FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups

Thursday 09 July 2026
Data: close 08 Jul 2026 (latest scanner snapshot, 40 FTSE names) · UKX cash: ~10,680s · Futures: ~10,425 (IG/Investing, front contract — see roll note)



MARKET OVERVIEW
Working off the close of 08 July scanner (today's feed not yet posted at run time). The constituent tape was firmly RISK-OFF: banks and miners sold hard while oil majors bucked the move. Miners led the fall — RIO -4.9%, AAL -5.9%, ANTO -6.4%, GLEN -3.4% — as the dollar firmed. Banks all red: STAN -4.1%, NWG -3.7%, BARC -3.6%, LLOY -2.8%, HSBA -2.3%. The offsetting bid was in energy: BP +3.0% and SHEL +2.2%, both on a firmer crude backdrop.

Futures note: the front FTSE future (~10,425) screens well below the cash index (~10,680) — this is largely the quarterly contract dividend discount / roll, NOT a 250-point directional gap. Treat direction as broadly cautious given the negative breadth, not crashing. Published aggregate index summaries for the day conflicted with the constituent tape, so lean on the scanner breadth (clearly negative) rather than a single index print.



NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day)
RIO — Crossed BELOW EMA200, -4.9%, week -8.1%. Trend break.
BAE — Crossed BELOW EMA50 AND EMA200 AND POC. Triple breakdown.
INF — RSI -15.2 pts, below EMA20, MACD bearish cross, 4-day down streak.
LGEN — RSI -16.9 pts, MACD bearish cross.
AV — RSI -17.2 pts (sharpest RSI drop on the board).
WPP — -5.8%, below EMA20 AND EMA50. Fresh sector-leader breakdown.
BP — RSI +8.1 pts, reclaimed EMA20, MACD BULLISH cross, +3%, 5-day up streak.
SHEL — Week +5.8%, RSI week +19.1 pts. Standout relative strength.



SECTOR HEATMAP
Miners — WEAK: RIO, AAL, ANTO, GLEN all down 3-6% together; RIO lost EMA200.
Banks — WEAK: STAN, NWG, BARC, LLOY, HSBA all red 2-4%, several MACD bearish crosses.
Insurers — SOFTENING: LGEN, AV, PRU all with sharp RSI drops.
Media — WEAK: WPP, INF, REL all breaking below EMAs.
Energy — STRONG: BP and SHEL the only clear green, both reclaiming key MAs.
Defensives — MIXED: ULVR, ADM, BNZL, RKT holding above near-term EMAs; DGE broke down.



DAILY SIGNALS (selected)
ADM 3648 · BULLISH (above all) · RSI 66 · MACD+ · -1.7% from 52w high
ULVR 4623 · BULLISH (above 20/50) · RSI 61 · MACD+ rising
SHEL 3078 · MIXED (>20, <50, >200) · RSI 55 (+6) · reclaiming
BP 489 · MIXED (>20, <50, <200) · RSI 46 (+ · MACD bull cross
RKT 5031 · BULLISH (above 20/50) · RSI 61 · MACD+ strong
HSBA 1420 · MIXED (<20, >50, >200) · RSI 51 (-9) · below EMA20 today
RIO 6491 · BEARISH (below all) · RSI 23 oversold · MACD-- · lost EMA200
VOD 9780 · BEARISH (below all) · RSI 27 oversold · MACD-
WPP 252 · BEARISH (below all) · RSI 45 · fresh below EMA20/50
REL 2392 · BEARISH (below all) · RSI 47 · below EMA20/50 today
GLEN 491 · BEARISH (below 20/50) · RSI 27 oversold
AAL 3398 · BEARISH (below 20/50) · RSI 33 · -19.8% from 52w high



TOP SWING SETUPS

BP — LONG (NEW)
Fresh EMA20 reclaim, MACD bullish cross, +3%, 5-day up streak, oil bid. Trigger is a close back above EMA200 (492).
Entry: 490-492 · Stop: 481 (below Cam S4 / prev low) · T1: 502 (classic R2) · T2: 511 (EMA50) · R:R: ~1.3 to T1, ~2.3 to T2
Confluence: EMA200 490 + Cam R1 490 cluster. POC well above at 531 = medium-term target if it runs.

ADM — LONG (CONTINUING)
Only name BULLISH above ALL EMAs with RSI 66 and rising MACD, coiling 1.7% under its 52w high. Breakout play.
Entry: 3712 (break of 52w high 3710) · Stop: 3616 (Cam S3) · T1: 3814 (classic R3) · T2: 3900 · R:R: ~1.1 to T1, ~2.0 to T2
Above POC 3370 with room. Clean structure — one of the few genuine strength setups on the board.

SHEL — LONG (CONTINUING)
Best relative strength on the index (week +5.8%). Above EMA20 and EMA200; needs to reclaim EMA50 (3090) to open air above.
Entry: 3090 (break of EMA50) · Stop: 3025 (prev low) · T1: 3157 (classic R3) · T2: 3220 · R:R: ~1.0 to T1, ~2.0 to T2
Confluence: EMA50 3090 sits right at Cam R3 zone — a clean reclaim is the signal.

ULVR — LONG (CONTINUING)
Above EMA20/50, RSI 61, strong MACD. EMA200 (4686) is the ceiling to clear.
Entry: 4630 hold, add over 4686 · Stop: 4558 (classic S2) · T1: 4686 (EMA200) · T2: 4740 (classic R3) · R:R: ~0.8 to T1, ~1.6 to T2
Well above POC 4298 — trend intact while above EMA20.

RIO — SHORT / AVOID LONGS (NEW breakdown)
Crossed BELOW EMA200 today, -4.9%, week -8.1%. BUT RSI 23 is deeply oversold — chase shorts with caution; better as rally-sell.
Entry: sell rallies into 6585 (pivot) · Stop: 6660 (above EMA200 reclaim) · T1: 6390 (Cam S1 / prev low) · T2: 6095 (classic S3) · R:R: ~2.6 to T1
rv 1.23 = genuine selling. Oversold bounce risk is real — do not short into the hole.



INTRADAY SETUPS

BP — Camarilla breakout LONG
Above Cam R1 490 and EMA200 492 opens Cam R3/R4.
Entry: 492.2 · Stop: 487.7 (Cam S1) · T1: 494.9 (prev high) · T2: 496.5 (Cam R4)

ADM — Camarilla breakout LONG
Momentum through Cam R4 3712 (aligns with 52w high).
Entry: 3712 · Stop: 3637 (Cam S1) · T1: 3760 · T2: 3814

RIO — oversold Camarilla bounce LONG (counter-trend)
RSI 23, sat on Cam S1. Bounce play only, tight risk.
Entry: 6465 · Stop: 6329 (Cam S4) · T1: 6520 (Cam R1) · T2: 6585 (pivot)

WPP — Camarilla breakdown SHORT
Below Cam S3 248 with fresh EMA20/50 loss.
Entry: 247.9 · Stop: 253.8 (Cam R1) · T1: 243.5 (Cam S4) · T2: 241.5 (classic S2)

VOD — oversold bounce LONG (counter-trend)
RSI 27, at Cam S1. Scalp only.
Entry: 9767 · Stop: 9702 (Cam S4) · T1: 9819 (Cam R3) · T2: 9860 (prev high)



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

BP 489 — Cam: S4 481.6 · S3 485.3 · S1 487.8 || R1 490.2 · R3 492.7 · R4 496.5 — Classic: S3 468 · S1 482 · R1 495 · R3 509 — EMA20 489 · EMA50 512 · EMA200 492 · POC 531 — prevH/L 495/481

SHEL 3078 — Cam: S4 3046 · S3 3062 · S1 3073 || R1 3083 · R3 3094 · R4 3110 — Classic: S3 2983 · S1 3041 · R1 3099 · R3 3157 — EMA20 3002 · EMA50 3090 · EMA200 3002 · POC 3153 — prevH/L 3083/3025

ADM 3648 — Cam: S4 3584 · S3 3616 · S1 3637 || R1 3659 · R3 3680 · R4 3712 — Classic: S3 3466 · S1 3582 · R1 3698 · R3 3814 — EMA20 3514 · EMA50 3410 · EMA200 3237 · POC 3370 — prevH/L 3682/3566 · 52wH 3710

RIO 6491 — Cam: S4 6329 · S3 6410 · S1 6464 || R1 6518 · R3 6572 · R4 6653 — Classic: S3 6095 · S1 6390 · R1 6685 · R3 6980 — EMA20 7205 · EMA50 7367 · EMA200 6646 · POC 7566 — prevH/L 6779/6484

ULVR 4623 — Cam: S4 4583 · S3 4603 · S1 4617 || R1 4630 · R3 4644 · R4 4664 — Classic: S3 4516 · S1 4591 · R1 4665 · R3 4740 — EMA20 4510 · EMA50 4439 · EMA200 4686 · POC 4298 — prevH/L 4674/4600



BEARISH WARNINGS (fresh breakdowns)
RIO — lost EMA200 today (watch for oversold bounce first).
BAE — lost EMA50, EMA200 AND POC in one session.
WPP — lost EMA20 and EMA50; -5.8%.
REL — lost EMA20 and EMA50; already below EMA200.
DGE — lost EMA20, EMA50 and POC.
HSBA / STAN — below EMA20 with MACD bearish crossovers.
SGE — lost EMA20, -4%, deep below all MAs (-39% from 52w high).



EVENTS CALENDAR
UK monthly GDP (May) is due mid-July (~11th) — the week's key domestic macro. US CPI and Fed commentary remain the dominant external driver for miners/financials. Check the dividend calendar for any FTSE ex-div dates landing this week before sizing income names. No major tracked-stock earnings flagged in the snapshot.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Wednesday 08 July 2026
Data: close Tue 7 Jul (latest scanner snapshot, 40 FTSE names) · UKX: ~10,663 (+0.13%, near a 4-month high) · Futures: UK 100 future 10,425 (Investing.com) - trades well below cash, consistent with a quarterly contract-roll / dividend discount, NOT a directional gap. Morning tone: modestly positive (banks and defensives expected firm).



MARKET OVERVIEW
UKX closed Tuesday around 10,663, up 0.13%, holding near four-month highs. Energy led: Shell +2-3% after guiding Q2 gas trading profits significantly higher, BP +1.4%, helped by crude spiking on fresh attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Miners were the drag: Anglo American, Antofagasta, Rio Tinto and Fresnillo all fell 2-5%. Domestically the Lloyds (Halifax) house price index rose +0.2% in June, the first gain in four months on easing mortgage rates. Key event risk today: FOMC minutes at 19:00 UK.



NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day)
SHEL - RSI surged +11.5 to 48.5, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA200, MACD BULLISH cross, +3.4%. Energy reversal on the Q2 trading update. NEW.
WPP - +4.4%, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50, MACD BULLISH cross. Week +9.3%, RSI +17.9 pts on the week.
DGE - +3.5%, RSI +9.3 to 55.8, crossed ABOVE EMA20/EMA50 and ABOVE POC.
ABF - +3.8%, RSI +9.9 to 57.7, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA200.
LSEG - crossed ABOVE EMA200, 5-day up streak, week +7.7%.
AAL - -4.6%, crossed BELOW EMA50. ANTO - -3.5%, crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50. Miners breaking down together.
RR. - -3.7%, RSI dropped 13.3 pts to 60.7 (still BULLISH trend, sharp pullback).
BARC - RSI dropped 9 pts to 61.2, MACD BEARISH crossover within an uptrend.



SECTOR HEATMAP
Energy - RECOVERING: SHEL fresh EMA20/200 reclaim on rv 1.1, BP +1.4% but still below all EMAs (rv 1.23). Oil supply risk is the catalyst.
Miners - BEARISH: AAL, ANTO, RIO (RSI 29.3), GLEN (RSI 32.0) all below EMA20/50 and below POC. The whole complex moved down together - clearest weak sector.
Banks - BULLISH but cooling: LLOY, BARC, STAN, NWG, HSBA all above all EMAs, but every one closed red Tue and RSIs fell 5-9 pts. Digestion, not breakdown.
Insurers - BULLISH, extended: AV RSI 75.4, LGEN 72.3, both on 5-day up streaks. Chase risk is high.
Defensives/Staples - RECOVERING: DGE, ABF, ULVR (crossed above EMA200), TSCO, CPG all rallied together - rotation into laggards.
Pharma - BULLISH: AZN +1.9%, GSK +1.0%, HLN crossed above EMA200.
Defence - MIXED: BAE -2.7% and RR. -3.7% pullbacks after strong weeks; both still above all EMAs.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS
Above all EMAs (BULLISH):
LLOY 113.85 RSI 68.6 (-6.9 d/d) · MACD bull · -1.9% off 52wH · above POC
BARC 516.1 RSI 61.2 (-9.0 d/d) · MACD bear cross · -2.9% off 52wH
STAN 2126 RSI 64.1 · MACD bull · -1.6% off 52wH
NWG 677.8 RSI 67.3 (-5.7 d/d) · MACD bull · -3.9% off 52wH
HSBA 1453.4 RSI 60.1 · MACD bull · -12.1% off 52wH
AV 676 RSI 75.4 · MACD bull · -3.5% off 52wH · overbought
LGEN 293.1 RSI 72.3 · MACD bull · -2.3% off 52wH · overbought
ADM 3614 RSI 63.8 · MACD bull · -2.6% off 52wH
AZN 14364 RSI 58.0 · MACD bull · -8.7% off 52wH
GSK 2003 RSI 57.1 · MACD bull · -12.2% off 52wH
HLN 365.4 RSI 68.9 (+6.0 d/d) · MACD bull · fresh EMA200 reclaim
BAE 1971 RSI 57.5 (-7.6 d/d) · MACD bull · pullback day
RR. 1447.8 RSI 60.7 (-13.3 d/d) · MACD bull · -5.5% off 52wH · sharp pullback
BATS 4636 RSI 52.9 · MACD bull · fresh EMA20 reclaim
BNZL 2668 RSI 64.3 · MACD bull · -1.7% off 52wH
INF 906.4 RSI 69.7 · MACD bull · thin volume rv 0.36
SSE 2477 RSI 57.2 · MACD bull · rv 0.98
NG 1247.5 RSI 53.9 (+5.5 d/d) · MACD bull · fresh EMA20/50 + POC reclaim
TSCO 470 RSI 56.4 · MACD bull · above POC
ULVR 4689 RSI 66.5 (+6.5 d/d) · MACD bull · fresh EMA200 reclaim
ABF 1970 RSI 57.7 (+9.9 d/d) · MACD still bear · fresh EMA20/200 reclaim · rv 1.16
LSEG 9034 RSI 58.6 · MACD bull · fresh EMA200 reclaim · below POC 9049
CPG 3250 RSI 51.7 (+5.8 d/d) · MACD still bear · fresh EMA20 reclaim
Above 20/50, below EMA200 (recovering):
WPP 267.8 RSI 54.6 · MACD bull cross · -42.5% off 52wH · at POC 267.85
DGE 1564.5 RSI 55.8 · MACD still bear · above POC · EMA200 1646 overhead
EXPN 2701 RSI 63.0 · MACD bull · 5-day streak
III 2624 RSI 68.2 · MACD bull
REL 2461 RSI 55.0 (+9.6 d/d) · MACD bull · fresh EMA20/50 reclaim · below POC
RKT 5194 RSI 73.6 · MACD bull · EMA200 5249 just overhead · overbought
Mixed:
SHEL 3011 above EMA20 (2994) and EMA200 (3001), below EMA50 (3090) · RSI 48.5 (+11.5 d/d) · MACD bull · rv 1.1
RTO 452 above EMA20/200, below EMA50 · RSI 55.8 (+5.5 d/d) · rv 1.44 heaviest volume in the book
PRU 1030 above EMA20, below EMA50/200 · RSI 51.3
SGE 845 above EMA20, below EMA50/200 · RSI 52.9
Below 20/50 (BEARISH):
AAL 3610 RSI 40.6 (-7.6 d/d) · fresh EMA50 break · below POC
ANTO 3768 RSI 44.7 · fresh EMA20+50 break · below POC
RIO 6825 RSI 29.3 · oversold · below POC 7584
GLEN 508.5 RSI 32.0 · below POC · thin rv 0.51
Below all EMAs (BEARISH):
BP 474.55 RSI 38.2 · but +1.4% Tue on rv 1.23 · watch for follow-through
VOD 98.64 RSI 27.9 · deeply oversold · below POC 111.93
IMB 2775 RSI 49.5 · MACD bull · very thin rv 0.35
EMA classifications re-verified programmatically vs close: 0 mismatches.



TOP SWING SETUPS
1. SHEL - Long, energy reversal (NEW)
Fresh reclaim of EMA20 and EMA200 with an +11.5 pt RSI surge, MACD bullish cross and rv 1.1, backed by the Q2 gas-trading guidance and Hormuz oil-supply risk. EMA20 (2994) / EMA200 (3001) now support confluence.
Entry: 3011-3020 · Stop: 2950 (1x ATR 59.75, below the EMA cluster) · T1: 3090 (EMA50) · T2: 3159 (POC) · R:R: 1.3 / 2.4
2. DGE - Long, base breakout (NEW)
Crossed above EMA20, EMA50 and POC (1521) in one session, RSI 55.8 and rising, week +5.3%. Room to the 200-day at 1646.
Entry: 1565 · Stop: 1520 (below POC/EMA20, ~1x ATR 44.87) · T1: 1622 (R2) · T2: 1646-1654 (EMA200/R3) · R:R: 1.3 / 2.0
3. ABF - Long, EMA200 reclaim (NEW)
+3.8% on rv 1.16 with a fresh EMA20 + EMA200 reclaim, RSI +9.9 to 57.7. MACD still bearish - the laggard confirmation, so keep the stop honest.
Entry: 1970 · Stop: 1919 (1x ATR 50.68, below Cam S4 1925) · T1: 2035 (R2) · T2: 2084 (R3) · R:R: 1.3 / 2.2
4. LSEG - Long, trend resumption (CONTINUING)
5-day up streak, +7.7% on the week, fresh close above EMA200 (9018). POC 9049 sits right overhead - a close above it clears the last confluence lid.
Entry: 9050 (above POC) · Stop: 8890 (below Tue low 8900 / Cam S4 8923) · T1: 9326 (R3) · T2: 9500 · R:R: 1.7 / 2.8
5. AAL - Short, miner breakdown (NEW)
-4.6% with a fresh EMA50 break, below POC 3789, RSI 40.6 and falling; whole mining complex confirmed lower. Sell strength into the pivot.
Entry: 3640-3650 (pivot 3645 retest) · Stop: 3745 (~1x ATR 132.76 above entry) · T1: 3502 (S2) · T2: 3412 (S3) · R:R: 1.5 / 2.4



INTRADAY SETUPS
1. LLOY - Pivot/S1 bounce long
Closed on the day low 113.85 within a strong uptrend (above all EMAs). Buy the dip into S1.
Entry: 113.20-113.85 · Stop: 112.75 (below Cam S4 112.81) · T1: 114.48 (pivot) · T2: 115.12 (R1) · Direction: long
2. SHEL - Camarilla breakout long
Momentum continuation: a push through Cam R4 confirms the reversal day.
Entry: 3061 (above Cam R4 3060.78) · Stop: 3035 (below Cam R3) · T1: 3078 (R2) · T2: 3135 (R3) · Direction: long
3. BARC - Pivot rejection short
MACD bearish cross and a 9-pt RSI drop; fade a weak bounce into the pivot.
Entry: 520-521 (pivot 521.17 rejection) · Stop: 524.60 (above Cam R4 524.46) · T1: 514.71 (Cam S1) · T2: 511.03 (S1) · Direction: short
4. RIO - Camarilla range fade long (counter-trend)
RSI 29.3 oversold; range play only, small size - the daily trend is down.
Entry: 6782 (Cam S3) · Stop: 6735 (below Cam S4 6739) · T1: 6839 (Cam R1) · T2: 6868 (Cam R3) · Direction: long
5. ANTO - Breakdown continuation short
Fresh EMA20+50 break; sell a failed bounce.
Entry: 3810-3830 (Cam R3 3817 zone rejection) · Stop: 3870 (above Cam R4 3862) · T1: 3730 (S1 area) · T2: 3680 · Direction: short



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
LLOY 113.85 · Cam: S4 112.81 · S3 113.33 · S1 113.68 || R1 114.02 · R3 114.37 · R4 114.90 · Classic: S3 111.32 / R3 117.02 · EMA20 108.93 · EMA50 104.41 · EMA200 96.18 · POC 101.42 · PrevH/L 115.75/113.85 · 52w 116/74.4
SHEL 3011 · Cam: S4 2961 · S3 2986 · S1 3003 || R1 3019 · R3 3036 · R4 3061 · Classic: S3 2864 / R3 3135 · EMA20 2994 · EMA50 3090 · EMA200 3001 · POC 3159 · PrevH/L 3021.5/2931 · 52w 3591.5/2553.8
RR. 1447.8 · Cam: S4 1417 · S3 1433 · S1 1443 || R1 1453 · R3 1463 · R4 1478 · Classic: S3 1371 / R3 1537 · EMA20 1409 · EMA50 1334 · EMA200 1199 · POC 1270.7 · PrevH/L 1493.8/1438.4 · 52w 1532.6/968.2
AZN 14364 · Cam: S4 14162 · S3 14263 · S1 14330 || R1 14398 · R3 14465 · R4 14566 · Classic: S3 13789 / R3 14893 · EMA20 13958 · EMA50 13908 · EMA200 13556 · POC 13835 · PrevH/L 14478/14110 · 52w 15730/10178
BARC 516.1 · Cam: S4 507.74 · S3 511.92 · S1 514.71 || R1 517.49 · R3 520.28 · R4 524.46 · Classic: S3 495.83 / R3 541.43 · EMA20 501.94 · EMA50 475.74 · EMA200 432.06 · POC 457.5 · PrevH/L 531.3/516.1 · 52w 531.3/336.05



BEARISH WARNINGS
ANTO - FRESH break below EMA20 and EMA50 yesterday, -3.5%, below POC. Highest-priority breakdown.
AAL - FRESH break below EMA50, -4.6%, below POC 3789. Sector-wide confirmation.
BARC - FRESH MACD bearish crossover with RSI -9 pts; trend intact but momentum cracked - tighten stops on longs.
RR. - RSI collapsed 13.3 pts on a -3.7% day. Uptrend intact above EMA20 1409, but the air is thin near 52w highs.
RIO / GLEN - RSI 29.3 / 32.0, both below EMA20/50 and POC. Oversold bounces are for fading until EMAs are reclaimed.
VOD - Below all EMAs, RSI 27.9, 24.8% off the 52w high. No edge long yet.
BP - Still below all EMAs despite the oil pop; needs EMA20 488.76 back before the SHEL trade reads across.



EVENTS CALENDAR
Wed 8 Jul - FOMC minutes 19:00 UK (main macro risk today).
Shell Q2 trading statement is already out (Tue) - full Q2 results due later in July.
Busy UK reporting tail this week: ~12 companies Wed, ~30 Thu, ~43 Fri on the LSE calendar - check individual names before holding through prints.
Watch: UK monthly GDP and US CPI both land mid-July; oil headlines from the Strait of Hormuz remain a live driver for SHEL/BP.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Tuesday 7 July 2026 — Pre-Market
Data: close Mon 6 Jul 2026 (latest scanner snapshot, pre-open) || UKX cash ~10,700 || Front future 10,425 (dividend-discount roll, not directional)


MARKET OVERVIEW
FTSE 100 sits just below record territory — cash closed near 10,673-10,729 on Mon 6 Jul (+0.19% to +0.47%), up ~3.6% on the month. Banking, mining and energy led the early-July grind higher.

Futures note: the front future prints ~10,425, about 270 pts BELOW cash. That is the dividend-discount on a far-dated/rolled quarterly contract, NOT a gap down. Bias into the open is NEUTRAL-to-FIRM. Holiday-thinned liquidity means intraday whip.

Scanner universe (40 names): 23 BULLISH (above all EMAs), 10 BEARISH (below all), 7 MIXED. Leadership in banks and defence; weakness in energy and fresh staples breakdowns.


NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day)
LSEG — crossed ABOVE EMA50, 5-day up streak, week +7.75%, RSI +17 pts. Reversal building.
BAE — week +10.07%, RSI +23 pts, MACD crossing up. Fresh momentum.
ABF — RSI -9.5, crossed BELOW EMA20, week -5.41% (trading update).
HLN — crossed BELOW EMA200, RSI -8.9. Trend broken.
IMB — crossed BELOW EMA20 and POC. Fresh breakdown.
NG — crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50. Fresh breakdown.
DGE — crossed BELOW EMA50 and POC. CPG — below EMA20, RSI -8.5.
ANTO — crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50 (miner turning up).


SECTOR HEATMAP
Banks — BULLISH: LLOY, BARC, STAN, NWG, HSBA all above all EMAs; 5-day streaks; STAN/LLOY at 52w highs.
Defence/Aero — BULLISH: BAE +10% wk, RR. RSI 74 near 52H.
Insurers — FIRM: LGEN, AV, ADM strong; PRU mixed.
Pharma — FIRM: AZN, GSK bullish; HLN just lost EMA200.
Miners — MIXED: ANTO turning up; AAL mixed; RIO & GLEN bearish.
Energy — BEARISH: SHEL RSI 37, BP RSI 34, both below all EMAs.
Consumer staples — MIXED: ULVR, BNZL, TSCO firm; DGE, IMB, ABF breaking down.
Media/Info — MIXED: INF, EXPN, III, LSEG firm; REL & WPP bearish.


TOP SWING SETUPS
1. LSEG — NEW long (reversal) — BULLISH
Entry: 8810 or pullback EMA20 8586 · Stop: 8500 · T1: 9018 (EMA200) · T2: 9049 (POC) · R:R: ~1.5-2.0
Crossed above EMA50; EMA200/POC cluster overhead is the target zone. MACD still negative — needs follow-through.

2. BAE — NEW long (momentum) — BULLISH
Entry: 2018-2025 (break prev high 2037) · Stop: 1940 · T1: 2093 · T2: 2140 · R:R: ~1.5
+10% on the week, MACD crossing up. EMA50/200 (1942/1939) stacked as support; POC 1972 = pullback buy.

3. STAN — CONTINUING long (52w-high breakout) — BULLISH
Entry: above 2148 · Stop: 2099 · T1: 2193 · T2: 2220 · R:R: ~1.3
Close equals 52w high with bank-sector tailwind. RSI 68 extended — take the clean breakout, do not chase.

4. RR. — CONTINUING long — BULLISH
Entry: pullback 1480 or break above 1510 · Stop: 1457 · T1: 1532 (52H) · T2: 1547 · R:R: ~1.2
RSI 74, only ~1.7% below all-time high. Tight risk required.

5. ADM — CONTINUING long — BULLISH
Entry: 3616 or pullback POC 3360 · Stop: 3470 · T1: 3710 (52H) · T2: 3789 · R:R: ~1.3


INTRADAY SETUPS
STAN — Camarilla breakout (LONG)
Entry: above R1 2150.59 · Stop: 2138 · T1: 2156.82 · T2: 2166.17 · Trend-aligned breakout above 52w high.

RR. — Camarilla breakout (LONG)
Entry: above R1 1508.51 · Stop: 1497 · T1: 1513.94 · T2: 1522.08 · Momentum continuation toward 52H.

SHEL — Camarilla breakdown (SHORT)
Entry: below S3 2903.56 · Stop: 2915 · T1: 2894.63 · T2: 2882 · BEARISH, RSI 37, below POC.

BP — oversold Cam bounce (LONG scalp)
Entry: 465-466 (Cam S1/S3) · Stop: 462 · T1: 466.72 · T2: 468.04 · RSI 33.6 oversold; counter-trend, keep tight.

LSEG — Camarilla range (LONG off support)
Entry: 8730 (S1) or 8586 (EMA20) · Stop: 8500 · T1: 8890 · T2: 9050 · Buy dips within the reversal.


KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
LSEG close 8810
Cam: S4 8329.3 · S3 8569.6 · S1 8729.9 || R1 8890.1 · R3 9050.4 · R4 9290.7
Classic: S3 7593 · Piv 8999 · R3 10215 EMA20 8586 · EMA50 8798 · EMA200 9018 POC 9049
Prev H/L 9530/8656 · 52w H/L 10990/6684

BAE close 2018.5
Cam: S4 1990.2 · S3 2004.3 · S1 2013.8 || R1 2023.2 · R3 2032.7 · R4 2046.8
Classic: S3 1939 · Piv 2014 · R3 2093 EMA20 1898 · EMA50 1942 · EMA200 1939 POC 1972
Prev H/L 2037/1985.5 · 52w H/L 2360/1581

STAN close 2147.47
Cam: S4 2128.8 · S3 2138.1 · S1 2144.3 || R1 2150.6 · R3 2156.8 · R4 2166.2
Classic: S3 2091 · Piv 2136 · R3 2193 EMA20 2038 · EMA50 1954 · EMA200 1728 POC 1925
Prev H/L 2148/2114 · 52w H/L 2148/1225

RR. close 1505.8
Cam: S4 1489.5 · S3 1497.7 · S1 1503.1 || R1 1508.5 · R3 1513.9 · R4 1522.1
Classic: S3 1458 · Piv 1499 · R3 1547 EMA20 1405 · EMA50 1329 · EMA200 1197 POC 1268
Prev H/L 1510/1480.4 · 52w H/L 1532.6/959.4

SHEL close 2912.5
Cam: S4 2894.6 · S3 2903.6 · S1 2909.5 || R1 2915.5 · R3 2921.4 · R4 2930.4
Classic: S3 2859 · Piv 2903 · R3 2956 EMA20 2992 · EMA50 3093 · EMA200 3001 POC 3170
Prev H/L 2914.5/2882 · 52w H/L 3591.5/2550.5


BEARISH WARNINGS (fresh breakdowns first)
ABF — lost EMA20 today. Update: Primark Q3 LFL -2.2%, Sugar now guided to a 25-60m operating loss on higher gas costs, Citi on negative-catalyst watch. Below EMA20 (1922) and EMA200 (1954). Rallies into 1922 are sells unless reclaimed.
IMB — fresh break below EMA20 and POC. Watch 2777 as resistance.
NG — fresh loss of EMA20 and EMA50; POC 1248 gone too.
HLN — just lost EMA200; trend integrity broken.
DGE — lost EMA50 and POC; -29.6% from 52H, persistent staples weakness.
SHEL / BP / RIO / GLEN / VOD — all bearish, RSI 25-37. VOD (25.6) and BP (33.6) deeply oversold — prone to sharp bounces, but no reversal yet.


EVENTS THIS WEEK
ABF Q3 trading update already digested (-3%); watch broker follow-through. Quiet UK macro start — BoE speakers and ONS releases via the diary. Routine FTSE ex-dividends land Thursday (can distort apparent gaps). Energy soft on Brent; miners oversold watching China; banks in a clear uptrend.


Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Monday 06 July 2026
Data: close 03 Jul · UKX: 10,679.04 (+0.25%) · Range: 10,604.25 - 10,701.32 (97 pts)

MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 edged +0.25% on Friday 03 July to close at 10,679, holding near the top of its range and within ~2.3% of the 52-week high (10,935). SSE +2.08% led on utility strength, with Standard Chartered +1.63% and Anglo American +1.64% (miner recovery), plus support from 3i +1.5% and LSEG +1.1%. The laggards were defensives and staples -- Imperial Brands -1.24%, Tesco -1.18%, BATS -1.03% -- with BAE -0.73% giving a little back after its strong run. Breadth was mildly positive into a US holiday-thinned session. Overall bias: BULLISH.

TREND
The EMA stack is fully bullish -- close 10,679 sits above EMA20 (10,559), EMA50 (10,431) and EMA200 (10,060), correctly ordered (20 > 50 > 200) and rising. Market structure is a clean run of higher highs and higher lows, and the index sits just under its record 10,935 with a clear path higher on a break. Phase: established uptrend, breakout/continuation.

INDICATORS
RSI(14): 61.2 -- firm momentum, well below overbought, room to run.
MACD: line 60.9 over signal 39.4, histogram +21.5 and expanding -- bullish.
ATR(14): ~116 pts -- budget a ~110-120 pt daily range for stop placement.
Net: constructive, not stretched.

KEY LEVELS
Resistance
R1 10,701 -- Friday's high / immediate cap
R2 10,759 -- classic R2 / breakout target
R3 10,816 -- measured extension toward the record
Support
S1 10,662 -- pivot / first shelf
S2 10,604 -- Friday's low / session base
S3 10,559 -- rising EMA20, trend-defining floor
Round numbers: 10,600 - 10,700 - 10,800 - 10,900
Classic pivots: S3 10,525 - S2 10,564 - S1 10,622 - P 10,662 - R1 10,719 - R2 10,759 - R3 10,816
Camarilla: S4 10,626 - S3 10,652 - S1 10,670 || R1 10,688 - R3 10,706 - R4 10,732
Moving averages: EMA20 10,559 - EMA50 10,431 - EMA200 10,060

TRADE SETUPS -- NEXT SESSION
Swing Long -- trend continuation
Buy dips toward the rising EMA20 / pivot shelf while structure holds.
Entry: 10,620 · Stop: 10,520 · T1: 10,760 · T2: 10,880 · R:R: 1.4 / 2.6
Kill: daily close below 10,520 (loss of the pivot base and EMA20).

Intraday Long -- breakout
Long on acceptance above Friday's high with momentum behind it.
Entry: 10,705 · Stop: 10,655 · T1: 10,759 · T2: 10,816 · R:R: 1.1 / 2.2
Kill: 15m close back below 10,655.

Intraday Short -- fade the high
Counter-trend scalp only on a clear rejection at the R3 band.
Entry: 10,815 · Stop: 10,865 · T1: 10,720 · T2: 10,662 · R:R: 1.9 / 3.1
Kill: any 15m close above 10,865 (trend reasserts).

UPCOMING EVENTS
Wed 8 Jul: US FOMC minutes (June meeting) -- sets the global risk tone; watch the read-through to UK equities.
This week: US June CPI and weekly jobless claims -- the inflation and labour picture that frames the Fed path.
UK: watch BoE commentary and any UK data (GDP / PMIs); energy and miners remain sensitive to oil and metals headlines.

Report: 3 July 2026 close (posted 6 July). Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Friday 03 July 2026
Data: close 01 Jul (latest scanner snapshot - 02 Jul scan not received) · UKX: 10,663 (02 Jul close, +1.76%) · Futures: UK 100 Sep ~10,425 (Investing.com; Sep contract trades below cash on the dividend discount after the quarterly roll - NOT a bearish gap)



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 surged +1.76% on Thursday 02 Jul to close at 10,663, insulated from a sharp global tech selloff thanks to its defensive weighting. The rally was led by BAE Systems +6.1%, AstraZeneca +4.9%, with broad support from Rolls-Royce, BATS, BP, Shell, HSBC and Lloyds. Tone into Friday is steady-to-firm; the main event is US non-farm payrolls this afternoon - expect thin ranges until the print, then a volatility burst.

IMPORTANT: scanner levels below are from the 01 Jul close. Thursday's +1.76% rally means many closes now sit ABOVE the printed levels - treat entries as zones and re-check live prices before executing. This applies most to BAE and AZN, which moved 5-6% after the snapshot.

Sentiment drivers: falling oil (weighing on BP/Shell trend), stronger pound, global tech weakness (FTSE relative winner), NFP today.



NOTABLE CHANGES (30 Jun - 01 Jul)

ABF - RSI collapsed 17.8 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA200, -3.5% on heavy volume (rv 1.. Freshest, most conviction breakdown on the board.
SGE - RSI +8.1, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50, +4.0% day, +6.1% week. New recovery leader.
GSK - RSI -8.5, crossed BELOW EMA20, EMA50 and POC in one session.
NG. - RSI -12.2, crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50, now resting exactly on EMA200 (1210.6).
PRU - RSI +8.4, crossed ABOVE EMA20, +3.4%.
BAE - crossed ABOVE EMA20, 4-day up streak, RSI +15 on the week - then confirmed with +6.1% on 02 Jul.
DGE - MACD bearish crossover, crossed BELOW POC, -5.1% week, RSI -18.2 on the week.
RTO - RSI surged 10.4 pts (+2.5%) but still BEARISH below all EMAs - watch for base.



SECTOR HEATMAP

BANKS - strongest sector, all five BULLISH above all EMAs: LLOY (RSI 70.1), NWG (71.3), BARC (65.6), STAN (60.5), HSBA (59.2). Multiple names near 52w highs.
INSURANCE/FINANCIALS - AV (66.7), LGEN (65.5), ADM (66.3) all bull above all; PRU recovering; III firm.
AERO/DEFENCE - RR. bull above all (RSI 69.2); BAE recovery confirmed by Thursday's +6.1%.
Pharma MIXED - AZN above all EMAs but slipped below POC; GSK fresh breakdown; HLN firm.
Consumer staples MIXED - TSCO (above EMA50, NEW) and ULVR firm; ABF, DGE, BATS, IMB all deteriorating together - sector-wide staples selling.
ENERGY - BP (RSI 26.3) and SHEL (31.5) BEARISH below all EMAs on falling oil; deeply oversold, bounce risk for shorts.
MINERS - AAL, ANTO, GLEN (31.5), RIO (36.1) all BEARISH below EMA20/50. Uniform weakness.
UTILITIES - NG. and SSE both lost EMAs this week. Fresh sector rotation OUT.
Media/Tech MIXED - INF bull (RSI 76.8 overbought), SGE recovering hard; REL and LSEG bear-below-all but on 4-day up streaks; WPP -54% from 52w high.
TELECOM - VOD RSI 25.4, bear below all, -6% week.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS (01 Jul close, verified EMA checks: 0 mismatches)

BULLISH - above all EMAs: LLOY 112.2 (RSI 70.1, +1 d), NWG 678.4 (71.3), BARC 515.55 (65.6), STAN 2066 (60.5), HSBA 1440.4 (59.2), RR. 1457.6 (69.2), AV 655.4 (66.7), LGEN 286.8 (65.5, MACD-), ADM 3583.7 (66.3), BNZL 2652 (65.5), INF 915.2 (76.8 OB), AZN 13882 (52.8, RSI -6.4, below POC), TSCO 460.2 (52.5, NEW above EMA50)
BULLISH - above 20/50, below 200: SGE 848.2 (53.6, RSI +8.1 NEW), RKT 4999 (68.6), ULVR 4555.5 (62., HLN 352.6 (64.5), III 2515.5 (62.
RECOVERING - mixed: PRU 1037 (>20, RSI +8.4), BAE 1873.7 (>20, RSI +6., EXPN 2585 (>20), BATS 4547 (<20, RSI -7.2), CPG 3176 (<20), SSE 2390.5 (<50, RSI -7.4), ABF 1917.3 (<20 <200, RSI -17.8, rv 1.
BEARISH - below 20/50: GSK 1935 (RSI -8.5 NEW), NG. 1211.6 (RSI -12.2 NEW, on EMA200), AAL 3725, ANTO 3769, GLEN 511.9 (31.5), RIO 7088 (36.1)
BEARISH - below all EMAs: BP 455.7 (RSI 26.3 OS), SHEL 2880 (31.5), VOD 98.38 (25.4 OS), DGE 1486 (41.6, MACD bear cross), IMB 2756, REL 2378.5, LSEG 8386 (RSI +6.3, 4-day streak), RTO 437.1 (RSI +10.4), WPP 245.1 (RSI +8.4)

Note: VOD prints 98.38 - verified genuine pence (all fields internally consistent), not a units bug. CPG corrected pounds-to-pence (x100).



TOP SWING SETUPS

1. SGE - LONG breakout (NEW)
Reclaimed EMA20 and EMA50 on 01 Jul with RSI +8.1 to 53.6, +6.1% on the week. POC 858.7 and classic R1 860.7 form a tight confluence lid just overhead - a close through it opens a large air pocket toward EMA200.
Entry: 861 (break/close above POC-R1 confluence) · Stop: 827 (below Cam S4 828 and EMA20 829, ~1.3x ATR) · T1: 900 · T2: 945 (EMA200) · R:R: 1.1 / 2.5
Caution: rv only 0.23 on the signal day - thin volume, size down.

2. PRU - LONG on confluence break (NEW)
Crossed above EMA20 with RSI +8.4. EMA50 1047, classic R1 1050, EMA200 1052.6 and POC 1053 stack into one 6-point wall - the cleanest trigger on the board.
Entry: 1054 (close above the 1047-1053 cluster) · Stop: 1014 (EMA20 / Cam S4, 1.5x ATR) · T1: 1100 · T2: 1160 · R:R: 1.2 / 2.7

3. TSCO - LONG continuation (NEW cross above EMA50)
Above all EMAs, crossed back over EMA50 on 01 Jul. POC 463.2 and R1 464.4 and Cam R4 464.4 in confluence just above.
Entry: 465 (break of triple confluence) · Stop: 456 (EMA20 / classic S1) · T1: 480 · T2: 500 · R:R: 1.7 / 3.9

4. NWG - LONG pullback (CONTINUING)
Bull above all EMAs, RSI 71.3 - strong momentum, 52w high 705.4 in sight. Do not chase; buy the dip.
Entry: 668 (classic S1 667.4 zone) · Stop: 653 (1x ATR below entry) · T1: 684 (R1) · T2: 705 (52w high) · R:R: 1.1 / 2.5

5. GSK - SHORT breakdown (NEW)
Lost EMA20, EMA50 and POC in one session, RSI -8.5 to 48.1. POC 1958.3 now overhead resistance aligned with EMA20 1947 / EMA50 1951.7.
Entry: 1912 (break of classic S1 1913. · Stop: 1959 (above POC/EMA cluster) · T1: 1873 (EMA200) · T2: 1840 · R:R: 0.8 / 1.5
Prefer the intraday fade version below for better R:R.



INTRADAY SETUPS (01 Jul levels - re-anchor to live open)

1. LLOY - Camarilla breakout LONG
Closed at the day high 112.2, RSI 70.1, banks leading the tape.
Entry: 113.30 (above Cam R4 113.27) · Stop: 112.55 (Cam R2) · T1: 114.60 (52w high) · Why: R4 break in the strongest sector = trend day odds.

2. GSK - Camarilla range SHORT
Entry: fade 1951-1952 (Cam R3 1951.6 = EMA50 1951.7 exact confluence) · Stop: 1969 (above Cam R4 1968.3) · T1: 1924 (Cam S2) · T2: 1918 (Cam S3) · Why: fresh breakdown day one, rallies into the broken EMA cluster are supply.

3. SGE - Camarilla breakout LONG
Entry: 858.80 (above Cam R3 858.3 + POC 858.7) · Stop: 851.40 (Cam R1) · T1: 868.4 (Cam R4) · T2: 873 (classic R2) · Why: momentum continuation through POC confluence.

4. NG. - breakdown SHORT
Sitting exactly on EMA200 (1210.6 vs close 1211.6).
Entry: 1207.50 (below Cam S1 1208.1 = EMA200 break) · Stop: 1219 (Cam R2) · T1: 1198 (classic S1) · T2: 1190 (Cam S4) · Why: fresh EMA20/50 loss, EMA200 the last support; a break trips longer-term stops.

5. TSCO - pivot bounce LONG
Entry: 460.90 (hold/reclaim of pivot 460. · Stop: 455.80 (below Cam S4 456) · T1: 464.4 (R1 + Cam R4 confluence) · T2: 468.5 (R2) · Why: pivot sits on top of EMA20 456.4 shelf; defined risk in an above-all-EMAs name.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD (01 Jul)

LLOY 112.2 - Cam: S4 111.13 · S3 111.66 · S1 112.02 || R1 112.38 · R3 112.74 · R4 113.27 - Classic: S3 108.95 · S1 110.9 · P 111.55 · R1 112.85 · R3 114.15 - EMA20/50/200: 106.1 / 102.6 / 95.4 - POC 100.6 - PrevH/L 112.2/110.25 - 52w 114.6/73.54
NWG 678.4 - Cam: S4 669.27 · S3 673.84 · S1 676.88 || R1 679.92 · R3 682.97 · R4 687.53 - Classic: S2 656.4 · S1 667.4 · P 673 · R1 684 · R2 689.6 - EMA20/50/200: 637.6 / 614.1 / 584.9 - POC 600 - PrevH/L 678.6/662 - 52w 705.4/475.44
SGE 848.2 - Cam: S4 827.96 · S3 838.08 · S1 844.83 || R1 851.57 · R3 858.32 · R4 868.44 - Classic: S2 799.53 · S1 823.87 · P 836.33 · R1 860.67 · R2 873.13 - EMA20/50/200: 829 / 847.6 / 945.6 - POC 858.7 - PrevH/L 848.8/812 - 52w 1335/771.66
GSK 1935 - Cam: S4 1901.73 · S3 1918.36 · S1 1929.45 || R1 1940.55 · R3 1951.64 · R4 1968.28 - Classic: S2 1892.67 · S1 1913.83 · P 1953.17 · R1 1974.33 · R2 2013.67 - EMA20/50/200: 1947.4 / 1951.7 / 1872.9 - POC 1958.3 - PrevH/L 1992.5/1932 - 52w 2282/1315
BAE 1873.7 (pre-rally; ~1988 after 02 Jul +6.1%) - Cam: S4 1843.71 · S3 1858.69 · S1 1868.68 || R1 1878.68 · R3 1888.67 · R4 1903.66 - Classic: S2 1816.23 · S1 1844.95 · P 1870.73 · R1 1899.45 · R2 1925.23 - EMA20/50/200: 1864 / 1934.9 / 1937.2 - POC 1985.1 - 52w 2360/1581



BEARISH WARNINGS

FRESH BREAKDOWNS (crossed EMAs 01 Jul - highest priority):
ABF - below EMA20 AND EMA200, RSI -17.8, -3.5% on rv 1.8 (heavy, genuine selling). Next support POC 1864 then S2 1855.
GSK - below EMA20, EMA50 and POC same day. 1873 (EMA200) is the magnet.
NG. - below EMA20/50, RSI -12.2, one tick above EMA200. Break of 1210 opens 1190/1184.
BATS, IMB, CPG - each lost EMA20; staples-wide distribution.
SSE - lost EMA50, RSI -7.4.
DGE - MACD bearish cross plus POC loss; -30.6% from 52w high and still no base.
ESTABLISHED DOWNTRENDS: BP (RSI 26.3) and SHEL (31.5) below all EMAs - but deeply oversold and both bounced in Thursday's rally; do not open fresh shorts into RSI sub-30. VOD (25.4) same warning. WPP -54.4% from high; RTO and REL bear-below-all despite bounces.



EVENTS CALENDAR

Fri 03 Jul - US non-farm payrolls (main macro event; rate-expectation driver for GBP and the index)
Thu 09 Jul - BATS ex-dividend 61.26p Q2 (approx 3.8% index weight - mechanical index drag that morning); Next, Games Workshop, JD Sports also ex-div this week
Late Jul - UK bank results season: LLOY and NWG report final week of July; watch-list this month also flags IAG, RR., SGE
Thu 30 Jul - Shell Q2 results
Recent: Currys FY in line + GBP50m buyback; Capricorn Energy takeover by Genel Energy


Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Tuesday 30 June 2026


Data: close Mon 29 Jun 2026 (latest scanner snapshot) · UKX: 10,502 (29 Jun close) · Futures: FTSE 30 Jun tick unavailable; NASDAQ-100 ~29,700-30,050


FEED NOTE: the scanner is currently populated with US large-cap tech / NASDAQ-100 names, NOT FTSE 100 constituents. All analysis below covers the 20 US tech names in the live feed (BKNG, PANW, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, REGN, SNPS, CDNS, MELI, CRWD, MAR, ABNB, MRVL, DASH, FTNT, CEG, WDAY, PYPL, ORLY). Levels are from the 29 Jun close, not today's tape.


MARKET OVERVIEW

Data date: close Monday 29 June 2026 (EOD reference for Tue 30 Jun planning).

FTSE 100 (UKX): last reliable print 10,502 at the 29 Jun close (-6 pts, -0.06%; opened 10,530). The UK index held the 10,500 shelf well, among the strongest global benchmarks in the 23-27 Jun week while the Nasdaq Composite fell ~5% on an AI-hardware-cost scare. FTSE 30 Jun futures: no reliable intraday tick at time of writing - not fabricated. Contract-roll note: the front index future rolled off the June (M26) contract at quarter-end; any far-month quote sits below cash on the dividend discount and is NOT a directional gap.

NASDAQ-100 (the index that matters for these names): futures ~29,700-30,050 (E-mini NQ; June contract expired, front month now September), daily signal NEUTRAL. This follows a sharp Monday 29 Jun recovery in semis and cybersecurity after the prior week's wobble.

Tone: the dominant story is the AI memory + semicap capex super-cycle plus an AI-cybersecurity bid. Monday was a risk-on bounce concentrated in exactly these names. Into 30 Jun the read-across is constructive but EXTENDED - several leaders closed on fresh 52-week highs with RSI 66-78. Week's pivot event: US Non-Farm Payrolls, pulled forward to Thu 2 Jul (cons. +172k), ahead of the 4 Jul holiday (US cash markets closed Fri 3 Jul).


NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day, 29 Jun vs 26 Jun)

Overwhelmingly risk-on; heavy moves clustered in semicap and cyber.

1. PANW +9.1% - fresh MACD BULLISH crossover, +14.1% week. Strongest name, closed on its 52w high.

2. KLAC +12.0% - RSI +7.6 pts in a day, +13.9% week, new 52w high. Post-split momentum + semicap capex.

3. LRCX +8.4% - +10.7% week, RSI +5.8. BofA target hike to $480.

4. CRWD +6.0% - +9.1% week, RSI +6.9. AI-cyber bid alongside PANW.

5. MELI - crossed ABOVE EMA50 and ABOVE POC today; +6.3% week. Base-recovery trigger.

6. MRVL - crossed ABOVE EMA20 today, +4.1%. Earliest stage of the semis turn.

7. PYPL - crossed ABOVE EMA50; +6.4% week, RSI +15.6 pts on the week.

8. MU - MACD BEARISH crossover despite +8.9% week. Momentum cooling INSIDE a strong uptrend - the one watch-item among leaders.

FTSE names (compare universe): SSE crossed ABOVE EMA50 (RSI +5.2); VOD crossed BELOW EMA200 (fresh breakdown); LGEN MACD bearish crossover; BP -5.2% week; III +9.8%.


SECTOR HEATMAP

Semiconductors / semicap (MU, LRCX, KLAC, MRVL, ADI): LEADING - LRCX/KLAC/MU/MRVL up hard, multiple new highs. ADI the lone laggard (below EMA20/50). Whole-group move = genuine rotation in.

Cybersecurity / software (PANW, CRWD, FTNT, CDNS, SNPS, WDAY): MIXED-STRONG - PANW/CRWD/FTNT bid hard; SNPS, CDNS, WDAY weak (EDA + enterprise software lagging).

Internet / travel / consumer (BKNG, ABNB, DASH, MELI, MAR, ORLY): MIXED - BKNG/ABNB/DASH firm, MELI turning up, MAR 4-day down streak, ORLY flat.

Other: CEG (power) and REGN (pharma) weak (below all/most EMAs); PYPL recovering.

Blocks moving together: semicap (4 of 5 up big) and AI-cyber (PANW+CRWD+FTNT).


DAILY SIGNALS (strict EMA trend / RSI / MACD / %52wH / day%)

PANW BULLISH above all · RSI 77.6 ob · MACD 17.62>16.19 · 52wH -0.3% · day +9.1%
KLAC BULLISH above all · RSI 66.4 · MACD 18.31>16.68 · 52wH -0.3% · day +12.0%
LRCX BULLISH above all · RSI 63.7 · MACD 25.13>23.61 · 52wH -1.0% · day +8.4%
MU BULLISH above all · RSI 59.6 · MACD 92.93<93.83 dn · 52wH -8.7% · day +1.1%
CRWD BULLISH above all · RSI 67.6 · MACD 24.58<27.69 dn · 52wH -5.4% · day +6.0%
ABNB BULLISH above all · RSI 64.8 · MACD 2.64>1.45 · 52wH -2.0% · day +1.1%
MRVL BULLISH above all · RSI 55.1 · MACD 19.29<25.20 dn · 52wH -15.8% · day +4.1%
FTNT BULLISH above all · RSI 70.8 ob · MACD 7.38<8.13 dn · 52wH -2.3% · day +2.7%
BKNG BULLISH above 20/50 (<200) · RSI 63.2 · MACD 3.56>1.90 · 52wH -21.9% · day +0.5%
MELI BULLISH above 20/50 (<200) · RSI 53.8 · MACD -7.20>-16.48 · 52wH -36.4% · day +0.5%
DASH BULLISH above 20/50 (<200) · RSI 65.7 · MACD 5.39>2.64 · 52wH -35.3% · day +0.9%
PYPL BULLISH above 20/50 (<200) · RSI 56.1 · MACD -0.36>-0.76 · 52wH n/a · day +0.2%
CDNS MIXED <20 >50/200 · RSI 47.8 · MACD 2.71<6.90 dn · 52wH n/a · day -1.2%
MAR MIXED <20 >50/200 · RSI 44.0 · MACD 2.51<5.90 dn · 52wH n/a · day -0.6%
REGN MIXED >20 <50/200 · RSI 49.8 · MACD -9.46>-15.48 · 52wH n/a · day -0.2%
ORLY MIXED >20 <50/200 · RSI 53.0 · MACD -0.56>-0.75 · 52wH n/a · day +0.7%
ADI BEARISH below 20/50 (>200) · RSI 44.3 · MACD -0.12<3.77 dn · 52wH -12.1% · day +1.3%
SNPS BEARISH below all · RSI 39.1 · MACD -8.81<-7.66 dn · 52wH n/a · day -1.6%
CEG BEARISH below all · RSI 42.6 · MACD -3.83<-5.15 · 52wH -37.2% · day -1.8%
WDAY BEARISH below all · RSI 46.9 · MACD -3.56<-2.26 dn · 52wH -50.5% · day -0.5%
EMA classifications independently re-checked in code: zero mismatches.


TOP SWING SETUPS

1. KLAC - breakout continuation (NEW)

BULLISH above all EMAs, +12% blast to new 52w high (279.34), RSI 66.4 room to run, POC 203.82 far below. ATR 16.73.

Entry: 279.5 (break/hold of 52w high) · Stop: 261.9 (Cam S4, ~1.0 ATR) · T1: 288.7 · T2: 299.0 · R:R: ~1.1 / 2.2

2. LRCX - breakout continuation (NEW/CONTINUING)

BULLISH above all, +8.4%, RSI 63.7 (not stretched), 1% under 52w high (414.98). BofA target $480. ATR 25.17. Cleanest R:R of the leaders.

Entry: 411-415 · Stop: 391.2 (Cam S4, ~0.8 ATR) · T1: 437.5 · T2: 480 · R:R: ~1.3 / 3.4

3. MU - trend pullback buy (CONTINUING)

BULLISH above all in a monster trend, but -8.7% off high with fresh MACD bearish cross = healthy cooldown, not a top. RSI 59.6. ATR huge (97) - SIZE SMALL.

Entry: 1,105-1,120 (toward pivot/EMA20) · Stop: 1,018 (below 29 Jun low, ~1.3 ATR) · T1: 1,188 · T2: 1,255 · R:R: ~0.85 / 1.4

4. MELI - base-recovery trigger (NEW)

Crossed ABOVE EMA50 AND ABOVE POC today - clean trigger. RSI 53.8 turning up, BULLISH above 20/50 (still <EMA200 1,886). -36% from high. ATR 64.6. Highest-reward base play on the board.

Entry: 1,685-1,705 (hold above POC 1,681 / pivot 1,703) · Stop: 1,648 (Cam S4) · T1: 1,765 · T2: 1,887 (EMA200) · R:R: ~1.5 / 3.6

5. MRVL - early semis turn (NEW)

Crossed ABOVE EMA20 today, now BULLISH above all (EMA200 far below 140), RSI 55.1 rising. -15.8% from high leaves runway. ATR 26.8.

Entry: 278-280 · Stop: 262.5 (Cam S4) · T1: 296.6 · T2: 310 · R:R: ~1.1 / 2.0


INTRADAY SETUPS (levels from 29 Jun close)

1. PANW - Camarilla breakout LONG

Closed 332 on 52w high under Cam R1. RSI 77.6 hot, keep it tight.

Entry: > 334.6 (Cam R1) · Stop: 329.5 (Cam S1) · T1: 339.6 (Cam R3) · T2: 347.2 (Cam R4)

2. KLAC - Camarilla breakout LONG

Entry: > 281.1 (Cam R1) · Stop: 275.6 (Cam S1) · T1: 286.7 (Cam R3) · T2: 294.9 (Cam R4) · continuation of the +12% new-high day.

3. ABNB - pivot-reclaim LONG

Tight coiled range, BULLISH above all, RSI 64.8, low ATR 4.63.

Entry: > 147.7 (pivot reclaim) · Stop: 145.9 (Cam S3) · T1: 149.7 · T2: 152.2

4. FTNT - Camarilla range LONG

Closed 155.42 ~ pivot 155.54, BULLISH above all, RSI 70.8 (watch overbought).

Entry: > 155.6 (pivot/Cam R1) · Stop: 153.5 (Cam S3) · T1: 158.95 · T2: 162.5

5. CEG - Camarilla breakdown SHORT

BEARISH below all EMAs, RSI 42.6, closed 259.32 below pivot 261.95 and below POC. Counter-trend to risk-on tape - keep size modest.

Entry: < 258.4 (Cam S1) · Stop: 262.0 (pivot) · T1: 256.4 (Cam S3) · T2: 253.5 (Cam S4)


KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD - TOP 5

PANW (close 332.00) Cam: S4 316.85 · S3 324.42 · S1 329.47 || R1 334.53 · R3 339.58 · R4 347.15
EMAs 20/50/200: 282.98 / 250.38 / 205.86 · POC 231.69 · 52w H/L 332.88 / 139.57
KLAC (close 278.39) Cam: S4 261.88 · S3 270.13 · S1 275.64 || R1 281.14 · R3 286.65 · R4 294.90
EMAs 20/50/200: 237.17 / 210.12 / 157.88 · POC 203.82 · 52w H/L 279.34 / 83.22
LRCX (close 410.91) Cam: S4 391.18 · S3 401.04 · S1 407.62 || R1 414.20 · R3 420.78 · R4 430.64
EMAs 20/50/200: 363.82 / 323.39 / 233.44 · POC 312.12 · 52w H/L 414.98 / 90.94
MU (close 1145.28) Cam: S4 1076.45 · S3 1110.87 · S1 1133.81 || R1 1156.75 · R3 1179.69 · R4 1214.11
EMAs 20/50/200: 1034.66 / 859.76 / 507.64 · POC 785.81 · 52w H/L 1255.00 / 103.38
CRWD (close 742.91) Cam: S4 714.39 · S3 728.65 · S1 738.16 || R1 747.66 · R3 757.17 · R4 771.43
EMAs 20/50/200: 679.51 / 616.04 / 507.41 · POC 571.07 · 52w H/L 785.66 / 342.72


BEARISH WARNINGS (fresh breakdowns first)

VOD (FTSE) - crossed BELOW EMA200 today. Freshest breakdown; trend flipped down.

LGEN (FTSE) - MACD bearish crossover today. Momentum rolling over.

MU - MACD bearish crossover INSIDE an uptrend. Not a sell, but the leaders' one cooling signal - manage longs.

SNPS - BEARISH below ALL EMAs, RSI 39.1, MACD negative & widening. Weakest of the 20.

WDAY - BEARISH below all, -50.5% from 52w high. Deep downtrend, no reversal yet.

CEG - BEARISH below all, RSI 42.6, -37% from high. Intraday short above.

ADI - turned BEARISH below EMA20/50, MACD crossed negative today. Avoid as long until it reclaims EMA20 (411.27).

MAR - 4-day down streak, lost EMA20. Diverging from the risk-on group.


EVENTS CALENDAR (week of 30 Jun)

Tracked universe is US tech, so the calendar that matters is US-centric:

Wed 1 Jul - ISM Manufacturing (June); Fed speaker on the tape. Quarter-start positioning.

Thu 2 Jul - US Non-Farm Payrolls PULLED FORWARD a day (cons. +172k) - the week's pivot; expect volatility in high-beta semis/cyber ~13:30 UK.

Fri 3 Jul - US cash equity & bond markets CLOSED (Independence Day). Thin liquidity into Thursday's close.

Earnings: NONE of the 20 tracked names report this week. MU already reported fiscal Q3 in June (the catalyst behind its run). Broader tape: Nike & Constellation Brands - neither in this watchlist. Note CEG = Constellation ENERGY, not Brands.

Ex-dividend: no ex-div flags in the feed for tracked names this week.


Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.