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DOW
12 years 3 months ago #8793
by Jackozy
Replied by Jackozy on topic DOW: Christmas Rally??
Well, I'm not sure about IG's clients but IMHO there are some warning signs that a correction is due. I'm not saying that the top is in for now but take a look at yesterday's candle on the Dow:
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/20815047/FTS...Dowdaily25_11_13.png
It's only a single candle but it looks like a gap up, almost a shooting star, and look where that trendline comes from:
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/20815047/FTS...owweekly25_11_13.png
There may still be a Christmas rally but be wary about adding to longs IMHO.
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/20815047/FTS...Dowdaily25_11_13.png
It's only a single candle but it looks like a gap up, almost a shooting star, and look where that trendline comes from:
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/20815047/FTS...owweekly25_11_13.png
There may still be a Christmas rally but be wary about adding to longs IMHO.
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12 years 3 months ago #8779
by remo
Replied by remo on topic DOW: Christmas Rally??
Some thing interesting..
I was going through IG and found that 82% of there clients who have positions on the Dow are Short...lol....poor sods...why would anyone be short ?? Obviously they don't use charts...

And 52% of the clients who have positions on the ftse100 are long..
I was going through IG and found that 82% of there clients who have positions on the Dow are Short...lol....poor sods...why would anyone be short ?? Obviously they don't use charts...
And 52% of the clients who have positions on the ftse100 are long..
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12 years 3 months ago #8759
by remo
Replied by remo on topic DOW: Christmas Rally??
This back tested the channel yesterday ,almost perfectly. 
Im kinda sad as had bigger position taken out due to stoploss but at the same time managed to buy new positions at a lower price thou not as many as i had initially.
We dont want the dow to finish below 15860 as that could signal a bull trap.

im hoping that it moves higher from hear...
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/dow21stnov.png
Im kinda sad as had bigger position taken out due to stoploss but at the same time managed to buy new positions at a lower price thou not as many as i had initially.
We dont want the dow to finish below 15860 as that could signal a bull trap.
im hoping that it moves higher from hear...
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/dow21stnov.png
The following user(s) said Thank You: wild13, Jackozy, longterm_view, Greville, Libero, cautious tone
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12 years 3 months ago #8756
by remo
Replied by remo on topic DOW: Christmas Rally??
Heres a 1 hour chart of the dow..
The sideways move dont look so bad on this time frame.Theres a flag formation on this and look at how the top of the flag is acting like a resistance. Perfect.
Hourly chart
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/dowhour20thnov.png
daily chart
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/dow20thnov1.png
The daily has currently 3 doji ..Indecision...Its waiting for some news event to propel this further hopefully and not down move
The sideways move dont look so bad on this time frame.Theres a flag formation on this and look at how the top of the flag is acting like a resistance. Perfect.
Hourly chart
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/dowhour20thnov.png
daily chart
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/dow20thnov1.png
The daily has currently 3 doji ..Indecision...Its waiting for some news event to propel this further hopefully and not down move
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12 years 3 months ago #8755
by longterm_view
Replied by longterm_view on topic DOW: Christmas Rally??
Remo,
Many thanks for your replies.
Perhaps I am doing it wrong. But to keep losses small (2% e.g.) I only go £1 per point)
But yes, profits are small, losses are small.
This is why I stopped trading for a long while, its so time consuming and when you add up all the profits, and take off losses (although small), you begin to wonder.
I have been looking again recently to trade more (after training cocker spaniel
Perhaps emotions are more severe when trading smaller amounts? Always chasing the profit??
Many thanks for your replies.
Perhaps I am doing it wrong. But to keep losses small (2% e.g.) I only go £1 per point)
But yes, profits are small, losses are small.
This is why I stopped trading for a long while, its so time consuming and when you add up all the profits, and take off losses (although small), you begin to wonder.
I have been looking again recently to trade more (after training cocker spaniel
Perhaps emotions are more severe when trading smaller amounts? Always chasing the profit??
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12 years 3 months ago #8754
by remo
Replied by remo on topic DOW: Christmas Rally??
if your itching to get back in then emotions have taken control...Not a good thing..
The dow is unforgiving so careful...
The dow is unforgiving so careful...
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