NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups

Thursday 8 October 2026 - NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Report
Data: Close 08 Oct 2026 | NAS100: 30,725.81 | Change: -434.27 (-1.39%) | Range: 30,556.40-31,125.13
Scanner data: 40-stock NAS100 scanner, close 08 Oct 2026 (current session). Index OHLC: NASDAQ:NDX daily; index RSI/MACD/EMA/ATR computed from daily closes.



Market Overview

The NAS100 closed at 30,725.81, down 434.27 pts (-1.39%), on a 568.73-pt range (30,556.40-31,125.13). It opened at 30,985.23, below Wednesday's close, failed beneath 31,125 and closed below the prior two sessions' lows - a second straight lower close after Tuesday's record high at 31,361.37. Volume was in line with the 20-day average (1.01x).

Drivers: a chip-led sell-off after a Financial Times report that OpenAI's annualised revenue is around $20bn lower than previously estimated revived worries about AI spending. The SOX fell as much as 4% intraday; Micron, Marvell and Arm were among the hardest hit. Oil added pressure (WTI ~$91, Brent ~$103 after spiking on Iran-strike reports, then easing when Trump said there would be no strike before the 3 Nov midterms), and the 10-year Treasury yield held near multi-decade highs at ~5.2-5.3%. VIX rose 3.3% to 15.57. The Dow finished +0.1%, the S&P 500 -0.5% and the Nasdaq Composite -1.25%.

Breadth (40 tracked): 14 up / 26 down. Top gainers: ADBE +3.56%, NFLX +2.68%, BKNG +2.63%, INTU +2.23%, TMUS +2.18%. Top losers: CEG -4.85%, MU -4.79%, AVGO -4.35%, AMD -3.90%, MRVL -3.52%.

Bias: Bullish primary trend but short-term corrective. Price holds above all three EMAs, but momentum is cooling: RSI dropped from 68.3 to 58.8 and the MACD histogram is contracting. 30,480-30,389 (S1 / EMA20) is the line bulls need to hold.



Trend

EMA stack: Close 30,725.81 > EMA20 30,389.00 > EMA50 29,853.43 > EMA200 28,013.99 - fully bullish alignment. Price is 1.1% above the EMA20 and 9.7% above the EMA200.

Structure: higher highs and higher lows since the 16 Sep swing low (28,753). The 21 Sep gap-up (+2.8%) launched the move to 31,361; Thursday was the second straight close below the prior day's low. The last higher low in the sequence is the 28 Sep swing low at 30,081.

Phase: uptrend, now pulling back from the high. Expect a retest of the 30,480-30,390 zone (S1 / EMA20). A hold there keeps it a bull-flag pullback; a daily close below 30,234 (S2) would open the 28 Sep low at 30,081.



Indicators

RSI(14): 58.8 (Neutral), down from 68.3. RSI peaked near 70 at Tuesday's high without a clean overbought reading, so there is no confirmed bearish divergence yet. Watch for a lower RSI high if price retests 31,361.

MACD (12,26,9): 408.4 vs signal 353.0 - still bullish, above zero, but the histogram has shrunk from 98.8 to 55.4 over two sessions. Momentum is fading; a bearish signal cross is possible within 2-3 sessions if weakness continues.

ATR(14): 387 pts. Thursday's range (569 pts) was 1.5x ATR, an expansion on a down day.

Volume: 1.01x the 20-day average, an orderly decline rather than capitulation. Among components, the heaviest relative volume came on CEG (1.57x, -4.85%), MRVL (1.44x, -3.52%), SNPS (1.35x) and INTU (1.32x, +2.23%).



Key Index Levels

Resistance: R1 31,048.50 (classic R1 / Cam R4 31,038.61) · R2 31,125.13 (Thursday high) / 31,170 (Wed high) · R3 31,361.37 (record high, classic R2 31,371.18)

Support: S1 30,556.40 (Thursday low / Cam S3 30,569.41) · S2 30,479.76-30,389.00 (classic S1 / EMA20) · S3 30,233.71-30,081 (classic S2 / 28 Sep swing low)

Classic pivots: S2 30,233.71 · S1 30,479.76 · P 30,802.45 · R1 31,048.50 · R2 31,371.18

Camarilla: S4 30,413.00 · S3 30,569.41 · S1 30,673.68 || R1 30,777.94 · R3 30,882.21 · R4 31,038.61

Round numbers: 30,500 · 31,000 · 30,000 (EMA50 at 29,853 sits just below)



Component Signals (all 40)

Trend = close vs EMA20/50/200 (strict). MACD = line vs signal. 52wH = % from 52-week high. POC = 60-day VWAP. RV = relative volume.

Mega-cap Tech
AAPL 340.43 +1.12% · Bull (above all) · RSI 61.2 Bullish · MACD Bear (3.55<3.98) · 52wH -1.4% · Above POC (322.90) · RV 0.85
MSFT 522.61 -1.35% · Bull (above all) · RSI 61.7 Bullish · MACD Bull (9.92>8.75) · 52wH -5.6% · Above POC (474.42) · RV 0.88
AMZN 254.06 -2.25% · Bull (above all) · RSI 50.8 Neutral · MACD Bull (-0.41>-1.42) · 52wH -11.5% · Below POC (256.12) · RV 0.96
META 720.89 -0.06% · Bull (above all) · RSI 57.5 Neutral · MACD Bear (27.44<32.26) · 52wH -7.6% · Above POC (640.93) · RV 0.65
GOOGL 348.29 -0.63% · Bull (above all) · RSI 53.5 Neutral · MACD Bull (0.84>0.1) · 52wH -14.8% · Above POC (344.96) · RV 0.8
TSLA 375.00 -0.74% · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 55.8 Neutral · MACD Bull (4.43>3.73) · 52wH -24.8% · Above POC (350.79) · RV 0.79

Semiconductors
NVDA 230.48 -2.94% · Bull (above all) · RSI 54.5 Neutral · MACD Bull (4.45>3.79) · 52wH -5.3% · Above POC (218.24) · RV 1.04
AVGO 360.14 -4.35% · Mixed (>20 <50 <200) · RSI 49.3 Neutral · MACD Bull (-0.64>-3.62) · 52wH -27.2% · Below POC (370.81) · RV 1.07
AMD 620.68 -3.90% · Bull (above all) · RSI 61.3 Bullish · MACD Bull (34.18>33.76) · 52wH -5.7% · Above POC (522.24) · RV 1.03
QCOM 176.01 -0.63% · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 44.9 Neutral · MACD Bear (1.17<3.44) · 52wH -32.3% · Above POC (172.79) · RV 0.69
TXN 288.20 -0.27% · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.8 Bullish · MACD Bull (6.49>4.44) · 52wH -13.7% · Above POC (274.32) · RV 1.01
AMAT 509.57 -2.13% · Bull (above all) · RSI 55.5 Neutral · MACD Bull (14.17>8.16) · 52wH -31.1% · Above POC (496.59) · RV 1
MU 1,035.84 -4.79% · Mixed (<20 >50 >200) · RSI 51.2 Neutral · MACD Bear (26.46<30.26) · 52wH -17.5% · Above POC (941.25) · RV 1.09
LRCX 320.59 -2.71% · Bull (above all) · RSI 52.1 Neutral · MACD Bull (8.06>5.79) · 52wH -26.9% · Above POC (306.21) · RV 0.95
KLAC 196.72 -0.06% · Bull (above all) · RSI 55.9 Neutral · MACD Bull (4.12>2.52) · 52wH -36.0% · Above POC (190.95) · RV 1.1
ADI 405.93 -1.01% · Bull (above all) · RSI 60.3 Bullish · MACD Bull (11.08>8.67) · 52wH -9.0% · Above POC (376.45) · RV 1.15
MRVL 274.66 -3.52% · Bull (above all) · RSI 61.2 Bullish · MACD Bull (13.39>11.63) · 52wH -16.7% · Above POC (226.65) · RV 1.44

Software/Cloud
ADBE 241.05 +3.56% · Bear (below all) · RSI 45.7 Neutral · MACD Bull (-6.13>-6.32) · 52wH -33.7% · Below POC (252.90) · RV 1.1
INTU 303.88 +2.23% · Mixed (>20 <50 <200) · RSI 51.6 Neutral · MACD Bull (-9.29>-12.14) · 52wH -55.9% · Below POC (318.51) · RV 1.32
CSCO 114.89 -2.13% · Bull (above all) · RSI 58.9 Neutral · MACD Bull (1.02>-0.17) · 52wH -11.9% · Above POC (112.52) · RV 0.66
PANW 398.50 -1.74% · Bull (above all) · RSI 56.8 Neutral · MACD Bull (13.11>11.52) · 52wH -7.8% · Above POC (361.10) · RV 0.7
SNPS 497.75 -0.98% · Bull (above all) · RSI 72.3 Overbought · MACD Bull (25.08>15.21) · 52wH -7.7% · Above POC (416.63) · RV 1.35
CDNS 348.84 -2.04% · Bull (above all) · RSI 64.4 Bullish · MACD Bull (11.85>6.21) · 52wH -16.3% · Above POC (321.80) · RV 0.62
CRWD 263.01 -0.92% · Bull (above all) · RSI 59.6 Neutral · MACD Bear (13.69<13.98) · 52wH -8.4% · Above POC (221.76) · RV 0.86
FTNT 189.10 -0.10% · Bull (above all) · RSI 68.6 Bullish · MACD Bull (6.63>5.49) · 52wH -1.7% · Above POC (163.79) · RV 0.71
WDAY 187.81 +1.93% · Mixed (<20 >50 >200) · RSI 49.4 Neutral · MACD Bear (-0.3<0.65) · 52wH -24.1% · Above POC (180.58) · RV 0.99

Consumer/Internet
COST 947.92 +0.60% · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 63.1 Bullish · MACD Bull (2.89>-2. · 52wH -13.6% · Above POC (930.65) · RV 0.88
NFLX 71.57 +2.68% · Bear (below all) · RSI 47.2 Neutral · MACD Bull (-2.09>-2.11) · 52wH -42.7% · Below POC (73.39) · RV 1.17
TMUS 171.31 +2.18% · Mixed (>20 <50 <200) · RSI 51.8 Neutral · MACD Bull (-3.03>-3.86) · 52wH -25.8% · Below POC (176.20) · RV 0.8
BKNG 159.97 +2.63% · Bear (below all) · RSI 35.8 Bearish · MACD Bull (-7.84>-8.44) · 52wH -27.6% · Below POC (182.76) · RV 0.88
MELI 1,856.66 -0.86% · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 54.2 Neutral · MACD Bull (-13.62>-27.97) · 52wH -23.5% · Above POC (1,844.60) · RV 0.39
MAR 361.08 +1.28% · Bull (above all) · RSI 59.3 Neutral · MACD Bull (3.48>1.9) · 52wH -12.1% · Above POC (352.72) · RV 0.67
ABNB 163.23 +1.62% · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 48.2 Neutral · MACD Bull (-2.74>-3.34) · 52wH -15.6% · Below POC (168.07) · RV 0.72
DASH 191.71 +0.25% · Bear (below all) · RSI 46 Neutral · MACD Bull (-4.57>-5.56) · 52wH -32.9% · Below POC (202.75) · RV 0.79
PYPL 55.02 +0.13% · Bull (above all) · RSI 53.6 Neutral · MACD Bull (-0.24>-0.59) · 52wH -30.5% · Below POC (56.05) · RV 1.14
ORLY 86.01 +1.65% · Mixed (>20 <50 <200) · RSI 50 Neutral · MACD Bull (-0.65>-0.79) · 52wH -17.3% · Below POC (87.66) · RV 0.71

Healthcare/Biotech
ISRG 415.41 +0.21% · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 63 Bullish · MACD Bull (8.51>7.43) · 52wH -31.2% · Above POC (374.75) · RV 1.12
REGN 739.57 -0.34% · Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 39 Bearish · MACD Bear (-14.93<-10.14) · 52wH -13.9% · Below POC (766.04) · RV 0.65

Industrial/Other
LIN 481.70 -0.47% · Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 55.2 Neutral · MACD Bull (1.33>-1.49) · 52wH -12.1% · Below POC (483.29) · RV 0.87
CEG 285.07 -4.85% · Bull (above all) · RSI 56.8 Neutral · MACD Bull (2.69>-1.13) · 52wH -30.9% · Above POC (273.84) · RV 1.57



Sector Grouping

Mega-cap Tech - avg -0.65% · 5/6 above all EMAs · 0 bearish

Semiconductors - avg -2.39% · 8/11 above all EMAs · 1 bearish

Software/Cloud - avg -0.02% · 6/9 above all EMAs · 1 bearish

Consumer/Internet - avg +1.22% · 2/10 above all EMAs · 4 bearish

Healthcare/Biotech - avg -0.07% · 0/2 above all EMAs · 1 bearish

Industrial/Other - avg -2.66% · 1/2 above all EMAs · 0 bearish

Read: Semiconductors led the decline (MU, AVGO, AMD, MRVL, LRCX all -2.7% or worse) on the OpenAI revenue headline, yet 8 of 11 chips still trade above all three EMAs, so this is a pullback inside an uptrend for now. AVGO (Mixed, below EMA50/200) and MU (below EMA20) are the weak links. Software/Cloud is the leadership group: SNPS, CDNS, FTNT, PANW and CRWD are all above every EMA, and INTU/ADBE bounced on above-average volume. Consumer/Internet was the best group on the day (avg +1.22%) but is still structurally the weakest: only 2 of 10 are above all EMAs, and NFLX, BKNG and DASH are below every EMA. Rotation into beaten-down names (ADBE, NFLX, BKNG, INTU, TMUS all +2% or more) was the main bright spot.



Top Swing Setups

Stops are about 1.5x ATR(14) unless a structural level sits nearby. T1 is about 1.5R, T2 a measured or structural target.

FTNT - Long, 52-week-high breakout
Entry: 192.60 · Stop: 183.54 · T1: 206.19 · T2: 219.78 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bull (above all), RSI 68.6, MACD bullish (6.63>5.49), only 1.7% below the 52w high at 192.41. Trigger on a close above 192.41; the stop sits under classic S3 183.78. Price is 15% above POC 163.79, so the volume profile is supportive. RV 0.71 is light, so wait for a volume pick-up on the break.

ADI - Long, pullback to S1 / EMA20 zone
Entry: 400.05 · Stop: 383.31 · T1: 425.16 · T2: 445.91 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.7
Bull (above all), RSI 60.3, MACD bullish (11.08>8.67) and widening. RV 1.15 on a -1% day, a relatively strong chip name. Buy zone 400.05 (classic S1) / 399.75 (Cam S4) / 395.15 (EMA20). The stop sits below EMA50 385.74; T2 is the 52w high 445.91. POC 376.45 is well below.

TXN - Long, break of R1
Entry: 291.50 · Stop: 279.43 · T1: 309.61 · T2: 327.71 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bull (above all), RSI 60.8, MACD bullish (6.49>4.44). It held nearly flat (-0.27%) on a heavy chip day with RV 1.01. Trigger above classic R1 291.39; the stop sits just under EMA20 279.74. EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200 with POC 274.32 below adds confluence.

CDNS - Long, pullback to S1
Entry: 345.03 · Stop: 327.50 · T1: 371.32 · T2: 400.00 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.1
Bull (above all), RSI 64.4, MACD bullish (11.85>6.21). Software design leader alongside SNPS (RSI 72.3, overbought, so CDNS has better entry room). Entry at classic S1 345.03; the stop sits below the EMA20/EMA200 cluster (329.62 / 329.38). T2 400.00 is a round number, about 4% under the 52w high 416.69. POC 321.8 is below.

BKNG - Short, failed rally into EMA20
Entry: 165.50 · Stop: 174.08 · T1: 152.63 · T2: 139.76 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:3.0
Bear (below all), RSI 35.8, close 12.5% below POC 182.76. Thursday's +2.63% bounce came on below-average volume (RV 0.88). Sell a rejection at EMA20 166.01; the stop is under EMA50 176.5. T1 is near the 52w low 150.14. Caution: MACD has just crossed up (-7.84>-8.44), so short only on confirmed rejection.



Intraday Setups (Friday 9 Oct)

NAS100 - Camarilla S3 bounce (Long)
Entry: 30,570.00 · Stop: 30,400.00 · T1: 30,802.00 · T2: 30,882.00 · R:R: 1:1.4 / 1:1.8
Cam S3 30,569 lines up with Thursday's low (30,556). Look for a reversal candle on 5-15m; the stop sits below Cam S4 30,413 / EMA20 30,389. T1 is the classic pivot 30,802, T2 Cam R3 30,882.

NAS100 - Camarilla R3 fade (Short)
Entry: 30,880.00 · Stop: 31,045.00 · T1: 30,726.00 · T2: 30,570.00 · R:R: 1:0.9 / 1:1.9
Cam R3 30,882 sits just above the classic pivot 30,802. With momentum fading, fade a first test that fails to hold; the stop sits above Cam R4 31,039 / R1 31,048. T1 is Thursday's close, T2 Cam S3.

NAS100 - Camarilla S4 breakdown (Short)
Entry: 30,400.00 · Stop: 30,560.00 · T1: 30,234.00 · T2: 30,081.00 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:2.0
A 15m close below Cam S4 30,413 and the EMA20 30,389 confirms range expansion lower. T1 is classic S2 30,234, T2 the 28 Sep swing low 30,081. Avoid this setup during the 15:00 UK UoM sentiment release.

MU - Camarilla R4 breakout (Long)
Entry: 1,068.00 · Stop: 1,050.00 · T1: 1,088.50 · T2: 1,108.55 · R:R: 1:1.1 / 1:2.3
MU fell 4.79% but holds above EMA50 992.92 and EMA200 743.46. Reclaiming Cam R4 1066.86 signals a squeeze back toward Thursday's high 1088.5 and classic R2 1108.55. The stop sits just under Cam R3 1051.35. Trade only if the index holds its pivot.

NVDA - Camarilla S3 bounce (Long)
Entry: 228.60 · Stop: 226.30 · T1: 231.14 · T2: 232.47 · R:R: 1:1.1 / 1:1.7
Cam S3 228.49 sits right on EMA20 228.62, and NVDA is still Bull (above all) with MACD bullish (4.45>3.79). The stop sits below Cam S4 226.51. T1 is Cam R1 231.14, T2 the classic pivot 232.47. Invalid if price opens below S1 227.86.



Key Levels Dashboard

NVDA - 230.48 (-2.94%) - Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 226.51 · S3 228.49 · S1 229.82 || R1 231.14 · R3 232.47 · R4 234.45
Classic: S3 220.64 · S2 225.25 · S1 227.86 · P 232.47 · R1 235.08 · R2 239.69 · R3 242.3
EMA20 228.62 · EMA50 221.97 · EMA200 203.54 · POC 218.24 · Prev H/L 237.07 / 229.85 · 52w H/L 243.37 / 164.27

MSFT - 522.61 (-1.35%) - Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 514.51 · S3 518.56 · S1 521.26 || R1 523.96 · R3 526.66 · R4 530.71
Classic: S3 501.71 · S2 510.25 · S1 516.43 · P 524.97 · R1 531.15 · R2 539.69 · R3 545.87
EMA20 511.03 · EMA50 489.75 · EMA200 452.56 · POC 474.42 · Prev H/L 533.51 / 518.79 · 52w H/L 553.72 / 349.2

AAPL - 340.43 (+1.12%) - Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 337.31 · S3 338.87 · S1 339.91 || R1 340.95 · R3 341.99 · R4 343.55
Classic: S3 331.36 · S2 333.63 · S1 337.03 · P 339.3 · R1 342.7 · R2 344.97 · R3 348.37
EMA20 332.94 · EMA50 325.39 · EMA200 296.15 · POC 322.9 · Prev H/L 341.57 / 335.9 · 52w H/L 345.34 / 243.42

AMZN - 254.06 (-2.25%) - Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 250.72 · S3 252.39 · S1 253.5 || R1 254.62 · R3 255.73 · R4 257.4
Classic: S3 245.86 · S2 249.82 · S1 251.94 · P 255.9 · R1 258.02 · R2 261.98 · R3 264.1
EMA20 253.01 · EMA50 253.71 · EMA200 244.23 · POC 256.12 · Prev H/L 259.86 / 253.78 · 52w H/L 287.2 / 196

AVGO - 360.14 (-4.35%) - Mixed (>20 <50 <200)
Cam: S4 351.37 · S3 355.76 · S1 358.68 || R1 361.6 · R3 364.52 · R4 368.91
Classic: S3 337.98 · S2 347.69 · S1 353.92 · P 363.63 · R1 369.86 · R2 379.57 · R3 385.8
EMA20 360.09 · EMA50 367.39 · EMA200 363.8 · POC 370.81 · Prev H/L 373.35 / 357.41 · 52w H/L 495 / 289.96



Bearish Warnings

EMA50 below EMA200 (death-cross alignment): TSLA (364.26<377.74), ADBE (248.86<267), INTU (309.67<389.52), SNPS (429.71<443.38), CDNS (326.34<329.38), COST (929.35<950.89), NFLX (74.31<83.81), TMUS (174.1<189.95), BKNG (176.5<183.61), MELI (1829.61<1867.2), ORLY (86.95<90.11), ISRG (391.82<429.06), LIN (481.03<484.17), CEG (271.93<283.49)

Bearish MACD (line below signal): AAPL (3.55<3.98), META (27.44<32.26), QCOM (1.17<3.44), MU (26.46<30.26), CRWD (13.69<13.98), WDAY (-0.3<0.65), REGN (-14.93<-10.14). AAPL and META are the notable mega-caps here; both are still in Bull (above all) trends, but momentum has rolled over.

Overbought RSI: SNPS 72.3 - SNPS rallied 11.0% above its EMA20 and slipped 0.98% on RV 1.35, so watch for a bearish divergence on any new high. FTNT RSI 68.6 is close behind.

Within 10% of 52-week low: NFLX 71.57 vs 65.08 (10.0% above), TMUS 171.31 vs 160.81 (6.5% above), BKNG 159.97 vs 150.14 (6.5% above), ORLY 86.01 vs 82.59 (4.1% above)

Distribution: CEG -4.85% on 1.57x volume and MRVL -3.52% on 1.44x - heavy-volume selling in AI-infrastructure names. AVGO (-4.35%) is below its EMA50 and EMA200 and sits 27% under its 52w high. MU closed below its EMA20.

Index: MACD histogram contracting for 2 sessions, RSI down about 10 points, and a close below the prior two lows. These are not yet trend-breaking, but they are the early signs to respect.



Events Calendar

Fri 9 Oct: University of Michigan sentiment (prelim Oct), 10:00 ET / 15:00 UK. Consensus is about 47.5 vs 48.1 prior; 1-year inflation expectations were 4.6% last time. A hot inflation-expectations print would add to yield pressure on growth names.

Mon 12 Oct: Columbus Day. US equity markets are open; the bond market is closed, so expect thinner liquidity.

Wed 14 Oct: US CPI (September), 08:30 ET / 13:30 UK - the key macro event of next week.

Thu 15 Oct: US PPI (September) and Retail Sales (September), 08:30 ET.

Tue 20 Oct: NFLX Q3 earnings after the close.

Tue-Wed 27-28 Oct: FOMC meeting; decision on 28 Oct at 14:00 ET.

Ongoing: Q3 earnings season ramps up from next week. Also watch for any follow-up to the OpenAI revenue report (an AI capex sentiment driver), oil/Iran headlines and the 10-year yield (~5.2-5.3%). No confirmed Fed speakers in our sources for Friday - check the live calendar.



Report: 08 Oct 2026 22:08 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis - Wednesday 7 October 2026
Data: Close 7 Oct 2026 | NAS100: 31,160.08 | Change: -64.39 (-0.21%) | Range: 30,904.46-31,170.12



Market Overview
The NAS100 slipped 64.39 points (-0.21%) to close at 31,160.08, one session after printing a record high of 31,361.37. The index gapped lower at the open (30,976.25) as long-dated Treasury yields pushed back to 52-week highs (10-year around 5.31%, 30-year near 5.68%), tagged a low of 30,904.46, then recovered almost the entire range to close just 10.04 points below the session high of 31,170.12.
The September FOMC minutes (released this evening) confirmed the committee expects to raise rates again before year-end, but gave no steer on whether that comes on 28 October or 9 December. Yields eased off their highs after a solid 10-year auction, which helped the late recovery.
Breadth was poor: roughly two-thirds of US issues declined, the Russell 2000 fell around 1.3% and the Dow lost about 0.7%, so mega-cap tech again did the heavy lifting. VIX closed at 15.08, little changed and still subdued.
Bias: Bullish but extended - the trend is intact and today's close near the high shows dip-buyers defended the gap, but RSI is pressing 70 and rising yields remain the key risk.



Trend Analysis
EMA stack: Price 31,160.08 > EMA20 30,353.53 > EMA50 29,817.86 > EMA200 27,745.99 - fully bullish alignment.
Distance: 2.7% above EMA20, 4.5% above EMA50, 12.3% above EMA200 - stretched relative to the 20-day.
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows since the late-September base (20-day low 28,753.29). Today was a shallow pullback within the uptrend rather than a structural break.
Phase: Late-stage markup. The index is 0.64% below its all-time high; a hold above 30,904.46 keeps the breakout attempt alive.



Indicators
RSI(14): 68.3 (prior 69. - just below overbought; it has eased while price held near highs, an early hint of momentum fatigue but no confirmed bearish divergence yet.
MACD(12,26,9): 433.2 vs signal 339.2 - bullish, above signal and above zero; histogram +94.0, slightly narrower than yesterday (+98. - momentum is flattening, not reversing.
ATR(14): 370.7 points (about 1.19% of price) - today's 266-point range was below average.
Volatility: VIX 15.08 - complacent territory; a pop above 18 would be the first warning sign for longs.



Key Index Levels
Resistance: R3 31,361.37 (all-time high, 6 Oct) · R2 31,500 (round number) · R1 31,170.12 (today's high)
Support: S1 30,904.46 (today's low) · S2 30,737 (2 Oct low) · S3 30,353.53 (EMA20)
Classic pivots: S2 30,812.56 · S1 30,986.32 · P 31,078.22 · R1 31,251.98 · R2 31,343.88
Camarilla: S4 31,013.97 · S3 31,087.02 || R3 31,233.14 · R4 31,306.19
Round numbers: 31,000 (pivot zone, today's battleground) · 31,500 · 30,500
Read: Above 31,078.22 favours a retest of 31,361.37; a close back below 31,000 and today's 30,904.46 low would open 30,353.53 (EMA20).



Component Signals (40 stocks)
Summary: 25/40 above all three EMAs · 9/40 in a bear alignment · 32/40 MACD above signal · 15/40 green on the day.
AAPL 336.67 (+0.91%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 57.7 Bullish | MACD bear | -2.5% from 52w high | above POC
MSFT 529.76 (+0.09%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 68.1 Bullish | MACD bull | -4.3% from 52w high | above POC
NVDA 237.36 (-0.79%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 64.1 Bullish | MACD bull | -2.5% from 52w high | above POC
AMZN 259.92 (+1.42%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 58.5 Bullish | MACD bull | -9.5% from 52w high | above POC
META 721.31 (-2.38%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 57.6 Bullish | MACD bear | -7.5% from 52w high | above POC
GOOGL 350.50 (+0.81%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 55.7 Bullish | MACD bull | -14.2% from 52w high | above POC
AVGO 376.51 (+0.19%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 59.2 Bullish | MACD bull | -23.9% from 52w high | above POC
TSLA 377.75 (-0.77%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 57.7 Bullish | MACD bull | -24.3% from 52w high | above POC
COST 942.25 (+0.70%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 60.9 Bullish | MACD bull | -14.1% from 52w high | above POC
NFLX 69.70 (+1.47%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 41 Bearish | MACD bear | -44.2% from 52w high | below POC
AMD 645.86 (-0.55%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 70.7 Overbought | MACD bull | -1.9% from 52w high | above POC
ADBE 232.77 (-2.25%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 38 Bearish | MACD bear | -36.0% from 52w high | below POC
QCOM 177.12 (-2.16%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 45.8 Neutral | MACD bear | -31.9% from 52w high | above POC
TMUS 167.65 (+1.04%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 45.4 Neutral | MACD bull | -27.4% from 52w high | below POC
LIN 483.98 (-1.22%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 57.5 Bullish | MACD bull | -11.7% from 52w high | above POC
ISRG 414.52 (+2.41%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 62.6 Bullish | MACD bull | -31.4% from 52w high | above POC
INTU 297.24 (+2.56%) | Mixed (above 20, below 50, below 200) | RSI 47.8 Neutral | MACD bull | -56.9% from 52w high | below POC
CSCO 117.39 (-0.47%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 66.2 Bullish | MACD bull | -10.0% from 52w high | above POC
TXN 288.98 (-2.78%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 61.7 Bullish | MACD bull | -13.5% from 52w high | above POC
AMAT 520.65 (-1.81%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60 Bullish | MACD bull | -29.6% from 52w high | above POC
BKNG 155.87 (-1.12%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 27.8 Oversold | MACD bull | -29.4% from 52w high | below POC
PANW 405.57 (-3.42%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60.1 Bullish | MACD bull | -6.2% from 52w high | above POC
MU 1,088.00 (+4.06%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 59.7 Bullish | MACD bear | -13.3% from 52w high | above POC
LRCX 329.51 (-1.32%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 56.8 Bullish | MACD bull | -24.9% from 52w high | above POC
KLAC 196.83 (-0.32%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 56 Bullish | MACD bull | -36.0% from 52w high | above POC
ADI 410.08 (-2.49%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 63.7 Bullish | MACD bull | -8.0% from 52w high | above POC
REGN 742.12 (+0.46%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 39.6 Bearish | MACD bear | -13.6% from 52w high | below POC
SNPS 502.67 (-0.49%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 75 Overbought | MACD bull | -6.8% from 52w high | above POC
CDNS 356.12 (-0.95%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 70.5 Overbought | MACD bull | -14.5% from 52w high | above POC
MELI 1,872.78 (+0.80%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 56.3 Bullish | MACD bull | -22.9% from 52w high | above POC
CRWD 265.44 (-4.81%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 61.3 Bullish | MACD bull | -7.5% from 52w high | above POC
MAR 356.50 (-1.32%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 55.5 Bullish | MACD bull | -13.3% from 52w high | above POC
ABNB 160.63 (+0.15%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 44.3 Bearish | MACD bull | -17.0% from 52w high | below POC
MRVL 284.68 (-0.81%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 68.2 Bullish | MACD bull | -13.7% from 52w high | above POC
DASH 191.24 (-1.23%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 45.5 Neutral | MACD bull | -33.0% from 52w high | below POC
FTNT 189.28 (-1.04%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 68.9 Bullish | MACD bull | -1.6% from 52w high | above POC
CEG 299.59 (-0.27%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 66.5 Bullish | MACD bull | -27.4% from 52w high | above POC
WDAY 184.26 (-1.23%) | Mixed (below 20, above 50, above 200) | RSI 45.3 Neutral | MACD bear | -25.5% from 52w high | above POC
PYPL 54.95 (+0.62%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 53.3 Neutral | MACD bull | -30.6% from 52w high | below POC
ORLY 84.61 (-0.62%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 43.4 Bearish | MACD bull | -18.7% from 52w high | below POC



Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL, AVGO, TSLA) - avg -0.06%, 7/8 above all EMAs. Seven of eight hold a full bull stack; AMZN and GOOGL led, META gave back 2.4%. TSLA sits a whisker under its EMA200 (377.75 vs 377.77) - a close above flips it to a full bull stack.

Semiconductors (AMD, QCOM, TXN, AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL) - avg -0.91%, 8/9 above all EMAs. Strongest group on structure. MU (+4.1%, rel vol 1.18) led; TXN, ADI and AMAT took profits. AMD is 1.9% from its 52-week high with RSI 70.7. QCOM is the laggard, back below EMA20/50.

Software/Cloud (ADBE, INTU, PANW, SNPS, CDNS, CRWD, FTNT, WDAY) - avg -1.45%, 5/8 above all EMAs. Split. Security (PANW, CRWD, FTNT) and EDA (SNPS, CDNS) remain in strong uptrends but CRWD (-4.8%) and PANW (-3.4%) saw profit-taking; SNPS RSI 75 is the most overbought name on the list. ADBE stays in a full bear stack on above-average volume; INTU bounced but remains below EMA50/200.

Consumer/Internet (COST, NFLX, BKNG, MELI, MAR, ABNB, DASH, PYPL, ORLY) - avg -0.06%, 3/9 above all EMAs. Weakest group. NFLX, BKNG, DASH and ORLY are in full bear stacks and BKNG (RSI 27. and ORLY are within 4% of 52-week lows. COST and MAR are the stand-outs.

Healthcare/Biotech (ISRG, REGN) - avg +1.44%, 0/2 above all EMAs. ISRG (+2.4%) is reclaiming ground but remains below EMA200; REGN is below EMA20/50 with MACD crossing down.

Industrial/Other (LIN, CSCO, TMUS, CEG) - avg -0.23%, 2/4 above all EMAs. CSCO is in a clean uptrend with a fresh MACD bull cross. CEG traded on 1.92x relative volume and holds above all EMAs. TMUS remains in a bear stack.



Top Swing Setups
Stops 1.5x ATR(14); T1 2x ATR, T2 3.5x ATR.

FTNT - 52-week high breakout (Long)
Entry: 192.50 · Stop: 183.17 · T1: 204.94 · T2: 214.27 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.3
Close 189.28 is 1.6% below the 192.41 52-week high. Full bull stack, RSI 68.9, MACD 6.43 above signal 5.21, rel vol 0.93. Trigger only on a close above 192.41; stop 1.5x ATR (6.22). Well above POC 163.55.

NVDA - pullback to EMA20 (Long)
Entry: 229.00 · Stop: 220.59 · T1: 240.22 · T2: 248.63 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.3
Index heavyweight with a full bull stack and MACD 4.89 above signal 3.62. Wait for a dip into the EMA20 (228.41) / classic S2 (234.91) zone rather than chasing at 237.36. 52-week high 243.37 is the natural first objective.

CSCO - fresh MACD cross continuation (Long)
Entry: 117.40 · Stop: 113.35 · T1: 122.80 · T2: 126.85 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.3
MACD 0.83 has just crossed above signal -0.47; price holds above EMA20 110.91, EMA50 111.23 and POC 112.5. RSI 66.2 leaves room. T2 sits just below the 130.37 52-week high.

MU - momentum continuation (Long)
Entry: 1,090.00 · Stop: 1,021.16 · T1: 1,181.78 · T2: 1,250.62 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.3
+4.06% on 1.18x relative volume. Full bull stack, close 1088 well above POC 938.74. MACD (30.6) is a hair below signal (31.21) - a cross up confirms. High ATR (45.89) means smaller size.

ADBE - bear-trend continuation (Short)
Entry: 232.50 · Stop: 245.61 · T1: 215.02 · T2: 201.91 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.3
Full bear stack (below EMA20 244.1, EMA50 249.18, EMA200 267.26), MACD -6.74 below signal -6.37, -2.25% on 1.2x relative volume. Stop sits above EMA20. Below POC 252.77; 52-week low 190.12 is the longer-term magnet.



Intraday Setups
MU - Camarilla R4 breakout (Long)
Entry: 1,130.79 · Stop: 1,109.40 · T1: 1,162.87 · T2: 1,184.26 · R:R: 1:1.5 / 1:2.5
Yesterday was a +4.06% trend day on 1.18x volume. Buy a 5-min close above Cam R4 1130.79; stop back inside at R3 1109.4. Price is already beyond classic R1 1114.34/R2 1140.68, so targets are measured moves (1.5R / 2.5R).

ADBE - Camarilla S4 breakdown (Short)
Entry: 227.11 · Stop: 229.94 · T1: 222.06 · T2: 217.11 · R:R: 1:1.8 / 1:3.5
Full bear stack on 1.2x volume. Sell a 5-min close below Cam S4 227.11; stop back inside at S3 229.94. Targets classic S2 222.06 / S3 217.11.

AAPL - Camarilla S3 range bounce (Long)
Entry: 335.05 · Stop: 333.13 · T1: 338.29 · T2: 339.30 · R:R: 1:1.7 / 1:2.2
Range-day play inside a bull trend. Buy a rejection at Cam S3 335.05; stop under S4 333.43. Targets Cam R3 338.29 / classic R1 339.3, through the 336.04 pivot.

NVDA - classic pivot bounce (Long)
Entry: 237.61 · Stop: 236.00 · T1: 240.31 · T2: 241.53 · R:R: 1:1.7 / 1:2.4
A hold of the daily pivot 237.61 keeps the uptrend bias. Stop under S1 236.13 and yesterday's low 236.38; targets R2 240.31 / R3 241.53, with the 243.37 52-week high above.

SNPS - Camarilla R3 fade (Short)
Entry: 505.56 · Stop: 508.75 · T1: 501.71 · T2: 499.78 · R:R: 1:1.2 / 1:1.8
Most overbought name on the list (RSI 75, 13.4% above EMA20). Fade a rejection at Cam R3 505.56; stop above R4 508.45. Counter-trend - skip if R4 breaks (that becomes a breakout long).



Key Levels Dashboard
NVDA - 237.36 (-0.79%)
Cam: S4 235.88 · S3 236.62 · S1 237.11 || R1 237.61 · R3 238.1 · R4 238.85
Classic: S3 233.43 · S2 234.91 · S1 236.13 · P 237.61 · R1 238.83 · R2 240.31 · R3 241.53
EMA20 228.41 · EMA50 221.61 · EMA200 203.27 · POC 217.84
Prev H/L 239.08 / 236.38 · 52w H/L 243.37 / 164.27 · ATR 5.61

MSFT - 529.76 (+0.09%)
Cam: S4 525.89 · S3 527.82 · S1 529.11 || R1 530.41 · R3 531.7 · R4 533.63
Classic: S3 518.68 · S2 521.69 · S1 525.72 · P 528.73 · R1 532.76 · R2 535.77 · R3 539.8
EMA20 509.81 · EMA50 488.41 · EMA200 451.85 · POC 471.96
Prev H/L 531.73 / 524.69 · 52w H/L 553.72 / 349.2 · ATR 11.39

AAPL - 336.67 (+0.91%)
Cam: S4 333.43 · S3 335.05 · S1 336.13 || R1 337.21 · R3 338.29 · R4 339.91
Classic: S3 327.52 · S2 330.15 · S1 333.41 · P 336.04 · R1 339.3 · R2 341.93 · R3 345.19
EMA20 332.15 · EMA50 324.77 · EMA200 295.71 · POC 322.71
Prev H/L 338.67 / 332.78 · 52w H/L 345.34 / 243.42 · ATR 6.58

AMZN - 259.92 (+1.42%)
Cam: S4 256.09 · S3 258 · S1 259.28 || R1 260.56 · R3 261.84 · R4 263.75
Classic: S3 248.38 · S2 250.77 · S1 255.35 · P 257.74 · R1 262.32 · R2 264.71 · R3 269.29
EMA20 252.9 · EMA50 253.69 · EMA200 244.13 · POC 256.08
Prev H/L 260.14 / 253.17 · 52w H/L 287.2 / 196 · ATR 5.65

AMD - 645.86 (-0.55%)
Cam: S4 637.43 · S3 641.65 · S1 644.46 || R1 647.26 · R3 650.07 · R4 654.29
Classic: S3 621.2 · S2 627.18 · S1 636.52 · P 642.5 · R1 651.84 · R2 657.82 · R3 667.16
EMA20 593.58 · EMA50 545.98 · EMA200 415.44 · POC 520.49
Prev H/L 648.48 / 633.16 · 52w H/L 658.52 / 188.22 · ATR 23.42



Bearish Warnings
EMA death cross (EMA50 below EMA200): TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, LIN, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, SNPS, CDNS, MELI, CEG, ORLY
MACD below signal: AAPL, META, NFLX, ADBE, QCOM, MU, REGN, WDAY
Overbought RSI (70+) - watch for divergence: AMD (70.7), SNPS (75), CDNS (70.5)
Within 5% of 52-week low: TMUS (4.3% above 160.81), BKNG (3.8% above 150.14), ORLY (2.4% above 82.59)
Heavy distribution today (-2% or worse): META (-2.38%), ADBE (-2.25%), QCOM (-2.16%), TXN (-2.78%), PANW (-3.42%), ADI (-2.49%), CRWD (-4.81%)
Index: RSI easing from 69.8 while price holds near highs; poor breadth (two-thirds of US issues down) means gains are narrow and leadership-dependent. Long-end yields at 52-week highs are the main macro threat.



Events Calendar
Thu 8 Oct: US initial jobless claims (8:30am ET, consensus around 200K) · PepsiCo (PEP) Q3 earnings pre-market (Nasdaq-100 member, not on our 40-stock list) · Watch for Fed commentary following the minutes.
Fri 9 Oct: University of Michigan consumer sentiment (prelim October) · Delta Air Lines (DAL) earnings kick off the airline season.
Next week: September CPI and the start of Q3 bank earnings - the first big test of the ~30% S&P earnings growth narrative.
Fed: Next FOMC decision 28 October. The minutes point to one more hike before year-end; market pricing for an October move sits around 20%.
Earnings (our 40): None expected in the next two sessions; the tech reporting season starts in the second half of October.



Report: 7 Oct 2026 22:02 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Report - Friday 2 October 2026
Data: Close Fri 2 Oct 2026 | NAS100: 30,807.93 | Change: +306.37 (+1.00%) | Range: 30,737.07-31,017.53
Levels below are from the Friday 2 October US close and apply to the Monday 5 October session (ISM services day). Component data: ChartsView NAS100 scanner, 2 Oct 2026 close.



Market Overview
The Nasdaq 100 gapped higher at the open (30,869) after a soft September payrolls report, printed a fresh all-time high at 31,017.53 and closed +306.37 (+1.00%) at 30,807.93 - a new record close that clears the 22 Sep peak of 30,770.63 and breaks out of the two-week 30,081-30,770 flag. The candle is less clean than the headline: price faded 210 points from the high and closed below its open, leaving the 30,502-30,737 opening gap unfilled underneath.

Drivers: Nonfarm payrolls rose just +29k (est. +90k), July/August were revised down a combined 60k, unemployment ticked up to 4.2% and average hourly earnings rose only +0.1% m/m (3.0% y/y). Markets cut the odds of an October Fed hike to roughly 15-20%. The bond rally did not last - the 10-year yield reversed from ~5.17% to finish +6bp at 5.29% - which is why the index gave back part of the opening pop. Semis did the heavy lifting (SOXX +3%). Leaders: TSLA +4.65%, TXN +4.44%, DASH +3.83%, AVGO +3.35%, KLAC +3.27%, CSCO +3.16%, ADI +3.10%, AMD +2.95%. NVDA (+1.34%, 1.21x rel vol) set a new intraday record but closed below its record close. Laggards: ISRG -2.32%, MU -2.05%, ADBE -1.49%, NFLX -1.16%, BKNG -0.79%.

Cross-market: S&P 500 +0.74% (7,722.85), Dow +0.49% (51,182.11), Nasdaq Composite +1.19% (27,190.86, just shy of its ~27,244 record close). WTI fell 1.6% to $91.41 after G7 confirmed stockpile releases of up to 100m barrels; gold -0.8%.
Breadth (40 tracked): 29 up / 11 down - a broad bid, but average relative volume was only 0.82x.
VIX: 15.31 (-1.08). VXN: 21.20 - implied vol is easing into the breakout.
Bias: Bullish - record close confirms the flag breakout. Bulls want the gap to hold above 30,690 (S1); a close back below 30,502 would mark a failed breakout and target the EMA20 at ~30,072.



Trend Analysis
EMA stack: Close 30,807.93 > EMA20 30,072 > EMA50 29,647 > EMA200 27,997 - full bullish alignment. Price is 2.4% above the 20-day and 10.0% above the 200-day.
Structure: Higher low at 28,753 (20-day low), record high 30,770.63 on 22 Sep, then a shallow flag (lower highs, higher low at 30,081 on 28 Sep) that resolved upward today. Flagpole of ~2,017 points (28,753 to 30,770) projected from the 30,081 flag low gives a measured target near 32,100.
Phase: Stage 2 uptrend - new breakout leg. The trend stays intact while above the EMA20; the immediate test is whether buyers defend the gap.



Indicators
RSI(14): 65.3, up from 61.4. Price made a new high while RSI sits below its 22 Sep peak of 68.0 - a mild bearish divergence that stays live until RSI clears 68.
MACD(12,26,9): 340.7 vs signal 269.3 - bullish, and the histogram has turned back up (64.2 to 71.4) after contracting through late September.
Volume / participation: Weak relative to the move. Across the 40 components average rel vol was 0.82x; only TSLA (1.41x), NVDA (1.21x), LIN (1.18x), CEG (1.12x), NFLX (1.06x) and MU (1.00x) traded at or above average. A breakout on light volume needs follow-through.
ATR(14): ~386 points - expect daily swings of 300-400 points.



Key Index Levels
Resistance: 31,017.5 (record high / Friday high) · 31,134.6 (classic R2) · 31,250 (R3 31,251.7 + round number)
Support: 30,737 (Friday low / top of gap) · 30,502-30,574 (gap fill, Thursday close, classic S2) · 30,072 (EMA20, 30,000 round number just below)
Classic pivots: S2 30,573.7 · S1 30,690.8 · P 30,854.2 · R1 30,971.3 · R2 31,134.6
Camarilla: S4 30,653.7 · S3 30,730.8 || R3 30,885.1 · R4 30,962.2
Note: Friday's close (30,808) is below the 30,854 pivot, so Monday opens with a slight bearish intraday tilt. Above 30,854 targets 30,971-31,017; a break of 30,731 (Cam S3) opens the gap fill towards 30,574-30,502.



Component Signals (all 40)
Trend = close vs EMA20/50/200 (strict). POC = 60-day VWAP.
AAPL 333.69 +1.02% | Bull | RSI 54.7 Neutral | MACD Bear | -3.4% vs 52wH | Above POC 322.05
MSFT 517.53 +0.92% | Bull | RSI 62.6 Strong | MACD Bull | -6.5% vs 52wH | Above POC 465.77
NVDA 233.95 +1.34% | Bull | RSI 62.9 Strong | MACD Bull | -1.7% vs 52wH | Above POC 216.45
AMZN 251.52 +1.33% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 48.6 Neutral | MACD Bear | -12.4% vs 52wH | Below POC 255.76
META 728.08 +0.30% | Bull | RSI 61.5 Strong | MACD Bear | -6.6% vs 52wH | Above POC 638.75
GOOGL 343.50 +1.56% | Mixed (>20, <50, >200) | RSI 50.0 Neutral | MACD Bear | -15.9% vs 52wH | Below POC 345.55
AVGO 355.14 +3.35% | Bear | RSI 47.6 Neutral | MACD Bull | -28.3% vs 52wH | Below POC 372.17
TSLA 370.59 +4.65% | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 55.0 Neutral | MACD Bear | -25.7% vs 52wH | Above POC 352.01
COST 920.65 +0.62% | Mixed (>20, <50, <200) | RSI 51.4 Neutral | MACD Bull | -16.0% vs 52wH | Below POC 929.57
NFLX 67.06 -1.16% | Bear | RSI 31.1 Weak | MACD Bear | -46.3% vs 52wH | Below POC 73.71
AMD 633.91 +2.95% | Bull | RSI 70.1 Overbought | MACD Bull | -1.8% vs 52wH | Above POC 517.15
ADBE 237.69 -1.49% | Bear | RSI 41.0 Neutral | MACD Bear | -34.6% vs 52wH | Below POC 252.23
QCOM 184.87 +1.53% | Bull | RSI 52.4 Neutral | MACD Bear | -28.9% vs 52wH | Above POC 173.05
TMUS 163.64 +1.18% | Bear | RSI 37.5 Weak | MACD Bear | -29.8% vs 52wH | Below POC 177.32
LIN 479.48 +2.14% | Mixed (>20, <50, <200) | RSI 56.0 Neutral | MACD Bull | -12.5% vs 52wH | Below POC 485.55
ISRG 391.95 -2.32% | Mixed (<20, >50, <200) | RSI 51.2 Neutral | MACD Bull | -35.1% vs 52wH | Above POC 374.61
INTU 281.08 -0.60% | Bear | RSI 37.1 Weak | MACD Bear | -59.2% vs 52wH | Below POC 317.42
CSCO 112.20 +3.16% | Bull | RSI 57.2 Neutral | MACD Bull | -13.9% vs 52wH | Below POC 112.72
TXN 293.80 +4.44% | Bull | RSI 70.4 Overbought | MACD Bull | -12.0% vs 52wH | Above POC 275.42
AMAT 540.04 +2.03% | Bull | RSI 69.2 Strong | MACD Bull | -27.0% vs 52wH | Above POC 501.33
BKNG 159.02 -0.79% | Bear | RSI 30.4 Weak | MACD Bull | -29.3% vs 52wH | Below POC 184.36
PANW 403.24 +1.76% | Bull | RSI 62.6 Strong | MACD Bull | -1.5% vs 52wH | Above POC 357.47
MU 1,074.89 -2.05% | Bull | RSI 59.3 Neutral | MACD Bull | -14.4% vs 52wH | Above POC 935.59
LRCX 347.49 +2.17% | Bull | RSI 67.6 Strong | MACD Bull | -20.8% vs 52wH | Above POC 307.13
KLAC 206.89 +3.27% | Bull | RSI 67.2 Strong | MACD Bull | -32.7% vs 52wH | Above POC 192.66
ADI 417.15 +3.10% | Bull | RSI 72.1 Overbought | MACD Bull | -6.4% vs 52wH | Above POC 375.57
REGN 735.20 +0.05% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 34.9 Weak | MACD Bear | -14.4% vs 52wH | Below POC 762.52
SNPS 489.90 -0.13% | Bull | RSI 74.1 Overbought | MACD Bull | -9.2% vs 52wH | Above POC 409.37
CDNS 351.35 +0.18% | Bull | RSI 70.8 Overbought | MACD Bull | -15.7% vs 52wH | Above POC 322.19
MELI 1,696.56 +0.68% | Bear | RSI 33.5 Weak | MACD Bear | -30.1% vs 52wH | Below POC 1,845.56
CRWD 270.04 +1.48% | Bull | RSI 68.7 Strong | MACD Bull | -1.3% vs 52wH | Above POC 217.63
MAR 358.96 +1.18% | Bull | RSI 60.2 Strong | MACD Bull | -12.7% vs 52wH | Above POC 353.26
ABNB 162.43 +1.22% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 46.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -16.0% vs 52wH | Below POC 167.36
MRVL 272.29 +1.57% | Bull | RSI 65.0 Strong | MACD Bull | -17.5% vs 52wH | Above POC 221.44
DASH 189.15 +3.83% | Bear | RSI 43.4 Neutral | MACD Bear | -33.7% vs 52wH | Below POC 202.59
FTNT 180.95 +1.25% | Bull | RSI 64.2 Strong | MACD Bull | -1.2% vs 52wH | Above POC 162.49
CEG 257.49 -0.55% | Bear | RSI 42.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -37.6% vs 52wH | Below POC 269.25
WDAY 186.14 -0.33% | Mixed (<20, >50, >200) | RSI 47.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -24.8% vs 52wH | Above POC 178.16
PYPL 52.80 -0.49% | Bear | RSI 43.8 Neutral | MACD Bull | -33.4% vs 52wH | Below POC 55.58
ORLY 84.90 -0.15% | Bear | RSI 42.9 Neutral | MACD Bull | -19.4% vs 52wH | Below POC 87.68

Summary: 21 Bull · 14 Bear · 5 Mixed. MACD bullish on 24 of 40. 21 of 40 closed above their 60-day POC.



Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL, AVGO, TSLA): avg +1.81% · 4/8 Bull · avg RSI 55.4
NVDA, MSFT, AAPL and META hold full bull stacks; NVDA is the standout (1.7% off its high, 1.21x vol). AVGO's +3.35% bounce still leaves it below all three EMAs; AMZN stays below its 20/50.

Semiconductors (AMD, QCOM, TXN, AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL): avg +2.11% · 9/9 Bull · avg RSI 65.9
The strongest group - every name is above all three EMAs. AMD, TXN, ADI and AMAT are at or near overbought; MU's -2.05% is a pullback within a strong trend. QCOM is the only MACD-bearish name.

Software / Cloud / Cyber (ADBE, INTU, PANW, SNPS, CDNS, CRWD, FTNT, WDAY): avg +0.27% · 5/8 Bull · avg RSI 58.2
Split down the middle. Cyber (PANW, CRWD, FTNT all within 1.5% of 52w highs) and EDA (SNPS, CDNS) are leading; ADBE and INTU remain in clear downtrends.

Consumer / Internet (COST, NFLX, BKNG, MELI, MAR, ABNB, DASH, PYPL, ORLY): avg +0.55% · 1/9 Bull · avg RSI 42.5
The weakest group - six of nine below all EMAs. NFLX, BKNG and ORLY are pressing towards 52-week lows. MAR is the only full bull stack.

Healthcare / Biotech (ISRG, REGN): avg -1.14% · 0/2 Bull · avg RSI 43.0
Soft. ISRG reversed -2.32% from a 406 high to close on its low; REGN sits below its 20/50 but just above its EMA200.

Industrial / Other (TMUS, LIN, CSCO, CEG): avg +1.48% · 1/4 Bull · avg RSI 48.2
CSCO is the bright spot (bull stack, MACD cross up, testing POC). TMUS tagged a fresh 52-week low intraday; CEG remains below all EMAs despite 1.12x volume.



Top Swing Setups
NVDA - Long: Record-high breakout
Entry: 238.00 · Stop: 229.13 (1.5x ATR 5.91) · T1: 255.73 · T2: 264.60 · R:R: 1:2 / 1:3
Buy a break above 237.88 (Friday's record intraday high). Full bull stack, MACD bullish, RSI 62.9 leaves room, and 1.21x volume was the best of the mega-caps. POC 216.45 and EMA20 224.90 sit well below as structural support.

PANW - Long: 52-week high breakout
Entry: 410.00 · Stop: 384.12 (1.5x ATR 17.25) · T1: 461.75 · T2: 487.62 · R:R: 1:2 / 1:3
Friday's high of 409.50 is the 52-week high. Bull stack (EMA20 378.29 > EMA50 359.15), MACD bullish, RSI 62.6. Volume was light (0.77x) - only take it on a high-volume break. Stop sits just above the EMA20.

CSCO - Long: POC reclaim
Entry: 112.80 · Stop: 108.87 (1.5x ATR 2.62) · T1: 120.66 · T2: 124.59 · R:R: 1:2 / 1:3
Friday's +3.16% closed just under the 60-day POC (112.72) with a fresh MACD cross up (-0.79 vs -1.24). Buy a close-basis reclaim of the POC; the stop sits below the EMA20 (109.05). The 52-week high at ~130.3 leaves room beyond T2.

KLAC - Long: Semi-cap momentum continuation
Entry: 208.70 · Stop: 197.24 (1.5x ATR 7.64) · T1: 231.62 · T2: 243.08 · R:R: 1:2 / 1:3
MACD just crossed above signal (3.52 vs -0.04), RSI 67.2, price above all EMAs and the POC (192.66). The group (AMAT, LRCX) is moving together. Buy a break above Friday's 208.68 high.

NFLX - Short: 52-week-low breakdown
Entry: 66.70 · Stop: 69.67 (1.5x ATR 1.98) · T1: 60.76 · T2: 57.79 · R:R: 1:2 / 1:3
Bear stack (EMA20 72.64 < EMA50 75.16 < EMA200 84.40), MACD bearish, -46% from its high, 1.06x volume. Short a break below Friday's 66.75 low; T1 is below the 65.08 52-week low. RSI 31.1 is close to oversold - expect sharp counter-rallies and size accordingly.



Intraday Setups - Monday 5 October
Levels from Friday's daily bar (classic pivots and Camarilla).

NVDA - Camarilla R4 breakout (Long)
Entry: 236.30 · Stop: 235.13 · T1: 239.42 · T2: 240.97 · R:R: 1:2.7 (T1)
Record-high momentum name with the best mega-cap volume. A drive through R4 confirms Friday's breakout attempt.

MU - Pivot S1 bounce (Long)
Entry: 1,061.93 · Stop: 1,048.98 · T1: 1,084.97 · T2: 1,097.92 · R:R: 1:1.8 (T1)
MU fell -2.05% inside a strong bull trend (EMA20 1,032.10). S1 offers a first dip-buy level above the EMA20, provided the semis stay bid.

NFLX - Pivot rejection (Short)
Entry: 67.23 · Stop: 67.70 · T1: 66.58 · T2: 66.11 · R:R: 1:1.4 (T1)
NFLX closed below its 67.23 pivot, has a bear stack and bearish MACD. Momentum favours sellers into the 65.08 52-week low.

ISRG - Camarilla S3 range fade (Long)
Entry: 387.80 · Stop: 383.66 · T1: 396.10 · T2: 401.82 · R:R: 1:2.0 (T1)
ISRG reversed from 406.47 to close on its low (391.95) but sits above its EMA50 (388.58) and POC (374.61). Look for a reversion bounce while Cam S4 holds.

TSLA - Camarilla R3 range fade (Short)
Entry: 374.77 · Stop: 378.94 · T1: 368.20 · T2: 366.41 · R:R: 1:1.6 (T1)
TSLA ran +4.65% on 1.41x volume into its EMA200 (377.73) overhead. A stall under Cam R4 favours a fade back to the pivot. Skip it if R4 breaks on volume.



Key Levels Dashboard
NVDA (close 233.95)
Cam: S4 231.60 · S3 232.77 · S1 233.56 || R1 234.34 · R3 235.13 · R4 236.30
Classic: S3 228.13 · S2 230.86 · S1 232.41 · P 235.14 · R1 236.69 · R2 239.42 · R3 240.97
EMA20 224.90 · EMA50 219.46 · EMA200 202.20 · POC 216.45 · Prev H/L 237.88/233.60 · 52w H/L 237.88/164.27

AMD (close 633.91)
Cam: S4 624.61 · S3 629.26 · S1 632.36 || R1 635.46 · R3 638.56 · R4 643.21
Classic: S3 609.58 · S2 619.06 · S1 626.49 · P 635.97 · R1 643.40 · R2 652.88 · R3 660.31
EMA20 576.34 · EMA50 533.67 · EMA200 408.52 · POC 517.15 · Prev H/L 645.46/628.55 · 52w H/L 645.46/163.14

MU (close 1,074.89)
Cam: S4 1,055.10 · S3 1,064.99 · S1 1,071.59 || R1 1,078.19 · R3 1,084.79 · R4 1,094.68
Classic: S3 1,025.94 · S2 1,048.98 · S1 1,061.93 · P 1,084.97 · R1 1,097.92 · R2 1,120.96 · R3 1,133.91
EMA20 1,032.10 · EMA50 981.60 · EMA200 730.61 · POC 935.59 · Prev H/L 1,108.00/1,072.01 · 52w H/L 1,255.00/179.61

TSLA (close 370.59)
Cam: S4 362.24 · S3 366.41 · S1 369.20 || R1 371.98 · R3 374.77 · R4 378.94
Classic: S3 346.61 · S2 353.01 · S1 361.80 · P 368.20 · R1 376.99 · R2 383.39 · R3 392.18
EMA20 362.82 · EMA50 361.88 · EMA200 377.73 · POC 352.01 · Prev H/L 374.60/359.41 · 52w H/L 498.83/297.38

PANW (close 403.24)
Cam: S4 397.99 · S3 400.61 · S1 402.36 || R1 404.12 · R3 405.87 · R4 408.49
Classic: S3 389.41 · S2 394.68 · S1 398.96 · P 404.23 · R1 408.51 · R2 413.78 · R3 418.06
EMA20 378.29 · EMA50 359.15 · EMA200 280.90 · POC 357.47 · Prev H/L 409.50/399.95 · 52w H/L 409.50/139.57



Bearish Warnings
EMA50 below EMA200 (death-cross regime): TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, LIN, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, MELI, CEG, ORLY. SNPS and CDNS trade above all three EMAs, but their EMA50 is still below the EMA200 - a golden cross is pending, not confirmed.
MACD below signal: AAPL, AMZN, META, GOOGL, TSLA, NFLX, ADBE, QCOM, TMUS, INTU, REGN, MELI, ABNB, DASH, CEG, WDAY (16 of 40). META stands out: RSI 61.5 and a bull stack, but MACD (34.31) has slipped under its signal (35.08) on 0.54x volume - momentum is rolling over.
Overbought RSI: SNPS 74.1, ADI 72.1, CDNS 70.8, TXN 70.4, AMD 70.1 - extended, and chasing here is poor risk. At the index level RSI 65.3 is below the 68.0 reading at the 22 Sep high - a bearish divergence on the new high.
Near 52-week lows: TMUS (1.8% above; tagged the 160.81 low intraday), ORLY (2.8% above 82.59), NFLX (3.0% above 65.08), BKNG (5.9% above 150.14).
Index candle: gap-and-fade - opened 30,869, closed 30,808, 210 points off the high, with the 10-year yield back at 5.29%. A move below 30,502 would turn Friday into a bull trap.



Events Calendar
Mon 5 Oct: ISM Services PMI (Sep, est. 55.1 vs 55.4 prior), final S&P Global services PMI. Fed: Goolsbee.
Tue 6 Oct: Fed: Williams, Bowman. Weekly ADP, Atlanta Fed GDPNow.
Wed 7 Oct: FOMC minutes (September meeting) - key for October hike odds. Fed: Logan.
Thu 8 Oct: Initial jobless claims, ECB meeting accounts. Fed: Musalem. Earnings: PepsiCo.
Fri 9 Oct: UMich sentiment (prelim) incl. inflation expectations. Earnings: Delta Air Lines.
Earnings (40 tracked): none confirmed for next week. The group's Q3 reporting season starts mid-October - check dates before holding swing positions through it.
Macro backdrop: the Fed's bias is still towards tightening. Watch the 10-year near 5.3%, oil around $91 and the US-Iran/Hormuz headlines.



Report: 02 Oct 2026 22:03 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Report - Thursday 1 October 2026
Data: Close Thu 1 Oct 2026 | NAS100: 30,501.56 | Change: +93.06 (+0.31%) | Range: 30,352.11-30,576.44
Levels below are from the Thursday 1 October US close and apply to the Friday 2 October session (NFP day). Component data: ChartsView NAS100 scanner, 1 Oct 2026.



Market Overview
The Nasdaq 100 opened Q4 with a modest +0.31% gain to 30,501.56 in a tight 224-point range (30,352-30,576), holding inside last week's range and 0.9% below the 22 Sep all-time high of 30,770.63. Wall Street finished broadly flat and the Russell 2000 slipped as the 10-year Treasury yield rose another 4bp to 5.33% - its highest since April 2002 - with the 30-year at 5.67%. Crude added around 3% after reports that Chinese refiners suspended October fuel exports.

Drivers: Earnings and AI did the lifting. Synopsys (SNPS) +12.78% on FY27 targets well above consensus plus a $1B buyback, pulling Cadence (CDNS) +6.22% with it. Micron (MU) +3.03% closed on its high after beating and guiding Q1 revenue to $60-63B (est. $57.4B), helping the semi-cap names (AMAT +3.48%, LRCX +3.46%, KLAC +2.76%). CEG +1.93% on a 20-year power deal with Amazon. On the other side, REGN -3.09%, MELI -2.51%, NFLX -2.49% and AVGO -2.15% lagged, and GOOGL slipped 1.70% despite launching Gemini 4.

Breadth (40 tracked): 19 up / 21 down - a narrow, stock-specific tape rather than a broad bid.
VIX: approx. 16.3 - complacent given yields at two-decade highs and markets pricing a meaningful chance of a Fed hike this month.
Bias: Cautiously bullish - trend intact above the 20-day EMA, but momentum is fading and macro risk (yields, NFP) is elevated.



Trend Analysis
EMA stack: Close 30,501.56 > EMA20 ~30,001 > EMA50 ~29,603 > EMA200 ~27,626 - fully bullish alignment. Price is 1.7% above the 20-day and 10.4% above the 200-day.
Structure: The 21 Sep gap-and-go (29,648 -> 29,933 unfilled gap) launched a run to the 30,770.63 ATH on 22 Sep. Since then price has built a tight 30,200-30,770 consolidation (higher low 30,204 on 24 Sep, Oct 1 low 30,352). That is a bull flag / high-level base, not a top - unless 30,200 breaks.
Phase: Stage 2 uptrend, consolidating near highs. A daily close above 30,770 opens 31,000+; a close below 30,000 (EMA20 + round number) would signal a deeper pullback toward the gap (29,933-29,648).



Indicators
RSI(14): ~61.7 - bullish zone, not overbought. Momentum has eased since the 22 Sep ATH while price holds near the highs - watch for a bearish divergence if price prints a marginal new high on a lower RSI.
MACD (12,26,9): MACD ~318 above signal ~254 (bullish), but the histogram has contracted for a second session (76 -> 65). Momentum is cooling, not reversing.
Volume: Component relative volume was light overall (median rv below 1.0); conviction came only in the earnings names - SNPS rv 2.80, MU 1.74, CEG 1.41, REGN 1.38, GOOGL 1.22.
Index EMA/RSI/MACD values are computed from daily NDX closes; 28-29 Sep closes were interpolated from Nasdaq Composite moves, so treat the index indicator values as approximate (+/- a few points).



Key Index Levels
Resistance: R1 30,576-30,601 (Oct 1 high / classic R1) | R2 30,668-30,701 (25 Sep high / classic R2) | R3 30,770.63 (all-time high), then 31,000
Support: S1 30,352-30,377 (Oct 1 low / classic S1) | S2 30,204-30,252 (24 Sep higher low / classic S2) | S3 30,000 (round number + EMA20), then gap 29,933-29,648
Classic Pivots: S2 30,252.4 · S1 30,377.0 · P 30,476.7 · R1 30,601.3 · R2 30,701.0
Camarilla: S4 30,378.2 · S3 30,439.9 || R3 30,563.3 · R4 30,624.9
Round numbers: 30,000 · 30,500 (currently pivoting here) · 31,000



Component Signals (all 40)
Format: Ticker - Close (Chg%) | Trend (strict EMA20/50/200) | RSI | MACD | vs 52w high | vs POC
AAPL - 330.32 (-0.81%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 51.4 Neutral | MACD Bear | -4.3% from 52wH | above POC 321.74
MSFT - 512.80 (-0.02%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60.2 Bullish | MACD Bull | -7.4% from 52wH | above POC 463.58
NVDA - 230.86 (+1.09%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60.1 Bullish | MACD Bull | -2.4% from 52wH | above POC 215.81
AMZN - 248.23 (-0.37%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 44.2 Bearish | MACD Bear | -13.6% from 52wH | below POC 255.66
META - 725.93 (+0.10%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 61.1 Bullish | MACD Bull | -6.9% from 52wH | above POC 636.77
GOOGL - 338.24 (-1.70%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 45.4 Neutral | MACD Bear | -17.2% from 52wH | below POC 345.75
AVGO - 343.64 (-2.15%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 39.5 Bearish | MACD Bull | -30.6% from 52wH | below POC 373.23
TSLA - 354.11 (-0.20%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 45.6 Neutral | MACD Bear | -29.0% from 52wH | above POC 352.41
COST - 914.94 (+0.51%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 48.5 Neutral | MACD Bull | -16.6% from 52wH | below POC 929.48
NFLX - 67.85 (-2.49%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 32.4 Bearish | MACD Bear | -45.7% from 52wH | below POC 73.85
AMD - 615.73 (+0.65%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 67.0 Bullish | MACD Bull | -3.6% from 52wH | above POC 515.88
ADBE - 241.28 (+0.56%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 43.2 Bearish | MACD Bear | -33.7% from 52wH | below POC 251.93
QCOM - 182.06 (-1.08%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 50.1 Neutral | MACD Bear | -30.0% from 52wH | above POC 173.09
TMUS - 161.73 (-0.83%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 33.6 Bearish | MACD Bear | -32.9% from 52wH | below POC 177.57
LIN - 469.45 (-1.10%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 45.7 Neutral | MACD Bull | -14.4% from 52wH | below POC 486.32
ISRG - 401.24 (-1.33%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 57.9 Bullish | MACD Bull | -33.6% from 52wH | above POC 374.74
INTU - 282.78 (+2.56%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 37.8 Bearish | MACD Bear | -59.0% from 52wH | below POC 317.37
CSCO - 108.76 (+1.05%) | Mixed (>20 <50 >200) | RSI 48.2 Neutral | MACD Bull | -16.6% from 52wH | below POC 112.91
TXN - 281.31 (+0.44%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 61.8 Bullish | MACD Bull | -15.8% from 52wH | above POC 275.74
AMAT - 529.20 (+3.48%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 66.9 Bullish | MACD Bull | -28.5% from 52wH | above POC 504.19
BKNG - 160.28 (-1.61%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 31.3 Bearish | MACD Bear | -28.8% from 52wH | below POC 184.86
PANW - 396.25 (-0.27%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60.4 Bullish | MACD Bull | -2.1% from 52wH | above POC 356.20
MU - 1,097.39 (+3.03%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 63.5 Bullish | MACD Bull | -12.6% from 52wH | above POC 934.13
LRCX - 339.88 (+3.46%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 65.3 Bullish | MACD Bull | -22.5% from 52wH | above POC 307.62
KLAC - 200.31 (+2.76%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 63.1 Bullish | MACD Bull | -34.8% from 52wH | above POC 193.39
ADI - 404.60 (+1.99%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 67.1 Bullish | MACD Bull | -9.3% from 52wH | above POC 375.29
REGN - 734.81 (-3.09%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 34.7 Bearish | MACD Bear | -14.5% from 52wH | below POC 761.26
SNPS - 490.54 (+12.78%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 74.4 OB | MACD Bull | -9.1% from 52wH | above POC 407.94
CDNS - 350.73 (+6.22%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 70.6 OB | MACD Bull | -15.8% from 52wH | above POC 322.44
MELI - 1,685.12 (-2.51%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 31.3 Bearish | MACD Bear | -30.6% from 52wH | below POC 1,847.70
CRWD - 266.09 (+0.51%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 67.2 Bullish | MACD Bull | -1.2% from 52wH | above POC 216.77
MAR - 354.79 (-0.25%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 56.6 Bullish | MACD Bull | -13.7% from 52wH | above POC 353.44
ABNB - 160.47 (-0.11%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 43.4 Bearish | MACD Bear | -17.0% from 52wH | below POC 167.25
MRVL - 268.08 (+1.46%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 63.4 Bullish | MACD Bull | -18.7% from 52wH | above POC 221.03
DASH - 182.18 (-0.75%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 36.3 Bearish | MACD Bear | -36.2% from 52wH | below POC 202.77
FTNT - 178.72 (-0.02%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 62.1 Bullish | MACD Bull | -1.5% from 52wH | above POC 162.20
CEG - 258.92 (+1.93%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 43.0 Bearish | MACD Bear | -37.3% from 52wH | below POC 269.23
WDAY - 186.75 (-1.95%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 47.6 Neutral | MACD Bear | -24.5% from 52wH | above POC 176.97
PYPL - 53.06 (+1.01%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 44.8 Bearish | MACD Bull | -33.0% from 52wH | below POC 55.51
ORLY - 85.03 (-0.44%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 43.4 Bearish | MACD Bull | -21.2% from 52wH | below POC 87.65

Summary: 17 Bull (above all) · 13 Bear (below all) · 10 other (partial/mixed). MACD bullish on 24/40. Above POC: 22/40.



Sector Grouping

Mega-cap Tech (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL, AVGO, TSLA) - avg -0.51% | 3 bull-stack / 2 bear-stack
Split. MSFT, NVDA and META hold full bull stacks; AMZN and GOOGL sit below their 20/50 EMAs; AVGO and TSLA are below all three. NVDA is 2.4% from its 52w high - the leader to watch.

Semiconductors (AMD, QCOM, TXN, AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL) - avg +1.80% | 8 bull-stack / 0 bear-stack
Strongest group. Micron's guide re-ignited semi-cap: AMAT, LRCX and KLAC all have MACD above signal and are back above their 20/50 EMAs and POC. AMD (RSI 67) is 3.6% from its 52w high. Only QCOM is mixed (back below EMA20).

Software/Cloud (ADBE, INTU, PANW, SNPS, CDNS, CRWD, FTNT, WDAY, CSCO) - avg +2.38% | 5 bull-stack / 2 bear-stack
Bifurcated. Security (CRWD, PANW, FTNT all within 2.1% of 52w highs) and EDA (SNPS, CDNS overbought after the guide) lead; application software (ADBE, INTU) remains in bear stacks far below 52w highs.

Consumer/Internet (COST, NFLX, BKNG, MELI, MAR, ABNB, DASH, PYPL, ORLY, TMUS) - avg -0.75% | 1 bull-stack / 7 bear-stack
Weakest group - no full bull stacks except MAR. NFLX, BKNG, MELI, TMUS, DASH, ORLY and PYPL are below all three EMAs; TMUS sits just 0.4% above its 52w low. Rising yields and oil are hitting the consumer.

Healthcare/Biotech (ISRG, REGN) - avg -2.21% | 0 bull-stack / 0 bear-stack
ISRG holds above its 20/50 EMAs (still below the 200); REGN fell 3.09% on 1.38x volume and lost its 20/50 EMAs.

Industrial/Other (LIN, CEG) - avg +0.41% | 0 bull-stack / 2 bear-stack
LIN below all EMAs (MACD turning up); CEG +1.93% on the Amazon PPA but still in a bear stack below POC.



Top Swing Setups

MU - Post-earnings continuation (LONG)
Entry: 1,100.00 · Stop: 1,020.00 · T1: 1,199.23 · T2: 1,255.00 · R:R: 1:1.2 (T1) / 1:1.9 (T2)
Beat-and-raise (Q1 rev guide $60-63B vs $57.4B est), closed on the day high 1,098.90 on 1.74x volume. Bull stack (EMA20 1,027.60 / EMA50 977.80), MACD 36.02 > 30.21, RSI 63.5. Stop sits under the day low 1,022.90 and EMA20 (approx. 1.7x ATR 47.29). POC 934.13 far below - no overhead supply until 1,255.

CRWD - 52-week high breakout (LONG)
Entry: 269.50 · Stop: 257.75 · T1: 280.49 · T2: 293.00 · R:R: 1:0.9 (T1) / 1:2.0 (T2)
Closed 1.2% under its 52w high 269.30 with a full bull stack (EMA20 244.02), RSI 67.2 and bullish MACD. Trigger only on a break and hold above 269.30; stop = 1x ATR (11.75) below entry, under classic S1 260.49. Low rv 0.63 - needs volume on the break.

LRCX - Fresh MACD cross, EMA reclaim (LONG)
Entry: 342.00 · Stop: 322.00 · T1: 354.59 · T2: 382.00 · R:R: 1:0.6 (T1) / 1:2.0 (T2)
MACD has turned up through its signal (5.46 vs -0.27) after price reclaimed the EMA20/50 cluster (309.33/309.54) and POC 307.62 - strong confluence base. +3.46% on MU read-across. Entry above the day high 341.64; stop under classic S3 322.82 (approx. 1.4x ATR 13.94).

SNPS - Buy the pullback after the guide (LONG)
Entry: 475.00 · Stop: 446.00 · T1: 504.33 · T2: 539.28 · R:R: 1:1.0 (T1) / 1:2.2 (T2)
Gapped +12.78% on 2.80x volume on FY27 EPS targets of $19.04-19.12 vs $17.69 consensus plus a $1B buyback. RSI 74.4 is overbought and price is 17.6% above EMA20 - do not chase. Wait for a pullback into the 469-475 zone (classic S1 469.38 / Cam S4 471.32). Stop under S2 448.21 (1.5x ATR 19.22); T2 = 52w high 539.48.

NFLX - Breakdown toward 52-week low (SHORT)
Entry: 67.20 · Stop: 70.30 · T1: 65.08 · T2: 61.00 · R:R: 1:0.7 (T1) / 1:2.0 (T2)
Bear stack (EMA20 73.23 / EMA50 75.49 / EMA200 84.57), MACD -2.31 < -1.57, -2.49% on 1.16x volume and 45.7% below its 52w high. Short only below classic S1 67.21; T1 = 52w low 65.08. RSI 32.4 is close to oversold - take partial profits at T1 and respect a reversal.



Intraday Setups (Fri 2 Oct)

NFP at 13:30 UK can blow through any intraday level - consider waiting for the first 15-30 minutes after the cash open (14:30 UK) before acting on these.

SNPS - Camarilla R4 breakout (LONG)
Entry: 510.00 · Stop: 500.15 · T1: 518.11 · T2: 529.00 · R:R: 1:0.8 / 1:1.9
Momentum day-2. Long only on a push through Cam R4 509.76 and classic R1 504.33 (both cleared = trend day). Stop back below Cam R3 500.15. T1 classic R2 518.11.

MU - Camarilla S3 range buy (LONG)
Entry: 1,076.50 · Stop: 1,062.00 · T1: 1,090.42 · T2: 1,104.36 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:1.9
If Friday opens inside the Cam range, buy the dip to S3 1,076.49 (just above the classic pivot 1,073.06). Stop under 1,062; targets Cam S1 1,090.42 and Cam R1 1,104.36.

NVDA - Pivot bounce (LONG)
Entry: 230.45 · Stop: 228.50 · T1: 232.71 · T2: 234.57 · R:R: 1:1.2 / 1:2.1
Classic pivot 230.44 and Cam S1 230.48 coincide - a clean line in the sand. Buy a hold of 230.45; stop under classic S1 228.58. Targets classic R1 232.71 and R2 234.57 (52w high 236.54 beyond).

AMD - Camarilla R4 breakout (LONG)
Entry: 625.75 · Stop: 619.30 · T1: 629.98 · T2: 639.00 · R:R: 1:0.7 / 1:2.1
Above Cam R4 625.52 the next magnet is the 52w high 639.00. Stop back under the 1 Oct high 619.30 (also below Cam R3 620.63).

MELI - Camarilla S4 breakdown (SHORT)
Entry: 1,650.00 · Stop: 1,668.00 · T1: 1,632.05 · T2: 1,614.00 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:2.0
Bear stack, MACD -48.24 < -31.62, RSI 31.3. Short a break of Cam S4 1,650.51; stop above Cam S3 1,667.82 / day low 1,668.44. T1 classic S2 1,632.05; S3 1,595.67 is the stretch target.



Key Levels Dashboard

NVDA - 230.86 (+1.09%) - Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 228.59 · S3 229.72 · S2 230.10 · S1 230.48 || R1 231.24 · R2 231.62 · R3 232.00 · R4 233.13
Classic: S3 224.45 · S2 226.31 · S1 228.58 · P 230.44 · R1 232.71 · R2 234.57 · R3 236.84
EMA20 223.95 · EMA50 218.87 · EMA200 201.88 · POC 215.81 · Prev H/L 232.29 / 228.16 · 52w H/L 236.54 / 164.27 · ATR 5.82 · RSI 60.1

MSFT - 512.80 (-0.02%) - Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 506.93 · S3 509.86 · S2 510.84 · S1 511.82 || R1 513.78 · R2 514.76 · R3 515.74 · R4 518.67
Classic: S3 498.35 · S2 505.26 · S1 509.03 · P 515.94 · R1 519.71 · R2 526.62 · R3 530.39
EMA20 501.87 · EMA50 481.95 · EMA200 448.85 · POC 463.58 · Prev H/L 522.85 / 512.17 · 52w H/L 553.72 / 349.20 · ATR 11.73 · RSI 60.2

AAPL - 330.32 (-0.81%) - Mixed (<20 >50 >200)
Cam: S4 326.65 · S3 328.49 · S2 329.10 · S1 329.71 || R1 330.93 · R2 331.54 · R3 332.15 · R4 333.99
Classic: S3 319.92 · S2 322.87 · S1 326.59 · P 329.54 · R1 333.26 · R2 336.21 · R3 339.93
EMA20 331.07 · EMA50 323.13 · EMA200 294.14 · POC 321.74 · Prev H/L 332.48 / 325.81 · 52w H/L 345.34 / 243.42 · ATR 7.25 · RSI 51.4

AMD - 615.73 (+0.65%) - Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 605.94 · S3 610.84 · S2 612.47 · S1 614.10 || R1 617.36 · R2 618.99 · R3 620.63 · R4 625.52
Classic: S3 587.25 · S2 594.38 · S1 605.05 · P 612.18 · R1 622.85 · R2 629.98 · R3 640.65
EMA20 570.28 · EMA50 529.58 · EMA200 406.26 · POC 515.88 · Prev H/L 619.30 / 601.50 · 52w H/L 639.00 / 160.49 · ATR 23.78 · RSI 67.0

MU - 1,097.39 (+3.03%) - Bull (above all)
Cam: S4 1,055.59 · S3 1,076.49 · S2 1,083.46 · S1 1,090.42 || R1 1,104.36 · R2 1,111.32 · R3 1,118.29 · R4 1,139.19
Classic: S3 971.23 · S2 997.06 · S1 1,047.23 · P 1,073.06 · R1 1,123.23 · R2 1,149.06 · R3 1,199.23
EMA20 1,027.60 · EMA50 977.80 · EMA200 727.15 · POC 934.13 · Prev H/L 1,098.90 / 1,022.90 · 52w H/L 1,255.00 / 165.50 · ATR 47.29 · RSI 63.5



Bearish Warnings
Index: MACD histogram contracting two sessions; momentum easing near highs; 10y yield 5.33% (highest since 2002) with Fed hike odds elevated. A daily close below 30,000 would break the flag.
EMA50 below EMA200 (death-cross structure): TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, LIN, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, SNPS, CDNS, MELI, CEG, ORLY (14 names). Note SNPS and CDNS rallied above both, but their 50s are still under their 200s.
Bearish MACD (MACD < signal): AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, TSLA, NFLX, ADBE, QCOM, TMUS, INTU, BKNG, REGN, MELI, ABNB, DASH, CEG, WDAY (16/40).
Near 52-week lows: TMUS (+0.4%, low 161.14), ORLY (+3.0%, low 82.59), NFLX (+4.3%, low 65.08), BKNG (+6.8%, low 150.14).
Overbought RSI: SNPS RSI 74.4 (17.7% above EMA20), CDNS RSI 70.6 (11.7% above EMA20) - stretched after the guide; fade risk on any market wobble.
Fragile leaders: AVGO (-2.15%, -30.6% from 52w high, below all EMAs) and GOOGL (-1.70% on 1.22x volume, back below EMA20/50) are index heavyweights in bear/weak structures.



Events Calendar
Fri 2 Oct, 13:30 UK (08:30 ET): US September Non-Farm Payrolls - consensus roughly +84K to +98K, unemployment 4.1%, average hourly earnings +0.3% m/m. With markets pricing a sizeable chance of an October Fed hike, a hot print (and yields pushing higher) is the main downside risk for tech; a soft print could fuel a run at the 30,770 ATH.
Fed: NY Fed President Williams said this week the Fed could wait until December before raising again - watch any Fed speakers after NFP.
Rates/oil: 10y 5.33%, 30y 5.67%; crude elevated on Middle East / Hormuz tension and China fuel-export suspension.
Index change: Moderna (MRNA) joins the Nasdaq-100 from 9 October.
Earnings (40 tracked): None of the 40 is scheduled to report in the next two sessions; Q3 season for the group ramps from mid-October. Reactions to MU and SNPS remain the near-term read-through for semis and EDA.



Report: 02 Oct 2026 08:02 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis - Tuesday 29 September 2026
Data: Close 29 Sep 2026 | NAS100: 30,339.33 | Change: +62.52 (+0.21%) | Range: 30,235.67-30,429.97



Market Overview
The NAS100 eked out a +0.21% gain to 30,339.33, but the candle tells a softer story: the index opened at 30,412.29, faded to 30,235.67 and closed below its open. It was a tight 194-point inside day (inside Monday's 30,081-30,480 range) on below-average volume (1.07bn vs 1.27bn 20-day average).

Drivers: The Conference Board consumer confidence index dropped to 81.9 (consensus 89.2), its lowest level since 2014. Long-dated Treasury yields stayed near multi-decade highs, and US-Iran mediation headlines kept oil in focus. Semiconductors and META carried the tape. Semi-equipment names squeezed higher (AMAT +5.19%, MRVL +4.51%, KLAC +3.89%, LRCX +2.99%), META added +3.26% on an analyst upgrade after Monday's surge, and DASH bounced +4.88% on 1.32x relative volume. AMD was flat (-0.05%) after announcing an $8.2bn all-stock deal for World Labs.

Laggards: AAPL -2.66%, TMUS -2.08%, QCOM -1.80%, TSLA -1.29%. Breadth across the 40 tracked components was 22 up / 18 down. VIX 16.04 (flat).

Bias: Bullish above 30,081 (Monday's low). The trend is intact, but momentum is cooling into a heavy data run (PCE Wed, ISM Thu, NFP Fri). A close below 30,081 opens the EMA20 at ~29,890.



Trend
EMA stack: Close 30,339 > EMA20 29,892 > EMA50 29,529 > EMA200 ~27,801 - full bullish alignment, price +1.5% above EMA20.
Structure: Higher low at 28,753 (20-day low) followed by a record high at 30,770.63 on 22 Sep. Since then the index has made lower highs (30,706 / 30,668 / 30,480 / 30,430), so it is consolidating 1.4% below the high.
Phase: Stage 2 uptrend, currently in a shallow bull-flag / pause. The trend stays intact while above the EMA20.



Indicators
RSI(14): 59.3. It peaked at 68.0 on 22 Sep and has eased with price holding near highs. That is a mild negative momentum divergence, not yet a sell signal.
MACD(12,26,9): 308.4 vs signal 216.6 - bullish, but the histogram is contracting for a third session (145.8 -> 115.0 -> 91.. Momentum is fading.
Volume: 1.07bn, ~85% of the 20-day average. Light participation on the bounce means low conviction.
ATR(14): ~406 pts. Expect a larger range on Friday's payrolls.



Key Index Levels
Resistance: R1 30,430-30,434 (today's high / classic R1) · R2 30,480-30,529 (Monday's high / classic R2) · R3 30,770 (record high), then 31,000 round number
Support: S1 30,235-30,240 (today's low / classic S1) · S2 30,081 (Monday's low), 30,000 round number · S3 29,892 (EMA20), then 29,529 (EMA50)
Classic pivots: S2 30,140.69 · S1 30,240.01 · P 30,334.99 · R1 30,434.31 · R2 30,529.29
Camarilla: S4 30,232.47 · S3 30,285.90 || R3 30,392.76 · R4 30,446.20



Component Signals (all 40)
Trend = strict close vs EMA20/50/200 · RSI zone · MACD vs signal · % from 52-week high · Close vs 60-day POC

AAPL 329.40 -2.66% | Mixed (below 20) | RSI 50.9 Neutral | MACD Bear | -4.6% from 52wH | Above POC
MSFT 508.96 -0.05% | Bull (above all) | RSI 58.4 Neutral | MACD Bear | -8.1% from 52wH | Above POC
NVDA 227.21 -0.72% | Bull (above all) | RSI 56.6 Neutral | MACD Bull | -3.9% from 52wH | Above POC
AMZN 246.67 +0.21% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 41.9 Neutral | MACD Bear | -14.1% from 52wH | Below POC
META 738.96 +3.26% | Bull (above all) | RSI 64.5 Bullish | MACD Bull | -5.2% from 52wH | Above POC
GOOGL 340.92 -0.53% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 47.4 Neutral | MACD Bull | -16.6% from 52wH | Below POC
AVGO 355.10 +1.58% | Bear (below all) | RSI 46 Neutral | MACD Bull | -28.3% from 52wH | Below POC
TSLA 352.84 -1.29% | Bear (below all) | RSI 44.8 Neutral | MACD Bear | -29.3% from 52wH | Below POC
COST 924.59 +0.18% | Mixed (below 50/200) | RSI 53.1 Neutral | MACD Bull | -15.7% from 52wH | Below POC
NFLX 70.30 +1.55% | Bear (below all) | RSI 37.1 Weak | MACD Bear | -43.7% from 52wH | Below POC
AMD 607.57 -0.05% | Bull (above all) | RSI 65.5 Bullish | MACD Bull | -4.9% from 52wH | Above POC
ADBE 233.17 +0.94% | Bear (below all) | RSI 36.4 Weak | MACD Bear | -35.9% from 52wH | Below POC
QCOM 184.10 -1.80% | Mixed (below 20) | RSI 51.8 Neutral | MACD Bull | -29.2% from 52wH | Above POC
TMUS 162.98 -2.08% | Bear (below all) | RSI 34.8 Weak | MACD Bear | -32.4% from 52wH | Below POC
LIN 473.37 +0.28% | Mixed (below 50/200) | RSI 50.1 Neutral | MACD Bull | -13.7% from 52wH | Below POC
ISRG 412.18 -0.63% | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 67.2 Bullish | MACD Bull | -31.7% from 52wH | Above POC
INTU 268.03 -0.51% | Bear (below all) | RSI 27.4 OS | MACD Bear | -61.9% from 52wH | Below POC
CSCO 106.94 +0.19% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 42.4 Neutral | MACD Bear | -18.0% from 52wH | Below POC
TXN 281.69 +1.21% | Bull (above all) | RSI 62.9 Bullish | MACD Bull | -15.7% from 52wH | Above POC
AMAT 512.01 +5.19% | Bull (above all) | RSI 63 Bullish | MACD Bull | -30.8% from 52wH | Above POC
BKNG 162.34 -0.93% | Bear (below all) | RSI 32.5 Weak | MACD Bear | -27.8% from 52wH | Below POC
PANW 388.41 -0.94% | Bull (above all) | RSI 58.2 Neutral | MACD Bull | -2.6% from 52wH | Above POC
MU 1,065.08 +1.05% | Bull (above all) | RSI 59.7 Neutral | MACD Bull | -15.1% from 52wH | Above POC
LRCX 323.86 +2.99% | Bull (above all) | RSI 59.5 Neutral | MACD Bull | -26.1% from 52wH | Above POC
KLAC 196.53 +3.89% | Bull (above all) | RSI 61 Bullish | MACD Bull | -36.1% from 52wH | Above POC
ADI 398.22 +0.71% | Bull (above all) | RSI 64.6 Bullish | MACD Bull | -10.7% from 52wH | Above POC
REGN 750.51 -0.23% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 37.3 Weak | MACD Bear | -12.7% from 52wH | Below POC
SNPS 415.09 -0.60% | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 54.3 Neutral | MACD Bull | -23.1% from 52wH | Above POC
CDNS 324.17 -0.77% | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 59.6 Neutral | MACD Bull | -22.2% from 52wH | Above POC
MELI 1,725.54 +0.77% | Bear (below all) | RSI 34.8 Weak | MACD Bear | -32.3% from 52wH | Below POC
CRWD 262.74 +1.35% | Bull (above all) | RSI 66 Bullish | MACD Bull | -1.8% from 52wH | Above POC
MAR 361.62 +0.85% | Bull (above all) | RSI 65 Bullish | MACD Bull | -12.0% from 52wH | Above POC
ABNB 156.96 +0.56% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 38.4 Weak | MACD Bear | -18.9% from 52wH | Below POC
MRVL 263.27 +4.51% | Bull (above all) | RSI 61.6 Bullish | MACD Bull | -20.2% from 52wH | Above POC
DASH 187.10 +4.88% | Bear (below all) | RSI 39.3 Weak | MACD Bear | -34.5% from 52wH | Below POC
FTNT 175.96 -0.21% | Bull (above all) | RSI 59.6 Neutral | MACD Bull | -3.0% from 52wH | Above POC
CEG 264.58 +1.59% | Bear (below all) | RSI 45.7 Neutral | MACD Bear | -35.9% from 52wH | Below POC
WDAY 189.17 +0.30% | Mixed (below 20) | RSI 50 Neutral | MACD Bear | -24.3% from 52wH | Above POC
PYPL 53.89 -0.72% | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 47.3 Neutral | MACD Bull | -32.0% from 52wH | Below POC
ORLY 86.08 -0.50% | Bear (below all) | RSI 47.4 Neutral | MACD Bull | -20.8% from 52wH | Below POC

Scorecard: Bull (above all) 15 · Bull (above 20/50) 3 · Mixed 5 · Bear (below 20/50) 6 · Bear (below all) 11. EMA classifications were verified programmatically (close vs each EMA) with 0 mismatches.



Sector Grouping
Semiconductors (AMD, QCOM, TXN, AMAT, MU, LRCX, KLAC, ADI, MRVL): strongest group - 8 of 9 Bull (above all), and only QCOM has slipped below its EMA20. AMAT, LRCX and KLAC all flipped to fresh MACD bullish crosses today. Semi-equipment leadership is broadening.
Mega-cap Tech (AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL, AVGO, TSLA): split. MSFT, NVDA and META are Bull (above all), and AAPL is Mixed after losing its EMA20. AMZN and GOOGL are Bear (below 20/50), while AVGO and TSLA are Bear (below all). META is doing the heavy lifting, and MSFT has a bearish MACD cross.
Software / Cloud / Cyber (ADBE, INTU, PANW, SNPS, CDNS, CRWD, FTNT, WDAY, CSCO): two-tier. Cyber leads, with PANW, CRWD and FTNT all Bull and within 3% of 52-week highs. SNPS and CDNS are Bull (above 20/50). Application software is broken: INTU (RSI 27.4) and ADBE are Bear (below all).
Consumer / Internet (COST, NFLX, TMUS, BKNG, MELI, MAR, ABNB, DASH, PYPL, ORLY): weakest group - 6 of 10 Bear (below all) (NFLX, TMUS, BKNG, MELI, DASH, ORLY). MAR is the only Bull. Today's weak confidence print fits this group's persistent underperformance.
Healthcare / Biotech (ISRG, REGN): ISRG is Bull (above 20/50) with RSI 67.2 but is still below its EMA200. REGN is Bear (below 20/50) on 1.13x relative volume.
Industrial / Other (LIN, CEG): LIN is Mixed (below 50/200). CEG is Bear (below all), 35.9% off its high.



Top Swing Setups
1. AMAT - Long (semi-equipment breakout, fresh MACD cross)
Entry: 508.15 (pivot, dip entry) · Stop: 477.75 (1.5x ATR, below EMA50 483.71) · T1: 548.65 · T2: 568.95 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.0
Confluence: +5.19% on 1.11x relative volume (best conviction among the bulls), MACD 0.25 crossed above signal -9.64, and price reclaimed the 60-day POC at 506.05. The entry sits just above POC support. ATR 20.26.

2. META - Long (momentum continuation toward 52-week high)
Entry: 731.50 (pivot / Cam S3 retest) · Stop: 684.50 (below EMA20 686.77) · T1: 779.80 (52-week high) · T2: 814.90 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:1.8
Confluence: Bull (above all), RSI 64.5 with room before overbought, MACD 39.89 > 34.38, and a 16.6% premium to POC 633.65. Wait for the dip rather than chasing after back-to-back big up days. ATR 27.81.

3. LRCX - Long (MACD bull cross, POC reclaimed)
Entry: 323.78 (pivot) · Stop: 302.10 (1.5x ATR, below EMA20 303.76) · T1: 352.65 · T2: 367.10 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.0
Confluence: +2.99%, MACD 1.55 crossed above signal -2.95, and the close is back above EMA20/EMA50 and POC 307.67. It moves in tandem with AMAT and KLAC. ATR 14.44.

4. MU - Long (trend pullback buy)
Entry: 1,054.30 (classic S1) · Stop: 983.90 (1.5x ATR, between EMA20 1,015.53 and EMA50 969.15) · T1: 1,148.15 · T2: 1,195.10 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.0
Confluence: Bull (above all), MACD 34.52 > 27.42, RSI 59.7, far above POC 929.21, and 15.1% below its 52-week high of 1,255 leaves upside room. Relative volume is soft at 0.75x, so size down. ATR 46.93.

5. TMUS - Short (52-week low breakdown)
Entry: 161.00 (break of 52-week low 161.14) · Stop: 168.20 (1.5x ATR) · T1: 151.40 · T2: 146.60 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.0
Confluence: Bear (below all), EMA50 176.83 is below EMA200 191.72, MACD -4.57 < -3.49, and -2.08% today leaves it 1.1% above the 52-week low and well below POC 178.20. RSI 34.8 is approaching oversold, so only take it on a confirmed break. ATR 4.80.



Intraday Setups
1. AMAT - Camarilla R4 breakout (Long)
Entry: 520.00 (above Cam R4 519.77) · Stop: 513.30 (Cam R1) · T1: 531.25 (R3) · T2: 540.00 · R:R: 1:1.7 / 1:3.0
Reasoning: The close sat at the day's high (512.01 vs 513.28). A push through R4 on volume extends the relative-volume breakout.

2. META - Pivot bounce (Long)
Entry: 732.00 (pivot 731.50 / Cam S3 731.99 hold) · Stop: 724.50 (below Cam S4 725.02) · T1: 747.91 (R1) · T2: 756.85 (R2) · R:R: 1:2.1 / 1:3.3
Reasoning: The trend-day close sits near the high (740.45). First dips into the pivot / S3 cluster are the high-probability long.

3. AAPL - Camarilla range fade (Short)
Entry: 331.70 (Cam R3 331.71 / pivot 331.73 / EMA20 330.95 cluster) · Stop: 334.10 (above Cam R4 334.01) · T1: 328.63 (Cam S1) · T2: 326.37 (classic S1) · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.2
Reasoning: AAPL lost its EMA20 on a -2.66% day with MACD below signal. Any bounce into the R3/pivot/EMA20 cluster is a sell unless it holds above R4.

4. TMUS - Camarilla S4 breakdown (Short)
Entry: 161.10 (below Cam S4 161.50 and 52-week low 161.14) · Stop: 162.25 (Cam S3) · T1: 159.31 (classic S3) · T2: 157.50 · R:R: 1:1.6 / 1:3.1
Reasoning: The close was near the low (162.98 vs 162.76) in a Bear (below all) trend. Losing S4 plus the 52-week low triggers stops.

5. CRWD - 52-week high breakout (Long)
Entry: 269.40 (above Cam R4 269.30 / 52-week high 267.69) · Stop: 263.80 (Cam R1 263.83) · T1: 273.99 (R2) · T2: 280.30 (R3) · R:R: 1:0.8 / 1:1.9
Reasoning: It printed a new 52-week high today, RSI is 66 and MACD is bullish. Relative volume is only 0.60x, so require a volume confirmation on the break and scale out at T1.



Key Levels Dashboard
NVDA 227.21 - Cam: S4 224.03 · S3 225.62 · S1 226.68 || R1 227.74 · R3 228.80 · R4 230.39
Classic: S3 219.43 · S2 223.23 · S1 225.22 · P 229.02 · R1 231.01 · R2 234.81 · R3 236.80 | EMA20 222.68 · EMA50 217.98 · EMA200 201.32 · POC 214.77 | Prev H/L 232.82 / 227.03 | 52w 236.54 / 164.27

MSFT 508.96 - Cam: S4 502.78 · S3 505.87 · S1 507.93 || R1 509.99 · R3 512.05 · R4 515.14
Classic: S3 491.79 · S2 497.09 · S1 503.03 · P 508.33 · R1 514.27 · R2 519.57 · R3 525.51 | EMA20 499.44 · EMA50 479.38 · EMA200 447.55 · POC 459.76 | Prev H/L 513.64 / 502.40 | 52w 553.72 / 349.20

META 738.96 - Cam: S4 725.02 · S3 731.99 · S1 736.64 || R1 741.28 · R3 745.93 · R4 752.90
Classic: S3 697.21 · S2 706.15 · S1 722.56 · P 731.50 · R1 747.91 · R2 756.85 · R3 773.26 | EMA20 686.77 · EMA50 643.12 · EMA200 629.89 · POC 633.65 | Prev H/L 740.45 / 715.10 | 52w 779.82 / 520.26

AMD 607.57 - Cam: S4 597.19 · S3 602.38 · S1 605.84 || R1 609.30 · R3 612.76 · R4 617.95
Classic: S3 581.62 · S2 593.44 · S1 600.50 · P 612.32 · R1 619.38 · R2 631.20 · R3 638.26 | EMA20 560.62 · EMA50 522.56 · EMA200 402.07 · POC 513.63 | Prev H/L 624.13 / 605.25 | 52w 639.00 / 159.33

AAPL 329.40 - Cam: S4 324.79 · S3 327.09 · S1 328.63 || R1 330.17 · R3 331.71 · R4 334.01
Classic: S3 317.98 · S2 323.34 · S1 326.37 · P 331.73 · R1 334.76 · R2 340.12 · R3 343.15 | EMA20 330.95 · EMA50 322.42 · EMA200 293.38 · POC 321.13 | Prev H/L 337.09 / 328.70 | 52w 345.34 / 243.42



Bearish Warnings
EMA50 below EMA200 (death-cross structure), 14 names: TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, LIN, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, SNPS, CDNS, MELI, CEG, ORLY.
Bearish MACD (below signal), 16 names: AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, TSLA, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, INTU, CSCO, BKNG, REGN, MELI, ABNB, DASH, CEG, WDAY. Most notable are MSFT (7.02 vs 7.35, fresh cross while still Bull above all) and AAPL (5.19 vs 5.47, now below EMA20).
Near 52-week lows: TMUS +1.1% above its low (161.14), ORLY +4.2% (82.59), INTU +6.0% (252.84) and deeply oversold at RSI 27.4, NFLX +8.0% (65.08), BKNG +8.1% (150.14).
Index momentum divergence: NAS100 RSI slid from 68.0 to 59.3 while price held within 1.4% of the record, and the MACD histogram has contracted three sessions running. No component is overbought (highest RSI: ISRG 67.2), so there is no classic overbought divergence, but momentum is cooling.
Macro: Consumer confidence is at a 12-year low and long-end yields are at multi-decade highs. The consumer / internet group (6 of 10 Bear below all) is already pricing that stress.



Events Calendar
Wed 30 Sep: ADP Employment (8:15am ET), Q2 GDP third estimate + August PCE / Core PCE (8:30am ET), Chicago PMI (9:45am ET). It is also quarter-end, so watch for rebalancing flows into the close.
Thu 1 Oct: Initial Jobless Claims (8:30am ET), S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (9:45am ET), ISM Manufacturing + Construction Spending (10:00am ET).
Fri 2 Oct: September Non-Farm Payrolls (8:30am ET), Factory Orders (10:00am ET).
Fed speakers this week: NY Fed John Williams, Chicago Fed Austan Goolsbee, Dallas Fed Lorie Logan.
Earnings (40 components): none scheduled in the next two sessions. Q3 reporting season begins mid-October, so check individual dates.
Geopolitics: US-Iran indirect talks via mediators - oil headline risk remains.



Report: 29 Sep 2026 22:05 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.

NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Daily Technical Analysis - Monday 28 September 2026
Data: Close 28 Sep 2026 | NAS100: 30,276.81 | Change: -331.32 (-1.08%) | Range: 30,081.06-30,480.40



Market Overview
The Nasdaq 100 closed at 30,276.81, down 331.32 pts (-1.08%), and now sits 1.6% below the 22 Sep record high of 30,770.63. The index gapped lower at 30,426.63, stalled at 30,480.40 and tagged 30,081.06 before a late bounce of about 196 points off the low into the close.

Drivers: Risk-off on renewed US-Iran tension - President Trump rejected Iran's ceasefire proposal and Nov WTI crude rose about 2.9% to near 95 dollars. The US 10-year yield pushed to 5.21%, its highest since 2007, less than two weeks after the Fed hiked to 3.75-4.00%. VIX rose about 10% to 16.37. Recent AI winners saw profit-taking. S&P 500 -0.77%, Dow -0.67%, Nasdaq Composite -0.9%.

Top gainers (tracked 40): PANW +4.63% · CRWD +2.82% · ISRG +2.37% · MAR +1.86% · NVDA +1.68%
Top losers (tracked 40): DASH -7.74% · QCOM -7.17% · META -4.79% · REGN -4.54% · TSLA -3.94%

Breadth (tracked 40): 16 up / 24 down.
Bias: Bullish primary trend, short-term corrective. Bulls need a reclaim of 30,480 to reopen the record high; a daily close below 30,080 opens the EMA20 at 29,845.



Trend
EMA stack: Close 30,276.81 > EMA20 29,845.46 > EMA50 29,495.57 > EMA200 27,781.31 - fully bullish stack. Price is 1.4% above the EMA20 and 9.0% above the EMA200.
Structure: Higher highs and higher lows from the 20-day low of 28,753.29. The 18-22 Sep breakout leg (29,644 to 30,770) is now consolidating in a 30,080-30,770 band.
Phase: Stage 2 advance - pullback within an uptrend. No trend damage while the EMA20 holds.



Indicators
RSI(14): 58.5, down from 68.0 at the 22 Sep high - cooling from near-overbought. No confirmed bearish divergence yet; a lower RSI high on any retest of 30,770 would be the warning.
MACD: 308.6 vs signal 193.6 - still bullish, but the histogram has narrowed to 115 from about 146-147 over the prior three sessions. Momentum is fading, not reversed.
Volume: 1.18bn vs 20-day average 1.27bn. The decline came on below-average volume, which reads as orderly profit-taking rather than distribution.
Component internals: 17 of 40 Bull (above all EMAs) vs 10 Bear (below all) · 25 with MACD above signal · 20 above their 60-day POC.



Key Index Levels
Resistance: R1 30,480 (today's high / classic R1 30,477.79) · R2 30,608 (Friday's close) and classic R2 30,678.76 · R3 30,770.63 (record high)
Support: S1 30,080 (today's low / classic S1 30,078.45) · S2 29,845 (EMA20) and classic S2 29,880.08 · S3 29,496 (EMA50) / 29,500
Classic pivots: S3 29,679.11 · S2 29,880.08 · S1 30,078.45 · P 30,279.42 · R1 30,477.79 · R2 30,678.76 · R3 30,877.13
Camarilla: S4 30,057.17 · S3 30,166.99 · S1 30,240.20 || R1 30,313.42 · R3 30,386.63 · R4 30,496.45
Round numbers: 30,000 · 30,500 · 31,000. ATR(14) 400 pts.



Component Signals (all 40)
Trend = close vs EMA20/50/200 (strict). RSI zone: OB 70+, Bull 50-70, Bear 30-50, OS 30 or below. MACD = line vs signal. POC = 60-day VWAP.

Mega-cap Tech
AAPL 338.40 (-0.78%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 61.8 Bull | MACD Bull | -2.0% vs 52wH | Above POC 320.80
MSFT 509.22 (-1.35%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 58.6 Bull | MACD Bear | -8.0% vs 52wH | Above POC 457.71
NVDA 228.86 (+1.68%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 58.6 Bull | MACD Bull | -3.2% vs 52wH | Above POC 214.30
AMZN 246.15 (-1.41%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 41.2 Bear | MACD Bear | -14.3% vs 52wH | Below POC 255.45
META 715.62 (-4.79%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60.9 Bull | MACD Bull | -8.2% vs 52wH | Above POC 631.16
GOOGL 342.75 (-0.34%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 48.8 Bear | MACD Bull | -16.1% vs 52wH | Below POC 346.75
TSLA 357.45 (-3.94%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 47.1 Bear | MACD Bear | -28.3% vs 52wH | Above POC 355.29

Semiconductors
AVGO 349.57 (-0.92%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 41.9 Bear | MACD Bull | -29.4% vs 52wH | Below POC 374.42
AMD 607.87 (-3.60%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 65.6 Bull | MACD Bull | -4.9% vs 52wH | Above POC 513.32
QCOM 187.48 (-7.17%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 54.3 Bull | MACD Bull | -27.9% vs 52wH | Above POC 173.28
TXN 278.31 (+0.09%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60.3 Bull | MACD Bull | -16.7% vs 52wH | Above POC 276.74
AMAT 486.76 (+0.36%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 56.2 Bull | MACD Bull | -34.2% vs 52wH | Below POC 507.95
MU 1,053.98 (-2.61%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 58.4 Bull | MACD Bull | -16.0% vs 52wH | Above POC 929.14
LRCX 314.47 (-0.23%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 55.8 Bull | MACD Bull | -28.3% vs 52wH | Above POC 308.57
KLAC 189.17 (+0.67%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 55.2 Bull | MACD Bull | -38.5% vs 52wH | Below POC 195.30
ADI 395.43 (+0.46%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 63.2 Bull | MACD Bull | -11.3% vs 52wH | Above POC 374.85
MRVL 251.90 (-3.83%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 57.1 Bull | MACD Bull | -23.6% vs 52wH | Above POC 220.68

Software/Cloud
ADBE 231.01 (-1.89%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 34.5 Bear | MACD Bear | -36.5% vs 52wH | Below POC 250.75
INTU 269.40 (-2.32%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 27.8 OS | MACD Bear | -61.7% vs 52wH | Below POC 316.59
PANW 392.09 (+4.63%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 59.8 Bull | MACD Bull | -1.7% vs 52wH | Above POC 353.60
SNPS 417.61 (-1.91%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 55.6 Bull | MACD Bull | -22.6% vs 52wH | Above POC 403.74
CDNS 326.70 (+0.17%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 61.5 Bull | MACD Bull | -21.6% vs 52wH | Above POC 323.47
CRWD 259.25 (+2.82%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 64.8 Bull | MACD Bull | -1.8% vs 52wH | Above POC 213.98
FTNT 176.33 (+1.65%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 60.1 Bull | MACD Bull | -2.8% vs 52wH | Above POC 161.57
WDAY 188.60 (-0.45%) | Mixed (<20 >50 >200) | RSI 49.5 Bear | MACD Bear | -24.5% vs 52wH | Above POC 174.56
CSCO 106.74 (+0.04%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 41.8 Bear | MACD Bear | -18.1% vs 52wH | Below POC 113.11

Consumer/Internet
COST 922.92 (+0.02%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 52.4 Bull | MACD Bull | -15.8% vs 52wH | Below POC 931.22
NFLX 69.23 (-2.69%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 33.4 Bear | MACD Bear | -44.6% vs 52wH | Below POC 74.19
BKNG 163.87 (-0.05%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 33.6 Bear | MACD Bear | -27.2% vs 52wH | Below POC 185.81
MELI 1,712.41 (-2.29%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 32.5 Bear | MACD Bear | -32.8% vs 52wH | Below POC 1,855.05
MAR 358.57 (+1.86%) | Bull (above all) | RSI 62.7 Bull | MACD Bull | -12.8% vs 52wH | Above POC 354.43
ABNB 156.08 (-0.88%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 37.2 Bear | MACD Bear | -19.3% vs 52wH | Below POC 167.09
DASH 178.39 (-7.74%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 29.8 OS | MACD Bear | -37.5% vs 52wH | Below POC 203.13
PYPL 54.28 (-1.38%) | Mixed (>20 <50 >200) | RSI 48.9 Bear | MACD Bull | -31.5% vs 52wH | Below POC 55.19
ORLY 86.51 (+0.46%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 49.0 Bear | MACD Bull | -20.4% vs 52wH | Below POC 87.55
TMUS 166.45 (+0.62%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 38.4 Bear | MACD Bear | -30.9% vs 52wH | Below POC 178.48

Healthcare/Biotech
ISRG 414.79 (+2.37%) | Bull (above 20/50) | RSI 69.6 Bull | MACD Bull | -31.3% vs 52wH | Above POC 376.10
REGN 752.25 (-4.54%) | Bear (below 20/50) | RSI 37.7 Bear | MACD Bear | -12.5% vs 52wH | Below POC 756.63

Industrial/Other
LIN 472.04 (+0.46%) | Mixed (>20 <50 <200) | RSI 48.6 Bear | MACD Bull | -13.9% vs 52wH | Below POC 489.54
CEG 260.43 (-1.08%) | Bear (below all) | RSI 41.8 Bear | MACD Bear | -36.9% vs 52wH | Below POC 268.22



Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (7): avg day -1.56% · 4 Bull above all · 1 Bear below all · 4 MACD bull
Semiconductors (10): avg day -1.68% · 9 Bull above all · 1 Bear below all · 10 MACD bull
Software/Cloud (9): avg day +0.30% · 3 Bull above all · 2 Bear below all · 5 MACD bull
Consumer/Internet (10): avg day -1.21% · 1 Bull above all · 5 Bear below all · 4 MACD bull
Healthcare/Biotech (2): avg day -1.09% · 0 Bull above all · 0 Bear below all · 1 MACD bull
Industrial/Other (2): avg day -0.31% · 0 Bull above all · 1 Bear below all · 1 MACD bull

Semiconductors remain the structural leader (9 of 10 above all EMAs, all 10 MACD bullish) despite the day's profit-taking in QCOM, MRVL and AMD. Software/Cloud was the only group green on the day, led by cybersecurity (PANW, CRWD, FTNT all within 3% of 52-week highs). Consumer/Internet is the weak link: half the group is below all EMAs, average RSI is around 42, and DASH, MELI, BKNG and NFLX remain in downtrends. Mega-cap is split - AAPL, MSFT, NVDA and META trend up; AMZN and GOOGL sit below their EMA20/50; TSLA is below all three.



Top Swing Setups
1. CRWD - LONG (52-week high breakout)
Entry: 264.50 · Stop: 249.80 · T1: 282.90 · T2: 301.30 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.5
Bull (above all EMAs), MACD 13.65 over 11.15, RSI 64.8, +2.82% today to 259.25 - 1.8% under the 52w high 263.87. Trigger on a close through 263.87 / classic R1 264.45. Stop 1.2x ATR (12.26), just under classic S1 250.28. POC 213.98 well below. Rel vol only 0.75 - want 1.0+ on the break.

2. PANW - LONG (52-week high breakout)
Entry: 399.00 · Stop: 376.80 · T1: 426.70 · T2: 454.35 · R:R: 1:1.2 / 1:2.5
+4.63% and closed near the day's high (367.27-394.50). Bull (above all), MACD 9.00 over 5.93, RSI 59.8, 1.7% below the 52w high 398.88. Stop 1.2x ATR (18.45), below Camarilla S4 377.11. T1 sits just under classic R3 429.20. POC 353.60 support below.

3. NVDA - LONG (strength vs tape)
Entry: 233.30 · Stop: 226.00 · T1: 242.35 · T2: 251.40 · R:R: 1:1.2 / 1:2.5
Up 1.68% on a down day with rel vol 1.24 - the best-conviction gain in the list. Bull (above all), MACD 2.59 over 2.05, RSI 58.6. Entry over today's high 233.21; first hurdle the 52w high 236.54. Stop under Camarilla S4 226.02 / classic S1 226.86. Micron earnings on Wednesday are a sector catalyst either way.

4. DASH - SHORT (sell the rally)
Entry: 182.60 · Stop: 192.20 · T1: 170.60 · T2: 158.60 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.5
-7.74% on rel vol 1.67, the heaviest volume in the list. Bear (below all), MACD -7.00 under -4.67, POC 203.13 overhead. RSI 29.8 is oversold, so do not chase - sell a bounce into the pivot 182.61. Stop above today's high 191.40.

5. MELI - SHORT (trend continuation)
Entry: 1,685.00 · Stop: 1,755.90 · T1: 1,596.30 · T2: 1,507.70 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.5
Bear (below all), MACD -38.15 under -18.85 and widening, RSI 32.5, 32.8% below the 52w high. POC 1855.05 overhead. Trigger on a break of today's low 1685.55 (classic S1 1689.52). T2 sits just above the 52w low 1495.00.



Intraday Setups
1. NAS100 - Camarilla S3 bounce LONG (with the daily trend)
Entry: 30,167.00 · Stop: 30,050.00 · T1: 30,279.00 · T2: 30,350.00 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:1.6
Buy the Camarilla S3 30,166.99. Stop under S4 30,057.17, classic S1 30,078.45 and today's low 30,081. T1 is the pivot, T2 Camarilla R2. The daily trend is bullish, so this is the preferred side of the range.

2. NAS100 - Camarilla R3 fade SHORT (range day)
Entry: 30,387.00 · Stop: 30,500.00 · T1: 30,279.00 · T2: 30,204.00 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:1.6
Sell the first test of Camarilla R3 30,386.63. Stop above R4 30,496.45 and today's high 30,480. T1 is the pivot, T2 Camarilla S2. Invalidated by acceptance above R4 - that flips to a breakout long towards classic R2 30,678.76.

3. AMD - Camarilla R4 breakout LONG
Entry: 626.50 · Stop: 617.00 · T1: 639.00 · T2: 644.90 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:1.9
Camarilla R4 and classic R1 coincide at 626.39 - strong confluence. Break and hold above it targets the 52w high 639.00, then classic R2 644.91. Stop back under Camarilla R3 617.13. Bull (above all), MACD 36.36 over 25.10; RSI 65.6 is near overbought, so size down.

4. META - Camarilla S3 bounce LONG
Entry: 705.35 · Stop: 694.80 · T1: 719.05 · T2: 726.45 · R:R: 1:1.3 / 1:2.0
-4.79% reversal from 750.58, but still Bull (above all) with MACD 40.39 over 33.00 and RSI 60.9. Buy Camarilla S3 705.34; stop under S4 695.06. T1 Camarilla R1 719.05, T2 classic pivot 726.46. EMA20 681.28 is the deeper line if this fails.

5. DASH - Camarilla S4 breakdown SHORT
Entry: 170.90 · Stop: 175.00 · T1: 166.80 · T2: 160.50 · R:R: 1:1.0 / 1:2.5
Momentum short if price breaks Camarilla S4 171.04 and holds below it. Stop back above S3 174.72. T1 1:1, T2 classic S3 160.46. Oversold RSI 29.8 - take partial profit quickly.



Key Levels Dashboard
NVDA - close 228.86 (+1.68%)
Cam: S4 226.02 · S3 227.44 · S1 228.39 || R1 229.33 · R3 230.28 · R4 231.70
Classic: S3 221.69 · S2 224.87 · S1 226.86 · P 230.04 · R1 232.03 · R2 235.21 · R3 237.20
EMA20 222.20 · EMA50 217.60 · EMA200 201.06 · POC 214.30 · Prev H/L 233.21 / 228.04 · 52w H/L 236.54 / 164.27

MSFT - close 509.22 (-1.35%)
Cam: S4 503.11 · S3 506.16 · S1 508.20 || R1 510.24 · R3 512.28 · R4 515.33
Classic: S3 492.07 · S2 497.15 · S1 503.18 · P 508.26 · R1 514.29 · R2 519.37 · R3 525.40
EMA20 498.44 · EMA50 478.17 · EMA200 446.94 · POC 457.71 · Prev H/L 513.33 / 502.22 · 52w H/L 553.72 / 349.20

AAPL - close 338.40 (-0.78%)
Cam: S4 335.68 · S3 337.04 · S1 337.95 || R1 338.85 · R3 339.76 · R4 341.12
Classic: S3 331.68 · S2 334.86 · S1 336.63 · P 339.81 · R1 341.58 · R2 344.76 · R3 346.53
EMA20 331.12 · EMA50 322.13 · EMA200 293.02 · POC 320.80 · Prev H/L 342.99 / 338.04 · 52w H/L 345.34 / 243.42

META - close 715.62 (-4.79%)
Cam: S4 695.06 · S3 705.34 · S1 712.19 || R1 719.05 · R3 725.90 · R4 736.18
Classic: S3 664.96 · S2 689.07 · S1 702.35 · P 726.46 · R1 739.74 · R2 763.85 · R3 777.13
EMA20 681.28 · EMA50 639.20 · EMA200 628.79 · POC 631.16 · Prev H/L 750.58 / 713.19 · 52w H/L 779.82 / 520.26

AMD - close 607.87 (-3.60%)
Cam: S4 589.35 · S3 598.61 · S1 604.78 || R1 610.96 · R3 617.13 · R4 626.39
Classic: S3 559.03 · S2 577.55 · S1 592.71 · P 611.23 · R1 626.39 · R2 644.91 · R3 660.07
EMA20 555.68 · EMA50 519.09 · EMA200 400.00 · POC 513.32 · Prev H/L 629.75 / 596.07 · 52w H/L 639.00 / 157.05



Bearish Warnings
Death-cross zone (EMA50 below EMA200): TSLA, COST, NFLX, ADBE, TMUS, LIN, ISRG, INTU, BKNG, SNPS, CDNS, MELI, CEG, ORLY. ISRG, SNPS and CDNS have reclaimed their EMA20/50 but are still under the EMA200 - no golden cross yet.
Bearish MACD crosses: MSFT (6.97 vs 7.44) while still above all EMAs - early momentum warning · REGN (-1.72 vs 3.75) after -4.54% on rel vol 1.47, now below EMA20/50 · WDAY (1.58 vs 2.99), lost the EMA20 · TSLA (4.90 vs 5.21), below all EMAs.
Reversal days: QCOM -7.17% (199.16 high, closed 187.48) - still above EMA20 184.26; a close below that is the tell. META -4.79% from a 750.58 high, closed near the low 713.19.
Near 52-week lows: TMUS 3.3% above 161.14 · ORLY 4.7% above 82.59 · NFLX 6.4% above 65.08 · INTU 6.5% above 252.84 · BKNG 9.1% above 150.14 · COST 9.3% above 844.06.
Oversold: INTU RSI 27.8 and DASH RSI 29.8 - downtrends intact, but snap-back risk for late shorts.
Index: MACD histogram contracting, RSI off 68 to 58.5, and the 10-year at 5.21% - rate-sensitive growth names stay vulnerable into PCE and payrolls.



Events Calendar
Tue 29 Sep: Case-Shiller (14:00 UK) · JOLTS job openings and Conference Board consumer confidence (15:00 UK) · three Fed speakers in the afternoon.
Wed 30 Sep: ADP employment (13:15 UK) · GDP third estimate and August PCE / core PCE (13:30 UK) · Chicago PMI (14:45 UK) · Micron (MU) earnings - key read for AI memory / HBM demand · Q3 quarter-end rebalancing.
Thu 1 Oct: Jobless claims (13:30 UK) · S&P Global manufacturing PMI (14:45 UK) · ISM manufacturing (15:00 UK).
Fri 2 Oct: September non-farm payrolls (13:30 UK) · factory orders (15:00 UK).
Background: Fed hiked to 3.75-4.00% on 16 Sep; markets price further hikes at the 27-28 Oct FOMC and in December. Geopolitics: US-Iran talks expected this week; oil is the swing factor for yields.



Report: 28 Sep 2026 22:04 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.