beachvibes wrote:
Yep it has a big impact as it messes the charts up. Good charting software can get around this but you should still be cautious until the share trades for a few months after the rights issue.(i think thats what its called).

Thanks Jackozy, does this mean the consolidation of shares could affect charting or how people see it by TA?

Thanks, BV. I guessed there was a consolidation but the charts still differ - I don't have that drop to c. 50p for your "head"...

That will be because of the 20:1 consolidation around the period of your spike on the chart.

Hi beachvibes,

My weekly chart of CNR covering the same period of time looks nothing like yours:



dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/20815047/CNRweekly13_05_13.gif

The current price is well below what you've labelled as the head on my chart.

Jackozy or anybody else interested, does this look like it could be an ih&s pattern with the right shoulder forming at the moment? Fairly big moves of the past.

content.screencast.com/users/oiljim53/fo...6b52b3d/00000064.png

Thanks for that RC, I've made a note of it and will try to incorporate it into what I'm doing. Appreciate that you took the time to share it.

Shotry,
Numerous I H&S patterns (& H&S patterns) appear every day and they are fairly easy to spot. Most of the miners have been in a prolonged downtrend and we will soon see I H&S patterns appear on many of the mining stocks. Problem is not normally whether the pattern exists but whether it is strong & reliable for a profitable trade. For that you need to be familiar with recognizing TRENDS and in particular STRENGTH of a TREND to successfully trade these patterns. They can appear at the bottom of the downtrend, middle of an uptrend or at the (potential)top of an uptrend.

If you are a beginner then you should stick to those which appear at the bottom of a downtrend.

A few points that might help you in future to make better entries at I H&S patterns (opposite for H&S ) & hopefully profitable trades!
1.Look for I H&S which are forming below 200DMA (for daily and weekly time frame).
2.Duration of the downtrend before which it enters the I H&S pattern. On the Lloyds chart which Jackozy has posted today you could see that the down move started in September 2010 and lead to the beginning of I H&S in August 2011 (roughly 12 months). The pattern itself took 12 months to develop. Break of neck line occurred in September 2012 (12 months). It was a classic and a reliable pattern. Look for an inbound trend that is longer than the duration of the pattern (John Lansing’s Trending 123). A shallow inbound trend may indicate a period of consolidation & hence can create a lot of whipsaws and choppy moves (means more chances of getting stopped out & hence less reliable) before the price move indicated by the pattern eventually begins.
3.Volume – highest on the left shoulder + lowest on the right with a burst in volume on break of the neck line.
4.Slope of the neck line – an upward slopping neckline is more bullish than a downward sloping one.
5.Try to trade this patterns in more liquid markets like FTSE100/forex rather than AIM stocks.

I'm assuming you mean Amur?

hi shotry
thanks for highlighting that chart
Ive gone long on it due to that chart.lol

I watch out for them and understand that they're one of the more reliable chart patterns (I have Bulkowski's pattern encyclopedia here). I sometimes trade them, sometimes they're profitable. I don't just follow the target regardless. I keep watching what the price and my indicators are doing and either stay in or leave the trade according to that.
I feel as as though I'm waffling and running all over the tune without ever striking a note? Is there something more specific you want RC?

Shotry,

What sort of experience do you have in trading H&S patterns?

Cup and handle, iH&S, ascending triangle...they're all the same pattern to me. They're all wave sequences as we move from a correction into an uptrend

Shotry, I'm not sure our views are that different - I agree with remo that these patterns are far more significant at the tops and bottoms of ranges. What constitutes a "range" all depends on your timeframe though. A downtrend on a 5 min chart can be just a small correction on a daily chart...

It even looks like a massive cup and handle

Hi shotry
That chart looks like an inverse head and shoulders. Not the perfect place as its come of the lows but its still close enough to the lows.Its been sideways for a year. A finish above 9.26 would be bullish but id be more comfortable with a finish above 9.50

So in effect we have different views on this pattern. On the one hand it should be at the top (H&S) or bottom (iH&S) of a price movement, however a similar pattern (perhaps there are alternative names) do have some validity away from the tops/bottoms? Are those formed at the tops/bottoms more powerful as indicators?

Here's an example using LLOY's current chart:



dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/20815047/LLOYH%26S.gif

screencast.com/t/nruARJ1vJJ

Apologies, this is the correct chart.

screencast.com/t/d5lggm3Z4Fai

This one looks more convincing. Not seen the news that started this drop, but could it be off to the 1300s? (Stanchart)

AMC Amur minerals

Personally I think about H&S patterns in terms of waves. If we take your example of AMC:



dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/20815047/AMCdaily13_05_13a.gif

we could view the apparent iHS as a wave 1, then the left shoulder at wave A of 2, head at 2 and right shoulder at subwave 2 of 3. It's essentially the same as an ascending triangle too.

H&S patterns would then be formed by wave 5 of 3 as the left shoulder, wave 4 back to the neckline (which was the wave 4 of 3 low), wave 5 as the head, and then an ABC (or just the A) to form the right shoulder.

Clearly, when viewed this way, the patterns would be at the bottoms and tops of ranges as remo says. However, because waves are fractal, you could also have smaller, less powerful, H&S' and iH&Ss during trends as the subwaves form. It's a bit hard to put into words so I'll see if I can find an example of what I'm talking about in a chart.

Hi shotry
whats the ticker for that company????

Head and shoulder are meant to signal a possible top formation.
Thats what there known famously for. If you start to take it from any where then it loses its ability as a pattern as you would get them more regularly. Its a rare pattern, well not too rare.
Its not a head and shoulders if it appears in a middle or bottom of a trend.

hope that makes sense

Remo and or others, if a H&S pattern can only come at the top of a trend and iH&S at the bottom, I'm probably mis-interpreting a number of chart patterns.

How would you describe this pattern on AMC which I think we were previously discussing as a H&S (maybe I'm wrong). Also if it's not technically an iH&S, can targets still be derived from the pattern as shown?

Appreciate the input