BlackRock (BLK) — Company Research
Last Updated: 19 July 2026
BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE: BLK) is the world's largest asset manager, with a record $15.3 trillion of assets under management at 30 June 2026. Once known primarily as the home of iShares ETFs and index funds, the firm has spent the past two years re-engineering itself around private markets, data and technology, spending roughly $28bn on Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP), HPS Investment Partners, Preqin and ElmTree Funds. Second-quarter 2026 results, published on 15 July, showed revenue up 31% year on year and adjusted EPS of $13.91 — both records. This report lays out the numbers, the valuation and both sides of the argument, with no analyst opinions.
1. Company Snapshot
| Field | Value |
|---|---|
| Company | BlackRock, Inc. |
| Ticker / Listing | NYSE: BLK |
| Sector | Financials — Asset Management |
| Headquarters | New York, USA (founded 1988) |
| CEO / Leadership | Laurence D. (Larry) Fink, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer (CEO); Robert Kapito, President; Martin Small, CFO |
| Employees | ~24,900 (31 December 2025, 10-K) |
| Fiscal year end | 31 December |
| Revenue (FY2025) | $24,216m (+19% year on year) |
| Net income (FY2025) | $5,553m attributable (GAAP); $7,736m as adjusted |
| Assets under management | $15.34tn (30 June 2026); Q2 2026 total net inflows $191.7bn |
| Market cap | ~$168bn (~$1,073 per share, 17 July 2026 close) |
2. Bull & Bear Case
Bull Case
- Record scale and organic growth: AUM reached a record $15.3tn at 30 June 2026 with $191.7bn of Q2 net inflows; 2025 delivered a record $698bn of full-year net inflows, 6% organic asset growth and 9% organic base-fee growth, with last-twelve-month organic base-fee growth running at 10–11%.
- Private-markets transformation: The GIP, HPS, Preqin and ElmTree acquisitions have built a large fee-paying private-markets platform spanning infrastructure, private credit and real assets; Q2 2026 performance fees rose 224% year on year and securities lending 40%, while insurance and pension mandates feed the HPS credit engine.
- Aladdin and data flywheel: Technology services and subscription revenue grew 13% year on year in Q2 2026 ($1,981m in FY2025), and Preqin bolts proprietary private-markets data onto Aladdin — recurring, market-independent revenue that software peers command premium multiples for.
- Margin expansion and shareholder returns: Adjusted operating margin hit 45.9% in Q2 2026 (43.3% a year earlier); the dividend was raised 10% for 2026 to $5.73 per quarter — a 16th consecutive annual increase — alongside ongoing buybacks and a record $5.0bn returned to shareholders in 2025.
- Product breadth and new-market optionality: iShares dominates global ETFs, IBIT became the fastest-growing exchange-traded product in history, and BlackRock is positioning for tokenization of funds and the retirement/models channel — multiple shots on structural growth themes.
Bear Case
- Market-beta dependence: Base fees are priced on AUM, so revenue is geared to equity and bond markets BlackRock does not control; a bear market would compress fees, performance fees and flows simultaneously — the 2022 template, when revenue fell 7.7%.
- Fee compression: The secular price war in index funds and ETFs grinds average fee rates lower every year, meaning BlackRock must keep winning outsized flows just to stand still on revenue.
- Integration and dilution drag: GAAP EPS fell from $42.01 to $35.31 in FY2025 despite record revenue, weighed down by a $720m contingent-consideration charge, $775m of intangible amortisation and restructuring; 8.5m Subco units issued for HPS dilute existing holders, and goodwill-heavy deals raise impairment risk if private markets cool.
- Political and geopolitical entanglements: BlackRock sits in the crossfire of the US–China dispute over the CK Hutchison Panama-ports consortium, faces state-level ESG boycotts in parts of the US, and its systemic scale keeps regulatory designation debates alive.
- Key-person and succession risk: The firm remains closely identified with 73-year-old founder Larry Fink; recent Form 4 filings show sustained insider selling (~$45m net over 90 days), and no formal succession timetable has been disclosed.
3. Business Segments
BlackRock manages the business as a single operating segment, but its FY2025 revenue splits cleanly by line:
| Segment | % of revenue | What it is |
|---|---|---|
| Base fees & securities lending | 79.2% ($19,179m) | Investment advisory and administration fees on $14tn+ of AUM across ETFs, index, active and alternatives, plus $705m of securities-lending revenue |
| Technology services & subscription | 8.2% ($1,981m) | Aladdin risk/portfolio platform, eFront and Preqin private-markets data subscriptions |
| Performance fees | 5.9% ($1,424m) | Carried-interest-style fees on alternatives, liquid alternatives and long-only outperformance — boosted by HPS private credit |
| Distribution fees | 5.6% ($1,355m) | Fees earned for distributing and servicing certain fund share classes |
| Advisory & other | 1.1% ($277m) | Financial-markets advisory, transition management and other services |
By product, Q2 2026 base fees were spread across equity, fixed income, multi-asset, alternatives and cash, with ETFs the single largest wrapper and private markets the fastest-growing fee pool.
4. Business Model & Moat
How it makes money. BlackRock charges a percentage fee on client assets: a few basis points on giant index and ETF pools, more on active strategies, and the richest fees plus performance carry on private-markets vehicles from GIP and HPS. Aladdin adds contracted technology subscriptions. Because costs are substantially fixed, incremental AUM drops through at high margin — adjusted operating margin reached 45.9% in Q2 2026.
The moat. Scale is self-reinforcing: iShares' liquidity begets more liquidity, making its ETFs hard to displace; Aladdin is embedded in the plumbing of hundreds of institutions with high switching costs; and the brand plus distribution reach give BlackRock first call on the largest mandates, from sovereign funds to insurance general accounts.
The private-markets pivot. Management is deliberately shifting the revenue mix toward higher-fee, longer-duration private assets — infrastructure (GIP), private credit (HPS, ElmTree) and the data to price them (Preqin) — targeting revenue streams less hostage to daily market beta and fee compression.
5. Financial Health
All figures from BlackRock earnings releases, 10-K filings and SEC XBRL data.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue ($m) | YoY % | GAAP EPS | Adjusted EPS | Dividend/share | Long-term debt (YE) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $19,374m | +19.6% | $38.22 | $39.18 | $16.52 | $7,446m |
| 2022 | $17,873m | −7.7% | $33.97 | $35.36 | $19.52 | $6,654m |
| 2023 | $17,859m | −0.1% | $36.51 | $37.77 | $20.00 | $7,918m |
| 2024 | $20,407m | +14.3% | $42.01 | $43.61 | $20.40 | $12,314m |
| 2025 | $24,216m | +18.7% | $35.31† | $48.09 | $20.84 | $12,768m |
† FY2025 GAAP EPS fell despite record revenue because of acquisition-related items: a $720m change in fair value of contingent consideration, $775m amortisation/impairment of intangibles, a $39m restructuring charge and noncontrolling-interest effects from HPS Subco units. Long-term debt is the balance-sheet "long-term borrowings" line per SEC XBRL; dividends are cash declared and paid per share. FY2021 YoY is calculated against FY2020 revenue of $16,205m.
| Quarter / Half | Revenue ($m) | Adjusted EPS | GAAP EPS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $7,084m | $13.91 | $12.19 |
| Q1 2026 | $6,698m | $12.53 | $14.06† |
| Q4 2025 | $7,008m | $13.16 | $7.16 |
| Q3 2025 | $6,509m | $11.55 | $8.43 |
| FY 2025 | $24,216m | $48.09 | $35.31 |
† Q1 2026 GAAP EPS exceeded adjusted EPS mainly on non-operating investment gains. From Q3 2025, adjusted EPS assumes all HPS Subco units are exchanged one-for-one into BLK common stock. FY2025 cash flow statement (used in Section 6): operating cash flow $3,927m, capital expenditure $375m, depreciation and amortisation $1,126m.
6. Valuation Metrics
Raw metrics, July 2026. Not opinions on whether the stock is cheap or expensive.
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market cap | ~$168bn (~$1,073 per share, 17 July 2026) |
| Enterprise value | ~$170bn (market cap ~$168.4bn + long-term borrowings $12.8bn − cash and cash equivalents $11.5bn, per FY2025 balance sheet) |
| Trailing P/E (GAAP) | ~26x ($1,073.15 ÷ trailing-twelve-month GAAP EPS of $41.73 = FY2025 $35.31 − H1 2025 $19.83 + H1 2026 $26.25) |
| P/E (forward) | n/a — BlackRock does not publish EPS guidance; on trailing-twelve-month adjusted EPS of $51.18 the multiple is ~21x |
| P/S (TTM) | ~6.2x (market cap ~$168.4bn ÷ TTM revenue $27,299m = FY2025 $24,216m − H1 2025 $10,699m + H1 2026 $13,782m) |
| EV/EBITDA (TTM) | ~21x (EV ~$169.7bn ÷ FY2025 EBITDA $8,171m; EBITDA = GAAP operating income $7,045m + D&A $1,126m per FY2025 cash flow statement. GAAP operating income includes ~$1.5bn of acquisition-related charges; on adjusted operating income of $9,600m the multiple is ~16x) |
| P/FCF | ~47x (market cap ~$168.4bn ÷ FY2025 FCF ~$3.55bn; FCF = operating cash flow $3,927m − capex $375m. Note: consolidated-investment-product flows depress BlackRock's reported operating cash flow) |
| 52-week high | $1,219.94 (15 October 2025) |
| 52-week low | $917.39 (12 March 2026) |
| Short interest (% of float) | ~1.1% (~1.73m shares short; Fintel/MarketBeat, July 2026) |
| Days to cover | ~3 days (1.73m shares short ÷ ~0.6m average daily volume) |
7. Growth Drivers — What Are They Building?
The build-out is a deliberate second act. First, private markets: GIP (infrastructure, closed October 2024), HPS (private credit, closed July 2025), ElmTree (net-lease real estate, closed September 2025) and Preqin (private-markets data, closed March 2025) assemble an alternatives platform aimed at insurance balance sheets, wealth channels and retirement accounts — higher-fee assets with locked-up capital. Second, technology and data: Aladdin plus Preqin turns BlackRock into the pricing and analytics layer for private assets, a subscription business growing 13% a year. Third, new wrappers: IBIT and the iShares digital-asset suite became the fastest-growing ETP franchise in history, and management named tokenization of funds a defining market theme for 2026. Fourth, the retirement and model-portfolio channel in the US and Asia wealth expansion give the index engine fresh distribution. Management frames the ambition simply: $400bn+ of private-markets fundraising cumulatively by 2030 and technology revenue compounding double-digit — making a third of revenue market-independent over time.
8. Competitive Landscape
Direct public comparators in asset management and alternatives:
| Peer | Market cap (Jul 2026) | Key 2025/26 metric |
|---|---|---|
| Blackstone (NYSE: BX) | ~$156bn | Fee-earning AUM $937.6bn at Q1 2026 — largest pure alternatives manager |
| Apollo Global (NYSE: APO) | ~$69bn | Total AUM $1.026tn at 31 March 2026; fee-generating AUM $836bn |
| State Street (NYSE: STT) | ~$51bn | SSGA AUM ~$5.7tn (record, end-2025); Q2 2026 revenue $4.05bn |
| T. Rowe Price (NASDAQ: TROW) | ~$25bn | AUM $1.893tn at 30 June 2026, battling active-equity outflows |
BlackRock is roughly the size of the next four listed managers combined by market value, and its $15.3tn AUM is more than double the combined AUM of the alternatives leaders — though Blackstone and Apollo still out-earn it per dollar of AUM in fee rate terms.
9. Insider Activity
Form 4 filings in 2026 show sustained selling by senior leadership, including Chairman and CEO Larry Fink and President Robert Kapito — net insider sales of roughly $45m over the 90 days to mid-July 2026:
| Name | Date | Type | Shares | Price | Value | Plan Type |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurence D. Fink (Chairman & CEO) | 16 Jul 2026 | Sale | 1,905 | $1,080.57 | ~$2.1m | Form 4, open market |
| Laurence D. Fink (Chairman & CEO) | 1 Jun 2026 | Gift | 4,780 | — | — | Bona fide gift |
| Laurence D. Fink (Chairman & CEO) | 28 Apr 2026 | Sale | 33,900 | n/d | ~$36m | Form 4, open market |
| Robert S. Kapito (President) | 27 Apr 2026 | Sale | 8,739 | $1,056–$1,058 | ~$9.2m | Form 4, open market |
Fink retained ~223,831 shares (including unvested RSUs) after the July sale, so sales are small relative to his holding, but the direction of travel in 2026 has been one-way.
10. Key Risks
- Market risk (Macro): Fees are a percentage of AUM, so a sustained equity or bond bear market would cut base fees, performance fees and flows at the same time — revenue fell 7.7% in 2022 on exactly this dynamic.
- Fee compression (Competitive): Index and ETF pricing wars structurally erode the average fee rate; organic growth must outrun repricing every year.
- Integration and balance-sheet risk (Financial): Roughly $28bn of acquisitions since 2024 brought $720m of contingent-consideration charges and $775m of intangible amortisation in FY2025 alone, plus goodwill that would be tested hard if private-markets fundraising slows.
- Regulatory and political scrutiny (Regulatory): Anti-ESG campaigns in several US states, antitrust attention on common ownership, and recurring systemic-importance debates could constrain products or raise costs.
- Geopolitical exposure (Geopolitical): BlackRock's role in the CK Hutchison Panama-ports consortium has drawn Beijing's ire while it manages ~$16bn in Chinese equities — a live example of cross-border deals becoming political footballs.
- Key-person and operational risk (Governance/Operational): Succession after founder-CEO Larry Fink (73) is unresolved; separately, Aladdin's ubiquity concentrates operational and cyber risk in one platform.
11. Recent Developments
- 15 Jul 2026 — Record Q2 2026 results. Revenue $7,084m (+31% year on year), GAAP EPS $12.19, adjusted EPS $13.91 (beat), AUM a record $15.34tn with $191.7bn of quarterly net inflows; adjusted operating margin 45.9%.
- 19 May 2026 — Quarterly dividend declared. $5.73 per share, paid 23 June 2026 (record date 5 June) — the 2026 rate is 10% above 2025, the 16th consecutive annual increase.
- 14 Apr 2026 — Q1 2026 results. Revenue $6,698m (+27%), GAAP EPS $14.06, adjusted EPS $12.53, record first-quarter flows and 13% annualised organic base-fee growth.
- 15 Jan 2026 — Full-year 2025 results and dividend raise. Record $698bn of 2025 net inflows and $14.0tn closing AUM; revenue +19% to $24,216m; adjusted EPS $48.09; 2026 dividend raised 10%.
Coverage through mid-July 2026 also highlighted continued leadership of IBIT in US spot-bitcoin ETF inflows and management's framing of crypto and tokenization as defining 2026 market themes.
12. Key Dates
- Expected 13 Oct 2026 — Q3 2026 results (BlackRock typically reports mid-October; date per earnings calendars, to be confirmed by the company)
- Expected Sep 2026 — next quarterly dividend record and payment dates (recent pattern: record early final month of quarter, payment ~23rd)
- Expected Jan 2027 — Q4/full-year 2026 results and 2027 dividend announcement
BlackRock's annual Investor Day and proxy filings will set out any updates to private-markets and technology-revenue targets.
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Disclaimer: This research is produced by ChartsView for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All information is sourced from publicly available company filings, press releases, and official data. ChartsView does not use analyst opinions or third-party ratings. Always conduct your own due diligence and consider your personal financial situation before making investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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13. Thesis Verdict
The central thesis. BlackRock is the world's largest asset manager, earning percentage fees on a record $15.3tn of client assets plus a growing stream of Aladdin technology subscriptions and private-markets performance fees. FY2025 revenue rose 19% to $24.2bn with adjusted EPS of $48.09 and record net inflows of $698bn, and Q2 2026 extended the run with revenue up 31% and a 45.9% adjusted operating margin; management does not give EPS guidance but raised the 2026 dividend 10%, a 16th consecutive increase. The structural driver is the pivot to private markets and data — GIP, HPS, Preqin and ElmTree — layered on top of the dominant iShares ETF franchise.
What would confirm or break it. Continued double-digit organic base-fee growth, private-markets fundraising and technology-subscription momentum through the Q3 2026 results would confirm the thesis. It would break on a sustained market downturn compressing AUM-linked fees (the 2022 template), accelerating fee compression, integration or goodwill trouble from the ~$28bn acquisition spree, or escalation of the political and geopolitical entanglements flagged in Section 10.
Watchpoints
- ConfirmsQ3 2026 results (86 days) landing in line with or above management guidance.
- ConfirmsEvidence supporting the "Record scale and organic growth:" thesis continuing to build across subsequent filings.
- InvalidatesMaterialisation of the "Market risk (Macro):" risk, or any disclosure that fundamentally alters the capital-return or growth profile stated by management.
Diagnostic grid
Generated by ChartsView research tooling. Thesis strength measures how well the evidence in this report supports the company's stated thesis — it is NOT a buy/sell rating or price target. ChartsView is not authorised by the FCA to provide regulated investment advice. Generated 19 Jul 2026.
