Ok, Daily chart.....


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/FTSE...aily%20july25%29.png [click this link for a better view]

.... I must confess to have gotten a little lost with this in the past week, so I ripped all the lettering from the chart and took a fresh look. The retrace to the recent low at 6643 is 61.8% of the entire move from 6395 on Feb 3rd, thru to the high at 6896 on May 15th. I have provisionally labelled the high as wave A and the retrace as wave B. If the current move develops as expected we should see an eventual high in the blue area between the 100% and 127.2% extensions. Please note, as stated, these are provisional figures only and they could well extend from these projections.

A close-up look at the same chart shows just how much the price reacts to the Fibonacci levels - it never ceases to amaze me

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/FTSE...sh%20%28close%29.png [click this link for a better view]

Ok, here's the update on the hourly.....
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/FTSE...20%281Hjuly15%29.png

.....well wave (( a )) developed into a 5 way move with good divergence between the 3rd and 5th waves plus extension beyond the 161.8% We have since had an ABC to form wave (( b )) at 6695, exactly where we sprang from on Monday. We can now expect another 5 way move to form a zigzag terminating somewhere between 6819 > 6839 ..... fingers crossed

IMO this is possibly only the first wave in the push north to make a new high.

I can't believe it: I've had no internet all day from 3am till 22.00. I just switched on to find the ftse hit 6761.8, so not a million miles from 6757....Gutted to miss a move like that!!

Ok, the updated 1 hour chart....

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/FTSE...20%281Hjuly12%29.png

...so first we need to get above the resistance at 6695 to confirm the move up. That achieved we have two possibilities; we either turn between 100% and 127.2%, so 714 to 728, in which case we are looking at an ABC 3 way move, so change the i to a and the ii to b; or move up to 161.8% and above for a 5 way move, so that would mean 744, 757, 775 to complete wave ( iii ).

Let's not jump the gun. Break the resistance first else we are going back down.

Ok, so it made 6662.8 and has since bounced to 6689.8. Not bad. Hopefully Monday should see us back above 6700 again....
Have a good weekend all

An update of the hourly chart would indicate a possible end to the current pull-back(PB)...

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/FTSE...20%281Hjuly11%29.png
...check out the deviations on the RSI as marked in the ovals. They clearly showed the start of the PB and are now indicating a possible end. Maybe a bounce from the 'devil's number' at 6666 is on the cards?? X=

The recent pull-back has formed a zigzag. Here's my hourly chart...


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/FTSE...0Cash%20%281H%29.png

...it looks like it ended at 6,699 but, until we get a 5 way move in the opposite direction, there could always be an extension further down. For the time being it looks like we move up.

This is the daily chart......

....if you're struggling to read it click on it and it will expand. Alternately click on this link for the full-blown version....
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/FTSE...daily21June14%29.png

The move up from 6491 on March 10 2014 is looking like a five way impulsive move - so far at any rate. Wave marked in light blue as (( b / ii ))is more than 50% of wave (( a / i )); wave ( iii ) is more than 161.8% of waves i thru ii; and wave ( iv ) is 38% of wave ( iii ). A model impulse doesn't get much better than that but - to confirm the impulse we need to see divergence on the RSI during wave ( v ). If this doesn't happen this is an ABC formation with ( iii ) being the end of wave A, and ( iv ) being the end of wave B. WE would then now be into wave C.

Ok, that's the 'boring bit' over

Why does it matter anyway Well, if you want to know where the price is going next, it matters. If it's an ABC then we can expect wave C - the one we may now be in, to extend thru 100 > 127.2% of wave A from the end of wave B. So, from 6734, (the numbers in dark blue) we should go to somewhere between 7128 > 7236. If it's an impulse 5 way move then we can expect wave ( v ) to be one of three choices: either equal to wave ( i ) which was 216 pips and would mean a finish at 6951; 161.8% of wave ( iv ) which is shown on the chart in black and would mean a move to 6997; or it could also be 61.8% of the move from the start of wave ( i ) thru wave ( iii ), this gives us wave ( v ) finishing at 6978.

So, first we look to see if there is divergence on the RSI to give us a clue. Also check the price action around the resistance area around 6878.

Trade safely people and use stops. Have a relaxing weekend

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/FTSE...20Cash%20%28-%29.png

This is now looking very bullish indeed and is the third time we have been pressuring this level in the last month. If it now breaks through we should be challenging the 7,000 mark in fairly short order
(Please ignore any labeling on this chart: it is not intended for public consumption and is probably utter fiction )

Thanks Remo, 6900 very interesting point.

This looks like its getting ready to breakout to new highs soon..
Nice Ascending Triangle formation on this one.
Major resistance at 6875 but id want a finish above 6900 to signal new highs attempt.
one to watch for bullish summer signal


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/ftse1002ndjune2014.png

Cleared 6830
Next Resistance is 6885 and 6930



Dow seems to be breaking out as well

FTSE breakout
Resistance 6830, 6885

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/FTSE...8daily%29april19.png

Well, from the way prices rose over the last four days, it looks like I was being a little too conservative. The move up from 6491 is now looking very much like a possible impulsive move - I won't bore you with the details but I'm looking for 6850 to be bettered with the current wave to validate the impulse....should be a few good days ahead

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/FTSE...20Cash%20%28-%29.png

A possible scenario for the FTSE....

diver993 wrote:
I had price alerts go off too yesterday because of this. Definitely fat finger trade.

Well on IG at 15.10 yesterday, we had a 'fat finger' trade to a high of 6677.5, which IG are try to say was legit. If so this completely screws my 5 way move as wave 4 would overlap wave 1, which we all know is a 'no-no'. Before i 'throw the baby out with the bath water' maybe someone with more salubrious software could confirm or deny this trade please?

Thanks,

Diver

Well the latest action has clearly outstripped the regular 50-61.8% retracement and it now looks like this could be forming a flat. In terms of waves these are of the 3-3-5 variety. We have already had the two 3's so it wouldn't be a surprise for this latest move to be of the 5 way variety.
dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/FTSE...sh%20%28daily%29.png

If, and as usual that's a big if, I'm correct, then we have already had waves i and ii, and possibly iii though I'm not at all sure on that as it could extend further. Assuming iii is in, then expect a small pull-back to around 23.6 - 38.2% of wave iii(the blue box labelled iv) before heading further down to make a new low for this swing somewhere below 6350.

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/FTSE...0Cash%20%28hr%29.png

This is the hourly chart and it clearly shows 6,606.80 as the next target for the FTSE. This is a balanced position in fib terms with plenty of support.

Look a little further out, at the Daily......


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/FTSE...sh%20%28daily%29.png

....and you'll see how this has looked for support at similar fib levels in the recent past.

did not see your post jackozy...dohhhh

6876 is the level to watch for a breakout.
This is looking good .Dont jump the gun ..



dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/ftse1006thmarch2014.png

That should read "week of 27 Dec 1999" not 2014 obviously.

Already this year (while US indices were falling in Jan) FTSE has closed at its highest weekly level since Dec 1999 with a 6829 close in the week of 13th Jan 2014.

In fact, in the week of 27 Dec 2014 it closed at 6930 after achieving an all time high of 6950. That was the only time FTSE ever closed a week higher than current levels and we currently have a weekly marubozu in play on the cash chart.

Reports from Saxo Bank say that Instis are on a big commodity buying spree with silver on its biggest rally for 45 years.

Perhaps FTSE is finally playing a bit of catch up with the US markets? A close this week above 6830 and especially above 6875 could see a big breakout move from that ascending triangle. Could be just about right to tie in with the end of Primary wave III in the US markets around April.

i see different, could be wrong tho

H&S in play peeps?





RMc

FTSE looking very strong. I'm hoping it'll backtest the trendline nreak at some point later today. The level to watch would be 6792:



dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/20815047/FTSEdaily16_01_14.png

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/7238706/FTSE%20100%20CashWkly.png

I think you might find this goes to 7,400, or even 8,030. Then it's the pull-back?? 5,430 maybe??

This is called sticking your neck out and it could be an

DYOR!!

roughly 7200 so the all time highs

What is the break out target for the FTSE?

Nice symmetrical triangle on the ftse100.....Hopefully explodes out


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/ftse10015thjan.png

Ftse is testing the important level again. 6614.
This needs to finish above this level to test the highs again.



dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/ftse20thdec.png


Hourly chart
You can see on the hourly chart its broken the trend line and back tested it.(as jackozy mentioned)
Now we need it to push through

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/ftse20thdec1.png

Good call jackozy.
Worked out nicely so far....come on Santa better late than never.
I think everyone was waiting for that fed decision . It amazes me how one country has so much influnance on the rest of the world.
Ftse is a lame duck...does not lead any thing...lol

FTSE downtrend resistance was at 6594 today and futures have just hit that level. It'll be a few pips lower tomorrow so watch for a breakout to go long (beware possible backtest of the trendline which would come at a lower price then the breakout level).

Sorry no chart - will try to get one up in the morning.

Possible long on this at 6472 today:



dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/20815047/FTS...TSEdaily03_12_13.png

That chart was from last night's close. FTSE is currently at 6490 as I type. Bear in mind that there's no nearby support to place stops under (apart from the trendline of course) so this trade may fail. I've put a tight 15 pip stop on my order.

If this breaks above 6712 then this may move up pretty quickly.
Im planning on going long at 6713 with a 25 point stop.
You could see clearly how this area is holding the ftse back.


This is a chart of the hourly.


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/ftse25thnov.png

But for the correction to be over this has to finish above 6733..This should signal higher prices and may signal the Christmas rally for the ftse

ftse been a bit erratic right ?

maybe still correcting and nearing completion maybe....

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/40497882/Ftse_1hour_Nov22.JPG




count im going with in chart on last ftse post

regards WS

Possible long on FTSE on a break of 6708 ish as that would be a breakout of the bull flag:



dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/20815047/FTS...TSEdaily22_11_13.png

Closed half @ 6656 - 100 points profit
SL for the rest moved to below breakeven to run as a free trade

FTSE has made a 123 high breakout (3= 6714)
FTSE leads the falls
Dow & Dax are forming bearish candles today

Be careful taking new long positions

Short FTSE @ 6758 after yesterday's bearish candle
SL above 6820



I have no risk attached long positions open

Ftse 100 daily chart....starting to look much better again

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/40497882/FTSE100_DailyOct13.JPG




Regards

WS

Ftse is approaching strong support(6386). If this level does not hold then this could signal a bigger correction. Normally id go long from this point but due to the hammer low being tested again im going to short this from 6382 with a 20 point stop. If this level gets taken out then new longs would be risky on shares.
Ive noticed a lot of shares approaching there main trend lines and if ftse breaks its major support then the trend lines may break at the same time. . So could be an interesting day ahead.


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/ftse7thoct.png

Hammer on today's daily chart for FTSE, right off 6388/6390 support:



dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/20815047/FTS...TSEdaily02_10_13.png

The above is a futures chart but there was also a hammer on the cash chart. You know the score - look to enter half way down the candle with stops below the low.

FTSE at short term uptrend support as we speak?



dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/20815047/FTS...TSEdaily25_09_13.png

Long stops below 6524. Or wait for the break and short the backtest.

Crazy moves on Dow again last night with a massive bounce off 15340 support followed by a determined effort by the bears which took it below that. Lots of bullish divergences on the hourly but crazy trading at the moment there!

The rsi has broken out before the price Is that a sign????


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/ftse12thsept.png

Closed half @ 6677

Rest is a free trade

its getting close to the 6663 level....Long above this..with a 25 point stop...
I suspect that if this does break past this then it may move fast.


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/ftse1staug.png

Hourly chart...nice formation there as well

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/ftsehourly1staug.png

Keep an eye on 6663, as a break could signal a move to the highs


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/ftse31stjuly.png

FTSE Inside Bar trade

I have gone Long @ 6600 after IB yesterday
SL is below the low of candle previous to IB (below 6540)

Im planning on going long on the ftse if it breaks out past 6658 with a 25 point stop.
This is based on the hourly chart


dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/4899609/ftse23rdjuly.png

updated chart --- initial target still not hit but what a move - dyor.

dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/40497882/fts...%20H%26S_04July2.JPG





WaveSurfer wrote: