Folks,

Please find attached UBS' Weekly T/A take. Highlights include:

1. Views on the S&P

2. USD heading into key support.

3. New Pivotal Low for Gold

It is an interesting read...

Enjoy!

p.s. The charts from the PDF are by MetaStock

Good Folks,

Here's Credit Swiss' F/X Weekly take:


Trade One: Short USDJPY

Trade Two: Long AUDUSD

Trade Three: Long GBPUSD

Trade Four: Short USDBRL

Trade Five: Short USDMYR

At the risk of repeating myself, can I just add that I'm not advocating any trades etc... However, if anything, it is worth comparing their take on fellow chartists take.

Recently, Remo destroyed Soc Gen's view of Anglo American, and if I recall correctly, Red Chilly was right about the Cable trade, whilst Credit Swiss might have got it wrong. So, to this end it is worth checking out how things are perceived from CV and from Institutions.

Good luck people!

CV Patrons,

Please find attached UBS' T/A take on the markets.

Highlights include, SPX to re-test highs, Europe is in Wave 5 (looking at Germany's DAX, with its absurdly high P/Es I'm surprised it got this high!), and on gold there's an interesting take too.

Good luck people!

Folks,

Please find attached UBS' much coveted (can't think why! ) Technical Analysis on the markets.

remo wrote:
Same here Remo, honest! Anyway, the options, warrants and other derivatives markets can sometimes be overcrowded, and the "choice" trades are not always available.

Straight bull/bear, T/A (maybe with a dash of level 2?) is just better, and clearer to navigate.

waverider2 wrote:
Hiya WaveRider,

Alas, I couldn't get hold of the usual UBS Market T/A - I think there was a note on the previous one that read:

"Due to traveling, the next regular weekly comment will be published on September 10. However, in case of a significant change in market direction and/or our strategy, a short update from us will be sent out."

So I think we'll get on from Tuesday 10th hopefully!

Be well folks!

Libero wrote:

waaaa....thats a different language sounds to complicated for me. I prefer when its a bull or a bear

HI Libero - please can you re attach the latest equity market TA update? I tried opening a few attached files but they all relate to metals or FX...

cheers matey

diver993 wrote:
Cricky Diver!

You're not asking for much are you!

R/C is of course correct. This is Options speak.

*AND* this trade isn't for everyone either (aimed without any disrespect).

I'm not going to go through the trade, but I'll try to explain some terminology if it helps any.


A Butterfly (no, not that kind of butterfly!), is a non-directional strategy used by options traders when the underlying volatilty < the implied (i.e. a future looking view, rather historical, against historical inputs, through pricing models such as Black-Scholes which is popular); and this usually (i.e. a good chance but not always) yields an artibtrage trade.

I never said this was easy!

Vanilla is more straight forward, and in this context, it is the most basic 'version' of an option; i.e. a 'normal' put / call with no fancy (i.e. exotic) features.

The above trade is suggestive of a non-vanilla options put, where the probability of a successful trade is higher, perhaps implied by a narrower spread when dealing with an exotic vs vanilla options variant.

If you don't have knowledge of options or mathematical models (such the monte-carlo method, or black-scholes), I'd stay well away from this stuff - unless you have an interest, in which case, try to get hold of a copy of John Hull's seminal book on options, furtures first.

Disclaimer: I'm not advocating trading options or any other trade for that. I think I have to add DYOR as per Remo, because this stuff can lose you not just your shirt, but your soul too!

Maybe in the future CV will host other derivatives to trades, but for now, there's enough risk with conventional T/A!

Options Language. Dont have a clue what it means

Hi Libero,

I'd appreciate a translation of this if you could.....

 Buy AUDUSD 3m RKI 1x2x1 put butterfly struck 0.86 – 0.83 – 0.80, where the 0.83
strike puts the investor sells knock in only if 0.80 is touched. The structure is
indicatively offered for 0.5% (spot ref 0.9050), close to a 40% saving to the vanilla
0.86 – 0.80 put spread.

Cheers,

Diver

Folks,

Further T/A from the following:

1. CommerzBank (Bullion) - Their take on gold is bearish.

2. UBS Metals - There are no charts, but there is technical commentary. There outlook on Gold is bullish.

3. Credit Suisse's top five trades (a good, if slightly longish read with T/A starting on page :

a. Number One: Short The “Little Aussie Battler”

b. Number Two: Short Yen

c. Number Three: Buy the KRW

d. Number Four: Fade The ZAR Rebound

e. Number Five: Short EURUSD – Riding The Range


4. Standard and Chartered's F/X Strategy


EUR-USD
We remain bearish on EUR-USD as technical indicators argue the
recent rebound is likely to reverse.

USD-JPY
We remain neutral on USD-JPY and expect sideways consolidation
to continue in the near term.

AUD-USD
We turn bearish on AUD-USD as we expect negative momentum to
resume.

USD-SGD
We remain neutral on USD-SGD, though a minor consolidation
could temporarily correct prices lower.

GBP-USD
We remain bearish on GBP-USD as technical indicators argue
further weakness is in the offing.

XAU-USD
We remain bearish on gold as the medium term trend remains to
the downside. The recent rebound is likely to be temporary.

.............

Massive day, so good luck folks!

Libero wrote:
Definitely not 'too much' Libero. Keep 'em coming: whether you agree or disagree with their conclusions is not important - to know how they're thinking is the important bit
Good on ya mate!

Folks,

Some interesting T/A from Credit Suisse on the following Forex Pairs for today:

1. EUR/USD

2. USD/JPY

3. GBP/USD

4. USD/CHF

5. AUD/USD

6. NZD/USD

7. EUR/JPY

8. EUR/GBP

Not sure if members here feel that I've over done it with materials from the big banks. Let me know if it's all too much!

Technical Analysis from JP Morgan

We have strictly FOREX T/A from Nomura Bank on:

1. AUDUSD

2. EURUSD

3. EURJPY



Disclosure: I don't have many FX positons open due to the risk factor. At this moment, I'm long USD/JPY; and hold 'physical USD' which I hope to convert to Sterling at some point (not sure if that counts as a trade, more of a 'salary' thing!)

Anyway, good luck folks!

Folks,

FOREX T/A reports from CommerzBank and Standard & Chartered Bank.

(The T/A section for Stan is at the end).

Good luck people!

Folks,

More goodies:

1. An excellent chart pack from Credit Suisse - they don't half love UpData!

Credit Suiss Weekly Charts

2. A hybrid report on FX, containing some T/A (later in the file)

3. A (rather) late arrival (sorry not much I could do) from CommerzBank on Bullion.


Enjoy, and be safe people (the VIX is currently just under 16).

p.s. If you are long gold - well done!

Libero - once again many thanks for posting these - i find these to be a generally a good read....

cheers WS

Folks,

Please find UBS' take and Standard and Chartered F/X breakdown.

Good luck all!

Apologies for the delay folks...

Busy couple of days!

Anyway, without further delay: UBS' Technical Take.

CV Patrons,

Bumper pack this week - apologies for the delay - I post them as I can get them!

1. CitiGroup's take on F/X.

2. CommerzBank's take on Bullion.

3. Stan's Hybrid take on the broader markets.

4. UBS's TA (yep, the fans' favourite) - too big to upload this week, but can be found here:
UBS TA

Be safe navigating this market folks!

Folks,

Please find the latest T/A take from UBS.


(on a personal level, not very pleased with their headline: "Commodities Still Weak!", but hey ho that's the markets!)

Be well people!

Folks,

Apologies for hogging the boards today - found myself with some free time today which is rare!




Anyway, please find the following:

1. UBS' latest T/A on the market (it is a popular one this, can't think why!)

2. Standard and Chartered's T/A Look into their FX Strategies.

CV Patrons,

The Latest from UBS' T/A team...

Good luck all!

Folks,

Here are some T/A files thanks to CitiGroup and Goldman Sachs.

The files might be a bit too big to upload to CV, and so I have included a link to them instead:

Goldman Sachs T/A

CitiGroup FX T/A

Good luck and manage your risk!

Folks,

Please find UBS' T/A take on the markets...

And something extra this week - a wee bit special - direct from the Vampire Squid (that's Goldman Sachs for the uninitiated!), marketed as "The Charts That Matter Next Week"

Goldman Sachs Charts

Sadly, I was only able to grab it today - 5 days later, but it should be valid, it is Goldman afterall

Anyway, as always, please be safe and exercise good risk management each and every way!

WaveTrack International is providing a free week promotion from 26th June to 3rd July. Here is the latest EW-Compass report, which includes global stock indices, currencies, fix. income and commodities.

CV Patrons,

Please find UBS' T/A take on the market, as well as CommerzBank's TA take on Bullion.

Good luck people, and manage that risk!

Hey Folks,

Just got this..


Good luck!


p.s. I have included last week's take also - as a historical reference.

CV Patrons,

Here's UBS' latest T/A Weekly take.

A good read as usual: Cautious on markets, suggesting bounce on Gold.

As always, be safe.

Folks,

Please find UBS' and CommerzBank's T/A take on the markets, and precious metals, respectively.

Good luck folks!

(I thought CommerzBank's bullion team was fired after their recent calls... looks like they were granted a stay of execution... bloomin' banksters eh!? )

p.s. My disclaimer: the chart projections may or may not come true. Beware of Mr (or Mrs) Markets!

Here's UBS' latest T/A take...

Looks like they are licking their wounds on the gold positions taken (Paulson, and Commerzbank too to be fair).

Folks,

Here's UBS' latest take - it is a cracking read.

Their headline message is "Further Overshooting Before Correcting Into June/July"

Let's see eh?

Good luck and be safe out there, I wouldn't want to be holding the bag at the top of the market that's for sure!

Libero wrote:
Sorry....I missed this post all together....XTA is gone and it's sad as that's the share that started chartsview.
It's always gonna be my favourite share it's a shame as enjoyed doing technicals on XTA.

Folks,

UBS's latest T/A

Good luck!

Folks,

This one is good one - especially after the gold moves!

UBS' take:
(there's more in the report...) - UBS versus Goldman, vis-a-vis Gold, will be an interesting battle.

Also, I've added CommerzBank's take, but the report was filed on Friday, by which time, Gold tumbled further - although to be fair to them, they hinted at this in the said report.

Good luck folks and be safe in this crazy market!

p.s and an Off/Topic message to Remo: Now the Merger between XTA and GLEN has been approved all round, can we have one more (possibly final) chart on XTA before there's no more XTA

UBS' weekly take...

Unlike Goldman, UBS suggest buying the dips in Gold.

Apologies for not putting this up last night folks!

Right, commerzbank's bullion take and UBS' FX take (still on the look out for the regular T/A)

Commerzbank remain firm on gold (what a drop yesterday was eh?), anyway, they say:

UBS' FX report is summed as follows:

EURUSD BEARISH

USDJPY NEUTRAL

GBPUSD BEARISH

USDCHF BULLISH

AUDUSD BULLISH

USDCAD NEUTRAL

EURCHF NEUTRAL

EURGBP BEARISH

EURJPY BEARISH

(full details in the reports up-loaded)

Good luck folks.

p.s. GGOK, I believe Wild 13 was referring to a site called capital synthesis which posts some of these PDFs. Its really quite easy to find them. In the interest of protecting CV and without trying to violate any PI laws, any pdfs that I put up here are simply forwarded to me, with no intention to violate or infringe any copy-rights.

Hi
The search facility seemed to work well and I found posts from wild13. Unfortunately, I still haven't managed to find this useful link on the net that gives you access to the UBS reports etc. all of wild-13 posts was about gold bullion. I assume the search facility searches the whole website of chartsview for wild13?

Anyway, I am glad to see libero continues to post up these reports; I am a great fan.

Gee

Looks like gold is heading in the right direction....

Hi Libero, Thanks for these reports.

Did you ever get chance to back test them as mentioned before?

Thanks
Amo

Folks,

Here's UBS' T/A take on the markets & CommerzBank's take on Bullion...

On Gold, UBS reckons:
Oh, there's some fear building on US equities too according to them!


Commerzbank's take on gold is...
Both reports are available at the click of a button.

Enjoy and good luck CV Comrades!

GGOK wrote:
Hi G
You can use the search facility to find all his post by typing wild13 onto the search.
Hope that helps

Hi libero
Thanks for the post.
As you do such a great job of posting it up, I will leave it to you. Lol! I thought I would try and help, but I was useless! I will try and find wild 13 post; needle in a haystack!lol! More because I am intrigued about this.

Wild 13- if you read this post, can you give me a hint???

Thanks
G

Folks,

Here's UBS' latest take...

Worth a read, but I'm slightly annoyed that they've not commented on Gold!



Be safe trading this market people!


p.s. G - It is out there, but in the interest of avoiding any IP-violation, I'll say that they can be reached from a website capital synthesis (the last thing we need is UBS filing a case!)...

I think Wild13 mentioned the site in another post previously (every post on CV has a gem in it!). In any case, I'm happy to hand over uploading duty to you if you wish!

Take care!

Hi
I tried to be resourceful and look for the UBS report in the big WWW and came across old ones but none of the new ones from this year. I am most probably being thick, but where exactly in the Ethernet do you find them. I also tried the UBS site and they wanted username and passwords.
I thought I would be helpful and help to look for them, but failed miserably!

Gee

Folks,

Here's Commerzbank's take on the metals play... On gold, they reckon that it

Also attached is Standard & Chartered's take (some TA in there!). On gold they have this to say:


On the S&P, they state the following:

More info inside the PDFs.

Good luck!


p.s. Now that I've got a few free minutes, I might pop over to iii's GKP BB and wind up the imbeciles a little bit more

Folks,

Here's UBS' latest report...

More bits on Elliott Wave, and they reckon the SPX have further to go.

Its a good read this - played out as per the technicals and events that created the recent price action.

Good luck people!

Libero wrote:
Hi libero
your more than welcome to post the fundamental views under fundamental
Its always good to have a balance . Thanks mate for all your post

GGOK wrote:
Hi Gee,

Glad its adding some value, and no, there's zero subscription fees, I just hunt these files from the ether and post them here when possible. Ironically, I used to work for UBS when it was SBC (ages ago it seems!), but never took advantage of their trading knowledge - live and learn eh?

There are other Institutional publications too, but alas, they are classed as "Fundamental" views - and these go down like a lead balloon here LoL!

Good luck in your trading!