ftse 100 daily scans

FTSE 100 Daily Technical Analysis
Tuesday 17 March 2026 | Based on Monday 16 March 2026 close | 40 Stocks Tracked

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1. MARKET OVERVIEW

FTSE 100 closed Monday at 10,317.69 (+56.54pts +0.55%) -- recovering after three straight sessions of losses. Futures today: 10,229 - 10,320, pointing to a flat / marginally positive open.

• Oil at $106/bbl (Brent) -- elevated on US/Iran tensions and Strait of Hormuz disruption risk. Direct tailwind for SHEL and BP.
• BoE Rate Decision -- Thursday 19 March -- KEY EVENT THIS WEEK -- Base rate 3.75%. Markets pricing 50/50 for a 25bps cut. Banks and rate-sensitive stocks will be highly volatile Wednesday and Thursday.
• Macro Headwinds: OBR cut 2026 UK growth to 1.1%. Unemployment at 5.2% (highest since 2020). CPI 3.0%. GDP just +0.1% in Q4 2025.
• Defence Sector: BAE and Rolls-Royce continuing their multi-year bull run on European rearmament spending.

[*]Diageo (DGE) Warning: Dividend cut more than 50% and full-year guidance reduced. North America sales fell -6.8%. Fundamentally deteriorating story.
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2. SECTOR HEATMAP

• STRONG BULL -- Oil and Gas (SHEL, BP) +1.27% -- Both at or near 52-week highs. Brent crude at $106.
• BULL -- Defence / Aerospace (BAE, RR.) +0.92% -- Both at or near 52-week highs. European rearmament tailwind.
• BULL -- Tobacco (BATS, IMB) +1.42% -- Defensive rotation. Both above all 3 EMAs.
• BULL -- Retail (TSCO) +0.35% -- Solid uptrend, steady grind higher.
• MIXED -- Banking (HSBA / LLOY / BARC / NWG / STAN) +0.85% -- Positive day but all technically weak. BoE Thursday is a major risk.
• MIXED -- Pharma and Healthcare (AZN, GSK, HLN) +0.85% -- HLN standout at +2.9%. AZN and GSK both below EMA20.
• MIXED -- Mining (RIO, GLEN, AAL, ANTO) +0.24% -- All below EMA20/EMA50. Watching China demand data.

[*]NEUTRAL-BULL -- Utilities (NG, SSE) -0.88% -- Both above all EMAs technically but sold off on Monday.
[*]BEAR -- Consumer Staples (ULVR, ABF) +0.78% -- Both below all 3 EMAs despite the positive day.
[*]STRONG BEAR -- Consumer Discretionary (DGE, III) -1.17% -- Near 52-week lows, death crosses confirmed.
[*]STRONG BEAR -- Media / Advertising (WPP) -0.88% -- Down 63% from 52-week high, approaching structural lows.
[*]BEAR -- Financial Data and Tech (LSEG, REL, EXPN, SGE, INF) +0.41% -- Most well below 52-week highs, broken EMA structures.
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3. DAILY TECHNICAL SIGNALS -- All 40 Stocks

EMA Trend: BULL = close above all 3 EMAs | BEAR = close below all 3 EMAs | NEUTRAL = mixed alignment
RSI: OB = Overbought above 70 | OS = Oversold below 30 | MACD: + = bullish (m above signal) | - = bearish

-- STRONG BULLS (Full EMA Alignment) --

SHEL 3415p +1.41% | Trend BULL | RSI 82.5 OB | MACD + | -0.3% from 52wH | Strong Bull - OB caution
BP 540p +1.12% | Trend BULL | RSI 72.9 High | MACD + | -1.0% from 52wH | Strong Bull
BAE 2322p +0.65% | Trend BULL | RSI 67.4 | MACD + | -0.4% from 52wH | Strong Bull - at 52w high
BATS 4572p +1.17% | Trend BULL | RSI 57.4 | MACD -- | -2.2% from 52wH | Bull
IMB 3254p +1.66% | Trend BULL | RSI 54.8 | MACD -- | -2.6% from 52wH | Bull
TSCO 491p +0.35% | Trend BULL | RSI 63.6 | MACD -- | -3.4% from 52wH | Bull
SSE 2717p -0.48% | Trend BULL | RSI 63.5 | MACD -- | -5.0% from 52wH | Bull - dip opportunity
HLN 386p +2.91% | Trend BULL | RSI 49.9 | MACD -- | -8.0% from 52wH | Bull - breakout watch
RTO 480p -1.56% | Trend BULL | RSI 57.6 | MACD + | -2.8% from 52wH | Bull - dip opportunity
NG 1356p -1.27% | Trend BULL | RSI 55.9 | MACD -- | -5.1% from 52wH | Bull - weak day
GLEN 516p -0.46% | Trend BULL | RSI 52.6 | MACD -- | -5.5% from 52wH | Weak Bull
ADM 3264p -0.49% | Trend BULL | RSI 73.0 High | MACD + | -11.4% from 52wH | Bull - OB watch

-- NEUTRAL / RECOVERING (Mixed EMA Alignment) --

RR. 1230p +1.19% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 43.6 | MACD -- | -13.4% from 52wH | Neutral-Bull
CPG 2291p +0.88% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 58.2 | MACD + | -16.6% from 52wH | Recovering
LSEG 8758p +0.14% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 60.3 | MACD + | -26.4% from 52wH | Recovering
REL 2581p +0.43% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 54.7 | MACD + | -38.3% from 52wH | Recovery attempt
EXPN 2752p +0.51% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 51.7 | MACD + | -32.9% from 52wH | Recovery attempt
SGE 846p +0.71% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 48.0 | MACD + | -36.6% from 52wH | Recovering
AZN 14364p -0.11% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 43.3 | MACD -- | -8.7% from 52wH | Neutral / weak
GSK 2026p -0.25% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 40.8 | MACD -- | -11.2% from 52wH | Neutral / weak
RIO 6694p +0.44% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 42.9 | MACD -- | -11.4% from 52wH | Neutral / below EMAs
HSBA 1196p +1.30% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 39.3 | MACD -- | -15.2% from 52wH | Neutral
PRU 1090p +1.77% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 45.5 | MACD -- | -11.9% from 52wH | Neutral-Bull
NWG 573p +1.45% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 39.6 | MACD -- | -18.7% from 52wH | Neutral / BoE watch
LLOY 94.9p +0.76% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 38.7 | MACD -- | -17.2% from 52wH | Neutral / BoE watch
STAN 1550p +0.23% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 31.3 | MACD -- | -19.4% from 52wH | At EMA200 support -- watch closely
AAL 3116p +0.23% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 37.4 | MACD -- | -19.6% from 52wH | Neutral / weak
ANTO 3521p +0.51% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 41.4 | MACD -- | -21.3% from 52wH | Neutral / weak
BNZL 2270p -1.48% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 62.2 | MACD + | -26.7% from 52wH | Neutral
AV 641p +1.14% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 48.9 | MACD -- | -8.6% from 52wH | Neutral
VOD 110p +0.37% | Trend NEUTRAL | RSI 47.8 | MACD -- | -9.4% from 52wH | Neutral

-- BEARS (Below EMAs, Negative MACD) --

ULVR 4881p +0.96% | Trend BEAR | RSI 36.1 | MACD - | -11.6% from 52wH | Bear
LGEN 248p +0.65% | Trend BEAR | RSI 40.5 | MACD - | -11.3% from 52wH | Bear
ABF 1873p +0.59% | Trend BEAR | RSI 42.8 | MACD - | -20.6% from 52wH | Bear
BARC 388p +0.49% | Trend BEAR | RSI 32.2 Low | MACD - | -23.3% from 52wH | Bear
RKT 5484p +2.39% | Trend BEAR | RSI 30.8 OS | MACD - | -15.8% from 52wH | Bear / oversold bounce only
INF 761p +0.26% | Trend BEAR | RSI 33.0 Low | MACD - | -23.9% from 52wH | Strong Bear
III 2935p -1.15% | Trend BEAR | RSI 37.1 | MACD - | -34.7% from 52wH | Strong Bear
DGE 1450p -1.19% | Trend BEAR | RSI 33.1 | MACD - | -34.5% from 52wH | Strong Bear
WPP 236p -0.88% | Trend BEAR | RSI 36.0 | MACD - | -62.8% from 52wH | Strong Bear

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4. TOP SWING TRADE SETUPS (3-5 Day Holds)

LONG -- BAE Systems -- 52-Week High Breakout -- R:R 1:2.4 wrote: Sector: Defence | Close: 2322p | ATR: 69p

Entry: 2335p (break and close above 52-week high of 2332p)
Stop: 2197p (2x ATR below entry)
Target 1: 2404p (+1 ATR extension)
Target 2: 2473p (+2 ATR extension)

Confluence: Perfect bull EMA alignment (2322 above e20:2191 above e50:2072 above e200:1871) | Bull MACD cross (77.89 vs 70.58) | RSI 67.4 -- strong momentum, not yet overbought | 52-week high breakout into new territory | European rearmament structural tailwind

 [/quote]
 

LONG -- BP -- Momentum Continuation at 52-Week High -- R:R 1:2.1 wrote: Sector: Oil and Gas | Close: 540p | ATR: 15p

Entry: 540p (current) or 535p on a dip to S1
Stop: 526p (S1 minus buffer, 1.5x ATR)
Target 1: 554p (Classic R2)
Target 2: 567p (ATR extension)

Confluence: New 52-week high hit intraday Monday | Full bull EMA stack | MACD bullish cross | Oil at $106 and rising | Iran / Hormuz risk premium ongoing

 

 

LONG -- TSCO (Tesco) -- Steady Bull Trend Dip Buy -- R:R 1:1.9 wrote: Sector: Retail | Close: 491p | ATR: 11p

Entry: 487p (Classic S1 dip)
Stop: 476p (below EMA20, 1x ATR stop)
Target 1: 495p (Classic R1 / near 52-week high)
Target 2: 508p (52-week high tag)

Confluence: Clean bull EMA alignment | RSI healthy at 63.6 | Only 3.4% from 52-week high | Defensive consumer -- no dividend risk

 

 

SHORT -- DGE (Diageo) -- Death Cross / 52-Week Low Break -- R:R 1:3.0 wrote: Sector: Consumer Beverages | Close: 1450p | ATR: 57p

Entry (Short): 1469p (bounce to R1, best entry) or 1450p at market
Stop: 1479p (above Monday high with buffer)
Target 1: 1408p (Classic S3)
Target 2: 1380p (extension below 52-week low of 1420p)

Confluence: Full death cross confirmed | MACD deeply bearish | Dividend cut more than 50% plus guidance reduction | Only 29p above 52-week low | High conviction bear

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SHORT -- WPP -- Structural Downtrend -- R:R 1:2.0 wrote: Sector: Media and Advertising | Close: 236p | ATR: 15p

Entry (Short): 237-240p (bounce to Cam R2/R3 area)
Stop: 244p (above Cam R4 of 241p plus buffer)
Target 1: 225p (extension below 52-week low of 232p)
Target 2: 210p

Confluence: Down 62.8% from 52-week high of 634p | Only 4p above 52-week low | All 3 EMAs declining steeply above price | MACD deeply negative | Structural sector disruption in digital advertising

 

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5. INTRADAY SETUPS (Pivot and Camarilla)

INTRADAY SHORT (Fade) -- SHEL -- Camarilla R3 Fade -- R:R 1.7:1 wrote: RSI at 82.5 -- extreme overbought. At 52-week high. Camarilla theory: price between R3 and R4 signals a range day -- fade back to pivot.

Entry: 3429p (Cam R3)
Stop: 3444p (Cam R4 plus buffer)
Target: 3404p (Classic Pivot)

Note: Scalp and intraday only -- underlying trend is still bullish. Do not hold overnight short.

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INTRADAY LONG (Breakout) -- BAE -- Camarilla R4 Trend Day -- R:R 1.8:1 wrote: If BAE breaks and holds above Cam R4 at 2341p (also clears the 52-week high of 2332p) -- Camarilla signals a full trend day.

Entry: 2342p (Cam R4 confirmed break)
Stop: 2302p (Cam S4)
Target: 2410p (1.5x ATR extension)

 

 

INTRADAY LONG (Pivot Bounce) -- BP -- Classic Pivot Support -- R:R 2.0:1 wrote: Entry: 539.83p (Classic Pivot)
Stop: 533.67p (Classic S1)
Target 1: 546.47p (Classic R1 -- also the 52-week high)
Target 2: 552.63p (Classic R2 -- if oil holds bid)

Why: Oil at $106 | Bull EMA stack | MACD bullish | Pivot is natural intraday support

 

 

INTRADAY SHORT (S1 Fail) -- DGE -- Fade the Bounce -- R:R 1.4:1 wrote: In a downtrend, rallies to S1 fail. Watch for a bounce to Classic S1 at 1439p or the Cam R3 area then short it.

Entry: 1439-1450p (failed S1 or Cam R3 bounce)
Stop: 1470p (above Monday high of 1478p)
Target: 1420p (near 52-week low)

 

 

INTRADAY LONG (Pivot Bounce) -- TSCO -- Classic Pivot -- R:R 1.3:1 wrote: Entry: 490p (Classic Pivot at 491p)
Stop: 486p (Cam S4)
Target: 495p (Cam R4 / Classic R1)

Why: Bull trend | Healthy RSI 63.6 | Defensive name in uncertain macro | Pivot is natural intraday support

 

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6. KEY LEVELS DASHBOARD -- Top 5 Stocks

SHEL -- Shell | Close: 3415p wrote: Camarilla: S4: 3386 | S3: 3401 | S2: 3406 | S1: 3410 | Pivot: 3404 | R1: 3420 | R2: 3425 | R3: 3429 | R4: 3444
Classic: S3: 3332 | S2: 3352 | S1: 3384 | Pivot: 3404 | R1: 3436 | R2: 3456 | R3: 3488

EMAs: EMA20: 3132 | EMA50: 2969 | EMA200: 2779
Prev H/L: 3424 / 3373 | 52-week H/L: 3424 / 2270

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BP | Close: 540p wrote: Camarilla: S4: 533 | S3: 537 | S2: 538 | S1: 539 | Pivot: 540 | R1: 541 | R2: 543 | R3: 544 | R4: 547
Classic: S3: 521 | S2: 527 | S1: 534 | Pivot: 540 | R1: 546 | R2: 553 | R3: 559
EMAs: EMA20: 498 | EMA50: 475 | EMA200: 442
Prev H/L: 546 / 533 | 52-week H/L: 546 / 329

 

 

BAE Systems | Close: 2322p wrote: Camarilla: S4: 2302 | S3: 2312 | S2: 2315 | S1: 2319 | Pivot: 2317 | R1: 2325 | R2: 2329 | R3: 2332 | R4: 2342
Classic: S3: 2265 | S2: 2281 | S1: 2301 | Pivot: 2317 | R1: 2337 | R2: 2353 | R3: 2373
EMAs: EMA20: 2191 | EMA50: 2072 | EMA200: 1871
Prev H/L: 2332 / 2296 | 52-week H/L: 2332 / 1394

 

 

DGE (Diageo) | Close: 1450p -- NEAR 52-WEEK LOW wrote: Camarilla: S4: 1433 | S3: 1442 | S2: 1444 | S1: 1447 | Pivot: 1459 | R1: 1453 | R2: 1456 | R3: 1458 | R4: 1467

Classic: S3: 1409 | S2: 1428 | S1: 1439 | Pivot: 1459 | R1: 1470 | R2: 1489 | R3: 1500
EMAs: EMA20: 1581 | EMA50: 1648 | EMA200: 1815 (all above close -- death cross)
Prev H/L: 1478 / 1448 | 52-week H/L: 2215 / 1421 -- only 29p below current price

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TSCO (Tesco) | Close: 491p wrote: Camarilla: S4: 486 | S3: 488 | S2: 489 | S1: 490 | Pivot: 491 | R1: 491 | R2: 492 | R3: 493 | R4: 495
Classic: S3: 479 | S2: 483 | S1: 487 | Pivot: 491 | R1: 495 | R2: 499 | R3: 503
EMAs: EMA20: 476 | EMA50: 464 | EMA200: 435
Prev H/L: 496 / 487 | 52-week H/L: 508 / 310

 

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7. BEARISH WARNINGS

• DGE (Diageo) -- Full death cross confirmed. RSI 33.1. Only 29p above its 52-week low of 1421p. Dividend cut more than 50% plus guidance reduced. If 1421p breaks, next support is around 1380p. High conviction bear.
  

[*]WPP -- Down 62.8% from 52-week high of 634p. Only 4p from its 52-week low at 232p. All 3 EMAs steeply declining above price. Any bounce is a shorting opportunity.

[*]III (3i Group) -- Death cross confirmed (2935 below e20:3100 / e50:3221 / e200:3555). MACD deeply negative (-101 vs -75). RSI 37.1. Near 52-week low at 2887p.

[*]INF (Informa) -- Down 23.9% from 52-week high. Below all EMAs, RSI 33. Events and media sector structural headwinds.

[*]BARC (Barclays) -- RSI 32.2, below all 3 EMAs. A BoE rate cut Thursday means margin compression for banks. Watch for oversold bounces then further weakness.

[*]RKT (Reckitt) -- Monday's +2.39% looks like an oversold relief rally, not a reversal. MACD -236 vs -149. All 3 EMAs above price. Do not chase the bounce.

[*]STAN (Standard Chartered) -- Price at 1550p sitting exactly on EMA200 at 1550p. Moment of truth. Break below opens the way to S1 at 1531p then S2 at 1510p. RSI 31.3 -- weak.
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8. EVENTS CALENDAR -- This Week

• Tue 17 Mar -- UK Labour Market Data (Jan) | Impacts: LLOY, BARC, TSCO. Unemployment at 5.2% -- watch for further deterioration.
  
• Thu 19 Mar -- BoE MPC Rate Decision -- KEY EVENT | Base rate 3.75%. 50/50 chance of 25bps cut. High volatility Wed-Thu. A cut means margin compression for banks (LLOY / BARC / NWG / STAN). LGEN and AV may benefit. GBP likely to weaken from $1.33 on a cut.
  
• Thu 19 Mar -- BoE Inflation Report | Forward guidance language critical. Impacts ULVR, DGE, BATS.
  
• Ongoing -- Iran / Strait of Hormuz | Brent at $106. Watching ship movements daily. Tailwind for SHEL and BP while tensions persist.
  
• Ongoing -- European Defence Budgets | New country-level spending commitments will be a catalyst for BAE and RR. further upside.
  
• Late Mar -- UK Spring Spending Review (OBR) | Growth forecasts and fiscal headroom will set the macro tone for Q2.

Data source: chartsview.co.uk -- Monday 16 March 2026 close. Report generated by ChartsView TA System.