- Bear (below all) | RSI 41.0 | MACD Bearish | -0.5% | -9.0% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 0.67
RKT -- Bear (below all) | RSI 34.7 (approaching OS) | MACD Bull Cross (below 0) | +1.9% | -20.4% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 0.71
ULVR -- Bear (below all) | RSI 18.2 (EXTREME OVERSOLD) | MACD Bearish | -0.3% | -24.2% from 52w hi | Below POC | rv 1.93 (heavy selling)



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS (for Tuesday 7 April open)

1. LLOY -- Bank Breakout Continuation

NEW setup triggered 1 April. Crossed above both EMA20 (95.03) and EMA50 (97.39) on a single day with MACD bullish crossover. RSI surged from 41.7 to 53.6. Banking sector had coordinated institutional buying.

Entry: 97-98 (pullback to EMA50) · Stop: 90.3 (below EMA200) · T1: 105 (POC level) · T2: 114.5 (52w high) · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:2.1
Confluence: 4/5 -- Trend (just turned bull), MACD crossover, RSI momentum surge, sector strength. Volume 1.27x normal.
Risk: Easter weekend -- gap risk on Tuesday open. Size half until direction confirmed.


2. NWG -- Multi-EMA Reclaim + Bank Sector Tailwind

NEW setup. Crossed above EMA20 (562.80) and EMA200 (568.21) on 1 April. 4-day up streak, RSI surged 10.4 pts. Still below EMA50 (587.34) -- needs to clear that for full confirmation.

Entry: 580-585 (current level / pullback) · Stop: 555 (below prior swing low, 1.5x ATR) · T1: 605 (POC level) · T2: 640 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:2.2
Confluence: 3/5 -- RSI momentum, EMA reclaim, sector tailwind. Needs EMA50 break for 4/5.


3. RR. -- Defence Sector Momentum

NEW setup. +6.6% day, crossed above EMA20 (1200.92). Still below EMA50 (1225.22) and below POC (1262.63). RSI surged 10.5 pts from oversold territory. Defence spending narrative intact with Hormuz tensions.

Entry: 1207-1215 (at pivot level) · Stop: 1146 (below 1x ATR from entry) · T1: 1263 (POC) · T2: 1310 · R:R: 1:0.9 / 1:1.6
Confluence: 3/5 -- Momentum surge, EMA20 reclaim, geopolitical catalyst. Below EMA50 and POC limit conviction.


4. LGEN -- Triple EMA Reclaim

NEW setup. Crossed above ALL THREE EMAs (EMA20=248.06, EMA50=253.61, EMA200=250.85) in a single session. RSI surged 8.5 pts. Insurance/financial sector strength.

Entry: 254-256 (pullback to EMA50 area) · Stop: 242 (below EMA20 by 1x ATR) · T1: 270 · T2: 279.5 (52w high) · R:R: 1:1.2 / 1:1.9
Confluence: 4/5 -- Triple EMA reclaim, RSI surge, MACD bull cross, sector strength.


5. ULVR -- Mean Reversion (Counter-Trend, HALF SIZE)

NOT new -- this has been developing for weeks. RSI 18.2 is EXTREME oversold (lowest in the entire scanner). Price at 4187 is 24.2% below 52w high and hit a new 52w low at 4068. Heavy volume (rv=1.93) suggests capitulation selling. HOWEVER: below all EMAs, MACD bearish, no exhaustion candle yet. Wait for a reversal candle before entry.

Entry: 4100-4150 (on reversal candle / hammer) · Stop: 4050 (below 52w low) · T1: 4440 (EMA9) · T2: 4643 (EMA20) · R:R: 1:3.4 / 1:5.4
Confluence: 2/5 -- Only extreme oversold RSI and volume capitulation. NO trend confirmation. HALF SIZE ONLY.



INTRADAY SETUPS (for Tuesday 7 April)

Note: Pivot and Camarilla levels are calculated from 1 April session. If the market gaps significantly on Tuesday due to the long weekend, recalculate before trading.

1. LLOY -- Camarilla S3 Long (Range Fade)

Daily trend just turned bullish. If LLOY pulls back to Cam S3 (around 95.03, near the EMA20), it's a buy-the-dip opportunity.
Direction: LONG · Entry: Cam S3 ~95 · Stop: below Cam S4 ~92 · Target: Pivot ~97.5 · R:R: 1:0.8
Why: MACD just crossed bullish, RSI momentum confirms. Sector-wide bank buying.


2. BAE -- Pivot Retest Long

Classic Pivot at 2269. If BAE opens near this level, it's a long opportunity with daily bull trend.
Direction: LONG · Entry: Pivot 2269 · Stop: below S1 2231 · Target: R1 2333 · R:R: 1:1.7
Why: Bull (above all EMAs), defence sector momentum, close to 52w high (-2.8%). POC at 2116 far below -- price accepted at higher levels.
Cam levels: S3 2267 . R3 2323 . S4 2239 . R4 2351


3. RIO -- Camarilla R3 Breakout

RIO is near its 52w high (-5.8%). Cam R3 at 7148.53, R4 at 7179.05. A break above R4 signals a trend day targeting R1 classic at 7169 then R2 at 7221.
Direction: LONG · Entry: above Cam R4 ~7179 · Stop: below Cam R3 ~7149 · Target: Classic R2 7221 then 7280 · R:R: 1:1.4
Why: Bull (above all EMAs), 4-day streak, mining sector strong. Week +10.7%.


4. SHEL -- Pivot Bounce Short (Counter-Trend)

SHEL dropped 3.9% on 1 April with MACD bearish crossover and RSI dropping 15.8 pts -- despite oil at $110+. This is institutional profit-taking. If SHEL opens near Pivot (3480), fading back toward S1.
Direction: SHORT · Entry: Pivot ~3480 · Stop: above R1 3527 · Target: S1 3396 then S2 3348 · R:R: 1:1.8
Why: Despite bullish daily structure, short-term momentum has flipped bearish. MACD bear cross, RSI drop of 15.8 pts in one day. Sell-the-news pattern on oil spike.
CAUTION: Counter-trend trade -- daily is still bull above all EMAs. HALF SIZE.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD -- TOP 5 TRADEABLE STOCKS

LLOY
Cam: S4 92.27 . S3 94.47 . S2 95.19 . S1 95.92 || R1 97.38 . R2 98.1 . R3 98.82 . R4 101.02
Classic: S3 89.6 . S2 93.2 . S1 95.1 || Pivot 97.0 || R1 98.9 . R2 101.0 . R3 103.8
EMA: 9=N/A . 20=95.03 . 50=97.39 . 200=90.32
POC: 105.2 | Prev H/L: 98.82 / 93.02 | 52w: 114.52 / 57.74

BAE
Cam: S4 2238.9 . S3 2266.95 . S2 2276.3 . S1 2285.65 || R1 2304.35 . R2 2313.7 . R3 2323.05 . R4 2351.1
Classic: S3 2129 . S2 2167 . S1 2231 || Pivot 2269 || R1 2333 . R2 2371 . R3 2435
EMA: 9=2192.32 . 20=2190.62 . 50=2119.52 . 200=1907.99
POC: 2115.74 | Prev H/L: 2307 / 2205 | 52w: 2360 / 1394

RIO
Cam: S4 7056.95 . S3 7087.48 . S2 7097.65 . S1 7107.83 || R1 7128.18 . R2 7138.35 . R3 7148.53 . R4 7179.05
Classic: S3 6947.33 . S2 6998.67 . S1 7058.33 || Pivot 7109.67 || R1 7169.33 . R2 7220.67 . R3 7280.33
EMA: 9=6743.45 . 20=6736.39 . 50=6689.93 . 200=5850.51
POC: 6743.83 | Prev H/L: 7161 / 7050 | 52w: 7557 / 4024.5

SHEL
Cam: S4 3371.18 . S3 3407.34 . S2 3419.39 . S1 3431.45 || R1 3455.55 . R2 3467.61 . R3 3479.66 . R4 3515.83
Classic: S3 3264.33 . S2 3348.17 . S1 3395.83 || Pivot 3479.67 || R1 3527.33 . R2 3611.17 . R3 3658.83
EMA: 9=3470.76 . 20=3372.71 . 50=3160.69 . 200=2857.01
POC: 3044.80 | Prev H/L: 3563.5 / 3432 | 52w: 3591.5 / 2269.92

ULVR
Cam: S4 4085.8 . S3 4136.4 . S2 4153.27 . S1 4170.13 || R1 4203.87 . R2 4220.73 . R3 4237.6 . R4 4288.2
Classic: S3 3902 . S2 3985 . S1 4086 || Pivot 4169 || R1 4270 . R2 4353 . R3 4454
EMA: 9=4440.92 . 20=4642.64 . 50=4852.18 . 200=5006.02
POC: 4892.52 | Prev H/L: 4252 / 4068 | 52w: 5525.28 / 4068



BEARISH WARNINGS

ULVR -- Extreme Oversold but NO Reversal Signal Yet
RSI 18.2 is the lowest reading in the entire FTSE 100 scanner. Price made a new 52-week low at 4068. Below all EMAs by huge margins (EMA20 at 4643, EMA50 at 4852, EMA200 at 5006). MACD deeply bearish. Heavy selling volume (rv=1.93). This is a falling knife -- do NOT buy until a reversal candle appears.

DGE -- Persistent Downtrend
RSI 35.0 approaching oversold. Below all EMAs. -37% from 52w high. MACD bull cross (below zero) hints at potential stabilisation, but no confirmation yet. 52w low at 1350 is close -- a break below opens the trap door.

RKT -- Consumer Weakness
RSI 34.7. Below all EMAs. -20.4% from 52w high. MACD has a bull cross below zero which is a tentative positive, but the daily structure is firmly bearish. POC at 5949 is miles above current price of 5184.

III -- Dead Cat Bounce?
+6.0% day with heavy volume (rv=1.72) looks impressive, but context matters: III is -42.5% from its 52w high, below all three EMAs, and MACD is still bearish. The 4-day bounce has taken RSI from 23.7 to 40.1 -- progress, but not enough. Needs to reclaim EMA20 (2734) for any bullish case.

BP -- Profit-Taking Risk
Despite oil at $110+, BP fell 5% on 1 April. RSI dropped 12.6 pts in a single session. Still above all EMAs (bull structure intact), but the sharp RSI reversal is a warning. If oil pulls back over the Easter weekend, BP could test EMA20 at 553.

SHEL -- Selling Into Strength
Same pattern as BP. MACD bearish crossover triggered. RSI dropped 15.8 pts. -3.9% despite oil at multi-year highs. Smart money taking profits. Still above all EMAs but momentum has turned.



EVENTS CALENDAR

This Week:
- Fri 3 Apr: Good Friday -- UK and US markets CLOSED
- Mon 6 Apr: Easter Monday -- UK markets CLOSED (US markets reopen)
- Tue 7 Apr: UK markets reopen. Expect volatility -- 4-day gap to digest.

Macro Context:
- Strait of Hormuz crisis ongoing. Oil at $110+ is the dominant macro driver.
- Iran-Oman protocol monitoring Hormuz traffic -- no resolution in sight.
- Trump speech provided no ceasefire roadmap -- geopolitical risk elevated.
- UK economic data: watch for PMI updates and any BoE commentary next week.

Earnings (FTSE 100):
- No major FTSE 100 earnings this week due to Easter.
- Note: Compass Group (CPG) switched trading currency to USD on 1 April -- all historical GBP data is now discontinuous.

Key Risk: The 4-day market closure creates significant gap risk. Oil prices, Hormuz developments, and any US market moves on Monday (when UK is still closed) will all feed into Tuesday's opening print. Size positions accordingly.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Thursday 2 April 2026
Data: Close 1 April | UKX: ~10,350 | Futures: ~10,279 (-1.4%)

Source: Investing.com FTSE 100 Futures at 10,278.5 (-146.6 pts, -1.41%). Yesterday's strong rally (+1.7%) being given back in pre-market amid renewed oil volatility after Trump's Iran address and Brent surging to $105.53.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)

These are the biggest moves from yesterday -- the stocks that demand attention today:

CPG (Compass Group) -- DATA NOTE: Compass switched its LSE trading currency from GBP pence to USD on 1 April. The -98.6% shown is a currency redenomination, NOT a business collapse. Exclude from TA signals. Business remains solid (7.3% organic revenue growth in Q1).

LLOY +5.8% -- RSI surged 11.9 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50, MACD bullish crossover. New swing setup triggered.
NWG +5.4% -- RSI surged 10.4 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA200, 4-day up streak, week +9.0%.
HSBA +5.3% -- RSI surged 10.2 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA50 and POC, 4-day up streak, week +7.4%.
RR. +6.6% -- RSI surged 10.5 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA20. Biggest single-day mover.
III +6.0% -- Heavy volume (rv=1.7), 4-day up streak, week +12.4%. Bouncing from near 52-week lows.
BARC +5.1% -- RSI surged 9.3 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA200, week +6.1%.
BP -5.0% -- RSI dropped 12.6 pts. Sharp reversal despite oil strength. Possible profit-taking after 52-week high approach.
SHEL -3.9% -- RSI dropped 15.8 pts, MACD bearish crossover. Also selling off despite oil at $105+.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG -- Banks/Financials: avg +4.9% (LLOY +5.8%, HSBA +5.3%, BARC +5.1%, NWG +5.4%, STAN +3.7%). Massive coordinated rally with multiple EMA crossovers. Best sector by far. Insurers also strong: PRU +4.4%, LGEN +3.5%.

STRONG -- Defence/Aerospace: BAE +4.3% (new 52-week high territory), RR. +6.6%.

STRONG -- Mining: RIO +2.5%, AAL +5.2%, ANTO +4.7%, GLEN -0.5%. Broad-based strength except Glencore. RIO on a 4-day streak, week +10.7%.

NEUTRAL -- Pharma: AZN +2.3%, GSK +2.1%. Steady gains, both above all EMAs.

NEUTRAL -- Utilities: NG +2.0%, SSE +3.1%. Recovering, both above all EMAs/POC.

WEAK -- Oil & Gas: SHEL -3.9%, BP -5.0%. Unusual divergence -- oil at $105 but both stocks sold off hard. SHEL MACD bearish crossover. Possible "sell the news" on Iran de-escalation hopes.

WEAK -- Consumer Staples: ULVR -0.3% (at 52-week low, RSI 18.2 -- deeply oversold), DGE -0.1% (near 52-week low), BATS -1.3%, RKT +1.9% (still below all EMAs). Whole sector under pressure.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE

All classifications verified programmatically against actual close vs EMA values.

BULLISH (Above All EMAs):
AZN -- 15022 | RSI 61.2 | MACD Bull | -4.5% from 52wH | +2.3% | Above POC
HSBA -- 1286.6 | RSI 59.1 | MACD Bull | -8.8% from 52wH | +5.3% | Above POC (RSI +10.2 DoD)
SHEL -- 3443.5 | RSI 60.5 | MACD Bear xover | -4.1% from 52wH | -3.9% | Above POC (RSI -15.8 DoD)
BP -- 576.0 | RSI 60.8 | MACD Bull | -5.5% from 52wH | -5.0% | Above POC (RSI -12.6 DoD)
RIO -- 7118 | RSI 60.5 | MACD Bull | -5.8% from 52wH | +2.5% | Above POC
BAE -- 2295 | RSI 59.9 | MACD Bear | -2.8% from 52wH | +4.3% | Above POC
GSK -- 2107 | RSI 59.8 | MACD Bull | -7.7% from 52wH | +2.1% | Above POC
ADM -- 3158 | RSI 55.6 | MACD Bear | -14.3% from 52wH | +0.2% | Above POC (rv=0.49 thin)
GLEN -- 562.5 | RSI 67.1 | MACD Bull | -2.6% from 52wH | -0.5% | Above POC (near 52wH!)
NG -- 1294.5 | RSI 50.2 | MACD Bear | -9.4% from 52wH | +2.0% | Above POC (Crossed ABOVE E20/E50/POC)

BULL (Above 20/50, Below 200):
LSEG -- 8822 | RSI 59.0 | MACD Bull xover | -25.8% from 52wH | -0.5% | Above POC

MIXED:
RR. -- 1207 (above E20 1200.9, below E50 1225.2, above E200 1111.4) | RSI 49.2 | MACD Bear | -15.0% from 52wH | +6.6% | Below POC
REL -- 2492 (above E20 2484.6, below E50 2556.7, below E200 3040.1) | RSI 49.9 | MACD Bear | -40.4% from 52wH | +0.7% | Above POC

BEAR (Below 20/50, Above 200):
BATS -- 4313 | RSI 44.3 | MACD Bear | -7.7% from 52wH | -1.3% | Below POC

BEAR (Below All EMAs):
ULVR -- 4187 | RSI 18.2 DEEPLY OVERSOLD | MACD Bear | -24.2% from 52wH | -0.3% | Below POC (rv=1.93 heavy selling!)
III -- 2584 | RSI 40.1 | MACD Bear | -42.5% from 52wH | +6.0% | Below POC (rv=1.72 heavy vol bounce)
DGE -- 1395 | RSI 35.0 | MACD Bull | -37.0% from 52wH | -0.1% | Below POC
RKT -- 5184 | RSI 34.7 | MACD Bull | -20.4% from 52wH | +1.9% | Below POC
EXPN -- 2639 | RSI 48.1 | MACD Bear | -35.6% from 52wH | +1.6% | Below POC (rv=0.45 very thin)



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS


1. LLOY -- Bullish EMA20/50 Crossover + MACD Bullish (NEW SETUP)

Just triggered yesterday: crossed above both EMA20 and EMA50 with a MACD bullish crossover and RSI surging from 41.7 to 53.6. Week +5.8%. Banks rallying as a sector with coordinated buying.
Entry: 97-98 Stop: 90 (below EMA support) T1: 100.3 (POC) T2: 105 R:R: 1:1.5
Confluence: EMA crossover + MACD bull cross + sector momentum + RSI breakout above 50


2. RR. -- Reclaiming EMA20 With 6.6% Surge (NEW SETUP)

Broke back above EMA20 (1200.9) on high conviction (+6.6%). RSI surged 10.5 pts to 49.2 -- approaching bull territory. Still below EMA50 (1225.2) which is the next target. POC at 1262.6 is the medium-term magnet.
Entry: 1205-1210 Stop: 1175 (below prev day low/ATR) T1: 1225 (EMA50) T2: 1263 (POC) R:R: 1:1.6
Confluence: EMA20 reclaim + momentum surge + above EMA200 + sector (defence/aerospace) tailwind


3. NWG -- Banking Momentum Play, 4-Day Streak (CONTINUING)

4-day up streak with RSI +18.1 pts over the week (36.2 to 54.3). Crossed above EMA20 and EMA200 yesterday. Week +9.0%. Below POC (599.3) which provides a clear target.
Entry: 580-585 Stop: 555 (prev day area) T1: 600 (POC) T2: 620 R:R: 1:1.4
Confluence: EMA200 reclaim + banking sector surge + RSI momentum shift from bear to bull zone


4. III -- Oversold Bounce With Heavy Volume (NEW STRENGTH)

+6.0% on rv=1.72 (heavy institutional volume). 4-day streak, week +12.4%. Still below all EMAs but showing strong recovery from near 52-week lows (2255). RSI improving but only at 40.1 -- room to run. This is counter-trend so half size.
Entry: 2580-2600 Stop: 2465 (prev day low) T1: 2734 (EMA20) T2: 2987 (EMA50) R:R: 1:1.1
CAUTION: Counter-trend setup. Half size. Still below all EMAs -- this is a recovery play, not a trend trade.


5. GLEN -- Bull Trend Near 52-Week High (CONTINUING)

Above all EMAs, RSI 67.1 (strong but not yet overbought), above POC at 503.8. Just 2.6% from 52-week high of 577.3. Weekly chart: +5.7%. ADX only 12.7 suggesting early stage trend, not exhausted.
Entry: 560-563 Stop: 543 (below EMA20 at 532.9) T1: 577 (52wH) T2: 592 (Cam R4) R:R: 1:1.5
Confluence: Above all EMAs + above POC + near breakout + sector (mining) strength



INTRADAY SETUPS


1. RIO -- Pivot Bounce Long

Daily trend: Bull (above all EMAs). Above POC 6743.8. If opens near Classic Pivot 7109.7 or dips to S1 7058.3, look for bounce.
Direction: LONG
Entry: 7058-7110 (S1 to Pivot) Stop: 6998 (below S2) T1: 7169 (R1) T2: 7221 (R2) R:R: 1:1.8
Why: Bull trend + above all EMAs + above POC + 4-day streak + mining sector strong


2. GSK -- Camarilla Range Long at S3

Daily trend: Bull (above all EMAs). Cam S3-R3 range: 2092.2 to 2121.9 (29.7 pts vs ATR 45.2 -- tight range, good for fade). Above POC 2048.4.
Direction: LONG
Entry: 2092 (Cam S3) Stop: 2077 (below Cam S4) T1: 2107 (pivot area) T2: 2122 (Cam R3) R:R: 1:2.0
Why: Bull trend + tight Cam range (fade setup) + pharma steady + above POC


3. BAE -- Breakout Watch Above Cam R4

Hit new 52-week highs yesterday at 2307. Cam R4 at 2351.1. If price breaks above R4, this becomes a trend day long. Week +9.7%.
Direction: LONG
Entry: 2352+ (confirmed break above Cam R4) Stop: 2323 (below Cam R3) T1: 2371 (Classic R2) T2: 2435 (Classic R3) R:R: 1:2.8
Why: New 52-week high territory + bull trend above all EMAs + defence sector momentum


4. SHEL -- Pivot Fade Short

Despite being above all EMAs, SHEL dropped 3.9% with a MACD bearish crossover and RSI plunging 15.8 pts. If opens near R1 3527.3 or Classic Pivot 3479.7, fade short.
Direction: SHORT
Entry: 3480-3527 (Pivot to R1) Stop: 3560 (above prev day area) T1: 3432 (prev low) T2: 3396 (S1) R:R: 1:1.6
Why: MACD bear cross + RSI dropped 15.8 pts + oil sector divergence from crude price + mean reversion candidate


5. AZN -- Camarilla Range Long at S3

Bull trend above all EMAs. Cam S3-R3 range: 14958 to 15086 (128 pts vs ATR 353 -- narrow range). Above POC 14474. Week +8.6%.
Direction: LONG
Entry: 14958 (Cam S3) Stop: 14894 (below Cam S4) T1: 15022 (close/mid-range) T2: 15086 (Cam R3) R:R: 1:2.0
Why: Bull trend + tight Cam range relative to ATR + above POC + pharma resilient sector



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

RIO
Cam: S4 7057 - S3 7087 - S2 7098 - S1 7108 || R1 7128 - R2 7138 - R3 7149 - R4 7179
Classic: S3 6947 - S2 6999 - S1 7058 || Pivot 7110 || R1 7169 - R2 7221 - R3 7280
EMAs: E9 6743 - E20 6736 - E50 6690 - E200 5851
POC: 6744 | Prev H/L: 7161/7050 | 52w H/L: 7557/4025

BAE
Cam: S4 2239 - S3 2267 - S2 2276 - S1 2286 || R1 2304 - R2 2314 - R3 2323 - R4 2351
Classic: S3 2129 - S2 2167 - S1 2231 || Pivot 2269 || R1 2333 - R2 2371 - R3 2435
EMAs: E9 2192 - E20 2191 - E50 2120 - E200 1908
POC: 2116 | Prev H/L: 2307/2205 | 52w H/L: 2360/1394

GSK
Cam: S4 2077 - S3 2092 - S2 2097 - S1 2102 || R1 2112 - R2 2117 - R3 2122 - R4 2137
Classic: S3 2023 - S2 2048 - S1 2077 || Pivot 2102 || R1 2131 - R2 2156 - R3 2185
EMAs: E9 2049 - E20 2048 - E50 2027 - E200 1800
POC: 2048 | Prev H/L: 2126/2072 | 52w H/L: 2282/1243

SHEL
Cam: S4 3371 - S3 3407 - S2 3419 - S1 3431 || R1 3456 - R2 3468 - R3 3480 - R4 3516
Classic: S3 3264 - S2 3348 - S1 3396 || Pivot 3480 || R1 3527 - R2 3611 - R3 3659
EMAs: E9 3471 - E20 3373 - E50 3161 - E200 2857
POC: 3045 | Prev H/L: 3564/3432 | 52w H/L: 3592/2270

AZN
Cam: S4 14894 - S3 14958 - S2 14979 - S1 15001 || R1 15043 - R2 15065 - R3 15086 - R4 15150
Classic: S3 14661 - S2 14765 - S1 14893 || Pivot 14997 || R1 15125 - R2 15229 - R3 15357
EMAs: E9 14456 - E20 14431 - E50 14368 - E200 13204
POC: 14474 | Prev H/L: 15100/14868 | 52w H/L: 15730/9574



BEARISH WARNINGS

ULVR -- Deeply Oversold at 52-Week Low
RSI 18.2 is extremely oversold. Close at 4187, sitting at the 52-week low of 4068 (hit intraday yesterday). Below all EMAs. Heavy selling volume (rv=1.93). MACD deeply bearish. Week -6.6%. This looks like a capitulation phase. Not tradeable short here -- too oversold -- but not buyable yet either. Wait for RSI divergence or a hammer candle at support before considering a reversal long.

DGE -- Persistent Downtrend Near 52-Week Low
RSI 35.0, below all EMAs, close at 1395 vs 52-week low of 1350. MACD has turned slightly bullish (above signal) but both lines remain well below zero. No reversal signal yet. The entire consumer staples sector is under pressure.

RKT -- Below All EMAs, Bearish Structure
RSI 34.7, below all three EMAs and POC (5949). Close at 5184 vs EMA200 at 5688. ADX at 45.3 confirms a strong trend -- unfortunately, it is a strong downtrend. MACD slightly above signal but both deeply negative. Week +1.9% suggests some stabilisation but the structure remains firmly bearish.

SHEL -- MACD Bearish Crossover Despite Bull Trend
Still above all EMAs but yesterday's -3.9% with a MACD bearish crossover and RSI dropping 15.8 pts is a warning. If this continues, SHEL could test EMA20 at 3373. Watch for a retest of yesterday's low at 3432 -- if it breaks, expect 3373 next. Unusual divergence from oil prices -- may signal broader oil sector rotation.

HLN -- Crossed Below EMA200
Haleon crossed below its EMA200 yesterday -- a bearish development. Despite a MACD bullish crossover, the EMA200 break is the dominant signal. RSI at 45.6, below POC (383.0). Watch for follow-through selling.

BP -- Sharp Reversal From Near 52-Week High
Was just 5.5% from 52-week highs but dropped 5.0% in one session with RSI falling 12.6 pts. Still above all EMAs so the trend is technically bullish, but the selling pressure is severe. Oil at $105+ should be supportive -- the divergence is concerning. Watch EMA20 at 553 as the first support test.



EVENTS CALENDAR

- Bank of England rate held at 3.75% (19 March decision). Next MPC meeting: 8 May 2026.
- UK Inflation: 3.0% (January), expected to remain sticky around 2.6% through Q2.
- Brent crude: $105.53 -- volatile around US-Iran conflict developments. Trump signalling possible exit within 2-3 weeks.
- Compass Group (CPG): Now trading in USD on LSE as of 1 April. Dividends still in GBP.
- UK unemployment: 5.2% (latest data), rising trend.
- Labour market data release expected this week from ONS.
- Watch for mining companies' quarterly production updates through April.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Tuesday 1 April 2026
Data: Close 31 March | UKX: ~10,176 | Futures: 10,294 (+0.10%)

Source: Investing.com FTSE 100 Futures, 1 Apr 2026 pre-market



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 closed at approximately 10,176 on Monday 31 March, gaining 0.48% on the session. Futures are pointing to a flat-to-slightly-higher open on Tuesday at 10,294 (+0.10%). The index continues to trade in a broadly constructive range, supported by energy sector strength (Brent crude at ~$118/barrel amid Strait of Hormuz tensions) and a rebound in defence names. Mining stocks are also rallying on improved risk appetite and easing Iran tensions. Against this, consumer staples remain under pressure -- Unilever hit a new 52-week low and Diageo continues to slide. Q4 UK GDP confirmed at +0.1% and house prices surprised to the upside (+0.9% in March).

Key macro drivers for Tuesday: Brent crude elevated above $118, ongoing Strait of Hormuz closure risk, FCA car loan redress bill (GBP7.5bn), and Q1 end-of-quarter rebalancing flows.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)

These are the most significant moves from yesterday's session compared to the prior day:

ULVR -- RSI dropped 9.5 pts, -7.3% day, heavy volume (rv=2.6), new 52-week low at 4,197. McCormick deal rumours + global hiring freeze. Week: -7.2%.

BATS -- Crossed BELOW EMA20, BELOW EMA50, BELOW POC. Tobacco giant losing all short-term support, -1.2% day.

III -- +3.4% bounce, heavy volume (rv=2.0), but still -12.7% on the week. Dead cat bounce or capitulation low? Still deep bear below all EMAs.

BAE -- Crossed ABOVE EMA20, +3.2% day. Defence spending catalyst. Touched 2,200 (52-week high zone).

RR. -- Crossed ABOVE EMA200 at 1,110. Recovery signal, but still -5.2% on the week and below EMA20/50.

BP -- 5-day up streak, +6.9% on the week. New 52-week high at 609. Oil bull in full swing.

LSEG -- +3.1% big move, reclaiming ground above EMA20 and EMA50.

CPG -- Heavy volume (rv=3.1) but only +0.2% change. Accumulation or distribution? Below all EMAs -- watch closely.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG -- Energy / Oil & Gas
BP (+0.7%, 5-day streak, 52w high), SHEL (+0.8%, 4-day streak, 52w high). Brent at $118 driving sustained outperformance. Both well above all EMAs with strong ADX trends.

STRONG -- Mining
RIO (+2.5%), GLEN (+2.2%, 52w high zone). Both above all EMAs. Easing Iran tensions and weak GBP supporting commodity names. RIO week: +5.8%.

STRONG -- Defence
BAE (+3.2%, crossed above EMA20). European defence spending narrative intact.

MIXED -- Financials
LSEG (+3.1%), HSBA (+0.8%, crossed above EMA20). But HSBA still below EMA50 -- mixed picture. NWG had MACD bullish crossover.

MIXED -- Pharma / Healthcare
AZN (-0.1%), GSK (+0.05%). Flat day. AZN above all EMAs but MACD weak. GSK above all EMAs, quiet.

WEAK -- Consumer Staples
ULVR (-7.3%, 52w low), DGE (-1.6%, near 52w low), RKT (-0.3%, OS). All below all EMAs. Sector under severe pressure -- avoid.

WEAK -- Beverages / Tobacco
BATS (-1.2%, lost EMA20/50/POC), DGE (-1.6%). Breaking down.

MIXED -- Utilities
NG (-0.2%), below EMA20/50 but above EMA200. SSE crossed above EMA20 with heavy volume -- divergence within sector.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS

BULL (above all EMAs):
- SHEL: 3,583 | RSI 76.3 (OB) | MACD Bullish | -0.2% from 52w high | Above POC (+18.5%) | rv 0.72
- BP: 606.3 | RSI 73.4 (OB) | MACD Bullish | At 52w high | Above POC (+22.5%) | rv 0.78
- AZN: 14,690 | RSI 55.9 | MACD Bear recovering | -6.6% from 52w high | Above POC (+1.6%) | rv 0.81
- RIO: 6,944 | RSI 56.5 | MACD Bear recovering | -8.1% from 52w high | Above POC (+3.1%) | rv 0.81
- BAE: 2,200 | RSI 52.9 | MACD Bull fading | -6.8% from 52w high | Above POC (+4.3%) | rv 0.99
- GSK: 2,064 | RSI 53.5 | MACD Bear recovering | -9.6% from 52w high | Above POC (+0.9%) | rv 0.77
- GLEN: 565.5 | RSI 68.9 | MACD Bullish | -1.0% from 52w high | Above POC (+12.7%) | rv 0.83
- ADM: 3,150 | RSI 55.0 | MACD Bull fading | -14.5% from 52w high | Above POC (+5.9%) | rv 0.91

BULL (above 20/50, below 200):
- LSEG: 8,864 | RSI 60.4 | MACD Bull fading | -25.5% from 52w high | Above POC (+6.5%) | rv 0.67

MIXED:
- HSBA: 1,221.6 | RSI 48.9 | MACD Bear recovering | -13.4% from 52w high | Below POC (-2.1%) | rv 0.74 -- above EMA20, below EMA50, above EMA200

BEAR (below 20/50, above 200):
- RR.: 1,132 | RSI 38.7 | MACD Bearish | -20.3% from 52w high | Below POC (-10.4%) | rv 0.67 -- Crossed ABOVE EMA200 today
- BATS: 4,371 | RSI 47.9 | MACD Bearish | -6.5% from 52w high | Below POC (-0.8%) | rv 0.86 -- Lost EMA20/50/POC today
- NG: 1,269.5 | RSI 45.1 | MACD Bearish | -11.1% from 52w high | Below POC (-1.4%) | rv 0.69

BEAR (below all EMAs):
- ULVR: 4,199 | RSI 18.5 (OS) | MACD Bearish | -24.0% from 52w high | Below POC (-14.7%) | rv 2.63
- REL: 2,476 | RSI 48.2 | MACD Bearish | -40.8% from 52w high | Near POC (-0.01%) | rv 0.72
- CPG: 2,085 | RSI 40.2 | MACD Bearish | -24.1% from 52w high | Below POC (-5.4%) | rv 3.09
- III: 2,438 | RSI 32.2 | MACD Bearish | -45.8% from 52w high | Below POC (-20.3%) | rv 2.00
- DGE: 1,396 | RSI 35.1 | MACD Bear recovering | -37.0% from 52w high | Below POC (-12.1%) | rv 0.99
- RKT: 5,088 | RSI 27.6 (OS) | MACD Bear recovering | -21.9% from 52w high | Below POC (-14.6%) | rv 0.94
- EXPN: 2,598 | RSI 44.1 | MACD Bearish | -36.6% from 52w high | Below POC (-5.8%) | rv 0.89



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS


1. BP -- Momentum Long (CONTINUING)

5-day winning streak, new 52-week high at 609.4. Price above all EMAs with strong ADX (41.7). RSI at 73.4 (overbought) so expect pullbacks, but the trend is powerful. Brent crude above $118 is the fundamental driver.

Entry: 600-606 (pullback to EMA9 at 577 for aggressive add) · Stop: 583 (below 1x ATR) · T1: 625 · T2: 650 · R:R: 1:1.8
Close above POC (495). Volume normal (rv=0.78). Confluence: 4/5 (trend + structure + momentum + fundamental).
Caution: RSI overbought -- trail stop, don't add at highs.


2. GLEN -- Breakout Long (CONTINUING)

Testing 52-week high at 571.2 on Tuesday. Above all EMAs, MACD bullish. Mining sector tailwind from easing Iran tensions and commodity demand. ADX only 11.6 though -- trend not yet fully established.

Entry: 562-566 (on pullback to R1 pivot) · Stop: 545 (below S3 pivot) · T1: 580 · T2: 600 · R:R: 1:1.7
Above POC (502) by 12.7%. Needs volume confirmation (rv=0.83, slightly below avg).
Best entered on a clean break and hold above 571 with volume.


3. RIO -- Recovery Swing Long (NEW today)

+2.5% on the day, +5.8% on the week. Above all EMAs. MACD bear recovering (crossing up). RSI 56.5 with room to run. Above POC (6,734).

Entry: 6,900-6,950 (pullback) · Stop: 6,700 (below EMA50 at 6,672) · T1: 7,100 · T2: 7,300 · R:R: 1:1.5
ADX 34.3 -- solid trend strength. Week: +5.8% confirms momentum.


4. ULVR -- Mean Reversion Long (NEW -- HIGH RISK)

RSI at 18.5 (deeply oversold), -7.3% on the day, new 52-week low. McCormick deal could be a catalyst if confirmed. Heavy volume (rv=2.6) suggests capitulation selling.

Entry: 4,200-4,230 (only if RSI divergence forms on lower TF) · Stop: 4,090 (below Cam S4) · T1: 4,450 (Cam R1 area) · T2: 4,690 (EMA20) · R:R: 1:2.3
HALF SIZE ONLY. Counter-trend. Below all EMAs and POC. Only valid if selling exhaustion confirmed -- do not catch falling knife.


5. LSEG -- Breakout Recovery Long (NEW today)

+3.1% day, reclaiming above EMA20 and EMA50. Still below EMA200 (9,024) which is the next major target. RSI 60.4 with room.

Entry: 8,800-8,864 · Stop: 8,500 (below EMA50 at 8,443) · T1: 9,024 (EMA200) · T2: 9,200 · R:R: 1:1.3
ADX only 12.8 -- weak trend, so keep size modest until ADX picks up.



INTRADAY SETUPS


1. SHEL -- Camarilla R3 Breakout Long

Closed at 3,583, right at Cam R3 (3,604). In a strong uptrend (ADX 44). If price pushes through R3 early, trend day likely.

Entry: Break above 3,604 (Cam R3) · Stop: 3,568 (below Cam S2) · T1: 3,625 (Cam R4) · T2: 3,650 · R:R: 1:1.3 · Direction: Long
Why: 4-day up streak, above all EMAs, oil at $118. Daily trend fully supports intraday longs.


2. BAE -- Pivot Bounce Long

Classic pivot at 2,169. If BAE pulls back to pivot after yesterday's +3.2% surge, look for bounce.

Entry: 2,169-2,175 (Classic pivot) · Stop: 2,138 (below S1) · T1: 2,200 (yesterday's high) · T2: 2,231 (R1) · R:R: 1:1.8 · Direction: Long
Why: Crossed above EMA20, defence sector momentum, above POC.


3. BATS -- Camarilla S3 Fade Short

Lost EMA20, EMA50, and POC yesterday. If price bounces to Cam R1 (4,378) or R3 (4,392), fade the rally.

Entry: 4,378-4,392 (Cam R1-R3 zone) · Stop: 4,412 (above Cam R4) · T1: 4,350 (Cam S3) · T2: 4,330 (Cam S4) · R:R: 1:1.5 · Direction: Short
Why: Just broke below three key support levels. Daily trend shifting bearish. Fade rallies.


4. RIO -- Pivot Bounce Long

Classic pivot at 6,899, right near yesterday's close (6,944). Strong daily trend.

Entry: 6,890-6,900 (Classic pivot) · Stop: 6,825 (below S1) · T1: 7,018 (R1) · T2: 7,092 (R2) · R:R: 1:1.6 · Direction: Long
Why: +2.5% day, above all EMAs, MACD recovering, above POC. Mining sector strong.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

BP (606.3)
Cam: S4 598.1 · S3 602.2 · S1 604.9 || R1 607.7 · R3 610.4 · R4 614.6
Classic: S2 588.4 · S1 597.3 · Pivot 603.4 · R1 612.3 · R2 618.4
EMA: 9=577 · 20=551 · 50=511 · 200=456
POC: 495 | Prev H/L: 609/594 | 52w: 609/329

SHEL (3,583)
Cam: S4 3,541 · S3 3,562 · S1 3,576 || R1 3,590 · R3 3,604 · R4 3,625
Classic: S2 3,486 · S1 3,535 · Pivot 3,563 · R1 3,612 · R2 3,640
EMA: 9=3,478 · 20=3,365 · 50=3,149 · 200=2,851
POC: 3,024 | Prev H/L: 3,592/3,515 | 52w: 3,592/2,270

RIO (6,944)
Cam: S4 6,838 · S3 6,891 · S1 6,926 || R1 6,962 · R3 6,997 · R4 7,050
Classic: S2 6,706 · S1 6,825 · Pivot 6,899 · R1 7,018 · R2 7,092
EMA: 9=6,650 · 20=6,696 · 50=6,672 · 200=5,838
POC: 6,734 | Prev H/L: 6,973/6,780 | 52w: 7,557/4,025

BAE (2,200)
Cam: S4 2,149 · S3 2,175 · S1 2,192 || R1 2,208 · R3 2,225 · R4 2,251
Classic: S2 2,077 · S1 2,139 · Pivot 2,169 · R1 2,231 · R2 2,261
EMA: 9=2,167 · 20=2,180 · 50=2,112 · 200=1,904
POC: 2,110 | Prev H/L: 2,200/2,108 | 52w: 2,360/1,394

ULVR (4,199)
Cam: S4 3,991 · S3 4,095 · S1 4,164 || R1 4,234 · R3 4,303 · R4 4,407
Classic: S2 3,946 · S1 4,073 · Pivot 4,324 · R1 4,450 · R2 4,701
EMA: 9=4,504 · 20=4,691 · 50=4,879 · 200=5,014
POC: 4,922 | Prev H/L: 4,575/4,197 | 52w: 5,525/4,197



BEARISH WARNINGS

ULVR (4,199) -- New 52-week low. RSI 18.5 (deeply oversold). Below all EMAs. MACD deeply bearish. Heavy volume selloff (rv=2.6). McCormick deal uncertainty + hiring freeze. ADX 47.9 confirms strong downtrend. Avoid longs unless capitulation signal confirmed.

RKT (5,088) -- RSI 27.6 (oversold). Below all EMAs. -21.9% from 52w high. MACD bear recovering but still deeply negative (-256). Below POC by 14.6%. ADX 45.6 = strong downtrend.

DGE (1,396) -- Near 52-week low (1,350). RSI 35.1. Below all EMAs. -37% from 52w high. Strong downtrend (ADX 39.4). Consumer spending concerns.

III (2,438) -- Below all EMAs. -45.8% from 52w high. Despite +3.4% bounce, still deeply bearish. ADX 44.9 confirms strong downtrend. Week: -12.7%.

BATS (4,371) -- JUST broke below EMA20, EMA50, and POC yesterday. New bearish breakdown. Watch for continuation lower toward EMA200 (4,084).

CPG (2,085) -- Below all EMAs. Heavy volume (rv=3.1) but only +0.2% change -- potential distribution. -24% from 52w high.



EVENTS CALENDAR

- Tuesday 1 April: UK Manufacturing PMI (final). New Q2 begins -- expect rebalancing flows.
- Wednesday 2 April: US ADP employment, ISM Manufacturing. Oil market watch (Hormuz).
- Thursday 3 April: BoE credit conditions survey.
- Friday 4 April: US Non-Farm Payrolls.
- Ongoing: Strait of Hormuz closure -- Brent above $118 and rising. Potential escalation risk.
- FCA car loan redress bill (GBP7.5bn) -- watch bank sector for further developments.
- ULVR: McCormick deal rumours -- confirmation could trigger sharp re-rating.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Tuesday 31 March 2026
Data: Close 30 March | UKX: ~9,984 | Futures: ~9,785 (-0.2%)



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 closed Monday at approximately 9,984 after a strong broad-based rally led by energy, mining, and defence. Tuesday futures are indicated around 9,785 (source: Barchart/Investing.com), a modest pullback from Monday's close. The positive sentiment is driven by reports that Trump has signalled willingness to end military operations against Iran, even without a Strait of Hormuz deal (WSJ). However, Brent crude remains elevated at $107.22/bbl and WTI at $103.78, continuing to support FTSE energy heavyweights. UK Q4 GDP came in at +0.1% QoQ as expected. UK house prices rose 0.9% MoM in March (Nationwide), and grocery sales growth supports retailers.

Key macro drivers today: Iran war exit reports (risk-on), elevated oil prices (energy tailwind), Q4 GDP confirmation (neutral), and end-of-quarter rebalancing flows.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)

These are the most significant moves from Friday 27 March to Monday 30 March -- the stocks that demand attention today:

AZN -- Crossed ABOVE EMA50, MACD bullish crossover, crossed above POC. Week: +6.46%, RSI surged +21.7 pts over the week. Major recovery underway.

RIO -- Crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50, MACD bullish crossover, +3.5% daily move, crossed above POC. Triple EMA recapture signals trend reversal.

LSEG -- RSI surged +10.6 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50, +4.3% daily move, crossed above POC. Strongest single-day move in the scanner.

BP -- +3.1% move, 5-day up streak, week: +7.98%. Now at a fresh 52-week high (602p). Relentless oil-driven rally.

BAE -- Crossed ABOVE EMA50, +3.1% daily move, crossed above POC. Defence spending momentum continues.

BATS -- Crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50, crossed above POC. Quiet breakout in tobacco.

ADM -- Crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA200, +3.1% move. Key EMA200 recapture is technically significant.

RR. -- Week: -5.06%. Continued deterioration below all EMAs. Defence sector divergence (BAE up, RR. down).



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG -- Oil and Gas (avg +2.6%, RSI 73.
SHEL +2.1% and BP +3.1% both bull above all EMAs. BP at 52-week high. Oil above $107/bbl is the primary driver. Both overbought on RSI but trend is firmly bullish.

STRONG -- Mining (avg +3.1%, RSI 58.7)
RIO +3.5% recaptured EMA20/50 with MACD bullish crossover. GLEN +2.8% near 52-week high. Commodity prices and China reopening narrative supporting.

BULLISH -- Pharma (avg +1.7%, RSI 54.
AZN +2.8% major recovery week (+6.5%), now above all EMAs. GSK +0.7% steady above all EMAs. Defensive sector rotation helping.

STRONG -- Banking/Finance (avg +2.7%, RSI 50.
LSEG +4.3% was the star -- crossed above EMA20/50. HSBA +1.0% still below EMA20/50, lagging the sector.

STRONG -- Defence (avg +3.1%, RSI 46.7)
BAE +3.1% bounced above EMA50 and POC. Iran conflict narrative remains supportive.

WEAK -- Consumer Staples (avg +0.7%, RSI 36.3)
Mixed picture. BATS +1.7% is bull above all EMAs. But ULVR RSI 28 (oversold), DGE RSI 37.6, RKT RSI 28 -- three of four names in bearish territory below all EMAs.

WEAK -- Consumer Discretionary (avg +2.6%, RSI 43.5)
REL +3.2% bounced but remains below all EMAs, 41% off 52-week high. CPG +2.1% also below all EMAs. Bounces into weakness.

MIXED -- Industrials (avg +2.1%, RSI 44.2)
ADM +3.1% recaptured EMA200 -- technically significant. EXPN +3.3% bounced but still below all EMAs. RR. -0.2% continued weakness.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE

Ticker | Trend | RSI | MACD | vs 52wH | Day Ch | vs POC

BULLISH (above all EMAs):
AZN Bull (above all) 56.2 Bull -6.5% +2.80% Above
SHEL Bull (above all) 75.0 OB Bull -0.4% +2.05% Above
BP Bull (above all) 72.7 OB Bull 0.0% +3.06% Above
RIO Bull (above all) 52.0 Bull -10.4% +3.47% Above
BATS Bull (above all) 51.5 Bear -5.3% +1.72% Above
GSK Bull (above all) 53.4 Bull -9.6% +0.68% Above
GLEN Bull (above all) 65.4 Bull -1.1% +2.80% Above
ADM Bull (above all) 55.3 Bear -14.4% +3.07% Above

RECOVERING:
LSEG Bull (above 20/50) 54.4 Bear -27.7% +4.32% Above
BAE Mixed (below E20) 46.7 Bear -9.7% +3.14% Above

NEUTRAL:
HSBA Bear (below 20/50) 47.1 Bull -14.1% +1.00% Below
NG Bear (below 20/50) 45.6 Bear -10.9% +2.91% Below

BEARISH (below all EMAs):
ULVR Bear (below all) 28.0 OS Bear -18.0% +1.09% Below
RR. Bear (below all) 34.5 Bear -22.1% -0.18% Below
REL Bear (below all) 47.5 Bear -41.0% +3.18% Below
CPG Bear (below all) 39.6 Bear -24.3% +2.06% Below
III Bear (below all) 27.3 OS Bear -47.6% +1.51% Below
DGE Bear (below all) 37.6 Bull -35.9% +1.18% Below
RKT Bear (below all) 28.0 OS Bear -21.7% -1.20% Below
EXPN Bear (below all) 42.7 Bear -37.0% +3.28% Below

EMA classifications verified programmatically against raw close vs EMA20/50/200 values. All 20 stocks confirmed correct.



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS


1. RIO -- Bullish Breakout (NEW signal today)

Crossed above EMA20 and EMA50 on Monday with MACD bullish crossover and above POC. RSI 52 gives plenty of room to run. This is a fresh signal -- was below both EMAs on Friday. Mining sector tailwind from commodities.

Entry: 6770-6780 Stop: 6412 (1.5x ATR below, below Friday's low) T1: 7012 T2: 7252 R:R: 1:0.7 to T1, 1:1.3 to T2
Confluence: 6/7 -- Bull trend, healthy RSI, MACD bull cross, above POC, strong move, sector strength

2. BP -- Momentum Continuation (CONTINUING -- 5-day streak)

At fresh 52-week high (602p). 5-day winning streak with week +7.98%. Above all EMAs, MACD bullish, above POC. Oil above $107 is the fuel. RSI 72.7 is overbought but in a strong trend this can persist. Use pullback entries.

Entry: 590-595 on pullback (Cam S3 at 597) Stop: 576 (1.5x ATR) T1: 619 T2: 636 R:R: 1:1.3 to T1 from 590
Confluence: 6/7 -- Bull trend, MACD bull, above POC, strong move, 52w high, sector strength

3. GLEN -- Near 52-Week High (CONTINUING)

553.5p vs 52-week high of 559.6p (-1.1%). Above all EMAs with MACD bullish. Mining sector strong. Above POC (500). ADX only 10.7 suggests the move is still developing, not exhausted.

Entry: 548-554 Stop: 524 (1.5x ATR) T1: 573 T2: 593 R:R: 1:0.7 to T1, 1:1.3 to T2
Confluence: 6/7 -- Bull trend, MACD bull, above POC, strong move, near 52w high, sector strength

4. AZN -- Recovery Play (NEW -- crossed EMA50, MACD crossover)

Major recovery: +6.5% for the week, RSI surged +21.7 points. Crossed above EMA50 and POC with MACD bullish crossover. Now bull above all EMAs. Stochastic RSI at 100 -- short-term overbought so a small pullback may offer better entry.

Entry: 14500-14600 on pullback (near Cam S3 14584) Stop: 14162 (classic S2) T1: 15062 T2: 15292 (classic R3) R:R: 1:1.1 to T1 from 14550
Confluence: 6/7 -- Bull trend, healthy RSI, MACD bull cross, above POC, strong move

5. GSK -- Quiet Strength (CONTINUING)

Bull above all EMAs with RSI 53.4 and MACD bullish. Above POC (2042). Steady rather than spectacular -- 0.68% on Monday. Low vol (RV 1.14) but consistent. Pharma sector rotation beneficiary.

Entry: 2055-2065 Stop: 1995 (1.5x ATR) T1: 2108 T2: 2154 R:R: 1:0.7 to T1, 1:1.4 to T2
Confluence: 5/7 -- Bull trend, healthy RSI, MACD bull, above POC



INTRADAY SETUPS


1. LSEG -- Pivot Bounce Long

Monday's +4.3% move was the strongest in the scanner. If price opens near pivot (8483) or pulls back to Cam S1 (8569), this is a dip-buy with trend. Crossed above EMA20/50 -- new bullish structure. RSI 54.4 supports further upside.

Direction: Long
Entry: 8485-8570 (pivot to Cam S1) Stop: 8365 (classic S1) T1: 8700 (Cam R3) T2: 8798 (Cam R4) R:R: 1:1.2

2. BAE -- Camarilla Range Long

Bounced +3.1% Monday. Cam S3-R3 range: 2103-2161. If price opens near Cam S1 (2122) or dips to Cam S3 (2103 -- aligns with POC at 2105), long into R1/R3. Daily EMA50 support at 2109.

Direction: Long
Entry: 2103-2122 (Cam S3 to S1) Stop: 2074 (Cam S4) T1: 2142 (Cam R1) T2: 2161 (Cam R3) R:R: 1:1.3

3. BP -- Breakout Continuation Long

At 52-week high. Cam R3 at 607, Cam R4 at 612. A break above 607 signals a trend continuation day. Wait for the break, enter on retest.

Direction: Long
Entry: 607 (break of Cam R3) Stop: 597 (Cam S3) T1: 612 (Cam R4) T2: 625 (classic R3) R:R: 1:0.5 to T1, 1:1.8 to T2

4. RKT -- Camarilla Range Short (Mean Reversion)

Bear below all EMAs, RSI 28 (oversold), MACD deeply bearish. -1.2% on a day when most stocks rallied. If price bounces to Cam R1 (5111) or R3 (5130), fade the rally. Below POC (5971) by a wide margin.

Direction: Short
Entry: 5111-5130 (Cam R1 to R3) Stop: 5158 (Cam R4) T1: 5075 (Cam S3) T2: 5046 (Cam S4) R:R: 1:1.3 to T1



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD


RIO (6772)
Cam: S4 6712 - S3 6742 - S1 6762 || R1 6782 - R3 6802 - R4 6833
Classic: S2 6669 - S1 6720 - Pivot 6779 - R1 6830 - R2 6889
EMAs: E9 6576 - E20 6670 - E50 6661 - E200 5827
POC: 6723 | Prev H/L: 6837/6727 | 52w H/L: 7557/4025

BP (602)
Cam: S4 592 - S3 597 - S1 600 || R1 604 - R3 607 - R4 612
Classic: S2 579 - S1 590 - Pivot 596 - R1 608 - R2 614
EMAs: E9 570 - E20 545 - E50 507 - E200 454
POC: 492 | Prev H/L: 602/585 | 52w H/L: 602/329

LSEG (8602)
Cam: S4 8406 - S3 8504 - S1 8569 || R1 8635 - R3 8700 - R4 8798
Classic: S2 8127 - S1 8365 - Pivot 8483 - R1 8721 - R2 8839
EMAs: E9 8490 - E20 8476 - E50 8426 - E200 9026
POC: 8323 | Prev H/L: 8602/8246 | 52w H/L: 11895/6684

GLEN (553.5)
Cam: S4 542 - S3 548 - S1 552 || R1 555 - R3 559 - R4 565
Classic: S2 529 - S1 541 - Pivot 551 - R1 563 - R2 572
EMAs: E9 534 - E20 526 - E50 503 - E200 416
POC: 500 | Prev H/L: 560/538 | 52w H/L: 560/205

AZN (14702)
Cam: S4 14466 - S3 14584 - S1 14663 || R1 14741 - R3 14820 - R4 14939
Classic: S2 14162 - S1 14432 - Pivot 14592 - R1 14862 - R2 15022
EMAs: E9 14221 - E20 14335 - E50 14327 - E200 13171
POC: 14453 | Prev H/L: 14752/14322 | 52w H/L: 15730/9574



BEARISH WARNINGS


III (3i Group) -- SEVERE
Bear below all EMAs. RSI 27.3 (oversold). MACD deeply bearish at -203.81. Down -47.6% from 52-week high (4497). Week: -14.25%. Well below POC (3086). ADX 44.4 confirms strong downtrend. No sign of bottoming yet. Avoid longs.

RKT (Reckitt) -- SEVERE
Bear below all EMAs. RSI 28.0 (oversold). MACD -264 vs signal -260. Down -21.7% from 52w high. -1.2% on Monday while most stocks rallied -- relative weakness is a red flag. Below POC (5971) by 15%. ADX 45.8 = strong downtrend.

ULVR (Unilever) -- WARNING
Bear below all EMAs. RSI 28.0 (oversold). Below POC (4955). Down -18% from 52w high. ADX 46.2 = strong downtrend. However, RSI is deeply oversold so a technical bounce is possible -- counter-trend only, half size.

RR. (Rolls-Royce) -- WARNING
Bear below all EMAs. RSI 34.5. Week: -5.06%. Below POC (1265). Was -0.18% on Monday while index rallied strongly. Close at 1106.5 is just below EMA200 (1110.2) -- a failed recapture attempt is bearish. Stochastic RSI at 0 = maximum bearish momentum.

REL (RELX) -- WARNING
Bear below all EMAs. Down -41% from 52w high (4183). Below POC (2480). MACD bearish below zero. Monday's +3.2% bounce was into resistance (POC and EMA20). Low volume (RV 0.44) = weak bounce.

DGE (Diageo) -- WARNING
Bear below all EMAs. RSI 37.6. Down -35.9% from 52w high. Below POC (1592). Near 52w low of 1350. MACD bullish crossover forming (noted in comparison data) and 4-day up streak may signal early recovery -- but still firmly in downtrend.

EXPN (Experian) -- WARNING
Bear below all EMAs. Down -37% from 52w high. Below POC (2777). Thin volume (RV 0.54). Monday's +3.3% bounce was on low conviction.



EVENTS CALENDAR

Tuesday 31 March:
- UK Q4 GDP final reading (confirmed +0.1% QoQ)
- UK Nationwide house price index (March +0.9% MoM)
- Raspberry Pi Holdings FY results (EBITDA +25%)
- A.G. Barr results (pretax profit +12.5%)
- End of Q1 -- potential rebalancing flows
- Geopolitical: Trump/Iran war exit reports (WSJ) -- key driver

Rest of week:
- US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Tuesday)
- US JOLTS Job Openings (Tuesday)
- Global oil supply updates (Hormuz Strait situation)
- April catalysts: Lloyds, Tesco, Standard Chartered earnings expected

Macro backdrop: Brent crude $107/bbl, WTI $104/bbl. GBP/USD 1.3202 (+0.1%). Iran-US conflict de-escalation hopes providing risk-on support but oil remains elevated, creating a push-pull dynamic for the FTSE.



SUMMARY

Monday was a strong broad-based rally with 18 of 20 tracked stocks positive. The standout theme is the number of bullish EMA crossovers: AZN, RIO, LSEG, BAE, BATS, and ADM all recaptured key moving averages. Oil and mining are the dominant sectors with BP at a 52-week high and GLEN near its high. The market is bifurcated: commodity and defensive names are in clear uptrends, while consumer discretionary and some industrials (III, RKT, ULVR, REL) remain in deep bear trends far below their 52-week highs. The best setups today are trend continuations in RIO, BP, and GLEN, and recovery plays in AZN and LSEG on pullbacks.

Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Wednesday 26 March 2026
Data: Close 25 March | UKX: ~10,091 | Futures: March contract expiring (unreliable) -- cash index +1.26%



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 closed at approximately 10,091 on 25 March, up 1.26% (+126 points), extending a two-day rebound driven by easing oil prices and hopes of Middle East de-escalation. Brent crude fell to ~$99.75/bbl from a high of $113.71 earlier in the month after Trump signalled Iran peace talks. The March FTSE 100 futures contract is expiring and showing ~9,785 which is unreliable -- the cash index is the better reference. Banks and miners led gains while energy names (Shell, BP) pulled back slightly as oil retreated. Defensive names like Reckitt and Unilever remain under pressure. Broader European sentiment is risk-on with investors rotating from energy/defensives into cyclicals and financials.

Source: Trading Economics, Fortune, CNBC.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)

These are the most significant moves from yesterday to today -- the stocks that demand attention:

BULLISH
- GSK -- RSI surged 12.7 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50, +3.9%, crossed above POC. Week: +5.0%, RSI week: +19.5 pts. The strongest single-day turnaround in the scanner.
- AAL -- Big move +3.9%, Week: +7.3%. Mining sector strength accelerating.
- STAN -- MACD bullish crossover, 4-day up streak. Week: +6.66%. Banks leading.
- PRU -- RSI surged 8.4 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA20, MACD bullish crossover. Insurance sector rotation.
- ANTO -- Week: +6.05%. Copper miners in demand.
- BARC -- MACD bullish crossover. Banks broadly strong.
- SSE -- Crossed ABOVE EMA50. Utilities stabilising.
- INF -- MACD bullish crossover. Infrastructure catching a bid.

BEARISH
- BAE -- Week: -6.59%, RSI week: -17.3 pts. Defence sector under pressure as Middle East tensions ease.
- EXPN -- 5-day down streak, Week: -5.14%. Persistent selling in data/tech names.
- REL -- 5-day down streak. RELX continues to deteriorate.
- BP -- RSI week: -15.2 pts. Despite being above all EMAs, momentum is fading fast as oil retreats.
- BNZL -- Crossed BELOW EMA50. Losing medium-term trend support.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG
- Pharma: GSK +3.9% (RSI surged, broke above both EMAs), AZN +1.8%. Sector rotation into healthcare is clear.
- Mining: GLEN +2.2% (near 52w high), RIO +1.3%. AAL +3.9% and ANTO +6.0% (from comparison). Copper and diversified miners in demand.
- Banks: HSBA +2.5%, STAN +6.7% week, BARC MACD bullish crossover. Broad-based bank strength.

MIXED
- Oil & Gas: BP +1.7% but RSI fading (week: -15.2 pts). SHEL -0.8%. Oil retreat from $113 to $99 is weighing. Still in strong uptrends but momentum is turning.
- Aerospace/Defence: RR. +2.5% but BAE -6.6% on the week. Defence de-rating on peace hopes; Rolls-Royce holding better on civil aerospace demand.
- Utilities: NG +2.4%, SSE crossed above EMA50. Signs of stabilisation but still below key EMAs.

WEAK
- Consumer Staples: ULVR -0.1% (RSI 23.9, oversold), RKT -0.1% (RSI 23.8, oversold), DGE +1.1% (RSI 29.7, near OS). Structural downtrends across the board.
- Insurance/Financials: REL -1.5% (5-day down streak), III +1.5% but still below all EMAs. LSEG -0.2%.
- Data/Tech: EXPN -1.4% (5-day down streak, -5.1% week). Growth names still being sold.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS

Ticker -- Trend -- RSI (Zone) -- MACD -- %52wH -- Daily Ch -- POC -- RV

AZN -- Bear (below 20/50) -- 41.9 (N) -- Bear -- -10.6% -- +1.82% -- POC below -- rv 0.41
HSBA -- Bear (below 20/50) -- 46.4 (N) -- Bear -- -14.1% -- +2.54% -- POC below -- rv 0.83
SHEL -- Bull (above all) -- 69 (N) -- Bull -- -1.6% -- -0.78% -- POC above -- rv 0.58
ULVR -- Bear (below all) -- 23.9 (OS) -- Bear -- -18.1% -- -0.1% -- POC below -- rv 1.03
RR. -- Bear (below 20/50) -- 43 (N) -- Bear -- -15.9% -- +2.45% -- POC below -- rv 0.38
BP -- Bull (above all) -- 65.9 (N) -- Bull -- -2.8% -- +1.72% -- POC above -- rv 0.73
RIO -- Bear (below 20/50) -- 44.5 (N) -- Bear -- -13.2% -- +1.27% -- POC below -- rv 0.49
BATS -- Bear (below 20/50) -- 46.7 (N) -- Bear -- -6.6% -- +0.72% -- POC below -- rv 0.45
BAE -- Mixed (below e20, above e50, above e200) -- 47.1 (N) -- Bear -- -8.6% -- +1.36% -- POC above -- rv 0.63
GSK -- Bull (above all) -- 52 (N) -- Bear -- -10.0% -- +3.89% -- POC above -- rv 1.04
REL -- Bear (below all) -- 38.9 (N) -- Bear -- -42.8% -- -1.52% -- POC below -- rv 0.73
LSEG -- Mixed (below e20, above e50, below e200) -- 50 (N) -- Bear -- -28.9% -- -0.21% -- POC above -- rv 0.42
CPG -- Bear (below all) -- 45.4 (N) -- Bear -- -21.3% -- +2.08% -- POC below -- rv 0.36
ADM -- Bull (above all) -- 55.2 (N) -- Bear -- -14.7% -- -0.32% -- POC above -- rv 0.54
III -- Bear (below all) -- 37.7 (N) -- Bear -- -37.9% -- +1.53% -- POC below -- rv 0.7
DGE -- Bear (below all) -- 29.7 (OS) -- Bear -- -37.8% -- +1.06% -- POC below -- rv 0.72
GLEN -- Bull (above all) -- 61.7 (N) -- Bear -- -1.3% -- +2.2% -- POC above -- rv 0.67
NG -- Bear (below 20/50) -- 41.3 (N) -- Bear -- -11.7% -- +2.44% -- POC below -- rv 0.72
RKT -- Bear (below all) -- 23.8 (OS) -- Bear -- -21.6% -- -0.12% -- POC below -- rv 0.72
EXPN -- Bear (below all) -- 34.5 (N) -- Bear -- -38.3% -- -1.4% -- POC below -- rv 0.75



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS

1. GSK -- Bullish EMA Breakout (NEW today)

GSK surged +3.9% and crossed above both EMA20 (2034) and EMA50 (2018) in a single session. RSI jumped 12.7 points to 52 -- right at the neutral midpoint with room to run. Close at 2054 is above POC (2038), confirming buyers are accepting higher prices. This is a NEW setup triggered today.

Entry: 2054-2060 . Stop: 1989 (below yesterday's low) . T1: 2097 (R2) . T2: 2140 (R3) . R:R: 1:1.3
Confluence: 4/5 -- EMA breakout + RSI momentum surge + POC reclaim + volume normal (rv 1.04)
Invalidation: Close back below 2018 (EMA50)


2. GLEN -- Bull Trend Continuation (Continuing)

Glencore closed at 539.5, just 1.3% from its 52-week high of 546.5. Above all three EMAs (e20=520, e50=498, e200=412). RSI at 61.7 with StochRSI at 100 -- strong momentum but not yet overbought on standard RSI. Above POC at 496. The trend has been in play for weeks but remains valid.

Entry: 539-541 . Stop: 520 (EMA20) . T1: 546.5 (52w high) . T2: 560 (round number) . R:R: 1:1.1
Confluence: 4/5 -- Above all EMAs + above POC + near 52w breakout + strong RSI
Invalidation: Close below 520 (EMA20)


3. BP -- Bull Trend with Caution (Continuing but fading)

BP at 567.1, above all EMAs (e20=529, e50=496, e200=450) and just 2.8% from 52w high (583.6). RSI 65.9 approaching overbought. However, RSI has dropped 15.2 points on the week as oil pulls back from $113 to $99. MACD still bullish but barely (m=24.2 vs s=21.6). Above POC at 485. This is a trend that may be topping out -- trade with tight stops.

Entry: 562-567 (pullback to Cam S3) . Stop: 549 (below yesterday's low) . T1: 577 (Cam R4) . T2: 583.6 (52w high) . R:R: 1:1.2
Confluence: 3/5 -- Above all EMAs + above POC + weakening momentum (RSI fading)
Invalidation: Close below EMA20 at 529


4. ADM -- Bull Consolidation Above EMAs (Continuing)

Admiral at 3146, above all three EMAs (e20=3121, e50=3042, e200=3091). RSI at 55.2 -- healthy bullish territory. MACD is bearish (73.7 vs 84.4) with histogram contracting, suggesting a potential pullback is near but the trend structure remains intact. Well above POC at 2970.

Entry: 3121-3135 (pullback to EMA20) . Stop: 3085 (below EMA200) . T1: 3187 (R2) . T2: 3205 (R3) . R:R: 1:1.6
Confluence: 3/5 -- Above all EMAs + above POC + RSI neutral-bullish
Invalidation: Close below 3042 (EMA50)



INTRADAY SETUPS

1. GSK -- Pivot Bounce Long

Direction: LONG
Yesterday's close at 2054 is above the classic pivot (2032) and above R1 level is at 2076. With the massive RSI surge and EMA breakout, any pullback to the pivot zone is a buy.
Entry: 2036-2042 (Cam S3 to Cam S2) . Stop: 2018 (Cam S4) . Target: 2072 (Cam R3) . R:R: 1:1.7
Why: Daily trend just turned bullish, RSI momentum confirms, POC reclaimed.


2. SHEL -- Camarilla R3 Fade Short

Direction: SHORT (counter-trend -- half size)
Shell at 3433 closed near the highs but RSI is 69 (approaching OB) and MACD histogram is barely positive. The Cam R3 at 3447 and R4 at 3462 provide fade levels. Oil is retreating from $113 to $99 -- headwind for energy.
Entry: 3443-3447 (Cam R3) . Stop: 3462 (Cam R4) . Target: 3422 (Pivot) . R:R: 1:1.4
Why: RSI near OB, oil retreating, Cam R3 fade setup. Counter-trend so half size.


3. HSBA -- Classic Pivot Bounce Long

Direction: LONG
HSBA closed at 1211.4, right at the classic pivot (1213.. RSI at 46.4 with StochRSI at 81.7 showing short-term momentum. Banks are broadly strong (STAN +6.7% week, BARC MACD bullish crossover). A bounce from the pivot targets R1.
Entry: 1206-1214 (Cam S1 to Pivot) . Stop: 1196 (Cam S3) . Target: 1240 (R1) . R:R: 1:2.0
Why: Banking sector strength, pivot support, RSI improving.


4. RIO -- Camarilla S3 Bounce Long

Direction: LONG
RIO at 6563, below EMA20/50 but above EMA200. Mining sector is strong (GLEN near 52w high, AAL +3.9%). Cam S3 at 6537 provides a well-defined bounce level with stop at Cam S4 (6511).
Entry: 6537-6545 (Cam S3) . Stop: 6511 (Cam S4) . Target: 6589 (Cam R3) . R:R: 1:1.8
Why: Sector tailwind, Cam S3 bounce, above EMA200.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

GSK (Close: 2054)
Cam: S4 2018.25 . S3 2036.13 . S2 2042.08 . S1 2048.04 || R1 2059.96 . R2 2065.92 . R3 2071.88 . R4 2089.75
Classic: S3 1945.67 . S2 1967.33 . S1 2010.67 || Pivot 2032.33 || R1 2075.67 . R2 2097.33 . R3 2140.67
EMAs: 20=2034.12 . 50=2018.26 . 200=1786.48
POC: 2037.62 . Prev H/L: 2054/1989 . 52w H/L: 2282/1242.5

GLEN (Close: 539.5)
Cam: S4 532.85 . S3 536.17 . S2 537.28 . S1 538.39 || R1 540.61 . R2 541.72 . R3 542.83 . R4 546.16
Classic: S3 521.1 . S2 526.9 . S1 533.2 || Pivot 539 || R1 545.3 . R2 551.1 . R3 557.4
EMAs: 20=520.37 . 50=498.43 . 200=412.49
POC: 496.05 . Prev H/L: 544.8/532.7 . 52w H/L: 546.5/205

BP (Close: 567.1)
Cam: S4 557.09 . S3 562.1 . S2 563.76 . S1 565.43 || R1 568.77 . R2 570.44 . R3 572.11 . R4 577.11
Classic: S3 536.77 . S2 542.83 . S1 554.97 || Pivot 561.03 || R1 573.17 . R2 579.23 . R3 591.37
EMAs: 20=528.83 . 50=495.97 . 200=450.09
POC: 485.13 . Prev H/L: 567.1/548.9 . 52w H/L: 583.6/329.2

SHEL (Close: 3433)
Cam: S4 3404.4 . S3 3418.7 . S2 3423.47 . S1 3428.23 || R1 3437.77 . R2 3442.53 . R3 3447.3 . R4 3461.6
Classic: S3 3349.33 . S2 3369.67 . S1 3401.33 || Pivot 3421.67 || R1 3453.33 . R2 3473.67 . R3 3505.33
EMAs: 20=3285.24 . 50=3083.96 . 200=2823.69
POC: 2989.76 . Prev H/L: 3442/3390 . 52w H/L: 3490/2269.92

HSBA (Close: 1211.4)
Cam: S4 1181.05 . S3 1196.23 . S2 1201.28 . S1 1206.34 || R1 1216.46 . R2 1221.52 . R3 1226.57 . R4 1241.75
Classic: S3 1129.83 . S2 1158.61 . S1 1185.01 || Pivot 1213.79 || R1 1240.19 . R2 1268.97 . R3 1295.37
EMAs: 20=1224.75 . 50=1233.36 . 200=1099.39
POC: 1250.87 . Prev H/L: 1242.58/1187.4 . 52w H/L: 1410.42/698.7



BEARISH WARNINGS

ULVR -- Oversold but No Floor Yet
RSI 23.9 (deeply oversold), below ALL EMAs, StochRSI at 0. Close at 4523 is 18.1% below 52w high and well below POC at 4992. MACD deeply bearish (-165.9 vs -119.2). This is a falling knife -- no reversal signal yet despite oversold readings. Wait for RSI divergence or EMA reclaim before considering longs.

RKT -- Structural Breakdown
RSI 23.8 (deeply oversold), below ALL EMAs, 21.6% below 52w high. MACD at -285.7 -- the most bearish MACD reading in the entire scanner. POC at 6022 is miles above current price of 5104. Volume normal (rv 0.72) suggests no capitulation yet. Avoid.

DGE -- Near 52-Week Low
Diageo at 1377, just 2% above 52w low of 1350. RSI 29.7 (on the edge of oversold). Below all EMAs. MACD deeply bearish. The consumer staples sector is in a structural downtrend. A break of 1350 opens downside to 1300.

REL -- 5-Day Down Streak
RELX at 2393, below all EMAs, 42.8% below 52w high. Five consecutive down days. RSI 38.9 and falling. MACD just crossed bearish. StochRSI at 0. Persistent selling with no sign of a floor.

EXPN -- 5-Day Down Streak, -5.1% on Week
Experian at 2530, below all EMAs, 38.3% below 52w high. RSI 34.5 approaching oversold. MACD bearish. Five straight down days. Data/tech names continue to be sold aggressively.

BAE -- Defence De-Rating
BAE at 2156, below EMA20 (2205) but above EMA50 (2110) and EMA200 (1895). Down 6.6% on the week with RSI dropping 17.3 pts. MACD has crossed bearish (31.9 vs 57.6). The defence sector is de-rating as Middle East peace hopes grow. Watch EMA50 at 2110 as the next key support -- a break would confirm further downside.

BNZL -- Crossed below EMA50 today. Watch for further deterioration.



EVENTS CALENDAR

- Thursday 26 March: 165 UK earnings reports scheduled (busiest day this week). Check individual holdings.
- Friday 27 March: 40 UK earnings reports.
- Key macro: UK Spring Budget economic forecast downgrade already priced. Unemployment expected to peak this year.
- Oil: Watch for further Iran/US diplomatic developments -- any escalation reverses the oil-down, risk-on trade.
- Kingfisher reported +6% annual profit rise and GBP300m buyback -- positive read-through for UK consumer sentiment.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Tuesday 24 March 2026
Data: Close 23 March | UKX: ~8,436 (LSEG proxy) | Futures: ~8,785 (-1.2% from Fri close, source: IG/Investing.com)



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 is set to open sharply lower on Tuesday. Futures are trading around 8,785, down approximately 1.2% from Friday's close after Monday's session saw broad selling pressure. Brent crude swung wildly -- topping $112 on Friday before crashing ~11% to $99 on Monday as Trump delayed strikes on Iran, then bouncing back above $99 in Asian trading Tuesday. The oil whipsaw is the dominant driver this week. The UK economic backdrop remains challenging: the OBR has downgraded 2026 growth and warned inflation could end the year at 3% due to energy-driven pressures from the Middle East conflict. Monday's session was a sea of red outside miners and banks, with 36 of our 40 tracked stocks sitting below their EMA20.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)

These are the stocks that demand attention today based on what changed since Friday:

BAE -- RSI dropped 11.4 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20, -4.9% on the day. 4-day down streak, -8.2% on the week. Defence giant under severe pressure.

ADM -- RSI dropped 10.6 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20, -3.3%. 4-day down streak, -6.1% on the week. Former momentum leader breaking down.

SHEL -- RSI dropped 11.3 pts despite still being the strongest stock on the board. 4-day down streak, RSI -17.8 pts on the week. Oil reversal hitting hard.

BP -- RSI dropped 10.3 pts, -4.2% on the day. Oil sell-off broadening.

TSCO -- RSI dropped 8.8 pts, crossed BELOW EMA50, -3.5%. Crossed below POC. 4-day down streak, -7.8% on the week.

SSE -- Crossed BELOW EMA50 and below POC. 4-day down streak, -9% on the week. RSI collapsed 27 pts this week.

NG -- 4-day down streak, -11% on the week. RSI collapsed 28 pts. Utilities crushed.

ANTO -- RSI surged 8.2 pts, +7.3% on the day. Heavy volume (rv=1.6). Miners bouncing hard.

AAL -- RSI surged 8.9 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA200, +5.5%. Mining recovery signal.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG -- Mining (+3.5% avg): ANTO +7.3%, AAL +5.5%, RIO +2.1%. Broad-based bounce on heavy volume from oversold levels after last week's rout. GLEN lagged at -0.9%.

RECOVERING -- Banks (+2.6% avg): HSBA +3.4%, STAN +3.1% (crossed above EMA200), BARC +2.2% on heavy volume (rv=1.6), LLOY +2.1%, NWG +2.0%. All still below EMA20/50 though -- this is a dead-cat bounce until proven otherwise.

WEAK -- Oil & Gas (-3.3% avg): SHEL -2.3%, BP -4.2%. Both dropped hard despite remaining in longer-term uptrends. Brent crash from $112 to $99 hit sentiment.

WEAK -- Utilities (-2.4% avg): SSE -3.0%, NG -1.8%. Both broke below EMA50. NG down 11% on the week -- worst performer.

WEAK -- Consumer Staples (-1.1% avg, RSI 31.7): ULVR, RKT, DGE all oversold. TSCO broke key support. Sector-wide capitulation.

WEAK -- Defence (-1.5% avg): BAE -4.9% wiped out recent strength. RR. managed +1.9% but still below all short-term EMAs.

MIXED -- Pharma (-1.5% avg, RSI 33.9): AZN -1.1%, GSK -0.7%, HLN -2.7% (broke below EMA200). Defensive names not defending.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE

Ticker | Close | Trend | RSI | MACD | %52wH | Ch% | vs POC

BULLISH
SHEL | 3354.5 | Bull (above all) | 66.5 | Bull | -3.9% | -2.3% | Above
BP | 538.6 | Bull (above all) | 59.2 | Bull | -7.7% | -4.2% | Above

RECOVERING / MIXED
ADM | 3102 | Mixed (below 20, above 50/200) | 52.1 | Bull | -15.8% | -3.3% | Above
GLEN | 515.6 | Mixed (below 20, above 50/200) | 51.1 | Bear Cross | -5.7% | -0.9% | Above
LSEG | 8436 | Mixed (below 20, above 50, below 200) | 49.4 | Bear Cross | -29.1% | -2.6% | Above
RTO | 461.9 | Mixed (below 20, above 50/200) | 48.7 | Bear Cross | -6.5% | -0.5% | Above
BAE | 2140 | Mixed (below 20, above 50/200) | 45.1 | Bear Cross | -9.3% | -4.9% | Above

BEARISH (below EMA20/50, above EMA200)
ANTO | 3373 | Bear (below 20/50) | 41.5 | Bear | -24.6% | +7.3% | Below
VOD | 107.8 | Bear (below 20/50) | 43.0 | Bear | -10.9% | -0.2% | Below
HSBA | 1183 | Bear (below 20/50) | 41.3 | Bear | -16.1% | +3.4% | Below
BATS | 4284 | Bear (below 20/50) | 41.3 | Bear | -8.3% | -0.6% | Below
PRU | 1063.5 | Bear (below 20/50) | 40.6 | Bear | -14.1% | +0.1% | Below
RR. | 1183 | Bear (below 20/50) | 40.4 | Bear | -16.7% | +1.9% | Below
AAL | 3025 | Bear (below 20/50) | 39.0 | Bear | -22.0% | +5.5% | Below
STAN | 1566 | Bear (below 20/50) | 39.8 | Bear | -18.6% | +3.1% | Below
SSE | 2496 | Bear (below 20/50) | 38.4 | Bear Cross | -12.7% | -3.0% | Below
LLOY | 92.7 | Bear (below 20/50) | 38.5 | Bear | -19.1% | +2.1% | Below
RIO | 6375 | Bear (below 20/50) | 37.8 | Bear | -15.6% | +2.1% | Below
TSCO | 452.7 | Bear (below 20/50) | 36.9 | Bear Cross | -10.9% | -3.5% | Below
AZN | 13742 | Bear (below 20/50) | 32.4 | Bear | -12.6% | -1.1% | Below
GSK | 1937 | Bear (below 20/50) | 30.4 | Bear | -15.1% | -0.7% | Below
NG | 1211 | Bear (below 20/50) | 28.7 (OS) | Bear | -15.2% | -1.8% | Below

BEARISH (below ALL EMAs)
BNZL | 2170 | Bear (below all) | 45.8 | Bear Cross | -29.9% | -0.9% | Above
REL | 2461 | Bear (below all) | 43.9 | Bear Cross | -41.2% | -1.3% | Below
SGE | 818.6 | Bear (below all) | 40.8 | Bull Cross | -38.7% | -3.0% | Below
AV | 611.8 | Bear (below all) | 39.6 | Bear | -12.7% | +0.3% | Below
HLN | 365.6 | Bear (below all) | 39.0 | Bear | -12.8% | -2.7% | Below
IMB | 3019 | Bear (below all) | 37.2 | Bear | -9.6% | -1.3% | Below
INF | 752.4 | Bear (below all) | 35.4 | Bear | -24.8% | +1.7% | Below
BARC | 382.2 | Bear (below all) | 35.3 | Bear | -24.5% | +2.2% | Below
LGEN | 236.7 | Bear (below all) | 34.2 | Bear | -15.3% | +0.2% | Below
NWG | 530.2 | Bear (below all) | 32.9 | Bear | -24.8% | +2.0% | Below
WPP | 224.9 | Bear (below all) | 33.1 | Bear | -63.9% | -1.0% | Below
ABF | 1784.5 | Bear (below all) | 32.5 | Bear | -24.4% | +0.8% | Below
CPG | 2109 | Bear (below all) | 37.0 | Bear | -23.3% | -0.1% | Below
EXPN | 2636 | Bear (below all) | 41.9 | Bear | -35.7% | -0.4% | Below
III | 2692 | Bear (below all) | 30.2 | Bear | -40.1% | -0.3% | Below
DGE | 1378.5 | Bear (below all) | 28.0 (OS) | Bear | -37.8% | -1.5% | Below
ULVR | 4535 | Bear (below all) | 24.3 (OS) | Bear | -17.9% | -1.3% | Below
RKT | 5080 | Bear (below all) | 21.9 (OS) | Bear | -22.0% | -0.3% | Below



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS


1. AAL (Anglo American) -- Oversold Bounce Off EMA200

AAL just crossed back above the EMA200 (2954) on a +5.5% day. RSI surging from 30 to 39. This is a NEW signal -- it was below EMA200 on Friday. The EMA200 is the key line in the sand.

Entry: 3025-3050 (on any pullback to EMA200 area at 2954) . Stop: 2780 (below Monday's low, ~1x ATR below EMA200) . T1: 3232 (EMA20) . T2: 3295 (EMA50) . R:R: 1:1.0 to T1, 1:1.2 to T2
Confluence: RSI bounce from OS zone, crossed above EMA200, heavy miner sector bounce, close below POC (3335) gives upside room
Risk: Thin volume (rv=0.98) -- need to see follow-through


2. STAN (Standard Chartered) -- Reclaimed EMA200

STAN crossed back above EMA200 (1552) on +3.1%. NEW signal today. Banks bouncing as a group. RSI 39.8 still has room to run.

Entry: 1566 (current) . Stop: 1498 (below ATR, below EMA200) . T1: 1641 (EMA20) . T2: 1705 (EMA50) . R:R: 1:1.1 to T1, 1:2.0 to T2
Confluence: EMA200 reclaim, banking sector bounce, RSI off lows
Risk: Still below both short-term EMAs. Needs sector follow-through.


3. ULVR (Unilever) -- Deep Oversold, Mean Reversion Candidate

RSI 24.3 is the lowest in our universe. Close at 4535, nearly 8% below EMA20 (4894). Stochastic RSI at 0.3 -- completely washed out. 52-week low is 4284, only 6% below. This is extreme.

Entry: 4535 (current, scale in) . Stop: 4390 (below classic S3) . T1: 4730 (EMA9) . T2: 4894 (EMA20) . R:R: 1:1.3 to T1, 1:2.5 to T2
Confluence: RSI deeply oversold, Stoch RSI near zero, -17.9% from 52w high, above POC is at 5007 giving large upside
Risk: Knife-catching. Trend is firmly down. Use half-position sizing.


4. RKT (Reckitt) -- Extreme Oversold, 5-Day Streak

RSI 21.9 is the most oversold stock on the board. 5-day losing streak. ADX 42.6 confirms the trend is strong -- but RSI this low typically triggers at least a bounce.

Entry: 5080 (current, scale) . Stop: 4912 (below classic S2) . T1: 5308 (EMA9) . T2: 5584 (EMA20) . R:R: 1:1.4 to T1, 1:3.0 to T2
Confluence: RSI 21.9 extreme OS, Stoch RSI 11.8, 5-day selling exhaustion
Risk: High ADX means trend is powerful. Counter-trend trade. Small size only.



INTRADAY SETUPS


1. AAL -- Pivot Bounce Long

Monday's range was huge (2757-3080). If price pulls back to the pivot at 2954 (which aligns with EMA200), this is a high-conviction bounce level.

Direction: Long . Entry: 2954 (classic pivot / EMA200) . Stop: 2936 (below Cam S3) . Target: 3055 (Cam R1) . R:R: 1:5.6
Why: Triple confluence -- classic pivot, EMA200, and Cam S3 all clustered at 2936-2954. RSI recovering from oversold.

Cam: S4 2847 . S3 2936 . S1 2995 || R1 3055 . R3 3114 . R4 3203


2. ANTO -- Camarilla Range Trade

Big +7.3% move on heavy volume (rv=1.6). Cam S3-R3 range is 3253-3493, giving a wide but tradeable zone. If it opens within this range, fade the extremes.

Direction: Long at Cam S3 . Entry: 3253 (Cam S3) . Stop: 3133 (Cam S4) . Target: 3413 (Cam R3) . R:R: 1:1.3
Why: Heavy volume confirms the move. RSI 41.5 -- neutral zone with room. Close above POC (3688) would be very bullish but far away.

Cam: S4 3133 . S3 3253 . S1 3333 || R1 3413 . R3 3493 . R4 3613


3. BAE -- Camarilla Breakdown Short

BAE dropped -4.9% and crossed below EMA20. If it opens below Cam S3 (2121), this is a trend day short.

Direction: Short below Cam S3 . Entry: 2120 (below Cam S3 at 2121) . Stop: 2147 (above Cam S2) . Target: 2094 (classic S2) . R:R: 1:1.0
Why: RSI dropped 11.4 pts in one day, crossed below EMA20, 4-day streak. Momentum firmly bearish. MACD bearish crossover.

Cam: S4 2102 . S3 2121 . S1 2134 || R1 2146 . R3 2159 . R4 2179


4. HSBA -- Pivot Bounce Long

HSBA bounced +3.4% Monday. Classic pivot at 1167 aligns with Cam S3 at 1161 -- strong support cluster if price pulls back.

Direction: Long . Entry: 1167 (classic pivot) . Stop: 1138 (Cam S4) . Target: 1200 (Cam R3 area / Monday high) . R:R: 1:1.1
Why: Banking sector showing strength. Pivot + Cam S3 confluence. RSI 41.3 with room to expand.

Cam: S4 1138 . S3 1161 . S1 1176 || R1 1190 . R3 1205 . R4 1228



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD


AAL (Anglo American)
Cam: S4 2847 . S3 2936 . S2 2966 . S1 2995 || R1 3055 . R2 3084 . R3 3114 . R4 3203
Classic: S3 2505 . S2 2631 . S1 2828 || Pivot 2954 || R1 3151 . R2 3277 . R3 3474
EMA: 9=3087 . 20=3232 . 50=3295 . 200=2954
POC: 3335 | Prev H/L: 3080/2757 | 52w H/L: 3877/1900

ANTO (Antofagasta)
Cam: S4 3133 . S3 3253 . S2 3293 . S1 3333 || R1 3413 . R2 3453 . R3 3493 . R4 3613
Classic: S3 2659 . S2 2818 . S1 3096 || Pivot 3255 || R1 3533 . R2 3692 . R3 3970
EMA: 9=3466 . 20=3632 . 50=3629 . 200=2956
POC: 3688 | Prev H/L: 3415/2978 | 52w H/L: 4475/1278

BAE Systems
Cam: S4 2102 . S3 2121 . S2 2127 . S1 2134 || R1 2146 . R2 2153 . R3 2159 . R4 2179
Classic: S3 2047 . S2 2093 . S1 2117 || Pivot 2163 || R1 2187 . R2 2233 . R3 2257
EMA: 9=2253 . 20=2219 . 50=2108 . 200=1890
POC: 2083 | Prev H/L: 2210/2140 | 52w H/L: 2360/1394

SHEL (Shell)
Cam: S4 3273 . S3 3314 . S2 3327 . S1 3341 || R1 3368 . R2 3382 . R3 3395 . R4 3436
Classic: S3 3131 . S2 3203 . S1 3279 || Pivot 3350 || R1 3426 . R2 3498 . R3 3574
EMA: 9=3369 . 20=3250 . 50=3054 . 200=2811
POC: 2977 | Prev H/L: 3422/3274 | 52w H/L: 3490/2270

ULVR (Unilever)
Cam: S4 4475 . S3 4505 . S2 4515 . S1 4525 || R1 4545 . R2 4555 . R3 4565 . R4 4595
Classic: S3 4390 . S2 4463 . S1 4499 || Pivot 4571 || R1 4607 . R2 4680 . R3 4716
EMA: 9=4731 . 20=4894 . 50=4995 . 200=5049
POC: 5007 | Prev H/L: 4644/4535 | 52w H/L: 5525/4284



BEARISH WARNINGS

NG (National Grid) -- The worst performer this week at -11%. RSI 28.7 (oversold). 4-day losing streak. Broke below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI collapsed 28 pts in a week. Close at 1211 vs EMA20 at 1317 -- nearly 8% gap. Capitulation territory but no floor yet.

SSE -- -9% on the week. Crossed below EMA50 AND POC on Monday. RSI lost 27 pts this week. Utilities sector in freefall.

BAE -- Just crossed below EMA20 on Monday. -4.9% day, -8.2% week. MACD bearish crossover. Defence sector reversing sharply from recent highs. Watch EMA50 at 2108 as next support.

TSCO (Tesco) -- Crossed below EMA50 and POC on Monday. 4-day losing streak. -7.8% week. Stoch RSI at zero -- fully washed out, but the breakdown below EMA50 is structurally bearish.

RKT (Reckitt) -- RSI 21.9 is dangerously oversold. 5-day down streak, -6.5% week. ADX 42.6 shows strong trend. Below ALL EMAs. -22% from 52-week high.

DGE (Diageo) -- RSI 28, below all EMAs, -37.8% from 52-week high. Hitting new 52-week lows (close at 1378.5 vs low 1350). Capitulation zone.

III (3i Group) -- Below all EMAs, RSI 30.2, -40.1% from 52-week high. 4-day down streak, -10.9% week. Private equity proxy in freefall.

LSEG -- Crossed below EMA20, MACD bearish crossover. -2.6% day. Thin volume (rv=0.49) means the drop lacks conviction but the signal is still bearish.

HLN (Haleon) -- Crossed below EMA200 on Monday. -2.7% day, -7.4% week. The EMA200 break is a significant technical deterioration for this former safe haven.



EVENTS CALENDAR

- UK PMI Flash data due this week -- watch for manufacturing and services readings
- Oil volatility dominant: Brent swung $112 to $99 -- any Iran/Trump headlines will move markets
- OBR Spring Forecast: 2026 growth downgraded, inflation forecast raised to 3%
- Multiple earnings reports scheduled across the week (48 on Tue, 60 on Wed, 165 on Thu)
- Watch for further oil-related geopolitical developments driving index-level volatility



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.