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GKP
bonobo77 wrote: I sold the 10000 I bought at 205.25 yesterday for a 20p gain today.
Bit of fun, really.
I can't see any fundamental justification for the sharp rise other than the market putting back some of the value it took away from the start of the court case. But a judgement might not come until May/June, and the politics aren't great right now ... so a lot can happen. Perhaps there are whispers coming from MOL's direction, but the one thing I rule out just now is any thought of an imminent t/o. The conditions in Kurdistan are not right for it yet.
Anyway, sorry to pollute a chart board with a fundamental view, but it does help me see how Jacko's retrace is very possible.
Hi bonobo
It's good to have a fundamental views as well as that will add to this board.
Feel free to use fundamentals .
It sure can help with penny shares.
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Jackozy wrote:
followNev wrote: Remo
GKP seems to bring out the best in every board.
Maybe this share should have it's own forum, so that the bickering continues else where.
On a TA note, i found P&F charts worked the best with GKP last time. , Twas very clear when to buy and sell.
Hi Nev,
May I ask...what box sizes did you use?
TIA
Sorry, been away for a couple of days and missed this!
Surely you remember the good old days where I would post a chart, saying moving my stop up. Others were becoming millionaires and I was thinking, "Must keep Profits" . Then when the charts tumbled for the first time
I was happy to get out.
Box size 1% , 3 box reversal
The charts were provided for free and I trusted the closing prices.
I saw Remo's Metastock blog post in their news letter. Would be great if we could get a template for Metastock so that we are all singing from the same hymn sheet.
I learnt a lot from P&F , Mainly to look LEFT on any chart. Look for the points where price hits multiple times. Works a dream.
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Bit of fun, really.
I can't see any fundamental justification for the sharp rise other than the market putting back some of the value it took away from the start of the court case. But a judgement might not come until May/June, and the politics aren't great right now ... so a lot can happen. Perhaps there are whispers coming from MOL's direction, but the one thing I rule out just now is any thought of an imminent t/o. The conditions in Kurdistan are not right for it yet.
Anyway, sorry to pollute a chart board with a fundamental view, but it does help me see how Jacko's retrace is very possible.
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I would want to see a sign that the buying pressure (over 10 million traded today) has subsided or something to indicate the "smart money" is exiting.
Anyone else got some thoughts on what to look out for, I don't have DMA and I work during the day, so it is difficult to see what is really happening.
All I know is that my free shares (been in since 11p and took my capital out long ago) have had a great run, and I would welcome the chance to bank the profit at the top (for once) and re-buy at a lower level to increase my number of shares.
From Jackozy's thoughts, it could go something like this:
Sell at 230p (gap resistance)
Buy back at 187p (61.8% for a wave 2)
Sell at 298p (peak of Wave 3)
Buy back at 256p (38.2% retrace from 298p to form wave 4)
Sell at 329p (peak of 5th wave)
A working example form my own freebies:
GKP TRADE STRATEGY
Sell 5000 shares @ 230p = £11,500
Buy back @ 187p = 6149 Shares
Sell 6149 shares @298p = £18324
Buy back @ 256p = 7157 Shares
Sell 7157 shares @ 329p = £23,549
Increase = £12,049
% increase = 104.77 %
Alternative Strategy, If held and not traded:
Sell 5000 shares at 329p = £16,450
A bit of trading could potentially net me some £7,099
if only it was this simple !!!
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Appreciate your comments.
230 is naturally the gap and had served as previous support in October of this year. It would also coincide with the length of the rise from the move up from 163 to 187 (24pts) and if we measure my presumed low of 205 + 24 = 229.
Agree that this move is a little overextended and it would be healthy for some of the heat to come off the indicators.
All the best,
M.
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