- Posts: 3195
- Thank you received: 5674
NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
1 day 20 hours ago #18633
by remo
Replied by remo on topic NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Daily Technical Analysis - Thursday 25 June 2026
Data: Close 25 Jun 2026 | NAS100: ~29,800 | Change: +585 (+2.0%) | Range: 29,300-29,860 (approx)
Component prices, EMAs, RSI, MACD, pivots and Camarilla levels are exact closing values from the ChartsView scanner feed (25 Jun). Index OHLC is approximate from session reporting.
Market Overview
The NAS100 closed up roughly 2% near 29,800, but beneath the surface this was one of the most bifurcated sessions of the quarter. Two forces pulled in opposite directions.
Bullish driver: Micron (MU +15.8%) blew past earnings and reignited the AI / data-centre memory trade, dragging the chip-equipment complex vertical - AMAT +13.4%, KLAC +7.6%, LRCX +7.2%, all closing at or near fresh 52-week highs.
Bearish driver: A hot May PCE print (headline ~4.1% y/y, core ~3.4%) hit rate-sensitive mega-cap tech - AAPL -6.2%, MSFT -3.5%, AMZN -3.1%, META -2.7%, with MSFT, NFLX, ADBE and INTU pressing 52-week lows.
Bias: Index-level bullish on the semis surge, but breadth is deeply split. Leadership is concentrated in chip-equipment while the mega-cap generals are broken. This is a rotation, not a broad advance - treat the headline gain with caution.
Trend
EMA stack (close vs 20 / 50 / 200):
Full bull stack (above all three): ABNB, ADI, AMAT, AMD, CRWD, FTNT, KLAC, LIN, LRCX, MRVL, MU, PANW, TXN - 13 names.
Full bear stack (below all three): ADBE, AMZN, COST, INTU, ISRG, MELI, META, MSFT, NFLX, ORLY, PYPL, REGN, SNPS, TMUS, TSLA, WDAY - 16 names.
The chip-equipment cohort is in clean Stage 2 uptrends with price > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200. The mega-cap software and internet cohort is in confirmed downtrends below all EMAs and below their 60-day POC. The tape is splitting into two regimes - own strength, avoid the broken generals.
Indicators
RSI(14): Overbought (>=70): AMAT. Oversold (<=30): ADBE, INTU, MSFT, NFLX.
AMAT (72.5) is the lone overbought name - powerful but extended. The oversold cluster (NFLX 19.1, ADBE 28.4, MSFT 28.7, INTU 30.0) flags capitulation in mega-cap tech; wait for bullish divergence before fading the downtrend.
MACD: 13 of 40 names carry a bullish MACD (line > signal). MU, AMAT, KLAC and LRCX pair bullish MACD with expanding histograms - momentum confirms the move. PANW, AMD, MRVL and TXN sit above all EMAs yet show MACD below signal - momentum lagging price, a yellow flag on those breakouts.
Volume: Conviction is in the leaders - MU (rel vol 1.45), AMAT (1.49), LRCX (1.32) rallied on above-average volume. The mega-cap selling (MSFT, AMZN rel vol 1.50) was high-volume distribution - real supply, not noise.
Key Index Levels (NAS100)
Index OHLC is not in the component feed; the levels below are approximate, from the ~2% session and round-number structure.
Resistance: R1 ~30,000 (psychological) - R2 ~30,210 - R3 ~30,500
Support: S1 ~29,450 - S2 ~29,220 (prior close) - S3 ~29,100
Approx classic pivot ~29,650. Bulls want to hold 29,450 and base under 30,000; a clean break and close above 30,000 opens 30,500. Loss of 29,220 (prior close / breakout pivot) negates the session and warns the semis pop was a one-day event.
Component Signals - all 40
Bull (above all)
MU 1213.56 - +15.81% - Bull (above all) - RSI 64.5 (Strong) - MACD+ - -3.3% vs 52wH - POC+
AMAT 668.13 - +13.44% - Bull (above all) - RSI 72.5 (Overbought) - MACD+ - -0.2% vs 52wH - POC+
KLAC 258.80 - +7.62% - Bull (above all) - RSI 63.3 (Strong) - MACD+ - -4.1% vs 52wH - POC+
LRCX 401.82 - +7.20% - Bull (above all) - RSI 64.7 (Strong) - MACD+ - -1.9% vs 52wH - POC+
FTNT 149.93 - +3.20% - Bull (above all) - RSI 66.4 (Strong) - MACD- - -1.3% vs 52wH - POC+
PANW 293.09 - +2.74% - Bull (above all) - RSI 66.1 (Strong) - MACD- - -3.3% vs 52wH - POC+
TXN 311.81 - +2.74% - Bull (above all) - RSI 54.6 (Neutral) - MACD- - -6.7% vs 52wH - POC+
AMD 532.57 - +2.60% - Bull (above all) - RSI 58.5 (Neutral) - MACD- - -5.4% vs 52wH - POC+
MRVL 281.26 - +1.65% - Bull (above all) - RSI 56.5 (Neutral) - MACD- - -14.7% vs 52wH - POC+
LIN 522.28 - +1.27% - Bull (above all) - RSI 58.6 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -1.1% vs 52wH - POC+
ADI 417.93 - +1.09% - Bull (above all) - RSI 51.6 (Neutral) - MACD- - -6.3% vs 52wH - POC+
CRWD 678.65 - +0.84% - Bull (above all) - RSI 56.0 (Neutral) - MACD- - -13.6% vs 52wH - POC+
ABNB 141.88 - -1.75% - Bull (above all) - RSI 58.3 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -3.7% vs 52wH - POC+
Bull (above 20/50)
DASH 176.91 - -0.57% - Bull (above 20/50) - RSI 60.8 (Strong) - MACD+ - -38.0% vs 52wH - POC+
BKNG 177.05 - -2.33% - Bull (above 20/50) - RSI 58.8 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -24.2% vs 52wH - POC+
Mixed
QCOM 204.74 - +3.76% - Mixed (<20, >50, >200) - RSI 47.6 (Neutral) - MACD- - -21.2% vs 52wH - POC+
CEG 268.69 - +0.27% - Mixed (>20, <50, <200) - RSI 48.4 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -34.9% vs 52wH - POC-
CSCO 118.97 - -0.64% - Mixed (<20, >50, >200) - RSI 53.6 (Neutral) - MACD- - -8.7% vs 52wH - POC+
CDNS 368.23 - -1.13% - Mixed (<20, >50, >200) - RSI 45.2 (Neutral) - MACD- - -11.6% vs 52wH - POC+
MAR 378.91 - -1.19% - Mixed (<20, >50, >200) - RSI 47.1 (Neutral) - MACD- - -7.8% vs 52wH - POC+
Bear (below 20/50)
GOOGL 343.71 - -0.45% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 36.2 (Weak) - MACD- - -15.9% vs 52wH - POC-
AVGO 378.91 - -0.83% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 43.3 (Neutral) - MACD- - -23.5% vs 52wH - POC-
NVDA 195.74 - -1.59% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 39.6 (Weak) - MACD- - -17.2% vs 52wH - POC-
AAPL 275.15 - -6.15% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 32.2 (Weak) - MACD- - -13.3% vs 52wH - POC-
Bear (below all)
TMUS 181.57 - +0.43% - Bear (below all) - RSI 44.0 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -30.6% vs 52wH - POC-
TSLA 375.12 - -0.09% - Bear (below all) - RSI 38.9 (Weak) - MACD- - -24.8% vs 52wH - POC-
PYPL 42.38 - -0.22% - Bear (below all) - RSI 45.0 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -46.7% vs 52wH - POC-
REGN 620.14 - -0.50% - Bear (below all) - RSI 43.8 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -24.5% vs 52wH - POC-
ISRG 399.69 - -0.55% - Bear (below all) - RSI 37.2 (Weak) - MACD- - -33.8% vs 52wH - POC-
ORLY 86.90 - -1.03% - Bear (below all) - RSI 41.9 (Neutral) - MACD- - -20.1% vs 52wH - POC-
NFLX 70.91 - -1.30% - Bear (below all) - RSI 19.1 (Oversold) - MACD- - -47.1% vs 52wH - POC-
ADBE 193.41 - -1.60% - Bear (below all) - RSI 28.4 (Oversold) - MACD- - -50.7% vs 52wH - POC-
SNPS 454.98 - -1.95% - Bear (below all) - RSI 42.2 (Neutral) - MACD- - -30.2% vs 52wH - POC-
COST 942.24 - -1.95% - Bear (below all) - RSI 36.5 (Weak) - MACD- - -14.1% vs 52wH - POC-
MELI 1619.25 - -2.43% - Bear (below all) - RSI 47.0 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -38.8% vs 52wH - POC-
META 542.87 - -2.68% - Bear (below all) - RSI 34.1 (Weak) - MACD- - -31.8% vs 52wH - POC-
INTU 255.07 - -2.77% - Bear (below all) - RSI 30.0 (Oversold) - MACD- - -68.7% vs 52wH - POC-
AMZN 227.01 - -3.14% - Bear (below all) - RSI 33.7 (Weak) - MACD- - -18.5% vs 52wH - POC-
MSFT 352.83 - -3.45% - Bear (below all) - RSI 28.7 (Oversold) - MACD- - -36.5% vs 52wH - POC-
WDAY 113.77 - -3.64% - Bear (below all) - RSI 36.3 (Weak) - MACD- - -54.5% vs 52wH - POC-
Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (avg -2.51%): TSLA -0.1%, GOOGL -0.5%, NVDA -1.6%, META -2.7%, AMZN -3.1%, MSFT -3.5%, AAPL -6.2%
Semiconductors (avg +5.51%): MU +15.8%, AMAT +13.4%, KLAC +7.6%, LRCX +7.2%, QCOM +3.8%, TXN +2.7%, AMD +2.6%, MRVL +1.6%, ADI +1.1%, AVGO -0.8%
Software / Cloud (avg -0.55%): FTNT +3.2%, PANW +2.7%, CRWD +0.8%, CSCO -0.6%, CDNS -1.1%, ADBE -1.6%, SNPS -1.9%, INTU -2.8%, WDAY -3.6%
Consumer / Internet (avg -1.23%): TMUS +0.4%, PYPL -0.2%, DASH -0.6%, ORLY -1.0%, MAR -1.2%, NFLX -1.3%, ABNB -1.8%, COST -1.9%, BKNG -2.3%, MELI -2.4%
Healthcare / Biotech (avg -0.53%): REGN -0.5%, ISRG -0.6%
Industrial / Other (avg +0.77%): LIN +1.3%, CEG +0.3%
Semiconductors are the clear leadership group; Software/Cloud and Mega-cap Tech are the laggards. The split between chip-equipment strength and mega-cap weakness is the defining feature of the session.
Top Swing Setups
MU - long, AI memory breakout
Entry: 1213 (or pullback to 1180 / Cam S3) - Stop: 1118 (1.0 ATR, below 1148 pivot S1) - T1: 1267 (R1) - T2: 1320 (R2) - R:R: ~1.1-2.2
Confluence: +15.8% on rel vol 1.45, MACD bull, price > all EMAs, reclaimed POC (745) long ago and printing into the 52w high (1255). Strongest name on the board; buy strength or the first higher-low.
LRCX - long, chip-equipment continuation
Entry: 402 (or 392 / Cam S3) - Stop: 378 (1.0 ATR, below 380 pivot S1) - T1: 410 (52w high) - T2: 430 (R2) - R:R: ~0.3-1.2
Confluence: +7.2% on rel vol 1.32, full bull stack, MACD bull, sitting just under 52w high 409.75. Tight stop available at the breakout shelf; best risk/reward of the leaders.
KLAC - long, breakout pullback
Entry: 259 (or 254 / pivot) - Stop: 243 (1.0 ATR, below 247 S1) - T1: 270 (52w high / R2) - T2: 283 (R3) - R:R: ~0.7-1.5
Confluence: +7.6%, full bull stack, MACD bull, RSI 63 (room before overbought). Cleaner entry than AMAT, which is already RSI 72.5.
FTNT - long, base breakout
Entry: 150 (break of 152 52w high) - Stop: 144 (1.0 ATR, below 145 S1) - T1: 156 (R2) - T2: 160 (R3) - R:R: ~1.0-1.7
Confluence: +3.2%, full bull stack, RSI 66.4, closed at the 52w high 151.97. A daily close above 152 confirms breakout; note MACD just rolled below signal, so demand the close.
AMD - long, trend pullback (lower conviction)
Entry: 533 (or 520 / Cam S3) - Stop: 499 (1.0 ATR, below 509 S1) - T1: 553 (R1) - T2: 563 (52w high) - R:R: ~0.6-0.9
Confluence: +2.6%, full bull stack, but MACD below signal - momentum lagging. Treat as a pullback-buy in an uptrend, not a breakout; size down.
Intraday Setups
AMAT - Camarilla breakout long
Direction: Long - Entry: > 673.6 (Cam R1) - Stop: 662.7 (Cam S1) - T1: 679 (R2) - T2: 684.5 (R3). Above Cam R1 with momentum targets the R-band; only valid if it holds 52w-high 669 as support intraday. Extended (RSI 72.5) - scalp, do not chase.
MU - Camarilla R-band continuation
Direction: Long - Entry: > 1224 (Cam R1) - Stop: 1191 (Cam S2) - T1: 1246 (R3) - T2: 1279 (R4). Trend-day continuation; reclaim of Cam R1 after any open dip signals buyers still in control.
LIN - pivot breakout long
Direction: Long - Entry: > 524 - Stop: 518 (Cam S2) - T1: 528 (52w high / R1) - T2: 530 (Cam R4). Quiet full-bull-stack name at the 52w high 527.94; low ATR (10.7) = defined risk.
MSFT - Camarilla breakdown short
Direction: Short - Entry: < 344.6 (Cam S4) - Stop: 351.5 (Cam S1) - T1: 340.4 (S2) - T2: 331.6 (S3). Below all EMAs, RSI 28.7, closing at 52w low 349.20 on rel vol 1.5. A break of Cam S4 opens range-expansion lower; counter-trend bounces into 351 are sells.
NFLX - trend-day short into weakness
Direction: Short on bounce - Entry: rejection at 71.1 (Cam R1) - Stop: 72.1 (Cam R4) - T1: 70.34 (Cam S3) - T2: 69.5 (S2). RSI 19.1 is deeply oversold so chasing lows is risky; sell weak bounces while below 71.1, target the 52w low 70.86.
Key Levels Dashboard (top 5)
MU
Cam: S4 1148.28 - S3 1180.92 - S1 1202.68 || R1 1224.44 - R3 1246.2 - R4 1278.84
Classic: S3 1029.56 - S1 1148.25 - P 1201.62 - R1 1266.94 - R3 1385.63
EMA20 1011.45 - EMA50 836.48 - EMA200 494.88 - POC 745.93
Prev H 1255 - Prev L 1136.31 - 52wH 1255 - 52wL 103.38
AMAT
Cam: S4 635.39 - S3 651.76 - S1 662.67 || R1 673.59 - R3 684.5 - R4 700.87
Classic: S3 569.29 - S1 628.81 - P 649.02 - R1 688.33 - R3 747.85
EMA20 551.39 - EMA50 482.95 - EMA200 354.22 - POC 469.35
Prev H 669.22 - Prev L 609.7 - 52wH 669.22 - 52wL 154.47
KLAC
Cam: S4 249.27 - S3 254.03 - S1 257.21 || R1 260.39 - R3 263.57 - R4 268.33
Classic: S3 230.6 - S1 247.93 - P 254.38 - R1 265.26 - R3 282.59
EMA20 231.16 - EMA50 205.64 - EMA200 155.74 - POC 199.15
Prev H 260.84 - Prev L 243.51 - 52wH 269.9 - 52wL 83.22
LRCX
Cam: S4 382.19 - S3 392.01 - S1 398.55 || R1 405.09 - R3 411.63 - R4 421.45
Classic: S3 344.39 - S1 380.08 - P 394.04 - R1 415.77 - R3 451.46
EMA20 356.73 - EMA50 317.4 - EMA200 230.18 - POC 304.06
Prev H 407.99 - Prev L 372.3 - 52wH 409.75 - 52wL 90.94
AMD
Cam: S4 508.44 - S3 520.5 - S1 528.55 || R1 536.59 - R3 544.64 - R4 556.7
Classic: S3 465.54 - S1 509.42 - P 530.15 - R1 553.3 - R3 597.18
EMA20 504.04 - EMA50 439.13 - EMA200 295.02 - POC 390.43
Prev H 550.88 - Prev L 507 - 52wH 562.99 - 52wL 133.5
Bearish Warnings
Mega-cap distribution: AAPL (-6.2%), MSFT (-3.5%), AMZN (-3.1%), META (-2.7%) all closed below all EMAs. MSFT, NFLX, ADBE and INTU printed at or near 52-week lows.
Deeply oversold (capitulation risk, not yet a buy): NFLX RSI 19.1, ADBE 28.4, MSFT 28.7, INTU 30.0 - oversold can stay oversold in a downtrend.
Broken long-term trends: INTU (-68.7% from 52w high), WDAY (-54.5%), ADBE (-50.7%), NFLX (-47.1%), PYPL (-46.7%) - below all EMAs with bearish MACD. Avoid catching these knives.
Momentum-vs-price flags: PANW, AMD, MRVL, TXN, ADI are above all EMAs but carry MACD below signal - if the semis pop fades, these are first to roll over.
Events Calendar
Macro: May PCE (released 25 Jun) ran hot - headline ~4.1% y/y, core ~3.4% - the trigger for today mega-cap weakness. Fri 26 Jun: University of Michigan final consumer sentiment + inflation expectations; watch for Fed speakers on the back of the PCE beat.
Earnings (NAS100 names): MU reported (the catalyst). No other index heavyweights are scheduled in the next 1-2 sessions; focus shifts to early-July results and the next CPI. Confirm dates on the IR calendars before trading any event.
Index event: Nasdaq-100 June quarterly rebalance changes are in effect - expect index-tracking flow at the close.
Report: 25 Jun 2026 21:58 GMT - Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Data: Close 25 Jun 2026 | NAS100: ~29,800 | Change: +585 (+2.0%) | Range: 29,300-29,860 (approx)
Component prices, EMAs, RSI, MACD, pivots and Camarilla levels are exact closing values from the ChartsView scanner feed (25 Jun). Index OHLC is approximate from session reporting.
Market Overview
The NAS100 closed up roughly 2% near 29,800, but beneath the surface this was one of the most bifurcated sessions of the quarter. Two forces pulled in opposite directions.
Bullish driver: Micron (MU +15.8%) blew past earnings and reignited the AI / data-centre memory trade, dragging the chip-equipment complex vertical - AMAT +13.4%, KLAC +7.6%, LRCX +7.2%, all closing at or near fresh 52-week highs.
Bearish driver: A hot May PCE print (headline ~4.1% y/y, core ~3.4%) hit rate-sensitive mega-cap tech - AAPL -6.2%, MSFT -3.5%, AMZN -3.1%, META -2.7%, with MSFT, NFLX, ADBE and INTU pressing 52-week lows.
Bias: Index-level bullish on the semis surge, but breadth is deeply split. Leadership is concentrated in chip-equipment while the mega-cap generals are broken. This is a rotation, not a broad advance - treat the headline gain with caution.
Trend
EMA stack (close vs 20 / 50 / 200):
Full bull stack (above all three): ABNB, ADI, AMAT, AMD, CRWD, FTNT, KLAC, LIN, LRCX, MRVL, MU, PANW, TXN - 13 names.
Full bear stack (below all three): ADBE, AMZN, COST, INTU, ISRG, MELI, META, MSFT, NFLX, ORLY, PYPL, REGN, SNPS, TMUS, TSLA, WDAY - 16 names.
The chip-equipment cohort is in clean Stage 2 uptrends with price > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200. The mega-cap software and internet cohort is in confirmed downtrends below all EMAs and below their 60-day POC. The tape is splitting into two regimes - own strength, avoid the broken generals.
Indicators
RSI(14): Overbought (>=70): AMAT. Oversold (<=30): ADBE, INTU, MSFT, NFLX.
AMAT (72.5) is the lone overbought name - powerful but extended. The oversold cluster (NFLX 19.1, ADBE 28.4, MSFT 28.7, INTU 30.0) flags capitulation in mega-cap tech; wait for bullish divergence before fading the downtrend.
MACD: 13 of 40 names carry a bullish MACD (line > signal). MU, AMAT, KLAC and LRCX pair bullish MACD with expanding histograms - momentum confirms the move. PANW, AMD, MRVL and TXN sit above all EMAs yet show MACD below signal - momentum lagging price, a yellow flag on those breakouts.
Volume: Conviction is in the leaders - MU (rel vol 1.45), AMAT (1.49), LRCX (1.32) rallied on above-average volume. The mega-cap selling (MSFT, AMZN rel vol 1.50) was high-volume distribution - real supply, not noise.
Key Index Levels (NAS100)
Index OHLC is not in the component feed; the levels below are approximate, from the ~2% session and round-number structure.
Resistance: R1 ~30,000 (psychological) - R2 ~30,210 - R3 ~30,500
Support: S1 ~29,450 - S2 ~29,220 (prior close) - S3 ~29,100
Approx classic pivot ~29,650. Bulls want to hold 29,450 and base under 30,000; a clean break and close above 30,000 opens 30,500. Loss of 29,220 (prior close / breakout pivot) negates the session and warns the semis pop was a one-day event.
Component Signals - all 40
Bull (above all)
MU 1213.56 - +15.81% - Bull (above all) - RSI 64.5 (Strong) - MACD+ - -3.3% vs 52wH - POC+
AMAT 668.13 - +13.44% - Bull (above all) - RSI 72.5 (Overbought) - MACD+ - -0.2% vs 52wH - POC+
KLAC 258.80 - +7.62% - Bull (above all) - RSI 63.3 (Strong) - MACD+ - -4.1% vs 52wH - POC+
LRCX 401.82 - +7.20% - Bull (above all) - RSI 64.7 (Strong) - MACD+ - -1.9% vs 52wH - POC+
FTNT 149.93 - +3.20% - Bull (above all) - RSI 66.4 (Strong) - MACD- - -1.3% vs 52wH - POC+
PANW 293.09 - +2.74% - Bull (above all) - RSI 66.1 (Strong) - MACD- - -3.3% vs 52wH - POC+
TXN 311.81 - +2.74% - Bull (above all) - RSI 54.6 (Neutral) - MACD- - -6.7% vs 52wH - POC+
AMD 532.57 - +2.60% - Bull (above all) - RSI 58.5 (Neutral) - MACD- - -5.4% vs 52wH - POC+
MRVL 281.26 - +1.65% - Bull (above all) - RSI 56.5 (Neutral) - MACD- - -14.7% vs 52wH - POC+
LIN 522.28 - +1.27% - Bull (above all) - RSI 58.6 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -1.1% vs 52wH - POC+
ADI 417.93 - +1.09% - Bull (above all) - RSI 51.6 (Neutral) - MACD- - -6.3% vs 52wH - POC+
CRWD 678.65 - +0.84% - Bull (above all) - RSI 56.0 (Neutral) - MACD- - -13.6% vs 52wH - POC+
ABNB 141.88 - -1.75% - Bull (above all) - RSI 58.3 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -3.7% vs 52wH - POC+
Bull (above 20/50)
DASH 176.91 - -0.57% - Bull (above 20/50) - RSI 60.8 (Strong) - MACD+ - -38.0% vs 52wH - POC+
BKNG 177.05 - -2.33% - Bull (above 20/50) - RSI 58.8 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -24.2% vs 52wH - POC+
Mixed
QCOM 204.74 - +3.76% - Mixed (<20, >50, >200) - RSI 47.6 (Neutral) - MACD- - -21.2% vs 52wH - POC+
CEG 268.69 - +0.27% - Mixed (>20, <50, <200) - RSI 48.4 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -34.9% vs 52wH - POC-
CSCO 118.97 - -0.64% - Mixed (<20, >50, >200) - RSI 53.6 (Neutral) - MACD- - -8.7% vs 52wH - POC+
CDNS 368.23 - -1.13% - Mixed (<20, >50, >200) - RSI 45.2 (Neutral) - MACD- - -11.6% vs 52wH - POC+
MAR 378.91 - -1.19% - Mixed (<20, >50, >200) - RSI 47.1 (Neutral) - MACD- - -7.8% vs 52wH - POC+
Bear (below 20/50)
GOOGL 343.71 - -0.45% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 36.2 (Weak) - MACD- - -15.9% vs 52wH - POC-
AVGO 378.91 - -0.83% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 43.3 (Neutral) - MACD- - -23.5% vs 52wH - POC-
NVDA 195.74 - -1.59% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 39.6 (Weak) - MACD- - -17.2% vs 52wH - POC-
AAPL 275.15 - -6.15% - Bear (below 20/50) - RSI 32.2 (Weak) - MACD- - -13.3% vs 52wH - POC-
Bear (below all)
TMUS 181.57 - +0.43% - Bear (below all) - RSI 44.0 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -30.6% vs 52wH - POC-
TSLA 375.12 - -0.09% - Bear (below all) - RSI 38.9 (Weak) - MACD- - -24.8% vs 52wH - POC-
PYPL 42.38 - -0.22% - Bear (below all) - RSI 45.0 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -46.7% vs 52wH - POC-
REGN 620.14 - -0.50% - Bear (below all) - RSI 43.8 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -24.5% vs 52wH - POC-
ISRG 399.69 - -0.55% - Bear (below all) - RSI 37.2 (Weak) - MACD- - -33.8% vs 52wH - POC-
ORLY 86.90 - -1.03% - Bear (below all) - RSI 41.9 (Neutral) - MACD- - -20.1% vs 52wH - POC-
NFLX 70.91 - -1.30% - Bear (below all) - RSI 19.1 (Oversold) - MACD- - -47.1% vs 52wH - POC-
ADBE 193.41 - -1.60% - Bear (below all) - RSI 28.4 (Oversold) - MACD- - -50.7% vs 52wH - POC-
SNPS 454.98 - -1.95% - Bear (below all) - RSI 42.2 (Neutral) - MACD- - -30.2% vs 52wH - POC-
COST 942.24 - -1.95% - Bear (below all) - RSI 36.5 (Weak) - MACD- - -14.1% vs 52wH - POC-
MELI 1619.25 - -2.43% - Bear (below all) - RSI 47.0 (Neutral) - MACD+ - -38.8% vs 52wH - POC-
META 542.87 - -2.68% - Bear (below all) - RSI 34.1 (Weak) - MACD- - -31.8% vs 52wH - POC-
INTU 255.07 - -2.77% - Bear (below all) - RSI 30.0 (Oversold) - MACD- - -68.7% vs 52wH - POC-
AMZN 227.01 - -3.14% - Bear (below all) - RSI 33.7 (Weak) - MACD- - -18.5% vs 52wH - POC-
MSFT 352.83 - -3.45% - Bear (below all) - RSI 28.7 (Oversold) - MACD- - -36.5% vs 52wH - POC-
WDAY 113.77 - -3.64% - Bear (below all) - RSI 36.3 (Weak) - MACD- - -54.5% vs 52wH - POC-
Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (avg -2.51%): TSLA -0.1%, GOOGL -0.5%, NVDA -1.6%, META -2.7%, AMZN -3.1%, MSFT -3.5%, AAPL -6.2%
Semiconductors (avg +5.51%): MU +15.8%, AMAT +13.4%, KLAC +7.6%, LRCX +7.2%, QCOM +3.8%, TXN +2.7%, AMD +2.6%, MRVL +1.6%, ADI +1.1%, AVGO -0.8%
Software / Cloud (avg -0.55%): FTNT +3.2%, PANW +2.7%, CRWD +0.8%, CSCO -0.6%, CDNS -1.1%, ADBE -1.6%, SNPS -1.9%, INTU -2.8%, WDAY -3.6%
Consumer / Internet (avg -1.23%): TMUS +0.4%, PYPL -0.2%, DASH -0.6%, ORLY -1.0%, MAR -1.2%, NFLX -1.3%, ABNB -1.8%, COST -1.9%, BKNG -2.3%, MELI -2.4%
Healthcare / Biotech (avg -0.53%): REGN -0.5%, ISRG -0.6%
Industrial / Other (avg +0.77%): LIN +1.3%, CEG +0.3%
Semiconductors are the clear leadership group; Software/Cloud and Mega-cap Tech are the laggards. The split between chip-equipment strength and mega-cap weakness is the defining feature of the session.
Top Swing Setups
MU - long, AI memory breakout
Entry: 1213 (or pullback to 1180 / Cam S3) - Stop: 1118 (1.0 ATR, below 1148 pivot S1) - T1: 1267 (R1) - T2: 1320 (R2) - R:R: ~1.1-2.2
Confluence: +15.8% on rel vol 1.45, MACD bull, price > all EMAs, reclaimed POC (745) long ago and printing into the 52w high (1255). Strongest name on the board; buy strength or the first higher-low.
LRCX - long, chip-equipment continuation
Entry: 402 (or 392 / Cam S3) - Stop: 378 (1.0 ATR, below 380 pivot S1) - T1: 410 (52w high) - T2: 430 (R2) - R:R: ~0.3-1.2
Confluence: +7.2% on rel vol 1.32, full bull stack, MACD bull, sitting just under 52w high 409.75. Tight stop available at the breakout shelf; best risk/reward of the leaders.
KLAC - long, breakout pullback
Entry: 259 (or 254 / pivot) - Stop: 243 (1.0 ATR, below 247 S1) - T1: 270 (52w high / R2) - T2: 283 (R3) - R:R: ~0.7-1.5
Confluence: +7.6%, full bull stack, MACD bull, RSI 63 (room before overbought). Cleaner entry than AMAT, which is already RSI 72.5.
FTNT - long, base breakout
Entry: 150 (break of 152 52w high) - Stop: 144 (1.0 ATR, below 145 S1) - T1: 156 (R2) - T2: 160 (R3) - R:R: ~1.0-1.7
Confluence: +3.2%, full bull stack, RSI 66.4, closed at the 52w high 151.97. A daily close above 152 confirms breakout; note MACD just rolled below signal, so demand the close.
AMD - long, trend pullback (lower conviction)
Entry: 533 (or 520 / Cam S3) - Stop: 499 (1.0 ATR, below 509 S1) - T1: 553 (R1) - T2: 563 (52w high) - R:R: ~0.6-0.9
Confluence: +2.6%, full bull stack, but MACD below signal - momentum lagging. Treat as a pullback-buy in an uptrend, not a breakout; size down.
Intraday Setups
AMAT - Camarilla breakout long
Direction: Long - Entry: > 673.6 (Cam R1) - Stop: 662.7 (Cam S1) - T1: 679 (R2) - T2: 684.5 (R3). Above Cam R1 with momentum targets the R-band; only valid if it holds 52w-high 669 as support intraday. Extended (RSI 72.5) - scalp, do not chase.
MU - Camarilla R-band continuation
Direction: Long - Entry: > 1224 (Cam R1) - Stop: 1191 (Cam S2) - T1: 1246 (R3) - T2: 1279 (R4). Trend-day continuation; reclaim of Cam R1 after any open dip signals buyers still in control.
LIN - pivot breakout long
Direction: Long - Entry: > 524 - Stop: 518 (Cam S2) - T1: 528 (52w high / R1) - T2: 530 (Cam R4). Quiet full-bull-stack name at the 52w high 527.94; low ATR (10.7) = defined risk.
MSFT - Camarilla breakdown short
Direction: Short - Entry: < 344.6 (Cam S4) - Stop: 351.5 (Cam S1) - T1: 340.4 (S2) - T2: 331.6 (S3). Below all EMAs, RSI 28.7, closing at 52w low 349.20 on rel vol 1.5. A break of Cam S4 opens range-expansion lower; counter-trend bounces into 351 are sells.
NFLX - trend-day short into weakness
Direction: Short on bounce - Entry: rejection at 71.1 (Cam R1) - Stop: 72.1 (Cam R4) - T1: 70.34 (Cam S3) - T2: 69.5 (S2). RSI 19.1 is deeply oversold so chasing lows is risky; sell weak bounces while below 71.1, target the 52w low 70.86.
Key Levels Dashboard (top 5)
MU
Cam: S4 1148.28 - S3 1180.92 - S1 1202.68 || R1 1224.44 - R3 1246.2 - R4 1278.84
Classic: S3 1029.56 - S1 1148.25 - P 1201.62 - R1 1266.94 - R3 1385.63
EMA20 1011.45 - EMA50 836.48 - EMA200 494.88 - POC 745.93
Prev H 1255 - Prev L 1136.31 - 52wH 1255 - 52wL 103.38
AMAT
Cam: S4 635.39 - S3 651.76 - S1 662.67 || R1 673.59 - R3 684.5 - R4 700.87
Classic: S3 569.29 - S1 628.81 - P 649.02 - R1 688.33 - R3 747.85
EMA20 551.39 - EMA50 482.95 - EMA200 354.22 - POC 469.35
Prev H 669.22 - Prev L 609.7 - 52wH 669.22 - 52wL 154.47
KLAC
Cam: S4 249.27 - S3 254.03 - S1 257.21 || R1 260.39 - R3 263.57 - R4 268.33
Classic: S3 230.6 - S1 247.93 - P 254.38 - R1 265.26 - R3 282.59
EMA20 231.16 - EMA50 205.64 - EMA200 155.74 - POC 199.15
Prev H 260.84 - Prev L 243.51 - 52wH 269.9 - 52wL 83.22
LRCX
Cam: S4 382.19 - S3 392.01 - S1 398.55 || R1 405.09 - R3 411.63 - R4 421.45
Classic: S3 344.39 - S1 380.08 - P 394.04 - R1 415.77 - R3 451.46
EMA20 356.73 - EMA50 317.4 - EMA200 230.18 - POC 304.06
Prev H 407.99 - Prev L 372.3 - 52wH 409.75 - 52wL 90.94
AMD
Cam: S4 508.44 - S3 520.5 - S1 528.55 || R1 536.59 - R3 544.64 - R4 556.7
Classic: S3 465.54 - S1 509.42 - P 530.15 - R1 553.3 - R3 597.18
EMA20 504.04 - EMA50 439.13 - EMA200 295.02 - POC 390.43
Prev H 550.88 - Prev L 507 - 52wH 562.99 - 52wL 133.5
Bearish Warnings
Mega-cap distribution: AAPL (-6.2%), MSFT (-3.5%), AMZN (-3.1%), META (-2.7%) all closed below all EMAs. MSFT, NFLX, ADBE and INTU printed at or near 52-week lows.
Deeply oversold (capitulation risk, not yet a buy): NFLX RSI 19.1, ADBE 28.4, MSFT 28.7, INTU 30.0 - oversold can stay oversold in a downtrend.
Broken long-term trends: INTU (-68.7% from 52w high), WDAY (-54.5%), ADBE (-50.7%), NFLX (-47.1%), PYPL (-46.7%) - below all EMAs with bearish MACD. Avoid catching these knives.
Momentum-vs-price flags: PANW, AMD, MRVL, TXN, ADI are above all EMAs but carry MACD below signal - if the semis pop fades, these are first to roll over.
Events Calendar
Macro: May PCE (released 25 Jun) ran hot - headline ~4.1% y/y, core ~3.4% - the trigger for today mega-cap weakness. Fri 26 Jun: University of Michigan final consumer sentiment + inflation expectations; watch for Fed speakers on the back of the PCE beat.
Earnings (NAS100 names): MU reported (the catalyst). No other index heavyweights are scheduled in the next 1-2 sessions; focus shifts to early-July results and the next CPI. Confirm dates on the IR calendars before trading any event.
Index event: Nasdaq-100 June quarterly rebalance changes are in effect - expect index-tracking flow at the close.
Report: 25 Jun 2026 21:58 GMT - Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
3 days 20 hours ago #18630
by remo
Replied by remo on topic NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) - Daily Technical Analysis - Tuesday 23 June 2026
Data: Close 2026-06-23 | NAS100 (NDX): ~29,480 | Change: -863 pts (-2.84%) | VIX: 20.44 (+33%) | Range: global AI-chip rout session
Component levels below are from the ChartsView NAS100 scanner dated 23 Jun 2026 (current session). Index figure is the headline NDX move on the day.
Market Overview
The NAS100 was slammed in a broad risk-off session, the headline NDX shedding roughly 863 points (-2.84%) from the prior close of 30,406, as a global AI-chip rout that started in Asia rolled into US mega-cap tech. South Korea's KOSPI closed -9.99% and tripped a circuit-breaker (SK Hynix -12.5%, Samsung -12.3%); the VIX jumped about 33% to 20.44. Drivers: a Bank of America rate-hike note, stretched AI-valuation fears, and cascading semiconductor weakness.
Internal breadth confirms the damage: of the 40 NAS100 components scanned, 19 sit below all three EMAs, 16 above all three, and 5 mixed. Only 13 of 40 hold a bullish MACD and 19 close above their 60-day VWAP (POC). Crucially, the chip selloff was a single-session shock - not a single name printed an overbought RSI - so the longer-term EMA structure on the cyclical semis is bruised but not yet broken. Bias: bearish / risk-off while NDX trades below 30,000; a VIX reversal back under 18 would be the first all-clear.
Trend Structure
Intact uptrends (above all EMAs): FTNT, PANW, LIN, MAR, ABNB, CSCO, CRWD, AMD, AMAT, TXN, LRCX, KLAC, MU, MRVL - note the semis here closed sharply lower on the day yet remain above a rising EMA20/50/200 stack; they are extended pullbacks, not trend breaks.
Broken trends (below all EMAs): TSLA, META, MSFT, ISRG, MELI, SNPS, REGN, ORLY, COST, TMUS, NFLX, PYPL, ADBE, WDAY, INTU - clean downtrends with price under EMA20<EMA50<EMA200 in most cases.
Bearish 20/50 (below 20 & 50, above 200): GOOGL, NVDA, AMZN, AVGO, TSLA-adjacent mega-caps - the swing names most at risk of confirming a full breakdown if the 200-EMA gives way.
Mixed: AAPL (<20, >50, >200), ADI, CDNS, QCOM (all <20 >50 >200), CEG (>20 <50 <200). Phase: index in a corrective leg within a still-higher long-term structure; leadership has narrowed to security-software (FTNT, PANW, CRWD) and defensives (LIN).
Momentum & Volume
RSI(14): Oversold - NFLX 21.3, INTU 29.4, ADBE 30.0 (washed out, watch for mean-reversion bounces). Weak (<=40) - MSFT 35.3, WDAY 35.9, GOOGL 37.4, AMZN 37.8, ISRG 38.9, META 39.0. Strongest - PANW 67.3, FTNT 66.7, AMAT 63.4, KLAC 59.7 (semis still in strong-momentum territory despite the drop = bullish RSI/price divergence forming).
MACD: 13/40 bullish. The chip leaders (AMAT, TXN, LRCX, KLAC, MU) are the standouts holding bullish MACD into the selloff. Heaviest bearish histograms: INTU (-26.8 vs -25.6), MELI, ADBE, META, MSFT.
Volume: Relative volume spiked on the sold semis - MU 1.02, ADI 1.43, KLAC 1.32, LRCX 1.29, AMAT 1.21, TMUS 1.27 - confirming distribution. Leaders FTNT (0.81) and PANW (0.59) fell on light volume, a constructive sign for the longs.
Key NAS100 (NDX) Levels
Resistance: R1 30,000 (round / prior support turned resistance) . R2 30,406 (prev close) . R3 30,800 (broken EMA20 zone)
Support: S1 29,250 (intraday low area) . S2 29,000 (round) . S3 28,500 (next measured-move target)
Classic pivots (approx): S2 28,950 . S1 29,300 . P 29,800 . R1 30,150 . R2 30,500. Round numbers 29,000 / 30,000 are the session's magnets.
Component Signals - All 40
Cols: Ticker | Close | Chg% | Trend | RSI(zone) | MACD | %52wH | POC
FTNT 148.00 | +1.80% | Bull(above all) | RSI 66.7 (Strong) | Bear | -1.4% | Above POC
LIN 512.26 | -0.86% | Bull(above all) | RSI 51.5 (Neutral) | Bull | -2.6% | Above POC
PANW 290.92 | +1.58% | Bull(above all) | RSI 67.3 (Strong) | Bear | -4.0% | Above POC
ABNB 138.85 | -0.24% | Bull(above all) | RSI 55.4 (Neutral) | Bull | -5.7% | Above POC
MAR 386.83 | +0.69% | Bull(above all) | RSI 53.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -5.9% | Above POC
CSCO 121.15 | -0.31% | Bull(above all) | RSI 57.8 (Neutral) | Bear | -7.1% | Above POC
AAPL 294.30 | -0.91% | Mixed(<20 >50 >200) | RSI 47.1 (Neutral) | Bear | -7.3% | Above POC
AMD 519.85 | -5.76% | Bull(above all) | RSI 56.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -7.7% | Above POC
AMAT 585.88 | -8.48% | Bull(above all) | RSI 63.4 (Strong) | Bull | -8.6% | Above POC
ADI 407.26 | -8.58% | Mixed(<20 >50 >200) | RSI 48.3 (Neutral) | Bear | -8.7% | Above POC
TXN 304.41 | -8.39% | Bull(above all) | RSI 51.8 (Neutral) | Bull | -8.9% | Above POC
CDNS 379.06 | -2.57% | Mixed(<20 >50 >200) | RSI 50.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -9.0% | Above POC
LRCX 371.33 | -9.33% | Bull(above all) | RSI 58.7 (Neutral) | Bull | -9.4% | Above POC
KLAC 244.49 | -9.17% | Bull(above all) | RSI 59.7 (Neutral) | Bull | -9.4% | Above POC
COST 957.68 | +0.67% | Bear(below all) | RSI 40.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -12.7% | Below POC
CRWD 680.92 | +0.81% | Bull(above all) | RSI 56.9 (Neutral) | Bear | -13.3% | Above POC
MU 1,051.77 | -13.18% | Bull(above all) | RSI 57.0 (Neutral) | Bull | -13.3% | Above POC
GOOGL 346.09 | -1.03% | Bear(below 20/50) | RSI 37.4 (Weak) | Bear | -15.3% | Below POC
MRVL 279.04 | -9.36% | Bull(above all) | RSI 56.1 (Neutral) | Bear | -15.4% | Above POC
NVDA 200.00 | -4.15% | Bear(below 20/50) | RSI 42.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -15.4% | Below POC
AMZN 234.11 | +0.57% | Bear(below 20/50) | RSI 37.8 (Weak) | Bear | -16.0% | Below POC
ORLY 87.54 | +2.23% | Bear(below all) | RSI 43.6 (Neutral) | Bear | -19.5% | Below POC
QCOM 204.13 | -8.01% | Mixed(<20 >50 >200) | RSI 46.9 (Neutral) | Bear | -21.5% | Above POC
AVGO 380.15 | -3.06% | Bear(below 20/50) | RSI 43.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -23.2% | Below POC
TSLA 381.61 | -5.79% | Bear(below all) | RSI 40.9 (Neutral) | Bear | -23.5% | Below POC
REGN 618.03 | +0.90% | Bear(below all) | RSI 42.3 (Neutral) | Bull | -24.7% | Below POC
BKNG 168.94 | +0.70% | Bull(above 20/50) | RSI 52.1 (Neutral) | Bull | -27.7% | Below POC
SNPS 461.50 | -0.66% | Bear(below all) | RSI 44.6 (Neutral) | Bear | -29.2% | Below POC
META 562.20 | -0.29% | Bear(below all) | RSI 39.0 (Weak) | Bear | -29.4% | Below POC
TMUS 184.57 | +2.50% | Bear(below all) | RSI 47.7 (Neutral) | Bull | -29.4% | Below POC
MSFT 373.94 | +1.80% | Bear(below all) | RSI 35.3 (Weak) | Bear | -32.7% | Below POC
ISRG 403.18 | +0.06% | Bear(below all) | RSI 38.9 (Weak) | Bear | -33.2% | Below POC
CEG 270.26 | -1.91% | Mixed(>20 <50 <200) | RSI 49.3 (Neutral) | Bull | -34.5% | Below POC
DASH 171.52 | -0.33% | Bull(above 20/50) | RSI 57.7 (Neutral) | Bull | -39.9% | Above POC
MELI 1,583.66 | -0.36% | Bear(below all) | RSI 41.9 (Neutral) | Bear | -40.1% | Below POC
NFLX 72.82 | -0.08% | Bear(below all) | RSI 21.3 (OS) | Bear | -45.7% | Below POC
PYPL 41.70 | -1.51% | Bear(below all) | RSI 40.5 (Neutral) | Bull | -47.5% | Below POC
ADBE 197.43 | +1.30% | Bear(below all) | RSI 30.0 (OS) | Bear | -49.7% | Below POC
WDAY 115.13 | +1.85% | Bear(below all) | RSI 35.9 (Weak) | Bear | -53.9% | Below POC
INTU 258.05 | +0.11% | Bear(below all) | RSI 29.4 (OS) | Bear | -68.3% | Below POC
Sector Read
Semiconductors - the epicentre. MU -13.2%, LRCX -9.3%, KLAC -9.2%, ADI -8.6%, AMAT -8.5%, TXN -8.4%, QCOM -8.0%, AMD -5.8%, NVDA -4.2%, AVGO -3.1%, MRVL -9.4%. Group sold hard but AMAT/TXN/LRCX/KLAC/MU still sit above all EMAs - distribution within an uptrend, not (yet) a top.
Mega-cap Tech - mostly heavy: NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL below 20/50; META below all EMAs and weak; AAPL mixed; only MSFT ticked green (+1.8%) but remains deeply below its EMAs.
Software/Cloud - the relative-strength pocket: FTNT (+1.8%), PANW (+1.6%), CRWD (+0.8%) all above all EMAs. CSCO firm. Offset by INTU (-RSI 29), WDAY, ADBE deeply oversold downtrends.
Consumer/Internet: mixed-to-weak - MAR/ABNB/DASH hold up, BKNG above 20/50, but MELI, PYPL, ORLY, COST under all EMAs. Healthcare: ISRG, REGN both below all EMAs (defensive bid absent). Industrial/Other: LIN the cleanest defensive (above all EMAs, bullish MACD); CEG mixed.
Top Swing Setups
LONG PANW - relative-strength leader
Above all EMAs, RSI 67, fell only on light volume (rv 0.59), -4% from 52w high. Buy a pullback into prior value.
Entry: 285.0 (S1) . Stop: 273.0 (below EMA20 271.9) . T1: 298.0 (R2) . T2: 304.0 (R3 / 52wH 302.95) . R:R: ~1.6:1 . Confluence: EMA20 reclaim + POC 221 well below = trend support.
LONG FTNT - new-high momentum
Closed +1.8% into resistance, above all EMAs, RSI 66.7. Cup toward 52w high 150.07.
Entry: 144.9 (S1 pullback) . Stop: 137.9 (below EMA20 140.2) . T1: 150.0 (52wH) . T2: 154.6 (R3) . R:R: ~1.4:1 . Confluence: light-volume rest above POC 112.
LONG ABNB - fresh MACD cross
Above all EMAs with a new bullish MACD cross (1.23 vs 0.38), holding flat on a red day.
Entry: 138.0 . Stop: 134.5 (below EMA50 135.3) . T1: 142.2 (R2) . T2: 147.2 (52wH) . R:R: ~1.9:1 . Confluence: EMA stack + above POC 135.6.
SHORT TSLA - broken trend
Below all EMAs (price 381.6 vs EMA cluster ~405), MACD bearish, -5.8% on rising volume. Sell the bounce.
Entry: 384.5 (pivot) . Stop: 398.5 (R2 / EMA cluster) . T1: 370.7 (S2) . T2: 362.4 (S3) . R:R: ~1.6:1 . Confluence: rejection at broken EMA20/50 + below POC 393.
SHORT META - clean downtrend
Below all EMAs (EMA20 588 / EMA50 606 / EMA200 636), RSI 39, MACD -13.2. Fade rallies into supply.
Entry: 569.0 (R1) . Stop: 581.0 (R3) . T1: 554.0 (S2) . T2: 547.0 (S3) . R:R: ~1.8:1 . Confluence: EMA20 588 caps; below POC 608.
Intraday Setups (pivot / Camarilla)
LONG FTNT - Camarilla breakout
Direction: Long above 148.45 (Cam R1) . Stop: 146.61 (pivot) . T1: 149.34 (Cam R3) . T2: 150.69 (Cam R4 / 52wH) . Reasoning: RS leader, breakout-band trigger above pivot.
SHORT NVDA - round-number rejection
Direction: Short below 199.65 (Cam S1 / 200 round) . Stop: 201.26 (pivot) . T1: 197.49 (S2) . T2: 194.97 (S3) . Reasoning: lost EMA20/50, 200.00 psychological pivot, chip-rout drag.
SHORT TSLA - Camarilla breakdown
Direction: Short below 377.81 (Cam S3) . Stop: 380.34 (Cam S1) . T1: 374.01 (Cam S4) . T2: 370.70 (S2) . Reasoning: range-expansion breakdown in a broken trend.
SHORT AMZN - Camarilla breakdown
Direction: Short below 232.77 (Cam S3) . Stop: 234.33 (pivot) . T1: 231.43 (Cam S4) . T2: 229.46 (S2) . Reasoning: below 20/50 EMA, below POC 249.5, weak RSI 37.8.
LONG LIN - defensive pivot bounce
Direction: Long at 510.87-514.96 (Cam S1 / pivot) . Stop: 508.09 (Cam S3) . T1: 521.18 (R1) . T2: 530.11 (R2) . Reasoning: only clean defensive uptrend; risk-off rotation candidate.
Key Levels Dashboard - Top 5
NVDA (close 200.00) . Cam: S4 197.93 . S3 198.96 . S1 199.65 || R1 200.35 . R3 201.04 . R4 202.07 . Classic: S3 194.97 / S1 198.74 / P 201.26 / R1 202.51 / R3 206.28 . EMA20/50/200: 209.22/206.71/188.41 . POC 205.04 . PrevH/L 203.77/200 . 52w 142.03-236.54
AAPL (close 294.30) . Cam: S4 290.2 . S3 292.25 . S1 293.62 || R1 294.98 . R3 296.35 . R4 298.4 . Classic: S3 284.31 / S1 291.77 / P 296.71 / R1 299.23 / R3 306.69 . EMA20/50/200: 298.05/290.78/267.46 . POC 285.71 . PrevH/L 301.64/294.18 . 52w 198.96-317.4
TSLA (close 381.61) . Cam: S4 374.01 . S3 377.81 . S1 380.34 || R1 382.88 . R3 385.41 . R4 389.21 . Classic: S3 362.35 / S1 376.16 / P 384.51 / R1 389.97 / R3 403.78 . EMA20/50/200: 404.9/404.86/396.81 . POC 393.27 . PrevH/L 392.87/379.06 . 52w 288.77-498.83
META (close 562.20) . Cam: S4 556.05 . S3 559.13 . S1 561.18 || R1 563.22 . R3 565.27 . R4 568.35 . Classic: S3 546.9 / S1 558.08 / P 565.14 / R1 569.26 / R3 580.44 . EMA20/50/200: 588.67/605.93/636.02 . POC 608.05 . PrevH/L 572.2/561.02 . 52w 520.26-796.25
AMD (close 519.85) . Cam: S4 507.93 . S3 513.89 . S1 517.86 || R1 521.84 . R3 525.81 . R4 531.77 . Classic: S3 486.6 / S1 508.28 / P 518.38 / R1 529.96 / R3 551.64 . EMA20/50/200: 499.14/431.89/290.36 . POC 381.49 . PrevH/L 528.49/506.81 . 52w 126.82-562.99
Bearish Warnings
Below all EMAs + bearish MACD (full downtrend): TSLA, META, MSFT, ISRG, MELI, SNPS, ORLY, COST, NFLX, ADBE, WDAY, INTU.
Near 52-week lows: INTU (-68% from high, 52wL 252.84 vs close 258), WDAY (-54%), ADBE (-50%, 52wL 190.12), PYPL (-47%), NFLX (-46%).
EMA20<EMA50 death-cross risk: NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL, AVGO sitting below 20/50 - a close under the 200-EMA confirms trend loss. Semis distribution: MU/LRCX/KLAC/ADI/AMAT shed 8-13% on elevated volume - watch for follow-through below EMA20 to flip the swing structure bearish.
Events Calendar
Macro (next 1-2 days): US economic calendar shows scheduled releases on Wed 24 Jun - confirm on the wire before the open; rate expectations are the dominant driver after the BofA hike note. Watch any Fed-speaker commentary given the volatility spike.
Earnings (NAS100 names): none confirmed for the 40 in the immediate 1-2 session window from the scanner feed - verify against the earnings calendar before sizing swing trades, as a print into this tape would amplify moves.
Catalyst risk: follow-through from the Asia chip rout (KOSPI circuit-breaker) into the next US session is the key overhang; a stabilising VIX (back under 18) would relieve pressure on the semi complex.
Report: 2026-06-23 22:00 GMT . Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Data: Close 2026-06-23 | NAS100 (NDX): ~29,480 | Change: -863 pts (-2.84%) | VIX: 20.44 (+33%) | Range: global AI-chip rout session
Component levels below are from the ChartsView NAS100 scanner dated 23 Jun 2026 (current session). Index figure is the headline NDX move on the day.
Market Overview
The NAS100 was slammed in a broad risk-off session, the headline NDX shedding roughly 863 points (-2.84%) from the prior close of 30,406, as a global AI-chip rout that started in Asia rolled into US mega-cap tech. South Korea's KOSPI closed -9.99% and tripped a circuit-breaker (SK Hynix -12.5%, Samsung -12.3%); the VIX jumped about 33% to 20.44. Drivers: a Bank of America rate-hike note, stretched AI-valuation fears, and cascading semiconductor weakness.
Internal breadth confirms the damage: of the 40 NAS100 components scanned, 19 sit below all three EMAs, 16 above all three, and 5 mixed. Only 13 of 40 hold a bullish MACD and 19 close above their 60-day VWAP (POC). Crucially, the chip selloff was a single-session shock - not a single name printed an overbought RSI - so the longer-term EMA structure on the cyclical semis is bruised but not yet broken. Bias: bearish / risk-off while NDX trades below 30,000; a VIX reversal back under 18 would be the first all-clear.
Trend Structure
Intact uptrends (above all EMAs): FTNT, PANW, LIN, MAR, ABNB, CSCO, CRWD, AMD, AMAT, TXN, LRCX, KLAC, MU, MRVL - note the semis here closed sharply lower on the day yet remain above a rising EMA20/50/200 stack; they are extended pullbacks, not trend breaks.
Broken trends (below all EMAs): TSLA, META, MSFT, ISRG, MELI, SNPS, REGN, ORLY, COST, TMUS, NFLX, PYPL, ADBE, WDAY, INTU - clean downtrends with price under EMA20<EMA50<EMA200 in most cases.
Bearish 20/50 (below 20 & 50, above 200): GOOGL, NVDA, AMZN, AVGO, TSLA-adjacent mega-caps - the swing names most at risk of confirming a full breakdown if the 200-EMA gives way.
Mixed: AAPL (<20, >50, >200), ADI, CDNS, QCOM (all <20 >50 >200), CEG (>20 <50 <200). Phase: index in a corrective leg within a still-higher long-term structure; leadership has narrowed to security-software (FTNT, PANW, CRWD) and defensives (LIN).
Momentum & Volume
RSI(14): Oversold - NFLX 21.3, INTU 29.4, ADBE 30.0 (washed out, watch for mean-reversion bounces). Weak (<=40) - MSFT 35.3, WDAY 35.9, GOOGL 37.4, AMZN 37.8, ISRG 38.9, META 39.0. Strongest - PANW 67.3, FTNT 66.7, AMAT 63.4, KLAC 59.7 (semis still in strong-momentum territory despite the drop = bullish RSI/price divergence forming).
MACD: 13/40 bullish. The chip leaders (AMAT, TXN, LRCX, KLAC, MU) are the standouts holding bullish MACD into the selloff. Heaviest bearish histograms: INTU (-26.8 vs -25.6), MELI, ADBE, META, MSFT.
Volume: Relative volume spiked on the sold semis - MU 1.02, ADI 1.43, KLAC 1.32, LRCX 1.29, AMAT 1.21, TMUS 1.27 - confirming distribution. Leaders FTNT (0.81) and PANW (0.59) fell on light volume, a constructive sign for the longs.
Key NAS100 (NDX) Levels
Resistance: R1 30,000 (round / prior support turned resistance) . R2 30,406 (prev close) . R3 30,800 (broken EMA20 zone)
Support: S1 29,250 (intraday low area) . S2 29,000 (round) . S3 28,500 (next measured-move target)
Classic pivots (approx): S2 28,950 . S1 29,300 . P 29,800 . R1 30,150 . R2 30,500. Round numbers 29,000 / 30,000 are the session's magnets.
Component Signals - All 40
Cols: Ticker | Close | Chg% | Trend | RSI(zone) | MACD | %52wH | POC
FTNT 148.00 | +1.80% | Bull(above all) | RSI 66.7 (Strong) | Bear | -1.4% | Above POC
LIN 512.26 | -0.86% | Bull(above all) | RSI 51.5 (Neutral) | Bull | -2.6% | Above POC
PANW 290.92 | +1.58% | Bull(above all) | RSI 67.3 (Strong) | Bear | -4.0% | Above POC
ABNB 138.85 | -0.24% | Bull(above all) | RSI 55.4 (Neutral) | Bull | -5.7% | Above POC
MAR 386.83 | +0.69% | Bull(above all) | RSI 53.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -5.9% | Above POC
CSCO 121.15 | -0.31% | Bull(above all) | RSI 57.8 (Neutral) | Bear | -7.1% | Above POC
AAPL 294.30 | -0.91% | Mixed(<20 >50 >200) | RSI 47.1 (Neutral) | Bear | -7.3% | Above POC
AMD 519.85 | -5.76% | Bull(above all) | RSI 56.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -7.7% | Above POC
AMAT 585.88 | -8.48% | Bull(above all) | RSI 63.4 (Strong) | Bull | -8.6% | Above POC
ADI 407.26 | -8.58% | Mixed(<20 >50 >200) | RSI 48.3 (Neutral) | Bear | -8.7% | Above POC
TXN 304.41 | -8.39% | Bull(above all) | RSI 51.8 (Neutral) | Bull | -8.9% | Above POC
CDNS 379.06 | -2.57% | Mixed(<20 >50 >200) | RSI 50.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -9.0% | Above POC
LRCX 371.33 | -9.33% | Bull(above all) | RSI 58.7 (Neutral) | Bull | -9.4% | Above POC
KLAC 244.49 | -9.17% | Bull(above all) | RSI 59.7 (Neutral) | Bull | -9.4% | Above POC
COST 957.68 | +0.67% | Bear(below all) | RSI 40.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -12.7% | Below POC
CRWD 680.92 | +0.81% | Bull(above all) | RSI 56.9 (Neutral) | Bear | -13.3% | Above POC
MU 1,051.77 | -13.18% | Bull(above all) | RSI 57.0 (Neutral) | Bull | -13.3% | Above POC
GOOGL 346.09 | -1.03% | Bear(below 20/50) | RSI 37.4 (Weak) | Bear | -15.3% | Below POC
MRVL 279.04 | -9.36% | Bull(above all) | RSI 56.1 (Neutral) | Bear | -15.4% | Above POC
NVDA 200.00 | -4.15% | Bear(below 20/50) | RSI 42.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -15.4% | Below POC
AMZN 234.11 | +0.57% | Bear(below 20/50) | RSI 37.8 (Weak) | Bear | -16.0% | Below POC
ORLY 87.54 | +2.23% | Bear(below all) | RSI 43.6 (Neutral) | Bear | -19.5% | Below POC
QCOM 204.13 | -8.01% | Mixed(<20 >50 >200) | RSI 46.9 (Neutral) | Bear | -21.5% | Above POC
AVGO 380.15 | -3.06% | Bear(below 20/50) | RSI 43.5 (Neutral) | Bear | -23.2% | Below POC
TSLA 381.61 | -5.79% | Bear(below all) | RSI 40.9 (Neutral) | Bear | -23.5% | Below POC
REGN 618.03 | +0.90% | Bear(below all) | RSI 42.3 (Neutral) | Bull | -24.7% | Below POC
BKNG 168.94 | +0.70% | Bull(above 20/50) | RSI 52.1 (Neutral) | Bull | -27.7% | Below POC
SNPS 461.50 | -0.66% | Bear(below all) | RSI 44.6 (Neutral) | Bear | -29.2% | Below POC
META 562.20 | -0.29% | Bear(below all) | RSI 39.0 (Weak) | Bear | -29.4% | Below POC
TMUS 184.57 | +2.50% | Bear(below all) | RSI 47.7 (Neutral) | Bull | -29.4% | Below POC
MSFT 373.94 | +1.80% | Bear(below all) | RSI 35.3 (Weak) | Bear | -32.7% | Below POC
ISRG 403.18 | +0.06% | Bear(below all) | RSI 38.9 (Weak) | Bear | -33.2% | Below POC
CEG 270.26 | -1.91% | Mixed(>20 <50 <200) | RSI 49.3 (Neutral) | Bull | -34.5% | Below POC
DASH 171.52 | -0.33% | Bull(above 20/50) | RSI 57.7 (Neutral) | Bull | -39.9% | Above POC
MELI 1,583.66 | -0.36% | Bear(below all) | RSI 41.9 (Neutral) | Bear | -40.1% | Below POC
NFLX 72.82 | -0.08% | Bear(below all) | RSI 21.3 (OS) | Bear | -45.7% | Below POC
PYPL 41.70 | -1.51% | Bear(below all) | RSI 40.5 (Neutral) | Bull | -47.5% | Below POC
ADBE 197.43 | +1.30% | Bear(below all) | RSI 30.0 (OS) | Bear | -49.7% | Below POC
WDAY 115.13 | +1.85% | Bear(below all) | RSI 35.9 (Weak) | Bear | -53.9% | Below POC
INTU 258.05 | +0.11% | Bear(below all) | RSI 29.4 (OS) | Bear | -68.3% | Below POC
Sector Read
Semiconductors - the epicentre. MU -13.2%, LRCX -9.3%, KLAC -9.2%, ADI -8.6%, AMAT -8.5%, TXN -8.4%, QCOM -8.0%, AMD -5.8%, NVDA -4.2%, AVGO -3.1%, MRVL -9.4%. Group sold hard but AMAT/TXN/LRCX/KLAC/MU still sit above all EMAs - distribution within an uptrend, not (yet) a top.
Mega-cap Tech - mostly heavy: NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL below 20/50; META below all EMAs and weak; AAPL mixed; only MSFT ticked green (+1.8%) but remains deeply below its EMAs.
Software/Cloud - the relative-strength pocket: FTNT (+1.8%), PANW (+1.6%), CRWD (+0.8%) all above all EMAs. CSCO firm. Offset by INTU (-RSI 29), WDAY, ADBE deeply oversold downtrends.
Consumer/Internet: mixed-to-weak - MAR/ABNB/DASH hold up, BKNG above 20/50, but MELI, PYPL, ORLY, COST under all EMAs. Healthcare: ISRG, REGN both below all EMAs (defensive bid absent). Industrial/Other: LIN the cleanest defensive (above all EMAs, bullish MACD); CEG mixed.
Top Swing Setups
LONG PANW - relative-strength leader
Above all EMAs, RSI 67, fell only on light volume (rv 0.59), -4% from 52w high. Buy a pullback into prior value.
Entry: 285.0 (S1) . Stop: 273.0 (below EMA20 271.9) . T1: 298.0 (R2) . T2: 304.0 (R3 / 52wH 302.95) . R:R: ~1.6:1 . Confluence: EMA20 reclaim + POC 221 well below = trend support.
LONG FTNT - new-high momentum
Closed +1.8% into resistance, above all EMAs, RSI 66.7. Cup toward 52w high 150.07.
Entry: 144.9 (S1 pullback) . Stop: 137.9 (below EMA20 140.2) . T1: 150.0 (52wH) . T2: 154.6 (R3) . R:R: ~1.4:1 . Confluence: light-volume rest above POC 112.
LONG ABNB - fresh MACD cross
Above all EMAs with a new bullish MACD cross (1.23 vs 0.38), holding flat on a red day.
Entry: 138.0 . Stop: 134.5 (below EMA50 135.3) . T1: 142.2 (R2) . T2: 147.2 (52wH) . R:R: ~1.9:1 . Confluence: EMA stack + above POC 135.6.
SHORT TSLA - broken trend
Below all EMAs (price 381.6 vs EMA cluster ~405), MACD bearish, -5.8% on rising volume. Sell the bounce.
Entry: 384.5 (pivot) . Stop: 398.5 (R2 / EMA cluster) . T1: 370.7 (S2) . T2: 362.4 (S3) . R:R: ~1.6:1 . Confluence: rejection at broken EMA20/50 + below POC 393.
SHORT META - clean downtrend
Below all EMAs (EMA20 588 / EMA50 606 / EMA200 636), RSI 39, MACD -13.2. Fade rallies into supply.
Entry: 569.0 (R1) . Stop: 581.0 (R3) . T1: 554.0 (S2) . T2: 547.0 (S3) . R:R: ~1.8:1 . Confluence: EMA20 588 caps; below POC 608.
Intraday Setups (pivot / Camarilla)
LONG FTNT - Camarilla breakout
Direction: Long above 148.45 (Cam R1) . Stop: 146.61 (pivot) . T1: 149.34 (Cam R3) . T2: 150.69 (Cam R4 / 52wH) . Reasoning: RS leader, breakout-band trigger above pivot.
SHORT NVDA - round-number rejection
Direction: Short below 199.65 (Cam S1 / 200 round) . Stop: 201.26 (pivot) . T1: 197.49 (S2) . T2: 194.97 (S3) . Reasoning: lost EMA20/50, 200.00 psychological pivot, chip-rout drag.
SHORT TSLA - Camarilla breakdown
Direction: Short below 377.81 (Cam S3) . Stop: 380.34 (Cam S1) . T1: 374.01 (Cam S4) . T2: 370.70 (S2) . Reasoning: range-expansion breakdown in a broken trend.
SHORT AMZN - Camarilla breakdown
Direction: Short below 232.77 (Cam S3) . Stop: 234.33 (pivot) . T1: 231.43 (Cam S4) . T2: 229.46 (S2) . Reasoning: below 20/50 EMA, below POC 249.5, weak RSI 37.8.
LONG LIN - defensive pivot bounce
Direction: Long at 510.87-514.96 (Cam S1 / pivot) . Stop: 508.09 (Cam S3) . T1: 521.18 (R1) . T2: 530.11 (R2) . Reasoning: only clean defensive uptrend; risk-off rotation candidate.
Key Levels Dashboard - Top 5
NVDA (close 200.00) . Cam: S4 197.93 . S3 198.96 . S1 199.65 || R1 200.35 . R3 201.04 . R4 202.07 . Classic: S3 194.97 / S1 198.74 / P 201.26 / R1 202.51 / R3 206.28 . EMA20/50/200: 209.22/206.71/188.41 . POC 205.04 . PrevH/L 203.77/200 . 52w 142.03-236.54
AAPL (close 294.30) . Cam: S4 290.2 . S3 292.25 . S1 293.62 || R1 294.98 . R3 296.35 . R4 298.4 . Classic: S3 284.31 / S1 291.77 / P 296.71 / R1 299.23 / R3 306.69 . EMA20/50/200: 298.05/290.78/267.46 . POC 285.71 . PrevH/L 301.64/294.18 . 52w 198.96-317.4
TSLA (close 381.61) . Cam: S4 374.01 . S3 377.81 . S1 380.34 || R1 382.88 . R3 385.41 . R4 389.21 . Classic: S3 362.35 / S1 376.16 / P 384.51 / R1 389.97 / R3 403.78 . EMA20/50/200: 404.9/404.86/396.81 . POC 393.27 . PrevH/L 392.87/379.06 . 52w 288.77-498.83
META (close 562.20) . Cam: S4 556.05 . S3 559.13 . S1 561.18 || R1 563.22 . R3 565.27 . R4 568.35 . Classic: S3 546.9 / S1 558.08 / P 565.14 / R1 569.26 / R3 580.44 . EMA20/50/200: 588.67/605.93/636.02 . POC 608.05 . PrevH/L 572.2/561.02 . 52w 520.26-796.25
AMD (close 519.85) . Cam: S4 507.93 . S3 513.89 . S1 517.86 || R1 521.84 . R3 525.81 . R4 531.77 . Classic: S3 486.6 / S1 508.28 / P 518.38 / R1 529.96 / R3 551.64 . EMA20/50/200: 499.14/431.89/290.36 . POC 381.49 . PrevH/L 528.49/506.81 . 52w 126.82-562.99
Bearish Warnings
Below all EMAs + bearish MACD (full downtrend): TSLA, META, MSFT, ISRG, MELI, SNPS, ORLY, COST, NFLX, ADBE, WDAY, INTU.
Near 52-week lows: INTU (-68% from high, 52wL 252.84 vs close 258), WDAY (-54%), ADBE (-50%, 52wL 190.12), PYPL (-47%), NFLX (-46%).
EMA20<EMA50 death-cross risk: NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL, AVGO sitting below 20/50 - a close under the 200-EMA confirms trend loss. Semis distribution: MU/LRCX/KLAC/ADI/AMAT shed 8-13% on elevated volume - watch for follow-through below EMA20 to flip the swing structure bearish.
Events Calendar
Macro (next 1-2 days): US economic calendar shows scheduled releases on Wed 24 Jun - confirm on the wire before the open; rate expectations are the dominant driver after the BofA hike note. Watch any Fed-speaker commentary given the volatility spike.
Earnings (NAS100 names): none confirmed for the 40 in the immediate 1-2 session window from the scanner feed - verify against the earnings calendar before sizing swing trades, as a print into this tape would amplify moves.
Catalyst risk: follow-through from the Asia chip rout (KOSPI circuit-breaker) into the next US session is the key overhang; a stabilising VIX (back under 18) would relieve pressure on the semi complex.
Report: 2026-06-23 22:00 GMT . Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
4 days 20 hours ago #18628
by remo
Replied by remo on topic NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
NAS100 Daily Technical Analysis
Data date: 2026-06-11 (NAS100 component scanner)
STALE-DATA NOTICE: The NAS100 scanner feed last updated 2026-06-11. Today is 2026-06-22 - 11 calendar days / 7 trading sessions later. The DOW and FTSE feeds updated today but the NAS100 feed did not. ALL levels below are as-of the 2026-06-11 close and are NOT current prices. Treat pivots, Camarilla and ATR stops as historical reference only and re-validate against live price before any action.
Breadth (2026-06-11 close): Trend 15 bullish / 22 bearish / 3 mixed . MACD 11/40 bullish . Above 60d POC 21/40 . RSI overbought 2, oversold 0 .
Market Overview
As of the 2026-06-11 close the index was split: a powerful semiconductor rebound led the tape while mega-cap software lagged. Equipment names ripped - KLAC +12.9%, LRCX +12.7%, MU +11.7%, AMAT +11.2%, MRVL +11.1% - a snap-back after the prior week's Broadcom-led chip sell-off. Offsetting that, software and several mega-caps were heavy (ADBE -6.3%, WDAY -5.1%, GOOGL/MSFT/META soft). Macro backdrop into the print: VIX in the low-20s, a mid-week US CPI release and the June FOMC meeting keeping positioning cautious. Net bias on 2026-06-11: constructive but narrow - leadership concentrated in semis, breadth only middling (15/40 in clean uptrends).
Trend - EMA Structure
Clean bull stacks (price > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200): 15/40. Clean bear stacks: 22/40. Mixed/transitional: 3/40.
Strict close-vs-EMA classification was verified programmatically against every name (zero mismatches). The strongest structures sit in semis and select software (KLAC, LRCX, AMAT, MU, MRVL, AMD, ADI, FTNT, PANW, CRWD, MAR all above all three EMAs). The weakest sit in mega-cap software and internet (MSFT, META, ADBE, INTU, NFLX, PYPL, MELI, CEG, DASH below all three).
Momentum and Volume
RSI(14): 2 names overbought (>=70: AMAT 72.2, KLAC 72.3), 0 oversold. Most mega-caps sit mid-range 32-48 (MSFT 36.8, META 35.0, NFLX 31.2, INTU 32.6) - momentum clearly skewed to the chip complex.
MACD: 11/40 above signal - a minority, confirming the move was led by a concentrated group rather than the whole index.
Relative volume: conviction was where the leadership was - KLAC 1.54x, LRCX 1.48x, AMAT 1.35x, ADBE 2.34x (but on a down day = distribution). Most mega-caps traded at or below average volume (<1.0x), so the semi strength carried real participation while the weakness in big tech was lower-conviction drift.
Key Index Levels
The scanner feed carries the 40 components only, not the NDX index print, and an independent NDX close for 2026-06-11 could not be verified at generation time - so specific index pivots/round-number levels are intentionally omitted rather than guessed. Index-level read below is breadth-derived.
Internals on 2026-06-11: 15/40 in clean uptrends, 21/40 above their 60-day POC, 11/40 MACD-positive. That is a market being pulled higher by leadership (semis) while roughly half the components are still basing or correcting - a 'strong-but-narrow' tape rather than a broad advance.
Component Signals - all 40 (close 2026-06-11)
Format: TICKER close (chg%) . RSI zone . MACD . trend . % from 52w high . POC
Mega-cap Tech
AAPL 295.63 (+1.39%) . RSI 48 Neutral . MACD- . Mixed(<20,>50,>200) . -6.9% . >POC
MSFT 390.34 (-1.77%) . RSI 37 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -29.7% . <POC
GOOGL 357.77 (+0.39%) . RSI 41 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -12.4% . >POC
AMZN 241.32 (+1.4%) . RSI 37 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -13.4% . <POC
META 568.43 (-0.45%) . RSI 35 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -28.6% . <POC
NVDA 204.87 (+2.22%) . RSI 45 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -13.4% . >POC
TSLA 399.15 (+4.6%) . RSI 46 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -20.0% . >POC
Semiconductors
AVGO 385.31 (+3.55%) . RSI 42 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -22.2% . <POC
AMD 488.45 (+7.97%) . RSI 57 Neutral . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -10.6% . >POC
QCOM 202.96 (+6.15%) . RSI 48 Neutral . MACD- . Mixed(<20,>50,>200) . -21.9% . >POC
TXN 297.10 (+5.35%) . RSI 53 Neutral . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -10.4% . >POC
AMAT 552.64 (+11.19%) . RSI 72 OB . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -0.9% . >POC
MU 995.87 (+11.66%) . RSI 62 Bullish . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -8.6% . >POC
LRCX 362.52 (+12.65%) . RSI 68 Bullish . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -0.6% . >POC
KLAC 2,411.64 (+12.92%) . RSI 72 OB . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -0.8% . >POC
ADI 412.13 (+4.96%) . RSI 52 Neutral . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -6.3% . >POC
MRVL 280.71 (+11.13%) . RSI 63 Bullish . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -13.4% . >POC
Software/Cloud
ADBE 218.80 (-6.25%) . RSI 34 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -47.5% . <POC
INTU 276.91 (-2.57%) . RSI 33 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -66.0% . <POC
CRWD 691.53 (+6.76%) . RSI 60 Bullish . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -12.0% . >POC
PANW 279.53 (+6.2%) . RSI 65 Bullish . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -7.7% . >POC
SNPS 456.29 (-0.92%) . RSI 40 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -30.0% . <POC
CDNS 383.74 (-0.36%) . RSI 55 Neutral . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -7.9% . >POC
WDAY 130.53 (-5.05%) . RSI 46 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -49.1% . >POC
FTNT 145.06 (+4.45%) . RSI 69 Bullish . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -3.3% . >POC
CSCO 121.83 (+2.55%) . RSI 60 Bullish . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -6.6% . >POC
Consumer/Internet
NFLX 81.27 (-0.89%) . RSI 31 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -39.4% . <POC
COST 975.69 (-0.78%) . RSI 44 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -11.0% . <POC
BKNG 163.59 (+1.84%) . RSI 48 Neutral . MACD+ . Bear(<all) . -30.0% . <POC
MELI 1,610.00 (+1.37%) . RSI 43 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -39.1% . <POC
ABNB 130.87 (+1.37%) . RSI 43 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -11.1% . <POC
MAR 396.89 (+2.76%) . RSI 67 Bullish . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -0.5% . >POC
DASH 154.59 (+2.38%) . RSI 46 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -45.9% . <POC
ORLY 90.10 (-0.4%) . RSI 50 Neutral . MACD+ . Mixed(>20,<50,<200) . -17.1% . <POC
PYPL 41.24 (+1.33%) . RSI 32 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -48.1% . <POC
TMUS 185.82 (+0.15%) . RSI 47 Neutral . MACD+ . Bear(<all) . -29.0% . <POC
Healthcare/Biotech
ISRG 412.90 (+0.21%) . RSI 41 Neutral . MACD+ . Bear(<all) . -31.6% . <POC
REGN 611.48 (+1.63%) . RSI 38 Bearish . MACD+ . Bear(<all) . -25.5% . <POC
Industrial/Other
LIN 515.44 (+1.23%) . RSI 57 Neutral . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -1.4% . >POC
CEG 246.71 (+1.82%) . RSI 35 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -40.2% . <POC
Sector Read
Mega-cap Tech: 0 bullish / 6 bearish, avg day +1.1% - lagging.
Semiconductors: 8 bullish / 1 bearish, avg day +8.8% - leading.
Software/Cloud: 5 bullish / 4 bearish, avg day +0.5% - leading.
Consumer/Internet: 1 bullish / 8 bearish, avg day +0.9% - lagging.
Healthcare/Biotech: 0 bullish / 2 bearish, avg day +0.9% - lagging.
Industrial/Other: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, avg day +1.5% - mixed.
Top Swing Setups
Structure as-of 2026-06-11 close. Re-validate against live price - these are 7 trading sessions old.
CRWD - long, trend continuation
Entry: 691.53 . Stop: 656.21 (S1) . T1: 711.64 . T2: 767.07 . R:R: 2.1
Above all EMAs, RSI 60.5, MACD just under signal, price well above 60d POC 518.32 with clear room to the 52w high at 785.66.
MRVL - long, room to prior high
Entry: 280.71 . Stop: 254.00 . T1: 297.71 . T2: 324.20 (52w high) . R:R: 1.6
Clean bull stack, MACD positive, RSI 63.3, +11.1% on the day. ATR is wide (26.6) so size the position down accordingly.
PANW - long, pullback buy
Entry: 279.53 . Stop: 265.10 (S1) . T1: 286.95 . T2: 302.95 (52w high) . R:R: 1.6
Above all EMAs, RSI 64.8, above POC 208.75, 7.7% below its 52w high so room remains. MACD slightly below signal - wants confirmation.
FTNT - long, breakout watch
Entry: 145.06 . Stop: 136.68 (S2) . T1: 150.07 (52w high) . T2: 154.69 . R:R: 1.1
Above all EMAs, RSI 68.6 (getting extended), only 3.3% from its 52w high. A clean break of 150.07 opens 154.69; tight stop required.
ADBE - short, counter-trend (caution)
Entry: sell into a bounce toward 237.54-245.50 (R2 / EMA20) . Stop: 246.00 . T1: 213.76 . T2: 208.72 . R:R: ~1.8 from the bounce
Below all EMAs, MACD negative, fell 6.25% on 2.34x volume = distribution. BUT RSI is already 34.3 - do NOT chase short into weakness; only fade a bounce. High-risk counter-trend idea.
Intraday Setups
Levels below are the 2026-06-11 pivot/Camarilla set and are only valid for that session. They are shown as a worked example - recompute fresh pivots for any live session.
KLAC - Camarilla breakout
Cam: S4 2287.88 . S3 2349.76 . S1 2391.01 || R1 2432.27 . R3 2473.52 . R4 2535.40 . Long above R3 2473.52 toward R4 2535.40; short below S3 2349.76 toward S4 2287.88. RSI 72.3 = extended, so favour the long only on a clean R4 push.
AMAT - pivot trend-day continuation
Cam: S4 531.89 . S3 542.27 . S1 549.18 || R1 556.10 . R3 563.01 . R4 573.39 . Held above the cam pivot all session; long while above 549.18, resistance at R1 556.10 then the 52w high 557.62. Loss of 542.27 flips it neutral.
MAR - range / breakout
Cam: S4 390.75 . S3 393.82 . S1 395.87 || R1 397.91 . R3 399.96 . R4 403.03 . Coiled right under the 52w high 398.96. Break and hold above R3 399.96 targets R4 403.03; rejection sends it back to S1 395.87.
Key Levels Dashboard - top 5 leaders (2026-06-11)
KLAC close 2,411.64 . Cam S4 2,287.88 / R4 2,535.40 . Classic S3 2,043.17 / R3 2,718.20 . EMA20 2,018.25 / EMA50 1,859.35 / EMA200 1,467.62 . POC 1,797.51 . Day H/L 2,431.29/2,206.28 . 52w H/L 2,431.29/832.24
LRCX close 362.52 . Cam S4 346.78 / R4 378.26 . Classic S3 315.60 / R3 401.43 . EMA20 316.38 / EMA50 288.76 / EMA200 215.79 . POC 272.44 . Day H/L 364.81/336.20 . 52w H/L 364.81/87.75
AMAT close 552.64 . Cam S4 531.89 / R4 573.39 . Classic S3 491.43 / R3 604.59 . EMA20 469.95 / EMA50 430.56 / EMA200 330.87 . POC 417.58 . Day H/L 557.62/519.90 . 52w H/L 557.62/154.47
MU close 995.87 . Cam S4 940.17 / R4 1,051.57 . Classic S3 827.39 / R3 1,131.20 . EMA20 883.18 / EMA50 725.49 / EMA200 438.92 . POC 630.64 . Day H/L 996.77/895.50 . 52w H/L 1,089.29/103.38
MRVL close 280.71 . Cam S4 267.57 / R4 293.85 . Classic S3 241.43 / R3 313.10 . EMA20 237.52 / EMA50 190.93 / EMA200 123.45 . POC 194.38 . Day H/L 282.32/258.43 . 52w H/L 324.20/61.44
Bearish Warnings
INTU - RSI 32.6, MACD negative, below all EMAs, sitting ~66% below its 52w high. Deep downtrend, no reversal signal yet.
WDAY - down 5.05%, below all EMAs, ~49% below 52w high. Persistent distribution.
ADBE - down 6.25% on 2.34x volume (heavy distribution), below all EMAs, ~47% below 52w high.
NFLX / PYPL - RSI 31.2 / 32.0, both below all EMAs and 39-48% below their highs - weak, oversold but no base.
Mega-cap drag - MSFT (RSI 36.
and META (RSI 35.0) both below all three EMAs; their weakness is the main risk to any broad index advance.
Events and Catalysts
Around the 2026-06-11 data date: the week's swing factor was the mid-week US CPI print, with the June FOMC meeting the dominant macro focus - both kept the VIX in the low-20s and positioning defensive. The semiconductor complex was reacting to the prior week's Broadcom-led chip sell-off, which the 2026-06-11 session sharply reversed.
Note: none of the 40 components report earnings inside this window (the mega-cap/tech reporting season is late-July); the chip move was sentiment/flow-driven, not earnings-driven. Always check a live economic and earnings calendar before trading - this report's data is 7 trading sessions old.
Report generated 2026-06-22 22:00 GMT from 2026-06-11 NAS100 scanner data (latest available). Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Data date: 2026-06-11 (NAS100 component scanner)
STALE-DATA NOTICE: The NAS100 scanner feed last updated 2026-06-11. Today is 2026-06-22 - 11 calendar days / 7 trading sessions later. The DOW and FTSE feeds updated today but the NAS100 feed did not. ALL levels below are as-of the 2026-06-11 close and are NOT current prices. Treat pivots, Camarilla and ATR stops as historical reference only and re-validate against live price before any action.
Breadth (2026-06-11 close): Trend 15 bullish / 22 bearish / 3 mixed . MACD 11/40 bullish . Above 60d POC 21/40 . RSI overbought 2, oversold 0 .
Market Overview
As of the 2026-06-11 close the index was split: a powerful semiconductor rebound led the tape while mega-cap software lagged. Equipment names ripped - KLAC +12.9%, LRCX +12.7%, MU +11.7%, AMAT +11.2%, MRVL +11.1% - a snap-back after the prior week's Broadcom-led chip sell-off. Offsetting that, software and several mega-caps were heavy (ADBE -6.3%, WDAY -5.1%, GOOGL/MSFT/META soft). Macro backdrop into the print: VIX in the low-20s, a mid-week US CPI release and the June FOMC meeting keeping positioning cautious. Net bias on 2026-06-11: constructive but narrow - leadership concentrated in semis, breadth only middling (15/40 in clean uptrends).
Trend - EMA Structure
Clean bull stacks (price > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200): 15/40. Clean bear stacks: 22/40. Mixed/transitional: 3/40.
Strict close-vs-EMA classification was verified programmatically against every name (zero mismatches). The strongest structures sit in semis and select software (KLAC, LRCX, AMAT, MU, MRVL, AMD, ADI, FTNT, PANW, CRWD, MAR all above all three EMAs). The weakest sit in mega-cap software and internet (MSFT, META, ADBE, INTU, NFLX, PYPL, MELI, CEG, DASH below all three).
Momentum and Volume
RSI(14): 2 names overbought (>=70: AMAT 72.2, KLAC 72.3), 0 oversold. Most mega-caps sit mid-range 32-48 (MSFT 36.8, META 35.0, NFLX 31.2, INTU 32.6) - momentum clearly skewed to the chip complex.
MACD: 11/40 above signal - a minority, confirming the move was led by a concentrated group rather than the whole index.
Relative volume: conviction was where the leadership was - KLAC 1.54x, LRCX 1.48x, AMAT 1.35x, ADBE 2.34x (but on a down day = distribution). Most mega-caps traded at or below average volume (<1.0x), so the semi strength carried real participation while the weakness in big tech was lower-conviction drift.
Key Index Levels
The scanner feed carries the 40 components only, not the NDX index print, and an independent NDX close for 2026-06-11 could not be verified at generation time - so specific index pivots/round-number levels are intentionally omitted rather than guessed. Index-level read below is breadth-derived.
Internals on 2026-06-11: 15/40 in clean uptrends, 21/40 above their 60-day POC, 11/40 MACD-positive. That is a market being pulled higher by leadership (semis) while roughly half the components are still basing or correcting - a 'strong-but-narrow' tape rather than a broad advance.
Component Signals - all 40 (close 2026-06-11)
Format: TICKER close (chg%) . RSI zone . MACD . trend . % from 52w high . POC
Mega-cap Tech
AAPL 295.63 (+1.39%) . RSI 48 Neutral . MACD- . Mixed(<20,>50,>200) . -6.9% . >POC
MSFT 390.34 (-1.77%) . RSI 37 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -29.7% . <POC
GOOGL 357.77 (+0.39%) . RSI 41 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -12.4% . >POC
AMZN 241.32 (+1.4%) . RSI 37 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -13.4% . <POC
META 568.43 (-0.45%) . RSI 35 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -28.6% . <POC
NVDA 204.87 (+2.22%) . RSI 45 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -13.4% . >POC
TSLA 399.15 (+4.6%) . RSI 46 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -20.0% . >POC
Semiconductors
AVGO 385.31 (+3.55%) . RSI 42 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -22.2% . <POC
AMD 488.45 (+7.97%) . RSI 57 Neutral . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -10.6% . >POC
QCOM 202.96 (+6.15%) . RSI 48 Neutral . MACD- . Mixed(<20,>50,>200) . -21.9% . >POC
TXN 297.10 (+5.35%) . RSI 53 Neutral . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -10.4% . >POC
AMAT 552.64 (+11.19%) . RSI 72 OB . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -0.9% . >POC
MU 995.87 (+11.66%) . RSI 62 Bullish . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -8.6% . >POC
LRCX 362.52 (+12.65%) . RSI 68 Bullish . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -0.6% . >POC
KLAC 2,411.64 (+12.92%) . RSI 72 OB . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -0.8% . >POC
ADI 412.13 (+4.96%) . RSI 52 Neutral . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -6.3% . >POC
MRVL 280.71 (+11.13%) . RSI 63 Bullish . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -13.4% . >POC
Software/Cloud
ADBE 218.80 (-6.25%) . RSI 34 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -47.5% . <POC
INTU 276.91 (-2.57%) . RSI 33 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -66.0% . <POC
CRWD 691.53 (+6.76%) . RSI 60 Bullish . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -12.0% . >POC
PANW 279.53 (+6.2%) . RSI 65 Bullish . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -7.7% . >POC
SNPS 456.29 (-0.92%) . RSI 40 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -30.0% . <POC
CDNS 383.74 (-0.36%) . RSI 55 Neutral . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -7.9% . >POC
WDAY 130.53 (-5.05%) . RSI 46 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -49.1% . >POC
FTNT 145.06 (+4.45%) . RSI 69 Bullish . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -3.3% . >POC
CSCO 121.83 (+2.55%) . RSI 60 Bullish . MACD- . Bull(>all) . -6.6% . >POC
Consumer/Internet
NFLX 81.27 (-0.89%) . RSI 31 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -39.4% . <POC
COST 975.69 (-0.78%) . RSI 44 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<20/50) . -11.0% . <POC
BKNG 163.59 (+1.84%) . RSI 48 Neutral . MACD+ . Bear(<all) . -30.0% . <POC
MELI 1,610.00 (+1.37%) . RSI 43 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -39.1% . <POC
ABNB 130.87 (+1.37%) . RSI 43 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -11.1% . <POC
MAR 396.89 (+2.76%) . RSI 67 Bullish . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -0.5% . >POC
DASH 154.59 (+2.38%) . RSI 46 Neutral . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -45.9% . <POC
ORLY 90.10 (-0.4%) . RSI 50 Neutral . MACD+ . Mixed(>20,<50,<200) . -17.1% . <POC
PYPL 41.24 (+1.33%) . RSI 32 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -48.1% . <POC
TMUS 185.82 (+0.15%) . RSI 47 Neutral . MACD+ . Bear(<all) . -29.0% . <POC
Healthcare/Biotech
ISRG 412.90 (+0.21%) . RSI 41 Neutral . MACD+ . Bear(<all) . -31.6% . <POC
REGN 611.48 (+1.63%) . RSI 38 Bearish . MACD+ . Bear(<all) . -25.5% . <POC
Industrial/Other
LIN 515.44 (+1.23%) . RSI 57 Neutral . MACD+ . Bull(>all) . -1.4% . >POC
CEG 246.71 (+1.82%) . RSI 35 Bearish . MACD- . Bear(<all) . -40.2% . <POC
Sector Read
Mega-cap Tech: 0 bullish / 6 bearish, avg day +1.1% - lagging.
Semiconductors: 8 bullish / 1 bearish, avg day +8.8% - leading.
Software/Cloud: 5 bullish / 4 bearish, avg day +0.5% - leading.
Consumer/Internet: 1 bullish / 8 bearish, avg day +0.9% - lagging.
Healthcare/Biotech: 0 bullish / 2 bearish, avg day +0.9% - lagging.
Industrial/Other: 1 bullish / 1 bearish, avg day +1.5% - mixed.
Top Swing Setups
Structure as-of 2026-06-11 close. Re-validate against live price - these are 7 trading sessions old.
CRWD - long, trend continuation
Entry: 691.53 . Stop: 656.21 (S1) . T1: 711.64 . T2: 767.07 . R:R: 2.1
Above all EMAs, RSI 60.5, MACD just under signal, price well above 60d POC 518.32 with clear room to the 52w high at 785.66.
MRVL - long, room to prior high
Entry: 280.71 . Stop: 254.00 . T1: 297.71 . T2: 324.20 (52w high) . R:R: 1.6
Clean bull stack, MACD positive, RSI 63.3, +11.1% on the day. ATR is wide (26.6) so size the position down accordingly.
PANW - long, pullback buy
Entry: 279.53 . Stop: 265.10 (S1) . T1: 286.95 . T2: 302.95 (52w high) . R:R: 1.6
Above all EMAs, RSI 64.8, above POC 208.75, 7.7% below its 52w high so room remains. MACD slightly below signal - wants confirmation.
FTNT - long, breakout watch
Entry: 145.06 . Stop: 136.68 (S2) . T1: 150.07 (52w high) . T2: 154.69 . R:R: 1.1
Above all EMAs, RSI 68.6 (getting extended), only 3.3% from its 52w high. A clean break of 150.07 opens 154.69; tight stop required.
ADBE - short, counter-trend (caution)
Entry: sell into a bounce toward 237.54-245.50 (R2 / EMA20) . Stop: 246.00 . T1: 213.76 . T2: 208.72 . R:R: ~1.8 from the bounce
Below all EMAs, MACD negative, fell 6.25% on 2.34x volume = distribution. BUT RSI is already 34.3 - do NOT chase short into weakness; only fade a bounce. High-risk counter-trend idea.
Intraday Setups
Levels below are the 2026-06-11 pivot/Camarilla set and are only valid for that session. They are shown as a worked example - recompute fresh pivots for any live session.
KLAC - Camarilla breakout
Cam: S4 2287.88 . S3 2349.76 . S1 2391.01 || R1 2432.27 . R3 2473.52 . R4 2535.40 . Long above R3 2473.52 toward R4 2535.40; short below S3 2349.76 toward S4 2287.88. RSI 72.3 = extended, so favour the long only on a clean R4 push.
AMAT - pivot trend-day continuation
Cam: S4 531.89 . S3 542.27 . S1 549.18 || R1 556.10 . R3 563.01 . R4 573.39 . Held above the cam pivot all session; long while above 549.18, resistance at R1 556.10 then the 52w high 557.62. Loss of 542.27 flips it neutral.
MAR - range / breakout
Cam: S4 390.75 . S3 393.82 . S1 395.87 || R1 397.91 . R3 399.96 . R4 403.03 . Coiled right under the 52w high 398.96. Break and hold above R3 399.96 targets R4 403.03; rejection sends it back to S1 395.87.
Key Levels Dashboard - top 5 leaders (2026-06-11)
KLAC close 2,411.64 . Cam S4 2,287.88 / R4 2,535.40 . Classic S3 2,043.17 / R3 2,718.20 . EMA20 2,018.25 / EMA50 1,859.35 / EMA200 1,467.62 . POC 1,797.51 . Day H/L 2,431.29/2,206.28 . 52w H/L 2,431.29/832.24
LRCX close 362.52 . Cam S4 346.78 / R4 378.26 . Classic S3 315.60 / R3 401.43 . EMA20 316.38 / EMA50 288.76 / EMA200 215.79 . POC 272.44 . Day H/L 364.81/336.20 . 52w H/L 364.81/87.75
AMAT close 552.64 . Cam S4 531.89 / R4 573.39 . Classic S3 491.43 / R3 604.59 . EMA20 469.95 / EMA50 430.56 / EMA200 330.87 . POC 417.58 . Day H/L 557.62/519.90 . 52w H/L 557.62/154.47
MU close 995.87 . Cam S4 940.17 / R4 1,051.57 . Classic S3 827.39 / R3 1,131.20 . EMA20 883.18 / EMA50 725.49 / EMA200 438.92 . POC 630.64 . Day H/L 996.77/895.50 . 52w H/L 1,089.29/103.38
MRVL close 280.71 . Cam S4 267.57 / R4 293.85 . Classic S3 241.43 / R3 313.10 . EMA20 237.52 / EMA50 190.93 / EMA200 123.45 . POC 194.38 . Day H/L 282.32/258.43 . 52w H/L 324.20/61.44
Bearish Warnings
INTU - RSI 32.6, MACD negative, below all EMAs, sitting ~66% below its 52w high. Deep downtrend, no reversal signal yet.
WDAY - down 5.05%, below all EMAs, ~49% below 52w high. Persistent distribution.
ADBE - down 6.25% on 2.34x volume (heavy distribution), below all EMAs, ~47% below 52w high.
NFLX / PYPL - RSI 31.2 / 32.0, both below all EMAs and 39-48% below their highs - weak, oversold but no base.
Mega-cap drag - MSFT (RSI 36.
Events and Catalysts
Around the 2026-06-11 data date: the week's swing factor was the mid-week US CPI print, with the June FOMC meeting the dominant macro focus - both kept the VIX in the low-20s and positioning defensive. The semiconductor complex was reacting to the prior week's Broadcom-led chip sell-off, which the 2026-06-11 session sharply reversed.
Note: none of the 40 components report earnings inside this window (the mega-cap/tech reporting season is late-July); the chip move was sentiment/flow-driven, not earnings-driven. Always check a live economic and earnings calendar before trading - this report's data is 7 trading sessions old.
Report generated 2026-06-22 22:00 GMT from 2026-06-11 NAS100 scanner data (latest available). Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
1 week 1 day ago #18624
by remo
Replied by remo on topic NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
NASDAQ 100 — Daily Technical Analysis — Thursday 18 June 2026
Data: Close 18 Jun 2026 | NAS100: 30,431.94 | Change: +760.99 (+2.56%) | Range: 29,690-30,470
Market Overview
A powerful risk-on session. The NAS100 closed at 30,431.94, up +760.99 (+2.56%), driven almost entirely by a violent rotation back into semiconductors. Breadth was overwhelmingly positive: 32 of the 40 tracked components closed green, average constituent move +1.92%.
Bullish drivers: chip names led the tape — KLAC +8.73%, MU +8.70%, MRVL +7.27%, TXN +6.95%, QCOM +6.17%, ADI +4.83%, AMD +4.72%, AVGO +4.70%, AMAT +4.08%, LRCX +3.97%. The June FOMC (16-17) is now behind the market with rates held, removing a near-term overhang.
Caveats: the rally was narrow in character — software and consumer-internet names lagged badly (WDAY -4.02%, ORLY -1.76%, COST -1.46%, SNPS -1.35%). Many large-caps remain structurally damaged well below their 52-week highs (INTU -67%, WDAY -53%, ADBE -50%, PYPL -47%, NFLX -42%). US markets are CLOSED Friday 19 June for Juneteenth — next session Monday 22 June.
Bias: Constructive short-term on semis momentum; selective and two-tier underneath. Treat strength as concentrated, not broad.
Trend Structure
EMA stack (close vs 20/50/200): 19 names in a full bullish stack (above all three EMAs), 14 in a full bearish stack (below all three), 3 Bear(below 20/50, above 200), 1 Bull(above 20/50, below 200), 3 Mixed.
Leaders (above all EMAs): NVDA, AVGO, AMD, QCOM, LIN, CSCO, TXN, AMAT, PANW, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, CDNS, CRWD, MAR, ABNB, MRVL, FTNT — semis dominate this list.
Laggards (below all EMAs): MSFT, META, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, ISRG, INTU, REGN, SNPS, MELI, WDAY, PYPL, ORLY.
Phase: semiconductor complex in clear Stage-2 advance; software/consumer-internet cohort in Stage-4 decline. The index is being carried by the chip group.
Indicators
RSI(14): Overbought (>=70): AMAT 76.0, KLAC 70.2 — extended but with momentum. Oversold (<=30): NFLX 28.0, ADBE 27.8 — washed out, no reversal signal yet. The bulk of names sit 40-65 (neutral), leaving room for continuation in the leaders.
MACD: 18 of 40 bullish (signal-line positive). Note many semis rallied hard today while MACD is still catching up (NVDA, AVGO, AMD, TXN, QCOM show price strength ahead of a confirmed MACD cross) — early-stage momentum rather than late.
Volume: conviction was real — relative volume elevated across the leaders: MRVL 2.83x, CDNS 2.33x, FTNT 2.19x, TXN 2.09x, ADI 1.97x, QCOM 1.94x, KLAC 1.88x. High-volume up-days in trending names are constructive.
Key Index Levels — NAS100
Resistance: R1 30,470 (today's high) · R2 30,750 · R3 31,000 (round number / measured target).
Support: S1 30,000 (round number) · S2 29,670 (prior close / breakout base) · S3 29,300.
Classic pivots (from session): S2 29,810 · S1 30,120 · P 30,210 · R1 30,520 · R2 30,830. A hold above 30,000 keeps the breakout intact; loss of 29,670 negates today's move.
Component Signals — All 40
Trend (strict EMA) · RSI · MACD · % from 52w high · daily change · vs POC
Mega-cap Tech
AAPL: Mixed (<20 >50 >200) · RSI 50.9 Neut+ · MACD- · -6.1% from 52wH · +0.7% · Above POC
MSFT: Bear(all) · RSI 34.9 Bearish · MACD- · -31.7% from 52wH · +0.14% · Below POC
NVDA: Bull(all) · RSI 50.4 Neut+ · MACD- · -10.9% from 52wH · +2.96% · Above POC
AMZN: Bear(<20/50) · RSI 44 Neut- · MACD- · -12.3% from 52wH · +2.9% · Below POC
META: Bear(all) · RSI 42.8 Neut- · MACD- · -27.5% from 52wH · +1.7% · Below POC
GOOGL: Mixed (<20 >50 >200) · RSI 49.1 Neut- · MACD- · -9.9% from 52wH · +1.17% · Above POC
TSLA: Bear(<20/50) · RSI 47 Neut- · MACD- · -19.7% from 52wH · +1.04% · Above POC
AVGO: Bull(all) · RSI 51.3 Neut+ · MACD- · -16.9% from 52wH · +4.7% · Above POC
Semiconductors
AMD: Bull(all) · RSI 61.1 Bullish · MACD- · -3.9% from 52wH · +4.72% · Above POC
QCOM: Bull(all) · RSI 55.3 Neut+ · MACD- · -13.0% from 52wH · +6.17% · Above POC
TXN: Bull(all) · RSI 62 Bullish · MACD- · -2.6% from 52wH · +6.95% · Above POC
AMAT: Bull(all) · RSI 76 OB · MACD+ · -3.4% from 52wH · +4.08% · Above POC
MU: Bull(all) · RSI 66.4 Bullish · MACD+ · -1.3% from 52wH · +8.7% · Above POC
LRCX: Bull(all) · RSI 68.6 Bullish · MACD+ · -3.0% from 52wH · +3.97% · Above POC
KLAC: Bull(all) · RSI 70.2 OB · MACD+ · -2.8% from 52wH · +8.73% · Above POC
ADI: Bull(all) · RSI 58.8 Neut+ · MACD+ · -1.2% from 52wH · +4.83% · Above POC
MRVL: Bull(all) · RSI 64.6 Bullish · MACD+ · -5.9% from 52wH · +7.27% · Above POC
Software / Cloud
ADBE: Bear(all) · RSI 27.8 OS · MACD- · -50.3% from 52wH · -0.57% · Below POC
PANW: Bull(all) · RSI 66.5 Bullish · MACD- · -5.0% from 52wH · +2% · Above POC
CRWD: Bull(all) · RSI 58.2 Neut+ · MACD- · -12.8% from 52wH · +0.28% · Above POC
SNPS: Bear(all) · RSI 41.5 Neut- · MACD- · -30.1% from 52wH · -1.35% · Below POC
CDNS: Bull(all) · RSI 55.2 Neut+ · MACD- · -7.0% from 52wH · -0.58% · Above POC
FTNT: Bull(all) · RSI 63.7 Bullish · MACD- · -3.6% from 52wH · +0.41% · Above POC
WDAY: Bear(all) · RSI 35.8 Bearish · MACD- · -53.2% from 52wH · -4.02% · Below POC
INTU: Bear(all) · RSI 31.3 Bearish · MACD- · -67.2% from 52wH · -0.77% · Below POC
CSCO: Bull(all) · RSI 55.8 Neut+ · MACD- · -8.3% from 52wH · +1.88% · Above POC
Consumer / Internet
COST: Bear(all) · RSI 37.7 Bearish · MACD- · -13.2% from 52wH · -1.46% · Below POC
NFLX: Bear(all) · RSI 28 OS · MACD- · -42.3% from 52wH · +0.55% · Below POC
BKNG: Bull(>20/50) · RSI 56.2 Neut+ · MACD+ · -26.5% from 52wH · +0.09% · Above POC
MELI: Bear(all) · RSI 47.4 Neut- · MACD+ · -38.2% from 52wH · +0.2% · Below POC
MAR: Bull(all) · RSI 62.5 Bullish · MACD+ · -3.6% from 52wH · +0.4% · Above POC
ABNB: Bull(all) · RSI 63 Bullish · MACD+ · -3.3% from 52wH · +1.33% · Above POC
DASH: Bull(>20/50) · RSI 59.4 Neut+ · MACD+ · -39.2% from 52wH · +4.71% · Above POC
PYPL: Bear(all) · RSI 44.4 Neut- · MACD+ · -46.5% from 52wH · +1.02% · Below POC
ORLY: Bear(all) · RSI 39.1 Bearish · MACD+ · -20.1% from 52wH · -1.76% · Below POC
TMUS: Bear(all) · RSI 41.9 Neut- · MACD+ · -30.5% from 52wH · +0.2% · Below POC
Healthcare / Biotech
ISRG: Bear(all) · RSI 40.5 Neut- · MACD+ · -32.6% from 52wH · +1.14% · Below POC
REGN: Bear(all) · RSI 37.9 Bearish · MACD+ · -25.7% from 52wH · +0.33% · Below POC
Industrial / Other
LIN: Bull(all) · RSI 52 Neut+ · MACD+ · -2.6% from 52wH · -0.72% · Above POC
CEG: Mixed (>20 <50 <200) · RSI 51.7 Neut+ · MACD+ · -33.6% from 52wH · +2.58% · Below POC
Sector Read
Semiconductors: the clear leadership group — broad +4 to +9% moves on heavy volume, most above all EMAs and pushing 52-week highs (MU, ADI, TXN, KLAC within ~3% of highs). This is where trend and momentum align.
Mega-cap Tech: mixed — NVDA and AVGO firmly bullish; AAPL/GOOGL neutral/mixed; MSFT and META still below all EMAs and lagging the tape.
Software / Cloud: weakest cohort — WDAY, INTU, SNPS, ADBE in deep downtrends. Only PANW, CRWD, CDNS, FTNT hold bullish stacks.
Consumer / Internet: two-tier — MAR/ABNB/DASH firm; NFLX, PYPL, ORLY, COST, MELI weak and below POC.
Healthcare/Biotech (ISRG, REGN) and Industrial/Other: LIN bullish; CEG mixed; ISRG/REGN below all EMAs.
Top Swing Setups
KLAC — long (breakout continuation)
Entry: 259.56 · Stop: 237.03 (1.5xATR) · T1: 289.6 · T2: 312.13 · R:R: 1.33
Above all EMAs, RSI 70, +8.7% on 1.9x volume, price well above 60d POC 191.6 — within 3% of 52w high 267.17. Leadership semi.
MU — long (breakout continuation)
Entry: 1133.99 · Stop: 1014.26 (1.5xATR) · T1: 1293.63 · T2: 1413.36 · R:R: 1.33
Strongest structural trend in the group — close 1,134 vs POC 685, all EMAs rising, fresh 52w high territory (hi 1,149). +8.7% today.
MRVL — long (breakout continuation)
Entry: 310.58 · Stop: 267.77 (1.5xATR) · T1: 367.66 · T2: 410.47 · R:R: 1.33
Highest relative volume on the board (2.83x), +7.27%, above all EMAs, POC 215.8 far below — momentum leader, give it room with the wide ATR stop.
TXN — long (breakout continuation)
Entry: 322.86 · Stop: 302.6 (1.5xATR) · T1: 349.88 · T2: 370.14 · R:R: 1.33
Bullish stack, RSI 62, 2.1x volume, -2.6% from 52w high — cleanest risk/reward of the large-cap analog names.
ADI — long (breakout continuation)
Entry: 434.46 · Stop: 407.08 (1.5xATR) · T1: 470.96 · T2: 498.33 · R:R: 1.33
Above all EMAs, only -1.2% from its 52w high (439.7) — buying strength into a breakout; 2x volume confirms.
Intraday Setups (next session — Mon 22 Jun)
NVDA — Camarilla breakout (long)
Entry: > 212.03 (camR3) · Stop: 209.35 (camS3) · T1: 213.38 (camR4) · Target: R1 212.55 then 214.42 · Bias: Long above pivot 209.53 with e20 210.34 support.
AMD — pivot trend continuation (long)
Entry: pullback to pivot 534.23 / R-test 542.13 · Stop: 528.76 (S1) · T1: 547.60 (R2) · Above all EMAs with e20 491 far below — buy dips to pivot.
QCOM — Camarilla range / breakout (long)
Entry: > 230.15 (camR3) · Stop: 222.07 (camS3) · T1: 234.19 (camR4) · T2: R1 232.11 · Strong +6.2% close, well above POC 193.4.
AAPL — pivot bounce (neutral/long)
Entry: bounce off camS3 296.65 / pivot 298.07 · Stop: 295.29 (camS4) · T1: 300.51 (R1) · Mixed trend (below e20) — intraday only, not a swing.
KLAC — Camarilla breakout (long)
Entry: > 263.26 (camR3) · Stop: 255.86 (camS3) · Target: camR4 266.96 then 52w high 267.17 · Continuation of today's leadership move.
Key Levels Dashboard — Top 5 Movers
MRVL (close 310.58)
Cam: S4 295.44 · S3 303.01 · S1 308.06 || R1 313.1 · R3 318.15 · R4 325.72 .
Classic: S3 271.15 · S1 298.67 · P 314.27 · R1 326.19 · R3 353.71 . EMAs: 20 259.89 · 50 209.58 · 200 131.75 . POC 215.81 · PrevH 329.88 / PrevL 302.36 · 52wH 329.88 / 52wL 61.44 .
KLAC (close 259.56)
Cam: S4 252.16 · S3 255.86 · S1 258.33 || R1 260.79 · R3 263.26 · R4 266.96 .
Classic: S3 238.61 · S1 252.06 · P 258 · R1 265.51 · R3 278.96 . EMAs: 20 220.49 · 50 197.42 · 200 151.76 . POC 191.6 · PrevH 263.95 / PrevL 250.5 · 52wH 267.17 / 52wL 83.22 .
MU (close 1133.99)
Cam: S4 1102.84 · S3 1118.41 · S1 1128.8 || R1 1139.18 · R3 1149.57 · R4 1165.14 .
Classic: S3 1044.74 · S1 1101.38 · P 1125.4 · R1 1158.02 · R3 1214.66 . EMAs: 20 952.31 · 50 785.33 · 200 468.92 . POC 684.54 · PrevH 1149.43 / PrevL 1092.79 · 52wH 1149.43 / 52wL 103.38 .
TXN (close 322.86)
Cam: S4 316.24 · S3 319.55 · S1 321.76 || R1 323.96 · R3 326.17 · R4 329.48 .
Classic: S3 303.04 · S1 315.08 · P 319.34 · R1 327.12 · R3 339.16 . EMAs: 20 300.9 · 50 280.91 · 200 228.17 . POC 274.19 · PrevH 323.6 / PrevL 311.56 · 52wH 331.51 / 52wL 152.73 .
ADI (close 434.46)
Cam: S4 427.68 · S3 431.07 · S1 433.33 || R1 435.59 · R3 437.85 · R4 441.24 .
Classic: S3 415.28 · S1 427.61 · P 433.08 · R1 439.94 · R3 452.27 . EMAs: 20 414.15 · 50 396.76 · 200 327.67 . POC 393.11 · PrevH 438.56 / PrevL 426.23 · 52wH 439.7 / 52wL 218.37 .
Bearish Warnings
Structurally broken — below all EMAs in confirmed downtrends: INTU (-67% from 52w high), WDAY (-53%, -4.0% today), ADBE (-50%), PYPL (-47%), NFLX (-42%, RSI 28 oversold), MELI (-38%). Avoid bottom-fishing without a reclaim of the 20/50 EMA.
Bearish MACD + below all EMAs: MSFT, META, COST, SNPS, NFLX, ADBE, WDAY — momentum and trend both negative.
Near 52w lows / relative weakness: the software-cloud cohort continues to bleed even on a +2.5% index day — a red flag for breadth if semis stall.
Extension risk: AMAT (RSI 76) and KLAC (RSI 70) are overbought after large gaps — chase with caution; prefer pullback entries.
Events Calendar
Fri 19 Jun: US markets CLOSED — Juneteenth. No economic releases. Equities, bonds and options resume Monday 22 Jun.
Just passed: FOMC 16-17 Jun — federal funds target range held; Retail Sales (May), Housing Starts (May) and weekly Jobless Claims released this week.
Earnings watch (NAS100 names): no first-tier reports from the 40 imminent this week; the next cluster of mega-cap tech earnings is the late-July season. Monitor RNS/8-K catalysts on the chip leaders given the volatility.
Report: 18 June 2026 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Data: Close 18 Jun 2026 | NAS100: 30,431.94 | Change: +760.99 (+2.56%) | Range: 29,690-30,470
Market Overview
A powerful risk-on session. The NAS100 closed at 30,431.94, up +760.99 (+2.56%), driven almost entirely by a violent rotation back into semiconductors. Breadth was overwhelmingly positive: 32 of the 40 tracked components closed green, average constituent move +1.92%.
Bullish drivers: chip names led the tape — KLAC +8.73%, MU +8.70%, MRVL +7.27%, TXN +6.95%, QCOM +6.17%, ADI +4.83%, AMD +4.72%, AVGO +4.70%, AMAT +4.08%, LRCX +3.97%. The June FOMC (16-17) is now behind the market with rates held, removing a near-term overhang.
Caveats: the rally was narrow in character — software and consumer-internet names lagged badly (WDAY -4.02%, ORLY -1.76%, COST -1.46%, SNPS -1.35%). Many large-caps remain structurally damaged well below their 52-week highs (INTU -67%, WDAY -53%, ADBE -50%, PYPL -47%, NFLX -42%). US markets are CLOSED Friday 19 June for Juneteenth — next session Monday 22 June.
Bias: Constructive short-term on semis momentum; selective and two-tier underneath. Treat strength as concentrated, not broad.
Trend Structure
EMA stack (close vs 20/50/200): 19 names in a full bullish stack (above all three EMAs), 14 in a full bearish stack (below all three), 3 Bear(below 20/50, above 200), 1 Bull(above 20/50, below 200), 3 Mixed.
Leaders (above all EMAs): NVDA, AVGO, AMD, QCOM, LIN, CSCO, TXN, AMAT, PANW, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, CDNS, CRWD, MAR, ABNB, MRVL, FTNT — semis dominate this list.
Laggards (below all EMAs): MSFT, META, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, ISRG, INTU, REGN, SNPS, MELI, WDAY, PYPL, ORLY.
Phase: semiconductor complex in clear Stage-2 advance; software/consumer-internet cohort in Stage-4 decline. The index is being carried by the chip group.
Indicators
RSI(14): Overbought (>=70): AMAT 76.0, KLAC 70.2 — extended but with momentum. Oversold (<=30): NFLX 28.0, ADBE 27.8 — washed out, no reversal signal yet. The bulk of names sit 40-65 (neutral), leaving room for continuation in the leaders.
MACD: 18 of 40 bullish (signal-line positive). Note many semis rallied hard today while MACD is still catching up (NVDA, AVGO, AMD, TXN, QCOM show price strength ahead of a confirmed MACD cross) — early-stage momentum rather than late.
Volume: conviction was real — relative volume elevated across the leaders: MRVL 2.83x, CDNS 2.33x, FTNT 2.19x, TXN 2.09x, ADI 1.97x, QCOM 1.94x, KLAC 1.88x. High-volume up-days in trending names are constructive.
Key Index Levels — NAS100
Resistance: R1 30,470 (today's high) · R2 30,750 · R3 31,000 (round number / measured target).
Support: S1 30,000 (round number) · S2 29,670 (prior close / breakout base) · S3 29,300.
Classic pivots (from session): S2 29,810 · S1 30,120 · P 30,210 · R1 30,520 · R2 30,830. A hold above 30,000 keeps the breakout intact; loss of 29,670 negates today's move.
Component Signals — All 40
Trend (strict EMA) · RSI · MACD · % from 52w high · daily change · vs POC
Mega-cap Tech
AAPL: Mixed (<20 >50 >200) · RSI 50.9 Neut+ · MACD- · -6.1% from 52wH · +0.7% · Above POC
MSFT: Bear(all) · RSI 34.9 Bearish · MACD- · -31.7% from 52wH · +0.14% · Below POC
NVDA: Bull(all) · RSI 50.4 Neut+ · MACD- · -10.9% from 52wH · +2.96% · Above POC
AMZN: Bear(<20/50) · RSI 44 Neut- · MACD- · -12.3% from 52wH · +2.9% · Below POC
META: Bear(all) · RSI 42.8 Neut- · MACD- · -27.5% from 52wH · +1.7% · Below POC
GOOGL: Mixed (<20 >50 >200) · RSI 49.1 Neut- · MACD- · -9.9% from 52wH · +1.17% · Above POC
TSLA: Bear(<20/50) · RSI 47 Neut- · MACD- · -19.7% from 52wH · +1.04% · Above POC
AVGO: Bull(all) · RSI 51.3 Neut+ · MACD- · -16.9% from 52wH · +4.7% · Above POC
Semiconductors
AMD: Bull(all) · RSI 61.1 Bullish · MACD- · -3.9% from 52wH · +4.72% · Above POC
QCOM: Bull(all) · RSI 55.3 Neut+ · MACD- · -13.0% from 52wH · +6.17% · Above POC
TXN: Bull(all) · RSI 62 Bullish · MACD- · -2.6% from 52wH · +6.95% · Above POC
AMAT: Bull(all) · RSI 76 OB · MACD+ · -3.4% from 52wH · +4.08% · Above POC
MU: Bull(all) · RSI 66.4 Bullish · MACD+ · -1.3% from 52wH · +8.7% · Above POC
LRCX: Bull(all) · RSI 68.6 Bullish · MACD+ · -3.0% from 52wH · +3.97% · Above POC
KLAC: Bull(all) · RSI 70.2 OB · MACD+ · -2.8% from 52wH · +8.73% · Above POC
ADI: Bull(all) · RSI 58.8 Neut+ · MACD+ · -1.2% from 52wH · +4.83% · Above POC
MRVL: Bull(all) · RSI 64.6 Bullish · MACD+ · -5.9% from 52wH · +7.27% · Above POC
Software / Cloud
ADBE: Bear(all) · RSI 27.8 OS · MACD- · -50.3% from 52wH · -0.57% · Below POC
PANW: Bull(all) · RSI 66.5 Bullish · MACD- · -5.0% from 52wH · +2% · Above POC
CRWD: Bull(all) · RSI 58.2 Neut+ · MACD- · -12.8% from 52wH · +0.28% · Above POC
SNPS: Bear(all) · RSI 41.5 Neut- · MACD- · -30.1% from 52wH · -1.35% · Below POC
CDNS: Bull(all) · RSI 55.2 Neut+ · MACD- · -7.0% from 52wH · -0.58% · Above POC
FTNT: Bull(all) · RSI 63.7 Bullish · MACD- · -3.6% from 52wH · +0.41% · Above POC
WDAY: Bear(all) · RSI 35.8 Bearish · MACD- · -53.2% from 52wH · -4.02% · Below POC
INTU: Bear(all) · RSI 31.3 Bearish · MACD- · -67.2% from 52wH · -0.77% · Below POC
CSCO: Bull(all) · RSI 55.8 Neut+ · MACD- · -8.3% from 52wH · +1.88% · Above POC
Consumer / Internet
COST: Bear(all) · RSI 37.7 Bearish · MACD- · -13.2% from 52wH · -1.46% · Below POC
NFLX: Bear(all) · RSI 28 OS · MACD- · -42.3% from 52wH · +0.55% · Below POC
BKNG: Bull(>20/50) · RSI 56.2 Neut+ · MACD+ · -26.5% from 52wH · +0.09% · Above POC
MELI: Bear(all) · RSI 47.4 Neut- · MACD+ · -38.2% from 52wH · +0.2% · Below POC
MAR: Bull(all) · RSI 62.5 Bullish · MACD+ · -3.6% from 52wH · +0.4% · Above POC
ABNB: Bull(all) · RSI 63 Bullish · MACD+ · -3.3% from 52wH · +1.33% · Above POC
DASH: Bull(>20/50) · RSI 59.4 Neut+ · MACD+ · -39.2% from 52wH · +4.71% · Above POC
PYPL: Bear(all) · RSI 44.4 Neut- · MACD+ · -46.5% from 52wH · +1.02% · Below POC
ORLY: Bear(all) · RSI 39.1 Bearish · MACD+ · -20.1% from 52wH · -1.76% · Below POC
TMUS: Bear(all) · RSI 41.9 Neut- · MACD+ · -30.5% from 52wH · +0.2% · Below POC
Healthcare / Biotech
ISRG: Bear(all) · RSI 40.5 Neut- · MACD+ · -32.6% from 52wH · +1.14% · Below POC
REGN: Bear(all) · RSI 37.9 Bearish · MACD+ · -25.7% from 52wH · +0.33% · Below POC
Industrial / Other
LIN: Bull(all) · RSI 52 Neut+ · MACD+ · -2.6% from 52wH · -0.72% · Above POC
CEG: Mixed (>20 <50 <200) · RSI 51.7 Neut+ · MACD+ · -33.6% from 52wH · +2.58% · Below POC
Sector Read
Semiconductors: the clear leadership group — broad +4 to +9% moves on heavy volume, most above all EMAs and pushing 52-week highs (MU, ADI, TXN, KLAC within ~3% of highs). This is where trend and momentum align.
Mega-cap Tech: mixed — NVDA and AVGO firmly bullish; AAPL/GOOGL neutral/mixed; MSFT and META still below all EMAs and lagging the tape.
Software / Cloud: weakest cohort — WDAY, INTU, SNPS, ADBE in deep downtrends. Only PANW, CRWD, CDNS, FTNT hold bullish stacks.
Consumer / Internet: two-tier — MAR/ABNB/DASH firm; NFLX, PYPL, ORLY, COST, MELI weak and below POC.
Healthcare/Biotech (ISRG, REGN) and Industrial/Other: LIN bullish; CEG mixed; ISRG/REGN below all EMAs.
Top Swing Setups
KLAC — long (breakout continuation)
Entry: 259.56 · Stop: 237.03 (1.5xATR) · T1: 289.6 · T2: 312.13 · R:R: 1.33
Above all EMAs, RSI 70, +8.7% on 1.9x volume, price well above 60d POC 191.6 — within 3% of 52w high 267.17. Leadership semi.
MU — long (breakout continuation)
Entry: 1133.99 · Stop: 1014.26 (1.5xATR) · T1: 1293.63 · T2: 1413.36 · R:R: 1.33
Strongest structural trend in the group — close 1,134 vs POC 685, all EMAs rising, fresh 52w high territory (hi 1,149). +8.7% today.
MRVL — long (breakout continuation)
Entry: 310.58 · Stop: 267.77 (1.5xATR) · T1: 367.66 · T2: 410.47 · R:R: 1.33
Highest relative volume on the board (2.83x), +7.27%, above all EMAs, POC 215.8 far below — momentum leader, give it room with the wide ATR stop.
TXN — long (breakout continuation)
Entry: 322.86 · Stop: 302.6 (1.5xATR) · T1: 349.88 · T2: 370.14 · R:R: 1.33
Bullish stack, RSI 62, 2.1x volume, -2.6% from 52w high — cleanest risk/reward of the large-cap analog names.
ADI — long (breakout continuation)
Entry: 434.46 · Stop: 407.08 (1.5xATR) · T1: 470.96 · T2: 498.33 · R:R: 1.33
Above all EMAs, only -1.2% from its 52w high (439.7) — buying strength into a breakout; 2x volume confirms.
Intraday Setups (next session — Mon 22 Jun)
NVDA — Camarilla breakout (long)
Entry: > 212.03 (camR3) · Stop: 209.35 (camS3) · T1: 213.38 (camR4) · Target: R1 212.55 then 214.42 · Bias: Long above pivot 209.53 with e20 210.34 support.
AMD — pivot trend continuation (long)
Entry: pullback to pivot 534.23 / R-test 542.13 · Stop: 528.76 (S1) · T1: 547.60 (R2) · Above all EMAs with e20 491 far below — buy dips to pivot.
QCOM — Camarilla range / breakout (long)
Entry: > 230.15 (camR3) · Stop: 222.07 (camS3) · T1: 234.19 (camR4) · T2: R1 232.11 · Strong +6.2% close, well above POC 193.4.
AAPL — pivot bounce (neutral/long)
Entry: bounce off camS3 296.65 / pivot 298.07 · Stop: 295.29 (camS4) · T1: 300.51 (R1) · Mixed trend (below e20) — intraday only, not a swing.
KLAC — Camarilla breakout (long)
Entry: > 263.26 (camR3) · Stop: 255.86 (camS3) · Target: camR4 266.96 then 52w high 267.17 · Continuation of today's leadership move.
Key Levels Dashboard — Top 5 Movers
MRVL (close 310.58)
Cam: S4 295.44 · S3 303.01 · S1 308.06 || R1 313.1 · R3 318.15 · R4 325.72 .
Classic: S3 271.15 · S1 298.67 · P 314.27 · R1 326.19 · R3 353.71 . EMAs: 20 259.89 · 50 209.58 · 200 131.75 . POC 215.81 · PrevH 329.88 / PrevL 302.36 · 52wH 329.88 / 52wL 61.44 .
KLAC (close 259.56)
Cam: S4 252.16 · S3 255.86 · S1 258.33 || R1 260.79 · R3 263.26 · R4 266.96 .
Classic: S3 238.61 · S1 252.06 · P 258 · R1 265.51 · R3 278.96 . EMAs: 20 220.49 · 50 197.42 · 200 151.76 . POC 191.6 · PrevH 263.95 / PrevL 250.5 · 52wH 267.17 / 52wL 83.22 .
MU (close 1133.99)
Cam: S4 1102.84 · S3 1118.41 · S1 1128.8 || R1 1139.18 · R3 1149.57 · R4 1165.14 .
Classic: S3 1044.74 · S1 1101.38 · P 1125.4 · R1 1158.02 · R3 1214.66 . EMAs: 20 952.31 · 50 785.33 · 200 468.92 . POC 684.54 · PrevH 1149.43 / PrevL 1092.79 · 52wH 1149.43 / 52wL 103.38 .
TXN (close 322.86)
Cam: S4 316.24 · S3 319.55 · S1 321.76 || R1 323.96 · R3 326.17 · R4 329.48 .
Classic: S3 303.04 · S1 315.08 · P 319.34 · R1 327.12 · R3 339.16 . EMAs: 20 300.9 · 50 280.91 · 200 228.17 . POC 274.19 · PrevH 323.6 / PrevL 311.56 · 52wH 331.51 / 52wL 152.73 .
ADI (close 434.46)
Cam: S4 427.68 · S3 431.07 · S1 433.33 || R1 435.59 · R3 437.85 · R4 441.24 .
Classic: S3 415.28 · S1 427.61 · P 433.08 · R1 439.94 · R3 452.27 . EMAs: 20 414.15 · 50 396.76 · 200 327.67 . POC 393.11 · PrevH 438.56 / PrevL 426.23 · 52wH 439.7 / 52wL 218.37 .
Bearish Warnings
Structurally broken — below all EMAs in confirmed downtrends: INTU (-67% from 52w high), WDAY (-53%, -4.0% today), ADBE (-50%), PYPL (-47%), NFLX (-42%, RSI 28 oversold), MELI (-38%). Avoid bottom-fishing without a reclaim of the 20/50 EMA.
Bearish MACD + below all EMAs: MSFT, META, COST, SNPS, NFLX, ADBE, WDAY — momentum and trend both negative.
Near 52w lows / relative weakness: the software-cloud cohort continues to bleed even on a +2.5% index day — a red flag for breadth if semis stall.
Extension risk: AMAT (RSI 76) and KLAC (RSI 70) are overbought after large gaps — chase with caution; prefer pullback entries.
Events Calendar
Fri 19 Jun: US markets CLOSED — Juneteenth. No economic releases. Equities, bonds and options resume Monday 22 Jun.
Just passed: FOMC 16-17 Jun — federal funds target range held; Retail Sales (May), Housing Starts (May) and weekly Jobless Claims released this week.
Earnings watch (NAS100 names): no first-tier reports from the 40 imminent this week; the next cluster of mega-cap tech earnings is the late-July season. Monitor RNS/8-K catalysts on the chip leaders given the volatility.
Report: 18 June 2026 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
1 week 2 days ago #18622
by remo
Replied by remo on topic NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis - Wednesday 17 June 2026
Data: Close 17 Jun 2026 | NAS100: ~30,050 | Change: -410 (-1.34%) | Range: 30,045-30,565
Index level is derived from the session's -1.34% Nasdaq close; the component prices, pivots and Camarilla levels below are exact from the end-of-day scanner.
Market Overview
The index sold off hard into the close after the Federal Reserve's first meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh. Rates were held at 3.50-3.75%, but a hawkish dot plot - nine of eighteen officials now pencil in at least one hike this year, six of them multiple - flipped the bias from cuts to hikes. Warsh also scrapped forward guidance ("I can't give you any guidance on what we're going to do next"). The Nasdaq closed -1.34%, S&P 500 -1.21%, Dow -0.97%. The VIX jumped about 12% and the 10Y Treasury yield rose 6.9bps to 4.497%.
Under the surface this was a rotation, not a wholesale liquidation: semiconductors were bought aggressively (AMAT +4.35%, AVGO +4.30%, MRVL +3.90%, SNPS +2.98%, MU +2.20%) while mega-cap tech, software and consumer names were dumped (META -5.44%, ADBE -5.33%, INTU -4.24%, WDAY -3.90%, MSFT -3.80%, PYPL -3.60%, AMZN -3.46%). Breadth across the 40 was negative: 11 advancers, 29 decliners. Bias: bearish at the index level, with a narrow pocket of semiconductor strength.
Trend
EMA verification was run programmatically on all 40 (close vs EMA20/50/200): zero mismatches. The stack is split. Bullish (above all three EMAs): 15 names, dominated by semis (AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL, AMD, TXN) plus security/EDA software (PANW, CRWD, CDNS, FTNT) and LIN, MAR, ABNB. Bearish (below all three): 15 names, almost entirely mega-cap tech, software and consumer (MSFT, META, TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, ISRG, INTU, REGN, SNPS, MELI, WDAY, PYPL, ORLY). The remainder are Mixed or below 20/50 only (AAPL, NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL). Market structure at the index level is corrective; the semis are the only group still in a clean uptrend.
Indicators
RSI(14): index momentum rolled over with the close. Component readings show stress at the extremes - ADBE 28.1, NFLX 26.1, INTU 31.8 are oversold and sitting on 52-week lows (no bullish divergence yet, momentum still falling). AMAT at 73.4 is the lone overbought reading and printed a reversal wick off a fresh 52-week high (623.35) before closing at 592.92 - watch for exhaustion.
MACD: bearish on 24 of 40 names. Even several semis that rallied today (MU, MRVL, AMD, AVGO) still carry signal-line MACD below zero or crossing down - the up-move is price leading the oscillator, not yet confirmed.
Volume: relative volume was elevated on the down-movers (ADBE 1.40, NFLX 1.37, MSFT 1.10, META 1.09, PYPL 1.17) - distribution, not quiet drift. Semi strength (AMAT 1.24) also came on volume, so the rotation has conviction on both sides.
Key Index Levels
Classic pivots (index, approx): S2 29,700 S1 29,900 P 30,250 R1 30,500 R2 30,750.
Round-number support: 30,000 (psychological, just below the close - first line in the sand), then 29,500.
Round-number resistance: 30,500 (reclaim needed to neutralise today), then 31,000.
A daily close back below 30,000 would confirm the hawkish-Fed breakdown and open 29,500; reclaiming 30,500 would suggest the dip is being bought.
Component Signals (all 40)
Trend = strict EMA stack. Format: price (daily %) - trend - RSI zone - MACD - % from 52w high - vs 60d POC.
Mega-cap Tech
AAPL 295.95 (-1.10%) - Mixed - RSI 48.9 Neutral - MACD bear - -6.8% 52wH - above POC
MSFT 378.86 (-3.80%) - Bear (all) - RSI 34.6 Bearish - MACD bear - -31.8% 52wH - below POC
NVDA 204.63 (-1.34%) - Bear (<20/50) - RSI 45.3 Neutral - MACD bear - -13.5% 52wH - above POC
AMZN 237.5 (-3.46%) - Bear (<20/50) - RSI 36.9 Bearish - MACD bear - -14.7% 52wH - below POC
META 567.58 (-5.44%) - Bear (all) - RSI 39.3 Bearish - MACD bear - -28.7% 52wH - below POC
GOOGL 363.79 (-2.53%) - Mixed - RSI 46.1 Neutral - MACD bear - -11.0% 52wH - above POC
TSLA 396.38 (-2.05%) - Bear (all) - RSI 45.3 Neutral - MACD bear - -20.5% 52wH - above POC
Semiconductors
AVGO 392.89 (+4.30%) - Bear (<20/50) - RSI 46.1 Neutral - MACD bear - -20.6% 52wH - below POC
AMD 512.48 (+1.02%) - Bull (all) - RSI 57.7 Bullish - MACD bear - -8.2% 52wH - above POC
QCOM 212.97 (-0.51%) - Mixed - RSI 50.7 Neutral - MACD bear - -18.1% 52wH - above POC
TXN 301.88 (-1.25%) - Bull (all) - RSI 53.6 Neutral - MACD bear - -8.9% 52wH - above POC
AMAT 592.92 (+4.35%) - Bull (all) - RSI 73.4 OB - MACD bull - -4.9% 52wH - above POC
MU 1043.19 (+2.20%) - Bull (all) - RSI 61.7 Bullish - MACD bear - -6.1% 52wH - above POC
LRCX 374.18 (+1.31%) - Bull (all) - RSI 65.6 Bullish - MACD bull - -5.9% 52wH - above POC
KLAC 238.73 (+0.59%) - Bull (all) - RSI 64.1 Bullish - MACD bull - -10.6% 52wH - above POC
ADI 414.45 (-0.37%) - Bull (all) - RSI 52.2 Neutral - MACD bear - -5.7% 52wH - above POC
MRVL 289.54 (+3.90%) - Bull (all) - RSI 61.2 Bullish - MACD bear - -10.7% 52wH - above POC
Software / Cloud
ADBE 196.28 (-5.33%) - Bear (all) - RSI 28.1 OS - MACD bear - -50.9% 52wH - below POC
INTU 269.08 (-4.24%) - Bear (all) - RSI 31.8 Bearish - MACD bear - -66.9% 52wH - below POC
CRWD 682.96 (+0.51%) - Bull (all) - RSI 57.8 Bullish - MACD bear - -13.1% 52wH - above POC
PANW 282.13 (+0.80%) - Bull (all) - RSI 64.3 Bullish - MACD bear - -6.9% 52wH - above POC
SNPS 461.74 (+2.98%) - Bear (all) - RSI 43.7 Bearish - MACD bear - -29.2% 52wH - below POC
CDNS 389.66 (+0.47%) - Bull (all) - RSI 56.5 Bullish - MACD bear - -6.5% 52wH - above POC
FTNT 144.14 (-1.96%) - Bull (all) - RSI 63.2 Bullish - MACD bear - -4.0% 52wH - above POC
WDAY 121.83 (-3.90%) - Bear (all) - RSI 39.3 Bearish - MACD bear - -51.2% 52wH - below POC
CSCO 117.33 (-1.87%) - Mixed - RSI 52.7 Neutral - MACD bear - -10.0% 52wH - above POC
Consumer / Internet
COST 965.59 (-2.14%) - Bear (all) - RSI 41.5 Bearish - MACD bull - -11.9% 52wH - below POC
NFLX 76.96 (-2.24%) - Bear (all) - RSI 26.1 OS - MACD bear - -42.6% 52wH - below POC
BKNG 171.63 (-2.33%) - Bull (>20/50) - RSI 56.0 Bullish - MACD bull - -26.5% 52wH - above POC
MELI 1631.82 (-2.52%) - Bear (all) - RSI 47.0 Neutral - MACD bull - -38.3% 52wH - below POC
MAR 394.61 (-1.13%) - Bull (all) - RSI 61.5 Bullish - MACD bull - -4.0% 52wH - above POC
ABNB 140.54 (-0.47%) - Bull (all) - RSI 60.4 Bullish - MACD bull - -4.6% 52wH - above POC
DASH 165.66 (-2.57%) - Bull (>20/50) - RSI 54.4 Neutral - MACD bull - -42.0% 52wH - above POC
ORLY 88.4 (-2.51%) - Bear (all) - RSI 43.6 Bearish - MACD bull - -18.7% 52wH - below POC
PYPL 42.08 (-3.60%) - Bear (all) - RSI 41.8 Bearish - MACD bull - -47.1% 52wH - below POC
Healthcare / Biotech
ISRG 402.18 (-3.57%) - Bear (all) - RSI 37.4 Bearish - MACD bull - -33.4% 52wH - below POC
REGN 607.93 (-1.11%) - Bear (all) - RSI 36.9 Bearish - MACD bull - -26.0% 52wH - below POC
Industrial / Other
LIN 515.85 (-0.45%) - Bull (all) - RSI 55.0 Bullish - MACD bull - -1.9% 52wH - above POC
CEG 267.17 (-0.31%) - Mixed - RSI 47.8 Neutral - MACD bull - -35.3% 52wH - below POC
TMUS 181.31 (-1.65%) - Bear (all) - RSI 41.2 Bearish - MACD bull - -30.7% 52wH - below POC
Sector Grouping
Semiconductors - the only green group: 7 up / 3 down, average +1.55%, 8 of 10 in bullish EMA stacks. AI-capex names (AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, MU, MRVL, AVGO) led the tape.
Mega-cap Tech - 0 up / 7 down, average -2.82%; every name below its 200-EMA. The epicentre of the selling.
Software / Cloud - 4 up / 5 down, average -1.39%. Sharp split: security/EDA (PANW, CRWD, CDNS, FTNT) held bull stacks while application software (ADBE, INTU, WDAY) collapsed to 52-week lows.
Consumer / Internet - 0 up / 9 down, average -2.17%. Travel (MAR, ABNB, BKNG) remains technically strong despite red prints.
Healthcare / Biotech - 0 up / 2 down (ISRG, REGN), both in full bear stacks.
Industrial / Other - LIN resilient (near 52w high), CEG and TMUS weak.
Top Swing Setups
LRCX - Long (pullback buy)
Bull stack, RSI 65.6, MACD bull, held the day low (373.24) after fading from 397. Buy the dip into pivot/Camarilla support.
Entry: 366-368 · Stop: 357 · T1: 381.7 · T2: 390 · R:R: ~2.3 to T2
Confluence: cam S1/S3 366-367 + classic S2 357.29; price well above POC 285.38.
KLAC - Long (pullback buy)
Bull stack, RSI 64.1, MACD bull, semi-equipment leader. Closed near day low after a wide range - look for a hold of S1.
Entry: 234-236 · Stop: 228 · T1: 242.5 · T2: 247.4 · R:R: ~2.0 to T2
Confluence: classic S1 233.87 + pivot 242.52 overhead; price above POC 188.59.
MAR - Long (breakout/continuation)
Bull stack, RSI 61.5, MACD bull, only -4.0% from its 52-week high, above POC. One of the cleanest charts in the index.
Entry: >397.5 (pivot) · Stop: 387 · T1: 401.2 · T2: 407.8 · R:R: ~1.4 to T2
Prefer a dip toward S1 390.86 to improve the entry; 52w high 410.98 is the magnet.
META - Short (sell the rip)
Full bear stack, broke below POC 608, RSI 39.3, MACD bear, -5.44% on volume. Distribution intact below all EMAs.
Entry: 575-578 (pivot rally) · Stop: 586 · T1: 557.9 · T2: 548.2 · R:R: ~2.7 to T2
A break of the 566 day low without a bounce also triggers; next shelf S3 530.29.
AMZN - Short (EMA200 test)
Below EMA20/50, RSI 36.9, MACD bear, below POC 248.65; sitting just above the 200-EMA at 233.87 - the line that decides the trend.
Entry: <233.8 (lose EMA200) · Stop: 243 · T1: 229.9 · T2: 223.8 · R:R: ~1.0 to T2
Alternatively fade a rally to R1 243.61. Reclaiming 250 invalidates the bear case.
Intraday Setups
NVDA - Pivot bounce (long)
Neutral RSI 45.3, range-bound. Long the bounce off the S1/Camarilla S3 cluster.
Entry: 202.0-203.0 · Stop: 201.0 · T1: 205.6 (pivot) · T2: 208.2 (R1) · Dir: Long
Cam: S4 201.26 · S3 202.94 · S1 204.07 || R1 205.19 · R3 206.32 · R4 208.00 .
AAPL - Pivot bounce (long)
Neutral RSI 48.9, coiled between EMA20 (298.65) and EMA50 (290.07). Long off Camarilla support.
Entry: 293.8-295.2 · Stop: 291.5 · T1: 297.5 (pivot) · T2: 300.6 (R1) · Dir: Long
Cam: S4 291.71 · S3 293.83 · S1 295.24 || R1 296.66 · R3 298.07 · R4 300.19 .
AMD - Camarilla breakout (long)
Bull stack, RSI 57.7, above POC. Momentum long on a push through cam R1.
Entry: >515 (cam R1) · Stop: 505 · T1: 519.4 (cam R3) · T2: 527.6 (pivot R1) · Dir: Long
Cam: S4 498.62 · S3 505.55 · S1 510.17 || R1 514.79 · R3 519.41 · R4 526.34 .
META - Camarilla breakdown (short)
Bear stack, below POC. Short the loss of the lower Camarilla band.
Entry: <565 (cam S1) · Stop: 571 · T1: 560 (cam S3) · T2: 552.4 (cam S4) · Dir: Short
Cam: S4 552.39 · S3 559.98 · S1 565.05 || R1 570.11 · R3 575.18 · R4 582.77 .
MSFT - Oversold bounce (long, counter-trend)
RSI 34.6 and below all EMAs - a tactical bounce only, keep risk tight. Long the Camarilla S1/S3 cluster.
Entry: 375.3-377.7 · Stop: 371.0 · T1: 382.2 (pivot) · T2: 387.0 (R1) · Dir: Long (counter-trend)
Cam: S4 371.68 · S3 375.27 · S1 377.66 || R1 380.06 · R3 382.45 · R4 386.04 .
Key Levels Dashboard
NVDA 204.63
Cam: S4 201.26 · S3 202.94 · S1 204.07 || R1 205.19 · R3 206.32 · R4 208.00
Classic: S3 195.94 · S2 199.51 · S1 202.07 · P 205.64 · R1 208.20 · R2 211.77 · R3 214.33
EMAs: 20 210.31 · 50 206.76 · 200 187.86 · POC 203.40 · PrevH/L 209.21/203.08 · 52w 142.03/236.54
AAPL 295.95
Cam: S4 291.71 · S3 293.83 · S1 295.24 || R1 296.66 · R3 298.07 · R4 300.19
Classic: S3 285.14 · S2 289.75 · S1 292.85 · P 297.46 · R1 300.56 · R2 305.17 · R3 308.27
EMAs: 20 298.65 · 50 290.07 · 200 266.58 · POC 283.56 · PrevH/L 302.07/294.36 · 52w 195.07/317.40
MSFT 378.86
Cam: S4 371.68 · S3 375.27 · S1 377.66 || R1 380.06 · R3 382.45 · R4 386.04
Classic: S3 360.95 · S2 369.13 · S1 374.00 · P 382.18 · R1 387.05 · R2 395.23 · R3 400.10
EMAs: 20 407.78 · 50 411.09 · 200 433.59 · POC 406.84 · PrevH/L 390.37/377.32 · 52w 356.28/555.45
AMZN 237.50
Cam: S4 232.05 · S3 234.77 · S1 236.59 || R1 238.41 · R3 240.23 · R4 242.95
Classic: S3 223.79 · S2 229.89 · S1 233.70 · P 239.80 · R1 243.61 · R2 249.71 · R3 253.52
EMAs: 20 250.32 · 50 249.76 · 200 233.87 · POC 248.65 · PrevH/L 245.91/236.00 · 52w 196.00/278.56
META 567.58
Cam: S4 552.39 · S3 559.98 · S1 565.05 || R1 570.11 · R3 575.18 · R4 582.77
Classic: S3 530.29 · S2 548.24 · S1 557.91 · P 575.86 · R1 585.53 · R2 603.48 · R3 613.15
EMAs: 20 596.17 · 50 610.82 · 200 638.10 · POC 608.19 · PrevH/L 593.81/566.19 · 52w 520.26/796.25
Bearish Warnings
Full bear EMA stacks (price below 20/50/200): MSFT, META, TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, ISRG, INTU, REGN, SNPS, MELI, WDAY, PYPL, ORLY - 15 of 40, the entire mega-cap/software/consumer core.
Oversold at 52-week lows: ADBE (RSI 28.1, closed 196.28 vs 52w low 195.02), NFLX (RSI 26.1 vs 75.01), INTU (RSI 31.8 vs 268.01), TMUS (close 181.31 vs 174.02). No bullish RSI divergence yet - falling knives, not bottoms.
Bearish MACD: 24 of 40 names, including several semis (MU, MRVL, AMD, AVGO) whose price rallied ahead of the oscillator - unconfirmed.
Distribution volume: heaviest relative volume printed on down-movers (ADBE 1.40, NFLX 1.37, PYPL 1.17, MSFT 1.10, META 1.09).
Macro: VIX +12%, 10Y at 4.497% and a Fed now biased to hike - the discount-rate headwind is the dominant risk for high-multiple names.
Events Calendar
Thu 18 Jun: weekly initial jobless claims (13:30 BST); post-FOMC Fed speakers in focus now that forward guidance has been dropped - every comment is a potential mover.
Fri 19 Jun: Juneteenth - US markets CLOSED. No US session; expect thin late-week liquidity on Thursday.
Earnings: no confirmed same-week reports among the 40 mega-caps; Micron (MU) reports its fiscal quarter in late June - watch for guidance that could set the tone for the whole semiconductor complex. The bulk of NAS100 earnings land in late July.
Standing watch: the Iran ceasefire MoU is due to be signed Friday in Switzerland (oil/risk sentiment); President Trump has warned the deal is "not final".
Report: 17 June 2026 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Data: Close 17 Jun 2026 | NAS100: ~30,050 | Change: -410 (-1.34%) | Range: 30,045-30,565
Index level is derived from the session's -1.34% Nasdaq close; the component prices, pivots and Camarilla levels below are exact from the end-of-day scanner.
Market Overview
The index sold off hard into the close after the Federal Reserve's first meeting under new Chair Kevin Warsh. Rates were held at 3.50-3.75%, but a hawkish dot plot - nine of eighteen officials now pencil in at least one hike this year, six of them multiple - flipped the bias from cuts to hikes. Warsh also scrapped forward guidance ("I can't give you any guidance on what we're going to do next"). The Nasdaq closed -1.34%, S&P 500 -1.21%, Dow -0.97%. The VIX jumped about 12% and the 10Y Treasury yield rose 6.9bps to 4.497%.
Under the surface this was a rotation, not a wholesale liquidation: semiconductors were bought aggressively (AMAT +4.35%, AVGO +4.30%, MRVL +3.90%, SNPS +2.98%, MU +2.20%) while mega-cap tech, software and consumer names were dumped (META -5.44%, ADBE -5.33%, INTU -4.24%, WDAY -3.90%, MSFT -3.80%, PYPL -3.60%, AMZN -3.46%). Breadth across the 40 was negative: 11 advancers, 29 decliners. Bias: bearish at the index level, with a narrow pocket of semiconductor strength.
Trend
EMA verification was run programmatically on all 40 (close vs EMA20/50/200): zero mismatches. The stack is split. Bullish (above all three EMAs): 15 names, dominated by semis (AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL, AMD, TXN) plus security/EDA software (PANW, CRWD, CDNS, FTNT) and LIN, MAR, ABNB. Bearish (below all three): 15 names, almost entirely mega-cap tech, software and consumer (MSFT, META, TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, ISRG, INTU, REGN, SNPS, MELI, WDAY, PYPL, ORLY). The remainder are Mixed or below 20/50 only (AAPL, NVDA, AMZN, GOOGL). Market structure at the index level is corrective; the semis are the only group still in a clean uptrend.
Indicators
RSI(14): index momentum rolled over with the close. Component readings show stress at the extremes - ADBE 28.1, NFLX 26.1, INTU 31.8 are oversold and sitting on 52-week lows (no bullish divergence yet, momentum still falling). AMAT at 73.4 is the lone overbought reading and printed a reversal wick off a fresh 52-week high (623.35) before closing at 592.92 - watch for exhaustion.
MACD: bearish on 24 of 40 names. Even several semis that rallied today (MU, MRVL, AMD, AVGO) still carry signal-line MACD below zero or crossing down - the up-move is price leading the oscillator, not yet confirmed.
Volume: relative volume was elevated on the down-movers (ADBE 1.40, NFLX 1.37, MSFT 1.10, META 1.09, PYPL 1.17) - distribution, not quiet drift. Semi strength (AMAT 1.24) also came on volume, so the rotation has conviction on both sides.
Key Index Levels
Classic pivots (index, approx): S2 29,700 S1 29,900 P 30,250 R1 30,500 R2 30,750.
Round-number support: 30,000 (psychological, just below the close - first line in the sand), then 29,500.
Round-number resistance: 30,500 (reclaim needed to neutralise today), then 31,000.
A daily close back below 30,000 would confirm the hawkish-Fed breakdown and open 29,500; reclaiming 30,500 would suggest the dip is being bought.
Component Signals (all 40)
Trend = strict EMA stack. Format: price (daily %) - trend - RSI zone - MACD - % from 52w high - vs 60d POC.
Mega-cap Tech
AAPL 295.95 (-1.10%) - Mixed - RSI 48.9 Neutral - MACD bear - -6.8% 52wH - above POC
MSFT 378.86 (-3.80%) - Bear (all) - RSI 34.6 Bearish - MACD bear - -31.8% 52wH - below POC
NVDA 204.63 (-1.34%) - Bear (<20/50) - RSI 45.3 Neutral - MACD bear - -13.5% 52wH - above POC
AMZN 237.5 (-3.46%) - Bear (<20/50) - RSI 36.9 Bearish - MACD bear - -14.7% 52wH - below POC
META 567.58 (-5.44%) - Bear (all) - RSI 39.3 Bearish - MACD bear - -28.7% 52wH - below POC
GOOGL 363.79 (-2.53%) - Mixed - RSI 46.1 Neutral - MACD bear - -11.0% 52wH - above POC
TSLA 396.38 (-2.05%) - Bear (all) - RSI 45.3 Neutral - MACD bear - -20.5% 52wH - above POC
Semiconductors
AVGO 392.89 (+4.30%) - Bear (<20/50) - RSI 46.1 Neutral - MACD bear - -20.6% 52wH - below POC
AMD 512.48 (+1.02%) - Bull (all) - RSI 57.7 Bullish - MACD bear - -8.2% 52wH - above POC
QCOM 212.97 (-0.51%) - Mixed - RSI 50.7 Neutral - MACD bear - -18.1% 52wH - above POC
TXN 301.88 (-1.25%) - Bull (all) - RSI 53.6 Neutral - MACD bear - -8.9% 52wH - above POC
AMAT 592.92 (+4.35%) - Bull (all) - RSI 73.4 OB - MACD bull - -4.9% 52wH - above POC
MU 1043.19 (+2.20%) - Bull (all) - RSI 61.7 Bullish - MACD bear - -6.1% 52wH - above POC
LRCX 374.18 (+1.31%) - Bull (all) - RSI 65.6 Bullish - MACD bull - -5.9% 52wH - above POC
KLAC 238.73 (+0.59%) - Bull (all) - RSI 64.1 Bullish - MACD bull - -10.6% 52wH - above POC
ADI 414.45 (-0.37%) - Bull (all) - RSI 52.2 Neutral - MACD bear - -5.7% 52wH - above POC
MRVL 289.54 (+3.90%) - Bull (all) - RSI 61.2 Bullish - MACD bear - -10.7% 52wH - above POC
Software / Cloud
ADBE 196.28 (-5.33%) - Bear (all) - RSI 28.1 OS - MACD bear - -50.9% 52wH - below POC
INTU 269.08 (-4.24%) - Bear (all) - RSI 31.8 Bearish - MACD bear - -66.9% 52wH - below POC
CRWD 682.96 (+0.51%) - Bull (all) - RSI 57.8 Bullish - MACD bear - -13.1% 52wH - above POC
PANW 282.13 (+0.80%) - Bull (all) - RSI 64.3 Bullish - MACD bear - -6.9% 52wH - above POC
SNPS 461.74 (+2.98%) - Bear (all) - RSI 43.7 Bearish - MACD bear - -29.2% 52wH - below POC
CDNS 389.66 (+0.47%) - Bull (all) - RSI 56.5 Bullish - MACD bear - -6.5% 52wH - above POC
FTNT 144.14 (-1.96%) - Bull (all) - RSI 63.2 Bullish - MACD bear - -4.0% 52wH - above POC
WDAY 121.83 (-3.90%) - Bear (all) - RSI 39.3 Bearish - MACD bear - -51.2% 52wH - below POC
CSCO 117.33 (-1.87%) - Mixed - RSI 52.7 Neutral - MACD bear - -10.0% 52wH - above POC
Consumer / Internet
COST 965.59 (-2.14%) - Bear (all) - RSI 41.5 Bearish - MACD bull - -11.9% 52wH - below POC
NFLX 76.96 (-2.24%) - Bear (all) - RSI 26.1 OS - MACD bear - -42.6% 52wH - below POC
BKNG 171.63 (-2.33%) - Bull (>20/50) - RSI 56.0 Bullish - MACD bull - -26.5% 52wH - above POC
MELI 1631.82 (-2.52%) - Bear (all) - RSI 47.0 Neutral - MACD bull - -38.3% 52wH - below POC
MAR 394.61 (-1.13%) - Bull (all) - RSI 61.5 Bullish - MACD bull - -4.0% 52wH - above POC
ABNB 140.54 (-0.47%) - Bull (all) - RSI 60.4 Bullish - MACD bull - -4.6% 52wH - above POC
DASH 165.66 (-2.57%) - Bull (>20/50) - RSI 54.4 Neutral - MACD bull - -42.0% 52wH - above POC
ORLY 88.4 (-2.51%) - Bear (all) - RSI 43.6 Bearish - MACD bull - -18.7% 52wH - below POC
PYPL 42.08 (-3.60%) - Bear (all) - RSI 41.8 Bearish - MACD bull - -47.1% 52wH - below POC
Healthcare / Biotech
ISRG 402.18 (-3.57%) - Bear (all) - RSI 37.4 Bearish - MACD bull - -33.4% 52wH - below POC
REGN 607.93 (-1.11%) - Bear (all) - RSI 36.9 Bearish - MACD bull - -26.0% 52wH - below POC
Industrial / Other
LIN 515.85 (-0.45%) - Bull (all) - RSI 55.0 Bullish - MACD bull - -1.9% 52wH - above POC
CEG 267.17 (-0.31%) - Mixed - RSI 47.8 Neutral - MACD bull - -35.3% 52wH - below POC
TMUS 181.31 (-1.65%) - Bear (all) - RSI 41.2 Bearish - MACD bull - -30.7% 52wH - below POC
Sector Grouping
Semiconductors - the only green group: 7 up / 3 down, average +1.55%, 8 of 10 in bullish EMA stacks. AI-capex names (AMAT, LRCX, KLAC, MU, MRVL, AVGO) led the tape.
Mega-cap Tech - 0 up / 7 down, average -2.82%; every name below its 200-EMA. The epicentre of the selling.
Software / Cloud - 4 up / 5 down, average -1.39%. Sharp split: security/EDA (PANW, CRWD, CDNS, FTNT) held bull stacks while application software (ADBE, INTU, WDAY) collapsed to 52-week lows.
Consumer / Internet - 0 up / 9 down, average -2.17%. Travel (MAR, ABNB, BKNG) remains technically strong despite red prints.
Healthcare / Biotech - 0 up / 2 down (ISRG, REGN), both in full bear stacks.
Industrial / Other - LIN resilient (near 52w high), CEG and TMUS weak.
Top Swing Setups
LRCX - Long (pullback buy)
Bull stack, RSI 65.6, MACD bull, held the day low (373.24) after fading from 397. Buy the dip into pivot/Camarilla support.
Entry: 366-368 · Stop: 357 · T1: 381.7 · T2: 390 · R:R: ~2.3 to T2
Confluence: cam S1/S3 366-367 + classic S2 357.29; price well above POC 285.38.
KLAC - Long (pullback buy)
Bull stack, RSI 64.1, MACD bull, semi-equipment leader. Closed near day low after a wide range - look for a hold of S1.
Entry: 234-236 · Stop: 228 · T1: 242.5 · T2: 247.4 · R:R: ~2.0 to T2
Confluence: classic S1 233.87 + pivot 242.52 overhead; price above POC 188.59.
MAR - Long (breakout/continuation)
Bull stack, RSI 61.5, MACD bull, only -4.0% from its 52-week high, above POC. One of the cleanest charts in the index.
Entry: >397.5 (pivot) · Stop: 387 · T1: 401.2 · T2: 407.8 · R:R: ~1.4 to T2
Prefer a dip toward S1 390.86 to improve the entry; 52w high 410.98 is the magnet.
META - Short (sell the rip)
Full bear stack, broke below POC 608, RSI 39.3, MACD bear, -5.44% on volume. Distribution intact below all EMAs.
Entry: 575-578 (pivot rally) · Stop: 586 · T1: 557.9 · T2: 548.2 · R:R: ~2.7 to T2
A break of the 566 day low without a bounce also triggers; next shelf S3 530.29.
AMZN - Short (EMA200 test)
Below EMA20/50, RSI 36.9, MACD bear, below POC 248.65; sitting just above the 200-EMA at 233.87 - the line that decides the trend.
Entry: <233.8 (lose EMA200) · Stop: 243 · T1: 229.9 · T2: 223.8 · R:R: ~1.0 to T2
Alternatively fade a rally to R1 243.61. Reclaiming 250 invalidates the bear case.
Intraday Setups
NVDA - Pivot bounce (long)
Neutral RSI 45.3, range-bound. Long the bounce off the S1/Camarilla S3 cluster.
Entry: 202.0-203.0 · Stop: 201.0 · T1: 205.6 (pivot) · T2: 208.2 (R1) · Dir: Long
Cam: S4 201.26 · S3 202.94 · S1 204.07 || R1 205.19 · R3 206.32 · R4 208.00 .
AAPL - Pivot bounce (long)
Neutral RSI 48.9, coiled between EMA20 (298.65) and EMA50 (290.07). Long off Camarilla support.
Entry: 293.8-295.2 · Stop: 291.5 · T1: 297.5 (pivot) · T2: 300.6 (R1) · Dir: Long
Cam: S4 291.71 · S3 293.83 · S1 295.24 || R1 296.66 · R3 298.07 · R4 300.19 .
AMD - Camarilla breakout (long)
Bull stack, RSI 57.7, above POC. Momentum long on a push through cam R1.
Entry: >515 (cam R1) · Stop: 505 · T1: 519.4 (cam R3) · T2: 527.6 (pivot R1) · Dir: Long
Cam: S4 498.62 · S3 505.55 · S1 510.17 || R1 514.79 · R3 519.41 · R4 526.34 .
META - Camarilla breakdown (short)
Bear stack, below POC. Short the loss of the lower Camarilla band.
Entry: <565 (cam S1) · Stop: 571 · T1: 560 (cam S3) · T2: 552.4 (cam S4) · Dir: Short
Cam: S4 552.39 · S3 559.98 · S1 565.05 || R1 570.11 · R3 575.18 · R4 582.77 .
MSFT - Oversold bounce (long, counter-trend)
RSI 34.6 and below all EMAs - a tactical bounce only, keep risk tight. Long the Camarilla S1/S3 cluster.
Entry: 375.3-377.7 · Stop: 371.0 · T1: 382.2 (pivot) · T2: 387.0 (R1) · Dir: Long (counter-trend)
Cam: S4 371.68 · S3 375.27 · S1 377.66 || R1 380.06 · R3 382.45 · R4 386.04 .
Key Levels Dashboard
NVDA 204.63
Cam: S4 201.26 · S3 202.94 · S1 204.07 || R1 205.19 · R3 206.32 · R4 208.00
Classic: S3 195.94 · S2 199.51 · S1 202.07 · P 205.64 · R1 208.20 · R2 211.77 · R3 214.33
EMAs: 20 210.31 · 50 206.76 · 200 187.86 · POC 203.40 · PrevH/L 209.21/203.08 · 52w 142.03/236.54
AAPL 295.95
Cam: S4 291.71 · S3 293.83 · S1 295.24 || R1 296.66 · R3 298.07 · R4 300.19
Classic: S3 285.14 · S2 289.75 · S1 292.85 · P 297.46 · R1 300.56 · R2 305.17 · R3 308.27
EMAs: 20 298.65 · 50 290.07 · 200 266.58 · POC 283.56 · PrevH/L 302.07/294.36 · 52w 195.07/317.40
MSFT 378.86
Cam: S4 371.68 · S3 375.27 · S1 377.66 || R1 380.06 · R3 382.45 · R4 386.04
Classic: S3 360.95 · S2 369.13 · S1 374.00 · P 382.18 · R1 387.05 · R2 395.23 · R3 400.10
EMAs: 20 407.78 · 50 411.09 · 200 433.59 · POC 406.84 · PrevH/L 390.37/377.32 · 52w 356.28/555.45
AMZN 237.50
Cam: S4 232.05 · S3 234.77 · S1 236.59 || R1 238.41 · R3 240.23 · R4 242.95
Classic: S3 223.79 · S2 229.89 · S1 233.70 · P 239.80 · R1 243.61 · R2 249.71 · R3 253.52
EMAs: 20 250.32 · 50 249.76 · 200 233.87 · POC 248.65 · PrevH/L 245.91/236.00 · 52w 196.00/278.56
META 567.58
Cam: S4 552.39 · S3 559.98 · S1 565.05 || R1 570.11 · R3 575.18 · R4 582.77
Classic: S3 530.29 · S2 548.24 · S1 557.91 · P 575.86 · R1 585.53 · R2 603.48 · R3 613.15
EMAs: 20 596.17 · 50 610.82 · 200 638.10 · POC 608.19 · PrevH/L 593.81/566.19 · 52w 520.26/796.25
Bearish Warnings
Full bear EMA stacks (price below 20/50/200): MSFT, META, TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, ISRG, INTU, REGN, SNPS, MELI, WDAY, PYPL, ORLY - 15 of 40, the entire mega-cap/software/consumer core.
Oversold at 52-week lows: ADBE (RSI 28.1, closed 196.28 vs 52w low 195.02), NFLX (RSI 26.1 vs 75.01), INTU (RSI 31.8 vs 268.01), TMUS (close 181.31 vs 174.02). No bullish RSI divergence yet - falling knives, not bottoms.
Bearish MACD: 24 of 40 names, including several semis (MU, MRVL, AMD, AVGO) whose price rallied ahead of the oscillator - unconfirmed.
Distribution volume: heaviest relative volume printed on down-movers (ADBE 1.40, NFLX 1.37, PYPL 1.17, MSFT 1.10, META 1.09).
Macro: VIX +12%, 10Y at 4.497% and a Fed now biased to hike - the discount-rate headwind is the dominant risk for high-multiple names.
Events Calendar
Thu 18 Jun: weekly initial jobless claims (13:30 BST); post-FOMC Fed speakers in focus now that forward guidance has been dropped - every comment is a potential mover.
Fri 19 Jun: Juneteenth - US markets CLOSED. No US session; expect thin late-week liquidity on Thursday.
Earnings: no confirmed same-week reports among the 40 mega-caps; Micron (MU) reports its fiscal quarter in late June - watch for guidance that could set the tone for the whole semiconductor complex. The bulk of NAS100 earnings land in late July.
Standing watch: the Iran ceasefire MoU is due to be signed Friday in Switzerland (oil/risk sentiment); President Trump has warned the deal is "not final".
Report: 17 June 2026 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
1 week 3 days ago #18619
by remo
Replied by remo on topic NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Daily Technical Analysis - Tuesday 16 June 2026
Data: Close 16 Jun 2026 | NAS100 (est.): ~30,200 | Change: approx -1.2% (tech-led pullback) | Nasdaq Composite: 26,376.34 (-1.15%, -307.60) | VIX: ~16.2
Market Overview
US tech took a breather on Tuesday, with the Nasdaq Composite closing -1.15% at 26,376.34 and the tech-heavy NAS100 falling in sympathy (prior NDX close 30,563.12 on 15 Jun; today's NDX settlement print is approximated here pending the official close). The Dow bucked the move to a second straight record close (+0.64% at 51,999.67), while the S&P 500 eased -0.57% to 7,511.35 - a classic rotation out of crowded chip and growth names into cyclicals.
The session was dominated by a sharp semiconductor reversal: after Monday's rip on US-Iran peace-deal optimism, chip leaders printed heavy upper wicks and closed near session lows - MRVL -9.77%, AMD -7.30%, KLAC -7.44%, MU -6.19%, LRCX -5.03%, AVGO -4.37%. The recurring 'is the semiconductor trade getting stretched' theme is back in focus.
All eyes now turn to the FOMC decision on Wednesday 17 June at 2:00pm ET (statement + dot plot), followed by Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30pm ET. Rates are ~97% priced to hold at 3.50-3.75%; the risk is a hawkish bias shift. VIX stayed subdued near 16.2, so this was orderly profit-taking rather than panic. Bias: near-term cautious / consolidating under event risk, but the medium-term uptrend in large-cap leaders is intact.
Trend
Breadth across the 40 NAS100 components (strict close-vs-EMA): 18 fully bullish (above 20/50/200 EMA), 2 bullish above 20/50 but below 200, 7 mixed, 4 below 20/50 but holding 200, and 9 fully bearish (below all three EMAs).
The index remains in an uptrend phase led by mega-cap tech and semis, but Tuesday's distribution candles in the chip complex mark a short-term loss of momentum. Software laggards (ADBE, INTU, WDAY, SNPS) and some healthcare (REGN, ISRG) sit in confirmed downtrends below all EMAs, dragging on breadth. Net: constructive trend, short-term stalling into the Fed.
Indicators
RSI(14): Most leaders sit in the neutral-bullish 45-65 band. AMAT is the only reading near overbought (70.3) and reversed hard off its 52w high - a bearish RSI/price divergence warning. Weakest momentum: NFLX 29.2 (oversold, heavy volume), ADBE 31.8, INTU 34.5, SNPS 37.2, REGN 39.0 - all confirming downtrends.
MACD: Histogram still positive (line above signal) on the trend leaders - AMAT, AMD, MRVL, CRWD, KLAC, LRCX, MU, FTNT, QCOM - but several mega-caps have rolled negative (MSFT, AMZN, META, AVGO, COST, INTU, REGN, SNPS, ISRG), echoing the rotation.
Volume: Conviction selling showed up in NFLX (rel vol 1.81), PYPL (1.26), MAR (1.27), AMAT (1.20), KLAC (1.19) and LRCX (1.13). Elevated volume on down days in the chip names is a caution flag.
Key Index Levels (NAS100)
With the official NDX settlement print pending, levels are framed around the 15 Jun close of 30,563 and round-number psychology:
Resistance: R1 ~30,560 (prior close / breakdown pivot) - R2 30,800 - R3 31,000 (round number).
Support: S1 ~30,000 (major round number) - S2 29,700 - S3 29,400.
A close back above 30,560 neutralises Tuesday's pullback; loss of 30,000 on a hawkish Fed opens the early-June air pocket toward the 29,400 area.
Component Signals - All 40
Format: Close (Day %) | EMA trend (strict) | RSI | MACD | distance from 52w high | vs 60d VWAP POC
AAPL 299.24 (+0.95%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 52 Bull | MACD bear | -5.7% vs 52wH | >POC
MSFT 393.83 (-1.48%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 40 Bear | MACD bear | -29.1% vs 52wH | <POC
NVDA 207.41 (-2.37%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 47 Bear | MACD bear | -12.3% vs 52wH | >POC
AMZN 246.00 (-0.04%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 43 Bear | MACD bear | -11.7% vs 52wH | <POC
META 600.21 (+1.13%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 49 Bear | MACD bear | -24.6% vs 52wH | <POC
GOOGL 373.25 (+1.06%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 52 Bull | MACD bear | -8.7% vs 52wH | >POC
AVGO 376.74 (-4.37%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 41 Bear | MACD bear | -23.9% vs 52wH | <POC
TSLA 404.66 (-1.58%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 48 Bear | MACD bear | -18.9% vs 52wH | >POC
COST 986.68 (+0.74%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 48 Bear | MACD bull | -10.0% vs 52wH | <POC
NFLX 78.72 (-3.62%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 29 OS | MACD bear | -41.3% vs 52wH | <POC
AMD 507.29 (-7.30%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 57 Bull | MACD bear | -9.1% vs 52wH | >POC
ADBE 207.32 (+0.47%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 32 Bear | MACD bear | -48.8% vs 52wH | <POC
QCOM 214.07 (-3.05%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 51 Bull | MACD bear | -17.6% vs 52wH | >POC
TMUS 184.36 (-2.38%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 45 Bear | MACD bull | -29.5% vs 52wH | <POC
LIN 518.17 (-0.63%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 57 Bull | MACD bull | -1.5% vs 52wH | >POC
ISRG 417.07 (+0.12%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 44 Bear | MACD bull | -30.9% vs 52wH | <POC
INTU 280.99 (-0.28%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 34 Bear | MACD bear | -65.5% vs 52wH | <POC
CSCO 119.57 (-0.50%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 56 Bull | MACD bear | -8.3% vs 52wH | >POC
TXN 305.71 (-2.44%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 56 Bull | MACD bear | -7.8% vs 52wH | >POC
AMAT 568.23 (-3.00%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 70 OB | MACD bull | -5.4% vs 52wH | >POC
BKNG 175.72 (+0.62%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 62 Bull | MACD bull | -24.8% vs 52wH | >POC
PANW 279.90 (-1.63%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 63 Bull | MACD bear | -7.6% vs 52wH | >POC
MU 1,020.76 (-6.19%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60 Bull | MACD bear | -8.1% vs 52wH | >POC
LRCX 369.34 (-5.03%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 65 Bull | MACD bull | -6.0% vs 52wH | >POC
KLAC 237.33 (-7.44%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 64 Bull | MACD bull | -11.2% vs 52wH | >POC
ADI 416.00 (-2.71%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 53 Bull | MACD bear | -5.4% vs 52wH | >POC
REGN 614.73 (-0.04%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 39 Bear | MACD bull | -25.1% vs 52wH | <POC
SNPS 448.38 (-1.32%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 37 Bear | MACD bear | -31.2% vs 52wH | <POC
CDNS 387.85 (-1.69%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 56 Bull | MACD bear | -6.9% vs 52wH | >POC
MELI 1,674.08 (+1.68%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 52 Bull | MACD bull | -36.7% vs 52wH | <POC
CRWD 679.49 (-1.94%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 57 Bull | MACD bear | -13.5% vs 52wH | >POC
MAR 399.10 (-0.38%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 66 Bull | MACD bull | -2.9% vs 52wH | >POC
ABNB 141.20 (+1.61%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 62 Bull | MACD bull | -4.1% vs 52wH | >POC
MRVL 278.67 (-9.77%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 59 Bull | MACD bull | -14.0% vs 52wH | >POC
DASH 170.03 (+1.15%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 58 Bull | MACD bull | -40.4% vs 52wH | >POC
FTNT 147.02 (-1.65%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 68 Bull | MACD bear | -2.0% vs 52wH | >POC
CEG 268.00 (+2.15%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 48 Bear | MACD bull | -35.1% vs 52wH | <POC
WDAY 126.77 (-2.18%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 43 Bear | MACD bear | -49.3% vs 52wH | <POC
PYPL 43.65 (+2.73%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 50 Bear | MACD bull | -45.1% vs 52wH | <POC
ORLY 90.68 (+0.47%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 52 Bull | MACD bull | -16.6% vs 52wH | <POC
Sector Grouping
(NVDA/MSFT span two groups by business mix)
Mega-cap Tech (avg -0.33%): AAPL +0.9%, MSFT -1.5%, NVDA -2.4%, AMZN -0.0%, META +1.1%, GOOGL +1.1%, TSLA -1.6%
Semiconductors (avg -4.88%): AVGO -4.4%, AMD -7.3%, QCOM -3.0%, TXN -2.4%, AMAT -3.0%, MU -6.2%, LRCX -5.0%, KLAC -7.4%, ADI -2.7%, MRVL -9.8%, NVDA -2.4%
Software / Cloud (avg -1.30%): ADBE +0.5%, INTU -0.3%, CRWD -1.9%, PANW -1.6%, SNPS -1.3%, CDNS -1.7%, FTNT -1.6%, WDAY -2.2%, MSFT -1.5%
Consumer / Internet (avg +0.19%): COST +0.7%, NFLX -3.6%, BKNG +0.6%, MELI +1.7%, MAR -0.4%, ABNB +1.6%, DASH +1.1%, ORLY +0.5%, PYPL +2.7%, TMUS -2.4%, CSCO -0.5%
Healthcare / Biotech (avg +0.04%): ISRG +0.1%, REGN -0.0%
Industrial / Other (avg +0.76%): LIN -0.6%, CEG +2.1%
Semiconductors led the downside and were the clear underperformer; consumer/internet and the lone industrial (LIN) held up best. The software complex is bifurcated - security/EDA names (PANW, FTNT, CRWD, CDNS) trend up while legacy software (ADBE, INTU, WDAY) stays deeply offside.
Top Swing Setups
ATR-based stops. Not advice - levels for your own plan.
AAPL - Long
Entry: 299.24 . Stop: 295.31 . T1: 301.82 . T2: 304.41 . R:R: ~0.7
Relative strength: closed green (+0.95%) on a red tech day, Bull above all EMAs, above POC 282.90. Stop under classic S1; targets R1/R2. ~0.5 ATR risk.
LIN - Long
Entry: 518.17 . Stop: 513.28 . T1: 523.35 . T2: 528.53 . R:R: ~1.1
Steady leader just 1.5% off its 52w high, Bull above all EMAs, RSI 57, above POC 502.79. Low-volatility uptrend (ATR 10.4). Stop under S1 513.28.
MAR - Long
Entry: 399.10 . Stop: 390.94 . T1: 403.81 . T2: 408.53 . R:R: ~0.6
Bull above all EMAs, RSI 66, rel vol 1.27 (buying conviction), only 2.9% off 52w high. Held firm (-0.38%) while semis sold off. Stop below S1/ ~1 ATR.
FTNT - Long
Entry: 147.02 . Stop: 144.61 . T1: 149.16 . T2: 151.29 . R:R: ~0.9
Security leader 2.0% off 52w high, Bull above all EMAs, RSI 67.6, well above POC 107. Pullback long; stop under S1 144.61, targets R1/R2.
NFLX - Short
Entry: 78.72 . Stop: 81.93 . T1: 76.98 . T2: 75.23 . R:R: ~0.5
Confirmed downtrend: Bear below all EMAs, RSI 29.2 (weak), rel vol 1.81 (heavy distribution), 41% off 52w high. Short rallies; stop above day high 81.93, targets S1/S2.
Intraday Setups
Classic pivots + Camarilla. Levels are from today's close; re-check on the open.
AAPL - Pivot reclaim long
Closed 299.24 above the classic pivot 297.90. Long on a hold above pivot. Entry: 298.0+ . Stop: 296.5 (below pivot/cam S2) . T1: R1 301.82 . T2: R2 304.41 .
NVDA - Camarilla range
Pinned mid-Camarilla (close 207.41, cam S1 207.03 / cam R1 207.80). Range tactics until it picks a side. Fade: short near cam R3 208.57 / long near cam S3 206.26 . Breakout: long over cam R4 209.72, short under cam S4 205.10 .
AMD - Camarilla breakdown short
Closed weak (-7.30%) below the pivot 521.16 after a huge reversal. Entry: short under cam S1 503.47 . Stop: 511.11 (cam R1) . T1: cam S3 495.82 . T2: cam S4 484.36 . Direction: short. Momentum + distribution candle.
LIN - Camarilla breakout long
Coiled just under cam R1 519.09 (close 518.17). Entry: long over 519.10 . Stop: 517.25 (cam S1) . T1: cam R3 520.94 . T2: cam R4 523.71 . Direction: long, trend-aligned.
MELI - Pivot bounce long
Close 1,674.08 just under classic pivot 1,679.56; reclaim sets up a bounce. Entry: over 1,680 . Stop: 1,660 (under S1 1,647 buffer) . T1: R1 1,706.52 . T2: R2 1,738.95 . Direction: long, intraday only (below all longer EMAs).
Key Levels Dashboard - Top 5
NVDA - close 207.41
Cam: S4 205.10 . S3 206.26 . S1 207.03 || R1 207.80 . R3 208.57 . R4 209.72
Classic: S3 201.77 . S1 205.97 . P 208.73 . R1 210.17 . R3 214.37
EMAs: 20 210.91 . 50 206.85 . 200 187.69 | POC 202.86 | Prev H/L 211.49/207.29 | 52w H/L 236.54/142.03
AAPL - close 299.24
Cam: S4 295.66 . S3 297.45 . S1 298.64 || R1 299.84 . R3 301.03 . R4 302.82
Classic: S3 288.80 . S1 295.31 . P 297.90 . R1 301.82 . R3 308.33
EMAs: 20 298.94 . 50 289.83 . 200 266.28 | POC 282.90 | Prev H/L 300.48/293.97 | 52w H/L 317.40/195.07
MSFT - close 393.83
Cam: S4 390.45 . S3 392.14 . S1 393.27 || R1 394.39 . R3 395.52 . R4 397.21
Classic: S3 384.58 . S1 390.73 . P 393.79 . R1 396.88 . R3 403.03
EMAs: 20 410.82 . 50 412.40 . 200 434.14 | POC 407.01 | Prev H/L 396.84/390.69 | 52w H/L 555.45/356.28
AMZN - close 246.00
Cam: S4 243.77 . S3 244.88 . S1 245.63 || R1 246.37 . R3 247.12 . R4 248.23
Classic: S3 240.40 . S1 244.46 . P 246.99 . R1 248.52 . R3 252.58
EMAs: 20 251.68 . 50 250.26 . 200 233.84 | POC 248.17 | Prev H/L 249.51/245.45 | 52w H/L 278.56/196.00
AMD - close 507.29
Cam: S4 484.36 . S3 495.82 . S1 503.47 || R1 511.11 . R3 518.76 . R4 530.23
Classic: S3 451.68 . S1 493.38 . P 521.16 . R1 535.08 . R3 576.78
EMAs: 20 483.59 . 50 414.78 . 200 280.56 | POC 361.30 | Prev H/L 548.95/507.25 | 52w H/L 558.37/117.78
Bearish Warnings
Below all EMAs (downtrend): MSFT, NFLX, ADBE, INTU, SNPS, REGN, ISRG, TMUS, WDAY.
Bearish MACD (line below signal) in major names: MSFT, AMZN, META, AVGO, COST, INTU, REGN, SNPS, ISRG, CEG, DASH, PYPL, ORLY.
Overbought / divergence: AMAT (RSI 70.3) reversed sharply off its 52w high - watch for follow-through selling.
Near 52w lows: NFLX (only ~5% above its 52w low, rel vol 1.81), PYPL, ORLY and INTU remain structurally weak.
Semiconductor distribution: MRVL, AMD, KLAC, MU, LRCX, AMAT all printed large upper wicks and closed near lows - momentum stall in the leadership group.
Events Calendar
Wed 17 Jun: FOMC rate decision 2:00pm ET (statement + updated SEP/dot plot); Chair Kevin Warsh press conference 2:30pm ET. Rates ~97% priced to hold at 3.50-3.75%; the market is positioned for a possible hawkish bias shift - the dominant catalyst this week.
Macro backdrop: Oil at its lowest since early March after the US-Iran de-escalation; watch energy-sensitive sentiment and any Fed read-through on inflation.
Earnings: No major NAS100 component is scheduled to report in the immediate 1-2 day window; the mega-cap and chip earnings cycle is between seasons. Monitor RNS/8-K headlines from MU, AVGO and ADBE given recent guidance sensitivity.
Report: 16 June 2026 22:55 GMT . Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Data: Close 16 Jun 2026 | NAS100 (est.): ~30,200 | Change: approx -1.2% (tech-led pullback) | Nasdaq Composite: 26,376.34 (-1.15%, -307.60) | VIX: ~16.2
Market Overview
US tech took a breather on Tuesday, with the Nasdaq Composite closing -1.15% at 26,376.34 and the tech-heavy NAS100 falling in sympathy (prior NDX close 30,563.12 on 15 Jun; today's NDX settlement print is approximated here pending the official close). The Dow bucked the move to a second straight record close (+0.64% at 51,999.67), while the S&P 500 eased -0.57% to 7,511.35 - a classic rotation out of crowded chip and growth names into cyclicals.
The session was dominated by a sharp semiconductor reversal: after Monday's rip on US-Iran peace-deal optimism, chip leaders printed heavy upper wicks and closed near session lows - MRVL -9.77%, AMD -7.30%, KLAC -7.44%, MU -6.19%, LRCX -5.03%, AVGO -4.37%. The recurring 'is the semiconductor trade getting stretched' theme is back in focus.
All eyes now turn to the FOMC decision on Wednesday 17 June at 2:00pm ET (statement + dot plot), followed by Chair Kevin Warsh's press conference at 2:30pm ET. Rates are ~97% priced to hold at 3.50-3.75%; the risk is a hawkish bias shift. VIX stayed subdued near 16.2, so this was orderly profit-taking rather than panic. Bias: near-term cautious / consolidating under event risk, but the medium-term uptrend in large-cap leaders is intact.
Trend
Breadth across the 40 NAS100 components (strict close-vs-EMA): 18 fully bullish (above 20/50/200 EMA), 2 bullish above 20/50 but below 200, 7 mixed, 4 below 20/50 but holding 200, and 9 fully bearish (below all three EMAs).
The index remains in an uptrend phase led by mega-cap tech and semis, but Tuesday's distribution candles in the chip complex mark a short-term loss of momentum. Software laggards (ADBE, INTU, WDAY, SNPS) and some healthcare (REGN, ISRG) sit in confirmed downtrends below all EMAs, dragging on breadth. Net: constructive trend, short-term stalling into the Fed.
Indicators
RSI(14): Most leaders sit in the neutral-bullish 45-65 band. AMAT is the only reading near overbought (70.3) and reversed hard off its 52w high - a bearish RSI/price divergence warning. Weakest momentum: NFLX 29.2 (oversold, heavy volume), ADBE 31.8, INTU 34.5, SNPS 37.2, REGN 39.0 - all confirming downtrends.
MACD: Histogram still positive (line above signal) on the trend leaders - AMAT, AMD, MRVL, CRWD, KLAC, LRCX, MU, FTNT, QCOM - but several mega-caps have rolled negative (MSFT, AMZN, META, AVGO, COST, INTU, REGN, SNPS, ISRG), echoing the rotation.
Volume: Conviction selling showed up in NFLX (rel vol 1.81), PYPL (1.26), MAR (1.27), AMAT (1.20), KLAC (1.19) and LRCX (1.13). Elevated volume on down days in the chip names is a caution flag.
Key Index Levels (NAS100)
With the official NDX settlement print pending, levels are framed around the 15 Jun close of 30,563 and round-number psychology:
Resistance: R1 ~30,560 (prior close / breakdown pivot) - R2 30,800 - R3 31,000 (round number).
Support: S1 ~30,000 (major round number) - S2 29,700 - S3 29,400.
A close back above 30,560 neutralises Tuesday's pullback; loss of 30,000 on a hawkish Fed opens the early-June air pocket toward the 29,400 area.
Component Signals - All 40
Format: Close (Day %) | EMA trend (strict) | RSI | MACD | distance from 52w high | vs 60d VWAP POC
AAPL 299.24 (+0.95%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 52 Bull | MACD bear | -5.7% vs 52wH | >POC
MSFT 393.83 (-1.48%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 40 Bear | MACD bear | -29.1% vs 52wH | <POC
NVDA 207.41 (-2.37%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 47 Bear | MACD bear | -12.3% vs 52wH | >POC
AMZN 246.00 (-0.04%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 43 Bear | MACD bear | -11.7% vs 52wH | <POC
META 600.21 (+1.13%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 49 Bear | MACD bear | -24.6% vs 52wH | <POC
GOOGL 373.25 (+1.06%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 52 Bull | MACD bear | -8.7% vs 52wH | >POC
AVGO 376.74 (-4.37%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 41 Bear | MACD bear | -23.9% vs 52wH | <POC
TSLA 404.66 (-1.58%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 48 Bear | MACD bear | -18.9% vs 52wH | >POC
COST 986.68 (+0.74%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 48 Bear | MACD bull | -10.0% vs 52wH | <POC
NFLX 78.72 (-3.62%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 29 OS | MACD bear | -41.3% vs 52wH | <POC
AMD 507.29 (-7.30%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 57 Bull | MACD bear | -9.1% vs 52wH | >POC
ADBE 207.32 (+0.47%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 32 Bear | MACD bear | -48.8% vs 52wH | <POC
QCOM 214.07 (-3.05%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 51 Bull | MACD bear | -17.6% vs 52wH | >POC
TMUS 184.36 (-2.38%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 45 Bear | MACD bull | -29.5% vs 52wH | <POC
LIN 518.17 (-0.63%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 57 Bull | MACD bull | -1.5% vs 52wH | >POC
ISRG 417.07 (+0.12%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 44 Bear | MACD bull | -30.9% vs 52wH | <POC
INTU 280.99 (-0.28%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 34 Bear | MACD bear | -65.5% vs 52wH | <POC
CSCO 119.57 (-0.50%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 56 Bull | MACD bear | -8.3% vs 52wH | >POC
TXN 305.71 (-2.44%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 56 Bull | MACD bear | -7.8% vs 52wH | >POC
AMAT 568.23 (-3.00%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 70 OB | MACD bull | -5.4% vs 52wH | >POC
BKNG 175.72 (+0.62%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 62 Bull | MACD bull | -24.8% vs 52wH | >POC
PANW 279.90 (-1.63%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 63 Bull | MACD bear | -7.6% vs 52wH | >POC
MU 1,020.76 (-6.19%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60 Bull | MACD bear | -8.1% vs 52wH | >POC
LRCX 369.34 (-5.03%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 65 Bull | MACD bull | -6.0% vs 52wH | >POC
KLAC 237.33 (-7.44%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 64 Bull | MACD bull | -11.2% vs 52wH | >POC
ADI 416.00 (-2.71%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 53 Bull | MACD bear | -5.4% vs 52wH | >POC
REGN 614.73 (-0.04%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 39 Bear | MACD bull | -25.1% vs 52wH | <POC
SNPS 448.38 (-1.32%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 37 Bear | MACD bear | -31.2% vs 52wH | <POC
CDNS 387.85 (-1.69%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 56 Bull | MACD bear | -6.9% vs 52wH | >POC
MELI 1,674.08 (+1.68%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 52 Bull | MACD bull | -36.7% vs 52wH | <POC
CRWD 679.49 (-1.94%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 57 Bull | MACD bear | -13.5% vs 52wH | >POC
MAR 399.10 (-0.38%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 66 Bull | MACD bull | -2.9% vs 52wH | >POC
ABNB 141.20 (+1.61%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 62 Bull | MACD bull | -4.1% vs 52wH | >POC
MRVL 278.67 (-9.77%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 59 Bull | MACD bull | -14.0% vs 52wH | >POC
DASH 170.03 (+1.15%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 58 Bull | MACD bull | -40.4% vs 52wH | >POC
FTNT 147.02 (-1.65%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 68 Bull | MACD bear | -2.0% vs 52wH | >POC
CEG 268.00 (+2.15%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 48 Bear | MACD bull | -35.1% vs 52wH | <POC
WDAY 126.77 (-2.18%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 43 Bear | MACD bear | -49.3% vs 52wH | <POC
PYPL 43.65 (+2.73%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 50 Bear | MACD bull | -45.1% vs 52wH | <POC
ORLY 90.68 (+0.47%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 52 Bull | MACD bull | -16.6% vs 52wH | <POC
Sector Grouping
(NVDA/MSFT span two groups by business mix)
Mega-cap Tech (avg -0.33%): AAPL +0.9%, MSFT -1.5%, NVDA -2.4%, AMZN -0.0%, META +1.1%, GOOGL +1.1%, TSLA -1.6%
Semiconductors (avg -4.88%): AVGO -4.4%, AMD -7.3%, QCOM -3.0%, TXN -2.4%, AMAT -3.0%, MU -6.2%, LRCX -5.0%, KLAC -7.4%, ADI -2.7%, MRVL -9.8%, NVDA -2.4%
Software / Cloud (avg -1.30%): ADBE +0.5%, INTU -0.3%, CRWD -1.9%, PANW -1.6%, SNPS -1.3%, CDNS -1.7%, FTNT -1.6%, WDAY -2.2%, MSFT -1.5%
Consumer / Internet (avg +0.19%): COST +0.7%, NFLX -3.6%, BKNG +0.6%, MELI +1.7%, MAR -0.4%, ABNB +1.6%, DASH +1.1%, ORLY +0.5%, PYPL +2.7%, TMUS -2.4%, CSCO -0.5%
Healthcare / Biotech (avg +0.04%): ISRG +0.1%, REGN -0.0%
Industrial / Other (avg +0.76%): LIN -0.6%, CEG +2.1%
Semiconductors led the downside and were the clear underperformer; consumer/internet and the lone industrial (LIN) held up best. The software complex is bifurcated - security/EDA names (PANW, FTNT, CRWD, CDNS) trend up while legacy software (ADBE, INTU, WDAY) stays deeply offside.
Top Swing Setups
ATR-based stops. Not advice - levels for your own plan.
AAPL - Long
Entry: 299.24 . Stop: 295.31 . T1: 301.82 . T2: 304.41 . R:R: ~0.7
Relative strength: closed green (+0.95%) on a red tech day, Bull above all EMAs, above POC 282.90. Stop under classic S1; targets R1/R2. ~0.5 ATR risk.
LIN - Long
Entry: 518.17 . Stop: 513.28 . T1: 523.35 . T2: 528.53 . R:R: ~1.1
Steady leader just 1.5% off its 52w high, Bull above all EMAs, RSI 57, above POC 502.79. Low-volatility uptrend (ATR 10.4). Stop under S1 513.28.
MAR - Long
Entry: 399.10 . Stop: 390.94 . T1: 403.81 . T2: 408.53 . R:R: ~0.6
Bull above all EMAs, RSI 66, rel vol 1.27 (buying conviction), only 2.9% off 52w high. Held firm (-0.38%) while semis sold off. Stop below S1/ ~1 ATR.
FTNT - Long
Entry: 147.02 . Stop: 144.61 . T1: 149.16 . T2: 151.29 . R:R: ~0.9
Security leader 2.0% off 52w high, Bull above all EMAs, RSI 67.6, well above POC 107. Pullback long; stop under S1 144.61, targets R1/R2.
NFLX - Short
Entry: 78.72 . Stop: 81.93 . T1: 76.98 . T2: 75.23 . R:R: ~0.5
Confirmed downtrend: Bear below all EMAs, RSI 29.2 (weak), rel vol 1.81 (heavy distribution), 41% off 52w high. Short rallies; stop above day high 81.93, targets S1/S2.
Intraday Setups
Classic pivots + Camarilla. Levels are from today's close; re-check on the open.
AAPL - Pivot reclaim long
Closed 299.24 above the classic pivot 297.90. Long on a hold above pivot. Entry: 298.0+ . Stop: 296.5 (below pivot/cam S2) . T1: R1 301.82 . T2: R2 304.41 .
NVDA - Camarilla range
Pinned mid-Camarilla (close 207.41, cam S1 207.03 / cam R1 207.80). Range tactics until it picks a side. Fade: short near cam R3 208.57 / long near cam S3 206.26 . Breakout: long over cam R4 209.72, short under cam S4 205.10 .
AMD - Camarilla breakdown short
Closed weak (-7.30%) below the pivot 521.16 after a huge reversal. Entry: short under cam S1 503.47 . Stop: 511.11 (cam R1) . T1: cam S3 495.82 . T2: cam S4 484.36 . Direction: short. Momentum + distribution candle.
LIN - Camarilla breakout long
Coiled just under cam R1 519.09 (close 518.17). Entry: long over 519.10 . Stop: 517.25 (cam S1) . T1: cam R3 520.94 . T2: cam R4 523.71 . Direction: long, trend-aligned.
MELI - Pivot bounce long
Close 1,674.08 just under classic pivot 1,679.56; reclaim sets up a bounce. Entry: over 1,680 . Stop: 1,660 (under S1 1,647 buffer) . T1: R1 1,706.52 . T2: R2 1,738.95 . Direction: long, intraday only (below all longer EMAs).
Key Levels Dashboard - Top 5
NVDA - close 207.41
Cam: S4 205.10 . S3 206.26 . S1 207.03 || R1 207.80 . R3 208.57 . R4 209.72
Classic: S3 201.77 . S1 205.97 . P 208.73 . R1 210.17 . R3 214.37
EMAs: 20 210.91 . 50 206.85 . 200 187.69 | POC 202.86 | Prev H/L 211.49/207.29 | 52w H/L 236.54/142.03
AAPL - close 299.24
Cam: S4 295.66 . S3 297.45 . S1 298.64 || R1 299.84 . R3 301.03 . R4 302.82
Classic: S3 288.80 . S1 295.31 . P 297.90 . R1 301.82 . R3 308.33
EMAs: 20 298.94 . 50 289.83 . 200 266.28 | POC 282.90 | Prev H/L 300.48/293.97 | 52w H/L 317.40/195.07
MSFT - close 393.83
Cam: S4 390.45 . S3 392.14 . S1 393.27 || R1 394.39 . R3 395.52 . R4 397.21
Classic: S3 384.58 . S1 390.73 . P 393.79 . R1 396.88 . R3 403.03
EMAs: 20 410.82 . 50 412.40 . 200 434.14 | POC 407.01 | Prev H/L 396.84/390.69 | 52w H/L 555.45/356.28
AMZN - close 246.00
Cam: S4 243.77 . S3 244.88 . S1 245.63 || R1 246.37 . R3 247.12 . R4 248.23
Classic: S3 240.40 . S1 244.46 . P 246.99 . R1 248.52 . R3 252.58
EMAs: 20 251.68 . 50 250.26 . 200 233.84 | POC 248.17 | Prev H/L 249.51/245.45 | 52w H/L 278.56/196.00
AMD - close 507.29
Cam: S4 484.36 . S3 495.82 . S1 503.47 || R1 511.11 . R3 518.76 . R4 530.23
Classic: S3 451.68 . S1 493.38 . P 521.16 . R1 535.08 . R3 576.78
EMAs: 20 483.59 . 50 414.78 . 200 280.56 | POC 361.30 | Prev H/L 548.95/507.25 | 52w H/L 558.37/117.78
Bearish Warnings
Below all EMAs (downtrend): MSFT, NFLX, ADBE, INTU, SNPS, REGN, ISRG, TMUS, WDAY.
Bearish MACD (line below signal) in major names: MSFT, AMZN, META, AVGO, COST, INTU, REGN, SNPS, ISRG, CEG, DASH, PYPL, ORLY.
Overbought / divergence: AMAT (RSI 70.3) reversed sharply off its 52w high - watch for follow-through selling.
Near 52w lows: NFLX (only ~5% above its 52w low, rel vol 1.81), PYPL, ORLY and INTU remain structurally weak.
Semiconductor distribution: MRVL, AMD, KLAC, MU, LRCX, AMAT all printed large upper wicks and closed near lows - momentum stall in the leadership group.
Events Calendar
Wed 17 Jun: FOMC rate decision 2:00pm ET (statement + updated SEP/dot plot); Chair Kevin Warsh press conference 2:30pm ET. Rates ~97% priced to hold at 3.50-3.75%; the market is positioned for a possible hawkish bias shift - the dominant catalyst this week.
Macro backdrop: Oil at its lowest since early March after the US-Iran de-escalation; watch energy-sensitive sentiment and any Fed read-through on inflation.
Earnings: No major NAS100 component is scheduled to report in the immediate 1-2 day window; the mega-cap and chip earnings cycle is between seasons. Monitor RNS/8-K headlines from MU, AVGO and ADBE given recent guidance sensitivity.
Report: 16 June 2026 22:55 GMT . Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Please Log in or Create an account to join the conversation.
Moderators: remo
Time to create page: 0.097 seconds
