FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups

Wednesday 22 July 2026
Data: close 21 Jul (latest scanner snapshot) · UKX: 10,585.91 (+0.6%) · Futures: ~10,482 (Investing.com, Sep contract - most of the gap to cash is the quarterly dividend discount, tone only modestly softer)



MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 closed up 61 points at 10,585.91 (+0.6%) on Tuesday, led by defence stocks and a strong miner rally, as new Chancellor John Healey pledged fiscal discipline under incoming PM Andy Burnham. Copper jumped ~2.9% and copper miners worldwide outperformed the metal - Antofagasta, Anglo American and Glencore all rallied in tandem. Middle East risk (Strait of Hormuz, US-Iran mediation) is still swinging oil both ways. UK labour data came in stronger than expected and public borrowing improved.
Big week for macro: UK CPI lands this morning (Wed), ECB decides Thursday, and UK flash PMI Friday is previewed around 49.3 - contraction territory. Fed follows on 29 July. Expect index-level chop around these prints.
Verification: all 40 EMA classifications re-checked programmatically - zero mismatches. CPG pence-scale corrected (x100). AZN's daily low print (10,524) looks like a bad tick - its classic pivots are skewed, treat with caution.



NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day)
ANTO +5.6% - RSI surged 8.4 pts, biggest FTSE move of the day (copper)
AAL +3.5% - crossed ABOVE EMA200
RIO +2.0% - crossed ABOVE EMA200 and MACD bullish crossover
GLEN +2.6% - crossed ABOVE EMA20
AV - MACD bullish crossover, 4-day up streak, near 52w high
BP - crossed ABOVE POC, 4-day up streak
WPP -5.0% - RSI dropped 8.4 pts, closed on the lows
LSEG -2.7% - crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50, below POC, week -4.8%
ULVR, RKT, ADM, INF - all crossed BELOW EMA20; NG crossed below EMA20 with MACD bearish crossover
III - heavy volume (rv 1.5) on a 3-day down streak, RSI -15.9 pts on the week



SECTOR HEATMAP
Banks - BULLISH: all five (LLOY BARC STAN NWG HSBA) above all EMAs, +1.4% to +2.0% together, all above POC. Broadest strength on the board, RSI 56-64.
Energy - BULLISH: SHEL and BP above all EMAs; BP reclaimed POC with a 4-day streak. Oil headlines are the risk.
Miners - RECOVERING: huge copper-driven bounce (+2% to +5.6%) but AAL, ANTO, RIO still below EMA20/50; AAL and RIO reclaimed EMA200 yesterday. Early-stage turn, not yet trend.
Insurance - BULLISH: AV, LGEN, PRU above all EMAs; ADM slipped below EMA20.
Staples/Consumer - WEAKENING: whole group red (ULVR -1.9%, RKT -2.3%, CPG -1.9%, IMB, BATS, DGE); ULVR and RKT fresh EMA20 breakdowns. BATS still +5.3% on the week.
Data/Exchanges - BEARISH: LSEG, REL, EXPN down 2.4-2.7% - sector-wide breakdown, LSEG and REL lost key EMAs together.
Healthcare - BEARISH: AZN (RSI 35.7) and GSK below all/most EMAs; HLN the only healthy chart.
MIXED: Defence/industrials recovering (BAE 4-day up streak, RR. +0.7%); utilities soft (NG fresh breakdown, SSE -1.0%).



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS
Format: Close · Day% · RSI (day delta) · MACD · Trend (strict EMA) · % off 52w high · vs POC
LLOY 113.2 · +1.7% · RSI 60.9 (+5.0) · MACD bear · Bull (above all) · -2.5% · above POC
BARC 521.8 · +1.6% · RSI 58.8 (+3.7) · MACD bear · Bull (above all) · -1.8% · above POC
STAN 2114 · +1.4% · RSI 56.3 (+3.5) · MACD bear · Bull (above all) · -2.1% · above POC
NWG 678 · +2.0% · RSI 61.6 (+4.9) · MACD bear · Bull (above all) · -3.9% · above POC
HSBA 1505 · +1.6% · RSI 63.8 (+4.4) · MACD bull · Bull (above all) · -9.0% · above POC
AV 675 · +0.2% · RSI 65.5 · MACD bull cross · Bull (above all) · -3.7% · above POC
LGEN 297 · +0.3% · RSI 66.6 · MACD bear · Bull (above all) · -4.2% · above POC
PRU 1066 · +0.9% · RSI 57.7 · MACD bull · Bull (above all) · -13.9% · above POC
SHEL 3248 · +0.8% · RSI 65.7 · MACD bull · Bull (above all) · -9.6% · above POC
BP 529 · +1.3% · RSI 62.2 · MACD bull · Bull (above all) · -13.2% · above POC (new)
BNZL 2720 · -0.7% · RSI 60.3 · MACD bear cross · Bull (above all) · -2.9% · above POC
TSCO 476 · -0.7% · RSI 55.9 · MACD bull · Bull (above all) · -8.5% · above POC
ABF 2014 · -0.3% · RSI 58.1 · MACD bull · Bull (above all) · -14.6% · above POC
BATS 4623 · -1.0% · RSI 54.0 · MACD bull · Bull (above all) · -13.2% · above POC
VOD 114.2 · -1.4% · RSI 58.5 · MACD bull · Bull (above all) · -12.9% · above POC
HLN 369 · -0.9% · RSI 63.4 (-4.3) · MACD bull · Bull (above all) · -11.2% · above POC
SSE 2440 · -1.0% · RSI 50.6 · MACD bull · Bull (above all) · -14.7% · above POC
DGE 1573 · -0.4% · RSI 56.0 · MACD bull · Bull (above 20/50) · -26.6% · above POC
IMB 2810 · -1.2% · RSI 54.1 (-4.3) · MACD bull · Bull (above 20/50) · -15.9% · above POC
WPP 274.5 · -5.0% · RSI 52.5 (-8.4) · MACD bull · Bull (above 20/50) · -38.1% · above POC
EXPN 2714 · -2.5% · RSI 57.1 (-8.4) · MACD bull · Bull (above 20/50) · -33.7% · above POC
GLEN 527 · +2.6% · RSI 49.2 (+7.2) · MACD bull · Mixed (above E20, below E50, above E200) · -22.4% · below POC
BAE 1902 · +0.9% · RSI 52.1 · MACD bull · Mixed (above E20, below E50/E200) · -19.4% · below POC
RTO 446 · -1.0% · RSI 51.1 · MACD bull · Mixed (above E20, below E50, above E200) · -12.0% · below POC
REL 2459 · -2.4% · RSI 51.7 (-7.4) · MACD bull · Mixed (above E20, below E50/E200) · -38.6% · below POC (new)
RR. 1373 · +0.7% · RSI 46.8 · MACD bear · Mixed (below E20, above E50/E200) · -9.1% · above POC
ADM 3542 · -1.7% · RSI 50.2 (-5.9) · MACD bear · Mixed (below E20, above E50/E200) · -5.0% · above POC
INF 880 · -0.7% · RSI 50.3 · MACD bear · Mixed (below E20, above E50/E200) · -12.0% · above POC
ULVR 4560 · -1.9% · RSI 51.9 (-7.6) · MACD bear · Mixed (below E20, above E50, below E200) · -17.5% · above POC
RKT 4950 · -2.3% · RSI 51.0 (-8. · MACD bear · Mixed (below E20, above E50, below E200) · -24.0% · above POC
III 2518 · -0.4% · RSI 49.6 · MACD bear · Mixed (below E20/E200, above E50) · -44.0% · above POC · rv 1.5
AAL 3488 · +3.5% · RSI 43.1 (+6.3) · MACD bear · Bear (below 20/50) · -17.7% · below POC
ANTO 3688 · +5.6% · RSI 46.9 (+8.4) · MACD bear · Bear (below 20/50) · -17.6% · below POC
RIO 6775 · +2.0% · RSI 40.9 (+5.5) · MACD bull cross · Bear (below 20/50) · -25.7% · below POC
NG 1223 · -1.1% · RSI 47.1 · MACD bear cross · Bear (below 20/50) · -14.4% · below POC
CPG 3093 · -1.9% · RSI 41.1 (-4.6) · MACD bear · Bear (below 20/50) · -17.5% · below POC
GSK 1889 · +0.3% · RSI 40.9 · MACD bear · Bear (below 20/50) · -17.2% · below POC
LSEG 8618 · -2.7% · RSI 44.6 (-6.5) · MACD bull · Bear (below all) · -18.5% · below POC (new)
SGE 836 · -1.8% · RSI 48.9 (-5.2) · MACD bull · Bear (below all) · -37.4% · below POC
AZN 12472 · +0.5% · RSI 35.7 · MACD bear · Bear (below all) · -20.7% · below POC
Note: rv was thin across the board (most names 0.3-0.7) - summer volume, size positions accordingly.



TOP SWING SETUPS

1. AV - LONG (NEW - MACD bullish crossover)
Above all EMAs, RSI 65.5, 4-day up streak on near-average volume (rv 0.96, best on the board), POC 630 far below. 52w high 700.8 in range.
Entry: 670 pullback · Stop: 660 · T1: 686 (R3) · T2: 700 (52w high) · R:R: 1.6 / 3.0
Confluence: entry sits on classic S1 670.4 and Cam S4 670.8; stop is under S3 662.4 and roughly 1x ATR (13.4).

2. NWG - LONG (CONTINUING)
Strongest bank chart: above all EMAs, RSI 61.6 (+4.9 on the day), well above POC 612.7. Sector moved together (+1.4-2.0%) which is genuine breadth.
Entry: 670 pullback · Stop: 655 · T1: 690 (R2) · T2: 705 (52w high 705.4) · R:R: 1.3 / 2.3
Confluence: entry near Cam S4 668.2; stop below classic S2 654.6 and 1x ATR (15).

3. BARC - LONG (CONTINUING)
Above all EMAs and only -1.8% off the 52w high (531.3). MACD histogram still slightly negative so this is a breakout-retest play, not momentum chasing.
Entry: 515 pullback · Stop: 503 · T1: 531 (52w high + R2 531.2 confluence) · T2: 540 (R3 540.3) · R:R: 1.3 / 2.1
Confluence: entry between S1 512.7 and Cam S4 514.2; stop under S2 503.6; ATR 12.7.

4. GLEN - LONG (NEW - copper momentum)
Crossed above EMA20 yesterday with copper +2.9%. Still below EMA50 (538) and POC (557.7) - this is a recovery trade toward those magnets, not an established trend.
Entry: 531.5 breakout (above Cam R4 531.4) · Stop: 520 (under yesterday's low 520.4) · T1: 538 (EMA50 + R3 538.6 confluence) · T2: 557 (POC) · R:R: 0.6 / 2.2
Take partial at T1 - the EMA50/R3 cluster is the obvious stall point. Skip if copper reverses overnight.

5. BAE - LONG (CONTINUING - 4-day up streak)
Defence led Tuesday's tape. Reclaimed EMA20 (1879.9), still below EMA50/200 - recovery stage, ADX 41.6 shows the prior downtrend is losing grip.
Entry: 1908 pullback (Cam R1 + POC 1908.8 confluence) · Stop: 1875 · T1: 1944 (prev high) · T2: 1983 (R2) · R:R: 1.1 / 2.3



INTRADAY SETUPS

LLOY - pivot bounce LONG
Entry: 112.2 (pivot 112.22) · Stop: 111.2 (under Cam S4 111.56) · Target: 114.1 (R1) · R:R: 1.9
Why: pivot sits just above the Cam S4/EMA20 (110. cluster; trend filter fully bullish so longs only.

STAN - pivot bounce LONG
Entry: 2103 (pivot 2102.8 = Cam S3 2102.3 exact confluence) · Stop: 2089 (under Cam S4 2090.6) · Target: 2129.7 (R1), stretch 2137 (Cam R4) · R:R: 1.9 / 2.5
Why: double-level confluence at entry, above-all-EMAs trend behind it.

ANTO - Camarilla breakout LONG
Entry: 3780 (above Cam R4 3779.3) · Stop: 3733 (Cam R3) · T1: 3813 (R2) · T2: 3917 (R3) · R:R: 0.7 / 2.9
Why: +5.6% copper day, RSI +8.4 - continuation play only on a clean break; partials at T1. Caution: rv was 0.37, so demand real volume on the break.

HSBA - Camarilla range LONG
Entry: 1497.5 (Cam S3 1497.4) · Stop: 1488 (under Cam S4 1489.3) · Target: 1513.4 (Cam R3) · R:R: 1.7
Why: strongest big-cap bank by RSI (63., MACD bull, buy-the-dip regime while above all EMAs.

WPP - breakdown continuation SHORT
Entry: 273.9 (below yesterday's low 274.1) · Stop: 278.3 (pivot 278.24) · T1: 270.4 (S1, near EMA20 271.0) · T2: 267.9 (Cam S4) · R:R: 0.8 / 1.4
Why: -5% close on the lows, RSI -8.4. Modest R:R - only take on a weak open; cover T1 partials at the EMA20 cluster.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

LLOY 113.2 - Cam: S4 111.56 · S3 112.35 · S1 112.88 || R1 113.42 · R3 113.95 · R4 114.75
Classic: S3 108.33 · S1 111.23 · P 112.22 · R1 114.13 · R3 117.03 · EMA20/50/200: 110.83 / 106.87 / 97.67 · POC 102.58 · PrevH/L 113.2 / 110.3 · 52w 116 / 74.4

BARC 521.8 - Cam: S4 514.21 · S3 518.01 · S1 520.54 || R1 523.07 · R3 525.60 · R4 529.39
Classic: S3 498.9 · S1 512.7 · P 517.4 · R1 526.5 · R3 540.3 · EMA20/50/200: 511.03 / 488.83 / 439.95 · POC 467.24 · PrevH/L 522.1 / 508.3 · 52w 531.3 / 346.6

NWG 678.0 - Cam: S4 668.16 · S3 673.08 · S1 676.36 || R1 679.64 · R3 682.92 · R4 687.85
Classic: S3 648.4 · S1 666.3 · P 672.5 · R1 684.2 · R3 702.1 · EMA20/50/200: 659.59 / 636.85 / 595.71 · POC 612.68 · PrevH/L 678.7 / 660.8 · 52w 705.4 / 496.6

AV 675.2 - Cam: S4 670.82 · S3 673.02 · S1 674.49 || R1 675.95 · R3 677.42 · R4 679.62
Classic: S3 662.41 · S1 670.41 · P 673.61 · R1 678.41 · R3 686.41 · EMA20/50/200: 658.88 / 645.86 / 635.53 · POC 630.47 · PrevH/L 676.8 / 668.8 · 52w 700.8 / 590.6

ANTO 3688 - Cam: S4 3596.7 · S3 3642.4 · S1 3672.8 || R1 3703.2 · R3 3733.7 · R4 3779.3
Classic: S3 3418.7 · S1 3584.7 · P 3647.3 · R1 3750.7 · R3 3916.7 · EMA20/50/200: 3737.6 / 3810.3 / 3439.8 · POC 3902.8 · PrevH/L 3710 / 3544 · 52w 4475 / 1850.5



BEARISH WARNINGS
LSEG - fresh break below EMA20 AND EMA50 yesterday, below POC, 3-day down streak, -4.8% on the week, RSI -13 on the week. Next support Cam S4 7903 zone / June lows. (Data note: yesterday's low print 7520 looks like a bad tick - don't anchor to it.)
SGE - bear (below all EMAs), fresh cross below EMA20 and EMA50, below POC 854. 52w low 771.7 is the magnet if 828 support goes.
REL - fresh cross below EMA50 and below POC on the same day, -2.4%. Sector-wide weakness with LSEG/EXPN makes this structural, not noise.
NG - fresh cross below EMA20 plus MACD bearish crossover, below POC. Defensive rotation is not helping it.
RKT - RSI dropped 8.8 pts, fresh break below EMA20, -2.3%. Staples group all red together.
ULVR - fresh break below EMA20, below EMA200 (4678). MACD rolling over.
AZN - RSI 35.7, below all EMAs, -20.7% off the 52w high. Weakest large-cap chart on the board. Watch 52w low 10,466.
III - heavy volume (rv 1.5 - the only above-average print on the board) on a 3-day down streak. Distribution risk; below EMA20.



EVENTS CALENDAR
Wed 22 Jul: UK CPI (07:00) - the week's key UK print; earnings season in full swing (182 US reports today).
Thu 23 Jul: ECB rate decision.
Fri 24 Jul: UK flash PMI (09:30, previewed ~49.3 - contraction), plus DMP and BoE Agents surveys.
Wed 29 Jul: Fed (FOMC) decision.
Ongoing: Middle East / Strait of Hormuz headlines driving oil (SHEL, BP both ways); copper tariff talk a risk for the miner bounce; UK political transition (PM Burnham, Chancellor Healey) - fiscal messaging moving gilts and domestic names. UK banks' H1 results season starts next week - pre-positioning likely in LLOY/BARC/NWG.


Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Tuesday 21 July 2026
Data: close Mon 20 Jul 2026 (latest scanner snapshot, 40 FTSE names) | UKX 10,524-10,543 (sources differ), -0.5% to -0.7% | Futures 10,482.3



MARKET OVERVIEW

The FTSE 100 closed Monday 20 July DOWN, at 10,543 per Trading Economics and 10,524 per Proactive Investors - a fall of roughly 0.5% to 0.7% and the biggest one-day drop in about two weeks. Driver was continued US-Iran tension sapping global risk appetite, layered on domestic politics after Andy Burnham took office as PM with attention now on his Chancellor pick.

Futures - read this before you trade the gap. The FTSE 100 future is quoted at 10,482.3 (opened 10,493.6, range 10,445.8-10,507.7, volume 9,309 - Investing.com UK 100 Futures). That is about 61 points BELOW the cash close. This is the September contract trading ex-dividend, not a 61-point bearish gap. FTSE yield near 3.4% over roughly two months to expiry is worth about 58 points of discount, which accounts for essentially the whole gap. Do not trade this as a directional signal. Fair-value adjusted, futures are broadly FLAT versus Monday's close.

Macro backdrop: Bank Rate held at 3.75% on 18 June, fourth consecutive hold. CPI 2.8% in May, services 3.7%, core 2.6%. The Bank expects CPI just under 3% in Q3 and just over 3.25% in Q4. Next MPC decision and Monetary Policy Report land 30 July. Labour market continues to soften - vacancies at a five-year low.

Breadth is better than the index suggests. Of the 40 tracked names, 29 sit above both their 20 and 50-day EMAs and 27 are above their 60-day volume POC. The index fall was concentrated in miners, pharma and utilities.

Volume caveat. Relative volume is thin across the board - 28 of 40 names printed rv below 0.5 and NOT ONE exceeded 1.5. Every move in this dataset was made on light participation. Size down and widen stops accordingly.



NOTABLE CHANGES (day over day vs Fri 17 Jul)

PRU - crossed ABOVE both EMA50 and EMA200 on the same session. Close 1056.00, EMA50 1045.91, EMA200 1051.41. Cleanest fresh long trigger on the board.

RIO - crossed BELOW EMA200 AND printed a MACD bearish crossover on a 4-day down streak. Close 6645.00 vs EMA200 6654.74. Week -4.22%.

AAL - crossed BELOW EMA200. Close 3369.00 vs EMA200 3372.15 - sitting right on it. Week -8.43%, 4-day down streak. Worst FTSE weekly performer bar ANTO.

BATS - MACD BULLISH crossover, 4-day up streak, week +6.74%, RSI up 18.1 points on the week. Bullish above all three EMAs.

RTO - crossed ABOVE EMA50 on a 4-day up streak. Close 450.60, EMA50 450.04. Marginal but fresh.

NG - crossed BELOW EMA50 and BELOW POC on the same day. Close 1236.50, EMA50 1240.30, POC 1241.78. RSI -5.3.

BNZL - RSI collapsed 11 points and price fell 2.00% despite still holding above all EMAs. Largest single-day RSI deterioration on the board. Watch it.

INF - crossed ABOVE EMA20 (close 886.00 vs 885.71). Wafer thin, needs confirmation.

III - crossed BELOW EMA20, 2-day down streak, week -4.64%.

Weekly leaders: BATS +6.74%, IMB +6.52%, WPP +4.87%, DGE +4.81%, EXPN +4.49%.
Weekly laggards: ANTO -9.69%, AAL -8.43%, III -4.64%, RIO -4.22%, GLEN -3.33%.



SECTOR HEATMAP (avg daily change)

Tech / Media / Data +0.49% - EXPN +2.4, WPP +2.3, REL +0.9, SGE +0.7, INF +0.2, LSEG -1.4, VOD -1.7. Genuine leadership but split - the data and agency names carried it while LSEG and VOD dragged.

Energy +0.27% - BP +0.9, SHEL -0.4. Only other green sector.

Industrials -0.45% - BAE +0.2, RTO +0.1, RR. -0.2, BNZL -2.0. BNZL did all the damage.

Insurance / Life -0.49% - PRU +1.1, AV +0.2, LGEN -0.7, ADM -1.3, III -1.8.

Consumer Staples -0.55% - DGE +0.4, BATS 0.0, CPG -0.2, ULVR -0.6, IMB -0.9, TSCO -1.0, ABF -1.6. Tobacco held up, food and retail did not.

Banks -0.62% - a clean move together: LLOY -0.2, BARC -0.6, HSBA -0.7, NWG -0.7, STAN -0.9. Uniform risk-off, no idiosyncratic story. All five remain BULLISH above all EMAs.

Mining -0.67% - RIO -1.2, AAL -0.9, GLEN -0.7, ANTO +0.1. Copper and iron ore weakness plus Iran risk. Two EMA200 breaks in one session - this is the sector to be short or absent.

Pharma / Health -0.94% - GSK -1.7, AZN -1.4, RKT -0.4, HLN -0.2. AZN and GSK both moved together and both are technically damaged.

Utilities -1.27% - NG -1.6, SSE -0.9. Worst sector. NG broke EMA50 and POC.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS

Trend classification is a strict numeric close-versus-EMA test. Verified programmatically: 40 of 40 names re-checked, zero mismatches. CPG was corrected for a pounds-vs-pence units bug (all price fields x100).

BULLISH - above all three EMAs (20 names)
LLOY 111.25 -0.22% RSI 55.9 MACD bull-but-below-signal, above POC
BARC 513.60 -0.60% RSI 55.1 MACD below signal, above POC, -3.3% from 52w high
HSBA 1481.20 -0.74% RSI 59.4 MACD above signal, above POC
NWG 665.00 -0.66% RSI 56.7 MACD below signal, above POC
STAN 2085.00 -0.86% RSI 52.8 MACD below signal, above POC, -3.5% from 52w high
PRU 1056.00 +1.15% RSI 55.4 MACD above signal, above POC, FRESH EMA50/200 reclaim
HLN 372.70 -0.16% RSI 67.7 MACD above signal, above POC, ADX 31.4 - strongest RSI on board
AV 673.70 +0.16% RSI 64.8 MACD above signal, above POC, -3.9% from 52w high
ADM 3602.00 -1.26% RSI 56.1 MACD below signal, above POC, RSI -5.2
TSCO 479.90 -0.99% RSI 58.5 above POC
SSE 2465.47 -0.91% RSI 53.9 above POC
VOD 115.85 -1.66% RSI 61.6 MACD above signal, above POC
LGEN 296.10 -0.70% RSI 65.5 MACD bearish crossover, above POC, ADX 34.9
ABF 2020.00 -1.56% RSI 59.1 above POC, RSI -5.4
BNZL 2740.00 -2.00% RSI 63.7 above POC, RSI -11.0 - deteriorating
INF 886.00 +0.16% RSI 53.4 above POC, fresh EMA20 reclaim
SHEL 3223.00 -0.40% RSI 64.1 MACD below signal, above POC, ADX 27.7
BATS 4669.00 0.00% RSI 57.0 MACD BULLISH crossover, above POC, ADX 25.1
BP 522.00 +0.95% RSI 59.8 MACD above signal, BELOW POC 523.69
RTO 450.60 +0.13% RSI 55.4 BELOW POC 455.57, fresh EMA50 reclaim, ADX 13.2 weak

BULLISH above 20 and 50 but BELOW EMA200 (9 names)
EXPN 2784.70 +2.42% RSI 65.5 above POC, EMA200 2906.81 overhead, -32.0% from 52w high
WPP 288.80 +2.27% RSI 60.9 above POC, EMA200 310.40 overhead, -34.9% from 52w high
REL 2519.00 +0.92% RSI 59.1 above POC, EMA200 2751.50 overhead
DGE 1580.00 +0.38% RSI 57.3 above POC, EMA200 1637.91 overhead
SGE 851.60 +0.71% RSI 54.1 BELOW POC 854.88, EMA200 933.11 overhead
IMB 2843.00 -0.94% RSI 58.4 above POC, EMA200 2920.18 overhead, week +6.52%
ULVR 4647.50 -0.55% RSI 59.5 above POC, EMA200 4679.45 just overhead
RKT 5064.00 -0.43% RSI 59.8 above POC, EMA200 5229.48 overhead
LSEG 8856.00 -1.36% RSI 51.1 BELOW POC 8939.04, EMA200 9012.42 overhead

MIXED (4 names) - exact position stated
BAE 1884.50 +0.24% RSI 49.9 ABOVE EMA20 1877.57, BELOW EMA50 1917.54, BELOW EMA200 1932.43. Below POC.
NG 1236.50 -1.63% RSI 50.3 ABOVE EMA20 1235.49, BELOW EMA50 1240.30, ABOVE EMA200 1213.88. Below POC. Fresh EMA50 and POC breaks.
RR. 1363.40 -0.16% RSI 44.8 BELOW EMA20 1399.64, ABOVE EMA50 1352.95, ABOVE EMA200 1216.29. Above POC. 5-day down streak.
III 2529.00 -1.82% RSI 50.6 BELOW EMA20 2551.78, ABOVE EMA50 2502.88, BELOW EMA200 2935.20. Above POC. -43.8% from 52w high.

BEARISH below 20 and 50 but above EMA200 (4 names)
ANTO 3494.00 +0.09% RSI 38.5 below POC 3902.65, EMA200 3437.28 is the last line
GLEN 513.30 -0.66% RSI 42.0 below POC 557.93, EMA200 488.80
CPG 3154.00 -0.16% RSI 45.7 below POC 3162.00, EMA200 3080.00
GSK 1883.50 -1.72% RSI 39.8 below POC 1928.63, EMA200 1882.52 - one point away from full breakdown

BEARISH - below all three EMAs (3 names)
AZN 12414.00 -1.43% RSI 34.5 below POC 13527.09, -21.1% from 52w high. Weakest RSI on the board.
AAL 3369.00 -0.91% RSI 36.8 below POC 3773.55, FRESH EMA200 break, week -8.43%
RIO 6645.00 -1.20% RSI 35.4 below POC 7464.71, FRESH EMA200 break, MACD bearish crossover, ADX 41.3



TOP SWING SETUPS

1. PRU LONG - NEW (triggered Monday)
Entry: 1052-1058 · Stop: 1030 · T1: 1089.5 · T2: 1120 · R:R: 1.3 then 2.5
Reclaimed EMA50 (1045.91) and EMA200 (1051.41) in a single session, +1.15% on a red tape. Confluence is the point: EMA50, EMA200 and POC (1042.67) all cluster between 1042 and 1052, giving a tight, well-defined support shelf. Stop sits below Monday's low (1031.5) and EMA20 (1038.02). T1 is classic R3. Caveat: ADX 14.7 means no established trend yet and rv 0.52 is thin - this is an early-stage reclaim, not a momentum chase. Size accordingly.

2. BATS LONG - NEW (MACD crossover Monday)
Entry: 4660-4700 · Stop: 4548 · T1: 4855 · T2: 5010 · R:R: 1.4 then 2.6
MACD bullish crossover on a 4-day up streak, week +6.74%, weekly RSI +18.1 points. Bullish above all three EMAs with ADX 25.1 confirming a trend is forming. RSI 57.0 leaves genuine headroom - this is not extended. Stop is placed below the EMA20/EMA50 cluster (4553.71 / 4541.11) which also brackets POC at 4530.77 - a triple-confluence floor. Above 4705 (Monday high) the path to classic R3 4791.67 is clean. Tobacco was one of the few staples groups holding up.

3. EXPN LONG - CONTINUING (2-day up streak, accelerating)
Entry: 2770-2790 · Stop: 2680 · T1: 2890 · T2: 2990 · R:R: 1.1 then 2.1
Best FTSE performer Monday at +2.42% on a down day for the index - that is real relative strength. Week +4.49%, RSI 65.5, ADX 24.4, trading far above POC 2603.29. Stop below Camarilla S4 (2741.25) and the day's low (2707), sized at roughly 1 ATR (100.5). The wall: EMA200 sits at 2906.81 and the stock is 32.0% off its 52-week high - expect the first serious rejection there. T1 at classic R3 2890.47 is deliberately set just underneath it. Do not hold blindly through 2900.

4. RIO SHORT - NEW (EMA200 break Monday)
Entry: 6630-6650 · Stop: 6790 · T1: 6445 · T2: 6280 · R:R: 1.3 then 2.5
The highest-conviction short. Crossed below EMA200 (6654.74) AND printed a MACD bearish crossover on a 4-day down streak, all in one session. ADX 41.3 is the strongest trend reading on the entire board - this is a directional market, not chop. Price is a long way below POC 7464.71, meaning there is no volume shelf to catch it until well below current levels. RSI 35.4 is weak but not yet oversold-extreme. T1 is classic S3 6445. Invalidation is a reclaim of EMA200. Sector backdrop supports it: copper and iron ore under pressure, Iran risk premium in oil.

5. AAL SHORT - NEW (EMA200 break Monday)
Entry: below 3338 · Stop: 3420 · T1: 3261 · T2: 3150 · R:R: 0.9 then 2.3
Crossed below EMA200 (3372.15) and closed at 3369.00 - effectively sitting on it, so this needs a trigger rather than an immediate entry. Wait for a break of Monday's low at 3338 before engaging. Week -8.43% on a 4-day down streak, RSI 36.8, ADX 28.2, well below POC 3773.55. T1 is classic S3 3261.33. Caveat: T1 R:R is under 1 - the trade only pays properly if it runs to T2. Consider it a runner, not a scalp.



INTRADAY SETUPS

Important structural note: every one of the 40 tracked names closed INSIDE its Camarilla S3-R3 band. Not a single breakout or breakdown signal in the entire universe. Combined with universally thin relative volume, Monday was a compression day. The correct intraday playbook today is Camarilla range reversion - fade the extremes - and NOT breakout chasing. If a name does clear R3 or S3 with genuine volume, that becomes significant precisely because nothing did yesterday.

1. SHEL - Camarilla long reversion (trend-aligned)
Entry: 3197.56 (cam S3) · Stop: 3168 · T1: 3231.48 (cam R1) · T2: 3248.44 (cam R3) · R:R: 1.2 then 1.7
LONG. Bullish above all three EMAs with RSI 64.1 and ADX 27.7. Buying the S3 dip means buying with the daily trend, not against it. Stop sits below Camarilla S4 (3172.13). Oil holding a geopolitical bid supports the sector - Energy was one of only two green sectors.

2. RIO - Camarilla short reversion (trend-aligned)
Entry: 6683.78 (cam R3) · Stop: 6730 · T1: 6632.08 (cam S1) · T2: 6606.23 (cam S3) · R:R: 1.1 then 1.7
SHORT. Fading R3 also fades the freshly broken EMA200 at 6654.74 - a rally into 6683 is a retest of broken support from below, which is the textbook short entry. Stop above Camarilla R4 (6722.55). ADX 41.3 says the downtrend has real force behind it.

3. AZN - Camarilla short reversion (trend-aligned)
Entry: 12482.20 (cam R3) · Stop: 12560 · T1: 12391.27 (cam S1) · T2: 12345.80 (cam S3) · R:R: 1.2 then 1.7
SHORT. Bearish below all three EMAs, weakest RSI on the board at 34.5, trading 1113 points below POC 13527.09. Stop above Camarilla R4 (12550.40). Pharma was the second-worst sector Monday with AZN and GSK moving together. Large ATR (453.42) means position size must come down.

4. EXPN - Camarilla long reversion (momentum continuation)
Entry: 2762.98 (cam S3) · Stop: 2735 · T1: 2791.94 (cam R1) · T2: 2806.43 (cam R3) · R:R: 1.0 then 1.5
LONG. Same name as swing setup 3 but a tighter intraday expression. Buying the S3 dip in the day's strongest FTSE performer. Stop below Camarilla S4 (2741.25). Alternative aggressive trigger: a clean break of Monday's high 2786.00 targets classic R1 2811.47.

5. HSBA - Camarilla long reversion (trend-aligned)
Entry: 1475.10 (cam S3) · Stop: 1466 · T1: 1483.24 (cam R1) · T2: 1493.41 (cam R4) · R:R: 0.9 then 2.0
LONG. Bullish above all three EMAs, RSI 59.4, MACD above signal, ADX 31.0 - a strong trend. The whole banking sector fell uniformly Monday on macro risk-off rather than anything stock-specific, and all five UK banks remain technically bullish. That makes bank weakness a dip to buy rather than a trend change. Stop below Camarilla S4 (1468.99). T1 R:R is under 1, so weight the position toward T2.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

BATS close 4669.00 ATR 125.54 RSI 57.0 BULLISH
Cam: S4 4623.35 · S3 4646.18 · S1 4661.39 || R1 4676.61 · R3 4691.83 · R4 4714.65
Classic: S3 4542.67 · S2 4582.33 · S1 4625.67 · Pivot 4665.33 · R1 4708.67 · R2 4748.33 · R3 4791.67
EMAs: 20 4553.71 · 50 4541.11 · 200 4313.01 | POC 4530.77
Prev H/L: 4705.00 / 4622.00 | 52w H/L: 5326.00 / 3677.00

PRU close 1056.00 ATR 23.65 RSI 55.4 BULLISH
Cam: S4 1042.25 · S3 1049.13 · S1 1053.71 || R1 1058.29 · R3 1062.88 · R4 1069.75
Classic: S3 1014.50 · S2 1023.00 · S1 1039.50 · Pivot 1048.00 · R1 1064.50 · R2 1073.00 · R3 1089.50
EMAs: 20 1038.02 · 50 1045.91 · 200 1051.41 | POC 1042.67
Prev H/L: 1056.50 / 1031.50 | 52w H/L: 1238.00 / 910.20

EXPN close 2784.70 ATR 100.50 RSI 65.5 BULLISH above 20/50, below EMA200
Cam: S4 2741.25 · S3 2762.98 · S1 2777.46 || R1 2791.94 · R3 2806.43 · R4 2828.15
Classic: S3 2653.47 · S2 2680.23 · S1 2732.47 · Pivot 2759.23 · R1 2811.47 · R2 2838.23 · R3 2890.47
EMAs: 20 2648.22 · 50 2631.73 · 200 2906.81 | POC 2603.29
Prev H/L: 2786.00 / 2707.00 | 52w H/L: 4096.00 / 2324.00

SHEL close 3223.00 ATR 63.96 RSI 64.1 BULLISH
Cam: S4 3172.13 · S3 3197.56 · S1 3214.52 || R1 3231.48 · R3 3248.44 · R4 3273.88
Classic: S3 3086.17 · S2 3134.33 · S1 3178.67 · Pivot 3226.83 · R1 3271.17 · R2 3319.33 · R3 3363.67
EMAs: 20 3083.85 · 50 3103.90 · 200 3012.04 | POC 3128.23
Prev H/L: 3275.00 / 3182.50 | 52w H/L: 3591.50 / 2553.77

RIO close 6645.00 ATR 233.02 RSI 35.4 BEARISH
Cam: S4 6567.45 · S3 6606.23 · S1 6632.08 || R1 6657.93 · R3 6683.78 · R4 6722.55
Classic: S3 6445.00 · S2 6527.00 · S1 6586.00 · Pivot 6668.00 · R1 6727.00 · R2 6809.00 · R3 6868.00
EMAs: 20 6958.29 · 50 7200.67 · 200 6654.74 | POC 7464.71
Prev H/L: 6750.00 / 6609.00 | 52w H/L: 9117.00 / 4344.50



BEARISH WARNINGS

Ranked by freshness of breakdown - the newest breaks carry the most information.

1. RIO - broke EMA200 Monday. Simultaneous MACD bearish crossover, 4-day down streak, ADX 41.3. Nothing structurally supportive until well below 6445. Highest-conviction short on the board.

2. AAL - broke EMA200 Monday. Closed at 3369.00 against EMA200 3372.15, so it is balanced right on the line. Week -8.43%. Confirmation is a break of 3338.

3. NG - broke EMA50 AND POC Monday. Close 1236.50 vs EMA50 1240.30 and POC 1241.78, RSI -5.3 on the day. Worst sector on the board. EMA200 at 1213.88 is the next real support and it is only 23 points away.

4. GSK - one point from a full breakdown. Close 1883.50 against EMA200 1882.52. Already below EMA20 and EMA50, RSI 39.8, below POC. A close under 1882 flips it to bearish below all three EMAs and joins AZN. Watch this today.

5. III - broke EMA20 Monday. Week -4.64%, ADX 38.6, and 43.8% below its 52-week high - the deepest drawdown in the universe.

6. BNZL - the hidden one. Still technically bullish above all three EMAs, but RSI fell 11 points in a single session (largest drop on the board) on a -2.00% day, and rv was just 0.22. Momentum has broken before price has. EMA20 at 2672.67 is the level that matters.

7. AZN - already broken. Below all three EMAs, RSI 34.5 (weakest on board), 21.1% below its 52-week high, 1113 points below POC. No reversal signal present yet.

8. ANTO - EMA200 is the last line. Week -9.69%, the worst on the board. Below EMA20 and EMA50 with EMA200 at 3437.28 just 57 points below Monday's close. If that goes, all four major miners are in structural downtrends.



EVENTS CALENDAR

Confirmed
30 July - Bank of England MPC decision and quarterly Monetary Policy Report. Bank Rate currently 3.75% after four consecutive holds. This is the dominant scheduled UK risk event of the period.

This week
UK corporate reporting season is active - around 120 earnings reports were scheduled globally for Tuesday 21 July, with a run of FTSE 100 and FTSE 250 results and trading updates across the 20-24 July week. RIO's monthly output update is due later in July and is directly relevant to the short thesis above. I could not confirm a specific name-by-name FTSE 100 reporting schedule for today from available sources - check the RNS feed before opening positions in any tracked name, particularly the miners and pharma names flagged in the warnings section.

Live macro drivers
US-Iran tensions - driving the oil bid and the global risk-off tone that produced Monday's fall.
UK politics - Andy Burnham has taken office as PM; the Chancellor appointment is the near-term catalyst. Gilts were reported calm through the transition.
Commodities - copper, iron ore and lithium all under pressure, which is the direct cause of the mining sector breakdowns.

Ex-dividend dates - not available in this dataset. Verify independently before holding any of the income names (LGEN, AV, IMB, BATS, HSBA) through a setup.



SUMMARY

Index down but breadth constructive - 29 of 40 above their 20 and 50-day EMAs, 27 above POC. The damage is concentrated and identifiable: miners (two EMA200 breaks), pharma, utilities. Leadership sits in data and media names (EXPN, WPP, REL) and tobacco (BATS, IMB).

Longs: PRU is the cleanest fresh trigger, BATS the best momentum-plus-headroom combination, SHEL and HSBA the best trend-aligned intraday dip buys.
Shorts: RIO is the standout, with the strongest trend reading on the board and a fresh EMA200 break.
Watch: GSK sits one point from a full breakdown, BNZL is losing momentum beneath an intact price structure.

Two disciplines matter more than usual today. First, the 61-point futures discount is a dividend artefact, not a gap - do not fade or chase it. Second, no name closed outside its Camarilla band and 28 of 40 printed rv below 0.5. Trade reversion, not breakouts, and size for thin liquidity.

Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Monday 20 July 2026
Data: close Friday 17 July 2026 - latest scanner snapshot · UKX cash close: 10,600.37 (+28.13, +0.27%) · Futures: 10,482.3 (see roll note)



MARKET OVERVIEW

Data date: the scanner snapshot below is Friday 17 July's close. These are NOT live Monday levels - treat every price, pivot and Camarilla level as derived from Friday's session.

The FTSE 100 closed Friday at 10,600.37, up 28.13 points (+0.27%), finishing the week roughly +1%. London materially outperformed while a savage global semiconductor selloff hit Wall Street and Europe - the index's light technology weighting did the work. The intraday low was 10,527.65 before defensives dragged it back.

Futures - contract roll caveat. The quoted FTSE 100 future prints 10,482.3 (Investing.com), roughly 118 points BELOW the cash close. That discount is the dividend-discount effect on a far-dated contract after the quarterly roll - it is NOT a directional gap and should not be read as a 1.1% overnight drop. The reliable directional read is the sell-side opening call, which had the FTSE 100 seen opening around 0.15% lower - effectively flat-to-marginally-soft.

Macro drivers today:
- Andy Burnham becomes Prime Minister today, pledging an "unashamedly Labour" government focused on economic renewal, reindustrialisation and devolution away from Westminster. Market reaction to the leadership handover has so far been muted, but domestic-facing names, utilities and infrastructure/construction exposure carry headline risk in both directions.
- Middle East / Strait of Hormuz tensions remain the dominant risk input, and have driven the oil bid that is powering SHEL and BP.
- Global chip selloff continued into Friday - CDNS -12.65% and SNPS -11.42% on the week in the crossed US feed. FTSE has almost no direct exposure, which is precisely why it outperformed, but a second leg lower would eventually pull global risk appetite down with it.
- UK GDP returned to growth in May at +0.1% m/m, but industrial production fell 0.5% m/m against an expected -0.1%.



NOTABLE CHANGES - DAY OVER DAY

NG - the single biggest signal cluster on the board. RSI surged 10.6 points to 55.6, crossed ABOVE EMA20, ABOVE EMA50 and ABOVE POC, MACD bullish crossover, +3.3% on the day. Everything fired at once.

BATS - RSI +8.0 to 57.0, crossed ABOVE both EMA20 and EMA50, +2.95% on the day, +6.33% on the week. Now BULLISH above all three EMAs.

IMB - RSI +8.5 to 62.1, crossed ABOVE EMA50, MACD bullish crossover, +6.89% on the week with RSI up 24.1 points across five sessions. The strongest weekly momentum shift in the FTSE universe.

PRU - crossed BELOW EMA50 AND BELOW EMA200 on the same session. The freshest structural breakdown on the board.

LSEG - crossed BELOW EMA200, -1.28% on the day, RSI -3.9 to 54.9.

GSK - crossed BELOW POC on heavy volume (rv 1.70), -2.02%, RSI -5.8 to 44.2.

III - RSI dropped 9.8 points, MACD bearish crossover, -2.53% on the day.

AV - RSI surged 8.2 points to 64.3, +2.03%, second consecutive up day.



SECTOR HEATMAP

TOBACCO - STRONGEST. BATS +2.95%, IMB +2.32%. Both crossed above EMA50 on the same day, both with MACD confirmation, both up over 6% on the week. This is a genuine co-ordinated sector rotation, not two isolated moves.

UTILITIES - STRONG. NG +3.33%, SSE +2.43%. Classic defensive bid into a global tech selloff, and NG's move came with a full signal stack.

ENERGY - STRONG. SHEL +2.41%, BP +1.35%. Hormuz-driven crude bid. SHEL is BULLISH above all EMAs and above POC; BP is above all EMAs but still BELOW its POC at 524.34.

INSURANCE - FIRM BUT SPLIT. AV +2.03%, ADM +2.13%, LGEN +0.64% (MACD bullish crossover, 4-day up streak) - all three BULLISH above all EMAs. But PRU -0.85% broke below EMA50 and EMA200. Do not treat the sector as one trade.

MINING - WEAKEST. ANTO -2.70%, AAL -2.44%, RIO -0.22%, GLEN flat. Three-day down streaks on AAL and ANTO, heavy volume throughout (RIO rv 2.53, ANTO rv 2.45, AAL rv 1.91), and every one of them trading well below its POC. Heavy volume on downside is distribution, not capitulation - this sector is being sold, not shaken out.

PHARMA - WEAK. AZN -0.27% and the only stock on the board BEARISH below all three EMAs. GSK -2.02% and BEARISH below EMA20/50.

BANKS - MIXED. BARC -1.54%, STAN -1.22%, LLOY -1.02%, HSBA -0.11%, NWG +0.72%. All five remain BULLISH above all EMAs - Friday was profit-taking within an intact uptrend, not a trend change.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS

Trend classification is strict numeric close-versus-EMA. All 40 names were programmatically re-verified: zero mismatches.

BULLISH - above all EMAs (18):
ABF 2052.0 (+2.29%, RSI 64.5, -13.0% from 52wk high, above POC)
ADM 3648.0 (+2.13%, RSI 61.3, -2.2%, above POC)
AV 672.6 (+2.03%, RSI 64.3, -4.0%, above POC, RSI +8.2)
BARC 516.7 (-1.54%, RSI 56.9, -2.7%, above POC)
BATS 4669.0 (+2.95%, RSI 57.0, -12.3%, above POC, RSI +8.0)
BNZL 2796.0 (+0.50%, RSI 74.7 OVERBOUGHT, -0.1%, above POC)
BP 517.1 (+1.35%, RSI 58.0, -15.1%, below POC 524.34)
HLN 373.3 (+0.86%, RSI 68.4, -10.3%, above POC)
HSBA 1492.2 (-0.11%, RSI 62.6, -9.7%, above POC)
LGEN 298.2 (+0.64%, RSI 70.5 OVERBOUGHT, -3.8%, above POC)
LLOY 111.5 (-1.02%, RSI 56.8, -3.9%, above POC)
NG 1257.0 (+3.33%, RSI 55.6, -12.0%, above POC, RSI +10.6)
NWG 669.4 (+0.72%, RSI 59.1, -5.1%, above POC)
SHEL 3236.0 (+2.41%, RSI 65.6, -9.9%, above POC)
SSE 2488.0 (+2.43%, RSI 56.9, -13.0%, above POC, RSI +5.5)
STAN 2103.0 (-1.22%, RSI 55.3, -2.6%, above POC)
TSCO 484.7 (+1.32%, RSI 62.2, -6.9%, above POC)
VOD 117.8 (+1.33%, RSI 65.5, -10.1%, above POC)

BULLISH - above EMA20/50 but below EMA200 (10):
DGE 1574.0 (-0.38%, RSI 56.5, -26.5%, above POC)
EXPN 2719.0 (+1.42%, RSI 60.5, -33.6%, above POC)
III 2576.0 (-2.53%, RSI 55.3, -42.7%, above POC, RSI -9.
IMB 2870.0 (+2.32%, RSI 62.1, -14.1%, above POC, RSI +8.5)
LSEG 8978.0 (-1.28%, RSI 54.9, -17.2%, above POC)
REL 2496.0 (-0.24%, RSI 56.9, -37.7%, below POC 2480.8 - marginal)
RKT 5086.0 (-0.12%, RSI 61.7, -21.9%, above POC)
SGE 845.6 (-0.52%, RSI 52.3, -36.7%, below POC 855.2, rv 2.51 HEAVY)
ULVR 4673.0 (+0.92%, RSI 61.9, -15.4%, above POC)
WPP 282.4 (-2.22%, RSI 58.1, -36.3%, above POC)

BEARISH - below EMA20/50, above EMA200 (6):
AAL 3400.0 (-2.44%, RSI 37.8, -19.8%, below POC 3775.8, rv 1.91 HEAVY)
ANTO 3491.0 (-2.70%, RSI 38.4, -22.0%, below POC 3904.8, rv 2.45 HEAVY)
CPG 3159.0 (+1.09%, RSI 46.1, -15.7%, at POC 3160)
GLEN 516.7 (0.00%, RSI 43.5, -23.9%, below POC 558.1)
GSK 1916.5 (-2.02%, RSI 44.2, -16.0%, below POC 1931.7, rv 1.70 HEAVY, RSI -5.
RIO 6726.0 (-0.22%, RSI 37.4, -26.2%, below POC 7471.9, rv 2.53 HEAVY)

BEARISH - below all EMAs (1):
AZN 12594.0 (-0.27%, RSI 36.5, -19.9%, below POC 13546.6). MACD -307.96 against signal -136.56 - deeply negative and still widening.

MIXED (5):
BAE 1880.0 - above EMA20 1876.8, below EMA50 1918.9, below EMA200 1932.8 (+2.51%, RSI 49.4, crossed above EMA20)
INF 884.6 - below EMA20 885.7, above EMA50 859.7, above EMA200 846.1 (-1.62%, RSI 52.8, RSI -7.5, crossed below EMA20)
PRU 1044.0 - above EMA20 1036.1, below EMA50 1045.5, below EMA200 1051.4 (-0.85%, RSI 52.4, fresh double breakdown)
RR. 1365.6 - below EMA20 1403.5, above EMA50 1352.5, above EMA200 1215.0 (-0.93%, RSI 45.2, 5-day down streak)
RTO 450.0 - above EMA20 443.6, below EMA50 450.0, above EMA200 443.5 (+0.13%, RSI 54.9)

Data-quality flag: HSBA's Friday range reads high 1492.2 / low 1350.0 - a 142p spread against an ATR of 40.7. That low is almost certainly a bad print. HSBA's classic pivots and Camarilla levels are therefore unreliable and it has been excluded from the intraday setups below.



TOP SWING SETUPS

1. IMB - LONG - NEW
The cleanest fresh momentum shift on the board. Crossed above EMA50 at 2792.87, MACD bullish crossover, RSI +8.5 to 62.1, +6.89% on the week with RSI up 24.1 points across five days. Trading above POC 2776. Overhead resistance is EMA200 at 2920.96.
Entry: 2870 · Stop: 2826 · T1: 2921 · T2: 2990 · R:R: 1:1.2 then 1:2.7
Confluence: stop sits at Camarilla S4 2826 and just above EMA50 2792.87. T1 is the EMA200. T2 is classic R3 2989.67.
Caution: rv 0.53 - this rallied on thin volume. Size down or widen the stop to 2790 and halve the position.

2. NG - LONG - NEW
Six signals fired simultaneously: RSI +10.6, crossed above EMA20 1235.39, above EMA50 1240.46, above POC 1242.03, MACD bullish crossover, and a +3.3% daily move. Defensive utility bid with a domestic-infrastructure policy tailwind under the incoming government.
Entry: 1257 · Stop: 1234 · T1: 1313 · T2: 1360 · R:R: 1:2.4 then 1:4.5
Confluence: stop 1234 sits at Camarilla S4 1234.73 and beneath EMA20/EMA50/POC - all three cluster in a tight 1235-1242 band, so a break below 1234 invalidates the entire thesis at once. T1 is classic R3 1312.83.
Caution: rv 0.75 - thin. Also the most direct Burnham-headline exposure on this list, in both directions.

3. SHEL - LONG - CONTINUING
BULLISH above all EMAs, RSI 65.6, +2.41% on Friday, second consecutive up day, trading above POC 3129.53. The Hormuz crude bid is the live catalyst.
Entry: 3236 · Stop: 3169 · T1: 3356 · T2: 3450 · R:R: 1:1.8 then 1:3.2
Confluence: stop 3169 is Friday's low and a shade above classic S1 3185 - roughly 1.1 ATR of room. T1 is classic R3 3356.33.
Note: rv 1.11 - genuine participation, the best volume quality of the three longs. This is the highest-conviction setup on the board.

4. BATS - LONG - NEW
Crossed above EMA20 4541.57 and EMA50 4535.89 in the same session, RSI +8.0 to 57.0, above POC 4523.76, +6.33% on the week. EMA20 and EMA50 are only 6 points apart - a textbook compression-then-expansion base.
Entry: 4669 · Stop: 4530 · T1: 4827 · T2: 5000 · R:R: 1:1.1 then 1:2.4
Confluence: stop 4530 sits below the EMA20/EMA50/POC cluster at 4524-4542. T1 is classic R3 4827.33. rv 1.30 - decent conviction.
Note: still 12.3% below its 52-week high of 5326, so there is genuine room overhead.

5. BNZL - WATCH ONLY - NOT A BUY HERE
Sitting at 2796 against a 52-week high of 2800, five-day up streak, BULLISH above all EMAs. But RSI is 74.7 and OVERBOUGHT, and rv is only 0.74 - a five-day advance on below-average volume pressing into the highs. Wait for a breakout above 2800 that arrives with rv above 1.0, or a pullback towards EMA20 2665.59. Chasing here is poor risk.



INTRADAY SETUPS

All levels are Friday's Camarilla and classic pivots. Re-derive from Monday's actual open before acting.

1. SHEL - CAMARILLA BREAKOUT LONG
Trigger: sustained trade above Camarilla R3 3259.51 · Entry: 3260 · Stop: 3243 · T1: 3283 · T2: 3306 · R:R: 1:1.4 then 1:2.7
Why: closed at 3236, only 24 points below R3, with a live crude catalyst and daily trend fully aligned. Breaking R3 in a stock already above all EMAs is the highest-probability Camarilla long configuration. T1 is Camarilla R4 3283.03, T2 is classic R2 3305.67.

2. AAL - CAMARILLA RANGE SHORT
Trigger: rejection at Camarilla R3 3426.95 · Entry: 3425 · Stop: 3456 · T1: 3388 · T2: 3346 · R:R: 1:1.2 then 1:2.5
Why: BEARISH below EMA20 3642.67 and EMA50 3704.18, RSI 37.8, three-day down streak, heavy distribution volume (rv 1.91), and trading 375 points below POC 3775.84. Selling strength into R3 within a confirmed downtrend. Stop 3456 is just above Camarilla R4 3453.90. T1 is the pivot 3388, T2 is Camarilla S4 3346.10.

3. ANTO - CAMARILLA RANGE SHORT
Trigger: rejection at Camarilla R3 3535.55 · Entry: 3533 · Stop: 3582 · T1: 3460 · T2: 3402 · R:R: 1:1.5 then 1:2.7
Why: the weakest name in the weakest sector. RSI 38.4, -7.06% on the week, three-day down streak, rv 2.45 (heaviest genuine selling on the board), and 414 points below POC 3904.83. Stop 3582 sits above Camarilla R4 3580.10. T1 is the pivot 3460.33, T2 is Camarilla S4 3401.90.
Caution: ATR is 176 - this is the widest-ranging name here. Size accordingly.

4. LSEG - CAMARILLA BREAKDOWN SHORT
Trigger: sustained trade below Camarilla S3 8884.50 · Entry: 8880 · Stop: 8950 · T1: 8791 · T2: 8682 · R:R: 1:1.3 then 1:2.8
Why: freshly crossed BELOW EMA200 9013.99 and closed below POC 8966.82 - the first time both have broken together. Closed at 8978, right on Camarilla S1 8946.83. T1 is Camarilla S4 8791, T2 is classic S2 8682. Stop 8950 sits back above S1.
Caution: ATR reads 484.63 against a Friday range of only 340 - unusually wide. Treat the ATR-derived sizing with scepticism.

5. NG - CAMARILLA BREAKOUT LONG
Trigger: sustained trade above Camarilla R3 1268.14 · Entry: 1268 · Stop: 1258 · T1: 1279 · T2: 1288 · R:R: 1:1.1 then 1:2.0
Why: the intraday expression of swing setup 2. Closed 1257, just 11 points below R3, with six bullish signals firing on Friday. T1 is Camarilla R4 1279.28, T2 is classic R2 1287.67. Tight stop below Friday's close.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

SHEL - 3236.0
Cam: S4 3188.98 · S3 3212.49 · S1 3228.16 || R1 3243.84 · R3 3259.51 · R4 3283.03
Classic: S3 3099.83 · S2 3134.67 · S1 3185.33 · Pivot 3220.17 · R1 3270.83 · R2 3305.67 · R3 3356.33
EMAs: 20 = 3069.20 · 50 = 3099.04 · 200 = 3010.14 · POC 3129.53 · ATR 61.76 · rv 1.11
Prev H/L: 3255.0 / 3169.5 · 52wk H/L: 3591.5 / 2553.77

NG - 1257.0
Cam: S4 1234.73 · S3 1245.86 · S1 1253.29 || R1 1260.71 · R3 1268.14 · R4 1279.28
Classic: S3 1191.33 · S2 1206.67 · S1 1231.83 · Pivot 1247.17 · R1 1272.33 · R2 1287.67 · R3 1312.83
EMAs: 20 = 1235.39 · 50 = 1240.46 · 200 = 1213.65 · POC 1242.03 · ATR 28.14 · rv 0.75
Prev H/L: 1262.5 / 1222.0 · 52wk H/L: 1428.5 / 1000.0

IMB - 2870.0
Cam: S4 2826.00 · S3 2848.00 · S1 2862.67 || R1 2877.33 · R3 2892.00 · R4 2914.00
Classic: S3 2749.67 · S2 2789.33 · S1 2829.67 · Pivot 2869.33 · R1 2909.67 · R2 2949.33 · R3 2989.67
EMAs: 20 = 2764.60 · 50 = 2792.87 · 200 = 2920.96 · POC 2776.00 · ATR 75.75 · rv 0.53
Prev H/L: 2909.0 / 2829.0 · 52wk H/L: 3341.0 / 2626.0

AAL - 3400.0
Cam: S4 3346.10 · S3 3373.05 · S1 3391.02 || R1 3408.98 · R3 3426.95 · R4 3453.90
Classic: S3 3247.0 · S2 3290.0 · S1 3345.0 · Pivot 3388.0 · R1 3443.0 · R2 3486.0 · R3 3541.0
EMAs: 20 = 3642.67 · 50 = 3704.18 · 200 = 3372.19 · POC 3775.84 · ATR 137.59 · rv 1.91
Prev H/L: 3431.0 / 3333.0 · 52wk H/L: 4239.0 / 2042.0
Critical: EMA200 sits at 3372.19, only 28 points below Friday's close. Losing it turns AAL BEARISH below all EMAs.

ANTO - 3491.0
Cam: S4 3401.90 · S3 3446.45 · S1 3476.15 || R1 3505.85 · R3 3535.55 · R4 3580.10
Classic: S3 3232.67 · S2 3298.33 · S1 3394.67 · Pivot 3460.33 · R1 3556.67 · R2 3622.33 · R3 3718.67
EMAs: 20 = 3769.05 · 50 = 3828.43 · 200 = 3436.71 · POC 3904.83 · ATR 176.21 · rv 2.45
Prev H/L: 3526.0 / 3364.0 · 52wk H/L: 4475.0 / 1850.5
Critical: EMA200 at 3436.71 is only 54 points below the close, and Camarilla S3 3446.45 sits right on top of it. That 3437-3446 band is the line in the sand.



BEARISH WARNINGS

PRU - FRESHEST BREAKDOWN. Crossed BELOW EMA50 1045.50 AND BELOW EMA200 1051.36 in a single session, closing at 1044.0. RSI -5.0 to 52.4, second consecutive down day. Now MIXED - above EMA20 1036.13 but below both longer averages. EMA20 at 1036.13 is the last support standing; below it PRU is BEARISH below all EMAs.

LSEG - EMA200 LOST. Crossed BELOW EMA200 9013.99 and closed at 8978, also beneath POC 8966.82. -17.2% from its 52-week high. Two structural supports broke together.

AZN - THE ONLY FULL BEAR. The single name on the board BEARISH below all three EMAs. Close 12594 against EMA20 13323.43, EMA50 13621.06 and EMA200 13505.01 - it is 7% below its own 20-day. RSI 36.5, MACD -307.96 versus signal -136.56 and diverging further. Trading 953 points below POC 13546.63. No evidence of a base. Avoid longs entirely.

MINING COMPLEX - DISTRIBUTION. AAL, ANTO, RIO and GLEN are all BEARISH below EMA20/50 and all four trade below their POC. Crucially the selling is on heavy volume - RIO rv 2.53, ANTO rv 2.45, AAL rv 1.91. Volume expanding on the downside is institutional distribution, not a washout. RIO did post a MACD bullish crossover, but with price 746 points below POC 7471.95 and RSI at 37.4 that is a bounce signal inside a downtrend, not a reversal. Do not bottom-fish this sector yet.

GSK - POC LOST ON VOLUME. Crossed BELOW POC 1931.71 on rv 1.70, -2.02%, RSI -5.8 to 44.2. BEARISH below EMA20 1952.02 and EMA50 1954.74. EMA200 1883.01 is the next test, 33 points below.

III - MOMENTUM BREAK. RSI collapsed 9.8 points, MACD bearish crossover, -2.53%, rv 1.43. Still technically above EMA20/50 but 42.7% below its 52-week high - by far the largest drawdown on the board.

WATCH - INF. Crossed BELOW EMA20 885.70, RSI -7.5 to 52.8. Early-stage, but the first crack.

WATCH - SGE. rv 2.51 on a -0.52% day, closing below POC 855.20. Heavy volume with no price progress is usually a warning.

WATCH - RR.. Five-day down streak, -3.12% on the week, below EMA20 1403.50. Still above EMA50 and EMA200, so the primary trend is intact, but the short-term momentum has clearly rolled.



EVENTS CALENDAR

Today, Monday 20 July - Andy Burnham formally becomes Prime Minister. Expect a first policy statement on economic renewal, reindustrialisation and devolution. Highest headline sensitivity: utilities (NG, SSE), construction and infrastructure, domestic banks, and anything with regulated-return exposure. This is the dominant scheduled event of the day for UK equities.

Ongoing - Middle East / Strait of Hormuz. Unscheduled but the single largest driver of SHEL and BP, and a live tail risk for the whole index. Any escalation headline moves energy first and the index second.

This week - a heavy UK reporting week, building through midweek: roughly 46 companies report Monday, 120 Tuesday, 182 Wednesday, 271 Thursday and 102 Friday across the whole UK market. Wednesday and Thursday are the concentration points.

Recent context - Burberry fell 6.4% on Q2 earnings that missed, with management flagging Middle East conflict as a demand risk. Relevant read-across for luxury and discretionary exposure.

Honest caveat: individual FTSE 100 reporting dates for this week could not be confirmed to a reliable source in this run. Check the RNS calendar directly before holding any of the above setups through a results date. IMB, BATS, SHEL, NG, AAL and ANTO should all be checked specifically.



SUMMARY

Friday's session was a clean defensive rotation - tobacco, utilities and energy bid hard while miners were distributed on heavy volume and pharma stayed broken. The FTSE's structural advantage right now is what it does not own: with global semis in a genuine drawdown, London's lack of tech exposure is a feature.

The board is net constructive - 28 of 40 names are above both EMA20 and EMA50, only one is bearish below all three. But the leadership has rotated decisively into defensives, which is not typically what a market looks like when it is about to run.

Highest conviction: SHEL long - the only setup combining full trend alignment, a live catalyst and genuine volume (rv 1.11). IMB and NG have the better signal stacks but both rallied on thin volume, so size them down.
Highest conviction short: ANTO - weakest name, weakest sector, heaviest genuine selling.
Avoid entirely: AZN, and do not bottom-fish the miners.

Remember every level here is Friday's. Re-derive pivots from Monday's open, and respect the futures roll caveat - the 118-point discount is mechanical, not directional.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Friday 17 July 2026
Data: close Thu 16 Jul (latest scanner snapshot, 40 FTSE names) · UKX cash close 10,572.24 (+0.5%) · FTSE futures (Sep-26 contract) ~10,482 - Investing.com


MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 closed Thursday at 10,572.24, up 56.32 (+0.5%), recovering from an early -0.4% dip. Engineers led after ABB's GBP 4.1bn / 506p cash bid for Rotork (73% premium). UK May GDP rose +0.1% m/m with 3-month growth at +0.7%, the fastest in 13 months, but gilts and the pound stayed nervous around the new Chancellor's appointment. Middle East tension (US-Iran, Hormuz) keeps oil bid - a tailwind for SHEL and BP - while soft China GDP hit miners hard: ANTO -4.1%, AAL -1.7%, RIO -1.9%.
Futures check: the front future (Sep-26, post-June roll) trades ~10,482 vs cash 10,572. Most of that ~90pt discount is the September contract's dividend discount, NOT a directional gap - read the open as broadly flat-to-cautious. Swing factors this morning: UK June retail sales and flash PMIs (UK/EZ/US) released today.


NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day, from compare feed)
ANTO - MACD bearish crossover (NEW), big move -4.1%, week -5.2%. China GDP driven.
WPP - +4.0% on rv 1.23 (best volume in the book), week +6.4%. Recovery gathering pace.
VOD - +3.4%, week +5.3%, bull above all EMAs. Momentum leader.
BP - crossed ABOVE EMA50 (NEW), week +6.1% on the oil bid.
BATS - RSI surged +8.9 pts and crossed ABOVE POC (NEW). Tobacco bid returning; IMB also reclaimed EMA20 + POC (RSI +7.0).
RTO - crossed ABOVE EMA20 AND EMA200 in one session (NEW). Watch follow-through vs EMA50 449.9.
BNZL - MACD bullish crossover on a 5-day up streak, closed AT its 52w high 2,780.
NG - MACD bearish crossover (NEW), below EMA20/50 and POC. CPG also broke BELOW POC (NEW).
Also: DGE MACD bullish crossover; GSK, SHEL and REL all reclaimed POC; ULVR RSI +5.1; RR. on a 5-day down streak.


SECTOR HEATMAP
BANKS - strongest cluster: LLOY, BARC, HSBA, STAN, NWG all bull above all EMAs, BARC/STAN within 2% of 52w highs.
ENERGY - SHEL bull above all + POC reclaim, BP back above EMA50; Hormuz risk premium supportive.
CONSUMER STAPLES / TOBACCO - broad rotation: BATS, IMB, DGE, ULVR, TSCO, ABF all improved together - the week's clearest group move.
FINANCIALS/INSURERS - PRU, AV, LGEN, ADM, III all constructive; LGEN RSI 68.5.
MEDIA/COMMS - WPP and VOD leading the week (+6.4% / +5.3%); REL, INF steady bulls.
MINERS - weakest cluster: AAL, ANTO, GLEN, RIO all below EMA20/50 and below POC on soft China data.
PHARMA - split: AZN bear below all EMAs (RSI 36.9) while GSK recovers above POC and HLN is bull above all.
DEFENCE/UTILITIES - BAE bear below all (-22.5% vs 52wH); NG fresh MACD bear cross; SSE the exception (bull, rv 1.08).


DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS (close 16 Jul)
MACD key: Bull/Bear = vs signal line, +/- = above/below zero. rv = relative volume (>1.5 heavy, <0.5 thin).

AAL 3,486.0 (-1.7%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 40.7 · MACD Bear- · -17.8% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.37
ABF 2,006.0 (+2.0%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 59.6 · MACD Bull+ · -15.0% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.27
ADM 3,580.0 (-0.4%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 55.8 · MACD Bear+ · -4.0% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.18
ANTO 3,589.0 (-4.1%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 41.2 · MACD Bear- · -19.8% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.46
AV 657.6 (+0.1%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 56.1 · MACD Bear+ · -6.2% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.43
AZN 12,630.0 (+0.5%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 36.9 · MACD Bear- · -19.7% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.34
BAE 1,829.5 (+0.9%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 42.8 · MACD Bear- · -22.5% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.30
BARC 522.4 (-0.4%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.5 · MACD Bear+ · -1.7% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.37
BATS 4,520.0 (+3.0%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 49.0 · MACD Bear- · -15.1% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.44
BNZL 2,778.8 (+2.2%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 73.4 · MACD Bull+ · -0.0% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.20
BP 510.5 (+0.6%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 55.4 · MACD Bull- · -16.2% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.34
CPG 3,115.0 (-1.2%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 42.4 · MACD Bear- · -16.9% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.38
DGE 1,572.5 (+2.7%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 56.6 · MACD Bull+ · -26.6% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.56
EXPN 2,694.0 (-0.6%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 58.7 · MACD Bull+ · -34.3% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 1.15
GLEN 516.8 (-0.1%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 43.5 · MACD Bull- · -23.9% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.35
GSK 1,954.0 (+2.0%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 50.0 · MACD Bear+ · -14.4% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.33
HLN 369.1 (+2.8%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 65.9 · MACD Bull+ · -11.3% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.47
HSBA 1,485.4 (+0.4%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 61.7 · MACD Bull+ · -10.2% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.42
III 2,663.0 (+0.2%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 65.1 · MACD Bull+ · -40.8% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.41
IMB 2,785.0 (+1.7%) · Mixed (>20, <50/200) · RSI 53.6 · MACD Bear- · -16.6% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.27
INF 898.4 (+0.2%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.3 · MACD Bear+ · -10.2% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.18
LGEN 296.3 (+0.4%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 68.5 · MACD Bear+ · -4.4% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.44
LLOY 112.3 (-0.2%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 59.8 · MACD Bear+ · -3.2% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.83
LSEG 9,096.0 (+0.2%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 58.8 · MACD Bull+ · -16.7% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.23
NG 1,216.5 (-1.5%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 45.0 · MACD Bear+ · -14.8% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.32
NWG 659.6 (-0.6%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 54.9 · MACD Bear+ · -6.5% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.91
PRU 1,061.0 (-1.0%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 57.4 · MACD Bull+ · -14.3% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.28
REL 2,500.0 (-0.0%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 57.4 · MACD Bull+ · -37.7% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.41
RIO 6,738.0 (-1.9%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 37.7 · MACD Bear- · -26.1% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.42
RKT 5,090.0 (+1.8%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 62.1 · MACD Bear+ · -21.9% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.49
RR. 1,374.6 (-1.2%) · Mixed (>50/200, <20) · RSI 46.6 · MACD Bear+ · -9.0% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.32
RTO 447.9 (+1.7%) · Mixed (>20/200, <50) · RSI 53.3 · MACD Bull- · -11.7% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.22
SGE 852.6 (-0.0%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 54.6 · MACD Bull+ · -36.1% vs 52wH · below POC · rv 0.35
SHEL 3,159.5 (+1.0%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.3 · MACD Bull+ · -12.0% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.59
SSE 2,439.0 (-1.2%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 51.4 · MACD Bull+ · -14.7% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 1.08
STAN 2,124.0 (-0.5%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 58.4 · MACD Bear+ · -1.7% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.29
TSCO 477.0 (+1.1%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 58.3 · MACD Bull+ · -8.4% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.15
ULVR 4,615.5 (+1.2%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 58.4 · MACD Bear+ · -16.5% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.37
VOD 116.0 (+3.4%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 63.5 · MACD Bull+ · -11.5% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 0.58
WPP 289.0 (+4.0%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 62.3 · MACD Bull+ · -34.8% vs 52wH · above POC · rv 1.23

EMA verification: all 40 classifications re-checked programmatically vs EMA20/50/200 - 0 mismatches.


TOP SWING SETUPS
1. SHEL - LONG · POC reclaim + oil tailwind (NEW)
Entry: 3,150 · Stop: 3,085 · T1: 3,239 (R3) · T2: 3,320 · R:R: 1.4 / 2.6
Bull above all EMAs, MACD Bull+, RSI 60.3. Crossed above POC 3,129.5 yesterday (NEW signal); stop sits under EMA50 3,093.4 and yesterday's 3,110 low. Confluence: POC + Cam S4 3,127.9 + classic S1 3,123.8 stack as support. rv 0.59 - moderate; oil headlines the driver.

2. VOD - LONG · momentum pullback (CONTINUING)
Entry: 114.5 (pullback) · Stop: 111.3 · T1: 118.0 (R1) · T2: 121.0 · R:R: 1.1 / 2.0
+3.4% yesterday, +5.3% on the week, bull above all EMAs, MACD Bull+, RSI 63.5 with room. Stop under POC 111.4 and yesterday's 110.0 low. Chasing at 116 is poor location - wait for the classic pivot 114.0 zone.

3. WPP - LONG · volume-backed recovery (NEW)
Entry: 286.0 (retest) · Stop: 273.0 · T1: 303.5 (R3) · T2: 310.9 (EMA200) · R:R: 1.3 / 1.9
+4.0% on rv 1.23 - the only name in the book with above-average volume conviction. Above EMA20/50, still 34.8% below its 52w high, so this is a recovery trade into the EMA200 310.9 magnet. Entry at Cam S3 / classic pivot 286 retest; stop under S2 275.9.

4. DGE - LONG · fresh MACD bull cross from a deep base (NEW)
Entry: 1,560 · Stop: 1,508 · T1: 1,614 (R2) · T2: 1,656 (R3) · R:R: 1.0 / 1.8
MACD bullish crossover yesterday, +2.7%, RSI 56.6 rising, above EMA20/50 with POC 1,525.3 directly behind entry as support. Still -26.6% from the 52w high - early-stage turn, scale T1 then run.

5. BNZL - LONG · 52w-high breakout (CONTINUING - manage the OB RSI)
Entry: 2,790 (break of 2,780) · Stop: 2,734 · T1: 2,834 (R2) · T2: 2,889 (R3) · R:R: 0.8 / 1.8
Closed AT its 52w high on a fresh MACD bull cross and 5-day streak. RSI 73.4 is overbought and rv 0.20 is thin - half size, stop at Cam S4 2,733.7, trail rather than target-and-hope.


INTRADAY SETUPS (today, 17 Jul)
LLOY - pivot bounce LONG
Entry: 112.20 hold · Stop: 111.00 · T1: 113.3 (R1) · T2: 114.4 (R2) · R:R: 0.9 / 1.8
Price sits on the classic pivot 112.2; Cam S4 111.1 + yesterday's low 111.05 back the stop. rv 0.83 - best liquidity read in the banks.

BARC - Camarilla range LONG
Entry: 519.5 (Cam S3) · Stop: 516.4 · T1: 523.4 (Cam R1) · T2: 525.3 (Cam R3) · R:R: 1.3 / 1.9
Bull above all, 1.7% from its 52w high 531.3. Buy the S3 dip while 516.5 (Cam S4) holds; above 528.3 (Cam R4) it becomes a breakout to 533.4 (classic R2).

SHEL - Camarilla breakout LONG
Entry: 3,192 (above Cam R4 3,191.1) · Stop: 3,169 · T1: 3,239 (classic R3) · R:R: 2.0
Only on an oil-headline push; stop back inside Cam R2 3,170. Complements the swing entry below the market.

HSBA - pivot bounce LONG
Entry: 1,482 · Stop: 1,470 · T1: 1,492 (R1) · T2: 1,499 (R2) · R:R: 0.8 / 1.4
Pivot 1,481.9 with yesterday's low 1,471.6 behind the stop. Bull above all EMAs, RSI 61.7.

AZN - Camarilla breakdown SHORT
Entry: 12,480 (below Cam S4 12,484. · Stop: 12,560 · T1: 12,291 (S2) · T2: 12,197 (S3) · R:R: 2.4 / 3.5
Weakest large cap on the tape: bear below all EMAs, RSI 36.9, below POC. rv 0.34 is thin - size down and only take it on a weak tape (retail sales miss).


KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
LLOY (112.3)
Cam: S4 111.1 · S3 111.7 · S1 112.1 || R1 112.5 · R3 112.9 · R4 113.5
Classic: S3 109.0 · S2 110.0 · S1 111.2 · P 112.2 · R1 113.3 · R2 114.4 · R3 115.5
EMA20 110.4 · EMA50 106.2 · EMA200 97.2 · POC 102.1
Prev H/L: 113.2 / 111.0 · 52w H/L: 116.0 / 74.4

BARC (522.4)
Cam: S4 516.5 · S3 519.5 · S1 521.4 || R1 523.4 · R3 525.3 · R4 528.3
Classic: S3 506.6 · S2 512.0 · S1 517.2 · P 522.7 · R1 527.9 · R2 533.4 · R3 538.5
EMA20 508.5 · EMA50 485.1 · EMA200 437.6 · POC 463.6
Prev H/L: 528.2 / 517.5 · 52w H/L: 531.3 / 343.9

SHEL (3,159.5)
Cam: S4 3,127.9 · S3 3,143.7 · S1 3,154.2 || R1 3,164.8 · R3 3,175.3 · R4 3,191.1
Classic: S3 3,066.3 · S2 3,088.2 · S1 3,123.8 · P 3,145.7 · R1 3,181.3 · R2 3,203.2 · R3 3,238.8
EMA20 3,051.6 · EMA50 3,093.4 · EMA200 3,007.9 · POC 3,129.5
Prev H/L: 3,167.5 / 3,110.0 · 52w H/L: 3,591.5 / 2,553.8

VOD (116.0)
Cam: S4 112.7 · S3 114.3 · S1 115.5 || R1 116.5 · R3 117.7 · R4 119.3
Classic: S3 105.9 · S2 108.0 · S1 112.0 · P 114.0 · R1 118.0 · R2 120.1 · R3 124.1
EMA20 107.5 · EMA50 108.7 · EMA200 103.7 · POC 111.4
Prev H/L: 116.0 / 110.0 · 52w H/L: 131.1 / 80.7

AZN (12,630.0)
Cam: S4 12,484.8 · S3 12,557.4 · S1 12,605.8 || R1 12,654.2 · R3 12,702.6 · R4 12,775.2
Classic: S3 12,196.7 · S2 12,291.3 · S1 12,460.7 · P 12,555.3 · R1 12,724.7 · R2 12,819.3 · R3 12,988.7
EMA20 13,400.4 · EMA50 13,663.1 · EMA200 13,514.2 · POC 13,575.3
Prev H/L: 12,650.0 / 12,386.0 · 52w H/L: 15,730.0 / 10,178.0


BEARISH WARNINGS
ANTO - FRESH MACD bearish crossover, -4.1% day, -5.2% week, below EMA20/50 and POC 3,918.8. Next support classic S1 3,519 then S2 3,449.
NG - FRESH MACD bearish crossover, below EMA20/50 and POC 1,242.6; EMA200 1,213.2 is the line - a close below opens 1,193 (S2).
CPG - FRESH break BELOW POC 3,156, below EMA20/50, -3.2% on the week. 3,078 (EMA200) is the must-hold.
RR. - 5-day down streak, below EMA20 1,407.1. Holding EMA50 1,351.8 / classic S1 1,352.3 - a break targets 1,330 (S2).
AZN - bear below all EMAs, RSI 36.9, -19.7% vs 52wH. No bottoming signal yet; see short setup above.
RIO - RSI 37.7, below EMA20/50 and 10.3% below POC; EMA200 6,654.1 test underway - miners stay sold while China data disappoints.


EVENTS CALENDAR
Today (Fri 17 Jul): UK June retail sales + flash PMIs for UK, Eurozone and US - the day's main tape risk (Investing.com / Trading Economics calendars).
Ex-dividend: the week's ex-div day passed Thursday 16 Jul (Next, Games Workshop, JD Sports, F&C IT - none in our tracked 40; ~6.5% of index weight marked ex per interactive investor).
Earnings: no confirmed prints from the tracked 40 today; US Q2 earnings season is in full swing and sets the risk tone. Late-July UK big-cap reporting season (banks, energy) starts next week - check RNS before positioning.
Macro next week (20-26 Jul): rate decisions and flash-data follow-through per the weekly calendars - full preview in Monday's report.


Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Thursday 16 July 2026
Data: close 15 Jul (latest scanner snapshot) · UKX ~10,480 cash · FTSE future ~10,425 (Investing.com, front contract)



MARKET OVERVIEW
Levels below are the 15 July close — the freshest scanner snapshot on the feed (no 16 Jul data posted yet). FTSE future was quoted around 10,425 (Investing.com) versus a cash close near 10,480 on the 15th; the small gap is broadly the dividend/contract-roll discount rather than a hard directional signal, so treat the open as roughly FLAT to slightly soft. The 15th saw miners drag the index while banks held firm. Macro backdrop: BoE Bank Rate 3.75%, UK CPI 2.8% (May), with forecasters eyeing ~3.5% into Q4 on the energy cap. US-Iran / Strait of Hormuz tension keeps a bid under crude. Not financial advice.



NOTABLE CHANGES (day over day)
DGE · RECOVERING — crossed ABOVE EMA20, EMA50 and POC in one session (+1.8%)
NG · BEARISH — crossed BELOW EMA20, EMA50 and POC
ANTO · BEARISH — crossed BELOW EMA20 and EMA50, -3.2% on the day
LSEG · BULLISH — crossed ABOVE EMA200 and POC (fresh reclaim)
REL · BULLISH — crossed ABOVE EMA50, +2.2%
VOD · BEARISH — RSI dropped 9.2 pts, -3.6% after a +15% week
IMB · RSI surged 10.3 pts on a +2.3% day, but still below all EMAs
BP · crossed BELOW EMA50 despite a firm oil tape



SECTOR HEATMAP
Media/Data · +1.61%
Banks · +0.51%
Consumer/Staples · +0.47%
Insurance/Fin · +0.34%
Pharma/Health · +0.35%
Defence/Ind · -0.46%
Utilities · -0.45%
Oil · -0.49%
Miners · -2.48%
Telecom · -3.64%
Leaders: Media/Data, Banks, Staples. Laggards: Telecom (VOD), Miners.



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS
IMB BEARISH (<all) · RSI 47(neutral) · MACD bear · -18% from 52wH · +2.32% · below POC RSIΔ+10.3
REL BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 57(neutral) · MACD bull · -38% from 52wH · +2.21% · below POC
DGE BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 51(neutral) · MACD bear · -28% from 52wH · +1.79% · above POC
EXPN BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 61(neutral) · MACD bull · -34% from 52wH · +1.59% · above POC
INF BULLISH (>all) · RSI 58(neutral) · MACD bear · -11% from 52wH · +1.50% · above POC RSIΔ+5.4
NWG BULLISH (>all) · RSI 56(neutral) · MACD bear · -6% from 52wH · +1.35% · above POC
WPP BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 58(neutral) · MACD bull · -37% from 52wH · +1.13% · above POC
AZN BEARISH (<all) · RSI 35(neutral) · MACD bear · -20% from 52wH · +1.02% · below POC
LSEG BULLISH (>all) · RSI 58(neutral) · MACD bull · -17% from 52wH · +1.00% · above POC
BARC BULLISH (>all) · RSI 61(neutral) · MACD bear · -2% from 52wH · +0.83% · above POC
RKT BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 57(neutral) · MACD bear · -23% from 52wH · +0.79% · above POC
SGE BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 56(neutral) · MACD bull · -36% from 52wH · +0.64% · below POC
PRU BULLISH (>all) · RSI 61(neutral) · MACD bull · -13% from 52wH · +0.49% · above POC
LLOY BULLISH (>all) · RSI 60(neutral) · MACD bear · -3% from 52wH · +0.49% · above POC
LGEN BULLISH (>all) · RSI 66(neutral) · MACD bear · -5% from 52wH · +0.44% · above POC
III BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 66(neutral) · MACD bull · -41% from 52wH · +0.38% · above POC
RTO BEARISH (<all) · RSI 46(neutral) · MACD bull · -13% from 52wH · +0.37% · below POC
BATS BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 40(neutral) · MACD bear · -18% from 52wH · +0.34% · below POC
STAN BULLISH (>all) · RSI 60(neutral) · MACD bear · -1% from 52wH · +0.33% · above POC
BNZL BULLISH (>all) · RSI 69(neutral) · MACD bear · -0% from 52wH · +0.29% · above POC
ADM BULLISH (>all) · RSI 56(neutral) · MACD bear · -4% from 52wH · +0.22% · above POC
HLN BULLISH (>all) · RSI 60(neutral) · MACD bull · -13% from 52wH · +0.11% · above POC
SSE BULLISH (>all) · RSI 56(neutral) · MACD bull · -14% from 52wH · +0.08% · above POC
CPG BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 46(neutral) · MACD bear · -15% from 52wH · +0.00% · above POC
GSK BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 43(neutral) · MACD bear · -16% from 52wH · -0.08% · below POC
SHEL BULLISH (>all) · RSI 58(neutral) · MACD bull · -13% from 52wH · -0.13% · below POC
ULVR BULLISH (>20/50) · RSI 53(neutral) · MACD bear · -18% from 52wH · -0.29% · above POC
HSBA BULLISH (>all) · RSI 61(neutral) · MACD bull · -11% from 52wH · -0.43% · above POC
AV BULLISH (>all) · RSI 56(neutral) · MACD bear · -6% from 52wH · -0.52% · above POC
TSCO BULLISH (>all) · RSI 56(neutral) · MACD bull · -9% from 52wH · -0.74% · above POC
ABF BULLISH (>all) · RSI 55(neutral) · MACD bull · -16% from 52wH · -0.75% · above POC
BP MIXED >20 <50 >200 · RSI 55(neutral) · MACD bull · -17% from 52wH · -0.86% · below POC
NG BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 50(neutral) · MACD bull · -14% from 52wH · -0.98% · below POC
RR. MIXED <20 >50 >200 · RSI 49(neutral) · MACD bear · -9% from 52wH · -1.02% · above POC
RIO BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 40(neutral) · MACD bear · -25% from 52wH · -1.25% · below POC
BAE BEARISH (<all) · RSI 41(neutral) · MACD bear · -23% from 52wH · -1.84% · below POC
GLEN BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 45(neutral) · MACD bull · -23% from 52wH · -2.11% · below POC
ANTO BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 46(neutral) · MACD bull · -16% from 52wH · -3.18% · below POC
AAL BEARISH (<20/50) · RSI 43(neutral) · MACD bear · -16% from 52wH · -3.37% · below POC
VOD BULLISH (>all) · RSI 60(neutral) · MACD bull · -14% from 52wH · -3.64% · above POC RSIΔ-9.2



TOP SWING SETUPS
LSEG — LONG (NEW)
BULLISH — reclaimed EMA200 (9013) and POC today. Trigger on hold above 9013.
Entry: 9050 · Stop: 8820 · T1: 9330 · T2: 9615 · R:R: 1.2

REL — LONG (NEW)
BULLISH — crossed above EMA50 (2453), above POC 2493. Momentum turn.
Entry: 2495 · Stop: 2418 · T1: 2556 · T2: 2620 · R:R: 0.8

DGE — LONG (NEW)
RECOVERING — triple reclaim (EMA20/50 + POC) in one session. Base breakout.
Entry: 1536 · Stop: 1500 · T1: 1575 · T2: 1610 · R:R: 1.1

BNZL — LONG (CONTINUING)
BULLISH — at 52w high 2726, RSI 68.6, miles above POC. Note thin volume (rv 0.17) — size down.
Entry: 2727 · Stop: 2672 · T1: 2790 · T2: 2850 · R:R: 1.1

ANTO — SHORT (NEW)
BEARISH — lost EMA20/50 today, below POC 3921. Miner weakness.
Entry: 3730 · Stop: 3810 · T1: 3640 · T2: 3560 · R:R: 1.1



INTRADAY SETUPS
BNZL — Camarilla breakout LONG
Above R1 2727.5 targets R3 2734 then R4 2745. Fresh 52w-high momentum; abandon below pivot 2713.

LSEG — Camarilla range LONG
Bounce off S1 8953 toward pivot 8747... use R1 9143 as target; stop below S3 8764.

ANTO — Camarilla breakdown SHORT
Below S1 3726 targets S3 3687; invalidate back above pivot 3749. Aligns with daily EMA loss.

BP — Pivot short
Below pivot 511.8 and EMA50 509.2, target Cam S3 505.7 / classic S1 505; stop 514.

VOD — Pivot reversion SHORT
Failed at pivot 113.4 after -3.6% day; below 112.3 targets S1 111.5 / POC 111.2. Watch POC as support.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD
BNZL (close 2724)
Cam: S4 2703.1 · S3 2713.55 · S1 2720.52 || R1 2727.48 · R3 2734.45 · R4 2744.9
Classic: S3 2661.33 · S1 2699.33 · Pivot 2712.67 · R1 2737.33 · R3 2775.33
EMA20 2638.87 · EMA50 2536.51 · EMA200 2401.23 · POC 2491.21 · 52wH 2726 · 52wL 1981

LSEG (close 9048)
Cam: S4 8479.3 · S3 8763.65 · S1 8953.22 || R1 9142.78 · R3 9332.35 · R4 9616.7
Classic: S3 7346.67 · S1 8380.67 · Pivot 8747.33 · R1 9414.67 · R3 10448.7
EMA20 8770.44 · EMA50 8834.48 · EMA200 9013.06 · POC 8992 · 52wH 10925 · 52wL 6684

REL (close 2493)
Cam: S4 2430.3 · S3 2461.65 · S1 2482.55 || R1 2503.45 · R3 2524.35 · R4 2555.7
Classic: S3 2310 · S1 2424 · Pivot 2469 · R1 2538 · R3 2652
EMA20 2419.91 · EMA50 2452.86 · EMA200 2758.83 · POC 2493.06 · 52wH 4011 · 52wL 1991

DGE (close 1534.5)
Cam: S4 1515.25 · S3 1524.88 · S1 1531.29 || R1 1537.71 · R3 1544.13 · R4 1553.75
Classic: S3 1477.83 · S1 1512.83 · Pivot 1526.17 · R1 1547.83 · R3 1582.83
EMA20 1528.1 · EMA50 1525.96 · EMA200 1639.22 · POC 1525.35 · 52wH 2142 · 52wL 1295.5

ANTO (close 3746)
Cam: S4 3627.2 · S3 3686.6 · S1 3726.2 || R1 3765.8 · R3 3805.4 · R4 3864.8
Classic: S3 3423.33 · S1 3639.33 · Pivot 3748.67 · R1 3855.33 · R3 4071.33
EMA20 3821.59 · EMA50 3853.03 · EMA200 3434.75 · POC 3920.78 · 52wH 4475 · 52wL 1811



BEARISH WARNINGS
ANTO · fresh loss of EMA20 and EMA50 today; below POC 3921 — leading the miner slide.
NG · crossed below EMA20/50 and POC in one session — utility weakness.
GLEN · crossed below EMA20; miner sector heavy (-2.5% avg).
AZN · BEARISH below all EMAs, RSI 34.6, -5.4% on the week — no bottom signal yet.
BP · lost EMA50 despite firm crude — watch 505 support.
IMB · up 2.3% but still below all EMAs (RSI 46.6) — relief bounce, not a trend change.
VOD · sharp -3.6% reversal, RSI -9.2 pts after an overbought week.



EVENTS CALENDAR (this week)
UK CPI (Jun) print and labour data in focus; BoE Bank Rate held at 3.75%. US bank earnings run continues and sets the tone for UK financials. Oil headline risk around US-Iran / Strait of Hormuz. Confirm individual ex-dividend and RNS dates on your broker before trading.



Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

Wednesday 15 July 2026
Data: close 14 Jul (latest scanner snapshot) - UKX: 10,529.39 (+0.30%) - Futures: ~10,425 (Investing.com, 07:00; Sep contract trades below cash on dividend discount - NOT a directional gap; futures firmed from a 10,393 open, pointing to a flat-to-slightly-firmer start)



MARKET OVERVIEW
The FTSE 100 closed Tuesday at 10,529.39, up 0.30% and the best of the major European bourses, rallying from an early low of 10,422.98 to a 10,552.56 session high. Two forces drove the reversal: softer-than-expected US inflation lifted rate-cut bets, and strong US bank earnings pulled UK lenders higher - HSBA and BARC +1.9%, LLOY +1%. Miners rallied on firm industrial metals (RIO +3.3%, GLEN +3%, AAL +2.4%) and BP added 2.2% after guiding to a stronger Q2 on oil trading and refining margins. The offset is geopolitics: Iran has announced closure of the Strait of Hormuz after renewed missile exchanges with the US, driving Brent up ~4% toward $80. Shell also flagged Qatari production disruption. This morning's futures read is flat-to-slightly-firmer but the tone is cautious - energy and defensives supported, oil-price inflation risk hanging over rate-sensitive names.



NOTABLE CHANGES (day-over-day)
ANTO - Crossed ABOVE EMA20 and EMA50, MACD bullish crossover, +3.0% on the day, +9.7% on the week. The standout fresh bullish signal.
AZN - 5-day losing streak, -12.7% on the week, weekly RSI delta -22 pts. Wainua Phase III failure (9 Jul) plus an HSBC downgrade to Hold.
DGE - Crossed BELOW EMA20, EMA50 and POC in one session. Triple breakdown, now below all EMAs.
GLEN - Crossed ABOVE EMA20, +8.1% week, weekly RSI +22 pts. Recovering.
VOD - +19.4% on the week, weekly RSI +42 pts. Strongest weekly mover, now RSI 68.7 - stretched.
HSBA - MACD bullish crossover today, above all EMAs and POC.
BP - Crossed ABOVE EMA50 today with positive Q2 guidance behind it. SHEL crossed above its POC.
BAE / ADM / RKT - MACD bearish crossovers today. REL and CPG crossed below EMA50; INF below EMA20; GSK below POC.



SECTOR HEATMAP
BANKS - STRONG: BARC +1.97, HSBA +1.85, STAN +1.48, LLOY +1.18 all moved together on US earnings read-across. NWG the laggard at -0.24.
MINERS - STRONG: ANTO +3.01, GLEN +2.97, RIO +2.89, AAL +2.42 - a coordinated metals bid, though ANTO/GLEN/RIO all remain below POC (rallies into overhead supply).
ENERGY - FIRM: BP +2.03 (Q2 guide), SHEL +0.89. Hormuz closure keeps a bid under crude.
PHARMA - WEAK: AZN -2.18, GSK -2.04 falling together; AZN trial fallout is bleeding into the sector.
STAPLES/BEVERAGES - WEAK: DGE -2.58, RKT -1.24, ABF -1.17, IMB -0.60, ULVR -0.45, BATS -0.39. Broad defensive-consumer selling; TSCO +1.02 the exception.
NEUTRAL: Insurers mixed (LGEN +1.57, PRU +1.33 vs III -1.60, ADM -1.05); utilities steady (SSE +1.06, NG +0.44); media soft (WPP -2.58, REL -1.49, INF -1.39).



DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS
Verified: every EMA classification below re-checked programmatically vs close - zero mismatches.
BULLISH above all EMAs: ABF (RSI 57.6), ANTO (50.7, below POC), AV (58.5), BARC (59.4), BNZL (67.8, 0.1% off 52w high), BP (57.3, below POC), HLN (60.0), HSBA (62.6), LGEN (65.0), LLOY (58.9), NG (53.4), PRU (59.7), SHEL (58.9), SSE (55.9), STAN (59.5, 1.4% off 52w high), TSCO (58.3), VOD (68.7 - near overbought), ADM (55.7, MACD bear).
BULLISH above 20/50, below 200: EXPN (56., III (64., LSEG (55.5), RKT (54.5, MACD just went bear), SGE (54.2), ULVR (54.4), WPP (56.5).
MIXED: GLEN (above 20/200, below 50 - RSI 49.1), INF (below 20, above 50/200), NWG (below 20, above 50/200), RR. (below 20, above 50/200), REL (above 20, below 50/200).
BEARISH below 20/50, above 200: AAL (47.8, wk +8.3 recovering), BATS (38.9, 5-day down), CPG (46.2), GSK (43.0, below POC).
BEARISH below all EMAs: AZN (32.3, wk RSI -22), BAE (44.4, MACD fresh bear), DGE (47.0, fresh triple breakdown), IMB (36.3, 5-day down), RIO (42.6, wk +6.9 recovering), RTO (44.6).
Volume caveat: relative volume is thin across the board (most names rv 0.2-0.7, nothing above 1.5) - conviction is low on all signals, so widen stops and size down.



TOP SWING SETUPS

1. ANTO - LONG pullback (NEW - triggered today)
Fresh cross above EMA20 (3829.6) and EMA50 (3857.4) with a MACD bullish crossover and sector tailwind. Below POC 3920.8, so first target is that supply. rv 0.31 - thin, be patient on entry.
Entry: 3830 (EMA20 retest) - Stop: 3740 (below prev low 3757) - T1: 3920 (POC) - T2: 4077 (R3) - R:R: 1.0 / 2.7

2. BP - LONG pullback (NEW - crossed above EMA50 today)
Above all EMAs (20: 491.5, 50: 509.3, 200: 492.3), MACD bullish, positive Q2 pre-announcement, Brent ~$80. POC 527.0 overhead is the magnet. rv 0.74, the best volume of the bullish names.
Entry: 510 (EMA50 / Cam S3 confluence) - Stop: 494 (below S3 496.4) - T1: 527 (POC) - T2: 548 - R:R: 1.1 / 2.4

3. HSBA - LONG breakout (NEW - MACD bullish crossover today)
Above all EMAs and well above POC 1383.3. US bank earnings tailwind. Wants the round 1500 / Cam R3 1499.7 level.
Entry: 1500 (break of Cam R3) - Stop: 1455 (below Cam S4 1458.6, ~1.3 ATR) - T1: 1557 (R3) - T2: 1620 - R:R: 1.3 / 2.7

4. STAN - LONG 52-week-high breakout (CONTINUING)
1.4% off its 52w high (2160), above all EMAs, far above POC 1948.9. Classic momentum continuation - only take it on the actual break.
Entry: 2165 (above 52w high) - Stop: 2110 (~1 ATR) - T1: 2227 (R3) - T2: 2300 - R:R: 1.1 / 2.5

5. AZN - SHORT continuation (CONTINUING - 5th down day)
Below all EMAs and POC after the Wainua trial failure and HSBC downgrade. RSI 32.3 - late in the move, so only on breakdown, small size, quick target.
Entry: 12240 (below Cam S4 12241.9) - Stop: 12545 (above R1) - T1: 12017 (S3) - T2: 11700 - R:R: 0.7 / 1.8



INTRADAY SETUPS

LLOY - Pivot bounce LONG
Closed 111.85 above pivot 111.15; Cam S4 109.98 sits just under S1 109.8 - tight, defined risk. Why: bank-sector momentum, rv 0.72.
Entry: 111.20 on hold above pivot - Stop: 109.70 - T1: 113.20 (R1) - R:R: 1.3

GLEN - Camarilla range LONG
Recovering (fresh EMA20 reclaim), buy the S3 dip. Why: metals bid, weekly RSI +22.
Entry: 526.00 (Cam S3) - Stop: 520.50 (below Cam S4 520.9) - T1: 536.00 (Cam R3) - R:R: 1.8

BARC - Camarilla breakout LONG
Cam R4 531.2 sits exactly at the 52w high 531.3 - double-trigger breakout level. Why: strongest UK bank on the day, +1.97%.
Entry: 531.60 (above Cam R4 / 52w high) - Stop: 524.90 (Cam R3) - T1: 544.00 (~1 ATR ext) - R:R: 1.9

AZN - Camarilla breakdown SHORT
Momentum is one-way; sell strength-failure at the S4 break. Why: 5-day streak, sector contagion into GSK.
Entry: 12240 (below Cam S4) - Stop: 12315 (Cam S3) - T1: 12017 (S3) - R:R: 3.0

SHEL - Pivot/POC confluence LONG
Close 3134.5 sits on POC 3132.7 with pivot 3138.1 just above - a decision level with Hormuz-driven crude support. Why: fresh POC reclaim today.
Entry: 3141 (hold above Cam R1 3140.6) - Stop: 3116 (Cam S3) - T1: 3170 (Cam R4 / R1) - R:R: 1.2



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD

ANTO (3869): Cam: S4 3788 - S3 3829 - S1 3856 || R1 3882 - R3 3909 - R4 3950. Classic: S3 3636 - S1 3783 - P 3843 - R1 3930 - R3 4077. EMA 20/50/200: 3830 / 3857 / 3432. POC 3921. Prev H/L 3904/3757. 52w 4475/1811.

BP (512.9): Cam: S4 506.5 - S3 509.7 - S1 511.8 || R1 514.0 - R3 516.1 - R4 519.3. Classic: S3 496.4 - S1 508.0 - P 514.8 - R1 519.6 - R3 531.2. EMA 20/50/200: 491.5 / 509.3 / 492.3. POC 527.0. Prev H/L 521.5/509.9. 52w 609.4/393.3.

HSBA (1486): Cam: S4 1459 - S3 1472 - S1 1481 || R1 1491 - R3 1500 - R4 1513. Classic: S3 1407 - S1 1457 - P 1478 - R1 1507 - R3 1557. EMA 20/50/200: 1439 / 1398 / 1245. POC 1383. Prev H/L 1499/1449. 52w 1653/909.

STAN (2130): Cam: S4 2092 - S3 2111 - S1 2124 || R1 2136 - R3 2149 - R4 2169. Classic: S3 2017 - S1 2087 - P 2113 - R1 2157 - R3 2227. EMA 20/50/200: 2069 / 1986 / 1750. POC 1949. Prev H/L 2140/2070. 52w 2160/1285.

AZN (12386): Cam: S4 12242 - S3 12314 - S1 12362 || R1 12410 - R3 12458 - R4 12530. Classic: S3 12017 - S1 12279 - P 12435 - R1 12541 - R3 12803. EMA 20/50/200: 13584 / 13755 / 13533. POC 13661. Prev H/L 12590/12328. 52w 15730/10178.



BEARISH WARNINGS
DGE - FRESH: crossed below EMA20, EMA50 AND POC today in one session. Below all EMAs, -29.6% from 52w high. The cleanest new breakdown on the board.
REL - FRESH: crossed below EMA50 today; already below EMA200. Only EMA20 left underneath.
CPG - FRESH: crossed below EMA50 today (units-corrected pricing, 3170 GBX).
INF - FRESH: crossed below EMA20 today.
GSK - FRESH: crossed below POC today; below EMA20/50, RSI 43 and falling with sector.
BAE / ADM / RKT - FRESH MACD bearish crossovers today; BAE below all EMAs.
AZN - CONTINUING: 5-day streak, -21.3% from 52w high. Watch 12,242 (Cam S4).
BATS / IMB - CONTINUING: both on 5-day losing streaks, RSI 38.9 / 36.3, below POC.



EVENTS CALENDAR
Wed 22 Jul, 07:00 - UK June CPI (ONS). May print was 2.8%; services 3.7%. The key domestic event, note it is NEXT week.
This week - Q2 earnings season builds: US banks already beating; UK updates due from Frasers, Burberry, Ocado and the major housebuilders.
Ongoing - US-Iran conflict / Strait of Hormuz closure: Brent near $80, +4% Monday. Primary tape risk for oil, defence and rate-sensitive names.
Early Aug - BP Q2 results (positive pre-announcement 14 Jul); Shell has flagged stronger gas trading but Qatar output disruption.
US - Rate-cut bets building after the soft June CPI print; watch Fed speakers this week.

Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.