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12 years 3 months ago #8793 by Jackozy
Replied by Jackozy on topic DOW: Christmas Rally??
Well, I'm not sure about IG's clients but IMHO there are some warning signs that a correction is due. I'm not saying that the top is in for now but take a look at yesterday's candle on the Dow:



dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/20815047/FTS...Dowdaily25_11_13.png

It's only a single candle but it looks like a gap up, almost a shooting star, and look where that trendline comes from:



dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/20815047/FTS...owweekly25_11_13.png

There may still be a Christmas rally but be wary about adding to longs IMHO.
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12 years 3 months ago #8779 by remo
Replied by remo on topic DOW: Christmas Rally??
Some thing interesting..
I was going through IG and found that 82% of there clients who have positions on the Dow are Short...lol....poor sods...why would anyone be short ?? Obviously they don't use charts... :P ;)
And 52% of the clients who have positions on the ftse100 are long..
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12 years 3 months ago #8759 by remo
Replied by remo on topic DOW: Christmas Rally??
This back tested the channel yesterday ,almost perfectly. :cheer:
Im kinda sad as had bigger position taken out due to stoploss but at the same time managed to buy new positions at a lower price thou not as many as i had initially.
We dont want the dow to finish below 15860 as that could signal a bull trap. :ohmy: :ohmy:
im hoping that it moves higher from hear...




dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/dow21stnov.png
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12 years 3 months ago #8756 by remo
Replied by remo on topic DOW: Christmas Rally??
Heres a 1 hour chart of the dow..
The sideways move dont look so bad on this time frame.Theres a flag formation on this and look at how the top of the flag is acting like a resistance. Perfect.

Hourly chart


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/dowhour20thnov.png



daily chart


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/dow20thnov1.png

The daily has currently 3 doji ..Indecision...Its waiting for some news event to propel this further hopefully and not down move :huh:
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12 years 3 months ago #8755 by longterm_view
Remo,

Many thanks for your replies. :)

Perhaps I am doing it wrong. But to keep losses small (2% e.g.) I only go £1 per point) :S

But yes, profits are small, losses are small.

This is why I stopped trading for a long while, its so time consuming and when you add up all the profits, and take off losses (although small), you begin to wonder. :woohoo:

I have been looking again recently to trade more (after training cocker spaniel :cheer:

Perhaps emotions are more severe when trading smaller amounts? Always chasing the profit??

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12 years 3 months ago #8754 by remo
Replied by remo on topic DOW: Christmas Rally??
if your itching to get back in then emotions have taken control...Not a good thing..
The dow is unforgiving so careful...
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