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NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
1 week 1 day ago #18509
by remo
Replied by remo on topic NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
NAS100 DAILY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS · Wednesday 22 April 2026
Data: Close 2026-04-22 · NAS100: 26,937.28 · Change: +457.80 (+1.73%) · VIX: 19.5
MARKET OVERVIEW
NAS100 posted a powerful session, closing at 26,937.28 — up 457.80 points (+1.73%) — on broad semiconductor and mega-cap leadership. The tape was driven by a blowout day in chips (MU +8.48%, AMD +6.67%, AVGO +5.09%, MRVL +3.96%) as capex demand from AI hyperscalers continues to flow through to the supply chain. Consumer and travel names lagged, with BKNG -6% on soft forward bookings guidance and TMUS -3.31% on subscriber-growth concerns.
Market breadth within our 40-stock universe was strongly bullish: 29 of 40 constituents closed above both their 20- and 50-day EMAs, with 23 in full bull alignment (above all three key EMAs). Only 4 names remain in strict bear alignment (below all three). VIX closed at 19.50, ticking up modestly (+3.34%) despite the rally — a sign that index option traders are pricing some hedging into tomorrow's TSLA / INTC earnings risk.
Overall bias: BULLISH — but extended. With NDX RSI(14) near 74 and the index ~10% above its 200-day EMA, chase risk is elevated. Favour pullbacks into the 20EMA over breakout chases at index level; stock-level setups where RSI is below 70 and price is reclaiming key EMAs offer the cleanest R:R.
TREND ANALYSIS
EMA stack: BULLISH — Price > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200 on the index. 50EMA at ~25,442 and 200EMA at ~24,525 are diverging positively, confirming medium-term uptrend.
Market structure: Higher highs, higher lows since the early-April swing low near 25,770. Today's close is a fresh monthly high and within touching distance of the 52-week high for the tech universe.
Phase: Trending advance — price action has broken out above the 26,700 consolidation band with expanding volume in leading semis.
INDEX INDICATOR SIGNALS
RSI(14): 74.3 — OVERBOUGHT. No bearish divergence visible — new price highs on new RSI highs. Momentum remains synchronised with price, but the overbought reading urges caution on fresh longs.
MACD: Line above signal with expanding positive histogram — bullish continuation.
Volume: Above 20-day average on the rally, driven by semi leadership. Relative volume in MU (0.96), AMD (1.31) and AVGO (1.01) confirmed their gap-and-go moves.
KEY NAS100 INDEX LEVELS
Resistance:
R1: 27,000 — psychological round number, first friction overhead
R2: 27,200 — near-term measured-move target off the recent consolidation
R3: 27,500 — upper Bollinger Band extension / all-time high zone
Support:
S1: 26,700 — prior consolidation ceiling, now support
S2: 26,300 — 20-day EMA confluence, rising trendline
S3: 25,770 — April swing low, must-hold for the uptrend
Classic Pivots (for 23 April): S2 26,420 · S1 26,680 · Pivot 26,810 · R1 27,070 · R2 27,200
NAS100 COMPONENT SIGNALS (40 STOCKS)
Format: Ticker · Close · Chg% · Trend · RSI · MACD · POC · %FromHi
Mega-cap Tech
AAPL: 273.17 · +2.63% · Bull · RSI 62.7 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -5.4% from 52wHi
MSFT: 432.92 · +2.07% · Bull 20/50 · RSI 73.1 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -22.1% from 52wHi
NVDA: 202.50 · +1.31% · Bull · RSI 69.8 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -4.6% from 52wHi
AMZN: 255.36 · +2.18% · Bull · RSI 76.8 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -1.3% from 52wHi
META: 674.72 · +0.88% · Bull · RSI 63.5 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -15.3% from 52wHi
GOOGL: 339.32 · +2.12% · Bull · RSI 66.7 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -2.8% from 52wHi
TSLA: 387.51 · +0.28% · Mixed · RSI 54 · MACD Bull · Below POC · -22.3% from 52wHi
Semiconductors
AVGO: 422.65 · +5.09% · Bull · RSI 79.1 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -0.1% from 52wHi
AMD: 303.46 · +6.67% · Bull · RSI 83.3 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -0.3% from 52wHi
MU: 487.48 · +8.48% · Bull · RSI 68.3 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -0.9% from 52wHi
QCOM: 136.07 · +0.38% · Mixed · RSI 58.6 · MACD Bull · Below POC · -33.9% from 52wHi
TXN: 236.31 · +1.36% · Bull · RSI 76.9 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -1.0% from 52wHi
AMAT: 403.48 · +2.32% · Bull · RSI 64.8 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -0.9% from 52wHi
LRCX: 265.55 · +2.78% · Bull · RSI 61.7 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -2.9% from 52wHi
KLAC: 1812.06 · +1.49% · Bull · RSI 68.7 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -0.6% from 52wHi
ADI: 381.42 · +1.64% · Bull · RSI 74.6 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -1.0% from 52wHi
MRVL: 157.31 · +3.96% · Bull · RSI 87.5 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -0.9% from 52wHi
Software/Cloud
ADBE: 255.94 · +3.54% · Mixed · RSI 56.8 · MACD Bull · Below POC · -39.5% from 52wHi
INTU: 408.68 · +0.95% · Mixed · RSI 49.9 · MACD Bull · Below POC · -49.8% from 52wHi
CRWD: 466.68 · +3.80% · Bull · RSI 66.5 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -17.7% from 52wHi
PANW: 181.20 · +3.57% · Bull · RSI 65 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -19.0% from 52wHi
FTNT: 87.09 · +2.15% · Bull · RSI 63.1 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -20.3% from 52wHi
SNPS: 477.26 · +2.07% · Bull · RSI 71.2 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -26.8% from 52wHi
CDNS: 331.61 · +1.77% · Bull · RSI 70.6 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -11.9% from 52wHi
WDAY: 126.60 · -1.98% · Mixed · RSI 47.7 · MACD Bull · Below POC · -54.1% from 52wHi
Consumer/Internet
NFLX: 93.24 · +0.71% · Bear · RSI 42.1 · MACD Bear · Above POC · -30.5% from 52wHi
COST: 1003.70 · -0.21% · Bull · RSI 53.5 · MACD Bear · Above POC · -5.9% from 52wHi
BKNG: 179.40 · -6.00% · Bear · RSI 50.6 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -23.2% from 52wHi
ABNB: 144.18 · +1.07% · Bull · RSI 68.7 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -2.1% from 52wHi
MAR: 367.13 · -2.22% · Bull · RSI 62.4 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -3.4% from 52wHi
MELI: 1860.98 · +0.37% · Bull 20/50 · RSI 59.4 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -29.6% from 52wHi
ORLY: 93.92 · +0.12% · Bull 20/50 · RSI 54.9 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -13.6% from 52wHi
DASH: 182.27 · -0.10% · Bull 20/50 · RSI 61.9 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -36.2% from 52wHi
PYPL: 51.22 · +0.67% · Bull 20/50 · RSI 68.1 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -35.6% from 52wHi
Healthcare/Biotech
REGN: 746.58 · -0.10% · Bear 20/50 · RSI 45.5 · MACD Bear · Below POC · -9.1% from 52wHi
ISRG: 483.62 · +7.16% · Bull 20/50 · RSI 56.9 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -19.9% from 52wHi
Industrial/Other
LIN: 494.62 · -0.04% · Mixed · RSI 49.7 · MACD Bear · Above POC · -3.1% from 52wHi
CEG: 287.16 · +3.41% · Bear · RSI 47.3 · MACD Bull · Below POC · -30.4% from 52wHi
TMUS: 188.92 · -3.31% · Bear · RSI 32.6 · MACD Bear · Below POC · -28.4% from 52wHi
CSCO: 89.80 · +0.11% · Bull · RSI 74.3 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -0.7% from 52wHi
BREADTH DASHBOARD
Bull (above all 3 EMAs): 23/40 · Bull (above 20/50): 6/40
Bear (below all 3): 4/40 · Bear (below 20/50): 1/40
Mixed/Recovery: 6/40 · Overbought RSI>=70: 10 · Oversold RSI<=30: 0 · Above POC: 32/40
TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
1. AVGO · Semiconductor Breakout · LONG
Close 422.65 (+5.09%) · RSI 79.1 · MACD bull · Above all EMAs · -0.1% from 52wHi · POC 334.08
Entry: 418-422 on pullback · Stop: 407 (below 20EMA at 368.62 leaves room; tight stop under today's low 404.86 for swing) · T1: 435 · T2: 450 · R:R: 1:2.2
Thesis: Clean break to fresh all-time highs on +5.09% day with 1.01 RV. MACD histogram expanding, all EMAs aligned, price well clear of POC (334) — strong institutional footprint.
2. MU · Memory Chip Breakout · LONG
Close 487.48 (+8.48%) · RSI 68.3 · MACD bull · Above all EMAs · -0.9% from 52wHi · POC 407.11
Entry: 475-480 on pullback to breakout zone · Stop: 455 (below 20EMA buffer, ATR 26.35) · T1: 505 · T2: 533 (R3 pivot extension) · R:R: 1:2.5
Thesis: +8.48% session on memory super-cycle thesis. Price 66% above 200EMA and well clear of POC at 407. RSI 68.3 leaves room before overbought. Watch for a standard 0.5 ATR pullback before entry to avoid chasing.
3. KLAC · Semi Cap Equipment Continuation · LONG
Close 1812.06 (+1.49%) · RSI 68.7 · MACD bull · Above all EMAs · -0.6% from 52wHi · POC 1508.41
Entry: 1785-1800 on pullback to Cam R1 retest · Stop: 1720 (below 20EMA 1678) · T1: 1860 · T2: 1900 · R:R: 1:1.6
Thesis: Less extended than MU/AMD; RSI 68.7 still below 70. Sits 0.6% from 52wHi — natural magnet for breakout flow. MACD 85.79 vs 72.09 signal, healthy separation.
4. ABNB · Travel Recovery Breakout · LONG
Close 144.18 (+1.07%) · RSI 68.7 · MACD bull · Above all EMAs · -2.1% from 52wHi · POC 128.69
Entry: 142-144 (any pullback to Cam R1 zone) · Stop: 134 (below 20EMA) · T1: 148 · T2: 155 · R:R: 1:2.1
Thesis: Only 2% from 52wHi (147.25), daily high tagged the 52w high. RV 1.2 shows accumulation. Defies today's BKNG/MAR travel weakness — relative strength signal.
5. META · Mega-cap Recovery Long · LONG
Close 674.72 (+0.88%) · RSI 63.5 · MACD bull · Above EMA20/50 but below EMA200 · -15.3% from 52wHi · POC 637.80
Entry: 670-675 on retest of breakout · Stop: 640 (below 20EMA 638.61) · T1: 705 · T2: 735 · R:R: 1:2.5
Thesis: MACD line 17.19 vs signal 7.76 — very wide bullish separation. RV low at 0.49, so breakout lacks conviction yet — confirmation above 685 unlocks momentum toward 200EMA reclaim at 651 → pivoting bullish on longer timeframes.
INTRADAY SETUPS (Pivot/Camarilla)
1. AMD · Cam R4 Breakout Long
Close 303.46 (+6.67%) · Today touched Cam R4 (313.42). Pure trend-day setup.
Entry: Long if opens/holds above 313.42 (313.42) · Stop: 308.44 (308.44) · T1: R1 309.76 · T2: R2 316.06
Caution: RSI 83.3 — take profits aggressively on any wick through R1 pivot.
2. NVDA · Classic Pivot Bounce Long
Close 202.50 (+1.31%) · Sits at Pivot 201.33. Strong bull trend bias.
Entry: Long on bounce off S1 200.17 with bullish reversal candle · Stop: S2 197.83 · T1: Pivot 201.33 · T2: R1 203.67 · R:R: 1:2
3. PANW · Camarilla Range Trade
Close 181.20 · RSI 65 · Sits above Cam R3 - breakout tendency.
Long trigger: Break and hold above 184.70 (184.70) targets R1 pivot 183.43 (183.43)
Short fade: Rejection at 183.43 with bearish candle · Stop 184.70 · Target Cam S3 179.45 (179.45)
4. TSLA · AVOID — Earnings After Bell
Close 387.51 · Earnings released today after close. Mixed trend (EMA20 > EMA50, but close < EMA200 at 390.59). MACD just turned positive (0.33 vs -5.00 signal). Wait for post-earnings gap to fill or pivot levels to form before entering any direction.
5. ISRG · Reversal Long on Relative Volume
Close 483.62 (+7.16%) · RV 2.1 (2x average) · Big green day on heavy volume off oversold.
Entry: 481-485 (above today's close, near POC 481.11) · Stop: 466 (below Cam S4) · T1: 500 (R1 pivot) · T2: 510 · R:R: 1:1.5
Thesis: Rejected Cam R4 with strong close. Volume spike confirms buying. Watch for follow-through above 485 to invalidate downtrend.
KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD (Top 5 Tradeable)
AVGO · Close 422.65 · ATR 12.59
Cam: S4 412.56 · S3 417.61 · S1 420.97 || R1 424.33 · R3 427.69 · R4 432.74
Classic: S3 392.27 · S2 398.56 · S1 410.61 || Pivot 416.90 || R1 428.95 · R2 435.24 · R3 447.29
EMAs: 20 368.62 · 50 348.39 · 200 322.18 || POC 334.08
Day: H 423.20 · L 404.86 || 52w: Hi 423.20 · Lo 165.22
MU · Close 487.48 · ATR 26.35
Cam: S4 469.10 · S3 478.29 · S1 484.42 || R1 490.54 · R3 496.67 · R4 505.86
Classic: S3 433.28 · S2 445.92 · S1 466.70 || Pivot 479.34 || R1 500.12 · R2 512.76 · R3 533.54
EMAs: 20 428.53 · 50 404.93 · 200 294.10 || POC 407.11
Day: H 491.98 · L 458.56 || 52w: Hi 491.98 · Lo 67.44
NVDA · Close 202.50 · ATR 4.88
Cam: S4 200.58 · S3 201.54 · S1 202.18 || R1 202.82 · R3 203.46 · R4 204.43
Classic: S3 196.67 · S2 197.83 · S1 200.17 || Pivot 201.33 || R1 203.67 · R2 204.83 · R3 207.17
EMAs: 20 190.30 · 50 185.85 · 200 176.03 || POC 183.92
Day: H 202.50 · L 199.00 || 52w: Hi 212.19 · Lo 97.28
AAPL · Close 273.17 · ATR 6.19
Cam: S4 269.39 · S3 271.28 · S1 272.54 || R1 273.80 · R3 275.06 · R4 276.95
Classic: S3 261.91 · S2 264.39 · S1 268.78 || Pivot 271.26 || R1 275.65 · R2 278.13 · R3 282.52
EMAs: 20 262.26 · 50 260.81 · 200 252.75 || POC 261.83
Day: H 273.74 · L 266.87 || 52w: Hi 288.62 · Lo 193.25
AMD · Close 303.46 · ATR 11.28
Cam: S4 293.50 · S3 298.48 · S1 301.80 || R1 305.12 · R3 308.44 · R4 313.42
Classic: S3 273.54 · S2 279.84 · S1 291.65 || Pivot 297.95 || R1 309.76 · R2 316.06 · R3 327.87
EMAs: 20 249.05 · 50 229.25 · 200 202.43 || POC 219.12
Day: H 304.25 · L 286.14 || 52w: Hi 304.25 · Lo 85.17
BEARISH WARNINGS
BKNG · Close 179.40 · Chg -6.00% · below all 3 EMAs
TMUS · Close 188.92 · Chg -3.31% · below all 3 EMAs · weak RSI 32.6 · MACD bearish
REGN · Close 746.58 · Chg -0.10% · MACD bearish
NFLX · Close 93.24 · Chg +0.71% · below all 3 EMAs · MACD bearish · -30.5% from 52wHi
CEG · Close 287.16 · Chg +3.41% · below all 3 EMAs · -30.4% from 52wHi
Notable weakness within uptrend:
TMUS · 188.92 (-3.31%) · RSI 32.6 approaching oversold · Close below 200EMA at 213.51 · Death-cross risk; 52wLo at 181.36 is the line in the sand.
WDAY · 126.60 (-1.98%) · 54% from 52wHi · MACD bearish, below EMA50/200. No reversal signal yet.
REGN · 746.58 (-0.10%) · Mixed/recovery trend · Stalled under EMA20/50. Needs reclaim of 756 for long setup.
EVENTS CALENDAR
Tonight (Wednesday 22 April, post-close):
TSLA — Q1 2026 earnings (Robotaxi, AI capex focus)
Thursday 23 April:
INTC, GILD, CMCSA earnings (tech reports)
HON, AXP, UNP, LMT, TMO, NEE earnings (macro read-throughs)
US Initial Jobless Claims (13:30 UK)
Friday 24 April:
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final (April)
Read-throughs for NAS100:
TSLA earnings tonight are the single biggest catalyst — a miss could pressure mega-cap growth into Thursday, while a beat unlocks fresh highs toward 27,500. INTC Thursday is a semi-sector read; weakness would tap AMD/NVDA/AVGO profit-taking given stretched RSIs.
Report: 2026-04-22 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Data: Close 2026-04-22 · NAS100: 26,937.28 · Change: +457.80 (+1.73%) · VIX: 19.5
MARKET OVERVIEW
NAS100 posted a powerful session, closing at 26,937.28 — up 457.80 points (+1.73%) — on broad semiconductor and mega-cap leadership. The tape was driven by a blowout day in chips (MU +8.48%, AMD +6.67%, AVGO +5.09%, MRVL +3.96%) as capex demand from AI hyperscalers continues to flow through to the supply chain. Consumer and travel names lagged, with BKNG -6% on soft forward bookings guidance and TMUS -3.31% on subscriber-growth concerns.
Market breadth within our 40-stock universe was strongly bullish: 29 of 40 constituents closed above both their 20- and 50-day EMAs, with 23 in full bull alignment (above all three key EMAs). Only 4 names remain in strict bear alignment (below all three). VIX closed at 19.50, ticking up modestly (+3.34%) despite the rally — a sign that index option traders are pricing some hedging into tomorrow's TSLA / INTC earnings risk.
Overall bias: BULLISH — but extended. With NDX RSI(14) near 74 and the index ~10% above its 200-day EMA, chase risk is elevated. Favour pullbacks into the 20EMA over breakout chases at index level; stock-level setups where RSI is below 70 and price is reclaiming key EMAs offer the cleanest R:R.
TREND ANALYSIS
EMA stack: BULLISH — Price > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200 on the index. 50EMA at ~25,442 and 200EMA at ~24,525 are diverging positively, confirming medium-term uptrend.
Market structure: Higher highs, higher lows since the early-April swing low near 25,770. Today's close is a fresh monthly high and within touching distance of the 52-week high for the tech universe.
Phase: Trending advance — price action has broken out above the 26,700 consolidation band with expanding volume in leading semis.
INDEX INDICATOR SIGNALS
RSI(14): 74.3 — OVERBOUGHT. No bearish divergence visible — new price highs on new RSI highs. Momentum remains synchronised with price, but the overbought reading urges caution on fresh longs.
MACD: Line above signal with expanding positive histogram — bullish continuation.
Volume: Above 20-day average on the rally, driven by semi leadership. Relative volume in MU (0.96), AMD (1.31) and AVGO (1.01) confirmed their gap-and-go moves.
KEY NAS100 INDEX LEVELS
Resistance:
R1: 27,000 — psychological round number, first friction overhead
R2: 27,200 — near-term measured-move target off the recent consolidation
R3: 27,500 — upper Bollinger Band extension / all-time high zone
Support:
S1: 26,700 — prior consolidation ceiling, now support
S2: 26,300 — 20-day EMA confluence, rising trendline
S3: 25,770 — April swing low, must-hold for the uptrend
Classic Pivots (for 23 April): S2 26,420 · S1 26,680 · Pivot 26,810 · R1 27,070 · R2 27,200
NAS100 COMPONENT SIGNALS (40 STOCKS)
Format: Ticker · Close · Chg% · Trend · RSI · MACD · POC · %FromHi
Mega-cap Tech
AAPL: 273.17 · +2.63% · Bull · RSI 62.7 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -5.4% from 52wHi
MSFT: 432.92 · +2.07% · Bull 20/50 · RSI 73.1 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -22.1% from 52wHi
NVDA: 202.50 · +1.31% · Bull · RSI 69.8 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -4.6% from 52wHi
AMZN: 255.36 · +2.18% · Bull · RSI 76.8 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -1.3% from 52wHi
META: 674.72 · +0.88% · Bull · RSI 63.5 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -15.3% from 52wHi
GOOGL: 339.32 · +2.12% · Bull · RSI 66.7 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -2.8% from 52wHi
TSLA: 387.51 · +0.28% · Mixed · RSI 54 · MACD Bull · Below POC · -22.3% from 52wHi
Semiconductors
AVGO: 422.65 · +5.09% · Bull · RSI 79.1 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -0.1% from 52wHi
AMD: 303.46 · +6.67% · Bull · RSI 83.3 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -0.3% from 52wHi
MU: 487.48 · +8.48% · Bull · RSI 68.3 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -0.9% from 52wHi
QCOM: 136.07 · +0.38% · Mixed · RSI 58.6 · MACD Bull · Below POC · -33.9% from 52wHi
TXN: 236.31 · +1.36% · Bull · RSI 76.9 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -1.0% from 52wHi
AMAT: 403.48 · +2.32% · Bull · RSI 64.8 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -0.9% from 52wHi
LRCX: 265.55 · +2.78% · Bull · RSI 61.7 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -2.9% from 52wHi
KLAC: 1812.06 · +1.49% · Bull · RSI 68.7 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -0.6% from 52wHi
ADI: 381.42 · +1.64% · Bull · RSI 74.6 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -1.0% from 52wHi
MRVL: 157.31 · +3.96% · Bull · RSI 87.5 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -0.9% from 52wHi
Software/Cloud
ADBE: 255.94 · +3.54% · Mixed · RSI 56.8 · MACD Bull · Below POC · -39.5% from 52wHi
INTU: 408.68 · +0.95% · Mixed · RSI 49.9 · MACD Bull · Below POC · -49.8% from 52wHi
CRWD: 466.68 · +3.80% · Bull · RSI 66.5 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -17.7% from 52wHi
PANW: 181.20 · +3.57% · Bull · RSI 65 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -19.0% from 52wHi
FTNT: 87.09 · +2.15% · Bull · RSI 63.1 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -20.3% from 52wHi
SNPS: 477.26 · +2.07% · Bull · RSI 71.2 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -26.8% from 52wHi
CDNS: 331.61 · +1.77% · Bull · RSI 70.6 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -11.9% from 52wHi
WDAY: 126.60 · -1.98% · Mixed · RSI 47.7 · MACD Bull · Below POC · -54.1% from 52wHi
Consumer/Internet
NFLX: 93.24 · +0.71% · Bear · RSI 42.1 · MACD Bear · Above POC · -30.5% from 52wHi
COST: 1003.70 · -0.21% · Bull · RSI 53.5 · MACD Bear · Above POC · -5.9% from 52wHi
BKNG: 179.40 · -6.00% · Bear · RSI 50.6 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -23.2% from 52wHi
ABNB: 144.18 · +1.07% · Bull · RSI 68.7 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -2.1% from 52wHi
MAR: 367.13 · -2.22% · Bull · RSI 62.4 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -3.4% from 52wHi
MELI: 1860.98 · +0.37% · Bull 20/50 · RSI 59.4 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -29.6% from 52wHi
ORLY: 93.92 · +0.12% · Bull 20/50 · RSI 54.9 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -13.6% from 52wHi
DASH: 182.27 · -0.10% · Bull 20/50 · RSI 61.9 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -36.2% from 52wHi
PYPL: 51.22 · +0.67% · Bull 20/50 · RSI 68.1 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -35.6% from 52wHi
Healthcare/Biotech
REGN: 746.58 · -0.10% · Bear 20/50 · RSI 45.5 · MACD Bear · Below POC · -9.1% from 52wHi
ISRG: 483.62 · +7.16% · Bull 20/50 · RSI 56.9 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -19.9% from 52wHi
Industrial/Other
LIN: 494.62 · -0.04% · Mixed · RSI 49.7 · MACD Bear · Above POC · -3.1% from 52wHi
CEG: 287.16 · +3.41% · Bear · RSI 47.3 · MACD Bull · Below POC · -30.4% from 52wHi
TMUS: 188.92 · -3.31% · Bear · RSI 32.6 · MACD Bear · Below POC · -28.4% from 52wHi
CSCO: 89.80 · +0.11% · Bull · RSI 74.3 · MACD Bull · Above POC · -0.7% from 52wHi
BREADTH DASHBOARD
Bull (above all 3 EMAs): 23/40 · Bull (above 20/50): 6/40
Bear (below all 3): 4/40 · Bear (below 20/50): 1/40
Mixed/Recovery: 6/40 · Overbought RSI>=70: 10 · Oversold RSI<=30: 0 · Above POC: 32/40
TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
1. AVGO · Semiconductor Breakout · LONG
Close 422.65 (+5.09%) · RSI 79.1 · MACD bull · Above all EMAs · -0.1% from 52wHi · POC 334.08
Entry: 418-422 on pullback · Stop: 407 (below 20EMA at 368.62 leaves room; tight stop under today's low 404.86 for swing) · T1: 435 · T2: 450 · R:R: 1:2.2
Thesis: Clean break to fresh all-time highs on +5.09% day with 1.01 RV. MACD histogram expanding, all EMAs aligned, price well clear of POC (334) — strong institutional footprint.
2. MU · Memory Chip Breakout · LONG
Close 487.48 (+8.48%) · RSI 68.3 · MACD bull · Above all EMAs · -0.9% from 52wHi · POC 407.11
Entry: 475-480 on pullback to breakout zone · Stop: 455 (below 20EMA buffer, ATR 26.35) · T1: 505 · T2: 533 (R3 pivot extension) · R:R: 1:2.5
Thesis: +8.48% session on memory super-cycle thesis. Price 66% above 200EMA and well clear of POC at 407. RSI 68.3 leaves room before overbought. Watch for a standard 0.5 ATR pullback before entry to avoid chasing.
3. KLAC · Semi Cap Equipment Continuation · LONG
Close 1812.06 (+1.49%) · RSI 68.7 · MACD bull · Above all EMAs · -0.6% from 52wHi · POC 1508.41
Entry: 1785-1800 on pullback to Cam R1 retest · Stop: 1720 (below 20EMA 1678) · T1: 1860 · T2: 1900 · R:R: 1:1.6
Thesis: Less extended than MU/AMD; RSI 68.7 still below 70. Sits 0.6% from 52wHi — natural magnet for breakout flow. MACD 85.79 vs 72.09 signal, healthy separation.
4. ABNB · Travel Recovery Breakout · LONG
Close 144.18 (+1.07%) · RSI 68.7 · MACD bull · Above all EMAs · -2.1% from 52wHi · POC 128.69
Entry: 142-144 (any pullback to Cam R1 zone) · Stop: 134 (below 20EMA) · T1: 148 · T2: 155 · R:R: 1:2.1
Thesis: Only 2% from 52wHi (147.25), daily high tagged the 52w high. RV 1.2 shows accumulation. Defies today's BKNG/MAR travel weakness — relative strength signal.
5. META · Mega-cap Recovery Long · LONG
Close 674.72 (+0.88%) · RSI 63.5 · MACD bull · Above EMA20/50 but below EMA200 · -15.3% from 52wHi · POC 637.80
Entry: 670-675 on retest of breakout · Stop: 640 (below 20EMA 638.61) · T1: 705 · T2: 735 · R:R: 1:2.5
Thesis: MACD line 17.19 vs signal 7.76 — very wide bullish separation. RV low at 0.49, so breakout lacks conviction yet — confirmation above 685 unlocks momentum toward 200EMA reclaim at 651 → pivoting bullish on longer timeframes.
INTRADAY SETUPS (Pivot/Camarilla)
1. AMD · Cam R4 Breakout Long
Close 303.46 (+6.67%) · Today touched Cam R4 (313.42). Pure trend-day setup.
Entry: Long if opens/holds above 313.42 (313.42) · Stop: 308.44 (308.44) · T1: R1 309.76 · T2: R2 316.06
Caution: RSI 83.3 — take profits aggressively on any wick through R1 pivot.
2. NVDA · Classic Pivot Bounce Long
Close 202.50 (+1.31%) · Sits at Pivot 201.33. Strong bull trend bias.
Entry: Long on bounce off S1 200.17 with bullish reversal candle · Stop: S2 197.83 · T1: Pivot 201.33 · T2: R1 203.67 · R:R: 1:2
3. PANW · Camarilla Range Trade
Close 181.20 · RSI 65 · Sits above Cam R3 - breakout tendency.
Long trigger: Break and hold above 184.70 (184.70) targets R1 pivot 183.43 (183.43)
Short fade: Rejection at 183.43 with bearish candle · Stop 184.70 · Target Cam S3 179.45 (179.45)
4. TSLA · AVOID — Earnings After Bell
Close 387.51 · Earnings released today after close. Mixed trend (EMA20 > EMA50, but close < EMA200 at 390.59). MACD just turned positive (0.33 vs -5.00 signal). Wait for post-earnings gap to fill or pivot levels to form before entering any direction.
5. ISRG · Reversal Long on Relative Volume
Close 483.62 (+7.16%) · RV 2.1 (2x average) · Big green day on heavy volume off oversold.
Entry: 481-485 (above today's close, near POC 481.11) · Stop: 466 (below Cam S4) · T1: 500 (R1 pivot) · T2: 510 · R:R: 1:1.5
Thesis: Rejected Cam R4 with strong close. Volume spike confirms buying. Watch for follow-through above 485 to invalidate downtrend.
KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD (Top 5 Tradeable)
AVGO · Close 422.65 · ATR 12.59
Cam: S4 412.56 · S3 417.61 · S1 420.97 || R1 424.33 · R3 427.69 · R4 432.74
Classic: S3 392.27 · S2 398.56 · S1 410.61 || Pivot 416.90 || R1 428.95 · R2 435.24 · R3 447.29
EMAs: 20 368.62 · 50 348.39 · 200 322.18 || POC 334.08
Day: H 423.20 · L 404.86 || 52w: Hi 423.20 · Lo 165.22
MU · Close 487.48 · ATR 26.35
Cam: S4 469.10 · S3 478.29 · S1 484.42 || R1 490.54 · R3 496.67 · R4 505.86
Classic: S3 433.28 · S2 445.92 · S1 466.70 || Pivot 479.34 || R1 500.12 · R2 512.76 · R3 533.54
EMAs: 20 428.53 · 50 404.93 · 200 294.10 || POC 407.11
Day: H 491.98 · L 458.56 || 52w: Hi 491.98 · Lo 67.44
NVDA · Close 202.50 · ATR 4.88
Cam: S4 200.58 · S3 201.54 · S1 202.18 || R1 202.82 · R3 203.46 · R4 204.43
Classic: S3 196.67 · S2 197.83 · S1 200.17 || Pivot 201.33 || R1 203.67 · R2 204.83 · R3 207.17
EMAs: 20 190.30 · 50 185.85 · 200 176.03 || POC 183.92
Day: H 202.50 · L 199.00 || 52w: Hi 212.19 · Lo 97.28
AAPL · Close 273.17 · ATR 6.19
Cam: S4 269.39 · S3 271.28 · S1 272.54 || R1 273.80 · R3 275.06 · R4 276.95
Classic: S3 261.91 · S2 264.39 · S1 268.78 || Pivot 271.26 || R1 275.65 · R2 278.13 · R3 282.52
EMAs: 20 262.26 · 50 260.81 · 200 252.75 || POC 261.83
Day: H 273.74 · L 266.87 || 52w: Hi 288.62 · Lo 193.25
AMD · Close 303.46 · ATR 11.28
Cam: S4 293.50 · S3 298.48 · S1 301.80 || R1 305.12 · R3 308.44 · R4 313.42
Classic: S3 273.54 · S2 279.84 · S1 291.65 || Pivot 297.95 || R1 309.76 · R2 316.06 · R3 327.87
EMAs: 20 249.05 · 50 229.25 · 200 202.43 || POC 219.12
Day: H 304.25 · L 286.14 || 52w: Hi 304.25 · Lo 85.17
BEARISH WARNINGS
BKNG · Close 179.40 · Chg -6.00% · below all 3 EMAs
TMUS · Close 188.92 · Chg -3.31% · below all 3 EMAs · weak RSI 32.6 · MACD bearish
REGN · Close 746.58 · Chg -0.10% · MACD bearish
NFLX · Close 93.24 · Chg +0.71% · below all 3 EMAs · MACD bearish · -30.5% from 52wHi
CEG · Close 287.16 · Chg +3.41% · below all 3 EMAs · -30.4% from 52wHi
Notable weakness within uptrend:
TMUS · 188.92 (-3.31%) · RSI 32.6 approaching oversold · Close below 200EMA at 213.51 · Death-cross risk; 52wLo at 181.36 is the line in the sand.
WDAY · 126.60 (-1.98%) · 54% from 52wHi · MACD bearish, below EMA50/200. No reversal signal yet.
REGN · 746.58 (-0.10%) · Mixed/recovery trend · Stalled under EMA20/50. Needs reclaim of 756 for long setup.
EVENTS CALENDAR
Tonight (Wednesday 22 April, post-close):
TSLA — Q1 2026 earnings (Robotaxi, AI capex focus)
Thursday 23 April:
INTC, GILD, CMCSA earnings (tech reports)
HON, AXP, UNP, LMT, TMO, NEE earnings (macro read-throughs)
US Initial Jobless Claims (13:30 UK)
Friday 24 April:
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final (April)
Read-throughs for NAS100:
TSLA earnings tonight are the single biggest catalyst — a miss could pressure mega-cap growth into Thursday, while a beat unlocks fresh highs toward 27,500. INTC Thursday is a semi-sector read; weakness would tap AMD/NVDA/AVGO profit-taking given stretched RSIs.
Report: 2026-04-22 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
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1 week 2 days ago #18504
by remo
Replied by remo on topic NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
NAS100 Daily Technical Analysis - Tuesday 21 April 2026
Data: Close 2026-04-21 | NAS100: ~26,430 | Change: -131 (-0.49%) | Range: 26,350-26,620
MARKET OVERVIEW
US tech gave back ground on Tuesday as geopolitical risk (U.S.-Iran ceasefire uncertainty) weighed on broad risk assets. The NAS100 drifted roughly -0.5% to finish near 26,430, while the Nasdaq Composite closed -0.59% at 24,259.96, the S&P 500 -0.63% at 7,064.01 and the Dow -0.59% at 49,149.38. VIX firmed to 18.87.
Under the surface, leadership was bifurcated. Semiconductors and cybersecurity names outperformed aggressively (CRWD +3.80%, AMD +3.47%, FTNT +3.22%, PANW +3.18%, MRVL +2.35%), while a handful of heavyweight names and defensive tech dragged (AAPL -2.52%, ISRG -3.07%, CEG -3.42%, DASH -3.87%, NFLX -2.37%).
Across our 40-stock NASDAQ 100 scan: 16 advancers vs 23 decliners (1 flat), average change -0.11%. Despite the mixed tape, 31 of 40 stocks closed above their 60-day Point of Control and 35 of 40 held bullish MACD crossovers - the medium-term uptrend remains intact.
Overall bias: BULLISH medium-term, NEUTRAL short-term. Chips and cyber still lead; mega-cap tech is pausing. Tesla Q1 earnings (Wed 22 Apr AMC) is the pivotal near-term catalyst.
TREND ANALYSIS
EMA stack (index level): NAS100 EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200 - classic bullish alignment holding from the late-2025 rally. A slow-turning 20EMA now provides first dynamic support.
Market structure: Sequence of higher-highs / higher-lows intact on the daily. Today's pullback is inside the prior two sessions' range - characteristic of a pause, not a reversal.
Current phase: Bullish trend in digestion mode. Short-term momentum is cooling (breadth deterioration today), but the underlying trend (index above all three EMAs, RSI mid-60s) has not been violated. Watch for a consolidation between 26,300-26,620 before the next leg.
INDICATOR SIGNALS
RSI (14): NAS100 mid-60s - bullish regime, not yet overbought. Internally, 7 components are >70 (ADI, MRVL, AMZN, AVGO, AMD, CSCO, TXN) - chip leadership is extended but not failing. 0 stocks in our universe are oversold (<30).
MACD: Histogram positive and expanding on the index; 35/40 components show MACD line above signal. Only 5 names with bearish MACD: REGN, COST, NFLX, TMUS, LIN.
Volume: Relative volume across the universe today was mixed - conviction on the upside moves (CRWD, AMD, PANW) was solid (RV 0.94-1.11), but several losers (AAPL 1.15, ISRG 1.46, TMUS 1.89) saw above-average participation on the decline, which is a short-term caution flag for those specific names.
KEY NAS100 INDEX LEVELS
Resistance:
- 26,620 - session high / immediate supply
- 26,800 - prior swing high cluster
- 27,000 - major psychological round number
Support:
- 26,350 - session low / short-term pivot
- 26,000 - round number + rising EMA20
- 25,700 - EMA50 zone, structural bull-trend support
Classic pivots (index proxy):
S2 26,100 | S1 26,280 | Pivot 26,450 | R1 26,620 | R2 26,800
NASDAQ 100 COMPONENT SIGNALS - ALL 40
Format: TICKER | CLOSE | CH% | RSI | MACD | %from52H | POC | TREND
AAPL | 266.17 | -2.52% | RSI 56.7 Bull | MACD Bull+ | 52H -7.78% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
MSFT | 424.16 | +1.46% | RSI 69.9 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -23.64% | aPOC | Bull (above 20/50)
NVDA | 199.88 | -1.08% | RSI 67.6 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -5.80% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
AMZN | 249.91 | +0.66% | RSI 74.0 OB | MACD Bull+ | 52H -3.36% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
META | 668.84 | -0.31% | RSI 62.1 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -16.00% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
GOOGL | 332.29 | -1.52% | RSI 63.0 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -4.79% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
AVGO | 402.21 | +0.65% | RSI 74.6 OB | MACD Bull+ | 52H -2.99% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
TSLA | 386.39 | -1.56% | RSI 53.5 Bull | MACD Bull | 52H -22.54% | bPOC | Mixed/Recovery
COST | 1005.81 | +0.80% | RSI 54.5 Bull | MACD Bear | 52H -5.74% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
NFLX | 92.58 | -2.37% | RSI 40.7 Weak | MACD Bear | 52H -30.97% | aPOC | Bear (below all)
AMD | 284.49 | +3.47% | RSI 79.4 OB | MACD Bull+ | 52H -1.08% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
ADBE | 247.18 | -0.58% | RSI 50.5 Bull | MACD Bull | 52H -41.56% | bPOC | Mixed/Recovery
QCOM | 135.56 | -1.43% | RSI 57.5 Bull | MACD Bull+ | 52H -34.18% | bPOC | Mixed/Recovery
TMUS | 195.39 | -1.50% | RSI 39.5 Bear | MACD Bear- | 52H -25.93% | bPOC | Bear (below all)
LIN | 494.84 | -0.66% | RSI 49.9 Weak | MACD Bear | 52H -3.10% | aPOC | Mixed/Recovery
ISRG | 451.29 | -3.07% | RSI 40.7 Weak | MACD Bull | 52H -25.27% | bPOC | Bear (below all)
INTU | 404.85 | +0.00% | RSI 48.4 Weak | MACD Bull | 52H -50.25% | bPOC | Mixed/Recovery
CSCO | 89.70 | +2.27% | RSI 74.1 OB | MACD Bull+ | 52H -0.11% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
TXN | 233.15 | -0.24% | RSI 75.3 OB | MACD Bull+ | 52H -1.21% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
AMAT | 394.33 | +0.69% | RSI 61.4 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -3.18% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
BKNG | 190.86 | -0.61% | RSI 63.7 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -18.29% | aPOC | Bull (above 20/50)
PANW | 174.96 | +3.18% | RSI 60.6 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -21.76% | aPOC | Bull (above 20/50)
MU | 449.38 | +0.21% | RSI 60.5 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -4.66% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
LRCX | 258.37 | -1.82% | RSI 58.6 Bull | MACD Bull+ | 52H -5.53% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
KLAC | 1788.13 | -0.95% | RSI 67.2 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -1.93% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
ADI | 375.27 | -1.52% | RSI 72.5 OB | MACD Bull+ | 52H -2.64% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
REGN | 747.36 | -0.27% | RSI 45.9 Weak | MACD Bear- | 52H -8.98% | bPOC | Bear (below 20/50)
SNPS | 467.58 | +1.44% | RSI 68.8 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -28.26% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
CDNS | 325.84 | +2.30% | RSI 68.6 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -13.44% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
MELI | 1854.18 | -0.85% | RSI 58.7 Bull | MACD Bull+ | 52H -29.90% | aPOC | Bull (above 20/50)
CRWD | 449.61 | +3.80% | RSI 62.7 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -20.69% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
MAR | 375.45 | -0.86% | RSI 70.0 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -1.20% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
ABNB | 142.65 | -0.65% | RSI 67.1 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -2.14% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
MRVL | 151.31 | +2.35% | RSI 86.0 OB | MACD Bull+ | 52H -2.35% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
DASH | 182.45 | -3.87% | RSI 62.1 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -36.09% | aPOC | Bull (above 20/50)
FTNT | 85.26 | +3.22% | RSI 59.7 Bull | MACD Bull+ | 52H -22.02% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
CEG | 277.73 | -3.42% | RSI 41.3 Weak | MACD Bull | 52H -32.70% | bPOC | Bear (below all)
WDAY | 129.16 | +0.95% | RSI 50.6 Bull | MACD Bull | 52H -53.20% | bPOC | Mixed/Recovery
PYPL | 50.88 | -1.13% | RSI 67.1 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -36.00% | aPOC | Bull (above 20/50)
ORLY | 93.81 | +1.06% | RSI 54.6 Bull | MACD Bull+ | 52H -13.71% | aPOC | Bull (above 20/50)
SECTOR GROUPING AND TRENDS
Semiconductors - 12/13 Bull (above all) - avg +0.31%
The undisputed leadership group. AVGO, AMD, MRVL, TXN, AMAT, KLAC, LRCX, ADI, MU, CDNS, SNPS all bull-aligned with strong MACD. Several extended (RSI>70) but volume is sticky - trend-followers stay long, no reason to fade yet.
Software/Cloud - 4/8 Bull (above all) - avg +1.79%
Cybersecurity (CRWD, PANW, FTNT) joined the party today with strong closes; CRWD and PANW broke out with conviction. ADBE, INTU, WDAY still in recovery mode below EMA200 - lagging but basing.
Mega-cap Tech - 5/6 Bull (above all) - avg -0.55%
Group pulled back today led by AAPL -2.52%. MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL remain technically intact. AAPL is still above all three EMAs but today's -2.52% on 1.15x RV suggests short-term distribution - watch the 260 EMA50 zone.
Consumer/Internet - 3/10 Bull (above all) - avg -1.00%
Mixed: BKNG, MAR, ABNB, MELI bull-aligned; NFLX (-2.37%) now Bear (below all) and DASH (-3.87%) the weakest name of the day. TSLA drifting pre-earnings.
Healthcare/Biotech - 0/2 Bull (above all) - avg -1.67%
Outright weak. ISRG Bear (below all) and -3.07% today; REGN Bear (below 20/50). Avoid long exposure here until structure repairs.
Industrial/Other - 1/4 Bull (above all) - avg -0.83%
CSCO is the bright spot (74 RSI, near 52w high). CEG -3.42% ugly day, now Bear (below all). TMUS Bear (below all) with 1.89x RV today - accelerated distribution.
TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
1. CRWD - Strong breakout continuation
Close 449.61 (+3.80%), RSI 62.7, MACD fresh bull cross (5.17 vs -0.43), Bull (above all), POC 404.27 well below price.
Entry: 448-452 · Stop: 435 (~1 ATR) · T1: 475 · T2: 510 · R:R: 1:2.0
Confluence: MACD just flipped positive, price reclaimed 440, plenty of room to 52w high 566.90. Cybersecurity leadership resuming.
2. AMD - Momentum breakout
Close 284.49 (+3.47%), RSI 79.4 (extended but strong), MACD 19.02>13.06, Bull (above all), within 1.1% of 52w high.
Entry: 282-285 on any pullback · Stop: 273 (below prior day low) · T1: 295 · T2: 305 · R:R: 1:1.6
Confluence: Chip leader, clear MACD expansion, POC 217.84 shows huge distance from fair value. Risk-aware - do NOT chase in size while RSI >78.
3. PANW - Reclaim above EMA200 pending
Close 174.96 (+3.18%), RSI 60.6, MACD 2.02>0.83, EMA200 178.86 (resistance just overhead), POC 160.84 well below.
Entry: 173-176, confirm break >179 · Stop: 167 · T1: 186 · T2: 200 · R:R: 1:1.4
Confluence: Bullish MACD, reclaim EMA20/EMA50; EMA200 is the final test. Above 179 opens fast tape toward 186 R2 pivot.
4. FTNT - Fresh MACD cross
Close 85.26 (+3.22%), RSI 59.7, MACD just crossed (0.24 vs -0.18), Bull (above all), above POC.
Entry: 84.5-86 · Stop: 81.5 (below EMA20) · T1: 90 · T2: 95 · R:R: 1:1.9
Confluence: MACD signal-line flip today is the fresh trigger; small stock universe, room to 52w high 109.33.
5. KLAC - New 52w high buyers
Close 1788.13 (-0.95% pullback), RSI 67.2, MACD 84.83>68.70 wide, Bull (above all), high 1823.27 = 52w high.
Entry: 1785-1800 · Stop: 1745 (below prior swing) · T1: 1830 · T2: 1880 · R:R: 1:1.5
Confluence: Printed new 52w high intraday then faded - classic pre-breakout pause. Chip-equipment leadership remains strongest subsector.
INTRADAY SETUPS (Pivot and Camarilla)
AMD - Cam R4 breakout trade
Pivot 282.44 | R1 288.25 | R3 297.83 | Cam R4 289.76
Direction: LONG on clean break of Cam R4 289.76. Indicates trend-day higher.
Entry: 290.06 · Stop: 287.12 · Target: 297.83
Confluence: Daily momentum aligned (RSI 79, MACD wide). Break of Cam R4 = trending day bias.
CRWD - Pivot / S1 bounce
Classic S1 437.69 | Pivot 448.42 | R1 460.34
Direction: LONG buy any pullback toward Pivot 448.42 or S1 437.69. Bullish daily structure.
Entry: 448.42-437.69 · Stop: 425.77 · Target: 460.34 then 471.07
Confluence: Today's breakout, fresh MACD bull cross, chance of a pullback to Pivot for a cleaner long.
BKNG - Camarilla range (Cam S3/R3)
Cam S3 189.55 | Cam R3 192.17 | Pivot 191.32
Direction: Range between Cam S3 and R3 - fade extremes. Long off Cam S3, short off Cam R3 (small size).
Long: Buy 189.55 stop 188.25 target 191.32
Short: Sell 192.17 stop 193.47 target 191.32
Confluence: Low RV (0.57) suggests quiet tape; tight Camarilla range is best for a range-fade approach.
TMUS - Bear pivot rejection
Classic S1 191.17 | Pivot 198.97 | R1 203.2
Direction: SHORT any bounce into Pivot 198.97 or R1 203.2. Bearish daily structure (Bear below all EMAs, MACD bear, 1.89x RV).
Entry: 198.97-203.20 · Stop: 211.00 · Target: 191.17 then 186.94
Confluence: Heavy distribution volume today, Bear (below all), MACD negative.
ISRG - Short rip to pivot
S1 444.69 | Pivot 457.89 | R1 464.48
Direction: SHORT toward Pivot 457.89. Bear (below all), RSI 40.7 bleeding lower.
Entry: 457.89-464.48 · Stop: 477.68 · Target: 444.69 then 438.10
Confluence: -3.07% on 1.46x RV, MACD deeply bearish, only 5% off 52w lows.
KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD (Top 5 Tradeable)
CRWD - Close 449.61 (+3.80%)
Cam: S4 437.15 · S3 443.38 · S1 447.53 || R1 451.69 · R3 455.84 · R4 462.07
Classic: S3 415.04 · S2 425.77 · S1 437.69 · Pivot 448.42 · R1 460.34 · R2 471.07 · R3 482.99
EMAs: 20 412.91 · 50 416.70 · 200 438.25 · POC 404.27
Prev Day H/L: 459.15 / 436.50 · 52W H/L: 566.90 / 342.72 · ATR 20.09
AMD - Close 284.49 (+3.47%)
Cam: S4 279.22 · S3 281.86 · S1 283.61 || R1 285.37 · R3 287.12 · R4 289.76
Classic: S3 269.09 · S2 272.86 · S1 278.67 · Pivot 282.44 · R1 288.25 · R2 292.02 · R3 297.83
EMAs: 20 243.33 · 50 226.22 · 200 201.41 · POC 217.84
Prev Day H/L: 286.20 / 276.62 · 52W H/L: 287.61 / 83.75 · ATR 10.62
PANW - Close 174.96 (+3.18%)
Cam: S4 170.54 · S3 172.75 · S1 174.22 || R1 175.70 · R3 177.17 · R4 179.38
Classic: S3 162.45 · S2 166.02 · S1 170.49 · Pivot 174.06 · R1 178.53 · R2 182.10 · R3 186.57
EMAs: 20 164.94 · 50 165.64 · 200 178.86 · POC 160.84
Prev Day H/L: 177.63 / 169.59 · 52W H/L: 223.61 / 139.57 · ATR 7.11
KLAC - Close 1788.13 (-0.95%)
Cam: S4 1760.17 · S3 1774.15 · S1 1783.47 || R1 1792.79 · R3 1802.11 · R4 1816.09
Classic: S3 1715.11 · S2 1743.77 · S1 1765.95 · Pivot 1794.61 · R1 1816.79 · R2 1845.45 · R3 1867.63
EMAs: 20 1663.99 · 50 1556.81 · 200 1273.87 · POC 1505.70
Prev Day H/L: 1823.27 / 1772.43 · 52W H/L: 1823.27 / 607.70 · ATR 63.61
NVDA - Close 199.88 (-1.08%)
Cam: S4 197.82 · S3 198.85 · S1 199.54 || R1 200.22 · R3 200.91 · R4 201.94
Classic: S3 194.59 · S2 196.79 · S1 198.34 · Pivot 200.54 · R1 202.09 · R2 204.29 · R3 205.84
EMAs: 20 189.01 · 50 185.17 · 200 175.77 · POC 183.78
Prev Day H/L: 202.75 / 199.00 · 52W H/L: 212.19 / 95.04 · ATR 4.98
BEARISH WARNINGS
CEG - Close 277.73 (-3.42%), Bear (below all EMAs). MACD bearish (-3.13 vs -3.75), above RV at 1.15. Price broke below EMA50 and EMA20 weeks ago and now below EMA200 - structural damage.
NFLX - Close 92.58 (-2.37%), Bear (below all EMAs) after today's break below EMA200. MACD still positive but weakening, RSI 40.7 bleeding. RV 1.26 confirms distribution.
TMUS - Close 195.39 (-1.50%), Bear (below all EMAs). MACD deeply bearish (-4.08 vs -4.00), RV 1.89x - heaviest distribution in the scan. Near 52w lows zone.
ISRG - Close 451.29 (-3.07%), Bear (below all EMAs). RV 1.46x. Structural downtrend since late-2025 peak.
DASH - Close 182.45 (-3.87%), the session's biggest loser. Still Bull (above 20/50) but EMA200 198.81 capping upside; MACD line positive but signal just flipped below. Watch 170 EMA20 - break there and the structure breaks.
REGN - Close 747.36, Bear (below 20/50). MACD bearish. Biotech weakness persists.
RSI OVERBOUGHT WATCH (potential short-term exhaustion): ADI 72.5, MRVL 86.0 (extreme), AMZN 74.0, AVGO 74.6, AMD 79.4, CSCO 74.1, TXN 75.3. Do not short bull trends on RSI alone - but trim partials and tighten stops.
EVENTS CALENDAR - NEXT 48 HOURS
Wednesday 22 April 2026 (AMC):
- TSLA Q1 2026 Earnings - Consensus EPS $0.37, revenue $22.71B. Focus: Robotaxi progress, AI narrative, margin trajectory.
- IBM Q1 (check release time)
Thursday 23 April 2026:
- Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (13:30 UK)
- S&P Global Flash PMIs (Services / Manufacturing) (14:45 UK)
- Existing Home Sales (15:00 UK)
Macro backdrop: U.S.-Iran ceasefire discussions remain the dominant geopolitical risk factor. Oil moves and any escalation headlines will push tech risk premia.
Report: 2026-04-21 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Data: Close 2026-04-21 | NAS100: ~26,430 | Change: -131 (-0.49%) | Range: 26,350-26,620
MARKET OVERVIEW
US tech gave back ground on Tuesday as geopolitical risk (U.S.-Iran ceasefire uncertainty) weighed on broad risk assets. The NAS100 drifted roughly -0.5% to finish near 26,430, while the Nasdaq Composite closed -0.59% at 24,259.96, the S&P 500 -0.63% at 7,064.01 and the Dow -0.59% at 49,149.38. VIX firmed to 18.87.
Under the surface, leadership was bifurcated. Semiconductors and cybersecurity names outperformed aggressively (CRWD +3.80%, AMD +3.47%, FTNT +3.22%, PANW +3.18%, MRVL +2.35%), while a handful of heavyweight names and defensive tech dragged (AAPL -2.52%, ISRG -3.07%, CEG -3.42%, DASH -3.87%, NFLX -2.37%).
Across our 40-stock NASDAQ 100 scan: 16 advancers vs 23 decliners (1 flat), average change -0.11%. Despite the mixed tape, 31 of 40 stocks closed above their 60-day Point of Control and 35 of 40 held bullish MACD crossovers - the medium-term uptrend remains intact.
Overall bias: BULLISH medium-term, NEUTRAL short-term. Chips and cyber still lead; mega-cap tech is pausing. Tesla Q1 earnings (Wed 22 Apr AMC) is the pivotal near-term catalyst.
TREND ANALYSIS
EMA stack (index level): NAS100 EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200 - classic bullish alignment holding from the late-2025 rally. A slow-turning 20EMA now provides first dynamic support.
Market structure: Sequence of higher-highs / higher-lows intact on the daily. Today's pullback is inside the prior two sessions' range - characteristic of a pause, not a reversal.
Current phase: Bullish trend in digestion mode. Short-term momentum is cooling (breadth deterioration today), but the underlying trend (index above all three EMAs, RSI mid-60s) has not been violated. Watch for a consolidation between 26,300-26,620 before the next leg.
INDICATOR SIGNALS
RSI (14): NAS100 mid-60s - bullish regime, not yet overbought. Internally, 7 components are >70 (ADI, MRVL, AMZN, AVGO, AMD, CSCO, TXN) - chip leadership is extended but not failing. 0 stocks in our universe are oversold (<30).
MACD: Histogram positive and expanding on the index; 35/40 components show MACD line above signal. Only 5 names with bearish MACD: REGN, COST, NFLX, TMUS, LIN.
Volume: Relative volume across the universe today was mixed - conviction on the upside moves (CRWD, AMD, PANW) was solid (RV 0.94-1.11), but several losers (AAPL 1.15, ISRG 1.46, TMUS 1.89) saw above-average participation on the decline, which is a short-term caution flag for those specific names.
KEY NAS100 INDEX LEVELS
Resistance:
- 26,620 - session high / immediate supply
- 26,800 - prior swing high cluster
- 27,000 - major psychological round number
Support:
- 26,350 - session low / short-term pivot
- 26,000 - round number + rising EMA20
- 25,700 - EMA50 zone, structural bull-trend support
Classic pivots (index proxy):
S2 26,100 | S1 26,280 | Pivot 26,450 | R1 26,620 | R2 26,800
NASDAQ 100 COMPONENT SIGNALS - ALL 40
Format: TICKER | CLOSE | CH% | RSI | MACD | %from52H | POC | TREND
AAPL | 266.17 | -2.52% | RSI 56.7 Bull | MACD Bull+ | 52H -7.78% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
MSFT | 424.16 | +1.46% | RSI 69.9 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -23.64% | aPOC | Bull (above 20/50)
NVDA | 199.88 | -1.08% | RSI 67.6 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -5.80% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
AMZN | 249.91 | +0.66% | RSI 74.0 OB | MACD Bull+ | 52H -3.36% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
META | 668.84 | -0.31% | RSI 62.1 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -16.00% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
GOOGL | 332.29 | -1.52% | RSI 63.0 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -4.79% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
AVGO | 402.21 | +0.65% | RSI 74.6 OB | MACD Bull+ | 52H -2.99% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
TSLA | 386.39 | -1.56% | RSI 53.5 Bull | MACD Bull | 52H -22.54% | bPOC | Mixed/Recovery
COST | 1005.81 | +0.80% | RSI 54.5 Bull | MACD Bear | 52H -5.74% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
NFLX | 92.58 | -2.37% | RSI 40.7 Weak | MACD Bear | 52H -30.97% | aPOC | Bear (below all)
AMD | 284.49 | +3.47% | RSI 79.4 OB | MACD Bull+ | 52H -1.08% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
ADBE | 247.18 | -0.58% | RSI 50.5 Bull | MACD Bull | 52H -41.56% | bPOC | Mixed/Recovery
QCOM | 135.56 | -1.43% | RSI 57.5 Bull | MACD Bull+ | 52H -34.18% | bPOC | Mixed/Recovery
TMUS | 195.39 | -1.50% | RSI 39.5 Bear | MACD Bear- | 52H -25.93% | bPOC | Bear (below all)
LIN | 494.84 | -0.66% | RSI 49.9 Weak | MACD Bear | 52H -3.10% | aPOC | Mixed/Recovery
ISRG | 451.29 | -3.07% | RSI 40.7 Weak | MACD Bull | 52H -25.27% | bPOC | Bear (below all)
INTU | 404.85 | +0.00% | RSI 48.4 Weak | MACD Bull | 52H -50.25% | bPOC | Mixed/Recovery
CSCO | 89.70 | +2.27% | RSI 74.1 OB | MACD Bull+ | 52H -0.11% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
TXN | 233.15 | -0.24% | RSI 75.3 OB | MACD Bull+ | 52H -1.21% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
AMAT | 394.33 | +0.69% | RSI 61.4 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -3.18% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
BKNG | 190.86 | -0.61% | RSI 63.7 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -18.29% | aPOC | Bull (above 20/50)
PANW | 174.96 | +3.18% | RSI 60.6 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -21.76% | aPOC | Bull (above 20/50)
MU | 449.38 | +0.21% | RSI 60.5 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -4.66% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
LRCX | 258.37 | -1.82% | RSI 58.6 Bull | MACD Bull+ | 52H -5.53% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
KLAC | 1788.13 | -0.95% | RSI 67.2 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -1.93% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
ADI | 375.27 | -1.52% | RSI 72.5 OB | MACD Bull+ | 52H -2.64% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
REGN | 747.36 | -0.27% | RSI 45.9 Weak | MACD Bear- | 52H -8.98% | bPOC | Bear (below 20/50)
SNPS | 467.58 | +1.44% | RSI 68.8 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -28.26% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
CDNS | 325.84 | +2.30% | RSI 68.6 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -13.44% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
MELI | 1854.18 | -0.85% | RSI 58.7 Bull | MACD Bull+ | 52H -29.90% | aPOC | Bull (above 20/50)
CRWD | 449.61 | +3.80% | RSI 62.7 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -20.69% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
MAR | 375.45 | -0.86% | RSI 70.0 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -1.20% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
ABNB | 142.65 | -0.65% | RSI 67.1 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -2.14% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
MRVL | 151.31 | +2.35% | RSI 86.0 OB | MACD Bull+ | 52H -2.35% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
DASH | 182.45 | -3.87% | RSI 62.1 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -36.09% | aPOC | Bull (above 20/50)
FTNT | 85.26 | +3.22% | RSI 59.7 Bull | MACD Bull+ | 52H -22.02% | aPOC | Bull (above all)
CEG | 277.73 | -3.42% | RSI 41.3 Weak | MACD Bull | 52H -32.70% | bPOC | Bear (below all)
WDAY | 129.16 | +0.95% | RSI 50.6 Bull | MACD Bull | 52H -53.20% | bPOC | Mixed/Recovery
PYPL | 50.88 | -1.13% | RSI 67.1 Strong | MACD Bull+ | 52H -36.00% | aPOC | Bull (above 20/50)
ORLY | 93.81 | +1.06% | RSI 54.6 Bull | MACD Bull+ | 52H -13.71% | aPOC | Bull (above 20/50)
SECTOR GROUPING AND TRENDS
Semiconductors - 12/13 Bull (above all) - avg +0.31%
The undisputed leadership group. AVGO, AMD, MRVL, TXN, AMAT, KLAC, LRCX, ADI, MU, CDNS, SNPS all bull-aligned with strong MACD. Several extended (RSI>70) but volume is sticky - trend-followers stay long, no reason to fade yet.
Software/Cloud - 4/8 Bull (above all) - avg +1.79%
Cybersecurity (CRWD, PANW, FTNT) joined the party today with strong closes; CRWD and PANW broke out with conviction. ADBE, INTU, WDAY still in recovery mode below EMA200 - lagging but basing.
Mega-cap Tech - 5/6 Bull (above all) - avg -0.55%
Group pulled back today led by AAPL -2.52%. MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META, GOOGL remain technically intact. AAPL is still above all three EMAs but today's -2.52% on 1.15x RV suggests short-term distribution - watch the 260 EMA50 zone.
Consumer/Internet - 3/10 Bull (above all) - avg -1.00%
Mixed: BKNG, MAR, ABNB, MELI bull-aligned; NFLX (-2.37%) now Bear (below all) and DASH (-3.87%) the weakest name of the day. TSLA drifting pre-earnings.
Healthcare/Biotech - 0/2 Bull (above all) - avg -1.67%
Outright weak. ISRG Bear (below all) and -3.07% today; REGN Bear (below 20/50). Avoid long exposure here until structure repairs.
Industrial/Other - 1/4 Bull (above all) - avg -0.83%
CSCO is the bright spot (74 RSI, near 52w high). CEG -3.42% ugly day, now Bear (below all). TMUS Bear (below all) with 1.89x RV today - accelerated distribution.
TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
1. CRWD - Strong breakout continuation
Close 449.61 (+3.80%), RSI 62.7, MACD fresh bull cross (5.17 vs -0.43), Bull (above all), POC 404.27 well below price.
Entry: 448-452 · Stop: 435 (~1 ATR) · T1: 475 · T2: 510 · R:R: 1:2.0
Confluence: MACD just flipped positive, price reclaimed 440, plenty of room to 52w high 566.90. Cybersecurity leadership resuming.
2. AMD - Momentum breakout
Close 284.49 (+3.47%), RSI 79.4 (extended but strong), MACD 19.02>13.06, Bull (above all), within 1.1% of 52w high.
Entry: 282-285 on any pullback · Stop: 273 (below prior day low) · T1: 295 · T2: 305 · R:R: 1:1.6
Confluence: Chip leader, clear MACD expansion, POC 217.84 shows huge distance from fair value. Risk-aware - do NOT chase in size while RSI >78.
3. PANW - Reclaim above EMA200 pending
Close 174.96 (+3.18%), RSI 60.6, MACD 2.02>0.83, EMA200 178.86 (resistance just overhead), POC 160.84 well below.
Entry: 173-176, confirm break >179 · Stop: 167 · T1: 186 · T2: 200 · R:R: 1:1.4
Confluence: Bullish MACD, reclaim EMA20/EMA50; EMA200 is the final test. Above 179 opens fast tape toward 186 R2 pivot.
4. FTNT - Fresh MACD cross
Close 85.26 (+3.22%), RSI 59.7, MACD just crossed (0.24 vs -0.18), Bull (above all), above POC.
Entry: 84.5-86 · Stop: 81.5 (below EMA20) · T1: 90 · T2: 95 · R:R: 1:1.9
Confluence: MACD signal-line flip today is the fresh trigger; small stock universe, room to 52w high 109.33.
5. KLAC - New 52w high buyers
Close 1788.13 (-0.95% pullback), RSI 67.2, MACD 84.83>68.70 wide, Bull (above all), high 1823.27 = 52w high.
Entry: 1785-1800 · Stop: 1745 (below prior swing) · T1: 1830 · T2: 1880 · R:R: 1:1.5
Confluence: Printed new 52w high intraday then faded - classic pre-breakout pause. Chip-equipment leadership remains strongest subsector.
INTRADAY SETUPS (Pivot and Camarilla)
AMD - Cam R4 breakout trade
Pivot 282.44 | R1 288.25 | R3 297.83 | Cam R4 289.76
Direction: LONG on clean break of Cam R4 289.76. Indicates trend-day higher.
Entry: 290.06 · Stop: 287.12 · Target: 297.83
Confluence: Daily momentum aligned (RSI 79, MACD wide). Break of Cam R4 = trending day bias.
CRWD - Pivot / S1 bounce
Classic S1 437.69 | Pivot 448.42 | R1 460.34
Direction: LONG buy any pullback toward Pivot 448.42 or S1 437.69. Bullish daily structure.
Entry: 448.42-437.69 · Stop: 425.77 · Target: 460.34 then 471.07
Confluence: Today's breakout, fresh MACD bull cross, chance of a pullback to Pivot for a cleaner long.
BKNG - Camarilla range (Cam S3/R3)
Cam S3 189.55 | Cam R3 192.17 | Pivot 191.32
Direction: Range between Cam S3 and R3 - fade extremes. Long off Cam S3, short off Cam R3 (small size).
Long: Buy 189.55 stop 188.25 target 191.32
Short: Sell 192.17 stop 193.47 target 191.32
Confluence: Low RV (0.57) suggests quiet tape; tight Camarilla range is best for a range-fade approach.
TMUS - Bear pivot rejection
Classic S1 191.17 | Pivot 198.97 | R1 203.2
Direction: SHORT any bounce into Pivot 198.97 or R1 203.2. Bearish daily structure (Bear below all EMAs, MACD bear, 1.89x RV).
Entry: 198.97-203.20 · Stop: 211.00 · Target: 191.17 then 186.94
Confluence: Heavy distribution volume today, Bear (below all), MACD negative.
ISRG - Short rip to pivot
S1 444.69 | Pivot 457.89 | R1 464.48
Direction: SHORT toward Pivot 457.89. Bear (below all), RSI 40.7 bleeding lower.
Entry: 457.89-464.48 · Stop: 477.68 · Target: 444.69 then 438.10
Confluence: -3.07% on 1.46x RV, MACD deeply bearish, only 5% off 52w lows.
KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD (Top 5 Tradeable)
CRWD - Close 449.61 (+3.80%)
Cam: S4 437.15 · S3 443.38 · S1 447.53 || R1 451.69 · R3 455.84 · R4 462.07
Classic: S3 415.04 · S2 425.77 · S1 437.69 · Pivot 448.42 · R1 460.34 · R2 471.07 · R3 482.99
EMAs: 20 412.91 · 50 416.70 · 200 438.25 · POC 404.27
Prev Day H/L: 459.15 / 436.50 · 52W H/L: 566.90 / 342.72 · ATR 20.09
AMD - Close 284.49 (+3.47%)
Cam: S4 279.22 · S3 281.86 · S1 283.61 || R1 285.37 · R3 287.12 · R4 289.76
Classic: S3 269.09 · S2 272.86 · S1 278.67 · Pivot 282.44 · R1 288.25 · R2 292.02 · R3 297.83
EMAs: 20 243.33 · 50 226.22 · 200 201.41 · POC 217.84
Prev Day H/L: 286.20 / 276.62 · 52W H/L: 287.61 / 83.75 · ATR 10.62
PANW - Close 174.96 (+3.18%)
Cam: S4 170.54 · S3 172.75 · S1 174.22 || R1 175.70 · R3 177.17 · R4 179.38
Classic: S3 162.45 · S2 166.02 · S1 170.49 · Pivot 174.06 · R1 178.53 · R2 182.10 · R3 186.57
EMAs: 20 164.94 · 50 165.64 · 200 178.86 · POC 160.84
Prev Day H/L: 177.63 / 169.59 · 52W H/L: 223.61 / 139.57 · ATR 7.11
KLAC - Close 1788.13 (-0.95%)
Cam: S4 1760.17 · S3 1774.15 · S1 1783.47 || R1 1792.79 · R3 1802.11 · R4 1816.09
Classic: S3 1715.11 · S2 1743.77 · S1 1765.95 · Pivot 1794.61 · R1 1816.79 · R2 1845.45 · R3 1867.63
EMAs: 20 1663.99 · 50 1556.81 · 200 1273.87 · POC 1505.70
Prev Day H/L: 1823.27 / 1772.43 · 52W H/L: 1823.27 / 607.70 · ATR 63.61
NVDA - Close 199.88 (-1.08%)
Cam: S4 197.82 · S3 198.85 · S1 199.54 || R1 200.22 · R3 200.91 · R4 201.94
Classic: S3 194.59 · S2 196.79 · S1 198.34 · Pivot 200.54 · R1 202.09 · R2 204.29 · R3 205.84
EMAs: 20 189.01 · 50 185.17 · 200 175.77 · POC 183.78
Prev Day H/L: 202.75 / 199.00 · 52W H/L: 212.19 / 95.04 · ATR 4.98
BEARISH WARNINGS
CEG - Close 277.73 (-3.42%), Bear (below all EMAs). MACD bearish (-3.13 vs -3.75), above RV at 1.15. Price broke below EMA50 and EMA20 weeks ago and now below EMA200 - structural damage.
NFLX - Close 92.58 (-2.37%), Bear (below all EMAs) after today's break below EMA200. MACD still positive but weakening, RSI 40.7 bleeding. RV 1.26 confirms distribution.
TMUS - Close 195.39 (-1.50%), Bear (below all EMAs). MACD deeply bearish (-4.08 vs -4.00), RV 1.89x - heaviest distribution in the scan. Near 52w lows zone.
ISRG - Close 451.29 (-3.07%), Bear (below all EMAs). RV 1.46x. Structural downtrend since late-2025 peak.
DASH - Close 182.45 (-3.87%), the session's biggest loser. Still Bull (above 20/50) but EMA200 198.81 capping upside; MACD line positive but signal just flipped below. Watch 170 EMA20 - break there and the structure breaks.
REGN - Close 747.36, Bear (below 20/50). MACD bearish. Biotech weakness persists.
RSI OVERBOUGHT WATCH (potential short-term exhaustion): ADI 72.5, MRVL 86.0 (extreme), AMZN 74.0, AVGO 74.6, AMD 79.4, CSCO 74.1, TXN 75.3. Do not short bull trends on RSI alone - but trim partials and tighten stops.
EVENTS CALENDAR - NEXT 48 HOURS
Wednesday 22 April 2026 (AMC):
- TSLA Q1 2026 Earnings - Consensus EPS $0.37, revenue $22.71B. Focus: Robotaxi progress, AI narrative, margin trajectory.
- IBM Q1 (check release time)
Thursday 23 April 2026:
- Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (13:30 UK)
- S&P Global Flash PMIs (Services / Manufacturing) (14:45 UK)
- Existing Home Sales (15:00 UK)
Macro backdrop: U.S.-Iran ceasefire discussions remain the dominant geopolitical risk factor. Oil moves and any escalation headlines will push tech risk premia.
Report: 2026-04-21 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
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1 week 3 days ago #18498
by remo
Replied by remo on topic NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis — Monday, 20 April 2026
Data: Close 20 Apr 2026 | NAS100: 26,560.79 | Change: -111.65 (-0.42%) | Range: 26,412.52 - 26,670.11 | VIX: 17.48
MARKET OVERVIEW
The NASDAQ 100 opened the new week on the back foot, closing -111.65 points (-0.42%) at 26,560.79 after printing an intraday high of 26,670.11 and a low of 26,412.52. The session traded inside Friday's range and finished mid-channel — a classic pause-day after an extended advance.
Under the surface the tape was split. Mega-cap names led the drag: META -2.56%, NFLX -2.55%, TSLA -2.03%, MSFT -1.12% and AMZN -0.91%. That weakness was offset by a strong bid in semis and specialty names — MRVL +5.83% (fresh 52-week high), WDAY +3.32%, DASH +3.21%, INTU +2.94%, ADI +2.58%, SNPS +2.53%, CDNS +2.42% and CRWD +2.17%.
Bias: Bullish but stretched. The long-term trend structure remains firmly intact — 33 of 40 constituents sit above their 20/50 EMAs — but the cluster of RSI readings >70 across semis and mega-caps flags short-term exhaustion risk. A pullback to reset momentum is the higher-probability path before the next leg. VIX at 17.48 remains benign, not stressed.
Key drivers: rotation from mega-cap tech into semi hardware and enterprise software; AI infrastructure demand continuing to power MRVL, AVGO, AMD, ADI and the foundry/equipment names; no macro catalyst today, but Tesla, Lam Research (22 Apr) and Intel, KLAC (23 Apr) earnings looming this week will dictate the semi complex tone.
TREND ANALYSIS
EMA stack on the index: bullish alignment. Spot (26,560) > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200 on the daily timeframe, with EMA20 acting as dynamic support through the April push.
Market structure: sequence of higher highs / higher lows intact. Today's low (26,412) held above the 4-week rising trendline and well above the 21-day EMA zone. No structural break.
Current phase: Trending up, consolidating near highs. The last six sessions have printed a tight ~1.5% range at the top of the advance — textbook flag/bull-pause behaviour. Break above 26,672 (Friday's close) opens 26,800-26,900; a close below 26,400 would open a deeper flush to the 20-day EMA near 26,150.
INDICATOR SIGNALS
RSI(14): Index RSI ~62 — firmly in bull territory but not yet overbought. However, breadth is getting hot: 15 of 40 components are now at RSI >= 70, led by MRVL 85, ADI 78, AMD 76.9, TXN 76.1, AVGO 74.0, AMZN 73.1, MAR 73.2, NVDA 71.6. That kind of breadth in overbought readings historically precedes a 1-3% breather.
MACD: Daily MACD on the index remains above signal, histogram expanding but flattening. 34 of 40 stocks still show MACD > signal — confirming the uptrend is broad. Watch for the histogram to start contracting as an early warning.
Volume: Relative volume across the basket averaged ~0.87x — a soft-volume drift lower, which is typical of orderly consolidation rather than distribution. Notable volume prints: NFLX 1.44x (selling into the decline, bearish), MRVL 1.40x (buying into breakout, bullish), ISRG 1.34x, ADI 1.25x, WDAY 1.22x.
KEY NAS100 INDEX LEVELS
Resistance:
R1: 26,672 — Friday's close and session high zone, first hurdle for continuation
R2: 26,800 — round-number magnet and measured-move target from the current flag
R3: 27,000 — psychological round number and prior rejection zone
Support:
S1: 26,412 — today's session low; first line of defence
S2: 26,200-26,250 — rising 20-day EMA and trend channel base
S3: 26,000 — major round number, volume shelf, and 50-day EMA proximity
Classic pivots (derived from today's OHLC): S2 26,348 · S1 26,465 · Pivot 26,582 · R1 26,700 · R2 26,817
COMPONENT SIGNALS TABLE
Mega-cap Tech
AAPL 273.05 +1.04% Bull (above all) · RSI 66 Strong · MACD bullish · -5.4% from 52wH · Above POC
MSFT 418.07 -1.12% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 67 Strong · MACD bullish · -24.7% from 52wH · Above POC
NVDA 202.06 +0.19% Bull (above all) · RSI 72 Overbought · MACD bullish · -4.8% from 52wH · Above POC
AMZN 248.28 -0.91% Bull (above all) · RSI 73 Overbought · MACD bullish · -4.0% from 52wH · Above POC
META 670.91 -2.56% Bull (above all) · RSI 63 Strong · MACD bullish · -15.7% from 52wH · Above POC
GOOGL 337.42 -1.25% Bull (above all) · RSI 68 Strong · MACD bullish · -3.3% from 52wH · Above POC
Semiconductors
AVGO 399.63 -1.70% Bull (above all) · RSI 74 Overbought · MACD bullish · -3.6% from 52wH · Above POC
TSLA 392.50 -2.03% Bull (above all) · RSI 56 Neutral · MACD bullish turn · -21.3% from 52wH · Below POC
AMD 274.95 -1.24% Bull (above all) · RSI 77 Overbought · MACD bullish · -4.4% from 52wH · Above POC
QCOM 137.52 +0.97% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 63 Strong · MACD bullish · -33.2% from 52wH · Above POC
TXN 233.70 +1.69% Bull (above all) · RSI 76 Overbought · MACD bullish · -0.1% from 52wH · Above POC
AMAT 391.62 -1.34% Bull (above all) · RSI 60 Strong · MACD bullish · -3.9% from 52wH · Above POC
MU 448.42 -1.46% Bull (above all) · RSI 60 Strong · MACD bullish · -4.9% from 52wH · Above POC
LRCX 263.16 -1.66% Bull (above all) · RSI 62 Strong · MACD bullish · -3.8% from 52wH · Above POC
KLAC 1805.32 +0.77% Bull (above all) · RSI 70 Overbought · MACD bullish · -0.1% from 52wH · Above POC
ADI 381.05 +2.58% Bull (above all) · RSI 78 Overbought · MACD bullish · -1.1% from 52wH · Above POC
MRVL 147.84 +5.83% Bull (above all) · RSI 85 Overbought · MACD bullish · -1.2% from 52wH · Above POC
SNPS 460.95 +2.53% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 67 Strong · MACD bullish · -29.3% from 52wH · Above POC
CDNS 318.55 +2.42% Bull (above all) · RSI 66 Strong · MACD bullish · -15.4% from 52wH · Above POC
Software / Cloud / Cyber
ADBE 248.63 +1.71% Mixed / Recovery · RSI 52 Neutral · MACD bullish turn · -41.2% from 52wH · Below POC
CRWD 433.15 +2.17% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 58 Neutral · MACD bullish · -23.6% from 52wH · Above POC
PANW 169.56 +1.02% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 56 Neutral · MACD bullish · -24.2% from 52wH · Above POC
FTNT 82.60 +0.93% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 54 Neutral · MACD bullish turn · -24.5% from 52wH · Above POC
INTU 404.83 +2.94% Mixed / Recovery · RSI 48 Neutral · MACD bullish turn · -50.3% from 52wH · Below POC
WDAY 127.94 +3.32% Mixed / Recovery · RSI 49 Neutral · MACD bullish turn · -53.6% from 52wH · Below POC
CSCO 87.71 +1.69% Bull (above all) · RSI 71 Overbought · MACD bullish · -0.7% from 52wH · Above POC
CEG 287.56 -2.92% Bear (below all) · RSI 46 Neutral · MACD bearish · -30.3% from 52wH · Below POC
Consumer / Internet
NFLX 94.83 -2.55% Bear (below all) · RSI 44 Neutral · MACD rolling over · -29.3% from 52wH · Above POC
BKNG 192.03 +0.01% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 65 Strong · MACD bullish · -17.8% from 52wH · Above POC
MELI 1870.08 +0.77% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 61 Strong · MACD bullish · -29.3% from 52wH · Above POC
ABNB 143.59 +1.44% Bull (above all) · RSI 69 Strong · MACD bullish · -0.2% from 52wH · Above POC
MAR 378.72 +0.21% Bull (above all) · RSI 73 Overbought · MACD bullish · -0.2% from 52wH · Above POC
DASH 189.80 +3.21% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 70 Overbought · MACD bullish · -33.5% from 52wH · Above POC
ORLY 92.83 -0.94% Mixed / Recovery · RSI 51 Neutral · MACD bullish · -14.6% from 52wH · Below POC
COST 997.84 -0.21% Bull (above all) · RSI 51 Neutral · MACD rolling over · -6.5% from 52wH · Above POC
PYPL 51.46 +1.28% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 71 Overbought · MACD bullish · -35.3% from 52wH · Above POC
Healthcare / Biotech
ISRG 465.60 -0.77% Mixed / Recovery · RSI 48 Neutral · MACD bullish turn · -22.9% from 52wH · Below POC
REGN 749.70 -0.12% Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 47 Neutral · MACD bearish · -8.7% from 52wH · Below POC
Industrial / Telecom
LIN 498.15 +1.20% Bull (above all) · RSI 53 Neutral · MACD rolling over · -2.5% from 52wH · Above POC
TMUS 198.36 +0.35% Bear (below all) · RSI 44 Neutral · MACD bearish · -25.3% from 52wH · Below POC
SECTOR SNAPSHOT
Mega-cap Tech: BULLISH structurally, CAUTIOUS tactically. All six names still above all EMAs (MSFT above 20/50 only). Today's tape showed distribution in META/AMZN/TSLA. Wait for consolidation to finish before adding.
Semiconductors: DOMINANT LEADERSHIP. 12 of 12 names above their 20/50 EMAs; 10 of 12 above all three EMAs. MRVL, ADI, TXN, KLAC, AMD all at or within 5% of 52-week highs. Sector is hot — tactical pullbacks are for buying, breakout chases are not.
Software / Cloud / Cyber: IMPROVING. ADBE, INTU, WDAY still recovering (below EMA200) but showing bullish MACD turns on volume. CRWD/PANW/FTNT in steady uptrends. CEG is the standout bear — avoid long exposure.
Consumer / Internet: MIXED. Travel/hospitality strong (ABNB, MAR, BKNG, MELI). DASH breakout continuing. NFLX is the clear weak link — below all EMAs, MACD rolling over.
Healthcare / Biotech: LAGGING. REGN and ISRG both below EMA20/50, bearish MACD, no recovery signal yet.
Industrial / Telecom: Divergent — LIN strong, TMUS weak.
TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
1. AMD — Pullback-to-support long inside established uptrend
Above all EMAs, RSI 77 overbought, MACD expanding bullish. Prefer buying a dip rather than chasing.
Entry: 268-272 (retest of pivot and prior breakout shelf) · Stop: 258 (below classic S2 and recent swing low) · T1: 284 (R1) · T2: 296 · R:R: 1:1.1-1.6
Why: semi-sector leadership, AI demand narrative, EMA50 rising at 223.84 well below price, strong MACD confluence. POC at 217.65 confirms wide base.
2. AVGO — Bull-flag continuation long
Tight 10-point pullback from 52-week high 414.61. EMA stack bullish, RSI 74 hot but not divergent.
Entry: 398-401 (reclaim of pivot 400.65) · Stop: 389 (below classic S2 and cam S4) · T1: 411 (R2) · T2: 416 (R3 / new ATH) · R:R: 1:1.1-1.5
Why: trend-leader, prior-day R3 clustered with 52wH provides clear momentum trigger. MACD 20.52/12.23 well-spaced.
3. MRVL — Breakout-and-retest long only
Closed at the exact 52-week high 149.58 on strong RV 1.40x. RSI 85 is extreme — do NOT chase; wait.
Entry: 143-145 (first pullback to cam S3-S4 zone and pivot) · Stop: 138 (below classic S3) · T1: 156 (R3) · T2: 168 · R:R: 1:1.3-2.0
Why: fresh 52wH with volume, MACD 13.66/10.66. Trend is as strong as it gets, but RSI 85 demands a price reset before new long risk.
4. META — Mean-reversion long into key support
Today's -2.56% put META just above EMA20 (631) and EMA200 (651). This is the textbook reload zone.
Entry: 662-668 (cam S4 to today's low zone) · Stop: 649 (below classic S3 and EMA200 cluster) · T1: 680 (R1) · T2: 695 (R3) · R:R: 1:1.1-2.1
Why: structurally bullish, MACD still positive, price held above both EMA20 and EMA200. Distribution day creates the opportunity.
5. ADI — Parabolic caution — tight-stop momentum long
At 99% of 52-week high, RSI 78, RV 1.25x. Very strong but extended.
Entry: 378-381 on consolidation above pivot 378.74 · Stop: 372 (below classic S1) · T1: 388 (R1) · T2: 395 (R2) · R:R: 1:0.9-1.8
Why: trend, MACD and volume all confirm, but tight stop required given RSI 78. Small size only.
INTRADAY SETUPS
Pivot Bounce — AAPL (long bias)
AAPL closed 273.05, right between S1 (270.80) and R1 (274.79) in a bullish EMA stack.
Long bias: buy bounce off pivot 272.77 or S1 270.80, stop 269.50, target R1 274.79 then R2 276.71. Confluence: above all EMAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish.
Camarilla Range — NVDA
NVDA pinned between Cam S1 (201.66) and Cam R2 (202.85) — tightest range of the session.
Plan: fade Cam R3 203.25 back to pivot 200.69; long Cam S3 200.87 back to Cam R1 202.46. Break of Cam R4 204.44 = trend-day long toward 52wH 212.19.
Pivot Bounce — GOOGL (long bias)
GOOGL closed 337.42 above pivot 337.63 retest zone. Bull above all EMAs.
Plan: buy 335.55 S1 or 337 pivot reclaim; stop 333.70 (classic S2); T1 340.34 (R1); T2 342.40. RSI 68, MACD 9.38/4.68.
Camarilla Breakout — MRVL
Closed at Cam R4 edge. Break above Cam R4 (150.95) on volume signals trend-day continuation to 52wH projection.
Plan: long break 151.00, stop 147.30 (back inside range), T1 156 (classic R3), T2 161. Short-setup only if price loses Cam S4 (144.73).
Pivot Bounce — TXN (long bias)
TXN at 233.70, just below pivot 233.12. Above all EMAs, RSI 76, MACD 7.58/3.89.
Plan: long 232.30-233.00 (pivot reclaim), stop 230.20 (S1), T1 235.11 (R1), T2 237.00 (R2). Break above 234 = new 52wH and trend-day continuation toward 237-240.
KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD — TOP 5 TRADEABLE
MRVL — Close 147.84
Cam: S4 144.73 · S3 146.29 · S1 147.32 || R1 148.36 · R3 149.39 · R4 150.95
Classic: S3 139.00 · S2 141.47 · S1 144.65 · P 147.12 · R1 150.30 · R2 152.77 · R3 155.95
EMAs: 20 118.52 · 50 102.71 · 200 87.67
POC 97.46 · Prev Day H/L 149.58 / 143.93 · 52w 48.09 / 149.58
AMD — Close 274.95
Cam: S4 266.36 · S3 270.66 · S1 273.52 || R1 276.38 · R3 279.24 · R4 283.54
Classic: S3 253.15 · S2 262.58 · S1 268.76 · P 278.19 · R1 284.37 · R2 293.80 · R3 299.98
EMAs: 20 238.99 · 50 223.84 · 200 200.58
POC 217.65 · Prev Day H/L 287.61 / 272.00 · 52w 83.75 / 287.61
AVGO — Close 399.63
Cam: S4 393.84 · S3 396.74 · S1 398.67 || R1 400.59 · R3 402.52 · R4 405.42
Classic: S3 384.36 · S2 390.13 · S1 394.88 · P 400.65 · R1 405.40 · R2 411.17 · R3 415.92
EMAs: 20 358.81 · 50 343.04 · 200 320.36
POC 331.70 · Prev Day H/L 406.42 / 395.90 · 52w 161.61 / 414.61
NVDA — Close 202.06
Cam: S4 199.68 · S3 200.87 · S1 201.66 || R1 202.46 · R3 203.25 · R4 204.44
Classic: S3 194.88 · S2 196.36 · S1 199.21 · P 200.69 · R1 203.54 · R2 205.02 · R3 207.87
EMAs: 20 187.87 · 50 184.57 · 200 175.52
POC 183.67 · Prev Day H/L 202.17 / 197.84 · 52w 95.04 / 212.19
META — Close 670.91
Cam: S4 662.45 · S3 666.68 · S1 669.50 || R1 672.32 · R3 675.14 · R4 679.37
Classic: S3 649.43 · S2 658.72 · S1 664.81 · P 674.10 · R1 680.19 · R2 689.48 · R3 695.57
EMAs: 20 631.22 · 50 630.26 · 200 650.65
POC 638.14 · Prev Day H/L 683.38 / 668.00 · 52w 479.80 / 796.25
BEARISH WARNINGS
CEG 287.56 (-2.92%) — Below all three EMAs, MACD bearish (-2.25/-3.91), RSI 46. -30.3% from 52wH. Sellers firmly in control. Avoid longs until price reclaims EMA20 at 291.88.
NFLX 94.83 (-2.55%) — Below all three EMAs (EMA200 99.23), MACD rolling over, RV 1.44x on the decline = distribution. -29.3% from 52wH. Consider short setups on rips into 98-99 with stop above 100.
TMUS 198.36 — Below all three EMAs, MACD firmly bearish (-4.19/-3.98), RSI 44. Clean down-trend, no reversal signal. Avoid.
REGN 749.70 — Below EMA20/50, MACD bearish, RSI 47. Still above EMA200 at 714.64 which is the make-or-break line. Below there opens 700 psychological.
RSI Overbought Cluster — 15 stocks with RSI >= 70. Mechanical risk-off triggers: MRVL 85, ADI 78, AMD 77, TXN 76, AVGO 74, MAR 73, AMZN 73, NVDA 72, CSCO 71, PYPL 71, KLAC 70, DASH 70, ABNB 69. Be very selective adding new longs in this group.
EVENTS CALENDAR — THIS WEEK
Tuesday 21 Apr: NFLX conference call (already reported); AT&T (T) Q1 earnings after close. Broad market: no tier-1 US macro release.
Wednesday 22 Apr: TSLA Q1 earnings after close. LRCX earnings after close. Expect wider session ranges across semis on LRCX guide; TSLA guide will shift the entire EV / growth-tech complex.
Thursday 23 Apr: KLAC earnings after close. Intel (INTC) earnings after close. Additional volatility setup in foundry/equipment names — watch MU, AMAT, LRCX.
Friday 24 Apr: Quiet session expected; watch for pre-FOMC positioning flow.
Looking ahead: FOMC meeting 28-29 April 2026 (statement 14:00 ET, press conference 14:30 ET on 29 Apr) is the next major macro catalyst. Expect compressed volatility into Monday, with VIX potentially drifting toward 15-16 before release.
Report generated: 20 April 2026 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Data: Close 20 Apr 2026 | NAS100: 26,560.79 | Change: -111.65 (-0.42%) | Range: 26,412.52 - 26,670.11 | VIX: 17.48
MARKET OVERVIEW
The NASDAQ 100 opened the new week on the back foot, closing -111.65 points (-0.42%) at 26,560.79 after printing an intraday high of 26,670.11 and a low of 26,412.52. The session traded inside Friday's range and finished mid-channel — a classic pause-day after an extended advance.
Under the surface the tape was split. Mega-cap names led the drag: META -2.56%, NFLX -2.55%, TSLA -2.03%, MSFT -1.12% and AMZN -0.91%. That weakness was offset by a strong bid in semis and specialty names — MRVL +5.83% (fresh 52-week high), WDAY +3.32%, DASH +3.21%, INTU +2.94%, ADI +2.58%, SNPS +2.53%, CDNS +2.42% and CRWD +2.17%.
Bias: Bullish but stretched. The long-term trend structure remains firmly intact — 33 of 40 constituents sit above their 20/50 EMAs — but the cluster of RSI readings >70 across semis and mega-caps flags short-term exhaustion risk. A pullback to reset momentum is the higher-probability path before the next leg. VIX at 17.48 remains benign, not stressed.
Key drivers: rotation from mega-cap tech into semi hardware and enterprise software; AI infrastructure demand continuing to power MRVL, AVGO, AMD, ADI and the foundry/equipment names; no macro catalyst today, but Tesla, Lam Research (22 Apr) and Intel, KLAC (23 Apr) earnings looming this week will dictate the semi complex tone.
TREND ANALYSIS
EMA stack on the index: bullish alignment. Spot (26,560) > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200 on the daily timeframe, with EMA20 acting as dynamic support through the April push.
Market structure: sequence of higher highs / higher lows intact. Today's low (26,412) held above the 4-week rising trendline and well above the 21-day EMA zone. No structural break.
Current phase: Trending up, consolidating near highs. The last six sessions have printed a tight ~1.5% range at the top of the advance — textbook flag/bull-pause behaviour. Break above 26,672 (Friday's close) opens 26,800-26,900; a close below 26,400 would open a deeper flush to the 20-day EMA near 26,150.
INDICATOR SIGNALS
RSI(14): Index RSI ~62 — firmly in bull territory but not yet overbought. However, breadth is getting hot: 15 of 40 components are now at RSI >= 70, led by MRVL 85, ADI 78, AMD 76.9, TXN 76.1, AVGO 74.0, AMZN 73.1, MAR 73.2, NVDA 71.6. That kind of breadth in overbought readings historically precedes a 1-3% breather.
MACD: Daily MACD on the index remains above signal, histogram expanding but flattening. 34 of 40 stocks still show MACD > signal — confirming the uptrend is broad. Watch for the histogram to start contracting as an early warning.
Volume: Relative volume across the basket averaged ~0.87x — a soft-volume drift lower, which is typical of orderly consolidation rather than distribution. Notable volume prints: NFLX 1.44x (selling into the decline, bearish), MRVL 1.40x (buying into breakout, bullish), ISRG 1.34x, ADI 1.25x, WDAY 1.22x.
KEY NAS100 INDEX LEVELS
Resistance:
R1: 26,672 — Friday's close and session high zone, first hurdle for continuation
R2: 26,800 — round-number magnet and measured-move target from the current flag
R3: 27,000 — psychological round number and prior rejection zone
Support:
S1: 26,412 — today's session low; first line of defence
S2: 26,200-26,250 — rising 20-day EMA and trend channel base
S3: 26,000 — major round number, volume shelf, and 50-day EMA proximity
Classic pivots (derived from today's OHLC): S2 26,348 · S1 26,465 · Pivot 26,582 · R1 26,700 · R2 26,817
COMPONENT SIGNALS TABLE
Mega-cap Tech
AAPL 273.05 +1.04% Bull (above all) · RSI 66 Strong · MACD bullish · -5.4% from 52wH · Above POC
MSFT 418.07 -1.12% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 67 Strong · MACD bullish · -24.7% from 52wH · Above POC
NVDA 202.06 +0.19% Bull (above all) · RSI 72 Overbought · MACD bullish · -4.8% from 52wH · Above POC
AMZN 248.28 -0.91% Bull (above all) · RSI 73 Overbought · MACD bullish · -4.0% from 52wH · Above POC
META 670.91 -2.56% Bull (above all) · RSI 63 Strong · MACD bullish · -15.7% from 52wH · Above POC
GOOGL 337.42 -1.25% Bull (above all) · RSI 68 Strong · MACD bullish · -3.3% from 52wH · Above POC
Semiconductors
AVGO 399.63 -1.70% Bull (above all) · RSI 74 Overbought · MACD bullish · -3.6% from 52wH · Above POC
TSLA 392.50 -2.03% Bull (above all) · RSI 56 Neutral · MACD bullish turn · -21.3% from 52wH · Below POC
AMD 274.95 -1.24% Bull (above all) · RSI 77 Overbought · MACD bullish · -4.4% from 52wH · Above POC
QCOM 137.52 +0.97% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 63 Strong · MACD bullish · -33.2% from 52wH · Above POC
TXN 233.70 +1.69% Bull (above all) · RSI 76 Overbought · MACD bullish · -0.1% from 52wH · Above POC
AMAT 391.62 -1.34% Bull (above all) · RSI 60 Strong · MACD bullish · -3.9% from 52wH · Above POC
MU 448.42 -1.46% Bull (above all) · RSI 60 Strong · MACD bullish · -4.9% from 52wH · Above POC
LRCX 263.16 -1.66% Bull (above all) · RSI 62 Strong · MACD bullish · -3.8% from 52wH · Above POC
KLAC 1805.32 +0.77% Bull (above all) · RSI 70 Overbought · MACD bullish · -0.1% from 52wH · Above POC
ADI 381.05 +2.58% Bull (above all) · RSI 78 Overbought · MACD bullish · -1.1% from 52wH · Above POC
MRVL 147.84 +5.83% Bull (above all) · RSI 85 Overbought · MACD bullish · -1.2% from 52wH · Above POC
SNPS 460.95 +2.53% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 67 Strong · MACD bullish · -29.3% from 52wH · Above POC
CDNS 318.55 +2.42% Bull (above all) · RSI 66 Strong · MACD bullish · -15.4% from 52wH · Above POC
Software / Cloud / Cyber
ADBE 248.63 +1.71% Mixed / Recovery · RSI 52 Neutral · MACD bullish turn · -41.2% from 52wH · Below POC
CRWD 433.15 +2.17% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 58 Neutral · MACD bullish · -23.6% from 52wH · Above POC
PANW 169.56 +1.02% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 56 Neutral · MACD bullish · -24.2% from 52wH · Above POC
FTNT 82.60 +0.93% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 54 Neutral · MACD bullish turn · -24.5% from 52wH · Above POC
INTU 404.83 +2.94% Mixed / Recovery · RSI 48 Neutral · MACD bullish turn · -50.3% from 52wH · Below POC
WDAY 127.94 +3.32% Mixed / Recovery · RSI 49 Neutral · MACD bullish turn · -53.6% from 52wH · Below POC
CSCO 87.71 +1.69% Bull (above all) · RSI 71 Overbought · MACD bullish · -0.7% from 52wH · Above POC
CEG 287.56 -2.92% Bear (below all) · RSI 46 Neutral · MACD bearish · -30.3% from 52wH · Below POC
Consumer / Internet
NFLX 94.83 -2.55% Bear (below all) · RSI 44 Neutral · MACD rolling over · -29.3% from 52wH · Above POC
BKNG 192.03 +0.01% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 65 Strong · MACD bullish · -17.8% from 52wH · Above POC
MELI 1870.08 +0.77% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 61 Strong · MACD bullish · -29.3% from 52wH · Above POC
ABNB 143.59 +1.44% Bull (above all) · RSI 69 Strong · MACD bullish · -0.2% from 52wH · Above POC
MAR 378.72 +0.21% Bull (above all) · RSI 73 Overbought · MACD bullish · -0.2% from 52wH · Above POC
DASH 189.80 +3.21% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 70 Overbought · MACD bullish · -33.5% from 52wH · Above POC
ORLY 92.83 -0.94% Mixed / Recovery · RSI 51 Neutral · MACD bullish · -14.6% from 52wH · Below POC
COST 997.84 -0.21% Bull (above all) · RSI 51 Neutral · MACD rolling over · -6.5% from 52wH · Above POC
PYPL 51.46 +1.28% Bull (above 20/50) · RSI 71 Overbought · MACD bullish · -35.3% from 52wH · Above POC
Healthcare / Biotech
ISRG 465.60 -0.77% Mixed / Recovery · RSI 48 Neutral · MACD bullish turn · -22.9% from 52wH · Below POC
REGN 749.70 -0.12% Bear (below 20/50) · RSI 47 Neutral · MACD bearish · -8.7% from 52wH · Below POC
Industrial / Telecom
LIN 498.15 +1.20% Bull (above all) · RSI 53 Neutral · MACD rolling over · -2.5% from 52wH · Above POC
TMUS 198.36 +0.35% Bear (below all) · RSI 44 Neutral · MACD bearish · -25.3% from 52wH · Below POC
SECTOR SNAPSHOT
Mega-cap Tech: BULLISH structurally, CAUTIOUS tactically. All six names still above all EMAs (MSFT above 20/50 only). Today's tape showed distribution in META/AMZN/TSLA. Wait for consolidation to finish before adding.
Semiconductors: DOMINANT LEADERSHIP. 12 of 12 names above their 20/50 EMAs; 10 of 12 above all three EMAs. MRVL, ADI, TXN, KLAC, AMD all at or within 5% of 52-week highs. Sector is hot — tactical pullbacks are for buying, breakout chases are not.
Software / Cloud / Cyber: IMPROVING. ADBE, INTU, WDAY still recovering (below EMA200) but showing bullish MACD turns on volume. CRWD/PANW/FTNT in steady uptrends. CEG is the standout bear — avoid long exposure.
Consumer / Internet: MIXED. Travel/hospitality strong (ABNB, MAR, BKNG, MELI). DASH breakout continuing. NFLX is the clear weak link — below all EMAs, MACD rolling over.
Healthcare / Biotech: LAGGING. REGN and ISRG both below EMA20/50, bearish MACD, no recovery signal yet.
Industrial / Telecom: Divergent — LIN strong, TMUS weak.
TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
1. AMD — Pullback-to-support long inside established uptrend
Above all EMAs, RSI 77 overbought, MACD expanding bullish. Prefer buying a dip rather than chasing.
Entry: 268-272 (retest of pivot and prior breakout shelf) · Stop: 258 (below classic S2 and recent swing low) · T1: 284 (R1) · T2: 296 · R:R: 1:1.1-1.6
Why: semi-sector leadership, AI demand narrative, EMA50 rising at 223.84 well below price, strong MACD confluence. POC at 217.65 confirms wide base.
2. AVGO — Bull-flag continuation long
Tight 10-point pullback from 52-week high 414.61. EMA stack bullish, RSI 74 hot but not divergent.
Entry: 398-401 (reclaim of pivot 400.65) · Stop: 389 (below classic S2 and cam S4) · T1: 411 (R2) · T2: 416 (R3 / new ATH) · R:R: 1:1.1-1.5
Why: trend-leader, prior-day R3 clustered with 52wH provides clear momentum trigger. MACD 20.52/12.23 well-spaced.
3. MRVL — Breakout-and-retest long only
Closed at the exact 52-week high 149.58 on strong RV 1.40x. RSI 85 is extreme — do NOT chase; wait.
Entry: 143-145 (first pullback to cam S3-S4 zone and pivot) · Stop: 138 (below classic S3) · T1: 156 (R3) · T2: 168 · R:R: 1:1.3-2.0
Why: fresh 52wH with volume, MACD 13.66/10.66. Trend is as strong as it gets, but RSI 85 demands a price reset before new long risk.
4. META — Mean-reversion long into key support
Today's -2.56% put META just above EMA20 (631) and EMA200 (651). This is the textbook reload zone.
Entry: 662-668 (cam S4 to today's low zone) · Stop: 649 (below classic S3 and EMA200 cluster) · T1: 680 (R1) · T2: 695 (R3) · R:R: 1:1.1-2.1
Why: structurally bullish, MACD still positive, price held above both EMA20 and EMA200. Distribution day creates the opportunity.
5. ADI — Parabolic caution — tight-stop momentum long
At 99% of 52-week high, RSI 78, RV 1.25x. Very strong but extended.
Entry: 378-381 on consolidation above pivot 378.74 · Stop: 372 (below classic S1) · T1: 388 (R1) · T2: 395 (R2) · R:R: 1:0.9-1.8
Why: trend, MACD and volume all confirm, but tight stop required given RSI 78. Small size only.
INTRADAY SETUPS
Pivot Bounce — AAPL (long bias)
AAPL closed 273.05, right between S1 (270.80) and R1 (274.79) in a bullish EMA stack.
Long bias: buy bounce off pivot 272.77 or S1 270.80, stop 269.50, target R1 274.79 then R2 276.71. Confluence: above all EMAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish.
Camarilla Range — NVDA
NVDA pinned between Cam S1 (201.66) and Cam R2 (202.85) — tightest range of the session.
Plan: fade Cam R3 203.25 back to pivot 200.69; long Cam S3 200.87 back to Cam R1 202.46. Break of Cam R4 204.44 = trend-day long toward 52wH 212.19.
Pivot Bounce — GOOGL (long bias)
GOOGL closed 337.42 above pivot 337.63 retest zone. Bull above all EMAs.
Plan: buy 335.55 S1 or 337 pivot reclaim; stop 333.70 (classic S2); T1 340.34 (R1); T2 342.40. RSI 68, MACD 9.38/4.68.
Camarilla Breakout — MRVL
Closed at Cam R4 edge. Break above Cam R4 (150.95) on volume signals trend-day continuation to 52wH projection.
Plan: long break 151.00, stop 147.30 (back inside range), T1 156 (classic R3), T2 161. Short-setup only if price loses Cam S4 (144.73).
Pivot Bounce — TXN (long bias)
TXN at 233.70, just below pivot 233.12. Above all EMAs, RSI 76, MACD 7.58/3.89.
Plan: long 232.30-233.00 (pivot reclaim), stop 230.20 (S1), T1 235.11 (R1), T2 237.00 (R2). Break above 234 = new 52wH and trend-day continuation toward 237-240.
KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD — TOP 5 TRADEABLE
MRVL — Close 147.84
Cam: S4 144.73 · S3 146.29 · S1 147.32 || R1 148.36 · R3 149.39 · R4 150.95
Classic: S3 139.00 · S2 141.47 · S1 144.65 · P 147.12 · R1 150.30 · R2 152.77 · R3 155.95
EMAs: 20 118.52 · 50 102.71 · 200 87.67
POC 97.46 · Prev Day H/L 149.58 / 143.93 · 52w 48.09 / 149.58
AMD — Close 274.95
Cam: S4 266.36 · S3 270.66 · S1 273.52 || R1 276.38 · R3 279.24 · R4 283.54
Classic: S3 253.15 · S2 262.58 · S1 268.76 · P 278.19 · R1 284.37 · R2 293.80 · R3 299.98
EMAs: 20 238.99 · 50 223.84 · 200 200.58
POC 217.65 · Prev Day H/L 287.61 / 272.00 · 52w 83.75 / 287.61
AVGO — Close 399.63
Cam: S4 393.84 · S3 396.74 · S1 398.67 || R1 400.59 · R3 402.52 · R4 405.42
Classic: S3 384.36 · S2 390.13 · S1 394.88 · P 400.65 · R1 405.40 · R2 411.17 · R3 415.92
EMAs: 20 358.81 · 50 343.04 · 200 320.36
POC 331.70 · Prev Day H/L 406.42 / 395.90 · 52w 161.61 / 414.61
NVDA — Close 202.06
Cam: S4 199.68 · S3 200.87 · S1 201.66 || R1 202.46 · R3 203.25 · R4 204.44
Classic: S3 194.88 · S2 196.36 · S1 199.21 · P 200.69 · R1 203.54 · R2 205.02 · R3 207.87
EMAs: 20 187.87 · 50 184.57 · 200 175.52
POC 183.67 · Prev Day H/L 202.17 / 197.84 · 52w 95.04 / 212.19
META — Close 670.91
Cam: S4 662.45 · S3 666.68 · S1 669.50 || R1 672.32 · R3 675.14 · R4 679.37
Classic: S3 649.43 · S2 658.72 · S1 664.81 · P 674.10 · R1 680.19 · R2 689.48 · R3 695.57
EMAs: 20 631.22 · 50 630.26 · 200 650.65
POC 638.14 · Prev Day H/L 683.38 / 668.00 · 52w 479.80 / 796.25
BEARISH WARNINGS
CEG 287.56 (-2.92%) — Below all three EMAs, MACD bearish (-2.25/-3.91), RSI 46. -30.3% from 52wH. Sellers firmly in control. Avoid longs until price reclaims EMA20 at 291.88.
NFLX 94.83 (-2.55%) — Below all three EMAs (EMA200 99.23), MACD rolling over, RV 1.44x on the decline = distribution. -29.3% from 52wH. Consider short setups on rips into 98-99 with stop above 100.
TMUS 198.36 — Below all three EMAs, MACD firmly bearish (-4.19/-3.98), RSI 44. Clean down-trend, no reversal signal. Avoid.
REGN 749.70 — Below EMA20/50, MACD bearish, RSI 47. Still above EMA200 at 714.64 which is the make-or-break line. Below there opens 700 psychological.
RSI Overbought Cluster — 15 stocks with RSI >= 70. Mechanical risk-off triggers: MRVL 85, ADI 78, AMD 77, TXN 76, AVGO 74, MAR 73, AMZN 73, NVDA 72, CSCO 71, PYPL 71, KLAC 70, DASH 70, ABNB 69. Be very selective adding new longs in this group.
EVENTS CALENDAR — THIS WEEK
Tuesday 21 Apr: NFLX conference call (already reported); AT&T (T) Q1 earnings after close. Broad market: no tier-1 US macro release.
Wednesday 22 Apr: TSLA Q1 earnings after close. LRCX earnings after close. Expect wider session ranges across semis on LRCX guide; TSLA guide will shift the entire EV / growth-tech complex.
Thursday 23 Apr: KLAC earnings after close. Intel (INTC) earnings after close. Additional volatility setup in foundry/equipment names — watch MU, AMAT, LRCX.
Friday 24 Apr: Quiet session expected; watch for pre-FOMC positioning flow.
Looking ahead: FOMC meeting 28-29 April 2026 (statement 14:00 ET, press conference 14:30 ET on 29 Apr) is the next major macro catalyst. Expect compressed volatility into Monday, with VIX potentially drifting toward 15-16 before release.
Report generated: 20 April 2026 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
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1 week 6 days ago #18492
by remo
Replied by remo on topic NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
NAS100 Daily Technical Analysis — Friday 17 April 2026
Data: Close 17-Apr-2026 | NAS100 (NDX) session range: 26,114 - 26,401 | Nasdaq Composite: 24,468 (+1.52%) | S&P 500: 7,126 (+1.20%) | VIX: 17.94
MARKET OVERVIEW
NAS100 pushed toward a fresh intraday high near 26,401 on Friday as the broader Nasdaq Composite notched its 13th consecutive winning day — the longest streak since 1992. The tape was driven by easing US-Iran tensions after Tehran confirmed the Strait of Hormuz remains open, plus a continued rotation into mega-cap tech and semiconductors ahead of a heavy earnings slate. S&P 500 information technology earnings are now tracked for +46% growth this quarter versus +36% at the start of the year.
BULLISH bias remains intact into next week. Scanner shows 30 of 40 NAS100 components on a bullish EMA structure (20 fully above all three EMAs, 10 above the 20/50 pair), versus only 4 names in a bearish stack and 6 mixed. Ten stocks printed RSI(14) at or above 70 — a warning sign for near-term exhaustion, not a reversal signal on its own.
The exception: NFLX collapsed -9.72% to 97.31 after weak Q2 guidance (78c vs 84c consensus), revenue forecast of $12.57bn shy of $12.64bn estimate, and the surprise exit of co-founder/chairman Reed Hastings. That is a cluster of reasons, not noise — treat NFLX as guilty-until-proven-innocent for another session.
TREND ANALYSIS
EMA stack (index level): Price is trading well above the 20 and 50-day averages and has reclaimed the 200-day decisively. The stack is bullish, with the 20 above the 50 and both above the 200.
Market structure: Higher-highs / higher-lows pattern intact. Friday's high above 26,400 is the latest HH in the sequence that started from the 27 March VIX-31 washout.
Current phase: Extended trend-up / near-breakout. The fact that 13 of the last 13 sessions closed green is statistically rare — expect mean-reversion risk to build, but the weight of evidence still favours higher prices until proven otherwise.
INDICATOR SIGNALS
RSI(14): Aggregate NAS100 is approaching overbought. Ten components printed >=70 today: ADI (75.1), MAR (73.0), MRVL (82.3), MSFT (71.6), NVDA (71.4), AMZN (76.5), GOOGL (72.6), AVGO (79.1), AMD (80.2), TXN (74.2). MRVL and AMD are extended enough to watch for pullbacks rather than chase. No component is oversold (RSI<=30).
MACD: Broadly supportive. 34 of 40 components have the MACD line above signal. Notable exceptions with bearish MACD: INTU, TMUS, WDAY, REGN, COST, LIN, ADBE.
Volume: Friday was a mixed-volume tape. Relative volume above 1.2x: ADI (1.55), TSLA (1.28), AAPL (1.30), MSFT (1.30), MAR (1.23), NFLX (2.97 on the earnings gap), PYPL (1.14). The ADI, MAR, AAPL and TSLA volume expansion confirms their advances. Most others printed sub-1x — rally participation is getting narrower.
KEY NAS100 LEVELS
Support:
- 26,250 — Friday's lower intraday pivot area
- 26,114 — Friday's session low
- 25,900 — rising 9-EMA / prior-day reaction zone
Resistance:
- 26,400 — Friday's session high / breakout trigger
- 26,500 — round-number / projected R1
- 26,750 — measured-move target from the April base
Pivot points (Classic, derived from Friday):
- S2 25,940 · S1 26,180 · Pivot 26,305 · R1 26,470 · R2 26,670
NASDAQ COMPONENT SIGNALS — ALL 40 STOCKS
Legend: EMA stack (Bull = above all three; Bull-20/50 = above 20/50 only; Bear-All = below all; Bear-20/50 = below 20 and 50). RSI zone: Hot>=70, Warm 50-70, Cool 30-50, Cold<=30. MACD: + line above signal, - line below. 52wH = % from 52-week high. POC = Point of Control (60-day VWAP).
Mega-cap Tech
AAPL close 270.23 +2.59% Bull RSI 64.2 Warm MACD + -6.4% from 52wH above POC
MSFT close 422.79 +0.60% Bull-20/50 RSI 71.6 Hot MACD + -23.9% above POC
NVDA close 201.68 +1.68% Bull RSI 71.4 Hot MACD + -5.0% above POC
AMZN close 250.56 +0.34% Bull RSI 76.5 Hot MACD + -3.1% above POC
META close 688.55 +1.73% Bull RSI 69.8 Warm MACD + -13.5% above POC
GOOGL close 341.68 +1.68% Bull RSI 72.6 Hot MACD + -2.1% above POC
TSLA close 400.62 +3.01% Bull RSI 60.3 Warm MACD - -19.7% above POC
Semiconductors
AVGO close 406.54 +2.03% Bull RSI 79.1 Hot MACD + -1.9% above POC
AMD close 278.39 +0.05% Bull RSI 80.2 Hot MACD + -0.9% above POC
QCOM close 136.20 +1.29% Mixed RSI 60.9 Warm MACD + -33.9% below POC
TXN close 229.82 +3.01% Bull RSI 74.2 Hot MACD + -0.6% above POC
AMAT close 396.94 +1.81% Bull RSI 63.5 Warm MACD + -2.5% above POC
MU close 455.07 -0.47% Bull RSI 62.6 Warm MACD + -3.5% above POC
LRCX close 267.61 +2.55% Bull RSI 64.6 Warm MACD + -2.2% above POC
KLAC close 1791.44 +3.26% Bull RSI 68.8 Warm MACD + -0.4% above POC
ADI close 371.45 +4.99% Bull RSI 75.1 Hot MACD + -0.3% above POC
MRVL close 139.69 +4.74% Bull RSI 82.3 Hot MACD + -0.2% above POC
Software / Cloud / Cybersecurity
ADBE close 244.45 -1.49% Mixed RSI 48.5 Cool MACD + -42.2% below POC
INTU close 393.25 +1.59% Bear-All RSI 44.2 Cool MACD - -51.7% below POC
SNPS close 449.58 +1.91% Bull-20/50 RSI 63.6 Warm MACD + -31.0% above POC
CDNS close 311.03 +1.33% Bull RSI 62.8 Warm MACD + -17.4% above POC
CRWD close 423.95 +1.37% Bull-20/50 RSI 55.7 Warm MACD + -25.2% above POC
PANW close 167.85 +0.53% Bull-20/50 RSI 54.7 Warm MACD + -24.9% above POC
FTNT close 81.84 -0.68% Bull-20/50 RSI 52.0 Warm MACD + -25.1% above POC
WDAY close 123.83 -0.81% Bear-All RSI 44.3 Cool MACD - -55.1% below POC
Consumer / Internet / Travel
NFLX close 97.31 -9.72% Mixed RSI 48.6 Cool MACD + -27.4% above POC
COST close 999.89 +1.28% Bull RSI 52.3 Warm MACD - -6.3% above POC
TMUS close 197.67 +0.28% Bear-All RSI 42.2 Cool MACD - -26.0% below POC
BKNG close 192.01 +4.04% Bull-20/50 RSI 65.3 Warm MACD + -17.8% above POC
MELI close 1855.83 +1.85% Bull-20/50 RSI 59.7 Warm MACD + -29.8% above POC
MAR close 377.93 +4.28% Bull RSI 73.0 Hot MACD + -0.4% above POC
ABNB close 141.55 +2.71% Bull RSI 67.1 Warm MACD + -1.6% above POC
DASH close 183.89 +2.54% Bull-20/50 RSI 66.9 Warm MACD + -35.6% above POC
ORLY close 93.71 +1.08% Bull-20/50 RSI 54.6 Warm MACD + -13.8% above POC
PYPL close 50.81 +2.01% Bull-20/50 RSI 68.9 Warm MACD + -36.1% above POC
Healthcare / Biotech
ISRG close 469.21 +2.43% Mixed RSI 50.3 Warm MACD + -22.3% below POC
REGN close 750.57 +0.61% Bear-20/50 RSI 47.2 Cool MACD - -8.6% below POC
Industrial / Other
LIN close 492.23 -1.40% Mixed RSI 48.0 Cool MACD - -3.6% above POC
CEG close 296.21 -0.98% Mixed RSI 51.6 Warm MACD + -28.2% above POC
CSCO close 86.25 +2.07% Bull RSI 67.6 Warm MACD + -2.2% above POC
SECTOR BIAS SUMMARY
Semiconductors: strongest sector — 9 of 10 on a full Bull stack, 5 printed RSI > 70, and 5 are within 3% of their 52-week highs (AVGO, ADI, MRVL, AMAT, TXN). This is the engine of the rally.
Mega-cap Tech: firmly bullish — 6 of 7 on a Bull or Bull-20/50 stack with bullish MACD across the group. Only TSLA has a bearish MACD despite a +3% print today; the MACD line is still well below signal.
Consumer/Internet/Travel: bullish skew with MAR, ABNB and BKNG breaking out, but TMUS and NFLX are clear relative weakness.
Software: mixed-to-weak — INTU and WDAY are the worst charts on the entire NAS100 (Bear-All stack, MACD down, RSI mid-40s). ADBE is still below all three EMAs on structure though MACD has turned.
Industrial/Other + Healthcare: Mostly consolidation — CSCO is the only clean bull in this group.
TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
1. ADI — Semis Breakout to New 52w High
Closed 371.45, less than 0.3% below its 52w high at 372.45 on relative volume 1.55x. RSI 75.1 is hot but the MACD line is widening above signal (10.0 vs 5.62), POC sits 12% below at 328.51 — plenty of air above.
Entry: 371 - 373 on hold or breakout · Stop: 361.40 (1x ATR) · T1: 381.50 · T2: 391.30 · R:R: 1:2.0
2. MRVL — Parabolic Semis Leader
Closed 139.69 vs 52w high 139.91. RSI 82.3 is stretched so treat this as an add-on breakout, not an initiation. Structure is pristine: price 60% above EMA200, POC 44 points below.
Entry: 139.95 on clean break · Stop: 133.60 (just below session low) · T1: 144.35 (R2) · T2: 148.75 (R3) · R:R: 1:1.5 · Note: size small — expect a retest of 135-136 first is likely.
3. MAR — Travel Breakout
Closed 377.93 fractionally below 52w high 379.56 on RV 1.23x. Full Bull stack with MACD line at 10.5 vs signal 6.16. POC 336.44 is 11% below — trend has plenty of room.
Entry: 377 - 379.50 · Stop: 367.99 (1x ATR) · T1: 386.10 (R2) · T2: 392.60 (R3) · R:R: 1:1.5
4. KLAC — High-Quality Semis Base Breakout
Closed 1791.44 with the 52w high at 1798 — essentially at highs. MACD line 81.28 vs signal 59.70 is widening. EMA200 is 528 points below (30% away) — deeply trending.
Entry: 1792 - 1798 · Stop: 1724.70 (1x ATR) · T1: 1855 (R3) · T2: 1925 · R:R: 1:1.9
5. BKNG — EMA200 Reclaim Setup
Closed 192.01, just below EMA200 at 193.05 after a +4.04% day on strong RSI expansion and MACD cross (3.20 vs 0.95). A daily close above 193.05 would confirm an EMA200 reclaim — a high-probability trend-change signal.
Entry: 193.50 on close above EMA200 · Stop: 185.20 (below pivot S2) · T1: 198.60 (R3) · T2: 206.50 · R:R: 1:1.6
INTRADAY SETUPS — PIVOT AND CAMARILLA
NVDA — Cam R4 Trend-Day Breakout
Close 201.68 sits just under Cam R4 at 203.02. A clean break and hold above 203.02 typically signals a trend-day long per the Camarilla method.
Entry: 203.10 on breakout · Stop: 201.00 (back into range) · T1: 204.93 (R3) · T2: 207.00
ADI — Cam R4 Breakout Continuation
Close 371.45. Cam R4 at 379.50. Given today's +4.99% run on RV 1.55, a gap-and-go Monday targets Cam R4.
Entry: 379.60 on break · Stop: 375.45 (Cam R3) · T1: 384 · T2: 391.30 (R3)
TSLA — Pivot Bounce Long
Close 400.62 effectively at classic pivot 400.52. Above pivot trades long toward R1 409.38; below pivot flips bearish bias toward S1 391.75.
Entry: 400.60 long above pivot / 400.40 short below · Stop: 396 long or 403 short · T1: 405.47 (Cam R3) long · T2: 409.38 (R1)
ORLY — Cam Range Scalp
Close 93.71 with Cam S3 93.25 / Cam R3 94.17 — a 92bp compression range, textbook range-day setup.
Entry: 93.30 long at Cam S3 / 94.10 short at Cam R3 · Stop: 93.00 or 94.35 · T1: mid-pivot 93.57
AAPL — Cam R4 Breakout
Close 270.23, Cam R4 273.30. Above R4 opens a path to R3 classic 278.36.
Entry: 273.40 on break · Stop: 270.70 (back into range) · T1: 275.33 (R2) · T2: 278.36 (R3)
KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD — TOP 5 TRADEABLE
NVDA — Close 201.68
Cam: S4 200.34 · S3 201.01 · R3 202.35 · R4 203.02
Classic: S2 198.45 · S1 200.07 · Pivot 200.88 · R1 202.50 · R2 203.31 · R3 204.93
EMAs: 20 @ 186.38 · 50 @ 183.86 · 200 @ 175.26 · POC 183.48
Prev Day: H 201.70 / L 199.27 · 52wk: H 212.19 / L 95.04
AAPL — Close 270.23
Cam: S4 267.16 · S3 268.70 · R3 271.76 · R4 273.30
Classic: S2 264.17 · S1 267.20 · Pivot 269.75 · R1 272.78 · R2 275.33 · R3 278.36
EMAs: 20 @ 259.27 · 50 @ 259.53 · 200 @ 252.20 · POC 260.85
Prev Day: H 272.30 / L 266.72 · 52wk: H 288.62 / L 189.81
META — Close 688.55
Cam: S4 679.54 · S3 684.04 · R3 693.06 · R4 697.56
Classic: S2 668.68 · S1 678.61 · Pivot 685.07 · R1 695.00 · R2 701.46 · R3 711.39
EMAs: 20 @ 627.04 · 50 @ 628.60 · 200 @ 650.44 · POC 637.74
Prev Day: H 691.52 / L 675.13 · 52wk: H 796.25 / L 479.80
AMZN — Close 250.56
Cam: S4 247.22 · S3 248.89 · R3 252.23 · R4 253.90
Classic: S2 246.21 · S1 248.39 · Pivot 252.28 · R1 254.46 · R2 258.35 · R3 260.53
EMAs: 20 @ 228.25 · 50 @ 221.78 · 200 @ 220.86 · POC 217.10
Prev Day: H 256.18 / L 250.11 · 52wk: H 258.60 / L 165.29
TSLA — Close 400.62
Cam: S4 390.92 · S3 395.77 · R3 405.47 · R4 410.32
Classic: S2 382.89 · S1 391.75 · Pivot 400.52 · R1 409.38 · R2 418.15 · R3 427.01
EMAs: 20 @ 373.66 · 50 @ 388.27 · 200 @ 390.64 · POC 395.57
Prev Day: H 409.28 / L 391.65 · 52wk: H 498.83 / L 222.79
BEARISH WARNINGS
NFLX — 97.31 (-9.72%). Post-earnings gap on revenue guide miss + Reed Hastings departure. Relative volume 2.97x. Price is below EMA20 (99.47) and EMA200 (99.28) — the stack is fractured. Wait for confirmation; do not try to catch the knife.
INTU — 393.25. Bear-All stack (close < EMA20, < EMA50, < EMA200). RSI 44.2, MACD line -12 below signal. Down 51.7% from 52w high. No bottom in place; bounces fade to the 20-EMA at 401.93.
WDAY — 123.83. Worst-structured NAS100 name — 55.1% below 52w high, Bear-All stack, MACD negative. Below POC and the full EMA cluster. Treat rallies to 126-129 (20-EMA) as short opportunities.
TMUS — 197.67. Bear-All stack, bearish MACD, RSI 42.2. Below POC. Telecom weakness standing out against a risk-on tech tape.
REGN — 750.57. Bear-20/50 stack despite price above EMA200. MACD has rolled over (-2.49 vs -1.82), RSI sub-50. Below POC at 763.99. Avoid longs until price reclaims the 756-757 EMA cluster.
ADBE — 244.45. Mixed stack but 42.2% below 52w high and below POC. Down day in an up tape — relative weakness flag.
EVENTS CALENDAR — NEXT WEEK
Earnings-heavy week across mega-cap tech and semis. Key NAS100 dates to watch from the tracked universe:
- Several software names report mid-week; watch guidance given INTU / WDAY structural weakness.
- Semi earnings season continues — LRCX, KLAC, AMAT guidance will determine whether the leadership group extends.
- NFLX overhang to reprice through the week as analysts update models.
US macro calendar: watch for updated Fed-speak and PCE prints in the 20-25 April window; with VIX at 17.94 and rate-cut expectations supportive, any hot inflation data is the primary downside risk to the 13-day streak.
BOTTOM LINE
NAS100 is late-stage bullish but over-extended in the short-term. The trend is your friend, breadth is narrowing (five of the ten RSI-hot names drove most of the semis upside), and two sessions without new index highs would be the first technical crack. Best trade quality sits in semis breakouts (ADI, MRVL, KLAC) and travel leaders (MAR, BKNG); cleanest short candidate remains INTU into EMA-rejections.
Report: 17-Apr-2026 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Data: Close 17-Apr-2026 | NAS100 (NDX) session range: 26,114 - 26,401 | Nasdaq Composite: 24,468 (+1.52%) | S&P 500: 7,126 (+1.20%) | VIX: 17.94
MARKET OVERVIEW
NAS100 pushed toward a fresh intraday high near 26,401 on Friday as the broader Nasdaq Composite notched its 13th consecutive winning day — the longest streak since 1992. The tape was driven by easing US-Iran tensions after Tehran confirmed the Strait of Hormuz remains open, plus a continued rotation into mega-cap tech and semiconductors ahead of a heavy earnings slate. S&P 500 information technology earnings are now tracked for +46% growth this quarter versus +36% at the start of the year.
BULLISH bias remains intact into next week. Scanner shows 30 of 40 NAS100 components on a bullish EMA structure (20 fully above all three EMAs, 10 above the 20/50 pair), versus only 4 names in a bearish stack and 6 mixed. Ten stocks printed RSI(14) at or above 70 — a warning sign for near-term exhaustion, not a reversal signal on its own.
The exception: NFLX collapsed -9.72% to 97.31 after weak Q2 guidance (78c vs 84c consensus), revenue forecast of $12.57bn shy of $12.64bn estimate, and the surprise exit of co-founder/chairman Reed Hastings. That is a cluster of reasons, not noise — treat NFLX as guilty-until-proven-innocent for another session.
TREND ANALYSIS
EMA stack (index level): Price is trading well above the 20 and 50-day averages and has reclaimed the 200-day decisively. The stack is bullish, with the 20 above the 50 and both above the 200.
Market structure: Higher-highs / higher-lows pattern intact. Friday's high above 26,400 is the latest HH in the sequence that started from the 27 March VIX-31 washout.
Current phase: Extended trend-up / near-breakout. The fact that 13 of the last 13 sessions closed green is statistically rare — expect mean-reversion risk to build, but the weight of evidence still favours higher prices until proven otherwise.
INDICATOR SIGNALS
RSI(14): Aggregate NAS100 is approaching overbought. Ten components printed >=70 today: ADI (75.1), MAR (73.0), MRVL (82.3), MSFT (71.6), NVDA (71.4), AMZN (76.5), GOOGL (72.6), AVGO (79.1), AMD (80.2), TXN (74.2). MRVL and AMD are extended enough to watch for pullbacks rather than chase. No component is oversold (RSI<=30).
MACD: Broadly supportive. 34 of 40 components have the MACD line above signal. Notable exceptions with bearish MACD: INTU, TMUS, WDAY, REGN, COST, LIN, ADBE.
Volume: Friday was a mixed-volume tape. Relative volume above 1.2x: ADI (1.55), TSLA (1.28), AAPL (1.30), MSFT (1.30), MAR (1.23), NFLX (2.97 on the earnings gap), PYPL (1.14). The ADI, MAR, AAPL and TSLA volume expansion confirms their advances. Most others printed sub-1x — rally participation is getting narrower.
KEY NAS100 LEVELS
Support:
- 26,250 — Friday's lower intraday pivot area
- 26,114 — Friday's session low
- 25,900 — rising 9-EMA / prior-day reaction zone
Resistance:
- 26,400 — Friday's session high / breakout trigger
- 26,500 — round-number / projected R1
- 26,750 — measured-move target from the April base
Pivot points (Classic, derived from Friday):
- S2 25,940 · S1 26,180 · Pivot 26,305 · R1 26,470 · R2 26,670
NASDAQ COMPONENT SIGNALS — ALL 40 STOCKS
Legend: EMA stack (Bull = above all three; Bull-20/50 = above 20/50 only; Bear-All = below all; Bear-20/50 = below 20 and 50). RSI zone: Hot>=70, Warm 50-70, Cool 30-50, Cold<=30. MACD: + line above signal, - line below. 52wH = % from 52-week high. POC = Point of Control (60-day VWAP).
Mega-cap Tech
AAPL close 270.23 +2.59% Bull RSI 64.2 Warm MACD + -6.4% from 52wH above POC
MSFT close 422.79 +0.60% Bull-20/50 RSI 71.6 Hot MACD + -23.9% above POC
NVDA close 201.68 +1.68% Bull RSI 71.4 Hot MACD + -5.0% above POC
AMZN close 250.56 +0.34% Bull RSI 76.5 Hot MACD + -3.1% above POC
META close 688.55 +1.73% Bull RSI 69.8 Warm MACD + -13.5% above POC
GOOGL close 341.68 +1.68% Bull RSI 72.6 Hot MACD + -2.1% above POC
TSLA close 400.62 +3.01% Bull RSI 60.3 Warm MACD - -19.7% above POC
Semiconductors
AVGO close 406.54 +2.03% Bull RSI 79.1 Hot MACD + -1.9% above POC
AMD close 278.39 +0.05% Bull RSI 80.2 Hot MACD + -0.9% above POC
QCOM close 136.20 +1.29% Mixed RSI 60.9 Warm MACD + -33.9% below POC
TXN close 229.82 +3.01% Bull RSI 74.2 Hot MACD + -0.6% above POC
AMAT close 396.94 +1.81% Bull RSI 63.5 Warm MACD + -2.5% above POC
MU close 455.07 -0.47% Bull RSI 62.6 Warm MACD + -3.5% above POC
LRCX close 267.61 +2.55% Bull RSI 64.6 Warm MACD + -2.2% above POC
KLAC close 1791.44 +3.26% Bull RSI 68.8 Warm MACD + -0.4% above POC
ADI close 371.45 +4.99% Bull RSI 75.1 Hot MACD + -0.3% above POC
MRVL close 139.69 +4.74% Bull RSI 82.3 Hot MACD + -0.2% above POC
Software / Cloud / Cybersecurity
ADBE close 244.45 -1.49% Mixed RSI 48.5 Cool MACD + -42.2% below POC
INTU close 393.25 +1.59% Bear-All RSI 44.2 Cool MACD - -51.7% below POC
SNPS close 449.58 +1.91% Bull-20/50 RSI 63.6 Warm MACD + -31.0% above POC
CDNS close 311.03 +1.33% Bull RSI 62.8 Warm MACD + -17.4% above POC
CRWD close 423.95 +1.37% Bull-20/50 RSI 55.7 Warm MACD + -25.2% above POC
PANW close 167.85 +0.53% Bull-20/50 RSI 54.7 Warm MACD + -24.9% above POC
FTNT close 81.84 -0.68% Bull-20/50 RSI 52.0 Warm MACD + -25.1% above POC
WDAY close 123.83 -0.81% Bear-All RSI 44.3 Cool MACD - -55.1% below POC
Consumer / Internet / Travel
NFLX close 97.31 -9.72% Mixed RSI 48.6 Cool MACD + -27.4% above POC
COST close 999.89 +1.28% Bull RSI 52.3 Warm MACD - -6.3% above POC
TMUS close 197.67 +0.28% Bear-All RSI 42.2 Cool MACD - -26.0% below POC
BKNG close 192.01 +4.04% Bull-20/50 RSI 65.3 Warm MACD + -17.8% above POC
MELI close 1855.83 +1.85% Bull-20/50 RSI 59.7 Warm MACD + -29.8% above POC
MAR close 377.93 +4.28% Bull RSI 73.0 Hot MACD + -0.4% above POC
ABNB close 141.55 +2.71% Bull RSI 67.1 Warm MACD + -1.6% above POC
DASH close 183.89 +2.54% Bull-20/50 RSI 66.9 Warm MACD + -35.6% above POC
ORLY close 93.71 +1.08% Bull-20/50 RSI 54.6 Warm MACD + -13.8% above POC
PYPL close 50.81 +2.01% Bull-20/50 RSI 68.9 Warm MACD + -36.1% above POC
Healthcare / Biotech
ISRG close 469.21 +2.43% Mixed RSI 50.3 Warm MACD + -22.3% below POC
REGN close 750.57 +0.61% Bear-20/50 RSI 47.2 Cool MACD - -8.6% below POC
Industrial / Other
LIN close 492.23 -1.40% Mixed RSI 48.0 Cool MACD - -3.6% above POC
CEG close 296.21 -0.98% Mixed RSI 51.6 Warm MACD + -28.2% above POC
CSCO close 86.25 +2.07% Bull RSI 67.6 Warm MACD + -2.2% above POC
SECTOR BIAS SUMMARY
Semiconductors: strongest sector — 9 of 10 on a full Bull stack, 5 printed RSI > 70, and 5 are within 3% of their 52-week highs (AVGO, ADI, MRVL, AMAT, TXN). This is the engine of the rally.
Mega-cap Tech: firmly bullish — 6 of 7 on a Bull or Bull-20/50 stack with bullish MACD across the group. Only TSLA has a bearish MACD despite a +3% print today; the MACD line is still well below signal.
Consumer/Internet/Travel: bullish skew with MAR, ABNB and BKNG breaking out, but TMUS and NFLX are clear relative weakness.
Software: mixed-to-weak — INTU and WDAY are the worst charts on the entire NAS100 (Bear-All stack, MACD down, RSI mid-40s). ADBE is still below all three EMAs on structure though MACD has turned.
Industrial/Other + Healthcare: Mostly consolidation — CSCO is the only clean bull in this group.
TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS
1. ADI — Semis Breakout to New 52w High
Closed 371.45, less than 0.3% below its 52w high at 372.45 on relative volume 1.55x. RSI 75.1 is hot but the MACD line is widening above signal (10.0 vs 5.62), POC sits 12% below at 328.51 — plenty of air above.
Entry: 371 - 373 on hold or breakout · Stop: 361.40 (1x ATR) · T1: 381.50 · T2: 391.30 · R:R: 1:2.0
2. MRVL — Parabolic Semis Leader
Closed 139.69 vs 52w high 139.91. RSI 82.3 is stretched so treat this as an add-on breakout, not an initiation. Structure is pristine: price 60% above EMA200, POC 44 points below.
Entry: 139.95 on clean break · Stop: 133.60 (just below session low) · T1: 144.35 (R2) · T2: 148.75 (R3) · R:R: 1:1.5 · Note: size small — expect a retest of 135-136 first is likely.
3. MAR — Travel Breakout
Closed 377.93 fractionally below 52w high 379.56 on RV 1.23x. Full Bull stack with MACD line at 10.5 vs signal 6.16. POC 336.44 is 11% below — trend has plenty of room.
Entry: 377 - 379.50 · Stop: 367.99 (1x ATR) · T1: 386.10 (R2) · T2: 392.60 (R3) · R:R: 1:1.5
4. KLAC — High-Quality Semis Base Breakout
Closed 1791.44 with the 52w high at 1798 — essentially at highs. MACD line 81.28 vs signal 59.70 is widening. EMA200 is 528 points below (30% away) — deeply trending.
Entry: 1792 - 1798 · Stop: 1724.70 (1x ATR) · T1: 1855 (R3) · T2: 1925 · R:R: 1:1.9
5. BKNG — EMA200 Reclaim Setup
Closed 192.01, just below EMA200 at 193.05 after a +4.04% day on strong RSI expansion and MACD cross (3.20 vs 0.95). A daily close above 193.05 would confirm an EMA200 reclaim — a high-probability trend-change signal.
Entry: 193.50 on close above EMA200 · Stop: 185.20 (below pivot S2) · T1: 198.60 (R3) · T2: 206.50 · R:R: 1:1.6
INTRADAY SETUPS — PIVOT AND CAMARILLA
NVDA — Cam R4 Trend-Day Breakout
Close 201.68 sits just under Cam R4 at 203.02. A clean break and hold above 203.02 typically signals a trend-day long per the Camarilla method.
Entry: 203.10 on breakout · Stop: 201.00 (back into range) · T1: 204.93 (R3) · T2: 207.00
ADI — Cam R4 Breakout Continuation
Close 371.45. Cam R4 at 379.50. Given today's +4.99% run on RV 1.55, a gap-and-go Monday targets Cam R4.
Entry: 379.60 on break · Stop: 375.45 (Cam R3) · T1: 384 · T2: 391.30 (R3)
TSLA — Pivot Bounce Long
Close 400.62 effectively at classic pivot 400.52. Above pivot trades long toward R1 409.38; below pivot flips bearish bias toward S1 391.75.
Entry: 400.60 long above pivot / 400.40 short below · Stop: 396 long or 403 short · T1: 405.47 (Cam R3) long · T2: 409.38 (R1)
ORLY — Cam Range Scalp
Close 93.71 with Cam S3 93.25 / Cam R3 94.17 — a 92bp compression range, textbook range-day setup.
Entry: 93.30 long at Cam S3 / 94.10 short at Cam R3 · Stop: 93.00 or 94.35 · T1: mid-pivot 93.57
AAPL — Cam R4 Breakout
Close 270.23, Cam R4 273.30. Above R4 opens a path to R3 classic 278.36.
Entry: 273.40 on break · Stop: 270.70 (back into range) · T1: 275.33 (R2) · T2: 278.36 (R3)
KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD — TOP 5 TRADEABLE
NVDA — Close 201.68
Cam: S4 200.34 · S3 201.01 · R3 202.35 · R4 203.02
Classic: S2 198.45 · S1 200.07 · Pivot 200.88 · R1 202.50 · R2 203.31 · R3 204.93
EMAs: 20 @ 186.38 · 50 @ 183.86 · 200 @ 175.26 · POC 183.48
Prev Day: H 201.70 / L 199.27 · 52wk: H 212.19 / L 95.04
AAPL — Close 270.23
Cam: S4 267.16 · S3 268.70 · R3 271.76 · R4 273.30
Classic: S2 264.17 · S1 267.20 · Pivot 269.75 · R1 272.78 · R2 275.33 · R3 278.36
EMAs: 20 @ 259.27 · 50 @ 259.53 · 200 @ 252.20 · POC 260.85
Prev Day: H 272.30 / L 266.72 · 52wk: H 288.62 / L 189.81
META — Close 688.55
Cam: S4 679.54 · S3 684.04 · R3 693.06 · R4 697.56
Classic: S2 668.68 · S1 678.61 · Pivot 685.07 · R1 695.00 · R2 701.46 · R3 711.39
EMAs: 20 @ 627.04 · 50 @ 628.60 · 200 @ 650.44 · POC 637.74
Prev Day: H 691.52 / L 675.13 · 52wk: H 796.25 / L 479.80
AMZN — Close 250.56
Cam: S4 247.22 · S3 248.89 · R3 252.23 · R4 253.90
Classic: S2 246.21 · S1 248.39 · Pivot 252.28 · R1 254.46 · R2 258.35 · R3 260.53
EMAs: 20 @ 228.25 · 50 @ 221.78 · 200 @ 220.86 · POC 217.10
Prev Day: H 256.18 / L 250.11 · 52wk: H 258.60 / L 165.29
TSLA — Close 400.62
Cam: S4 390.92 · S3 395.77 · R3 405.47 · R4 410.32
Classic: S2 382.89 · S1 391.75 · Pivot 400.52 · R1 409.38 · R2 418.15 · R3 427.01
EMAs: 20 @ 373.66 · 50 @ 388.27 · 200 @ 390.64 · POC 395.57
Prev Day: H 409.28 / L 391.65 · 52wk: H 498.83 / L 222.79
BEARISH WARNINGS
NFLX — 97.31 (-9.72%). Post-earnings gap on revenue guide miss + Reed Hastings departure. Relative volume 2.97x. Price is below EMA20 (99.47) and EMA200 (99.28) — the stack is fractured. Wait for confirmation; do not try to catch the knife.
INTU — 393.25. Bear-All stack (close < EMA20, < EMA50, < EMA200). RSI 44.2, MACD line -12 below signal. Down 51.7% from 52w high. No bottom in place; bounces fade to the 20-EMA at 401.93.
WDAY — 123.83. Worst-structured NAS100 name — 55.1% below 52w high, Bear-All stack, MACD negative. Below POC and the full EMA cluster. Treat rallies to 126-129 (20-EMA) as short opportunities.
TMUS — 197.67. Bear-All stack, bearish MACD, RSI 42.2. Below POC. Telecom weakness standing out against a risk-on tech tape.
REGN — 750.57. Bear-20/50 stack despite price above EMA200. MACD has rolled over (-2.49 vs -1.82), RSI sub-50. Below POC at 763.99. Avoid longs until price reclaims the 756-757 EMA cluster.
ADBE — 244.45. Mixed stack but 42.2% below 52w high and below POC. Down day in an up tape — relative weakness flag.
EVENTS CALENDAR — NEXT WEEK
Earnings-heavy week across mega-cap tech and semis. Key NAS100 dates to watch from the tracked universe:
- Several software names report mid-week; watch guidance given INTU / WDAY structural weakness.
- Semi earnings season continues — LRCX, KLAC, AMAT guidance will determine whether the leadership group extends.
- NFLX overhang to reprice through the week as analysts update models.
US macro calendar: watch for updated Fed-speak and PCE prints in the 20-25 April window; with VIX at 17.94 and rate-cut expectations supportive, any hot inflation data is the primary downside risk to the 13-day streak.
BOTTOM LINE
NAS100 is late-stage bullish but over-extended in the short-term. The trend is your friend, breadth is narrowing (five of the ten RSI-hot names drove most of the semis upside), and two sessions without new index highs would be the first technical crack. Best trade quality sits in semis breakouts (ADI, MRVL, KLAC) and travel leaders (MAR, BKNG); cleanest short candidate remains INTU into EMA-rejections.
Report: 17-Apr-2026 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
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2 weeks 1 day ago #18487
by remo
Replied by remo on topic NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
NAS100 Daily Technical Report — Wednesday 15 April 2026
Data: Close 15 Apr 2026 | NAS100: 26,098.93 | Change: +256.93 (+0.99%) | VIX: 18.36
MARKET OVERVIEW
NASDAQ 100 closed higher for a second straight session as mega-cap tech and semiconductors led broad leadership. Breadth was firmly positive across the scanner universe — 28 of 40 NASDAQ 100 components we track closed in the green. The index pushed through 26,000 with a modest but controlled advance (+0.99%), while the VIX settled at 18.36, suggesting option markets are not bracing for a sharp regime shift.
Session drivers were concentrated in AI/semiconductor names (AVGO, AMD, NVDA, MU) and a huge idiosyncratic gap in DASH (+10.0%), TSLA (+7.6%) and INTU (+6.3%). On the other side, several semiconductor-capital-equipment names (KLAC -2.66%, LRCX -2.66%, MU -2.03%) saw mild profit-taking after recent strength. Bias remains BULLISH above 25,800; a close back below that level would flip the near-term structure to neutral.
TREND ANALYSIS
EMA stack on the NAS100 index remains bullish: price > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200. Market structure printed a higher high on the daily (vs. prior swing) with a higher low intact at the 25,400 area.
Internal breadth across the 40 NASDAQ 100 components we scan:
- Bull (above all 3 EMAs): 20 stocks (50%)
- Bull above 20/50 only: 8 stocks
- Mixed: 6 stocks
- Bear (below 20/50): 2 stocks
- Bear (below all 3 EMAs): 4 stocks
Current phase: trending higher with short-term consolidation pockets in mega-cap tech. Semi breadth is the strongest of any sub-sector — that is the group doing the heavy lifting.
INDICATOR SIGNALS
RSI(14): 6 components in overbought (>70) — AMZN 75.5, MRVL 81.9, AVGO 77.0, AMD 74.8, NFLX 79.0, GOOGL 71.3. 1 component oversold (<30): TMUS at 27.3. The breadth of RSI leadership is genuine, not narrow.
MACD: 34 of 40 components with MACD line above signal. Most recent bullish crossovers: AAPL, ABNB, META, GOOGL, BKNG, CDNS — momentum is broadening.
Volume: Average relative volume 0.94 — slightly below norms, no conviction-selling footprint. TSLA (rv 1.63) and DASH (rv 1.60) led on volume.
KEY NAS100 INDEX LEVELS
Resistance:
- 26,200 — intraday high / round-number supply
- 26,500 — projected R2 from pivot
- 26,850 — 2025 YTD high reference
Support:
- 25,950 — rising EMA20 on index
- 25,600 — prior breakout level / pivot
- 25,300 — EMA50 confluence
Classic Pivots (intraday): S2 25,780 · S1 25,940 · Pivot 26,050 · R1 26,210 · R2 26,320
NASDAQ 100 COMPONENT SIGNALS
[code]
Ticker Close Chg% RSI RSIz MACD Trend %52H POC
-- Mega-cap Tech
AAPL 266.43 2.94 62.2 Bull Bull Bull -7.7 Above
MSFT 411.22 4.61 67.2 Bull Bull Bull* -26.0 Above
NVDA 198.87 1.20 69.8 Bull Bull Bull -6.3 Above
AMZN 248.41 -0.24 75.5 OB Bull Bull -3.9 Above
META 671.58 1.37 66.6 Bull Bull Bull -15.7 Above
GOOGL 337.12 1.26 71.3 OB Bull Bull -3.4 Above
AVGO 396.72 4.19 77.0 OB Bull Bull -4.3 Above
TSLA 392.04 7.64 57.7 Bull Bull Bull -21.4 Below
NFLX 107.71 1.35 79.0 OB Bull Bull -19.7 Above
-- Semiconductors
AMD 258.12 1.20 74.8 OB Bull Bull -3.4 Above
NVDA 198.87 1.20 69.8 Bull Bull Bull -6.3 Above
AVGO 396.72 4.19 77.0 OB Bull Bull -4.3 Above
QCOM 133.05 0.16 54.2 Neu Bull Mixed -35.4 Below
MU 456.23 -2.03 63.2 Bull Bull Bull -3.2 Above
LRCX 265.16 -2.66 64.8 Bull Bull Bull -3.0 Above
KLAC 1748.11 -2.66 66.8 Bull Bull Bull -2.8 Above
ADI 347.94 -0.19 64.7 Bull Bull Bull -4.2 Above
AMAT 394.26 -0.35 63.5 Bull Bull Bull -3.2 Above
TXN 216.29 -1.18 65.4 Bull Bull Bull -6.5 Above
MRVL 134.60 0.58 81.9 OB Bull Bull -2.6 Above
-- Software / Cloud
ADBE 244.66 3.79 48.8 Neu Bull Mixed -42.2 Below
CRWD 411.16 3.18 52.0 Neu Bull Mixed -27.5 Above
PANW 164.11 1.56 51.5 Neu Bull Mixed -26.6 Above
INTU 389.72 6.25 42.6 Bear Bear Bear -52.1 Below
FTNT 79.64 1.19 46.7 Neu Bear Bear -27.2 Below
SNPS 438.45 4.69 60.0 Bull Bull Bull* -32.7 Above
CDNS 304.10 4.01 59.8 Bull Bull Bull* -19.2 Above
WDAY 124.12 5.31 44.5 Bear Bull Bear -55.0 Below
-- Consumer / Internet
BKNG 185.69 2.52 61.1 Bull Bull Bull* -20.5 Above
MELI 1872.12 1.71 63.6 Bull Bull Bull* -29.2 Above
MAR 363.74 -0.81 67.8 Bull Bull Bull -1.7 Above
ABNB 137.51 2.73 62.6 Bull Bull Bull -4.4 Above
DASH 179.94 10.02 64.8 Bull Bull Bull* -37.0 Above
ORLY 93.60 0.09 54.5 Neu Bull Bull* -13.9 Below
PYPL 49.57 3.34 65.4 Bull Bull Bull* -37.6 Above
COST 984.75 1.02 46.2 Neu Bear Bear* -7.7 Below
-- Comms / Utility / Other
CSCO 82.30 -0.38 57.3 Bull Bull Bull -6.7 Above
TMUS 190.19 0.10 27.3 OS Bear Bear -29.0 Below
LIN 497.94 -0.34 52.7 Neu Bear Bull -2.5 Above
CEG 294.73 -0.63 51.0 Neu Bull Mixed -28.6 Above
-- Healthcare / Biotech
ISRG 468.36 0.24 49.3 Neu Bull Mixed -22.4 Below
REGN 753.93 -0.21 48.1 Neu Bear Bear* -8.2 Below
[/code]
Legend: RSIz = OB/Bull/Neu/Bear/OS zones. Trend: Bull = close above all 3 EMAs; Bull* = above 20/50, below 200; Bear* = below 20/50, above 200; Bear = below all 3 EMAs. POC = close Above/Below 60-day Point of Control.
SECTOR-LEVEL VIEW
LEADERS
- Semiconductors: Strongest group. 9 of 11 names bullish on all EMAs. AMD, AVGO, NVDA, MU, LRCX, KLAC, AMAT, ADI, TXN, MRVL all in confirmed up-trends. This is the engine of the index right now.
- Mega-cap Tech: 7 of 9 bull — AAPL breakout, META MACD cross, GOOGL at highs, AMZN RSI-led, NFLX bull momentum, NVDA and AVGO leading semis. MSFT is Bull*.
LAGGARDS
- Software / Cloud: Weakest group. WDAY, INTU, FTNT all Bear-below-all. PANW, CRWD, ADBE in Mixed. Watch for mean-reversion plays here — INTU pushed +6.25% today despite the bearish backdrop.
- Consumer / Internet: Mixed — BKNG, MELI, DASH, PYPL all in Bull* recovery mode under a falling 200-EMA. COST has rolled to Bear*.
- Healthcare / Biotech: ISRG mixed, REGN Bear* — no clean leadership in this sleeve.
- Comms / Utility: TMUS Bear-below-all, RSI 27.3 — oversold but no reversal trigger yet.
TOP SWING SETUPS
1) AVGO — Semiconductor trend leader
Close 396.72 (+4.19%), RSI 77.0, MACD bull-cross, full EMA alignment. Closed within 0.4 of the session high — strong demand absorption. POC at 329.26 is well below price. Extended but momentum dominant.
Entry: 393-395 (pullback to pivot) · Stop: 383 (below S2 / ATR buffer) · T1: 405 · T2: 415 · R:R: 1:1.9
Why: Cam R4 403.05 is the trend-day breakout trigger; holding above pivot 393.12 keeps the upside intact. Pullbacks into 390-394 have been bought.
2) AMD — Bull continuation
Close 258.12 (+1.20%), RSI 74.8, MACD bull. Pushed to fresh session highs; structure shows higher highs on the daily. ATR 9.61 — room to run.
Entry: 254-256 (Cam S2/S3 retest) · Stop: 248 (below Cam S4 and 1 ATR) · T1: 262 · T2: 270 · R:R: 1:1.3
Why: Above pivot 256.05 with Cam R1 260.25 as first target. Trend and volume both confirming.
3) META — MACD recovery
Close 671.58 (+1.37%), RSI 66.6, just pushed MACD line above signal. Fresh bull-on-all EMAs after regaining EMA200 at 649.79. POC 635.77.
Entry: 666-672 (pivot 671.43) · Stop: 648 (below EMA200) · T1: 690 · T2: 710 · R:R: 1:1.6
Why: Bullish MACD crossover + EMA200 reclaim is a high-conviction combination. Stop is structural, not noise.
4) KLAC — Buy-the-dip semi-cap
Close 1748.11 (-2.66%) — minor profit-take after extended run; structure fully intact (bull-all, RSI 66.
. EMA20 1605.89 is a long way below price but daily momentum is still the primary driver.
Entry: 1720-1750 (pivot zone) · Stop: 1680 (below day low) · T1: 1795 · T2: 1830 · R:R: 1:1.2
Why: Semi-cap-equipment leadership still intact (AMAT, LRCX confirm). The -2.66% print looks like a liquidity pullback inside a trend.
5) GOOGL — Trend with RSI leadership
Close 337.12 (+1.26%), RSI 71.3, bull on all EMAs. Closed near session high at 337.48. POC 312.11 well below.
Entry: 334-337 (Cam S3-S1) · Stop: 328 (below Cam S4 and EMA20) · T1: 342 · T2: 348 · R:R: 1:1.4
Why: Tight consolidation at highs with RSI confirmation. Cam R3 338.93 is the first breakout trigger.
INTRADAY SETUPS — PIVOT & CAMARILLA
Pivot Bounce Long — NVDA
Price 198.87 sits just above classic pivot 198.34. Bull-on-all structure; 200 round-number overhead.
Entry: 198.50-198.90 (hold of pivot) · Stop: 196.20 (below S1 196.27) · T1: 200.93 (R1) · T2: 203.00 (R2)
Camarilla Breakout Long — TSLA
Close 392.04 (+7.64%) pushed through Cam R2/R3. Cam R4 409.72 is the trend-day trigger; above it, momentum players chase.
Entry: 393+ above Cam R3 (400.88) · Stop: 383 (below Cam S3) · T1: 403.63 (R1) · T2: 409.72 (Cam R4)
Pivot Bounce Long — AAPL
Close 266.43 above pivot 263.60, fresh bull-all, MACD cross. Clean structure.
Entry: 264-266 · Stop: 260.50 (below S1 260.64) · T1: 269.39 (R1) · T2: 272.35 (R2)
Camarilla Range Scalp — MAR
Very tight Cam S3/R3 range: 362.29 / 365.19. Pivot 363.58.
Entry long: 362.30-362.50 for reversion to 365.19 · Stop: 360.70 (below Cam S4)
Entry short: 365.10-365.20 for reversion to 362.30 · Stop: 366.70
Breakout Watch — AMAT
Close 394.26 just under pivot 389.52 / R1 399.35. Coiled inside Cam R3 398.37 — clean trigger above Cam R4 402.47 for a trend leg.
Entry: break/retest 402.50 · Stop: 393.00 (back inside range) · T1: 404.45 (R2) · T2: 410 (extension)
KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD — TOP 5
AVGO · Close 396.72 · ATR 13.00 · RSI 77.0
Cam: S4 390.39 · S3 393.55 · S1 395.66 || R1 397.78 · R3 399.89 · R4 403.05
Classic: S3 377.66 · S2 381.61 · S1 389.17 · Piv 393.12 · R1 400.68 · R2 404.63 · R3 412.19
EMA: 20 343.83 · 50 335.58 · 200 317.89 · POC 329.26 · Prev H/L 397.08 / 385.57 · 52w H/L 414.61 / 161.61
AMD · Close 258.12 · ATR 9.61 · RSI 74.8
Cam: S4 254.64 · S3 256.38 · S1 257.54 || R1 258.70 · R3 259.86 · R4 261.60
Classic: S3 247.59 · S2 249.72 · S1 253.92 · Piv 256.05 · R1 260.25 · R2 262.38 · R3 266.58
EMA: 20 225.65 · 50 217.04 · 200 198.24 · POC 215.80 · Prev H/L 258.18 / 251.85 · 52w H/L 267.08 / 83.75
NVDA · Close 198.87 · ATR 5.36 · RSI 69.8
Cam: S4 196.31 · S3 197.59 · S1 198.44 || R1 199.30 · R3 200.15 · R4 201.43
Classic: S3 191.61 · S2 193.68 · S1 196.27 · Piv 198.34 · R1 200.93 · R2 203.00 · R3 205.59
EMA: 20 183.34 · 50 182.51 · 200 174.76 · POC 182.94 · Prev H/L 200.40 / 195.74 · 52w H/L 212.19 / 95.04
META · Close 671.58 · ATR 21.20 · RSI 66.6
Cam: S4 663.73 · S3 667.65 · S1 670.27 || R1 672.89 · R3 675.51 · R4 679.43
Classic: S3 650.09 · S2 657.15 · S1 664.37 · Piv 671.43 · R1 678.65 · R2 685.71 · R3 692.93
EMA: 20 614.64 · 50 624.08 · 200 649.79 · POC 635.77 · Prev H/L 678.50 / 664.22 · 52w H/L 796.25 / 479.80
TSLA · Close 392.04 · ATR 15.60 · RSI 57.7
Cam: S4 374.36 · S3 383.20 · S1 389.09 || R1 394.99 · R3 400.88 · R4 409.72
Classic: S3 339.33 · S2 350.91 · S1 371.48 · Piv 383.06 · R1 403.63 · R2 415.21 · R3 435.78
EMA: 20 368.92 · 50 387.72 · 200 390.56 · POC 396.64 · Prev H/L 394.65 / 362.50 · 52w H/L 498.83 / 222.79
BEARISH WARNINGS
WDAY — Close 124.12, Bear on all EMAs (EMA200 190.20). Despite +5.31% today, it is still -55% from 52w high. Dead-cat bounce risk. No buy here.
INTU — Close 389.72, Bear on all EMAs, -52.1% from 52w high. RSI 42.6. Today's +6.25% move is counter-trend; needs to reclaim EMA20 at 404.51 before trend can flip.
FTNT — Close 79.64, Bear on all EMAs, -27.2% from 52w high. No momentum signal; avoid long-side setups.
TMUS — Close 190.19, Bear on all EMAs, RSI 27.3 oversold but no reversal trigger. Wait for structure before attempting a mean-reversion long.
COST — Close 984.75, rolled to Bear* (below 20/50). First time this year. Watch 956 EMA200 as the line in the sand.
REGN — Close 753.93, Bear*, MACD negative, RSI 48.1. Risk tilted down; wait for basing action.
EVENTS CALENDAR — NEXT 1-2 DAYS
Macro: US PPI (March) this week — key for validating CPI. Initial Jobless Claims Thursday. No FOMC meeting this week; FOMC Minutes from the March 17-18 meeting already released last week.
Earnings season: Q1 earnings underway — large-cap financials (GS, JPM, C, WFC) already reported. Next wave brings NFLX and NASDAQ-100 tech names in the coming 1-2 weeks. NFLX on tracker-list — be aware of event risk into prints.
Index change: SanDisk confirmed for Nasdaq-100 inclusion next week — rebalance flows may impact constituents.
Report: 15 April 2026, 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Data: Close 15 Apr 2026 | NAS100: 26,098.93 | Change: +256.93 (+0.99%) | VIX: 18.36
MARKET OVERVIEW
NASDAQ 100 closed higher for a second straight session as mega-cap tech and semiconductors led broad leadership. Breadth was firmly positive across the scanner universe — 28 of 40 NASDAQ 100 components we track closed in the green. The index pushed through 26,000 with a modest but controlled advance (+0.99%), while the VIX settled at 18.36, suggesting option markets are not bracing for a sharp regime shift.
Session drivers were concentrated in AI/semiconductor names (AVGO, AMD, NVDA, MU) and a huge idiosyncratic gap in DASH (+10.0%), TSLA (+7.6%) and INTU (+6.3%). On the other side, several semiconductor-capital-equipment names (KLAC -2.66%, LRCX -2.66%, MU -2.03%) saw mild profit-taking after recent strength. Bias remains BULLISH above 25,800; a close back below that level would flip the near-term structure to neutral.
TREND ANALYSIS
EMA stack on the NAS100 index remains bullish: price > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200. Market structure printed a higher high on the daily (vs. prior swing) with a higher low intact at the 25,400 area.
Internal breadth across the 40 NASDAQ 100 components we scan:
- Bull (above all 3 EMAs): 20 stocks (50%)
- Bull above 20/50 only: 8 stocks
- Mixed: 6 stocks
- Bear (below 20/50): 2 stocks
- Bear (below all 3 EMAs): 4 stocks
Current phase: trending higher with short-term consolidation pockets in mega-cap tech. Semi breadth is the strongest of any sub-sector — that is the group doing the heavy lifting.
INDICATOR SIGNALS
RSI(14): 6 components in overbought (>70) — AMZN 75.5, MRVL 81.9, AVGO 77.0, AMD 74.8, NFLX 79.0, GOOGL 71.3. 1 component oversold (<30): TMUS at 27.3. The breadth of RSI leadership is genuine, not narrow.
MACD: 34 of 40 components with MACD line above signal. Most recent bullish crossovers: AAPL, ABNB, META, GOOGL, BKNG, CDNS — momentum is broadening.
Volume: Average relative volume 0.94 — slightly below norms, no conviction-selling footprint. TSLA (rv 1.63) and DASH (rv 1.60) led on volume.
KEY NAS100 INDEX LEVELS
Resistance:
- 26,200 — intraday high / round-number supply
- 26,500 — projected R2 from pivot
- 26,850 — 2025 YTD high reference
Support:
- 25,950 — rising EMA20 on index
- 25,600 — prior breakout level / pivot
- 25,300 — EMA50 confluence
Classic Pivots (intraday): S2 25,780 · S1 25,940 · Pivot 26,050 · R1 26,210 · R2 26,320
NASDAQ 100 COMPONENT SIGNALS
[code]
Ticker Close Chg% RSI RSIz MACD Trend %52H POC
-- Mega-cap Tech
AAPL 266.43 2.94 62.2 Bull Bull Bull -7.7 Above
MSFT 411.22 4.61 67.2 Bull Bull Bull* -26.0 Above
NVDA 198.87 1.20 69.8 Bull Bull Bull -6.3 Above
AMZN 248.41 -0.24 75.5 OB Bull Bull -3.9 Above
META 671.58 1.37 66.6 Bull Bull Bull -15.7 Above
GOOGL 337.12 1.26 71.3 OB Bull Bull -3.4 Above
AVGO 396.72 4.19 77.0 OB Bull Bull -4.3 Above
TSLA 392.04 7.64 57.7 Bull Bull Bull -21.4 Below
NFLX 107.71 1.35 79.0 OB Bull Bull -19.7 Above
-- Semiconductors
AMD 258.12 1.20 74.8 OB Bull Bull -3.4 Above
NVDA 198.87 1.20 69.8 Bull Bull Bull -6.3 Above
AVGO 396.72 4.19 77.0 OB Bull Bull -4.3 Above
QCOM 133.05 0.16 54.2 Neu Bull Mixed -35.4 Below
MU 456.23 -2.03 63.2 Bull Bull Bull -3.2 Above
LRCX 265.16 -2.66 64.8 Bull Bull Bull -3.0 Above
KLAC 1748.11 -2.66 66.8 Bull Bull Bull -2.8 Above
ADI 347.94 -0.19 64.7 Bull Bull Bull -4.2 Above
AMAT 394.26 -0.35 63.5 Bull Bull Bull -3.2 Above
TXN 216.29 -1.18 65.4 Bull Bull Bull -6.5 Above
MRVL 134.60 0.58 81.9 OB Bull Bull -2.6 Above
-- Software / Cloud
ADBE 244.66 3.79 48.8 Neu Bull Mixed -42.2 Below
CRWD 411.16 3.18 52.0 Neu Bull Mixed -27.5 Above
PANW 164.11 1.56 51.5 Neu Bull Mixed -26.6 Above
INTU 389.72 6.25 42.6 Bear Bear Bear -52.1 Below
FTNT 79.64 1.19 46.7 Neu Bear Bear -27.2 Below
SNPS 438.45 4.69 60.0 Bull Bull Bull* -32.7 Above
CDNS 304.10 4.01 59.8 Bull Bull Bull* -19.2 Above
WDAY 124.12 5.31 44.5 Bear Bull Bear -55.0 Below
-- Consumer / Internet
BKNG 185.69 2.52 61.1 Bull Bull Bull* -20.5 Above
MELI 1872.12 1.71 63.6 Bull Bull Bull* -29.2 Above
MAR 363.74 -0.81 67.8 Bull Bull Bull -1.7 Above
ABNB 137.51 2.73 62.6 Bull Bull Bull -4.4 Above
DASH 179.94 10.02 64.8 Bull Bull Bull* -37.0 Above
ORLY 93.60 0.09 54.5 Neu Bull Bull* -13.9 Below
PYPL 49.57 3.34 65.4 Bull Bull Bull* -37.6 Above
COST 984.75 1.02 46.2 Neu Bear Bear* -7.7 Below
-- Comms / Utility / Other
CSCO 82.30 -0.38 57.3 Bull Bull Bull -6.7 Above
TMUS 190.19 0.10 27.3 OS Bear Bear -29.0 Below
LIN 497.94 -0.34 52.7 Neu Bear Bull -2.5 Above
CEG 294.73 -0.63 51.0 Neu Bull Mixed -28.6 Above
-- Healthcare / Biotech
ISRG 468.36 0.24 49.3 Neu Bull Mixed -22.4 Below
REGN 753.93 -0.21 48.1 Neu Bear Bear* -8.2 Below
[/code]
Legend: RSIz = OB/Bull/Neu/Bear/OS zones. Trend: Bull = close above all 3 EMAs; Bull* = above 20/50, below 200; Bear* = below 20/50, above 200; Bear = below all 3 EMAs. POC = close Above/Below 60-day Point of Control.
SECTOR-LEVEL VIEW
LEADERS
- Semiconductors: Strongest group. 9 of 11 names bullish on all EMAs. AMD, AVGO, NVDA, MU, LRCX, KLAC, AMAT, ADI, TXN, MRVL all in confirmed up-trends. This is the engine of the index right now.
- Mega-cap Tech: 7 of 9 bull — AAPL breakout, META MACD cross, GOOGL at highs, AMZN RSI-led, NFLX bull momentum, NVDA and AVGO leading semis. MSFT is Bull*.
LAGGARDS
- Software / Cloud: Weakest group. WDAY, INTU, FTNT all Bear-below-all. PANW, CRWD, ADBE in Mixed. Watch for mean-reversion plays here — INTU pushed +6.25% today despite the bearish backdrop.
- Consumer / Internet: Mixed — BKNG, MELI, DASH, PYPL all in Bull* recovery mode under a falling 200-EMA. COST has rolled to Bear*.
- Healthcare / Biotech: ISRG mixed, REGN Bear* — no clean leadership in this sleeve.
- Comms / Utility: TMUS Bear-below-all, RSI 27.3 — oversold but no reversal trigger yet.
TOP SWING SETUPS
1) AVGO — Semiconductor trend leader
Close 396.72 (+4.19%), RSI 77.0, MACD bull-cross, full EMA alignment. Closed within 0.4 of the session high — strong demand absorption. POC at 329.26 is well below price. Extended but momentum dominant.
Entry: 393-395 (pullback to pivot) · Stop: 383 (below S2 / ATR buffer) · T1: 405 · T2: 415 · R:R: 1:1.9
Why: Cam R4 403.05 is the trend-day breakout trigger; holding above pivot 393.12 keeps the upside intact. Pullbacks into 390-394 have been bought.
2) AMD — Bull continuation
Close 258.12 (+1.20%), RSI 74.8, MACD bull. Pushed to fresh session highs; structure shows higher highs on the daily. ATR 9.61 — room to run.
Entry: 254-256 (Cam S2/S3 retest) · Stop: 248 (below Cam S4 and 1 ATR) · T1: 262 · T2: 270 · R:R: 1:1.3
Why: Above pivot 256.05 with Cam R1 260.25 as first target. Trend and volume both confirming.
3) META — MACD recovery
Close 671.58 (+1.37%), RSI 66.6, just pushed MACD line above signal. Fresh bull-on-all EMAs after regaining EMA200 at 649.79. POC 635.77.
Entry: 666-672 (pivot 671.43) · Stop: 648 (below EMA200) · T1: 690 · T2: 710 · R:R: 1:1.6
Why: Bullish MACD crossover + EMA200 reclaim is a high-conviction combination. Stop is structural, not noise.
4) KLAC — Buy-the-dip semi-cap
Close 1748.11 (-2.66%) — minor profit-take after extended run; structure fully intact (bull-all, RSI 66.
Entry: 1720-1750 (pivot zone) · Stop: 1680 (below day low) · T1: 1795 · T2: 1830 · R:R: 1:1.2
Why: Semi-cap-equipment leadership still intact (AMAT, LRCX confirm). The -2.66% print looks like a liquidity pullback inside a trend.
5) GOOGL — Trend with RSI leadership
Close 337.12 (+1.26%), RSI 71.3, bull on all EMAs. Closed near session high at 337.48. POC 312.11 well below.
Entry: 334-337 (Cam S3-S1) · Stop: 328 (below Cam S4 and EMA20) · T1: 342 · T2: 348 · R:R: 1:1.4
Why: Tight consolidation at highs with RSI confirmation. Cam R3 338.93 is the first breakout trigger.
INTRADAY SETUPS — PIVOT & CAMARILLA
Pivot Bounce Long — NVDA
Price 198.87 sits just above classic pivot 198.34. Bull-on-all structure; 200 round-number overhead.
Entry: 198.50-198.90 (hold of pivot) · Stop: 196.20 (below S1 196.27) · T1: 200.93 (R1) · T2: 203.00 (R2)
Camarilla Breakout Long — TSLA
Close 392.04 (+7.64%) pushed through Cam R2/R3. Cam R4 409.72 is the trend-day trigger; above it, momentum players chase.
Entry: 393+ above Cam R3 (400.88) · Stop: 383 (below Cam S3) · T1: 403.63 (R1) · T2: 409.72 (Cam R4)
Pivot Bounce Long — AAPL
Close 266.43 above pivot 263.60, fresh bull-all, MACD cross. Clean structure.
Entry: 264-266 · Stop: 260.50 (below S1 260.64) · T1: 269.39 (R1) · T2: 272.35 (R2)
Camarilla Range Scalp — MAR
Very tight Cam S3/R3 range: 362.29 / 365.19. Pivot 363.58.
Entry long: 362.30-362.50 for reversion to 365.19 · Stop: 360.70 (below Cam S4)
Entry short: 365.10-365.20 for reversion to 362.30 · Stop: 366.70
Breakout Watch — AMAT
Close 394.26 just under pivot 389.52 / R1 399.35. Coiled inside Cam R3 398.37 — clean trigger above Cam R4 402.47 for a trend leg.
Entry: break/retest 402.50 · Stop: 393.00 (back inside range) · T1: 404.45 (R2) · T2: 410 (extension)
KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD — TOP 5
AVGO · Close 396.72 · ATR 13.00 · RSI 77.0
Cam: S4 390.39 · S3 393.55 · S1 395.66 || R1 397.78 · R3 399.89 · R4 403.05
Classic: S3 377.66 · S2 381.61 · S1 389.17 · Piv 393.12 · R1 400.68 · R2 404.63 · R3 412.19
EMA: 20 343.83 · 50 335.58 · 200 317.89 · POC 329.26 · Prev H/L 397.08 / 385.57 · 52w H/L 414.61 / 161.61
AMD · Close 258.12 · ATR 9.61 · RSI 74.8
Cam: S4 254.64 · S3 256.38 · S1 257.54 || R1 258.70 · R3 259.86 · R4 261.60
Classic: S3 247.59 · S2 249.72 · S1 253.92 · Piv 256.05 · R1 260.25 · R2 262.38 · R3 266.58
EMA: 20 225.65 · 50 217.04 · 200 198.24 · POC 215.80 · Prev H/L 258.18 / 251.85 · 52w H/L 267.08 / 83.75
NVDA · Close 198.87 · ATR 5.36 · RSI 69.8
Cam: S4 196.31 · S3 197.59 · S1 198.44 || R1 199.30 · R3 200.15 · R4 201.43
Classic: S3 191.61 · S2 193.68 · S1 196.27 · Piv 198.34 · R1 200.93 · R2 203.00 · R3 205.59
EMA: 20 183.34 · 50 182.51 · 200 174.76 · POC 182.94 · Prev H/L 200.40 / 195.74 · 52w H/L 212.19 / 95.04
META · Close 671.58 · ATR 21.20 · RSI 66.6
Cam: S4 663.73 · S3 667.65 · S1 670.27 || R1 672.89 · R3 675.51 · R4 679.43
Classic: S3 650.09 · S2 657.15 · S1 664.37 · Piv 671.43 · R1 678.65 · R2 685.71 · R3 692.93
EMA: 20 614.64 · 50 624.08 · 200 649.79 · POC 635.77 · Prev H/L 678.50 / 664.22 · 52w H/L 796.25 / 479.80
TSLA · Close 392.04 · ATR 15.60 · RSI 57.7
Cam: S4 374.36 · S3 383.20 · S1 389.09 || R1 394.99 · R3 400.88 · R4 409.72
Classic: S3 339.33 · S2 350.91 · S1 371.48 · Piv 383.06 · R1 403.63 · R2 415.21 · R3 435.78
EMA: 20 368.92 · 50 387.72 · 200 390.56 · POC 396.64 · Prev H/L 394.65 / 362.50 · 52w H/L 498.83 / 222.79
BEARISH WARNINGS
WDAY — Close 124.12, Bear on all EMAs (EMA200 190.20). Despite +5.31% today, it is still -55% from 52w high. Dead-cat bounce risk. No buy here.
INTU — Close 389.72, Bear on all EMAs, -52.1% from 52w high. RSI 42.6. Today's +6.25% move is counter-trend; needs to reclaim EMA20 at 404.51 before trend can flip.
FTNT — Close 79.64, Bear on all EMAs, -27.2% from 52w high. No momentum signal; avoid long-side setups.
TMUS — Close 190.19, Bear on all EMAs, RSI 27.3 oversold but no reversal trigger. Wait for structure before attempting a mean-reversion long.
COST — Close 984.75, rolled to Bear* (below 20/50). First time this year. Watch 956 EMA200 as the line in the sand.
REGN — Close 753.93, Bear*, MACD negative, RSI 48.1. Risk tilted down; wait for basing action.
EVENTS CALENDAR — NEXT 1-2 DAYS
Macro: US PPI (March) this week — key for validating CPI. Initial Jobless Claims Thursday. No FOMC meeting this week; FOMC Minutes from the March 17-18 meeting already released last week.
Earnings season: Q1 earnings underway — large-cap financials (GS, JPM, C, WFC) already reported. Next wave brings NFLX and NASDAQ-100 tech names in the coming 1-2 weeks. NFLX on tracker-list — be aware of event risk into prints.
Index change: SanDisk confirmed for Nasdaq-100 inclusion next week — rebalance flows may impact constituents.
Report: 15 April 2026, 22:00 GMT · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
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2 weeks 1 day ago - 2 weeks 1 day ago #18486
by remo
Replied by remo on topic NASDAQ 100 Daily Technical Analysis & Setups
NAS100 Daily Technical Analysis — Wednesday 15 April 2026
Data: Close 15 Apr | NAS100: 26,098.93 | Change: +256.93 (+0.99%) | VIX: 18.36 | S&P 500: 7,022.95 (record close)
Market Overview
NAS100 closed at a fresh near-record 26,098.93, adding +256.93pts (+0.99%) as the index cleared the 26,000 barrier. Of the 40 tracked NASDAQ-100 stocks, 28 are in a full bullish EMA stack (close > 20/50/200-EMA), 6 are in a bearish stack, and 6 are mixed/transitioning. Risk appetite was driven by de-escalating global tensions, a blockbuster start to Q1 earnings season (financials leading) and continued AI-capex flows into semis and data-centre names. VIX compressed to 18.36, consistent with trend-persistence. Overall bias: BULLISH — trend intact while 25,900 holds.
Trend Analysis
EMA stack (daily): Bullish alignment on the index — price > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200. Internally, the cohort is skewed bullish (see breadth above).
Market structure: Higher highs, higher lows. Today's print equalled/exceeded prior swing peak near 26,000 — structural breakout in play if 26,100 holds on a close basis tomorrow.
Phase: Trending with breakout extension. Price is stretched above the 20-EMA; a mean-reversion pullback into 25,900 offers a cleaner re-entry zone.
Indicator Signals
RSI(14): ~66 on the index — strong but not overbought (<70). No bearish divergence on the latest swing.
MACD: Line above signal; histogram hovering around zero with a mild positive tilt. Momentum decisiveness is pending — a histogram expansion on a close >26,100 validates a continuation leg.
Volume: Participation supportive of the breakout; financials-led tape, with mega-cap tech firm rather than explosive.
Key NAS100 Index Levels
Resistance
- R1: 26,100 — today's high / breakout pivot. Clean close above = continuation trigger.
- R2: 26,300 — measured-move projection from late-March consolidation.
- R3: 26,500 — round number / extension target if momentum expands.
Support
- S1: 25,900 — today's breakout base; first dip-buy zone.
- S2: 25,600-25,700 — prior resistance turned support, aligns with rising 20-EMA.
- S3: 25,000 — structural floor; loss opens 24,600.
Pivot (classic, next session): P ~ 26,035 · R1 26,160 · R2 26,220 · S1 25,975 · S2 25,870
NASDAQ-100 Component Signals (40 stocks)
Legend: Trend = strict EMA classification · RSI zone · MACD · % from 52w high · Daily % · Close vs POC
AAPL 266.43 · Bull(all) · RSI 62 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -7.7% · +2.94% · POC: above
MSFT 411.22 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 67 (Strong) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -26.0% · +4.61% · POC: above
NVDA 198.87 · Bull(all) · RSI 70 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -6.3% · +1.20% · POC: above
AMZN 248.41 · Bull(all) · RSI 76 (OB) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -3.9% · -0.24% · POC: above
META 671.58 · Bull(all) · RSI 67 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -15.7% · +1.37% · POC: above
GOOGL 337.12 · Bull(all) · RSI 71 (OB) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -3.4% · +1.26% · POC: above
AVGO 396.72 · Bull(all) · RSI 77 (OB) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -4.3% · +4.19% · POC: above
TSLA 392.04 · Bull(all) · RSI 58 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -21.4% · +7.64% · POC: below
COST 984.75 · Bear(20/50) · RSI 46 (Neutral) · MACD Bear+ · 52wH -7.7% · +1.02% · POC: below
NFLX 107.71 · Bull(all) · RSI 79 (OB) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -19.7% · +1.35% · POC: above
AMD 258.12 · Bull(all) · RSI 75 (OB) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -3.4% · +1.20% · POC: above
ADBE 244.66 · Mixed · RSI 49 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -42.2% · +3.79% · POC: below
QCOM 133.05 · Mixed · RSI 54 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -35.4% · +0.16% · POC: below
TMUS 190.19 · Bear(all) · RSI 27 (OS) · MACD Bear- · 52wH -29.0% · +0.10% · POC: below
LIN 497.94 · Bull(all) · RSI 53 (Neutral) · MACD Bear+ · 52wH -2.5% · -0.34% · POC: above
ISRG 468.36 · Mixed · RSI 49 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -22.4% · +0.24% · POC: below
INTU 389.72 · Bear(all) · RSI 43 (Neutral) · MACD Bear- · 52wH -52.1% · +6.25% · POC: below
CSCO 82.30 · Bull(all) · RSI 57 (Neutral) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -6.7% · -0.38% · POC: above
TXN 216.29 · Bull(all) · RSI 65 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -6.5% · -1.18% · POC: above
AMAT 394.26 · Bull(all) · RSI 64 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -3.2% · -0.35% · POC: above
BKNG 185.69 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 61 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -20.5% · +2.52% · POC: above
PANW 164.11 · Mixed · RSI 52 (Neutral) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -26.6% · +1.56% · POC: above
MU 456.23 · Bull(all) · RSI 63 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -3.2% · -2.03% · POC: above
LRCX 265.16 · Bull(all) · RSI 65 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -3.0% · -2.66% · POC: above
KLAC 1,748.11 · Bull(all) · RSI 67 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -2.8% · -2.66% · POC: above
ADI 347.94 · Bull(all) · RSI 65 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -4.2% · -0.19% · POC: above
REGN 753.93 · Bear(20/50) · RSI 48 (Neutral) · MACD Bear- · 52wH -8.2% · -0.21% · POC: below
SNPS 438.45 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 60 (Strong) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -32.7% · +4.69% · POC: above
CDNS 304.10 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 60 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -19.2% · +4.01% · POC: above
MELI 1,872.12 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 64 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -29.2% · +1.71% · POC: above
CRWD 411.16 · Mixed · RSI 52 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -27.5% · +3.18% · POC: above
MAR 363.74 · Bull(all) · RSI 68 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -1.7% · -0.81% · POC: above
ABNB 137.51 · Bull(all) · RSI 63 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -4.4% · +2.73% · POC: above
MRVL 134.60 · Bull(all) · RSI 82 (OB) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -2.6% · +0.58% · POC: above
DASH 179.94 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 65 (Strong) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -37.0% · +10.02% · POC: above
FTNT 79.64 · Bear(all) · RSI 47 (Neutral) · MACD Bear- · 52wH -27.2% · +1.19% · POC: below
CEG 294.73 · Mixed · RSI 51 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -28.6% · -0.63% · POC: above
WDAY 124.12 · Bear(all) · RSI 44 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -55.0% · +5.31% · POC: below
PYPL 49.57 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 65 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -37.6% · +3.34% · POC: above
ORLY 93.60 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 54 (Neutral) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -13.9% · +0.09% · POC: below
Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (
— BULLISH · 8 bulls / 0 bears · avg RSI 68 · avg daily +2.87%
Semiconductors (9) — BULLISH · 8 bulls / 0 bears · avg RSI 67 · avg daily -0.79%
Software/Cloud (9) — MIXED · 3 bulls / 3 bears · avg RSI 51 · avg daily +3.29%
Consumer/Internet (10) — BULLISH · 8 bulls / 2 bears · avg RSI 59 · avg daily +2.21%
Healthcare/Biotech (2) — MIXED · 0 bulls / 1 bears · avg RSI 49 · avg daily +0.01%
Industrial/Other (2) — MIXED · 1 bulls / 0 bears · avg RSI 52 · avg daily -0.48%
Top Swing Trade Setups
1. AMAT (394.26) — Bull(all), RSI 64, MACD Bull+
Thesis: Bullish EMA stack, RSI 64 (trend room), MACD Bull+, close above POC (347.96), ADX 0.0.
Entry: 392.89-394.26 · Stop: 362.58 (2×ATR) · T1: 425.94 · T2: 457.62 · R:R: ~1:1.0
2. LRCX (265.16) — Bull(all), RSI 65, MACD Bull+
Thesis: Bullish EMA stack, RSI 65 (trend room), MACD Bull+, close above POC (229.58), ADX 0.0.
Entry: 264.01-265.16 · Stop: 240.72 (2×ATR) · T1: 289.60 · T2: 314.04 · R:R: ~1:1.0
3. KLAC (1,748.11) — Bull(all), RSI 67, MACD Bull+
Thesis: Bullish EMA stack, RSI 67 (trend room), MACD Bull+, close above POC (1,494.41), ADX 0.0.
Entry: 1,739.88-1,748.11 · Stop: 1,610.71 (2×ATR) · T1: 1,885.51 · T2: 2,022.91 · R:R: ~1:1.0
4. MAR (363.74) — Bull(all), RSI 68, MACD Bull+
Thesis: Bullish EMA stack, RSI 68 (trend room), MACD Bull+, close above POC (334.53), ADX 0.0.
Entry: 363.26-363.74 · Stop: 344.48 (2×ATR) · T1: 383.00 · T2: 402.26 · R:R: ~1:1.0
5. ABNB (137.51) — Bull(all), RSI 63, MACD Bull+
Thesis: Bullish EMA stack, RSI 63 (trend room), MACD Bull+, close above POC (128.13), ADX 0.0.
Entry: 137.15-137.51 · Stop: 128.05 (2×ATR) · T1: 146.97 · T2: 156.43 · R:R: ~1:1.0
Intraday Setups (Pivot / Camarilla)
Pivot Bounce (long):
- NVDA 198.87 — Buy S1 196.27, stop 193.68, target Pivot 198.34 / R1 200.93. Trend: Bull(all).
- AMZN 248.41 — Buy S1 246.93, stop 245.44, target Pivot 248.68 / R1 250.17. Trend: Bull(all).
- META 671.58 — Buy S1 664.37, stop 657.15, target Pivot 671.43 / R1 678.65. Trend: Bull(all).
Camarilla Range (tight consolidation):
- AMZN 248.41 — Fade extremes of S3 247.52 / R3 249.30 range (0.72% wide). Skip on VIX spike.
- ORLY 93.60 — Fade extremes of S3 93.26 / R3 93.94 range (0.73% wide). Skip on VIX spike.
- MAR 363.74 — Fade extremes of S3 362.29 / R3 365.19 range (0.80% wide). Skip on VIX spike.
Camarilla Breakout Watch:
- AMZN 248.41 — Long on break of Cam R4 250.19, stop Cam R3 249.30, target +13.32 ATR extension. Trend day signal.
- LIN 497.94 — Long on break of Cam R4 502.75, stop Cam R3 500.35, target +20.04 ATR extension. Trend day signal.
- MAR 363.74 — Long on break of Cam R4 366.64, stop Cam R3 365.19, target +19.26 ATR extension. Trend day signal.
Key Levels Dashboard — Top 5 Tradeable
AMAT — Close 394.26 | Daily -0.35% | Range 379.68-394.61
Cam: S4 386.05 · S3 390.15 · S1 392.89 || R1 395.63 · R3 398.37 · R4 402.47
Classic: S3 369.49 · S2 374.59 · S1 384.42 | P 389.52 | R1 399.35 · R2 404.45 · R3 414.28
EMA: 20 20 370.16 · 50 351.19 · 200 278.03 | POC 347.96 | 52w 132.80-407.29
LRCX — Close 265.16 | Daily -2.66% | Range 255.48-267.99
Cam: S4 258.28 · S3 261.72 · S1 264.01 || R1 266.31 · R3 268.60 · R4 272.04
Classic: S3 245.25 · S2 250.37 · S1 257.76 | P 262.88 | R1 270.27 · R2 275.39 · R3 282.78
EMA: 20 20 240.19 · 50 227.85 · 200 176.66 | POC 229.58 | 52w 61.14-273.50
KLAC — Close 1,748.11 | Daily -2.66% | Range 1,680.51-1,770.32
Cam: S4 1,698.71 · S3 1,723.41 · S1 1,739.88 || R1 1,756.34 · R3 1,772.81 · R4 1,797.51
Classic: S3 1,605.83 · S2 1,643.17 · S1 1,695.64 | P 1,732.98 | R1 1,785.45 · R2 1,822.79 · R3 1,875.26
EMA: 20 20 1,605.89 · 50 1,517.95 · 200 1,253.21 | POC 1,494.41 | 52w 607.70-1,798.00
MAR — Close 363.74 | Daily -0.81% | Range 360.87-366.14
Cam: S4 360.84 · S3 362.29 · S1 363.26 || R1 364.22 · R3 365.19 · R4 366.64
Classic: S3 355.76 · S2 358.31 · S1 361.03 | P 363.58 | R1 366.30 · R2 368.85 · R3 371.57
EMA: 20 20 342.04 · 50 333.58 · 200 304.20 | POC 334.53 | 52w 212.53-370.00
ABNB — Close 137.51 | Daily +2.73% | Range 134.10-138.05
Cam: S4 135.34 · S3 136.42 · S1 137.15 || R1 137.87 · R3 138.60 · R4 139.68
Classic: S3 131.11 · S2 132.60 · S1 135.06 | P 136.55 | R1 139.01 · R2 140.50 · R3 142.96
EMA: 20 20 129.82 · 50 129.37 · 200 128.78 | POC 128.13 | 52w 109.79-143.88
Bearish Warnings
- TMUS 190.19 (+0.10%) — EMA bearish, RSI weak. RSI 27, MACD Bear-, 52wH -29.0%.
- INTU 389.72 (+6.25%) — EMA bearish, RSI weak. RSI 43, MACD Bear-, 52wH -52.1%.
- WDAY 124.12 (+5.31%) — EMA bearish, RSI weak. RSI 44, MACD Bull-, 52wH -55.0%.
Top Movers
Top 5 Gainers (daily):
- DASH 179.94 +10.02% · RSI 65 · Bull(20/50)
- TSLA 392.04 +7.64% · RSI 58 · Bull(all)
- INTU 389.72 +6.25% · RSI 43 · Bear(all)
- WDAY 124.12 +5.31% · RSI 44 · Bear(all)
- SNPS 438.45 +4.69% · RSI 60 · Bull(20/50)
Top 5 Losers (daily):
- LRCX 265.16 -2.66% · RSI 65 · Bull(all)
- KLAC 1,748.11 -2.66% · RSI 67 · Bull(all)
- MU 456.23 -2.03% · RSI 63 · Bull(all)
- TXN 216.29 -1.18% · RSI 65 · Bull(all)
- MAR 363.74 -0.81% · RSI 68 · Bull(all)
Events Calendar — Next 1-2 Sessions
- Thu 16 Apr: US Industrial Production & Capacity Utilisation (16:30 UK) — second-tier data.
- Thu 16 Apr: Weekly Initial Jobless Claims — watch for any labour-market cooling.
- Ongoing: Q1 earnings season — NFLX, TSMC ADR reads into semis; major banks continue reporting.
- Upcoming: FOMC meeting 28-29 April (no live decision this week; watch Fed-speaker headlines).
Bottom Line
NAS100 printed +0.99% and closed above 26,000 with breadth supportive internally (28 of 40 in full bullish stacks). Leadership is concentrated in semis and AI-capex names; software is the relative-weak pocket. The path of least resistance remains higher while 25,900 holds. Discipline: wait for the 25,900-26,030 pullback rather than chasing strength. A daily close back under 25,900 would be the first shot across the bows of this trend.
Report: 15 April 2026 · Updated with full scanner coverage · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Data: Close 15 Apr | NAS100: 26,098.93 | Change: +256.93 (+0.99%) | VIX: 18.36 | S&P 500: 7,022.95 (record close)
Market Overview
NAS100 closed at a fresh near-record 26,098.93, adding +256.93pts (+0.99%) as the index cleared the 26,000 barrier. Of the 40 tracked NASDAQ-100 stocks, 28 are in a full bullish EMA stack (close > 20/50/200-EMA), 6 are in a bearish stack, and 6 are mixed/transitioning. Risk appetite was driven by de-escalating global tensions, a blockbuster start to Q1 earnings season (financials leading) and continued AI-capex flows into semis and data-centre names. VIX compressed to 18.36, consistent with trend-persistence. Overall bias: BULLISH — trend intact while 25,900 holds.
Trend Analysis
EMA stack (daily): Bullish alignment on the index — price > EMA20 > EMA50 > EMA200. Internally, the cohort is skewed bullish (see breadth above).
Market structure: Higher highs, higher lows. Today's print equalled/exceeded prior swing peak near 26,000 — structural breakout in play if 26,100 holds on a close basis tomorrow.
Phase: Trending with breakout extension. Price is stretched above the 20-EMA; a mean-reversion pullback into 25,900 offers a cleaner re-entry zone.
Indicator Signals
RSI(14): ~66 on the index — strong but not overbought (<70). No bearish divergence on the latest swing.
MACD: Line above signal; histogram hovering around zero with a mild positive tilt. Momentum decisiveness is pending — a histogram expansion on a close >26,100 validates a continuation leg.
Volume: Participation supportive of the breakout; financials-led tape, with mega-cap tech firm rather than explosive.
Key NAS100 Index Levels
Resistance
- R1: 26,100 — today's high / breakout pivot. Clean close above = continuation trigger.
- R2: 26,300 — measured-move projection from late-March consolidation.
- R3: 26,500 — round number / extension target if momentum expands.
Support
- S1: 25,900 — today's breakout base; first dip-buy zone.
- S2: 25,600-25,700 — prior resistance turned support, aligns with rising 20-EMA.
- S3: 25,000 — structural floor; loss opens 24,600.
Pivot (classic, next session): P ~ 26,035 · R1 26,160 · R2 26,220 · S1 25,975 · S2 25,870
NASDAQ-100 Component Signals (40 stocks)
Legend: Trend = strict EMA classification · RSI zone · MACD · % from 52w high · Daily % · Close vs POC
AAPL 266.43 · Bull(all) · RSI 62 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -7.7% · +2.94% · POC: above
MSFT 411.22 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 67 (Strong) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -26.0% · +4.61% · POC: above
NVDA 198.87 · Bull(all) · RSI 70 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -6.3% · +1.20% · POC: above
AMZN 248.41 · Bull(all) · RSI 76 (OB) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -3.9% · -0.24% · POC: above
META 671.58 · Bull(all) · RSI 67 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -15.7% · +1.37% · POC: above
GOOGL 337.12 · Bull(all) · RSI 71 (OB) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -3.4% · +1.26% · POC: above
AVGO 396.72 · Bull(all) · RSI 77 (OB) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -4.3% · +4.19% · POC: above
TSLA 392.04 · Bull(all) · RSI 58 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -21.4% · +7.64% · POC: below
COST 984.75 · Bear(20/50) · RSI 46 (Neutral) · MACD Bear+ · 52wH -7.7% · +1.02% · POC: below
NFLX 107.71 · Bull(all) · RSI 79 (OB) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -19.7% · +1.35% · POC: above
AMD 258.12 · Bull(all) · RSI 75 (OB) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -3.4% · +1.20% · POC: above
ADBE 244.66 · Mixed · RSI 49 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -42.2% · +3.79% · POC: below
QCOM 133.05 · Mixed · RSI 54 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -35.4% · +0.16% · POC: below
TMUS 190.19 · Bear(all) · RSI 27 (OS) · MACD Bear- · 52wH -29.0% · +0.10% · POC: below
LIN 497.94 · Bull(all) · RSI 53 (Neutral) · MACD Bear+ · 52wH -2.5% · -0.34% · POC: above
ISRG 468.36 · Mixed · RSI 49 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -22.4% · +0.24% · POC: below
INTU 389.72 · Bear(all) · RSI 43 (Neutral) · MACD Bear- · 52wH -52.1% · +6.25% · POC: below
CSCO 82.30 · Bull(all) · RSI 57 (Neutral) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -6.7% · -0.38% · POC: above
TXN 216.29 · Bull(all) · RSI 65 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -6.5% · -1.18% · POC: above
AMAT 394.26 · Bull(all) · RSI 64 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -3.2% · -0.35% · POC: above
BKNG 185.69 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 61 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -20.5% · +2.52% · POC: above
PANW 164.11 · Mixed · RSI 52 (Neutral) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -26.6% · +1.56% · POC: above
MU 456.23 · Bull(all) · RSI 63 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -3.2% · -2.03% · POC: above
LRCX 265.16 · Bull(all) · RSI 65 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -3.0% · -2.66% · POC: above
KLAC 1,748.11 · Bull(all) · RSI 67 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -2.8% · -2.66% · POC: above
ADI 347.94 · Bull(all) · RSI 65 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -4.2% · -0.19% · POC: above
REGN 753.93 · Bear(20/50) · RSI 48 (Neutral) · MACD Bear- · 52wH -8.2% · -0.21% · POC: below
SNPS 438.45 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 60 (Strong) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -32.7% · +4.69% · POC: above
CDNS 304.10 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 60 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -19.2% · +4.01% · POC: above
MELI 1,872.12 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 64 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -29.2% · +1.71% · POC: above
CRWD 411.16 · Mixed · RSI 52 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -27.5% · +3.18% · POC: above
MAR 363.74 · Bull(all) · RSI 68 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -1.7% · -0.81% · POC: above
ABNB 137.51 · Bull(all) · RSI 63 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -4.4% · +2.73% · POC: above
MRVL 134.60 · Bull(all) · RSI 82 (OB) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -2.6% · +0.58% · POC: above
DASH 179.94 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 65 (Strong) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -37.0% · +10.02% · POC: above
FTNT 79.64 · Bear(all) · RSI 47 (Neutral) · MACD Bear- · 52wH -27.2% · +1.19% · POC: below
CEG 294.73 · Mixed · RSI 51 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -28.6% · -0.63% · POC: above
WDAY 124.12 · Bear(all) · RSI 44 (Neutral) · MACD Bull- · 52wH -55.0% · +5.31% · POC: below
PYPL 49.57 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 65 (Strong) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -37.6% · +3.34% · POC: above
ORLY 93.60 · Bull(20/50) · RSI 54 (Neutral) · MACD Bull+ · 52wH -13.9% · +0.09% · POC: below
Sector Grouping
Mega-cap Tech (
Semiconductors (9) — BULLISH · 8 bulls / 0 bears · avg RSI 67 · avg daily -0.79%
Software/Cloud (9) — MIXED · 3 bulls / 3 bears · avg RSI 51 · avg daily +3.29%
Consumer/Internet (10) — BULLISH · 8 bulls / 2 bears · avg RSI 59 · avg daily +2.21%
Healthcare/Biotech (2) — MIXED · 0 bulls / 1 bears · avg RSI 49 · avg daily +0.01%
Industrial/Other (2) — MIXED · 1 bulls / 0 bears · avg RSI 52 · avg daily -0.48%
Top Swing Trade Setups
1. AMAT (394.26) — Bull(all), RSI 64, MACD Bull+
Thesis: Bullish EMA stack, RSI 64 (trend room), MACD Bull+, close above POC (347.96), ADX 0.0.
Entry: 392.89-394.26 · Stop: 362.58 (2×ATR) · T1: 425.94 · T2: 457.62 · R:R: ~1:1.0
2. LRCX (265.16) — Bull(all), RSI 65, MACD Bull+
Thesis: Bullish EMA stack, RSI 65 (trend room), MACD Bull+, close above POC (229.58), ADX 0.0.
Entry: 264.01-265.16 · Stop: 240.72 (2×ATR) · T1: 289.60 · T2: 314.04 · R:R: ~1:1.0
3. KLAC (1,748.11) — Bull(all), RSI 67, MACD Bull+
Thesis: Bullish EMA stack, RSI 67 (trend room), MACD Bull+, close above POC (1,494.41), ADX 0.0.
Entry: 1,739.88-1,748.11 · Stop: 1,610.71 (2×ATR) · T1: 1,885.51 · T2: 2,022.91 · R:R: ~1:1.0
4. MAR (363.74) — Bull(all), RSI 68, MACD Bull+
Thesis: Bullish EMA stack, RSI 68 (trend room), MACD Bull+, close above POC (334.53), ADX 0.0.
Entry: 363.26-363.74 · Stop: 344.48 (2×ATR) · T1: 383.00 · T2: 402.26 · R:R: ~1:1.0
5. ABNB (137.51) — Bull(all), RSI 63, MACD Bull+
Thesis: Bullish EMA stack, RSI 63 (trend room), MACD Bull+, close above POC (128.13), ADX 0.0.
Entry: 137.15-137.51 · Stop: 128.05 (2×ATR) · T1: 146.97 · T2: 156.43 · R:R: ~1:1.0
Intraday Setups (Pivot / Camarilla)
Pivot Bounce (long):
- NVDA 198.87 — Buy S1 196.27, stop 193.68, target Pivot 198.34 / R1 200.93. Trend: Bull(all).
- AMZN 248.41 — Buy S1 246.93, stop 245.44, target Pivot 248.68 / R1 250.17. Trend: Bull(all).
- META 671.58 — Buy S1 664.37, stop 657.15, target Pivot 671.43 / R1 678.65. Trend: Bull(all).
Camarilla Range (tight consolidation):
- AMZN 248.41 — Fade extremes of S3 247.52 / R3 249.30 range (0.72% wide). Skip on VIX spike.
- ORLY 93.60 — Fade extremes of S3 93.26 / R3 93.94 range (0.73% wide). Skip on VIX spike.
- MAR 363.74 — Fade extremes of S3 362.29 / R3 365.19 range (0.80% wide). Skip on VIX spike.
Camarilla Breakout Watch:
- AMZN 248.41 — Long on break of Cam R4 250.19, stop Cam R3 249.30, target +13.32 ATR extension. Trend day signal.
- LIN 497.94 — Long on break of Cam R4 502.75, stop Cam R3 500.35, target +20.04 ATR extension. Trend day signal.
- MAR 363.74 — Long on break of Cam R4 366.64, stop Cam R3 365.19, target +19.26 ATR extension. Trend day signal.
Key Levels Dashboard — Top 5 Tradeable
AMAT — Close 394.26 | Daily -0.35% | Range 379.68-394.61
Cam: S4 386.05 · S3 390.15 · S1 392.89 || R1 395.63 · R3 398.37 · R4 402.47
Classic: S3 369.49 · S2 374.59 · S1 384.42 | P 389.52 | R1 399.35 · R2 404.45 · R3 414.28
EMA: 20 20 370.16 · 50 351.19 · 200 278.03 | POC 347.96 | 52w 132.80-407.29
LRCX — Close 265.16 | Daily -2.66% | Range 255.48-267.99
Cam: S4 258.28 · S3 261.72 · S1 264.01 || R1 266.31 · R3 268.60 · R4 272.04
Classic: S3 245.25 · S2 250.37 · S1 257.76 | P 262.88 | R1 270.27 · R2 275.39 · R3 282.78
EMA: 20 20 240.19 · 50 227.85 · 200 176.66 | POC 229.58 | 52w 61.14-273.50
KLAC — Close 1,748.11 | Daily -2.66% | Range 1,680.51-1,770.32
Cam: S4 1,698.71 · S3 1,723.41 · S1 1,739.88 || R1 1,756.34 · R3 1,772.81 · R4 1,797.51
Classic: S3 1,605.83 · S2 1,643.17 · S1 1,695.64 | P 1,732.98 | R1 1,785.45 · R2 1,822.79 · R3 1,875.26
EMA: 20 20 1,605.89 · 50 1,517.95 · 200 1,253.21 | POC 1,494.41 | 52w 607.70-1,798.00
MAR — Close 363.74 | Daily -0.81% | Range 360.87-366.14
Cam: S4 360.84 · S3 362.29 · S1 363.26 || R1 364.22 · R3 365.19 · R4 366.64
Classic: S3 355.76 · S2 358.31 · S1 361.03 | P 363.58 | R1 366.30 · R2 368.85 · R3 371.57
EMA: 20 20 342.04 · 50 333.58 · 200 304.20 | POC 334.53 | 52w 212.53-370.00
ABNB — Close 137.51 | Daily +2.73% | Range 134.10-138.05
Cam: S4 135.34 · S3 136.42 · S1 137.15 || R1 137.87 · R3 138.60 · R4 139.68
Classic: S3 131.11 · S2 132.60 · S1 135.06 | P 136.55 | R1 139.01 · R2 140.50 · R3 142.96
EMA: 20 20 129.82 · 50 129.37 · 200 128.78 | POC 128.13 | 52w 109.79-143.88
Bearish Warnings
- TMUS 190.19 (+0.10%) — EMA bearish, RSI weak. RSI 27, MACD Bear-, 52wH -29.0%.
- INTU 389.72 (+6.25%) — EMA bearish, RSI weak. RSI 43, MACD Bear-, 52wH -52.1%.
- WDAY 124.12 (+5.31%) — EMA bearish, RSI weak. RSI 44, MACD Bull-, 52wH -55.0%.
Top Movers
Top 5 Gainers (daily):
- DASH 179.94 +10.02% · RSI 65 · Bull(20/50)
- TSLA 392.04 +7.64% · RSI 58 · Bull(all)
- INTU 389.72 +6.25% · RSI 43 · Bear(all)
- WDAY 124.12 +5.31% · RSI 44 · Bear(all)
- SNPS 438.45 +4.69% · RSI 60 · Bull(20/50)
Top 5 Losers (daily):
- LRCX 265.16 -2.66% · RSI 65 · Bull(all)
- KLAC 1,748.11 -2.66% · RSI 67 · Bull(all)
- MU 456.23 -2.03% · RSI 63 · Bull(all)
- TXN 216.29 -1.18% · RSI 65 · Bull(all)
- MAR 363.74 -0.81% · RSI 68 · Bull(all)
Events Calendar — Next 1-2 Sessions
- Thu 16 Apr: US Industrial Production & Capacity Utilisation (16:30 UK) — second-tier data.
- Thu 16 Apr: Weekly Initial Jobless Claims — watch for any labour-market cooling.
- Ongoing: Q1 earnings season — NFLX, TSMC ADR reads into semis; major banks continue reporting.
- Upcoming: FOMC meeting 28-29 April (no live decision this week; watch Fed-speaker headlines).
Bottom Line
NAS100 printed +0.99% and closed above 26,000 with breadth supportive internally (28 of 40 in full bullish stacks). Leadership is concentrated in semis and AI-capex names; software is the relative-weak pocket. The path of least resistance remains higher while 25,900 holds. Discipline: wait for the 25,900-26,030 pullback rather than chasing strength. A daily close back under 25,900 would be the first shot across the bows of this trend.
Report: 15 April 2026 · Updated with full scanner coverage · Not financial advice. Always DYOR. Capital at risk.
Last edit: 2 weeks 1 day ago by remo. Reason: Auto-updated with full scanner data
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