FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups

Thursday 14 May 2026
Data: Close 13 May | UKX: ~10,297 | Futures: Flat (see note below)



1. MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 closed at approximately 10,297 on Wednesday 13 May, up 32 points (+0.3%). On Thursday morning (14 May), the index opened essentially flat after a stronger-than-expected UK GDP print, partially offset by ongoing Iran conflict uncertainty and a sharp fall in 3i Group.

Key macro drivers:

- UK GDP Q1 2026: +0.6% QoQ (prior +0.2%). March alone +0.3% vs -0.1% forecast. Services sector driven.
- Brent crude ~$106/bbl. US-Iran peace talks stalled, keeping energy prices elevated.
- PM Keir Starmer political uncertainty -- leadership questions circulating.
- Mining sector surging: Antofagasta +8.7%, Anglo American +4.5%, RIO at 52-week high.
- 3i Group (III) under heavy institutional selling (rv=2.56 -- see Notable Changes).
- BATS and CPG breaking out to multi-month highs on strong results/guidance.

Note on futures data: Investing.com quoted FTSE 100 Futures at 10,642.6 -- this is inconsistent with the cash UKX at ~10,267-10,323 and likely reflects a different quarterly expiry contract or stale data. Multiple news sources confirm today's cash open around 10,267-10,323. Treat 10,297 (13 May close) as the reference level.

Overall market character: Rotating, not trending. Commodities and banks catching a bid on global trade optimism (Trump-Xi). Media, data and consumer staples under sustained pressure.



2. NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day Highlights)

Most significant movements from the compare.php analysis -- the stocks that changed today vs yesterday and demand immediate attention:


BULLISH SURGES:

- BATS -- +3.7% day / +11.89% week. RSI surged +21.5pts to 71.2 (OB). MACD strong bull crossover. At 52-week high. Strongest weekly performer in the universe.
- ANTO (Anglo American, not in main 20) -- +8.7% day / +9.72% week. RSI surged +8.4pts to 67.8. FTSE's biggest single-day mover.
- RIO -- +4.4% day / +7.46% week. Heavy volume (rv=1.5). Hit 52-week high (8275). Mining surge.
- CPG (Compass Group) -- +1.47% day / +10.35% week. 4-day up streak. RSI 71.7 OB. Bull above all EMAs.
- GLEN -- +3.3% day. RSI surged +9.2pts to 69. Near 52-week high. Bull above all EMAs.
- HSBA -- Crossed ABOVE EMA20 (new bullish signal). Above POC. Bull all EMAs.
- VOD (not in main 20) -- Crossed ABOVE EMA50 and ABOVE POC in single session.


BEARISH COLLAPSES:

- WPP (not in main 20) -- 4-day down streak, -8.72% WTD, RSI crashed -23.4pts to 43.1. Crossed below POC. Worst weekly performer by momentum deterioration.
- REL (RELX) -- -5% day / -5.24% week. RSI dropped -8pts to 28.6. Entered OS territory. Bear below all 3 EMAs.
- EXPN (Experian) -- -4.6% day / -5.64% week. RSI dropped -10.3pts to 35.9. Bear below all EMAs. Earnings miss.
- III (3i Group) -- Heavy volume distribution (rv=2.56). -7.56% WTD. Bear below all EMAs.
- BP -- Crossed BELOW EMA50 today (new bearish signal). Below EMA20 too.
- DGE (Diageo) -- Crossed BELOW EMA20 today (new bearish signal). Now bear below all EMAs.
- SGE (Sage Group, not in main 20) -- -3.6% day. Crossed below POC.



3. SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG:
- Mining/Metals: RIO (+4.4%, Bull all EMAs, OB), GLEN (+3.3%, Bull all EMAs, near 52wk hi). China trade optimism and Trump-Xi meeting driving the sector. ANTO +8.7% also tracked.
- Tobacco: BATS (+3.7%, Bull all EMAs, OB, at 52wk high). Defensive income stocks rotating in.
- Food Services: CPG (+1.47%, Bull all EMAs, OB, 4-day streak). Compass Group breakout on strong guidance.
- Banks: HSBA (+1.55%, Bull all EMAs, crossed above EMA20). BARC and STAN also positive from compare data.

NEUTRAL/RECOVERING:
- Utilities: NG (-0.08%, flat). Bear below EMA20/50 but above 200.
- Industrials: RR. (+1.18%). Marginally below EMA20 (1205 vs 1206.62 -- 1.62p gap). MACD recovering.
- Financial Services: LSEG (-2.37%, Mixed: above EMA50/200 but below EMA20). Watching for EMA20 test.

WEAK:
- Energy: SHEL (-0.38%, Bear below 20/50), BP (-0.46%, just crossed below EMA50). Oil elevated but both unable to benefit.
- Consumer Staples: ULVR (-0.95%, Bear all), RKT (-1.25%, Bear all, at 52wk low).
- Media/Data: REL (-4.97%, Bear all, OS), EXPN (-4.64%, Bear all), LSEG declining.
- Healthcare: AZN (+0.13%, Bear 20/50), GSK (-0.29%, Bear 20/50). Both well below their EMAs.
- Private Equity: III (+0.88% bounce but still Bear all, heavy distribution continuing).
- Consumer: DGE (just crossed below EMA20, now Bear all), ADM (Bear 20/50).
- Defense: BAE (+0.13%, Bear all). Tiny bounce in downtrend. No setup.

Sector theme: Classic risk-on rotation -- commodities and financials bid, defensives and growth names sold. GDP beat adding confidence but Iran risk keeps the picture uncertain.



4. DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE

EMA classifications verified programmatically. STRICT rules applied (no rounding).

--- BULLISH ---
HSBA 1339 | Bull (above all) | RSI 54.4 [Bull] | MACD: m<s Slight bear lag | -5.0% from 52wH | +1.55% | Above POC | CROSSED EMA20 TODAY
RIO 8272 | Bull (above all) | RSI 78.1 [OB] | MACD: Bullish | -0.0% 52wH | +4.44% | Above POC | AT 52WK HIGH, rv=1.5
BATS 4807 | Bull (above all) | RSI 71.2 [OB] | MACD: Bullish | -0.1% 52wH | +3.73% | Above POC | AT 52WK HIGH
CPG 3240 | Bull (above all) | RSI 71.7 [OB] | MACD: Bullish | -7.9% 52wH | +1.47% | Above POC | 4-day streak
GLEN 592 | Bull (above all) | RSI 69.0 [Bull] | MACD: Bullish | -0.7% 52wH | +3.26% | Above POC | Near 52wk high

--- RECOVERING/MIXED ---
RR. 1205 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 49.6 [Neutral] | MACD: Recovering | -15.1% | +1.18% | Below POC | Note: only 1.62p below EMA20
DGE 1486 | Bear (below all) | RSI 49.2 [Neutral] | MACD: Bullish (m>s) | -32.9% | -1.23% | Below POC | CROSSED BELOW EMA20 TODAY
LSEG 9126 | Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) | RSI 46.0 [Neutral] | MACD: Bearish | -22.7% | -2.37% | Above POC

--- BEARISH ---
AZN 13766 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 44.2 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -12.5% | +0.13% | Below POC
SHEL 3145 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 40.2 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -12.4% | -0.38% | Below POC
ULVR 4235 | Bear (below all) | RSI 44.2 [Bear] | MACD: Recovering (m>s) | -23.3% | -0.95% | Below POC
BP 544 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 44.4 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -10.7% | -0.46% | Above POC | CROSSED BELOW EMA50 TODAY
BAE 1928 | Bear (below all) | RSI 33.6 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -18.3% | +0.13% | Below POC
GSK 1886 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 36.1 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -17.4% | -0.29% | Below POC
REL 2333 | Bear (below all) | RSI 28.6 [OS] | MACD: Bearish | -44.2% | -4.97% | Below POC | RSI -8pts TODAY, ENTERED OS
ADM 3172 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 39.1 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -13.9% | -0.88% | AT POC (3172 vs 3172!)
III 2421 | Bear (below all) | RSI 35.0 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -46.2% | +0.88% | Below POC | rv=2.56 DISTRIBUTION
NG 1276 | Bear (below 20/50, above 200) | RSI 45.2 [Neutral] | MACD: Bearish | -10.7% | -0.08% | Below POC
RKT 4518 | Bear (below all) | RSI 32.0 [Bear] | MACD: Recovering | -30.6% | -1.25% | Below POC | AT 52WK LOW
EXPN 2526 | Bear (below all) | RSI 35.9 [Bear] | MACD: Bearish | -38.4% | -4.64% | Below POC | RSI -10.3pts TODAY

Summary: 5 Bull | 3 Mixed/Recovering | 12 Bear
Market is broadly bearish with selective commodity/tobacco/food breakouts.



5. TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS


Setup 1 -- GLEN (Glencore) | BULL MOMENTUM CONTINUATION

GLEN is in a clean bull trend (above all 3 EMAs: 563.75 / 544.39 / 453.00), RSI 69.0 surging (+9.2pts yesterday), MACD bullish, well above POC (592.1 vs 539.35), within 0.7% of 52-week high (596.14). Mining sector momentum is the standout theme. ATR(14) = 14.26p.

Entry: 580-587 · Stop: 566 (below EMA20, 1.5x ATR) · T1: 600 (Cam R1 / round number) · T2: 610 (Cam R3 extended) · R:R: 1:1.9 to T1

Confluence: 5/5 -- trend, structure, momentum, volume, above POC
Note: NEW 52wk high territory. RSI approaching OB -- enter on a dip to Cam S3 (586.64) rather than chasing the open. POC at 539.35 provides deep structural support.


Setup 2 -- HSBA (HSBC) | EMA20 CROSSOVER RECOVERY

HSBA crossed above EMA20 yesterday (1339 vs EMA20 1323.38) -- a fresh bullish signal. Bull above all 3 EMAs, RSI 54.4 in the healthy bull zone, well above POC (1339 vs 1271.67). MACD slightly below signal line but improving -- the EMA cross is the trigger here. ATR = 33.45p.

Entry: 1320-1330 (EMA20 retest / Cam S1 zone) · Stop: 1292 (below Cam S4 / Classic S2) · T1: 1348 (Classic R1) · T2: 1358 (Classic R2) · R:R: 1:1.5 to T1

Confluence: 4/5 -- trend, structure, momentum, above POC (MACD slight lag)
Note: NEW signal today. Volume thin (rv=0.65) -- watch for volume expansion on the move. Entry on dip to EMA20 is lower risk than chasing yesterday's close.


Setup 3 -- BATS (BAT) | 52WK HIGH BREAKOUT MOMENTUM

BATS is at its 52-week high (4813), Bull above all 3 EMAs (4375/4351/4141), RSI 71.2 (OB but momentum OB), MACD expanded bullishly with MACD well above signal, above POC by 10% (4807 vs 4388). +11.89% this week. This is a "let it breathe" continuation play only. ATR = 129.96p.

Entry: 4720-4765 (pullback to Cam S3 / Cam S2) · Stop: 4650 (below Cam S4 4722.85) · T1: 4860 (Classic R1) · T2: 4913 (Classic R2) · R:R: 1:1.3 to T1 from Cam S3

Confluence: 4/5 -- trend, momentum, above POC, weekly streak (OB = risk)
Note: CONTINUING -- 3rd consecutive up day. Do NOT chase at open. Only enter on a clear intraday dip. Extended RSI means any correction could be sharp.


Setup 4 -- CPG (Compass Group) | OB BREAKOUT CONTINUATION

CPG is Bull above all 3 EMAs (2951/2888/2994), RSI 71.7 OB, MACD bullish, 4-day up streak, +10.35% WTD, above POC by 15% (3240 vs 2824). Strong guidance drove this breakout. ATR = 127p.

Entry: 3180-3212 (Cam S3 area / Classic S1) · Stop: 3082 (below Cam S4 3182.80) · T1: 3291 (Classic R1) · T2: 3395 (Classic R3) · R:R: 1:1.3 to T1

Confluence: 4/5 -- trend, momentum, above POC, strong weekly streak (OB = risk)
Note: CONTINUING -- 4th up day. Only enter on a pullback dip. If opens above 3291, step aside and wait for next support retest.



6. INTRADAY SETUPS (Pivot/Camarilla)


Intraday 1 -- GLEN LONG | Camarilla S3 Bounce

Daily trend: Bull above all EMAs. RSI 69, MACD bullish. Favour longs.

Entry: 586.64 (Cam S3) · Stop: 581.19 (Cam S4) · Target: 593.92 (Cam R1) then 597.56 (Cam R3) · Direction: LONG · R:R: 1:1.3 to R1 / 1:2.0 to R3

Why: Bull trend, RSI surge, MACD bullish, above POC. Any intraday dip to Cam S3 is a premium entry with the daily trend behind you. POC at 539.35 is deep structural support.


Intraday 2 -- HSBA LONG | Pivot Zone Retest

HSBA just crossed EMA20. Classic pivot (1329.73) aligns with EMA20 (1323.38) creating a tight confluence zone.

Entry: 1323-1330 (Pivot / EMA20 zone) · Stop: 1308 (below Cam S4 1323.71) · Target: 1341.55 (Cam R1) then 1348.27 (Classic R1) · Direction: LONG · R:R: 1:1.3 to Cam R1

Why: Fresh EMA20 cross, bull above all EMAs, above POC, pivot confluence. High-probability dip entry if it pulls back to the level.


Intraday 3 -- ADM RANGE DAY | POC/Pivot Fade Both Ways

ADM closed at exactly the POC (3172 vs POC 3171.77). Classic pivot is 3179.33. The stock is at absolute fair value -- a range day is the most likely outcome.

Long entry: 3160-3162 (Cam S3) · Stop: 3148.90 (Cam S4) · Target: 3179 (Pivot) then 3196 (Classic R1) · R:R: 1:2.1 to R1
Short entry: 3196-3204 (Classic R1 / Cam R3) · Stop: 3238 (Classic R3) · Target: 3179 (Pivot) then 3154 (Cam S3) · R:R: 1:1.3

Note: MACD bearish (m<s), daily trend bearish -- slight short bias for today's range if market opens weak.


Intraday 4 -- RIO CONTINUATION | Buy First Dip to Pivot

RIO hit its 52-week high on heavy volume (rv=1.5). Momentum continuation -- buy the first meaningful dip.

Entry: 8226 (Classic Pivot) or 8232 (Cam S3) · Stop: 8192 (Cam S4) · Target: 8285 (Cam R1) then 8321 (Classic R1) · Direction: LONG · R:R: 1:1.7 to Cam R1

Caution: RSI 78.1 is deeply OB. If price breaks below Cam S4 (8192) with volume, stand aside -- a sharp reversal from OB 52wk high is possible.


Intraday 5 -- EXPN SHORT | Fade Any Relief Bounce

EXPN is in a clear bear trend (below all EMAs), RSI 35.9 dropping fast, MACD bearish, -4.6% yesterday.

Entry: 2552-2565 (Cam R2-R3 zone) · Stop: 2604 (Cam R4) · Target: 2513 (Cam S1) then 2487 (Cam S3) · Direction: SHORT · R:R: 1:1.5 to Cam S1

Why: Bear trend, bearish MACD, RSI dropping, below POC (2681). Any bounce to Cam R2/R3 is a sell into overhead resistance. RSI dropped 10.3pts yesterday -- momentum is decidedly down.



7. KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD


GLEN (592.1p)
Cam: S4 581.19 · S3 586.64 · S2 588.46 · S1 590.28 || R1 593.92 · R2 595.74 · R3 597.56 · R4 603.01
Classic: S3 560.38 · S2 568.34 · S1 580.22 · Pivot 588.18 · R1 600.06 · R2 608.02 · R3 619.90
EMAs: 9=571.51 · 20=563.75 · 50=544.39 · 200=453.00 | POC: 539.35
Prev Day: Lo 576.30 · Hi 596.14 | 52wk: Lo 261.70 · Hi 596.14


HSBA (1339p)
Cam: S4 1323.71 · S3 1331.36 · S2 1333.90 · S1 1336.45 || R1 1341.55 · R2 1344.10 · R3 1346.65 · R4 1354.29
Classic: S3 1292.67 · S2 1301.93 · S1 1320.47 · Pivot 1329.73 · R1 1348.27 · R2 1357.53 · R3 1376.07
EMAs: 9=1328.64 · 20=1323.38 · 50=1297.24 · 200=1158.72 | POC: 1271.67
Prev Day: Lo 1311.20 · Hi 1339.00 | 52wk: Lo 847.00 · Hi 1410.42


RIO (8272p)
Cam: S4 8192.80 · S3 8232.40 · S2 8245.60 · S1 8258.80 || R1 8285.20 · R2 8298.40 · R3 8311.60 · R4 8351.20
Classic: S3 8033 · S2 8082 · S1 8177 · Pivot 8226 · R1 8321 · R2 8370 · R3 8465
EMAs: 9=7786.21 · 20=7555.04 · 50=7232.03 · 200=6231.47 | POC: 7028.97
Prev Day: Lo 8131 · Hi 8275 (= 52wk high) | 52wk: Lo 4110 · Hi 8275


BATS (4807p)
Cam: S4 4722.85 · S3 4764.93 · S2 4778.95 · S1 4792.98 || R1 4821.03 · R2 4835.05 · R3 4849.08 · R4 4891.15
Classic: S3 4554 · S2 4607 · S1 4707 · Pivot 4760 · R1 4860 · R2 4913 · R3 5013
EMAs: 9=4461.47 · 20=4375.87 · 50=4351.48 · 200=4141.63 | POC: 4387.72
Prev Day: Lo 4660 · Hi 4813 (= 52wk high) | 52wk: Lo 3026 · Hi 4813


CPG (3240p)
Cam: S4 3182.80 · S3 3211.40 · S2 3220.93 · S1 3230.47 || R1 3249.53 · R2 3259.07 · R3 3268.60 · R4 3297.20
Classic: S3 3083.67 · S2 3135.33 · S1 3187.67 · Pivot 3239.33 · R1 3291.67 · R2 3343.33 · R3 3395.67
EMAs: 9=3034 · 20=2951 · 50=2888 · 200=2994 | POC: 2824
Prev Day: Lo 3187 · Hi 3291 | 52wk: Lo 2320 · Hi 3518



8. BEARISH WARNINGS

Stocks to avoid / watch for shorts:

- REL (RELX) 2333p -- Bear below ALL 3 EMAs. RSI 28.6 (OS), MACD strongly bearish. -5% yesterday. Dropped into oversold. Relief bounce possible -- do NOT buy. Classic S3 = 2141 is the next downside target if 2300 fails. Short any rally to 2400-2450 (EMA20 area).

- EXPN (Experian) 2526p -- Bear below ALL 3 EMAs. RSI 35.9 falling (-10.3pts), MACD bearish, below POC (2681). -4.6% yesterday, -5.64% WTD. Earnings miss confirmed. Cam S4 = 2447.90 is the next downside target. Fade any bounce to Cam R2/R3 (2552-2565).

- III (3i Group) 2421p -- Bear below ALL 3 EMAs (2601/2752/3259). RSI 35, MACD deeply bearish. Institutional distribution: rv=2.56 (highest in entire scanner). -7.56% WTD. POC at 2755 is now heavy overhead resistance. Any rally to 2500-2555 is a short opportunity. Do not buy.

- RKT (Reckitt) 4518p -- Bear below ALL 3 EMAs. RSI 32. AT 52-WEEK LOW (lo52 = 4518 = yesterday's close). MACD has a marginal recovering cross but insufficient to call a bottom. A close below Cam S4 (4489) opens the door to further declines. No long setups until there is a confirmed weekly base.

- DGE (Diageo) 1486p -- Just crossed BELOW EMA20 yesterday (new bearish signal). Now Bear below all 3 EMAs (1491/1509/1699). EMA20 at 1491.96 becomes resistance. RSI heading lower from 49.2. -32.9% from 52wk high. Avoid.

- BP 544p -- Just crossed BELOW EMA50 yesterday (new bearish signal). Below EMA20 and EMA50. MACD bearish. Oil elevated but BP failing to follow the commodity higher -- this is a relative weakness warning. Classic S2 = 536.1 is the next key level. Cam S4 = 538.60 is today's breakdown watch level.

- BAE Systems 1928p -- Bear below all 3 EMAs (2045/2093/1955). RSI 33.6, MACD bearish. -18.3% from 52wk high. Defence stocks under pressure globally despite geopolitical tensions. No setup here.



9. EVENTS CALENDAR

Thursday 14 May (TODAY):
- UK Q1 GDP final print: +0.6% -- RELEASED. Already digested by market. Positive macro backdrop.
- US PPI data (14:30 UK) -- could impact energy stocks and broader sentiment late session.
- Premier Foods results: beat, dividend raised (UK mid-cap positive read-through).
- Aviva (AV) results: sent rivals higher. Insurance sector supportive.

Friday 15 May:
- US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment (15:00 UK).
- US Retail Sales (13:30 UK).

Key ongoing risks to watch:
- Iran ceasefire talks: Any breakthrough = sharp oil sell-off. SHEL and BP would initially drop then recover. Broader market risk-on rally likely. Monitor closely.
- UK political risk: Starmer leadership questions circulating. GBP sensitive. FTSE 100 has low direct UK political exposure (80% of revenues foreign) but watch domestics.
- BoE rate decision: Next MPC in June. Cut expectations growing after GDP beat -- positive for rate-sensitive sectors (property, utilities, REITs).

Earnings upcoming for tracked stocks:
- No imminent earnings known for the main 20 scanner stocks in the next 5 trading days.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Wednesday 13 May 2026
Data: Close 12 May | UKX: 10,247 | Open today: ~10,233 (slight gap down) | Prev close: 10,269 | Day: -22 pts (-0.22%)



1. MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 slipped 22 points on Tuesday 12 May to close at 10,247, pulled lower by a broad-based banking sell-off and two high-profile earnings casualties -- Vodafone and WPP. The index had been in positive territory intraday before late afternoon selling dragged it into the red.

Today (13 May) pre-market: The index opened around 10,233, a modest gap down of approximately 14 points. Futures data shows limited movement suggesting consolidation is the base case.

Key macro drivers this week:
- Bank of England held rates at 3.75% on 30 April, but flagged possible further hikes if inflation stays elevated
- UK political uncertainty persists -- PM Starmer facing pressure from within Labour following poor local election results
- Oil prices supported by Middle East tensions (US-Iran talks uncertainty)
- Banking stocks under pressure: HSBC, Lloyds, Barclays, NatWest all fell 1-4% on Tuesday
- Rio Tinto and Glencore both touched NEW 52-WEEK HIGHS on Tuesday -- copper demand outlook driving mining strength
- VOD and WPP results were significant negative catalysts (see Notable Changes below)



2. NOTABLE CHANGES -- TOP MOVERS SINCE YESTERDAY

These are the stocks that changed most significantly from Monday 11 May to Tuesday 12 May. These demand the most attention today.

VOD -- RSI dropped 20.3 pts | Crossed BELOW EMA20 | Crossed BELOW EMA50 | MACD BEARISH crossover | Big move: -8.1% | Crossed BELOW POC | Heavy volume (rv=1.7) | Week: -6% | RSI week: -16.7 pts
Vodafone FY2026 results: revenue beat but German market shed 103,000 mobile clients in the year and 90,000 broadband customers last quarter. The stock collapsed on the day despite being up 17% YTD. Highest conviction bearish name in the dataset.

WPP -- RSI dropped 11.4 pts | Crossed BELOW EMA20 | Crossed BELOW EMA50 | MACD BEARISH crossover | Big move: -4.6% | Week: -5.78% | RSI week: -17.5 pts
WPP guidance is dire -- mid-to-high single digit revenue decline in H1 2026, full year EPS consensus now shows a LOSS of UK£0.23 vs prior £0.395 profit expectation. Both EMAs broken cleanly.

RR. -- Crossed BELOW EMA20 | Crossed BELOW EMA50 | 4-day down streak | Week: -8.09%
Rolls-Royce broke below both EMA20 (1208) and EMA50 (1216) for the first time in weeks. Down 8.09% on the week with no obvious catalyst -- looks like profit-taking after the strong prior run. RSI at 47.7 -- has room to fall further.

III -- Big move: -5.02% | 4-day down streak | Week: -10.27% | RSI week: -15.4 pts
3i Group continues its severe correction -- down 46.5% from its 52-week high of 4497p. Now at 2404p. Bear(all) EMAs with RSI at 33.3. The 4-day streak shows no sign of exhaustion.

BARC -- Big move: -3.5% | Crossed BELOW POC | 4-day down streak | Week: -6.08%
Barclays (not in scanner but flagged by compare data) is in a 4-day losing streak and broke below its volume-weighted POC on Tuesday. Banking weakness spreading.

BATS -- RSI surged 11.3 pts | Big move: +5.94% | Week: +5.69%
British American Tobacco had a strong session -- Bull(all) EMAs now confirmed, RSI 66.2. Above POC. The week-long strength suggests institutional accumulation.

CPG -- RSI surged 8.3 pts | Big move: +5.78% | Week: +7.3%
Compass Group surging -- Bull(all) EMAs, RSI 70.3 (touching overbought). 7.3% on the week. Earnings-related or sector rotation into defensives/catering? A strong setup.

LSEG -- RSI surged 10.8 pts | Crossed ABOVE EMA50 | Crossed ABOVE EMA200 | Big move: +3.83%
London Stock Exchange Group broke above both EMA50 (9070) and EMA200 (9106) on Tuesday. Close at 9324, just 14 points below EMA20 (9338). A break of EMA20 today would confirm full bull trend.



3. SECTOR HEATMAP

MINING -- STRONG
RIO (-0.26%) and GLEN (-0.80%) both printed new 52-week highs intraday on Tuesday. RIO hit 8005.8p (= 52wH) before closing at 7909. GLEN hit 578.9p (= 52wH) before closing at 571.57 -- with heavy volume rv=2.12 (more than double average). Both are Bull(all) EMAs. The failed Rio-Glencore merger (cooling-off period through August 2026) and the copper supply deficit story are driving long-term accumulation. RIO RSI at 71 (overbought) so a pullback entry is preferred.

CONSUMER STAPLES -- STRONG
BATS (+5.94%), CPG (+5.78%), ULVR (+2.05%) all up strongly. A classic defensive rotation day when banking and tech dragged. BATS and CPG both Bull(all). ULVR still Bear(all) but showing recovery.

ENERGY -- RECOVERING
SHEL (+1.04%), BP (+1.13%) both positive. BP "Crossed ABOVE EMA50" (per compare data) -- first bullish EMA signal in weeks. Both still below EMA20 but building momentum. Middle East tensions keeping a floor under oil.

PHARMA -- WEAK BUT BOUNCING
AZN (+1.38%), GSK (+2.25%) both up on the day but both far below their 52wH (AZN -12.9%, GSK -17.3%) and below key EMAs. GSK crossed above EMA200 (per compare data) -- a tentative positive signal after a long decline.

BANKING/FINANCIALS -- DIVERGING
HSBA (-1.37%) crossed BELOW EMA20 (new signal). LSEG (+3.83%) bucking the trend, crossing ABOVE EMA50 and EMA200. Clear divergence within the sector.

DEFENSE/INDUSTRIALS -- WEAK
RR. (-2.81%) broke below EMA20/50 (4-day streak, -8.09% on week). BAE (+0.29%) minor green but stuck in Bear(all) EMAs, down 18.8% from 52wH.

TECH/DATA -- MOSTLY WEAK
REL (+0.12%), EXPN (+0.53%) both in Bear(all). Down 41.2% and 35.1% from 52wH respectively. LSEG is the sole bright spot.



4. DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE

All 20 stocks -- EMA trend (strict numerical comparison), RSI zone, MACD signal, % from 52wH, day change. POC position and significant day-over-day RSI delta noted.

AZN | Close 13702 | +1.38% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 13942, c<EMA50 14227, c>EMA200 13454] | RSI 42.8 Neutral | MACD Bear | -12.9% from 52wH | Below POC 14657 | rv=0.52

HSBA | Close 1314.6 | -1.37% | Mixed [c<EMA20 1321, c>EMA50 1295, c>EMA200 1156] | RSI 49.9 Neutral | MACD Bear | -6.8% from 52wH | Above POC 1270 | rv=0.41 | Crossed BELOW EMA20 today

SHEL | Close 3157.5 | +1.04% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 3252, c<EMA50 3238, c>EMA200 2959] | RSI 40.9 Neutral | MACD Bear | -12.1% from 52wH | Below POC 3234 | rv=0.48

ULVR | Close 4262.5 | +2.05% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 4295, c<EMA50 4472, c<EMA200 4835] | RSI 45.7 Neutral | MACD Bull | -22.9% from 52wH | Below POC 4581 | rv=0.29

RR. | Close 1190.4 | -2.81% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 1208, c<EMA50 1216, c>EMA200 1134] | RSI 47.7 Neutral | MACD Bull | -16.2% from 52wH | Below POC 1240 | rv=0.29 | Crossed BELOW EMA20+50 today. 4-day streak.

BP | Close 547.3 | +1.13% | Mixed [c<EMA20 559, c>EMA50 546, c>EMA200 481] | RSI 45.5 Neutral | MACD Bear | -10.2% from 52wH | Above POC 538 | rv=0.56 | Crossed ABOVE EMA50 today

RIO | Close 7909 | -0.26% | Bull(all) [c>EMA20 7478, c>EMA50 7189, c>EMA200 6210] | RSI 71.0 OB | MACD Bull | -1.2% from 52wH (hit 52wH 8005 intraday) | Above POC 6982 | rv=0.55

BATS | Close 4640 | +5.94% | Bull(all) [c>EMA20 4331, c>EMA50 4333, c>EMA200 4135] | RSI 66.2 Neutral | MACD Bull | -3.4% from 52wH | Above POC 4379 | rv=0.62 | RSI surged 11.3 pts today

BAE | Close 1916 | +0.29% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 2055, c<EMA50 2099, c<EMA200 1955] | RSI 32.9 Neutral (near OS) | MACD Bear | -18.8% from 52wH | Below POC 2168 | rv=0.59 | Week: -8.38%

GSK | Close 1888 | +2.25% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 1959, c<EMA50 2008, c>EMA200 1851] | RSI 36.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -17.3% from 52wH | Below POC 2075 | rv=0.93 | Crossed ABOVE EMA200 today (+8.2 RSI pts)

REL | Close 2459 | +0.12% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 2582, c<EMA50 2588, c<EMA200 2941] | RSI 36.6 Neutral | MACD Bear | -41.2% from 52wH | Below POC 2499 | rv=0.44

LSEG | Close 9324 | +3.83% | Mixed [c<EMA20 9338, c>EMA50 9070, c>EMA200 9106] | RSI 51.3 Neutral | MACD Bear | -21.0% from 52wH | Above POC 8776 | rv=0.66 | Crossed ABOVE EMA50+200 today (+10.8 RSI pts)

CPG | Close 3203 | +5.78% | Bull(all) [c>EMA20 2922, c>EMA50 2875, c>EMA200 2991] | RSI 70.3 OB | MACD Bull | -9.0% from 52wH | Above POC 2810 | rv=0.83 | RSI surged 8.3 pts today

ADM | Close 3198 | +0.41% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 3292, c<EMA50 3227, c>EMA200 3145] | RSI 41.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -13.2% from 52wH | Above POC 3164 | rv=0.39

III | Close 2404 | -5.02% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 2622, c<EMA50 2767, c<EMA200 3267] | RSI 33.3 Neutral | MACD Bear | -46.5% from 52wH | Below POC 2785 | rv=0.99 | 4-day streak, week -10.27%

DGE | Close 1502 | -0.07% | Mixed [c>EMA20 1492, c<EMA50 1509, c<EMA200 1701] | RSI 52.1 Neutral | MACD Bull | -32.2% from 52wH | Below POC 1514 | rv=0.40

GLEN | Close 571.57 | -0.80% | Bull(all) [c>EMA20 560, c>EMA50 542, c>EMA200 451] | RSI 59.8 Neutral | MACD Bull | -1.3% from 52wH (hit 52wH 578.9 intraday) | Above POC 535 | rv=2.12 HEAVY

NG | Close 1275.5 | -0.12% | Bear(20/50) [c<EMA20 1289, c<EMA50 1290, c>EMA200 1203] | RSI 45.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -10.7% from 52wH | Below POC 1308 | rv=0.72

RKT | Close 4579 | +0.39% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 4788, c<EMA50 5123, c<EMA200 5500] | RSI 33.2 Neutral | MACD Bull | -29.7% from 52wH | Below POC 5414 | rv=0.55

EXPN | Close 2660 | +0.53% | Bear(all) [c<EMA20 2694, c<EMA50 2720, c<EMA200 3092] | RSI 46.2 Neutral | MACD Bear | -35.1% from 52wH | Below POC 2676 | rv=0.61



5. TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS

Setup 1: GLEN -- 52-Week High Breakout with Heavy Volume (Long) -- NEW
Glencore hit a new 52-week high of 578.9p on Tuesday with volume running at 2.12x the 20-day average. This is the highest RV in the entire dataset. Bull(all) EMAs with price above EMA9 (566), EMA20 (560), EMA50 (542) and EMA200 (451). Above POC (535). The failed Rio-Glencore merger means Glencore is pursuing copper growth independently into a structural deficit market. A break and hold above 578.9 would be a clean 52wH breakout.
Entry: Break above 578.9 (52wH/Cam R4 578.61) Alt entry: Pullback to Cam R1 (572.74) / EMA9 (566.25) Stop: Below EMA9 (566) / Classic S1 (565.48) T1: 590 T2: 600-610 ATR: 13.6 R:R: ~1.8:1 from breakout, ~2.5:1 from pullback entry
POC at 535.84 is well below -- no overhead supply concern.

Setup 2: BATS -- Post-Breakout Pullback to Pivot (Long) -- NEW
British American Tobacco surged 5.94% to 4640p, Bull(all) EMAs confirmed, RSI surged 11.3 pts to 66.2 (room to OB), MACD Bull. Above POC (4379). The classic pivot for tomorrow sits at 4548. The ideal setup is a pullback to the pivot / Cam S4 zone and resumption toward the 52-week high at 4804.
Entry: 4540-4550 (classic pivot area) Stop: Below Cam S4 (4487) T1: 4733 (Classic R1) T2: 4804 (52wH) ATR: 126 R:R: ~4:1 to T2
This was a new signal today -- RSI and EMA alignment only confirmed on Tuesday's close.

Setup 3: LSEG -- EMA20 Reclaim Breakout (Long) -- NEW
LSEG crossed above both EMA50 (9070) and EMA200 (9106) on Tuesday -- a significant structural shift. Close 9324 is just 14 points below EMA20 (9338). A break and hold above EMA20 would complete the full bull EMA alignment. RSI surged 10.8 pts. Above POC (8776).
Entry: Break above EMA20 (9340) Alt entry: Pullback to EMA200 (9106) / Cam S4 (9096) Stop: Below EMA200 (9106) on breakout entry; below 9000 on pullback entry T1: Cam R4 (9551) T2: 9800 ATR: 254 R:R: 1.8:1 from breakout; 4:1+ from pullback

Setup 4: CPG -- Momentum Continuation on Pullback (Long) -- NEW
Compass Group +5.78%, Bull(all) EMAs, RSI 70.3 (at OB threshold). Momentum is real but RSI is extended. Best approach is to wait for a pullback to classic pivot (3074) or Cam S1 area (3164) for a lower-risk entry.
Entry: 3060-3080 (classic pivot zone) Stop: Below EMA20 (2922) / Cam S4 (2971) T1: Classic R1 (3349) T2: 52wH (3518) ATR: 128 R:R: ~2.5:1 to T1 from pivot entry
POC at 2810 provides strong support well below.

Setup 5: RIO -- Fade at 52-Week High / Camarilla R4 (Short-term Short)
RIO hit its 52wH intraday at 8005.8, which aligns almost perfectly with Cam R4 (7996.89). RSI reached 71 (OB). Classic resistance confluence. The stock faded from 8005 to close at 7909 -- a 96-point rejection. For a short-term fade:
Entry: Short at 7994-8005 (Cam R4 / 52wH resistance) Stop: Above 8025 T1: Cam S3 (7865) T2: Classic pivot (7920) ATR: 191 R:R: ~5:1 to T1
NOTE: This is a counter-trend fade -- Bull(all) EMA structure means the primary trend is UP. Use tight stop and treat as an intraday/short-term trade only.



6. INTRADAY SETUPS

Intraday 1: GLEN -- 52wH Breakout Trade (Long)
Yesterday's high (578.9) = 52wH = Cam R4 (578.61). If price gaps up above 579 today and holds, this is a trend day breakout.
Entry: Open/early hold above 578.9 Stop: Close below 575 (Cam R3) Target: 590 then 600 Direction: Long
Alternatively: Pullback to Cam R1 (572.74) as intraday support, long to Cam R3 (575) then R4 (578.61).

Intraday 2: BP -- Pivot Support Long
BP closed at 547.3, almost exactly on the classic pivot of 547.67. It crossed above EMA50 (546) yesterday. BP is above POC (538.88). A hold above pivot today = long to Cam R3 (550.3) / Cam R4 (553.3).
Entry: 547.5-548.0 (hold above pivot) Stop: Below Cam S3 (544.3) Target: Cam R3 (550.3) then R4 (553.3) Direction: Long R:R: ~1.4:1 (scalp)
Classic pivot support + EMA50 just reclaimed = confluence.

Intraday 3: LSEG -- EMA20 Break Intraday Long
LSEG close 9324 sits just 14 points below EMA20 (9338). If it opens above 9340 today, this is a strong intraday long toward Cam R3 (9437) and Cam R4 (9551).
Entry: Break and hold above EMA20 (9338) Stop: Below Cam S1 (9286) Target: Cam R3 (9437) then Cam R4 (9551) Direction: Long R:R: ~1.8:1 to R3
If it fails EMA20 on open, watch for a fall back to Cam S4 (9096) / EMA200 (9106).

Intraday 4: RIO -- Camarilla R4 Rejection Short
Yesterday RIO touched Cam R4 (7996.89) / 52wH (8005. and faded hard. If price rallies to 7994-8005 again in today's session, this is a high-probability fade.
Entry: Short at 7994-8005 (Cam R4 zone) Stop: Above 8025 Target: Cam S3 (7865) then pivot (7920) Direction: Short R:R: ~5:1 to T1

Intraday 5: RR. -- Camarilla S4 Breakdown Watch (Short)
Rolls-Royce is on a 4-day losing streak, broke below EMA20 and EMA50 yesterday. Cam S4 sits at 1176.98. A break below 1177 would signal a trend-day down.
Entry: Break below Cam S4 (1176.98) Stop: Above Cam R3 (1197.11) Target: Classic S2 (1169.73) then S3 (1155.67) Direction: Short R:R: ~0.9:1 to S2, ~1.5:1 to S3
Only valid as a breakdown trade -- if RR. gaps down and Cam S4 breaks with conviction.



7. KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD -- TOP 5 STOCKS

GLEN (Close 571.57 | ATR 13.6 | RV 2.12)
Cam: S4 564.53 · S3 568.05 · S2 569.22 · S1 570.40 | Pivot 572.19 | R1 572.74 · R2 573.92 · R3 575.09 · R4 578.61
Classic: S3 552.68 · S2 559.39 · S1 565.48 | Pivot 572.19 | R1 578.28 · R2 584.99 · R3 591.08
EMA9 566.25 · EMA20 560.74 · EMA50 542.44 · EMA200 451.60 | POC 535.84
52wH 578.90 · 52wL 261.70 | Prev Day H 578.90 · L 566.10

RIO (Close 7909 | ATR 191 | RV 0.55)
Cam: S4 7821 · S3 7865 · S2 7879 · S1 7894 | Pivot 7920 | R1 7923 · R2 7938 · R3 7952 · R4 7996
Classic: S3 7674 · S2 7760 · S1 7834 | Pivot 7920 | R1 7994 · R2 8080 · R3 8154
EMA9 7662 · EMA20 7478 · EMA50 7189 · EMA200 6210 | POC 6982
52wH 8005 · 52wL 4110 | Prev Day H 8005 · L 7846

BATS (Close 4640 | ATR 126 | RV 0.62)
Cam: S4 4487 · S3 4563 · S2 4589 · S1 4614 | Pivot 4548 | R1 4665 · R2 4691 · R3 4716 · R4 4793
Classic: S3 4177 · S2 4270 · S1 4455 | Pivot 4548 | R1 4733 · R2 4826 · R3 5011
EMA9 4376 · EMA20 4331 · EMA50 4333 · EMA200 4135 | POC 4379
52wH 4804 · 52wL 3019 | Prev Day H 4641 · L 4363

LSEG (Close 9324 | ATR 254 | RV 0.66)
Cam: S4 9096 · S3 9210 · S2 9248 · S1 9286 | Pivot 9198 | R1 9361 · R2 9399 · R3 9437 · R4 9551
Classic: S3 8640 · S2 8784 · S1 9054 | Pivot 9198 | R1 9468 · R2 9612 · R3 9882
EMA9 9320 · EMA20 9338 · EMA50 9070 · EMA200 9106 | POC 8776
52wH 11810 · 52wL 6684 | Prev Day H 9342 · L 8928

SHEL (Close 3157 | ATR 80 | RV 0.48)
Cam: S4 3136 · S3 3147 · S2 3150 · S1 3154 | Pivot 3162 | R1 3160 · R2 3164 · R3 3167 · R4 3178
Classic: S3 3103 · S2 3124 · S1 3141 | Pivot 3162 | R1 3179 · R2 3200 · R3 3217
EMA9 3194 · EMA20 3252 · EMA50 3238 · EMA200 2959 | POC 3234
52wH 3591 · 52wL 2403 | Prev Day H 3184 · L 3146



8. BEARISH WARNINGS

VOD -- Highest priority short watch
Not in the 20-stock scanner but flagged in compare data. Vodafone fell 8.1% on Tuesday earnings, crossed below EMA20, EMA50, MACD bearish crossover, heavy volume (rv=1.7). RSI dropped 20.3 points in ONE DAY. Now at its weekly lows with RSI week down 16.7 points. The German client loss is structural, not cyclical.

III -- Severe structural breakdown
3i Group at 2404p, down 46.5% from 52wH. Bear(all) EMAs. 4-day down streak. RSI 33.3 falling. POC at 2785 is massive overhead resistance -- every rally will be sold. The weekly RSI is down 15.4 points. Near-term support: 2370 (Classic S1), 2336 (Classic S2). No floor is visible yet.

RR. -- Just broke EMAs (NEW today)
Rolls-Royce crossed below both EMA20 and EMA50 yesterday for the first time in weeks. 4-day losing streak, week -8.09%. If EMA200 (1134) comes into play, the longer-term bull thesis is in question. Watch Cam S4 (1176) as next breakdown trigger.

BAE -- Bear(all) despite defence backdrop
BAE Systems is below ALL EMAs including the 200 (1955). RSI 32.9. Week -8.38%. 18.8% off its 52wH. This is particularly striking given the active geopolitical environment -- if defence names can't hold up, broader risk-off is signalling.

REL, EXPN, RKT -- Tech/Data sector breakdown
Relx (-41.2% from 52wH), Experian (-35.1% from 52wH), Reckitt (-29.7% from 52wH) -- all Bear(all) EMAs, all well below POC. RSI 33-46 range. No recovery catalysts visible. Dead-weight on the index.

NWG -- Crossed BELOW EMA200 (from compare data)
NatWest crossed below its 200-day EMA yesterday AND below POC. This is a major bearish signal for UK banking. Combined with HSBA crossing below EMA20 and BARC in a 4-day losing streak, the banking sector looks increasingly fragile.

WPP -- Structural deterioration
Crossed below EMA20 and EMA50 on Tuesday with MACD bearish crossover. EPS now expected to be a loss in FY2026. Week -5.78%, RSI week -17.5 pts. No visible support until long-term lows.



9. EVENTS CALENDAR

This week (w/c 11 May 2026):
- VOD: FY2026 full year results published Tuesday 12 May -- results already digested (bearish reaction)
- WPP: Results/guidance update already reflected in -4.6% drop on Tuesday
- Admiral Group (ADM): Ex-dividend date recently passed (early May 2026 -- 90p total dividend including special dividend, payable 5 June)
- UK CPI data: Watch for inflation release later this week -- BoE flagged possible further hikes
- BoE speakers: Multiple MPC members scheduled for public remarks this week
- US-Iran peace talks: Ongoing developments could impact energy sector (SHEL, BP)

Upcoming:
- GSK, AZN, SHEL typically have results in May/June -- check individual company calendars
- Rio Tinto-Glencore cooling-off period runs through August 2026 under UK takeover rules



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Friday 8 May 2026
Data: Close 7 May | UKX: 10,276.95 (-1.55%, -161.71) | Futures: ~10,380 (+1.0%, treat with caution — thin overnight)



MARKET OVERVIEW

UKX closed sharply lower on Thursday driven by Brent crude slipping below $100/bbl, dragging Shell and BP down more than 2%. Defensives (tobacco, healthcare, utilities) also leaked. Mining was the only outright bullish corner, with ANTO +2.61% and AAL +0.17% bucking the broad selloff.

Futures last seen near 10,380 on TradingView, suggesting a positive open of roughly +100pts vs cash close. Pre-market is thin and readings vary across providers — wait for cash open confirmation rather than chasing.

Macro: BoE Bank Rate held at 3.75% on 29 April (one dissenter for +25bp). Q2 CPI projected ~3.6% (high case >6% early 2027). Unemployment forecast 5.5% by Q4. Middle East tensions / US-Iran negotiations driving oil volatility.

Today's flow: NatWest Q1 results (+12% profit, raised guidance). Shell Q1 already digested ($6.92bn adj net income, buyback cut to $3bn). Lloyds motor-finance lawsuit weighing on banks.



NOTABLE CHANGES — STOCKS THAT MOVED YESTERDAY

The most actionable shifts in the last 24 hours:

ADM — RSI dropped 17.4 pts (now 38.1), broke BELOW EMA20 AND EMA50, big move -5.1%, week -6.53%, RSI week -25.3 pts. Insurance carnage.

REL — RSI dropped 13 pts (now 36.6), broke BELOW EMA50, broke BELOW POC, big move -6.2%, week -8.41%.

BP — Crossed BELOW EMA50, 4-day down streak, week -8.2%, RSI week -16.6 pts. Oil rout extending.

PRU — Heavy volume buying (rv=1.88), week +7.33%, RSI week +20.9 pts. Standout bull.

AZN — Crossed BELOW EMA200 (major long-term trend break in big pharma).

NWG — Crossed BELOW EMA200 today (banks fragility increasing).

LLOY — Crossed BELOW EMA20, BELOW EMA50, AND BELOW POC — fresh triple-break in one session.

ANTO — MACD BULLISH crossover today, week +10.6%. Mining momentum confirmed.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG — Mining: AAL +0.17, ANTO +2.61. Both above all EMAs; ANTO MACD just turned bull, AAL strong continuation. Only outright green sector.

WEAK — Banks: LLOY -1.20, BARC -1.54, STAN -0.87, NWG -1.01. NWG broke EMA200, LLOY broke 20/50/POC. STAN bucking the trend (still bullish on EMAs). BARC red but EMAs still intact.

MIXED — Insurance: PRU strongly bull (heavy vol week, +7.33%); LGEN 0.00 and AV -0.16 both BELOW all EMAs. ADM the worst (not in today's snapshot but RSI -17.4 in compare).

WEAK — Defensives: IMB -2.56 (RSI 36.4, deep bear), HLN -0.12 (RSI 32 oversold), SSE -2.09 (4-day down streak), TSCO -0.94, ABF -0.41.

NEUTRAL — Telecoms / Tech: VOD -1.48 (above EMAs but MACD bear cross), SGE +0.50 (above 20/50, below 200).

WEAKENING — Bus. Services / Distribution: BNZL -1.26 (MACD bear cross, broke below POC), RTO -1.92 (RSI -8.1, broke EMA20).

RECOVERING — Media: WPP +1.46 (RSI 66.5 rising fast, oversold bounce well below EMA200).

Sector takeaway: Mining is the only outright bull. Banks cracking in unison. Defensives leaking — typical late-cycle rotation flavour.



DAILY SIGNALS — KEY READINGS

BULLISH (above all EMAs)
BARC 435.85 · RSI 53.8 · MACD bull flat
STAN 1889.40 · RSI 63.4 · MACD bull strong · 2.5% off 52wH
PRU 1171.00 · RSI 65.2 · MACD bull strong · rv 1.88
AAL 3834.00 · RSI 64.9 · MACD bull strong · 2.7% off 52wH
ANTO 3918.00 · RSI 59.4 · MACD bull cross (NEW) · sector leader
VOD 116.50 · RSI 53.6 · MACD bear cross (warning)
BNZL 2434.00 · RSI 62.1 · MACD bear cross (warning)

MIXED / RECOVERING
SGE 891.00 · above 20/50, below 200
WPP 278.15 · above 20/50, well below 200 (rebound only)
INF 820.20 · above 20/50, below 200
RTO 490.60 · above 50/200, below 20 (cracking)

BEARISH (below 20/50)
LLOY 9827.00 · RSI 49.2 · just broke 20/50/POC
TSCO 470.35 · RSI 44.6 · below 20/50, above 200
SSE 2481.50 · RSI 39.5 · 4-day down streak

BEARISH (below all EMAs)
NWG 570.20 · RSI 46.3 · just broke EMA200
HLN 334.30 · RSI 32.0 (oversold) · ADX 36.5 strong downtrend
IMB 2763.00 · RSI 36.4 · MACD -69 · weakest large cap
LGEN 252.05 · RSI 46.7
AV 622.00 · RSI 46.7
ABF 1821.50 · RSI 44.9



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS

ANTO — Mining momentum, MACD just turned bull (NEW SIGNAL)
Above all EMAs (3671/3642/3129), MACD bull cross today, week +10.6%, RSI 59.4 with +3 pts delta. Sector leadership.
Entry: 3690-3700 pullback (EMA9/POC confluence) OR breakout >3966
Stop: 3640 (below EMA50) · T1: 4037 · T2: 4108 · T3: 4475 (52wH)
R:R: 1:1.7 to T1, 1:2.4 to T2

PRU — Heavy-volume bull continuation
RSI 65.2 + RSI week +20.9 pts, week +7.33%, rv 1.88, above all EMAs, ADX still low (12. so trend has runway.
Entry: 1167-1170 (cam_s1) OR breakout >1204
Stop: 1161 (cam_s3) · T1: 1216 · T2: 1238 (52wH) · T3: 1280
R:R: ~1:4.5 to T1

STAN — Approaching 52wH, strong MACD
Above all EMAs, RSI 63.4, MACD +51.75 vs +41.95, just 2.5% from 52wH 1938.20, ADX 24 trend forming. Bucking weak banks sector.
Entry: Breakout >1938 with vol confirmation
Stop: 1873 (cam_s4) · T1: 2000 · T2: 2050
Risk: Banks are weak overall — STAN trades to its own drum, but if peers drag, STAN goes too

AAL — Mining co-leader, near 52wH
Above all EMAs, RSI 64.9, MACD +93 vs +83, week +7.15%, 2.7% off 52wH 3940.
Entry: Breakout >3940 OR pullback to EMA9 3672
Stop: 3466 (EMA50, wide) or 3801 (cam_s3, day-trade) · T1: 4000 · T2: 4108 · T3: 4250

WPP — Oversold rebound (countertrend, small size)
RSI 66.5 rising fast, MACD bull, above 20/50 but well below EMA200 (338) — countertrend bounce only.
Entry: EMA9 269 pullback or hold above pivot 276
Stop: 256 (POC) · T1: 290 · T2: 300
Caveat: Trade size SMALL — counter-trend, deep below EMA200



INTRADAY SETUPS — PIVOT / CAMARILLA

Setup 1 — ANTO Camarilla Breakout (LONG)
Trigger: break >cam_r3 3954 with rv >=1.2
Entry: 3954-3960 · Stop: 3920 · T1: 3990 (cam_r4) · T2: 4037 (R2)
Confluence: MACD bullish cross today, sector momentum, closed near day-high
R:R: 1:1.2 to T1, 1:3 to T2

Setup 2 — STAN Pivot Hold (LONG)
Trigger: open holds above pivot 1898.40
Entry: 1898-1900 · Stop: 1886 (cam_s1) · T1: 1908 (R1) · T2: 1927 (R2) · T3: 1937 (R3)
Confluence: above all EMAs, MACD strong, near 52wH

Setup 3 — SSE Camarilla S3 Reversal (LONG, mean-reversion)
Trigger: approach to cam_s3 2462 with bullish reversal candle
Entry: 2462-2470 · Stop: 2443 (cam_s4) · T1: 2496 (pivot) · T2: 2523 (R1)
Confluence: RSI 39.5 oversold, 4-day down streak, week -6.32% (mean-reversion ripe)
Caveat: Below all EMAs except 200 — counter-trend, small size, tight stop

Setup 4 — IMB Cam_R3/R4 Short (SHORT, trend continuation)
Trigger: rally up to 2785-2810 zone
Entry: 2790-2810 fade · Stop: 2820 · T1: 2754 (today's low) · T2: 2733 (S1) · T3: 2702 (S2)
Confluence: RSI 36.4, MACD -69, ADX 28.9 strong downtrend, below all EMAs
R:R: 1:2 to T1, 1:5 to T3

Setup 5 — HLN Pivot Reclaim (LONG, oversold, small size)
Trigger: hold above pivot 334.07 with bullish candle
Entry: 334-335 · Stop: 332 (cam_s3) · T1: 338.33 (R1) · T2: 342.37 (R2)
Confluence: RSI 32 oversold, near 52wL 325
Caveat: ADX 36.5 = very strong downtrend, bounces fail fast — take T1 quickly



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD — TOP 5 TRADEABLE

ANTO (close 3918, ATR 193)
Cam: S4 3846 · S3 3882 · S1 3906 || R1 3930 · R3 3954 · R4 3990
Classic: S3 3716 · S2 3776 · S1 3847 | P 3906 | R1 3978 · R2 4037 · R3 4108
EMA: 9=3695 | 20=3671 | 50=3642 | 200=3129 | POC=3694
Day: H 3967 · L 3836 || 52w: 4475 / 1675

STAN (close 1889.40, ATR 57)
Cam: S4 1873 · S3 1881 · S1 1887 || R1 1892 · R3 1897 · R4 1905
Classic: S3 1850 · S2 1869 · S1 1879 | P 1898 | R1 1908 · R2 1927 · R3 1937
EMA: 9=1841 | 20=1791 | 50=1743 | 200=1599 | POC=1678
Day: H 1917 · L 1888 || 52w: 1938 / 1067

PRU (close 1171.00, ATR 33)
Cam: S4 1152 · S3 1162 · S1 1168 || R1 1174 · R3 1180 · R4 1190
Classic: S3 1124 · S2 1147 · S1 1159 | P 1182 | R1 1194 · R2 1216 · R3 1228
EMA: 9=1133 | 20=1120 | 50=1112 | 200=1057 | POC=1095
Day: H 1204 · L 1170 || 52w: 1238 / 811

AAL (close 3834, ATR 144)
Cam: S4 3769 · S3 3802 · S1 3823 || R1 3845 · R3 3866 · R4 3899
Classic: S3 3673 · S2 3747 · S1 3791 | P 3865 | R1 3909 · R2 3983 · R3 4027
EMA: 9=3672 | 20=3589 | 50=3466 | 200=3094 | POC=3368
Day: H 3940 · L 3822 || 52w: 3940 / 1987

IMB (close 2763, ATR 62)
Cam: S4 2718 · S3 2741 · S1 2756 || R1 2770 · R3 2785 · R4 2808
Classic: S3 2651 · S2 2703 · S1 2733 | P 2784 | R1 2814 · R2 2866 · R3 2896
EMA: 9=2798 | 20=2847 | 50=2964 | 200=3020 | POC=3050
Day: H 2836 · L 2754 || 52w: 3341 / 2648



BEARISH WARNINGS

Just broke today (highest priority — fresh signals)
- LLOY — Cracked EMA20 + EMA50 + POC in same session. Bearish triple-break.
- NWG — Just crossed BELOW EMA200. Major long-term trend break.
- AZN — Cracked EMA200 (per compare data). Pharma weakness.
- BP — Broke EMA50, 4th consecutive down day. Oil rout.

Established weakness (already in trend — sell rallies)
- IMB — Below all EMAs, RSI 36.4, MACD -69, ADX 28.9. Weakest large cap. 52wL 2648 next test.
- HLN — Deep downtrend, RSI 32, near 52wL. ADX 36.5 = bounces fail.
- SSE — 4-day down streak, week -6.32%, RSI 39.5.
- ABF — Below all EMAs, RSI 44.9.
- AV / LGEN — Both below all EMAs, RSI ~46.7.

Lagging bear watchlist (no fresh sell yet, vulnerable)
- RTO — RSI -8.1 today, broke EMA20. EMA50 481 is next test.
- BNZL — Above all EMAs but MACD bear cross + broke POC. Setup eroding.
- VOD — Above all EMAs but MACD bear cross today.



EVENTS CALENDAR

Today (Friday 8 May):
- NatWest Q1 results (already known: +12% profit, raised 2026 guidance) — watch follow-through
- US first-Friday data flow

This week recap:
- Mon 4 May: LSE closed (Early Spring Bank Holiday)
- Wed 6 May: Lloyds Q1
- Thu 7 May: Standard Chartered Q1, Shell Q1 (adj net $6.92bn beat, but buyback cut to $3bn from $3.5bn)
- Fri 8 May: NatWest Q1

Next week:
- UK Q1 GDP advance estimate (mid-May)
- UK CPI release expected late May
- BoE next meeting late June (current rate 3.75%)

Macro watch: Brent crude (sub-$100 driving energy weakness), Middle East / US-Iran negotiations, USD strength, ongoing earnings season.



BIAS SUMMARY

Cautiously LONG mining (ANTO, AAL) — only sector with genuine strength. Banks NEUTRAL (STAN bull, LLOY/NWG breaking). PRU bull continuation. Avoid IMB/HLN/SSE longs. Best short candidate: IMB on rally to cam_r3.

UKX support 10,200 then 10,150. Resistance 10,380 (futures premium / open gap) then 10,440.

Position sizing: volatility elevated post -1.55% UKX day. Median rv low (0.41) so conviction mixed. Use ATR-based stops, trim size on countertrend trades.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Thursday 7 May 2026
Data: Close 6 May 2026 | UKX: 10,438.66 (+2.15%) | Brent: ~$101 | Futures: mixed reads — see note below



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 staged a powerful relief rally on Wednesday 6 May, finishing up 219 points (+2.15%) at 10,438.66, bouncing hard off Tuesday's 10,222 close. The dominant catalyst was renewed optimism around a US-Iran framework deal that pulled Brent crude back from ~$110 toward the $101–$102 area. That single oil move re-priced sentiment across the index: miners, banks, insurers, travel/leisure and housebuilders all rallied while the oil majors absorbed the move.

Pan-European confirmed the risk-on tone: DAX +2.12%, CAC 40 +2.94%, Euro Stoxx 50 +2.68%.

Pre-market for today: Live futures data is showing inconsistent reads across providers (one feed showing 10,642, another 10,379), so I'm not committing to a number. Tone is constructive but the index has just done a +2% session and may need to digest. Treat 10,438 as the line in the sand — above and the rotation continues, below and we're back in chop.

Macro: UK CPI 3.3% in March (up from 3.0%), BoE on cautious hold. No Tier-1 UK data today. Move will be driven by oil/Iran headlines and US sympathy.



NOTABLE CHANGES — DAY OVER DAY

The biggest signal-shifts since Tuesday's close. These names demand attention:

BULLISH
- PRU — RSI surged +20.0 pts to 68.1, crossed ABOVE EMA20 + EMA50, MACD bullish cross, +6.5%, week +6.59%
- RR. — RSI +9.4 to 58.9, crossed ABOVE EMA50, MACD bullish cross, +8.5% session (biggest single name move), week +17.49%
- HSBA — RSI +12.5 to 55.4, crossed ABOVE EMA20 + EMA50, +5.4% rebound after Tuesday's earnings drop
- DGE — RSI surged +13.8 to 65.6, crossed ABOVE EMA50 and POC, +5.7%, 4-day up streak, week +8.13%
- ANTO — RSI +9.2 to 56.4, crossed ABOVE EMA20 + EMA50 + POC, +7.2%, week +11.2%
- AAL — RSI +10.3 to 64.0, MACD bullish cross, +7.0% to within 1.5% of 52w high
- LLOY / BARC / NWG / STAN — Banks all crossed above EMA20 (most above EMA50), RSI surges +9 to +11 pts, sessions +4.4% to +5.2% — sector-wide flip
- RIO — RSI +10 to 67.6, MACD bullish cross, +4.5%, closed 0.5% from 52w high

BEARISH
- SHEL — Crossed BELOW EMA50 AND BELOW POC, -3.1%, RSI dropped 7.6 — the biggest structural breakdown today
- LSEG — RSI dropped 9.6 pts to 50.1, crossed BELOW EMA20

What's happening: Tuesday's HSBC-led panic flipped overnight into textbook risk-on rotation. The crossings above EMA20/50 across banks and miners on the same session is a sector-wide thesis change, not noise. Energy is the funding source.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG (sector avg %change)
- Industrials (RR.): +8.46%
- Banks (5 stocks): +5.00% — sector-wide flip up
- Mining (4 stocks): +4.98% — all four bull, RIO at hi52
- Travel/Leisure (CPG): +3.45% — Iran-deal beneficiary
- Insurance (4): +2.71% — PRU and ADM leading

NEUTRAL / MIXED
- Consumer Staples (5): +2.63% — DGE standout, RKT still bear
- Telecom (VOD): +1.81%
- Tobacco (2): +1.60% — BATS bull, IMB lag
- Defence (BAE): +0.95% — bear (below 20/50), losing leadership

WEAK
- Pharma (3): +0.90% but average RSI 33.0 — sector OS, contrarian basket forming
- Tech/Media (5): -0.44% — REL just broke below EMA20
- Energy (SHEL, BP): -2.90% — funding source for the rotation

The story: classic risk-on rotation. Banks + miners + insurers + travel + cyclicals up; energy + defensives (defence, pharma) down. Pharma at 33 average RSI is becoming an interesting OS contrarian basket, not a sell.



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS

RIO — 52-week high breakout watch (LONG)
Why: Bull above all four EMAs · RSI 67.6 (+10 d/d) · MACD bullish cross · +4.5% session · closes 0.5% from 52w high (7749p) · mining sector all green
Entry: 7700-7720 (pullback to prior pivot 7668) or breakout >7749 · Stop: 7510 · T1: 7791 · T2: 7872 · T3: 7995 · R:R: ~1:1.4 to T2
Status: NEW today — MACD just turned bullish

RR. — Continuation breakout (LONG)
Why: Best single-day move on index (+8.5%) · bull above all EMAs · RSI 58.9 (+9.4) · MACD bullish cross · reclaimed POC 1242p · ATR 61p
Entry: 1280-1290 on pullback to Cam S1/S2 · Stop: 1228 · T1: 1346 · T2: 1397 · T3: 1420 (52w hi) · R:R: ~1:1.8 to T2
Status: NEW today — first close back above EMA50 in this run

PRU — Insurance leader, RSI breakout (LONG)
Why: Largest RSI surge on the board (+20 pts to 68.1) · MACD bullish cross · reclaimed EMA20 + EMA50 same day · 3-day up streak · bull above all EMAs
Entry: 1167-1172 (Cam S1 1167) · Stop: 1138 · T1: 1190 · T2: 1217 · T3: 1238 (52w hi) · R:R: ~1:1.5 to T2
Status: NEW today — MACD cross is the tell

DGE — Defensive turning, 4-day streak (LONG)
Why: RSI surged +13.8 to 65.6 · crossed ABOVE EMA50 + POC today · 4-day up streak · MACD bullish cross · still 29% below 52w high (room)
Entry: 1555-1560 (pivot 1553 / Cam S2) · Stop: 1495 · T1: 1591 · T2: 1616 · T3: 1709 (EMA200, big test)
Status: CONTINUING — was developing earlier in week, today confirms

CPG — Compass relief play (LONG)
Why: Travel/leisure beneficiary of Iran de-escalation · bull above 20/50 · MACD bullish cross · +3.5% session · RSI 60.2 (+6.9). EMA200 (2990) right overhead — that's the level to reclaim
Entry: 2965-2985 (above pivot 2965) · Stop: 2900 · T1: 3051 · T2: 3118 · T3: 3204
Status: NEW today — MACD cross



INTRADAY SETUPS — THU 7 MAY

RIO — Camarilla breakout long
Trigger: Hold above Cam R1 (7729) on first hour · Entry: 7730-7735 · Stop: 7691 · T1: 7791 · T2: 7822
Why: Closed at hi52 area · RSI 67.6 has room · mining strong

PRU — Cam range fade-then-flip
Setup A — fade short at Cam R3 1190 with stop 1207, target pivot 1155
Setup B — long if Cam R4 1207 breaks, target classic R2 1217 / 52w hi 1238
Why: RSI 68.1 = fading early upside is sane; breakout would confirm regime change

SHEL — Camarilla breakdown short
Trigger: Break + 5-min hold below Cam S3 (3166) · Stop: 3196 · T1: 3121 · T2: 3053 · T3: 2968
Why: Crossed below EMA50 AND POC today · MACD bear · highest-conviction short on the board

BP — Pivot bounce vs breakdown decision
Sitting right on classic pivot 553 · EMA200 (480) still intact long-term
Long trigger: Hold 553 + reclaim 568 (EMA20/9) — entry 555-560, stop 540, target 567 → 584
Short trigger: Break Cam S3 (542) — stop 553, target 521 → 504
Why: Decision day for BP — different from SHEL (EMA50 still supportive)

LLOY — Banks pivot continuation long
Entry: 9890-9905 (Cam S1/pivot) · Stop: 9847 · T1: 9936 · T2: 10018 (POC magnet) · T3: 10082
Why: RSI 50.8 (+10.5) has momentum · bull all EMAs reclaimed · POC at 10017 is the natural pull



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD — TOP 5

RIO (close 7710, ATR 201, RSI 67.6)
Cam: S4 7598 · S3 7654 · S2 7673 · S1 7691 || R1 7729 · R2 7747 · R3 7766 · R4 7822
Classic: S3 7383 · S1 7587 · P 7668 · R1 7791 · R3 7995
EMA: 9 7420 · 20 7312 · 50 7081 · 200 6146 · POC 6968 · Prev day H 7749 / L 7545 · 52w 4110-7749

RR. (close 1295, ATR 61, RSI 58.9)
Cam: S4 1231 · S3 1263 · S1 1284 || R1 1306 · R3 1328 · R4 1360
Classic: S2 1162 · S1 1228 · P 1279 · R1 1346 · R2 1397 · R3 1464
EMA: 9 1200 · 20 1201 · 50 1215 · 200 1131 · POC 1242 · Prev day H 1330 / L 1212 · 52w 762-1420

PRU (close 1172, ATR 32, RSI 68.1)
Cam: S4 1138 · S1 1167 || R1 1178 · R3 1190 · R4 1207
Classic: S1 1133 · P 1155 · R1 1195 · R2 1217 · R3 1257
EMA: 9 1121 · 20 1113 · 50 1109 · 200 1055 · POC 1093 · Prev day H 1177 / L 1115 · 52w 811-1238

DGE (close 1566, ATR 40, RSI 65.6)
Cam: S4 1532 · S2 1555 · S1 1560 || R1 1572 · R3 1583 · R4 1601
Classic: S1 1528 · P 1553 · R1 1591 · R2 1616 · R3 1654
EMA: 9 1492 · 20 1480 · 50 1508 · 200 1709 (key) · POC 1525 · 52w 1350-2215

CPG (close 2985, ATR 105, RSI 60.2)
Cam: S4 2901 · S1 2971 || R1 2999 · R3 3027 · R4 3069
Classic: S1 2898 · P 2965 · R1 3051 · R2 3118 · R3 3204
EMA: 9 2894 · 20 2867 · 50 2849 · 200 2990 (right overhead) · POC 2791 (rv 0.52 light vol) · 52w 2320-3518



BEARISH WARNINGS

WEAK

- SHEL — Just broke down today. Crossed below EMA50 AND POC; MACD bear; RSI -7.6. Cam R1 3226 is the line. Highest-conviction short.
- BP — Below EMA20/9 (568); MACD bear; RSI -5.2. On pivot 553 — break of 542 opens path to 521 / EMA50 / EMA200.
- LSEG — Just broke down today. Crossed below EMA20; RSI -9.6 (biggest drop in universe); MACD bear; 21% off hi52. Light vol (rv 0.47) — wait for confirmation.
- REL — Crossed below EMA20 today; RSI -7.4; mixed structure. Tech/media sector lagging.
- BAE — Bear (below 20/50); defence losing leadership. Stay short-biased below EMA50 (2128).

NOT-FOR-SHORTING (OS / mean-reversion candidates)
- RKT — Bear below all, RSI 36.7, but MACD just turned bullish today; +6.6 RSI. Watch for OS bounce, don't chase short.
- GSK — RSI 29.8 (technically OS); bear below 20/50. Mean reversion candidate, not a short.
- AZN — Just crossed ABOVE EMA200 today (a hint). RSI 37.0. No-man's-land — wait for setup.
- HLN — Bear below all; RSI 32.2; -20% off hi52. No reason to be long, but not adding short here.



EVENTS CALENDAR

- HSBA reported Tue 5 May (Q1 fraud charge, missed forecasts) — recovered Wed.
- VOD/Hutchison VodafoneThree £4.3bn deal announced Tue.
- Today (Thu 7 May): No Tier-1 UK macro. US weekly jobless claims 13:30 BST. Fed speakers. ECB minutes 12:30 BST.
- Wed 14 May: UK GDP, industrial production.
- RR. next earnings 30 July.
- Energy / oil headlines are the dominant near-term catalyst (US-Iran framework progress).



TRADER'S NET-NET

The setup is: oil-down, risk-on, miners + banks + insurers leadership, energy as the funding short. The cleanest plays are continuation longs in names that just flipped (PRU, RR., DGE, CPG) plus the breakout watch on RIO, with SHEL as the highest-conviction short.

The risk to this thesis is a single Iran headline reversal — if a deal breaks down, oil rips back to $108+, SHEL/BP rally, and the whole rotation unwinds in hours. Position size accordingly: this is a sentiment-driven move, not a fundamental one (yet).



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Wednesday 6 May 2026 - FTSE 100 Daily TA & Intraday Setups
Data: Close 5 May (Tue) · UKX: 10,219.11 (-1.4%, -144.82) · Prev: 10,363.93 (Fri 1 May - Mon 4 was bank holiday) · Futures: data unavailable - check live before open



MARKET OVERVIEW

UK reopened from the Early Spring Bank Holiday with a sharp risk-off session - down 144 points and clearly the biggest single-day drop since mid-April. The damage was concentrated in banks (HSBA -6.1% on a weak Q1, dragging LLOY/BARC/STAN/NWG with it) and healthcare (GSK and AZN both down again - GSK -8.93% on the week, RSI now 25.. Geopolitics is doing real work: Iran/US tensions around the Strait of Hormuz kept Brent elevated near $110-114, but the cyclical weakness outweighed any energy lift to the index. Miners (RIO, AAL, GLEN) and defensive industrials (BNZL, RTO, LSEG) held up.

Futures direction note: no clean pre-market futures level - confirm via your platform before the cash open.



NOTABLE CHANGES (yesterday vs Fri 1 May)

These are the biggest day-over-day moves in the universe - the watchlist for today's open:

HSBA - BEARISH · RSI dropped 19.7 pts (62.6 - 42.9), crossed BELOW EMA20 AND EMA50, big move -6.1%. RSI zone flipped Bull - Bear. Q1 results miss. Heavy volume rv=1.16.

LLOY - BEARISH · RSI dropped 8.5 pts, big move -4.4%. Sympathy sell with HSBA. Now BELOW EMA20/50 (still above 200d).

NWG - BEARISH · Big move -3.8%, week -5.94%. Now below all three major EMAs.

STAN - WEAK · RSI dropped 10.2 pts, -3.7% but still above all EMAs. Pullback within uptrend.

BARC - BEARISH · Crossed BELOW EMA20 AND EMA50 (still above 200d).

GSK - BEARISH · Week -8.93%, RSI week -16 pts. RSI now 25.8 - deeply oversold. ADX 29.4 confirms downtrend strength.

ULVR - BEARISH · RSI dropped 9.3 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20, -3.3%. Heavy volume rv=1.11. ADX 37.7.

LGEN - BEARISH · RSI dropped 8.5 pts, crossed BELOW EMA200, -3.6%. Now below all three majors.

AZN - BEARISH · Crossed BELOW EMA200. RSI 32 - oversold but in confirmed bear structure.

CPG - BULLISH · Crossed ABOVE EMA20. Lone bullish flag yesterday outside of WPP.



SECTOR HEATMAP

BANKS - WEAK · HSBA -6.1%, LLOY -4.35%, NWG -3.84%, STAN -3.65%, BARC -2.8%. Whole sector flipped below short-term EMAs in one session. STAN remains the only one still above all three majors.

HEALTHCARE - WEAK · GSK -2.5% (RSI 25., AZN -1.08% (RSI 32), HLN -2.33% (RSI 32.1), RKT -1.83% (RSI 30.1). All four oversold, all four below all major EMAs. Capitulation territory but no reversal signals yet.

CONSUMER STAPLES - WEAK · ULVR -3.31% (broke EMA20), TSCO -2.32% (broke EMA50 + POC), ABF -1.72%, IMB -0.64%. DGE flat. Defensive bid is NOT working.

INSURANCE - WEAK · LGEN -3.62%, AV -2.63%, ADM -2.01%, PRU +0.32%. LGEN broke 200d.

MINERS - STRONG · AAL -1.05% but still above all EMAs, RIO -0.32% above all EMAs (RSI 57.6), GLEN -0.33% above all EMAs (RSI 57.1), ANTO -0.2% (still below 20/50). Iron ore/copper holding.

ENERGY - MIXED · BP -1.24% (just crossed BELOW EMA20 but above 50/200), SHEL +0.55% (above 50/200), SSE -3.09% (broke EMA20+50+POC). Brent supportive but rotation patchy.

INDUSTRIALS / MEDIA - STRONG · BNZL +1.19% (RSI 68.6, ADX 33.6 - momentum leader), RTO -1.18% but above all EMAs, BAE +1.79%, WPP +2.65% (week +6.01%), LSEG -0.27% (RSI 59.7, ADX 36, POC well below price), CPG +1.47% (broke ABOVE EMA20).

TELECOMS - WARNING · VOD +0.87% on the day BUT MACD bearish crossover and RSI dropped 8.1 pts. Loss of momentum after run.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE

Bull (above all EMAs): AAL · ADM · BNZL · GLEN · LSEG · RIO · RTO · STAN · VOD

Bull (above 20/50, below 200): CPG · REL · SGE · WPP

Mixed: BP (below 20, above 50/200) · SHEL (below 20, above 50/200) · BATS (above 20/200, below 50) · DGE (above 20, below 50/200) · INF (above 20, below 50/200) · RR. (above 20/200, below 50)

Bear (below 20/50, above 200): ANTO · BAE · BARC · GSK · HSBA · LLOY · NG · PRU · SSE · TSCO

Bear (below all EMAs): ABF · AV · AZN · EXPN · HLN · III · IMB · LGEN · NWG · RKT · ULVR

RSI extremes:
Oversold (<35): GSK 25.8 · RKT 30.1 · AZN 32 · HLN 32.1
Approaching OS: NWG 37.0 · ABF 39.8 · IMB 39.1 · LGEN 40.2 · LLOY 40.3 · AV 40.7 · III 41.3
Overbought (>65): BNZL 68.6
Strong but not OB: WPP 63.4 · LSEG 59.7 · SGE 58.8 · STAN 57.9 · RIO 57.6 · GLEN 57.1



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS

1. BNZL - Continuation Long (NEW momentum leader)
Setup: Above all EMAs, ADX 33.6 (strong trend), RSI 68.6, MACD bull cross 52.28 vs 49.7 signal, +1.19% yesterday and rising vs sea of red. Price trades well above POC 2243 - all-volume support.
Entry: 2455-2470 (pullback to Cam R1 / Pivot zone) · Stop: 2400 (below EMA9/Cam S4) · T1: 2540 (R3) · T2: 2609 (52w high) · R:R: 1:1.6 to 1:2.2
Why: One of the only stocks in the universe with bullish day-over-day RSI delta (+3.1) and a rising MACD. ATR 48 supports stop placement.

2. LSEG - Pullback Long (continuation, low risk)
Setup: Above all EMAs, ADX 36 (strongest trend reading in our universe), RSI 59.7, MACD strongly positive (254 vs 284 signal). Price 9600 sitting on pivot 9602, EMA9 just above. POC at 8624 means deep volume support far below.
Entry: 9560-9620 (current zone, pivot/EMA9 confluence) · Stop: 9410 (below EMA20 + Cam S3) · T1: 9740 (R1) · T2: 9880 (R2) · R:R: 1:1 to 1:1.5
Why: CONTINUING setup - has been the cleanest uptrend since mid-April. Down only -0.27% on a -1.4% market day = relative strength.

3. WPP - Recovery Breakout (new this week)
Setup: +2.65% on a -1.4% market day. Above EMA20 AND EMA50 (only just) but still 55% off 52w high. Week +6.01%. RSI rose 5.1 pts day-over-day. POC 255 below price = volume now flipping bullish.
Entry: 268-272 (pullback to Cam S1/pivot) · Stop: 258 (below EMA20) · T1: 280 (R1) · T2: 293 (R3) · R:R: 1:1 to 1:1.4
Why: NEW setup. Beaten-down recovery trade. Still well below 200d so this is short-term tactical, not a multi-month thesis.

4. RIO - Trend Continuation (high-quality, low ADX)
Setup: Above all EMAs, RSI 57.6, just -0.32% yesterday. ADX 14.5 = early trend. POC 6958 well below. Only 2.6% off 52w high.
Entry: 7330-7370 (pivot/EMA9 area) · Stop: 7200 (below EMA20) · T1: 7440 (R1) · T2: 7575 (52w high - psychological) · R:R: 1:1 to 1:1.7
Why: CONTINUING setup. Mining sector held while banks/pharma collapsed = clear relative strength. Iron ore narrative intact.

5. STAN - Buy-the-Dip (oversold within uptrend)
Setup: Despite -3.65% drop, STILL above all three EMAs. RSI 57.9 (cooled from 68.1). MACD still bullish (44.45 vs 37.3). ADX 22.2.
Entry: 1810-1820 (Cam S1 / EMA9) · Stop: 1765 (below EMA20) · T1: 1855 (R1/Cam R4) · T2: 1924 (52w high) · R:R: 1:0.8 to 1:1.9
Why: Banking selloff overshot here - STAN's structure is still constructive unlike LLOY/HSBA which have BROKEN their 20/50d. The cleanest bank long.



INTRADAY SETUPS

A. BNZL - Pivot Bounce Long
Entry: 2444 (Pivot) or 2453 (S1 ABOVE pivot - tight) · Stop: 2424 (below S1) · Target: 2484 (R1) -> 2504 (R2) · Direction: LONG
Why: Stock printed +1.19% on a red day. Pivot bounce in confluence with EMA9 just below. ADX 33.6 = trend strength.

B. LSEG - Camarilla Range Long
Entry: 9575 (Cam S1) · Stop: 9520 (below Cam S3) · Target: 9625 (Cam R1) -> 9676 (Cam R3) · Direction: LONG
Why: Cam range tight (S1-R1 = 50pts vs ATR 239) so Cam fade works. Trend confirms (ADX 36). Price near pivot.

C. GSK - Camarilla Breakdown Short
Entry: Sell break of 1837 (Cam S3) for trend day · Stop: 1857 (above Cam R1) · Target: 1813 (S2) -> 1782 (S3) · Direction: SHORT
Why: RSI 25.8 + ADX 29.4 + week -8.93%. A break of S3 confirms continuation. Heavy ATR 54 means decent move available. Caveat: deeply oversold so size carefully.

D. HSBA - Pivot Rejection Short
Entry: 1276-1280 (Pivot/Cam R1 rejection) · Stop: 1300 (above R1 + EMA50 reclaim) · Target: 1255 (S1) -> 1234 (S2) · Direction: SHORT
Why: Just broke EMA20 AND EMA50 in one session, RSI flipped Bull-Bear. Reaction rallies into pivot are short opportunities until 1290+ reclaimed. Heavy volume rv=1.16 confirms genuine selling.

E. WPP - Pivot/EMA9 Continuation Long
Entry: 272 (pivot/Cam S1) on bid · Stop: 266 (below S1/EMA9) · Target: 274.5 (Cam R3) -> 280 (R1) · Direction: LONG
Why: +2.65% yesterday on red market = strong relative strength. RSI rising day-over-day. Tight Cam = high probability fade-to-range trade.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD - TOP 5 TRADEABLE

BNZL (2463 · ATR 48 · RSI 68.6 · BULL)
Cam: S4 2430 · S3 2447 · S1 2458 || R1 2468 · R3 2479 · R4 2496
Classic: S3 2364 · S2 2385 · S1 2424 | Pivot 2444 | R1 2484 · R2 2504 · R3 2543
EMAs: 9 2420 · 20 2376 · 50 2296 · 200 2321 · POC 2244 · PDH/PDL 2483/2418 · 52w 2609/1981

LSEG (9600 · ATR 239 · RSI 59.7 · BULL)
Cam: S4 9448 · S3 9524 · S1 9575 || R1 9625 · R3 9676 · R4 9752
Classic: S3 9187 · S2 9327 · S1 9463 | Pivot 9603 | R1 9739 · R2 9879 · R3 10015
EMAs: 9 9638 · 20 9450 · 50 9049 · 200 9103 · POC 8625 · 52w 11810/6684

HSBA (1275.8 · ATR 34 · RSI 42.9 · BEAR 20/50)
Cam: S4 1252.6 · S3 1264.2 · S1 1271.9 || R1 1279.7 · R3 1287.4 · R4 1299
Classic: S3 1213 · S2 1234.6 · S1 1255.2 | Pivot 1276.8 | R1 1297.4 · R2 1319 · R3 1339.6
EMAs: 9 1326.9 · 20 1318.5 · 50 1288.5 · 200 1148.2 · POC 1268.7 · 52w 1410/835

GSK (1851.5 · ATR 54 · RSI 25.8 · BEAR 20/50)
Cam: S4 1823.4 · S3 1837.5 · S1 1846.8 || R1 1856.2 · R3 1865.5 · R4 1879.5
Classic: S3 1781.5 · S2 1813.5 · S1 1832.5 | Pivot 1864.5 | R1 1883.5 · R2 1915.5 · R3 1934.5
EMAs: 9 1963.7 · 20 2021.4 · 50 2040.3 · 200 1850.6 · POC 2101 · 52w 2282/1315
Note: 200d EMA 1850.6 sits RIGHT AT current price - critical decision level.

STAN (1818.7 · ATR 56 · RSI 57.9 · BULL)
Cam: S4 1781.7 · S3 1800.2 · S1 1812.5 || R1 1824.9 · R3 1837.2 · R4 1855.7
Classic: S3 1721.1 · S2 1758.0 · S1 1788.3 | Pivot 1825.2 | R1 1855.5 · R2 1892.4 · R3 1922.7
EMAs: 9 1810.5 · 20 1768.3 · 50 1730.4 · 200 1593.4 · POC 1676.1 · 52w 1924/1038.5



BEARISH WARNINGS

Just broke down (yesterday):
HSBA - broke EMA20 AND EMA50 in one move. RSI flipped Bull-Bear. ADX 25.4 already trending.
LGEN - just crossed BELOW EMA200. Now below all three EMAs. Watch 252.32 EMA200 as immediate resistance.
ULVR - broke EMA20. Already below 50/200. ADX 37.7 - strong bearish trend.
TSCO - broke EMA50 AND POC. Below all short-term levels.
NG - broke EMA20 + EMA50 (still above 200d).
BP - broke EMA20 (still above 50/200).
BATS - broke EMA50 (mixed structure).
AZN - broke EMA200. RSI 32 oversold but ADX 23.8 means trend has space to extend.

Already weak, watch for continuation:
GSK - RSI 25.8, week -8.93%, ADX 29.4. Below all EMAs ex 200d (which sits AT price 1850.6 = the line in the sand).
RKT - RSI 30.1, ADX 40.2 (strongest bearish ADX), 29% off 52w high. Below all EMAs.
HLN - RSI 32.1, ADX 33.4, 20% off 52w high.
III - far below all EMAs, 43% off 52w high. Structurally damaged.
ABF - ADX 39, below all EMAs, 24% off 52w high.

Momentum loss (no break yet):
VOD - +0.87% but MACD bearish crossover, RSI dropped 8.1 pts. First warning shot.
ADM - RSI dropped 9.4 pts, -2.01%. Still above all EMAs but momentum cooling fast.



EVENTS CALENDAR (this week)

- Wed 6 May (today): BoE rate decision watch (decision date varies but markets pricing in a HOLD according to recent reports). UK Construction PMI typically released this morning - check for sub-50 reading.
- Thu 7 May: BoE Monetary Policy Report and Press Conference is the typical first-Thursday slot. Expect sterling and rates volatility.
- Fri 8 May: Quiet UK calendar. Watch for US NFP (typically first Friday).
- Macro context: Iran/US Strait of Hormuz tensions are still the dominant non-earnings catalyst. Brent above $110. Local elections were the political backdrop yesterday.
- Earnings (recent / ongoing): HSBC reported Tue (missed), GSK and AZN have been under pressure post-results. Watch for Q1 trading updates from miners and consumer staples.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Tuesday 5 May 2026
Data: Close 1 May · UKX: ~10,380 · Futures: ~10,638 (gap +2.5% post Bank Holiday)



MARKET OVERVIEW

UK reopens after Bank Holiday Monday with futures pointing ~+250 pts higher than Friday's close. Three days of overseas drift on Middle East ceasefire optimism + softer oil being priced in at the bell. BoE held 3.75% on 30 April; CPI 3.3% (Mar). Light UK macro this week.

CRITICAL — Friday's pivot/Camarilla levels become reference only on a gap this size. Mark the opening 30-min range and trade off that, not Friday's S/R.



NOTABLE CHANGES (DAY-OVER-DAY)

BEARISH MOVES
- AZN — Close -2.91%, RSI dropped 6.3 to 33.8, weekly -3.34%. Pharma weakness leader.
- GSK — Weekly -5.66%, RSI 29.2 (oversold), MACD bearish accelerating.
- REL — MACD BEARISH crossover at top of range.
- CPG — Crossed ABOVE EMA50 BUT MACD bearish crossover. Mixed signal, do not chase.
- BP — Close -1.87%, RSI -4.3 to 52.8. Oil-led pullback, trend intact.

BULLISH MOVES
- ULVR — Close +2.69%, RSI surge +8.9 to 53.1, crossed ABOVE EMA20, week +4.25%. Textbook recovery.
- RR. — Crossed ABOVE EMA20, week +6.34%. Aerospace momentum building.
- BATS — Crossed ABOVE EMA50. Tobacco joining the bid.
- DGE — Crossed ABOVE EMA20, RSI +3.5. Spirits recovering.

Theme: defensives (ULVR, DGE, BATS) recovering while pharma (AZN, GSK, RKT) keeps cracking.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG (full bull stack):
Banks: HSBA · Mining: RIO, GLEN · Tobacco: BATS · Insurance: ADM · Fintech: LSEG · Energy: BP · Utilities: NG

RECOVERING:
Staples: ULVR, DGE · Aerospace: RR.

WEAK:
Pharma: AZN, GSK, RKT (all RSI under 34) · Defense: BAE · Asset Mgmt: III · Credit: EXPN

MIXED:
SHEL, REL, CPG



DAILY SIGNALS TABLE

BULL (above all EMAs):
HSBA C 1358.60 · RSI 62.6 · MACD bear closing
BP C 572.90 · RSI 52.8 · MACD bull
RIO C 7403 · RSI 58.8 · MACD bull (-2.3% from 52wH)
BATS C 4350 · RSI 53.7 · MACD bear closing
LSEG C 9626 · RSI 60.7 · MACD bull
ADM C 3426 · RSI 64.2 · MACD bull (-7.1% from 52wH)
GLEN C 563.7 · RSI 58.6 · MACD bull (-2.4% from 52wH)
NG C 1305 · RSI 52.2 · MACD bear

BEAR (below all EMAs):
III C 2564.5 · RSI 39.9 · MACD bear (-43% from 52wH)
RKT C 4689 · RSI 32.9 · MACD bear (-28% from 52wH)
EXPN C 2710 · RSI 49.8 · MACD bull rising

BEAR (below 20/50, above 200):
AZN C 13542 · RSI 33.8 (-6.3 d/d) · MACD bear deep
BAE C 2035 · RSI 39.1 · MACD bear
GSK C 1898.98 · RSI 29.2 · MACD bear

MIXED:
SHEL C 3296 · below EMA20, above 50/200 · RSI 47.8
ULVR C 4412.5 · above EMA20, below 50/200 · RSI 53.1 (+8.9 d/d)
RR. C 1206.15 · above EMA20, below 50, above 200 · RSI 50.8
CPG C 2843 · below EMA20, above 50, below 200 · RSI 49.9
DGE C 1481.8 · above EMA20, below 50/200 · RSI 51.7
REL C 2702 · above 20/50, below 200 · RSI 58.9



TOP SWING SETUPS

LONG LSEG — Bull continuation
Entry: 9,580-9,640 · Stop: 9,440 · T1: 9,800 · T2: 10,000 · R:R: ~1:2
Above all EMAs, RSI 60.7, MACD strongly positive, POC 8,596 well below. New continuation, not a reversal.

LONG ULVR — Recovery / mean-reversion
Entry: 4,380-4,420 · Stop: 4,290 · T1: 4,527 (EMA50) · T2: 4,660 (POC) · R:R: ~1:1.7
Just crossed back above EMA20, RSI surge +8.9, weekly +4.25%. Counter-trend bounce — manage tight, still below EMA200.

LONG RIO — Mining trend continuation
Entry: 7,330-7,400 · Stop: 7,180 · T1: 7,575 (52wH) · T2: 7,800 · R:R: ~1:1.7
Cleanest trend on the board, only -2.3% from 52w high. Miners benefiting from ceasefire + USD-weakness theme.

LONG ADM — Insurance momentum
Entry: 3,400-3,420 · Stop: 3,330 · T1: 3,500 · T2: 3,686 (52wH) · R:R: ~1:1.6
Above all EMAs, RSI 64.2, MACD bullish. RSI getting hot — wait for pullback, do not chase.



INTRADAY SETUPS

Gap-day caveat — Friday's pivots distorted by 250-pt gap. Wait first hour, mark opening range, trade the break.

CamR4 Breakout candidates (trend day):
- HSBA — CamR4 1,370.76 likely breached on gap. Hold above + consolidation = long T 1,400. Stop below CamR3 1,364.68.
- LSEG — CamR4 9,721.70 next resistance. Breakout-retest entry. T1 9,900 / Stop CamR3 9,673.
- ADM — CamR4 3,466.15. Above this opens 52wH 3,686.

Range / Pivot fade (if no follow-through):
- GLEN — Tight range CamS3 561.86 to CamR3 565.54. Fade extremes, very tight stops.
- NG — Below pivot 1,309 and EMA20 1,295. Short bias on pivot rejection, T CamS3 1,299.
- AZN — Near CamS3 13,467. Oversold bounce ONLY if reclaims pivot 13,630 on volume — otherwise leave alone.

Camarilla range fade:
- BAE — CamS3 2,028.51 to CamR3 2,041.49 narrow. Sell rallies (bear EMA stack).
- REL — Range CamS3 2,692 to CamR3 2,711. Fade upper toward S1 2,681 (MACD just turned bear).



KEY LEVELS — TOP 5 TRADEABLE

LSEG — Cam: S4 9,530 · S3 9,578 · S1 --- || R3 9,673 · R4 9,721. Pivot 9,588 · EMA9 9,647 · EMA20 9,434 · EMA50 9,026 · EMA200 9,098 · POC 8,596

RIO — Cam: S4 7,340 · S3 7,371 || R3 7,434 · R4 7,465. Pivot 7,368 · EMA9 7,340 · EMA20 7,258 · EMA50 7,042 · EMA200 6,117 · POC 6,953 · 52wH 7,575

ADM — Cam: S4 3,385 · S3 3,405 || R3 3,446 · R4 3,466. Pivot 3,403 · EMA9 3,399 · EMA20 3,346 · EMA50 3,225 · EMA200 3,139 · POC 3,109 · 52wH 3,686

ULVR — Cam: S4 4,350 · S3 4,381 || R3 4,443 · R4 4,474. Pivot 4,386 · EMA9 4,286 · EMA20 4,319 · EMA50 4,527 · EMA200 4,870 · POC 4,658

HSBA — Cam: S4 1,346 · S3 1,352 || R3 1,364 · R4 1,370. Pivot 1,351 · EMA9 1,339 · EMA20 1,322 · EMA50 1,289 · EMA200 1,146 · POC 1,268 · 52wH 1,410



BEARISH WARNINGS

WORST: AZN — -2.91% Friday, RSI 33.8 falling fast (-6.3 d/d), MACD diverging deep, 5.5% below EMA20, far below POC 14,690. ATR 336 = wide moves. Avoid longs unless 13,720 reclaimed on volume.

WEAK: GSK — RSI 29.2 oversold, week -5.66%, MACD accelerating bearish. Pharma sector wreckage continues.

WEAK: RKT — Below ALL EMAs, RSI 32.9, MACD -186, far below POC 5,575. Continuation lower likely.

WEAK: III — Bear all, -43% from 52wH. Asset-manager wreckage continues.

WEAK: EXPN — Bear all, -33.9% from 52wH. MACD ticking up but no confirmation yet.

WEAK: BAE — Crossed below EMA20 last week, MACD bear, RSI 39. Defense unwind continues despite ME tensions — interesting tell.

MIXED: CPG — MACD bearish cross Friday despite EMA50 reclaim. Don't chase.

MIXED: REL — MACD bearish crossover, top of range. Step aside.



EVENTS CALENDAR

Tue 5 May: UK markets reopen. Final S&P Global UK Services PMI (April).
Wed 6 May: BoE Decision Maker Panel survey. US ADP Employment.
Thu 7 May: BoE MPC Minutes (post 30-April hold). DMP inflation expectations.
Fri 8 May: UK Halifax House Price Index.

UK earnings season winding down. Recently: BP beat Q1, NatWest beat with Iran warning, Pearson +3% on Q1 sales. No FOMC this week (next mid-June). Light macro = price-action driven week post-gap.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.