Here's a follow-up to the earlier piece on the USDJPY live example for the EWT/Fib theory.
Remember, we were looking at a 161.8% Fib extension target for wave 3 up at 80.85 but we knew there was firm resistance at 80.62 which would probably come into play. We were then looking at a possible retrace to the wave 1 high at 79.22 for the wave 4 retrace before continuing up to test the 81.78 reistance for wave 5. Here's what happened:
dl.dropbox.com/u/20815047/USDJPYdaily19_11_12a.gif
As we can see, that resistance came into play perfectly with a bearish RSI divergence too so this was a good place to go short. The wave 4 down turned out to be slightly anomalous though:
dl.dropbox.com/u/20815047/USDJPYdaily19_11_12b.gif
We were looking to the 38.2% Fib or the top of wave 1 to act as support. In fact it retraced to precisely the 50% Fib which entered wave 1...