FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups

Tuesday 31 March 2026
Data: Close 30 March | UKX: ~9,984 | Futures: ~9,785 (-0.2%)



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 closed Monday at approximately 9,984 after a strong broad-based rally led by energy, mining, and defence. Tuesday futures are indicated around 9,785 (source: Barchart/Investing.com), a modest pullback from Monday's close. The positive sentiment is driven by reports that Trump has signalled willingness to end military operations against Iran, even without a Strait of Hormuz deal (WSJ). However, Brent crude remains elevated at $107.22/bbl and WTI at $103.78, continuing to support FTSE energy heavyweights. UK Q4 GDP came in at +0.1% QoQ as expected. UK house prices rose 0.9% MoM in March (Nationwide), and grocery sales growth supports retailers.

Key macro drivers today: Iran war exit reports (risk-on), elevated oil prices (energy tailwind), Q4 GDP confirmation (neutral), and end-of-quarter rebalancing flows.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)

These are the most significant moves from Friday 27 March to Monday 30 March -- the stocks that demand attention today:

AZN -- Crossed ABOVE EMA50, MACD bullish crossover, crossed above POC. Week: +6.46%, RSI surged +21.7 pts over the week. Major recovery underway.

RIO -- Crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50, MACD bullish crossover, +3.5% daily move, crossed above POC. Triple EMA recapture signals trend reversal.

LSEG -- RSI surged +10.6 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50, +4.3% daily move, crossed above POC. Strongest single-day move in the scanner.

BP -- +3.1% move, 5-day up streak, week: +7.98%. Now at a fresh 52-week high (602p). Relentless oil-driven rally.

BAE -- Crossed ABOVE EMA50, +3.1% daily move, crossed above POC. Defence spending momentum continues.

BATS -- Crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50, crossed above POC. Quiet breakout in tobacco.

ADM -- Crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA200, +3.1% move. Key EMA200 recapture is technically significant.

RR. -- Week: -5.06%. Continued deterioration below all EMAs. Defence sector divergence (BAE up, RR. down).



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG -- Oil and Gas (avg +2.6%, RSI 73.
SHEL +2.1% and BP +3.1% both bull above all EMAs. BP at 52-week high. Oil above $107/bbl is the primary driver. Both overbought on RSI but trend is firmly bullish.

STRONG -- Mining (avg +3.1%, RSI 58.7)
RIO +3.5% recaptured EMA20/50 with MACD bullish crossover. GLEN +2.8% near 52-week high. Commodity prices and China reopening narrative supporting.

BULLISH -- Pharma (avg +1.7%, RSI 54.
AZN +2.8% major recovery week (+6.5%), now above all EMAs. GSK +0.7% steady above all EMAs. Defensive sector rotation helping.

STRONG -- Banking/Finance (avg +2.7%, RSI 50.
LSEG +4.3% was the star -- crossed above EMA20/50. HSBA +1.0% still below EMA20/50, lagging the sector.

STRONG -- Defence (avg +3.1%, RSI 46.7)
BAE +3.1% bounced above EMA50 and POC. Iran conflict narrative remains supportive.

WEAK -- Consumer Staples (avg +0.7%, RSI 36.3)
Mixed picture. BATS +1.7% is bull above all EMAs. But ULVR RSI 28 (oversold), DGE RSI 37.6, RKT RSI 28 -- three of four names in bearish territory below all EMAs.

WEAK -- Consumer Discretionary (avg +2.6%, RSI 43.5)
REL +3.2% bounced but remains below all EMAs, 41% off 52-week high. CPG +2.1% also below all EMAs. Bounces into weakness.

MIXED -- Industrials (avg +2.1%, RSI 44.2)
ADM +3.1% recaptured EMA200 -- technically significant. EXPN +3.3% bounced but still below all EMAs. RR. -0.2% continued weakness.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE

Ticker | Trend | RSI | MACD | vs 52wH | Day Ch | vs POC

BULLISH (above all EMAs):
AZN Bull (above all) 56.2 Bull -6.5% +2.80% Above
SHEL Bull (above all) 75.0 OB Bull -0.4% +2.05% Above
BP Bull (above all) 72.7 OB Bull 0.0% +3.06% Above
RIO Bull (above all) 52.0 Bull -10.4% +3.47% Above
BATS Bull (above all) 51.5 Bear -5.3% +1.72% Above
GSK Bull (above all) 53.4 Bull -9.6% +0.68% Above
GLEN Bull (above all) 65.4 Bull -1.1% +2.80% Above
ADM Bull (above all) 55.3 Bear -14.4% +3.07% Above

RECOVERING:
LSEG Bull (above 20/50) 54.4 Bear -27.7% +4.32% Above
BAE Mixed (below E20) 46.7 Bear -9.7% +3.14% Above

NEUTRAL:
HSBA Bear (below 20/50) 47.1 Bull -14.1% +1.00% Below
NG Bear (below 20/50) 45.6 Bear -10.9% +2.91% Below

BEARISH (below all EMAs):
ULVR Bear (below all) 28.0 OS Bear -18.0% +1.09% Below
RR. Bear (below all) 34.5 Bear -22.1% -0.18% Below
REL Bear (below all) 47.5 Bear -41.0% +3.18% Below
CPG Bear (below all) 39.6 Bear -24.3% +2.06% Below
III Bear (below all) 27.3 OS Bear -47.6% +1.51% Below
DGE Bear (below all) 37.6 Bull -35.9% +1.18% Below
RKT Bear (below all) 28.0 OS Bear -21.7% -1.20% Below
EXPN Bear (below all) 42.7 Bear -37.0% +3.28% Below

EMA classifications verified programmatically against raw close vs EMA20/50/200 values. All 20 stocks confirmed correct.



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS


1. RIO -- Bullish Breakout (NEW signal today)

Crossed above EMA20 and EMA50 on Monday with MACD bullish crossover and above POC. RSI 52 gives plenty of room to run. This is a fresh signal -- was below both EMAs on Friday. Mining sector tailwind from commodities.

Entry: 6770-6780 Stop: 6412 (1.5x ATR below, below Friday's low) T1: 7012 T2: 7252 R:R: 1:0.7 to T1, 1:1.3 to T2
Confluence: 6/7 -- Bull trend, healthy RSI, MACD bull cross, above POC, strong move, sector strength

2. BP -- Momentum Continuation (CONTINUING -- 5-day streak)

At fresh 52-week high (602p). 5-day winning streak with week +7.98%. Above all EMAs, MACD bullish, above POC. Oil above $107 is the fuel. RSI 72.7 is overbought but in a strong trend this can persist. Use pullback entries.

Entry: 590-595 on pullback (Cam S3 at 597) Stop: 576 (1.5x ATR) T1: 619 T2: 636 R:R: 1:1.3 to T1 from 590
Confluence: 6/7 -- Bull trend, MACD bull, above POC, strong move, 52w high, sector strength

3. GLEN -- Near 52-Week High (CONTINUING)

553.5p vs 52-week high of 559.6p (-1.1%). Above all EMAs with MACD bullish. Mining sector strong. Above POC (500). ADX only 10.7 suggests the move is still developing, not exhausted.

Entry: 548-554 Stop: 524 (1.5x ATR) T1: 573 T2: 593 R:R: 1:0.7 to T1, 1:1.3 to T2
Confluence: 6/7 -- Bull trend, MACD bull, above POC, strong move, near 52w high, sector strength

4. AZN -- Recovery Play (NEW -- crossed EMA50, MACD crossover)

Major recovery: +6.5% for the week, RSI surged +21.7 points. Crossed above EMA50 and POC with MACD bullish crossover. Now bull above all EMAs. Stochastic RSI at 100 -- short-term overbought so a small pullback may offer better entry.

Entry: 14500-14600 on pullback (near Cam S3 14584) Stop: 14162 (classic S2) T1: 15062 T2: 15292 (classic R3) R:R: 1:1.1 to T1 from 14550
Confluence: 6/7 -- Bull trend, healthy RSI, MACD bull cross, above POC, strong move

5. GSK -- Quiet Strength (CONTINUING)

Bull above all EMAs with RSI 53.4 and MACD bullish. Above POC (2042). Steady rather than spectacular -- 0.68% on Monday. Low vol (RV 1.14) but consistent. Pharma sector rotation beneficiary.

Entry: 2055-2065 Stop: 1995 (1.5x ATR) T1: 2108 T2: 2154 R:R: 1:0.7 to T1, 1:1.4 to T2
Confluence: 5/7 -- Bull trend, healthy RSI, MACD bull, above POC



INTRADAY SETUPS


1. LSEG -- Pivot Bounce Long

Monday's +4.3% move was the strongest in the scanner. If price opens near pivot (8483) or pulls back to Cam S1 (8569), this is a dip-buy with trend. Crossed above EMA20/50 -- new bullish structure. RSI 54.4 supports further upside.

Direction: Long
Entry: 8485-8570 (pivot to Cam S1) Stop: 8365 (classic S1) T1: 8700 (Cam R3) T2: 8798 (Cam R4) R:R: 1:1.2

2. BAE -- Camarilla Range Long

Bounced +3.1% Monday. Cam S3-R3 range: 2103-2161. If price opens near Cam S1 (2122) or dips to Cam S3 (2103 -- aligns with POC at 2105), long into R1/R3. Daily EMA50 support at 2109.

Direction: Long
Entry: 2103-2122 (Cam S3 to S1) Stop: 2074 (Cam S4) T1: 2142 (Cam R1) T2: 2161 (Cam R3) R:R: 1:1.3

3. BP -- Breakout Continuation Long

At 52-week high. Cam R3 at 607, Cam R4 at 612. A break above 607 signals a trend continuation day. Wait for the break, enter on retest.

Direction: Long
Entry: 607 (break of Cam R3) Stop: 597 (Cam S3) T1: 612 (Cam R4) T2: 625 (classic R3) R:R: 1:0.5 to T1, 1:1.8 to T2

4. RKT -- Camarilla Range Short (Mean Reversion)

Bear below all EMAs, RSI 28 (oversold), MACD deeply bearish. -1.2% on a day when most stocks rallied. If price bounces to Cam R1 (5111) or R3 (5130), fade the rally. Below POC (5971) by a wide margin.

Direction: Short
Entry: 5111-5130 (Cam R1 to R3) Stop: 5158 (Cam R4) T1: 5075 (Cam S3) T2: 5046 (Cam S4) R:R: 1:1.3 to T1



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD


RIO (6772)
Cam: S4 6712 - S3 6742 - S1 6762 || R1 6782 - R3 6802 - R4 6833
Classic: S2 6669 - S1 6720 - Pivot 6779 - R1 6830 - R2 6889
EMAs: E9 6576 - E20 6670 - E50 6661 - E200 5827
POC: 6723 | Prev H/L: 6837/6727 | 52w H/L: 7557/4025

BP (602)
Cam: S4 592 - S3 597 - S1 600 || R1 604 - R3 607 - R4 612
Classic: S2 579 - S1 590 - Pivot 596 - R1 608 - R2 614
EMAs: E9 570 - E20 545 - E50 507 - E200 454
POC: 492 | Prev H/L: 602/585 | 52w H/L: 602/329

LSEG (8602)
Cam: S4 8406 - S3 8504 - S1 8569 || R1 8635 - R3 8700 - R4 8798
Classic: S2 8127 - S1 8365 - Pivot 8483 - R1 8721 - R2 8839
EMAs: E9 8490 - E20 8476 - E50 8426 - E200 9026
POC: 8323 | Prev H/L: 8602/8246 | 52w H/L: 11895/6684

GLEN (553.5)
Cam: S4 542 - S3 548 - S1 552 || R1 555 - R3 559 - R4 565
Classic: S2 529 - S1 541 - Pivot 551 - R1 563 - R2 572
EMAs: E9 534 - E20 526 - E50 503 - E200 416
POC: 500 | Prev H/L: 560/538 | 52w H/L: 560/205

AZN (14702)
Cam: S4 14466 - S3 14584 - S1 14663 || R1 14741 - R3 14820 - R4 14939
Classic: S2 14162 - S1 14432 - Pivot 14592 - R1 14862 - R2 15022
EMAs: E9 14221 - E20 14335 - E50 14327 - E200 13171
POC: 14453 | Prev H/L: 14752/14322 | 52w H/L: 15730/9574



BEARISH WARNINGS


III (3i Group) -- SEVERE
Bear below all EMAs. RSI 27.3 (oversold). MACD deeply bearish at -203.81. Down -47.6% from 52-week high (4497). Week: -14.25%. Well below POC (3086). ADX 44.4 confirms strong downtrend. No sign of bottoming yet. Avoid longs.

RKT (Reckitt) -- SEVERE
Bear below all EMAs. RSI 28.0 (oversold). MACD -264 vs signal -260. Down -21.7% from 52w high. -1.2% on Monday while most stocks rallied -- relative weakness is a red flag. Below POC (5971) by 15%. ADX 45.8 = strong downtrend.

ULVR (Unilever) -- WARNING
Bear below all EMAs. RSI 28.0 (oversold). Below POC (4955). Down -18% from 52w high. ADX 46.2 = strong downtrend. However, RSI is deeply oversold so a technical bounce is possible -- counter-trend only, half size.

RR. (Rolls-Royce) -- WARNING
Bear below all EMAs. RSI 34.5. Week: -5.06%. Below POC (1265). Was -0.18% on Monday while index rallied strongly. Close at 1106.5 is just below EMA200 (1110.2) -- a failed recapture attempt is bearish. Stochastic RSI at 0 = maximum bearish momentum.

REL (RELX) -- WARNING
Bear below all EMAs. Down -41% from 52w high (4183). Below POC (2480). MACD bearish below zero. Monday's +3.2% bounce was into resistance (POC and EMA20). Low volume (RV 0.44) = weak bounce.

DGE (Diageo) -- WARNING
Bear below all EMAs. RSI 37.6. Down -35.9% from 52w high. Below POC (1592). Near 52w low of 1350. MACD bullish crossover forming (noted in comparison data) and 4-day up streak may signal early recovery -- but still firmly in downtrend.

EXPN (Experian) -- WARNING
Bear below all EMAs. Down -37% from 52w high. Below POC (2777). Thin volume (RV 0.54). Monday's +3.3% bounce was on low conviction.



EVENTS CALENDAR

Tuesday 31 March:
- UK Q4 GDP final reading (confirmed +0.1% QoQ)
- UK Nationwide house price index (March +0.9% MoM)
- Raspberry Pi Holdings FY results (EBITDA +25%)
- A.G. Barr results (pretax profit +12.5%)
- End of Q1 -- potential rebalancing flows
- Geopolitical: Trump/Iran war exit reports (WSJ) -- key driver

Rest of week:
- US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Tuesday)
- US JOLTS Job Openings (Tuesday)
- Global oil supply updates (Hormuz Strait situation)
- April catalysts: Lloyds, Tesco, Standard Chartered earnings expected

Macro backdrop: Brent crude $107/bbl, WTI $104/bbl. GBP/USD 1.3202 (+0.1%). Iran-US conflict de-escalation hopes providing risk-on support but oil remains elevated, creating a push-pull dynamic for the FTSE.



SUMMARY

Monday was a strong broad-based rally with 18 of 20 tracked stocks positive. The standout theme is the number of bullish EMA crossovers: AZN, RIO, LSEG, BAE, BATS, and ADM all recaptured key moving averages. Oil and mining are the dominant sectors with BP at a 52-week high and GLEN near its high. The market is bifurcated: commodity and defensive names are in clear uptrends, while consumer discretionary and some industrials (III, RKT, ULVR, REL) remain in deep bear trends far below their 52-week highs. The best setups today are trend continuations in RIO, BP, and GLEN, and recovery plays in AZN and LSEG on pullbacks.

Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Wednesday 26 March 2026
Data: Close 25 March | UKX: ~10,091 | Futures: March contract expiring (unreliable) -- cash index +1.26%



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 closed at approximately 10,091 on 25 March, up 1.26% (+126 points), extending a two-day rebound driven by easing oil prices and hopes of Middle East de-escalation. Brent crude fell to ~$99.75/bbl from a high of $113.71 earlier in the month after Trump signalled Iran peace talks. The March FTSE 100 futures contract is expiring and showing ~9,785 which is unreliable -- the cash index is the better reference. Banks and miners led gains while energy names (Shell, BP) pulled back slightly as oil retreated. Defensive names like Reckitt and Unilever remain under pressure. Broader European sentiment is risk-on with investors rotating from energy/defensives into cyclicals and financials.

Source: Trading Economics, Fortune, CNBC.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)

These are the most significant moves from yesterday to today -- the stocks that demand attention:

BULLISH
- GSK -- RSI surged 12.7 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50, +3.9%, crossed above POC. Week: +5.0%, RSI week: +19.5 pts. The strongest single-day turnaround in the scanner.
- AAL -- Big move +3.9%, Week: +7.3%. Mining sector strength accelerating.
- STAN -- MACD bullish crossover, 4-day up streak. Week: +6.66%. Banks leading.
- PRU -- RSI surged 8.4 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA20, MACD bullish crossover. Insurance sector rotation.
- ANTO -- Week: +6.05%. Copper miners in demand.
- BARC -- MACD bullish crossover. Banks broadly strong.
- SSE -- Crossed ABOVE EMA50. Utilities stabilising.
- INF -- MACD bullish crossover. Infrastructure catching a bid.

BEARISH
- BAE -- Week: -6.59%, RSI week: -17.3 pts. Defence sector under pressure as Middle East tensions ease.
- EXPN -- 5-day down streak, Week: -5.14%. Persistent selling in data/tech names.
- REL -- 5-day down streak. RELX continues to deteriorate.
- BP -- RSI week: -15.2 pts. Despite being above all EMAs, momentum is fading fast as oil retreats.
- BNZL -- Crossed BELOW EMA50. Losing medium-term trend support.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG
- Pharma: GSK +3.9% (RSI surged, broke above both EMAs), AZN +1.8%. Sector rotation into healthcare is clear.
- Mining: GLEN +2.2% (near 52w high), RIO +1.3%. AAL +3.9% and ANTO +6.0% (from comparison). Copper and diversified miners in demand.
- Banks: HSBA +2.5%, STAN +6.7% week, BARC MACD bullish crossover. Broad-based bank strength.

MIXED
- Oil & Gas: BP +1.7% but RSI fading (week: -15.2 pts). SHEL -0.8%. Oil retreat from $113 to $99 is weighing. Still in strong uptrends but momentum is turning.
- Aerospace/Defence: RR. +2.5% but BAE -6.6% on the week. Defence de-rating on peace hopes; Rolls-Royce holding better on civil aerospace demand.
- Utilities: NG +2.4%, SSE crossed above EMA50. Signs of stabilisation but still below key EMAs.

WEAK
- Consumer Staples: ULVR -0.1% (RSI 23.9, oversold), RKT -0.1% (RSI 23.8, oversold), DGE +1.1% (RSI 29.7, near OS). Structural downtrends across the board.
- Insurance/Financials: REL -1.5% (5-day down streak), III +1.5% but still below all EMAs. LSEG -0.2%.
- Data/Tech: EXPN -1.4% (5-day down streak, -5.1% week). Growth names still being sold.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS

Ticker -- Trend -- RSI (Zone) -- MACD -- %52wH -- Daily Ch -- POC -- RV

AZN -- Bear (below 20/50) -- 41.9 (N) -- Bear -- -10.6% -- +1.82% -- POC below -- rv 0.41
HSBA -- Bear (below 20/50) -- 46.4 (N) -- Bear -- -14.1% -- +2.54% -- POC below -- rv 0.83
SHEL -- Bull (above all) -- 69 (N) -- Bull -- -1.6% -- -0.78% -- POC above -- rv 0.58
ULVR -- Bear (below all) -- 23.9 (OS) -- Bear -- -18.1% -- -0.1% -- POC below -- rv 1.03
RR. -- Bear (below 20/50) -- 43 (N) -- Bear -- -15.9% -- +2.45% -- POC below -- rv 0.38
BP -- Bull (above all) -- 65.9 (N) -- Bull -- -2.8% -- +1.72% -- POC above -- rv 0.73
RIO -- Bear (below 20/50) -- 44.5 (N) -- Bear -- -13.2% -- +1.27% -- POC below -- rv 0.49
BATS -- Bear (below 20/50) -- 46.7 (N) -- Bear -- -6.6% -- +0.72% -- POC below -- rv 0.45
BAE -- Mixed (below e20, above e50, above e200) -- 47.1 (N) -- Bear -- -8.6% -- +1.36% -- POC above -- rv 0.63
GSK -- Bull (above all) -- 52 (N) -- Bear -- -10.0% -- +3.89% -- POC above -- rv 1.04
REL -- Bear (below all) -- 38.9 (N) -- Bear -- -42.8% -- -1.52% -- POC below -- rv 0.73
LSEG -- Mixed (below e20, above e50, below e200) -- 50 (N) -- Bear -- -28.9% -- -0.21% -- POC above -- rv 0.42
CPG -- Bear (below all) -- 45.4 (N) -- Bear -- -21.3% -- +2.08% -- POC below -- rv 0.36
ADM -- Bull (above all) -- 55.2 (N) -- Bear -- -14.7% -- -0.32% -- POC above -- rv 0.54
III -- Bear (below all) -- 37.7 (N) -- Bear -- -37.9% -- +1.53% -- POC below -- rv 0.7
DGE -- Bear (below all) -- 29.7 (OS) -- Bear -- -37.8% -- +1.06% -- POC below -- rv 0.72
GLEN -- Bull (above all) -- 61.7 (N) -- Bear -- -1.3% -- +2.2% -- POC above -- rv 0.67
NG -- Bear (below 20/50) -- 41.3 (N) -- Bear -- -11.7% -- +2.44% -- POC below -- rv 0.72
RKT -- Bear (below all) -- 23.8 (OS) -- Bear -- -21.6% -- -0.12% -- POC below -- rv 0.72
EXPN -- Bear (below all) -- 34.5 (N) -- Bear -- -38.3% -- -1.4% -- POC below -- rv 0.75



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS

1. GSK -- Bullish EMA Breakout (NEW today)

GSK surged +3.9% and crossed above both EMA20 (2034) and EMA50 (2018) in a single session. RSI jumped 12.7 points to 52 -- right at the neutral midpoint with room to run. Close at 2054 is above POC (2038), confirming buyers are accepting higher prices. This is a NEW setup triggered today.

Entry: 2054-2060 . Stop: 1989 (below yesterday's low) . T1: 2097 (R2) . T2: 2140 (R3) . R:R: 1:1.3
Confluence: 4/5 -- EMA breakout + RSI momentum surge + POC reclaim + volume normal (rv 1.04)
Invalidation: Close back below 2018 (EMA50)


2. GLEN -- Bull Trend Continuation (Continuing)

Glencore closed at 539.5, just 1.3% from its 52-week high of 546.5. Above all three EMAs (e20=520, e50=498, e200=412). RSI at 61.7 with StochRSI at 100 -- strong momentum but not yet overbought on standard RSI. Above POC at 496. The trend has been in play for weeks but remains valid.

Entry: 539-541 . Stop: 520 (EMA20) . T1: 546.5 (52w high) . T2: 560 (round number) . R:R: 1:1.1
Confluence: 4/5 -- Above all EMAs + above POC + near 52w breakout + strong RSI
Invalidation: Close below 520 (EMA20)


3. BP -- Bull Trend with Caution (Continuing but fading)

BP at 567.1, above all EMAs (e20=529, e50=496, e200=450) and just 2.8% from 52w high (583.6). RSI 65.9 approaching overbought. However, RSI has dropped 15.2 points on the week as oil pulls back from $113 to $99. MACD still bullish but barely (m=24.2 vs s=21.6). Above POC at 485. This is a trend that may be topping out -- trade with tight stops.

Entry: 562-567 (pullback to Cam S3) . Stop: 549 (below yesterday's low) . T1: 577 (Cam R4) . T2: 583.6 (52w high) . R:R: 1:1.2
Confluence: 3/5 -- Above all EMAs + above POC + weakening momentum (RSI fading)
Invalidation: Close below EMA20 at 529


4. ADM -- Bull Consolidation Above EMAs (Continuing)

Admiral at 3146, above all three EMAs (e20=3121, e50=3042, e200=3091). RSI at 55.2 -- healthy bullish territory. MACD is bearish (73.7 vs 84.4) with histogram contracting, suggesting a potential pullback is near but the trend structure remains intact. Well above POC at 2970.

Entry: 3121-3135 (pullback to EMA20) . Stop: 3085 (below EMA200) . T1: 3187 (R2) . T2: 3205 (R3) . R:R: 1:1.6
Confluence: 3/5 -- Above all EMAs + above POC + RSI neutral-bullish
Invalidation: Close below 3042 (EMA50)



INTRADAY SETUPS

1. GSK -- Pivot Bounce Long

Direction: LONG
Yesterday's close at 2054 is above the classic pivot (2032) and above R1 level is at 2076. With the massive RSI surge and EMA breakout, any pullback to the pivot zone is a buy.
Entry: 2036-2042 (Cam S3 to Cam S2) . Stop: 2018 (Cam S4) . Target: 2072 (Cam R3) . R:R: 1:1.7
Why: Daily trend just turned bullish, RSI momentum confirms, POC reclaimed.


2. SHEL -- Camarilla R3 Fade Short

Direction: SHORT (counter-trend -- half size)
Shell at 3433 closed near the highs but RSI is 69 (approaching OB) and MACD histogram is barely positive. The Cam R3 at 3447 and R4 at 3462 provide fade levels. Oil is retreating from $113 to $99 -- headwind for energy.
Entry: 3443-3447 (Cam R3) . Stop: 3462 (Cam R4) . Target: 3422 (Pivot) . R:R: 1:1.4
Why: RSI near OB, oil retreating, Cam R3 fade setup. Counter-trend so half size.


3. HSBA -- Classic Pivot Bounce Long

Direction: LONG
HSBA closed at 1211.4, right at the classic pivot (1213.. RSI at 46.4 with StochRSI at 81.7 showing short-term momentum. Banks are broadly strong (STAN +6.7% week, BARC MACD bullish crossover). A bounce from the pivot targets R1.
Entry: 1206-1214 (Cam S1 to Pivot) . Stop: 1196 (Cam S3) . Target: 1240 (R1) . R:R: 1:2.0
Why: Banking sector strength, pivot support, RSI improving.


4. RIO -- Camarilla S3 Bounce Long

Direction: LONG
RIO at 6563, below EMA20/50 but above EMA200. Mining sector is strong (GLEN near 52w high, AAL +3.9%). Cam S3 at 6537 provides a well-defined bounce level with stop at Cam S4 (6511).
Entry: 6537-6545 (Cam S3) . Stop: 6511 (Cam S4) . Target: 6589 (Cam R3) . R:R: 1:1.8
Why: Sector tailwind, Cam S3 bounce, above EMA200.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

GSK (Close: 2054)
Cam: S4 2018.25 . S3 2036.13 . S2 2042.08 . S1 2048.04 || R1 2059.96 . R2 2065.92 . R3 2071.88 . R4 2089.75
Classic: S3 1945.67 . S2 1967.33 . S1 2010.67 || Pivot 2032.33 || R1 2075.67 . R2 2097.33 . R3 2140.67
EMAs: 20=2034.12 . 50=2018.26 . 200=1786.48
POC: 2037.62 . Prev H/L: 2054/1989 . 52w H/L: 2282/1242.5

GLEN (Close: 539.5)
Cam: S4 532.85 . S3 536.17 . S2 537.28 . S1 538.39 || R1 540.61 . R2 541.72 . R3 542.83 . R4 546.16
Classic: S3 521.1 . S2 526.9 . S1 533.2 || Pivot 539 || R1 545.3 . R2 551.1 . R3 557.4
EMAs: 20=520.37 . 50=498.43 . 200=412.49
POC: 496.05 . Prev H/L: 544.8/532.7 . 52w H/L: 546.5/205

BP (Close: 567.1)
Cam: S4 557.09 . S3 562.1 . S2 563.76 . S1 565.43 || R1 568.77 . R2 570.44 . R3 572.11 . R4 577.11
Classic: S3 536.77 . S2 542.83 . S1 554.97 || Pivot 561.03 || R1 573.17 . R2 579.23 . R3 591.37
EMAs: 20=528.83 . 50=495.97 . 200=450.09
POC: 485.13 . Prev H/L: 567.1/548.9 . 52w H/L: 583.6/329.2

SHEL (Close: 3433)
Cam: S4 3404.4 . S3 3418.7 . S2 3423.47 . S1 3428.23 || R1 3437.77 . R2 3442.53 . R3 3447.3 . R4 3461.6
Classic: S3 3349.33 . S2 3369.67 . S1 3401.33 || Pivot 3421.67 || R1 3453.33 . R2 3473.67 . R3 3505.33
EMAs: 20=3285.24 . 50=3083.96 . 200=2823.69
POC: 2989.76 . Prev H/L: 3442/3390 . 52w H/L: 3490/2269.92

HSBA (Close: 1211.4)
Cam: S4 1181.05 . S3 1196.23 . S2 1201.28 . S1 1206.34 || R1 1216.46 . R2 1221.52 . R3 1226.57 . R4 1241.75
Classic: S3 1129.83 . S2 1158.61 . S1 1185.01 || Pivot 1213.79 || R1 1240.19 . R2 1268.97 . R3 1295.37
EMAs: 20=1224.75 . 50=1233.36 . 200=1099.39
POC: 1250.87 . Prev H/L: 1242.58/1187.4 . 52w H/L: 1410.42/698.7



BEARISH WARNINGS

ULVR -- Oversold but No Floor Yet
RSI 23.9 (deeply oversold), below ALL EMAs, StochRSI at 0. Close at 4523 is 18.1% below 52w high and well below POC at 4992. MACD deeply bearish (-165.9 vs -119.2). This is a falling knife -- no reversal signal yet despite oversold readings. Wait for RSI divergence or EMA reclaim before considering longs.

RKT -- Structural Breakdown
RSI 23.8 (deeply oversold), below ALL EMAs, 21.6% below 52w high. MACD at -285.7 -- the most bearish MACD reading in the entire scanner. POC at 6022 is miles above current price of 5104. Volume normal (rv 0.72) suggests no capitulation yet. Avoid.

DGE -- Near 52-Week Low
Diageo at 1377, just 2% above 52w low of 1350. RSI 29.7 (on the edge of oversold). Below all EMAs. MACD deeply bearish. The consumer staples sector is in a structural downtrend. A break of 1350 opens downside to 1300.

REL -- 5-Day Down Streak
RELX at 2393, below all EMAs, 42.8% below 52w high. Five consecutive down days. RSI 38.9 and falling. MACD just crossed bearish. StochRSI at 0. Persistent selling with no sign of a floor.

EXPN -- 5-Day Down Streak, -5.1% on Week
Experian at 2530, below all EMAs, 38.3% below 52w high. RSI 34.5 approaching oversold. MACD bearish. Five straight down days. Data/tech names continue to be sold aggressively.

BAE -- Defence De-Rating
BAE at 2156, below EMA20 (2205) but above EMA50 (2110) and EMA200 (1895). Down 6.6% on the week with RSI dropping 17.3 pts. MACD has crossed bearish (31.9 vs 57.6). The defence sector is de-rating as Middle East peace hopes grow. Watch EMA50 at 2110 as the next key support -- a break would confirm further downside.

BNZL -- Crossed below EMA50 today. Watch for further deterioration.



EVENTS CALENDAR

- Thursday 26 March: 165 UK earnings reports scheduled (busiest day this week). Check individual holdings.
- Friday 27 March: 40 UK earnings reports.
- Key macro: UK Spring Budget economic forecast downgrade already priced. Unemployment expected to peak this year.
- Oil: Watch for further Iran/US diplomatic developments -- any escalation reverses the oil-down, risk-on trade.
- Kingfisher reported +6% annual profit rise and GBP300m buyback -- positive read-through for UK consumer sentiment.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Tuesday 24 March 2026
Data: Close 23 March | UKX: ~8,436 (LSEG proxy) | Futures: ~8,785 (-1.2% from Fri close, source: IG/Investing.com)



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 is set to open sharply lower on Tuesday. Futures are trading around 8,785, down approximately 1.2% from Friday's close after Monday's session saw broad selling pressure. Brent crude swung wildly -- topping $112 on Friday before crashing ~11% to $99 on Monday as Trump delayed strikes on Iran, then bouncing back above $99 in Asian trading Tuesday. The oil whipsaw is the dominant driver this week. The UK economic backdrop remains challenging: the OBR has downgraded 2026 growth and warned inflation could end the year at 3% due to energy-driven pressures from the Middle East conflict. Monday's session was a sea of red outside miners and banks, with 36 of our 40 tracked stocks sitting below their EMA20.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)

These are the stocks that demand attention today based on what changed since Friday:

BAE -- RSI dropped 11.4 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20, -4.9% on the day. 4-day down streak, -8.2% on the week. Defence giant under severe pressure.

ADM -- RSI dropped 10.6 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20, -3.3%. 4-day down streak, -6.1% on the week. Former momentum leader breaking down.

SHEL -- RSI dropped 11.3 pts despite still being the strongest stock on the board. 4-day down streak, RSI -17.8 pts on the week. Oil reversal hitting hard.

BP -- RSI dropped 10.3 pts, -4.2% on the day. Oil sell-off broadening.

TSCO -- RSI dropped 8.8 pts, crossed BELOW EMA50, -3.5%. Crossed below POC. 4-day down streak, -7.8% on the week.

SSE -- Crossed BELOW EMA50 and below POC. 4-day down streak, -9% on the week. RSI collapsed 27 pts this week.

NG -- 4-day down streak, -11% on the week. RSI collapsed 28 pts. Utilities crushed.

ANTO -- RSI surged 8.2 pts, +7.3% on the day. Heavy volume (rv=1.6). Miners bouncing hard.

AAL -- RSI surged 8.9 pts, crossed ABOVE EMA200, +5.5%. Mining recovery signal.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG -- Mining (+3.5% avg): ANTO +7.3%, AAL +5.5%, RIO +2.1%. Broad-based bounce on heavy volume from oversold levels after last week's rout. GLEN lagged at -0.9%.

RECOVERING -- Banks (+2.6% avg): HSBA +3.4%, STAN +3.1% (crossed above EMA200), BARC +2.2% on heavy volume (rv=1.6), LLOY +2.1%, NWG +2.0%. All still below EMA20/50 though -- this is a dead-cat bounce until proven otherwise.

WEAK -- Oil & Gas (-3.3% avg): SHEL -2.3%, BP -4.2%. Both dropped hard despite remaining in longer-term uptrends. Brent crash from $112 to $99 hit sentiment.

WEAK -- Utilities (-2.4% avg): SSE -3.0%, NG -1.8%. Both broke below EMA50. NG down 11% on the week -- worst performer.

WEAK -- Consumer Staples (-1.1% avg, RSI 31.7): ULVR, RKT, DGE all oversold. TSCO broke key support. Sector-wide capitulation.

WEAK -- Defence (-1.5% avg): BAE -4.9% wiped out recent strength. RR. managed +1.9% but still below all short-term EMAs.

MIXED -- Pharma (-1.5% avg, RSI 33.9): AZN -1.1%, GSK -0.7%, HLN -2.7% (broke below EMA200). Defensive names not defending.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE

Ticker | Close | Trend | RSI | MACD | %52wH | Ch% | vs POC

BULLISH
SHEL | 3354.5 | Bull (above all) | 66.5 | Bull | -3.9% | -2.3% | Above
BP | 538.6 | Bull (above all) | 59.2 | Bull | -7.7% | -4.2% | Above

RECOVERING / MIXED
ADM | 3102 | Mixed (below 20, above 50/200) | 52.1 | Bull | -15.8% | -3.3% | Above
GLEN | 515.6 | Mixed (below 20, above 50/200) | 51.1 | Bear Cross | -5.7% | -0.9% | Above
LSEG | 8436 | Mixed (below 20, above 50, below 200) | 49.4 | Bear Cross | -29.1% | -2.6% | Above
RTO | 461.9 | Mixed (below 20, above 50/200) | 48.7 | Bear Cross | -6.5% | -0.5% | Above
BAE | 2140 | Mixed (below 20, above 50/200) | 45.1 | Bear Cross | -9.3% | -4.9% | Above

BEARISH (below EMA20/50, above EMA200)
ANTO | 3373 | Bear (below 20/50) | 41.5 | Bear | -24.6% | +7.3% | Below
VOD | 107.8 | Bear (below 20/50) | 43.0 | Bear | -10.9% | -0.2% | Below
HSBA | 1183 | Bear (below 20/50) | 41.3 | Bear | -16.1% | +3.4% | Below
BATS | 4284 | Bear (below 20/50) | 41.3 | Bear | -8.3% | -0.6% | Below
PRU | 1063.5 | Bear (below 20/50) | 40.6 | Bear | -14.1% | +0.1% | Below
RR. | 1183 | Bear (below 20/50) | 40.4 | Bear | -16.7% | +1.9% | Below
AAL | 3025 | Bear (below 20/50) | 39.0 | Bear | -22.0% | +5.5% | Below
STAN | 1566 | Bear (below 20/50) | 39.8 | Bear | -18.6% | +3.1% | Below
SSE | 2496 | Bear (below 20/50) | 38.4 | Bear Cross | -12.7% | -3.0% | Below
LLOY | 92.7 | Bear (below 20/50) | 38.5 | Bear | -19.1% | +2.1% | Below
RIO | 6375 | Bear (below 20/50) | 37.8 | Bear | -15.6% | +2.1% | Below
TSCO | 452.7 | Bear (below 20/50) | 36.9 | Bear Cross | -10.9% | -3.5% | Below
AZN | 13742 | Bear (below 20/50) | 32.4 | Bear | -12.6% | -1.1% | Below
GSK | 1937 | Bear (below 20/50) | 30.4 | Bear | -15.1% | -0.7% | Below
NG | 1211 | Bear (below 20/50) | 28.7 (OS) | Bear | -15.2% | -1.8% | Below

BEARISH (below ALL EMAs)
BNZL | 2170 | Bear (below all) | 45.8 | Bear Cross | -29.9% | -0.9% | Above
REL | 2461 | Bear (below all) | 43.9 | Bear Cross | -41.2% | -1.3% | Below
SGE | 818.6 | Bear (below all) | 40.8 | Bull Cross | -38.7% | -3.0% | Below
AV | 611.8 | Bear (below all) | 39.6 | Bear | -12.7% | +0.3% | Below
HLN | 365.6 | Bear (below all) | 39.0 | Bear | -12.8% | -2.7% | Below
IMB | 3019 | Bear (below all) | 37.2 | Bear | -9.6% | -1.3% | Below
INF | 752.4 | Bear (below all) | 35.4 | Bear | -24.8% | +1.7% | Below
BARC | 382.2 | Bear (below all) | 35.3 | Bear | -24.5% | +2.2% | Below
LGEN | 236.7 | Bear (below all) | 34.2 | Bear | -15.3% | +0.2% | Below
NWG | 530.2 | Bear (below all) | 32.9 | Bear | -24.8% | +2.0% | Below
WPP | 224.9 | Bear (below all) | 33.1 | Bear | -63.9% | -1.0% | Below
ABF | 1784.5 | Bear (below all) | 32.5 | Bear | -24.4% | +0.8% | Below
CPG | 2109 | Bear (below all) | 37.0 | Bear | -23.3% | -0.1% | Below
EXPN | 2636 | Bear (below all) | 41.9 | Bear | -35.7% | -0.4% | Below
III | 2692 | Bear (below all) | 30.2 | Bear | -40.1% | -0.3% | Below
DGE | 1378.5 | Bear (below all) | 28.0 (OS) | Bear | -37.8% | -1.5% | Below
ULVR | 4535 | Bear (below all) | 24.3 (OS) | Bear | -17.9% | -1.3% | Below
RKT | 5080 | Bear (below all) | 21.9 (OS) | Bear | -22.0% | -0.3% | Below



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS


1. AAL (Anglo American) -- Oversold Bounce Off EMA200

AAL just crossed back above the EMA200 (2954) on a +5.5% day. RSI surging from 30 to 39. This is a NEW signal -- it was below EMA200 on Friday. The EMA200 is the key line in the sand.

Entry: 3025-3050 (on any pullback to EMA200 area at 2954) . Stop: 2780 (below Monday's low, ~1x ATR below EMA200) . T1: 3232 (EMA20) . T2: 3295 (EMA50) . R:R: 1:1.0 to T1, 1:1.2 to T2
Confluence: RSI bounce from OS zone, crossed above EMA200, heavy miner sector bounce, close below POC (3335) gives upside room
Risk: Thin volume (rv=0.98) -- need to see follow-through


2. STAN (Standard Chartered) -- Reclaimed EMA200

STAN crossed back above EMA200 (1552) on +3.1%. NEW signal today. Banks bouncing as a group. RSI 39.8 still has room to run.

Entry: 1566 (current) . Stop: 1498 (below ATR, below EMA200) . T1: 1641 (EMA20) . T2: 1705 (EMA50) . R:R: 1:1.1 to T1, 1:2.0 to T2
Confluence: EMA200 reclaim, banking sector bounce, RSI off lows
Risk: Still below both short-term EMAs. Needs sector follow-through.


3. ULVR (Unilever) -- Deep Oversold, Mean Reversion Candidate

RSI 24.3 is the lowest in our universe. Close at 4535, nearly 8% below EMA20 (4894). Stochastic RSI at 0.3 -- completely washed out. 52-week low is 4284, only 6% below. This is extreme.

Entry: 4535 (current, scale in) . Stop: 4390 (below classic S3) . T1: 4730 (EMA9) . T2: 4894 (EMA20) . R:R: 1:1.3 to T1, 1:2.5 to T2
Confluence: RSI deeply oversold, Stoch RSI near zero, -17.9% from 52w high, above POC is at 5007 giving large upside
Risk: Knife-catching. Trend is firmly down. Use half-position sizing.


4. RKT (Reckitt) -- Extreme Oversold, 5-Day Streak

RSI 21.9 is the most oversold stock on the board. 5-day losing streak. ADX 42.6 confirms the trend is strong -- but RSI this low typically triggers at least a bounce.

Entry: 5080 (current, scale) . Stop: 4912 (below classic S2) . T1: 5308 (EMA9) . T2: 5584 (EMA20) . R:R: 1:1.4 to T1, 1:3.0 to T2
Confluence: RSI 21.9 extreme OS, Stoch RSI 11.8, 5-day selling exhaustion
Risk: High ADX means trend is powerful. Counter-trend trade. Small size only.



INTRADAY SETUPS


1. AAL -- Pivot Bounce Long

Monday's range was huge (2757-3080). If price pulls back to the pivot at 2954 (which aligns with EMA200), this is a high-conviction bounce level.

Direction: Long . Entry: 2954 (classic pivot / EMA200) . Stop: 2936 (below Cam S3) . Target: 3055 (Cam R1) . R:R: 1:5.6
Why: Triple confluence -- classic pivot, EMA200, and Cam S3 all clustered at 2936-2954. RSI recovering from oversold.

Cam: S4 2847 . S3 2936 . S1 2995 || R1 3055 . R3 3114 . R4 3203


2. ANTO -- Camarilla Range Trade

Big +7.3% move on heavy volume (rv=1.6). Cam S3-R3 range is 3253-3493, giving a wide but tradeable zone. If it opens within this range, fade the extremes.

Direction: Long at Cam S3 . Entry: 3253 (Cam S3) . Stop: 3133 (Cam S4) . Target: 3413 (Cam R3) . R:R: 1:1.3
Why: Heavy volume confirms the move. RSI 41.5 -- neutral zone with room. Close above POC (3688) would be very bullish but far away.

Cam: S4 3133 . S3 3253 . S1 3333 || R1 3413 . R3 3493 . R4 3613


3. BAE -- Camarilla Breakdown Short

BAE dropped -4.9% and crossed below EMA20. If it opens below Cam S3 (2121), this is a trend day short.

Direction: Short below Cam S3 . Entry: 2120 (below Cam S3 at 2121) . Stop: 2147 (above Cam S2) . Target: 2094 (classic S2) . R:R: 1:1.0
Why: RSI dropped 11.4 pts in one day, crossed below EMA20, 4-day streak. Momentum firmly bearish. MACD bearish crossover.

Cam: S4 2102 . S3 2121 . S1 2134 || R1 2146 . R3 2159 . R4 2179


4. HSBA -- Pivot Bounce Long

HSBA bounced +3.4% Monday. Classic pivot at 1167 aligns with Cam S3 at 1161 -- strong support cluster if price pulls back.

Direction: Long . Entry: 1167 (classic pivot) . Stop: 1138 (Cam S4) . Target: 1200 (Cam R3 area / Monday high) . R:R: 1:1.1
Why: Banking sector showing strength. Pivot + Cam S3 confluence. RSI 41.3 with room to expand.

Cam: S4 1138 . S3 1161 . S1 1176 || R1 1190 . R3 1205 . R4 1228



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD


AAL (Anglo American)
Cam: S4 2847 . S3 2936 . S2 2966 . S1 2995 || R1 3055 . R2 3084 . R3 3114 . R4 3203
Classic: S3 2505 . S2 2631 . S1 2828 || Pivot 2954 || R1 3151 . R2 3277 . R3 3474
EMA: 9=3087 . 20=3232 . 50=3295 . 200=2954
POC: 3335 | Prev H/L: 3080/2757 | 52w H/L: 3877/1900

ANTO (Antofagasta)
Cam: S4 3133 . S3 3253 . S2 3293 . S1 3333 || R1 3413 . R2 3453 . R3 3493 . R4 3613
Classic: S3 2659 . S2 2818 . S1 3096 || Pivot 3255 || R1 3533 . R2 3692 . R3 3970
EMA: 9=3466 . 20=3632 . 50=3629 . 200=2956
POC: 3688 | Prev H/L: 3415/2978 | 52w H/L: 4475/1278

BAE Systems
Cam: S4 2102 . S3 2121 . S2 2127 . S1 2134 || R1 2146 . R2 2153 . R3 2159 . R4 2179
Classic: S3 2047 . S2 2093 . S1 2117 || Pivot 2163 || R1 2187 . R2 2233 . R3 2257
EMA: 9=2253 . 20=2219 . 50=2108 . 200=1890
POC: 2083 | Prev H/L: 2210/2140 | 52w H/L: 2360/1394

SHEL (Shell)
Cam: S4 3273 . S3 3314 . S2 3327 . S1 3341 || R1 3368 . R2 3382 . R3 3395 . R4 3436
Classic: S3 3131 . S2 3203 . S1 3279 || Pivot 3350 || R1 3426 . R2 3498 . R3 3574
EMA: 9=3369 . 20=3250 . 50=3054 . 200=2811
POC: 2977 | Prev H/L: 3422/3274 | 52w H/L: 3490/2270

ULVR (Unilever)
Cam: S4 4475 . S3 4505 . S2 4515 . S1 4525 || R1 4545 . R2 4555 . R3 4565 . R4 4595
Classic: S3 4390 . S2 4463 . S1 4499 || Pivot 4571 || R1 4607 . R2 4680 . R3 4716
EMA: 9=4731 . 20=4894 . 50=4995 . 200=5049
POC: 5007 | Prev H/L: 4644/4535 | 52w H/L: 5525/4284



BEARISH WARNINGS

NG (National Grid) -- The worst performer this week at -11%. RSI 28.7 (oversold). 4-day losing streak. Broke below EMA20 and EMA50. RSI collapsed 28 pts in a week. Close at 1211 vs EMA20 at 1317 -- nearly 8% gap. Capitulation territory but no floor yet.

SSE -- -9% on the week. Crossed below EMA50 AND POC on Monday. RSI lost 27 pts this week. Utilities sector in freefall.

BAE -- Just crossed below EMA20 on Monday. -4.9% day, -8.2% week. MACD bearish crossover. Defence sector reversing sharply from recent highs. Watch EMA50 at 2108 as next support.

TSCO (Tesco) -- Crossed below EMA50 and POC on Monday. 4-day losing streak. -7.8% week. Stoch RSI at zero -- fully washed out, but the breakdown below EMA50 is structurally bearish.

RKT (Reckitt) -- RSI 21.9 is dangerously oversold. 5-day down streak, -6.5% week. ADX 42.6 shows strong trend. Below ALL EMAs. -22% from 52-week high.

DGE (Diageo) -- RSI 28, below all EMAs, -37.8% from 52-week high. Hitting new 52-week lows (close at 1378.5 vs low 1350). Capitulation zone.

III (3i Group) -- Below all EMAs, RSI 30.2, -40.1% from 52-week high. 4-day down streak, -10.9% week. Private equity proxy in freefall.

LSEG -- Crossed below EMA20, MACD bearish crossover. -2.6% day. Thin volume (rv=0.49) means the drop lacks conviction but the signal is still bearish.

HLN (Haleon) -- Crossed below EMA200 on Monday. -2.7% day, -7.4% week. The EMA200 break is a significant technical deterioration for this former safe haven.



EVENTS CALENDAR

- UK PMI Flash data due this week -- watch for manufacturing and services readings
- Oil volatility dominant: Brent swung $112 to $99 -- any Iran/Trump headlines will move markets
- OBR Spring Forecast: 2026 growth downgraded, inflation forecast raised to 3%
- Multiple earnings reports scheduled across the week (48 on Tue, 60 on Wed, 165 on Thu)
- Watch for further oil-related geopolitical developments driving index-level volatility



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Monday 23 March 2026
Data: Close 20 March | UKX: 9,918 | Futures: 9,785 (-1.3%)



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 closed Friday at 9,918.33, down 145 points (-1.44%) in a bruising session that saw broad-based selling across every sector. The index has now fallen 9% from its 52-week highs. Monday futures are trading around 9,785 (source: Barchart/Investing.com), pointing to a further -1.3% gap lower at the open. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are escalating, oil prices are rising, and expectations of BoE rate hikes are weighing heavily on risk appetite. This week brings key UK data: Flash PMIs (Tuesday) and February CPI (Wednesday) -- both potential volatility catalysts.

Verdict: BEARISH. Futures confirm continuation of Friday's sell-off. Expect defensive positioning with potential for further downside.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)

These are the most significant moves from Thursday to Friday -- the stocks that demand attention today:

BP -- RSI dropped 11.6 pts, big move: -3.6%, heavy volume (rv=1.6). Despite being above all EMAs, this is a sharp reversal from near 52-week highs.

SSE -- RSI dropped 8.6 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20, big move: -3%, heavy volume (rv=3.3), week: -5.3%. Utility giant breaking down after strong run.

NG (National Grid) -- Big move: -3.1%, heavy volume (rv=3., week: -9.1%, RSI week: -24.6 pts. Massive weekly decline -- utilities under siege from rate hike fears.

AAL (Anglo American) -- Crossed BELOW EMA200, big move: -3%, heavy volume (rv=1., week: -8%. A bearish structural breakdown.

IMB (Imperial Brands) -- Crossed BELOW EMA200, heavy volume (rv=2), 4-day down streak, week: -6%. Another EMA200 breakdown -- this is a significant change in character.

ANTO (Antofagasta) -- Big move: -4%, heavy volume (rv=1., week: -10.7%. Miners crushed.

III (3i Group) -- Heavy volume (rv=3.7), week: -8%, RSI 30.5 approaching oversold. Closed at 52-week low.

GSK -- Heavy volume (rv=1.7), 5-day down streak. Relentless selling in pharma.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG
- Energy (Oil): SHEL and BP remain above all EMAs. SHEL overbought (RSI 77. near 52-week highs. BP pulled back -3.6% but structure still bullish. Rising oil prices are a tailwind but the sharp BP drop warrants caution.

MIXED
- Defence/Aerospace: BAE above all EMAs but MACD just crossed bearish, down -2.5%. Trend intact but momentum fading.
- Mining: GLEN above all EMAs (RSI 53.6), but RIO below 20/50 (RSI 32.. Sector split -- copper names holding better than iron ore.
- Financials: LSEG above 20/50 (bull, RSI 56.2). HSBA below 20/50 (RSI 33.9). Banks diverging.

WEAK
- Consumer Staples: ULVR (OS, RSI 26.1), DGE (OS, RSI 29.6), BATS (RSI 42.7, 4-day down streak), RKT (OS, RSI 22.2). All below all EMAs except BATS (above EMA200). Consumer facing a wall of selling.
- Pharma/Healthcare: AZN (RSI 34., GSK (RSI 31.9, 5-day down streak). Both below 20/50 EMAs.
- Tech/Data: REL (below all, RSI 46.4, MACD bearish crossover), EXPN (below all, RSI 42.8, MACD bearish crossover). III at 52-week lows.
- Utilities: NG (RSI 31.3, -9% week), SSE crossed below EMA20. Rate hike fears punishing the sector.
- Consumer Goods: CPG (below all, RSI 37.2, -7.9% week). Defensive names not defending.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS

Ticker | Trend | RSI | MACD | Chg% | %52wH | POC | RV

SHEL | Bull (above all) | 77.8 OB | Bull | -0.78 | -1.6% | Above | 2.43
BP | Bull (above all) | 69.5 (RSI -11.6) | Bull | -3.58 | -3.6% | Above | 1.63
BAE | Bull (above all) | 56.5 | Bull Fading | -2.51 | -4.7% | Above | 1.49
ADM | Bull (above all) | 62.7 | Bull | -1.53 | -13.0% | Above | 5.37
GLEN | Bull (above all) | 53.6 | Bull Fading | +0.37 | -4.8% | Above | 3.58
LSEG | Bull (above 20/50) | 56.2 | Bull | +0.51 | -27.2% | Above | 1.18
AZN | Bear (below 20/50) | 34.8 | Bear | -1.53 | -11.7% | Below | 1.28
HSBA | Bear (below 20/50) | 33.9 | Bear | -2.34 | -18.9% | Below | 2.13
RR. | Bear (below 20/50) | 37.0 | Bear | -2.44 | -18.2% | Below | 1.25
RIO | Bear (below 20/50) | 32.8 | Bear | -1.45 | -17.3% | Below | 2.01
BATS | Bear (below 20/50) | 42.7 | Bear | -1.01 | -7.7% | Below | 1.56
GSK | Bear (below 20/50) | 31.9 | Bear | -0.28 | -14.5% | Below | 1.69
NG | Bear (below 20/50) | 31.3 | Bear | -3.07 | -13.7% | Below | 3.78
ULVR | Bear (below all) | 26.1 OS | Bear | +0.47 | -16.8% | Below | 1.95
REL | Bear (below all) | 46.4 | Bull Fading | -0.72 | -40.4% | Below | 0.87
CPG | Bear (below all) | 37.2 | Bear | +0.38 | -23.2% | Below | 1.02
III | Bear (below all) | 30.5 | Bear | -2.28 | -39.9% | Below | 3.66
DGE | Bear (below all) | 29.6 OS | Bear | -0.14 | -36.8% | Below | 2.25
RKT | Bear (below all) | 22.2 OS | Bear | -0.82 | -21.8% | Below | 1.45
EXPN | Bear (below all) | 42.8 | Bear | -0.75 | -35.5% | Below | 1.08



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS


1. ADM (Admiral Group) -- Bullish Breakout Continuation

ADM is above all three EMAs with strong bullish MACD, RSI at 62.7 (healthy momentum). Massive volume (rv=5.37) confirms institutional interest. Price pulled back to close at 3,208 after hitting 3,286 high. The pullback toward EMA20 (3,116) is a buy-the-dip opportunity within a confirmed uptrend.

Entry: 3,180-3,210 (EMA20 zone) Stop: 3,095 (below EMA200 at 3,089) T1: 3,286 (Friday high) T2: 3,340 R:R: 1:1.6
Status: CONTINUING -- ADM has been above all EMAs for multiple sessions. The heavy volume confirms conviction.


2. LSEG -- Bull Above 20/50 with Pivot Support

LSEG closed at 8,662, above EMA20 (8,515) and EMA50 (8,426) but below EMA200 (9,063). MACD is bullish, RSI at 56.2 with room to run. POC at 8,325 provides a strong floor. The setup is a continuation long above the 20/50 cluster with a target toward the psychological 9,000 level.

Entry: 8,550-8,600 (retest of EMA20) Stop: 8,400 (below EMA50) T1: 8,838 (Classic R2) T2: 9,063 (EMA200) R:R: 1:1.8
Status: CONTINUING -- has held above the 20/50 zone for several sessions.


3. RKT (Reckitt) -- Oversold Mean Reversion

RSI at 22.2 is deeply oversold. Below all EMAs and in a confirmed downtrend, but the rubber band is extremely stretched -- price is 9.4% below EMA20. A 4-day down streak on declining relative volume (rv=1.45 vs 3.7 for III) suggests selling pressure is waning. Classic S1 at 5,056 provides a potential floor. Half size only -- this is counter-trend.

Entry: 5,050-5,096 (at Classic S1) Stop: 4,930 (below Classic S3) T1: 5,364 (EMA9) T2: 5,637 (EMA20) R:R: 1:2.1
Status: NEW -- RSI just hit extreme oversold this session. Half position size.


4. ULVR (Unilever) -- Oversold Bounce Watch

RSI at 26.1 is deeply oversold, below all EMAs, but the Friday candle closed green (+0.47%) after hitting a low of 4,588. This tiny green candle after extended selling could be the first sign of exhaustion. POC at 5,017 is far above -- this would be a mean reversion scalp only toward EMA9 (4,779). Volume heavy (rv=1.95) on a green day is encouraging.

Entry: 4,575-4,596 (at Cam S3/current level) Stop: 4,494 (below Classic S3) T1: 4,779 (EMA9) T2: 4,932 (EMA20) R:R: 1:1.9
Status: NEW -- just reached extreme oversold. Counter-trend, half size.



INTRADAY SETUPS


1. GLEN -- Camarilla Range Fade Long

GLEN is above all EMAs (bull trend) and closed right at 520.10, above EMA20 (517.54). The Camarilla S3-R3 range is tight (514.57 to 525.63), ideal for a range-fade setup. Direction: LONG from Cam S3.

Entry: 514.6 (Cam S3) Stop: 509.0 (below Cam S4) T1: 520 (mid-range/pivot) T2: 525.6 (Cam R3) R:R: 1:2.0
Why: Daily trend bullish (above all EMAs), POC at 493 well below (price in value acceptance zone above). Heavy volume (rv=3.58) confirms the recent advance.


2. ADM -- Pivot Bounce Long

ADM closed at 3,208, just below the Classic Pivot at 3,234. If price dips toward Classic S1 (3,182) at the open (futures pointing lower), a bounce long from S1 with the daily bull trend is high-probability.

Entry: 3,182-3,186 (Classic S1/Cam S3) Stop: 3,156 (Classic S2) T1: 3,234 (Pivot) T2: 3,260 (Classic R1) R:R: 1:2.2
Why: Bull above all EMAs, strong MACD, massive volume day (rv=5.37 -- institutional). Buying the dip with trend.


3. III -- Camarilla S4 Breakdown Short

III closed at 2,701 -- its 52-week low. Below all EMAs with RSI at 30.5. Cam S4 sits at 2,627.58. If Monday opens with further selling (futures -1.3%), a break below Cam S4 signals a trend day to the downside.

Entry: 2,625 (break of Cam S4) Stop: 2,665 (above Cam S3) T1: 2,570 T2: 2,523 (Classic S3) R:R: 1:1.6
Why: Bear trend on all timeframes, heavy volume (rv=3.66), 52-week low close. Momentum is firmly with the sellers.


4. NG -- Pivot Rejection Short

NG closed at 1,233 after a -3.1% drop on massive volume (rv=3.78). The Classic Pivot sits at 1,247. If price bounces to the pivot and gets rejected, it's a short back toward 1,208 (Classic S1).

Entry: 1,245-1,248 (Classic Pivot rejection) Stop: 1,272 (above Classic R1) T1: 1,208 (Classic S1) T2: 1,184 (Classic S2) R:R: 1:2.0
Why: Bearish daily trend (below 20/50), RSI 31.3 and falling, heavy volume on the selloff. Utilities are being sold aggressively on rate hike fears.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

ADM (3,208)
Cam: S4 3165 - S3 3187 - S1 3201 || R1 3215 - R3 3229 - R4 3251
Classic: S3 3104 - S2 3156 - S1 3182 | Pivot 3234 | R1 3260 - R2 3312 - R3 3338
EMAs: 9: 3214 - 20: 3116 - 50: 3031 - 200: 3090
POC: 2963 | Prev H/L: 3286/3208 | 52w H/L: 3686/2624

GLEN (520.1)
Cam: S4 509 - S3 514.6 - S1 518.3 || R1 521.9 - R3 525.6 - R4 531.2
Classic: S3 489 - S2 498.2 - S1 509.1 | Pivot 518.3 | R1 529.2 - R2 538.4 - R3 549.3
EMAs: 9: 520.8 - 20: 517.5 - 50: 494.7 - 200: 409.0
POC: 493.0 | Prev H/L: 527.4/507.3 | 52w H/L: 546.5/205.0

III (2,701)
Cam: S4 2628 - S3 2664 - S1 2689 || R1 2713 - R3 2738 - R4 2774
Classic: S3 2523 - S2 2612 - S1 2657 | Pivot 2746 | R1 2790 - R2 2879 - R3 2924
EMAs: 9: 2888 - 20: 3010 - 50: 3163 - 200: 3524
POC: 3182 | Prev H/L: 2835/2701 | 52w H/L: 4497/2701

NG (1,233)
Cam: S4 1198 - S3 1216 - S1 1227 || R1 1239 - R3 1250 - R4 1268
Classic: S3 1146 - S2 1184 - S1 1209 | Pivot 1247 | R1 1272 - R2 1310 - R3 1335
EMAs: 9: 1314 - 20: 1329 - 50: 1296 - 200: 1169
POC: 1285 | Prev H/L: 1286/1223 | 52w H/L: 1429/950

RKT (5,096)
Cam: S4 5030 - S3 5063 - S1 5085 || R1 5107 - R3 5129 - R4 5162
Classic: S3 4936 - S2 5016 - S1 5056 | Pivot 5136 | R1 5176 - R2 5256 - R3 5296
EMAs: 9: 5365 - 20: 5637 - 50: 5890 - 200: 5736
POC: 6068 | Prev H/L: 5216/5096 | 52w H/L: 6514/4579



BEARISH WARNINGS

III (3i Group) -- 52-Week Low, Institutional Selling
Closed at 2,701 -- its 52-week low. Below all EMAs, RSI 30.5, MACD deeply bearish, and massive volume (rv=3.66) confirming distribution. No support until psychological 2,500. Avoid longs.

DGE (Diageo) -- Death Spiral Continues
RSI 29.6 (oversold), below all EMAs, down -36.8% from 52-week high. MACD bearish with no sign of crossover. Week: -0.14% but this is not stabilisation -- heavy volume (rv=2.25) on tiny moves shows grinding distribution.

RKT (Reckitt) -- Most Oversold in the Scanner
RSI 22.2 is extreme. Below all EMAs, 4-day down streak, -21.8% from 52-week high. While a bounce is possible (see mean reversion setup), the trend is unambiguously down. Do not try to catch this falling knife with full size.

AAL (Anglo American) -- JUST Broke Below EMA200
Crossed below EMA200 on Friday on heavy volume (rv=1. with a -3% move. This is a structural breakdown that changes the long-term outlook from bullish to bearish. Week: -8%. Miners under pressure from global growth fears.

IMB (Imperial Brands) -- EMA200 Breakdown
Also crossed below EMA200 on heavy volume (rv=2), 4-day down streak, week: -6%. Similar structural breakdown to AAL. The consumer staples safety trade is not working in this rate-hike environment.

REL (RELX) -- MACD Bearish Crossover, Below All EMAs
Fresh MACD bearish crossover. Below all EMAs including EMA200 (3,090 vs close 2,494 -- a 19% gap). Down -40.4% from 52-week high. No bottom formation visible.



EVENTS CALENDAR

- Tuesday 24 March: UK Flash PMIs (Manufacturing & Services) for March -- key for gauging economic momentum
- Wednesday 25 March: UK CPI (February) -- consensus watching for signs inflation is re-accelerating
- Thursday 26 March: Heavy earnings day globally (165 reports). Check for FTSE 100 constituents reporting
- Friday 27 March: FTSE quarterly review effective date (index rebalancing)

Key theme this week: If UK CPI comes in hot on Wednesday, it will reinforce rate hike expectations and likely extend the sell-off, particularly in rate-sensitive sectors (utilities, consumer staples, REITs). A cooler CPI could trigger a relief rally in oversold names.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Friday 20 March 2026
Data: Close 19 March | UKX: ~10,063 | Futures: ~10,425 (+3.6%)



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 closed at approximately 10,063 on Wednesday 19 March, down 241 points (2.3%) in a brutal session driven by Iran's attacks on energy infrastructure in Qatar and Kuwait. Brent crude spiked to $118 intraday before settling around $114-116. European gas prices surged 24%. The Bank of England held rates at 3.75% unanimously but turned hawkish, warning inflation could reach 3.5% in Q3 due to energy costs.

Futures are indicating a strong bounce this morning at ~10,425 (+3.6%), suggesting dip-buyers are stepping in after two consecutive down days totalling over 370 points. However, geopolitical risk remains elevated with the Strait of Hormuz situation unresolved.

Key macro drivers today: BoE rate hold digestion, oil price volatility (Brent ~$114-116), Iran-Gulf conflict developments, Spring Forecast downgraded UK growth outlook.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)

These are the stocks that changed most significantly from 18 March to 19 March and demand attention today:

NWG (NatWest) -- RSI dropped 11.6 pts, crossed BELOW EMA200, -8.0% daily move, heavy volume (rv=1., week -6.94%. Severe breakdown on massive volume.

STAN (Standard Chartered) -- RSI dropped 8.6 pts, crossed BELOW EMA200, -6.9% daily move. Banking sector under heavy pressure from geopolitical risk.

AV (Aviva) -- RSI dropped 10.4 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20, EMA50 AND EMA200, MACD bearish crossover, -4.4%, heavy volume (rv=1.7). Total technical collapse in a single session.

BNZL (Bunzl) -- RSI dropped 14.3 pts (largest RSI drop in the scanner), crossed BELOW EMA20, MACD bearish crossover, -4.1%. Sharp momentum reversal.

ANTO (Antofagasta) -- -5.7% daily, week -7.04%. Mining sector crushed by risk-off sentiment despite commodity prices.

NG (National Grid) -- RSI dropped 9.4 pts, crossed BELOW EMA50 and POC, -3.7%, week -6.19%, RSI week -19.2 pts. Defensive utility not defending.

BP -- The lone bright spot: +4.9% daily, 4-day up streak, week +7.94%. Oil producers are the only sector benefiting from the energy crisis. (Not in current scanner but flagged in comparison data.)

ABF (Associated British Foods) -- RSI dropped 8.3 pts, -3.1%, heavy volume (rv=1.6). Hit fresh 52-week low at 1802.5.



SECTOR HEATMAP

BANKING -- WEAK
NWG -8.0%, STAN -6.9%, BARC -4.4%, LLOY -3.9%. Entire sector collapsed together on geopolitical risk and BoE hawkishness. All below EMA20 and EMA50. NWG and STAN both broke below EMA200 on this move.

MINING -- WEAK
ANTO -5.7%, AAL -4.6%, RIO flagged -4.9% in comparison. Risk-off selling despite commodity prices being supported. All below EMA20/50.

INSURANCE/FINANCIALS -- WEAK
AV -4.4%, LGEN -3.3%, PRU -0.2%. AV collapsed through all three EMAs. LGEN below all. PRU below 20/50 but holding above 200.

CONSUMER -- WEAK
ABF -3.1% (52-week low), TSCO -2.2%, IMB -1.2%. ABF in structural decline below all EMAs. TSCO just slipped below EMA20.

TELECOMS/MEDIA -- MIXED
VOD -1.4%, WPP -0.8%, SGE +0.3%. WPP at 52-week low territory. SGE showing relative strength with MACD bear recovering.

UTILITIES/ENERGY -- MIXED
SSE -1.2% but still above all EMAs (the best-positioned stock in the scanner). NG -3.7% breaking down. Oil producers (BP not in scanner) are surging.

DEFENCE/INDUSTRIALS -- RELATIVELY STRONG
RTO -3.1% but still above all EMAs. Defence names likely to bounce with geopolitical tension.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS

BULLISH (Above all EMAs)
SSE -- 2653 | RSI 53.3 Neutral | MACD Bull fading | -7.2% from 52wH | Above POC | -1.2%
RTO -- 468.2 | RSI 51.4 Neutral | MACD Bullish | -5.2% from 52wH | Above POC | -3.1%

BEARISH (Below 20/50, above 200)
LLOY -- 92.78 | RSI 36.2 Weak | MACD Bearish | -19.0% from 52wH | Below POC | -3.9%
PRU -- 1068 | RSI 41.4 Weak | MACD Bearish | -13.7% from 52wH | Below POC | -0.2%
HLN -- 379.2 | RSI 45.9 Weak | MACD Bearish | -9.6% from 52wH | Below POC | -1.8%
AAL -- 2957 | RSI 32.6 Weak | MACD Bearish | -23.7% from 52wH | Below POC | -4.6%
ANTO -- 3273 | RSI 35.9 Weak | MACD Bearish | -26.9% from 52wH | Below POC | -5.7%
VOD -- 107.65 | RSI 42.5 Weak | MACD Bearish | -11.0% from 52wH | Below POC | -1.4%
IMB -- 3090 | RSI 41.8 Weak | MACD Bearish | -7.5% from 52wH | Below POC | -1.2%

BEARISH (Below ALL EMAs)
BARC -- 381.6 | RSI 32.9 Weak | MACD Bearish | -24.6% from 52wH | Below POC | -4.4%
STAN -- 1517.5 | RSI 33.7 Weak | MACD Bearish | -21.1% from 52wH | Below POC | -6.9%
NWG -- 533.6 | RSI 31.0 Weak | MACD Bearish | -24.4% from 52wH | Below POC | -8.0%
LGEN -- 241.3 | RSI 36.7 Weak | MACD Bearish | -13.7% from 52wH | Below POC | -3.3%
AV -- 619.6 | RSI 41.5 Weak | MACD Bearish | -11.6% from 52wH | Below POC | -4.4%
SGE -- 839.6 | RSI 46.4 Weak | MACD Bear recovering | -37.1% from 52wH | Below POC | +0.3%
ABF -- 1802.5 | RSI 32.5 Weak | MACD Bearish | -23.6% from 52wH | Below POC | -3.1%
WPP -- 225.5 | RSI 32.8 Weak | MACD Bearish | -64.4% from 52wH | Below POC | -0.8%
INF -- 742 | RSI 29.7 OS | MACD Bearish | -25.8% from 52wH | Below POC | -2.8%

MIXED
TSCO -- 475.8 (below 20, above 50/200) | RSI 50.4 Neutral | MACD Bull fading | -6.3% from 52wH | Above POC | -2.2%
BNZL -- 2200 (below 20, above 50, below 200) | RSI 49.5 Weak | MACD Bull fading | -28.9% from 52wH | Above POC | -4.1%



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS

1. SSE -- Bullish Dip-Buy at EMA20 Support

The strongest stock in the scanner. SSE remains above all three EMAs despite the broader sell-off. Price pulled back to test EMA20 (2651) and held. RSI at 53.3 is neutral with room to run. MACD is above zero but fading -- needs a bounce here to reset.

Setup: NEW -- price just touched EMA20 support today
Entry: 2650-2660 (at EMA20) . Stop: 2575 (below EMA50 2532) . T1: 2730 . T2: 2860 (52wH) . R:R: 1:1.9
Why: Above all EMAs, above POC (2505), defensive utility with energy exposure, relative strength in a weak market.


2. RTO (Rentokil) -- Bullish Continuation Above All EMAs

RTO still above all three EMAs (barely -- EMA20 at 467.32, close at 468.2). RSI 51.4 neutral, MACD bullish above zero. The -3.1% drop today was broad market-driven, not stock-specific. Close is above POC (461.1).

Setup: CONTINUING -- was bullish, testing EMA20
Entry: 467-470 (at EMA20) . Stop: 455 (below EMA50 458.58) . T1: 485 . T2: 494 (near 52wH) . R:R: 1:1.5
Why: Only stock with MACD bullish and above all EMAs. Tight risk with EMA support cluster.


3. NWG (NatWest) -- Mean Reversion Bounce (Counter-Trend, Half Size)

NWG dropped 8% in a single session on heavy volume (rv=1., the largest daily drop in the scanner. RSI at 31.0 is approaching oversold. Price smashed through EMA200 (570.58) to close at 533.6. This is a potential capitulation candle. Futures pointing +3.6% suggests a bounce attempt.

Setup: NEW -- capitulation move today, mean reversion candidate
Entry: 535-540 (on opening bounce confirmation) . Stop: 520 (below yesterday's low 527.2) . T1: 570 (EMA200) . T2: 587 (EMA20) . R:R: 1:2.3
Why: Extreme RSI reading, heavy volume capitulation, mean reversion to EMA200. HALF SIZE -- counter-trend.


4. AV (Aviva) -- Mean Reversion After Triple-EMA Breakdown (Counter-Trend, Half Size)

AV crossed below all three EMAs in a single session, which is rare. RSI dropped 10.4 points to 41.5 with MACD bearish crossover. Heavy volume (rv=1.7) confirms institutional selling. However, the EMA200 is at 635.75 and price closed at 619.6 -- a potential bounce zone given the extreme nature of the move.

Setup: NEW -- triple-EMA breakdown, wait for stabilisation
Entry: 620-625 (only on green candle confirmation) . Stop: 605 (below yesterday's low 614.94) . T1: 636 (EMA200) . T2: 640 (EMA20) . R:R: 1:1.5
Why: Massive single-day move through all EMAs is often overextended. HALF SIZE -- counter-trend.



INTRADAY SETUPS

With futures pointing +3.6%, expect a gap-up open. Focus on stocks that were most oversold yesterday for the strongest bounces, but be cautious of gap-and-fade patterns.

1. LLOY -- Pivot Bounce Long

Direction: LONG
Entry: 93.27 (classic pivot) . Stop: 91.13 (S1) . Target: 94.91 (R1) . R:R: 1:0.8
Cam: S4 90.70 . S3 91.74 . S1 92.43 || R1 93.13 . R3 93.82 . R4 94.86
Why: If LLOY opens near yesterday's close (92.78), it sits just below pivot. A reclaim of 93.27 targets R1. RSI 36.2 has room to bounce. Tight Cam range (91.74-93.82) suggests range-fade day.


2. NWG -- Camarilla S3 Bounce (Mean Reversion)

Direction: LONG
Entry: 527-527.06 (Cam S3 / yesterday's low) . Stop: 520.51 (Cam S4) . Target: 537.27 (pivot) . R:R: 1:1.6
Cam: S4 520.51 . S3 527.06 . S1 531.42 || R1 535.78 . R3 540.15 . R4 546.69
Why: Price closed near Cam S3. Heavy volume selloff (rv=1. with RSI 31.0 near oversold. A bounce from S3 towards pivot is the classic Camarilla range-fade trade. If it breaks S4, bail -- it is a trend day down.


3. STAN -- Camarilla Breakdown Watch

Direction: SHORT (if Cam S4 breaks) / LONG (if S3 holds)
Breakout Entry: Below 1480.65 (Cam S4) . Stop: 1499 (above Cam S3) . Target: 1422 (Classic S3) . R:R: 1:3.2
Fade Entry: 1499.08 (Cam S3) . Stop: 1480.65 (Cam S4) . Target: 1527 (pivot) . R:R: 1:1.5
Cam: S4 1480.65 . S3 1499.08 . S1 1511.36 || R1 1523.64 . R3 1535.93 . R4 1554.35
Why: STAN dropped 6.9% and broke below EMA200. If it gaps up with futures and reclaims S3, fade towards pivot. If it continues selling through S4, it is a trend-day short.


4. BARC -- Classic S1 Bounce

Direction: LONG
Entry: 373.77 (Classic S1) . Stop: 365.93 (S2) . Target: 383.18 (pivot) . R:R: 1:1.2
Cam: S4 372.11 . S3 376.86 . S1 380.02 || R1 383.18 . R3 386.34 . R4 391.09
Why: BARC at 381.6 is near pivot (383.18). If it pulls back to S1 on any early weakness, the bounce towards pivot and R1 is the play. RSI 32.9 is stretched.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

NWG (NatWest) -- 533.6
Cam: S4 520.51 . S3 527.06 . S1 531.42 || R1 535.78 . R3 540.15 . R4 546.69
Classic: S3 499.73 . S2 513.47 . S1 523.53 || Pivot 537.27 || R1 547.33 . R2 561.07 . R3 571.13
EMAs: 9-day 571.54 . 20-day 586.65 . 50-day 606.07 . 200-day 570.58
POC: 619.37 | Prev Low: 527.20 | Prev High: 551.00 | 52wH: 705.40 | 52wL: 380.60

STAN (Standard Chartered) -- 1517.5
Cam: S4 1480.65 . S3 1499.08 . S1 1511.36 || R1 1523.64 . R3 1535.93 . R4 1554.35
Classic: S3 1421.67 . S2 1459.83 . S1 1488.67 || Pivot 1526.83 || R1 1555.67 . R2 1593.83 . R3 1622.67
EMAs: 9-day 1603.55 . 20-day 1662.30 . 50-day 1718.56 . 200-day 1552.18
POC: 1748.41 | Prev Low: 1498.00 | Prev High: 1565.00 | 52wH: 1924.00 | 52wL: 872.80

SSE -- 2653
Cam: S4 2624.95 . S3 2638.98 . S1 2648.33 || R1 2657.68 . R3 2667.03 . R4 2681.05
Classic: S3 2577.33 . S2 2603.67 . S1 2628.33 || Pivot 2654.67 || R1 2679.33 . R2 2705.67 . R3 2730.33
EMAs: 9-day 2681.61 . 20-day 2651.42 . 50-day 2532.64 . 200-day 2154.44
POC: 2505.59 | Prev Low: 2630.00 | Prev High: 2681.00 | 52wH: 2859.89 | 52wL: 1468.00

LLOY (Lloyds) -- 92.78
Cam: S4 90.70 . S3 91.74 . S1 92.43 || R1 93.13 . R3 93.82 . R4 94.86
Classic: S3 87.35 . S2 89.49 . S1 91.13 || Pivot 93.27 || R1 94.91 . R2 97.05 . R3 98.69
EMAs: 9-day 95.83 . 20-day 97.87 . 50-day 99.32 . 200-day 90.08
POC: 101.68 | Prev Low: 91.62 | Prev High: 95.40 | 52wH: 114.60 | 52wL: 60.78

RTO (Rentokil) -- 468.2
Cam: S4 461.60 . S3 464.90 . S1 467.10 || R1 469.30 . R3 471.50 . R4 474.80
Classic: S3 452.20 . S2 460.20 . S1 464.20 || Pivot 472.20 || R1 476.20 . R2 484.20 . R3 488.20
EMAs: 9-day 474.11 . 20-day 467.32 . 50-day 458.58 . 200-day 422.50
POC: 461.10 | Prev Low: 468.20 | Prev High: 480.20 | 52wH: 493.90 | 52wL: 306.00



BEARISH WARNINGS

INF (Informa) -- RSI 29.7 OVERSOLD
Below all three EMAs. RSI is the lowest in the scanner at 29.7 (oversold). MACD deeply bearish. -25.8% from 52-week high. Price at 742 vs EMA200 at 860 -- structurally broken. Avoid longs.

WPP -- RSI 32.8, -64.4% from 52wH
Below all EMAs with the widest gap to 52-week high in the scanner. WPP at 225.5 vs 52wH of 632.8 is a stock in structural decline. Fresh 52-week low at 222. Do not try to catch this knife.

ABF -- Fresh 52-Week Low at 1802.5
Close = Day's low = 52-week low. RSI 32.5, below all EMAs, heavy volume (rv=1.6). No support visible until well below current levels. Avoid.

AV (Aviva) -- Triple EMA Breakdown
Crossed below EMA20, EMA50 AND EMA200 in a single session. MACD bearish crossover on heavy volume. This was institutional distribution. Any bounce is likely to be sold into at the EMA200 (635.75).

NWG and STAN -- EMA200 Breakdowns on Heavy Volume
Both banks broke below their 200-day EMAs on big moves. NWG closed at 533.6 vs EMA200 570.58 (-6.5% below). STAN at 1517.5 vs EMA200 1552.18 (-2.2% below). These are significant technical events that typically take weeks to recover from.



EVENTS CALENDAR

- 19 March: Bank of England held at 3.75% -- hawkish tone, inflation warning to 3.5%
- Ongoing: Iran-Gulf conflict -- Strait of Hormuz disruption, Qatar LNG capacity hit 17%
- This week: UK Spring Forecast -- growth downgraded for 2026, unemployment to peak this year
- Watch: Brent crude trajectory -- trading $114-118. If Hormuz stays closed, further energy price spikes expected
- Watch: Market pricing BoE rate HIKE by September on surging energy costs



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Thursday 19 March 2026
Data: Close 18 March | UKX: ~10,304 | Futures: ~10,425 (+0.2%)



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 closed at approximately 10,304 on Wednesday 18 March, down 0.96% on the session. The index is recovering from the selloff linked to the US-Israel conflict in Iran, posting its third consecutive session of gains into Thursday morning. Futures indicate a modestly higher open around 10,425 (+0.2%), with the index clawing back losses.

Key macro backdrop: The UK Spring Forecast has downgraded 2026 GDP growth, with inflation now expected to hit 3% by year-end due to energy price pressures from the Iran situation. Oil remains elevated but pulled back slightly, weighing on Shell and BP. Sterling dropped against both the euro and dollar after weak economic data. Bank of England rate decisions remain data-dependent -- markets are watching closely.

Source: IG / Investing.com futures data; LiveCharts.co.uk macro context.



NOTABLE CHANGES (Day-over-Day)

These are the stocks that CHANGED most since yesterday -- the most actionable signals:

CPG -- RSI dropped 12.9 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50, MACD bearish crossover, -4.5% on the day. Week: -5.54%, RSI down 16.8 pts on the week. Major breakdown.

BATS -- RSI dropped 9.3 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50, MACD bearish crossover, -3.6%. Consumer staples getting hammered.

III -- Big move: -4.8% on HEAVY volume (rv=1.6). This is institutional selling, not noise. Near 52-week lows.

WPP -- Big move: -4.1%. Hit a fresh 52-week low at 224.3. Advertising sector in freefall.

ULVR -- Big move: -3.4%. Now oversold at RSI 28.7. Below all EMAs.

NG -- RSI dropped 11 pts, crossed BELOW EMA20. Utilities weakness despite defensive reputation.

AV -- Crossed ABOVE EMA50, MACD bullish crossover. The only bullish standout in today's comparison data.

IMB -- Crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50. Consumer staples sector-wide weakness.



SECTOR HEATMAP

STRONG
- Energy (Oil): SHEL +0.36% pullback but still Bull above all EMAs, RSI 82.3 OB. BP +0.71%, Bull above all, RSI 76.3 OB. Both at/near 52-week highs. Iran conflict driving energy prices. GLEN +0.32%, Bull above all.
- Defence: BAE -0.04% flat but Bull above all EMAs, RSI 67.8, near 52-week highs. Geopolitical tailwind.
- Business Services: ADM -0.18% but Bull above all, RSI 73.9 OB. RTO -0.23%, Bull above all. BNZL -0.43%, Bull above 20/50.

NEUTRAL/MIXED
- Financials: Mixed picture. LSEG Bull above 20/50. LLOY, BARC, NWG, STAN all Bear below 20/50 -- banking sector lagging. PRU -2.24% on heavy volume (rv=2.39), Bear below 20/50.
- Telecoms: VOD -1.75%, crossed below EMA20. Mixed trend.
- Insurance: AV crossed above EMA50 (bullish crossover), but HLN -2.23%.

WEAK
- Consumer Staples: ULVR -3.43% (Bear below all, OS), BATS -3.57% (crossed below 20/50), IMB -2.74% (crossed below 20/50), DGE -1.65% (Bear below all). Sector-wide capitulation.
- Consumer Packaged: CPG -4.54% (Bear below all), RKT -1.88% (Bear below all, OS). Devastating sector weakness.
- Mining: RIO -1.39% (crossed below EMA50), AAL -1.18% (Bear below 20/50), ANTO -2.61% (Bear below 20/50). Commodity weakness despite oil strength.
- Media/Tech: WPP -4.09% fresh 52-week low (Bear below all), SGE -2.61% (crossed below EMA20), REL -2.47% (crossed below EMA50), III -4.8% (Bear below all, heavy volume).



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS TABLE

Bull (above all EMAs):
SHEL: RSI 82.3 OB - MACD Bullish - -0.7% from 52wH - ch -0.36% - Above POC
BP: RSI 76.3 OB - MACD Bullish - -0.7% from 52wH - ch +0.71% - Above POC
BAE: RSI 67.8 - MACD Bullish - -1.3% from 52wH - ch -0.04% - Above POC
ADM: RSI 73.9 OB - MACD Bullish - -10.6% from 52wH - ch -0.18% - Above POC
GLEN: RSI 56.9 - MACD Bull fading - -3.8% from 52wH - ch +0.32% - Above POC
TSCO: RSI 59.2 - MACD Bull fading - -4.3% from 52wH - ch -0.98% - Above POC
SSE: RSI 57.3 (down 8.5 from yest) - MACD Bull fading - -6.1% from 52wH - ch -2.11% - Above POC
HLN: RSI 49.8 - MACD Bearish - -7.9% from 52wH - ch -2.23% - Above POC
AV: RSI 51.9 - MACD Bear recovering (BULLISH crossover today) - -7.5% from 52wH - ch +0.12% - Below POC
RTO: RSI 58.6 - MACD Bullish - -2.1% from 52wH - ch -0.23% - Above POC

Bull (above 20/50, below 200):
LSEG: RSI 55.9 - MACD Bullish - -27.3% from 52wH - ch -2.26% - Above POC
BNZL: RSI 63.8 - MACD Bullish - -25.9% from 52wH - ch -0.43% - Above POC

Bear (below 20/50, above 200):
AZN: RSI 41.7 - MACD Bearish - -9.2% from 52wH - ch -0.87% - Below POC - rv 0.43 thin
HSBA: RSI 41.7 - MACD Bearish - -14.3% from 52wH - ch +0.17% - Below POC
RR.: RSI 47.2 - MACD Bearish - -11.6% from 52wH - ch +0.68% - Below POC
RIO: RSI 42.5 (crossed below EMA50 today) - MACD Bearish - -11.8% from 52wH - ch -1.39% - Below POC
BATS: RSI 46.2 (down 9.3 from yest) - MACD Bull fading - -6.2% from 52wH - ch -3.57% - Below POC
GSK: RSI 34.2 - MACD Bearish - -13.6% from 52wH - ch -2.01% - Below POC
LLOY: RSI 43.2 - MACD Bearish - -15.8% from 52wH - ch +0.35% - Below POC
STAN: RSI 42.3 (week +5.19%) - MACD Bearish - -15.3% from 52wH - ch +1.68% - Below POC
NWG: RSI 42.6 - MACD Bearish - -17.8% from 52wH - ch -0.28% - Below POC
PRU: RSI 41.8 (heavy vol rv=2.39) - MACD Bear recovering - -13.5% from 52wH - ch -2.24% - Below POC
AAL: RSI 37.2 - MACD Bearish - -20.1% from 52wH - ch -1.18% - Below POC
ANTO: RSI 40.4 - MACD Bearish - -22.5% from 52wH - ch -2.61% - Below POC
IMB: RSI 44.4 (crossed below 20/50 today) - MACD Bearish - -6.4% from 52wH - ch -2.74% - Below POC
NG: RSI 46.1 (down 11 from yest) - Mixed below EMA20, above 50/200 - MACD Bull fading - -7.5% from 52wH - ch -2.94% - Above POC

Bear (below all EMAs):
ULVR: RSI 28.7 OS - MACD Bearish - -14.7% from 52wH - ch -3.43% - Below POC
CPG: RSI 41.4 (down 12.9 from yest) - MACD Bull fading - -21.3% from 52wH - ch -4.54% - Below POC
III: RSI 36.7 - MACD Bearish - -36.1% from 52wH - ch -4.80% - Below POC - rv 1.61 heavy
DGE: RSI 31.5 - MACD Bearish - -35.6% from 52wH - ch -1.65% - Below POC
RKT: RSI 26.9 OS - MACD Bearish - -18.2% from 52wH - ch -1.88% - Below POC
BARC: RSI 37.6 - MACD Bearish - -21.2% from 52wH - ch +1.35% - Below POC
LGEN: RSI 42.5 - MACD Bearish - -10.7% from 52wH - ch -0.60% - Below POC
SGE: RSI 45.6 (crossed below EMA20 today) - MACD Bear recovering - -37.3% from 52wH - ch -2.61% - Below POC
ABF: RSI 40.8 - MACD Bearish - -21.2% from 52wH - ch -1.06% - Below POC
WPP: RSI 33.4 - MACD Bearish - -64.1% from 52wH - ch -4.09% - Below POC - FRESH 52wk LOW

Mixed:
REL: RSI 52.4 (above EMA20, below 50/200, crossed below EMA50 today) - MACD Bullish - -38.6% from 52wH - ch -2.47%
EXPN: RSI 49.7 (above EMA20, below 50/200) - MACD Bullish - -33.4% from 52wH - ch -1.48%
VOD: RSI 46.7 (below EMA20, above 50/200, crossed below EMA20 today) - MACD Bearish - -9.7% from 52wH - ch -1.75%
INF: RSI 34.5 - Bear below all - MACD Bearish - -23.7% from 52wH - ch +0.50%



TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS


1. BP -- Bullish Continuation (CONTINUING)

Trend: Bull above all EMAs. RSI 76.3 overbought but in a strong uptrend -- OB can persist. MACD bullish above zero. Price at 555.8, just off 52-week high (559.. Iran conflict driving oil prices higher. Above POC (471.71) by a wide margin -- strong institutional accumulation.

Entry: 548-550 on pullback to classic S1 - Stop: 534 (below S2, ~1x ATR) - T1: 560 (52wH retest) - T2: 575 (R3) - R:R: 1:1.6
Confluence: 5/5 -- Trend, structure, momentum, volume, fundamental catalyst (oil/Iran)
Risk: OB RSI means a pullback is possible. Any Iran ceasefire would hit oil stocks hard.


2. ADM (Admiral) -- Bullish Continuation (CONTINUING)

Trend: Bull above all EMAs. RSI 73.9 OB. MACD strongly bullish. Price 3296, above POC (2930.63). Insurance sector benefiting from hard market.

Entry: 3276-3284 on pullback to S1/Cam S3 - Stop: 3250 (below S2) - T1: 3330 (R2) - T2: 3368 (R3) - R:R: 1:1.7
Confluence: 4/5 -- Trend, structure, momentum, POC support. Volume thin (rv 0.76).
Risk: OB condition. Low volume could mean a gap-down on any negative news.


3. AV (Aviva) -- Fresh Bullish Crossover (NEW TODAY)

Trend: Bull above all EMAs (just crossed above EMA50 today). MACD bullish crossover today. RSI 51.9 -- plenty of room to run. Price 648.4, essentially at POC (648.54) -- pivotal level.

Entry: 645-648 (current/near POC) - Stop: 632 (below EMA200 at 635.92) - T1: 660 (R2) - T2: 700 (near 52wH) - R:R: 1:3.2
Confluence: 4/5 -- Fresh EMA50 crossover, MACD bullish crossover, trend turning, at POC.
Risk: Low volume (rv 0.81). Need follow-through confirmation tomorrow.


4. ULVR (Unilever) -- Mean Reversion Long (NEW TODAY)

Trend: Bear below all EMAs. BUT RSI 28.7 = oversold. SRSI at 0. Price has dropped from 4881 to 4712 in 2 days (-3.4% today). This is stretched -- 2x ATR below EMA20. Approaching potential exhaustion.

Entry: 4695-4712 (at Cam S1 support) - Stop: 4660 (below Cam S3) - T1: 4830 (R1) - T2: 4950 (near R2/EMA area) - R:R: 1:2.3
Confluence: 3/5 -- Extreme oversold, mean reversion candidate, volume normalising (rv 1.04).
Risk: COUNTER-TREND -- half size. Bear trend could continue. Need exhaustion candle confirmation.


5. RKT (Reckitt) -- Mean Reversion Long (CONTINUING)

Trend: Bear below all EMAs. RSI 26.9 = deeply oversold. SRSI 15.4. MACD deeply bearish. Price at 5328, well below POC (6105). This is a falling knife -- but 18.2% below 52-week high with RSI this low often triggers a bounce.

Entry: 5270-5300 (S1 area) - Stop: 5200 (below S2) - T1: 5415 (R1) - T2: 5500 (R2) - R:R: 1:1.5
Confluence: 2/5 -- Only oversold RSI and structural support. COUNTER-TREND, half size.
Risk: Very weak momentum. Need a bullish candle pattern before entry. Do not front-run.



INTRADAY SETUPS


1. BAE -- Pivot Bounce Long

Bull above all EMAs. Strong daily trend. If price pulls back to classic pivot 2335 or S1 2311, look for a bounce.
Entry: 2311-2335 (S1/pivot) - Stop: 2292 (below S2) - Target: 2355-2379 (R1/R2) - Direction: LONG
Why: Trend, momentum, near 52-week highs. Defence sector geopolitical tailwind.
Cam: S4 2306 - S3 2318 - S1 2326 || R1 2334 - R3 2342 - R4 2354


2. BP -- Camarilla Range Long

Cam S3-R3 range is 552-560 -- tight relative to ATR (14.59). Favour long at Cam S3.
Entry: 552 (Cam S3) - Stop: 548 (below Cam S4) - Target: 557-560 (Cam R1/R3) - Direction: LONG
Why: Bull trend, OB RSI, tight Cam range = high probability range trade. Oil backdrop supportive.
Cam: S4 548 - S3 552 - S1 555 || R1 557 - R3 560 - R4 563


3. CPG -- Camarilla Breakdown Short

CPG broke down hard yesterday (-4.5%). If price breaks below Cam S4 (2113), this is a trend day short.
Entry: 2112-2115 (below Cam S4) - Stop: 2140 (above Cam S3) - Target: 2075-2040 (S2/S3 classic) - Direction: SHORT
Why: Bearish momentum, RSI collapsed 12.9 pts, crossed below both EMA20 and EMA50 in one session. Heavy selling pressure.
Cam: S4 2113 - S3 2138 - S1 2155 || R1 2173 - R3 2190 - R4 2215


4. III (3i Group) -- Camarilla Breakdown Short

III dropped 4.8% on heavy volume (rv=1.6). If it breaks Cam S4 (2776), that confirms trend day.
Entry: 2775-2776 (below Cam S4) - Stop: 2826 (above Cam S3) - Target: 2734-2625 (classic S2/S3) - Direction: SHORT
Why: Institutional selling (heavy volume), Bear below all EMAs, near 52-week lows (2844). Momentum is firmly down.
Cam: S4 2776 - S3 2826 - S1 2859 || R1 2892 - R3 2925 - R4 2974


5. TSCO -- Pivot Bounce Long

Bull above all EMAs. Mild pullback (-0.98%). Classic pivot at 488, S1 at 483. A bounce from S1 is high probability.
Entry: 483-485 (S1) - Stop: 479 (below S2/Cam S4) - Target: 491-496 (R1/R2) - Direction: LONG
Why: Daily trend bullish, above all EMAs and POC. Low volume (rv 0.65) means widen stops slightly.
Cam: S4 482 - S3 484 - S1 486 || R1 487 - R3 489 - R4 491



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

BP (555.
Cam: S4 548.32 - S3 552.06 - S1 554.55 || R1 557.05 - R3 559.54 - R4 563.28
Classic: S3 534 - S2 540 - S1 548 || Pivot 554 - R1 562 - R2 568 - R3 575
EMA: 9=529 - 20=508 - 50=481 - 200=444
POC: 471.71 | Prev H/L: 559.8 / 546.2 | 52w: 559.8 / 329.2

BAE (2330)
Cam: S4 2306 - S3 2318 - S1 2326 || R1 2334 - R3 2342 - R4 2354
Classic: S3 2267 - S2 2291 - S1 2311 || Pivot 2335 - R1 2355 - R2 2379 - R3 2399
EMA: 9=2284 - 20=2216 - 50=2092 - 200=1880
POC: 2066.32 | Prev H/L: 2360 / 2316 | 52w: 2360 / 1394

AV (648.4)
Cam: S4 642.68 - S3 645.54 - S1 647.45 || R1 649.35 - R3 651.26 - R4 654.12
Classic: S3 634 - S2 640 - S1 644 || Pivot 650 - R1 654 - R2 661 - R3 665
EMA: 9=641 - 20=643 - 50=648 - 200=636
POC: 648.54 | Prev H/L: 656.2 / 645.8 | 52w: 700.8 / 485.89

CPG (2164)
Cam: S4 2113 - S3 2138 - S1 2155 || R1 2173 - R3 2190 - R4 2215
Classic: S3 2040 - S2 2102 - S1 2133 || Pivot 2195 - R1 2226 - R2 2288 - R3 2319
EMA: 9=2247 - 20=2237 - 50=2246 - 200=2386
POC: 2234.60 | Prev H/L: 2257 / 2164 | 52w: 2748 / 2000

SHEL (3461.5)
Cam: S4 3437 - S3 3449 - S1 3457 || R1 3466 - R3 3474 - R4 3486
Classic: S3 3393 - S2 3413 - S1 3437 || Pivot 3457 - R1 3481 - R2 3501 - R3 3525
EMA: 9=3331 - 20=3192 - 50=3008 - 200=2793
POC: 2924.20 | Prev H/L: 3477 / 3433 | 52w: 3486 / 2269.92



BEARISH WARNINGS

WPP -- FRESH 52-WEEK LOW
Hit 224.3 -- a new 52-week low. Bear below all EMAs. RSI 33.4. MACD bearish. Down 64% from 52-week high. This is a structural decline, not a dip. Avoid.

CPG -- BREAKDOWN IN PROGRESS (NEW TODAY)
Crossed below BOTH EMA20 and EMA50 in a single session. RSI collapsed 12.9 pts. MACD bearish crossover. -4.5% on the day, -5.5% on the week. Now Bear below all EMAs with no nearby support until 2000 (52-week low).

BATS -- DOUBLE EMA BREAK (NEW TODAY)
Crossed below both EMA20 and EMA50 in one session. RSI dropped 9.3 pts. MACD bearish crossover. -3.6%. Was bullish just 2 days ago -- a sharp reversal.

III -- INSTITUTIONAL SELLING
-4.8% on heavy volume (rv=1.6). Bear below all EMAs. Near 52-week low (2844, closed 2875). When heavy volume meets new lows, that's distribution.

RKT -- DEEPLY OVERSOLD BUT NO FLOOR YET
RSI 26.9, MACD deeply negative. Bear below all EMAs. 18% below 52-week high. Could bounce but no technical floor until prior support around 5000-5100.

DGE -- NEAR 52-WEEK LOW
1427, just 7p from 52-week low (1420). Bear below all EMAs. RSI 31.5. Spirits sector remains under pressure. No sign of a bottom.

IMB -- FRESH BREAKDOWN (NEW TODAY)
Crossed below both EMA20 and EMA50 today. -2.74%. Consumer staples sector capitulating.



EVENTS CALENDAR

- Thursday 19 March: Bank of England interest rate decision (consensus: hold). US initial jobless claims. Heavy earnings calendar.
- Friday 20 March: UK retail sales data. Triple witching (options/futures expiry) -- expect elevated volatility.
- Ongoing: US-Israel conflict in Iran continues to drive oil prices and risk sentiment. Any escalation/de-escalation headlines will move markets.



SUMMARY

The market is split. Energy and defence names (SHEL, BP, BAE) remain in strong uptrends, buoyed by geopolitical risk. But consumer staples (ULVR, BATS, CPG, IMB, DGE) and consumer-facing sectors are in capitulation mode, with multiple stocks breaking below key EMAs on heavy volume. Banks are weak but holding above EMA200 for now. The best setups today are: BP and BAE for continuation longs, AV for a fresh bullish crossover, and CPG/III for short setups if they break Camarilla S4 levels. Mean reversion longs in ULVR and RKT are available for aggressive traders only -- half size, counter-trend.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.