NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis - Thursday 22 October 2026
Data: Close 22 Oct 2026 | NAS100: 28,958.69 | Change: -863.83 (-2.90%) | Range: 28,855.10-29,411.76



Market Overview
The NAS100 gapped down to open at 29,304.30, failed at 29,411.76 early and sold off into the close at 28,958.69, -863.83 (-2.90%). The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.60% (its worst day since 5 June) to 26,008.86 and the S&P 500 lost 1.21% to 7,663.43, while the Dow finished flat at 52,867.98 (+0.02%).

Drivers: Last night's earnings revived worries about the cost of the AI build-out. META fell 6.98% on 2.09x relative volume. Revenue beat, but free cash flow turned negative as capex ramped, and the company also announced a 2-for-1 split via new non-voting Class C shares. TSLA lost 3.08% after a 39% jump in operating expenses and a cut to its capex floor. Every chip and chip-equipment name in the index closed lower: LRCX -11.76% after its report, KLAC -9.55%, MRVL -8.70%, AMAT -8.15%, AMD -8.10%, MU -6.26%, NVDA -4.36%. Money rotated into software and defensives: ADBE +6.07%, INTU +5.75%, ISRG +3.67%, WDAY +3.46%, ORLY +3.14%, and AAPL (+1.23%) printed a new 52-week high.

Volatility / Rates / Oil: VIX 19.02 (+14.1%, from 16.67) · Treasury yields lower as money moved into bonds · WTI briefly above $100, Brent about $113 (+3.9%) on Iran war worries.

Breadth (40 tracked components): 16 up / 24 down. 32 of 40 traded at or above average volume (rv 1.0+), so this was a high-participation distribution day, not a drift lower. Index volume was about 1.3x its 300-day average.

Bias: Bearish in the short term, inside a primary uptrend that is now being tested. The close broke below the 16 Oct swing low (29,073), so the bounce of 20-21 Oct has failed and a lower low is in. The next supports are 28,753 (16 Sep low) and the EMA200 near 28,100. A 10% correction from the ATH would be 28,225. Reclaiming 29,412 (today's high) would ease the pressure. Only a close back above the EMA50/EMA20 band (29,850-29,990) would turn the bias bullish again.



Trend Analysis
EMA stack (daily, calculated): EMA20 29,987 · EMA50 29,849 · EMA200 28,102
Classification: Bear (below 20/50). The close of 28,958.69 is below EMA20 and EMA50 and above EMA200 (3.0% above it). EMA20 is still above EMA50, but the gap has narrowed to 138 pts and both are now falling.
Structure: All-time high 31,361.37 (6 Oct), a decline to 29,073 (16 Oct), a weak higher low at 29,209 (20 Oct) and a lower high at 29,928 (21 Oct). Today's close below 29,073 confirms a lower-high / lower-low sequence. The index is now 7.7% below its ATH.
Fibonacci (16 Sep low 28,753 to ATH 31,361): 61.8% 29,749 · 78.6% 29,311 · 100% 28,753. Price has given back more than 78% of the late-September rally.
Phase: A correction deepening within a primary uptrend. The EMA200 (about 28,100) is the line that separates a pullback from a trend change.



Indicators
RSI(14): 36.7, down from 46.2. Bearish, not yet oversold. There is no bullish divergence: RSI made a lower low together with price.
MACD(12,26,9): -144 vs signal +59 (histogram -204, widening from -175). Firmly bearish and below zero, with momentum accelerating down.
ATR(14): ~486 pts (1.68% of price). Volatility keeps rising (ATR was about 300 at the start of October).
Volume / participation: Heavy. Index volume was about 1.3x average, and 32 of 40 components traded on rv 1.0 or more. The biggest volume came in the losers: LRCX 2.45x, TXN 2.27x, META 2.09x, KLAC 2.05x, ADI 2.00x, AMAT 1.89x.



Key Index Levels
Resistance: R1 29,073-29,112 (broken 16 Oct low / pivot 29,075 / Cam R3) · R2 29,265-29,412 (Cam R4 / 78.6% fib 29,311 / today's high) · R3 29,850-29,990 (EMA50 / EMA20 / 21 Oct high 29,928)
Support: S1 28,855 (today's low / Cam S2) · S2 28,739-28,753 (classic S1 / 16 Sep low) · S3 28,100-28,225 (EMA200 / 10% correction level / classic S3 28,182)
Classic pivots (23 Oct): S3 28,182 · S2 28,519 · S1 28,739 · P 29,075 · R1 29,295 · R2 29,632 · R3 29,852
Camarilla (23 Oct): Cam: S4 28,653 · S3 28,806 · S2 28,857 · S1 28,908 || R1 29,010 · R2 29,061 · R3 29,112 · R4 29,265
Round numbers: 28,500 · 29,000 · 29,500 · 30,000
52-week: High 31,361.37 · Low 22,841.42



Component Signals (all 40)
Format: Ticker Close (Day%) | Trend (strict EMA) | RSI zone | MACD vs signal | % from 52w high | vs POC

Mega-cap Tech
AAPL 348.22 (+1.23%) | Bull | RSI 64.8 Bull | MACD Bull | -0.0% (new 52w high 348.36) | Above POC
MSFT 521.08 (-2.23%) | Mixed (below EMA20 only) | RSI 50.5 Neutral | MACD Bear | -5.9% | Above POC
NVDA 212.21 (-4.36%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 39.0 Bear | MACD Bear | -12.8% | Below POC
AMZN 250.38 (-4.57%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 45.1 Neutral | MACD Bull (marginal) | -12.8% | Below POC
META 648.85 (-6.98%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 36.9 Bear | MACD Bear | -16.8% | Below POC
GOOGL 324.22 (-3.12%) | Bear | RSI 33.5 Bear | MACD Bear | -20.7% | Below POC
AVGO 323.24 (-4.31%) | Bear | RSI 34.8 Bear | MACD Bear | -34.7% | Below POC
TSLA 374.58 (-3.08%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 52.8 Neutral | MACD Bull (marginal) | -24.9% | Above POC

Semiconductors
AMD 507.93 (-8.10%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 36.5 Bear | MACD Bear | -22.9% | Below POC
QCOM 172.83 (-2.88%) | Bear | RSI 44.5 Bear | MACD Bear | -33.5% | Below POC
TXN 279.50 (-1.81%) | Mixed (below EMA20 only) | RSI 50.4 Neutral | MACD Bear | -16.3% | Above POC
ADI 385.76 (-4.98%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 43.8 Bear | MACD Bear | -13.5% | Above POC
MU 856.49 (-6.26%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 34.7 Bear | MACD Bear | -31.8% | Below POC
MRVL 223.47 (-8.70%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 38.3 Bear | MACD Bear | -32.3% | Below POC
AMAT 375.62 (-8.15%) | Bear | RSI 25.4 Oversold | MACD Bear | -49.2% | Below POC
LRCX 230.15 (-11.76%) | Bear | RSI 24.6 Oversold | MACD Bear | -47.5% | Below POC
KLAC 147.83 (-9.55%) | Bear | RSI 24.1 Oversold | MACD Bear | -51.9% | Below POC

Software / Cloud / Cyber
ADBE 270.55 (+6.07%) | Bull | RSI 65.4 Bull | MACD Bull | -25.6% | Above POC
INTU 354.90 (+5.75%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 72.0 Overbought | MACD Bull | -48.5% | Above POC
WDAY 209.99 (+3.46%) | Bull | RSI 66.8 Bull | MACD Bull | -15.1% | Above POC
SNPS 422.48 (-6.36%) | Bear | RSI 39.2 Bear | MACD Bear | -21.7% | Below POC
CDNS 309.65 (-5.04%) | Bear | RSI 40.5 Bear | MACD Bear | -25.7% | Below POC
PANW 354.92 (+2.21%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 43.3 Bear | MACD Bear | -17.9% | Below POC
CRWD 237.94 (-0.58%) | Mixed (below EMA20 only) | RSI 45.8 Neutral | MACD Bear | -17.1% | Above POC
FTNT 172.98 (-0.61%) | Mixed (below EMA20 only) | RSI 45.5 Neutral | MACD Bear | -12.3% | Above POC
CSCO 104.89 (-2.21%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 37.5 Bear | MACD Bear | -19.5% | Below POC

Consumer / Internet / Telecom
COST 1,018.21 (+1.99%) | Bull | RSI 78.7 Overbought | MACD Bull | -7.1% | Above POC
NFLX 67.05 (+3.09%) | Bear | RSI 39.6 Bear | MACD Bear | -42.6% | Below POC
BKNG 161.10 (+1.72%) | Bear | RSI 43.7 Bear | MACD Bull (below zero) | -27.0% | Below POC
MELI 1,824.96 (-1.61%) | Bear | RSI 47.9 Neutral | MACD Bull | -24.8% | Below POC
MAR 396.80 (-1.78%) | Bull | RSI 72.5 Overbought | MACD Bull | -3.5% | Above POC
ABNB 175.76 (+1.19%) | Bull | RSI 61.0 Bull | MACD Bull | -9.1% | Above POC
DASH 185.94 (+0.81%) | Bear | RSI 43.7 Bear | MACD Bull (below zero) | -30.9% | Below POC
PYPL 57.54 (+0.59%) | Bull | RSI 63.4 Bull | MACD Bull | -27.4% | Above POC
ORLY 92.00 (+3.14%) | Bull | RSI 68.5 Bull | MACD Bull | -10.2% | Above POC
TMUS 158.79 (+3.28%) | Bear | RSI 45.5 Neutral | MACD Bull (below zero) | -30.3% | Below POC

Healthcare / Biotech
ISRG 443.85 (+3.67%) | Bull | RSI 67.9 Bull | MACD Bull | -26.5% | Above POC
REGN 819.09 (+1.67%) | Bull | RSI 63.5 Bull | MACD Bull | -4.7% | Above POC

Industrial / Other
LIN 510.36 (+1.96%) | Bull | RSI 72.9 Overbought | MACD Bull | -6.9% | Above POC
CEG 255.21 (-5.74%) | Bear | RSI 41.4 Bear | MACD Bear | -37.1% | Below POC

Trend tally: Bull 11 · Bull (above 20/50) 2 · Mixed 4 · Bear (below 20/50) 9 · Bear 14 = 40
Changes since yesterday: ADBE and ISRG moved up to full Bull stacks (both closed back above EMA200). NVDA, AMZN, META and ADI dropped to Bear (below 20/50). GOOGL, QCOM and MELI dropped to full Bear stacks.



Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech: Weakening, with AAPL the clear exception. AAPL is a full Bull stack at a new 52-week high on 1.15x volume, which is real relative strength on a -2.9% index day. NVDA, AMZN and META all lost EMA20 and EMA50 and closed below POC. META closed 4.84 above its EMA200 (644.01), which is the line to watch. GOOGL and AVGO are full Bear stacks. MSFT held above EMA50 and POC.
Semiconductors: The epicentre of the sell-off. All nine names fell. Equipment (LRCX, KLAC, AMAT) dropped 8-12% on about 2x volume to RSI 24-25, deeply oversold and roughly half their 52-week highs. AMD, MU and MRVL are below EMA20/50 and POC. Analog held up best: TXN (-1.81%, post-earnings) is still above EMA50 and POC.
Software / Cloud / Cyber: Where the rotation went. ADBE (+6.07%), INTU (+5.75%) and WDAY (+3.46%) all broke higher on above-average volume. EDA did not join in: SNPS and CDNS fell 5-6% and are full Bear stacks with EMA50 below EMA200. The cyber names are mixed: PANW bounced but is still below EMA20/50, and CRWD and FTNT sit just under EMA20.
Consumer / Internet: Defensive staples led. COST is strongly trending but overbought (RSI 78.7). ORLY reclaimed EMA200 and is a full Bull stack. Travel is split: ABNB is constructive, MAR is extended and slipped 1.78%. NFLX, BKNG, DASH and TMUS bounced, but all remain full Bear stacks below POC.
Healthcare / Biotech: Firm. ISRG is back above EMA200 and is a full Bull stack. REGN is 4.7% from its 52-week high.
Industrial / Other: LIN is a steady Bull stack but overbought (RSI 72.9). CEG (-5.74%) traded with the AI power complex and is a full Bear stack below POC.



Top Swing Setups
1. AAPL - 52-week high breakout (Long)
Entry: 349.00 (daily close above the 348.36 52w high) · Stop: 340.00 (below classic S2 340.21, ~1.4 ATR) · T1: 358.00 · T2: 365.00 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:1.8
Confluence: full Bull stack, RSI 64.8, MACD bullish, 7.4% above POC 324.18 and 1.15x volume on a heavy down day for the index. Yesterday's trigger (close above 348.50) was not met: it closed at 348.22, right at the high. Classic R1 350.29 is the first hurdle. Check the earnings date before holding through it.

2. ADBE - EMA200 reclaim, buy the retest (Long)
Entry: 266.50 (limit, pivot 266.45 / Cam S3 266.32, just above EMA200 265.25) · Stop: 258.50 (below classic S1 260.80, ~0.9 ATR) · T1: 281.85 (R2) · T2: 291.60 (R3) · R:R: 1:1.9 / 1:3.1
Confluence: +6.07% on 1.46x volume flipped it to a full Bull stack. MACD crossed above its signal (1.87 vs -1.89), and price is above POC 255.70. EMA50 is still under EMA200, so treat it as a repair trade and do not chase above 275.

3. ISRG - Pullback to pivot (Long)
Entry: 438.50 (pivot 438.49 / Cam S3 439.26) · Stop: 427.00 (below today's low 427.47 and EMA200 429.09, ~0.9 ATR) · T1: 455.17 (R2) · T2: 466.19 (R3) · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.4
Confluence: full Bull stack, RSI 67.9, MACD bullish, 13.7% above POC 390.50. It has held up for two sessions while the index fell.

4. NVDA - Rally into the broken EMA/POC cluster (Short)
Entry: 216.90 (classic R1 216.97 / Cam R4 216.40) · Stop: 223.00 (above EMA50 221.30, POC 221.21, R2 221.74 and EMA20 222.67) · T1: 209.35 (S1) · T2: 205.14 (EMA200) · R:R: 1:1.2 / 1:1.9
Confluence: Bear (below 20/50), MACD crossed below its signal (-2.01 vs 0.04), and it closed below POC on 1.15x volume. The 221-223 band is a four-level resistance cluster.

5. AVGO - Breakdown continuation (Short)
Entry: 320.50 (break of today's low 321.02) · Stop: 331.50 (above R1 329.03 / Cam R4 328.63, ~1 ATR) · T1: 309.43 (S3) · T2: 291.00 (52w low 289.96 zone) · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:2.7
Confluence: full Bear stack with EMA50 below EMA200, MACD -7.98 vs -5.28, 11.5% below POC 365.09, and 1.27x volume on the drop. RSI 34.8 leaves room before oversold.



Intraday Setups (23 Oct)
1. AAPL - Camarilla breakout (Long)
Entry: 351.60 (above Cam R4 351.56) · Stop: 349.80 (back inside, below Cam R3 349.89) · T1: 354.00 · T2: 356.37 (classic R3) · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.6
Reasoning: it closed at its 52w high with momentum and volume. A drive through R4 is a range expansion with no overhead supply.

2. WDAY - Pivot bounce (Long)
Entry: 208.10 (pivot 208.01 / Cam S3 208.31) · Stop: 205.80 (below classic S1 205.95) · T1: 212.05 (R1) · T2: 214.11 (R2) · R:R: 1:1.7 / 1:2.6
Reasoning: full Bull stack, +3.46% on 1.38x volume, well above POC 190.37. Software is where money rotated today.

3. MSFT - Camarilla range (Long)
Entry: 517.50 (Cam S3 517.42) · Stop: 513.50 (below Cam S4 513.77) · T1: 522.30 (Cam R1) · T2: 524.74 (Cam R3) · R:R: 1:1.2 / 1:1.8
Reasoning: MSFT held above EMA50 (504.22) and POC (498.85) on normal volume (rv 0.99), so the range favours fading the lower band. Abandon the setup on a 15-minute close below S4.

4. META - Camarilla range (Short)
Entry: 660.20 (Cam R3 660.23) · Stop: 672.00 (above Cam R4 671.61) · T1: 645.06 (Cam S1) · T2: 637.47 (Cam S3) · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:1.9
Reasoning: post-earnings distribution (2.09x volume), below POC 655.41 and EMA20/50. Fade any reflex bounce into R3. Note that EMA200 (644.01) sits between T1 and T2 and may hold the first test.

5. AMD - Camarilla breakdown (Short)
Entry: 492.50 (below Cam S4 492.87) · Stop: 498.00 (above classic S1 497.03) · T1: 486.12 (S2) · T2: 469.65 (S3) · R:R: 1:1.2 / 1:4.2
Reasoning: -8.10% on 1.41x volume, MACD crossed bearish (-6.97 vs 7.50), and it closed near the session low. A break of S4 opens follow-through. ATR is 28, so manage size.



Key Levels Dashboard
NVDA - 212.21
Cam: S4 208.02 · S3 210.11 · S1 211.51 || R1 212.91 · R3 214.31 · R4 216.40
Classic: S3 201.73 · S2 206.50 · S1 209.35 · P 214.12 · R1 216.97 · R2 221.74 · R3 224.59
EMA20 222.67 · EMA50 221.30 · EMA200 205.14 · POC 221.21 · Prev H/L 218.88 / 211.26 · 52w 243.37 / 164.27

AAPL - 348.22
Cam: S4 344.88 · S3 346.55 · S1 347.66 || R1 348.78 · R3 349.89 · R4 351.56
Classic: S3 338.13 · S2 340.21 · S1 344.21 · P 346.29 · R1 350.29 · R2 352.37 · R3 356.37
EMA20 339.16 · EMA50 331.01 · EMA200 300.54 · POC 324.18 · Prev H/L 348.36 / 342.28 · 52w 348.36 / 243.42

META - 648.85
Cam: S4 626.09 · S3 637.47 · S1 645.06 || R1 652.64 · R3 660.23 · R4 671.61
Classic: S3 590.62 · S2 615.16 · S1 632.00 · P 656.54 · R1 673.38 · R2 697.92 · R3 714.76
EMA20 707.90 · EMA50 680.00 · EMA200 644.01 · POC 655.41 · Prev H/L 681.07 / 639.69 · 52w 779.82 / 520.26

MSFT - 521.08
Cam: S4 513.77 · S3 517.42 · S1 519.86 || R1 522.30 · R3 524.74 · R4 528.40
Classic: S3 503.09 · S2 511.69 · S1 516.39 · P 524.99 · R1 529.69 · R2 538.29 · R3 542.99
EMA20 524.81 · EMA50 504.22 · EMA200 460.31 · POC 498.85 · Prev H/L 533.60 / 520.30 · 52w 553.72 / 349.20

AMD - 507.93
Cam: S4 492.87 · S3 500.40 · S1 505.42 || R1 510.44 · R3 515.46 · R4 522.99
Classic: S3 469.65 · S2 486.12 · S1 497.03 · P 513.50 · R1 524.41 · R2 540.88 · R3 551.79
EMA20 568.36 · EMA50 551.57 · EMA200 430.99 · POC 532.16 · Prev H/L 529.98 / 502.60 · 52w 658.52 / 188.22



Bearish Warnings
Index structure: The NAS100 closed below the 16 Oct low (29,073), confirming a lower low. MACD is widening below zero, and the drop came on about 1.3x average volume with 32 of 40 components on rv 1.0 or more. VIX jumped 14% to 19.02.
EMA50 below EMA200 (death-cross condition): 14 names. The narrowest gaps, which suggest recent crosses, are CDNS (326.82 vs 329.31), AVGO (358.71 vs 361.73), SNPS (441.55 vs 445.70) and COST (947.37 vs 953.88). Also in this condition: NFLX, TMUS, BKNG, CEG, MELI, TSLA, ADBE, INTU, ISRG and ORLY. COST, ADBE, ISRG, ORLY, INTU and TSLA have price above EMA20/50, so they are repairing.
Bearish MACD (line below signal): 22 of 40. The widest gaps are MU (-33.20 vs -14.08), AMD (-6.97 vs 7.50), AMAT (-22.81 vs -9.77), META (3.38 vs 15.85), LRCX (-15.16 vs -6.37), SNPS (5.89 vs 14.50) and PANW (-6.51 vs 0.75).
Oversold (bounce risk for shorts): KLAC 24.1, LRCX 24.6 and AMAT 25.4. They are oversold but still have no reversal signal. Wait for a higher low before trying longs.
Overbought RSI: COST 78.7, LIN 72.9, MAR 72.5 and INTU 72.0. These are extended defensives and rotation winners, so do not chase them.
Near 52-week lows: NFLX 67.05 (4.6% above 64.10), BKNG 161.10 (7.3% above 150.14), TMUS 158.79 (7.4% above 147.90).
EMA200 tests: META closed only 0.8% above its EMA200 (644.01). QCOM closed just below its EMA200 (172.83 vs 173.52).



Events Calendar
Fri 23 Oct: S&P Global flash PMIs for October (09:45 ET / 14:45 UK; consensus about 55.5 manufacturing and 57.9 services). University of Michigan final October sentiment (10:00 ET / 15:00 UK).
Weekend: UK clocks go back on Sun 25 Oct, and US clocks change a week later. From Monday the US cash open is 13:30 UK until 1 Nov.
Fed: The FOMC meets 27-28 Oct and the blackout is in force, so there are no scheduled Fed speakers. Oil near $100 WTI adds to the inflation debate going into the meeting.
Next week (key read-across for AI capex): MSFT and GOOGL report 28 Oct, AMZN on 29 Oct and INTC on 29 Oct.



Index EMA/RSI/MACD/ATR values are calculated from NAS100 daily closes. Component data comes from the ChartsView NAS100 scanner (close 22 Oct 2026). Every EMA trend classification was checked programmatically (close vs each EMA): 0 mismatches.

Report: 22 Oct 2026 22:10 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis - Tuesday 20 October 2026
Data: Close 20 Oct 2026 | NAS100: 29,490.28 | Change: -39.07 (-0.13%) | Range: 29,208.83-29,711.53



Market Overview
The NASDAQ 100 closed 29,490.28, -39.07 pts (-0.13%), a flat finish that hides a two-way session. The index gapped down to open at 29,393.96, traded a 29,208.83-29,711.53 range - the low holding well above Friday's 29,073 - and settled 96.32 pts above the open. That is a second straight inside day: both Monday (29,461-29,789) and Tuesday (29,209-29,712) sit entirely inside Friday's 29,073-29,823 range. The market is coiling ahead of Wednesday's META, TSLA, LRCX and TXN reports.

Drivers: a broad rotation away from mega-cap tech. The S&P 500 rose 0.28% to 7,712.57, the Dow +1.02% to 52,495.88 and the Russell 2000 +1.65%, but the Nasdaq Composite was flat (-0.02%, 26,424.82) and the SOX -0.29% (11,283.81). Lower Treasury yields after weak housing data (September starts -5.2% to 1.221m; pending home sales -7.3% to a record low) - 10-year 5.12% (-3bp), 30-year 5.42% (-6bp) - lifted health care (+2.37%) and rate-sensitive groups. Chip equipment was the sore spot: LRCX -3.21%, KLAC -2.80% (1.30x volume), AMAT -1.97% ahead of Lam's results. AAPL -1.00% on a Loop downgrade to Hold; META -1.63% for a fifth straight decline into its print. Software led the upside: WDAY +4.50%, ADBE +3.90% and INTU +2.97% as Salesforce's $47.50/share cash bid for Braze lifted marketing/app-software peers; REGN +3.25% and MELI +2.16% also strong. WTI (Dec) eased to $98.28 after a late reversal; VIX 17.31 (-6.1%).

After hours: NFLX about -5.7% as its Q4 revenue outlook missed; ISRG about -7.1% despite a revenue beat. Both will weigh on Wednesday's open; NFLX would open below its 65.08 52-week low.

Breadth (40 tracked components): 19 up / 21 down; average relative volume 0.88x - a quiet, pre-earnings session. Only NFLX (1.47x, pre-earnings), KLAC (1.30x), ISRG (1.26x), TXN (1.23x), MAR (1.18x) and WDAY (1.15x) traded above 1.15x. 24 of 40 closed above their 60-day POC; 23 of 40 have MACD below signal.

Bias: Neutral-to-bearish, with a volatility expansion due. Price remains below the EMA20 (30,124) and EMA50 (29,888) and MACD has now crossed below zero. But sellers failed to reach Friday's low and the index closed above its open. The inside-day coil resolves on the mega-cap prints: a daily close above 29,823 (Friday's high) and the 29,887 EMA50 turns the short-term picture neutral; a close below 29,073 targets the 28,753 September swing low.



Trend
EMA stack: Bear (below 20/50) - Close 29,490 below EMA20 30,124 and EMA50 29,888, above EMA200 28,062. Stack order still bullish (EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200), but the EMA20 is falling and now only 236 pts above the EMA50 - a bearish 20/50 cross could follow within days if price stays below 29,900. Price is 5.1% above the EMA200.
Structure: Lower highs since the 6 Oct all-time high (31,361): 31,170 / 31,125 / 30,947 / 30,814 / 30,596 / 30,437 / 29,986 / 29,823 / 29,789 / 29,712. The 29,073 low (16 Oct) is the last higher-low reference above the 28,753 September low. Distance from ATH: -6.0%.
Phase: Corrective pullback within a longer-term uptrend, now in a compression phase. Two consecutive inside days typically precede a range expansion (today's 503-pt range was close to the 450-pt ATR, but stayed inside Friday's bar) - direction is likely to be set by Wednesday night's earnings.



Indicators
RSI(14): 40.7 - Neutral-weak (recent closes: 54.7 / 44.6 / 44.3 / 35.2 / 41.2 / 40.7). Today's low (29,209) was higher than Friday's (29,073) while RSI held above Friday's 35.2 - not yet a divergence (no new price low), but momentum is no longer making new lows.
MACD (12,26,9): Bearish - MACD -50.5 vs signal 154.2, histogram -204.7 (from -203.1). The MACD line crossed below zero today; the histogram is flat, so downside momentum is stalling rather than accelerating.
ATR(14): 450 pts - today's 503-pt range was in line with ATR but contained within Friday's 750-pt bar. A break of 29,073 or 29,823 should bring expansion.
Volume: component relative volume averaged 0.88x, down from 0.96x on Monday - participation is thinning into event risk rather than sellers pressing.
VIX: 17.31 (-6.1%), nine-day VIX 16.27 - curve back in contango. Options are not pricing panic into the mega-cap prints.



Key Index Levels
Resistance
R1: 29,732-29,823 - classic R1 + today's high 29,712 + Mon high 29,789 + Fri high 29,823 (inside-day ceiling)
R2: 29,888-29,973 - EMA50 + classic R2 + 30,000 round number
R3: 30,124-30,234 - EMA20 + classic R3

Support
S1: 29,209-29,229 - today's low + classic S1 + Cam S4 29,214
S2: 28,968-29,073 - classic S2 + Friday's low (16 Oct)
S3: 28,726-28,753 - classic S3 + 16 Sep swing low; EMA200 28,062 below that

Classic Pivots (21 Oct): S3 28,726.2 · S2 28,967.5 · S1 29,228.9 · P 29,470.2 · R1 29,731.6 · R2 29,972.9 · R3 30,234.3
Camarilla (21 Oct): S4 29,213.8 · S3 29,352.0 · S1 29,444.2 || R1 29,536.4 · R3 29,628.5 · R4 29,766.8
60-day POC (VWAP): 29,652 - price closed below it.
Round numbers: 29,500 (closed just below) · 30,000 · 29,000



Component Signals (all 40)
Trend = strict close vs EMA20/50/200 (programmatically verified, 0 mismatches). Tally: 13 Bull (above all), 3 Bull (above 20/50), 10 Bear (below 20/50), 9 Bear (below all), 5 Mixed.
AAPL 339.50 (-1.00%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 55.5 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -2.5% from 52wH · Above POC
MSFT 531.87 (-0.31%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 58.3 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -3.9% from 52wH · Above POC
NVDA 216.47 (-0.29%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 40.9 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -11.1% from 52wH · Below POC
AMZN 262.63 (+0.07%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 57.4 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -8.6% from 52wH · Above POC
META 693.94 (-1.63%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) · RSI 46.3 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -11.0% from 52wH · Above POC
GOOGL 340.28 (-1.13%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 44.7 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -16.7% from 52wH · Below POC
AVGO 334.37 (-0.07%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 38.6 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -32.5% from 52wH · Below POC
TSLA 373.71 (+1.54%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 53.7 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -25.1% from 52wH · Above POC
COST 994.61 (-0.09%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 73.4 Overbought · MACD Bull (above 0) · -9.3% from 52wH · Above POC
NFLX 68.69 (-1.66%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 40.5 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -45.0% from 52wH · Below POC
AMD 534.74 (-0.62%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 39.8 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -18.8% from 52wH · Above POC
ADBE 256.73 (+3.90%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 58.2 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -29.4% from 52wH · Above POC
QCOM 175.71 (+1.26%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 47.1 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -32.4% from 52wH · Above POC
TMUS 157.75 (+1.06%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 42.7 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -31.6% from 52wH · Below POC
LIN 501.89 (-0.31%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 68.7 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -8.4% from 52wH · Above POC
ISRG 438.00 (+1.11%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 69.7 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -27.5% from 52wH · Above POC
INTU 335.29 (+2.97%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 65.2 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -51.3% from 52wH · Above POC
CSCO 106.71 (+0.20%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 40.3 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -18.1% from 52wH · Below POC
TXN 277.78 (+0.59%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) · RSI 49.0 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -16.8% from 52wH · Above POC
AMAT 404.98 (-1.97%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 29.3 Oversold · MACD Bear (below 0) · -45.2% from 52wH · Below POC
BKNG 163.92 (+0.81%) · Mixed (above 20, below 50/200) · RSI 46.3 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -25.8% from 52wH · Below POC
PANW 340.28 (-1.92%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 37.2 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -21.3% from 52wH · Below POC
MU 896.07 (-0.98%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 37.5 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -28.6% from 52wH · Below POC
LRCX 263.45 (-3.21%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 32.5 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -39.9% from 52wH · Below POC
KLAC 161.74 (-2.80%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 29.3 Oversold · MACD Bear (below 0) · -47.4% from 52wH · Below POC
ADI 397.05 (+0.68%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) · RSI 50.9 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -11.0% from 52wH · Above POC
REGN 807.48 (+3.25%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.9 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -6.0% from 52wH · Above POC
SNPS 447.62 (-1.53%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) · RSI 47.2 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -17.0% from 52wH · Above POC
CDNS 319.87 (-1.84%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 44.9 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -23.2% from 52wH · Below POC
MELI 1,879.50 (+2.16%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 55.6 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -22.6% from 52wH · Above POC
CRWD 227.37 (-0.32%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 39.1 Bearish · MACD Bear (above 0) · -20.8% from 52wH · Below POC
MAR 397.31 (+1.69%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 79.5 Overbought · MACD Bull (above 0) · -3.3% from 52wH · Above POC
ABNB 176.94 (+0.84%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 64.3 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -8.5% from 52wH · Above POC
MRVL 240.42 (+1.40%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 44.5 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -27.1% from 52wH · Above POC
DASH 191.67 (-0.96%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 47.9 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -28.7% from 52wH · Below POC
FTNT 170.93 (-0.33%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 42.9 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -13.3% from 52wH · Above POC
CEG 258.84 (-1.65%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 41.3 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -36.3% from 52wH · Below POC
WDAY 203.98 (+4.50%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 63.2 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -17.6% from 52wH · Above POC
PYPL 57.14 (+1.11%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 61.5 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -27.9% from 52wH · Above POC
ORLY 90.02 (+1.07%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 64.8 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -12.1% from 52wH · Above POC



Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (avg -0.35%, 4/8 bullish trend): AAPL -1.00%, MSFT -0.31%, NVDA -0.29%, AMZN +0.07%, META -1.63%, GOOGL -1.13%, AVGO -0.07%, TSLA +1.54%
Defensive drift lower ahead of META/TSLA. AAPL, MSFT and AMZN remain Bull (above all); NVDA and GOOGL sit Bear (below 20/50); AVGO is the weakest (below all, EMA50 under EMA200). TSLA reclaimed its 20/50 EMAs into earnings.

Semiconductors (avg -0.63%, 0/9 bullish trend): AMD -0.62%, QCOM +1.26%, TXN +0.59%, AMAT -1.97%, MU -0.98%, LRCX -3.21%, KLAC -2.80%, ADI +0.68%, MRVL +1.40%
Weakest group again. Equipment (AMAT/LRCX/KLAC) is below all EMAs with RSI 29-33 - oversold but no reversal signal; LRCX reports Wed. Only ADI and TXN hold above their EMA50s.

Software/Cloud (avg +0.68%, 3/8 bullish trend): ADBE +3.90%, INTU +2.97%, PANW -1.92%, SNPS -1.53%, CDNS -1.84%, CRWD -0.32%, FTNT -0.33%, WDAY +4.50%
Split: application software (WDAY, ADBE, INTU) ripped on the Braze M&A read-through; security (PANW, CRWD, FTNT) and EDA (CDNS, SNPS) lagged with MACD below signal.

Consumer/Internet (avg +0.55%, 6/9 bullish trend): COST -0.09%, NFLX -1.66%, BKNG +0.81%, MELI +2.16%, MAR +1.69%, ABNB +0.84%, DASH -0.96%, PYPL +1.11%, ORLY +1.07%
Healthiest group: 6 of 9 Bull (above all). MAR (RSI 79.5) and COST (73.4) are stretched. NFLX is the outlier - below all EMAs and gapping lower after hours.

Healthcare/Biotech (avg +2.18%, 2/2 bullish trend): ISRG +1.11%, REGN +3.25%
Strong on the day with the health-care sector (+2.37%), but ISRG is about -7% after hours on its results.

Industrial/Other (avg -0.17%, 1/4 bullish trend): TMUS +1.06%, LIN -0.31%, CSCO +0.20%, CEG -1.65%
Mixed: LIN overbought (68.7) in a clean uptrend; TMUS and CEG below all EMAs; CSCO below 20/50.



Top Swing Setups
REGN - Long
Entry: 800.00 · Stop: 772.00 · T1: 859.34 · T2: 890.00 · R:R: 2.1 / 3.2
Bull (above all) with MACD now above both signal and zero (2.14 vs -4.91) and a +3.25% close at the day's high (807.48 vs 807.86). Entry on a dip to the 801.7 pivot / 797.5 Cam S4 area; stop under the EMA20 (773.18) and 60d POC (780.86). T1 is the 52-week high 859.34. ATR 21.87, so the stop is ~1.3 ATR. RSI 60.9 leaves room. Rel vol 0.87x - wants volume on the push through 808.

WDAY - Long
Entry: 200.00 · Stop: 192.00 · T1: 213.65 · T2: 225.00 · R:R: 1.7 / 3.1
Top gainer (+4.50%, 1.15x rel vol), now Bull (above all) and back above the 60d POC (188.06). MACD bull above zero (1.92 vs 0.64), RSI 63.2. Buy a retest of the 200.0 Cam S4 / 199.3 S1 zone; stop below S3 192.14 and the EMA20 191.22 (~1.1 ATR of 7.45). T1 = classic R3 213.65, T2 = 225 (gap toward the 247.4 52-week high).

AMZN - Long
Entry: 260.50 · Stop: 254.50 · T1: 275.00 · T2: 287.20 · R:R: 2.4 / 4.4
Bull (above all) with MACD bull above zero (1.29 vs 0.42) and price above the 60d POC (258.06). Held Monday's +4.98% breakout (+0.07% today). Entry on a pullback to S1 260.25; stop under EMA20 255.8 / EMA50 254.9 (~0.9 ATR of 6.39). T1 275, T2 the 52-week high 287.20. Earnings 29 Oct - size down or take T1 before the print.

AVGO - Short
Entry: 341.00 · Stop: 352.00 · T1: 319.45 · T2: 290.00 · R:R: 2.0 / 4.6
Cleanest bearish structure in the mega-caps: Bear (below all), EMA50 (361.06) now below EMA200 (362.36) - MACD bear below zero (-6.52 vs -4.07), RSI 38.6 and 8.8% below the 60d POC (366.6). Sell a failed rally into 340-341 (today's high 341.10 + Cam R4 340.04 + R1 340.05); stop above the EMA20 350.63. T1 = S3 319.45, T2 = the 52-week low 289.96. Risk: AI-capex read-through from META/TSLA/LRCX Wednesday night.



Intraday Setups (21 Oct)
Levels from 20 Oct HLC. META, TSLA, LRCX and TXN report after the close - be flat before 21:00 UK.

NAS100 - Camarilla breakout (Long)
Entry: 29,795 · Stop: 29,680 · T1: 29,887 · T2: 29,973 · R:R: 0.8 / 1.5
Two inside days inside Friday's 29,073-29,823 bar - coiled ahead of Wednesday's mega-cap prints. A move through Cam R4 29,767 and Monday's 29,789 high triggers; stop back inside at 29,680; T1 = EMA50 29,887, T2 = classic R2 29,973 / 30,000.

NAS100 - Camarilla breakdown (Short)
Entry: 29,200 · Stop: 29,320 · T1: 29,073 · T2: 28,968 · R:R: 1.1 / 1.9
Loss of today's 29,209 low, Cam S4 29,214 and classic S1 29,229 opens Friday's 29,073 low (T1) and classic S2 28,968 (T2). Stop 29,320, just under Cam S3 29,352.

AAPL - Pivot bounce (Long)
Entry: 337.70 · Stop: 335.90 · T1: 340.42 · T2: 342.14 · R:R: 1.5 / 2.5
S1 337.78 sits on the EMA20 337.60 - two-level confluence. Buy a first test with a bullish reaction; stop under S2 336.06; T1 = pivot 340.42, T2 = R1 342.14. Downgrade-driven -1.00% day on 0.97x volume, still Bull (above all).

MSFT - Camarilla range (Long)
Entry: 529.60 · Stop: 526.80 · T1: 531.90 · T2: 534.17 · R:R: 0.8 / 1.6
Fade a dip to Cam S3 529.57 (just under the 530.64 pivot); stop below Cam S4 527.27 / S1 527.07; T1 = today's close 531.9, T2 = Cam R3 534.17. Bull (above all), RSI 58.3; light 0.67x volume favours range trade over breakout.

MU - Camarilla breakdown (Short)
Entry: 875.00 · Stop: 892.00 · T1: 861.46 · T2: 841.39 · R:R: 0.8 / 2.0
Bear (below 20/50), MACD bear below zero (-26.19 vs -4.70), 5.3% below the 60d POC 946.6. Break of Cam S4 875.52 / S1 878.76 targets S2 861.46 then S3 841.39; stop above Cam S3 885.79 and today's 881.5 low area at 892. Watch the memory read-through from LRCX (Wed) and WDC (Thu).

ADBE - Camarilla breakout (Long)
Entry: 261.40 · Stop: 258.90 · T1: 264.00 · T2: 267.79 · R:R: 1.0 / 2.6
Closed on the high (256.73 vs 256.78) after +3.90%; now Bull (above 20/50) and back above the 60d POC 255.41. Trigger above Cam R4 261.28 (and R1 259.51 cleared); stop back below Cam R3 259.01; T1 264, T2 = R3 267.79. EMA200 265.30 is the obvious cap - expect friction there.



Key Levels Dashboard
NAS100
Cam: S4 29,214 · S3 29,352 · S1 29,444 || R1 29,536 · R3 29,629 · R4 29,767
Classic: S3 28,726 · S2 28,968 · S1 29,229 · P 29,470 · R1 29,732 · R2 29,973 · R3 30,234
EMA20 30,124 · EMA50 29,888 · EMA200 28,062 · POC 29,652 · Prev H/L 29,712 / 29,209 · 52w H/L 31,361 / 22,841

NVDA 216.47 (-0.29%) · Bear (below 20/50)
Cam: S4 213.34 · S3 214.91 · S1 215.95 || R1 216.99 · R3 218.03 · R4 219.60
Classic: S3 207.65 · S2 210.21 · S1 213.34 · P 215.90 · R1 219.03 · R2 221.59 · R3 224.72
EMA20 223.97 · EMA50 221.66 · EMA200 204.90 · POC 220.25 · Prev H/L 218.46 / 212.77 · 52w H/L 243.37 / 164.27

MSFT 531.87 (-0.31%) · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 527.27 · S3 529.57 · S1 531.10 || R1 532.64 · R3 534.17 · R4 536.47
Classic: S3 518.70 · S2 522.27 · S1 527.07 · P 530.64 · R1 535.44 · R2 539.01 · R3 543.81
EMA20 524.39 · EMA50 502.33 · EMA200 458.96 · POC 492.94 · Prev H/L 534.21 / 525.84 · 52w H/L 553.72 / 349.20

AAPL 339.50 (-1.00%) · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 337.10 · S3 338.30 · S1 339.10 || R1 339.90 · R3 340.70 · R4 341.90
Classic: S3 333.42 · S2 336.06 · S1 337.78 · P 340.42 · R1 342.14 · R2 344.78 · R3 346.50
EMA20 337.60 · EMA50 329.75 · EMA200 299.62 · POC 324.21 · Prev H/L 343.06 / 338.70 · 52w H/L 348.15 / 243.42

AMZN 262.63 (+0.07%) · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 259.92 · S3 261.28 · S1 262.18 || R1 263.08 · R3 263.98 · R4 265.34
Classic: S3 255.33 · S2 257.88 · S1 260.25 · P 262.80 · R1 265.17 · R2 267.72 · R3 270.09
EMA20 255.80 · EMA50 254.90 · EMA200 245.29 · POC 258.06 · Prev H/L 265.34 / 260.42 · 52w H/L 287.20 / 196.00

META 693.94 (-1.63%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20)
Cam: S4 685.44 · S3 689.69 · S1 692.52 || R1 695.36 · R3 698.19 · R4 702.44
Classic: S3 669.03 · S2 675.04 · S1 684.49 · P 690.50 · R1 699.95 · R2 705.96 · R3 715.41
EMA20 715.86 · EMA50 680.61 · EMA200 643.42 · POC 652.61 · Prev H/L 696.51 / 681.05 · 52w H/L 779.82 / 520.26



Bearish Warnings
EMA50 below EMA200 (15): AVGO, TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, LIN, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, SNPS, CDNS, MELI, CEG, ORLY. Of these, price is also below the EMA200 in AVGO, TSLA, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, INTU, BKNG, CDNS, CEG. AVGO's is the tightest - EMA50 361.06 vs EMA200 362.36.
MACD below signal (23/40): AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, META, GOOGL, AVGO, TSLA, AMD, QCOM, CSCO, TXN, AMAT, PANW, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, SNPS, CDNS, CRWD, MRVL, FTNT, CEG. Below zero as well: NVDA, AVGO, AMD, QCOM, CSCO, AMAT, PANW, MU, LRCX, KLAC, MRVL, CEG.
Overbought RSI: MAR 79.5, COST 73.4, ISRG 69.7, LIN 68.7, INTU 65.2 - MAR is 3.3% from its 52-week high on extended RSI; ISRG's after-hours drop puts its EMA20 (415.14) and EMA50 (401.68) in play.
Oversold / breaking down: AMAT 29.3, KLAC 29.3, LRCX 32.5 - all below every EMA and 12.7-15.9% below their 60d POCs; oversold, but no reversal candle yet.
Near 52-week lows: NFLX 68.69 (5.5% above the 65.08 low - after-hours -5.7% puts it below), TMUS 157.75 (6.7% above 147.90).
Index: NAS100 MACD has crossed below zero, and the EMA20 is converging on the EMA50 (236 pts apart).



Events Calendar
Tonight (20 Oct, after the close): NFLX about -5.7% (Q4 revenue outlook miss) and ISRG about -7.1% after hours. Also COF +4.5%, UAL -2.2% after hours.
Wed 21 Oct: Before the open: ABT, NEE, T, TMO, DHR, PM, ELV, CME, MCO. EIA crude inventories 10:30 ET / 15:30 UK. After the close: META (call 16:30 ET / 21:30 UK), TSLA (webcast 17:30 ET / 22:30 UK), LRCX, TXN, plus IBM, SAP, CSX, LVS, KMI - the key test for AI capex and semis.
Thu 22 Oct: Weekly jobless claims 08:30 ET / 13:30 UK. Western Digital after the close (memory read-through for MU).
Fri 23 Oct: University of Michigan consumer sentiment 10:00 ET / 15:00 UK.
Fed: pre-FOMC blackout; next FOMC 27-28 Oct (Kalshi ~87% hold / 13% hike; CME FedWatch hike odds 14.9%). AMZN reports 29 Oct.
Macro risk: Brent $108.79 and Dec WTI $98.28 with tanker attacks in Hormuz continuing; 10-year Treasury 5.12%. Any yield spike hits long-duration tech first.



Report: 20 Oct 2026 22:02 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis - Monday 19 October 2026
Data: Close 19 Oct 2026 | NAS100: 29,529.34 | Change: +341.79 (+1.17%) | Range: 29,461.32-29,788.76



Market Overview
The NASDAQ 100 closed 29,529.34, +341.79 pts (+1.17%), a relief bounce after last week's AI-led selloff took the index from 30,665 to 29,188 (Friday's close was the lowest since 16 Sep). The detail is less convincing than the headline: the index gapped up to open at 29,539, ran to 29,788.76 - stalling just under the EMA50 (29,904) - then faded to close 10 pts below the open, in the lower quarter of the day's range. All of the gain came from the gap; the cash session itself was flat with a clear rejection.

Drivers: dip-buying in AI and memory after easing Treasury yields and an Nvidia statement on memory/AI standards calmed infrastructure-demand fears. AMZN +4.98% on 1.53x volume led after Morgan Stanley named it a top pick and lifted AWS growth forecasts; MRVL +4.06%, TSLA +3.76% (earnings Wed), LRCX +3.13% and MU +2.97% followed. Laggards: CEG -3.01%, TMUS -1.89%, REGN -1.10%, NFLX -0.96% (earnings Tue), META -0.55% and AAPL -0.15%. Headwind: WTI crude rose about 2.4% to ~$103.7 after Houthi attacks on Saudi oil and airport targets, keeping inflation and yield worries alive. Broader market: Nasdaq Composite 26,430.89 (+1.11%), S&P 500 7,690.73 (+0.41%), Dow 51,966.03 (-0.07%). VIX 18.44 (-7.8%) after Friday's spike to 22.31.

Breadth (40 tracked components): 27 up / 13 down; average relative volume 0.96x - a below-average-volume bounce. Only AMZN (1.53x), FTNT (1.66x), TXN (1.79x), PYPL (2.32x), KLAC (1.26x), ISRG (1.25x) and LRCX (1.20x) traded above 1.2x. 24 of 40 closed above their 60-day POC.

Bias: Neutral-to-bearish short term. The bounce has not repaired any damage: price remains below the EMA20 and EMA50 with MACD still widening below signal. Bulls need a close above 29,904 (EMA50) / 30,000 to turn this into more than a dead-cat bounce; a loss of 29,397 (S1) reopens Friday's 29,073 low and the 28,753 September swing low. Heavy event risk this week: NFLX/ISRG Tue, TSLA/META/LRCX/TXN Wed.



Trend
EMA stack: Bear (below 20/50) - Close 29,529 below EMA20 30,191 and EMA50 29,904, above EMA200 28,047. Stack order still bullish (EMA20 30,191 > EMA50 29,904 > EMA200 28,047). Price sits below both short-term EMAs but 5.3% above the EMA200. The EMA20 has started to roll over and is converging on the EMA50.
Structure: Uptrend from the 16 Sep swing low (28,753) to the 6 Oct all-time high (31,361), then a sequence of lower highs (31,170 / 31,125 / 30,947 / 30,814 / 30,596 / 30,437 / 29,986 / 29,823) and lower lows into Friday's 29,073. Today's 29,789 high is another lower high. Distance from ATH: -5.8%.
Phase: Corrective pullback within a longer-term uptrend - a 7.3% peak-to-trough decline so far (31,361 to 29,073). The 29,904-30,000 zone (EMA50 + round number) is the first test of whether this is a pause or a trend change.



Indicators
RSI(14): 41.2 - Neutral-weak, up from 35.2 on Friday (the lowest reading of this pullback). No bullish divergence yet: Friday's lower low in price came with a lower RSI.
MACD (12,26,9): Bearish - MACD 2.33 vs signal 205.38, histogram -203.05 (from -190.35). The MACD line is about to cross below zero and the histogram is still expanding - momentum has not turned.
ATR(14): 445 pts - today's 327-pt range was below average; Friday's 750-pt range set the volatility tone.
Volume: component relative volume averaged 0.96x - the bounce lacked conviction. Last week's down days (14-16 Oct) ran at 8.6-10.9bn NDX shares versus 6.3-7.0bn on 12-13 Oct - distribution on the way down, light participation on the way up.
VIX: 18.44 (-7.8%) - off Friday's 22.31 intraday spike but still well above the 15.2-15.3 closes of early last week; options markets are pricing a live event week.



Key Index Levels
Resistance
R1: 29,725-29,789 - classic R1 + today's high (rejection)
R2: 29,904-30,052 - EMA50 + 30,000 round number + classic R3
R3: 30,191-30,437 - EMA20 + 14 Oct high

Support
S1: 29,397-29,461 - classic S1 + today's low
S2: 29,070-29,073 - classic S3 + Friday's low (16 Oct)
S3: 28,753 - 16 Sep swing low; EMA200 28,047 below that

Classic Pivots (20 Oct): S2 29,265.7 · S1 29,397.5 · P 29,593.1 · R1 29,725.0 · R2 29,920.6
Camarilla (20 Oct): S4 29,349.2 · S3 29,439.3 || R3 29,619.4 · R4 29,709.4
60-day POC (VWAP): 29,628 - price closed just below it.
Round numbers: 29,500 · 30,000 · 29,000



Component Signals (all 40)
Trend = strict close vs EMA20/50/200 (programmatically verified, 0 mismatches). Tally: 11 Bull (above all), 3 Bull (above 20/50), 11 Bear (below 20/50), 9 Bear (below all), 6 Mixed.
AAPL 342.94 (-0.15%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 61.2 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -1.5% from 52wH · Above POC
MSFT 533.52 (+0.84%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 59.6 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -3.6% from 52wH · Above POC
NVDA 217.09 (+1.38%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 41.5 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -10.8% from 52wH · Below POC
AMZN 262.45 (+4.98%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 57.3 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -8.6% from 52wH · Above POC
META 705.44 (-0.55%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) · RSI 49.2 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -9.5% from 52wH · Above POC
GOOGL 344.18 (+1.05%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 48.1 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -15.8% from 52wH · Below POC
AVGO 334.59 (+1.78%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 38.7 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -32.4% from 52wH · Below POC
TSLA 368.06 (+3.76%) · Mixed (above 50, below 20/200) · RSI 50.6 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -26.2% from 52wH · Above POC
COST 995.53 (+0.65%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 74.0 Overbought · MACD Bull (above 0) · -9.2% from 52wH · Above POC
NFLX 69.85 (-0.96%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 43.6 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -44.1% from 52wH · Below POC
AMD 538.05 (+1.76%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 40.5 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -18.3% from 52wH · Above POC
ADBE 247.09 (+0.77%) · Mixed (above 20, below 50/200) · RSI 51.6 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -32.1% from 52wH · Below POC
QCOM 173.53 (+0.83%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 44.7 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -33.2% from 52wH · Above POC
TMUS 156.09 (-1.89%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 40.4 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -32.3% from 52wH · Below POC
LIN 503.44 (+1.01%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 71.0 Overbought · MACD Bull (above 0) · -8.2% from 52wH · Above POC
ISRG 433.18 (+1.52%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 67.7 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -28.3% from 52wH · Above POC
INTU 325.62 (+0.14%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 61.1 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -52.8% from 52wH · Above POC
CSCO 106.50 (-0.83%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 39.7 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -18.3% from 52wH · Below POC
TXN 276.15 (-0.12%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 47.2 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -17.3% from 52wH · Above POC
AMAT 413.11 (+0.93%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 30.8 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -44.1% from 52wH · Below POC
BKNG 162.60 (-0.52%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 44.0 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -26.4% from 52wH · Below POC
PANW 346.95 (+1.45%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 38.9 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -19.7% from 52wH · Below POC
MU 904.90 (+2.97%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 38.4 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -27.9% from 52wH · Below POC
LRCX 272.20 (+3.13%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 35.2 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -37.9% from 52wH · Below POC
KLAC 166.40 (+0.40%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 31.8 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -45.9% from 52wH · Below POC
ADI 394.35 (-0.28%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) · RSI 48.9 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -11.6% from 52wH · Above POC
REGN 782.04 (-1.10%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 54.0 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -9.0% from 52wH · Above POC
SNPS 454.58 (-0.01%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) · RSI 49.8 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -15.7% from 52wH · Above POC
CDNS 325.86 (+1.99%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 48.3 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -21.8% from 52wH · Above POC
MELI 1,839.72 (+0.31%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 50.4 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -24.2% from 52wH · Below POC
CRWD 228.10 (+0.31%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 39.4 Bearish · MACD Bear (above 0) · -20.5% from 52wH · Above POC
MAR 390.70 (+0.68%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 76.9 Overbought · MACD Bull (above 0) · -4.9% from 52wH · Above POC
ABNB 175.46 (+1.01%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 62.8 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -9.3% from 52wH · Above POC
MRVL 237.09 (+4.06%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 42.7 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -28.1% from 52wH · Above POC
DASH 193.53 (+2.32%) · Mixed (above 20/200, below 50) · RSI 49.5 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -28.1% from 52wH · Below POC
FTNT 171.50 (+1.40%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 43.4 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -13.0% from 52wH · Above POC
CEG 263.19 (-3.01%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 43.2 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -35.2% from 52wH · Below POC
WDAY 195.20 (+2.30%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 56.3 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -21.1% from 52wH · Above POC
PYPL 56.51 (-0.34%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 58.5 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -28.7% from 52wH · Above POC
ORLY 89.07 (-0.22%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 61.6 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -13.1% from 52wH · Above POC



Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL, AVGO, TSLA) - avg +1.64%
Led the bounce, but on one name. AMZN (+4.98%, 1.53x) printed a new 20-day high and is back above all EMAs with a fresh MACD bull cross. AAPL and MSFT hold Bull (above all), though MSFT's MACD slipped below signal today. NVDA and GOOGL remain Bear (below 20/50); AVGO is Bear (below all) with its EMA50 now under its EMA200. TSLA (+3.76%) closed one cent under its EMA20 (368.07) and remains below its EMA200 (378.22) into Wednesday's report; META drifted lower and sits under its EMA20 ahead of its own report on Wednesday.

Semiconductors (AMD, QCOM, TXN, AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL) - avg +1.52%
Biggest bounce candidates but no repair: MRVL +4.06%, LRCX +3.13%, MU +2.97% - yet none of the nine reclaimed its EMA20, and MACD is below signal on all nine (AMD's MACD is still above zero but well below signal). Equipment (AMAT, LRCX, KLAC) remains Bear (below all) with RSI 30.8-35.2 - oversold enough for further reflex bounces but trend down. TXN traded 1.79x volume and closed red into Wednesday's earnings. ADI lost its EMA20.

Software/Cloud (ADBE, INTU, PANW, SNPS, CDNS, CRWD, FTNT, WDAY) - avg +1.04%
WDAY (+2.30%) is the strongest chart - Bull (above all) with MACD above signal. INTU holds Bull (above 20/50) but is still 15% below its EMA200. Security names (PANW, CRWD, FTNT) are all Bear (below 20/50) after last week's breakdown; FTNT traded 1.66x volume and closed 2 cents under its EMA50. CDNS bounced 1.99% but remains below all EMAs; SNPS lost its EMA20.

Consumer/Internet (COST, NFLX, BKNG, MELI, MAR, ABNB, DASH, PYPL, ORLY) - avg +0.33%
Defensive leadership. COST (RSI 74.0) and MAR (RSI 76.9) are overbought Bull (above all) names; ABNB and PYPL also above all EMAs (PYPL on 2.32x volume but slightly red). NFLX (Bear below all, 7.3% above its 52w low) reports Tuesday after the close. BKNG remains Bear (below all). DASH reclaimed its EMA20 and EMA200 but not its EMA50.

Healthcare/Biotech (ISRG, REGN) - avg +0.21%
ISRG +1.52% on 1.25x volume reclaimed its EMA200 (429.86) to turn Bull (above all) going into Tuesday's earnings. REGN eased 1.10% on light volume but holds above all three EMAs and its POC.

Industrial/Other (TMUS, LIN, CSCO, CEG) - avg -1.18%
Weakest group. CEG -3.01% was the worst of the 40, staying Bear (below all) with a fresh MACD bear cross. TMUS -1.89% (Bear below all) is 5.5% above its 52w low. CSCO is Bear (below 20/50) with RSI 39.7. LIN is the exception - Bull (above all), RSI 71.0.



Top Swing Setups
AMZN - LONG - 20-day high breakout
Entry: 264.00 · Stop: 254.25 · T1: 278.62 · T2: 287.20 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.4
Today's leader: +4.98% on 1.53x volume, Bull (above all), fresh MACD bull cross (0.80 vs 0.21), RSI 57.3 with room to run. Reclaimed the 60-day POC (257.60). Entry on a break above today's 263.71 high (also the 20-day high). Stop 1.5x ATR (6.5) - below the EMA20 (255.08) and today's low. T2 is the 287.20 52w high. Earnings 29 Oct - plan exits before the report.

AAPL - LONG - 52-week high breakout
Entry: 348.50 · Stop: 338.54 · T1: 363.44 · T2: 378.38 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bull (above all), RSI 61.2, MACD above signal and above zero, only 1.5% below the 348.15 52w high. Missed today's rebound (-0.15%) on 0.93x volume - a tight, orderly consolidation. Trigger is a close above 348.15 / classic R2 348.90 zone. Stop 1.5x ATR (6.64), just above the EMA20 (337.40). POC 324.27 far below - extended, so only on the breakout.

WDAY - LONG - range breakout
Entry: 200.50 · Stop: 189.52 · T1: 216.97 · T2: 233.44 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Best software chart: Bull (above all), +2.30%, MACD above signal and above zero, RSI 56.3. Closed on its high (195.20 vs 195.32). Entry on a break of the 200.23 20-day high. Stop 1.5x ATR (7.32) - below the EMA20 (189.88) and S1 190.89. Above POC 186.60.

AVGO - SHORT - death-cross breakdown
Entry: 328.50 · Stop: 345.84 · T1: 302.49 · T2: 289.96 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.2
Bear (below all); the EMA50 (362.15) crossed below the EMA200 (362.39) this week. MACD below signal and below zero, RSI 38.7. Today's +1.78% bounce faded to close near the low (334.59 vs 333.82) on 0.77x volume. Trigger: break of the 328.58 20-day low. Stop 1.5x ATR (11.56), above classic R3 344.97. T2 is the 289.96 52w low.

TMUS - SHORT - downtrend continuation
Entry: 154.70 · Stop: 162.54 · T1: 142.94 · T2: 131.18 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bear (below all), EMA50 below EMA200, RSI 40.4, -1.89% today. Trigger on a break of S1 154.79 / today's low 155.87. Stop 1.5x ATR (5.23), above the EMA20 (162.04). The 147.90 52w low is the first hurdle; T1 sits below it. MACD is flat on its signal line, so wait for the trigger.



Intraday Setups (20 Oct)
NAS100 - EMA50 rejection - SHORT
Entry: 29,880.00 · Stop: 30,060.00 · T1: 29,593.14 · T2: 29,397.52 · R:R: 1:1.6 / 1:2.7
Today's rally failed at 29,789, below the EMA50 (29,904) and R2 (29,920.6). Sell a second rejection in the 29,880-29,920 zone. Stop above classic R3 30,052. T1 pivot 29,593.14, T2 S1 29,397.52. Alternative long: a hold of S1 29,397 targets the pivot, stop under 29,250.

AMZN - Camarilla R4 breakout - LONG
Entry: 267.20 · Stop: 264.70 · T1: 270.95 · T2: 274.19 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.8
Break and hold above Cam R4 267.12 for momentum continuation after the +4.98% day. Stop back below Cam R3 264.78. T1 1.5R; T2 classic R3 274.19. R2 268.95 is a minor hurdle on the way.

MSFT - Pivot S1 / Cam S4 bounce - LONG
Entry: 529.80 · Stop: 527.40 · T1: 532.52 · T2: 536.57 · R:R: 1:1.1 / 1:2.8
Bull (above all) trend; buy the dip into the classic S1 529.48 / Cam S4 529.62 confluence. Stop under today's low 528.48. T1 pivot 532.52, T2 R1 536.57. MACD just crossed under signal, so keep size modest.

NVDA - Camarilla R3 fade - SHORT
Entry: 218.40 · Stop: 220.10 · T1: 216.64 · T2: 215.74 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:1.6
Bear (below 20/50) with MACD below zero and below signal. Fade a push into Cam R3 218.44. Stop above the R1 219.57 / Cam R4 219.80 cluster. T1 Cam S1 216.64, T2 Cam S3 215.74.

KLAC - Camarilla S4 breakdown - SHORT
Entry: 162.50 · Stop: 164.60 · T1: 159.35 · T2: 157.05 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.6
Bear (below all), closed on its low on 1.26x volume. Short a break of Cam S4 162.58. Stop back above Cam S3 164.49. T1 1.5R, T2 classic S3 157.05. RSI 31.8 is close to oversold - only take it on a clean break with volume; no chase.



Key Levels Dashboard
NVDA 217.09 · Bear (below 20/50)
Cam: S4 214.38 · S3 215.74 · S1 216.64 || R1 217.54 · R3 218.44 · R4 219.80
Classic: S3 209.73 · S2 212.22 · S1 214.65 · P 217.14 · R1 219.57 · R2 222.06 · R3 224.49
EMA20 224.76 · EMA50 221.87 · EMA200 204.79 · POC 219.86 · Prev H/L 219.62/214.70 · 52w H/L 243.37/164.27

AAPL 342.94 · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 339.70 · S3 341.32 · S1 342.40 || R1 343.48 · R3 344.56 · R4 346.18
Classic: S3 334.15 · S2 337.13 · S1 340.04 · P 343.02 · R1 345.92 · R2 348.90 · R3 351.81
EMA20 337.40 · EMA50 329.35 · EMA200 299.60 · POC 324.27 · Prev H/L 346.00/340.11 · 52w H/L 348.15/243.42

MSFT 533.52 · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 529.62 · S3 531.57 · S1 532.87 || R1 534.17 · R3 535.47 · R4 537.42
Classic: S3 522.39 · S2 525.43 · S1 529.48 · P 532.52 · R1 536.57 · R2 539.61 · R3 543.65
EMA20 523.60 · EMA50 501.12 · EMA200 457.68 · POC 490.94 · Prev H/L 535.57/528.48 · 52w H/L 553.72/349.20

AMZN 262.45 · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 257.78 · S3 260.12 · S1 261.67 || R1 263.23 · R3 264.78 · R4 267.12
Classic: S3 248.72 · S2 251.97 · S1 257.21 · P 260.46 · R1 265.70 · R2 268.95 · R3 274.19
EMA20 255.08 · EMA50 254.58 · EMA200 245.32 · POC 257.60 · Prev H/L 263.71/255.22 · 52w H/L 287.20/196.00

META 705.44 · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20)
Cam: S4 697.28 · S3 701.36 · S1 704.08 || R1 706.80 · R3 709.52 · R4 713.60
Classic: S3 681.79 · S2 687.83 · S1 696.63 · P 702.67 · R1 711.47 · R2 717.51 · R3 726.31
EMA20 718.17 · EMA50 680.07 · EMA200 642.97 · POC 651.77 · Prev H/L 708.70/693.86 · 52w H/L 779.82/520.26



Bearish Warnings
Index: gap-and-fade - NAS100 opened 29,539, rejected at 29,789 under the EMA50, and closed 29,529. MACD histogram still widening (-203.05 from -190.35); MACD line about to cross below zero.
EMA50 below EMA200 (death-cross structure): 15 of 40. Fresh this week: AVGO. Price also below EMA200: AVGO, TSLA, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, INTU, BKNG, CDNS, MELI, CEG, ORLY. Price back above EMA200 (potential repair): COST, LIN, ISRG, SNPS.
MACD below signal: 23 of 40 - MSFT, NVDA, META, GOOGL, AVGO, TSLA, AMD, QCOM, TMUS, CSCO, TXN, AMAT, PANW, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, SNPS, CDNS, CRWD, MRVL, FTNT, CEG. New bearish crosses today: MSFT, CEG.
Overbought RSI: MAR 76.9, COST 74.0, LIN 71.0 - all defensive/consumer names; ISRG 67.7 into earnings. Leadership is narrowing toward non-tech.
Near 52-week lows: TMUS (+5.5% above low), NFLX (+7.3%, reports Tue), ORLY (+7.8%).
Semi-equipment breakdown: AMAT (RSI 30., KLAC (31., LRCX (35.2) - all Bear (below all) and well under their POCs (AMAT 483.73, KLAC 186.25, LRCX 302.58). KLAC and LRCX bounced on 1.2x+ volume but closed in the lower half of the day's range.
Breadth: only 11 of 40 are Bull (above all), while 20 of 40 carry a bear classification. Average relative volume on the up day was just 0.96x.



Events Calendar
Tue 20 Oct: US housing starts and building permits 08:30 ET / 13:30 UK. Earnings: NFLX after the close (~16:01 ET / 21:01 UK; consensus EPS $0.82; options imply roughly a 9% move) and ISRG after the close (consensus $2.13). Also GE Aerospace, RTX, GM and 3M before the open.
Wed 21 Oct: The heavyweight day. After the close: META (call 16:30 ET; consensus $6.67), TSLA (webcast 17:30 ET; consensus $0.21), LRCX (consensus $2.17), TXN (consensus $2.39), plus IBM and SAP - a major read-through for semis and AI capex.
Thu 22 Oct: Weekly jobless claims 08:30 ET. Comcast before the open; Western Digital after the close (memory read-through for MU).
Fri 23 Oct: University of Michigan consumer sentiment 10:00 ET.
Fed: in its pre-meeting quiet period - next FOMC 27-28 Oct. AMZN reports 29 Oct.
Macro risk: WTI crude above $100 on Middle East supply attacks; watch Treasury yields for any renewed pressure on long-duration tech.



Report: 19 Oct 2026 22:03 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis - Friday 16 October 2026
Data: Close 16 Oct 2026 | NAS100: 29,187.55 | Change: -748.05 (-2.50%) | Range: 29,073.29-29,822.91



Market Overview
The NASDAQ 100 closed 29,187.55, -748.05 pts (-2.50%). It opened at 29,797, set its high of 29,822.91 early, then sold off all session to close just 114 pts above the low of 29,073.29 - the bottom 15% of the range. That is the lowest close since 16 Sep. On the week the index fell -5.49% (from 30,883.15), and it now sits 6.9% below the 6 Oct all-time high of 31,361.37.

Drivers: the AI-financing scare deepened. CoreWeave (about $50bn of debt) fell another ~12% and dragged on anything tied to data-centre spending, after this week's hot CPI had already pushed Treasury yields higher. Oil added to the pressure, with Brent testing $110 and WTI around $101. The S&P tech sector fell more than 3% while energy rose 2.5%. Cybersecurity was hit hardest: PANW -7.63%, FTNT -7.03%, CRWD -7.02%, all on about 1.5x volume. Chips followed: AMD -5.95%, MU -5.63%, MRVL -5.56%, KLAC -5.00%. TSLA gave back a +3% pre-market Roadster pop to close -2.13% on 1.79x volume, the heaviest of the 40. Only defensives held up: TMUS +1.32%, COST +1.13%, LIN +1.06%, ORLY +0.87%.
Broader market: S&P 500 7,659.44 (-1.09%), Nasdaq Composite 26,140.03 (-2.14%), Dow 52,002.41 (-0.34%), Russell 2000 2,719.57 (-1.72%). VIX 19.99, up 21% from 16.46.

Breadth (40 tracked components): 6 up / 34 down. Average relative volume was 1.13x, and 12 of the 40 traded at 1.3x or more, so this selling had conviction, unlike the light-volume dips earlier in the week.

Bias: Bearish short term. The index has lost both its EMA20 and EMA50, but the primary trend (EMA200 28,033) is intact. Bulls need to hold 28,750-28,900 (16 Sep swing low and classic S1). A close below there opens the EMA200 / S3 zone at 28,030-28,150. Bears stay in control while the index is under 29,920 (EMA50).



Trend
EMA stack: Bear (below 20/50) - Close 29,188 < EMA50 29,919 < EMA20 30,260; still > EMA200 28,033. The EMAs remain in bullish order (20 > 50 > 200), but price has broken under the two shorter ones.
Structure: Lower highs every session since the 6 Oct ATH (31,361), and now a lower low. Today's 29,073 low fully filled the 18-21 Sep breakaway gap (29,648-29,933). The next structural support is the 16 Sep swing low at 28,753.
Phase: Correction within a primary uptrend. The index is down 6.9% from its high and has slipped from pullback to correction. Watch whether the EMA200 zone holds.



Indicators
RSI(14): 35.2 - Bearish, falling from 60.9 on 9 Oct and 44.3 yesterday. It is not oversold yet (below 30), and there is no bullish divergence, because price and RSI made new lows together.
MACD (12,26,9): Bearish and accelerating - MACD 65.8 vs signal 256.1, histogram -190.4 (from -123.1). The MACD line is close to crossing below zero, which would confirm the shift from pullback to downtrend.
ATR(14): 434 pts, up from 362 on Tuesday. Today's 750-pt range was 1.7x ATR, so volatility is expanding on the downside.
Volume: component relative volume averaged 1.13x, the highest this week, with cyber, chip equipment and TSLA leading. This was distribution, not a quiet dip.
VIX: 19.99 (+21%). Hedging demand is back, but this is still well below panic levels.



Key Index Levels
Resistance
R3: 30,111-30,260 - classic R2 + EMA20
R2: 29,823-29,986 - today's high + EMA50 (29,919) + 15 Oct high
R1: 29,361-29,408 - classic pivot + 15 Oct low

Support
S1: 29,000-29,073 - round number + today's low
S2: 28,753-28,900 - 16 Sep swing low + classic S1
S3: 28,033-28,150 - EMA200 + classic S3

Classic Pivots (19 Oct): S2 28,611.6 · S1 28,899.6 · P 29,361.2 · R1 29,649.2 · R2 30,110.9
Round numbers: 29,000 · 29,500 · 30,000



Component Signals (all 40)
Trend = strict close vs EMA20/50/200. Tally: 9 Bull (above all), 3 Bull (above 20/50), 11 Bear (below 20/50), 13 Bear (below all), 4 Mixed. Programmatic check: 0 mismatches.
AAPL 343.46 (+0.43%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 62.1 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -1.3% from 52wH · Above POC
MSFT 529.05 (-1.93%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 57.3 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -4.5% from 52wH · Above POC
NVDA 214.13 (-1.43%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 37.5 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -12.0% from 52wH · Below POC
AMZN 250.00 (-1.87%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 45 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -13.0% from 52wH · Below POC
META 709.33 (-3.72%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) · RSI 50.2 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -9.0% from 52wH · Above POC
GOOGL 340.59 (-2.47%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 44.4 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -16.6% from 52wH · Below POC
AVGO 328.75 (-4.52%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 34.8 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -33.6% from 52wH · Below POC
TSLA 354.72 (-2.13%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 42.2 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -28.9% from 52wH · Above POC
COST 989.11 (+1.13%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 72.5 Overbought · MACD Bull (above 0) · -9.8% from 52wH · Above POC
NFLX 70.55 (-2.84%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 45.6 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -43.5% from 52wH · Below POC
AMD 528.75 (-5.95%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 37.8 Bearish · MACD Bear (above 0) · -19.7% from 52wH · Above POC
ADBE 245.20 (-2.57%) · Mixed (above 20, below 50/200) · RSI 50.1 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -32.6% from 52wH · Below POC
QCOM 172.11 (-3.53%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 43.1 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -33.8% from 52wH · Below POC
TMUS 159.10 (+1.32%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 43.3 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -31.0% from 52wH · Below POC
LIN 498.43 (+1.06%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 67.8 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -9.1% from 52wH · Above POC
ISRG 426.70 (-0.27%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 64.7 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -29.3% from 52wH · Above POC
INTU 325.15 (-1.52%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 60.9 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -52.8% from 52wH · Above POC
CSCO 107.39 (-2.24%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 41.2 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -17.6% from 52wH · Below POC
TXN 276.48 (-0.95%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 47.5 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -17.2% from 52wH · Above POC
AMAT 409.29 (-4.82%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 29.2 Oversold · MACD Bear (below 0) · -44.7% from 52wH · Below POC
BKNG 163.45 (-1.42%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 45.1 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -26.0% from 52wH · Below POC
PANW 342.00 (-7.63%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 37.0 Bearish · MACD Bear (above 0) · -20.9% from 52wH · Below POC
MU 878.84 (-5.63%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 34.0 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -30.0% from 52wH · Below POC
LRCX 263.94 (-4.87%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 30.3 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -39.8% from 52wH · Below POC
KLAC 165.74 (-5.00%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 31.0 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -46.1% from 52wH · Below POC
ADI 395.44 (-2.11%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) · RSI 49.7 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -11.3% from 52wH · Above POC
REGN 790.74 (-0.70%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 57.2 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -8.0% from 52wH · Above POC
SNPS 454.63 (-2.88%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) · RSI 49.8 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -15.7% from 52wH · Above POC
CDNS 319.51 (-1.50%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 44.1 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -23.3% from 52wH · Below POC
MELI 1,834.00 (-1.24%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 49.6 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -24.5% from 52wH · Below POC
CRWD 227.39 (-7.02%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 39.0 Bearish · MACD Bear (above 0) · -20.8% from 52wH · Above POC
MAR 388.05 (+0.61%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 75.7 Overbought · MACD Bull (above 0) · -5.6% from 52wH · Above POC
ABNB 173.70 (-0.33%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.9 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -10.2% from 52wH · Above POC
MRVL 227.83 (-5.56%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 37.5 Bearish · MACD Bear (above 0) · -30.9% from 52wH · Below POC
DASH 189.15 (-2.02%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 45.5 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -33.7% from 52wH · Below POC
FTNT 169.13 (-7.03%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 40.7 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -14.2% from 52wH · Above POC
CEG 271.37 (-1.32%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 47.1 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -34.1% from 52wH · Below POC
WDAY 190.81 (-2.96%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 52.1 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -22.9% from 52wH · Above POC
PYPL 56.70 (-0.80%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 59.8 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -28.4% from 52wH · Above POC
ORLY 89.27 (+0.87%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 62.7 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -13.1% from 52wH · Above POC



Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL, AVGO, TSLA) - avg -2.21%
Only AAPL and MSFT remain Bull (above all). AAPL was the standout of the 40, +0.43% on 1.57x volume on a -2.5% index day, and sits 1.3% from its 52w high. NVDA, AMZN and GOOGL are all Bear (below 20/50). META lost its EMA20 (-3.72%). AVGO (-4.52% on 1.32x, 33.6% off its high) and TSLA are Bear (below all). TSLA reversed from 370.58 to 354.72 on 1.79x volume, a failed push above its EMA20 (368.07) that left it well under its EMA200 (377.29).

Semiconductors (AMD, QCOM, TXN, AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL) - avg -4.27%
Worst sector: none of the 9 names closed above its EMA20. Chip equipment is near oversold: AMAT RSI 29.2, LRCX 30.3, KLAC 31.0, all Bear (below all). MU is 7.1% below its POC (945.90) with MACD negative. AMD (-5.95%) is sitting right on its POC 526.99. ADI is the only name holding its EMA50 and EMA200.

Software/Cloud (ADBE, INTU, PANW, SNPS, CDNS, CRWD, FTNT, WDAY) - avg -4.14%
Cybersecurity sold off hard: PANW, FTNT and CRWD each fell about 7% on roughly 1.5x volume, and each lost both its EMA20 and EMA50. CRWD (227.39) is sitting on its POC (226.73) and FTNT just above its own (166.01), so these are the levels to watch. WDAY clings to Bull (above all) by 1.49 over its EMA20. INTU is still Bull (above 20/50) but well under its EMA200 (385.06). CDNS is Bear (below all).

Consumer/Internet (COST, NFLX, BKNG, MELI, MAR, ABNB, DASH, PYPL, ORLY) - avg -0.67%
Defensive rotation was clear. COST (+1.13%, RSI 72.5), MAR (+0.61%, RSI 75.7, 1.33x) and ORLY (+0.87%) all closed green, and ABNB and PYPL held Bull (above all). NFLX is Bear (below all) and 43.5% off its high going into Tuesday's earnings. BKNG, MELI and DASH remain Bear (below all).

Healthcare/Biotech (ISRG, REGN) - avg -0.48%
Relatively resilient. REGN is Bull (above all) with RSI 57.2. ISRG tagged 434.89 but closed back under its EMA200 (428.81) on 1.31x volume ahead of earnings expected 20 Oct.

Industrial/Other (TMUS, LIN, CSCO, CEG) - avg -0.30%
LIN (+1.06%) is Bull (above all) with RSI 67.8, a defensive leader. TMUS bounced +1.32% but stays Bear (below all), 7.6% above its 52w low. CSCO (-2.24%) is Bear (below 20/50) and CEG is Bear (below all).



Top Swing Setups
AAPL - LONG - relative-strength 52w high breakout
Entry: 348.30 · Stop: 338.25 · T1: 363.38 · T2: 378.45 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Closed green on 1.57x volume while the index fell 2.5%, which is real relative strength. It is Bull (above all) with RSI 62.1 and MACD above signal. Trigger is a daily close above the 348.15 52w high. Stop is 1.5x ATR (6.7), under classic S1 340.01 and Cam S4 339.41. It trades 6.0% above POC (324.09). Only take it on a confirmed breakout, because a weak tape can fail breakouts.

LIN - LONG - defensive leader breakout
Entry: 503.00 · Stop: 491.23 · T1: 520.65 · T2: 538.31 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bull (above all), RSI 67.8, MACD 5.01 above signal 2.39, and +1.06% on a heavy risk-off day. Entry on a break of today's high 502.14 / R1 502.80. Stop is 1.5x ATR (7.85), under S1 493.40 / Cam S4 493.26. The EMAs (483-485) and POC 481.37 are clustered below as a support shelf. T2 stays under the 548.20 52w high.

COST - LONG - defensive rotation continuation
Entry: 994.00 · Stop: 969.26 · T1: 1,031.11 · T2: 1,068.22 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bull (above all), +1.13%, with MACD 14.84 well above signal 7.20. Entry on a break above today's high 993.19 / R1 994.64. Stop is 1.5x ATR (16.49), near S3 969.60. Caveat: RSI 72.5 is overbought and EMA50 (937.88) is still under EMA200 (951.93). Size down, or wait for a dip toward 970-980.

PANW - SHORT - failed retest of broken EMA50 / POC
Entry: 352.00 · Stop: 371.01 · T1: 323.49 · T2: 294.97 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Down 7.63% on 1.55x volume, slicing through EMA50 369.82 and POC 364.49. MACD 1.98 is below signal 8.85 and RSI is 37.0. Sell a bounce into the pivot 352.42 / Cam R3 351.94. Stop is 1x ATR (19.01), above EMA50. T2 is close to S3 292.98 and EMA200 291.75, the main long-term support.

MU - SHORT - momentum breakdown continuation
Entry: 874.00 · Stop: 947.78 · T1: 763.33 · T2: 652.66 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bear (below 20/50): MACD -17.32 has crossed below zero and sits well under signal 6.36, RSI is 34.0, and price is 7.1% below POC 945.90. Trigger is a break of today's low 875.00. Stop is 1.5x ATR (49.19), above POC. EMA200 (755.26) is just below T1, which makes T1 the natural profit-taking zone. Volatility is high (ATR 49.19), so keep size small.



Intraday Setups (Mon 19 Oct)
AAPL - Camarilla R4 breakout - LONG
Entry: 348.00 · Stop: 345.40 · T1: 351.27 · T2: 354.73 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.6
Break and hold above Cam R4 347.51 and today's high 347.82, which also clears the 348.15 52w high. Stop back under Cam R3 345.48. Targets are classic R2 351.27 and R3 354.73. Best relative strength of the 40.

MSFT - S1 / EMA20 / Cam S3 bounce - LONG
Entry: 522.00 · Stop: 517.90 · T1: 532.43 · T2: 540.44 · R:R: 1:2.5 / 1:4.5
Buy the confluence zone of classic S1 521.05, EMA20 522.56 and Cam S3 523.72 in a Bull (above all) name. Stop under Cam S4 518.39. T1 is the pivot 532.43 and T2 is R1 540.44.

COST - Camarilla S3 bounce - LONG
Entry: 985.70 · Stop: 981.50 · T1: 992.55 · T2: 996.00 · R:R: 1:1.6 / 1:2.5
Range trade in the strongest defensive name. Buy at Cam S3 985.67, stop under Cam S4 982.22 / S1 982.12. Targets are Cam R3 992.55 and Cam R4 996.00. RSI 72.5, so take profits quickly.

NVDA - Camarilla R3 fade - SHORT
Entry: 215.60 · Stop: 217.30 · T1: 213.64 · T2: 212.07 · R:R: 1:1.2 / 1:2.1
NVDA is Bear (below 20/50), MACD has turned negative (-0.18 vs 2.18) and price is under its POC 219.70. Fade a rally into Cam R3 215.60 / pivot 215.38. Stop above Cam R4 217.08. Targets are Cam S1 213.64 and S1 212.07.

AMD - Pivot rejection - SHORT
Entry: 535.00 · Stop: 542.50 · T1: 526.54 · T2: 520.07 · R:R: 1:1.1 / 1:2.0
Down 5.95% with MACD falling hard (7.83 vs 21.93). Short a failed test of the pivot 535.51 / Cam R3 535.39. Stop above Cam R4 542.02. T1 is Cam S1 526.54, near POC 526.99, so expect buyers there. T2 is S1 520.07.



Key Levels Dashboard
NVDA 214.13 · Bear (below 20/50)
Cam: S4 211.18 · S3 212.66 · S1 213.64 || R1 214.62 · R3 215.60 · R4 217.08
Classic: S3 206.71 · S2 210.02 · S1 212.07 · P 215.38 · R1 217.43 · R2 220.74 · R3 222.79
EMA20 225.57 · EMA50 222.06 · EMA200 204.66 · POC 219.70 · Prev H/L 218.68/213.32 · 52w H/L 243.37/164.27

AAPL 343.46 · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 339.41 · S3 341.44 · S1 342.79 || R1 344.13 · R3 345.48 · R4 347.51
Classic: S3 332.65 · S2 336.55 · S1 340.01 · P 343.91 · R1 347.37 · R2 351.27 · R3 354.73
EMA20 336.82 · EMA50 328.79 · EMA200 298.78 · POC 324.09 · Prev H/L 347.82/340.46 · 52w H/L 348.15/243.42

MSFT 529.05 · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 518.39 · S3 523.72 · S1 527.27 || R1 530.83 · R3 534.38 · R4 539.71
Classic: S3 501.66 · S2 513.04 · S1 521.05 · P 532.43 · R1 540.44 · R2 551.82 · R3 559.83
EMA20 522.56 · EMA50 499.80 · EMA200 457.47 · POC 488.52 · Prev H/L 543.82/524.43 · 52w H/L 553.72/349.20

AMZN 250.00 · Bear (below 20/50)
Cam: S4 246.18 · S3 248.09 · S1 249.36 || R1 250.64 · R3 251.91 · R4 253.82
Classic: S3 240.28 · S2 244.44 · S1 247.22 · P 251.38 · R1 254.16 · R2 258.32 · R3 261.10
EMA20 254.31 · EMA50 254.26 · EMA200 244.95 · POC 257.17 · Prev H/L 255.54/248.60 · 52w H/L 287.20/196.00

META 709.33 · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20)
Cam: S4 689.65 · S3 699.49 · S1 706.05 || R1 712.61 · R3 719.17 · R4 729.01
Classic: S3 659.42 · S2 681.06 · S1 695.20 · P 716.84 · R1 730.98 · R2 752.62 · R3 766.76
EMA20 719.51 · EMA50 679.03 · EMA200 642.28 · POC 650.36 · Prev H/L 738.49/702.71 · 52w H/L 779.82/520.26



Bearish Warnings
Index: NAS100 closed below its EMA20 and EMA50 with the MACD histogram widening (-190.4). The MACD line (65. is close to crossing below zero.
EMA50 below EMA200 (death-cross structure): 14 of 40. Price also below EMA200: TSLA, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, CDNS, MELI, CEG, ORLY. Price above EMA200 (repair in progress): COST, LIN, SNPS.
MACD below signal: 21 of 40 - NVDA, META, GOOGL, AVGO, TSLA, AMD, QCOM, TMUS, CSCO, TXN, AMAT, PANW, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, SNPS, CDNS, CRWD, MRVL, FTNT. MACD below zero: NVDA, AVGO, NFLX, ADBE, QCOM, TMUS, AMAT, BKNG, MU, LRCX, KLAC, REGN, DASH.
Heavy-volume breakdowns (1.3x+ volume, down 2%+): PANW (-7.63%, 1.55x), FTNT (-7.03%, 1.53x), CRWD (-7.02%, 1.53x), KLAC (-5.00%, 1.39x), AMAT (-4.82%, 1.32x), AVGO (-4.52%, 1.32x), TSLA (-2.13%, 1.79x), ADI (-2.11%, 1.49x).
Below EMA20: 27 of 40 components, so short-term trends are broken across most of the index.
Near 52-week lows: TMUS (+7.6% above low).
Overbought RSI: MAR 75.7 and COST 72.5 are the only readings above 70; LIN is at 67.8. These are crowded defensive trades, so watch for divergence if the market bounces.
Earnings risk: NFLX, ISRG and TSLA report next week with the market already on edge about AI spending. A miss will be punished.



Events Calendar
Mon 19 Oct: China Q3 GDP and September activity data (Asia session). No major US data.
Tue 20 Oct: US September housing starts and building permits. Earnings: NFLX after the close (~16:01 ET); ISRG expected (confirm the date).
Wed 21 Oct: Earnings: TSLA after the close (most calendars say Wed; some list Tue 20, so confirm).
Fri 23 Oct: S&P Global flash PMIs (October), final University of Michigan sentiment.
Fed: blackout period ahead of the 27-28 Oct FOMC, so no scheduled Fed speakers. Rate-hike odds rose after this week's hot CPI.
Macro watch: oil (Brent ~$110), the US 10-year yield and AI-credit headlines (CoreWeave) are the main drivers right now.



Data note: the ChartsView scanner had only posted the first 20 names for 16 Oct when this report ran. The other 20 (BKNG to ORLY) were calculated from end-of-day daily bars using the scanner's own formulas, which were cross-checked against the 15 Oct scanner output.



Report: 16 Oct 2026 22:03 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis - Thursday 15 October 2026
Data: Close 15 Oct 2026 | NAS100: 29,935.59 | Change: -15.23 (-0.05%) | Range: 29,408.41-29,985.62



Market Overview
The NASDAQ 100 closed 29,935.59, -15.23 pts (-0.05%) - a third straight lower close, but the shape of the day matters more than the number. The index gapped down to open at 29,526.71 (about -1.4%), extended to a session low of 29,408.41 - just above the 18 Sep swing low / 20-day low at 29,372 - and then recovered 527 pts to finish 50 pts off the high (29,985.62). That is a hammer-style reversal candle at support after Wednesday's -2.02% slide.

Drivers: Wednesday's hot September CPI (3.7% y/y) pushed markets to price roughly a coin-flip chance of a Fed hike at the 28 Oct FOMC. Overnight the memory-chip rout went global - Kospi -8%, Nikkei -5%, SK Hynix and Samsung down 9-11%. TSMC posted a record Q3 profit (+68.7% y/y) but fell on a sequential gross-margin dip (66.4% from 67.7%). Thursday's September PPI came in at +6.3% y/y (the biggest gain since 2022) and retail sales beat, largely on gasoline. The turn came from bonds: the US 10-year fell ~10 bps to 5.09%, and money rotated out of chip equipment into beaten-down software and consumer names - INTU +6.36%, DASH +4.91%, ADBE +4.57%, ABNB +4.32%, WDAY +4.16% - while AMAT -3.72%, CSCO -3.34% and LRCX -3.30% led the downside. Broader market: S&P 500 7,744.06 (+0.33%), Nasdaq Composite 26,713.03 (+0.08%), Dow 52,177.69 (+1.08%), SOX 11,581 (-0.88%). VIX 16.46 (from 16.87).

Breadth (40 tracked components): 20 up / 20 down; average relative volume 1.09x - more active than earlier in the week. The heaviest volume was on the semi-equipment selling side (AMAT 1.80x, LRCX 1.48x, KLAC 1.45x), plus the MU reversal (1.41x) and the WDAY/ADBE software bounce (1.39x/1.38x).

Bias: Neutral to cautious. The intraday reversal is constructive, but the close sits just below both the EMA20 and EMA50 with MACD momentum still deteriorating. Bulls need a close back above 30,145 (R1), then the EMA20 at 30,373, to repair the structure. A break of today's 29,408 low opens 29,200 and then 29,000 / 28,753.



Trend
EMA stack: Bear (below 20/50) - Close 29,936 < EMA20 30,373 and < EMA50 29,949, but > EMA200 28,022. The close is only 13 pts below the EMA50, so this is a marginal break, not a confirmed one - but under the strict rule the index is no longer above all EMAs. The EMAs themselves remain bullishly stacked (20 > 50 > 200).
Structure: The primary uptrend from the 16 Sep swing low (28,753) to the 6 Oct ATH (31,361) is intact, but the pullback now has seven consecutive lower highs: 31,170 / 31,125 / 30,947 / 30,814 / 30,596 / 30,437 / 29,986. Distance from ATH: -4.5%. Today's low (29,408) held above the 20-day low (29,372).
Phase: Correction within an uptrend - now at the decision zone of EMA50 plus prior swing support. A higher low here keeps the uptrend; a daily close below 29,372 would be the first lower low since September.



Indicators
RSI(14): 44.3 - Neutral-bearish, flat versus 44.6 yesterday despite the intraday recovery. No oversold reading and no bullish divergence yet; momentum has fallen from about 70 in early October.
MACD (12,26,9): Bearish and widening - MACD 180.6 vs signal 303.7, histogram -123.1 (from -86.1). Still above zero, so this remains a correction in an uptrend rather than a confirmed trend change, but the downside momentum has not yet slowed.
ATR(14): 400 pts, up from 362 on 13 Oct. Today's 577-pt range was 1.4x ATR - volatility is expanding.
Volume: component relative volume averaged 1.09x. Conviction was on both sides: selling in equipment semis, buying in software.
VIX: 16.46 - still low for a 4.5% index pullback. Equity hedging remains light given a live Fed-hike debate.



Key Index Levels
Resistance
R3: 30,354-30,373 - classic R2 + EMA20
R2: 30,145-30,200 - classic R1
R1: 29,949-29,986 - EMA50 + today's high

Support
S1: 29,567-29,600 - classic S1
S2: 29,372-29,408 - today's low + 18 Sep low / 20-day low
S3: 29,000-29,199 - round number + classic S2 (16 Sep swing low 28,753 below)

Classic Pivots (16 Oct): S2 29,199.3 · S1 29,567.5 · P 29,776.5 · R1 30,144.7 · R2 30,353.8
Round numbers: 30,000 · 29,500 · 29,000



Component Signals (all 40)
Trend = strict close vs EMA20/50/200. Tally: 14 Bull (above all), 5 Bull (above 20/50), 7 Bear (below 20/50), 6 Bear (below all), 8 Mixed. 26 of 40 close above their 60-day POC.
AAPL 342.00 (-0.28%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.6 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -1.8% from 52wH · Above POC
MSFT 539.44 (+1.08%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 65 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -2.6% from 52wH · Above POC
NVDA 217.23 (-1.84%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 40.2 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -10.7% from 52wH · Below POC
AMZN 254.76 (+0.27%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) · RSI 50.1 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -11.3% from 52wH · Below POC
META 736.72 (-0.11%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 57.9 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -5.5% from 52wH · Above POC
GOOGL 349.22 (+0.45%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 52.8 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -14.5% from 52wH · Above POC
AVGO 344.33 (-0.55%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 41.4 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -30.4% from 52wH · Below POC
TSLA 362.44 (-1.29%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 46.5 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -27.3% from 52wH · Above POC
COST 978.01 (-0.41%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 69.6 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -10.8% from 52wH · Above POC
NFLX 72.61 (+2.89%) · Mixed (above 20, below 50/200) · RSI 52 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -41.8% from 52wH · Below POC
AMD 562.23 (-1.50%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) · RSI 44.5 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -14.6% from 52wH · Above POC
ADBE 251.67 (+4.57%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 55.4 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -30.8% from 52wH · Below POC
QCOM 178.40 (+3.35%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 48.9 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -31.4% from 52wH · Above POC
TMUS 157.03 (-0.48%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 40.6 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -31.9% from 52wH · Below POC
LIN 493.22 (+0.11%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 64.1 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -10.0% from 52wH · Above POC
ISRG 427.86 (+1.81%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 65.7 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -29.1% from 52wH · Above POC
INTU 330.17 (+6.36%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 64.3 Bullish · MACD Bull (below 0) · -52.1% from 52wH · Above POC
CSCO 109.85 (-3.34%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 45.4 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -15.7% from 52wH · Below POC
TXN 279.12 (-0.55%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) · RSI 50 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -16.4% from 52wH · Above POC
AMAT 430.01 (-3.72%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 32.9 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -41.9% from 52wH · Below POC
BKNG 165.80 (+3.19%) · Mixed (above 20, below 50/200) · RSI 48.3 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -24.9% from 52wH · Below POC
PANW 370.27 (-1.27%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 44.6 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -14.4% from 52wH · Above POC
MU 931.24 (+1.87%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 39.2 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -25.8% from 52wH · Below POC
LRCX 277.46 (-3.30%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 34.2 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -36.7% from 52wH · Below POC
KLAC 174.46 (-2.43%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 36.3 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -43.2% from 52wH · Below POC
ADI 403.95 (+0.09%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 56 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -9.4% from 52wH · Above POC
REGN 796.34 (+2.31%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 59.3 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -7.3% from 52wH · Above POC
SNPS 468.11 (-2.46%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 54.8 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -13.2% from 52wH · Above POC
CDNS 324.38 (-1.54%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 46.8 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -22.2% from 52wH · Above POC
MELI 1,856.98 (+0.97%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 52.7 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -23.5% from 52wH · Above POC
CRWD 244.57 (-1.89%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) · RSI 46.5 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -14.8% from 52wH · Above POC
MAR 385.71 (+3.74%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 74.7 Overbought · MACD Bull (above 0) · -6.1% from 52wH · Above POC
ABNB 174.28 (+4.32%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 61.9 Bullish · MACD Bull (below 0) · -9.9% from 52wH · Above POC
MRVL 241.24 (-1.65%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 42.7 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -26.9% from 52wH · Above POC
DASH 193.05 (+4.91%) · Mixed (above 20, below 50/200) · RSI 48.7 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -32.4% from 52wH · Below POC
FTNT 181.91 (-1.16%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 53.4 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -7.7% from 52wH · Above POC
CEG 275.00 (-1.62%) · Mixed (above 50, below 20/200) · RSI 48.9 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -33.4% from 52wH · Below POC
WDAY 196.63 (+4.16%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 59.1 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -20.5% from 52wH · Above POC
PYPL 57.16 (+1.89%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 63 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -27.8% from 52wH · Above POC
ORLY 88.48 (+2.06%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 60 Bullish · MACD Bull (below 0) · -14.8% from 52wH · Above POC



Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL, AVGO, TSLA) - avg -0.28%
Split leadership. AAPL, MSFT, META and GOOGL remain Bull (above all), with AAPL 1.8% and MSFT 2.6% from their 52w highs - MSFT rose 1.08% on a weak tech day. The AI-hardware names are the problem: NVDA is Bear (below 20/50) with RSI 40.2, and AVGO and TSLA are Bear (below all). AMZN closed exactly on its EMA20 (254.76), so it is Mixed under the strict rule.

Semiconductors (AMD, QCOM, TXN, AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL) - avg -0.87%
Weakest group. Equipment led the decline again: AMAT -3.72% (1.80x), LRCX -3.30% (1.48x), KLAC -2.43% (1.45x), all with RSI 33-36. AMAT and KLAC are now below their EMA200 as well. MU printed a notable reversal - low 858.00, close 931.24 (+1.87%) on 1.41x - but stays below EMA20/50 with MACD well under signal. ADI is the only Bull (above all) chip name.

Software/Cloud (ADBE, INTU, PANW, SNPS, CDNS, CRWD, FTNT, WDAY) - avg +0.85%
Rotation beneficiary. INTU +6.36%, ADBE +4.57% (1.38x) and WDAY +4.16% (1.39x) bounced hard as money left AI hardware. WDAY is Bull (above all) with a fresh MACD cross. Security and EDA lagged: PANW is Bear (below 20/50), CRWD lost its EMA20, CDNS is Bear (below all), and SNPS fell 2.46% but holds above all EMAs.

Consumer/Internet (COST, NFLX, BKNG, MELI, MAR, ABNB, DASH, PYPL, ORLY) - avg +2.62%
Best sector (+2.62% avg). DASH, ABNB, MAR, BKNG and NFLX all rallied 2.9-4.9%, helped by the retail-sales beat and lower yields. MAR (RSI 74.7) is now overbought. NFLX, BKNG and DASH reclaimed their EMA20 but remain below the 50/200, so these are bounces, not trend changes yet. COST rejected 1,008 intraday and slipped 0.41%.

Healthcare/Biotech (ISRG, REGN) - avg +2.06%
Firm. REGN +2.31% stays Bull (above all). ISRG +1.81% closed at 427.86, just under its EMA200 (428.83), ahead of results on 20 Oct.

Industrial/Other (TMUS, LIN, CSCO, CEG) - avg -1.33%
Soft. CSCO -3.34% broke below its EMA20/50. TMUS was rejected at its EMA20 (high 163.17 vs EMA20 163.04) and closed near the low. CEG is Mixed. LIN is the one Bull (above all) name in this group.



Top Swing Setups
MSFT - LONG - 52-week high breakout
Entry: 554.00 · Stop: 536.84 · T1: 579.74 · T2: 605.48 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Relative-strength leader: +1.08% on a day the chip complex sold off. Bull (above all), RSI 65.0, MACD above signal (12.12 vs 10.86). Trigger is a daily close above the 553.72 52w high / R3 553.22. Stop 1.5x ATR (11.44). Price is 11% above POC (485.89) - extended, so wait for the breakout close rather than buying ahead of it.

AAPL - LONG - 52-week high breakout
Entry: 348.50 · Stop: 338.52 · T1: 363.47 · T2: 378.44 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bull (above all), 1.8% below its 52w high. Today's high of 347.85 stalled just under the 348.15 high, so the trigger is a clean break above it. Stop 1.5x ATR (6.65), close to Cam S4 338.56. MACD is only marginally above signal (4.03 vs 3.89), so keep size moderate until momentum expands.

WDAY - LONG - software rotation breakout
Entry: 200.50 · Stop: 189.79 · T1: 216.56 · T2: 232.63 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
+4.16% on 1.39x volume with a fresh bullish MACD cross (0.38 vs 0.10). Bull (above all), RSI 59.1, above POC 184.54. Entry on a break of today's 200.23 high and the 200 round number. Stop 1.5x ATR (7.14) sits just above the EMA20 (189.16). The 247.40 52w high leaves plenty of room above.

AMAT - SHORT - failed retest of EMA200
Entry: 436.00 · Stop: 456.78 · T1: 404.83 · T2: 373.66 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bear (below all) after -3.72% on 1.80x - the heaviest volume of the 40. Price closed below the EMA200 (435.87). Sell a failed retest of the EMA200 / R1 436.97 zone. Stop 1x ATR (20.78), above R3 453.29. T1 sits at S3 404.33. Risk: RSI 32.9 is close to oversold, so only take the short on a rejection, not into weakness.

TMUS - SHORT - EMA20 rejection, trend continuation
Entry: 155.50 · Stop: 163.78 · T1: 143.08 · T2: 130.66 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bear (below all), MACD -5.03 below signal, RSI 40.6. Today's high (163.17) tagged the EMA20 (163.04) and was sold to close near the low. Trigger on a break of today's 155.75 low. Stop 1.5x ATR (5.52), above the EMA20 and today's high. The 147.90 52w low (6.2% below) is the first hurdle.



Intraday Setups (16 Oct)
MSFT - Camarilla R4 breakout - LONG
Entry: 545.00 · Stop: 543.00 · T1: 547.17 · T2: 553.22 · R:R: 1:1.1 / 1:4.1
Break and hold above Cam R4 544.89 in the strongest mega-cap trend. Stop back below classic R1 543.31. T1 R2 547.17, T2 R3 553.22, just under the 553.72 52w high.

AAPL - S1 / Cam S3 bounce - LONG
Entry: 340.30 · Stop: 338.30 · T1: 343.82 · T2: 346.03 · R:R: 1:1.8 / 1:2.9
Buy the dip into the S1 339.78 / Cam S3 340.28 zone in a Bull (above all) trend. Stop under Cam S4 338.56. T1 is the pivot 343.82 (Cam R3 343.72 confluence), T2 is R1 346.03.

NVDA - Camarilla R3 fade - SHORT
Entry: 218.70 · Stop: 220.50 · T1: 216.18 · T2: 213.90 · R:R: 1:1.4 / 1:2.7
NVDA is Bear (below 20/50) with MACD under signal. Fade a rally into Cam R3 218.78, with POC 219.60 and R1 219.52 just above as resistance. Stop above Cam R4 220.32. T1 pivot 216.18, T2 S1 213.90.

AMAT - Camarilla S4 breakdown - SHORT
Entry: 420.50 · Stop: 425.80 · T1: 411.28 · T2: 404.33 · R:R: 1:1.7 / 1:3.1
Continuation short on a break of the Cam S4 421.03 / S1 420.65 confluence after a heavy-volume breakdown. Stop above Cam S3 425.52. T1 S2 411.28, T2 S3 404.33.

WDAY - Camarilla R4 breakout - LONG
Entry: 202.10 · Stop: 199.20 · T1: 205.60 · T2: 210.96 · R:R: 1:1.2 / 1:3.1
Momentum continuation above Cam R4 202.05 and R1 201.11 after today's +4.16% on 1.39x volume. Stop below Cam R3 199.34. T1 R2 205.60, T2 R3 210.96.



Key Levels Dashboard
NVDA 217.23 · Bear (below 20/50)
Cam: S4 214.14 · S3 215.68 · S1 216.71 || R1 217.75 · R3 218.78 · R4 220.32
Classic: S3 208.28 · S2 210.56 · S1 213.90 · P 216.18 · R1 219.52 · R2 221.80 · R3 225.14
EMA20 226.78 · EMA50 222.39 · EMA200 204.56 · POC 219.60 · Prev H/L 218.47/212.85 · 52w H/L 243.37/164.27

AAPL 342.00 · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 338.56 · S3 340.28 · S1 341.43 || R1 342.57 · R3 343.72 · R4 345.44
Classic: S3 333.53 · S2 337.57 · S1 339.78 · P 343.82 · R1 346.03 · R2 350.07 · R3 352.28
EMA20 336.12 · EMA50 328.19 · EMA200 298.33 · POC 323.62 · Prev H/L 347.85/341.60 · 52w H/L 348.15/243.42

MSFT 539.44 · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 533.99 · S3 536.71 · S1 538.53 || R1 540.35 · R3 542.17 · R4 544.89
Classic: S3 523.49 · S2 527.35 · S1 533.40 · P 537.26 · R1 543.31 · R2 547.17 · R3 553.22
EMA20 521.87 · EMA50 498.60 · EMA200 456.75 · POC 485.89 · Prev H/L 541.13/531.22 · 52w H/L 553.72/349.20

AMZN 254.76 · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20)
Cam: S4 250.94 · S3 252.85 · S1 254.12 || R1 255.40 · R3 256.67 · R4 258.58
Classic: S3 243.46 · S2 246.05 · S1 250.41 · P 253.00 · R1 257.36 · R2 259.95 · R3 264.31
EMA20 254.76 · EMA50 254.43 · EMA200 244.89 · POC 256.81 · Prev H/L 255.60/248.65 · 52w H/L 287.20/196.00

META 736.72 · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 721.11 · S3 728.91 · S1 734.12 || R1 739.32 · R3 744.53 · R4 752.33
Classic: S3 691.82 · S2 703.70 · S1 720.21 · P 732.09 · R1 748.60 · R2 760.48 · R3 776.99
EMA20 720.58 · EMA50 677.79 · EMA200 641.61 · POC 648.61 · Prev H/L 743.97/715.58 · 52w H/L 779.82/520.26



Bearish Warnings
Index structure: NAS100 closed below its EMA20 and EMA50 after seven consecutive lower highs; MACD histogram widened to -123.1.
EMA50 below EMA200 (death-cross structure): 14 of 40. Price also below EMA200: TSLA, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, CDNS, MELI, CEG, ORLY. Price back above EMA200 (potential repair): COST, LIN, SNPS.
MACD below signal: 18 of 40 - NVDA, META, AVGO, TSLA, AMD, QCOM, TMUS, TXN, AMAT, PANW, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, CDNS, CRWD, MRVL, FTNT. This includes NVDA, META, AVGO, TSLA and AMD, so AI-linked mega-cap momentum is still fading.
Heavy-volume breakdowns: AMAT (1.80x), LRCX (1.48x), KLAC (1.45x). AMAT and KLAC also closed below their EMA200.
Overbought RSI: MAR 74.7. Watch COST 69.6, ISRG 65.7 and MSFT 65.0 for divergence on any new highs.
Near 52-week lows: TMUS (+6.2% above its low), ORLY (+7.1%).
Macro: 10-year yield above 5%, PPI +6.3% y/y and a coin-flip chance of a hike on 28 Oct. A hawkish Fed headline is the main risk to any rebound.



Events Calendar
Fri 16 Oct: September industrial production and capacity utilisation, import prices. Monthly options expiry (third Friday) - expect pinning and late-session volatility. Fed speakers - with a hike now live for 28 Oct, any hawkish comment will hit yields and tech.
Mon 19 - Tue 20 Oct: Q3 tech earnings season begins. NFLX and ISRG are expected after the close on Tue 20 Oct (NFLX date still unconfirmed; ISRG options imply roughly +/-7.5%).
Week of 19 Oct: TSLA Q3 results expected (date unconfirmed - check investor relations).Next FOMC: decision 28 Oct.



Report: 15 Oct 2026 22:02 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis - Tuesday 13 October 2026
Data: Close 13 Oct 2026 | NAS100: 30,569.48 | Change: -95.22 (-0.31%) | Range: 30,372.30-30,595.80



Market Overview
The NASDAQ 100 closed 30,569.48, -95.22 pts (-0.31%), its second straight lower close and the fifth consecutive lower high since the 6 Oct all-time high of 31,361.37. The index gapped down to open at 30,404, printed a session low of 30,372.30 and then recovered, closing within 26 pts of the high (30,595.80) - a constructive intraday recovery, but still a lower high.

Drivers: another leg of the chip-equipment and memory selloff on China competition fears (CXMT's Shanghai debut and reports of progress on homegrown tools) hit AMAT -6.69%, MU -3.62%, KLAC -3.20% and LRCX -2.73%, with EDA names CDNS -4.08% following. Money rotated into analog/logic and mega-cap platform names: META +2.63%, TXN +2.17%, ADI +2.08%, AMD +1.90%. Big-bank earnings (JPM, GS, C, WFC) were mixed in reaction. Broader market: S&P 500 7,805 (flat), Nasdaq Composite 27,204 (-0.15%), Dow 51,670 (-0.35%). VIX 15.27 (+0.4%), US 10-year ~5.2%.

Breadth (40 tracked components): 17 up / 23 down; average relative volume 0.80x - the selling was concentrated, not broad. The only heavy-volume moves were in the semis (AMAT 1.69x, KLAC 1.13x, MU 1.10x).

Bias: Neutral, leaning cautious into Wednesday's CPI. The primary trend is intact (above all EMAs), but momentum has rolled over. Hold 30,430-30,470 and the bulls keep control; a close below 30,372 opens 30,000/29,950.



Trend
EMA stack: Bull (above all) - Close 30,569 > EMA20 30,469 > EMA50 29,949 > EMA200 27,866. Fully aligned bullish stack, but price is only 0.33% above the EMA20, which is now the line in the sand.
Structure: Higher-timeframe uptrend from the 16 Sep swing low (28,753) to the 6 Oct ATH (31,361). Since then: lower highs at 31,170 / 31,125 / 30,947 / 30,814 / 30,596 - a short-term descending pullback. Distance from ATH: -2.5%.
Phase: Pullback / consolidation within an uptrend. Now testing the EMA20 (30,469) from above.



Indicators
RSI(14): 54.7 - Neutral, down from 69.8 six sessions ago. Momentum has cooled from overbought without any oversold reading; no bullish divergence yet (price and RSI both making lower highs).
MACD (12,26,9): Bearish crossover today - MACD 329.8 vs signal 356.0, histogram -26.2 (from +3.2). Still well above zero, so this is a momentum pause in an uptrend, not a trend reversal - yet.
ATR(14): 362 pts - today's 223-pt range was well below average; compression ahead of CPI.
Volume: component relative volume averaged 0.80x; conviction only on the semi selling side.
VIX: 15.27 - complacent. Little hedging priced in ahead of CPI, PPI, retail sales and the TSMC/ASML read-throughs.



Key Index Levels
Resistance
R3: 31,361 - all-time high (6 Oct)
R2: 30,876-30,947 - classic R3 + 9 Oct high
R1: 30,653-30,665 - classic R1 + 12 Oct close

Support
S1: 30,429-30,469 - classic S1 + EMA20
S2: 30,289-30,372 - classic S2 + today's low
S3: 29,950-30,000 - EMA50 + round number

Classic Pivots (14 Oct): S2 30,289.0 · S1 30,429.3 · P 30,512.5 · R1 30,652.8 · R2 30,736.0
Round numbers: 30,500 · 30,000 · 31,000



Component Signals (all 40)
Trend = strict close vs EMA20/50/200. Tally: 23 Bull (above all), 2 Bull (above 20/50), 6 Bear (below 20/50), 6 Bear (below all), 3 Mixed.
AAPL 341.27 (+0.09%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.5 Bullish · MACD Bear (above 0) · -2.0% from 52wH · Above POC
MSFT 543.45 (+0.43%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 70.7 Overbought · MACD Bull (above 0) · -1.9% from 52wH · Above POC
NVDA 228.52 (+0.97%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 52 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -6.1% from 52wH · Above POC
AMZN 258.58 (-0.37%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 54.4 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -10.0% from 52wH · Above POC
META 762.50 (+2.63%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 66 Bullish · MACD Bear (above 0) · -2.2% from 52wH · Above POC
GOOGL 353.78 (+0.30%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 58.2 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -13.4% from 52wH · Above POC
AVGO 357.31 (+0.73%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 48 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -27.8% from 52wH · Below POC
TSLA 375.23 (-0.74%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 54.5 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -24.8% from 52wH · Above POC
COST 954.63 (-0.50%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 63.8 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -12.9% from 52wH · Above POC
NFLX 70.46 (-0.21%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 44.4 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -43.6% from 52wH · Below POC
AMD 605.53 (+1.90%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 55.8 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -8.0% from 52wH · Above POC
ADBE 236.28 (-0.78%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 42.3 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -35.0% from 52wH · Below POC
QCOM 176.86 (+1.39%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 46.3 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -32.0% from 52wH · Above POC
TMUS 153.73 (+1.22%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 36.1 Bearish · MACD Bear (below 0) · -33.3% from 52wH · Below POC
LIN 492.11 (+0.98%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 63.3 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -10.2% from 52wH · Above POC
ISRG 422.06 (-1.30%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 63.6 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -30.1% from 52wH · Above POC
INTU 301.45 (-1.48%) · Mixed (above 20, below 50/200) · RSI 49.9 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -56.3% from 52wH · Below POC
CSCO 115.07 (-0.23%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 56.5 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -11.7% from 52wH · Above POC
TXN 287.85 (+2.17%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 58.8 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -13.8% from 52wH · Above POC
AMAT 464.24 (-6.69%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 40.6 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -37.2% from 52wH · Below POC
BKNG 157.51 (-0.58%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 33.5 Bearish · MACD Bull (below 0) · -28.7% from 52wH · Below POC
PANW 397.03 (-1.68%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 53.8 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -8.2% from 52wH · Above POC
MU 953.22 (-3.62%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 40.4 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -24.0% from 52wH · Above POC
LRCX 301.11 (-2.73%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 42.8 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -31.3% from 52wH · Below POC
KLAC 184.00 (-3.20%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 43.4 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -40.1% from 52wH · Below POC
ADI 414.70 (+2.08%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 65.1 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -7.0% from 52wH · Above POC
REGN 753.12 (-1.27%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 45.4 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -12.4% from 52wH · Below POC
SNPS 494.51 (-1.59%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 66.6 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -8.3% from 52wH · Above POC
CDNS 334.20 (-4.08%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 52.6 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -19.8% from 52wH · Above POC
MELI 1,876.04 (-0.87%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 55.5 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -22.7% from 52wH · Above POC
CRWD 261.21 (-0.68%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 55.8 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -9.0% from 52wH · Above POC
MAR 371.50 (+0.60%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 66.7 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -9.6% from 52wH · Above POC
ABNB 165.58 (+1.27%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 51.5 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -14.4% from 52wH · Below POC
MRVL 268.73 (+1.08%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 56.8 Neutral · MACD Bear (above 0) · -18.5% from 52wH · Above POC
DASH 193.09 (-0.59%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 47.5 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -32.4% from 52wH · Below POC
FTNT 190.76 (-1.13%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 65.9 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -3.2% from 52wH · Above POC
CEG 295.79 (+0.65%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.4 Bullish · MACD Bull (above 0) · -28.3% from 52wH · Above POC
WDAY 186.02 (-1.18%) · Mixed (above 50/200, below 20) · RSI 47.4 Neutral · MACD Bear (below 0) · -24.8% from 52wH · Above POC
PYPL 56.17 (+0.21%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 58.7 Neutral · MACD Bull (above 0) · -29.1% from 52wH · Above POC
ORLY 86.03 (-0.72%) · Mixed (above 20, below 50/200) · RSI 49.7 Neutral · MACD Bull (below 0) · -17.3% from 52wH · Below POC



Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL, AVGO, TSLA) - avg +0.51%
Leadership intact: 6 of 8 Bull (above all), led by META on 1.02x volume and MSFT 1.9% from its 52w high. AVGO is the outlier - Bear (below all) and 27.8% off its high. TSLA holds the 20/50 but is still under its EMA200 (377.77).

Semiconductors (AMD, QCOM, TXN, AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL) - avg -0.85%
A split sector. Equipment and memory (AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC) all dropped below their EMA20 and EMA50 on above-average volume, with MACD below signal - the China-competition trade is still being unwound. Analog/logic (TXN, ADI, AMD, MRVL) stayed Bull (above all) and caught the rotation. QCOM bounced but remains below its 20/50.

Software/Cloud (ADBE, INTU, PANW, SNPS, CDNS, CRWD, FTNT, WDAY) - avg -1.57%
Weakest sector on the day. EDA sold with the chip complex (CDNS -4.08%, SNPS -1.59%), but security (PANW, CRWD, FTNT) remains Bull (above all) - FTNT printed a fresh 52w high intraday (197.13) before fading. ADBE (Bear below all) and INTU (below 50/200) remain in long-term downtrends.

Consumer/Internet (COST, NFLX, BKNG, MELI, MAR, ABNB, DASH, PYPL, ORLY) - avg -0.15%
Most bifurcated sector. COST, MELI, MAR, ABNB, PYPL are above all EMAs; NFLX, BKNG and DASH are Bear (below all), with BKNG within 4.9% of its 52w low and RSI 33.5. Low volume (ABNB 0.49x, MELI 0.36x) - no conviction either way.

Healthcare/Biotech (ISRG, REGN) - avg -1.29%
Soft. ISRG gave back 1.30% but holds its 20/50 (EMA200 428.93 overhead). REGN slipped back under its EMA20/50 with MACD below zero.

Industrial/Other (TMUS, LIN, CSCO, CEG) - avg +0.66%
LIN and CEG are recovering above all EMAs; CSCO steady above all EMAs. TMUS bounced 1.22% but remains Bear (below all), 3.9% from its 52w low.



Top Swing Setups
MSFT - LONG - 52-week high breakout
Entry: 554.00 · Stop: 536.86 · T1: 579.72 · T2: 605.43 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bull (above all), RSI 70.7, MACD above signal, rv 1.05x. Trigger is a daily close above the 553.72 52w high / R2 553.98. Stop 1.5x ATR (11.43) below entry, under S2 537.80. Trading 12.9% above POC (481.56) - extended, so wait for the breakout close rather than chase; RSI overbought is the risk.

META - LONG - momentum breakout
Entry: 781.00 · Stop: 745.18 · T1: 834.73 · T2: 888.46 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Best performer today (+2.63% on 1.02x volume), Bull (above all), RSI 66.0. Entry on a break above the 779.82 52w high. Stop 1.5x ATR (23.88) - just above Cam S4 742.46. MACD is still marginally below signal (25.88 vs 28.86), so a bullish cross would add confirmation.

PANW - LONG - EMA20 pullback
Entry: 395.00 · Stop: 368.94 · T1: 434.08 · T2: 473.17 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bull (above all) pulling back to EMA20 392.49 / S1 392.78 confluence on light volume (0.62x) - an orderly dip. RSI 53.8 has reset. Stop 1.5x ATR (17.37) sits under EMA50 370.82. T1 is just above the 432.33 52w high; POC 362.96 well below.

AMAT - SHORT - retest of broken EMA cluster
Entry: 492.00 · Stop: 515.65 · T1: 456.53 · T2: 421.05 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Broke down -6.69% on 1.69x volume - the heaviest volume of the 40 - through EMA20 495.34, EMA50 493.47 and POC 492.97. That 493-495 cluster is now resistance: sell a failed retest there. Stop = EMA20 + 1x ATR (20.31), near R3 515.13. MACD below signal. EMA200 435.82 is the major support en route to T2.

TMUS - SHORT - downtrend continuation
Entry: 151.70 · Stop: 159.69 · T1: 139.71 · T2: 127.71 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bear (below all) with EMA50 under EMA200, MACD -5.26 below signal, RSI 36.1. Trigger on a break of today's low 151.80 / S1 152.10. Stop 1.5x ATR (5.33). Today's +1.22% bounce came on below-average volume (0.89x). The 147.90 52w low is the first hurdle; a break there targets T1/T2.



Intraday Setups (14 Oct)
META - Camarilla R4 breakout - LONG
Entry: 783.00 · Stop: 772.40 · T1: 792.63 · T2: 814.00 · R:R: 1:0.9 / 1:2.9
Break and hold above Cam R4 782.54, which also clears the 779.82 52w high. Stop back below Cam R3 772.52. Targets classic R2 / R3. Momentum continuation from today's +2.63%.

MSFT - Pivot S1 / Cam S3 bounce - LONG
Entry: 541.00 · Stop: 538.40 · T1: 545.89 · T2: 548.71 · R:R: 1:1.9 / 1:3.0
Buy the dip into the S1 540.62 / Cam S3 541.23 zone in a Bull (above all) trend. Stop under Cam S4 539.00. T1 classic pivot 545.89 (Cam R3 545.67 confluence), T2 R1 548.71.

NVDA - Pivot hold - LONG
Entry: 227.00 · Stop: 224.70 · T1: 230.42 · T2: 232.32 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.3
Pivot 226.74 held as support with EMA20 228.46 just above. Long on a hold of the pivot; stop under S1 224.84 and Cam S4 225.45. Targets R1 / R2. MACD is below signal (2.89 vs 3.55), so keep size modest.

AMAT - Camarilla R3 fade - SHORT
Entry: 473.00 · Stop: 483.00 · T1: 461.23 · T2: 449.49 · R:R: 1:1.2 / 1:2.4
Range-fade short at Cam R3 473.27 following the breakdown. Stop above the Cam R4 482.29 / R1 482.31 confluence. T1 Cam S1 461.23, T2 classic S1 449.49.

MU - Camarilla S4 breakdown - SHORT
Entry: 936.50 · Stop: 947.00 · T1: 920.71 · T2: 912.40 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.3
Down -3.62% on 1.10x volume, below EMA20/50 with MACD well below signal (7.46 vs 22.36). Short a break of Cam S4 939.71 and S1 936.97. Stop back above Cam S3 946.46. T1 S2 920.71, T2 S3 912.40. EMA200 750.75 is far below - this is a momentum-continuation trade, not a trend call.



Key Levels Dashboard
NVDA 228.52 · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 225.45 · S3 226.99 · S1 228.01 || R1 229.03 · R3 230.05 · R4 231.59
Classic: S3 219.26 · S2 221.16 · S1 224.84 · P 226.74 · R1 230.42 · R2 232.32 · R3 236.00
EMA20 228.46 · EMA50 222.65 · EMA200 204.27 · POC 219.24 · Prev H/L 228.64/223.06 · 52w H/L 243.37/164.27

AAPL 341.27 · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 337.19 · S3 339.23 · S1 340.59 || R1 341.95 · R3 343.31 · R4 345.35
Classic: S3 331.21 · S2 335.98 · S1 338.62 · P 343.39 · R1 346.03 · R2 350.80 · R3 353.44
EMA20 334.71 · EMA50 327.01 · EMA200 297.44 · POC 323.02 · Prev H/L 348.15/340.74 · 52w H/L 348.15/243.42

MSFT 543.45 · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 539.00 · S3 541.23 · S1 542.71 || R1 544.19 · R3 545.67 · R4 547.90
Classic: S3 532.53 · S2 537.80 · S1 540.62 · P 545.89 · R1 548.71 · R2 553.98 · R3 556.80
EMA20 518.59 · EMA50 495.44 · EMA200 455.14 · POC 481.56 · Prev H/L 551.15/543.06 · 52w H/L 553.72/349.20

AMZN 258.58 · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 256.15 · S3 257.36 · S1 258.17 || R1 258.99 · R3 259.80 · R4 261.01
Classic: S3 252.63 · S2 255.53 · S1 257.05 · P 259.95 · R1 261.47 · R2 264.37 · R3 265.89
EMA20 254.84 · EMA50 254.43 · EMA200 244.70 · POC 256.60 · Prev H/L 262.84/258.42 · 52w H/L 287.20/196.00

META 762.50 · Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 742.46 · S3 752.48 · S1 759.16 || R1 765.84 · R3 772.52 · R4 782.54
Classic: S3 704.71 · S2 719.77 · S1 741.14 · P 756.20 · R1 777.57 · R2 792.63 · R3 814.00
EMA20 716.92 · EMA50 672.85 · EMA200 639.68 · POC 645.97 · Prev H/L 771.27/734.84 · 52w H/L 779.82/520.26



Bearish Warnings
EMA50 below EMA200 (death-cross structure): 14 of 40. Price also below EMA200: TSLA, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, ORLY. Price back above EMA200 (potential golden-cross repair): COST, LIN, SNPS, CDNS, MELI, CEG.
MACD below signal: 15 of 40 - AAPL, NVDA, META, AMD, QCOM, TMUS, AMAT, PANW, MU, LRCX, KLAC, REGN, CRWD, MRVL, WDAY. Notably this includes AAPL, NVDA and META, so mega-cap momentum is fading even where price is holding.
Index MACD: fresh bearish crossover on NAS100 today (histogram -26.2).
Overbought RSI: MSFT 70.7 (only reading above 70). Watch SNPS 66.6, MAR 66.7, META 66.0, FTNT 65.9 and ADI 65.1 for divergence on any new highs.
Near 52-week lows: TMUS (+3.9% above low), ORLY (+4.2%), BKNG (+4.9%, RSI 33.5).
Heavy-volume breakdowns: AMAT (1.69x), KLAC (1.13x), MU (1.10x) - all closed below EMA20 and EMA50.
Breadth: 23 of 40 are Bull (above all) but 12 of 40 carry a bear classification. Market-wide breadth is weak, with the median stock well off its highs while the indices sit near records.



Events Calendar
Wed 14 Oct: US September CPI 08:30 ET / 13:30 UK (consensus headline +0.6% m/m, 3.6% y/y; core +0.2% m/m, 2.5% y/y). Fed Beige Book 14:00 ET. Earnings: ASML (key read-through for AMAT/LRCX/KLAC), Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, BlackRock.
Thu 15 Oct: September Retail Sales and PPI 08:30 ET, Philly Fed, jobless claims. TSMC results (semis/AI capex read-through). Fed: Hammack; Chair Warsh (timing varies by calendar - Thu evening or Fri).
Fri 16 Oct: Industrial production, import prices, monthly options expiry.
Component earnings: none of the 40 tracked names report Wed/Thu. Q3 tech earnings season starts next week - confirm dates for NFLX, ISRG and TSLA.
Next FOMC: 28 Oct.



Report: 13 Oct 2026 22:02 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.