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NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups

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2 months 1 week ago #18647 by remo
NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups

Reference: last completed daily close -- Monday 6 July 2026 (posted overnight, targeting the Tue 7 July session).

Data: Close 6 Jul · NDX: 29,697.87 · Change: +368.66 (+1.26%) · Range: 29,553.62 - 29,847.75 (294 pts)

MARKET OVERVIEW
The Nasdaq 100 rebounded +1.26% on Monday to 29,698, a semis-and-Tesla-led bounce off Thursday's pullback low -- TSLA +6.7%, AMD +6.6%, QCOM +5.8% and AVGO +3.7% all snapped back hard. But the index stalled right at its rising EMA20 and MACD is still below signal, so this reads as a bounce within a consolidation just under the 30,762 record rather than a fresh breakout. Laggards were software and streaming: NFLX -2.1%, AMAT -1.7%, INTU -1.2%. Overall bias: BULLISH (consolidating).

TREND
Price holds above all three EMAs -- close 29,698 over EMA20 (29,671), EMA50 (28,911) and EMA200 (26,270), correctly ordered and rising, so the primary uptrend is intact. The caveat: close is only ~26 pts above EMA20 and the index sits ~3.5% below its 30,762 record, so structure is a pullback/consolidation, not a clean breakout. Phase: uptrend, consolidating below the highs -- EMA20 is the pivot.

INDICATORS
RSI(14): 51.6 -- neutral, fully reset from overbought, room to run either way.
MACD: line 133.1 BELOW signal 207.9, histogram -74.8 -- momentum still negative and cooling despite Monday's bounce; needs a cross back up to confirm.
ATR(14): ~664 pts -- budget a wide ~650-680 pt daily range for stops.
Net: trend constructive, near-term momentum soft -- respect the EMA20 pivot.

KEY LEVELS
Resistance
R1 29,848 -- Monday's high / immediate cap
R2 29,994 -- classic R2 / round-number 30,000 zone
R3 30,140 -- measured extension toward the 30,300 shelf
Support
S1 29,671 -- EMA20, the trend pivot
S2 29,554 -- Monday's low / session base
S3 29,406 -- classic S2 / deeper pullback shelf
Round numbers: 29,500 - 30,000 - 30,300
Classic pivots: S3 29,258 - S2 29,406 - S1 29,552 - P 29,700 - R1 29,846 - R2 29,994 - R3 30,140
Camarilla: S4 29,536 - S3 29,617 - S1 29,671 || R1 29,725 - R3 29,779 - R4 29,860
Moving averages: EMA20 29,671 - EMA50 28,911 - EMA200 26,270

NOTABLE MOVERS (Mon 6 Jul)
Strongest: TSLA +6.7%, AMD +6.6%, QCOM +5.8%, AVGO +3.7%, TXN +3.6%, META +3.0% -- a broad semiconductor and megacap rebound.
Weakest: NFLX -2.1%, AMAT -1.7%, INTU -1.2%, LIN -1.1%, MSFT -1.0%, ADBE -0.8% -- software and select chip-equipment names lagged the bounce.

TRADE SETUPS -- NEXT SESSION
Swing Long -- trend continuation
Long while the index holds the EMA20 / pivot shelf; confirmation is a MACD cross back up.
Entry: 29,720 · Stop: 29,530 · T1: 29,994 · T2: 30,300 · R:R: 1.4 / 3.0
Kill: daily close below 29,530 (loss of EMA20 and Monday's base).

Intraday Long -- Camarilla breakout
Long on acceptance above Cam R4 with momentum.
Entry: 29,860 · Stop: 29,752 · T1: 29,994 · T2: 30,140 · R:R: 1.2 / 2.6
Kill: 15m close back below 29,752.

Intraday Short -- breakdown
Given the negative MACD, short a clean loss of the pivot/EMA20 base.
Entry: 29,550 · Stop: 29,700 · T1: 29,406 · T2: 29,258 · R:R: 1.0 / 1.9
Kill: 15m close back above 29,700 (pivot reclaimed).

UPCOMING EVENTS
Wed 8 Jul: US FOMC minutes (June) -- the week's key risk event for rate-sensitive tech.
This week: US June CPI and weekly jobless claims -- inflation and labour reads that drive the Nasdaq's duration-heavy names.
Watch: follow-through in semis (TSLA/AMD/QCOM/AVGO) after Monday's rebound, and any AI/chip headlines.

Report: 6 July 2026 close (posted overnight). Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

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2 months 1 week ago #18641 by remo
NAS100 DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - THURSDAY 2 JULY 2026



Data: Close 2 Jul 2026 | NAS100: 29,293.7 | Change: -506.0 (-1.70%) | Range: 29,068.8 - 30,058.1



MARKET OVERVIEW

NAS100 fell 506.0 points (-1.70%) to 29,293.7, a second straight down day after Wednesday's -1.4%. The index traded a wide 29,068.8 - 30,058.1 range: an early push toward 30,000 was sold hard and price closed in the lower third of the day.

Drivers: the semiconductor unwind extended for a second session (KLAC -11.5%, LRCX -10.2%, MRVL -9.8%, AMAT -7.4%, MU -5.5%) after a 7.9% plunge in the Kospi, where SK Hynix fell over 14% and Samsung over 9%, and a Citi note warning on semiconductor and hyperscaler valuations. The June jobs report was weak - payrolls +57k vs about +100-115k expected, with April/May revised down a combined 74k and unemployment falling to 4.2% only because participation dropped to 61.5%. Rate-hike expectations for September eased and the 2-year yield slipped to about 4.13%, which supported the broader market: the Dow closed at a record as money rotated out of expensive tech into value. VIX rose about 0.9% to roughly 16.6 - still complacent territory.

Bias: short-term corrective/bearish within a medium-term uptrend. Breadth inside the index was split 20 advancers / 20 decliners - this is rotation out of semis, not wholesale liquidation. Note: US markets are CLOSED Friday 3 July (Independence Day observed); next session is Monday 6 July.



TREND

EMA stack (index): close 29,293.7 is below EMA20 (29,676) but above EMA50 (28,990) and above EMA200 (26,363) - a Mixed posture (<20 >50 >200). The stack itself remains bullish (EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200), so the primary uptrend is intact while price digests.

Structure: lower high vs the 30,759 all-time high printed in early June; two-day decline from Tuesday's 30,217 close has given back the entire late-June rebound leg. First higher-low defence zone is 29,000-29,100 (2 Jul low 29,068.8), then the 28,860-28,990 area where the EMA50 sits with the late-June swing low.

Phase: distribution/pullback within a Stage 2 uptrend. A close back above 29,700 (EMA20) would neutralise the correction; a close below 28,860 would open a deeper Stage 3 test toward 28,500.



INDICATORS

RSI(14): 47.6 - dropped from overbought late-June readings straight through the midline. No oversold signal yet; momentum has flipped negative but has room lower. A mild bearish divergence played out at the June highs (price marginal new highs, RSI lower highs) and is now resolving.

MACD: line +114 vs signal +211 - bearish cross below signal, histogram about -98 and expanding. MACD remains above zero, consistent with correction-within-uptrend rather than trend reversal.

Volume: 2 Jul futures volume ran about 15% above the 20-day average - distribution. Inside the components, relative volume was heaviest in the names being sold (TSLA 1.45x, KLAC 1.43x, LRCX 1.26x) while the bid names were quieter (AAPL 1.07x).



KEY INDEX LEVELS

Support:
S1: 29,000-29,069 - 2 Jul low + round number
S2: 28,860-28,990 - EMA50 + classic S1 (28,889) + late-June swing low
S3: 28,484 - classic S2, below it 27,900 (classic S3)

Resistance:
R1: 29,566-29,676 - Camarilla R3 + EMA20
R2: 29,838-29,878 - Camarilla R4 + classic R1
R3: 30,058 - 2 Jul high, then 30,463 (classic R2) and the 30,759 ATH

Classic pivots (from 2 Jul H/L/C): S2 28,484 | S1 28,889 | P 29,474 | R1 29,878 | R2 30,463
Cam: S4 28,750 | S3 29,022 | S1 29,203 || R1 29,384 | R3 29,566 | R4 29,838
Round numbers: 29,000 | 29,500 | 30,000



COMPONENT SIGNALS - ALL 40

Format: Ticker Close | Trend (strict EMA) | RSI | MACD | % off 52w high | Day % | POC

AAPL 308.63 | Bull-all | RSI 60.3 (Bullish) | MACD Bull | 52wH -2.8% | +4.84% | POC Above
ABNB 148.93 | Bull-all | RSI 63.9 (Bullish) | MACD Bull | 52wH -0.8% | +1.10% | POC Above
ADBE 219.72 | Mixed >20 <50 <200 | RSI 50.7 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | 52wH -43.2% | +4.14% | POC Below
ADI 377.16 | Bear <20/50 | RSI 40.5 (Bearish) | MACD Bear | 52wH -15.4% | -3.04% | POC Below
AMAT 603.04 | Bull-all | RSI 54.0 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | 52wH -18.5% | -7.35% | POC Above
AMD 517.82 | Mixed <20 >50 >200 | RSI 52.3 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | 52wH -11.4% | -4.26% | POC Above
AMZN 242.67 | Mixed >20 <50 >200 | RSI 48.7 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | 52wH -12.9% | +0.40% | POC Below
AVGO 360.45 | Bear <20/50 | RSI 39.6 (Bearish) | MACD Bear | 52wH -27.2% | -2.41% | POC Below
BKNG 184.56 | Bull-all | RSI 63.1 (Bullish) | MACD Bull | 52wH -21.0% | +1.05% | POC Above
CDNS 373.14 | Mixed <20 >50 >200 | RSI 47.9 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | 52wH -10.5% | -1.22% | POC Above
CEG 239.25 | Bear-all | RSI 34.1 (Bearish) | MACD Bear | 52wH -42.0% | +1.16% | POC Below
COST 951.67 | Bear-all | RSI 44.8 (Bearish) | MACD Bear | 52wH -13.2% | +2.92% | POC Below
CRWD 193.98 | Bull-all | RSI 71.9 (OB) | MACD Bull | 52wH -2.8% | +0.41% | POC Above
CSCO 112.69 | Mixed <20 >50 >200 | RSI 43.3 (Bearish) | MACD Bear | 52wH -13.6% | -3.69% | POC Above
DASH 192.01 | Bull-all | RSI 69.8 (Bullish) | MACD Bull | 52wH -32.7% | +1.66% | POC Above
FTNT 156.25 | Bull-all | RSI 67.1 (Bullish) | MACD Bear | 52wH -2.2% | -1.72% | POC Above
GOOGL 359.91 | Bull-all | RSI 49.5 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | 52wH -11.9% | -0.36% | POC Below
INTU 275.35 | Bear-all | RSI 42.7 (Bearish) | MACD Bull | 52wH -66.2% | +3.10% | POC Below
ISRG 426.01 | Mixed >20 <50 <200 | RSI 56.5 (Bullish) | MACD Bull | 52wH -29.5% | +5.87% | POC Below
KLAC 235.55 | Mixed <20 >50 >200 | RSI 49.8 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | 52wH -23.4% | -11.51% | POC Above
LIN 546.64 | Bull-all | RSI 68.4 (Bullish) | MACD Bull | 52wH -0.1% | +2.45% | POC Above
LRCX 351.41 | Mixed <20 >50 >200 | RSI 48.4 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | 52wH -19.9% | -10.19% | POC Above
MAR 372.95 | Mixed <20 >50 >200 | RSI 44.1 (Bearish) | MACD Bear | 52wH -9.3% | +1.26% | POC Above
MELI 1763.36 | Bull >20/50 | RSI 61.6 (Bullish) | MACD Bull | 52wH -30.8% | +1.22% | POC Above
META 582.88 | Mixed >20 <50 <200 | RSI 49.6 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | 52wH -26.8% | -4.90% | POC Below
MRVL 245.29 | Mixed <20 >50 >200 | RSI 46.5 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | 52wH -25.6% | -9.84% | POC Above
MSFT 390.49 | Mixed >20 <50 <200 | RSI 49.8 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | 52wH -29.7% | +1.62% | POC Below
MU 975.56 | Mixed <20 >50 >200 | RSI 48.5 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | 52wH -22.3% | -5.49% | POC Above
NFLX 77.65 | Mixed >20 <50 <200 | RSI 47.3 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | 52wH -40.4% | +4.66% | POC Below
NVDA 194.83 | Bear <20/50 | RSI 41.2 (Bearish) | MACD Bear | 52wH -17.6% | -1.39% | POC Below
ORLY 90.25 | Mixed >20 <50 <200 | RSI 51.6 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | 52wH -17.0% | -2.63% | POC Below
PANW 348.06 | Bull-all | RSI 78.5 (OB) | MACD Bull | 52wH -2.8% | -1.13% | POC Above
PYPL 45.47 | Bull >20/50 | RSI 59.8 (Bullish) | MACD Bull | 52wH -42.8% | +3.18% | POC Above
QCOM 176.25 | Bear <20/50 | RSI 38.1 (Bearish) | MACD Bear | 52wH -32.2% | -3.12% | POC Below
REGN 654.27 | Bull >20/50 | RSI 59.7 (Bullish) | MACD Bull | 52wH -20.3% | +4.73% | POC Below
SNPS 437.16 | Bear-all | RSI 37.0 (Bearish) | MACD Bear | 52wH -32.9% | -3.82% | POC Below
TMUS 177.52 | Bear-all | RSI 44.6 (Bearish) | MACD Bear | 52wH -32.1% | +2.58% | POC Below
TSLA 393.45 | Bear-all | RSI 46.8 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | 52wH -21.1% | -7.49% | POC Below
TXN 293.08 | Mixed <20 >50 >200 | RSI 47.8 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | 52wH -12.3% | -1.79% | POC Above
WDAY 135.40 | Bull >20/50 | RSI 57.4 (Bullish) | MACD Bull | 52wH -45.8% | +3.94% | POC Above

Breadth: 10/40 above all three EMAs, 6/40 below all three, 22/40 MACD bullish, 21/40 above 60-day VWAP (POC), 20 advancers / 20 decliners. Every EMA classification above was verified programmatically against close vs each EMA - zero mismatches.



SECTOR VIEW

Semiconductors (NVDA, AMD, AVGO, QCOM, TXN, AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL): epicentre of the selling. KLAC -11.5%, LRCX -10.2%, MRVL -9.8%, AMAT -7.4%, MU -5.5%. NVDA, AVGO, QCOM and ADI are below both the 20 and 50 EMAs; only AMAT still holds above all three. Second day of AI-capex valuation fear, amplified by the Korea memory rout.

Mega-cap Tech (AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, META, GOOGL, TSLA): split. AAPL the standout at +4.84% on above-average volume, above all EMAs and 2.8% off its 52w high. GOOGL holds above all EMAs. MSFT, META and AMZN are mixed/repair; TSLA -7.49% and below all EMAs on 1.45x volume after giving back Wednesday's bounce.

Software/Cloud/Security (ADBE, INTU, SNPS, CDNS, PANW, CRWD, FTNT, WDAY): security is the leadership pocket - PANW, CRWD and FTNT above all EMAs, though PANW RSI 78.5 and CRWD 71.9 are overbought. WDAY and PYPL repairing above 20/50. SNPS and INTU remain below all EMAs.

Consumer/Internet (NFLX, BKNG, MELI, ABNB, MAR, DASH, PYPL, ORLY, COST): travel/booking firm - BKNG, ABNB and DASH above all EMAs. COST below all EMAs despite +2.9%. NFLX and ORLY still below their 200s.

Healthcare/Biotech (ISRG, REGN): strong recovery day - ISRG +5.87% on 1.23x volume, REGN +4.73%. Both are repairing damage but both remain below their EMA200s.

Industrial/Other (LIN, CEG, TMUS, CSCO): LIN closed within 0.1% of its 52-week high - quiet strength. CEG below all EMAs, 42% off its high and only 4.6% above its 52w low. TMUS also below all EMAs.



TOP SWING SETUPS

1. AAPL - LONG pullback (relative-strength leader)
Strongest large-cap in the index: above all EMAs, RSI 60.3, MACD bullish, +4.84% on 1.07x volume, POC 288.86 well below as support. Entry: 304.00-304.30 pullback (Cam S3 304.30 + daily pivot 303.91 confluence) . Stop: 295.30 (1x ATR 8.74 below entry, under classic S1 298.40) . T1: 314.14 (classic R1) . T2: 317.40 (52w high) . R:R: 1.2 / 1.5 .

2. LIN - LONG all-time-high breakout
Closed 546.64, 0.1% from the 547.22 high; above all EMAs, RSI 68.4, MACD bullish. Classic quiet-leader breakout while attention is on semis. Entry: 547.50 (break of 52w high) . Stop: 530.00 (1.5x ATR 11.68, below 2 Jul low 532.96) . T1: 556.53 (classic R2) . T2: 565.85 (classic R3) . R:R: 0.5 / 1.0 - size accordingly, this is a momentum continuation not a value entry.

3. REGN - LONG recovery through POC
+4.73%, RSI 59.7, MACD bullish, reclaimed EMA20 (627.95) and EMA50 (654.14); 60-day VWAP 659.42 is the gate overhead. Entry: 659.50 (break of POC + Cam R1 656.95) . Stop: 642.70 (1x ATR 16.73) . T1: 674.21 (classic R2) . T2: 690.00 (EMA200 magnet) . R:R: 0.9 / 1.8 .

4. QCOM - SHORT breakdown continuation
Below EMA20/50, RSI 38.1, MACD bearish, POC 198.08 far overhead; -32% from its 52w high with no support reclaim attempt. Entry: 172.00 (break of 2 Jul low 172.12) . Stop: 180.10 (above Cam R3 180.01) . T1: 164.38 (classic S2) . T2: 156.63 (classic S3) . R:R: 0.9 / 1.9 . Note EMA200 at 172.33 - a decisive break of it is the trigger.

5. NVDA - SHORT into EMA200 test
Below EMA20 (202.75) and EMA50 (204.19), RSI 41.2, MACD bearish; EMA200 at 188.95 with classic S2 188.04 right beneath - that confluence is the magnet. Entry: 192.30 (break of 2 Jul low 192.35) . Stop: 199.40 (1x ATR 7.12, above Cam R4 199.07) . T1: 189.00 (EMA200 + S2) . T2: 183.72 (classic S3) . R:R: 0.5 / 1.2 . Take profits quickly at T1 - the 200 has been defended all year.



INTRADAY SETUPS - MONDAY 6 JULY

1. NAS100 - Camarilla fade of the bounce
Short rallies into the 29,566-29,676 zone (Cam R3 + EMA20). Entry: 29,600 . Stop: 29,850 (above Cam R4 29,838) . T1: 29,203 (Cam S1) . T2: 29,022 (Cam S3) . R:R: 1.6 / 2.3 . Reasoning: first bounce after a heavy two-day distribution usually gets sold at the EMA20 unless breadth flips.

2. AAPL - Camarilla breakout long
Entry: 317.50 (above Cam R4 317.29, which sits exactly on the 52w high 317.40 - fresh-air trade) . Stop: 313.00 (below Cam R3 312.96) . T1: 319.65 (classic R2) . T2: 324.00 . R:R: 0.5 / 1.4 . Only valid on a strong open; skip if AAPL opens below 310.

3. MSFT - pivot bounce long
Confluence shelf: daily pivot 388.80 + Cam S3 388.15 + EMA20 386.60. Entry: 388.90 on a hold of the pivot . Stop: 385.30 (below classic S1 385.39) . T1: 393.89 (classic R1) . T2: 395.17 (Cam R4) . R:R: 1.4 / 1.7 .

4. TSLA - Camarilla breakdown short
Sold on 1.45x volume, closed below all EMAs. Entry: 369.50 (below Cam S4 369.77) . Stop: 381.70 (Cam S3 381.61) . T1: 361.98 (classic S2) . T2: 334.67 (classic S3) . R:R: 0.6 / 2.9 . Wide ATR (19.62) - halve normal size.

5. MU - Camarilla range rotation
ATR 96.9 gives a huge tradeable range. Two-sided: long 944-950 (Cam S3 944.11, stop below Cam S4 912.66, target Cam R1 986) OR short 1,005-1,010 (Cam R3 1,007.01, stop above 1,038 Cam R4, target Cam S1 965). Do not trade the middle; respect the 912/1,038 rails.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD - TOP 5

AAPL close 308.63 | EMA20 294.42 . EMA50 290.59 . EMA200 268.95 | POC 288.86 | Prev H/L 309.42/293.68 | 52w 317.40/201.50
Classic: S3 282.66 . S2 288.17 . S1 298.40 . P 303.91 . R1 314.14 . R2 319.65 . R3 329.88
Cam: S4 299.97 . S3 304.30 . S1 307.19 || R1 310.07 . R3 312.96 . R4 317.29

MSFT close 390.49 | EMA20 386.60 . EMA50 398.65 . EMA200 427.82 | POC 402.92 | Prev H/L 392.20/383.70 | 52w 555.45/349.20
Classic: S3 376.89 . S2 380.30 . S1 385.39 . P 388.80 . R1 393.89 . R2 397.30 . R3 402.39
Cam: S4 385.82 . S3 388.15 . S1 389.71 || R1 391.27 . R3 392.83 . R4 395.17

NVDA close 194.83 | EMA20 202.75 . EMA50 204.19 . EMA200 188.95 | POC 207.97 | Prev H/L 200.06/192.35 | 52w 236.54/152.97
Classic: S3 183.72 . S2 188.04 . S1 191.43 . P 195.75 . R1 199.14 . R2 203.46 . R3 206.85
Cam: S4 190.59 . S3 192.71 . S1 194.12 || R1 195.54 . R3 196.95 . R4 199.07

TSLA close 393.45 | EMA20 402.42 . EMA50 403.29 . EMA200 396.87 | POC 398.64 | Prev H/L 432.35/389.30 | 52w 498.83/288.77
Classic: S3 334.67 . S2 361.98 . S1 377.72 . P 405.03 . R1 420.77 . R2 448.08 . R3 463.82
Cam: S4 369.77 . S3 381.61 . S1 389.50 || R1 397.40 . R3 405.29 . R4 417.13

MU close 975.56 | EMA20 1038.15 . EMA50 881.46 . EMA200 523.77 | POC 817.34 | Prev H/L 1064.64/950.28 | 52w 1255.00/103.38
Classic: S3 814.65 . S2 882.47 . S1 929.01 . P 996.83 . R1 1043.37 . R2 1111.19 . R3 1157.73
Cam: S4 912.66 . S3 944.11 . S1 965.08 || R1 986.04 . R3 1007.01 . R4 1038.46



BEARISH WARNINGS

Index MACD has crossed below its signal line and price closed back below the EMA20 - momentum confirmation of the pullback.

Death crosses (EMA50 below EMA200): 16 of 40 components - ADBE, BKNG, CEG, DASH, INTU, ISRG, MELI, META, MSFT, NFLX, ORLY, PYPL, REGN, SNPS, TMUS, WDAY. Nearly half the index is in long-term repair even with the index near highs - leadership is narrow.

Near 52-week lows: CEG (+4.6% above), ORLY (+6.5%), TMUS (+7.2%), ISRG (+7.4%), INTU (+8.9%). CEG and TMUS are also below all EMAs - avoid longs.

Overbought RSI in a weak tape: PANW 78.5 and CRWD 71.9 - the last strong pockets; a rotation out of security would remove the final leadership prop.

MACD bearish: 18/40 components, concentrated in semis (NVDA, AVGO, QCOM, TXN, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL, AMD).



EVENTS CALENDAR

Fri 3 Jul: US markets CLOSED - Independence Day observed, as 4 July falls on Saturday. No NAS100 session, so the next daily report follows Monday's close.
Mon 6 Jul: US markets reopen; ISM Services PMI due. First session to digest the full Korea memory fallout.
Wed 8 Jul (expected): FOMC June meeting minutes - watched closely after Chair Warsh's "look to the data" guidance.
Week of 13 Jul: June CPI - the big one, with inflation still above 4%.
Earnings: none of the 40 NAS100 components covered here report in the next week; Q2 season kicks off mid-July.

Recap of 2 Jul data: June payrolls +57k (vs ~100-115k expected), April/May revised down 74k combined, unemployment 4.2% on participation falling to 61.5%.



Report: 3 Jul 2026 14:21 GMT . Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

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2 months 2 weeks ago #18636 by remo
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Daily Technical Analysis — Mon 29 Jun 2026
Data: Close 29 Jun 2026 | NAS100: 29,743.06 | Change: +624.83 (+2.15%) | Range: 28,991.52 - 29,785.30
Component levels below are from the ChartsView end-of-day scanner (data date 29 Jun 2026).



Market Overview
The NAS100 staged a powerful risk-on reversal, closing +2.15% (+624.83 pts) at 29,743.06 after dipping to 28,991.52 in early trade — a swing of 793.78 points that finished in the top 5% of the day's range. The index reclaimed the prior 29,118.24 close (Fri 26 Jun, -1.09%) and the round 29,500 handle. The driver was a snap-back in the Magnificent-7 and a broad bid across semiconductors after last week's weakness. Breadth backed the move: 26 of the 40 components advanced. Bias: bullish near-term, but leadership is narrow — confirmation is needed from the lagging mega-caps before calling a trend change.



Trend
Index structure flipped short-term constructive: price closed back above the daily pivot (29,507) and the 29,500 round level, printing a higher close after a higher-low intraday reversal. Component EMA alignment is still split, however: 23/40 hold their 200-day EMA (longer-term base intact) but only 17/40 are back above the 20-day and 19/40 above the 50-day. Net EMA stacks: 15 bullish vs 19 bearish. Read: the index is bouncing inside a wider consolidation — a Stage-1/early-Stage-2 base for the leaders (semis) layered over a Stage-4 posture in several mega-caps (MSFT, META, NFLX).



Indicators
RSI(14): No component is oversold; three are overbought (AMAT, PANW, FTNT). The bulk sit 40-65, i.e. recovering from neutral rather than stretched — room remains on the upside.
MACD: Momentum internals lag the tape — only 14/40 names closed with MACD above signal. The index advance is therefore led narrowly, not yet a broad momentum thrust.
Volume: Relative volume was moderate (most names below 1.2x average). Notable above-average participation in CRWD (1.21x), AMZN (1.21x), TMUS (1.21x), TSLA (1.18x), AMAT and PANW (1.13x). The rally was broad in price but not yet confirmed by a decisive volume surge.



Key Index Levels (NAS100, for 30 Jun)
Resistance: R1 30,022 · R2 30,300 · R3 30,816 · round 30,000
Pivot: 29,507
Support: S1 29,228 · S2 28,713 · S3 28,434 · round 29,000 (today's low 28,991)
The 30,000 round number coincides with R1 (30,022) — the first real test for bulls. A close back below 29,228 (S1) would void the reversal.



Component Signals — All 40 (by sector)

Mega-cap Tech: avg +2.51% · 6/8 up
AAPL 281.74 (-0.72%) · Bear <20/50 · RSI 39.9 Bearish · MACD Bear · -11.2% 52wH · POC below
MSFT 368.57 (-1.18%) · Bear <all · RSI 38.9 Bearish · MACD Bear · -33.6% 52wH · POC below
NVDA 194.97 (+1.27%) · Bear <20/50 · RSI 40.1 Bearish · MACD Bear · -17.6% 52wH · POC below
AMZN 240.14 (+3.20%) · Bear <20/50 · RSI 46.2 Bearish · MACD Bear · -13.8% 52wH · POC below
META 562.60 (+2.24%) · Bear <all · RSI 42.5 Bearish · MACD Bear · -29.3% 52wH · POC below
GOOGL 353.55 (+4.79%) · Bear <20/50 · RSI 45.5 Bearish · MACD Bear · -13.5% 52wH · POC below
AVGO 372.45 (+2.04%) · Bear <20/50 · RSI 42.5 Bearish · MACD Bear · -24.8% 52wH · POC below
TSLA 411.84 (+8.46%) · Bull >all · RSI 54.0 Bullish · MACD Bear · -17.4% 52wH · POC above

Semiconductors: avg +4.53% · 8/9 up
AMD 539.49 (+3.43%) · Bull >all · RSI 59.0 Bullish · MACD Bear · -4.2% 52wH · POC above
QCOM 188.72 (-0.35%) · Bear <20/50 · RSI 42.3 Bearish · MACD Bear · -27.4% 52wH · POC below
TXN 285.48 (+0.02%) · Bear <20/50 · RSI 44.7 Bearish · MACD Bear · -14.5% 52wH · POC above
AMAT 694.64 (+10.82%) · Bull >all · RSI 70.2 Overbought · MACD Bull · -2.0% 52wH · POC above
MU 1145.28 (+1.14%) · Bull >all · RSI 59.6 Bullish · MACD Bear · -8.7% 52wH · POC above
LRCX 410.91 (+8.39%) · Bull >all · RSI 63.7 Bullish · MACD Bull · -1.0% 52wH · POC above
KLAC 278.39 (+11.97%) · Bull >all · RSI 66.4 Bullish · MACD Bull · -0.3% 52wH · POC above
ADI 391.78 (+1.26%) · Bear <20/50 · RSI 44.3 Bearish · MACD Bear · -12.1% 52wH · POC below
MRVL 277.75 (+4.12%) · Bull >all · RSI 55.1 Bullish · MACD Bear · -15.8% 52wH · POC above

Software/Cloud: avg +2.14% · 5/9 up
ADBE 206.43 (+1.83%) · Bear <all · RSI 40.0 Bearish · MACD Bear · -47.4% 52wH · POC below
INTU 266.40 (-0.49%) · Bear <all · RSI 36.5 Bearish · MACD Bull · -67.3% 52wH · POC below
CSCO 117.70 (+3.45%) · Mixed <20 >50 >200 · RSI 51.3 Bullish · MACD Bear · -9.7% 52wH · POC above
PANW 332.00 (+9.14%) · Bull >all · RSI 77.6 Overbought · MACD Bull · -0.3% 52wH · POC above
SNPS 447.26 (-1.56%) · Bear <all · RSI 39.1 Bearish · MACD Bear · -31.4% 52wH · POC below
CDNS 372.72 (-1.21%) · Mixed <20 >50 >200 · RSI 47.8 Bearish · MACD Bear · -10.6% 52wH · POC above
CRWD 742.91 (+5.96%) · Bull >all · RSI 67.6 Bullish · MACD Bear · -5.4% 52wH · POC above
FTNT 155.42 (+2.69%) · Bull >all · RSI 70.8 Overbought · MACD Bear · -2.3% 52wH · POC above
WDAY 123.58 (-0.51%) · Bear <all · RSI 46.9 Bearish · MACD Bear · -50.5% 52wH · POC below

Consumer/Internet: avg -0.22% · 6/10 up
COST 946.68 (-0.62%) · Bear <all · RSI 39.3 Bearish · MACD Bear · -13.7% 52wH · POC below
NFLX 73.75 (-0.08%) · Bear <all · RSI 31.4 Bearish · MACD Bear · -45.0% 52wH · POC below
TMUS 173.97 (-4.77%) · Bear <all · RSI 35.6 Bearish · MACD Bear · -33.5% 52wH · POC below
BKNG 182.41 (+0.52%) · Bull >20/50 · RSI 63.2 Bullish · MACD Bull · -21.9% 52wH · POC above
MELI 1683.13 (+0.48%) · Bull >20/50 · RSI 53.8 Bullish · MACD Bull · -36.4% 52wH · POC above
MAR 374.88 (-0.64%) · Mixed <20 >50 >200 · RSI 44.0 Bearish · MACD Bear · -8.8% 52wH · POC above
ABNB 147.17 (+1.11%) · Bull >all · RSI 64.8 Bullish · MACD Bull · -2.0% 52wH · POC above
DASH 184.82 (+0.94%) · Bull >20/50 · RSI 65.7 Bullish · MACD Bull · -35.3% 52wH · POC above
PYPL 44.38 (+0.20%) · Bull >20/50 · RSI 56.1 Bullish · MACD Bull · -44.2% 52wH · POC below
ORLY 90.16 (+0.68%) · Mixed >20 <50 <200 · RSI 53.0 Bullish · MACD Bull · -17.1% 52wH · POC below

Healthcare/Biotech: avg +0.07% · 1/2 up
ISRG 405.97 (+0.31%) · Bear <all · RSI 42.4 Bearish · MACD Bull · -32.8% 52wH · POC below
REGN 631.81 (-0.17%) · Mixed >20 <50 <200 · RSI 49.8 Bearish · MACD Bull · -23.1% 52wH · POC below

Industrial/Other: avg -1.71% · 0/2 up
LIN 511.06 (-1.65%) · Mixed <20 >50 >200 · RSI 49.2 Bearish · MACD Bear · -3.2% 52wH · POC above
CEG 259.32 (-1.78%) · Bear <all · RSI 42.6 Bearish · MACD Bull · -37.2% 52wH · POC below



Sector Rotation
Leadership: Semiconductors (+4.53% avg, 8/9 higher, 6/9 bull-stacked) — the clear engine of the move, fronted by KLAC (+11.97%), AMAT (+10.82%), LRCX (+8.39%) and MRVL (+4.12%).
Mega-cap Tech bounced +2.51% on average but only TSLA holds a full bull stack — the others (MSFT, META, AVGO, AAPL) rallied while still below their 20/50 EMAs, i.e. a counter-trend bounce.
Software/Cloud (+2.14%) was mixed: PANW and CRWD strong, WDAY/SNPS lagging.
Laggards: Industrial/Other (CEG, LIN) -1.71% and Healthcare (ISRG, REGN) flat — defensives sat out the risk-on session.



Top Swing Setups
1. TSLA — Long (Mag-7 momentum leader)
Only mega-cap holding a full bull stack; +8.46% on 1.18x volume and 17% of room back to the 52w high.
Entry: 405.00 · Stop: 377.99 · T1: 450.02 · T2: 486.05 · R:R: 1.7 / 3.0
Confluence: EMA20 399 / EMA50 402 / EMA200 396 / POC 394.88 form a tight support shelf right under the 405 entry. Stop sits below the entire shelf.
2. KLAC — Long (semi-cap breakout)
Closed at a fresh 52-week high (279.34); blue-sky breakout, strongest semi on the day (+11.97%).
Entry: 274.00 · Stop: 250.58 · T1: 315.82 · T2: 332.62 · R:R: 1.8 / 2.5
Confluence: price well above EMA20 237 / EMA50 210 / POC 203.82. Buy the breakout retest into 274; measured-move targets above.
3. LRCX — Long (semi-cap, near highs)
Bull stack, RSI 63.7 with room, -1.0% from its 52w high (438.91).
Entry: 404.00 · Stop: 368.76 · T1: 466.93 · T2: 504.68 · R:R: 1.8 / 2.9
Confluence: stacked EMAs (20:363, 50:323, 200:213) and POC 312 far below — strong trend, pullbacks are buys.
4. MU — Long (high-liquidity uptrend)
Bull stack, RSI 59.6, 8.7% of room to the 1,255 high; average volume 58M shares.
Entry: 1120.00 · Stop: 983.75 · T1: 1334.10 · T2: 1489.82 · R:R: 1.6 / 2.7
Confluence: EMA20 1,035 / EMA50 860 / POC 786 all below — deep support beneath a 1,120 pullback entry.
5. CRWD — Long (software leader)
Bull stack, +5.96% on the day's heaviest relative volume (1.21x), -5.4% from highs.
Entry: 730.00 · Stop: 682.74 · T1: 807.65 · T2: 858.29 · R:R: 1.6 / 2.7
Confluence: EMA20 680 / EMA50 616 / POC 571 below; RSI 67.6 — enter on a controlled dip, not chase.



Intraday Setups (for 30 Jun)
TSLA — Camarilla range/trend Long
Buy dips into the camS1 408.73 / camS3 402.50 cluster (overlaps the EMA shelf). Stop: below camS4 393.16. Targets: camR1 414.95, camR3 421.18, camR4 430.52. Bias: Long with the trend.
KLAC — Camarilla breakout Long
Above camR1 281.14, momentum continuation. Stop: camS1 275.64. Targets: camR3 286.65 then camR4 294.90. Bias: Long, breakout to new highs.
AMAT — Camarilla breakout Long (extended)
Above camR1 701.69 / prior high 708.99 opens camR3 715.78 and camR4 736.92. Stop: camS1 687.59. Bias: Long but RSI 70.2 overbought — take strength only, keep stops tight.
MSFT — Camarilla fade Short
Weakest mega-cap: below all EMAs, MACD negative, ~6% off its 52w low. Fade rejection at camR1 370.46 / pivot 369.66. Stop: above camR3 374.24. Targets: camS1 366.68 then camS3 362.91. Bias: Short, counter to the bounce.
NVDA — Pivot-hold Long (scalp)
Holding above the 193.65 pivot, scalp toward camR3 196.72 / camR4 198.48 / R1 197.50. Stop: below camS1 194.39. Note: EMA20/50 (~205) and POC 207 cap the upside — tactical only.



Key Levels Dashboard — Top 5

TSLA (close 411.84)
Cam: S4 393.16 · S1 408.73 · R1 414.95 · R4 430.52
Classic: S3 355.70 · S1 389.67 · R1 423.64 · R3 457.61
EMAs: 20 399.00 · 50 402.09 · 200 396.38 · POC 394.88
Prev H/L: 413.27 / 379.30 · 52w H/L: 498.83 / 288.77

NVDA (close 194.97)
Cam: S4 191.46 · S1 194.39 · R1 195.55 · R4 198.48
Classic: S3 184.74 · S1 191.12 · R1 197.50 · R3 203.88
EMAs: 20 204.65 · 50 205.05 · 200 188.69 · POC 207.22
Prev H/L: 196.18 / 189.80 · 52w H/L: 236.54 / 151.49

AMAT (close 694.64)
Cam: S4 652.36 · S1 687.59 · R1 701.69 · R4 736.92
Classic: S3 571.29 · S1 648.17 · R1 725.05 · R3 801.93
EMAs: 20 571.52 · 50 496.66 · 200 360.29 · POC 488.41
Prev H/L: 708.99 / 632.11 · 52w H/L: 708.99 / 154.47

KLAC (close 278.39)
Cam: S4 261.88 · S1 275.64 · R1 281.14 · R4 294.90
Classic: S3 228.67 · S1 258.69 · R1 288.71 · R3 318.73
EMAs: 20 237.17 · 50 210.12 · 200 157.88 · POC 203.82
Prev H/L: 279.34 / 249.32 · 52w H/L: 279.34 / 83.22

MU (close 1145.28)
Cam: S4 1076.45 · S1 1133.81 · R1 1156.75 · R4 1214.11
Classic: S3 937.88 · S1 1063.02 · R1 1188.16 · R3 1313.30
EMAs: 20 1034.66 · 50 859.76 · 200 507.64 · POC 785.81
Prev H/L: 1148.79 / 1023.65 · 52w H/L: 1255.00 / 103.38



Bearish Warnings
Death-cross posture (price < 200-EMA and 50-EMA < 200-EMA): MSFT, META, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, ISRG, INTU, SNPS, CEG, WDAY. Today's pop is counter-trend for these until they reclaim their EMAs.
Negative MACD < 0: MSFT, META, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, SNPS, WDAY.
Overbought / pullback risk: PANW (RSI 77.6), FTNT (70.8), AMAT (70.2) — extended, prone to mean-reversion.
Near 52-week lows (despite the up day): TMUS (+3%), NFLX (+4%), ISRG (+2%), INTU (+5%), MSFT (+6%). Relative-weakness leaders to the downside if the bounce fails.



Events Calendar
Holiday-shortened week: US markets are CLOSED Fri 3 Jul (Independence Day observed; 4 Jul falls on Saturday).
Wed 1 Jul: Fed Chair Kevin Warsh speaks (Portugal, 09:30 ET).
Thu 2 Jul: June Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls) released a day early due to the holiday — consensus +172k. The week's main catalyst.
Earnings: No NAS100 components are scheduled to report this week; the mega-cap tech reporting wave begins late July. Price action this week is macro- and flow-driven.



Report: 29 Jun 2026 22:02 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

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2 months 3 weeks ago #18633 by remo
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Daily Technical Analysis - Thursday 25 June 2026
Data: Close 25 Jun 2026 | NAS100: ~29,800 | Change: +585 (+2.0%) | Range: 29,300-29,860 (approx)
Component prices, EMAs, RSI, MACD, pivots and Camarilla levels are exact closing values from the ChartsView scanner feed (25 Jun). Index OHLC is approximate from session reporting.



Market Overview
The NAS100 closed up roughly 2% near 29,800, but beneath the surface this was one of the most bifurcated sessions of the quarter. Two forces pulled in opposite directions.

Bullish driver: Micron (MU +15.8%) blew past earnings and reignited the AI / data-centre memory trade, dragging the chip-equipment complex vertical - AMAT +13.4%, KLAC +7.6%, LRCX +7.2%, all closing at or near fresh 52-week highs.

Bearish driver: A hot May PCE print (headline ~4.1% y/y, core ~3.4%) hit rate-sensitive mega-cap tech - AAPL -6.2%, MSFT -3.5%, AMZN -3.1%, META -2.7%, with MSFT, NFLX, ADBE and INTU pressing 52-week lows.

Bias: Index-level bullish on the semis surge, but breadth is deeply split. Leadership is concentrated in chip-equipment while the mega-cap generals are broken. This is a rotation, not a broad advance - treat the headline gain with caution.



Trend
EMA stack (close vs 20 / 50 / 200):
Full bull stack (above all three): ABNB, ADI, AMAT, AMD, CRWD, FTNT, KLAC, LIN, LRCX, MRVL, MU, PANW, TXN - 13 names.
Full bear stack (below all three): ADBE, AMZN, COST, INTU, ISRG, MELI, META, MSFT, NFLX, ORLY, PYPL, REGN, SNPS, TMUS, TSLA, WDAY - 16 names.

The chip-equipment cohort is in clean Stage 2 uptrends with price > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200. The mega-cap software and internet cohort is in confirmed downtrends below all EMAs and below their 60-day POC. The tape is splitting into two regimes - own strength, avoid the broken generals.



Indicators
RSI(14): Overbought (>=70): AMAT. Oversold (<=30): ADBE, INTU, MSFT, NFLX.
AMAT (72.5) is the lone overbought name - powerful but extended. The oversold cluster (NFLX 19.1, ADBE 28.4, MSFT 28.7, INTU 30.0) flags capitulation in mega-cap tech; wait for bullish divergence before fading the downtrend.

MACD: 13 of 40 names carry a bullish MACD (line > signal). MU, AMAT, KLAC and LRCX pair bullish MACD with expanding histograms - momentum confirms the move. PANW, AMD, MRVL and TXN sit above all EMAs yet show MACD below signal - momentum lagging price, a yellow flag on those breakouts.

Volume: Conviction is in the leaders - MU (rel vol 1.45), AMAT (1.49), LRCX (1.32) rallied on above-average volume. The mega-cap selling (MSFT, AMZN rel vol 1.50) was high-volume distribution - real supply, not noise.



Key Index Levels (NAS100)
Index OHLC is not in the component feed; the levels below are approximate, from the ~2% session and round-number structure.

Resistance: R1 ~30,000 (psychological) - R2 ~30,210 - R3 ~30,500
Support: S1 ~29,450 - S2 ~29,220 (prior close) - S3 ~29,100
Approx classic pivot ~29,650. Bulls want to hold 29,450 and base under 30,000; a clean break and close above 30,000 opens 30,500. Loss of 29,220 (prior close / breakout pivot) negates the session and warns the semis pop was a one-day event.



Component Signals - all 40
Bull (above all)
MU 1213.56 - +15.81% - Bull (above all) - RSI 64.5 (Strong) - MACD+ - -3.3% vs 52wH - POC+
AMAT 668.13 - +13.44% - Bull (above all) - RSI 72.5 (Overbought) - MACD+ - -0.2% vs 52wH - POC+
KLAC 258.80 - +7.62% - Bull (above all) - RSI 63.3 (Strong) - MACD+ - -4.1% vs 52wH - POC+
LRCX 401.82 - +7.20% - Bull (above all) - RSI 64.7 (Strong) - MACD+ - -1.9% vs 52wH - POC+
FTNT 149.93 - +3.20% - Bull (above all) - RSI 66.4 (Strong) - MACD- - -1.3% vs 52wH - POC+
PANW 293.09 - +2.74% - Bull (above all) - RSI 66.1 (Strong) - MACD- - -3.3% vs 52wH - POC+
TXN 311.81 - +2.74% - Bull (above all) - RSI 54.6 (Neutral) - MACD- - -6.7% vs 52wH - POC+
AMD 532.57 - +2.60% - Bull (above all) - RSI 58.5 (Neutral) - MACD- - -5.4% vs 52wH - POC+
MRVL 281.26 - +1.65% - Bull (above all) - RSI 56.5 (Neutral) - MACD- - -14.7% vs 52wH - POC+
LIN 522.28 - +1.27% - Bull (above all) - RSI 58.6 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -1.1% vs 52wH - POC+
ADI 417.93 - +1.09% - Bull (above all) - RSI 51.6 (Neutral) - MACD- - -6.3% vs 52wH - POC+
CRWD 678.65 - +0.84% - Bull (above all) - RSI 56.0 (Neutral) - MACD- - -13.6% vs 52wH - POC+
ABNB 141.88 - -1.75% - Bull (above all) - RSI 58.3 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -3.7% vs 52wH - POC+

Bull (above 20/50)
DASH 176.91 - -0.57% - Bull (above 20/50) - RSI 60.8 (Strong) - MACD+ - -38.0% vs 52wH - POC+
BKNG 177.05 - -2.33% - Bull (above 20/50) - RSI 58.8 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -24.2% vs 52wH - POC+

Mixed
QCOM 204.74 - +3.76% - Mixed (<20, >50, >200) - RSI 47.6 (Neutral) - MACD- - -21.2% vs 52wH - POC+
CEG 268.69 - +0.27% - Mixed (>20, <50, <200) - RSI 48.4 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -34.9% vs 52wH - POC-
CSCO 118.97 - -0.64% - Mixed (<20, >50, >200) - RSI 53.6 (Neutral) - MACD- - -8.7% vs 52wH - POC+
CDNS 368.23 - -1.13% - Mixed (<20, >50, >200) - RSI 45.2 (Neutral) - MACD- - -11.6% vs 52wH - POC+
MAR 378.91 - -1.19% - Mixed (<20, >50, >200) - RSI 47.1 (Neutral) - MACD- - -7.8% vs 52wH - POC+

Bear (below 20/50)
GOOGL 343.71 - -0.45% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 36.2 (Weak) - MACD- - -15.9% vs 52wH - POC-
AVGO 378.91 - -0.83% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 43.3 (Neutral) - MACD- - -23.5% vs 52wH - POC-
NVDA 195.74 - -1.59% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 39.6 (Weak) - MACD- - -17.2% vs 52wH - POC-
AAPL 275.15 - -6.15% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 32.2 (Weak) - MACD- - -13.3% vs 52wH - POC-

Bear (below all)
TMUS 181.57 - +0.43% - Bear (below all) - RSI 44.0 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -30.6% vs 52wH - POC-
TSLA 375.12 - -0.09% - Bear (below all) - RSI 38.9 (Weak) - MACD- - -24.8% vs 52wH - POC-
PYPL 42.38 - -0.22% - Bear (below all) - RSI 45.0 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -46.7% vs 52wH - POC-
REGN 620.14 - -0.50% - Bear (below all) - RSI 43.8 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -24.5% vs 52wH - POC-
ISRG 399.69 - -0.55% - Bear (below all) - RSI 37.2 (Weak) - MACD- - -33.8% vs 52wH - POC-
ORLY 86.90 - -1.03% - Bear (below all) - RSI 41.9 (Neutral) - MACD- - -20.1% vs 52wH - POC-
NFLX 70.91 - -1.30% - Bear (below all) - RSI 19.1 (Oversold) - MACD- - -47.1% vs 52wH - POC-
ADBE 193.41 - -1.60% - Bear (below all) - RSI 28.4 (Oversold) - MACD- - -50.7% vs 52wH - POC-
SNPS 454.98 - -1.95% - Bear (below all) - RSI 42.2 (Neutral) - MACD- - -30.2% vs 52wH - POC-
COST 942.24 - -1.95% - Bear (below all) - RSI 36.5 (Weak) - MACD- - -14.1% vs 52wH - POC-
MELI 1619.25 - -2.43% - Bear (below all) - RSI 47.0 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -38.8% vs 52wH - POC-
META 542.87 - -2.68% - Bear (below all) - RSI 34.1 (Weak) - MACD- - -31.8% vs 52wH - POC-
INTU 255.07 - -2.77% - Bear (below all) - RSI 30.0 (Oversold) - MACD- - -68.7% vs 52wH - POC-
AMZN 227.01 - -3.14% - Bear (below all) - RSI 33.7 (Weak) - MACD- - -18.5% vs 52wH - POC-
MSFT 352.83 - -3.45% - Bear (below all) - RSI 28.7 (Oversold) - MACD- - -36.5% vs 52wH - POC-
WDAY 113.77 - -3.64% - Bear (below all) - RSI 36.3 (Weak) - MACD- - -54.5% vs 52wH - POC-



Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (avg -2.51%): TSLA -0.1%, GOOGL -0.5%, NVDA -1.6%, META -2.7%, AMZN -3.1%, MSFT -3.5%, AAPL -6.2%
Semiconductors (avg +5.51%): MU +15.8%, AMAT +13.4%, KLAC +7.6%, LRCX +7.2%, QCOM +3.8%, TXN +2.7%, AMD +2.6%, MRVL +1.6%, ADI +1.1%, AVGO -0.8%
Software / Cloud (avg -0.55%): FTNT +3.2%, PANW +2.7%, CRWD +0.8%, CSCO -0.6%, CDNS -1.1%, ADBE -1.6%, SNPS -1.9%, INTU -2.8%, WDAY -3.6%
Consumer / Internet (avg -1.23%): TMUS +0.4%, PYPL -0.2%, DASH -0.6%, ORLY -1.0%, MAR -1.2%, NFLX -1.3%, ABNB -1.8%, COST -1.9%, BKNG -2.3%, MELI -2.4%
Healthcare / Biotech (avg -0.53%): REGN -0.5%, ISRG -0.6%
Industrial / Other (avg +0.77%): LIN +1.3%, CEG +0.3%

Semiconductors are the clear leadership group; Software/Cloud and Mega-cap Tech are the laggards. The split between chip-equipment strength and mega-cap weakness is the defining feature of the session.



Top Swing Setups
MU - long, AI memory breakout
Entry: 1213 (or pullback to 1180 / Cam S3) - Stop: 1118 (1.0 ATR, below 1148 pivot S1) - T1: 1267 (R1) - T2: 1320 (R2) - R:R: ~1.1-2.2
Confluence: +15.8% on rel vol 1.45, MACD bull, price > all EMAs, reclaimed POC (745) long ago and printing into the 52w high (1255). Strongest name on the board; buy strength or the first higher-low.

LRCX - long, chip-equipment continuation
Entry: 402 (or 392 / Cam S3) - Stop: 378 (1.0 ATR, below 380 pivot S1) - T1: 410 (52w high) - T2: 430 (R2) - R:R: ~0.3-1.2
Confluence: +7.2% on rel vol 1.32, full bull stack, MACD bull, sitting just under 52w high 409.75. Tight stop available at the breakout shelf; best risk/reward of the leaders.

KLAC - long, breakout pullback
Entry: 259 (or 254 / pivot) - Stop: 243 (1.0 ATR, below 247 S1) - T1: 270 (52w high / R2) - T2: 283 (R3) - R:R: ~0.7-1.5
Confluence: +7.6%, full bull stack, MACD bull, RSI 63 (room before overbought). Cleaner entry than AMAT, which is already RSI 72.5.

FTNT - long, base breakout
Entry: 150 (break of 152 52w high) - Stop: 144 (1.0 ATR, below 145 S1) - T1: 156 (R2) - T2: 160 (R3) - R:R: ~1.0-1.7
Confluence: +3.2%, full bull stack, RSI 66.4, closed at the 52w high 151.97. A daily close above 152 confirms breakout; note MACD just rolled below signal, so demand the close.

AMD - long, trend pullback (lower conviction)
Entry: 533 (or 520 / Cam S3) - Stop: 499 (1.0 ATR, below 509 S1) - T1: 553 (R1) - T2: 563 (52w high) - R:R: ~0.6-0.9
Confluence: +2.6%, full bull stack, but MACD below signal - momentum lagging. Treat as a pullback-buy in an uptrend, not a breakout; size down.



Intraday Setups
AMAT - Camarilla breakout long
Direction: Long - Entry: > 673.6 (Cam R1) - Stop: 662.7 (Cam S1) - T1: 679 (R2) - T2: 684.5 (R3). Above Cam R1 with momentum targets the R-band; only valid if it holds 52w-high 669 as support intraday. Extended (RSI 72.5) - scalp, do not chase.

MU - Camarilla R-band continuation
Direction: Long - Entry: > 1224 (Cam R1) - Stop: 1191 (Cam S2) - T1: 1246 (R3) - T2: 1279 (R4). Trend-day continuation; reclaim of Cam R1 after any open dip signals buyers still in control.

LIN - pivot breakout long
Direction: Long - Entry: > 524 - Stop: 518 (Cam S2) - T1: 528 (52w high / R1) - T2: 530 (Cam R4). Quiet full-bull-stack name at the 52w high 527.94; low ATR (10.7) = defined risk.

MSFT - Camarilla breakdown short
Direction: Short - Entry: < 344.6 (Cam S4) - Stop: 351.5 (Cam S1) - T1: 340.4 (S2) - T2: 331.6 (S3). Below all EMAs, RSI 28.7, closing at 52w low 349.20 on rel vol 1.5. A break of Cam S4 opens range-expansion lower; counter-trend bounces into 351 are sells.

NFLX - trend-day short into weakness
Direction: Short on bounce - Entry: rejection at 71.1 (Cam R1) - Stop: 72.1 (Cam R4) - T1: 70.34 (Cam S3) - T2: 69.5 (S2). RSI 19.1 is deeply oversold so chasing lows is risky; sell weak bounces while below 71.1, target the 52w low 70.86.



Key Levels Dashboard (top 5)
MU
Cam: S4 1148.28 - S3 1180.92 - S1 1202.68 || R1 1224.44 - R3 1246.2 - R4 1278.84
Classic: S3 1029.56 - S1 1148.25 - P 1201.62 - R1 1266.94 - R3 1385.63
EMA20 1011.45 - EMA50 836.48 - EMA200 494.88 - POC 745.93
Prev H 1255 - Prev L 1136.31 - 52wH 1255 - 52wL 103.38

AMAT
Cam: S4 635.39 - S3 651.76 - S1 662.67 || R1 673.59 - R3 684.5 - R4 700.87
Classic: S3 569.29 - S1 628.81 - P 649.02 - R1 688.33 - R3 747.85
EMA20 551.39 - EMA50 482.95 - EMA200 354.22 - POC 469.35
Prev H 669.22 - Prev L 609.7 - 52wH 669.22 - 52wL 154.47

KLAC
Cam: S4 249.27 - S3 254.03 - S1 257.21 || R1 260.39 - R3 263.57 - R4 268.33
Classic: S3 230.6 - S1 247.93 - P 254.38 - R1 265.26 - R3 282.59
EMA20 231.16 - EMA50 205.64 - EMA200 155.74 - POC 199.15
Prev H 260.84 - Prev L 243.51 - 52wH 269.9 - 52wL 83.22

LRCX
Cam: S4 382.19 - S3 392.01 - S1 398.55 || R1 405.09 - R3 411.63 - R4 421.45
Classic: S3 344.39 - S1 380.08 - P 394.04 - R1 415.77 - R3 451.46
EMA20 356.73 - EMA50 317.4 - EMA200 230.18 - POC 304.06
Prev H 407.99 - Prev L 372.3 - 52wH 409.75 - 52wL 90.94

AMD
Cam: S4 508.44 - S3 520.5 - S1 528.55 || R1 536.59 - R3 544.64 - R4 556.7
Classic: S3 465.54 - S1 509.42 - P 530.15 - R1 553.3 - R3 597.18
EMA20 504.04 - EMA50 439.13 - EMA200 295.02 - POC 390.43
Prev H 550.88 - Prev L 507 - 52wH 562.99 - 52wL 133.5



Bearish Warnings
Mega-cap distribution: AAPL (-6.2%), MSFT (-3.5%), AMZN (-3.1%), META (-2.7%) all closed below all EMAs. MSFT, NFLX, ADBE and INTU printed at or near 52-week lows.
Deeply oversold (capitulation risk, not yet a buy): NFLX RSI 19.1, ADBE 28.4, MSFT 28.7, INTU 30.0 - oversold can stay oversold in a downtrend.
Broken long-term trends: INTU (-68.7% from 52w high), WDAY (-54.5%), ADBE (-50.7%), NFLX (-47.1%), PYPL (-46.7%) - below all EMAs with bearish MACD. Avoid catching these knives.
Momentum-vs-price flags: PANW, AMD, MRVL, TXN, ADI are above all EMAs but carry MACD below signal - if the semis pop fades, these are first to roll over.



Events Calendar
Macro: May PCE (released 25 Jun) ran hot - headline ~4.1% y/y, core ~3.4% - the trigger for today mega-cap weakness. Fri 26 Jun: University of Michigan final consumer sentiment + inflation expectations; watch for Fed speakers on the back of the PCE beat.
Earnings (NAS100 names): MU reported (the catalyst). No other index heavyweights are scheduled in the next 1-2 sessions; focus shifts to early-July results and the next CPI. Confirm dates on the IR calendars before trading any event.
Index event: Nasdaq-100 June quarterly rebalance changes are in effect - expect index-tracking flow at the close.



Report: 25 Jun 2026 21:58 GMT - Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

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2 months 3 weeks ago #18630 by remo
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) - Daily Technical Analysis - Tuesday 23 June 2026
Data: Close 2026-06-23 | NAS100 (NDX): ~29,480 | Change: -863 pts (-2.84%) | VIX: 20.44 (+33%) | Range: global AI-chip rout session
Component levels below are from the ChartsView NAS100 scanner dated 23 Jun 2026 (current session). Index figure is the headline NDX move on the day.



Market Overview
The NAS100 was slammed in a broad risk-off session, the headline NDX shedding roughly 863 points (-2.84%) from the prior close of 30,406, as a global AI-chip rout that started in Asia rolled into US mega-cap tech. South Korea's KOSPI closed -9.99% and tripped a circuit-breaker (SK Hynix -12.5%, Samsung -12.3%); the VIX jumped about 33% to 20.44. Drivers: a Bank of America rate-hike note, stretched AI-valuation fears, and cascading semiconductor weakness.
Internal breadth confirms the damage: of the 40 NAS100 components scanned, 19 sit below all three EMAs, 16 above all three, and 5 mixed. Only 13 of 40 hold a bullish MACD and 19 close above their 60-day VWAP (POC). Crucially, the chip selloff was a single-session shock - not a single name printed an overbought RSI - so the longer-term EMA structure on the cyclical semis is bruised but not yet broken. Bias: bearish / risk-off while NDX trades below 30,000; a VIX reversal back under 18 would be the first all-clear.



Trend Structure
Intact uptrends (above all EMAs): FTNT, PANW, LIN, MAR, ABNB, CSCO, CRWD, AMD, AMAT, TXN, LRCX, KLAC, MU, MRVL - note the semis here closed sharply lower on the day yet remain above a rising EMA20/50/200 stack; they are extended pullbacks, not trend breaks.
Broken trends (below all EMAs): TSLA, META, MSFT, ISRG, MELI, SNPS, REGN, ORLY, COST, TMUS, NFLX, PYPL, ADBE, WDAY, INTU - clean downtrends with price under EMA20<EMA50<EMA200 in most cases.
Bearish 20/50 (below 20 & 50, above 200): GOOGL, NVDA, AMZN, AVGO, TSLA-adjacent mega-caps - the swing names most at risk of confirming a full breakdown if the 200-EMA gives way.
Mixed: AAPL (<20, >50, >200), ADI, CDNS, QCOM (all <20 >50 >200), CEG (>20 <50 <200). Phase: index in a corrective leg within a still-higher long-term structure; leadership has narrowed to security-software (FTNT, PANW, CRWD) and defensives (LIN).



Momentum & Volume
RSI(14): Oversold - NFLX 21.3, INTU 29.4, ADBE 30.0 (washed out, watch for mean-reversion bounces). Weak (<=40) - MSFT 35.3, WDAY 35.9, GOOGL 37.4, AMZN 37.8, ISRG 38.9, META 39.0. Strongest - PANW 67.3, FTNT 66.7, AMAT 63.4, KLAC 59.7 (semis still in strong-momentum territory despite the drop = bullish RSI/price divergence forming).
MACD: 13/40 bullish. The chip leaders (AMAT, TXN, LRCX, KLAC, MU) are the standouts holding bullish MACD into the selloff. Heaviest bearish histograms: INTU (-26.8 vs -25.6), MELI, ADBE, META, MSFT.
Volume: Relative volume spiked on the sold semis - MU 1.02, ADI 1.43, KLAC 1.32, LRCX 1.29, AMAT 1.21, TMUS 1.27 - confirming distribution. Leaders FTNT (0.81) and PANW (0.59) fell on light volume, a constructive sign for the longs.



Key NAS100 (NDX) Levels
Resistance: R1 30,000 (round / prior support turned resistance) . R2 30,406 (prev close) . R3 30,800 (broken EMA20 zone)
Support: S1 29,250 (intraday low area) . S2 29,000 (round) . S3 28,500 (next measured-move target)
Classic pivots (approx): S2 28,950 . S1 29,300 . P 29,800 . R1 30,150 . R2 30,500. Round numbers 29,000 / 30,000 are the session's magnets.



Component Signals - All 40
Cols: Ticker | Close | Chg% | Trend | RSI(zone) | MACD | %52wH | POC
FTNT 148.00 | +1.80% | Bull(above all) | RSI 66.7 (Strong) | Bear | -1.4% | Above POC
LIN 512.26 | -0.86% | Bull(above all) | RSI 51.5 (Neutral) | Bull | -2.6% | Above POC
PANW 290.92 | +1.58% | Bull(above all) | RSI 67.3 (Strong) | Bear | -4.0% | Above POC
ABNB 138.85 | -0.24% | Bull(above all) | RSI 55.4 (Neutral) | Bull | -5.7% | Above POC
MAR 386.83 | +0.69% | Bull(above all) | RSI 53.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -5.9% | Above POC
CSCO 121.15 | -0.31% | Bull(above all) | RSI 57.8 (Neutral) | Bear | -7.1% | Above POC
AAPL 294.30 | -0.91% | Mixed(<20 >50 >200) | RSI 47.1 (Neutral) | Bear | -7.3% | Above POC
AMD 519.85 | -5.76% | Bull(above all) | RSI 56.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -7.7% | Above POC
AMAT 585.88 | -8.48% | Bull(above all) | RSI 63.4 (Strong) | Bull | -8.6% | Above POC
ADI 407.26 | -8.58% | Mixed(<20 >50 >200) | RSI 48.3 (Neutral) | Bear | -8.7% | Above POC
TXN 304.41 | -8.39% | Bull(above all) | RSI 51.8 (Neutral) | Bull | -8.9% | Above POC
CDNS 379.06 | -2.57% | Mixed(<20 >50 >200) | RSI 50.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -9.0% | Above POC
LRCX 371.33 | -9.33% | Bull(above all) | RSI 58.7 (Neutral) | Bull | -9.4% | Above POC
KLAC 244.49 | -9.17% | Bull(above all) | RSI 59.7 (Neutral) | Bull | -9.4% | Above POC
COST 957.68 | +0.67% | Bear(below all) | RSI 40.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -12.7% | Below POC
CRWD 680.92 | +0.81% | Bull(above all) | RSI 56.9 (Neutral) | Bear | -13.3% | Above POC
MU 1,051.77 | -13.18% | Bull(above all) | RSI 57.0 (Neutral) | Bull | -13.3% | Above POC
GOOGL 346.09 | -1.03% | Bear(below 20/50) | RSI 37.4 (Weak) | Bear | -15.3% | Below POC
MRVL 279.04 | -9.36% | Bull(above all) | RSI 56.1 (Neutral) | Bear | -15.4% | Above POC
NVDA 200.00 | -4.15% | Bear(below 20/50) | RSI 42.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -15.4% | Below POC
AMZN 234.11 | +0.57% | Bear(below 20/50) | RSI 37.8 (Weak) | Bear | -16.0% | Below POC
ORLY 87.54 | +2.23% | Bear(below all) | RSI 43.6 (Neutral) | Bear | -19.5% | Below POC
QCOM 204.13 | -8.01% | Mixed(<20 >50 >200) | RSI 46.9 (Neutral) | Bear | -21.5% | Above POC
AVGO 380.15 | -3.06% | Bear(below 20/50) | RSI 43.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -23.2% | Below POC
TSLA 381.61 | -5.79% | Bear(below all) | RSI 40.9 (Neutral) | Bear | -23.5% | Below POC
REGN 618.03 | +0.90% | Bear(below all) | RSI 42.3 (Neutral) | Bull | -24.7% | Below POC
BKNG 168.94 | +0.70% | Bull(above 20/50) | RSI 52.1 (Neutral) | Bull | -27.7% | Below POC
SNPS 461.50 | -0.66% | Bear(below all) | RSI 44.6 (Neutral) | Bear | -29.2% | Below POC
META 562.20 | -0.29% | Bear(below all) | RSI 39.0 (Weak) | Bear | -29.4% | Below POC
TMUS 184.57 | +2.50% | Bear(below all) | RSI 47.7 (Neutral) | Bull | -29.4% | Below POC
MSFT 373.94 | +1.80% | Bear(below all) | RSI 35.3 (Weak) | Bear | -32.7% | Below POC
ISRG 403.18 | +0.06% | Bear(below all) | RSI 38.9 (Weak) | Bear | -33.2% | Below POC
CEG 270.26 | -1.91% | Mixed(>20 <50 <200) | RSI 49.3 (Neutral) | Bull | -34.5% | Below POC
DASH 171.52 | -0.33% | Bull(above 20/50) | RSI 57.7 (Neutral) | Bull | -39.9% | Above POC
MELI 1,583.66 | -0.36% | Bear(below all) | RSI 41.9 (Neutral) | Bear | -40.1% | Below POC
NFLX 72.82 | -0.08% | Bear(below all) | RSI 21.3 (OS) | Bear | -45.7% | Below POC
PYPL 41.70 | -1.51% | Bear(below all) | RSI 40.5 (Neutral) | Bull | -47.5% | Below POC
ADBE 197.43 | +1.30% | Bear(below all) | RSI 30.0 (OS) | Bear | -49.7% | Below POC
WDAY 115.13 | +1.85% | Bear(below all) | RSI 35.9 (Weak) | Bear | -53.9% | Below POC
INTU 258.05 | +0.11% | Bear(below all) | RSI 29.4 (OS) | Bear | -68.3% | Below POC



Sector Read
Semiconductors - the epicentre. MU -13.2%, LRCX -9.3%, KLAC -9.2%, ADI -8.6%, AMAT -8.5%, TXN -8.4%, QCOM -8.0%, AMD -5.8%, NVDA -4.2%, AVGO -3.1%, MRVL -9.4%. Group sold hard but AMAT/TXN/LRCX/KLAC/MU still sit above all EMAs - distribution within an uptrend, not (yet) a top.
Mega-cap Tech - mostly heavy: NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL below 20/50; META below all EMAs and weak; AAPL mixed; only MSFT ticked green (+1.8%) but remains deeply below its EMAs.
Software/Cloud - the relative-strength pocket: FTNT (+1.8%), PANW (+1.6%), CRWD (+0.8%) all above all EMAs. CSCO firm. Offset by INTU (-RSI 29), WDAY, ADBE deeply oversold downtrends.
Consumer/Internet: mixed-to-weak - MAR/ABNB/DASH hold up, BKNG above 20/50, but MELI, PYPL, ORLY, COST under all EMAs. Healthcare: ISRG, REGN both below all EMAs (defensive bid absent). Industrial/Other: LIN the cleanest defensive (above all EMAs, bullish MACD); CEG mixed.



Top Swing Setups
LONG PANW - relative-strength leader
Above all EMAs, RSI 67, fell only on light volume (rv 0.59), -4% from 52w high. Buy a pullback into prior value.
Entry: 285.0 (S1) . Stop: 273.0 (below EMA20 271.9) . T1: 298.0 (R2) . T2: 304.0 (R3 / 52wH 302.95) . R:R: ~1.6:1 . Confluence: EMA20 reclaim + POC 221 well below = trend support.
LONG FTNT - new-high momentum
Closed +1.8% into resistance, above all EMAs, RSI 66.7. Cup toward 52w high 150.07.
Entry: 144.9 (S1 pullback) . Stop: 137.9 (below EMA20 140.2) . T1: 150.0 (52wH) . T2: 154.6 (R3) . R:R: ~1.4:1 . Confluence: light-volume rest above POC 112.
LONG ABNB - fresh MACD cross
Above all EMAs with a new bullish MACD cross (1.23 vs 0.38), holding flat on a red day.
Entry: 138.0 . Stop: 134.5 (below EMA50 135.3) . T1: 142.2 (R2) . T2: 147.2 (52wH) . R:R: ~1.9:1 . Confluence: EMA stack + above POC 135.6.
SHORT TSLA - broken trend
Below all EMAs (price 381.6 vs EMA cluster ~405), MACD bearish, -5.8% on rising volume. Sell the bounce.
Entry: 384.5 (pivot) . Stop: 398.5 (R2 / EMA cluster) . T1: 370.7 (S2) . T2: 362.4 (S3) . R:R: ~1.6:1 . Confluence: rejection at broken EMA20/50 + below POC 393.
SHORT META - clean downtrend
Below all EMAs (EMA20 588 / EMA50 606 / EMA200 636), RSI 39, MACD -13.2. Fade rallies into supply.
Entry: 569.0 (R1) . Stop: 581.0 (R3) . T1: 554.0 (S2) . T2: 547.0 (S3) . R:R: ~1.8:1 . Confluence: EMA20 588 caps; below POC 608.



Intraday Setups (pivot / Camarilla)
LONG FTNT - Camarilla breakout
Direction: Long above 148.45 (Cam R1) . Stop: 146.61 (pivot) . T1: 149.34 (Cam R3) . T2: 150.69 (Cam R4 / 52wH) . Reasoning: RS leader, breakout-band trigger above pivot.
SHORT NVDA - round-number rejection
Direction: Short below 199.65 (Cam S1 / 200 round) . Stop: 201.26 (pivot) . T1: 197.49 (S2) . T2: 194.97 (S3) . Reasoning: lost EMA20/50, 200.00 psychological pivot, chip-rout drag.
SHORT TSLA - Camarilla breakdown
Direction: Short below 377.81 (Cam S3) . Stop: 380.34 (Cam S1) . T1: 374.01 (Cam S4) . T2: 370.70 (S2) . Reasoning: range-expansion breakdown in a broken trend.
SHORT AMZN - Camarilla breakdown
Direction: Short below 232.77 (Cam S3) . Stop: 234.33 (pivot) . T1: 231.43 (Cam S4) . T2: 229.46 (S2) . Reasoning: below 20/50 EMA, below POC 249.5, weak RSI 37.8.
LONG LIN - defensive pivot bounce
Direction: Long at 510.87-514.96 (Cam S1 / pivot) . Stop: 508.09 (Cam S3) . T1: 521.18 (R1) . T2: 530.11 (R2) . Reasoning: only clean defensive uptrend; risk-off rotation candidate.



Key Levels Dashboard - Top 5
NVDA (close 200.00) . Cam: S4 197.93 . S3 198.96 . S1 199.65 || R1 200.35 . R3 201.04 . R4 202.07 . Classic: S3 194.97 / S1 198.74 / P 201.26 / R1 202.51 / R3 206.28 . EMA20/50/200: 209.22/206.71/188.41 . POC 205.04 . PrevH/L 203.77/200 . 52w 142.03-236.54
AAPL (close 294.30) . Cam: S4 290.2 . S3 292.25 . S1 293.62 || R1 294.98 . R3 296.35 . R4 298.4 . Classic: S3 284.31 / S1 291.77 / P 296.71 / R1 299.23 / R3 306.69 . EMA20/50/200: 298.05/290.78/267.46 . POC 285.71 . PrevH/L 301.64/294.18 . 52w 198.96-317.4
TSLA (close 381.61) . Cam: S4 374.01 . S3 377.81 . S1 380.34 || R1 382.88 . R3 385.41 . R4 389.21 . Classic: S3 362.35 / S1 376.16 / P 384.51 / R1 389.97 / R3 403.78 . EMA20/50/200: 404.9/404.86/396.81 . POC 393.27 . PrevH/L 392.87/379.06 . 52w 288.77-498.83
META (close 562.20) . Cam: S4 556.05 . S3 559.13 . S1 561.18 || R1 563.22 . R3 565.27 . R4 568.35 . Classic: S3 546.9 / S1 558.08 / P 565.14 / R1 569.26 / R3 580.44 . EMA20/50/200: 588.67/605.93/636.02 . POC 608.05 . PrevH/L 572.2/561.02 . 52w 520.26-796.25
AMD (close 519.85) . Cam: S4 507.93 . S3 513.89 . S1 517.86 || R1 521.84 . R3 525.81 . R4 531.77 . Classic: S3 486.6 / S1 508.28 / P 518.38 / R1 529.96 / R3 551.64 . EMA20/50/200: 499.14/431.89/290.36 . POC 381.49 . PrevH/L 528.49/506.81 . 52w 126.82-562.99



Bearish Warnings
Below all EMAs + bearish MACD (full downtrend): TSLA, META, MSFT, ISRG, MELI, SNPS, ORLY, COST, NFLX, ADBE, WDAY, INTU.
Near 52-week lows: INTU (-68% from high, 52wL 252.84 vs close 258), WDAY (-54%), ADBE (-50%, 52wL 190.12), PYPL (-47%), NFLX (-46%).
EMA20<EMA50 death-cross risk: NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL, AVGO sitting below 20/50 - a close under the 200-EMA confirms trend loss. Semis distribution: MU/LRCX/KLAC/ADI/AMAT shed 8-13% on elevated volume - watch for follow-through below EMA20 to flip the swing structure bearish.



Events Calendar
Macro (next 1-2 days): US economic calendar shows scheduled releases on Wed 24 Jun - confirm on the wire before the open; rate expectations are the dominant driver after the BofA hike note. Watch any Fed-speaker commentary given the volatility spike.
Earnings (NAS100 names): none confirmed for the 40 in the immediate 1-2 session window from the scanner feed - verify against the earnings calendar before sizing swing trades, as a print into this tape would amplify moves.
Catalyst risk: follow-through from the Asia chip rout (KOSPI circuit-breaker) into the next US session is the key overhang; a stabilising VIX (back under 18) would relieve pressure on the semi complex.



Report: 2026-06-23 22:00 GMT . Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

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2 months 3 weeks ago #18628 by remo
NAS100 Daily Technical Analysis
Data date: 2026-06-11 (NAS100 component scanner)
STALE-DATA NOTICE: The NAS100 scanner feed last updated 2026-06-11. Today is 2026-06-22 - 11 calendar days / 7 trading sessions later. The DOW and FTSE feeds updated today but the NAS100 feed did not. ALL levels below are as-of the 2026-06-11 close and are NOT current prices. Treat pivots, Camarilla and ATR stops as historical reference only and re-validate against live price before any action.
Breadth (2026-06-11 close): Trend 15 bullish / 22 bearish / 3 mixed . MACD 11/40 bullish . Above 60d POC 21/40 . RSI overbought 2, oversold 0 .


Market Overview
As of the 2026-06-11 close the index was split: a powerful semiconductor rebound led the tape while mega-cap software lagged. Equipment names ripped - KLAC +12.9%, LRCX +12.7%, MU +11.7%, AMAT +11.2%, MRVL +11.1% - a snap-back after the prior week's Broadcom-led chip sell-off. Offsetting that, software and several mega-caps were heavy (ADBE -6.3%, WDAY -5.1%, GOOGL/MSFT/META soft). Macro backdrop into the print: VIX in the low-20s, a mid-week US CPI release and the June FOMC meeting keeping positioning cautious. Net bias on 2026-06-11: constructive but narrow - leadership concentrated in semis, breadth only middling (15/40 in clean uptrends).


Trend - EMA Structure
Clean bull stacks (price > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200): 15/40. Clean bear stacks: 22/40. Mixed/transitional: 3/40.
Strict close-vs-EMA classification was verified programmatically against every name (zero mismatches). The strongest structures sit in semis and select software (KLAC, LRCX, AMAT, MU, MRVL, AMD, ADI, FTNT, PANW, CRWD, MAR all above all three EMAs). The weakest sit in mega-cap software and internet (MSFT, META, ADBE, INTU, NFLX, PYPL, MELI, CEG, DASH below all three).


Momentum and Volume
RSI(14): 2 names overbought (>=70: AMAT 72.2, KLAC 72.3), 0 oversold. Most mega-caps sit mid-range 32-48 (MSFT 36.8, META 35.0, NFLX 31.2, INTU 32.6) - momentum clearly skewed to the chip complex.
MACD: 11/40 above signal - a minority, confirming the move was led by a concentrated group rather than the whole index.
Relative volume: conviction was where the leadership was - KLAC 1.54x, LRCX 1.48x, AMAT 1.35x, ADBE 2.34x (but on a down day = distribution). Most mega-caps traded at or below average volume (<1.0x), so the semi strength carried real participation while the weakness in big tech was lower-conviction drift.


Key Index Levels
The scanner feed carries the 40 components only, not the NDX index print, and an independent NDX close for 2026-06-11 could not be verified at generation time - so specific index pivots/round-number levels are intentionally omitted rather than guessed. Index-level read below is breadth-derived.
Internals on 2026-06-11: 15/40 in clean uptrends, 21/40 above their 60-day POC, 11/40 MACD-positive. That is a market being pulled higher by leadership (semis) while roughly half the components are still basing or correcting - a 'strong-but-narrow' tape rather than a broad advance.


Component Signals - all 40 (close 2026-06-11)
Format: TICKER close (chg%) . RSI zone . MACD . trend . % from 52w high . POC

Mega-cap Tech
AAPL 295.63 (+1.39%) . RSI 48 Neutral . MACD- . Mixed(<20,>50,>200) . -6.9% . >POC
MSFT 390.34 (-1.77%) . RSI 37 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -29.7% . <POC
GOOGL 357.77 (+0.39%) . RSI 41 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -12.4% . >POC
AMZN 241.32 (+1.4%) . RSI 37 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -13.4% . <POC
META 568.43 (-0.45%) . RSI 35 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -28.6% . <POC
NVDA 204.87 (+2.22%) . RSI 45 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -13.4% . >POC
TSLA 399.15 (+4.6%) . RSI 46 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -20.0% . >POC

Semiconductors
AVGO 385.31 (+3.55%) . RSI 42 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -22.2% . <POC
AMD 488.45 (+7.97%) . RSI 57 Neutral . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -10.6% . >POC
QCOM 202.96 (+6.15%) . RSI 48 Neutral . MACD- . Mixed(<20,>50,>200) . -21.9% . >POC
TXN 297.10 (+5.35%) . RSI 53 Neutral . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -10.4% . >POC
AMAT 552.64 (+11.19%) . RSI 72 OB . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -0.9% . >POC
MU 995.87 (+11.66%) . RSI 62 Bullish . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -8.6% . >POC
LRCX 362.52 (+12.65%) . RSI 68 Bullish . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -0.6% . >POC
KLAC 2,411.64 (+12.92%) . RSI 72 OB . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -0.8% . >POC
ADI 412.13 (+4.96%) . RSI 52 Neutral . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -6.3% . >POC
MRVL 280.71 (+11.13%) . RSI 63 Bullish . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -13.4% . >POC

Software/Cloud
ADBE 218.80 (-6.25%) . RSI 34 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -47.5% . <POC
INTU 276.91 (-2.57%) . RSI 33 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -66.0% . <POC
CRWD 691.53 (+6.76%) . RSI 60 Bullish . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -12.0% . >POC
PANW 279.53 (+6.2%) . RSI 65 Bullish . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -7.7% . >POC
SNPS 456.29 (-0.92%) . RSI 40 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -30.0% . <POC
CDNS 383.74 (-0.36%) . RSI 55 Neutral . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -7.9% . >POC
WDAY 130.53 (-5.05%) . RSI 46 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -49.1% . >POC
FTNT 145.06 (+4.45%) . RSI 69 Bullish . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -3.3% . >POC
CSCO 121.83 (+2.55%) . RSI 60 Bullish . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -6.6% . >POC

Consumer/Internet
NFLX 81.27 (-0.89%) . RSI 31 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -39.4% . <POC
COST 975.69 (-0.78%) . RSI 44 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -11.0% . <POC
BKNG 163.59 (+1.84%) . RSI 48 Neutral . MACD+ . Bear(<all) . -30.0% . <POC
MELI 1,610.00 (+1.37%) . RSI 43 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -39.1% . <POC
ABNB 130.87 (+1.37%) . RSI 43 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -11.1% . <POC
MAR 396.89 (+2.76%) . RSI 67 Bullish . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -0.5% . >POC
DASH 154.59 (+2.38%) . RSI 46 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -45.9% . <POC
ORLY 90.10 (-0.4%) . RSI 50 Neutral . MACD+ . Mixed(>20,<50,<200) . -17.1% . <POC
PYPL 41.24 (+1.33%) . RSI 32 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -48.1% . <POC
TMUS 185.82 (+0.15%) . RSI 47 Neutral . MACD+ . Bear(<all) . -29.0% . <POC

Healthcare/Biotech
ISRG 412.90 (+0.21%) . RSI 41 Neutral . MACD+ . Bear(<all) . -31.6% . <POC
REGN 611.48 (+1.63%) . RSI 38 Bearish . MACD+ . Bear(<all) . -25.5% . <POC

Industrial/Other
LIN 515.44 (+1.23%) . RSI 57 Neutral . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -1.4% . >POC
CEG 246.71 (+1.82%) . RSI 35 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -40.2% . <POC


Sector Read
Mega-cap Tech: 0 bullish / 6 bearish, avg day +1.1% - lagging.
Semiconductors: 8 bullish / 1 bearish, avg day +8.8% - leading.
Software/Cloud: 5 bullish / 4 bearish, avg day +0.5% - leading.
Consumer/Internet: 1 bullish / 8 bearish, avg day +0.9% - lagging.
Healthcare/Biotech: 0 bullish / 2 bearish, avg day +0.9% - lagging.
Industrial/Other: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, avg day +1.5% - mixed.


Top Swing Setups
Structure as-of 2026-06-11 close. Re-validate against live price - these are 7 trading sessions old.

CRWD - long, trend continuation
Entry: 691.53 . Stop: 656.21 (S1) . T1: 711.64 . T2: 767.07 . R:R: 2.1
Above all EMAs, RSI 60.5, MACD just under signal, price well above 60d POC 518.32 with clear room to the 52w high at 785.66.

MRVL - long, room to prior high
Entry: 280.71 . Stop: 254.00 . T1: 297.71 . T2: 324.20 (52w high) . R:R: 1.6
Clean bull stack, MACD positive, RSI 63.3, +11.1% on the day. ATR is wide (26.6) so size the position down accordingly.

PANW - long, pullback buy
Entry: 279.53 . Stop: 265.10 (S1) . T1: 286.95 . T2: 302.95 (52w high) . R:R: 1.6
Above all EMAs, RSI 64.8, above POC 208.75, 7.7% below its 52w high so room remains. MACD slightly below signal - wants confirmation.

FTNT - long, breakout watch
Entry: 145.06 . Stop: 136.68 (S2) . T1: 150.07 (52w high) . T2: 154.69 . R:R: 1.1
Above all EMAs, RSI 68.6 (getting extended), only 3.3% from its 52w high. A clean break of 150.07 opens 154.69; tight stop required.

ADBE - short, counter-trend (caution)
Entry: sell into a bounce toward 237.54-245.50 (R2 / EMA20) . Stop: 246.00 . T1: 213.76 . T2: 208.72 . R:R: ~1.8 from the bounce
Below all EMAs, MACD negative, fell 6.25% on 2.34x volume = distribution. BUT RSI is already 34.3 - do NOT chase short into weakness; only fade a bounce. High-risk counter-trend idea.


Intraday Setups
Levels below are the 2026-06-11 pivot/Camarilla set and are only valid for that session. They are shown as a worked example - recompute fresh pivots for any live session.

KLAC - Camarilla breakout
Cam: S4 2287.88 . S3 2349.76 . S1 2391.01 || R1 2432.27 . R3 2473.52 . R4 2535.40 . Long above R3 2473.52 toward R4 2535.40; short below S3 2349.76 toward S4 2287.88. RSI 72.3 = extended, so favour the long only on a clean R4 push.

AMAT - pivot trend-day continuation
Cam: S4 531.89 . S3 542.27 . S1 549.18 || R1 556.10 . R3 563.01 . R4 573.39 . Held above the cam pivot all session; long while above 549.18, resistance at R1 556.10 then the 52w high 557.62. Loss of 542.27 flips it neutral.

MAR - range / breakout
Cam: S4 390.75 . S3 393.82 . S1 395.87 || R1 397.91 . R3 399.96 . R4 403.03 . Coiled right under the 52w high 398.96. Break and hold above R3 399.96 targets R4 403.03; rejection sends it back to S1 395.87.


Key Levels Dashboard - top 5 leaders (2026-06-11)
KLAC close 2,411.64 . Cam S4 2,287.88 / R4 2,535.40 . Classic S3 2,043.17 / R3 2,718.20 . EMA20 2,018.25 / EMA50 1,859.35 / EMA200 1,467.62 . POC 1,797.51 . Day H/L 2,431.29/2,206.28 . 52w H/L 2,431.29/832.24
LRCX close 362.52 . Cam S4 346.78 / R4 378.26 . Classic S3 315.60 / R3 401.43 . EMA20 316.38 / EMA50 288.76 / EMA200 215.79 . POC 272.44 . Day H/L 364.81/336.20 . 52w H/L 364.81/87.75
AMAT close 552.64 . Cam S4 531.89 / R4 573.39 . Classic S3 491.43 / R3 604.59 . EMA20 469.95 / EMA50 430.56 / EMA200 330.87 . POC 417.58 . Day H/L 557.62/519.90 . 52w H/L 557.62/154.47
MU close 995.87 . Cam S4 940.17 / R4 1,051.57 . Classic S3 827.39 / R3 1,131.20 . EMA20 883.18 / EMA50 725.49 / EMA200 438.92 . POC 630.64 . Day H/L 996.77/895.50 . 52w H/L 1,089.29/103.38
MRVL close 280.71 . Cam S4 267.57 / R4 293.85 . Classic S3 241.43 / R3 313.10 . EMA20 237.52 / EMA50 190.93 / EMA200 123.45 . POC 194.38 . Day H/L 282.32/258.43 . 52w H/L 324.20/61.44


Bearish Warnings
INTU - RSI 32.6, MACD negative, below all EMAs, sitting ~66% below its 52w high. Deep downtrend, no reversal signal yet.
WDAY - down 5.05%, below all EMAs, ~49% below 52w high. Persistent distribution.
ADBE - down 6.25% on 2.34x volume (heavy distribution), below all EMAs, ~47% below 52w high.
NFLX / PYPL - RSI 31.2 / 32.0, both below all EMAs and 39-48% below their highs - weak, oversold but no base.
Mega-cap drag - MSFT (RSI 36.8) and META (RSI 35.0) both below all three EMAs; their weakness is the main risk to any broad index advance.


Events and Catalysts
Around the 2026-06-11 data date: the week's swing factor was the mid-week US CPI print, with the June FOMC meeting the dominant macro focus - both kept the VIX in the low-20s and positioning defensive. The semiconductor complex was reacting to the prior week's Broadcom-led chip sell-off, which the 2026-06-11 session sharply reversed.
Note: none of the 40 components report earnings inside this window (the mega-cap/tech reporting season is late-July); the chip move was sentiment/flow-driven, not earnings-driven. Always check a live economic and earnings calendar before trading - this report's data is 7 trading sessions old.


Report generated 2026-06-22 22:00 GMT from 2026-06-11 NAS100 scanner data (latest available). Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

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