DOW

Gap at open? Island top? Exhaustion. Certainly dark cloud cover

Richb wrote: Do you see a wave 4 on the weekly back down before that top area you've mentioned Remo ?

Wave 4 has completed already based on my counts. The chart I posted was a monthly chart so as I could fit the whole chart on to screen. And I'm talking about the primary waves and not any sub waves.
So not certain what your asking?

Remo this is what I was thinking

Do you see a wave 4 on the weekly back down before that top area you've mentioned Remo ?

For me , we are in wave 5 primary on dow and this is coming to an end soon so be very careful with new longs.
Ive roughly got the high for the wave 5 to end around 21733 area so roughly around 1000 points from current level on dow. Ive posted a very simple chart below to show the count as its the monthly chart as you can see its been one heck of a bull market and we need a big correction. My target is based of the wave 1 as wave 5 cant be the biggest wave so likely to be around similar size to wave 1 . So cant see this going past 22000.
Please dont ask me for the exact count as i remember giving everyone a headache last time around when we did the elliott thing back in 2009 in our private discussion board and also in the early days of our website. The good old days.


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/elliott%20wave%20dow.png

Agree and certainly not suggesting any shorting but Dow, S&P500 and Russells 2000 are all showing RSI and MACD divergence on daily. Nasdaq is the only major US index not showing this on the daily but all show divergence on the monthly.

The run up from the 2009 low has been incredible.

Resistance on the dow currently at 21100 so that is certainly a shorting point.

When the trend does reverse it will be quick and fast IMO. First stop for Dow will be 19200 area.