NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Report - Friday 2 October 2026
Data: Close Fri 2 Oct 2026 | NAS100: 30,807.93 | Change: +306.37 (+1.00%) | Range: 30,737.07-31,017.53
Levels below are from the Friday 2 October US close and apply to the Monday 5 October session (ISM services day). Component data: ChartsView NAS100 scanner, 2 Oct 2026 close.



Market Overview
The Nasdaq 100 gapped higher at the open (30,869) after a soft September payrolls report, printed a fresh all-time high at 31,017.53 and closed +306.37 (+1.00%) at 30,807.93 - a new record close that clears the 22 Sep peak of 30,770.63 and breaks out of the two-week 30,081-30,770 flag. The candle is less clean than the headline: price faded 210 points from the high and closed below its open, leaving the 30,502-30,737 opening gap unfilled underneath.

Drivers: Nonfarm payrolls rose just +29k (est. +90k), July/August were revised down a combined 60k, unemployment ticked up to 4.2% and average hourly earnings rose only +0.1% m/m (3.0% y/y). Markets cut the odds of an October Fed hike to roughly 15-20%. The bond rally did not last - the 10-year yield reversed from ~5.17% to finish +6bp at 5.29% - which is why the index gave back part of the opening pop. Semis did the heavy lifting (SOXX +3%). Leaders: TSLA +4.65%, TXN +4.44%, DASH +3.83%, AVGO +3.35%, KLAC +3.27%, CSCO +3.16%, ADI +3.10%, AMD +2.95%. NVDA (+1.34%, 1.21x rel vol) set a new intraday record but closed below its record close. Laggards: ISRG -2.32%, MU -2.05%, ADBE -1.49%, NFLX -1.16%, BKNG -0.79%.

Cross-market: S&P 500 +0.74% (7,722.85), Dow +0.49% (51,182.11), Nasdaq Composite +1.19% (27,190.86, just shy of its ~27,244 record close). WTI fell 1.6% to $91.41 after G7 confirmed stockpile releases of up to 100m barrels; gold -0.8%.
Breadth (40 tracked): 29 up / 11 down - a broad bid, but average relative volume was only 0.82x.
VIX: 15.31 (-1.08). VXN: 21.20 - implied vol is easing into the breakout.
Bias: Bullish - record close confirms the flag breakout. Bulls want the gap to hold above 30,690 (S1); a close back below 30,502 would mark a failed breakout and target the EMA20 at ~30,072.



Trend Analysis
EMA stack: Close 30,807.93 > EMA20 30,072 > EMA50 29,647 > EMA200 27,997 - full bullish alignment. Price is 2.4% above the 20-day and 10.0% above the 200-day.
Structure: Higher low at 28,753 (20-day low), record high 30,770.63 on 22 Sep, then a shallow flag (lower highs, higher low at 30,081 on 28 Sep) that resolved upward today. Flagpole of ~2,017 points (28,753 to 30,770) projected from the 30,081 flag low gives a measured target near 32,100.
Phase: Stage 2 uptrend - new breakout leg. The trend stays intact while above the EMA20; the immediate test is whether buyers defend the gap.



Indicators
RSI(14): 65.3, up from 61.4. Price made a new high while RSI sits below its 22 Sep peak of 68.0 - a mild bearish divergence that stays live until RSI clears 68.
MACD(12,26,9): 340.7 vs signal 269.3 - bullish, and the histogram has turned back up (64.2 to 71.4) after contracting through late September.
Volume / participation: Weak relative to the move. Across the 40 components average rel vol was 0.82x; only TSLA (1.41x), NVDA (1.21x), LIN (1.18x), CEG (1.12x), NFLX (1.06x) and MU (1.00x) traded at or above average. A breakout on light volume needs follow-through.
ATR(14): ~386 points - expect daily swings of 300-400 points.



Key Index Levels
Resistance: 31,017.5 (record high / Friday high) · 31,134.6 (classic R2) · 31,250 (R3 31,251.7 + round number)
Support: 30,737 (Friday low / top of gap) · 30,502-30,574 (gap fill, Thursday close, classic S2) · 30,072 (EMA20, 30,000 round number just below)
Classic pivots: S2 30,573.7 · S1 30,690.8 · P 30,854.2 · R1 30,971.3 · R2 31,134.6
Camarilla: S4 30,653.7 · S3 30,730.8 || R3 30,885.1 · R4 30,962.2
Note: Friday's close (30,808) is below the 30,854 pivot, so Monday opens with a slight bearish intraday tilt. Above 30,854 targets 30,971-31,017; a break of 30,731 (Cam S3) opens the gap fill towards 30,574-30,502.



Component Signals (all 40)
Trend = close vs EMA20/50/200 (strict). POC = 60-day VWAP.
AAPL 333.69 +1.02% | Bull | RSI 54.7 Neutral | MACD Bear | -3.4% vs 52wH | Above POC 322.05
MSFT 517.53 +0.92% | Bull | RSI 62.6 Strong | MACD Bull | -6.5% vs 52wH | Above POC 465.77
NVDA 233.95 +1.34% | Bull | RSI 62.9 Strong | MACD Bull | -1.7% vs 52wH | Above POC 216.45
AMZN 251.52 +1.33% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 48.6 Neutral | MACD Bear | -12.4% vs 52wH | Below POC 255.76
META 728.08 +0.30% | Bull | RSI 61.5 Strong | MACD Bear | -6.6% vs 52wH | Above POC 638.75
GOOGL 343.50 +1.56% | Mixed (>20, <50, >200) | RSI 50.0 Neutral | MACD Bear | -15.9% vs 52wH | Below POC 345.55
AVGO 355.14 +3.35% | Bear | RSI 47.6 Neutral | MACD Bull | -28.3% vs 52wH | Below POC 372.17
TSLA 370.59 +4.65% | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 55.0 Neutral | MACD Bear | -25.7% vs 52wH | Above POC 352.01
COST 920.65 +0.62% | Mixed (>20, <50, <200) | RSI 51.4 Neutral | MACD Bull | -16.0% vs 52wH | Below POC 929.57
NFLX 67.06 -1.16% | Bear | RSI 31.1 Weak | MACD Bear | -46.3% vs 52wH | Below POC 73.71
AMD 633.91 +2.95% | Bull | RSI 70.1 Overbought | MACD Bull | -1.8% vs 52wH | Above POC 517.15
ADBE 237.69 -1.49% | Bear | RSI 41.0 Neutral | MACD Bear | -34.6% vs 52wH | Below POC 252.23
QCOM 184.87 +1.53% | Bull | RSI 52.4 Neutral | MACD Bear | -28.9% vs 52wH | Above POC 173.05
TMUS 163.64 +1.18% | Bear | RSI 37.5 Weak | MACD Bear | -29.8% vs 52wH | Below POC 177.32
LIN 479.48 +2.14% | Mixed (>20, <50, <200) | RSI 56.0 Neutral | MACD Bull | -12.5% vs 52wH | Below POC 485.55
ISRG 391.95 -2.32% | Mixed (<20, >50, <200) | RSI 51.2 Neutral | MACD Bull | -35.1% vs 52wH | Above POC 374.61
INTU 281.08 -0.60% | Bear | RSI 37.1 Weak | MACD Bear | -59.2% vs 52wH | Below POC 317.42
CSCO 112.20 +3.16% | Bull | RSI 57.2 Neutral | MACD Bull | -13.9% vs 52wH | Below POC 112.72
TXN 293.80 +4.44% | Bull | RSI 70.4 Overbought | MACD Bull | -12.0% vs 52wH | Above POC 275.42
AMAT 540.04 +2.03% | Bull | RSI 69.2 Strong | MACD Bull | -27.0% vs 52wH | Above POC 501.33
BKNG 159.02 -0.79% | Bear | RSI 30.4 Weak | MACD Bull | -29.3% vs 52wH | Below POC 184.36
PANW 403.24 +1.76% | Bull | RSI 62.6 Strong | MACD Bull | -1.5% vs 52wH | Above POC 357.47
MU 1,074.89 -2.05% | Bull | RSI 59.3 Neutral | MACD Bull | -14.4% vs 52wH | Above POC 935.59
LRCX 347.49 +2.17% | Bull | RSI 67.6 Strong | MACD Bull | -20.8% vs 52wH | Above POC 307.13
KLAC 206.89 +3.27% | Bull | RSI 67.2 Strong | MACD Bull | -32.7% vs 52wH | Above POC 192.66
ADI 417.15 +3.10% | Bull | RSI 72.1 Overbought | MACD Bull | -6.4% vs 52wH | Above POC 375.57
REGN 735.20 +0.05% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 34.9 Weak | MACD Bear | -14.4% vs 52wH | Below POC 762.52
SNPS 489.90 -0.13% | Bull | RSI 74.1 Overbought | MACD Bull | -9.2% vs 52wH | Above POC 409.37
CDNS 351.35 +0.18% | Bull | RSI 70.8 Overbought | MACD Bull | -15.7% vs 52wH | Above POC 322.19
MELI 1,696.56 +0.68% | Bear | RSI 33.5 Weak | MACD Bear | -30.1% vs 52wH | Below POC 1,845.56
CRWD 270.04 +1.48% | Bull | RSI 68.7 Strong | MACD Bull | -1.3% vs 52wH | Above POC 217.63
MAR 358.96 +1.18% | Bull | RSI 60.2 Strong | MACD Bull | -12.7% vs 52wH | Above POC 353.26
ABNB 162.43 +1.22% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 46.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -16.0% vs 52wH | Below POC 167.36
MRVL 272.29 +1.57% | Bull | RSI 65.0 Strong | MACD Bull | -17.5% vs 52wH | Above POC 221.44
DASH 189.15 +3.83% | Bear | RSI 43.4 Neutral | MACD Bear | -33.7% vs 52wH | Below POC 202.59
FTNT 180.95 +1.25% | Bull | RSI 64.2 Strong | MACD Bull | -1.2% vs 52wH | Above POC 162.49
CEG 257.49 -0.55% | Bear | RSI 42.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -37.6% vs 52wH | Below POC 269.25
WDAY 186.14 -0.33% | Mixed (<20, >50, >200) | RSI 47.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -24.8% vs 52wH | Above POC 178.16
PYPL 52.80 -0.49% | Bear | RSI 43.8 Neutral | MACD Bull | -33.4% vs 52wH | Below POC 55.58
ORLY 84.90 -0.15% | Bear | RSI 42.9 Neutral | MACD Bull | -19.4% vs 52wH | Below POC 87.68

Summary: 21 Bull · 14 Bear · 5 Mixed. MACD bullish on 24 of 40. 21 of 40 closed above their 60-day POC.



Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL, AVGO, TSLA): avg +1.81% · 4/8 Bull · avg RSI 55.4
NVDA, MSFT, AAPL and META hold full bull stacks; NVDA is the standout (1.7% off its high, 1.21x vol). AVGO's +3.35% bounce still leaves it below all three EMAs; AMZN stays below its 20/50.

Semiconductors (AMD, QCOM, TXN, AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL): avg +2.11% · 9/9 Bull · avg RSI 65.9
The strongest group - every name is above all three EMAs. AMD, TXN, ADI and AMAT are at or near overbought; MU's -2.05% is a pullback within a strong trend. QCOM is the only MACD-bearish name.

Software / Cloud / Cyber (ADBE, INTU, PANW, SNPS, CDNS, CRWD, FTNT, WDAY): avg +0.27% · 5/8 Bull · avg RSI 58.2
Split down the middle. Cyber (PANW, CRWD, FTNT all within 1.5% of 52w highs) and EDA (SNPS, CDNS) are leading; ADBE and INTU remain in clear downtrends.

Consumer / Internet (COST, NFLX, BKNG, MELI, MAR, ABNB, DASH, PYPL, ORLY): avg +0.55% · 1/9 Bull · avg RSI 42.5
The weakest group - six of nine below all EMAs. NFLX, BKNG and ORLY are pressing towards 52-week lows. MAR is the only full bull stack.

Healthcare / Biotech (ISRG, REGN): avg -1.14% · 0/2 Bull · avg RSI 43.0
Soft. ISRG reversed -2.32% from a 406 high to close on its low; REGN sits below its 20/50 but just above its EMA200.

Industrial / Other (TMUS, LIN, CSCO, CEG): avg +1.48% · 1/4 Bull · avg RSI 48.2
CSCO is the bright spot (bull stack, MACD cross up, testing POC). TMUS tagged a fresh 52-week low intraday; CEG remains below all EMAs despite 1.12x volume.



Top Swing Setups
NVDA - Long: Record-high breakout
Entry: 238.00 · Stop: 229.13 (1.5x ATR 5.91) · T1: 255.73 · T2: 264.60 · R:R: 1:2 / 1:3
Buy a break above 237.88 (Friday's record intraday high). Full bull stack, MACD bullish, RSI 62.9 leaves room, and 1.21x volume was the best of the mega-caps. POC 216.45 and EMA20 224.90 sit well below as structural support.

PANW - Long: 52-week high breakout
Entry: 410.00 · Stop: 384.12 (1.5x ATR 17.25) · T1: 461.75 · T2: 487.62 · R:R: 1:2 / 1:3
Friday's high of 409.50 is the 52-week high. Bull stack (EMA20 378.29 > EMA50 359.15), MACD bullish, RSI 62.6. Volume was light (0.77x) - only take it on a high-volume break. Stop sits just above the EMA20.

CSCO - Long: POC reclaim
Entry: 112.80 · Stop: 108.87 (1.5x ATR 2.62) · T1: 120.66 · T2: 124.59 · R:R: 1:2 / 1:3
Friday's +3.16% closed just under the 60-day POC (112.72) with a fresh MACD cross up (-0.79 vs -1.24). Buy a close-basis reclaim of the POC; the stop sits below the EMA20 (109.05). The 52-week high at ~130.3 leaves room beyond T2.

KLAC - Long: Semi-cap momentum continuation
Entry: 208.70 · Stop: 197.24 (1.5x ATR 7.64) · T1: 231.62 · T2: 243.08 · R:R: 1:2 / 1:3
MACD just crossed above signal (3.52 vs -0.04), RSI 67.2, price above all EMAs and the POC (192.66). The group (AMAT, LRCX) is moving together. Buy a break above Friday's 208.68 high.

NFLX - Short: 52-week-low breakdown
Entry: 66.70 · Stop: 69.67 (1.5x ATR 1.98) · T1: 60.76 · T2: 57.79 · R:R: 1:2 / 1:3
Bear stack (EMA20 72.64 < EMA50 75.16 < EMA200 84.40), MACD bearish, -46% from its high, 1.06x volume. Short a break below Friday's 66.75 low; T1 is below the 65.08 52-week low. RSI 31.1 is close to oversold - expect sharp counter-rallies and size accordingly.



Intraday Setups - Monday 5 October
Levels from Friday's daily bar (classic pivots and Camarilla).

NVDA - Camarilla R4 breakout (Long)
Entry: 236.30 · Stop: 235.13 · T1: 239.42 · T2: 240.97 · R:R: 1:2.7 (T1)
Record-high momentum name with the best mega-cap volume. A drive through R4 confirms Friday's breakout attempt.

MU - Pivot S1 bounce (Long)
Entry: 1,061.93 · Stop: 1,048.98 · T1: 1,084.97 · T2: 1,097.92 · R:R: 1:1.8 (T1)
MU fell -2.05% inside a strong bull trend (EMA20 1,032.10). S1 offers a first dip-buy level above the EMA20, provided the semis stay bid.

NFLX - Pivot rejection (Short)
Entry: 67.23 · Stop: 67.70 · T1: 66.58 · T2: 66.11 · R:R: 1:1.4 (T1)
NFLX closed below its 67.23 pivot, has a bear stack and bearish MACD. Momentum favours sellers into the 65.08 52-week low.

ISRG - Camarilla S3 range fade (Long)
Entry: 387.80 · Stop: 383.66 · T1: 396.10 · T2: 401.82 · R:R: 1:2.0 (T1)
ISRG reversed from 406.47 to close on its low (391.95) but sits above its EMA50 (388.58) and POC (374.61). Look for a reversion bounce while Cam S4 holds.

TSLA - Camarilla R3 range fade (Short)
Entry: 374.77 · Stop: 378.94 · T1: 368.20 · T2: 366.41 · R:R: 1:1.6 (T1)
TSLA ran +4.65% on 1.41x volume into its EMA200 (377.73) overhead. A stall under Cam R4 favours a fade back to the pivot. Skip it if R4 breaks on volume.



Key Levels Dashboard
NVDA (close 233.95)
Cam: S4 231.60 · S3 232.77 · S1 233.56 || R1 234.34 · R3 235.13 · R4 236.30
Classic: S3 228.13 · S2 230.86 · S1 232.41 · P 235.14 · R1 236.69 · R2 239.42 · R3 240.97
EMA20 224.90 · EMA50 219.46 · EMA200 202.20 · POC 216.45 · Prev H/L 237.88/233.60 · 52w H/L 237.88/164.27

AMD (close 633.91)
Cam: S4 624.61 · S3 629.26 · S1 632.36 || R1 635.46 · R3 638.56 · R4 643.21
Classic: S3 609.58 · S2 619.06 · S1 626.49 · P 635.97 · R1 643.40 · R2 652.88 · R3 660.31
EMA20 576.34 · EMA50 533.67 · EMA200 408.52 · POC 517.15 · Prev H/L 645.46/628.55 · 52w H/L 645.46/163.14

MU (close 1,074.89)
Cam: S4 1,055.10 · S3 1,064.99 · S1 1,071.59 || R1 1,078.19 · R3 1,084.79 · R4 1,094.68
Classic: S3 1,025.94 · S2 1,048.98 · S1 1,061.93 · P 1,084.97 · R1 1,097.92 · R2 1,120.96 · R3 1,133.91
EMA20 1,032.10 · EMA50 981.60 · EMA200 730.61 · POC 935.59 · Prev H/L 1,108.00/1,072.01 · 52w H/L 1,255.00/179.61

TSLA (close 370.59)
Cam: S4 362.24 · S3 366.41 · S1 369.20 || R1 371.98 · R3 374.77 · R4 378.94
Classic: S3 346.61 · S2 353.01 · S1 361.80 · P 368.20 · R1 376.99 · R2 383.39 · R3 392.18
EMA20 362.82 · EMA50 361.88 · EMA200 377.73 · POC 352.01 · Prev H/L 374.60/359.41 · 52w H/L 498.83/297.38

PANW (close 403.24)
Cam: S4 397.99 · S3 400.61 · S1 402.36 || R1 404.12 · R3 405.87 · R4 408.49
Classic: S3 389.41 · S2 394.68 · S1 398.96 · P 404.23 · R1 408.51 · R2 413.78 · R3 418.06
EMA20 378.29 · EMA50 359.15 · EMA200 280.90 · POC 357.47 · Prev H/L 409.50/399.95 · 52w H/L 409.50/139.57



Bearish Warnings
EMA50 below EMA200 (death-cross regime): TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, LIN, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, MELI, CEG, ORLY. SNPS and CDNS trade above all three EMAs, but their EMA50 is still below the EMA200 - a golden cross is pending, not confirmed.
MACD below signal: AAPL, AMZN, META, GOOGL, TSLA, NFLX, ADBE, QCOM, TMUS, INTU, REGN, MELI, ABNB, DASH, CEG, WDAY (16 of 40). META stands out: RSI 61.5 and a bull stack, but MACD (34.31) has slipped under its signal (35.08) on 0.54x volume - momentum is rolling over.
Overbought RSI: SNPS 74.1, ADI 72.1, CDNS 70.8, TXN 70.4, AMD 70.1 - extended, and chasing here is poor risk. At the index level RSI 65.3 is below the 68.0 reading at the 22 Sep high - a bearish divergence on the new high.
Near 52-week lows: TMUS (1.8% above; tagged the 160.81 low intraday), ORLY (2.8% above 82.59), NFLX (3.0% above 65.08), BKNG (5.9% above 150.14).
Index candle: gap-and-fade - opened 30,869, closed 30,808, 210 points off the high, with the 10-year yield back at 5.29%. A move below 30,502 would turn Friday into a bull trap.



Events Calendar
Mon 5 Oct: ISM Services PMI (Sep, est. 55.1 vs 55.4 prior), final S&P Global services PMI. Fed: Goolsbee.
Tue 6 Oct: Fed: Williams, Bowman. Weekly ADP, Atlanta Fed GDPNow.
Wed 7 Oct: FOMC minutes (September meeting) - key for October hike odds. Fed: Logan.
Thu 8 Oct: Initial jobless claims, ECB meeting accounts. Fed: Musalem. Earnings: PepsiCo.
Fri 9 Oct: UMich sentiment (prelim) incl. inflation expectations. Earnings: Delta Air Lines.
Earnings (40 tracked): none confirmed for next week. The group's Q3 reporting season starts mid-October - check dates before holding swing positions through it.
Macro backdrop: the Fed's bias is still towards tightening. Watch the 10-year near 5.3%, oil around $91 and the US-Iran/Hormuz headlines.



Report: 02 Oct 2026 22:03 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Report - Thursday 1 October 2026
Data: Close Thu 1 Oct 2026 | NAS100: 30,501.56 | Change: +93.06 (+0.31%) | Range: 30,352.11-30,576.44
Levels below are from the Thursday 1 October US close and apply to the Friday 2 October session (NFP day). Component data: ChartsView NAS100 scanner, 1 Oct 2026.



Market Overview
The Nasdaq 100 opened Q4 with a modest +0.31% gain to 30,501.56 in a tight 224-point range (30,352-30,576), holding inside last week's range and 0.9% below the 22 Sep all-time high of 30,770.63. Wall Street finished broadly flat and the Russell 2000 slipped as the 10-year Treasury yield rose another 4bp to 5.33% - its highest since April 2002 - with the 30-year at 5.67%. Crude added around 3% after reports that Chinese refiners suspended October fuel exports.

Drivers: Earnings and AI did the lifting. Synopsys (SNPS) +12.78% on FY27 targets well above consensus plus a $1B buyback, pulling Cadence (CDNS) +6.22% with it. Micron (MU) +3.03% closed on its high after beating and guiding Q1 revenue to $60-63B (est. $57.4B), helping the semi-cap names (AMAT +3.48%, LRCX +3.46%, KLAC +2.76%). CEG +1.93% on a 20-year power deal with Amazon. On the other side, REGN -3.09%, MELI -2.51%, NFLX -2.49% and AVGO -2.15% lagged, and GOOGL slipped 1.70% despite launching Gemini 4.

Breadth (40 tracked): 19 up / 21 down - a narrow, stock-specific tape rather than a broad bid.
VIX: approx. 16.3 - complacent given yields at two-decade highs and markets pricing a meaningful chance of a Fed hike this month.
Bias: Cautiously bullish - trend intact above the 20-day EMA, but momentum is fading and macro risk (yields, NFP) is elevated.



Trend Analysis
EMA stack: Close 30,501.56 > EMA20 ~30,001 > EMA50 ~29,603 > EMA200 ~27,626 - fully bullish alignment. Price is 1.7% above the 20-day and 10.4% above the 200-day.
Structure: The 21 Sep gap-and-go (29,648 -> 29,933 unfilled gap) launched a run to the 30,770.63 ATH on 22 Sep. Since then price has built a tight 30,200-30,770 consolidation (higher low 30,204 on 24 Sep, Oct 1 low 30,352). That is a bull flag / high-level base, not a top - unless 30,200 breaks.
Phase: Stage 2 uptrend, consolidating near highs. A daily close above 30,770 opens 31,000+; a close below 30,000 (EMA20 + round number) would signal a deeper pullback toward the gap (29,933-29,648).



Indicators
RSI(14): ~61.7 - bullish zone, not overbought. Momentum has eased since the 22 Sep ATH while price holds near the highs - watch for a bearish divergence if price prints a marginal new high on a lower RSI.
MACD (12,26,9): MACD ~318 above signal ~254 (bullish), but the histogram has contracted for a second session (76 -> 65). Momentum is cooling, not reversing.
Volume: Component relative volume was light overall (median rv below 1.0); conviction came only in the earnings names - SNPS rv 2.80, MU 1.74, CEG 1.41, REGN 1.38, GOOGL 1.22.
Index EMA/RSI/MACD values are computed from daily NDX closes; 28-29 Sep closes were interpolated from Nasdaq Composite moves, so treat the index indicator values as approximate (+/- a few points).



Key Index Levels
Resistance: R1 30,576-30,601 (Oct 1 high / classic R1) | R2 30,668-30,701 (25 Sep high / classic R2) | R3 30,770.63 (all-time high), then 31,000
Support: S1 30,352-30,377 (Oct 1 low / classic S1) | S2 30,204-30,252 (24 Sep higher low / classic S2) | S3 30,000 (round number + EMA20), then gap 29,933-29,648
Classic Pivots: S2 30,252.4 · S1 30,377.0 · P 30,476.7 · R1 30,601.3 · R2 30,701.0
Camarilla: S4 30,378.2 · S3 30,439.9 || R3 30,563.3 · R4 30,624.9
Round numbers: 30,000 · 30,500 (currently pivoting here) · 31,000



Component Signals (all 40)
Format: Ticker - Close (Chg%) | Trend (strict EMA20/50/200) | RSI | MACD | vs 52w high | vs POC
AAPL - 330.32 (-0.81%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 51.4 Neutral | MACD Bear | -4.3% from 52wH | above POC 321.74
MSFT - 512.80 (-0.02%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60.2 Bullish | MACD Bull | -7.4% from 52wH | above POC 463.58
NVDA - 230.86 (+1.09%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60.1 Bullish | MACD Bull | -2.4% from 52wH | above POC 215.81
AMZN - 248.23 (-0.37%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 44.2 Bearish | MACD Bear | -13.6% from 52wH | below POC 255.66
META - 725.93 (+0.10%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 61.1 Bullish | MACD Bull | -6.9% from 52wH | above POC 636.77
GOOGL - 338.24 (-1.70%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 45.4 Neutral | MACD Bear | -17.2% from 52wH | below POC 345.75
AVGO - 343.64 (-2.15%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 39.5 Bearish | MACD Bull | -30.6% from 52wH | below POC 373.23
TSLA - 354.11 (-0.20%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 45.6 Neutral | MACD Bear | -29.0% from 52wH | above POC 352.41
COST - 914.94 (+0.51%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 48.5 Neutral | MACD Bull | -16.6% from 52wH | below POC 929.48
NFLX - 67.85 (-2.49%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 32.4 Bearish | MACD Bear | -45.7% from 52wH | below POC 73.85
AMD - 615.73 (+0.65%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 67.0 Bullish | MACD Bull | -3.6% from 52wH | above POC 515.88
ADBE - 241.28 (+0.56%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 43.2 Bearish | MACD Bear | -33.7% from 52wH | below POC 251.93
QCOM - 182.06 (-1.08%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 50.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -30.0% from 52wH | above POC 173.09
TMUS - 161.73 (-0.83%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 33.6 Bearish | MACD Bear | -32.9% from 52wH | below POC 177.57
LIN - 469.45 (-1.10%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 45.7 Neutral | MACD Bull | -14.4% from 52wH | below POC 486.32
ISRG - 401.24 (-1.33%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 57.9 Bullish | MACD Bull | -33.6% from 52wH | above POC 374.74
INTU - 282.78 (+2.56%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 37.8 Bearish | MACD Bear | -59.0% from 52wH | below POC 317.37
CSCO - 108.76 (+1.05%) | Mixed (>20 <50 >200) | RSI 48.2 Neutral | MACD Bull | -16.6% from 52wH | below POC 112.91
TXN - 281.31 (+0.44%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 61.8 Bullish | MACD Bull | -15.8% from 52wH | above POC 275.74
AMAT - 529.20 (+3.48%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 66.9 Bullish | MACD Bull | -28.5% from 52wH | above POC 504.19
BKNG - 160.28 (-1.61%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 31.3 Bearish | MACD Bear | -28.8% from 52wH | below POC 184.86
PANW - 396.25 (-0.27%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60.4 Bullish | MACD Bull | -2.1% from 52wH | above POC 356.20
MU - 1,097.39 (+3.03%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 63.5 Bullish | MACD Bull | -12.6% from 52wH | above POC 934.13
LRCX - 339.88 (+3.46%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 65.3 Bullish | MACD Bull | -22.5% from 52wH | above POC 307.62
KLAC - 200.31 (+2.76%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 63.1 Bullish | MACD Bull | -34.8% from 52wH | above POC 193.39
ADI - 404.60 (+1.99%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 67.1 Bullish | MACD Bull | -9.3% from 52wH | above POC 375.29
REGN - 734.81 (-3.09%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 34.7 Bearish | MACD Bear | -14.5% from 52wH | below POC 761.26
SNPS - 490.54 (+12.78%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 74.4 OB | MACD Bull | -9.1% from 52wH | above POC 407.94
CDNS - 350.73 (+6.22%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 70.6 OB | MACD Bull | -15.8% from 52wH | above POC 322.44
MELI - 1,685.12 (-2.51%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 31.3 Bearish | MACD Bear | -30.6% from 52wH | below POC 1,847.70
CRWD - 266.09 (+0.51%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 67.2 Bullish | MACD Bull | -1.2% from 52wH | above POC 216.77
MAR - 354.79 (-0.25%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 56.6 Bullish | MACD Bull | -13.7% from 52wH | above POC 353.44
ABNB - 160.47 (-0.11%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 43.4 Bearish | MACD Bear | -17.0% from 52wH | below POC 167.25
MRVL - 268.08 (+1.46%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 63.4 Bullish | MACD Bull | -18.7% from 52wH | above POC 221.03
DASH - 182.18 (-0.75%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 36.3 Bearish | MACD Bear | -36.2% from 52wH | below POC 202.77
FTNT - 178.72 (-0.02%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 62.1 Bullish | MACD Bull | -1.5% from 52wH | above POC 162.20
CEG - 258.92 (+1.93%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 43.0 Bearish | MACD Bear | -37.3% from 52wH | below POC 269.23
WDAY - 186.75 (-1.95%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 47.6 Neutral | MACD Bear | -24.5% from 52wH | above POC 176.97
PYPL - 53.06 (+1.01%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 44.8 Bearish | MACD Bull | -33.0% from 52wH | below POC 55.51
ORLY - 85.03 (-0.44%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 43.4 Bearish | MACD Bull | -21.2% from 52wH | below POC 87.65

Summary: 17 Bull (above all) · 13 Bear (below all) · 10 other (partial/mixed). MACD bullish on 24/40. Above POC: 22/40.



Sector Grouping

Mega-cap Tech (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL, AVGO, TSLA) - avg -0.51% | 3 bull-stack / 2 bear-stack
Split. MSFT, NVDA and META hold full bull stacks; AMZN and GOOGL sit below their 20/50 EMAs; AVGO and TSLA are below all three. NVDA is 2.4% from its 52w high - the leader to watch.

Semiconductors (AMD, QCOM, TXN, AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL) - avg +1.80% | 8 bull-stack / 0 bear-stack
Strongest group. Micron's guide re-ignited semi-cap: AMAT, LRCX and KLAC all have MACD above signal and are back above their 20/50 EMAs and POC. AMD (RSI 67) is 3.6% from its 52w high. Only QCOM is mixed (back below EMA20).

Software/Cloud (ADBE, INTU, PANW, SNPS, CDNS, CRWD, FTNT, WDAY, CSCO) - avg +2.38% | 5 bull-stack / 2 bear-stack
Bifurcated. Security (CRWD, PANW, FTNT all within 2.1% of 52w highs) and EDA (SNPS, CDNS overbought after the guide) lead; application software (ADBE, INTU) remains in bear stacks far below 52w highs.

Consumer/Internet (COST, NFLX, BKNG, MELI, MAR, ABNB, DASH, PYPL, ORLY, TMUS) - avg -0.75% | 1 bull-stack / 7 bear-stack
Weakest group - no full bull stacks except MAR. NFLX, BKNG, MELI, TMUS, DASH, ORLY and PYPL are below all three EMAs; TMUS sits just 0.4% above its 52w low. Rising yields and oil are hitting the consumer.

Healthcare/Biotech (ISRG, REGN) - avg -2.21% | 0 bull-stack / 0 bear-stack
ISRG holds above its 20/50 EMAs (still below the 200); REGN fell 3.09% on 1.38x volume and lost its 20/50 EMAs.

Industrial/Other (LIN, CEG) - avg +0.41% | 0 bull-stack / 2 bear-stack
LIN below all EMAs (MACD turning up); CEG +1.93% on the Amazon PPA but still in a bear stack below POC.



Top Swing Setups

MU - Post-earnings continuation (LONG)
Entry: 1,100.00 · Stop: 1,020.00 · T1: 1,199.23 · T2: 1,255.00 · R:R: 1:1.2 (T1) / 1:1.9 (T2)
Beat-and-raise (Q1 rev guide $60-63B vs $57.4B est), closed on the day high 1,098.90 on 1.74x volume. Bull stack (EMA20 1,027.60 / EMA50 977.80), MACD 36.02 > 30.21, RSI 63.5. Stop sits under the day low 1,022.90 and EMA20 (approx. 1.7x ATR 47.29). POC 934.13 far below - no overhead supply until 1,255.

CRWD - 52-week high breakout (LONG)
Entry: 269.50 · Stop: 257.75 · T1: 280.49 · T2: 293.00 · R:R: 1:0.9 (T1) / 1:2.0 (T2)
Closed 1.2% under its 52w high 269.30 with a full bull stack (EMA20 244.02), RSI 67.2 and bullish MACD. Trigger only on a break and hold above 269.30; stop = 1x ATR (11.75) below entry, under classic S1 260.49. Low rv 0.63 - needs volume on the break.

LRCX - Fresh MACD cross, EMA reclaim (LONG)
Entry: 342.00 · Stop: 322.00 · T1: 354.59 · T2: 382.00 · R:R: 1:0.6 (T1) / 1:2.0 (T2)
MACD has turned up through its signal (5.46 vs -0.27) after price reclaimed the EMA20/50 cluster (309.33/309.54) and POC 307.62 - strong confluence base. +3.46% on MU read-across. Entry above the day high 341.64; stop under classic S3 322.82 (approx. 1.4x ATR 13.94).

SNPS - Buy the pullback after the guide (LONG)
Entry: 475.00 · Stop: 446.00 · T1: 504.33 · T2: 539.28 · R:R: 1:1.0 (T1) / 1:2.2 (T2)
Gapped +12.78% on 2.80x volume on FY27 EPS targets of $19.04-19.12 vs $17.69 consensus plus a $1B buyback. RSI 74.4 is overbought and price is 17.6% above EMA20 - do not chase. Wait for a pullback into the 469-475 zone (classic S1 469.38 / Cam S4 471.32). Stop under S2 448.21 (1.5x ATR 19.22); T2 = 52w high 539.48.

NFLX - Breakdown toward 52-week low (SHORT)
Entry: 67.20 · Stop: 70.30 · T1: 65.08 · T2: 61.00 · R:R: 1:0.7 (T1) / 1:2.0 (T2)
Bear stack (EMA20 73.23 / EMA50 75.49 / EMA200 84.57), MACD -2.31 < -1.57, -2.49% on 1.16x volume and 45.7% below its 52w high. Short only below classic S1 67.21; T1 = 52w low 65.08. RSI 32.4 is close to oversold - take partial profits at T1 and respect a reversal.



Intraday Setups (Fri 2 Oct)

NFP at 13:30 UK can blow through any intraday level - consider waiting for the first 15-30 minutes after the cash open (14:30 UK) before acting on these.

SNPS - Camarilla R4 breakout (LONG)
Entry: 510.00 · Stop: 500.15 · T1: 518.11 · T2: 529.00 · R:R: 1:0.8 / 1:1.9
Momentum day-2. Long only on a push through Cam R4 509.76 and classic R1 504.33 (both cleared = trend day). Stop back below Cam R3 500.15. T1 classic R2 518.11.

MU - Camarilla S3 range buy (LONG)
Entry: 1,076.50 · Stop: 1,062.00 · T1: 1,090.42 · T2: 1,104.36 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:1.9
If Friday opens inside the Cam range, buy the dip to S3 1,076.49 (just above the classic pivot 1,073.06). Stop under 1,062; targets Cam S1 1,090.42 and Cam R1 1,104.36.

NVDA - Pivot bounce (LONG)
Entry: 230.45 · Stop: 228.50 · T1: 232.71 · T2: 234.57 · R:R: 1:1.2 / 1:2.1
Classic pivot 230.44 and Cam S1 230.48 coincide - a clean line in the sand. Buy a hold of 230.45; stop under classic S1 228.58. Targets classic R1 232.71 and R2 234.57 (52w high 236.54 beyond).

AMD - Camarilla R4 breakout (LONG)
Entry: 625.75 · Stop: 619.30 · T1: 629.98 · T2: 639.00 · R:R: 1:0.7 / 1:2.1
Above Cam R4 625.52 the next magnet is the 52w high 639.00. Stop back under the 1 Oct high 619.30 (also below Cam R3 620.63).

MELI - Camarilla S4 breakdown (SHORT)
Entry: 1,650.00 · Stop: 1,668.00 · T1: 1,632.05 · T2: 1,614.00 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:2.0
Bear stack, MACD -48.24 < -31.62, RSI 31.3. Short a break of Cam S4 1,650.51; stop above Cam S3 1,667.82 / day low 1,668.44. T1 classic S2 1,632.05; S3 1,595.67 is the stretch target.



Key Levels Dashboard

NVDA - 230.86 (+1.09%) - Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 228.59 · S3 229.72 · S2 230.10 · S1 230.48 || R1 231.24 · R2 231.62 · R3 232.00 · R4 233.13
Classic: S3 224.45 · S2 226.31 · S1 228.58 · P 230.44 · R1 232.71 · R2 234.57 · R3 236.84
EMA20 223.95 · EMA50 218.87 · EMA200 201.88 · POC 215.81 · Prev H/L 232.29 / 228.16 · 52w H/L 236.54 / 164.27 · ATR 5.82 · RSI 60.1

MSFT - 512.80 (-0.02%) - Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 506.93 · S3 509.86 · S2 510.84 · S1 511.82 || R1 513.78 · R2 514.76 · R3 515.74 · R4 518.67
Classic: S3 498.35 · S2 505.26 · S1 509.03 · P 515.94 · R1 519.71 · R2 526.62 · R3 530.39
EMA20 501.87 · EMA50 481.95 · EMA200 448.85 · POC 463.58 · Prev H/L 522.85 / 512.17 · 52w H/L 553.72 / 349.20 · ATR 11.73 · RSI 60.2

AAPL - 330.32 (-0.81%) - Mixed (<20 >50 >200)
Cam: S4 326.65 · S3 328.49 · S2 329.10 · S1 329.71 || R1 330.93 · R2 331.54 · R3 332.15 · R4 333.99
Classic: S3 319.92 · S2 322.87 · S1 326.59 · P 329.54 · R1 333.26 · R2 336.21 · R3 339.93
EMA20 331.07 · EMA50 323.13 · EMA200 294.14 · POC 321.74 · Prev H/L 332.48 / 325.81 · 52w H/L 345.34 / 243.42 · ATR 7.25 · RSI 51.4

AMD - 615.73 (+0.65%) - Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 605.94 · S3 610.84 · S2 612.47 · S1 614.10 || R1 617.36 · R2 618.99 · R3 620.63 · R4 625.52
Classic: S3 587.25 · S2 594.38 · S1 605.05 · P 612.18 · R1 622.85 · R2 629.98 · R3 640.65
EMA20 570.28 · EMA50 529.58 · EMA200 406.26 · POC 515.88 · Prev H/L 619.30 / 601.50 · 52w H/L 639.00 / 160.49 · ATR 23.78 · RSI 67.0

MU - 1,097.39 (+3.03%) - Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 1,055.59 · S3 1,076.49 · S2 1,083.46 · S1 1,090.42 || R1 1,104.36 · R2 1,111.32 · R3 1,118.29 · R4 1,139.19
Classic: S3 971.23 · S2 997.06 · S1 1,047.23 · P 1,073.06 · R1 1,123.23 · R2 1,149.06 · R3 1,199.23
EMA20 1,027.60 · EMA50 977.80 · EMA200 727.15 · POC 934.13 · Prev H/L 1,098.90 / 1,022.90 · 52w H/L 1,255.00 / 165.50 · ATR 47.29 · RSI 63.5



Bearish Warnings
Index: MACD histogram contracting two sessions; momentum easing near highs; 10y yield 5.33% (highest since 2002) with Fed hike odds elevated. A daily close below 30,000 would break the flag.
EMA50 below EMA200 (death-cross structure): TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, LIN, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, SNPS, CDNS, MELI, CEG, ORLY (14 names). Note SNPS and CDNS rallied above both, but their 50s are still under their 200s.
Bearish MACD (MACD < signal): AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, TSLA, NFLX, ADBE, QCOM, TMUS, INTU, BKNG, REGN, MELI, ABNB, DASH, CEG, WDAY (16/40).
Near 52-week lows: TMUS (+0.4%, low 161.14), ORLY (+3.0%, low 82.59), NFLX (+4.3%, low 65.08), BKNG (+6.8%, low 150.14).
Overbought RSI: SNPS RSI 74.4 (17.7% above EMA20), CDNS RSI 70.6 (11.7% above EMA20) - stretched after the guide; fade risk on any market wobble.
Fragile leaders: AVGO (-2.15%, -30.6% from 52w high, below all EMAs) and GOOGL (-1.70% on 1.22x volume, back below EMA20/50) are index heavyweights in bear/weak structures.



Events Calendar
Fri 2 Oct, 13:30 UK (08:30 ET): US September Non-Farm Payrolls - consensus roughly +84K to +98K, unemployment 4.1%, average hourly earnings +0.3% m/m. With markets pricing a sizeable chance of an October Fed hike, a hot print (and yields pushing higher) is the main downside risk for tech; a soft print could fuel a run at the 30,770 ATH.
Fed: NY Fed President Williams said this week the Fed could wait until December before raising again - watch any Fed speakers after NFP.
Rates/oil: 10y 5.33%, 30y 5.67%; crude elevated on Middle East / Hormuz tension and China fuel-export suspension.
Index change: Moderna (MRNA) joins the Nasdaq-100 from 9 October.
Earnings (40 tracked): None of the 40 is scheduled to report in the next two sessions; Q3 season for the group ramps from mid-October. Reactions to MU and SNPS remain the near-term read-through for semis and EDA.



Report: 02 Oct 2026 08:02 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis - Tuesday 29 September 2026
Data: Close 29 Sep 2026 | NAS100: 30,339.33 | Change: +62.52 (+0.21%) | Range: 30,235.67-30,429.97



Market Overview
The NAS100 eked out a +0.21% gain to 30,339.33, but the candle tells a softer story: the index opened at 30,412.29, faded to 30,235.67 and closed below its open. It was a tight 194-point inside day (inside Monday's 30,081-30,480 range) on below-average volume (1.07bn vs 1.27bn 20-day average).

Drivers: The Conference Board consumer confidence index dropped to 81.9 (consensus 89.2), its lowest level since 2014. Long-dated Treasury yields stayed near multi-decade highs, and US-Iran mediation headlines kept oil in focus. Semiconductors and META carried the tape. Semi-equipment names squeezed higher (AMAT +5.19%, MRVL +4.51%, KLAC +3.89%, LRCX +2.99%), META added +3.26% on an analyst upgrade after Monday's surge, and DASH bounced +4.88% on 1.32x relative volume. AMD was flat (-0.05%) after announcing an $8.2bn all-stock deal for World Labs.

Laggards: AAPL -2.66%, TMUS -2.08%, QCOM -1.80%, TSLA -1.29%. Breadth across the 40 tracked components was 22 up / 18 down. VIX 16.04 (flat).

Bias: Bullish above 30,081 (Monday's low). The trend is intact, but momentum is cooling into a heavy data run (PCE Wed, ISM Thu, NFP Fri). A close below 30,081 opens the EMA20 at ~29,890.



Trend
EMA stack: Close 30,339 > EMA20 29,892 > EMA50 29,529 > EMA200 ~27,801 - full bullish alignment, price +1.5% above EMA20.
Structure: Higher low at 28,753 (20-day low) followed by a record high at 30,770.63 on 22 Sep. Since then the index has made lower highs (30,706 / 30,668 / 30,480 / 30,430), so it is consolidating 1.4% below the high.
Phase: Stage 2 uptrend, currently in a shallow bull-flag / pause. The trend stays intact while above the EMA20.



Indicators
RSI(14): 59.3. It peaked at 68.0 on 22 Sep and has eased with price holding near highs. That is a mild negative momentum divergence, not yet a sell signal.
MACD(12,26,9): 308.4 vs signal 216.6 - bullish, but the histogram is contracting for a third session (145.8 -> 115.0 -> 91.. Momentum is fading.
Volume: 1.07bn, ~85% of the 20-day average. Light participation on the bounce means low conviction.
ATR(14): ~406 pts. Expect a larger range on Friday's payrolls.



Key Index Levels
Resistance: R1 30,430-30,434 (today's high / classic R1) · R2 30,480-30,529 (Monday's high / classic R2) · R3 30,770 (record high), then 31,000 round number
Support: S1 30,235-30,240 (today's low / classic S1) · S2 30,081 (Monday's low), 30,000 round number · S3 29,892 (EMA20), then 29,529 (EMA50)
Classic pivots: S2 30,140.69 · S1 30,240.01 · P 30,334.99 · R1 30,434.31 · R2 30,529.29
Camarilla: S4 30,232.47 · S3 30,285.90 || R3 30,392.76 · R4 30,446.20



Component Signals (all 40)
Trend = strict close vs EMA20/50/200 · RSI zone · MACD vs signal · % from 52-week high · Close vs 60-day POC

AAPL 329.40 -2.66% | Mixed (below 20) | RSI 50.9 Neutral | MACD Bear | -4.6% from 52wH | Above POC
MSFT 508.96 -0.05% | Bull (above all) | RSI 58.4 Neutral | MACD Bear | -8.1% from 52wH | Above POC
NVDA 227.21 -0.72% | Bull (above all) | RSI 56.6 Neutral | MACD Bull | -3.9% from 52wH | Above POC
AMZN 246.67 +0.21% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 41.9 Neutral | MACD Bear | -14.1% from 52wH | Below POC
META 738.96 +3.26% | Bull (above all) | RSI 64.5 Bullish | MACD Bull | -5.2% from 52wH | Above POC
GOOGL 340.92 -0.53% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 47.4 Neutral | MACD Bull | -16.6% from 52wH | Below POC
AVGO 355.10 +1.58% | Bear (below all) | RSI 46 Neutral | MACD Bull | -28.3% from 52wH | Below POC
TSLA 352.84 -1.29% | Bear (below all) | RSI 44.8 Neutral | MACD Bear | -29.3% from 52wH | Below POC
COST 924.59 +0.18% | Mixed (below 50/200) | RSI 53.1 Neutral | MACD Bull | -15.7% from 52wH | Below POC
NFLX 70.30 +1.55% | Bear (below all) | RSI 37.1 Weak | MACD Bear | -43.7% from 52wH | Below POC
AMD 607.57 -0.05% | Bull (above all) | RSI 65.5 Bullish | MACD Bull | -4.9% from 52wH | Above POC
ADBE 233.17 +0.94% | Bear (below all) | RSI 36.4 Weak | MACD Bear | -35.9% from 52wH | Below POC
QCOM 184.10 -1.80% | Mixed (below 20) | RSI 51.8 Neutral | MACD Bull | -29.2% from 52wH | Above POC
TMUS 162.98 -2.08% | Bear (below all) | RSI 34.8 Weak | MACD Bear | -32.4% from 52wH | Below POC
LIN 473.37 +0.28% | Mixed (below 50/200) | RSI 50.1 Neutral | MACD Bull | -13.7% from 52wH | Below POC
ISRG 412.18 -0.63% | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 67.2 Bullish | MACD Bull | -31.7% from 52wH | Above POC
INTU 268.03 -0.51% | Bear (below all) | RSI 27.4 OS | MACD Bear | -61.9% from 52wH | Below POC
CSCO 106.94 +0.19% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 42.4 Neutral | MACD Bear | -18.0% from 52wH | Below POC
TXN 281.69 +1.21% | Bull (above all) | RSI 62.9 Bullish | MACD Bull | -15.7% from 52wH | Above POC
AMAT 512.01 +5.19% | Bull (above all) | RSI 63 Bullish | MACD Bull | -30.8% from 52wH | Above POC
BKNG 162.34 -0.93% | Bear (below all) | RSI 32.5 Weak | MACD Bear | -27.8% from 52wH | Below POC
PANW 388.41 -0.94% | Bull (above all) | RSI 58.2 Neutral | MACD Bull | -2.6% from 52wH | Above POC
MU 1,065.08 +1.05% | Bull (above all) | RSI 59.7 Neutral | MACD Bull | -15.1% from 52wH | Above POC
LRCX 323.86 +2.99% | Bull (above all) | RSI 59.5 Neutral | MACD Bull | -26.1% from 52wH | Above POC
KLAC 196.53 +3.89% | Bull (above all) | RSI 61 Bullish | MACD Bull | -36.1% from 52wH | Above POC
ADI 398.22 +0.71% | Bull (above all) | RSI 64.6 Bullish | MACD Bull | -10.7% from 52wH | Above POC
REGN 750.51 -0.23% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 37.3 Weak | MACD Bear | -12.7% from 52wH | Below POC
SNPS 415.09 -0.60% | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 54.3 Neutral | MACD Bull | -23.1% from 52wH | Above POC
CDNS 324.17 -0.77% | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 59.6 Neutral | MACD Bull | -22.2% from 52wH | Above POC
MELI 1,725.54 +0.77% | Bear (below all) | RSI 34.8 Weak | MACD Bear | -32.3% from 52wH | Below POC
CRWD 262.74 +1.35% | Bull (above all) | RSI 66 Bullish | MACD Bull | -1.8% from 52wH | Above POC
MAR 361.62 +0.85% | Bull (above all) | RSI 65 Bullish | MACD Bull | -12.0% from 52wH | Above POC
ABNB 156.96 +0.56% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 38.4 Weak | MACD Bear | -18.9% from 52wH | Below POC
MRVL 263.27 +4.51% | Bull (above all) | RSI 61.6 Bullish | MACD Bull | -20.2% from 52wH | Above POC
DASH 187.10 +4.88% | Bear (below all) | RSI 39.3 Weak | MACD Bear | -34.5% from 52wH | Below POC
FTNT 175.96 -0.21% | Bull (above all) | RSI 59.6 Neutral | MACD Bull | -3.0% from 52wH | Above POC
CEG 264.58 +1.59% | Bear (below all) | RSI 45.7 Neutral | MACD Bear | -35.9% from 52wH | Below POC
WDAY 189.17 +0.30% | Mixed (below 20) | RSI 50 Neutral | MACD Bear | -24.3% from 52wH | Above POC
PYPL 53.89 -0.72% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 47.3 Neutral | MACD Bull | -32.0% from 52wH | Below POC
ORLY 86.08 -0.50% | Bear (below all) | RSI 47.4 Neutral | MACD Bull | -20.8% from 52wH | Below POC

Scorecard: Bull (above all) 15 · Bull (above 20/50) 3 · Mixed 5 · Bear (below 20/50) 6 · Bear (below all) 11. EMA classifications were verified programmatically (close vs each EMA) with 0 mismatches.



Sector Grouping
Semiconductors (AMD, QCOM, TXN, AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL): strongest group - 8 of 9 Bull (above all), and only QCOM has slipped below its EMA20. AMAT, LRCX and KLAC all flipped to fresh MACD bullish crosses today. Semi-equipment leadership is broadening.
Mega-cap Tech (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL, AVGO, TSLA): split. MSFT, NVDA and META are Bull (above all), and AAPL is Mixed after losing its EMA20. AMZN and GOOGL are Bear (below 20/50), while AVGO and TSLA are Bear (below all). META is doing the heavy lifting, and MSFT has a bearish MACD cross.
Software / Cloud / Cyber (ADBE, INTU, PANW, SNPS, CDNS, CRWD, FTNT, WDAY, CSCO): two-tier. Cyber leads, with PANW, CRWD and FTNT all Bull and within 3% of 52-week highs. SNPS and CDNS are Bull (above 20/50). Application software is broken: INTU (RSI 27.4) and ADBE are Bear (below all).
Consumer / Internet (COST, NFLX, TMUS, BKNG, MELI, MAR, ABNB, DASH, PYPL, ORLY): weakest group - 6 of 10 Bear (below all) (NFLX, TMUS, BKNG, MELI, DASH, ORLY). MAR is the only Bull. Today's weak confidence print fits this group's persistent underperformance.
Healthcare / Biotech (ISRG, REGN): ISRG is Bull (above 20/50) with RSI 67.2 but is still below its EMA200. REGN is Bear (below 20/50) on 1.13x relative volume.
Industrial / Other (LIN, CEG): LIN is Mixed (below 50/200). CEG is Bear (below all), 35.9% off its high.



Top Swing Setups
1. AMAT - Long (semi-equipment breakout, fresh MACD cross)
Entry: 508.15 (pivot, dip entry) · Stop: 477.75 (1.5x ATR, below EMA50 483.71) · T1: 548.65 · T2: 568.95 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.0
Confluence: +5.19% on 1.11x relative volume (best conviction among the bulls), MACD 0.25 crossed above signal -9.64, and price reclaimed the 60-day POC at 506.05. The entry sits just above POC support. ATR 20.26.

2. META - Long (momentum continuation toward 52-week high)
Entry: 731.50 (pivot / Cam S3 retest) · Stop: 684.50 (below EMA20 686.77) · T1: 779.80 (52-week high) · T2: 814.90 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:1.8
Confluence: Bull (above all), RSI 64.5 with room before overbought, MACD 39.89 > 34.38, and a 16.6% premium to POC 633.65. Wait for the dip rather than chasing after back-to-back big up days. ATR 27.81.

3. LRCX - Long (MACD bull cross, POC reclaimed)
Entry: 323.78 (pivot) · Stop: 302.10 (1.5x ATR, below EMA20 303.76) · T1: 352.65 · T2: 367.10 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.0
Confluence: +2.99%, MACD 1.55 crossed above signal -2.95, and the close is back above EMA20/EMA50 and POC 307.67. It moves in tandem with AMAT and KLAC. ATR 14.44.

4. MU - Long (trend pullback buy)
Entry: 1,054.30 (classic S1) · Stop: 983.90 (1.5x ATR, between EMA20 1,015.53 and EMA50 969.15) · T1: 1,148.15 · T2: 1,195.10 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.0
Confluence: Bull (above all), MACD 34.52 > 27.42, RSI 59.7, far above POC 929.21, and 15.1% below its 52-week high of 1,255 leaves upside room. Relative volume is soft at 0.75x, so size down. ATR 46.93.

5. TMUS - Short (52-week low breakdown)
Entry: 161.00 (break of 52-week low 161.14) · Stop: 168.20 (1.5x ATR) · T1: 151.40 · T2: 146.60 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.0
Confluence: Bear (below all), EMA50 176.83 is below EMA200 191.72, MACD -4.57 < -3.49, and -2.08% today leaves it 1.1% above the 52-week low and well below POC 178.20. RSI 34.8 is approaching oversold, so only take it on a confirmed break. ATR 4.80.



Intraday Setups
1. AMAT - Camarilla R4 breakout (Long)
Entry: 520.00 (above Cam R4 519.77) · Stop: 513.30 (Cam R1) · T1: 531.25 (R3) · T2: 540.00 · R:R: 1:1.7 / 1:3.0
Reasoning: The close sat at the day's high (512.01 vs 513.28). A push through R4 on volume extends the relative-volume breakout.

2. META - Pivot bounce (Long)
Entry: 732.00 (pivot 731.50 / Cam S3 731.99 hold) · Stop: 724.50 (below Cam S4 725.02) · T1: 747.91 (R1) · T2: 756.85 (R2) · R:R: 1:2.1 / 1:3.3
Reasoning: The trend-day close sits near the high (740.45). First dips into the pivot / S3 cluster are the high-probability long.

3. AAPL - Camarilla range fade (Short)
Entry: 331.70 (Cam R3 331.71 / pivot 331.73 / EMA20 330.95 cluster) · Stop: 334.10 (above Cam R4 334.01) · T1: 328.63 (Cam S1) · T2: 326.37 (classic S1) · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.2
Reasoning: AAPL lost its EMA20 on a -2.66% day with MACD below signal. Any bounce into the R3/pivot/EMA20 cluster is a sell unless it holds above R4.

4. TMUS - Camarilla S4 breakdown (Short)
Entry: 161.10 (below Cam S4 161.50 and 52-week low 161.14) · Stop: 162.25 (Cam S3) · T1: 159.31 (classic S3) · T2: 157.50 · R:R: 1:1.6 / 1:3.1
Reasoning: The close was near the low (162.98 vs 162.76) in a Bear (below all) trend. Losing S4 plus the 52-week low triggers stops.

5. CRWD - 52-week high breakout (Long)
Entry: 269.40 (above Cam R4 269.30 / 52-week high 267.69) · Stop: 263.80 (Cam R1 263.83) · T1: 273.99 (R2) · T2: 280.30 (R3) · R:R: 1:0.8 / 1:1.9
Reasoning: It printed a new 52-week high today, RSI is 66 and MACD is bullish. Relative volume is only 0.60x, so require a volume confirmation on the break and scale out at T1.



Key Levels Dashboard
NVDA 227.21 - Cam: S4 224.03 · S3 225.62 · S1 226.68 || R1 227.74 · R3 228.80 · R4 230.39
Classic: S3 219.43 · S2 223.23 · S1 225.22 · P 229.02 · R1 231.01 · R2 234.81 · R3 236.80 | EMA20 222.68 · EMA50 217.98 · EMA200 201.32 · POC 214.77 | Prev H/L 232.82 / 227.03 | 52w 236.54 / 164.27

MSFT 508.96 - Cam: S4 502.78 · S3 505.87 · S1 507.93 || R1 509.99 · R3 512.05 · R4 515.14
Classic: S3 491.79 · S2 497.09 · S1 503.03 · P 508.33 · R1 514.27 · R2 519.57 · R3 525.51 | EMA20 499.44 · EMA50 479.38 · EMA200 447.55 · POC 459.76 | Prev H/L 513.64 / 502.40 | 52w 553.72 / 349.20

META 738.96 - Cam: S4 725.02 · S3 731.99 · S1 736.64 || R1 741.28 · R3 745.93 · R4 752.90
Classic: S3 697.21 · S2 706.15 · S1 722.56 · P 731.50 · R1 747.91 · R2 756.85 · R3 773.26 | EMA20 686.77 · EMA50 643.12 · EMA200 629.89 · POC 633.65 | Prev H/L 740.45 / 715.10 | 52w 779.82 / 520.26

AMD 607.57 - Cam: S4 597.19 · S3 602.38 · S1 605.84 || R1 609.30 · R3 612.76 · R4 617.95
Classic: S3 581.62 · S2 593.44 · S1 600.50 · P 612.32 · R1 619.38 · R2 631.20 · R3 638.26 | EMA20 560.62 · EMA50 522.56 · EMA200 402.07 · POC 513.63 | Prev H/L 624.13 / 605.25 | 52w 639.00 / 159.33

AAPL 329.40 - Cam: S4 324.79 · S3 327.09 · S1 328.63 || R1 330.17 · R3 331.71 · R4 334.01
Classic: S3 317.98 · S2 323.34 · S1 326.37 · P 331.73 · R1 334.76 · R2 340.12 · R3 343.15 | EMA20 330.95 · EMA50 322.42 · EMA200 293.38 · POC 321.13 | Prev H/L 337.09 / 328.70 | 52w 345.34 / 243.42



Bearish Warnings
EMA50 below EMA200 (death-cross structure), 14 names: TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, LIN, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, SNPS, CDNS, MELI, CEG, ORLY.
Bearish MACD (below signal), 16 names: AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, TSLA, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, INTU, CSCO, BKNG, REGN, MELI, ABNB, DASH, CEG, WDAY. Most notable are MSFT (7.02 vs 7.35, fresh cross while still Bull above all) and AAPL (5.19 vs 5.47, now below EMA20).
Near 52-week lows: TMUS +1.1% above its low (161.14), ORLY +4.2% (82.59), INTU +6.0% (252.84) and deeply oversold at RSI 27.4, NFLX +8.0% (65.08), BKNG +8.1% (150.14).
Index momentum divergence: NAS100 RSI slid from 68.0 to 59.3 while price held within 1.4% of the record, and the MACD histogram has contracted three sessions running. No component is overbought (highest RSI: ISRG 67.2), so there is no classic overbought divergence, but momentum is cooling.
Macro: Consumer confidence is at a 12-year low and long-end yields are at multi-decade highs. The consumer / internet group (6 of 10 Bear below all) is already pricing that stress.



Events Calendar
Wed 30 Sep: ADP Employment (8:15am ET), Q2 GDP third estimate + August PCE / Core PCE (8:30am ET), Chicago PMI (9:45am ET). It is also quarter-end, so watch for rebalancing flows into the close.
Thu 1 Oct: Initial Jobless Claims (8:30am ET), S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (9:45am ET), ISM Manufacturing + Construction Spending (10:00am ET).
Fri 2 Oct: September Non-Farm Payrolls (8:30am ET), Factory Orders (10:00am ET).
Fed speakers this week: NY Fed John Williams, Chicago Fed Austan Goolsbee, Dallas Fed Lorie Logan.
Earnings (40 components): none scheduled in the next two sessions. Q3 reporting season begins mid-October, so check individual dates.
Geopolitics: US-Iran indirect talks via mediators - oil headline risk remains.



Report: 29 Sep 2026 22:05 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Daily Technical Analysis - Monday 28 September 2026
Data: Close 28 Sep 2026 | NAS100: 30,276.81 | Change: -331.32 (-1.08%) | Range: 30,081.06-30,480.40



Market Overview
The Nasdaq 100 closed at 30,276.81, down 331.32 pts (-1.08%), and now sits 1.6% below the 22 Sep record high of 30,770.63. The index gapped lower at 30,426.63, stalled at 30,480.40 and tagged 30,081.06 before a late bounce of about 196 points off the low into the close.

Drivers: Risk-off on renewed US-Iran tension - President Trump rejected Iran's ceasefire proposal and Nov WTI crude rose about 2.9% to near 95 dollars. The US 10-year yield pushed to 5.21%, its highest since 2007, less than two weeks after the Fed hiked to 3.75-4.00%. VIX rose about 10% to 16.37. Recent AI winners saw profit-taking. S&P 500 -0.77%, Dow -0.67%, Nasdaq Composite -0.9%.

Top gainers (tracked 40): PANW +4.63% · CRWD +2.82% · ISRG +2.37% · MAR +1.86% · NVDA +1.68%
Top losers (tracked 40): DASH -7.74% · QCOM -7.17% · META -4.79% · REGN -4.54% · TSLA -3.94%

Breadth (tracked 40): 16 up / 24 down.
Bias: Bullish primary trend, short-term corrective. Bulls need a reclaim of 30,480 to reopen the record high; a daily close below 30,080 opens the EMA20 at 29,845.



Trend
EMA stack: Close 30,276.81 > EMA20 29,845.46 > EMA50 29,495.57 > EMA200 27,781.31 - fully bullish stack. Price is 1.4% above the EMA20 and 9.0% above the EMA200.
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows from the 20-day low of 28,753.29. The 18-22 Sep breakout leg (29,644 to 30,770) is now consolidating in a 30,080-30,770 band.
Phase: Stage 2 advance - pullback within an uptrend. No trend damage while the EMA20 holds.



Indicators
RSI(14): 58.5, down from 68.0 at the 22 Sep high - cooling from near-overbought. No confirmed bearish divergence yet; a lower RSI high on any retest of 30,770 would be the warning.
MACD: 308.6 vs signal 193.6 - still bullish, but the histogram has narrowed to 115 from about 146-147 over the prior three sessions. Momentum is fading, not reversed.
Volume: 1.18bn vs 20-day average 1.27bn. The decline came on below-average volume, which reads as orderly profit-taking rather than distribution.
Component internals: 17 of 40 Bull (above all EMAs) vs 10 Bear (below all) · 25 with MACD above signal · 20 above their 60-day POC.



Key Index Levels
Resistance: R1 30,480 (today's high / classic R1 30,477.79) · R2 30,608 (Friday's close) and classic R2 30,678.76 · R3 30,770.63 (record high)
Support: S1 30,080 (today's low / classic S1 30,078.45) · S2 29,845 (EMA20) and classic S2 29,880.08 · S3 29,496 (EMA50) / 29,500
Classic pivots: S3 29,679.11 · S2 29,880.08 · S1 30,078.45 · P 30,279.42 · R1 30,477.79 · R2 30,678.76 · R3 30,877.13
Camarilla: S4 30,057.17 · S3 30,166.99 · S1 30,240.20 || R1 30,313.42 · R3 30,386.63 · R4 30,496.45
Round numbers: 30,000 · 30,500 · 31,000. ATR(14) 400 pts.



Component Signals (all 40)
Trend = close vs EMA20/50/200 (strict). RSI zone: OB 70+, Bull 50-70, Bear 30-50, OS 30 or below. MACD = line vs signal. POC = 60-day VWAP.

Mega-cap Tech
AAPL 338.40 (-0.78%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 61.8 Bull | MACD Bull | -2.0% vs 52wH | Above POC 320.80
MSFT 509.22 (-1.35%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 58.6 Bull | MACD Bear | -8.0% vs 52wH | Above POC 457.71
NVDA 228.86 (+1.68%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 58.6 Bull | MACD Bull | -3.2% vs 52wH | Above POC 214.30
AMZN 246.15 (-1.41%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 41.2 Bear | MACD Bear | -14.3% vs 52wH | Below POC 255.45
META 715.62 (-4.79%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60.9 Bull | MACD Bull | -8.2% vs 52wH | Above POC 631.16
GOOGL 342.75 (-0.34%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 48.8 Bear | MACD Bull | -16.1% vs 52wH | Below POC 346.75
TSLA 357.45 (-3.94%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 47.1 Bear | MACD Bear | -28.3% vs 52wH | Above POC 355.29

Semiconductors
AVGO 349.57 (-0.92%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 41.9 Bear | MACD Bull | -29.4% vs 52wH | Below POC 374.42
AMD 607.87 (-3.60%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 65.6 Bull | MACD Bull | -4.9% vs 52wH | Above POC 513.32
QCOM 187.48 (-7.17%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 54.3 Bull | MACD Bull | -27.9% vs 52wH | Above POC 173.28
TXN 278.31 (+0.09%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60.3 Bull | MACD Bull | -16.7% vs 52wH | Above POC 276.74
AMAT 486.76 (+0.36%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 56.2 Bull | MACD Bull | -34.2% vs 52wH | Below POC 507.95
MU 1,053.98 (-2.61%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 58.4 Bull | MACD Bull | -16.0% vs 52wH | Above POC 929.14
LRCX 314.47 (-0.23%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 55.8 Bull | MACD Bull | -28.3% vs 52wH | Above POC 308.57
KLAC 189.17 (+0.67%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 55.2 Bull | MACD Bull | -38.5% vs 52wH | Below POC 195.30
ADI 395.43 (+0.46%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 63.2 Bull | MACD Bull | -11.3% vs 52wH | Above POC 374.85
MRVL 251.90 (-3.83%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 57.1 Bull | MACD Bull | -23.6% vs 52wH | Above POC 220.68

Software/Cloud
ADBE 231.01 (-1.89%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 34.5 Bear | MACD Bear | -36.5% vs 52wH | Below POC 250.75
INTU 269.40 (-2.32%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 27.8 OS | MACD Bear | -61.7% vs 52wH | Below POC 316.59
PANW 392.09 (+4.63%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 59.8 Bull | MACD Bull | -1.7% vs 52wH | Above POC 353.60
SNPS 417.61 (-1.91%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 55.6 Bull | MACD Bull | -22.6% vs 52wH | Above POC 403.74
CDNS 326.70 (+0.17%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 61.5 Bull | MACD Bull | -21.6% vs 52wH | Above POC 323.47
CRWD 259.25 (+2.82%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 64.8 Bull | MACD Bull | -1.8% vs 52wH | Above POC 213.98
FTNT 176.33 (+1.65%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60.1 Bull | MACD Bull | -2.8% vs 52wH | Above POC 161.57
WDAY 188.60 (-0.45%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 49.5 Bear | MACD Bear | -24.5% vs 52wH | Above POC 174.56
CSCO 106.74 (+0.04%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 41.8 Bear | MACD Bear | -18.1% vs 52wH | Below POC 113.11

Consumer/Internet
COST 922.92 (+0.02%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 52.4 Bull | MACD Bull | -15.8% vs 52wH | Below POC 931.22
NFLX 69.23 (-2.69%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 33.4 Bear | MACD Bear | -44.6% vs 52wH | Below POC 74.19
BKNG 163.87 (-0.05%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 33.6 Bear | MACD Bear | -27.2% vs 52wH | Below POC 185.81
MELI 1,712.41 (-2.29%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 32.5 Bear | MACD Bear | -32.8% vs 52wH | Below POC 1,855.05
MAR 358.57 (+1.86%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 62.7 Bull | MACD Bull | -12.8% vs 52wH | Above POC 354.43
ABNB 156.08 (-0.88%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 37.2 Bear | MACD Bear | -19.3% vs 52wH | Below POC 167.09
DASH 178.39 (-7.74%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 29.8 OS | MACD Bear | -37.5% vs 52wH | Below POC 203.13
PYPL 54.28 (-1.38%) | Mixed (>20 <50 >200) | RSI 48.9 Bear | MACD Bull | -31.5% vs 52wH | Below POC 55.19
ORLY 86.51 (+0.46%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 49.0 Bear | MACD Bull | -20.4% vs 52wH | Below POC 87.55
TMUS 166.45 (+0.62%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 38.4 Bear | MACD Bear | -30.9% vs 52wH | Below POC 178.48

Healthcare/Biotech
ISRG 414.79 (+2.37%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 69.6 Bull | MACD Bull | -31.3% vs 52wH | Above POC 376.10
REGN 752.25 (-4.54%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 37.7 Bear | MACD Bear | -12.5% vs 52wH | Below POC 756.63

Industrial/Other
LIN 472.04 (+0.46%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 48.6 Bear | MACD Bull | -13.9% vs 52wH | Below POC 489.54
CEG 260.43 (-1.08%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 41.8 Bear | MACD Bear | -36.9% vs 52wH | Below POC 268.22



Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (7): avg day -1.56% · 4 Bull above all · 1 Bear below all · 4 MACD bull
Semiconductors (10): avg day -1.68% · 9 Bull above all · 1 Bear below all · 10 MACD bull
Software/Cloud (9): avg day +0.30% · 3 Bull above all · 2 Bear below all · 5 MACD bull
Consumer/Internet (10): avg day -1.21% · 1 Bull above all · 5 Bear below all · 4 MACD bull
Healthcare/Biotech (2): avg day -1.09% · 0 Bull above all · 0 Bear below all · 1 MACD bull
Industrial/Other (2): avg day -0.31% · 0 Bull above all · 1 Bear below all · 1 MACD bull

Semiconductors remain the structural leader (9 of 10 above all EMAs, all 10 MACD bullish) despite the day's profit-taking in QCOM, MRVL and AMD. Software/Cloud was the only group green on the day, led by cybersecurity (PANW, CRWD, FTNT all within 3% of 52-week highs). Consumer/Internet is the weak link: half the group is below all EMAs, average RSI is around 42, and DASH, MELI, BKNG and NFLX remain in downtrends. Mega-cap is split - AAPL, MSFT, NVDA and META trend up; AMZN and GOOGL sit below their EMA20/50; TSLA is below all three.



Top Swing Setups
1. CRWD - LONG (52-week high breakout)
Entry: 264.50 · Stop: 249.80 · T1: 282.90 · T2: 301.30 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.5
Bull (above all EMAs), MACD 13.65 over 11.15, RSI 64.8, +2.82% today to 259.25 - 1.8% under the 52w high 263.87. Trigger on a close through 263.87 / classic R1 264.45. Stop 1.2x ATR (12.26), just under classic S1 250.28. POC 213.98 well below. Rel vol only 0.75 - want 1.0+ on the break.

2. PANW - LONG (52-week high breakout)
Entry: 399.00 · Stop: 376.80 · T1: 426.70 · T2: 454.35 · R:R: 1:1.2 / 1:2.5
+4.63% and closed near the day's high (367.27-394.50). Bull (above all), MACD 9.00 over 5.93, RSI 59.8, 1.7% below the 52w high 398.88. Stop 1.2x ATR (18.45), below Camarilla S4 377.11. T1 sits just under classic R3 429.20. POC 353.60 support below.

3. NVDA - LONG (strength vs tape)
Entry: 233.30 · Stop: 226.00 · T1: 242.35 · T2: 251.40 · R:R: 1:1.2 / 1:2.5
Up 1.68% on a down day with rel vol 1.24 - the best-conviction gain in the list. Bull (above all), MACD 2.59 over 2.05, RSI 58.6. Entry over today's high 233.21; first hurdle the 52w high 236.54. Stop under Camarilla S4 226.02 / classic S1 226.86. Micron earnings on Wednesday are a sector catalyst either way.

4. DASH - SHORT (sell the rally)
Entry: 182.60 · Stop: 192.20 · T1: 170.60 · T2: 158.60 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.5
-7.74% on rel vol 1.67, the heaviest volume in the list. Bear (below all), MACD -7.00 under -4.67, POC 203.13 overhead. RSI 29.8 is oversold, so do not chase - sell a bounce into the pivot 182.61. Stop above today's high 191.40.

5. MELI - SHORT (trend continuation)
Entry: 1,685.00 · Stop: 1,755.90 · T1: 1,596.30 · T2: 1,507.70 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.5
Bear (below all), MACD -38.15 under -18.85 and widening, RSI 32.5, 32.8% below the 52w high. POC 1855.05 overhead. Trigger on a break of today's low 1685.55 (classic S1 1689.52). T2 sits just above the 52w low 1495.00.



Intraday Setups
1. NAS100 - Camarilla S3 bounce LONG (with the daily trend)
Entry: 30,167.00 · Stop: 30,050.00 · T1: 30,279.00 · T2: 30,350.00 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:1.6
Buy the Camarilla S3 30,166.99. Stop under S4 30,057.17, classic S1 30,078.45 and today's low 30,081. T1 is the pivot, T2 Camarilla R2. The daily trend is bullish, so this is the preferred side of the range.

2. NAS100 - Camarilla R3 fade SHORT (range day)
Entry: 30,387.00 · Stop: 30,500.00 · T1: 30,279.00 · T2: 30,204.00 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:1.6
Sell the first test of Camarilla R3 30,386.63. Stop above R4 30,496.45 and today's high 30,480. T1 is the pivot, T2 Camarilla S2. Invalidated by acceptance above R4 - that flips to a breakout long towards classic R2 30,678.76.

3. AMD - Camarilla R4 breakout LONG
Entry: 626.50 · Stop: 617.00 · T1: 639.00 · T2: 644.90 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:1.9
Camarilla R4 and classic R1 coincide at 626.39 - strong confluence. Break and hold above it targets the 52w high 639.00, then classic R2 644.91. Stop back under Camarilla R3 617.13. Bull (above all), MACD 36.36 over 25.10; RSI 65.6 is near overbought, so size down.

4. META - Camarilla S3 bounce LONG
Entry: 705.35 · Stop: 694.80 · T1: 719.05 · T2: 726.45 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.0
-4.79% reversal from 750.58, but still Bull (above all) with MACD 40.39 over 33.00 and RSI 60.9. Buy Camarilla S3 705.34; stop under S4 695.06. T1 Camarilla R1 719.05, T2 classic pivot 726.46. EMA20 681.28 is the deeper line if this fails.

5. DASH - Camarilla S4 breakdown SHORT
Entry: 170.90 · Stop: 175.00 · T1: 166.80 · T2: 160.50 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:2.5
Momentum short if price breaks Camarilla S4 171.04 and holds below it. Stop back above S3 174.72. T1 1:1, T2 classic S3 160.46. Oversold RSI 29.8 - take partial profit quickly.



Key Levels Dashboard
NVDA - close 228.86 (+1.68%)
Cam: S4 226.02 · S3 227.44 · S1 228.39 || R1 229.33 · R3 230.28 · R4 231.70
Classic: S3 221.69 · S2 224.87 · S1 226.86 · P 230.04 · R1 232.03 · R2 235.21 · R3 237.20
EMA20 222.20 · EMA50 217.60 · EMA200 201.06 · POC 214.30 · Prev H/L 233.21 / 228.04 · 52w H/L 236.54 / 164.27

MSFT - close 509.22 (-1.35%)
Cam: S4 503.11 · S3 506.16 · S1 508.20 || R1 510.24 · R3 512.28 · R4 515.33
Classic: S3 492.07 · S2 497.15 · S1 503.18 · P 508.26 · R1 514.29 · R2 519.37 · R3 525.40
EMA20 498.44 · EMA50 478.17 · EMA200 446.94 · POC 457.71 · Prev H/L 513.33 / 502.22 · 52w H/L 553.72 / 349.20

AAPL - close 338.40 (-0.78%)
Cam: S4 335.68 · S3 337.04 · S1 337.95 || R1 338.85 · R3 339.76 · R4 341.12
Classic: S3 331.68 · S2 334.86 · S1 336.63 · P 339.81 · R1 341.58 · R2 344.76 · R3 346.53
EMA20 331.12 · EMA50 322.13 · EMA200 293.02 · POC 320.80 · Prev H/L 342.99 / 338.04 · 52w H/L 345.34 / 243.42

META - close 715.62 (-4.79%)
Cam: S4 695.06 · S3 705.34 · S1 712.19 || R1 719.05 · R3 725.90 · R4 736.18
Classic: S3 664.96 · S2 689.07 · S1 702.35 · P 726.46 · R1 739.74 · R2 763.85 · R3 777.13
EMA20 681.28 · EMA50 639.20 · EMA200 628.79 · POC 631.16 · Prev H/L 750.58 / 713.19 · 52w H/L 779.82 / 520.26

AMD - close 607.87 (-3.60%)
Cam: S4 589.35 · S3 598.61 · S1 604.78 || R1 610.96 · R3 617.13 · R4 626.39
Classic: S3 559.03 · S2 577.55 · S1 592.71 · P 611.23 · R1 626.39 · R2 644.91 · R3 660.07
EMA20 555.68 · EMA50 519.09 · EMA200 400.00 · POC 513.32 · Prev H/L 629.75 / 596.07 · 52w H/L 639.00 / 157.05



Bearish Warnings
Death-cross zone (EMA50 below EMA200): TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, LIN, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, SNPS, CDNS, MELI, CEG, ORLY. ISRG, SNPS and CDNS have reclaimed their EMA20/50 but are still under the EMA200 - no golden cross yet.
Bearish MACD crosses: MSFT (6.97 vs 7.44) while still above all EMAs - early momentum warning · REGN (-1.72 vs 3.75) after -4.54% on rel vol 1.47, now below EMA20/50 · WDAY (1.58 vs 2.99), lost the EMA20 · TSLA (4.90 vs 5.21), below all EMAs.
Reversal days: QCOM -7.17% (199.16 high, closed 187.48) - still above EMA20 184.26; a close below that is the tell. META -4.79% from a 750.58 high, closed near the low 713.19.
Near 52-week lows: TMUS 3.3% above 161.14 · ORLY 4.7% above 82.59 · NFLX 6.4% above 65.08 · INTU 6.5% above 252.84 · BKNG 9.1% above 150.14 · COST 9.3% above 844.06.
Oversold: INTU RSI 27.8 and DASH RSI 29.8 - downtrends intact, but snap-back risk for late shorts.
Index: MACD histogram contracting, RSI off 68 to 58.5, and the 10-year at 5.21% - rate-sensitive growth names stay vulnerable into PCE and payrolls.



Events Calendar
Tue 29 Sep: Case-Shiller (14:00 UK) · JOLTS job openings and Conference Board consumer confidence (15:00 UK) · three Fed speakers in the afternoon.
Wed 30 Sep: ADP employment (13:15 UK) · GDP third estimate and August PCE / core PCE (13:30 UK) · Chicago PMI (14:45 UK) · Micron (MU) earnings - key read for AI memory / HBM demand · Q3 quarter-end rebalancing.
Thu 1 Oct: Jobless claims (13:30 UK) · S&P Global manufacturing PMI (14:45 UK) · ISM manufacturing (15:00 UK).
Fri 2 Oct: September non-farm payrolls (13:30 UK) · factory orders (15:00 UK).
Background: Fed hiked to 3.75-4.00% on 16 Sep; markets price further hikes at the 27-28 Oct FOMC and in December. Geopolitics: US-Iran talks expected this week; oil is the swing factor for yields.



Report: 28 Sep 2026 22:04 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis - Friday 25 September 2026
Data: Close Fri 25 Sep 2026 | NAS100: 30,608.13 | Change: +129.28 (+0.42%) | Range: 30,413.58-30,667.56
Scanner data: 25 Sep 2026 close (all 40 components). Week: +963.96 (+3.25%) vs 18 Sep close 29,644.17.



Market Overview
The NAS100 closed 30,608.13, +129.28 pts (+0.42%), inside a 254-pt range (30,413.58-30,667.56) and just 162 pts below Tuesday's 52-week high of 30,770.63. That seals a +3.25% week - Monday's 838-pt gap-and-go (+2.83%) did the heavy lifting, and Wed-Fri has been a tight 30,204-30,707 consolidation.

Drivers: Stocks shrugged off a global bond sell-off that took the US 10-year yield to ~5.2% (highest since the financial crisis). WTI crude fell ~2.8% to ~$92 on reports of US-Iran talks over a phased deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, easing inflation fears. Costco beat on revenue ($95.72bn vs $94.88bn est.) and EPS ($6.75 vs $6.53) and closed +2.93% on 2x relative volume. Meta gave back 3.33% after a ~16% week and ~32% month on its Muse AI agent. Final UMich sentiment 48.1 with 1-yr inflation expectations at 4.6%. The Trump-Xi summit ended with trade relations held at status quo.

Volatility: VIX ~15.1 intraday Friday (-3.5%) - complacent, not fearful.
Volume: NDX volume 1.06bn vs 20-day avg 1.28bn (0.83x) - the up day came on light participation.
Bias: Bullish above 30,204 (Thursday's low / S3). Consolidation under the 30,770 high into a heavy data week (PCE, Micron, NFP). A daily close above 30,771 opens 31,000; a close below 30,204 targets the unfilled gap 29,648-29,933.



Trend
EMA stack: Price 30,608 > EMA20 29,800.1 > EMA50 29,463.7 > EMA200 27,742.4 - full bullish alignment, all three EMAs rising.
Distance: +2.7% above EMA20, +3.9% above EMA50, +10.3% above EMA200 - extended but not stretched.
Structure: Base low 28,753 (16 Sep) -> breakout Monday -> new 52w high 30,770.63 (22 Sep) -> shallow pullback low 30,204 (24 Sep). Unfilled breakaway gap 29,648-29,933 below.
Phase: Markup / post-breakout consolidation (bull flag type pause).



Indicators
RSI(14): 64.7 - bullish zone. Peaked 68.0 at the 22 Sep high; price and RSI both slightly lower since, so no bearish divergence yet - but a new price high on RSI below 68 would create one.
MACD(12,26,9): 310.7 vs signal 164.9 - bullish, crossed up 18 Sep. Histogram flattening (147.2 -> 146.7 -> 145.: momentum is plateauing, not reversing.
ATR(14): 389 pts - use for stop sizing on the index.
Volume: Lower every session since the 2.52bn 18 Sep spike (quad-witching) - healthy for a pause, weak for a breakout.



Key Index Levels
Resistance: R1 30,667.6 (Fri high / Cam R3 30,678.0) · R2 30,770.6 (52w high) · R3 31,000 (round number / classic R3 30,966.6)
Support: S1 30,413.6 (Fri low) · S2 30,204.2 (24 Sep low / classic S3 30,204.7) · S3 29,800-29,933 (EMA20 + top of gap)
Classic pivots (Mon): S2 30,309.1 · S1 30,458.6 · P 30,563.1 · R1 30,712.6 · R2 30,817.1
Camarilla (Mon): S4 30,468.4 · S3 30,538.3 || R3 30,678.0 · R4 30,747.8
Round numbers: 30,500 · 30,000 · 31,000



Component Signals (all 40)
Format: Close (day %) · Trend (strict EMA) · RSI · MACD · vs 52w high · vs POC (60d VWAP) · rel vol

Mega-cap Tech
AAPL 341.07 (+1.53%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 65.7 Bullish · MACD Bull · -1.2% from 52wH · above POC (+6.5%) · rv 0.69
MSFT 516.17 (+3.66%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 63.2 Bullish · MACD Bear · -6.8% from 52wH · above POC (+13.3%) · rv 1.74
NVDA 225.07 (+0.22%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 55.2 Neutral · MACD Bull · -4.8% from 52wH · above POC (+5.3%) · rv 0.75
AMZN 249.67 (+0.12%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 44.5 Neutral · MACD Bear · -13.1% from 52wH · below POC (-2.2%) · rv 0.93
META 751.66 (-3.33%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 71.3 Overbought · MACD Bull · -3.6% from 52wH · above POC (+19.6%) · rv 1.11
GOOGL 343.92 (+0.46%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 49.7 Neutral · MACD Bull · -15.8% from 52wH · below POC (-0.9%) · rv 0.79
AVGO 352.81 (+0.70%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 43.7 Neutral · MACD Bull · -28.7% from 52wH · below POC (-5.8%) · rv 0.57
TSLA 372.11 (-1.54%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 55.3 Neutral · MACD Bull · -25.4% from 52wH · above POC (+4.3%) · rv 1.12

Semiconductors
AMD 630.59 (+0.21%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 73 Overbought · MACD Bull · -1.3% from 52wH · above POC (+23.1%) · rv 0.8
QCOM 201.97 (+3.97%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 67.6 Bullish · MACD Bull · -22.3% from 52wH · above POC (+16.7%) · rv 1.21
TXN 278.07 (+2.74%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.1 Bullish · MACD Bull · -16.8% from 52wH · above POC (+0.3%) · rv 0.64
AMAT 485.00 (+2.27%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 55.7 Neutral · MACD Bull · -34.4% from 52wH · below POC (-5.2%) · rv 0.75
MU 1,082.28 (+0.16%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 63.2 Bullish · MACD Bull · -13.8% from 52wH · above POC (+16.4%) · rv 0.78
LRCX 315.21 (+2.62%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 56.2 Neutral · MACD Bull · -28.1% from 52wH · above POC (+1.6%) · rv 0.76
KLAC 187.92 (+0.43%) · Mixed (above 20, below 50, above 200) · RSI 54.1 Neutral · MACD Bull · -38.9% from 52wH · below POC (-4.7%) · rv 0.74
ADI 393.60 (+2.87%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 62.3 Bullish · MACD Bull · -11.7% from 52wH · above POC (+5.0%) · rv 0.7
MRVL 261.94 (+1.15%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 63.1 Bullish · MACD Bull · -20.6% from 52wH · above POC (+18.4%) · rv 0.58

Software/Cloud/Cyber
ADBE 235.47 (-1.45%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 36.6 Weak · MACD Bear · -35.3% from 52wH · below POC (-5.9%) · rv 0.55
INTU 275.79 (-0.48%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 29.6 Oversold · MACD Bear · -60.8% from 52wH · below POC (-12.8%) · rv 0.88
CSCO 106.70 (-0.25%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 41.7 Neutral · MACD Bear · -18.2% from 52wH · below POC (-5.8%) · rv 0.86
PANW 374.74 (-3.89%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 54.4 Neutral · MACD Bull · -6.1% from 52wH · above POC (+6.1%) · rv 0.68
SNPS 425.76 (+0.20%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 59.8 Neutral · MACD Bull · -21.1% from 52wH · above POC (+5.4%) · rv 1.13
CDNS 326.13 (+1.28%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 61.3 Bullish · MACD Bull · -21.7% from 52wH · above POC (+0.6%) · rv 1
CRWD 252.13 (-2.90%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 62.1 Bullish · MACD Bull · -4.4% from 52wH · above POC (+18.4%) · rv 0.61
FTNT 173.46 (-2.92%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 57.6 Neutral · MACD Bull · -4.4% from 52wH · above POC (+7.5%) · rv 0.55
WDAY 189.45 (-0.81%) · Mixed (below 20, above 50, above 200) · RSI 50.2 Neutral · MACD Bear · -24.2% from 52wH · above POC (+9.0%) · rv 0.36

Consumer/Internet
COST 922.77 (+2.93%) · Mixed (above 20, below 50, below 200) · RSI 52.3 Neutral · MACD Bull · -15.8% from 52wH · below POC (-1.0%) · rv 1.99
NFLX 71.15 (-0.80%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 37.1 Weak · MACD Bear · -43.0% from 52wH · below POC (-4.3%) · rv 0.69
BKNG 163.95 (+4.15%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 33.7 Weak · MACD Bear · -27.1% from 52wH · below POC (-12.0%) · rv 0.96
MELI 1,752.61 (-0.09%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 36.1 Weak · MACD Bear · -31.2% from 52wH · below POC (-5.6%) · rv 0.9
MAR 352.03 (+0.15%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 57.2 Neutral · MACD Bull · -14.3% from 52wH · below POC (-0.7%) · rv 0.78
ABNB 157.47 (+4.02%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 38.3 Weak · MACD Bear · -18.6% from 52wH · below POC (-5.7%) · rv 1.05
DASH 193.36 (+3.11%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 39.8 Weak · MACD Bear · -32.3% from 52wH · below POC (-5.0%) · rv 0.74
PYPL 55.04 (+4.64%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 52 Neutral · MACD Bull · -30.5% from 52wH · =POC · rv 1.38
ORLY 86.12 (-0.14%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 47.5 Neutral · MACD Bull · -20.8% from 52wH · below POC (-1.8%) · rv 0.62
TMUS 165.43 (+0.05%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 36.6 Weak · MACD Bear · -31.7% from 52wH · below POC (-7.4%) · rv 0.75

Healthcare/Biotech
ISRG 405.18 (+1.42%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 65.4 Bullish · MACD Bull · -32.9% from 52wH · above POC (+7.7%) · rv 1.02
REGN 788.04 (-1.00%) · Mixed (below 20, above 50, above 200) · RSI 48 Neutral · MACD Bear · -8.3% from 52wH · above POC (+4.5%) · rv 0.79

Industrial/Other
LIN 469.89 (+0.37%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 46.2 Neutral · MACD Bull · -14.3% from 52wH · below POC (-4.3%) · rv 0.82
CEG 263.27 (+0.63%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 43.8 Neutral · MACD Bear · -36.2% from 52wH · below POC (-1.6%) · rv 0.6

Breadth: 21 bullish · 15 bearish · 4 mixed. Advancers 27 / decliners 13.



Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (avg +0.23%, 5 bull / 3 bear / 0 mixed): Split. AAPL (-1.2% from 52wH), MSFT (1.74x vol) and META lead; NVDA holding above all EMAs. AMZN and GOOGL slipped back below EMA20/50 (holding EMA200); AVGO is below all three and 28.7% off its high. TSLA above 20/50 but still under EMA200.
Semiconductors (avg +1.82%, 8 bull / 0 bear / 1 mixed): Strongest group - 8 of 9 above all EMAs. AMD at a 52w high (RSI 73), MU into earnings, QCOM/TXN/ADI/LRCX/AMAT all green 2%+. Only KLAC mixed (below EMA50).
Software/Cloud/Cyber (avg -1.25%, 5 bull / 3 bear / 1 mixed): Two-speed. Cyber (PANW, CRWD, FTNT) in uptrends but sold -2.9% to -3.9% Friday; EDA (SNPS, CDNS) recovering above 20/50. ADBE and INTU in firm downtrends; CSCO below 20/50.
Consumer/Internet (avg +1.80%, 2 bull / 7 bear / 1 mixed): Weakest group - 6 of 10 below all EMAs (NFLX, BKNG, MELI, DASH, TMUS, ORLY) and ABNB below 20/50. Friday's +3-4% bounces in BKNG, ABNB and DASH came inside downtrends - relief so far, not trend change. PYPL (+4.64%) and MAR are the only names above all EMAs; COST reclaimed EMA20 only.
Healthcare/Biotech (avg +0.21%, 1 bull / 0 bear / 1 mixed): ISRG above 20/50 with MACD bull and RSI 65.4 but still under EMA200 431.09. REGN mixed - lost EMA20, MACD bearish.
Industrial/Other (avg +0.50%, 0 bull / 2 bear / 0 mixed): LIN and CEG both below all EMAs; CEG -36.2% from high. No leadership here.



Top Swing Setups

ADI - Long (trend continuation)
Entry: 393.60 · Stop: 374.00 · T1: 423.00 · T2: 445.90 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.7
Bull above all; MACD bull (hist +3.59); RSI 62.3. Stop sits under the EMA20 375.05 / EMA50 376.03 / POC 374.80 cluster - triple confluence support. T2 = 52w high 445.91.

TXN - Long (MACD bull + POC reclaim)
Entry: 278.10 · Stop: 265.60 · T1: 296.90 · T2: 315.60 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
MACD above signal and back above zero (0.76 vs -1.71); close reclaimed POC 277.19 and EMA50 271.07 on a +2.74% day. Stop 1.5x ATR (8.33) below entry, beneath EMA20 267.25. 52w high 334.03 above T2.

QCOM - Long (momentum, above-average volume)
Entry: 201.00 · Stop: 188.00 · T1: 220.50 · T2: 240.00 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
+3.97% on 1.21x rel vol; Bull above all, RSI 67.6, MACD bull. Buy near Monday pivot 200.78 rather than chase; stop 1.5x ATR (8.66), above EMA20 183.92. 52w high 259.92 leaves room.

ADBE - Short (downtrend, expanding bear momentum)
Entry: 235.50 · Stop: 249.80 · T1: 214.10 · T2: 192.60 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bear below all; MACD -6.65 well below signal -3.27; RSI 36.6 not yet oversold; below POC 250.29. Stop 1.5x ATR (9.53), under EMA20 253.16. T2 near 52w low 190.12.

MELI - Short (strongest bearish momentum in the 40)
Entry: 1,752.60 · Stop: 1,840.40 · T1: 1,621.00 · T2: 1,500.00 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.9
Bear below all with the widest MACD histogram in the index (-17.76); RSI 36.1; EMA20 1845.89 / EMA50 1849.46 / POC 1856.55 overhead as a resistance shelf. Stop 1.5x ATR (58.5). T2 just above 52w low 1,495.

MU is deliberately excluded - earnings Wed 30 Sep after the close (implied move ~9%). Do not hold swing size through the print without a plan.



Intraday Setups (Monday 28 Sep)

NAS100 - Camarilla R4 breakout (long)
Entry: 30,755.00 · Stop: 30,700.00 · T1: 30,817.00 · T2: 30,966.00 · R:R: 1:1.1 / 1:3.8
Break and hold above Cam R4 30,747.8 targets classic R2 30,817 then R3 30,966. Stop 30,700 - back inside the R3/R4 band means the breakout failed. Watch the 52w high 30,770.6 - acceptance above it is the trigger.

NAS100 - Camarilla S3 bounce (long)
Entry: 30,540.00 · Stop: 30,450.00 · T1: 30,631.00 · T2: 30,678.00 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:1.5
Buy the Cam S3 30,538 test in a bull trend; stop below Cam S4 30,468 / classic S1 30,458.6. T1 Cam R1 30,631, T2 Cam R3 30,678. Skip if price opens below S4.

MSFT - Pivot bounce (long)
Entry: 511.00 · Stop: 504.00 · T1: 522.30 · T2: 528.40 · R:R: 1:1.6 / 1:2.5
+3.66% on 1.74x rel vol - strongest volume of the mega-caps. Buy pullback to pivot 510.94; stop under Cam S4 503.99; T1 Cam R3 522.26, T2 Cam R4 528.35.

PYPL - Pivot bounce (long)
Entry: 54.30 · Stop: 53.26 · T1: 55.93 · T2: 56.82 · R:R: 1:1.6 / 1:2.4
+4.64% on 1.38x rel vol, closed exactly on POC 55.04 and above all EMAs. Buy pivot 54.30; stop Cam S4 53.26; T1 Cam R3 55.93, T2 Cam R4 56.82.

META - Camarilla S4 breakdown (short)
Entry: 738.90 · Stop: 745.50 · T1: 732.89 · T2: 719.25 · R:R: 1:0.9 / 1:3.0
-3.33% reversal from RSI 71.3 after a ~32% month. Short only on a break below Cam S4 738.99; stop just above Cam S3 745.33. Counter-trend - smaller size, take profits quickly.



Key Levels Dashboard

MSFT 516.17
Cam: S4 503.99 · S3 510.08 · S1 514.14 || R1 518.20 · R3 522.26 · R4 528.35
Classic: S3 480.33 · S2 488.79 · S1 502.48 · P 510.94 · R1 524.63 · R2 533.09 · R3 546.78
EMA20 497.30 · EMA50 476.90 · EMA200 446.31 · POC 455.48 · Prev H/L 519.40/497.25 · 52w H/L 553.72/349.20

NVDA 225.07
Cam: S4 222.97 · S3 224.02 · S1 224.72 || R1 225.42 · R3 226.12 · R4 227.17
Classic: S3 219.34 · S2 221.24 · S1 223.15 · P 225.05 · R1 226.96 · R2 228.86 · R3 230.77
EMA20 221.50 · EMA50 217.14 · EMA200 200.78 · POC 213.65 · Prev H/L 226.94/223.13 · 52w H/L 236.54/164.27

META 751.66
Cam: S4 738.99 · S3 745.33 · S1 749.55 || R1 753.77 · R3 757.99 · R4 764.33
Classic: S3 719.25 · S2 732.89 · S1 742.28 · P 755.92 · R1 765.31 · R2 778.95 · R3 788.34
EMA20 677.66 · EMA50 636.08 · EMA200 627.92 · POC 628.26 · Prev H/L 769.57/746.54 · 52w H/L 779.82/520.26

AMD 630.59
Cam: S4 623.18 · S3 626.88 · S1 629.35 || R1 631.83 · R3 634.30 · R4 638.00
Classic: S3 610.93 · S2 618.22 · S1 624.41 · P 631.70 · R1 637.89 · R2 645.18 · R3 651.37
EMA20 550.19 · EMA50 515.47 · EMA200 397.91 · POC 512.08 · Prev H/L 639.00/625.52 · 52w H/L 639.00/154.78

MU 1,082.28
Cam: S4 1,062.63 · S3 1,072.46 · S1 1,079.01 || R1 1,085.55 · R3 1,092.10 · R4 1,101.93
Classic: S3 1,031.56 · S2 1,052.28 · S1 1,067.28 · P 1,088.00 · R1 1,103.00 · R2 1,123.72 · R3 1,138.72
EMA20 1,005.72 · EMA50 961.61 · EMA200 713.14 · POC 929.91 · Prev H/L 1,108.72/1,073.00 · 52w H/L 1,255.00/154.65



Bearish Warnings
EMA50 below EMA200 (death-cross regime): TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, LIN, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, SNPS, CDNS, MELI, CEG, ORLY (14/40).
Bearish MACD (below signal): MSFT, AMZN, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, INTU, CSCO, BKNG, REGN, MELI, ABNB, DASH, CEG, WDAY (14/40). Note MSFT: MACD still below signal despite +3.66% - needs follow-through to confirm.
Overbought RSI (70+): META 71.3, AMD 73. META already reversed -3.33% from RSI 71.3; AMD at RSI 73 sits on its 52w high 639.00 - watch for a lower-high RSI divergence on any new high.
Within 10% of 52w low: TMUS (+2.7%), ORLY (+4.3%), INTU (+9.1%), BKNG (+9.2%), COST (+9.3%), NFLX (+9.3%).
Oversold: INTU RSI 29.6, -60.8% from its 52w high - capitulation risk both ways; avoid fresh shorts there.
Index: NDX up day on 0.83x average volume; MACD histogram flattening; 10-yr yield ~5.2% remains the key macro threat to long-duration tech.



Events Calendar
Mon 28 Sep: Dallas Fed manufacturing (Sep).
Tue 29 Sep: Conference Board consumer confidence (Sep), JOLTS job openings (Aug), Case-Shiller (Jul).
Wed 30 Sep: ADP payrolls (Sep); August PCE - headline exp. +0.4% m/m, 3.7% y/y; core exp. +0.3% m/m, 3.4% y/y; Q2 GDP (final); Chicago PMI. Micron (MU) Q4 FY26 earnings after the close - EPS est. ~$31.45, revenue ~$50.8bn, implied move ~9%.
Thu 1 Oct: ISM manufacturing (Sep), S&P Global manufacturing PMI (final), weekly jobless claims, Challenger job cuts.
Fri 2 Oct: Non-farm payrolls (Sep) - exp. +100k (prior +162k), unemployment 4.2% (prior 4.1%), AHE +0.3% m/m. Last jobs report before the late-October FOMC.
Other: No other of the 40 components appear on this week's earnings calendars. Fed-speaker schedule not confirmed at time of writing - check before the open.



Report: 25 Sep 2026 22:01 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis - Thursday 24 September 2026
Data: Close 24 Sep 2026 | NAS100: 30,478.86 | Change: +8.57 (+0.03%) | Range: 30,204.16-30,529.35
VIX: 15.67 (+0.49, +3.2%) | US 10Y: ~5.14% (19-year high) | US 30Y: 5.43% (highest since 2004) | Component scanner: 24 Sep 2026 (today's session)



Market Overview
The NAS100 finished essentially flat at 30,478.86 (+8.57 pts, +0.03%) after a weak open near 30,225. It printed a session low of 30,204.16 and then recovered 275 points to close in the top 16% of a 325-point range. Two forces pulled against each other:
Headwinds: long-dated yields hit multi-decade highs (10Y ~5.14%, 30Y 5.43%). Fed officials stayed hawkish after last week's 25bp hike to 3.75-4.00%: NY Fed's Williams called another hike by year-end "reasonable" and Philadelphia's Paulson said more hikes may be needed. CME FedWatch prices ~69% odds of an October hike.
Tailwinds: Reuters reported US-Iran talks on a phased deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which pulled indexes off their lows. META (+4.50%, RV 1.54) led the index after Zuckerberg set out plans to monetise the Muse AI agent at Connect. AMD (+2.38%) closed at a record 629.26.
Breadth was poor underneath the flat print: only 14 of the 40 tracked components advanced and 26 declined. META and AMD carried the tape.
After hours: Costco beat on Q4 FY26 (EPS $6.75 vs ~$6.53 est; revenue $95.72B, +11.1% y/y; comps +9.4%) and traded ~+1% near $904.9 after hours. Note that ~$0.15 of EPS came from one-off tariff refunds.
Bias: Bullish trend intact, but momentum is stalling just below the record. Near term it is neutral-to-cautious while yields keep rising. Buy dips into support; avoid chasing extended leaders.



Trend Structure
EMA stack: EMA20 29,715 > EMA50 29,417 > EMA200 27,611, which is fully bullish. Price is +2.6% above EMA20 and +10.4% above EMA200.
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows. The 16 Sep swing low (28,753) led to a new record close on 22 Sep (~30,728) and an all-time intraday high of 30,770.63. Since then the index has made two inside-range sessions (30,470 on 23 Sep, 30,479 today), which is a pause and not a reversal.
Unfilled gap: 29,648-29,933. This is the 21 Sep breakaway gap (18 Sep high to 21 Sep low), and it is the key downside magnet if 30,000 gives way.
Phase: Trending, now consolidating just under the ATH (-0.95% from 30,770.63).



Indicators
RSI(14): 63.3. This is bullish but has cooled from 68.0 at the 22 Sep record. Bearish divergence: the 22 Sep close (~30,728) topped the 2 Jun peak (30,660.60), but RSI printed 68.0 against 79.2 at the June high. That is a lower momentum high on a higher price high, so treat it as a warning and not a sell signal while price holds above EMA20.
MACD(12,26,9): 275.0 vs signal 128.3, histogram +146.6. It is above zero and above the signal line, but the histogram has flattened (134.9 > 147.0 > 146.6). Momentum is plateauing, not accelerating.
ATR(14): ~401 pts. Today's 325-pt range was below ATR, which fits consolidation.
Volume / participation: Component relative volume was light. The median RV was 0.79, and only 7 of 40 names traded above 1.2x average. The heaviest were META 1.54, CSCO 1.61, ABNB 1.39 and DASH 1.36. The recovery from the lows came on thin participation.
VIX: 15.67 (+3.2%). This is still low given where yields are, so complacency risk is building.



Key Index Levels
Resistance: R1 30,529-30,568 (today's high / Cam R3) · R2 30,728-30,771 (22 Sep record close / ATH intraday) · R3 31,000 (round number)
Support: S1 30,204-30,279 (today's low / classic S1) · S2 30,000 (round number, with classic S3 at 29,954) · S3 29,715 (EMA20), then the 29,648-29,933 gap
Classic pivots (for 25 Sep): S3 29,954 · S2 30,079 · S1 30,279 · P 30,404 · R1 30,604 · R2 30,729 · R3 30,929
Camarilla (for 25 Sep): Cam: S4 30,300 · S3 30,389 · S1 30,449 || R1 30,509 · R3 30,568 · R4 30,658
Read: Holding above the 30,404 pivot keeps the range bias higher toward 30,604-30,729. A clean close above 30,771 opens 31,000. Losing 30,204 targets 30,000, then the gap fill.



Component Signals - All 40 (grouped by sector)
Format: Close (daily %) · EMA trend (strict close vs EMA20/50/200) · RSI zone · MACD vs signal · distance from 52-week high · vs 60-day POC · relative volume
EMA check: all 40 classifications were verified programmatically against close vs each EMA, with zero mismatches.

Mega-cap Tech
AAPL 335.92 (-0.33%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 61.3 Bullish · MACD Bull · -2.7% from 52wH · above POC (319.47) · RV 0.56
MSFT 497.93 (-0.53%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 54.4 Bullish · MACD Bull-fading · -10.1% from 52wH · above POC (452.29) · RV 0.77
NVDA 224.58 (-0.41%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 54.7 Bullish · MACD Bull · -5.1% from 52wH · above POC (213.19) · RV 0.59
AMZN 249.38 (+0.04%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 44.2 Bearish · MACD Bear · -13.2% from 52wH · below POC (255.08) · RV 0.92
META 777.59 (+4.50%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 80.5 Overbought · MACD Bull · -0.3% from 52wH · above POC (624.90) · RV 1.54
GOOGL 342.36 (+1.34%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 48.5 Bearish · MACD Bull · -16.2% from 52wH · below POC (347.26) · RV 0.87
TSLA 377.94 (-0.57%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 59.1 Bullish · MACD Bull · -24.2% from 52wH · above POC (357.62) · RV 0.65

Semiconductors
AVGO 350.36 (-1.30%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 42.0 Bearish · MACD Bear-recovering · -29.2% from 52wH · below POC (374.73) · RV 0.75
AMD 629.26 (+2.38%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 72.8 Overbought · MACD Bull · -0.2% from 52wH · above POC (511.36) · RV 1.16
QCOM 194.26 (-1.51%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 63.2 Bullish · MACD Bull · -25.3% from 52wH · above POC (172.78) · RV 0.62
TXN 270.65 (-0.72%) · Mixed (above EMA20, below EMA50, above EMA200) · RSI 53.9 Bullish · MACD Bear-recovering · -19.0% from 52wH · below POC (277.66) · RV 0.54
AMAT 474.25 (-0.03%) · Mixed (above EMA20, below EMA50, above EMA200) · RSI 52.5 Bullish · MACD Bear-recovering · -35.9% from 52wH · below POC (517.35) · RV 0.64
MU 1,080.53 (+0.81%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 63.0 Bullish · MACD Bull · -13.9% from 52wH · above POC (931.46) · RV 0.85
LRCX 307.16 (-0.04%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 52.9 Bullish · MACD Bear-recovering · -30.0% from 52wH · below POC (312.85) · RV 0.82
KLAC 187.11 (-0.40%) · Mixed (above EMA20, below EMA50, above EMA200) · RSI 53.5 Bullish · MACD Bear-recovering · -39.1% from 52wH · below POC (199.98) · RV 0.81
ADI 382.61 (-0.68%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 56.6 Bullish · MACD Bull · -14.2% from 52wH · above POC (375.06) · RV 0.68
MRVL 258.95 (-0.75%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 62.0 Bullish · MACD Bull · -21.5% from 52wH · above POC (222.28) · RV 0.62

Software / Cloud / Security
ADBE 238.93 (-0.73%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 38.3 Bearish · MACD Bear · -34.3% from 52wH · below POC (249.69) · RV 0.60
INTU 277.13 (-3.37%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 29.9 Oversold · MACD Bear · -60.6% from 52wH · below POC (316.06) · RV 1.21
PANW 389.92 (-0.86%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 61.1 Bullish · MACD Bull · -2.2% from 52wH · above POC (352.70) · RV 0.55
SNPS 424.91 (+2.87%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 59.5 Bullish · MACD Bear-recovering · -21.2% from 52wH · above POC (404.20) · RV 0.85
CDNS 322.00 (+4.18%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 59.4 Bullish · MACD Bear-recovering · -22.7% from 52wH · below POC (324.84) · RV 0.92
CRWD 259.67 (-1.07%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 67.1 Bullish · MACD Bull · -1.6% from 52wH · above POC (212.14) · RV 0.63
FTNT 178.67 (-0.04%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 64.5 Bullish · MACD Bull · -1.5% from 52wH · above POC (161.19) · RV 0.76
WDAY 190.99 (-0.72%) · Mixed (below EMA20, above EMA50, above EMA200) · RSI 51.5 Bullish · MACD Bull-fading · -23.6% from 52wH · above POC (173.07) · RV 0.36
CSCO 106.97 (+0.51%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 42.2 Bearish · MACD Bear · -17.9% from 52wH · below POC (113.37) · RV 1.61

Consumer / Internet
COST 896.48 (-0.91%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 38.4 Bearish · MACD Bear · -18.2% from 52wH · below POC (932.35) · RV 1.22
NFLX 71.72 (+0.50%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 38.2 Bearish · MACD Bear · -42.6% from 52wH · below POC (74.36) · RV 0.80
BKNG 157.41 (+0.97%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 23.9 Oversold · MACD Bear · -30.0% from 52wH · below POC (186.61) · RV 1.10
MELI 1,754.13 (-2.51%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 36.3 Bearish · MACD Bear · -31.2% from 52wH · below POC (1,856.63) · RV 1.23
MAR 351.51 (-0.04%) · Bull (above all) · RSI 56.7 Bullish · MACD Bear-recovering · -14.5% from 52wH · below POC (354.97) · RV 0.66
ABNB 151.39 (+1.21%) · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 29.4 Oversold · MACD Bear · -21.7% from 52wH · below POC (166.98) · RV 1.39
DASH 187.53 (-0.92%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 31.5 Bearish · MACD Bear · -34.3% from 52wH · below POC (203.35) · RV 1.36
PYPL 52.60 (+0.17%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 40.8 Bearish · MACD Bear · -33.6% from 52wH · below POC (54.77) · RV 0.57
ORLY 86.24 (+0.40%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 47.9 Bearish · MACD Bear-recovering · -20.7% from 52wH · below POC (87.78) · RV 0.66
TMUS 165.35 (-0.19%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 36.5 Bearish · MACD Bear · -31.8% from 52wH · below POC (178.66) · RV 0.97

Healthcare / Biotech
ISRG 399.52 (+0.31%) · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 62.6 Bullish · MACD Bull · -33.8% from 52wH · above POC (376.31) · RV 0.65
REGN 796.02 (-0.72%) · Mixed (below EMA20, above EMA50, above EMA200) · RSI 50.9 Bullish · MACD Bull-fading · -7.4% from 52wH · above POC (750.04) · RV 0.82

Industrial / Other
LIN 468.14 (-0.34%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 44.2 Bearish · MACD Bear-recovering · -14.6% from 52wH · below POC (492.07) · RV 1.03
CEG 261.62 (-0.86%) · Bear (below all) · RSI 42.3 Bearish · MACD Bear · -36.6% from 52wH · below POC (266.15) · RV 0.55



Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech: 5 bull / 2 bear, avg +0.58%. Strongest group. META (+4.50%) is at a record, and AAPL, MSFT and NVDA are all above every EMA. AMZN and GOOGL sit below EMA20/50 (but above EMA200) and are lagging. MSFT's MACD has slipped below its signal line.
Semiconductors: 6 bull / 1 bear / 3 mixed, avg -0.22%. Leadership is intact, led by AMD (record), MU and MRVL. Semi-cap equipment (AMAT, KLAC, TXN) is mixed: above EMA20, below EMA50. AVGO is the laggard: below all EMAs and 29% off its high.
Software / Cloud / Security: 5 bull / 3 bear / 1 mixed, avg +0.09%. The group is split sharply. Cybersecurity is the standout theme: CRWD, FTNT and PANW are all within 2.2% of 52-week highs. CDNS (+4.18%) and SNPS (+2.87%) reclaimed EMA20/50. INTU (-3.37%, RSI 29.9) and ADBE remain broken.
Consumer / Internet: 1 bull / 9 bear, avg -0.13%. The weakest group by far. BKNG (RSI 23.9), ABNB (29.4), DASH, MELI, TMUS and ORLY are all bearish. With rising yields and hike expectations, consumer names are being de-rated. MAR is the only bull.
Healthcare / Biotech: ISRG is Bull (above 20/50) but still below EMA200. REGN is mixed (below EMA20), with MACD below signal.
Industrial / Other: LIN and CEG are both below all EMAs. Utilities and power (CEG) are feeling the yield pressure.
Overall: 18 bullish, 17 bearish and 5 mixed. This is a narrow, AI/semis/cyber-led market while consumer and rate-sensitive names roll over.



Top Swing Setups
1. CRWD - 52-week high breakout (Long)
Entry: 264.00 · Stop: 245.40 · T1: 291.90 · T2: 319.80 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bull (above all). RSI 67.1, MACD 13.48 > 9.82. 1.6% below the 263.87 52-week high, and well above POC 212.14. Stop is 1.5x ATR (12.40). Buy-stop only on a daily close through 263.87. Today's RV was 0.63, so it needs volume on the break. Confluence 4/5.

2. FTNT - 52-week high breakout (Long)
Entry: 181.50 · Stop: 171.20 · T1: 196.95 · T2: 212.40 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bull (above all). RSI 64.5, MACD 4.89 > 3.34. Tight 1.5% below the 181.37 high. Classic R1 (181.11) and Cam R4 (181.21) cluster at the trigger. Stop is 1.5x ATR (6.85). This is the cyber theme again. Confluence 4/5.

3. AAPL - EMA20 pullback (Long)
Entry: 330.00 · Stop: 320.00 · T1: 345.30 · T2: 355.00 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.5
Bull (above all). RSI 61.3, MACD 6.02 > 5.21. Entry is at EMA20 (329.22), which lines up with classic S3 (329.23). The stop sits below EMA50 (320.67), and POC 319.47 is the last line. T1 is the 52-week high (345.34). Confluence 4/5.

4. NVDA - EMA20 pullback (Long)
Entry: 221.50 · Stop: 212.80 · T1: 236.50 · T2: 245.00 · R:R: 1:1.7 / 1:2.7
Bull (above all). RSI 54.7, MACD 2.24 > 1.82 and rising. Entry is at EMA20 (221.12). The stop is below EMA50 (216.82) and POC (213.19). T1 is the 236.54 52-week high. Today's RV was 0.59, so expect a slow burn. Confluence 3/5.

5. MELI - Breakdown continuation (Short)
Entry: 1,735.00 · Stop: 1,815.00 · T1: 1,615.00 · T2: 1,495.00 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bear (below all). RSI 36.3. MACD -27.29 is accelerating below its signal (-9.58). Today it fell -2.51% on RV 1.23. Short on a sell-stop below today's low (1,736.85). The stop is above today's high (1,805.92). The EMA20/50/POC cluster at 1,853-1,857 is heavy overhead. T2 is the 52-week low. Confluence 4/5.

Do NOT chase: META (RSI 80.5, +16.1% / 4.0 ATR above EMA20) and AMD (RSI 72.8, +16.2% / 3.4 ATR above EMA20) are both at records but stretched. Wait for a pullback toward EMA20 or a flag before adding. MU (Bull, RSI 63) reports on 30 Sep, so keep size light into the event.



Intraday Setups (25 Sep)
1. META - Camarilla R4 breakout (Long, trend day)
Entry: 798.50 · Stop: 787.00 · T1: 816.00 · T2: 827.40 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.5
Trigger: a 15m close above Cam R4 (797.84) and the 779.82 ATH. The stop sits back inside Cam R3 (787.71). T2 is classic R3 (827.41). If it opens under 779.82, the alternative is a Cam S3 (767.47) fade long.

2. AAPL - Camarilla S3 fade (Long, range day)
Entry: 334.65 · Stop: 333.00 · T1: 337.19 · T2: 338.46 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.3
Buy the dip at Cam S3, with the stop below Cam S4 (333.38). T1 is Cam R3 and T2 is Cam R4. The daily trend is bull, so this is a with-trend fade. It is a tight R3-S3 range (2.54 vs ATR 6.96), which is ideal for fades.

3. CRWD - Camarilla S3 fade (Long)
Entry: 258.20 · Stop: 256.40 · T1: 261.14 · T2: 262.85 · R:R: 1:1.6 / 1:2.6
Buy at Cam S3, with the stop below Cam S4 (256.73). T1 is Cam R3 and T2 is classic R1. A move above Cam R4 (262.61) turns this into the swing breakout setup above.

4. INTU - Camarilla S4 breakdown (Short, half size)
Entry: 268.50 · Stop: 274.00 · T1: 260.00 · T2: 257.00 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.1
Trigger: a 15m close below Cam S4 (268.87). The stop is back above Cam S3 (273.00). T2 is classic S3 (256.99), and the 52-week low (252.84) is below that. Bear (below all), -3.37% on RV 1.21. RSI 29.9 is oversold, so snap-back risk means half size.

5. COST - Post-earnings R1 breakout (Long, counter-trend, half size)
Entry: 906.00 · Stop: 899.50 · T1: 916.00 · T2: 919.70 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.1
Costco beat after hours and traded ~+1% (~904.9). Trigger: a hold above classic R1 (905.52) and Cam R4 (904.27). The stop is under the pivot (900.39) and Cam R3 (900.38). T2 is classic R3 (919.69). The daily trend is Bear (below all), and EMA20 (911.97) is overhead resistance. Book partials at 912-914.



Key Levels Dashboard
META (close 777.59)
Cam: S4 757.34 · S3 767.47 · S1 774.22 || R1 780.96 · R3 787.71 · R4 797.84
Classic: S3 716.98 · S2 730.00 · S1 753.79 · P 766.81 · R1 790.60 · R2 803.62 · R3 827.41
EMA20 669.87 · EMA50 631.37 · EMA200 626.68 · POC 624.90 · Prev H/L 779.82 / 743.01 · 52w H/L 779.82 / 520.26

AMD (close 629.26)
Cam: S4 611.90 · S3 620.58 · S1 626.37 || R1 632.15 · R3 637.94 · R4 646.62
Classic: S3 577.17 · S2 588.21 · S1 608.73 · P 619.77 · R1 640.29 · R2 651.33 · R3 671.85
EMA20 541.73 · EMA50 510.77 · EMA200 395.57 · POC 511.36 · Prev H/L 630.80 / 599.24 · 52w H/L 630.80 / 154.78

NVDA (close 224.58)
Cam: S4 222.46 · S3 223.52 · S1 224.23 || R1 224.93 · R3 225.64 · R4 226.70
Classic: S3 218.28 · S2 219.69 · S1 222.13 · P 223.54 · R1 225.98 · R2 227.39 · R3 229.83
EMA20 221.12 · EMA50 216.82 · EMA200 200.53 · POC 213.19 · Prev H/L 224.94 / 221.09 · 52w H/L 236.54 / 164.27

AAPL (close 335.92)
Cam: S4 333.38 · S3 334.65 · S1 335.50 || R1 336.34 · R3 337.19 · R4 338.46
Classic: S3 329.23 · S2 331.77 · S1 333.84 · P 336.38 · R1 338.45 · R2 340.99 · R3 343.06
EMA20 329.22 · EMA50 320.67 · EMA200 292.07 · POC 319.47 · Prev H/L 338.91 / 334.30 · 52w H/L 345.34 / 243.42

CRWD (close 259.67)
Cam: S4 256.73 · S3 258.20 · S1 259.18 || R1 260.16 · R3 261.14 · R4 262.61
Classic: S3 252.17 · S2 255.35 · S1 257.51 · P 260.69 · R1 262.85 · R2 266.03 · R3 268.19
EMA20 232.57 · EMA50 213.97 · EMA200 165.49 · POC 212.14 · Prev H/L 263.87 / 258.53 · 52w H/L 263.87 / 85.68



Bearish Warnings
Death crosses (EMA50 below EMA200): TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, LIN, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, SNPS, CDNS, MELI, CEG, ORLY
EMA20 below EMA50: 23 of 40, including AMZN, GOOGL, AVGO, AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, TXN and CSCO. The short-term trend is weakening under the index surface.
MACD below signal: 16 of 40, including MSFT, AMZN, REGN and WDAY (bull names losing momentum), plus INTU, MELI, BKNG, ABNB and DASH (bears accelerating)
Near 52-week lows: TMUS (+2.6% above its low), ORLY (+4.4%), BKNG (+4.8%, RSI 23.9), COST (+6.2%), INTU (+9.6%, RSI 29.9, -60.6% from its high)
Overbought and extended: META RSI 80.5 and AMD RSI 72.8. Both are 3.4-4.0 ATR above EMA20, which leaves them prone to sharp mean-reversion.
Index: RSI bearish divergence vs June, a flattening MACD histogram, poor breadth (14 up / 26 down) and 10Y yields above 5.1%. A daily close below 30,204 would confirm a short-term top, with 30,000 and then the 29,648-29,933 gap as targets.



Events Calendar
Fri 25 Sep: Durable Goods (13:30 UK), UMich Consumer Sentiment and inflation expectations, final (15:00 UK). Several Fed speakers are due this week following the September hike. COST trades on today's after-hours results.
Tue-Wed 29-30 Sep: Quarter-end rebalancing flows. Wed 30 Sep: August PCE inflation (BEA) and Micron (MU) Q4 FY26 earnings after the close (guide ~$50B revenue / ~$31 EPS). This is a key AI/memory catalyst for the semis.
Fri 2 Oct: September Nonfarm Payrolls.
Rates backdrop: The Fed funds range is 3.75-4.00% after last week's hike. Markets price ~69% odds of another hike in October, so every Fed speaker and data print is a volatility risk for long-duration tech.



Report: 24 Sep 2026 22:03 GMT · Data: NAS100 index (Yahoo Finance close) and ChartsView scanner (24 Sep 2026) · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.