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TOPIC: DOW

DOW..possible 123 high formation 28 Oct 2018 12:45 #1

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Dow - daily.
uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...cXLEPeKxo9Hg+Ev3ib8=

well this is intriguingly poised....i thought it was going to get a real stuffing on Friday...but it actually rallied a tad, but is was still off some 300 points....and it's certainly not out of the woods yet...but i think caution in taking positions here fornow, while we get a clearer direction for this week...

Will it go up or down now?? :unsure:
Bulls will point out a bullish div on the rsi...and this has already dropped approx 10%...so maybe back up now?

Bears will point out the l/l , and the first real close below the 200 day ema line for around 2 years...
I think as things stand, its a little bit in no man land atm...a rally back above the 200 day ema line...and off we go again...
A new lower low...calls for a continuation of the downside imvho...

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DOW..possible 123 high formation 26 Oct 2018 17:37 #2

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It’s battling with the trend line based of the spreadbetting charts currently..A finish below the trend line could send this a lot lower...But a finish above could signal a move back to test the 200ma again...
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DOW..possible 123 high formation 26 Oct 2018 15:02 #3

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Big dump on the way imvho...certainly looks set for it... :ohmy:

270 or so points down atm....i think it could well be 1000 points down by the close.... :huh: :sick:

Black Friday today....

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DOW..possible 123 high formation 26 Oct 2018 13:52 #4

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Yesterday this back tested the 200 ma perfectly on the Dow based on spredbetting charts, normal charts also finished below .

Interesting day ahead for the Dow.
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DOW..possible 123 high formation 23 Oct 2018 14:44 #5

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A little off topic, but I don't like how the Nasdaq Composite
.IXIC (INDEXNASDAQ) has broken it's trend line & today's open it is dropping quite a bit!
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DOW..possible 123 high formation 23 Oct 2018 14:12 #6

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dow - daily
uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...KfOZi1c5hnxnTE1nLbo=

off cousrse we must wait to see how this opens....and trades today...
going by the futures atm....this will gap below the 200 day ema line line currently 24971....as well confirming a 1,2,3 high/lower low...as remo pointed out below...that in itself is indicative of whats to come here... :ohmy: :pinch:

while below the 200 day ema line...no longs here...only selling the rallies imvho...

lets see
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DOW..possible 123 high formation 23 Oct 2018 07:31 #7

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There is a massive 123 high formation on this.
24896 is the level to watch on this as a break below this and down she goes.
I’ll post chart latter as away from computer.
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DOW 11 Oct 2018 20:04 #8

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dow - daily.
uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...X8iCN7xXaCGKW8NUM%3D

the trade was the short to the 200 day ema line....on the break of the wedge/channel form yesterday...then long again at the 200 day....
the short bounced off that level almost perfectly....

question is will that level hold??? im not confident with a long here tbh...

i got a feeling this last hour will be nasty imvho...lets see

atb, wdik, dyor,
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Last Edit: 11 Oct 2018 20:05 by Trendfriend.
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DOW 11 Oct 2018 14:45 #9

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where is the DOW in regard to Elliot waves? Have we Completed all the 5 Major UP waves back from 2009 or are we in the last leg up still?
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DOW 10 Oct 2018 19:20 #10

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dow - daily.
uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...7QSdvFRDO6D2Fsw7Q%3D

this has broken this channel from july...and the 50 day ema line today....could well possibly fall another 1000 points in the coming days to the 200 day ema line...
so while below 26035... most likely more down side to come here....

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Last Edit: 10 Oct 2018 19:21 by Trendfriend.
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TF-DOW 21 Mar 2018 20:48 #11

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My dow chart pretty simliar to yours TF

As long as its not a big bear trap then lower we go ...


2103DJI-Daily.png
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TF-DOW 19 Mar 2018 14:18 #12

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dow - daily.
uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...FTt5xbKB4KQfv86Qk%3D

not very good imvho....
It should by all intents and purposes go down for at least a LL.... ;)
so below 23350.... ;)
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TF-DOW 13 Mar 2018 22:58 #13

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Yep, exactly right LTV.....

It's a bit of a pivot level....and the 20 and 50 day ema lines are around that area.....which in themselves act like pivot levels...

Closed bang on 25,000 today....intriguingly poised.....currently in a triangle, and whichever way it breaks should result in a decent move in that direction imvho....

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TF-DOW 07 Mar 2018 16:03 #14

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DOW Daily.

TF,

I have yesterday's high at 24,995, why was 25035 important please :whistle:

Is it because it failed at the EMA20? :unsure:
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DOW - MRA4 02 Mar 2018 19:57 #15

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I think we are heading toward the main trendline Area & fib retracement levels, Below main trend line Level would be an area of concern, if there was not a bounce back upwards.
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DOW - MRA4 01 Mar 2018 18:46 #16

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RichB,

What are your targets for the FTSE? :whistle:

Dow looks like it's taking a hammering again, can't post a chart. :S
Last Edit: 01 Mar 2018 19:16 by longterm_view.
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DOW - MRA4 01 Mar 2018 16:47 #17

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I'd be interested to know too .. Ive got some ideas for patterns for lower targets on the Dax & FTSE nothing yet on the DOW ...
Last Edit: 01 Mar 2018 16:49 by Richb.
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DOW - MRA4 01 Mar 2018 14:14 #18

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MRA4, I believe this is Wave C, what do you think? :huh:

Do you have a projected target? :whistle: I'm thinking around 21,500.

Although there is a problem with this, if it does get to 21000/21500, we have dropped 20% from the high, which I believe puts us in a bear market. :silly: Does this compute with Elliotts Wave Theory?

DOW Daily

Looks to be breaking down again.

It's broken it's daily uptrend line.

DJI-Daily_2018-03-01.png
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DOW 22 Feb 2018 20:59 #19

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MRA4, thanks for that mate, made my simple chart look very childish! :P ;)

Glad we are on the same wave length. :whistle:

I agree, I thought we were in a ABC move, current wave down to around 21000/21500, Wave C.

Going by this, do we still have 2 main waves until the big drop? :dry:
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DOW 22 Feb 2018 18:01 #20

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I think we are Currently in a corrective wave "ABC" of the Major Wave


DJI-Weekly.png



rt7.t.prorealtime.com/ProRealTimeNew/dis...crreh8zql9f&type=png

61.8% bounce back on the Daily


DJI-Daily.png


rt7.t.prorealtime.com/ProRealTimeNew/dis...56zjc29ryek&type=png
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DOW 22 Feb 2018 13:19 #21

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Got bored waiting, answering myself, that's sad. :whistle:

He's a simple chart to show the extent of this move.

Perhaps I have Elliotts all wrong, but it looks good to me. :woohoo:

DJI-Daily_2018-02-22.png
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DOW 21 Feb 2018 15:17 #22

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Looking at the chart below and reading a very limited amount on Elliotts wave before my head exploded :woohoo: :woohoo:

I can't see an ABC move from the 2009 low, I can see minor corrections, which would imply the ABC moves in the lower frames, but I would have thought there would be an BIG ABC move?? :S

DJI-Daily.png


Any ideas?
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DOW 07 Feb 2018 17:40 #23

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kerching.... :P :cheer:

that went well....

i'm looking to short if we get below 25096....stop above today's high....
dow - daily.
uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...NIjlEnznky0s5IWK8%3D

50 day ema line is the key here imvho....and i think this down move is not quite over yet....

atb, wdik, dyor,
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Last Edit: 07 Feb 2018 17:43 by Trendfriend.
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DOW 07 Feb 2018 10:46 #24

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dow daily. (trading hours only)
uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...VXp9uth6mM6y0ikuI%3D

I would only be comfortable with the long side here on a break above 24947....close above 25100 confirms the upside view
stop below 23780.

so basically looking for a higher high, as the bar has been set for us yesterday.....important not to jump the gun here imho..... unless you likle to gamble! lol....

drop below 23800 calls for 23000 > 22000> 19500 (area)

be lucky folks,
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DOW 06 Feb 2018 13:14 #25

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Thank you. :)

A 15% correction from the high, would be around 22600, 2 forms of support. :P

That'll keep us all watching those figures. :whistle:
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DOW 06 Feb 2018 13:00 #26

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The short term trendline is at 23600 ,this is the level to watch as a break of this and the index could head down towards the 200sma which currently stands at 22721 and would also open up a test of the main trendline which is at 21900 area. I would be going long on a first attempt of the main trendline and also the 200sma.



This bounced of the 23.6 fib level perfectly yesterday.
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Last Edit: 06 Feb 2018 13:32 by remo.
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DOW 23 Mar 2017 14:22 #27

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I was thinking similar with the S&P500. I like the look of the lower high and subsequent sell off. I think the UBS guys had 2350 as trendline support. Be interesting to see where today closes.

Already short,
M
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DOW 21 Mar 2017 20:27 #28

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possible 123 high formation?? or maybe the subwave 4 ive mentioned earlier.
I'm gonna short on a back test of 20777 if it moves there over the next few days on a first attempt basis during market hourswith tight stops of 50pips.


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/dow21stmarch2017.png



dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/Scre...03-21%2020.53.09.png
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Last Edit: 21 Mar 2017 20:55 by remo.
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DOW 03 Mar 2017 14:58 #29

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very tempted to short with stops above the high but thats over 170 points. But i wont take the risk as i only ever place stops 50pips max... :(
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DOW 03 Mar 2017 14:51 #30

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its gonna take some thing special to push past that channel top resistance which goes back a long time.
im not shorting just yet as have a wave 4 subwave to come and maybe a last wave 5 sub to re-test the channel lines again.
But would be nice to see a another gap down so as it forms a island top like food4thought mentioned.

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/dow3rdmarch2017.png
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DOW 03 Mar 2017 09:13 #31

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Gap at open? Island top? Exhaustion. Certainly dark cloud cover


DJ30IndustrialAvgIndex03.03.17.png
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DOW 27 Feb 2017 10:22 #32

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Richb wrote:
Do you see a wave 4 on the weekly back down before that top area you've mentioned Remo ?

Wave 4 has completed already based on my counts. The chart I posted was a monthly chart so as I could fit the whole chart on to screen. And I'm talking about the primary waves and not any sub waves.
So not certain what your asking?
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DOW 26 Feb 2017 17:46 #33

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Remo this is what I was thinking
wklywavesdowandtopDJ30IndustrialAvgIndex.png
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DOW 26 Feb 2017 16:41 #34

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Do you see a wave 4 on the weekly back down before that top area you've mentioned Remo ?
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DOW 24 Feb 2017 19:27 #35

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For me , we are in wave 5 primary on dow and this is coming to an end soon so be very careful with new longs.
Ive roughly got the high for the wave 5 to end around 21733 area so roughly around 1000 points from current level on dow. Ive posted a very simple chart below to show the count as its the monthly chart as you can see its been one heck of a bull market and we need a big correction. My target is based of the wave 1 as wave 5 cant be the biggest wave so likely to be around similar size to wave 1 . So cant see this going past 22000.
Please dont ask me for the exact count as i remember giving everyone a headache last time around when we did the elliott thing back in 2009 in our private discussion board and also in the early days of our website. The good old days.


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/elliott%20wave%20dow.png
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DOW 20 Feb 2017 10:19 #36

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DJ30IndustrialAvgIndex.17.02.17png.png


Agree and certainly not suggesting any shorting but Dow, S&P500 and Russells 2000 are all showing RSI and MACD divergence on daily. Nasdaq is the only major US index not showing this on the daily but all show divergence on the monthly.

The run up from the 2009 low has been incredible.

Resistance on the dow currently at 21100 so that is certainly a shorting point.

When the trend does reverse it will be quick and fast IMO. First stop for Dow will be 19200 area.
Last Edit: 20 Feb 2017 10:21 by Food4Thought.
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DOW 19 Feb 2017 08:25 #37

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I would not short the dow based on guessing. You have to wait for a 123 high formation before attempting any shorts currently. The reason for this is , its got no resistances above currently so you cannot do any shorts.
Shorts are done from resistance levels so the odds are in your favour.
So best to wait for a better signal to form.



dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/dow19thfeb2017.png
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DOW 16 Feb 2017 12:46 #38

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I would be very interested to hear Remo's view. I cant see what will change the trend. I have been burnt on a no. of post 20k shorts which was really quite stupid..
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DOW 15 Feb 2017 16:35 #39

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DJ1hr15FebBW.png
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DOW 15 Feb 2017 16:12 #40

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DOW is not showing any sign of weakness.
Attached are 2 charts suggesting that the uptrend is strong, the 10 MA looks like very strong support.
Please feel free to comment.
Thank you.
DYOR, GL...


DJ1hr15FebAW.png
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DOW 12 Feb 2017 17:51 #41

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Thank you Trenfriend
Taking a short or long position at the moment can be dangerous.
IMHO, the RSI divergence may indicate a trend change. However, DOW seems to be stuck in a triangle and consolidation is getting tighter implying a breakout is bound to take place soon. A breakout to the upside cannot be excluded, should this happen the DOW chart should be re-analysed.
If we see a breakout to the downside, then the targets mentioned earlier may come into play

DYOR, GL
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DOW 12 Feb 2017 13:50 #42

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Hi Ocean,

Nice chart... :cheer:

the divergence on the rsi which you have highlighted on your chart, is a bearish divergence......and therefore indicative of a top building imvho.....however, that rsi div has been present for some time and could continue to remain that way, and like your saying the dow keeps making new highs.....so must not just jump in short, based on that indicator alone...

For now, i think it's just a signal not chase these markets higher......or at least to be cautious now imvho....
having said that if the rsi breaks that t/line resistance,(i think it will) a further leg up on the dow looks likely...

To short i think a lower is the best signal, so a break below the horizontal support at 19750(ish) on your chart must go first....... ;)

as always imvho, dyor wdik
trendfriend :)
Last Edit: 12 Feb 2017 13:51 by Trendfriend.
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DOW 12 Feb 2017 09:12 #43

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Good morning

The DOW keeps going up with new highs, on the daily chart lower highs can be observed on the RSI. Could this be a sign of a breakout.

If we see a downside breakout from the apex triangle, the first piece of support sits at the recent low 19,750. The majority of decent support lies down at near 18,700.

DYOR, Good luck..

DJDailyFeb2017.png
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DOW 24 Jan 2017 18:38 #44

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dow daily.

uk.advfn.com/p.php?pid=chartscreenshotsh...FRlgjzjAHQhKA1fag%3D

careful with shorts here imvho, looks like a bull flag breakout to me at 19915.

this should now make new highs, lets see.

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DOW 19 Jan 2017 19:27 #45

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Hi Everyone, happy new year.
IMO DOW is approaching an interesting level, if a breakout is observed at around 19675 it is very probable further downside will be seen.

Tried to post chart but unsuccessful, hope this link works.

www.dropbox.com/s/t6ou0bbihbjyy0d/dow%20daily.png?dl=0

DYOR...
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DOW 19 Jan 2017 17:45 #46

  • Monkeyz
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Getting close to a key level. Short from 18809.
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DOW 06 Jan 2017 21:13 #47

  • skipper10
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Shorts standing by F4T roll on mon
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DOW 16 Dec 2016 14:09 #48

  • Food4Thought
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Everyman and his dog will short at 20,000 or just below. Beware!
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DOW 16 Dec 2016 08:55 #49

  • remo
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First time ive seen it change bearish on this indicator for a long while. Only thing is, the Christmas rally may mess this up.


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/2016-12-16.png
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remo
Last Edit: 16 Dec 2016 08:56 by remo.
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DOW 23 Nov 2016 14:23 #50

  • charts
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I'm out at 19010. See you next year.
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