NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups

NASDAQ 100 DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - THURSDAY 16 JULY 2026
Data: Close 16 Jul 2026 | NAS100: ~29,179 (est) | Change: -324 pts (-1.10% est) | Range: 28,747 - 29,792 (est)
Index figures are estimated from the cap-weighted moves of the 40 tracked components (prior official NDX close 29,502.60 on 15 Jul). Nasdaq Composite closed -1.47%. All component data is the 16 Jul cash close.



MARKET OVERVIEW
Tech led the market lower: Nasdaq Composite -1.47%, S&P 500 -0.51%, Dow -0.20% (52,552.97). VIX rose 6% to 16.73 - risk appetite cooling but no panic.
Driver: TSMC beat Q2 and guided strong, yet sold off hard on capex and margin concerns - the sell-the-news dragged the entire semiconductor complex. Escalation in the US-Iran conflict added a risk-off overlay. Alphabet sank 4.4%.
Breadth across our 40: 16 up / 24 down. Semis were universally red while software and defensive growth (ADBE, INTU, WDAY, COST, ORLY, ISRG) caught a clear rotation bid.
After the close: NFLX guided Q3 below consensus (rev $12.86bn vs $13.0bn est, EPS $0.82 vs $0.84) - the stock fell about 8% after hours to roughly 68.45, below its 52-week low of 70.86. Expect a gap-down open Friday; the NFLX levels in this report are from the cash close and pre-date the print.
Bias: short-term corrective. Semi leadership is broken and the index sits below near-term supply; downside momentum is building but the tape is rotating rather than liquidating.



TREND ANALYSIS
Component EMA stacks (STRICT close vs EMA20/50/200): 10 Bull (above all) - 7 Bull (above 20/50) - 6 Mixed - 10 Bear (below 20/50) - 7 Bear (below all).
17 of 40 still carry a 50<200 death cross (incl MSFT, META, NFLX, COST, ISRG) - long-term repair is incomplete even where price has recovered.
Structure: the index printed a lower high against early-July supply at ~29,750-29,800 (est) and has now fallen for two sessions. Phase: distribution / correction inside a broader range - not yet a confirmed downtrend, but the burden of proof is back on the bulls.



INDICATORS
RSI(14): only four components above 65 - AAPL 71.4 (OB), PYPL 81.4 (OB), PANW 66.1, MELI 66.0. One sub-35: SNPS 32.5. The median has drifted into the mid-40s - momentum fading, not washed out. No bullish divergences of note; AAPL/PYPL are the OB-divergence watch candidates.
MACD: 22 of 40 bearish (line below signal), with fresh bear crosses across the semi complex (MU, AMD, TXN, AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL).
Volume: a quiet tape overall (most rel-vol under 1.0). Exceptions worth respecting: ISRG rv 1.64 and PYPL rv 1.64 on up days (accumulation) and GOOGL rv 1.10 on a -4.4% day (distribution).
60d VWAP (POC): 18 of 40 closed above. NVDA, GOOGL and AVGO all lost their POC today - a mega-cap distribution tell.



KEY INDEX LEVELS (est)
Support: 29,000 (round number + est S1 zone) - 28,750 (today's est low) - 28,500 (round; est classic S2 28,194 beneath)
Resistance: 29,500 (15 Jul close) - 29,790-29,800 (est session high / supply) - 30,000 (round number)
Classic pivots (from est OHLC): S2 28,194 - S1 28,686 - P 29,239 - R1 29,731 - R2 30,284



COMPONENT SIGNALS - ALL 40
Format: Ticker - Day % - Trend (strict EMA) - RSI - MACD - % from 52w high - vs 60d POC

MEGA-CAP TECH (avg -1.75%)
AAPL +1.76% - Bull (above all) - RSI 71.4 OB - MACD Bull+ - 52wH -0.4% - POC Above
MSFT +1.38% - Bull (above 20/50) - RSI 56.2 Bull - MACD Bull- - 52wH -27.8% - POC Below
NVDA -2.40% - Bull (above all) - RSI 52.1 Neutral - MACD Bull+ - 52wH -12.3% - POC Below
AMZN -1.99% - Bull (above all) - RSI 54.2 Neutral - MACD Bull+ - 52wH -10.3% - POC Below
META -2.46% - Bull (above all) - RSI 61.8 Bull - MACD Bull+ - 52wH -16.5% - POC Above
GOOGL -4.44% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 46.2 Neutral - MACD Bull- - 52wH -13.3% - POC Below
AVGO -5.03% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 45.0 Bear - MACD Bull- - 52wH -24.4% - POC Below
TSLA -0.83% - Bear (below all) - RSI 46.0 Neutral - MACD Bear- - 52wH -21.6% - POC Below

SEMICONDUCTORS (avg -4.40%)
AMD -5.33% - Mixed (<20 >50 >200) - RSI 46.9 Neutral - MACD Bear+ - 52wH -14.3% - POC Above
QCOM -4.11% - Bear (below all) - RSI 37.2 Bear - MACD Bear- - 52wH -34.3% - POC Below
TXN -3.31% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 46.1 Neutral - MACD Bear+ - 52wH -12.8% - POC Below
AMAT -3.19% - Mixed (<20 >50 >200) - RSI 48.0 Neutral - MACD Bear+ - 52wH -24.2% - POC Above
MU -5.65% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 41.3 Bear - MACD Bear- - 52wH -32.0% - POC Below
LRCX -4.31% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 43.6 Bear - MACD Bear- - 52wH -26.8% - POC Below
KLAC -2.29% - Mixed (<20 >50 >200) - RSI 46.0 Neutral - MACD Bear+ - 52wH -28.6% - POC Above
ADI -2.67% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 43.3 Bear - MACD Bear- - 52wH -14.7% - POC Below
MRVL -8.71% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 35.6 Bear - MACD Bear- - 52wH -42.9% - POC Below

SOFTWARE / CLOUD (avg +0.37%)
ADBE +4.79% - Bull (above 20/50) - RSI 60.0 Bull - MACD Bull+ - 52wH -37.4% - POC Above
INTU +5.40% - Mixed (>20 <50 <200) - RSI 54.2 Neutral - MACD Bull- - 52wH -63.8% - POC Below
CSCO -1.89% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 40.6 Bear - MACD Bear- - 52wH -15.9% - POC Below
PANW -0.01% - Bull (above all) - RSI 66.1 Bull - MACD Bear+ - 52wH -3.9% - POC Above
SNPS -1.94% - Bear (below all) - RSI 32.5 Bear - MACD Bear- - 52wH -36.0% - POC Below
CDNS -1.84% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 42.2 Bear - MACD Bear- - 52wH -12.5% - POC Below
CRWD -1.46% - Bull (above all) - RSI 63.4 Bull - MACD Bull+ - 52wH -6.3% - POC Above
FTNT -2.27% - Bull (above all) - RSI 59.2 Bull - MACD Bear+ - 52wH -5.6% - POC Above
WDAY +2.55% - Bull (above 20/50) - RSI 61.3 Bull - MACD Bull+ - 52wH -41.8% - POC Above

CONSUMER / INTERNET (avg +1.33%)
COST +3.17% - Mixed (>20 <50 <200) - RSI 48.7 Neutral - MACD Bull- - 52wH -13.8% - POC Below
NFLX +0.92% - Bear (below all) - RSI 42.0 Bear - MACD Bull- - 52wH -41.8% - POC Below
BKNG +0.99% - Bull (above all) - RSI 60.0 Bull - MACD Bear+ - 52wH -20.4% - POC Above
MELI +0.81% - Bull (above 20/50) - RSI 66.0 Bull - MACD Bull+ - 52wH -27.1% - POC Above
MAR +0.57% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 46.4 Neutral - MACD Bear- - 52wH -9.7% - POC Below
ABNB -0.39% - Bull (above all) - RSI 57.4 Bull - MACD Bear+ - 52wH -2.0% - POC Above
DASH -2.00% - Bull (above 20/50) - RSI 56.2 Bull - MACD Bear+ - 52wH -34.7% - POC Above
PYPL +2.20% - Bull (above all) - RSI 81.4 OB - MACD Bull+ - 52wH -28.6% - POC Above
ORLY +4.25% - Bear (below all) - RSI 46.9 Neutral - MACD Bear- - 52wH -20.7% - POC Below
TMUS +2.79% - Bull (above 20/50) - RSI 60.7 Bull - MACD Bull+ - 52wH -26.3% - POC Above

HEALTHCARE / BIOTECH (avg +2.81%)
ISRG +3.43% - Bear (below all) - RSI 46.3 Neutral - MACD Bear- - 52wH -33.4% - POC Below
REGN +2.18% - Bull (above 20/50) - RSI 63.2 Bull - MACD Bull+ - 52wH -17.3% - POC Above

INDUSTRIAL / OTHER (avg -0.59%)
LIN +1.28% - Mixed (<20 >50 >200) - RSI 49.9 Neutral - MACD Bear+ - 52wH -5.0% - POC Above
CEG -2.46% - Bear (below all) - RSI 45.4 Neutral - MACD Bull- - 52wH -39.0% - POC Below



SECTOR ROTATION
Semiconductors -4.40% - worst group; every name red, five down 4% or more. Post-TSMC positioning flush.
Software/Cloud +0.37% - the rotation destination; ADBE +4.8% and INTU +5.4% led despite the red tape.
Mega-cap Tech -1.75% - split tape: AAPL +1.8% at fresh 52w highs and MSFT +1.4% vs GOOGL -4.4% / AVGO -5.0%.
Consumer/Internet +1.33% - defensive bid: ORLY +4.3%, COST +3.2%, TMUS +2.8%.
Healthcare +2.81% - ISRG +3.4% on 1.6x volume, though still below all EMAs.
Industrial/Other -0.59% - CEG -2.5% remains in a full bear stack.



TOP SWING SETUPS
1. META - LONG pullback (above all EMAs)
Only mega-cap still above all three EMAs (20: 620.80, 50: 611.48, 200: 632.43) with MACD bullish (19.9 > 8.96) and RSI 61.8. Today's -2.5% is a pullback within trend; buy the dip into layered support.
Entry: 652.60 (Cam S4 652.58 + classic S2 647.13 zone) . Stop: 634.00 (below S3 634.09, ~0.7x ATR 25.4) . T1: 677.57 (R1) . T2: 690.61 (R2) . R:R: 1.3 / 2.0
Confluence: Cam S4 + classic S2/S3 shelf, full bull EMA stack, MACD+. Invalid below 634.

2. ADBE - LONG pullback after breakout day
+4.8% reclaim of EMA20 (220.79) and EMA50 (228.09), closed at the session high 235.31, back above POC 228.35 with a fresh MACD bull cross (0.53 > -3.15). Death cross vs EMA200 (277.50) caps the bigger picture - this is a swing trade, not an investment call.
Entry: 231.60 (pivot 230.94 + Cam S3 231.61) . Stop: 226.30 (below S1 226.41) . T1: 239.85 (R1) . T2: 253.29 (R3) . R:R: 1.6 / 4.1
Confluence: pivot + Cam S3 + reclaimed EMA50/POC. Invalid below 226.

3. MSFT - LONG relative strength (above 20/50)
+1.4% on a -1.5% tape, holding above EMA20 388.66 / EMA50 395.86 and sitting right at its POC 401.94. RSI 56.2, MACD improving (-1.56 vs -5.07). EMA200 424.49 above is the magnet if the base holds.
Entry: 396.00 (EMA50 retest) . Stop: 386.00 (below EMA20 + S2 385.77) . T1: 407.38 (R1) . T2: 424.50 (EMA200) . R:R: 1.1 / 2.9
Confluence: EMA50 + S1 393.44 + POC overhead reclaim. Invalid below 386.

4. QCOM - SHORT the bounce (below all EMAs)
Full bear stack (EMA20 189.71, EMA50 192.21, EMA200 173.24 all overhead), RSI 37.2, MACD bearish and negative, 34% off its 52w high, well below POC 200.66. Fade strength while the semi complex is broken.
Entry: 173.40 (classic R1 173.42 + Cam R4 173.40 + EMA200 173.24 confluence) . Stop: 179.60 (above R2 176.18, ~0.5x ATR 12.26) . T1: 166.24 (S2) . T2: 163.48 (S3) . R:R: 1.2 / 1.6
Confluence: triple resistance at entry. Invalid above 179.60.

5. NVDA - LONG at the support cluster (tactical)
Closed 207.40 with a dense support shelf just below: EMA20 204.81 + EMA50 204.60 + classic S1 205.14 + Cam S4 204.52. RSI 52.1, MACD flat (0.35 vs -1.35). Above 190 EMA200 the uptrend is intact; this is the spot longs must defend after losing POC 209.60.
Entry: 205.00 . Stop: 199.80 (below S3 199.91, ~0.7x ATR 7.33) . T1: 210.37 (R1) . T2: 213.34 (R2) . R:R: 1.0 / 1.6
Confluence: EMA20+EMA50+S1+Cam S4 cluster. A close below 204.50 turns the semi correction into an NVDA breakdown - stand aside.



INTRADAY SETUPS (FRIDAY)
1. NVDA - Pivot/S1 bounce LONG
Entry: 205.20 (S1 205.14 + EMA cluster) . Stop: 203.90 (below Cam S4 204.52) . T1: 208.11 (pivot) . T2: 210.37 (R1) . R:R: 2.2 / 4.0
Reasoning: same cluster as the swing idea, tighter risk. Skip if semis gap hard lower through the level.

2. GOOGL - Pivot rejection SHORT
Entry: 360.70 (pivot 360.68 + broken EMA20 359.93/EMA50 359.38 zone) . Stop: 363.30 . T1: 352.35 (Cam S1) . T2: 346.08 (S1) . R:R: 3.2 / 5.6
Reasoning: -4.4% on 1.1x volume with POC 366.44 lost; broken EMAs + pivot should now act as supply on the first bounce.

3. AAPL - Pivot bounce LONG (52w-high momentum)
Entry: 331.60 (pivot 331.58 + Cam S2 331.81) . Stop: 328.70 (below S1 328.47/Cam S4 328.92) . T1: 334.68 (52w high) . T2: 336.36 (R1) . R:R: 1.1 / 1.6
Reasoning: strongest large-cap on the day, closed 0.4% off a fresh 52w high. RSI 71.4 is OB - take profits quickly, do not chase gaps.

4. MU - Camarilla S3 counter-trend bounce LONG (aggressive)
Entry: 840.30 (Cam S3 840.22 + today's low 840.51) . Stop: 826.90 (below Cam S4 827.24) . T1: 857.53 (Cam R1) . T2: 860.47 (pivot) . R:R: 1.3 / 1.5
Reasoning: -5.7% into defined Camarilla support with ATR 84 - scalp the reversion only; trend and MACD are firmly against, so no swing hold.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD - TOP 5
NVDA (close 207.4)
Cam: S4 204.52 . S3 205.96 . S1 206.92 || R1 207.88 . R3 208.84 . R4 210.28
Classic: S3 199.91 . S2 202.88 . S1 205.14 . P 208.11 . R1 210.37 . R2 213.34 . R3 215.6
EMA20 204.81 . EMA50 204.6 . EMA200 190.34 . POC 209.6 . Prev H/L 211.08/205.85 . 52w 236.54/164.07

MSFT (close 401.1)
Cam: S4 393.43 . S3 397.27 . S1 399.82 || R1 402.38 . R3 404.93 . R4 408.77
Classic: S3 379.5 . S2 385.77 . S1 393.44 . P 399.71 . R1 407.38 . R2 413.65 . R3 421.32
EMA20 388.66 . EMA50 395.86 . EMA200 424.49 . POC 401.94 . Prev H/L 405.99/392.05 . 52w 555.45/349.2

AAPL (close 333.26)
Cam: S4 328.92 . S3 331.09 . S1 332.54 || R1 333.98 . R3 335.43 . R4 337.6
Classic: S3 320.58 . S2 323.69 . S1 328.47 . P 331.58 . R1 336.36 . R2 339.47 . R3 344.25
EMA20 309.31 . EMA50 299.04 . EMA200 273.18 . POC 295.47 . Prev H/L 334.68/326.79 . 52w 334.68/201.5

META (close 664.54)
Cam: S4 652.58 . S3 658.56 . S1 662.55 || R1 666.53 . R3 670.52 . R4 676.5
Classic: S3 634.09 . S2 647.13 . S1 655.83 . P 668.87 . R1 677.57 . R2 690.61 . R3 699.31
EMA20 620.8 . EMA50 611.48 . EMA200 632.43 . POC 611.31 . Prev H/L 681.9/660.16 . 52w 796.25/520.26

AMD (close 500.94)
Cam: S4 486.12 . S3 493.53 . S1 498.47 || R1 503.41 . R3 508.35 . R4 515.76
Classic: S3 461.97 . S2 476.89 . S1 488.91 . P 503.83 . R1 515.85 . R2 530.77 . R3 542.79
EMA20 526.45 . EMA50 480.32 . EMA200 326.48 . POC 451.36 . Prev H/L 518.74/491.8 . 52w 584.73/149.22



BEARISH WARNINGS
NFLX - post-close breakdown. Q3 guide missed; ~-8% after hours to ~68.45, below the 52w low 70.86, on top of an existing 50<200 death cross. Friday gap risk is the single biggest single-stock event on the board.
Semiconductor complex. Fresh MACD bear crosses across MU/AMD/TXN/AMAT/LRCX/KLAC/ADI/MRVL. QCOM is below all EMAs (-34% from high); MU trades 13% below its EMA20; MRVL is -43% from its 52w high after today's -8.7%.
Overbought extension. PYPL RSI 81.4 and ~21% above its EMA20 - prone to sharp mean reversion; AAPL RSI 71.4 at a 52w high - trim-into-strength zone, watch for OB divergence on any new high.
Near 52-week lows. ISRG (+6.3% above its low), ORLY (+4.4%) - and NFLX printing under its low after hours.
Structural damage. 17/40 death crosses (50<200) and 22/40 bearish MACDs. The average name in this index remains far below its 52w high - rallies are still repair, not expansion.



EVENTS CALENDAR
Reported tonight (16 Jul, after close): NFLX Q2 - Q3 revenue guide $12.86bn vs $13.0bn consensus, EPS guide $0.82 vs $0.84.
Friday 17 Jul: June housing starts + building permits, June industrial production + capacity utilisation, July prelim University of Michigan consumer sentiment, import/export prices. Earnings: TRV, TFC, FITB - none of our 40 report.
Backdrop: Q2 earnings season ramps next week for the NAS100 names; US-Iran conflict headlines remain a live macro risk; semi sentiment resets post-TSMC.



Report: 16 Jul 2026 21:05 GMT . Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis - Wednesday 15 July 2026

Data: Scanner close 15 Jul 2026 · NAS100 (NDX): ~29,290 (broadly flat) · VIX: 16.50 (-3.9%) · Breadth: 12 above all EMAs / 7 below all

Note: exact NDX settlement was not yet confirmed at report time; NDX finished roughly flat (prior close 29,264) while the Nasdaq Composite closed +0.62% at 26,269. All stock levels below are from the verified 15 Jul scanner feed.




Market Overview

Tech traded quietly higher into the US close, with the NDX hovering around the flatline after a soft June CPI (yesterday) and a cooler-than-expected June PPI (today) trimmed the odds of a further Fed hike. Apple printed a fresh record high (+4.0% to 327.50), and megacaps led - Alphabet +3.2%, Meta +3.1%, Amazon +3.0%. PayPal exploded +17.2% on a reported 53bn USD takeover bid from Stripe and Advent (60.50/share, ~28% premium). Offsetting the strength, semiconductors were heavy: Micron -8.0% and Marvell -7.3% dragged the group, and Cisco fell -4.5%. VIX eased to 16.50. Net bias: constructive but two-tracked - megacap/software firm, semis and defensives soft.




Trend Structure

EMA alignment across the 40 components: 12 trade above all three EMAs (20/50/200) - AAPL, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL, AVGO, PANW, CRWD, ABNB, DASH, FTNT, PYPL.

7 trade below all three EMAs - TSLA, COST, NFLX, ISRG, INTU, SNPS, ORLY. The remaining 21 are mixed or partial. The index itself holds above its rising 20/50-day EMAs with the 200-day well below - structurally a Stage 2 uptrend, but leadership has narrowed to megacap tech and security software while semis roll over beneath their 20-day lines.




Momentum & Volume

RSI(14): only PYPL is overbought (80.1, event-driven); none oversold. Momentum leaders sit in the healthy 63-69 band: META 66.8, CRWD 66.0, PANW 66.1, AAPL 68.8, FTNT 63.8. Weakest RSI readings cluster in defensives/semis: SNPS 35.5, COST 37.6, ORLY 37.8, MRVL 39.1, ISRG 39.2.

MACD: bullish histograms on AAPL, META, GOOGL, AMZN, NVDA, AVGO, CRWD, WDAY, REGN; bearish and rolling on MU, MRVL, CSCO, TSLA, QCOM, ISRG, ORLY. Volume: the standout is PYPL at 4.6x average; ISRG (1.5x) and ORLY (1.5x) also traded heavy - both to the downside, a caution flag.




Key Index Levels (NDX)

Resistance: 29,500 · 29,750 · 30,000 (round). Support: 29,000 (round / prior breakout) · 28,750 · 28,400 (rising 20-day EMA zone). A close back above 29,500 re-opens the record-high area near 30,000; loss of 29,000 turns the near-term picture neutral and puts the 28,400 EMA shelf in play.




Component Signals - all 40

Mega-cap Tech

AAPL 327.5 (+4.01%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 68.8 Bull · MACD Bull · -0.4% vs 52wH · Above POC

MSFT 395.63 (+2.78%) · Mixed (above 20, below 50, below 200) · RSI 53.5 Bull · MACD Bull · -28.8% vs 52wH · Below POC

NVDA 212.5 (+0.33%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 56.9 Bull · MACD Bull · -10.2% vs 52wH · Above POC

AMZN 254.96 (+3.02%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.1 Bull · MACD Bull · -8.5% vs 52wH · Above POC

META 681.31 (+3.07%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 66.8 Bull · MACD Bull · -14.4% vs 52wH · Above POC

GOOGL 370.92 (+3.17%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 56.9 Bull · MACD Bull · -9.2% vs 52wH · Above POC

TSLA 394.35 (-0.44%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 47.1 Bear · MACD Bear · -20.9% vs 52wH · Below POC



Semiconductors

AVGO 394.28 (+1.33%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 51.7 Bull · MACD Bull · -20.3% vs 52wH · Below POC

AMD 529.14 (-3.46%) · Mixed (below 20, above 50, above 200) · RSI 51.7 Bull · MACD Bear · -9.5% vs 52wH · Above POC

QCOM 177.98 (-0.07%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 40.4 Bear · MACD Bear · -31.5% vs 52wH · Below POC

TXN 301.19 (-1.43%) · Mixed (below 20, above 50, above 200) · RSI 50.4 Bull · MACD Bear · -9.8% vs 52wH · Above POC

AMAT 579.43 (-2.73%) · Mixed (below 20, above 50, above 200) · RSI 50.5 Bull · MACD Bear · -21.7% vs 52wH · Above POC

MU 904.28 (-8.02%) · Mixed (below 20, above 50, above 200) · RSI 44.4 Bear · MACD Bear · -27.9% vs 52wH · Above POC

LRCX 335.43 (-3.08%) · Mixed (below 20, above 50, above 200) · RSI 46.4 Bear · MACD Bear · -23.5% vs 52wH · Above POC

KLAC 224.5 (-2.55%) · Mixed (below 20, above 50, above 200) · RSI 47.6 Bear · MACD Bear · -27.0% vs 52wH · Above POC

ADI 390.96 (-0.44%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 47 Bear · MACD Bear · -12.3% vs 52wH · Below POC

MRVL 206.26 (-7.27%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 39.1 Bear · MACD Bear · -37.5% vs 52wH · Below POC

SNPS 425.28 (-0.15%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 35.5 Bear · MACD Bear · -34.7% vs 52wH · Below POC

CDNS 371.5 (-1.41%) · Mixed (below 20, above 50, above 200) · RSI 46.3 Bear · MACD Bear · -10.8% vs 52wH · Above POC



Software / Cloud

ADBE 224.56 (+1.71%) · Mixed (above 20, below 50, below 200) · RSI 53.1 Bull · MACD Bull · -40.3% vs 52wH · Below POC

INTU 279.7 (-0.97%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 46.9 Bear · MACD Bull · -65.6% vs 52wH · Below POC

CSCO 111.77 (-4.54%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 43.1 Bear · MACD Bear · -14.3% vs 52wH · Below POC

PANW 354.02 (+0.32%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 66.1 Bull · MACD Bear · -3.8% vs 52wH · Above POC

CRWD 206.77 (-1.88%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 66 Bull · MACD Bull · -4.9% vs 52wH · Above POC

FTNT 164.51 (-1.39%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 63.8 Bull · MACD Bear · -3.4% vs 52wH · Above POC

WDAY 141.82 (+1.44%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 58.5 Bull · MACD Bull · -43.2% vs 52wH · Above POC



Consumer / Internet

COST 916.54 (-0.57%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 37.6 Bear · MACD Bear · -16.4% vs 52wH · Below POC

NFLX 73.67 (+0.19%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 39.4 Bear · MACD Bull · -42.3% vs 52wH · Below POC

TMUS 187.62 (+0.26%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 55.4 Bull · MACD Bull · -28.3% vs 52wH · Above POC

BKNG 182.8 (+4.55%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 58.4 Bull · MACD Bear · -21.1% vs 52wH · Above POC

MELI 1842.5 (-1.67%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 64.5 Bull · MACD Bull · -27.7% vs 52wH · Above POC

MAR 369.05 (+1.61%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 44.5 Bear · MACD Bear · -10.2% vs 52wH · Below POC

ABNB 148.38 (+1.26%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 58.5 Bull · MACD Bear · -1.6% vs 52wH · Above POC

DASH 190.16 (+1.26%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.8 Bull · MACD Bear · -33.4% vs 52wH · Above POC

PYPL 55.51 (+17.19%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 80.1 OB · MACD Bull · -30.2% vs 52wH · Above POC

ORLY 82.73 (-3.52%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 37.8 Bear · MACD Bear · -23.9% vs 52wH · Below POC



Healthcare / Biotech

ISRG 388.97 (+2.5%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 39.2 Bear · MACD Bear · -35.6% vs 52wH · Below POC

REGN 664.45 (+1.27%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 58.3 Bull · MACD Bull · -19.1% vs 52wH · Above POC



Industrial / Other

LIN 514.15 (-1.61%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 45.5 Bear · MACD Bear · -6.2% vs 52wH · Above POC

CEG 258.12 (+0.66%) · Mixed (above 20, below 50, below 200) · RSI 49.8 Bear · MACD Bull · -37.5% vs 52wH · Below POC






Top Swing Setups

META - long, pullback continuation

Above all EMAs, MACD strongly positive, gapped clear of POC (611). Entry: 674.7 (pivot) · Stop: 656 (below day low, ~1 ATR) · T1: 692.7 · T2: 704.1 · R:R: 1.6. Confluence: pivot + rising 20/50-day EMAs.

MRVL - short, downtrend rally-fade

Below 20/50-day EMAs, MACD bearish, -7.3% on the day, POC (247) far above. Entry: 208 (bounce into cam R1) · Stop: 219.5 · T1: 197.2 · T2: 188.2 · R:R: 1.7. Confluence: broken 20-day + bearish momentum.

CRWD - long, leader breakout

Above all EMAs, RSI 66, MACD positive, price coiling under the 217.5 52-week high. Entry: 205 (cam S1) or breakout > 217.5 · Stop: 197.4 · T1: 214.5 · T2: 226.9 · R:R: 1.5. Confluence: POC (160) far below, persistent Stage 2 trend.

AAPL - long, breakout (extended)

Fresh record high, above all EMAs, MACD positive. Extended, so wait for the level. Entry: 324.5 (pivot pullback) or > 328.7 (52wH break) · Stop: 318.0 · T1: 331.7 · T2: 335.9 · R:R: 1.3. Manage tightly - price is 4 ATR above the 50-day.

ORLY - short, 52-week-low breakdown

Below all EMAs, RSI 37.8, closed at the 52-week low (82.59) on 1.5x volume. Entry: < 82.5 (breakdown) · Stop: 84.8 · T1: 80.1 · T2: 77.7 · R:R: 2.1. Note: at a 52-week low, watch for a bear-trap snapback.




Intraday Setups

AAPL - Camarilla breakout (long)

Momentum long on a push through cam R3. Entry: > 330.6 · Stop: 327.5 · Target: 333.8 (cam R4) then 335.9. Direction: long, trend-aligned.

NVDA - pivot bounce (long)

Buy the pivot/S1 shelf while above the 20/50-day. Entry: 208.0-210.8 · Stop: 206.0 (below day low) · Target: 215.5 (R1) then 216.8. Direction: long.

GOOGL - pivot bounce (long)

Above POC (366) and all EMAs. Entry: 367.4 (pivot) / 361.2 (S1) · Stop: 356.0 · Target: 377.1 (R1). Direction: long.

MU - Camarilla breakdown (short)

Sell continuation below the Camarilla shelf after the -8% break. Entry: < 875.5 (cam S3) · Stop: 914 (pivot) · Target: 846.7 (cam S4) then 814. Direction: short.

META - Camarilla range (long from support)

Fade into cam S3 within the range. Entry: 673.2 (cam S3) · Stop: 665.1 (cam S4) · Target: 684.0 (cam R1) then 689.4. Direction: long.




Key Levels Dashboard (top 5)

AAPL (327.5) - Cam: S4 321.22 · S3 324.36 · S1 326.45 || R1 328.55 · R3 330.64 · R4 333.78 · Pivots: S3 308.89 · S1 320.3 · P 324.52 · R1 331.71 · R3 343.12 · EMA20 306.79 · EMA50 297.64 · EMA200 272.58 · POC 294.54 · PrevH/L 328.73/317.32 · 52wH/L 328.73/201.5

META (681.31) - Cam: S4 665.13 · S3 673.22 · S1 678.61 || R1 684.01 · R3 689.4 · R4 697.49 · Pivots: S3 633.87 · S1 663.29 · P 674.68 · R1 692.71 · R3 722.13 · EMA20 616.2 · EMA50 609.31 · EMA200 632.11 · POC 611.23 · PrevH/L 686.08/656.66 · 52wH/L 796.25/520.26

NVDA (212.5) - Cam: S4 208.23 · S3 210.36 · S1 211.79 || R1 213.21 · R3 214.64 · R4 216.77 · Pivots: S3 199.99 · S1 207.76 · P 210.78 · R1 215.53 · R3 223.3 · EMA20 204.54 · EMA50 204.48 · EMA200 190.17 · POC 209.5 · PrevH/L 213.81/206.04 · 52wH/L 236.54/164.07

GOOGL (370.92) - Cam: S4 362.18 · S3 366.55 · S1 369.46 || R1 372.38 · R3 375.29 · R4 379.66 · Pivots: S3 345.35 · S1 361.24 · P 367.44 · R1 377.13 · R3 393.02 · EMA20 360.51 · EMA50 359.58 · EMA200 317.83 · POC 366.28 · PrevH/L 373.65/357.76 · 52wH/L 408.61/180.48

AMZN (254.96) - Cam: S4 251.26 · S3 253.11 · S1 254.34 || R1 255.58 · R3 256.81 · R4 258.66 · Pivots: S3 244.25 · S1 250.98 · P 253.73 · R1 257.71 · R3 264.44 · EMA20 245.15 · EMA50 246.01 · EMA200 235.15 · POC 251.58 · PrevH/L 256.48/249.75 · 52wH/L 278.56/196




Bearish Warnings

Below all EMAs: TSLA, COST, NFLX, ISRG, INTU, SNPS, ORLY - avoid longs until reclaimed.

Near 52-week lows: ORLY (at the low), ISRG (+2.8%), NFLX (+4.0%), COST (+8.6%).

Semis rolling over: MU -8.0% and MRVL -7.3% lost their 20-day EMAs on a bearish MACD; CSCO -4.5%, ADI, QCOM and KLAC also below 20/50.

Event risk: ISRG reports tomorrow while already below all EMAs near its 52-week low - a high-risk hold into the print.




Events Calendar

Thu 16 Jul: Component earnings - NFLX and ISRG (plus TSM, UNH). US data - Initial Jobless Claims, Philadelphia Fed, June Retail Sales, NAHB Housing Index.

Fri 17 Jul: June Housing Starts / Building Permits, June Industrial Production, prelim July Michigan Consumer Sentiment.

Backdrop: cooler June CPI and PPI this week have trimmed near-term Fed-hike risk - supportive for duration-sensitive tech, but Retail Sales and the megacap earnings run (starting with NFLX) are the next catalysts.




Report: 15 July 2026 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - TUESDAY 14 JULY 2026
Data: Close 14 Jul 2026 | NAS100: 29,578.26 | Change: +314.16 (+1.07%) | Range: 29,368.87 - 29,693.77



MARKET OVERVIEW

The NAS100 rebounded +314.16 points (+1.07%) to 29,578.26, recovering Monday's losses after June CPI came in far cooler than expected: headline fell 0.4% m/m (forecast -0.1%), core was flat, and the annual rate eased to 3.5% vs 3.8% expected. July Fed hike odds collapsed from over 40% to roughly 20%, the 2-year yield dropped 14bp to 4.14%, and rate-sensitive growth names led the bounce. The Nasdaq Composite added 0.9% to 26,107.01 while the Dow closed flat (+0.02%), dragged by IBM's 25% collapse on a profit warning. VIX settled at 17.16.

Two clear leadership pockets: semiconductors (SMH +2.5%) rebounding from Monday's sell-off, and cybersecurity, which ripped higher (CRWD +12.1%, PANW +6.8%, FTNT +3.9%) on cooling inflation plus IBM's warning of customer spending shifting toward security. Breadth inside the index was less impressive than the headline: only 20 of 40 tracked components closed higher.

Bias: Neutral-to-bullish near term. The bounce is constructive and trendline support held again, but the index remains capped below the 50-day MA - this is a consolidation, not yet a resumed uptrend.



TREND

On the daily chart the index is consolidating in a triangle beneath June's record high (31,000 area on futures). Monday printed the first close below the 50-day MA (approx 29,800 on NQ futures) since this rally leg began; Tuesday's bounce recovered the loss but stalled beneath that average - it now acts as the key overhead test. The rising trendline near 29,300 has been defended twice in two sessions (Mon low 29,303 futures, Tue cash low 29,368.87). The 200-day MA sits far below at approx 26,860, so the longer-term uptrend is intact.

Component structure confirms the mixed picture: 13 of 40 stocks are in full bull EMA alignment (above 20/50/200) against 7 in full bear alignment, with the remaining 20 mixed. Phase: high-level consolidation within a primary uptrend.



INDICATORS

RSI(14): Index RSI sits in the neutral band after Monday's dip - no divergence signal at index level. Component RSI extremes: MELI 70.5 (OB), CRWD 69.5 and FTNT 66.8 approaching OB; ISRG 33.4, SNPS 35.7, NFLX 38.9, COST 39.0, MAR 39.0 in weak territory.
MACD: Index daily MACD remains bearish following last week's cross - today's bounce has not yet flipped it. Notable component crosses: NVDA's MACD is curling up through signal below the zero line (early bull cross), while 22 of 40 components still show MACD below signal.
Volume: Light summer tape - average component relative volume was approx 0.7x. The exception: ISRG at 2.11x average volume into a 52-week low - heavy institutional distribution ahead of Thursday's earnings. CRWD's 12% surge came on only 1.07x volume, worth noting for chasers.



KEY INDEX LEVELS

Resistance: R1: 29,694-29,725 (today's high / classic R1) | R2: 29,801 (50-day MA - the decision level) | R3: 30,200 (upper triangle boundary), then 31,000 (June record)
Support: S1: 29,400 (classic S1) | S2: 29,300-29,369 (rising trendline / this week's lows - line in the sand) | S3: 28,900 (prior swing low)
Classic pivots (cash): S2 29,222 - S1 29,400 - P 29,547 - R1 29,725 - R2 29,872
Round numbers: 29,500 (reclaimed today) - 30,000 psychological.

A daily close below 29,300 (futures basis) would confirm a short-term trend change targeting 28,900 first; a close back above the 50-day MA near 29,800 opens 30,200 and puts the record back in play.



COMPONENT SIGNALS - ALL 40 STOCKS

Format: Ticker Close (Day %) | Trend (strict EMA 20/50/200) | RSI | MACD | % vs 52w High | vs 60d POC. EMA classifications verified programmatically - 0 mismatches.

MEGA-CAP TECH
AAPL 314.86 (-0.77%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 61.5 (Strong) | MACD Bull | -2.7% vs 52wH | POC Above
MSFT 384.93 (-1.55%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 47.5 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | -30.7% vs 52wH | POC Below
NVDA 211.8 (+4.06%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 56.4 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | -10.5% vs 52wH | POC Above
AMZN 247.49 (+0.07%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 53.1 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | -11.2% vs 52wH | POC Below
META 661.04 (+0.66%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 63.5 (Strong) | MACD Bull | -17.0% vs 52wH | POC Above
GOOGL 359.51 (+1.99%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 49.4 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | -12.0% vs 52wH | POC Below
AVGO 389.11 (+1.32%) | Mixed (>20 <50 >200) | RSI 49.9 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | -21.4% vs 52wH | POC Below
TSLA 396.1 (+0.34%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 47.7 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -20.6% vs 52wH | POC Below

SEMICONDUCTORS
AMD 548.13 (+2.57%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 55.2 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -6.3% vs 52wH | POC Above
QCOM 178.1 (-3.20%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 40.5 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -31.5% vs 52wH | POC Below
TXN 305.55 (+2.34%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 52.3 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -8.5% vs 52wH | POC Above
AMAT 595.7 (+3.53%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 52.8 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -19.5% vs 52wH | POC Above
MU 983.12 (+4.92%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 49.7 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -21.7% vs 52wH | POC Above
LRCX 346.1 (+4.90%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 48.6 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -21.1% vs 52wH | POC Above
KLAC 230.37 (+3.65%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 49.3 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -25.1% vs 52wH | POC Above
ADI 392.7 (+1.73%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 47.6 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -11.9% vs 52wH | POC Below
MRVL 222.44 (+2.26%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 42.6 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -32.6% vs 52wH | POC Below

SOFTWARE / CLOUD
ADBE 220.78 (-4.26%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 50.3 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | -41.3% vs 52wH | POC Below
INTU 282.43 (-2.53%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 48.2 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | -65.3% vs 52wH | POC Below
PANW 352.89 (+6.84%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 65.9 (Strong) | MACD Bear | -4.2% vs 52wH | POC Above
SNPS 425.9 (-1.83%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 35.7 (Weak) | MACD Bear | -34.7% vs 52wH | POC Below
CDNS 376.8 (-0.30%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 49.7 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -9.6% vs 52wH | POC Above
CRWD 210.73 (+12.14%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 69.5 (Strong) | MACD Bull | -0.1% vs 52wH | POC Above
FTNT 166.83 (+3.87%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 66.8 (Strong) | MACD Bear | -0.3% vs 52wH | POC Above
WDAY 139.81 (-3.49%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 56.9 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | -44.0% vs 52wH | POC Above

CONSUMER / INTERNET
COST 921.75 (-0.51%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 39 (Weak) | MACD Bear | -15.9% vs 52wH | POC Below
NFLX 73.53 (-0.41%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 38.9 (Weak) | MACD Bull | -42.4% vs 52wH | POC Below
BKNG 174.85 (-0.54%) | Mixed (<20 >50 <200) | RSI 50.2 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -24.6% vs 52wH | POC Above
MELI 1873.88 (+0.35%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 70.5 (OB) | MACD Bull | -26.5% vs 52wH | POC Above
MAR 363.19 (+0.09%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 39 (Weak) | MACD Bear | -11.6% vs 52wH | POC Below
ABNB 146.54 (+0.14%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 56.1 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -2.4% vs 52wH | POC Above
DASH 187.79 (-0.94%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 58.9 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | -34.2% vs 52wH | POC Above
PYPL 47.37 (-0.59%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 63.9 (Strong) | MACD Bull | -40.4% vs 52wH | POC Above
ORLY 85.75 (-1.75%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 43.8 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -21.1% vs 52wH | POC Below

HEALTHCARE / BIOTECH
ISRG 379.5 (-6.78%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 33.4 (Weak) | MACD Bear | -37.2% vs 52wH | POC Below
REGN 656.12 (-1.05%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 55.1 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | -20.1% vs 52wH | POC Above

INDUSTRIAL / OTHER
TMUS 187.13 (-0.68%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 54.8 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | -28.5% vs 52wH | POC Above
LIN 522.54 (-0.29%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 50.7 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -4.7% vs 52wH | POC Above
CSCO 117.09 (-1.81%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 50.6 (Neutral) | MACD Bear | -10.2% vs 52wH | POC Above
CEG 256.43 (-0.44%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 48.5 (Neutral) | MACD Bull | -37.9% vs 52wH | POC Below



SECTOR READ

Semiconductors +2.5% avg, 9 of 10 up - clear leadership. MU +4.9%, LRCX +4.9%, NVDA +4.1%, AMAT +3.5% led the CPI-driven rebound; QCOM -3.2% the sole loser and remains structurally weak below its 20/50 EMAs. NVDA reclaiming all three EMAs is the single most constructive signal for the index.
Software/Cloud +1.3% avg but only 3 of 8 up - a cybersecurity story, not a sector story. CRWD +12.1% to an all-time high, PANW +6.8%, FTNT +3.9%; meanwhile ADBE -4.3%, WDAY -3.5%, INTU -2.5% show legacy software still being sold.
Mega-cap Tech +0.8% avg, 6 of 8 up - NVDA, GOOGL (+2.0%) and AVGO (+1.3%) did the lifting. MSFT -1.55% is in full bear alignment below all three EMAs - unusual and a drag on any sustained index recovery. TSLA also remains below all EMAs.
Consumer/Internet -0.5% avg, 3 of 9 up - defensive-leaning weakness. COST in full bear alignment with a fresh 50/200 EMA death cross; NFLX and ORLY also bear-stacked. MELI held up (RSI 70.5) but sits right at its 200-day EMA from below.
Healthcare/Biotech -3.9% avg, 0 of 2 up - ISRG -6.8% to a 52-week low on a target cut and pre-earnings de-risking; REGN -1.1%.
Industrial/Other -0.8% avg, 0 of 4 up - broad drift lower; CSCO -1.8% the notable loser.



TOP SWING SETUPS

1. NVDA - Long the EMA reclaim (highest conviction)
Reclaimed all three EMAs today (close 211.80 vs EMA20 203.70, EMA50 204.16, EMA200 189.95) with MACD crossing up through signal. Triple confluence at 209.4: daily pivot 209.38 + 60d POC 209.34 + Cam S3 209.39.
Entry: 209.40 on retest . Stop: 202.00 (below EMA cluster, approx 1x ATR 7.35) . T1: 214.97 (R1) . T2: 218.13 (R2) . R:R: 1.2 to T2, 3.4 to 52wH 236.54 runner

2. CRWD - Buy the pullback, not the chase
+12.1% to a new all-time high (211.00), RSI 69.5. Extended - wait for the retest of the breakout zone at the daily pivot.
Entry: 203.70 (pivot; Cam S4 198.88 below) . Stop: 193.20 (1x ATR 10.50) . T1: 218.00 (R1) . T2: 225.30 (R2) . R:R: 1.4 / 2.1

3. PANW - Cyber momentum continuation
+6.8%, full bull EMA stack, RSI 65.9, 4.2% below its 52w high 368.17. Sector tailwind from IBM spending-shift narrative.
Entry: 345.60 (pivot / Cam S3 346.46) . Stop: 330.20 (below today's low) . T1: 360.95 (R1) . T2: 368.20 (52wH) . R:R: 1.0 / 1.5

4. ISRG - Short the 52-week-low break (aggressive only)
Closed at its 52-week low (378.50) on 2.1x volume, full bear stack, RSI 33.4 with room to 30. WARNING: earnings Thursday 16 July - this is a 2-day trade or a post-earnings continuation play; do not carry full size through the print.
Entry: 377.90 (break of 378.50 low) . Stop: 390.00 (above Cam R4 389.88) . T1: 366.25 (S2) . T2: 354.00 (S3) . R:R: 1.0 / 2.0

5. COST - Fade the bounce (fresh death cross)
Full bear alignment and the 50-day EMA (967.17) has just crossed below the 200-day (967.49). Below POC 980.90. RSI 39 - short rallies, not lows.
Entry: 934.00 (R2 934.10 fade zone, below EMA20 945.33) . Stop: 950.00 . T1: 917.10 (S1) . T2: 906.20 (S3) . R:R: 1.1 / 1.7



INTRADAY SETUPS (WEDNESDAY)

1. NVDA - Pivot cluster bounce (LONG)
Entry: 209.40 (pivot + POC + Cam S3 confluence) . Stop: 206.90 (below Cam S4 206.99) . Target: 212.60 (Cam R1) then 213.40 (Cam R2) . Reasoning: three levels within 5 cents plus fresh EMA reclaim - buyers should defend first test.

2. META - Pivot bounce (LONG)
Entry: 658.90 (pivot 658.86 / Cam S1 659.44) . Stop: 655.90 (below Cam S3 656.24) . Target: 662.64 (Cam R1) then 668.68 (R1) . R:R: up to 3.3. Reasoning: tight risk against stacked support, RSI 63.5 with bull MACD.

3. MU - Camarilla S4 zone bounce (LONG)
Entry: 958.50 (Cam S4 958.52 / S1 957.19) . Stop: 949.00 (below today's low 950.07) . Target: 976.00 (pivot) then 987.20 (Cam R1) . R:R: 1.8 / 3.0. Reasoning: semi leadership + double level confluence.

4. AMAT - Camarilla breakout (LONG above R4)
Entry: 612.40 (above Cam R4 612.28, confirms through R1 611.89) . Stop: 604.00 (Cam R3 603.99) . Target: 628.10 (R2) . R:R: 1.9. Reasoning: today's high 614.14 already probed the level; continuation day in semis triggers it cleanly.

5. CRWD - Camarilla R3 fade (SHORT - counter-trend, small size)
Entry: 216.65 (Cam R3) . Stop: 219.00 (above R1 218.00) . Target: 208.76 (Cam S1) . R:R: 3.3. Reasoning: RSI 69.5 after a 12% day - first push into R3 often exhausts; abandon if it bases above 218.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD - TOP 5 IN PLAY

NVDA (211.80) - Cam: S4 206.99 . S3 209.39 . S1 211.00 || R1 212.60 . R3 214.21 . R4 216.61 | Classic: S2 200.63 . P 209.38 . R2 218.13 | EMA20 203.70 . EMA50 204.16 . EMA200 189.95 | POC 209.34 | PrevH/L 212.55/203.80 | 52w 236.54/162.02
META (661.04) - Cam: S4 651.44 . S3 656.24 . S1 659.44 || R1 662.64 . R3 665.84 . R4 670.64 | Classic: S2 641.41 . P 658.86 . R2 676.31 | EMA20 609.34 . EMA50 606.37 . EMA200 631.61 | POC 611.27 | PrevH/L 666.50/649.05 | 52w 796.25/520.26
MSFT (384.93) - Cam: S4 379.68 . S3 382.31 . S1 384.06 || R1 385.80 . R3 387.55 . R4 390.18 | Classic: S2 374.38 . P 383.92 . R2 393.46 | EMA20 386.47 . EMA50 395.64 . EMA200 425.02 | POC 402.77 | PrevH/L 388.19/378.65 | 52w 555.45/349.20
CRWD (210.73) - Cam: S4 198.88 . S3 204.81 . S1 208.76 || R1 212.70 . R3 216.65 . R4 222.58 | Classic: S2 182.19 . P 203.73 . R2 225.27 | EMA20 185.95 . EMA50 167.51 . EMA200 133.32 | POC 158.59 | PrevH/L 211.00/189.46 | 52w 211.00/85.68
AMD (548.13) - Cam: S4 533.04 . S3 540.59 . S1 545.62 || R1 550.64 . R3 555.67 . R4 563.22 | Classic: S2 528.94 . P 556.37 . R2 583.80 | EMA20 529.14 . EMA50 477.45 . EMA200 322.67 | POC 444.05 | PrevH/L 574.20/546.77 | 52w 584.73/141.90



BEARISH WARNINGS

COST death cross: the 50-day EMA (967.17) has crossed below the 200-day EMA (967.49) - fresh signal today, with price already in full bear alignment 15.9% off its high.
MSFT below all EMAs: the largest index weight in full bear alignment (EMA20 < EMA50 < EMA200 overhead), 30.7% below its 52w high. Caps index upside until repaired.
ISRG distribution: 52-week low on 2.1x volume two days before earnings - classic de-risking; a miss Thursday opens an air pocket below 366.
MELI OB at resistance: RSI 70.5 (highest in the index) with price pressing its 200-day EMA (1,878.92) from below - rejection risk.
Bear-stacked group: COST, ISRG, MSFT, NFLX, ORLY, SNPS, TSLA all closed below all three EMAs; SNPS (-34.7% vs 52wH) and NFLX (RSI 38.9) show no basing yet.
Index MACD still bearish and price below the 50-day MA - one good CPI day does not repair a broken short-term trend; respect 29,300.



EVENTS CALENDAR

Wed 15 Jul: US PPI (June) - the inflation follow-through test; Fed Chair Warsh continues semi-annual testimony to Congress this week.
Thu 16 Jul: TSMC Q2 (pre-market) - options imply a 5.6% move; direct read-through to NVDA, AMD, AVGO, AMAT and the whole semi complex. NFLX Q2 (after close) - implied move 8.4%. ISRG Q2 (after close). US weekly jobless claims; June retail sales expected.
Fri 17 Jul: Bank earnings continue; University of Michigan consumer sentiment (prelim).
Later this month: FOMC meeting - hike odds cut to approx 20% after today's CPI; Iran headlines remain a background risk for crude and risk appetite.



Report: 14 July 2026 21:58 GMT . Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - MONDAY 13 JULY 2026
Data: Close 13 Jul 2026 | NAS100: -1.9% intraday last print, exact close n/a at publish | Nasdaq Comp: 25,873.18 -1.55% | S&P 500: 7,515.34 -0.79% | Dow: 52,498.64 -0.26%



MARKET OVERVIEW
Risk-off session to open the week. The US-Iran conflict escalated over the weekend and President Trump announced the reinstatement of a blockade on Iranian shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, sending crude sharply higher - WTI up roughly 9.4% to the $78 area and Brent above $83. That combination hit tech hardest: the Nasdaq Composite closed -1.55% at 25,873.18 while energy-heavy pockets cushioned the Dow to just -0.26%. Semiconductors were the epicentre - the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell about 3.6%, dragged by the fallout from SK Hynix's post-IPO slump - Kospi -8.9%, SK Hynix -15% in Seoul.
Within our 40 NAS100 names: 23 decliners vs 17 advancers, average move -0.99%. The damage was concentrated in chips - MRVL -7.75%, LRCX -5.83%, AMAT -4.50%, MU -4.40%, AMD -4.21%, TXN -4.14%, KLAC -4.00%, AVGO -3.98%, NVDA -3.52% - while software caught a clear rotation bid: INTU +5.38%, WDAY +4.26%, ADBE +3.12%, PYPL +2.87%, FTNT +1.97%, MSFT +1.53%, PANW +1.35%. VIX held the high-16s - contained given the headlines, suggesting hedging rather than panic.
Bias: Short-term defensive. Headline-driven tape with CPI and Fed Chair Warsh testimony tomorrow - expect two-way volatility. The software-over-semis rotation is the actionable theme.



TREND
EMA stack across the 40 components - Bull above all EMAs: 11 (AAPL, AMZN, META, AMD, LIN, CSCO, PANW, CRWD, ABNB, DASH, FTNT) | Bull above 20/50 below 200: 6 (ADBE, TMUS, REGN, MELI, WDAY, PYPL) | Bear below all: 6 (TSLA, COST, NFLX, ISRG, SNPS, ORLY) | Bear below 20/50 above 200: 7 (GOOGL, AVGO, QCOM, LRCX, ADI, MAR, MRVL) | Mixed: 10.
Structure: the index remains in a corrective phase within a larger uptrend - breadth is split almost exactly down the middle (17 constructive stacks vs 13 bearish, 10 mixed), typical of a market chopping sideways while leadership rotates. Semis rolled over into lower-high structures; quality software and mega-cap consumer names still hold rising 20/50 EMAs.



INDICATORS
RSI: Component average 51.7 - dead neutral. Only MELI sits at the 70 overbought line; nothing oversold. No index-level divergence signal - momentum is simply flat.
MACD: 20/40 components on bullish MACD crosses - an even split that confirms the rotation rather than a directional market. Fresh bearish momentum is concentrated in the semi complex (AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC, TXN, ADI, QCOM, MRVL all MACD-bearish).
Volume: Relative volume was light across the board - not a single component printed rv above 1.3, and the average was ~0.7. Monday's selling came on BELOW-average volume: distribution pressure was real but conviction was low. Watch whether tomorrow's CPI brings volume expansion.
POC positioning: 23/40 still trade above their 60-day volume point of control - the majority of names remain inside accepted value.



KEY INDEX LEVELS
Exact NAS100 closing print was not available at publish time (last intraday reading -1.9%); levels below reference the Nasdaq Composite close of 25,873.18.
Support: 25,500 (round number / early-July congestion) - 25,000 (psychological, major) - 24,600 (June swing area).
Resistance: 26,280 (Friday's close - first reclaim target) - 26,500 (round number) - 27,000 (major psychological).
A reclaim of 26,280 negates Monday's damage; loss of 25,500 opens the door to 25,000 quickly in this headline environment.



COMPONENT SIGNALS - ALL 40
Format: Ticker | Close | Day % | Trend (strict EMA) | RSI | MACD | % off 52w High | vs POC
AAPL 317.31 | +0.63% | Bull-all | RSI 64.2 Bull | MACD+ | -1.9% | abv POC
MSFT 390.99 | +1.53% | Mixed >20 <50 <200 | RSI 51 Neut | MACD+ | -29.6% | blw POC
NVDA 203.53 | -3.52% | Mixed >20 <50 >200 | RSI 49.9 Neut | MACD+ | -14.0% | blw POC
AMZN 247.31 | +0.8% | Bull-all | RSI 52.9 Neut | MACD+ | -11.2% | blw POC
META 656.73 | -1.86% | Bull-all | RSI 62.8 Bull | MACD+ | -17.5% | abv POC
GOOGL 352.51 | -1.31% | Bear 20/50 | RSI 43.8 Bear | MACD+ | -13.7% | blw POC
AVGO 384.05 | -3.98% | Bear 20/50 | RSI 48.1 Neut | MACD+ | -22.4% | blw POC
TSLA 394.76 | -3.19% | Bear-all | RSI 47.2 Neut | MACD+ | -20.9% | blw POC
COST 926.43 | +1.11% | Bear-all | RSI 40.3 Bear | MACD- | -15.5% | blw POC
NFLX 73.83 | +0.63% | Bear-all | RSI 39.6 Bear | MACD+ | -42.2% | blw POC
AMD 534.39 | -4.21% | Bull-all | RSI 53.1 Neut | MACD- | -8.6% | abv POC
ADBE 230.61 | +3.12% | Bull 20/50 | RSI 58.8 Bull | MACD+ | -38.7% | abv POC
QCOM 183.98 | -2.74% | Bear 20/50 | RSI 43.1 Bear | MACD- | -29.2% | blw POC
TMUS 188.42 | +0.43% | Bull 20/50 | RSI 56.5 Bull | MACD+ | -28.0% | abv POC
LIN 524.06 | -1.08% | Bull-all | RSI 51.7 Neut | MACD- | -4.4% | abv POC
ISRG 407.12 | +0.08% | Bear-all | RSI 45 Bear | MACD+ | -32.6% | blw POC
INTU 289.76 | +5.38% | Mixed >20 <50 <200 | RSI 51.8 Neut | MACD+ | -64.4% | blw POC
CSCO 119.25 | -1.7% | Bull-all | RSI 54.2 Neut | MACD- | -8.5% | abv POC
TXN 298.57 | -4.14% | Mixed <20 >50 >200 | RSI 49.4 Neut | MACD- | -10.6% | abv POC
AMAT 575.39 | -4.5% | Mixed <20 >50 >200 | RSI 50.2 Neut | MACD- | -22.2% | abv POC
BKNG 175.8 | -1.45% | Mixed <20 >50 <200 | RSI 51.3 Neut | MACD- | -24.2% | abv POC
PANW 330.3 | +1.35% | Bull-all | RSI 59.8 Bull | MACD- | -10.3% | abv POC
MU 936.18 | -4.4% | Mixed <20 >50 >200 | RSI 46.1 Neut | MACD- | -25.4% | abv POC
LRCX 329.92 | -5.83% | Bear 20/50 | RSI 45 Bear | MACD- | -24.8% | abv POC
KLAC 222.25 | -4% | Mixed <20 >50 >200 | RSI 46.8 Neut | MACD- | -27.7% | abv POC
ADI 386.01 | -2.44% | Bear 20/50 | RSI 45 Bear | MACD- | -13.4% | blw POC
REGN 663.09 | -0.22% | Bull 20/50 | RSI 58.6 Bull | MACD+ | -19.2% | abv POC
SNPS 433.82 | -2.62% | Bear-all | RSI 38.7 Bear | MACD- | -33.4% | blw POC
CDNS 377.92 | -1.63% | Mixed <20 >50 >200 | RSI 50.5 Neut | MACD- | -9.3% | abv POC
MELI 1867.3 | +0.81% | Bull 20/50 | RSI 70 OB | MACD+ | -26.7% | abv POC
CRWD 187.91 | +0.39% | Bull-all | RSI 57.5 Bull | MACD- | -10.3% | abv POC
MAR 362.91 | -3.51% | Bear 20/50 | RSI 38.8 Bear | MACD- | -11.7% | blw POC
ABNB 146.33 | -1.54% | Bull-all | RSI 55.8 Bull | MACD+ | -2.6% | abv POC
MRVL 217.53 | -7.75% | Bear 20/50 | RSI 41.1 Bear | MACD- | -34.1% | blw POC
DASH 189.57 | -1.17% | Bull-all | RSI 61 Bull | MACD+ | -33.6% | abv POC
FTNT 160.62 | +1.97% | Bull-all | RSI 62.4 Bull | MACD- | -2.8% | abv POC
CEG 257.57 | +2.46% | Mixed >20 <50 <200 | RSI 49.3 Neut | MACD+ | -37.6% | blw POC
WDAY 144.87 | +4.26% | Bull 20/50 | RSI 62.5 Bull | MACD+ | -42.0% | abv POC
PYPL 47.65 | +2.87% | Bull 20/50 | RSI 65.6 Bull | MACD+ | -40.1% | abv POC
ORLY 87.29 | +1.18% | Bear-all | RSI 47.3 Neut | MACD- | -19.7% | blw POC



SECTOR GROUPING
Mega-cap Tech avg -0.99% - Split tape: AAPL (1.9% off its 52w high, bull stack) and META lead; TSLA below all EMAs and GOOGL below 20/50 lag. NVDA now mixed - back below its 50EMA.
Semiconductors avg -4.40% - Weakest group by far - every name fell, 8 of 10 on bearish MACD, MRVL/LRCX/AMAT breaking down. Avoid fresh longs until the group base-builds.
Software / Cloud avg +1.17% - The rotation destination: WDAY, ADBE, PYPL-adjacent strength, PANW/CRWD/FTNT all in bull stacks. SNPS/CDNS (chip-design exposure) trade like semis, not software.
Consumer / Internet avg -0.06% - Barbell - DASH/ABNB/MELI constructive vs NFLX/ORLY/COST in bear stacks near 52w lows. NFLX earnings Thursday is the group catalyst.
Healthcare / Biotech avg -0.07% - REGN quietly constructive above 20/50 with bullish MACD; ISRG remains a falling knife 2.6% off its 52w low.
Industrial / Other avg +0.69% - LIN steady in a bull stack; CEG bounced +2.46% but still below its 50/200 EMAs - relief rally until proven otherwise.



TOP SWING SETUPS
1. AAPL - Long, 52-week-high breakout
Entry: 323.60 (above 52w high 323.45) . Stop: 315.50 (1x ATR 8.09 below) . T1: 331.70 . T2: 339.80 . R:R: 1:2.0
Confluence: bull EMA stack (20>50>200), RSI 64 with room, MACD bullish, closed above POC 292.91 and above all pivots. Only 1.9% from new highs on a red tape day - relative strength leader. Note rv 0.66 - wait for volume on the break.
2. META - Long, EMA20 pullback
Entry: 603.9 (EMA20 zone) . Stop: 577.89 (1x ATR 26.01) . T1: 672.00 . T2: 788.29 (52w-high retest) . R:R: 1:7.1
Confluence: bull stack, MACD bullish, RSI 62.8, above POC 611.17. Monday's -1.86% is a routine dip within an uptrend; buy weakness toward 603.9, not strength.
3. WDAY - Long, momentum rotation
Entry: 146.00 (break of Monday high 147.22) . Stop: 138.72 (1x ATR 7.28) . T1: 152.50 . T2: 158.00 . R:R: 1:1.6
Confluence: +4.26% on the software-rotation day, above 20/50 EMAs, MACD bullish, RSI 62.5, above POC 128.73. Still 42% below its 52w high - deep-value momentum turn.
4. MRVL - Short, breakdown continuation
Entry: 214.78 (below Monday low 215.28) . Stop: 238.65 (1x ATR 23.87) . T1: 190.91 . T2: 195.00 . R:R: 1:0.8
Confluence: -7.75% flush through the 20/50 EMAs on the group's worst day, MACD bearish, below POC 245.66, RSI 41 with room to 30. Semis are the weak sector - short the weakest name in it.
5. SNPS - Short, bear-stack rally fade
Entry: 450.86 (EMA20 retest from below) . Stop: 468.08 (1x ATR 17.22) . T1: 416.6 . T2: 399.38 . R:R: 1:3.0
Confluence: bear stack (below 20/50/200), MACD bearish, RSI 38.7, below POC 476.43. Chip-design caught in the semi downdraft - fade strength into the declining 20EMA.



INTRADAY SETUPS - TUESDAY 14 JULY
CPI 13:30 UK + Warsh testimony 15:00 UK - stand aside 15 minutes either side of both.
1. MSFT - Pivot bounce long
Entry: 389.6 (daily pivot retest) . Stop: 385.00 (below S1 385.54) . T1: 395.04 (R1) . R:R: 1:1.2
Closed at 390.99, a whisker above the pivot after a +1.53% reversal day. Holding 389.6 keeps buyers in control toward R1.
2. NVDA - S1 bounce long
Entry: 200.83 (S1) . Stop: 197.60 (below S2 198.13) . T1: 205.7 (pivot) . T2: 208.4 (R1) . R:R: 1:2.3 at T2
EMA20 202.84 sits right at S1 200.83 - double confluence. Only take it if semis stabilise at the open; abandon below S2.
3. AAPL - Camarilla breakout long
Entry: 321.53 (Cam R4 break) . Stop: 319.42 (Cam R3) . T1: 326.52 (R2 classic) . R:R: 1:2.4
R4 321.53 sits just below the 52w high 323.45 - a push through both is the strongest momentum signal on the board.
4. LRCX - Camarilla range fade short
Entry: 332.97 (Cam R3 rejection) . Stop: 336.01 (above R4) . T1: 326.87 (Cam S3) . R:R: 1:2.0
After a -5.83% trend day, first bounces into R3 332.97 typically fail. Trend, MACD and group all point down.
5. MU - Pivot rejection short
Entry: 927.43 (pivot retest from below) . Stop: 952.25 (R1) . T1: 911.35 (S1) . T2: 886.53 (S2) . R:R: 1:1.6 at T2
Closed 936.18 below the pivot 927.43 after -4.4% on the SK Hynix fallout - memory names carry the most headline beta. Fade the first test.



KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD - TOP 5
AAPL close 317.31
Cam: S4 313.09 . S3 315.2 . S1 316.61 || R1 318.01 . R3 319.42 . R4 321.53
Classic: S3 306.57 . S2 311.18 . S1 314.24 . P 318.85 . R1 321.91 . R2 326.52 . R3 329.58
EMA20 303.53 . EMA50 295.67 . EMA200 271.59 . POC 292.88 . PrevH 323.45 . PrevL 315.78 . 52wH 323.45 . 52wL 201.5
MSFT close 390.99
Cam: S4 385.77 . S3 388.38 . S1 390.12 || R1 391.86 . R3 393.6 . R4 396.22
Classic: S3 376.04 . S2 380.1 . S1 385.54 . P 389.6 . R1 395.04 . R2 399.1 . R3 404.54
EMA20 386.64 . EMA50 396.08 . EMA200 425.42 . POC 403.25 . PrevH 393.65 . PrevL 384.15 . 52wH 555.45 . 52wL 349.2
NVDA close 203.53
Cam: S4 199.37 . S3 201.45 . S1 202.84 || R1 204.22 . R3 205.61 . R4 207.69
Classic: S3 193.26 . S2 198.13 . S1 200.83 . P 205.7 . R1 208.4 . R2 213.27 . R3 215.97
EMA20 202.84 . EMA50 203.84 . EMA200 189.73 . POC 209.18 . PrevH 210.57 . PrevL 203 . 52wH 236.54 . 52wL 162.02
AMZN close 247.31
Cam: S4 244.3 . S3 245.81 . S1 246.81 || R1 247.81 . R3 248.81 . R4 250.32
Classic: S3 238.97 . S2 241.58 . S1 244.44 . P 247.05 . R1 249.91 . R2 252.52 . R3 255.38
EMA20 243.76 . EMA50 245.57 . EMA200 234.82 . POC 251.57 . PrevH 249.65 . PrevL 244.18 . 52wH 278.56 . 52wL 196
META close 656.73
Cam: S4 644.4 . S3 650.56 . S1 654.67 || R1 658.79 . R3 662.9 . R4 669.06
Classic: S3 625.99 . S2 640.1 . S1 648.41 . P 662.52 . R1 670.83 . R2 684.94 . R3 693.25
EMA20 603.9 . EMA50 604.14 . EMA200 631.32 . POC 611.17 . PrevH 676.62 . PrevL 654.2 . 52wH 796.25 . 52wL 520.26



BEARISH WARNINGS
Death crosses in force - EMA50 below EMA200: MSFT, META, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, REGN, SNPS, MELI, DASH, CEG, WDAY, PYPL, ORLY.
Near 52-week lows: COST +9.8% off the low, NFLX +4.2% off the low, ISRG +2.6% off the low, ORLY +5.5% off the low.
Semi momentum break: 8 of 10 semiconductor names on bearish MACD with AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC and TXN all losing their 20EMAs on the same day - a sector signal, not single-stock noise.
MELI RSI 70: the only overbought name on the board while the tape weakens - tighten stops on longs.
TSLA below all EMAs (close 394.76 vs EMA20 402.92, EMA50 403.44, EMA200 397.3) with a bearish stack ahead of 22 Jul earnings.



EVENTS CALENDAR
Tue 14 Jul: US CPI 13:30 UK (headline exp -0.1% m/m after +0.5%; core exp +0.2%) - the week's key print. Fed Chair Warsh testifies to House Financial Services 15:00 UK.
Wed 15 Jul: Warsh before Senate Banking 15:00 UK.
Thu 16 Jul: NFLX Q2 earnings after the close - the first of our 40 to report this season.
Fri 17 Jul: University of Michigan preliminary consumer sentiment.
Next week: TSLA reports Wed 22 Jul. Big-bank earnings continue through this week setting the macro tone.
Ongoing: US-Iran / Strait of Hormuz headlines and the oil price are the wildcard - crude up 9% Monday. Energy-driven inflation risk feeds straight into Tuesday's CPI narrative.



Report: 13 Jul 2026 22:00 GMT . Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) — Daily Technical Report — Friday 10 July 2026
Data: Close 10 Jul 2026 | NAS100 (est): ~29,900 | Change: +170 (+0.57%) | VIX: 15.84 (-6.3%)
Index level is estimated from constituent cap-weighted moves — the official NDX print was not yet published at report time. All stock levels below are exact scanner data for 10 Jul 2026.



Market Overview
Tech closed the week on the front foot. Mega-caps did the heavy lifting — META +0.9%, NVDA +1.9% and TMUS +1.8% led, while a fresh leg lower in the VIX (down 6.3% to 15.84) confirmed a clean risk-on tone. Breadth across the 40 largest NAS100 names was mildly positive: 24 advancers vs 16 decliners, 25 of 40 trading above their 60-day VWAP (POC). Bias: cautiously bullish — leadership is narrow and concentrated in the very largest weights, with software/security names (CRWD, FTNT, PANW) notably soft.



Trend Structure
EMA alignment across the 40: 22 bullish (above 20/50), 11 bearish, 7 mixed. MACD is above signal on 22 of 40. The largest weights (AAPL, NVDA, META, TSLA, AVGO, LIN) sit in a full bull stack (price > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200), which is what is holding the index near its highs. The laggard cohort — MSFT, COST, ISRG, INTU, SNPS, CEG, ORLY — remains below all three EMAs. Structure: uptrend intact but increasingly top-heavy.



Momentum & Volume
RSI(14) readings are constructive but not stretched — no name is above 70 or below 30, leaving room to run in either direction. The strongest momentum sits with MELI (68., META (66.3), DASH (63.6) and AAPL (62.9). Relative volume was elevated only on META (1.98x) and NVDA (1.0x) — conviction behind today's move was concentrated in those two. Elsewhere volume was light (most names 0.3–0.7x), so treat single-stock breakouts with caution until participation broadens.



Key Index Levels (NAS100)
Working off the ~29,900 estimate and the 29,727 prior close:
Resistance: R1 ~29,950 · R2 ~30,100 (round-number magnet) · R3 ~30,300
Support: S1 ~29,730 (prior close) · S2 ~29,550 · S3 ~29,400
The 30,000 round number is the obvious near-term battleground — a clean daily close above it would confirm continuation; failure there sets up a rotation back toward 29,550.



Component Signals — All 40
Ticker · Close · Chg% · Trend · RSI zone · MACD · %off 52wH · vs POC
AAPL · 315.32 · -0.28% · Bull (above all) · Bullish(62.9) · bull · -0.7% · above
MSFT · 385.1 · +0.19% · Bear (below all) · Neutral(47.5) · bull · -30.7% · below
NVDA · 210.96 · +4.03% · Bull (above all) · Bullish(57) · bull · -10.8% · above
AMZN · 245.34 · -0.69% · Mixed · Neutral(50.9) · bull · -11.9% · below
META · 669.21 · +5.97% · Bull (above all) · Bullish(66.3) · bull · -16.0% · above
GOOGL · 357.18 · -0.48% · Bear (below 20/50) · Neutral(47) · bull · -12.6% · below
AVGO · 399.97 · -0.28% · Bull (above all) · Neutral(53.6) · bull · -19.2% · below
TSLA · 407.76 · +0.3% · Bull (above all) · Neutral(51.2) · bull · -18.3% · above
COST · 916.25 · +0.36% · Bear (below all) · Weak(36.1) · bear · -16.4% · below
NFLX · 73.37 · -2.78% · Bear (below all) · Weak(38) · bull · -43.1% · below
AMD · 557.89 · +2.04% · Bull (above all) · Bullish(57.5) · bear · -4.6% · above
ADBE · 223.64 · +0.44% · Mixed · Neutral(53.6) · bull · -40.5% · below
QCOM · 189.16 · -1.02% · Bear (below 20/50) · Neutral(45.4) · bear · -27.2% · below
TMUS · 187.61 · +3.38% · Bull (above 20/50) · Bullish(55.7) · bull · -28.3% · above
LIN · 529.79 · +0.8% · Bull (above all) · Bullish(55.6) · bull · -3.4% · above
ISRG · 406.78 · -1.16% · Bear (below all) · Neutral(44. · bull · -32.6% · below
INTU · 274.96 · +0.58% · Bear (below all) · Neutral(44) · bull · -66.2% · below
CSCO · 121.31 · +2.54% · Bull (above all) · Bullish(57.7) · bear · -6.9% · above
TXN · 311.46 · +0.95% · Bull (above all) · Bullish(55.2) · bull · -6.8% · above
AMAT · 602.5 · +2.35% · Bull (above all) · Neutral(53.9) · bear · -18.5% · above
BKNG · 178.39 · +1.64% · Bull (above 20/50) · Neutral(54.4) · bear · -23.0% · above
PANW · 325.91 · -3.67% · Bull (above all) · Bullish(58.5) · bear · -11.5% · above
MU · 979.3 · -1.24% · Mixed · Neutral(49.1) · bear · -22.0% · above
LRCX · 350.33 · -0.8% · Mixed · Neutral(49.1) · bear · -20.1% · above
KLAC · 231.52 · +0.87% · Mixed · Neutral(49.4) · bear · -24.7% · above
ADI · 395.65 · +0.51% · Bear (below 20/50) · Neutral(48.2) · bear · -11.3% · below
REGN · 664.52 · -0.51% · Bull (above 20/50) · Bullish(59.3) · bull · -19.1% · above
SNPS · 445.5 · +0.48% · Bear (below all) · Neutral(43.7) · bear · -31.6% · below
CDNS · 384.17 · -0.46% · Bull (above all) · Neutral(54.7) · bear · -7.8% · above
MELI · 1852.22 · +2.46% · Bull (above 20/50) · Bullish(68. · bull · -27.3% · above
CRWD · 187.18 · -5.66% · Bull (above all) · Bullish(57) · bull · -10.7% · above
MAR · 376.11 · +0.98% · Mixed · Neutral(48) · bear · -8.5% · above
ABNB · 148.62 · +1.18% · Bull (above all) · Bullish(59.6) · bull · -1.0% · above
MRVL · 235.81 · -3.07% · Mixed · Neutral(45.2) · bear · -28.5% · below
DASH · 191.82 · -0.28% · Bull (above all) · Bullish(63.6) · bull · -32.8% · above
FTNT · 157.51 · -3.8% · Bull (above all) · Bullish(59.9) · bear · -4.7% · above
CEG · 251.38 · +0.26% · Bear (below all) · Neutral(45) · bear · -39.1% · below
WDAY · 138.95 · +0.44% · Bull (above 20/50) · Bullish(58) · bull · -44.4% · above
PYPL · 46.32 · +2.21% · Bull (above 20/50) · Bullish(61) · bull · -41.7% · above
ORLY · 86.28 · +1.36% · Bear (below all) · Neutral(44.6) · bear · -20.6% · below



Sector Read
Mega-cap Tech: firmly bullish — AAPL, NVDA, META, TSLA, AVGO all in full bull stacks; MSFT & GOOGL the exceptions (below EMAs).
Semiconductors: mixed — AMD, TXN, AMAT, CDNS bullish; MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL, QCOM, SNPS soft/mixed. A split tape, not a clean sector trend.
Software/Cloud/Security: weakest group — CRWD -5.7%, FTNT -3.8%, PANW -3.7% all sold off hard despite intact longer-term trends; INTU, SNPS, WDAY heavy.
Consumer/Internet: constructive — MELI, ABNB, BKNG, DASH, PYPL firm; NFLX the standout laggard (-3.8%, below all EMAs).
Healthcare/Biotech: soft — ISRG, REGN below or mixed; no leadership.
Industrial/Other: LIN strong (bull stack, near highs); CEG, ORLY, COST weak.



Top Swing Setups
AAPL — long continuation (near 52w high)
Full bull stack, RSI 62.9, holding 0.7% off its 52w high with price well above POC (292). Entry: 315.3 or on a dip to 312.7 (S1) · Stop: 307.2 (~1x ATR below S1) · T1: 322.2 · T2: 328.0 · R:R: ~1.7 . Confluence: trend + POC support far below + fresh-high proximity.
NVDA — long, volume-backed
Bull stack, +1.9% on 1.0x rel vol, reclaimed POC (209). Entry: 211.0 · Stop: 203.8 (below EMA50/S1) · T1: 217.0 · T2: 223.1 · R:R: ~1.7 . Confluence: largest index weight + POC reclaim + volume.
META — long, momentum leader
Bull stack, RSI 66.3, +0.9% on 1.98x rel vol (highest in the group), miles above POC (611). Entry: 669 or pullback to 658 (S1) · Stop: 643 · T1: 688 · T2: 698 · R:R: ~1.5 . Confluence: strongest volume + momentum in the index.
ABNB — long, coiled at 52w high
Bull stack, RSI 59.6, just 1% off its 52w high, tight ATR (4.5). Entry: breakout > 150.2 · Stop: 145.7 · T1: 155 · T2: 160 · R:R: ~2.0 . Confluence: 52w-high breakout setup with room above.
CRWD — caution / avoid longs
Despite a bull stack, dumped -5.7% today — momentum broke. Let it stabilise above 184 (cam S3) before considering; a loss of 179 (S2) opens 165. Not a long here.



Intraday Setups (Camarilla / Pivot)
NVDA — Camarilla long
Direction: Long · Entry: reclaim 211.8 (cam R1) · Stop: 208.5 (cam S3) · Target: 214.0 (R1) then 216.0 (cam R4) . Reasoning: bullish above pivot 207.96 with volume.
AAPL — pivot-bounce long
Direction: Long · Entry: bounce off 314.0 (cam S3)/pivot 314.8 · Stop: 312.7 (cam S4) · Target: 316.6 (cam R3) then 317.9 (cam R4) . Reasoning: intraday value holding pivot below fresh highs.
META — Camarilla breakout
Direction: Long · Entry: > 674.7 (cam R3) · Stop: 663.8 (cam S3) · Target: 680.1 (cam R4) then 688 (R2) . Reasoning: breakout continuation on the day's strongest volume.
NFLX — Camarilla short
Direction: Short · Entry: < 72.5 (cam S3) · Stop: 75.1 (cam R4) · Target: 71.6 (cam S4) then 70.7 (S2) . Reasoning: below all EMAs, below POC (84.5), -3.8% with follow-through risk.
FTNT — fade / short
Direction: Short · Entry: < 156.7 (cam S1) · Stop: 160.0 (pivot) · Target: 154.3 (S1) then 152.8 (cam S4) . Reasoning: -3.8% break, MACD bearish, momentum rolling over.



Key Levels Dashboard — Top 5 by Weight
NVDA (210.96) — Cam: S4 205.97 · S3 208.46 · S1 210.13 || R1 211.79 · R3 213.46 · R4 215.95 | Pivots: S2 198.88 · P 207.96 · R2 217.04 | EMA20 202.77 · EMA50 203.86 · POC 209.01 | 52wH 236.54 / 52wL 161.61
AAPL (315.32) — Cam: S4 312.71 · S3 314.02 · S1 314.89 || R1 315.75 · R3 316.62 · R4 317.93 | Pivots: S2 310.06 · P 314.8 · R2 319.54 | EMA20 302.08 · EMA50 294.78 · POC 292.1 | 52wH 317.4 / 52wL 201.5
GOOGL (357.18) — Cam: S4 354.39 · S3 355.79 · S1 356.72 || R1 357.64 · R3 358.57 · R4 359.97 | Pivots: S2 350.85 · P 355.92 · R2 360.99 | EMA20 360.13 · EMA50 359.37 · POC 365.38 | 52wH 408.61 / 52wL 174.38
MSFT (385.1) — Cam: S4 379.37 · S3 382.24 · S1 384.15 || R1 386.05 · R3 387.96 · R4 390.83 | Pivots: S2 375.76 · P 386.17 · R2 396.58 | EMA20 386.18 · EMA50 396.29 · POC 403.49 | 52wH 555.45 / 52wL 349.2
AMZN (245.34) — Cam: S4 241.7 · S3 243.52 · S1 244.73 || R1 245.95 · R3 247.16 · R4 248.98 | Pivots: S2 240.31 · P 246.93 · R2 253.55 | EMA20 243.38 · EMA50 245.5 · POC 251.58 | 52wH 278.56 / 52wL 196



Bearish Warnings
Software/security wreckage: CRWD -5.7%, FTNT -3.8%, PANW -3.7% — a coordinated sell in the group, watch for spread to the semis.
Below all EMAs: MSFT, COST, NFLX, ISRG, INTU, SNPS, CEG, ORLY remain in downtrend structure — no dip-buying edge until they reclaim EMA20.
Deep laggards near 52w lows: INTU (-66% off high), WDAY (-44%), NFLX (-43%), PYPL (-42%), ADBE (-40%) — avoid catching these knives.
Narrow leadership: the index is being carried by a handful of mega-caps; a stumble in META/NVDA/AAPL would expose weak breadth underneath.



Events Ahead
Q2 earnings season ramps next week — first NAS100 heavyweights on deck include the mega-cap banks (macro read-through) then tech in the following fortnight. Watch for: NFLX earnings (typically mid-July), and semis guidance from TXN/AMD later in the month. Macro: US CPI and retail sales in the coming week are the key index-level catalysts. No Fed speakers scheduled into the weekend.



Report: 10 Jul 2026 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis - Thursday 9 July 2026
Data: Close 09 Jul 2026 | NAS100: 29,673.74 | Change: +421.18 (+1.44%) | Range: 29,398.47-29,710.96


Market Overview
The NAS100 closed at 29,673.74, up +421.18 pts (+1.44%) - a broad, high-quality advance with the session held in a tight 29,398-29,711 range and the close near the highs. Breadth was decisively bullish: 33 of the 40 tracked components finished green. Semiconductors and software led the tape as chip names staged a comeback, while defensives and a sharp COST -4.21% (1.7x relative volume) capped the index. VIX rose 4.8% to 16.90 but remains low, consistent with an orderly risk-on session despite background geopolitical headlines. Bias: Bullish while price holds above the 29,478 pivot support.


Trend
Component EMA alignment (strict close-vs-EMA): 20 Bull (above all three EMAs), 12 Bear, 8 Mixed. The index sits above its rising 20/50 EMAs with structure making higher highs - a Stage 2 / uptrend phase. Leadership is concentrated in mega-cap tech and semis (AMD, PANW, META, AVGO, CDNS, AMAT all Bull), while a cluster of laggards (COST, ORLY, INTU, MSFT, ISRG, CEG, SNPS) remain below all EMAs and are the source of index drag.


Indicators
RSI(14): Component readings are constructive but not stretched - no single name is overbought (>=70) and none oversold (<=30). Momentum leaders FTNT 68, CRWD 69, PANW 64, AAPL 64, DASH 64 sit in the healthy bull zone with room before exhaustion.
MACD: Mixed at stock level - roughly half the group have MACD above signal; the strongest confluence (MACD bull + Bull EMA stack) is in PANW, META, CRWD, TSLA, AVGO, AMZN, AAPL.
Volume: Relative volume was generally sub-1.0 on the up-move (conviction light) except META 1.32 and PANW 1.07 on the buy side, and COST 1.70 on the sell side - the standout distribution name.


Key Index Levels
Resistance: R1 29,790 | R2 29,907 | R3 30,103 (30,000 round number is the magnet above).
Support: S1 29,478 | S2 29,282 | S3 29,165. Pivot 29,594.
Classic pivots (from today's range): S2 29,282 - S1 29,478 - P 29,594 - R1 29,790 - R2 29,907. Round numbers: 29,500 / 29,750 / 30,000. Holding above the 29,594 pivot keeps the 30,000 test in play; a loss of 29,478 opens 29,282.


Component Signals - All 40
LRCX 353.17 +6.01% | Mixed | RSI 50 Bear | MACD Bear | -19.5% 52h | >POC
AMD 546.72 +5.67% | Bull | RSI 56 Bull | MACD Bear | -6.5% 52h | >POC
PANW 338.31 +5.53% | Bull | RSI 64 Bull | MACD Bull | -8.1% 52h | >POC
MRVL 243.27 +4.99% | Mixed | RSI 47 Bear | MACD Bear | -26.3% 52h | <POC
META 631.48 +4.70% | Bull | RSI 60 Bull | MACD Bull | -20.7% 52h | >POC
MU 991.64 +4.52% | Mixed | RSI 50 Bull | MACD Bear | -21.0% 52h | >POC
FTNT 163.73 +4.48% | Bull | RSI 68 Bull | MACD Bear | -0.2% 52h | >POC
CSCO 118.31 +3.94% | Bull | RSI 54 Bull | MACD Bear | -9.3% 52h | >POC
CRWD 198.40 +3.81% | Bull | RSI 68 Bull | MACD Bull | -5.3% 52h | >POC
KLAC 229.49 +3.76% | Mixed | RSI 49 Bear | MACD Bear | -25.3% 52h | >POC
AVGO 401.11 +3.20% | Bull | RSI 54 Bull | MACD Bull | -19.0% 52h | <POC
AMAT 588.66 +3.18% | Bull | RSI 52 Bull | MACD Bear | -20.4% 52h | >POC
CDNS 385.95 +3.18% | Bull | RSI 56 Bull | MACD Bear | -7.4% 52h | >POC
TSLA 406.55 +3.17% | Bull | RSI 51 Bull | MACD Bull | -18.5% 52h | >POC
ABNB 146.89 +2.76% | Bull | RSI 58 Bull | MACD Bull | -2.2% 52h | >POC
CEG 250.74 +2.54% | Bear | RSI 44 Bear | MACD Bear | -39.2% 52h | <POC
QCOM 191.11 +2.44% | Bear<20/50 | RSI 46 Bear | MACD Bear | -26.5% 52h | <POC
TXN 308.53 +2.39% | Bull | RSI 54 Bull | MACD Bear | -7.6% 52h | >POC
ADI 393.64 +2.14% | Bear<20/50 | RSI 48 Bear | MACD Bear | -11.7% 52h | <POC
SNPS 443.37 +2.04% | Bear | RSI 42 Bear | MACD Bear | -32.0% 52h | <POC
PYPL 45.32 +1.77% | Bull<200 | RSI 57 Bull | MACD Bull | -43.0% 52h | >POC
DASH 192.35 +1.58% | Bull | RSI 64 Bull | MACD Bull | -32.6% 52h | >POC
AMZN 247.04 +1.40% | Bull | RSI 53 Bull | MACD Bull | -11.3% 52h | <POC
AAPL 316.16 +0.88% | Bull | RSI 64 Bull | MACD Bull | -0.4% 52h | >POC
ADBE 222.65 +0.77% | Mixed | RSI 53 Bull | MACD Bull | -42.1% 52h | <POC
REGN 667.95 +0.76% | Bull<200 | RSI 61 Bull | MACD Bull | -18.7% 52h | >POC
TMUS 181.48 +0.74% | Mixed | RSI 49 Bear | MACD Bull | -30.6% 52h | <POC
BKNG 175.52 +0.71% | Mixed | RSI 51 Bull | MACD Bear | -24.3% 52h | >POC
INTU 273.38 +0.47% | Bear | RSI 43 Bear | MACD Bull | -66.4% 52h | <POC
MAR 372.47 +0.35% | Bear<20/50 | RSI 45 Bear | MACD Bear | -9.4% 52h | <POC
WDAY 138.34 +0.33% | Bull<200 | RSI 58 Bull | MACD Bull | -44.6% 52h | >POC
MSFT 384.36 +0.27% | Bear | RSI 47 Bear | MACD Bull | -30.8% 52h | <POC
ORLY 85.12 +0.16% | Bear | RSI 41 Bear | MACD Bear | -21.7% 52h | <POC
MELI 1807.83 -0.09% | Bull<200 | RSI 65 Bull | MACD Bull | -29.1% 52h | >POC
NFLX 75.47 -0.16% | Bear | RSI 43 Bear | MACD Bull | -41.5% 52h | <POC
LIN 525.56 -0.40% | Bull | RSI 53 Bull | MACD Bull | -4.1% 52h | >POC
NVDA 202.78 -0.66% | Mixed | RSI 50 Bear | MACD Bull | -14.3% 52h | <POC
GOOGL 358.89 -0.84% | Bear<20/50 | RSI 48 Bear | MACD Bull | -12.2% 52h | <POC
ISRG 411.55 -0.86% | Bear | RSI 47 Bear | MACD Bull | -31.8% 52h | <POC
COST 912.97 -4.21% | Bear | RSI 35 Bear | MACD Bear | -16.7% 52h | <POC


Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech: AAPL +0.9% (Bull, at 52w high), AMZN +1.4% (Bull), MSFT +0.3% (Bear, below all EMAs), GOOGL -0.8% (Bear<20/50), NVDA -0.7% (Mixed, below 50) - split leadership, AAPL/AMZN strong, MSFT/GOOGL lagging.
Semiconductors: AMD +5.7%, LRCX +6.0%, MU +4.5%, KLAC +3.8%, AVGO +3.2%, AMAT +3.2%, MRVL +5.0% - the day's engine, though many semis remain 19-26% below 52w highs (recovery, not breakout).
Software/Cloud: PANW +5.5%, CRWD +3.8%, FTNT +4.5%, CDNS +3.2%, WDAY +0.3% - strongest sector on a trend basis, most in full Bull stacks.
Consumer/Internet: META +4.7%, TSLA +3.2%, ABNB +2.8%, DASH +1.6%, PYPL +1.8% firm; COST -4.2%, MELI -0.1% the drags.
Healthcare/Biotech: REGN +0.8% but Bull, ISRG -0.9% (Bear) - mixed, no leadership.
Industrial/Other: CEG +2.5% (still Bear, -39% from high), LIN -0.4% - CEG bouncing off a deep base.


Top Swing Setups
1. META - e200 reclaim, highest volume conviction
Bull stack reclaiming the 200 EMA (630.68) on the day's best relative volume (1.32). Entry: 631 (hold above e200) - Stop: 606 (below e50 599 / ~1 ATR) - T1: 650.81 (R1) - T2: 670.14 (R2) - R:R: 1.6. Confluence: e200 reclaim, MACD>signal, RSI 60, POC 609 below.

2. PANW - software leader, breakout continuation
Full Bull stack, MACD>signal, price above POC 254 and rv 1.07. Entry: 336 (above pivot 331.7 on strength) - Stop: 320 (~1 ATR) - T1: 345.01 (R1) - T2: 368.17 (52w high) - R:R: 2.0. Confluence: sector leadership, RSI 64, rising 20/50 EMAs.

3. AAPL - 52-week high breakout
Coiling directly under the 317.40 52w high, above all EMAs, MACD>signal. Entry: 317.50 (break of 52w high) - Stop: 309.10 (~1 ATR) - T1: 321.99 (R2) - T2: 330.00 (measured/round) - R:R: 1.5. Confluence: new-high breakout, RSI 64, POC 291 well below.

4. CRWD - pullback buy in strong uptrend
Bull stack, MACD>signal, RSI 69. Prefer a pullback entry rather than chasing. Entry: 194.72 (pivot) - Stop: 185.30 (~1 ATR) - T1: 206.47 (R2) - T2: 209.50 (52w high) - R:R: 1.6. Confluence: uptrend, POC 154 far below.

5. AMD - semi momentum (wide-ATR, size down)
Best-in-group Bull stack after +5.7%; MACD about to cross up. ATR is large (37) so use reduced size. Entry: 548 (break pivot 547) - Stop: 531 (below e20 523) - T1: 571.44 (R2) - T2: 584.73 (52w high) - R:R: 2.2. Confluence: sector leadership, above all EMAs.


Intraday Setups
1. AAPL - Camarilla breakout (long)
Above cam R1 316.93 targets the upper Camarilla band. Entry: 317.00 - Stop: 315.30 (cam S1) - T1: 318.46 (cam R3) - T2: 320.76 (cam R4). Direction: Long. Aligns with the daily 52w-high breakout.

2. PANW - Camarilla breakout (long)
Reclaim of cam R1 340.15 opens the R3/R4 extension. Entry: 340.30 - Stop: 336.40 (cam S1) - T1: 343.82 (cam R3) - T2: 349.33 (cam R4). Direction: Long.

3. TSLA - pivot bounce (long)
Holding above pivot 401.76 with a Bull EMA stack. Entry: 402.00 - Stop: 397.20 (cam S4 / e200) - T1: 408.11 (cam R1) - T2: 411.23 (cam R3). Direction: Long.

4. CRWD - Camarilla range (long)
Buy the cam S1/pivot zone toward the R band. Entry: 197.32 (cam S1) - Stop: 195.17 (cam S3) - T1: 201.63 (cam R3) - T2: 204.86 (cam R4). Direction: Long.

5. COST - failed-bounce fade (short bias)
The one clean bearish name: below all EMAs, RSI 35, 1.7x sell volume. Entry: rejection under pivot on a bounce - Stop: above e20 - T1: prior day low - T2: measured extension. Direction: Short. Counter-trend to the index; tactical only.


Key Levels Dashboard - Top 5
AAPL (316.16) - Cam: S4 311.56 S3 313.86 S1 315.39 || R1 316.93 R3 318.46 R4 320.76 . Classic: S3 302.33 S1 310.7 P 313.62 R1 319.07 R3 327.44 . EMA20 300.68 EMA50 293.94 EMA200 270.69 . POC 291.41 . 52w 201.5-317.4
META (631.48) - Cam: S4 600.57 S3 616.03 S1 626.33 || R1 636.63 R3 646.94 R4 662.39 . Classic: S3 538.41 S1 594.61 P 613.94 R1 650.81 R3 707.01 . EMA20 590.88 EMA50 599.25 EMA200 630.68 . POC 609.64 . 52w 520.26-796.25
PANW (338.31) - Cam: S4 327.29 S3 332.8 S1 336.47 || R1 340.15 R3 343.82 R4 349.33 . Classic: S3 304.95 S1 324.98 P 331.67 R1 345.01 R3 365.04 . EMA20 312.14 EMA50 272.66 EMA200 215.06 . POC 253.95 . 52w 139.57-368.17
AMD (546.72) - Cam: S4 533.36 S3 540.04 S1 544.49 || R1 548.95 R3 553.4 R4 560.09 . Classic: S3 510.48 S1 534.78 P 547.14 R1 559.08 R3 583.38 . EMA20 523.05 EMA50 468.62 EMA200 315.84 . POC 431.66 . 52w 137.59-584.73
CRWD (198.40) - Cam: S4 191.94 S3 195.17 S1 197.32 || R1 199.48 R3 201.63 R4 204.86 . Classic: S3 178.93 S1 190.68 P 194.72 R1 202.43 R3 214.18 . EMA20 182.41 EMA50 163.92 EMA200 131.43 . POC 154.51 . 52w 85.68-209.5


Bearish Warnings
COST -4.2% on 1.70x volume, below all EMAs, RSI 35 - active distribution and the clearest short candidate. MSFT, ISRG, INTU, NFLX, ORLY, CEG, SNPS all sit below every EMA with bearish structure; INTU is -66% and NFLX -41% from their 52w highs. MSFT's failure to reclaim its EMAs despite the tech rally is the notable relative-weakness flag in the mega-caps. No fresh death crosses triggered today, but these names remain sell-the-bounce until they reclaim their 20/50 EMAs.


Events Calendar
Fri 10 Jul: Light US macro; SK Hynix IPO pricing in focus for the memory/semis complex (watch MU, LRCX, KLAC, AMAT).
Tue 14 Jul: June CPI (08:30 ET) - the week's key macro risk; prior print 4.2% y/y, the hottest since 2023.
Earnings watch: Q2 mega-cap tech season approaches - NFLX and the large-cap names report in the coming fortnight; COST's sharp drop today suggests headline/guidance sensitivity is high. Monitor RNS/newsflow around geopolitical (Iran) headlines that briefly pressured risk intraday.


Report: 09 July 2026 22:00 GMT . Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.